Buffett
Buffett
Buffett
Summary
Warren Buffett talked with George Goodman aka Adam Smith, author of The Money
Game and Supermoney, on Adam Smith’s Money World in 1985 to discuss his
investment philosophy. This is a transcript of their conversation.
Note: This transcript is lightly edited for clarity, does not constitute recommended
investment advice, and is meant solely for entertainment purposes.
I don’t think Warren has ever been on television until this interview, and he is certainly
never courted publicity, but recently he got a lot of it when he emerged as the key figure
in the takeover of ABC by Capital Cities. Warren will be the largest shareholder of the
new company and his own net worth is now far in excess of $500 million.
But when I spoke with him last fall in his office in Omaha, he very characteristically
made his investment style seem so perfectly simple.
Warren Buffett: The first rule of an investment is: Don’t lose. And the second rule of
investment is: Don't forget the first rule. And that's all the rules there are.
I mean, if you buy things for far below what they’re worth, and you buy a group of them,
you basically don't lose money.
Goodman: Warren, what do you consider the most important quality for an
investment manager?
Buffett: It's the temperamental quality, not an intellectual quality. You don't need tons
of IQ in this business. I mean, you have to have enough IQ to get from here to downtown
Omaha, but you do not have to be able to play three dimensional chess or be in the top
leagues in terms of bridge playing or something of the sort. You need a stable
personality. You need a temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being
with the crowd or against the crowd because this is not a business where you take polls,
it's a business where you think.
And Ben Graham would say that you're not right or wrong because a thousand people
agree with you. And you're not right or wrong because a thousand people disagree with
you. You're right because your facts and your reasoning are right.
Goodman: Warren, what do you do that's different than ninety percent of the money
managers who are in the market?
They do not really think of themselves as owning a piece of a business. The real test of
whether you're investing from a value standpoint or not, is whether you care whether
the stock market is open tomorrow. If you're making a good investment in a security, it
shouldn't bother if they closed down the stock market for five years.
All the ticker tells me is the price. And I can look at the price occasionally to see whether
the price is outlandishly cheap or outlandishly high but prices don't tell me anything
about a business.
Business figures themselves tell me something about a business but the price of a stock
doesn't tell me anything about a business. I would rather value a stock or a business
first, and not even know the price, so that I'm not influenced by the price in establishing
my valuation and then look at the price later to see whether it's way out of line with what
my value is.
Goodman: [narrator] So Buffett chose to stay in this world, Omaha, Nebraska, where
corn grows just minutes from downtown. Now, Omaha is a nice town but nobody
claimed it’s the world financial center. Here, the only thundering herd is actually on four
feet.
Don’t you find Omaha a little bit off the beaten track for the investment world?
Buffett: Well, believe it or not to, we get mail here and we get periodicals and we get all
the facts needed to make decisions.
And, unlike Wall Street, you’ll notice we don't have fifty people coming up and
whispering in our ear that we should be doing this or that this afternoon.
Buffett: I like the lack of stimulation. We get facts not stimulation here.
And here I can just focus on what businesses are worth. And I don't need to be in
Washington to figure out what the Washington Post newspaper is worth. And I don't
need to be in New York to figure out what some other company is worth. It’s simple…
It's an intellectual process and the less static there is in an intellectual process, really,
the better off you are.
And there are all kinds of things I'm not competent to value. There are a few that I am
confident to value.
Buffett: Never owned IBM. Marvelous company. I mean, a sensational company. But I
haven’t owned IBM.
Goodman: And so, here is this technological revolution going on and you're not gonna
be a participant.
In securities business, you literally every day have thousands of the major American
corporations offered you at a price that changes daily and you don't have to make any
decision. Nothing is forced upon you.
There are no called strikes in the business. The pitcher just stands there and throw balls
at you. And if you're playing real baseball, and it’s between the knees and the shoulders,
you either swing or you got a strike called on you. If you get too many called on you,
you’re out.
In the securities business, you sit there and they throw U.S. Steel at 25 and they throw
General Motors at 16. You don’t have to swing at any of them. They may be wonderful
pitches to swing at but if you don't know enough, you don't have to swing. And you can
sit there and watch thousands of pitches and finally get one right there where you
wanted something that you understand and then you swing.
Buffett: It will bore most people and certainly boredom is a problem with most
professional money managers. If they sit out an inning or two, not only do they get
somewhat antsy, but their clients start yelling, “Swing you bum,” from the stands. And
that's very tough for people to do.
Goodman: Warren, your approach seems so simple, why doesn't everybody do it?
Buffett: Well I think partly because it is so simple. The academics, for example, focus
on all kinds of variables partly because…
And as a friend of mine says, to a man with a hammer everything looks like a nail. And
once you have these skills, you just are dying to utilize them in some way. But they aren’t
important.
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