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Analysis of FLTWinds Data using a Neural Network

Based Approach

Haimonti Dutta
CIS Department ,Temple University
FLTWinds - The Flight and Weather Information and Decision Support System

Features :
•Aviation weather data management
•Creation of advanced aviation weather products
•Weather management and alerting services
•Flight tracking and display services
•Flight following and alerting services
•Sophisticated mapping and display tools
•User interface that combines both flight and weather information on
a common graphical display
 
Collection of the Data

A View of the Database


Schema
Attribute name Attribute Definition

A_IN Actual Gate in time

A_IN_SRC Source of time stored in A_IN


column

A_OFF Actual wheels off time

A_ON Actual wheels on time

A_ON_SRC Source of time stored in


The tables used in the Database schema are : A_ON column
• Flight
• Plan
• Plan_Point
• Tracking
• Airline

About 3 GB of data is collected per month.


Steps in Data Preprocessing

• Attributes required to build the database


• Removal of uninteresting attributes like Route_Date, Plan-Number, Plan_Time etc
• Removal of attributes for which data was not available. For e.g: SUA_ALERT, WX_ALERT,
FUEL_REMAINING.

Some of the major attributes chosen include


FLEET_ID, DIVERT_TIME, PLAN_DISTANCE, ALERTS, ARRIVAL_DELTA,
DEPARTURE_DELTA, HOLD_TIME, MAX_OFF_RTE, DISTANCE_DELTA etc.
In all, 26 attributes were chosen for the final data processing.

• Chosing airport hubs for data analysis(A data reduction step)


After the attributes were chosen, the next step was to choose the 5 major airport hubs in USA
Including the Boston Logan Intnl. Airport(BOS), Baltimore Washington Intnl Airport(BWI),
Chicago O’Hara Intnl Airport(ORD), Dallas-Fortworth Intnl airport(DFW), Denver Intnl airport
(DEN).(Based on ranking of busy airports- http://airtravel.about.com/library/news/airports/blarptnewsRankings.htm)
Data was collected for all aeroplanes which were coming
flying into these hubs on the
Specified dates.

• Data Cleaning
• In order to feed the data into the Neural Network, programs were written to decode the
date, interpreting the binary attributes, and eliminating invalid values.
Data Sets

Number of records analysed -

Airport Id Number of records


BOS 1447
BWI 545
DEN 7306
DFW 1552
ORD 4791

For each of these airport hubs, a neural network classifier was built for identification of two classes.
• Flights on-time
• Flights not on-time (early/late).
Distributions of Arrival times of Flights at the airport hubs chosen

BOSTON CHICAGO

DENVER BALTIMORE- WASHINGTON


Results

Classifier Accuracy
Airport Accuracy
BOS 99.53
ORD 88.12
DEN 92.57
BWI 69.0
DFW 56.57

Plot of the Accuracy


Experiments to be done

According to domain experts, the displacement from the actual route of a flight is an important
Attribute that needs to be analyzed. Initial examination reveals the following patterns for the
max_of_rte attribute.
Distribution for max_of_rte
BOSTON CHICAGO

DENVER BALTIMORE - WASHINGTON


Future Work

• Examination of other attributes including departure_delta,


alerts, diversion_alert, hold_alert
• Examination of the performance of air bus and Boeing aircraft
• Development of a linear regression model for estimation of
arrival times of aricrafts
• Patterns in delay of flights.

References :
• Neural Networks, A comprehensive foundation by Simon Haykin
• FltWinds software in use at Lockheed Martin corporation
• Domain experts including Dr. WolfGang, Dr. Biju Kalathil, Dr.
John Carlsen, Rusty Bell.
Questions ????

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