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'Everybody's going to have a lot of losers': Most biotech investors are getting burned even as fledgling companies are raising money hand-over-fist

Cancer immunotherapy
Cancer cells seen on a large screen connected to a microscope at the CeBit computer fair in Hanover, Germany, in 2012. Reuters
  • The window for biotech companies to raise money and go public has seemed unending over the past few years.
  • Particularly in the past year, private companies have raised staggeringly big early funding rounds before turning around to tap the public markets for even more cash.
  • But the bets haven't always panned out for investors. Of the biotech companies that have gone public in the past six years, fewer than half have generated a positive return, according to a new report.
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For fledgling biotechs hoping to find the money to fund their plans to tackle everything from cancer to Alzheimer's disease, the public markets have been a good avenue over the past few years.

In the first nine months of 2018 alone, there have been 47 biotech initial public offerings, raising $4.6 billion in capital. That's already more than in all of both 2016 and 2015. In the biggest biotech IPO of the year, the cancer drugmaker Allogene this week brought in $324 million in a public offering that valued the company at $2.2 billion.

But not every biotech investment has been a roaring success.

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David Chang Headshot_3112_LR_pp_comp_cc_web[1]
Allogene CEO David Chang. Allogene has had biotech's biggest initial public offering this year. Courtesy Allogene

According to a Leerink review over the past six years, there have been 269 biotech IPOs that raised a combined $24.1 billion. But fewer than half of those IPOs have generated a positive return.

About 20% of the companies made up about 80% of those positive returns. And nearly half of the IPOs had an annual loss of 10% or more.

"The vast majority of the money invested in biotech is not going to generate any return," Geoff Porges, a Leerink analyst, said. "Everybody's going to have a lot of losers in their biotech portfolios. The winners have to carry the freight for the losers."

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Which is to say, not every bet is panning out, despite record amounts of capital being poured into the sector. Investing in drug development is an inherently risky prospect. Biotech companies are developing experimental treatments for diseases, running clinical trials to see whether a given drug works. When one doesn't, the stock could crater and lose most if not all of its value, depending on what else the company has in the works.

"You really have to be selective," Les Funtleyder, a healthcare portfolio manager at E Squared Capital, told Business Insider. "I think that's the importance of doing due diligence and spending a lot of time on these things and hoping you get a positive return out of it."

While the biotech sector enjoyed an 18.5% surge in 2017, its performance has come back to earth since then. The Nasdaq Biotech Index is up 1.5% this year, compared with a 3.2% rise from the S&P 500.

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