E-Commerce Growth in India A Study of 2018
E-Commerce Growth in India A Study of 2018
E-Commerce Growth in India A Study of 2018
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This paper examines the growth and different segments of electronic commerce (e-
commerce) in India. As e-commerce is one of the top growing businesses in India and provides a
great market potential for investments, foreign Investors are funding e-commerce sector. The
study concludes that there would be a prospective growth of e-commerce in India, if the
Government provide a legal security and framework for e-commerce and the domestic and
international trade are allowed to expand their basic rights such as intellectual property,
privacy, prevention of fraud, consumer protection, etc.
Keywords: B2C, Online Travelling, E-Tailing, Growth, Market Share, Segment.
INTRODUCTION
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The different phases of evolution of e-commerce presented under first phase and second
phase as under:
The introduction of internet in India in 1995 marked the beginning of the first wave of e-
commerce in the country. Moreover, the economic liberalization after the launch of reforms in
1991 attracted Multi-National Corporations (MNCs) and caused for a significant growth in
Information Technology (IT) industry. The implementation of liberalization policies led to the
demise of the license regime, high taxes and import restrictions and facilitated the growth of
Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs). The IT industry and SMEs were the early adopters of
internet that led to the development of B2B, job searches and marital portals as stated hereunder:
B2B Directory: India’s first online B2B directory was launched in 1996. The
liberalization of the country’s international trade policies was the main factor that enhanced the
growth of B2B virtual portals.
Virtual Marital: In 1996, the first virtual matrimonial portal was launched in India,
which transformed the perceptions about the matchmaking process from “marriages are made in
heaven” to “marriages are made in cyber space”.
Virtual Recruitment: India’s virtual recruitment industry took shape in 1997. The
growth of the services sector, following the launch of economic reforms in 1991, resulted in the
creation of additional jobs and the internet proved to be an efficient medium that allowed
employers and job seekers to connect each other.
The first wave of e-commerce in India was characterized by low internet penetration, a
small online shopping user base, slow internet speed, low consumer acceptance of online
shopping and inadequate logistics infrastructure. The IT downturn in 2000 led to the collapse of
more than 1,000 e-commerce businesses in India, as a result there was a muted activity in India
between 2000 and 2005.
After the muted activity during 2000 to 2005, there has been a significant development in
e-business, specifically in the areas of travelling, retailing, group purchasing, societal interaction,
etc., as presented below:
Air Travel: The entry of Low Cost Carriers (LCCs) in the Indian flying sector in 2005
marked the beginning of the second phase of e-commerce in India. Travel developed as the
biggest segment and individuals began trusting on internet to search for travel-related
information and to book tickets. As a result of which, the success of the online travel segment
made consumers comfortable with shopping through online, this paved the way for a massive
improvement of online retail.
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Virtual Travel: The decision of LCCs like IndiGo and SpiceJet to sell their tickets
online and through third parties enabled the development of Online Travel Agents (OTAs). Prior
to the entry of LCCs in 2005-2006, air travel was considered a luxury and meant only for the rich
and corporate travel. LCCs changed the scenario by making air travel affordable for a large
number of people. They developed their own websites and partnered with OTAs to distribute
their tickets online and, thus, contain costs. The Indian Railways had already implemented the e-
ticket booking initiative by the time LCCs commenced their online ticket booking schemes.
Virtual Selling: The growth of online retail was partly driven by changing urban
consumer lifestyle and the need for convenience of shopping at home. This segment established
in the second movement in 2007 with the launch of multiple online retail websites. New
businesses were driven by entrepreneurs who looked to differentiate themselves by enhancing
customer experience and establishing a strong market presence.
Group Purchasing: In the Initial period of 2010, the group buying and daily deals
models became a global trend. Group-buying sites have seen a significant rise in the number of
unique visitors and membership which enhanced the e-business.
Societal Interacting: In the recent years, social networking gained steam in the Indian
online space and it has gone on to become an integral part of people’s lives. Initially it is used for
staying connected with friends but now social networking websites have emerged as an anchor in
any company’s digital strategy. Termed as social commerce, it is an important avenue for e-
commerce players to reach out to target customers. Companies have started establishing their
presence in the social media space for branding activities, connecting with customers for
feedback and advertising new product launches.
In this context, it is noticed that e-commerce form of marketing (Rath & Samal, 2013) is
a modern technique used by business firms, companies and industries for doing their business
work through the e-net system in order to enhancing their business plans, strategies for better
product promotion as well as increasing economic health of various industries, firms,
organizations, etc.
After understanding the concept and evolution of E-commerce, an attempt has been made
to review the past studies related to the study to establish the relevance of the study and the same
is presented chronologically in brief as under.
Mallikarjun Rao (2006) while studying the “Factors affecting growth of e-commerce in
India” concluded that there was a close association between online purchase and availability of
information about the vendors, hence, suggested that more information will increase respondents
comfort level for online trade. Gnana (2006) concluded that today e-commerce as an
alternative/additional mode is being accepted by many businesses, but the rate of adoption of e-
commerce is varying in different industries, for instance, a traditional industry like automotive
industry in India is yet to adopt e-commerce in a big way. Ming-Hsien, Chandlrees, Binshan,
Hung-Yi (2009) opined that consumers will trust the website if they feel the site keeps a good e-
commerce ethical performance, such as, practicing the privacy policies and stating it explicitly,
describing products or services in an appropriate way. While analysing the Trends in e-
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commerce, Rekha (2010) stated that e-buyers need to adapt to a safe mode of on-line payment
and use alternative modes of payments, such as, virtual credit cards that involve less risk in
diversifying the information for payment.
Rashad, Abhinav, Wan, Mahan & Shahriar, (2011) studied the “Factors influencing
perception of consumers in e-business, Gaining trust in e-commerce: With reference to the
Technology Acceptance Model (TAM)” and found that the perception of the consumers
influencing their decisions have been addressed in order to understand why the people want to
use an online service for perception or discard their purchase. Mustafa (2011) studied the
determinants of e-commerce customer satisfaction, trust and loyalty in Saudi Arabia and found
that in B2C E-commerce customer loyalty in Saudi Arabia is strongly influenced by customer
satisfaction but weakly influenced by customer trust. Khushbu (2012) found that social media
platforms do have an impact on business and marketing. In a study on “Perceptions towards
Online Shopping”: An Empirical Study of Indian Consumers”, Zia (2012) opined that the
perception of online shoppers is independent of their age and gender. In a study on “Perceptions
towards Online Shopping”: An Empirical Study of Indian Consumers, Muhammed (2013)
concluded that very poor positive perceptions about Bosnian companies’ web presences and their
online activities. Namita and Preeti (2013) concluded that online consumer behaviour using
factor analysis and the reasons for using online shopping like, trust, information about the
product and services, convenience, effortless shopping. You-Qinghe (2014) inferred that online
marketers and retailers have to develop appropriate market strategies, make technological
advancements and make the correct marketing decisions in order to retain current customers and
attract new customers. While studying “Effectiveness of Digital Marketing in the Challenging
Age: An Empirical Study”, Afrina (2015) concluded that companies should create innovative
customer experiences and specific strategies for media to identify the best path for driving up
digital marketing performance. Sumanjeet (2010) examined the state of e-commerce laws in
India: A review of Information Technology Act and expressed that there are many prominent
issues which are critical for the success of e-commerce that the present IT Act is weak on several
fronts and in the absence of sound legal framework of e-commerce cannot create a success story
in India. Indian Government must increase the safe and secure business environment on
cyberspace and must protect the interests of Indian software industries, BPO sector and other
stakeholders. In a study on “Antecedents of Online Shopping Behavior in India”: An
Examination, Rakesh and Khare (2011) examined that a survey of 325 students studying in
Indian universities was conducted. The results indicate that Indian students' intention to buying
online is influenced by utilitarian value, attitude toward online shopping, availability of
information and hedonic values. Male students have a more positive attitude toward online
shopping compared to female students. Gehrt, Rajan, Shainesh, Czerwinski & O'Brien, (2012)
studied the “Emergence of online shopping in India: Shopping orientation segments” and surveys
were collected from 536 consumer panel members. Three segments were identified: Value
singularity, quality at any price and reputation/recreation. The quality at any price and
reputation/recreation segments was playing the major role in online purchase decision in India.
Rakesh & Khare, (2012) analysed the “Impact of promotions and value consciousness in online
shopping behaviour in India” and the study observed that online shopping continues to attract
investment from retailers and offers or other promotional methods of e-retailers are not
influenced by Indian consumers. Promotions may not be essentially viewed by consumers as an
important attribute while purchasing products or services online.
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Kalia, Arora & Law, (2016) noticed that legal validity of electronic transactions, security,
content regulation, intermediary liability and jurisdiction are partially addressed by IT Act,
whereas, junk mail and spamming, intellectual property, payment, taxation of e-commerce
transactions and consumer protection are unaddressed. This Information is useful for policy and
decision makers in government and e-commerce businesses.
Chatterjee, (2016) studied the “E-Commerce in India: A review on culture and
challenges” and the study observed that E-Commerce business throughout the world has brought
a remarkable change in the business landscape and it also has redefined the business scenario by
radically changing contours of space and time and it has reshaped the conception of nature of
business management. India having large population with internet users is expected to be one of
the major players in E-Commerce environment. In a study on customer perception towards
online precious metal jewellery shopping in India Rekha, (2016) examined that surveyed the
twelve statements were grouped into four factors i.e., Product, Convenience, Service and online
shopping hindrances and the composite score were calculated for each grouping factor. A
significant difference is observed in the perception of two groups in case of three set of factors
i.e., Product, Convenience and Service. While analysing “e-commerce in India: Evolution and
revolution of online retail”, Kalia, Kaur & Singh, (2017) inferred that India is third biggest
nation in terms of internet users. India will drive e-commerce in Asia pacific region after China
and Indonesia and the study concludes that there will be a prospective growth of electronic
commerce in India is extremely positive. Arora & Rahul, (2018) studied that the key components
of perceived risk (security risk, privacy risk, product risk and non-delivery risk) in e-commerce
and the impact of perceived risk on online shopping attitude among online women shoppers in
India and the study proved that perceived risk is not a significant factor influencing attitude of
women shoppers in India. Security risk was marginally significant out of the different types of
risks considered in the study.
The above review may reveal that the most of the research meant for understanding the
security measures of digital marketing and factors influencing the e-business through the
consumers’ perceptions. But, specifically the studies were not conducted to analyse the recent e-
commerce growth and industry segment in India together. Thus, this study aimed at filling the
gap with the objectives as: i) Analyse the growth of E-commerce in India and ii) Present E-
commerce industry segments in India by restricting to B2C business model.
The source of data is secondary in nature and collected from the past studies, whereas,
the analysis is made with the help of simple (growth over the preceding year) and compound
annual growth rates CAGR= ((End Value/Start Value) ^ [1/(Periods-1)]-1).
Over the last two decades, rising internet and mobile phone penetration have changed the
way of communication and do business and at present, e-commerce heavily leaning on the
internet and mobile phone revolution which have fundamentally altered the way businesses reach
their customers and e-commerce has taken the world of retail by storm and captivated the
imagination of an entire generation of entrepreneurs with e-commerce ventures with various
business and commercial models. The explosive growth in the last few years has already
catapulted the biggest firms out of the billion-dollar territory in general and in particular, the e-
commerce in India has witnessed a significant growth, which is evident from the e-commerce
market size during the recent period, as shown in the following Table 1.
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Table 1
E-COMMERCE MARKET SIZE IN INDIA (DURING 2010 TO 2016) (INR IN CRORES)
Years 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Sales 26, 63 35,142 47,349 53,301 81,525 125,732 168,891
Simple growth rate % (over the
33.8 34.7 12.5 53.5 54.2 34.3
preceding year)
CAGR% 36.3%
Source: IMRB, I-Cube 2016
The above table reveals that the size of e-commerce market has enlarged from INR
26,263 Crores to INR 168.891 Crores with the Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of
36.3%. A close observation of simple growth rates computed on the basis of the preceding year
reveals that the growth rate percentages vary from 12.5% to 54.2%, representing a significant
growth in e-business in all the years, barring the year 2013. The growth is higher in 2014 and
2015, because of the fact that India’s e-commerce market announced its arrival in 2014 and there
was Flipkart’s ‘Big Billion Day Sale’ followed by Google’s ‘three-day online shopping festival’.
In all, there has a dramatic rise in number of unique visitors and merchants and rapid growth in
product categories on offer including holiday packages, motorcycles and even homes. The year
2014 noticed valuation of some of the larger players touched a billion-dollar mark.
Further, according to Indian Market Research Bureau (IMRB) the e-commerce sales are
projected to reach around INR 220,330 crore by December 2017. Thus, it may be inferred that
the India’s digital commerce industry is growing at a swift pace year by year.
After knowing the market size of e-commerce, an attempt is made here to analyse the
segment wise growth during the latest 3 years period i.e., from 2014 to 2016 and the same is
presented below.
According to the Digital Commerce Report published by the Internet and Mobile
Association of India (IAMAI) and Indian Market Research Bureau (IMRB) that e-commerce
segment in India (B2C model) Classifieds into two parts as, online travelling industry and online
non-travelling industry.
Online Travel
Some of the prominent online travelling web sites in India are Makemytrip, Yatra.com,
Cleartrip, Expedia.co.in, Travelguru, Musfir.com, Booking.com, Redbus.com, Goibibo,
Abhibus.com, Ticketgoose, Thomascook, Ayo, etc., covering booking rail, air, bus tickets, hotel
accommodations, tour packages and travel insurance ,etc., whereas, non-travelling industry are e-
tailing market, financial service market, online matrimony and classified market and other online
services markets, a brief description of which is as follows:
E-Tailing
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electronics (mobile phones/computers/laptops), home furnishings, etc. In India there are many e-
tailers as, Flipkart, Amazon, Snap deal, Shop clues, etc.
Includes, transactions like mobile/data card recharges, post-paid mobile/data card bill
payments and utility bill payments transacted from third party websites. The most popular
examples of financial service websites are Paytm, Mobikwik, Free charge, etc.
Includes transactions like matrimony, car, real estate, etc. In India there are many
classified marketers as, Uber, Ola cabs.com, etc.
Includes transactions like online entertainment ticketing, online commuting, online food
and grocery delivery, online tickets for movies, sports, show/concerts, etc. Some of the popular
online service websites are Swiggy, Foodpanda and Bookmyshow.com, etc.
The Market share of the segments of the e-commerce industry during 2014 to 2016 may
be understood from the following Table 2:
Table 2
MARKET SHARE OF THE E-COMMERCE INDUSTRY SEGMENTS (DURING 2014 TO 2016)
(INR IN CRORES) (%)
Segment Sales in 2014 Sales in 2015 Sales in 2016
Online traveling 50,050 (61%) 76,396 (61%) 95,198 (56%)
E-Tail 24,046 (29.5%) 37,689 (30%) 59,876 (35%)
Financial services 4,508 (6%) 5,231 (4%) 6,277 (4%)
Matrimony and classifieds 8,96 (1%) 2,592 (2%) 3,370 (2%)
Other online services 2,025 (2.5%) 3,823 (3%) 4,170 (3%)
Total 81,525 125.732 168, 897
Source: IMRB, I-cube 2014, IMRB, I-cube 2015 and IMRB, I-cube 201615
During the year 2014, online travel industry with 61% share in the total digital commerce
sales occupies the first position among all segments, whereas, e-tailing industry with 29.5%
share stands second and followed by financial services market with 6%, other online services
market with 2.5% share and matrimony and classifieds market with 1%.
The study of market shares of the e-commerce segments in the year 2015 may show that
the share of the online travel industry as 61% in the total digital commerce sales, made the sector
to retain the first position among all segments, whereas, e-tailing industry, with 30% share,
stands second and followed by financial services market with 4%, other online services market
with 3% and matrimony and classifieds market with 2%.
During the year 2016, all the segments have the same pattern, in specific terms, online
travel industry also, with 56% share in the total digital commerce sales, retains the first position
among all segments, whereas, e-tailing industry, with 35% share, also retains the second place
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and followed by financial services market (4%), other online services market (3%) and
matrimony and classifieds market (2%).
A close examination of segments shares in the total sales during the 2014 to 2016 may
reveal that share of online travelling though occupied the first position, its share is declined in
2016 and e-tailing apart from retaining its second position, improved its share significantly in the
year 2016. The share of financial services shown decline, whereas, the matrimony and classifieds
and other segments have a little increase in 2015 over 2014, but remained constant in 2016 over
2015 in percentages, however all the segments increased in absolute terms during the period.
The overall observation of segment wise growth reveals that the online travelling and e-
tailing have assumed around 90% of the total sales through e-commerce and became prominent
segments in the recent years.
CONCLUSION
Though first phase of evolution of e-commerce in India was characterized by low internet
penetration, a small online shopping user base, slow internet speed, low consumer acceptance of
online shopping and inadequate logistics infrastructure, in the present business environment, the
e-commerce in India has the potential to enhance its growth in the second phase. The main
factors that contributed to the growth of e-commerce in second phase include the entry of LCC in
to the Indian flying sector, development of OTAs, online ticket booking schemes, launch of
multiple online retail websites, establishing a strong market presence, social media space for
branding activities, connecting with customers for feedback and advertising new product
launches, etc.
A close analysis of e-commerce market in the total sales during the 2010 to 2016 may be
revealed that the size of e-commerce market has increased from INR 26,263 Crores to INR
168.891 Crores with the (CAGR) of 36.3%. A close observation of simple growth rates
computed on the basis of the preceding year revealed that the growth rate percentages vary from
12.5% to 54.2%, representing a significant growth in e-business in all the years, barring the year
2013. The growth is higher in 2014 and 2015, because of the fact that India’s e-commerce
market announced its arrival in 2014 and there was Flipkart’s ‘Big Billion Day Sale’ followed by
Google’s ‘three-day online shopping festival’.
In all, there has a dramatic rise in number of unique visitors and merchants and rapid
growth in product categories on offer including holiday packages, motorcycles and even homes.
The year 2014 noticed valuation of some of the larger players touched a billion dollar mark.
According to (IMRB) the e-commerce sales are projected to reach around INR 220,330
crore by December 2017. Thus, it may be inferred that the India’s digital commerce industry is
growing at a swift pace year by year.
Two main important segments, contributed to the growth of e-commerce in India, are
online travelling segment and online retailing segment.
A close examination of segments shares in the total sales during the 2014 to 2016 may be
revealed that share of online travelling though occupied the first position, its share is declined in
2016 and e-tailing apart from retaining its second position, improved its share significantly in the
year 2016. The share of financial services shown decline, whereas, the matrimony and classifieds
and other segments have a little increase in 2015 over 2014, but remained constant in 2016 over
2015 in percentages, however all the segments increased in absolute terms during the period.
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The overall observation of segment wise growth reveals that the online travelling and e-
tailing have assumed around 90% of the total sales through e-commerce and became prominent
segments in the recent years.
Further, the study concludes that there will be a prospective growth of electronic
commerce in India if the government provide a legal security and framework for e-commerce so
that while Domestic and International trade are allowed to expand their basic rights such as
intellectual property, privacy, prevention of fraud, consumer protection, etc.
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