Stefania Perrucci’s Post

ISM Mfg prints at 48.4 and beats consensus but still in contraction territory and close to the 1yr average. Employment and new orders looking better, with some of the policy uncertainty noted in the previous month dissipating. Still think a moderation in 4Q non-residential fixed investments is plausible but this report is overall more upbeat than the previous one, noting some pent-up demand and possibly some front loading in preparation of the enacting of tariffs by the new administration. Rates are selling off but most of the move relative to Fri close has been pre-release. This is a heavy week with plenty of Fed speak, so more fun to come.

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