Water Demand Estimation Example

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Example

• Estimate the total average water demand (by 2020, 2025,


2030) for the Asaita town which has population number of
32,460 by 2015

• The project starts to give service by 2020


• NDD = 20%DD
• UFW= 20 % Sub total demand by 2020 and raised by 2 %
for each five year interval
• Use geometric increase method for population projection
solution

• Region of the town


2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
AFFAR 3.84% 4.27% 3.94% 3.99% 3.62% 3.63% 3.48%
AMHARA 5.09% 4.53% 4.67% 4.41% 4.25% 4.05% 3.85%
BENISHANGUL-
4.34% 4.65% 4.35% 4.51% 4.05% 3.99% 3.59%
GUMUZ
DIRE DAWA 4.93% 4.40% 4.15% 3.78% 3.51% 3.27% 3.12%
GAMBELLA 5.15% 4.56% 4.10% 4.64% 4.01% 4.16% 3.78%
HARARI 4.19% 4.00% 3.63% 3.44% 3.25% 2.98% 2.99%
OROMIYA 5.29% 4.88% 4.74% 4.53% 4.32% 4.08% 3.84%
SNNPRS 5.50% 4.94% 4.70% 4.46% 4.25% 4.02% 3.77%
SOMAU 4.61% 4.65% 4.52% 4.39% 4.16% 3.90% 3.68%
TIGRAY 5.06% 4.63% 4.56% 4.41% 4.22% 4.04% 3.81%
Town category

from to Category
Over 250,000 1
80,000 250,000 2
50,000 80,000 3

30,000 50,000 4
20,000 30,000 5
10,000 20,000 6
5,000 10,000 7
2,000 5,000 8
1,000 2,000 9
Less than 1,000 10
Population projection

• Pn = Po(1+r)^n

year Groth rate Population

2015 0.0399 32460

2020 0.0362 38776

2025 0.0363 46344

2030 0.0348 54989


Population distribution by modes of services
2020 2025 2030

House 5.5% 6.2% 7.0%

Yard 19.2% 21.7% 24.6%


Category 4

Yard Shared 17.3% 19.5% 22.1%

Public Tap 56.1% 51.5% 45.3%

Un-Served 2.0% 1.0% 1.0%


Cont..

2020 2025 2030

Pop. % Pop.Distn Pop. % Pop.Dist Pop. % Pop.Dist

38776 0.06 2133 46344 0.06 2873 54989 0.07


3849
38776 0.19 7445 46344 0.22 10057 54989 0.25
13527
38776 0.17 6708 46344 0.20 9037 54989 0.22
12153
38776 0.56 21754 46344 0.52 23867 54989 0.45
24910

38776 0.02 776 46344 0.01 463 54989 0.01


550
Percapita
Domestic water demand (L/d)
Total Average water demand (L/d)

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