RWA feels like gamefi at this point, a narrative pushed by over-invested VCs without much real interest from the market
My tl; dr on researching Real Word Assets:
- The main problem is liquidity — to attract liquidity, you have to offer higher APR than other crypto products, but you can't do it because of the nature of tokenizable assets. Moreover, you add more risks by tokenizing some assets, so class AA assets turn into B and lower.
- Almost all growth of RWAs in 2023 is in short-term treasury bills: while all crypto was at the bottom and giving no returns at all, the degens moved their bags into treasures to earn 5% APY from them with less risk.
- In the RWA space, nobody can clearly answer who their customers are:
1) B2B companies are conducting pilots with R&D teams and shutting down projects after launch.
2) B2C companies can't compete with other investment products.
- The business model that works is creating a hedge fund with an RWA narrative: raising more funds from VCs and then investing them in some assets and creating a digital secondary market with zero real traffic.
- To understand the project, ask yourself: Where does your liquidity come from?
I do believe that RWA can be big in the future in two scenarios: more long-term players will join the crypto game (will happen eventually, but not in the next 5+ years) or some governments turn their asset playbook so each asset will be tokenizable by default and it's going to open new horizons.
Remember, in the past, there were hundreds of other promising ideas in the space and none of them worked out:
- Banks first started talking about tokenization back in 2013 (10 years ago!).
- In 2015, J.P. Morgan's C-level executive, Blythe Masters, raised $50 million to change the world of finance through Digital Ledger Technologies (DLT) - this is when all your transactions on blockchain can be confirmed in court; in 2018, she stepped down without success.
- Goldman Sachs, one of the world's leading banks, has been actively exploring the use of blockchain for financial transactions since as early as 2015. It has been busy accelerating clearing and settlement in securities trading. Despite the promising prospects, there is still no widespread application of these developments in the industry.
- IBM has been active in developing blockchain platforms for various industries, including financial services. In 2016, they launched a project for tokenization and transparency in supply chains. So far, there is no widespread application.
- In 2019, J.P. Morgan announced the Onyx project, which was supposed to be a SWIFT killer for banks but didn't get adopted by other banks/
But it doesn't really mean that you're not going to succeed. It means you have to test your ideas more carefully.
Founder, CEO & CTO @ Striga (YC W21)
1yGreat news Sophie and team! Couldn't be better positioned for what digital asset companies will especially need post MiCA next year!