Mindtree - 141022 - Moti141022 PDF
Mindtree - 141022 - Moti141022 PDF
Mindtree - 141022 - Moti141022 PDF
Mindtree
Estimate change CMP: INR3,324 TP: INR 3,350 (+1%) Neutral
TP change
Rating change
Another good quarter; valuations priced in
Focusing on synergies with LTI integration in 3QFY23E
Bloomberg MTCL IN Mindtree (MTCL) reported 2QFY23 revenue of USD422m (up 7.2% QoQ in
Equity Shares (m) 165 CC), 210bp ahead of our estimate. Reported USD revenue grew 5.7% QoQ,
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb) 548.2 / 6.7 driven by broad-based growth across verticals, with RCM (+2.9% QoQ in CC)
52-Week Range (INR) 5059 / 2650 back in growth track. Deal TCV in 2QFY23 was strong at USD518m, up 44%
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%) 4/-17/-18 YoY, and aided the company surpass USD1b TCV in 1HFY23.
12M Avg Val (INR M) 3451 EBITDA margin contracted 10bp QoQ (50bp ahead of MOFSLe) to 21.0%,
despite the full impact of wage hikes during the quarter. The company was
Financials & Valuations (INR b) able to compensate for this through operational efficiency, currency support
Y/E Mar 2022 2023E 2024E and reversal of a one-off cost last quarter. Utilization (down 50bp QoQ) and
Sales 105.3 137.3 158.1 attrition (decline of 40bp QoQ to 24.1%) were broadly stable.
EBIT Margin (%) 18.6 19.4 19.7 MTCL’s management indicated that it has started to witness some softness
PAT 16.5 21.2 25.1
and caution in parts of the business (especially in Europe), although these
EPS (INR) 100.1 128.4 152.2
appear to be transitory in its opinion. Management remained confident that
EPS Gr. (%) 48.6 28.2 18.6
BV/Sh. (INR) 332 403 487
MTCL will be able to take advantage of the acquired projects that are cost-
Ratios saving in nature, thereby boosting both performance and TCV. Strong
RoE (%) 33.8 35.0 34.3 commentary in other verticals, deal pipeline, and TCV should help it deliver a
RoCE (%) 27.2 30.0 28.6 solid revenue growth in FY23E, as we expect USD revenue CAGR of 16.5%
Payout (%) 37.0 45.0 45.0 over FY22-24.
Valuations MTCL should keep its profitability within a narrow range going ahead, which will
P/E (x) 33.2 25.9 21.8 help it absorb any adverse macro impact. Good revenue growth and stable
P/BV (x) 10.0 8.3 6.8
margin should help it deliver 23% PAT CAGR in INR terms over FY22-24E.
EV/EBITDA (x) 23.4 17.2 14.4
We maintain our Neutral rating on MTCL due to its fair valuations (based on
Div Yield (%) 1.1 1.7 2.1
22x FY24E P/E), softness in Retail and constrains on management bandwidth
Shareholding pattern (%) because of its impending merger with LTI.
As On Jun-22 Mar-22 Jun-21 We raise our FY23/FY24 EPS estimates by 3%/6% due to strong growth and
Promoter 61.0 61.0 61.0 margin beat. As the stock is trading at 22x FY24E EPS, we see limited upside
DII 12.1 10.5 12.0 hereafter. Our TP of INR3,350 is premised on 22x FY24E EPS.
FII 11.7 14.4 13.7
Others 15.3 14.2 13.3 Strong 2QFY23 revenue performance and deal wins
FII Includes depository receipts MTCL’s USD revenue grew 7.2% QoQ in CC terms, INR EBIT rose 39% YoY, and
INR PAT increased 28% YoY in 2QFY23.
For 1HFY23, USD revenue/INR EBIT/INR PAT rose 24%/43%/32%,
respectively.
FCF was at INR2.76b translating into ~55% FCF to Net Income conversion;
Cash and Investments stood at INR38b.
The US drove the good performance in 2QFY23 (+7.5% QoQ), while Europe
was impacted adversely by currency depreciation.
MTCL achieved the second-highest deal TCV of USD518m, down 9% QoQ but
up 44% YoY; it clocked 1.2x book-to-bill ratio.
Net profit was up 8% QoQ to INR5.09b (in line) due to lower other income.
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Story in charts
Exhibit 5: Strong deal wins in 2QFY23
2QFY21
3QFY21
4QFY21
1QFY22
2QFY22
3QFY22
4QFY22
1QFY23
2QFY23
Source: Company, MOFSL
Exhibit 6: Revenue grows 5.7% QoQ in 2QFY23 Exhibit 7: Margin largely flat in 2QFY23 despite wage hikes
12.8
19.6 18.6 19.2 18.9 19.2 19.1
17.7 18.2
7.7 16.7
5.0 5.1 5.7
4.7 4.7 4.0
3.1
4QFY22
2QFY21
3QFY21
4QFY21
1QFY22
2QFY22
3QFY22
1QFY23
2QFY23
2QFY21
3QFY21
4QFY21
1QFY22
2QFY22
3QFY22
4QFY22
1QFY23
2QFY23
Exhibit 8: Utilization moderates in 2QFY23 Exhibit 9: Offshoring touches new highs in 2QFY23
3QFY21
4QFY21
1QFY22
2QFY22
3QFY22
4QFY22
1QFY23
2QFY23
2QFY21
3QFY21
4QFY21
1QFY22
2QFY22
3QFY22
1QFY23
2QFY23
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Operating metrics
Exhibit 10: Operating metrics
2QFY21 3QFY21 4QFY21 1QFY22 2QFY22 3QFY22 4QFY22 1QFY23 2QFY23
Geographic mix (%)*
North America 77.4 77.2 76.6 76.6 72.8 73.0 73.6 76.8 78.1
Continental Europe 7.5 7.4 7.1 8.6 8.7 18.6 17.7 14.7 13.4
The UK and Ireland 7.9 7.8 8.6 7.6 10.9
Asia Pacific 7.2 7.6 7.7 7.2 7.6 8.4 8.7 8.5 8.5
Utilization (%)
Including trainees 78.8 83.1 84.3 83.2 82.9 81.5 83.1 81.2 80.7
Client metrics
No. of active clients 283 276 270 260 263 265 276 274 276
New clients added 8 8 4 7 7 8 11 13 8
Client buckets
USD1m clients 125 120 118 120 127 136 139 145 160
USD5m clients 43 43 44 47 50 52 56 58 61
USD10m clients 24 21 20 25 30 33 32 35 34
USD50m clients 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
USD100m clients 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Contribution from clients (%)
Top clients 28.9 28.5 28.0 27.4 24.3 24.9 24.9 26.0 26.3
Top five clients 40.6 39.8 38.6 38.5 35.7 35.4 35.7 37.0 36.9
Top 10 clients 49.4 49.0 47.3 47.5 45.1 44.9 44.4 45.7 45.0
Service lines (%)*
Customer success 38.9 38.1 38.6 40.0 43.2 42.9 42.9 40.8 40.7
Data and Intelligence 14.2 14.9 16.0 15.0 14.3 14.8 14.9 15.9 16.1
Cloud 19.0 19.2 19.4 19.9 18.7 19.1 19.1 19.5 20.3
Enterprise IT 27.9 27.8 26.0 25.1 23.8 23.2 23.1 23.8 22.9
Source: MOFSL, Company
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The associates of MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
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Registered Office Address: Motilal Oswal Tower, Rahimtullah Sayani Road, Opposite Parel ST Depot, Prabhadevi, Mumbai-400025; Tel No.: 022-3980
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