Ross 2015
Ross 2015
Ross 2015
733–738
doi:10.4269/ajtmh.14-0754
Copyright © 2015 by The American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
Abstract. Reducing geographic barriers to tuberculosis (TB) care is a priority in high-burden countries where patients
frequently initiate, but do not complete, the multi-day TB evaluation process. Using routine cross-sectional study
from six primary-health clinics in rural Uganda from 2009 to 2012, we explored whether geographic barriers affect com-
pletion of TB evaluation among adults with unexplained chronic cough. We measured distance from home parish to
health center and calculated individual travel time using a geographic information systems technique incorporating roads,
land cover, and slope, and measured its association with completion of TB evaluation. In 264,511 patient encounters,
4,640 adults (1.8%) had sputum smear microscopy ordered; 2,783 (60%) completed TB evaluation. Median travel time
was 68 minutes for patients with TB examination ordered compared with 60 minutes without (P < 0.010). Travel time
differed between those who did and did not complete TB evaluation at only one of six clinics, whereas distance to care
did not differ at any of them. Neither distance nor travel time predicted completion of TB evaluation in rural Uganda,
although limited detail in road and village maps restricted full implementation of these mapping techniques. Better data
are needed on geographic barriers to access clinics offering TB services to improve TB diagnosis.
gender, and information about residence in one of 5,238 regis- six sites with a convenience sample of patients who had been
tered parishes,20 the smallest administrative units in Uganda evaluated by a clinician and referred for sputum evaluation.
with an average population of 4,625 and a mean area of The purpose of these interviews was to facilitate a sensitivity
38 km2. In this analysis, we sampled all patients who pre- analysis exploring the validity of our GIS measures of travel
sented to health centers with cough of more than 2 weeks’ time. We interviewed participants while they were waiting
duration and underwent sputum examination as part of for sputum results, using a standardized script (see Online
a TB diagnostic evaluation. We excluded those receiv- Supplement). Specifically, we asked each participant to pro-
ing follow-up monitoring and care for a previous diagnosis vide the total time spent traveling and the mode of transpor-
of TB. tation used to travel to clinic that day.
Outcome variable. The primary outcome for the cross- We first compared GIS-estimated and patient-reported travel
sectional analysis was the completion of TB evaluation, times using Kendall’s tau test. We then described travel time
which was treated as a dichotomous variable. In accordance differences between the two techniques by plotting the mean
with the International Standards for TB Care,21 we defined of the two measures against the percentage difference on the
TB evaluation as complete if a patient provided two or more y axis, and calculating the mean differences and their 95%
sputum samples which were read and reported as negative confidence limits using the Bland–Altman method.28,29
for AFB, or if a patient provided one or more sputum sam- Finally, as an additional way of comparing the distance
ples showing AFB and initiated TB therapy. and travel time metrics with respect to the likelihood of
Explanatory variables. We extracted data on participant patients attending health centers, we constructed a density
gender, age, and date of clinic visit, and categorized the visits function for patient visits per parish. We estimated the popu-
as occurring during the rainy season (March through May lation per parish using the population map for Uganda pro-
and September through November) or during the dry season duced by WorldPop.30 We assessed the relationship between
(December through February and June through August). the total number of visits per parish with the population of
We assigned distance and travel time by matching the names each parish using negative binomial regression models. We
of the patients’ home parishes to those in a parish bound- compared a model that included distance as a covariate with
aries dataset for Uganda.22 We used the Euclidean distance one that included travel time using the Akaike information
function in ArcMap 10 (Environmental Systems Research criterion (AIC).31
Institute [ESRI], Redlands, CA) to calculate the distance in Human subjects’ protection. The Makerere University
a straight line from the centroid of the patient’s home parish School of Medicine Research Ethics Committee, the Uganda
to the nearest clinic. We calculated travel time in minutes National Council for Science and Technology, and the Uni-
from the centroid of each patient’s home parish to the nearest versity of California San Francisco Committee on Human
clinic by assembling a friction surface in ArcMap. We included Research approved the protocol. The committees waived the
data layers for elevation,23 land cover,24 roads,25 rivers,26 and requirement for informed consent for the cross-sectional study
bodies of water26 at a 90 m by 90 m cell size. We calculated on grounds that the study posed minimal risk. Participants
slope from the elevation data using the Spatial Analyst toolset interviewed at the clinics provided written informed consent
in ArcMap. We assigned a time to cross each type of land with assistance from an interpreter. We previously presented
cover, assuming mechanized transport use on roads and walk- these data in abstract form.32
ing elsewhere, ranging from 1 minute/km over road surfaces;
to 2 minutes/km in urban areas; to 24 minutes/km for areas RESULTS
with sparse shrub cover; to 36 minutes/km for croplands,
forest and jungle; to 60 minutes/km over bodies of water, Distance and travel time to clinic. There were 264,511 adult
as previously described (Supplemental Table 1).10,27 We multi- visits to the six clinics over the 3-year surveillance period.
plied ambulatory travel rates by a slope factor27 to slow the Geographic information was missing for 15,245 visits, includ-
travel speed as a function of the steepness of the terrain. We ing 12,374 for which the patient’s home parish was not
then assembled geographic raster layers into a single mosaic recorded and 2,871 for which we were unable to locate the
layer using ArcMap. We assigned the rate of travel time for reported parish on a map. This left 249,266 visits with com-
each cell according to the fastest mode of travel available for plete geographic information. Figure 1 shows a map illus-
that cell. We then calculated the path requiring the shortest trating the travel times calculated using GIS for attendees of
travel time to the nearest clinic from the center of each parish the Walukuba clinic as an example of the maps generated
using the cost-distance function in ArcMap. around each site. The median distance from home parish
Primary analyses. We compared median differences in par- to clinic for all sites was 4.2 km (Interquartile range [IQR]:
ticipant age using the Wilcoxon rank sum test, differences 1.4–9.2) for patients with a TB examination ordered (N = 4,731),
in gender and season using the χ2 test, and differences in compared with 3.2km (IQR: 1.4 – 7.2) for patients who did not
median travel time using the Wilcoxon rank sum test. We have one ordered (N = 244,535, P < 0.001). Likewise, the median
evaluated bivariate associations between candidate covariates, calculated travel time from home to clinic for all sites was
including distance and travel time and the outcome variable, 68 minutes (IQR: 29–125) for patients who had a TB examination
completing TB evaluation, and incorporated a random effect ordered, compared with 60 minutes (IQR: 24–101) for patients
to account for clustering of data within health centers. We who did not have one ordered (P < 0.001). Of the patients with a
included candidate covariates with P value < 0.1 in the multi- TB examination ordered, 3,512 (74%) lived within an estimated
variate logistic regression model. We used Stata version 11 2-hour travel radius of the clinic. Median calculated travel time
(StataCorp, College Station, TX) for all statistical analyses. from home parish varied substantially among the six clinics,
Sensitivity analyses. In addition to the review of patient from 28 minutes in a periurban area (Walukuba); to 61 minutes
encounter data, we also carried out patient interviews at all (Kihihi) and 77 minutes (Kamwezi) in mountainous southwest
GIS AND TB EVALUATION IN UGANDA 735
TABLE 1
Bivariate associations between clinical and demographic characteris-
tics and completion of TB evaluation status
Completed TB
Characteristic evaluation Bivariate odds ratio P value
wet season (OR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.22–1.55), this effect was
Uganda; to 86 minutes adjacent to the Nile River (Aduku); to largely driven by the remote Kamwezi clinic (OR: 7.05
64 minutes (Nagongera) and 126 minutes (Kasambya) in two 95% CI: 5.05–9.8). Patients were equally likely to com-
less populated areas (P < 0.001). plete evaluation in the dry and the rainy seasons at Kasambya,
Demographics and TB diagnoses. Clinicians ordered sputum Nagongera, and Walukuba and modestly less likely to com-
examination in 4,731 patients. Ninety-one previously diag- plete evaluation in the dry season at Aduku (OR: 0.63 95%
nosed TB patients returning for medication refills were CI: 0.44–0.92) and Kihihi (OR: 0.45 95% CI: 0.31–0.66).
excluded, leaving 4,640 patients included in our analysis Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status was docu-
(Figure 2). Of these 4,640, 2,783 (60.0%) completed TB eval- mented for 1,766 of 4,640 participants (38.1%). Among
uation (Table 1). As previously shown,18 women were less these, 605 of 1,766 (34.3%) participants were HIV positive.
likely to complete evaluation than men (odds ratio [OR]: HIV-positive participants were less likely to complete their
0.60, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.53–0.67, P < 0.001). TB analysis than HIV-negative participants, but this effect did
Older patients were more likely to complete evaluation not remain significant when accounting for clustering by clinic
(OR: 1.20 for each additional decade of life, 95% CI: 1.15– site (OR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.44–1.29).
1.24, P < 0.001). Although overall patients were more likely Euclidean or “straight line” distance from home parish
to complete their evaluation in the dry season than the to clinic was not associated with likelihood of completing TB
absence of more detailed individual covariates in our study, 40% of patients initiating TB evaluation at government
we propose several possible hypotheses for testing in future health centers in rural Uganda did not complete their evalu-
studies. One hypothesis is that patients traveling for a longer ation. In addition, large-scale application of the mapping
time period to access care may be wealthier or more moti- technique used in our study is currently limited by lack of
vated to complete evaluation than those traveling for a detail in publicly available road and village spatial datasets.
shorter period. Another hypothesis is that patients who have
to travel for longer to reach clinic may delay seeking care, Received November 26, 2014. Accepted for publication May 23, 2015.
but may be more likely to complete evaluation once they Published online July 27, 2015.
reach the clinic because traveling back is relatively more
Note: Supplemental survey and tables appear at www.ajtmh.org.
costly and time consuming.
This study makes several new contributions to understand- Acknowledgments: We thank the patients and staff at the facilities
participating in the Uganda TB Surveillance Project as well as the
ing the geographic accessibility of TB evaluation in Uganda. staff and administration of the Uganda Malaria Surveillance Project
Although GIS is increasingly used to assess the accessibility and the MU-UCSF Research Collaboration. We also acknowledge
of health services on the provincial10,37,38 or national12,13,39,40 Kevin Koy with the UC Berkeley Geospatial Innovations Facility (GIF).
level in sub-Saharan Africa, this is among the first analyses Funding supports: Jennifer M. Ross acknowledges funding support
in this region to use GIS to investigate travel time for TB from NIH/NIAID (T32AI007140). Andrew J. Tate acknowledges fund-
evaluation at a local level. This study also used a gridded ing support from the RAPIDD program of the Science and Technology
travel-time surface that permitted travel off of the road net- Directorate, Department of Homeland Security, and the Fogarty Inter-
national Center, National Institutes of Health, and is also supported by
work, in contrast to many accessibility studies done in devel- grants from NIH/NIAID (U19AI089674) and the Bill and Melinda
oped countries that calculate travel over the road network.41 Gates Foundation (#49446 and #1032350). J. Lucian Davis acknowl-
This technique could be well suited to Uganda given our edges support from NIH/NIAID (K23AI080147). Adithya Cattamanchi
finding that half of patients traveled to clinic without using acknowledges support from NIH/NHLBI (K23HL094141).
a mechanized form of transport, but would be improved with Authors’ addresses: Jennifer M. Ross, Division of Infectious Diseases,
more precise detail about the patient locations. In our study, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, E-mail: [email protected]. Adithya
where the median distance from home parish to clinic was Cattamanchi and Cecily R. Miller, Division of Pulmonary and Critical
Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA, E-mails:
less than 4 km, our inability to locate patients more precisely [email protected] and cecily.miller@ucsf. J. Lucian Davis,
than the parish center likely reduced our power to confirm Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, School of Public
or refute any association. Health, and Pulmonary, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine Section,
A limitation of our study is that GIS-predicted travel times School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, CT, E-mail: lucian
did not correlate with those reported by patients, which may [email protected]. Andrew J. Tatem, Department of Geography and Envi-
ronment, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom,
be due to the limitations in the travel time estimate discussed E-mail: [email protected]. Achilles Katamba, College of Health
above. Socioeconomic status may be an unmeasured con- Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda, E-mail: akatamba@
founder because patients from different regions may have yahoo.com. Priscilla Haguma, MU-UCSF Research Collaboration,
different levels of wealth, which may affect their access to Kampala, Uganda, E-mail: [email protected]. Margaret A.
Handley, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, UCSF School of
transportation or their ability to take the time to seek care.
Medicine, San Francisco, CA, E-mail: [email protected].
An alternative explanation could be that patients traveled
to clinic by multiple methods that entailed different transfer
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