YouGov

November 2 - 4, 2015

1. Cruz vs Rubio
If an election for the Republican nomination for president was going to be held now and the only candidates were Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, would you vote for...
Asked of registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican

Gender Age - 4 Point Race - 4 Point

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Ted Cruz 34% 37% 30% 20% 32% 42% 31% 33% 37% 28% 51%
Marco Rubio 38% 45% 30% 36% 34% 30% 55% 38% 63% 39% 27%
I would not vote 14% 8% 21% 22% 21% 14% 3% 15% − 19% 4%
Not sure 14% 10% 19% 22% 14% 13% 11% 14% − 14% 18%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (342) (176) (166) (51) (80) (133) (78) (288) (5) (27) (22)

Party ID - 3 Point Family Income - 3 Point Census Region

Total Democrat Independent Republican Under $50K $50-100K $100K or more Prefer not to say Northeast Midwest South West
Ted Cruz 34% − 43% 30% 29% 34% 43% 35% 35% 29% 36% 33%
Marco Rubio 38% − 41% 37% 33% 43% 47% 33% 32% 40% 36% 45%
I would not vote 14% − 11% 16% 21% 14% 9% 4% 21% 17% 15% 4%
Not sure 14% − 5% 18% 17% 9% 1% 28% 11% 14% 13% 18%
Totals 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (342) (-) (101) (241) (114) (116) (57) (55) (63) (86) (136) (57)

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YouGov
November 2 - 4, 2015

2. Bush vs Rubio
If an election for the Republican nomination for president was going to be held now and the only candidates were Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio, would you vote for...
Asked of registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican

Gender Age - 4 Point Race - 4 Point

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Jeb Bush 14% 10% 17% 12% 18% 13% 12% 13% 22% 24% 12%
Marco Rubio 58% 68% 47% 44% 49% 57% 77% 60% 18% 39% 61%
I would not vote 18% 13% 23% 28% 20% 18% 8% 17% 54% 31% 8%
Not sure 11% 9% 13% 16% 12% 12% 4% 11% 7% 6% 18%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (338) (174) (164) (50) (79) (134) (75) (284) (5) (27) (22)

Party ID - 3 Point Family Income - 3 Point Census Region

Total Democrat Independent Republican Under $50K $50-100K $100K or more Prefer not to say Northeast Midwest South West
Jeb Bush 14% − 7% 16% 15% 21% 8% 5% 10% 14% 15% 14%
Marco Rubio 58% − 66% 55% 45% 57% 75% 69% 58% 50% 56% 68%
I would not vote 18% − 16% 18% 27% 14% 14% 9% 22% 18% 21% 8%
Not sure 11% − 11% 11% 13% 8% 3% 17% 10% 17% 8% 10%
Totals 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (338) (-) (98) (240) (112) (114) (57) (55) (62) (85) (134) (57)

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YouGov
November 2 - 4, 2015

3. Bush vs Cruz
If an election for the Republican nomination for president was going to be held now and the only candidates were Ted Cruz and Jeb Bush, would you vote for...
Asked of registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican

Gender Age - 4 Point Race - 4 Point

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Jeb Bush 22% 21% 22% 23% 25% 21% 20% 21% 22% 40% 9%
Ted Cruz 53% 62% 43% 37% 47% 53% 69% 54% 55% 30% 69%
I would not vote 13% 9% 18% 18% 17% 14% 4% 13% 23% 17% 4%
Not sure 12% 8% 18% 22% 11% 12% 7% 12% − 12% 18%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (342) (176) (166) (50) (80) (134) (78) (288) (5) (27) (22)

Party ID - 3 Point Family Income - 3 Point Census Region

Total Democrat Independent Republican Under $50K $50-100K $100K or more Prefer not to say Northeast Midwest South West
Jeb Bush 22% − 18% 23% 23% 29% 20% 9% 21% 18% 21% 27%
Ted Cruz 53% − 62% 50% 42% 53% 69% 63% 50% 53% 53% 57%
I would not vote 13% − 11% 14% 20% 11% 9% 4% 20% 15% 14% 3%
Not sure 12% − 9% 14% 16% 8% 1% 23% 10% 14% 12% 13%
Totals 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (342) (-) (100) (242) (113) (117) (57) (55) (64) (85) (136) (57)

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YouGov
November 2 - 4, 2015

4. Debate Moderators
Thinking about the debates so far this year, would you say that the moderators have been:

Gender Age - 4 Point Race - 4 Point

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Tougher on the
Democratic candidates
than on the Republican
candidates 6% 6% 6% 4% 10% 5% 3% 5% 15% 6% 2%
Tougher on the
Republican candidates
than on the Democrats
candidates 35% 45% 26% 23% 24% 40% 58% 44% 10% 19% 31%
Equally tough on the
candidates from both
parties 27% 23% 31% 23% 30% 26% 30% 25% 38% 34% 16%
Not sure 32% 26% 37% 49% 35% 29% 10% 26% 38% 41% 50%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (999) (487) (512) (177) (274) (378) (170) (682) (117) (136) (64)

Party ID - 3 Point Family Income - 3 Point Census Region

Total Democrat Independent Republican Under $50K $50-100K $100K or more Prefer not to say Northeast Midwest South West
Tougher on the
Democratic candidates
than on the Republican
candidates 6% 11% 4% 2% 8% 4% 9% 1% 3% 9% 6% 6%
Tougher on the
Republican candidates
than on the Democrats
candidates 35% 13% 37% 65% 27% 39% 51% 44% 34% 35% 37% 34%
Equally tough on the
candidates from both
parties 27% 39% 25% 13% 27% 33% 26% 16% 25% 29% 29% 24%
Not sure 32% 37% 34% 20% 38% 24% 15% 39% 38% 27% 28% 37%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (999) (381) (376) (242) (455) (280) (137) (127) (195) (244) (388) (172)

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YouGov
November 2 - 4, 2015

5. Establishment Candidate
Which type of politician would you prefer to see elected president?
Asked of Democrats, Republicans, and those who lean toward either Democrats or Republicans

Gender Age - 4 Point Race - 4 Point

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
A candidate favored by
the [Demo-
cratic/Republican]
establishment 33% 32% 34% 32% 35% 36% 28% 26% 57% 50% 28%
A candidate who’s
more of an outsider 34% 42% 28% 23% 30% 34% 52% 42% 19% 13% 33%
It doesn’t matter to me
either way 17% 15% 19% 25% 17% 17% 9% 18% 15% 13% 18%
Not sure 15% 12% 19% 21% 17% 14% 10% 14% 9% 25% 22%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (816) (391) (425) (138) (206) (325) (147) (562) (105) (107) (42)

Party ID - 3 Point Family Income - 3 Point Census Region

Total Democrat Independent Republican Under $50K $50-100K $100K or more Prefer not to say Northeast Midwest South West
A candidate favored by
the [Demo-
cratic/Republican]
establishment 33% 50% 16% 21% 40% 33% 23% 21% 33% 24% 37% 35%
A candidate who’s
more of an outsider 34% 15% 55% 48% 26% 40% 42% 47% 28% 46% 31% 36%
It doesn’t matter to me
either way 17% 16% 13% 21% 13% 18% 30% 16% 23% 18% 14% 17%
Not sure 15% 19% 16% 10% 21% 9% 6% 17% 17% 13% 18% 12%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (816) (380) (195) (241) (356) (241) (119) (100) (157) (200) (317) (142)

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YouGov
November 2 - 4, 2015

6. Republican Establishment Candidates – Marco Rubio

Do you think the Republican candidates listed below is more of an establishment candidate or an outsider candidate?
Asked of registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican

Gender Age - 4 Point Race - 4 Point

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
More of an
establishment
candidate 53% 53% 53% 46% 43% 61% 54% 56% 93% 31% 36%
More of an outsider
candidate 22% 28% 16% 5% 36% 20% 26% 21% − 25% 36%
Not sure 25% 19% 30% 49% 21% 19% 19% 23% 7% 44% 28%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (334) (173) (161) (50) (75) (134) (75) (281) (5) (27) (21)

Party ID - 3 Point Family Income - 3 Point Census Region

Total Democrat Independent Republican Under $50K $50-100K $100K or more Prefer not to say Northeast Midwest South West
More of an
establishment
candidate 53% − 54% 53% 51% 55% 49% 57% 60% 54% 55% 43%
More of an outsider
candidate 22% − 20% 23% 16% 22% 44% 16% 20% 18% 23% 26%
Not sure 25% − 26% 24% 33% 22% 6% 27% 20% 28% 21% 31%
Totals 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (334) (-) (99) (235) (109) (115) (56) (54) (61) (85) (132) (56)

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YouGov
November 2 - 4, 2015

7. Republican Establishment Candidates – Ted Cruz

Do you think the Republican candidates listed below is more of an establishment candidate or an outsider candidate?
Asked of registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican

Gender Age - 4 Point Race - 4 Point

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
More of an
establishment
candidate 35% 30% 40% 35% 39% 36% 30% 35% 32% 28% 44%
More of an outsider
candidate 41% 54% 25% 30% 28% 43% 55% 43% 68% 17% 34%
Not sure 25% 15% 35% 35% 33% 22% 15% 22% − 55% 22%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (337) (174) (163) (51) (77) (132) (77) (285) (4) (27) (21)

Party ID - 3 Point Family Income - 3 Point Census Region

Total Democrat Independent Republican Under $50K $50-100K $100K or more Prefer not to say Northeast Midwest South West
More of an
establishment
candidate 35% − 32% 36% 40% 33% 31% 30% 48% 39% 29% 30%
More of an outsider
candidate 41% − 54% 35% 30% 41% 53% 51% 26% 41% 45% 46%
Not sure 25% − 14% 29% 30% 26% 16% 18% 26% 20% 26% 25%
Totals 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (337) (-) (99) (238) (113) (114) (56) (54) (61) (84) (136) (56)

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YouGov
November 2 - 4, 2015

8. Republican Establishment Candidates – Donald Trump

Do you think the Republican candidates listed below is more of an establishment candidate or an outsider candidate?
Asked of registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican

Gender Age - 4 Point Race - 4 Point

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
More of an
establishment
candidate 11% 10% 13% 18% 15% 10% 5% 10% 22% 30% 7%
More of an outsider
candidate 80% 86% 74% 68% 71% 83% 94% 84% 78% 51% 76%
Not sure 8% 5% 13% 14% 14% 7% 2% 7% − 19% 17%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (336) (175) (161) (50) (79) (131) (76) (283) (5) (27) (21)

Party ID - 3 Point Family Income - 3 Point Census Region

Total Democrat Independent Republican Under $50K $50-100K $100K or more Prefer not to say Northeast Midwest South West
More of an
establishment
candidate 11% − 3% 15% 17% 9% 3% 9% 14% 8% 8% 17%
More of an outsider
candidate 80% − 90% 76% 74% 86% 88% 78% 77% 87% 81% 76%
Not sure 8% − 7% 9% 9% 5% 9% 12% 10% 5% 11% 7%
Totals 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (336) (-) (99) (237) (114) (113) (54) (55) (64) (85) (131) (56)

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YouGov
November 2 - 4, 2015

9. Republican Establishment Candidates – Ben Carson

Do you think the Republican candidates listed below is more of an establishment candidate or an outsider candidate?
Asked of registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican

Gender Age - 4 Point Race - 4 Point

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
More of an
establishment
candidate 13% 4% 22% 15% 18% 10% 10% 12% 23% 6% 20%
More of an outsider
candidate 69% 80% 56% 47% 53% 76% 85% 73% 77% 29% 59%
Not sure 19% 16% 22% 38% 28% 13% 5% 14% − 65% 21%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (332) (174) (158) (50) (75) (132) (75) (279) (4) (27) (22)

Party ID - 3 Point Family Income - 3 Point Census Region

Total Democrat Independent Republican Under $50K $50-100K $100K or more Prefer not to say Northeast Midwest South West
More of an
establishment
candidate 13% − 3% 16% 22% 10% 4% 6% 21% 13% 10% 9%
More of an outsider
candidate 69% − 80% 64% 53% 74% 84% 78% 59% 67% 72% 73%
Not sure 19% − 16% 20% 25% 16% 12% 16% 19% 20% 18% 18%
Totals 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (332) (-) (99) (233) (109) (113) (56) (54) (59) (83) (133) (57)

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YouGov
November 2 - 4, 2015

10. Republican Establishment Candidates – Jeb Bush

Do you think the Republican candidates listed below is more of an establishment candidate or an outsider candidate?
Asked of registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican

Gender Age - 4 Point Race - 4 Point

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
More of an
establishment
candidate 80% 88% 71% 66% 75% 85% 87% 81% 69% 60% 93%
More of an outsider
candidate 7% 4% 9% 16% 11% 1% 5% 7% 23% 1% 3%
Not sure 14% 7% 20% 19% 14% 14% 8% 12% 7% 38% 3%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (331) (171) (160) (49) (77) (131) (74) (278) (5) (27) (21)

Party ID - 3 Point Family Income - 3 Point Census Region

Total Democrat Independent Republican Under $50K $50-100K $100K or more Prefer not to say Northeast Midwest South West
More of an
establishment
candidate 80% − 88% 76% 69% 85% 88% 86% 73% 82% 78% 89%
More of an outsider
candidate 7% − 3% 8% 10% 4% 10% − 16% 6% 5% 1%
Not sure 14% − 9% 15% 21% 10% 1% 14% 11% 12% 17% 10%
Totals 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (331) (-) (98) (233) (112) (114) (54) (51) (61) (85) (130) (55)

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YouGov
November 2 - 4, 2015

11. Heard about Rubio Senate Votes

How much have you heard about the story that Marco Rubio has attended fewer Senate votes than other senators who are running for president?

Gender Age - 4 Point Race - 4 Point

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Heard a lot 22% 31% 14% 16% 12% 26% 35% 25% 13% 14% 27%
Heard a little 40% 40% 41% 35% 39% 42% 47% 41% 36% 42% 42%
Heard nothing at all 38% 30% 45% 49% 49% 32% 18% 35% 51% 44% 32%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (994) (486) (508) (177) (272) (379) (166) (677) (118) (135) (64)

Party ID - 3 Point Family Income - 3 Point Census Region

Total Democrat Independent Republican Under $50K $50-100K $100K or more Prefer not to say Northeast Midwest South West
Heard a lot 22% 19% 23% 24% 16% 24% 33% 32% 19% 25% 21% 22%
Heard a little 40% 44% 38% 40% 38% 46% 56% 25% 32% 39% 41% 48%
Heard nothing at all 38% 38% 39% 37% 47% 31% 11% 43% 49% 36% 37% 30%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (994) (382) (373) (239) (455) (277) (137) (125) (192) (244) (386) (172)

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YouGov
November 2 - 4, 2015

12. Problem of Rubio Senate Votes

How serious of a problem do you think it is that Marco Rubio has attended fewer Senate votes than other senators who are running for president?

Gender Age - 4 Point Race - 4 Point

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other
Very serious 17% 16% 18% 11% 17% 20% 18% 16% 23% 17% 10%
Somewhat serious 27% 26% 28% 32% 28% 22% 30% 30% 20% 24% 23%
Not very serious 19% 20% 18% 16% 13% 23% 21% 19% 17% 15% 22%
Not serious at all 12% 19% 6% 5% 8% 15% 22% 14% 7% 12% 10%
Not sure 25% 20% 30% 36% 35% 20% 9% 21% 33% 32% 35%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (998) (487) (511) (177) (273) (378) (170) (681) (118) (135) (64)

Party ID - 3 Point Family Income - 3 Point Census Region

Total Democrat Independent Republican Under $50K $50-100K $100K or more Prefer not to say Northeast Midwest South West
Very serious 17% 24% 15% 9% 19% 14% 19% 12% 11% 18% 18% 19%
Somewhat serious 27% 28% 27% 26% 27% 30% 30% 22% 30% 29% 26% 24%
Not very serious 19% 18% 16% 23% 15% 19% 35% 14% 16% 18% 18% 23%
Not serious at all 12% 7% 11% 22% 8% 14% 14% 21% 16% 8% 12% 13%
Not sure 25% 24% 30% 20% 31% 22% 2% 31% 27% 26% 26% 22%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
(Unweighted N) (998) (381) (376) (241) (456) (278) (137) (127) (194) (244) (389) (171)

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YouGov
November 2 - 4, 2015

Interviewing Dates November 2 - 4, 2015

Target population U.S. adults, aged 18 and over.

Sampling method Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in Internet panel using sam-
ple matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education,
and region) was selected from the 2010 American Community Study. Voter
registration was imputed from the November 2010 Current Population Sur-
vey Registration and Voting Supplement. Religion, minor party identification,
and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Pew
Religion in American Life Survey.

Weighting The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender,
race, education, voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale.
The weights range from 0.173 to 4.244, with a mean of one and a standard
deviation of 0.896.

Number of respondents 1000

Margin of error ± 4.2% (adjusted for weighting)

Survey mode Web-based interviews

Questions not reported 20 questions not reported.

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