Private Equity and Portfolio Companies Lessons From The Global Financial Crisis
Private Equity and Portfolio Companies Lessons From The Global Financial Crisis
Private Equity and Portfolio Companies Lessons From The Global Financial Crisis
N U MB ER 3
S U M M ER 2 0 2 0
Journal of
APPLIED
CORPORATE FINANCE
I N THIS I SSU E:
and Public
University of Oxford; Steve Kaplan, University of Chicago; and David Robinson, Duke University
Companies
Global Financial Crisis
Shai Bernstein and Josh Lerner, Harvard University; and Filippo Mezzanotti, Northwestern University
128 What Public Companies Can Learn from Private Equity Pay Plans
Stephen O’Byrne, Shareholder Value Advisors
Private Equity and Portfolio Companies:
Lessons from the Global Financial Crisis
by Shai Bernstein and Josh Lerner, Harvard University and NBER, and Filippo Mezzanotti, Northwestern University*
literature that explores the effects of private equity ownership on corporate productivity,
product quality, employment, and related dimensions during normal times. In general, the
picture painted by these studies is one in which PE sponsors have a mixed impact on the
companies in which they invest: while the firms do well on productivity and a variety of other
A particular concern around PE ownership, and the high lever- the underlying characteristics of the companies themselves.3
age that comes with it, is whether it makes companies more Periods of high leverage have been associated with higher
vulnerable during economic downturns. One clear feature transaction prices and lower returns, suggesting a clear
of the private equity market is its intense cyclicality, with the tendency of PE investors to overleverage and overpay when
volume of PE transactions moving in highly correlated fash- access to credit is readily available. Other work suggests lower
ion with equity valuations and economic cycles. Moreover, relative rates of productivity growth by PE-backed companies
the deals transacted during market peaks differ greatly from during such boom periods, suggesting an increased emphasis
those in other periods. Steve Kaplan and Jeremy Stein, in their on the kind of financial engineering that can weaken firms.4
analysis of PE’s first major boom and bust published in 1993, These cycles in the PE market may well have broader
reported signs of “overheating” in the U.S. buyout market in economic effects that extend well beyond the markets
the late 1980s, including higher valuations (as multiples of themselves. According to data from the Preqin database,
operating cash flow), transactions in riskier industries, higher during the three years (2006-2008) leading up to the finan-
leverage, and significant reductions in the net equity contrib- cial crisis, global PE groups raised almost $2 trillion in
uted by LBO sponsors.2 equity, with each dollar typically leveraged by more than
In a much more recent (2013) study of PE market cycles $2 of debt. The United Kingdom—the focus of the study
in several countries, Ulf Axelson and colleagues showed that discussed in this article—was the most PE-driven economy
the extent of leverage in buyouts has had far more to do in the world at the time of the crisis: PE-owned assets repre-
with interest rates and general credit conditions than with sented about 11% of gross domestic product (GDP).5 In
line with these numbers, the Bank of England estimated
that PE-backed companies had issued more than 10% of
*This article draws on, while summarizing the findings of, the authors’ earlier pub- all nonfinancial U.K. corporate debt before the crisis, and
lished article, “Private Equity and Financial Fragility during the Crisis,” The Review of
Financial Studies, Vol. 32 (Fall 2019), pp. 1309-1373. The authors thank the Harvard
Business School’s Division of Research for financial support. They also thank seminar
participants at Columbia, Duke, LBS, MIT, and Northwestern—especially Efraim Ben-
3 Axelson et al. (2013).
melech, David Matsa, Sabrina Howell, Steve Kaplan, David Robinson, and Morten So-
4 Davis et al. (2019).
rensen—for helpful comments. Lerner has advised institutional investors in private eq-
5 These numbers were obtained by dividing the total private equity fundraising
uity funds, private equity groups, and governments designing policies relevant to private
between 2004 and 2008, as estimated by the European Venture Capital Association and
equity.
PEREP Analytics (in the case of the United Kingdom) and Buyouts magazine (in the case
1 Davis et al. (2014, 2019). Eaton, and Howell, and Yannelis (2019) highlight these
of the United States) by GDP in 2008 (as reported by the World Bank). In both cases,
issues from another perspective.
we exclude venture capital funds.
2 Kaplan and Stein (1993).
9 Bernstein and Sheen (2016); Bernstein et al. (2016); Gompers, Mugford, and
6 Goergen, O’Sullivan, and Wood (2011). Kim (2012).
7 See Bernanke and Gertler (1990); Bernanke (1983). Giroud and Mueller (2015), 10 See the first footnote to this article.
after controlling for a broad array of other characteristics, show that more highly levered 11 Riley et al. (2014).
firms exhibited a significantly larger decline in employment during the crisis and that 12 This approach follows the methodology of Boucly, Sraer, and Thesmar (2011). As
these layoffs had important regional consequences. discussed in the RFS article, the main results are also confirmed when using a similar
8 ECB (2017), p. 2. matching procedure but excluding leverage as a matching variable.
England (2014).
38
Lending to UK businesses
36
30
34
One-Year % Change
20
32
10
ment spending of the two groups was roughly the same in All currency loans to PNFCs All currency loans to non-financial businesses
the pre-crisis period, but the investment rate of the PE group Source: Bank of England–Trends in lending
diverged notably from the control group beginning in 2008.
And this divergence first becomes discernible exactly at the The idea that private equity firms can increase their
point when both aggregate investments and credit growth in portfolio companies’ access to capital during tough times
the United Kingdom began their sharp decline. is also consistent with two other findings. First, the positive
In the second part of our study, we showed that the effect on investment was particularly notable among compa-
higher investments by PE-backed companies were funded at nies that we deemed most likely to face binding financing
least in part by debt issuance that was 4% (of total assets) constraints during the crisis—companies that were smaller,
higher for PE-backed companies than their non-PE counter-
parts during the crisis—and by equity issuance that was 2%
RFS paper. Throughout the analysis, we control for firm fixed effects and thus remove
higher than their peers’. At the same time, PE-backed compa- time-invariant characteristics of the control and treatment firms. We also showed that
nies experienced a relative reduction in their cost of debt, the results are not driven by nonparallel trends in the pre-crisis period, and they are not
and a decline in their interest expense over total debt of 0.3%. affected by the addition of company controls. Second, our main results do not change
when we exclude companies whose private equity deals were management buyouts
As in the case of investment spending, these differences in (MBOs) or public-to-private transactions. Third, the results do not appear to simply re-
access to funding first showed up in 2008 and continued flect differences in attrition between PE and non-PE companies. Fourth, the results re-
main unchanged if we control for time-varying industry shocks around the crisis. Fifth
through the remainder of the period—though with varying and finally, we also confirm that the results are robust to alternative matching estimators.
levels of statistical significance.13 In particular, we find that removing leverage from the variables used to match companies
does not affect our results. Neither undertaking the matching approach in 2003, 2004,
or 2005 (well before the crisis) nor matching each PE-backed company in the year be-
13 The results are robust to a battery of checks, which are discussed in detail in the fore the PE buyout significantly changes the results.
This figure depicts several international comparisons of private equity activity in the UK, France, Germany, Europe as a whole,
and the US. Panel A describes the aggregate equity value invested per year by funds based in a given country, Panel B describes
the amount invested as a share of GDP of the nation in that year, Panel C reports the average amount invested in a given year,
and Panel D illustrates the number of investments. The source of the private equity data is Invest Europe, except for the US data,
which is from Preqin (number of deals) and Cambridge Associates (dollar volume of deals).
Panel A: Aggregate Equity Value (€ billions) Panel B: Annual Aggregate Deal Value/GDP
Left Y-axis describe all markets, except the US that is described in the right Y-axis.
70 160 1.60%
60 140 1.40%
120 1.20%
50
100 1.00%
40
80 0.80%
30
60 0.60%
20 0.40%
40
10 20 0.20%
0 0 0.00%
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
70.00 70.00
60.00 60.00
50.00 50.00
40.00 40.00
30.00 30.00
20.00 20.00
10.00 10.00
0.00 0.00
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
period, while during the crisis average deal size declined signif- sales” (sales from one PE firm to another). Only 5% of the
icantly in all countries. transactions in our sample were public to private. Lending
• In all countries, there was an increase in transaction confidence to these findings, the study of French PE deals
volume up until the financial crisis, and then a decline in cited earlier reports a very similar distribution of transac-
number of investments. tion types. And a 2008 study of global PE deals suggests a
The lone exception to all this appears to have been late- similar distribution of private equity investments around the
blooming Germany, where private equity had little traction world.20 Specifically, roughly 27% of transactions in France
before the financial crisis. Although the number of invest- and 26% of the global sample were divisional buyouts.
ments increased, total PE transaction value declined in Secondary sales were slightly less frequent in France (15%)
Germany as well. and worldwide (13%). Finally, in both of these samples, the
Another interesting comparison between different PE share of public-to-private transactions was around 4.5%,
markets relates to the types of buyouts. As reported in whereas private-to-private transactions were roughly 50%
panel D of Table 1, roughly 40% of U.K. PE transactions of the sample.
were private-to-private (that is, purchases by PE firms of
privately held concerns); 30% of the deals were buyouts of
divisions from public companies; and 20% were “secondary 20 Boucly, Sraer, and Thesmar (2011); Stromberg (2008).
Panel A reports the industry distribution at the broad industry level (1-digit SIC) for the PE sample and the whole universe of medium
and large U.K. firms, but excludes financial, insurance, regulated, or public administration. Panel B reports the summary statistics
of sample firms in 2007 across treated (PE-backed companies) and non-treated firms (non-PE companies). The last column reports
the mean difference across the two groups. Level variables are in millions of dollars. Panel C reports the 1- and the 2-year growth
as a percentage increase in the characteristics in 2007. The last column reports the mean difference across the two groups. Panel
D reports the split in terms of deal type for the final sample of PE deals. The appendix of the RFS paper provides more information
about the variable definitions. *** denotes significance at the 1% level, ** at the 5% level, and * at the 10% level.
A. Industry Distribution
Industry distribution PE sample (%) Full sample (%)
Mining 1 2
Construction 6 15
Manufacturing 32 17
Wholesale trade 12 11
Retail trade 7 6
Transportation 4 6
Services 38 44
D. Buyout type
Buyout type Percentage
Public to private buyouts 5.3
Private to private buyouts 42.8
Divisional sales 29.9
Secondary sales 20.0
Distressed buyouts 2.0
.0 5
0
Equity Contribution
Investment
0
−.1
−.2
−.05
−.3
Year
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
PE Non-PE Year
PE Non−PE
In Figure 4, we plot the year effects estimates around the portfolio companies to access credit markets during periods
crisis—and the corresponding standard errors—separately for of turmoil.
the PE-backed companies and matched companies. As illus- As reported in Table 2, we found that increases in net
trated in the figure, both the PE-backed and the control firms equity were larger for PE-backed companies than for the
followed similar paths before the crisis: the estimates are not control group around the crisis.25 Equity contributions as
statistically different from one another and thus seem to satisfy a percentage of total assets during the financial crisis were
the parallel trends assumption. Once the crisis started, both 2% higher to PE-backed companies than for non-PE firms.
the PE-backed companies and the matched companies cut As can be seen in Figure 5, equity contributions for both
investments sharply during 2008 and 2009. Nevertheless, the classes of firms dropped significantly during the crisis. But
investment cutbacks by PE-backed companies during the crisis the fact that the decline was smaller for PE-backed compa-
years were significantly smaller than those of their non-PE nies suggests that PE funds were willing to support the
counterparts. This higher level of investment by PE-backed operations of their portfolio companies by injecting more
companies persisted in the years after the crisis. of their own equity.
What accounts for such differences in investment? One At the same time, as reported in Column 5 of Table 2,
possibility is that the PE firms help their portfolio companies PE-backed companies also experienced a relative increase in
to maintain high investment levels by expanding their access debt issuance.26 While on average, debt issuance over assets
to capital, particularly during periods of financial upheaval. declined during the financial crisis, this decline was 4% smaller
This can happen in two ways. First, PE firms have fund
commitments that are rarely abrogated and may therefore be 25 We define equity contribution by looking at the changes in equity that were not
in a better position to inject equity into the companies if explained by profit. Therefore, we cannot determine whether positive effects were due to
raising more capital or paying out fewer dividends.
access to financial markets is limited. Second, PE firms have 26 As discussed in the data section and in the appendix of the RFS paper, this is
strong ties with banks and that should make it easier for their measured as the change in total debt, scaled by assets.
This table reports the estimates of a difference-in-differences fixed effects model on the investment and funding variables. All
specifications include firm and year fixed effects. The main parameter of interest is the interaction between the Post dummy and
PE-backed company dummy variable. Odd-numbered columns contain the baseline regression, and even-numbered columns aug-
ment the baseline model with a set of firm-level controls measured before the crisis and interacted with the Post dummy. These
variables include firm size (log of revenue), growth in revenue, cash flow over assets, ROA, and leverage. In Columns 1 and 2 the
outcome is investment scaled by assets; in Columns 3 and 4 the outcome is net equity contribution over assets; in Columns 5
and 6 the outcome is the net debt issuance scaled by assets; in Columns 7 and 8 the outcome is the total leverage; and in Col-
umns 9 and 10 the outcome is average interest rate. The appendix of the RFS paper provides more information about the variable
definitions. Standard errors are clustered at the firm level. *** denotes significance at the 1% level, ** at the 5% level, and * at
the 10% level.
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)
Investment/assets Net equity contr./assets Net debt iss./assets Leverage Interest rate
PE firm x Post 0.059*** 0.056*** 0.022*** 0.021*** 0.042*** 0.039*** 0.013 0.012 -0.003** -0.003**
(0.013) (0.013) (0.007) (0.007) (0.011) (0.011) (0.015) (0.014) (0.001) (0.001)
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Firm fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Firm controls No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes
Observations 12,456 11,910 12,469 12,003 12,903 12,274 13,205 12,553 10,222 9,831
Clusters 1,984 1,878 1,981 1,876 1,982 1,876 1,984 1,878 1,841 1,743
R-squared 0.160 0.161 0.040 0.059 0.090 0.104 0.011 0.029 0.016 0.022
for PE-backed companies. But if their overall debt issuance was Why are PE-backed companies able to raise more
greater, PE companies did not materially increase their leverage, external financing? There are several possible explanations.
as can be seen from Columns 7 and 8 in Table 2.27 Nevertheless, Since private equity firms typically own majority stakes
as reported in Columns 9 and 10 of Table 2, we found that the in their portfolio companies and control their boards, the
relative cost of debt, measured by the ratio of interest expense information and control problems that beset public company
of total debt, declined for the PE-backed companies by 0.3%.28 boards are likely to be much more manageable, thereby
Overall, then, our findings suggest that private equity reducing “frictions” that tend to limit equity investments in
groups expanded their portfolio companies’ access to capital companies. Moreover, the repeated interactions of PE firms
during the financial crisis, allowing them to invest more when with banks is likely to reduce information asymmetries,
credit markets were frozen and economic uncertainty high. establish trust, and provide additional cross-selling activities
In particular, PE groups appear to have taken advantage of for the banks. All these considerations may have eased
their fund structures and bank relationships to provide both the financial constraints on already highly leveraged
equity and debt financing to their portfolio companies, while PE-backed companies seeking more debt financing during
reducing the cost of debt.29 the crisis.
27 And the fact that the PE coefficient in this regression is positive, though insignifi-
What Are the Financial Constraints Faced by
cant and small in magnitude, is consistent with the joint increase in equity as well as PE-Backed Companies?
debt. Our findings presented thus far are consistent with the idea
28 One concern about this interpretation of our findings is that by matching on lever-
age (in addition to other variables), we may have captured (non-PE companies) that are that private equity can play an important role during finan-
somewhat unrepresentative due to their high leverage. To address this concern, we re- cial turmoil by expanding their portfolio companies’ access to
peated the main analyses using an alternative matching that does not rely on leverage,
but only on size, ROA, and industry. This matching estimator allows the two groups to capital and so relaxing the financial constraints they (and their
have different leverage ratios in the pre-crisis period. And as reported in Table 4 of the
RFS article, when we repeat our analysis with the alternative matching methodology, all
results remain unchanged. less efficiently than did banks. This interesting question poses challenging measurement
29 We are not making any claims about whether PE firms allocated capital more or issues, and, while fascinating, it is outside the scope of our paper.
These tables estimate standard difference-in-differences fixed effects model and repeat the specification of Table 2 while exploring
various proxies of financing constraints in 2007. All specifications include firm and year fixed effects. In each table, the interaction
term in Columns 1 and 2 is based on firm size, and equal one if the firm is at the top quartile of firm employment versus the rest
of the sample. The interaction in Columns 3 and 4 is based on dependency on external finance, measured by RZ index (Rajan and
Zingales 1998). The interaction equals one if dependence on external finance is in the top quartile, and zero otherwise. In Columns
5 and 6, the interaction is based on firm leverage. The interaction equals one if firm leverage is at the top quartile, and zero other-
wise. Panel A reports the results using investment as an outcome; panel B uses instead debt issuance over assets as dependent vari-
able; and panel C reports the results with net equity contributions over assets. Even-numbered columns augment the baseline model
with a set of firm-level controls measured before the crisis and interacted with the Post dummy. These variables are firm size (log of
revenue), growth in revenue, cash flow over assets, ROA, and leverage. The appendix of the RFS paper provides more information
about the variable definitions. Standard errors are clustered at the firm level. *** denotes significance at the 1% level, ** at the 5%
level, and * at the 10% level.
Interaction x Post x PE -0.016 -0.008 0.013 0.014 0.011 0.011 30 See Petersen and Rajan (1994), and Bottero, Lenzu, and Mezzanotti (2020).
(0.016) (0.015) (0.016) (0.015) (0.016) (0.016)
31 We identify these industries using the procedure (RZ index) discussed in Rajan
Interaction variable Small External dependence High leverage and Zingales (1998). In particular, we defined more financially dependent firms as those
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes operating in two-digit SIC industries whose share of capital expenditure that are exter-
Firm fixed effects Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes
nally financed was in the top quartile. In line with the literature, this measure is com-
Firm control No Yes No Yes No Yes
Observations 11,564 11,193 12,469 12,003 12,469 12,003 puted using data available from Compustat for U.S. corporations between 1980 and
Clusters 1,823 1,741 1,981 1,876 1,981 1,876 2008. In particular, for each two-digit SIC industry, we measure the RZ index as the
Adjusted R-squared 0.045 0.063 0.040 0.059 0.051 0.062 median of CAPEX minus cash flows from operations, scaled by CAPEX.
This table reports the estimates from a difference-in-differences fixed effects model, while exploring heterogeneity across resource
availability of PE firms backing the company. The analysis is a cross-section estimated using only the set of PE-backed companies.
High dry powder is a dummy variable equal to one if PE investors are at the top quartile for amount of dry powder at 2007, defined
based on the amount of capital raised but not invested. Note that if a portfolio company has more than one PE firm, we select the
dry powder of the investor with the highest level of dry powder to categorize the syndication of investors. The variable 1(Fund 02-07)
is a dummy variable equal to one if the PE firm raised its latest fund between 2002 and 2007. All specifications contain firm and
year fixed effects. Even-numbered columns augment the baseline model with a set of firm-level controls measured before the crisis
and interacted with the Post dummy. These variables are firm size (log of revenue), growth in revenue, cash flow over assets, ROA,
and leverage. The appendix of the RFS paper provides more information about the variable definitions. Standard errors are clustered
at the firm level. *** denotes significance at the 1% level, ** at the 5% level, and * at the 10% level.
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12)
Investment/assets Net debt iss./assets Net equity contr./assets
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Firm fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Firm controls No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes
Observations 1,582 1,539 1,582 1,539 1,589 1,546 1,589 1,546 1,565 1,527 1,565 1,527
Adjusted R-squared 0.108 0.117 0.106 0.117 0.064 0.068 0.064 0.068 0.028 0.048 0.023 0.044
disruption when credit markets dry up. We found that for advantage for financially constrained firms that were backed
our entire sample of companies, PE-backed and otherwise, by PE firms was larger during the 2008-2009 period than
those in the top quartile of the leverage distribution at the during the next two years.
onset of the crisis in 2007 experienced lower investment
during and after the crisis. But even so, the high-leveraged Do Differences Among PE Groups Explain Differences
companies that were backed by PE investors reduced invest- in Their Companies’ Investment and Funding?
ments significantly less than their non-PE counterparts To further explore the underlying channel of the findings, we
(Table 3, panel A, Columns 5 and 6). In other words, the focused on the differences across PE firms in their financial
presence of a PE investor worked to counterbalance the and operational resources that were available in 2007, at the
negative effect of high leverage on investments.32 onset of the financial crisis.
At the same time, we found that the effect of PE on First, we compared PE groups based on the amount of
debt issuance to be stronger among financially constrained “dry powder” that they had available at the onset of the crisis.
companies (Table 3, panel B), whether arising from small PE firms with more available capital were presumably better
firm size, dependence on external finance, or high leverage. positioned to provide liquidity to their portfolio compa-
In the case of equity contributions, the benefits appeared nies and better able to commit more time and attention to
to be roughly comparable across all PE-backed companies, portfolio companies, since they had deployed less capital. We
from the most to the least financially constrained. And in divided the PE-backed companies into two groups, depend-
still another test, we found that the investment and financing ing on whether their PE investors had dry powder at the top
quartile levels in 2007.
As reported in Table 4, we found that companies whose PE
32 On the other hand, companies that expect to respond more successfully to a
negative credit shock should ex ante employ more debt. Therefore, it is reasonable to
investors had a considerable amount of dry powder at the begin-
think that the results are downward biased. ning of the crisis increased their investment level relatively more.
This table reports several analyses that aim to explore the performance of PE deals. Panel A reports a standard difference-in-differ-
ences fixed effects model exploring various performance measures. All specifications include firm and year fixed effects. In Columns
1 and 2 the outcome is 1-year assets growth; in Columns 3 and 4 is total EBITDA scaled by revenue; in Columns 5 and 6 is ROA.
Standard errors are clustered at the firm level. In panel B, the dependent variable is firm market share, measured as the log of share
of firms’ revenue scaled by total revenue at the level of three-digit SIC industry. Columns 1 and 2 estimate the standard model, but
using only data from 2004 to 2009. Columns 3 and 4 instead uses the full sample period of 2004-2011. Lastly, Columns 5 and
6 report the coefficient from the time-varying regression. Standard errors are clustered at the firm level. In panel C, we report the
marginal value (at the mean) of a conditional logit model, where we study the effect of being a PE-backed company on various exit
outcomes. Even-numbered columns have firm-level controls at 2007. In Columns 1 and 2 the outcome is a dummy equal to one
if the company was the target of an M&A activity in the post-crisis period; in Columns 3 and 4 the outcome is instead a dummy
equal to one if the company was a target of an M&A activity and the company does not exit from the data in the same time frame;
in Columns 5 and 6 the outcome is the dummy equal to one if the company exits the data set in the post-crisis period; lastly in
Columns 7 and 8 the outcome is a dummy if the company exits the data and it reported some financial difficulties before the exit.
Standard errors are clustered by two-digit industry. In the first two panels, even-numbered columns augment the baseline model
with a set of firm-level controls measured before the crisis and interacted with the Post dummy. In the last panel, control variables
are not interacted. These variables are firm size (log of revenue), growth in revenue, cash flow over assets, ROA, and leverage. See
the appendix of the RFS and the paper for more information about the variables. *** denotes significance at the 1% level, ** at the
5% level, and * at the 10% level.
A. Accounting Performance
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Assets growth EBITDA/REV ROA
PE firm x Post 0.148*** 0.124*** -0.009 -0.010 -0.003 -0.004
(0.040) (0.038) (0.013) (0.014) (0.009) (0.008)
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Firm fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Firm controls No Yes No Yes No Yes
Observations 13,180 12,528 12,507 12,137 12,865 12,364
Clusters 1,984 1,878 1,960 1,878 1,984 1,878
R-squared 0.026 0.042 0.001 0.015 0.005 0.041
B. Market Share
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
PE firm x Crisis 0.081** 0.079** 0.050 0.055*
(0.035) (0.034) (0.034) (0.033)
PE firm x y2004 0.039 0.048
(0.057) (0.059)
PE firm x y2005 0.035 0.047
(0.050) (0.049)
PE firm x y2006 -0.035 -0.020
(0.036) (0.035)
PE firm x y2008 0.094*** 0.106***
(0.031) (0.034)
PE firm x y2009 0.072** 0.088***
(0.031) (0.033)
PE firm x y2010 0.039 0.052
(0.037) (0.039)
PE firm x y2011 -0.007 0.005
(0.053) (0.055)
Industry (2-digit) FEs Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Firm controls 2007 Yes Yes Yes Yes
Observations 1,368 1,368 1,368 1,368 1,635 1,635 1,635 1,635
The finding was both statistically and economically significant: their performance. Here we looked at various measures of
a company backed by a top-quartile dry powder PE firm experi- company performance during and after the crisis.
enced a 10% increase in investment over assets relative to the As reported in panel A in Table 5, we found that the
control group. Consistent with this result, we also found this total assets of PE-backed companies grew faster than those
group of PE firms to be more active in financing their portfolio of the matched firms—a pattern that is consistent with prior
companies. Companies financed by top quartile dry powder findings that PE-backed companies decreased their investment
groups had 5% greater debt issuances and, perhaps more impor- relatively less during the crisis.
tant, 7% larger equity injections. Next, we explored a number of operating measures of
As also reported in Table 4, we also found a larger firm performance around the crisis period. Here we found
increase in investment when PE investors had raised funds that PE-backed companies achieved roughly the same level
more recently, suggesting the importance of the availability of of operating margins, as reflected in EBITDA as a percent-
resources for the PE group. We find similarly strong patterns age of revenue (see Column 5) and ROA, defined as net
with respect to debt issuances, which have increased much income over assets (Column 6). We also looked at market
more for companies where the investors had raised a fund share, which earlier studies suggest are one way that compa-
more recently (Columns 7 and 8). Both these effects were nies could have created longer-run value during the crisis.34
both economically and statistically significant.33 To explore this possibility, we examined two other aspects of
Overall, our findings are consistent with the hypothesis the companies’ performance: increases in market share during
that portfolio companies backed by PE investors with more and soon after the crisis; and the patterns of firm exit—both
resources at the onset of the crisis were more likely to increase positive (non-distressed M&A acquisitions) and negative
investments in their portfolio companies during the crisis—a (bankruptcy)—in the post-crisis period.
finding we come back to when discussing our survey of PE
investors at the end. Effects on Market Share
The increase in investment by PE-backed companies has the
Performance and Company Outcomes Analysis potential to increase longer-run profits and value to the extent
In the second main phase of our study, we attempted to it enables the firms to capture larger market share without
understand the longer-term efforts of PE ownership during sacrificing profitability. As reported in panel B of Table 5,
the crisis by examining the operating performance of and after measuring each firm’s sales relative to the total operating
prospects for PE-backed companies. If the investments by revenue in its industry (using the three-digit SIC codes),35 we
PE-backed companies proved to be unwise or wasteful, we found that during the crisis period (2008-2009) PE-backed
would expect such decisions to have had negative effects on companies experienced an 8% increase in market share relative
34 For example, Gilchrist, et al. (2017) show that during the 2008 crisis, less finan-
33 In Table A.9 in the appendix of the RFS paper, we explore heterogeneity across cially constrained firms lowered their prices as an investment to build market share. In
portfolio companies that were backed by a single PE investor versus portfolio companies contrast, financially constrained firms could not pursue such a strategy since they needed
backed by a syndicate of PE investors. A syndicate of PE investors may, on the one hand, the liquidity in the short run to meet their financial obligations.
benefit portfolio companies by enabling access to “deeper pockets,” but, on the other 35 The total operating revenue of the industry is constructed using only medium and
hand, may generate “free riding” and coordination problems within the syndicate. We large firms in the Orbis/Amadeus data, as previously discussed. Results are also similar
find no statistically significant differences between the two types of portfolio companies. using the SIC two-digit industry classification.
This table reports the survey answers of 319 participants. Panel A describes survey participants’ characteristics, and panel B re-
ports the size of assets under management of the funds of survey participants. Panels C and D summarize survey results. Survey
participants received a list of common private equity activities related to firm operations (panel C) and firm financials (panel D).
For each activity, participants answered whether this activity is more or less likely to take place during the 2008 financial crisis,
when compared to normal times. Participants’ answers ranged from significantly more likely (=1), more likely (=2), same (=3),
less likely (=4), and significantly less likely (=5). Column 2 of panels C and D report the average response and the significance
level in which the average response is different from the neutral answer (Same=3). Column 4 reports the fraction of survey par-
ticipants with answer less than 3 (more likely during the crisis); Column 5 reports the fraction of participant responding precisely
3 (same during the crisis); and Column 6 reports the fraction of participants reporting more than 3 (less during the crisis). Figure
A.3 of the appendix of the RFS paper shows the survey questions. *** denotes significance at the 1% level, ** at the 5% level,
and * at the 10% level.
A. Participants Characteristics
Mean Median SD
Partner 0.793 1 0.46
Years of experience (as PE investor) 14.09 13 7.5
Tasks within the fund
Deal making 0.807 1 0.395
Deal sourcing 0.729 1 0.44
Improving portfolio company operations 0.609 1 0.488
Financial structuring of deals 0.644 1 0.479
Fund raising 0.429 0 0.495
C. Operational Activities
Question Observations Avg. response SD More during Same (%) Less during
crisis (%) crisis (%)
1 Assist portfolio companies with their operating problems 319 1.586*** 0.715 89.58 9.45 0.98
2 Provide strategic guidance to portfolio companies 319 1.918*** 0.806 76.55 21.82 1.63
3 Replace CEO or senior executives of portfolio companies 319 2.495*** 0.810 45.93 47.23 6.84
4 Interact frequently with the management of the portfolio 319 1.778*** 0.698 84.36 15.64 0.00
company
5 Connect companies with potential customers, suppliers, or 319 2.456*** 0.737 47.23 49.51 3.26
strategic partners
6 Connect companies with potential investors 319 2.830*** 0.924 32.25 47.23 20.52
7 Help companies hire managers 319 2.615*** 0.702 37.46 56.68 5.86
8 Provide stronger incentive-based compensation to manage- 319 2.690*** 0.708 31.27 61.89 6.84
ment in portfolio company
9 Search for a potential buyer 319 3.508 1.101 19.87 22.80 57.33
10 Increase frequency of board meetings per year 319 2.521*** 0.653 41.37 57.98 0.65
operating problems during the crisis. And roughly 85% of What was the private equity advantage during the
the respondents reported that PE investors were more likely crisis? In the final part of our survey, we asked PE inves-
to interact frequently with portfolio companies during the tors which factors they believed were most instrumental in
crisis, and 77% said that such investors provided more strate- assisting portfolio companies during the crisis. Our partici-
gic guidance during that time period. There was less consensus pants’ responses emphasized the value of majority control and
on the particular forms such operating guidance assumed, private ownership that does not require scrutiny from public
which included hiring managers, connecting to investors, and equity markets. Both of these factors were seen as critical to
finding strategic partners. the ability of PE investors to engage in operational engineer-
Overall, these responses suggest that PE investors were ing and to assist the portfolio companies during the crisis. At
more involved and engaged with firm operations during the the same time, many respondents noted that the long invest-
crisis—which in turn sheds light on the underlying mecha- ment horizon of PE investors was perhaps equally important,
nisms that led to the increased investment and market share enabling PE investors to make significant changes.
of portfolio companies during the crisis. Survey participants also cited the importance of PE inves-
Financing Activities. As reported in panel D of Table tors’ access to banks in facilitating the restructuring of debt.
6, 90% of our respondents also viewed PE investors as The repeated interaction of banks and PE investors, besides
more likely to help their portfolio companies with financ- their value in limiting information asymmetries faced by
ing challenges. More specifically, nearly 90% of our survey investors, was said to provide additional cross-selling oppor-
participants highlighted the renegotiation of debt obligations tunities for banks, which in turn increases the incentives of
and more than 80% emphasized increased interactions with banks to provide liquidity to PE-backed companies during
bankers and lawyers regarding the financial structure of the the crisis and renegotiate debt obligations.
portfolio companies. Interestingly, almost 80% of our respon- Finally, PE firms’ dry powder during the crisis was identi-
dents reported that their own firms were more likely to inject fied as critical to its role in assisting portfolio companies
equity into their portfolio companies during the crisis, and during the crisis. At the same time, however, the possible
60% helped in raising debt financing—again, all completely roles of high leverage and the strong financial incentives of
consistent with our empirical findings. managers in encouraging the operating efficiency of portfolio
Also consistent with the above, our survey respondents companies were viewed as relatively unimportant.
reported that PE investors were less likely to search and evalu-
ate new investments during this period. They were mostly
focusing on operating and financing challenge in their existing crisis relative to smaller funds. We find no differences across almost all dimensions. The
only two exceptions were that investors in larger funds were more likely to increase the
companies.40 frequency of board meetings and buy back public debt. Both differences may arise be-
cause these investors were more likely to acquire larger companies, in which communi-
cation was more formal (through board meetings) and more likely to have issued public
40 Table A.13 in the appendix of the RFS paper explores whether survey participants debt. We repeat the exercise by dividing investors by experience. We do not find signifi-
of large funds (above $5B in assets under management) behaved differently during the cant or economically meaningful differences in their responses.
.1
biased by attrition. As usual with panel data, endogenous exit
through acquisition or bankruptcy may bias the results. First,
we note that the shift in investment and financing policies
0
while firm exit only took place later. We can also illustrate
−.1
concerns is to focus only on firms that did not exit the sample. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Year
We take this conservative approach and drop every firm that
exited the database before 2011. This approach leads to PE Non−PE
This figure reports the survey answers of 319 participants. Survey participants received a list of common private equity activities
related to firm operations (panel A) and firm financials (panel B). For each activity, participants answered whether this activity is more
or less likely to take place during the 2008 financial crisis, when compared to normal times. Participants’ answers ranged from sig-
nificantly more likely (=1), more likely (=2), same (=3), less likely (=4), and significantly less likely (=5). Both figures illustrate the
fraction of survey participants with answers less than 3 (more likely during the crisis), answers equal 3 (same during the crisis), and
answers greater than 3 (less during the crisis). Figure A.3 of the appendix of the RFS paper presents the survey questions.
This figure reports the survey answers of 319 participants. Survey participants were presented with a list of various aspects of private
equity firms’ structure and investments, and were asked to answer which aspects were most useful for portfolio companies to weather
the crisis. The distribution of the responses is provided in the figure. The survey questions are presented in Figure A.2 of the Appendix.
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