Keynes Theory of Deficit Spending

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KEYNES THEORY OF DEFICIT

SPENDING
KEYNES THEORY
• The British economist John Maynard Keynes developed this theory in
the 1930s.
• The government should increase demand to boost
growth. Keynesians believe consumer demand is the primary driving
force in an economy.
• The theory supports expansionary fiscal policy.
KENESIAN EFFECT
• When the economy has high unemployment, an increase in government
purchases creates a market for business output, creating income and
encouraging increases in consumer spending, which creates further increases
in the demand for business output.
• The increased size of the market, due to government deficits, causes
the accelerator effect which stimulates demand further and encourages rising
employment. Increase in government payroll has been shown to depress the
economy in the long run
Principle tenets of Kenesianism
• A Keynesian believes that aggregate demand is influenced by a host
of economic decisions—both public and private—and sometimes
behaves erratically
• According to Keynesian theory, changes in aggregate demand,
whether anticipated or unanticipated, have their greatest short-run
effect on real output and employment, not on prices.
• Keynesians believe that prices, and especially wages, respond slowly
to changes in supply and demand, resulting in periodic shortages and
surpluses, especially of labor.
• Keynesians do not think that the typical level of unemployment is
ideal—partly because unemployment is subject to the caprice of
aggregate demand, and partly because they believe that prices adjust
only gradually.
• Keynesians’ belief in aggressive government action to stabilize the
economy is based on value judgments and on the beliefs that
(a) macroeconomic fluctuations significantly reduce economic
well-being &
(b) the government is knowledgeable and capable enough to
improve on the FREE MARKET.
What is deficit spending?
• Deficit spending happens when a government's expenditures are
higher than the revenues it collects during a fiscal period and thus
causes or worsens a government debt balance.
• Usually, government deficits are financed by the sale of public
securities, especially government bonds.
• A number of economists, especially those in the Keynesian tradition,
believe government deficits can be used as a tool of stimulative fiscal
policy
Theory of deficit spending
• Human tendencies are against the economy.
• People are optimistic when the economy is healthy, so they spend
without thinking.
• People act conservatively when economy is in recession which
worsens the economic conditions
• Government investment is crucial in recession and the spending must
be increased to stabilize the economy.
Effects of Deficit Spending
• Keynes felt the main role of deficit spending is to prevent or reverse
rising unemployment during a recession
• He also believed there was a second benefit of government spending,
something know “the multiplier effect.” This theory suggests that $1
dollar of government spending could increase total economic output
by more than $1.
• Many economists believe that the effects of deficit spending, if left
unchecked, could threaten economic growth. Too much debt,
augmented by consistent deficits, could cause a government to raise
taxes, seek ways to increase inflation, and default on its debt
MULTIPLIER EFFECT:SPENDING MULTIPLIER
• The multiplier effect refers to the disproportionate rise in final income that
results from an injection of spending. In other words, capital infusion,
whether it be at the governmental or corporate level, should have a
snowball effect on economic activity.
• A new project increase in employment an increase in disposable
income increased demand for goods and services increases the
disposable income of the seller.
• One's spending is another's income.
• An initial change in government spending causes a ripple effect to the
econonmy and this effect total economy.the size of the ripple depends on
how much money people spend and save when they get income.This is
called the marginal propensity to consume andthe marginal propensity to
save.
MULTIPLIER EFFECT:SPENDING MULTIPLIER

Higher the MPS, larger is the


multiplier effect.
ADVANTAGES
• It pushes growth in the economy.
Since a government will have the needed funds, it can spend on infrastructure
and create more employment in the labor force. And with more
developments happening in a country, more investors will be attracted, thus
opening up more jobs and increasing revenue and economic growth rate. This
is greatly beneficial during a recession.
• It forces the government to have more control on spending.
Since the government needs to pay back the loan with high interest rates, it
will be more careful when making investments and creating a budget. They
need to make wise decisions when prioritizing projects and spending.
• The crowding in effect
Deficit spending through tax
cuts or the purchase of goods
and services by the
government can stop the
downward spiral and help to
turn the economy back
around. In addition, as the
economy improves due to the
deficit spending the outlook
for businesses also improves,
and this can lead to increased
investment, an effect known
as crowding in
DISADVANTAGES
• It can result to a bad economy.
A country will typically have no savings during a deficit period since
they must prioritize paying off the debt and interest. It would create
problems during emergencies.Another adverse effect is the tendency
of the government to hike up taxes which leads to inflation and a
lower standard of living.
• It reduces investments.
The debt will greatly increase leading them further into a recession.
As a result, they will have less money to spend on infrastructure and
discourage investors from doing business in their country.
• It can risk national
sovereignty.
Nations or financing
institutions that lend money
to a country in recession can
make certain demands
before approving a loan. For
example, the government in
debt may have to change its
spending policies and laws. It
may also have to sell off its
land and other assets in
order to pay off the debt.

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