Jim Matheson’s Post

We naturally (and understandably) are usually most curious about elections where there is the most competition between the Republican and Democratic Parties. Yet it can be just as interesting to see where there has been a lack of election competitiveness and how it came to be. This series of posts dives into where the longest droughts for both Democrats and Republicans are in winning various offices, along with contextual information regarding these streaks. Today's post is part 2, which looks at droughts by Republican candidates in winning a state's electoral votes. Part 3 will shift to the longest droughts for Democrats in winning a state's U.S. Senate seat. #politicalscience #uspresident #elections #ElectoralCollege #Elections2024

Super Tuesday is a major stop on the road to #Election2024. Today, 16 states and one U.S. territory make their choices in the biggest primary election of the 2024 cycle. Results from today's primaries will provide a clearer understanding of who the presumptive nominees are for both parties. For Republicans, 854 of 2,429 delegates are at stake. Democrats are vying for 1,420 delegates with 1,968 delegates at stake out of 3,934 total. According to election officials, it could take hours or days to determine the winners due to the vast amount of voting spanning several time zones. Learn more about the significance of primary elections: https://lnkd.in/gezJ6XwT #SuperTuesday #Elections #PrimaryElections #Primaries

Royal Economic Society Elections + Flawed Mechanism Design???... The RES is now holding annual elections for vital Council Member roles... Unfortunately there seems to be an obvious and fundamental design flaw with this process, namely, at a preliminary stage, the long list of original candidates is trimmed down and carefully sieved out to produce a shortlist of pre-approved candidates by the existing Council, giving them a simple and perfect way to select in their own image from one election to the next, and to the next, etc, etc. Game theorist economists call this sort of thing crafty "mechanism design". Econometricians call its effect "hysteresis". Lawyers and judges call it "actual or apparent bias." But whatever label is applied the result is likely to be suboptimal, and to slow the speed of change and development, and also to slow the ability of the Council to reflect current and potential future members and their needs (numerically, predominantly practicing economists, rather than university professors). I have already raised this with the head of the RES election board, but received no reply. Now I raise the issue more publicly on LI in case of broader interest and concern to other UK economists... https://lnkd.in/eS3YjQAf

2024 is a super election year and stakes are high, for citizens and corporates. Jackson Dunn, Alex Deane, Hans Hack, Caroline Mücke-Kemp and Carlos Ochoa explain what business leaders need to watch out and prepare for. #publicaffairs #elections #election2024

Online voting—a transformative solution that promises to make parent governor elections more accessible and inclusive than ever before. If you are responsible for your next school election, click and learn more: https://lnkd.in/d3nCSseA #elections #schoolelections

TODAY is the last day to vote for the RES Council Members Election. Votes close at 23:59 GMT. If you are a member, please cast your vote. Council members have an important role in the governance of the RES, including setting our strategic direction. They bring valuable perspectives and contributions to our activities and are the voice of our members, so please help the Society by casting your vote. The margin of success in the election is often very small, so every vote matters. Understand why voting for Council Members is important and how you can vote in the video below. Watch here: https://lnkd.in/eXmdKAtP   #CouncilElections #elections #council #RES #RESCouncil #RESNews #Members #RESMembers

A final reminder: There are only two viable candidates in US presidential elections. If you are liberal and vote 3rd party, you take a vote away from the viable liberal Democratic candidate. That makes it more likely the Republican candidate will win. If you are liberal and vote for Jill Stein or Cornel West, you have effectively voted for Trump.

Why is swing state voting so important in US Elections? Answer: The result of voting in about a handful of states is not predictable and it is worth investing substantial campaign funds into those. These swing states are where the populations are, politically, very closely divided. Who will win the presidency comes down to which candidate can win the swing states. But we can get more granular: based on 5-5-5-270 theory, looking at the popular vote on a national level is not very useful to predict who is going to be the president. It all comes down to the 5% of voters in 5 the key counties of the 5 swing states. Do you agree, or disagree? We'd love to read your comments :) #elections #news #broadcast #datavisualization #interknowlogy #ikinsights #electioninsights #cnn #magicwall #discussion

2024 United States Election Preview: Record-Breaking Voter Turnout in 2020. With the 2024 United States Presidential Election approaching, we review voter registration, turnout numbers, and trends across previous elections. Despite the pandemic, the 2020 election saw the highest voter turnout of the century. In 2020, 67% of all citizens age 18 and older reported voting, up 5 percentage points from the 2016 elections. #USPresidentialElections #ElectionStatistics #VoterTurnout #AmericanElections #ElectionInsights

[VIDEO] A new Emerson college poll shows how tight the race is in all the swing states between Vice President Kamala Harris and Former US President Donald Trump. While both candidates easily have about 220 electoral votes from strong Democratic and Republican footholds, they will focus their attention on the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin over the next 65 days. Data shows Harris leads Trump among independents in all swing states but Nevada, and Harris leads Trump among women voters in all swing states but Arizona. Political experts say ultimately it will boil down to the ground game and which candidate can get their base constituents out to the polls that will help reach 270 electoral votes. KEY DATES: - September 10 (Presidential Debate) - October 1 (Vice Presidential Debate) - October 7 (last day to register to vote in Georgia) - November 5 (Election Day) #gapol #elections #2024elections #presidentialrace2024