Fin Model Class4 Step1 Step2 Frozen Catfish Cash Flow Analysis Homework
Fin Model Class4 Step1 Step2 Frozen Catfish Cash Flow Analysis Homework
Fin Model Class4 Step1 Step2 Frozen Catfish Cash Flow Analysis Homework
THE FRESH AND FROZEN FISH COMPANY CURRENTLY MARKETS FROZEN FISH FILLETS
AND OTHER RELATED PRODUCTS. THE FIRM, SEEKING EXPANSION IDEAS, HAS DECIDED TO LOOK
INTO THE POSSIBILITY OF A LINE OF FROZEN CATFISH FILLETS.
ENTRY INTO THIS BUSINESS WOULD REQUIRE THE PURCHASE OF AN EXISTING 80-ACRE CATFISH FARM IN WESTERN ALABAMA.
THE LAND WOULD COST $250,000 AND ANOTHER $400,000 FOR THE BUILDINGS AND EQUIPMENT.
THE FIRM USES A WELL KNOWN INVESTMENT BANKER TO ASSIST IN THE ANALYSIS OF THIS EXPANSION IDEA:
THE BUILDINGS AND EQUIPMENT WILL BE DEPRECIATED USING MACRS WITH A USEFUL LIFE OF 20 YEARS.
EXPECTATION IS THAT THE FARM WILL BE SOLD , AT THE END OF FIVE YEARS, FOR $550,000; $350,000 FOR THE LAND AND $200,000 FOR THE BUILDINGS AND
IT IS ESTIMATED THAT THE FIRM WILL BE ABLE TO SELL 200,000 POUNDS OF CATFISH FILLETS AT AN AVERAGE PRICE OF $2.50 PER POUND DURING THE FIRST YEAR.
UNIT DEMAND IS EXPECTED TO GROW AT A RATE OF 8% ANNUALLY THEREAFTER.
VARIABLE OPERATING EXPENSES ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 60% OF GROSS SALES, AND FIXED COSTS (NOT INCL. DEPRECIATION) WILL BE $80,000 PER YEAR.
THE FIRM'S MARGINAL TAX RATE IS 35% AND ITS COST OF CAPITAL IS 10% .
NOTES:
TAXABLE CASH FLOWS PER YEAR = REVENUE - FIXED COSTS - VARIABLE COSTS - DEPRECIATION
AFTER TAX CASH FLOWS PER YEAR = TAXABLE CASH FLOW - TAX + DEPRECIATION
PER YEAR = (REVENUE - FIXED COST - VARIABLE COST -DEPRECIATION )*(1 - TAX RATE) + DEPRECIATION
SAME AS , PER YEAR = (REVENUE - FIXED COSTS - VARIABLE COSTS) * (1 - TAX RATE) + DEPRECIATION * TAX RATE
SELL LAND: YEAR 5 AFTER TAX CASH FLOW = SALE PRICE - (SALE PRICE - COST)*TAX RATE
SELL BLDGS & EQUIP: YEAR 5 AFTER TAX CASH FLOW = SALE PRICE - (SALE PRICE - BOOK VALUE)*TAX RATE
ANNUAL CASH FLOWS YEAR 0 = - INITIAL PROJECT COSTS; YEAR 5 = AFTER TAX CASH FLOW + CASH INFLOW FROM SALE OF LAND + BLDGS&EQUIPMENT
COST OF CAPITAL REQUIRED RETURN = DISCOUNT RATE
NPV NET PRESENT VALUE OF ALL PROJECT CASH FLOWS
IRR INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN, PROJECT GROWTH RATE SUCH THAT NPV = 0 ; PROJECT BREAKEVEN RATE
RISK PREMIUM (IRR - COST OF CAPITAL) THE PROJECT RETURN, SPREAD, OVER AND ABOVE WHAT IS REQUIRED TO BREAKEVEN
2.50
200,000
60%
2.25
125,000
65%
2.65
275,000
55%
STEP 2.
MANY UNCERTAIN VARIABLES EXIST IN OUR CATFISH PROBLEM.
WE WANT TO DETERMINE WHICH HAVE THE MOST IMPACT ON THE NPV / IRR .
FOR EXAMPLE, REDUCE THE SELLING PRICE OF LAND - 10% AND NOTE THAT IRR DROPS FROM 13.8% TO 13.2% .
WHEREAS REDUCE THE PRICE PER POUND , FROM $2.50 TO $2.25, WE FIND THE IRR DROPS FROM 13.8% TO 11.4% .