IAPM Assignment

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SYSTEMATIC AND

UNSYSTEMATIC RISK

Presented by – Piyush Tanwar


                    Preeti Roy
Enrollment No.- 04013703921
                             04413703921
Presented to- Dr Geeta Mahajan
Risk in investment means that
the future returns from that
investment are unpredictable. 
Concept Of
Risk The concept of risk may be
defined as the possibility that
the actual outcome
(return) may not be
same as expected. 
Types Of
Risk

Systematic Unsystemati
Risk c Risk
Systematic Risk 

This part of the risk arises because every security has a built-in tendency to move in line with the
fluctuations in the market.

The systematic risk is also called the non-diversifiable risk or general risk. 

For e.g., if Government Bonds is offering a yield of 5% in comparison to the stock market which offers a
minimum return of 10%. Suddenly, the government announces an additional tax burden of 1% on stock
market transactions, this will be a systematic risk impacting all the stocks and may make the
Government bonds more attractive.
Systematic Risk

Purchasing
Interest Rate Risk Market Risk Power/Inflationar
y Risk
Interest-Rate Risk 
• The interest rate risk to the variability in return caused by the change
in level of interest rates. Such interest rate risk usually appears
through the change in market price of fixed income securities, that is,
bonds and debentures.
• Security (bonds and debentures) prices have an inverse relationship
with the level of interest rates.
Interest Rate
Risk

Reinvestmen
Price Risk
t Rate Risk
1. Price risk arises due to the possibility that the price of
the shares, commodity, investment, etc. may decline or fall
in the future.

2. Reinvestment rate risk results from fact that the interest


or dividend earned from an investment can't be reinvested
with the same rate of return as it was acquiring earlier.
• Market prices of investments particularly
equity shares may fluctuate widely within a
short span of time even though the earnings
Market Risk of the company are not changing.
• The market risk refers to variability in
return due to change in market price of
investment.
Market Risk

Non-
Directional Volatility
Absolute Risk Relative Risk Directional Basis Risk
Risk Risk
Risk
1. Absolute risk is without any content. For e.g., if a coin is tossed, there is fifty percentage chance of getting a head and vice-
versa. 

2. Relative risk is the assessment or evaluation of risk at different levels of business functions. For e.g. a relative-risk from a
foreign exchange fluctuation may be higher if the maximum sales accounted by an organization are of export sales. 

3. Directional risks are those risks where the loss arises from an exposure to the particular assets of a market. For e.g., an
investor holding some shares experience a loss when the market price of those shares falls down.

4. Non-Directional risk arises where the method of trading is not consistently followed by the trader. For e.g., the dealer will
buy and sell the share simultaneously to mitigate the risk 

5. Basis risk is due to the possibility of loss arising from imperfectly matched risks. For e.g., the risks which are in offsetting
positions in two related but non-identical markets. 

6. Volatility risk is of a change in the price of securities as a result of changes in the volatility of a risk-factor. For e.g., it applies
to the portfolios of derivative instruments, where the volatility of its underlying is a major influence of prices.
Purchasing
Power Or • The inflation risk refers to the
uncertainty of purchasing power
of cash flows to be received out

Inflationar
of investment. It shows the
impact of inflation or deflation
on the investment.

y Risk
Purchasing
Power/
Inflationary
Risk

Demand Cost Inflation


Inflation Risk Risk
1. Demand inflation risk arises due to increase in price, which result from
an excess of demand over supply. It occurs when supply fails to cope with
the demand and hence cannot expand anymore. In other words, demand
inflation occurs when production factors are under maximum utilization. 

2. Cost inflation risk arises due to sustained increase in the prices of goods
and services. It is actually caused by higher production cost. A high cost of
production inflates the final price of finished goods consumed by people.
Unsystematic Risk
The unsystematic risk represents the fluctuations in return from an investment
due to factors which are specific to the particular firm and not the market as a
whole. The unsystematic risk results from random events.

It is also called specific risk or diversifiable risk.

For e.g., if the staff of the airline industry goes on an indefinite strike, then this
will cause risk to the shares of the airline industry and fall in the prices of the
stock impacting this industry.
Unsystematic
Risk

Business
Financial
Risk/ Operational
Risk/Credit
Liquidity Risk
Risk
Risk
Business Risk

Business risk is also known as liquidity risk.

It is so, since it emanates (originates) from the sale and purchase of


securities affected by business cycles, technological changes, etc.
Business
Risk/Liquidit
y Risk

Asset Funding
Liquidity Liquidity
Risk Risk
1. Asset liquidity risk is due to losses arising from an inability to sell or pledge
assets at, or near, their carrying value when needed. For e.g., assets sold at a
lesser value than their book value. 

2. Funding liquidity risk exists for not having access to the sufficient-funds to
make a payment on time. For e.g., when commitments made to customers
are not fulfilled as discussed in the SLA (service level agreements).
Financial Risk 
• Financial risk is also known as credit risk. 
• It arises due to change in the capital
structure of the organization. The capital
structure mainly comprises of three ways
by which funds are sourced for the
projects. 
• These are as follows:
• 1. Owned funds. For e.g., share capital. 
• 2. Borrowed funds. For e.g., loan funds. 
• 3. Retained earnings. For e.g., reserve and
surplus
Financial
Risk/Credit
Risk

Exchange Recovery Sovereign Settlement


Rate Risk Rate Risk Risk Risk
1.Exchange rate risk is also called as exposure rate risk. It is a form of financial risk that arises from a potential change seen in the
exchange rate of one country's currency in relation to another country's currency and vice-versa. For e.g., investors or businesses
face it either when they have assets or operations across national borders, or if they have loans or borrowings in a foreign currency. 

2. Recovery rate risk is an often-neglected aspect of a credit-risk analysis. The recovery rate is normally needed to be evaluated. For
e.g., the expected recovery rate of the funds tendered (given) as a loan to the customers by banks, non-banking financial companies
(NBFC), etc. 

3. Sovereign risk is associated with the government. Here, a government is unable to meet its loan obligations, reneging (to break a
promise) on loans it guarantees, etc. 

4. Settlement risk exists when counterparty does not deliver a security or its value in cash as per the agreement of trade or business
Operational
• Operational risks are the
business process risks failing due
to human errors. This risk will
change from industry to industry.

Risk
It occurs due to breakdowns in
the internal procedures, people,
policies and systems.
Operationa
l Risk

Model People Political


Legal Risk
Risk Risk Risk
1.Model risk is involved in using various models to value financial securities. It is due to probability of
loss resulting from the weaknesses in the financial-model used in assessing and managing a risk. 
2. People risk arises when people do not follow the organization’s procedures, practices and/or rules.
That is, they deviate from their expected behavior. 
3. Legal risk arises when parties are not lawfully competent to enter an agreement among themselves.
Furthermore, this relates to the regulatory-risk, where a transaction could conflict with a government
policy or particular legislation (law) might be amended in the future with retrospective effect.
4. Political risk occurs due to changes in government policies. Such changes may have an unfavorable
impact on an investor. It is especially prevalent in the third-world countries.
One should keep in mind the below formula Total Risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic Risk
which  highlights the importance of these 2
types of risks faced by all kinds of investors:
Captial Assets Pricing Model (CAPM)
The CAPM attempts to explain and provide the mechanism whereby
investors can assess the impact of a proposed security on their
portfolio’s risk and return.
The total risk of a portfolio can be bifurcated into systematic and
unsystematic risk. The latter is eliminated by more and more
diversification.
On the other hand, the systematic risk is one which cannot be
eliminated, and it correlated with that if the market portfolio.
• William Sharpe has suggested that the systematic risk can be
measured by β, the beta factor.
• The β can be viewed as an index of the degree of the responsiveness
of the security’s returns with the market return.
• The beta coefficient is the relative measure of sensitivity of an asset’s
return to change in the return on the market portfolio.
Limitations of CAPM
The calculation of beta factor is very tedious as lot of data is required. The beta factor can be found by examining
the security’s historical returns relative to the return of the market portfolio. Further, the beta factor may or not
reflect the future variability of returns. The beta cannot be expected to be constant over time. It must be updated
frequently. 

The assumption of the CAPM are hypothetical and are impractical. For example, the assumption of borrowing and
lending at the same rate is imaginary. In practice, the borrowing rates are higher than the lending rates. 

The required rate of return, RS , specified by the model can be viewed only as a rough approximation of the
required rate of return.

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