Tijn Tjoelker

This update from the team at Climate Interactive is just another example of why the #EnROADS climate simulator is such a powerful tool to help improve anyone’s climate literacy. This blog post will get you to experience the simulator in a small way. It’s a great read and experience! More broadly the En-ROADS workshops and games are literally in a league of their own when it comes to experiential learning. I have never once used this simulator in a workshop without attendees commenting on how it helped them understand the challenges we face and the solutions we ALREADY have at our disposal. Every business should be using this tool to improve climate literacy in their organisations. There are two ways to do this, get a team member trained up on how to use it or get a En-ROADS Climate Embassdor to host a workshop/game for you. (See https://lnkd.in/dthH7U5k) #CliamteLiteracy #Leadership

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𝑱𝒐 𝑩𝒓𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝒕𝒓𝒂𝒏𝒔𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝒎𝒚 𝒔𝒄𝒊𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒆. 𝑰’𝒎 𝒄𝒆𝒓𝒕𝒂𝒊𝒏 𝒕𝒉𝒂𝒕 𝒄𝒐𝒎𝒆𝒅𝒚 𝒄𝒂𝒏 𝒄𝒐𝒏𝒏𝒆𝒄𝒕 𝒑𝒆𝒐𝒑𝒍𝒆 𝒕𝒐 𝒄𝒍𝒊𝒎𝒂𝒕𝒆 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆 A new comedy project by Climate Science Breakthrough is pairing leading comedians with climate scientists presents a novel way to communicate the climate crisis. “If people like me have to get involved, you know we are in deep shit,” says Jo Brand, renowned British comedian and The Great British Bake Off host. Why? Because she has joined the ranks of other notable comedians such as Nish Kumar, Kiri Pritchard-McLean, and Jonathan Pie in Climate Science Translated, a project that translates complex climate science into accessible and funny content to spur millions of people into action. Even though climate change is the greatest threat humanity has ever faced, research by the Climate Science Breakthrough team shows that just 2% of the public can name a climate scientist. Nearly everyone knows Jo Brand. Getting famous comedians to translate what climate scientists are saying in a funny, ironic and often blunt way makes the science much more accessible. And it works. ⬇ see The Conversation UK article which has new video 🤣 #climatechange #comedy #communication #climate #globalwarming

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"Weaving is an expression of life’s immune response to the converging planetary crises. By consciously (re)connecting diverse participants in life’s evolutionary quest, weavers nurture synergy, symbiosis and reciprocal relationships that improve the health of the whole. Weaving is salutogenic — health-generating — culture design. If there is such a thing as ‘deep-weaving’, it refers to reconnecting our story-lines and song-lines to our deeper human ancestry — and beyond that — to our individual and collective authority as conscious reflections of life’s 3.8 billion years of evolutionary wisdom. The effective weaver engages in social and cultural acupuncture in ways that the role of the weaver can become almost invisible, yet deeply effective. At their most skillful weavers catalyse systemic, place-based, long-term projects without the need to be permanently involved with each initiative themselves. Weavers enable learning ecosystems to rediscover their ability to learn and help themselves. This includes seeking advise from and informing the greater whole that contains them. Weaving requires the ability to constantly link local needs and opportunities to their regional, national and global context. Weaving is about aiming to create mutually beneficial synergies between different scales. Just like health can emerge as a scale-linking emergent property of complex adaptive systems, weaving as a vector of health has to be scale-linking by design. Weaving is the ancient art of recognizing health and wholeness as the primary state, and overcoming the blockages of seemingly broken connections. Weavers are healers of the unbroken whole — connecting people and place in elegant tapestries of shared meaning and visions of a world that works for all." Written by master weaver Daniel Christian Wahl 🧶🙏 Published by Norwegian Sage Caroline Hargreaves 🌿 #weaving #regeneration #relationships

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Thanks for sharing (and it's good to see that this TED talk is going around in many different groups) — it's a dark but realistically told story, and I fully agree with Johan Rockström's conclusion: more and more citizens and communities are concerned about nature and taking climate change seriously and would like to do something about their direct environments. In my opinion, this is where it should start: locally-led initiatives backed by governments that empower and support these communities' desire to make local changes. We need to make choices — hard choices, but these are our choices — before the future of our planet is out of our hands, and we can't make any choices anymore. Let's seize this opportunity to create a more sustainable world by strengthening local communities, taking action on climate change, and making them more resilient.

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The third working group of the IPCC centred on mitigation of climate change, in their contribution to the sixth assessment report. They look at where we are, and where we need to be in light of the 1.5 and 2C temperature goals of the Paris agreement. Also, they look at it sector by sector, and moreover, the report is multidisciplinary; professionals from different sectors including social sciences are involved. Read all about it: #climatechange #climateaction #wgiii #mitigation #AR6 https://lnkd.in/dwnpkKnS

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⚡💡 Degrowth responds directly to climate change and other issues, affecting energy and resource use. Don't overlook it when developing climate scenarios for the energy sector. New blog article on Heliocene, "We Need Degrowth Energy Scenarios": https://lnkd.in/giZu2uBt The Aotearoa New Zealand Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE) has released Electricity Demand and Generation Scenarios, July 2024 (https://lnkd.in/gvcDuUAs), reinforcing mainstream assumptions that sustained economic growth is critical to driving innovations and policy changes necessary for significantly reducing energy-related emissions. Scenarios are not predictions but they serve as tools to assess policy options under various plausible futures, directly influencing policymaking. Without consideration of degrowth, policymakers and industries are under-served and may miss vital indications of risk and opportunity. Exploring a Degrowth scenario for national energy demand is crucial for developing a wider understanding of its potential impacts on energy and resource use, industry sectors and consumer living standards. Foundational elements seem present within existing scenarios; however, it’s vital to build a coherent set of metrics. Policymakers must not shy away from investigating and developing an economically positive Degrowth scenario. Aotearoa’s energy integrity depends on embracing a broad spectrum of economic possibilities, including those that challenge traditional notions of economic growth. Read the article (link above) for more insights.

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"What if the way we respond to the crisis is part of the crisis?" —Bayo Akomolafe Great image by Virpi Oinonen from Business Illustrator Ltd that illustrates our temptation to untangle complex and wicked problems by using brute force and linear approaches. How might we navigate complexity and uncertainty in more emergent and entangled ways? Thanks for sharing Marco Valente 🙏 #complexity #wickedproblems #GordianKnot #entanglement --- The Mycelium — weaving together a network of regenerative projects, practices and paradigms 💌 tijntjoelker.substack.com

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I've been tracking climate science since the 1980s. The most dangerous thing about it is those smooth curves, with their 10th and 90th centiles spreading gracefully around them. They imply a gradual, predictable process, and that we are somehow in control. Ask anyone British if the weather is predictable and they'll laugh. And when you approach it from a risk management perspective, the question isn't "what's likely, what is the 10th-90th centile?", it's "What is the worst that can happen?" This article is deeply disturbing, because the worst that can happen is very bad indeed, and is much closer than anyone expected, because (as seems to be the case too often) the statistical "fat tail" is fatter than predicted. Also because ocean plastic pollution acts as a threat multiplier. The best paragraph is saved 'till last: “We think of climate change as being this kind of fairly steady progression of change in average conditions,” he said. “I think that we’ve learned, even since 2022, that there are also big changes in extreme events.” https://buff.ly/49189vh

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This report is a crucial read as we approach COP29! 🌍 The insights on scaling up renewable energy and lowering capital costs are particularly timely. Let’s leverage these findings to drive meaningful investments in ClimateTech and support ambitious NDCs. Together, we can accelerate climate action for a sustainable future! 💚📊 #RenewableEnergy #ClimateTech #SustainableFuture

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🆕 Paper out: "Applying environmental sustainability boundaries for climate change in life cycle assessment: A review of approaches and implications for policymaking" comparing static and dynamic approaches to define the Planetary Boundary of climate change and use in life cycle assessment. This results from a collaboration with DTU - Technical University of Denmark, led by Caroline Amalie Clausen, with Anders Bjørn and Morten Walbech Ryberg. Link to the paper: https://lnkd.in/d32UnrB5 #PlanetaryBoundaries #LifeCycleAssessment #ClimateChange #AbsoluteSustainability #Scienceforpolicy #Policymaking

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🎁 Looking for a meaningful Christmas gift that inspires hope and transformation? As the co-creator of Politics of Being, I truly believe this book can serve as a powerful guide in these challenging times. 🌍✨ In a world facing climate change, inequality, and polarization, Politics of Being offers more than just ideas—it provides a vision of leadership and politics rooted in wisdom, values, and connection. Here’s why it makes the perfect gift this holiday season: 🌱 A Guide for Our Times: It addresses today’s crises with a call for systemic transformation and conscious leadership. 💡 Inspires Leaders with Heart: A roadmap for leaders, changemakers, and individuals to create a more just and sustainable future. 🌟 Hopeful and Practical: Amidst global uncertainty, it offers actionable insights and a message of hope. 🤝 Universal Appeal: Rooted in timeless human values, it resonates across cultures, making it a meaningful gift for anyone. This holiday season, give the gift of inspiration and purpose. Politics of Being is a heartfelt reminder that we each have a role to play in creating a more harmonious world. Let’s make 2025 a year of transformation together. 🌟https://lnkd.in/eAJca9iE #Leadership #ConsciousPolitics #Sustainability #GiftIdeas #PoliticsOfBeing

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<iframe data-project-id="Yual8er4aaQbafhcldNK" allowfullscreen="false" frameborder="0"></iframe> This story was originally published by The Guardian and appears here as part of the Climate Desk collaboration. Tiina Sanila-Aikio cannot remember a warm summer. The months of midnight sun around Inari, in Finnish Lapland, were hot and dry. The needles of the conifers on the branches are orange when they should be deep green. The moss on the forest floor, usually swollen with water, has withered. “I have spoken to many old reindeer herders who have never experienced the heat we have had this summer. The sun keeps shining and it never rains,” says Sanila-Aikio, former president of the Finnish Sami Parliament. The boreal forests here in the Sami homeland take so long to grow that even small, stunted trees are often hundreds of years old. It is part of the Taiga – which means ‘land of small sticks’ in Russian – which stretches across the far northern hemisphere through Siberia, Scandinavia, Alaska and Canada. It is these forests that have contributed to the credibility of the most ambitious carbon neutrality target in the developed world: Finland’s commitment to carbon neutrality by 2035. The law, which came into force two years ago, means the country aims to reach the target 15 years earlier than many of its EU counterparts. In a country of 5.6 million people, almost 70 percent of which is covered by forests and peatlands, many assumed the plan would not be a problem. Read Next ‘Wooden vaults’: a simple climate solution that you have probably never heard of For decades, the country’s forests and peatlands had reliably removed more carbon from the atmosphere than they released. But starting around 2010, the amount of land the country absorbed began to decline, at first slowly and then rapidly. By 2018, Finland’s bottom sink – the term scientists use to describe something that absorbs more carbon than it releases – had disappeared. The forest sink declined by about 90 percent between 2009 and 2022, with the remainder of the decline fueled by increased emissions from soil and peat. In 2021 and 2022, the Finnish land sector made a net contribution to global warming. The impact on overall climate progress in Finland is dramatic: despite a 43 percent reduction in emissions in all other sectors, net emissions are roughly at the same level as in the early 1990s. It’s as if nothing has happened for thirty years. The collapse has enormous consequences, not only for Finland but also internationally. At least 118 countries rely on natural carbon sinks to meet climate goals. Due to a combination of human destruction and the climate crisis itself, some are now reeling and starting to see a drop in the amount of carbon they take in. “We cannot achieve carbon neutrality if the land sector is a source of emissions. They have to be sinks, because

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Want the latest update on climate science? Listen to this brilliant podcast with Stefan Rahmstorf from PIK - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. The facts might not be news for climate enthusiasts, but they are sobering. *Did you know that excess rainfall, often caused by warmer air, is a result of the air holding more water vapor at higher temperatures? The relationship between temperature and water vapor was described back in 1834 in the Clausius Clapeyron law. It's not a linear progression; at 1C warming, the air can hold 7% more water vapor, increasing further with each degree. Brace for wetter times ahead, especially up North! *The current geological period, "the holocene," is an exceptionally long interglacial due to a unique orbital configuration. Humanity could enjoy a stable climate for tens of thousands of years if we don't disrupt it - but we are. The irony and tragedy of this situation are evident. Listen, learn, and take action! #phaseoutfossilfuelsnow https://lnkd.in/dHR9HSKu

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How much should we be willing to pay for biodiversity? The carbon world has been using the concept of “shadow price” for about 20 years: that has helped sharpen policy instruments design & focus discussions on what matters. I argue it is time to use a 5 €/MSA.m2 shadow price for biodiversity.   I recently contributed to explanations of the concept of shadow price in a report by CDC Biodiversité. An earlier report (both links in comments) provided indications on its value. Before delving into financial estimates, let’s start with the basics.     📖 Definition & use of the shadow price in the climate world   It is based on another concept, the social cost of carbon: ➡ Measures the full global cost today of an incremental unit of greenhouse gases emitted now (it sums the full global cost for the whole society of the damage imposed over its time in the atmosphere) ➡ Signals what society should, in theory, be willing to pay now to avoid the future damage caused by incremental emissions ⚠ Issues with social cost of carbon 1️⃣ Depends on total global emissions, but because individual countries or companies cannot control all GHG emissions (which depend on all the global stakeholders), it is not a practical measure for decision-making 2️⃣ Significant estimation uncertainties     💡 Prefer the shadow price of carbon ➡ Takes into account the marginal abatement costs & other factors that may affect willingness to pay for GHG emission reduction ➡ Price required to let companies, etc. reduce GHG emissions. Whereas the social cost of carbon is determined purely by our understanding & valuation of the damage caused (more theoretical), the shadow price adjusts to reflect the political & technological environments (more pragmatic). ❔ How to interpret the biodiversity shadow price? Overall, it is linked to transition risks, which will materialize when new regulations, reputational scandal, etc. force companies to abruptly transition towards a lower-impact pathway. As such, it more or less represents transition costs' lower bound: the minimum that companies will have to pay to align with that pathway by protecting, restoring, or reducing negative impacts on nature.   🔎 How to estimate it? ➡ Previous work (see chart) identified that significant ecosystem integrity gains can be achieved with costs below 5 €/MSA.m2 (a measure of impact on ecosystem condition using the #MeanSpeciesAbundance metric): this is a first approximation of the shadow price. ➡ The monetary value of the transition risk can be approximated to amount to the multiplication of: The abatement of negative impacts & restoration of ecosystem integrity required to transition (expressed in MSA.m2) ✖  the shadow price (expressed in €/MSA.m2)     💬 What are your thoughts? How should stakeholders, from central banks to corporates, start using this 5 €/MSA.m2 in their stress test and internal prices to estimate the resilience of companies & financial systems to transition shocks?

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#Forest-based #carboncredits have had a rough couple of years. Numerous academic studies and media investigations have unearthed vastly inflated #carbon savings and failed safeguards for forest communities amongst the world’s Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (#REDD+) projects, which boast a quarter of all carbon credits to date. However, a new peer-reviewed Nature study by 27 researchers across 11 institutions including the Environmental Defense Fund , The Nature Conservancy and Columbia University, has backed the industry’s scientific credentials: out of all the world’s #nature-based climate solutions, the paper found that the four leading forest-based solutions have robust scientific foundations, while the others need urgent additional research before their role as a #climatesolution is understood. The study explicitly looked at the scientific basis of, and expert confidence in, the world’s known #naturebasedsolutions (#NBSs); rather than the implementation of individual projects, carbon crediting methodologies or co-benefits. “In tropical forests, there have been complaints about whether those projects are doing what they purport to do – but that is an implementation challenge,” says Brian Buma, senior climate scientist at EDF and a co-author of the report. “For forests, we have a pretty good scientific basis and our methods just get better and more complementary. We have a lot of ways of measuring the carbon in #forests and the associated fluxes. It is much harder to do in things like #soil, for example.” To find out more, read my latest piece for Energy Monitor👇 https://lnkd.in/e_JjwXFa Many thanks for the help, insight and research: Brian Buma, Doria R Gordon, Mark Moroge of EDF, Peter Ellis of TNC, Vanessa Terschluse of Greenhouse Communications, and CDR.fyi 🙏🙏🙏

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