Energy For Sustainable Development-22092019

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About the presenter…


Avinash M Bhardwaj
• Total Professional experience of 38 Years, 18 years with
BHEL & NTPC and 20 years in Academics & Training.
• Working with Subhash Jain & associates since 2014.
• Previously worked on UDAAN project of MHRD, GOI for
IISD, Gurgaon.
• Director of ‘Institute of Business Management’ at
Mangalayatan University, Aligarh during 2010-2012.
• Worked with UPES in various capacities during 2005-2010
at Gurgaon as well as Dehradun.
• Worked with Bharati Vidyapeeth’s College of Engineering,
New Delhi during 2003-05.
• Associated with DIAS, JIMS and other institutions of
GGSIP University, Delhi as Visiting Faculty.

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Energy for Sustainable Development-I-III


(PGP Renewable Energy-Module I)

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Outline of Discussion
• Current and projected Indian and World energy consumption
and supply by sector
• Carbon emissions and warming
• The nature of the options & issues
– Transportation
• Bio-fuels
• Hydrogen, Fuel Cells
– Electric Power
• Solar, Wind,
• Bio-fuels,
• Nuclear
• A proposed quantifiable solution set for near and long term
sustainable energy independence

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Why these discussions now?


• Current energy scenario
Source of Energy Share in Indian Power Sector Installed Capacity (MW)

Thermal Power (Coal) 63.54% 226,279

Nuclear 1.9% 6780

Hydro-power 12.75% 45,399

Renewable Sources 21.8% 77,641

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Global Energy Consumptions


• Primary energy consumption grew at a rate of 2.9% last
year, (Twice its 10-year average of 1.5% per year).
• Natural gas contributed more than 40% of the increase.
• All fuels grew faster than their 10-year averages, apart
from renewables.
• China, the US and India together accounted for more
than two thirds of the global increase in energy demand,
with US consumption expanding at its fastest rate for 30
years.

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Carbon emissions
• Carbon emissions grew by 2.0%, the fastest
growth for seven years.

• Cause of health & other environmental


degradation.

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Indian Energy Scenario 2017-18


• Production and Consumption:
– Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of Production of
Coal & Lignite in 2017-18 over 2008-09 are 3.20% &
3.62% respectively whereas their consumption grew at
5.01% and 3.70% respectively during the same period.
– Crude Oil and Natural Gas: during the period 2008-09 to
2017- 18 the Production increased by 0.63% and (-)
0.06% whereas Consumption increased by 4.59% &
4.82%.
– Generation of Electricity increased by 5.71 % and
Consumption of electricity increased by 7.39%.
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Imports and Exports


• Imports of the Coal during 2008-09 to 2017-18 increased at a
CAGR of 13.44% whereas the Exports during the corresponding
period decreased at (-) 0.96%.
• The imports of Natural Gas and Crude Oil increased at CAGR of
9.44% and 5.20% respectively.
• The imports of petroleum products, during the period 2008-09 to
2017-18 increased at CAGR of 6.67%, whereas during the same
reference period the exports registered an increase of 5.55%.
• For electricity, the net imports witnessed significant change in last
two years i.e. 2016-17 and 2017-18. The exports have robust
increase at CAGR of 61.83% during 2008-09 to 2017-18 whereas
the imports registered a decline with CAGR of (-) 0.50%.

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Usage of Energy
• The maximum energy intensive sector was
industrial sector accounting about 56% of
total energy consumption.
• Per Capita consumption of Energy showed a
CAGR of 2.54% for the period 2011-12 to
2017-18

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Status of Natural Resources


• Coal 200 Years
• Oil 60 Years
• Forests on the decline

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Sustainable development:

Meeting the needs of the present


without compromising the ability of
future generations to meet their own
needs.
– World Commission on Environment and Development (1987): Our Common Future

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Sustainable development is more
Societ than just caring about the
y
environment, or generating
money through economic
growth.
Sustainab
Econom le
y develop-
ment

It is the intersection of three pillars:


Environm
e Environment, Economy, and
nt Society.
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The Healthy Community Model

SOCIETY ECONOMY
HEALTH

ENVIRONMENT

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Energy
• Per capita energy consumption is the key
indicator of development in any country.
• Efforts have been directed to hike per capita
consumption and, thus, raise standard of living of
the citizens.
• A large population is, yet, to taste fruits of
electricity.
• All policies have to be aligned to the objective of
energy security.
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Climate Change & Energy Security


• Climate change at a fast pace poses grave risks to the
humanity.
• Major contributor __ current fuel mix for energy
production i.e. Fossil fuel.
• Efforts to replace fossil fuel with renewable energy are
likely to show impact in the future in a sustainable manner.
• Two steps required for a positive result:
– Assessment of commercially available technologies.
– A critical review of policies for commercial implementation of
technologies.

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Climate Change & Energy Security


• Energy generation accounts for >70% of GHG
emissions.
• Options for energy security:
– high-efficiency transportation, 
– Renewable energy
– carbon sequestration
– demand side management
Remember: Development, energy security and climate
change are interlinked and aim at “Poverty eradication”.

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Environmental Issues
• Today’s environment is highly polluted &
degraded resulting in lower quality of life
evident from:
– deforestation,
– desertification,
– soil degradation,
– water and air pollution,
– growth of urban slums
– unhygienic living conditions
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Sustainability: PROBLEMS
Depletion of finite resources
– fuels, soil, minerals, species
Over-use of renewable resources
– forests, fish & wildlife, fertility, public funds
Pollution
– air, water, soil
Inequity
– economic, political, social, gender
Species loss
– endangered species and spaces

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- WCED, 1987
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Sustainability: SOLUTIONS
 Cyclical material use
– emulate natural cycles; 3 R’s
 Safe reliable energy
– conservation, renewable energy,
substitution, interim measures
 Life-based interests
– health, creativity, communication,
coordination, appreciation, learning,
intellectual and spiritual development

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Two key sustainable development concepts:

EQUITY

LIMITS TO GROWTH

-WCED 1987
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Two key sustainable development concepts:

 the concept of needs, particularly the essential needs


of the world’s poor
EQUITY

-WCED 1987 Centre for


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Two key sustainable development concepts:

EQUITY

• the quality of being fair or impartial;


fairness; impartiality
• something that is fair and just.

-dictionary.com
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Contrast with:

EQUALITY

• the state or quality of being equal;


correspondence in quantity, degree,
value, rank, or ability.
• uniform character, as of motion or
surface.

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Two key sustainable development concepts:

 the idea of limitations (ecological, technological, and


social) which affect the environment’s
ability to meet present and future needs
LIMITS TO GROWTH

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Two key sustainable development concepts:

LIMITS TO GROWTH
-quantitative and qualitative limits
- living within the regenerative and
assimilative capacities of the planet

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Sustainable development...
• implies limits
 Not predefined absolute limits, but
limitations imposed by:
– the ability of the biosphere to absorb the
effects of human activities
– adaptability of human social and political
organization
– technology

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Sustainable development and economic growth

Economic growth must be made:


– less material intensive (‘dematerialization of the
economy’)
– less energy intensive
– more equitable in its impacts

• Economic growth may be reduced or curtailed to


meet limitations imposed by environment,
technology, or society
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Institutional gaps impeding sustainable development

2 major gaps:
• fragmented decision making
– narrow mandates, jurisdictional rigidity, lack of
communication and coordination
• lack of accountabiity
– failure to make the bodies whose policy actions
degrade the environment responsible for their
actions

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materials and energy

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Obsolescent “frontier” civilization:

ENERGY HEAT

NON-RENEWABLE CONSUMER HIGH


and RENEWABLE SOCIETY THROUGHPUT
CONVENTIONAL
URBAN SYSTEM WASTE &
MATERIALS
TOXINS

One-way flow of materials and energy


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Obsolescent “frontier” civilization

• Energy Options
– Fossil Fuel (major contributor)
– Biofuels (Economy & Ease of availability)
– Results:
• Environmental & climate change
• Deforestation
• Population migration
• Ecological imbalance

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Sustainable civilization:
Energy Efficiency
Low-quality
ENERGY Heat Energy
LOW
RENEWABLE THROUGHPUT
CONSERVER
SOCIETY Low-volume
MATERIALS
Nontoxic
Waste Minimization Waste
Toxics control Materials
• Cyclical flows of materials
• Appropriate energy usage
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Sustainable civilization:
• Energy Options:
– Fossil Fuels (Reduction in use)
– Renewable Energy
– Afforestation
– Employment opportunities near rural areas
– Motivation for recycling

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information
and decision making

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Sustainable development...
• considers future and present needs when
making decisions about:
– resource and energy use
– technological development
– direction of investments
– social, political & institutional change...etc.
etc. etc.

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ECONOMY

ENV’T

SOCIETY

TRADITIONAL
DECISION
MAKING
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ECONOMY

• NON-PARTICIPATORY
ENV’T
•FRAGMENTED
SOCIETY

TRADITIONAL
DECISION MAKING

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ECONOMY

ENV’T
SOCIETY
‘ECO- ECONOMY
SYSTEM
SOCIETY
HEALTH’

ENVIRONMENT
TRADITIONAL
DECISION MAKING
ECOSYSTEM-BASED
DECISION MAKING

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SOCIETY
‘ECO- ECONOMY
SYSTEM
HEALTH’
• PARTICIPATORY

• INTEGRATED ENVIRONMENT

ECOSYSTEM-BASED
DECISION MAKING

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Fragmented decision-making

private
other public
interests

community federal /
groups
ISSUE national

municipal provincial /
state
regional
- after Barrett and Kidd, 1991
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Integrated decision-making

private
private
other
interests public
public

community
community ISSUE
ISSUE federal/
federal/
groups
groups national
national

municipal
municipal provincial/
state
regional
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decision making

• reactive

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decision making

• reactive
(‘end of pipe’)

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decision making

• anticipatory

• reactive

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decision making

• anticipatory
(planning for
change)

• reactive

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decision making
• radical

• anticipatory

• reactive

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decision making
• radical
(fundamental;
root causes)

• anticipatory

• reactive

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decision making
• radical

• anticipatory

• reactive

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Industry
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• radical • change in demand • environment
- less consumption and
- alternative consumption economy
and
society

• anticipatory • change in process • environment


- clean technology and
- elimination of toxics economy

• environment
• reactive • sewage treatment plant or
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Historical
example: Northern
Telecom
• based in Canada
• 42 plants in various countries
• manufacturer of electronic components
(telecommunications)
• 1988: 1000+ tonnes of CFCs per year
• 1992: 0 tonnes of CFCs used per year

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Original Process

1) raw components and grease


2) manufacturing and assembly process
3) clean off grease with CFCs
4) finished product

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Revised process

1) raw components, no grease


2) manufacturing and assembly process
3) no need to clean off grease with CFCs
4) finished product

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Environment AND Economy


• $1 million to develop new process
• $4 million savings in first year (no CFCs)
• $50 million savings to year 2000
• international environmental prize -> great
publicity
• contract with Mexico for industrial innovation
(very lucrative)

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• radical

• anticipatory

• reactive Centre for


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Industry
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• radical

• anticipatory

• reactive Centre for


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Industry
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• radical • change in
demand for
product

• anticipatory • change in
industrial
process

• sewage
treatment
• reactive plant for
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Industry
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A PURPOSE Transportation

• radical • change in • apply


• demand for landscape
product ecology
principles
to human
activity

• anticipatory • change in • establish


• industrial national
process parks (12%)
to protect
habitats

• sewage • zoo / seed


• treatment bank for
• reactive • plant for endangered
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Industry
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A PURPOSE Transportation

• radical • change in • apply • complete


demand for landscape redesign of
product ecology our cities
principles
to human
activity

• anticipatory • change in • establish • alternative


industrial national fuels for cars
process parks (12%)
to protect
habitats

• sewage • zoo / seed • catalytic


treatment bank for converters
• reactive plant for endangered
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Effects of new strategy


• Use of Renewables on the rise:

Source Total Installed Targets for 2022


Capacity (MW)
Wind Power 36,368 60,000
Solar Power 29,549 1,00,000
Small Hydropower 4,604 5,000
Biomass Power 9,806 10000
((Biomass & Gasification and Bagasse Cogeneration)  
Waste-to-Power  
138

TOTAL 80,467 175,000

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Sustainability:
How do we move from rhetoric to reality?

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principles

policy

practice

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To be continued-ENERGY

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