Prediktor Pneumonia
Prediktor Pneumonia
Prediktor Pneumonia
Abstract
Background: Viruses are increasingly recognized as major causes of community-
acquired pneumonia (CAP). Few studies have investigated the clinical predictors of
viral pneumonia, and the results have been inconsistent. In this study, the clinical
predictors of viral pneumonia were investigated in terms of their utility as indicators
for viral pneumonia in patients with CAP.
Methods: Adult patients ($18 years old) with CAP, tested by polymerase chain
reaction (PCR) for respiratory virus, at two teaching hospitals between October
2010 and May 2013, were identified retrospectively. Demographic and clinical data
OPEN ACCESS were collected by reviewing the hospital electronic medical records.
Citation: Kim JE, Kim UJ, Kim HK, Cho SK, An Results: During the study period, 456 patients with CAP were identified who met
JH, et al. (2014) Predictors of Viral Pneumonia in
Patients with Community-Acquired the definition, and 327 (72%) patients were tested using the respiratory virus PCR
Pneumonia. PLoS ONE 9(12): e114710. doi:10.
detection test. Viral pneumonia (n560) was associated with rhinorrhea, a higher
1371/journal.pone.0114710
lymphocyte fraction in the white blood cells, lower serum creatinine and ground-
Editor: James D. Chalmers, University of Dundee,
United Kingdom glass opacity (GGO) in radiology results, compared to non-viral pneumonia
Received: July 20, 2014 (n5250) (p,0.05, each). In a multivariate analysis, rhinorrhea (Odd ratio (OR) 3.52;
Accepted: November 12, 2014 95% Confidence interval (CI), 1.58–7.87) and GGO (OR 4.68; 95% CI, 2.48–8.89)
Published: December 22, 2014 were revealed as independent risk factors for viral pneumonia in patients with CAP.
Copyright: ß 2014 Kim et al. This is an open-
The sensitivity, specificity, positive- and negative-predictive values (PPV and NPV)
access article distributed under the terms of the of rhinorrhea were 22, 91, 36 and 83%: the sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV of
Creative Commons Attribution License, which
permits unrestricted use, distribution, and repro- GGO were and 43, 84, 40 and 86%, respectively.
duction in any medium, provided the original author Conclusion: Symptom of rhinorrhea and GGO predicted viral pneumonia in
and source are credited.
patients with CAP. The high specificity of rhinorrhea and GGO suggested that these
Data Availability: The authors confirm that all data
underlying the findings are fully available without could be useful indicators for empirical antiviral therapy.
restriction. All relevant data are within the paper
and its Supporting Information files.
Funding: The authors have no support or funding
to report.
Competing Interests: The authors have declared
that no competing interests exist.
Introduction
CAP remains a significant cause of morbidity and mortality [1, 2]. The
development and application of diagnostic tests with improved sensitivity, such as
the polymerase chain reaction (PCR), have led to recognition of the increasing
role of respiratory viruses in CAP in all age groups [3]. These common respiratory
viruses include influenza, parainfluenza viruses, adenoviruses, coronaviruses,
respiratory syncytial viruses (RSV), metapneumoviruses and bocaviruses [4–6].
Evidence of viral infection was detected in 22% of CAP in adults [7]. Moreover,
viruses were frequently found in the airways of patients requiring admission to
intensive care units (ICU) with pneumonia, and patients with viral and bacterial
infections had comparable mortality rates [7–11].
There are a number of studies on the subject of antiviral treatment for viral
infections. Several studies showed the efficacy of antiviral agents including
oseltamivir, zanamivir, amantadine and ribavirin [10, 12–17]. But, the Cochrane
review of randomized controlled trials of antiviral agents does not demonstrate
efficacy in the treatment of influenza [18]. However, the original studies included
in the Cochrane review did not include people with severe underlying disorders or
patients with a severe presentation of influenza. For this reason, no conclusion can
be made on the efficacy of antiviral treatment for viral pneumonia by the
Cochrane review [19]. There is evidence of efficacy in the treatment of influenza
pneumonia [20–22], and early empirical antiviral therapy is still recommended in
critically ill patients in whom viral pneumonia is suspected [7].
Although viral pneumonia is increasingly recognized as a major cause of CAP
and early antiviral therapy can reduce mortality, few studies have investigated the
clinical predictors of viral pneumonia, and the results have been inconsistent [23–
26]. Moreover, evaluations of the diagnostic value of any clinical parameters,
including sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values, have
not been performed. Although PCR methods are sensitive and real-time PCR
enables rapid results in a clinically relevant time period, use of PCR is sometimes
limited in CAP patients due to the associated costs [27]. This highlights the need
for clinical predictors of viral infections in patients with CAP.
In this study, we describe the clinical parameters of viral pneumonia that would
be useful in the development of diagnostic tests for respiratory viruses and early
empirical antiviral treatment in patients with CAP.
Patients
Adult patients ($18 years old) with CAP, who had tested for respiratory viruses
by PCR in hospitalized patients and out-patients at Chonnam National University
Hospital (900 beds, Gwang-ju, Republic of Korea) and Chonnam National
University Hwasun Hospital (600 beds, Hwasun, Republic of Korea) between
October 2010 and May 2013, were retrospectively identified. A case report form
(CRF) was recorded at the time of admission for all pneumonia patients, which
included clinical symptoms, underlying diseases, vital signs, CURB-65 score (the
confusion, urea, respiratory rate, blood pressure, and aged 65 years or over score),
and score on the pneumonia severity index (PSI). We reviewed the CRF which
was stored in the hospital’s electronic medical records.
Definition
Pneumonia was defined as an acute illness with radiographic pulmonary
infiltration, with at least one of the following being present: fever .38 ˚C, WBC
.12,000/mm3 or ,6,000/mm3, and change in the mental status in elderly patients
over the age of 70 years [24]. CAP is defined as pneumonia acquired outside a
hospital or long-term care facility. It occurs within at least 48 hours of hospital
admission or in a patient presenting with pneumonia who does not have any of
the characteristics of health care-associated pneumonia (i.e., hospitalized in an
acute care hospital for two or more days within 90 days of infection; residing in a
nursing home or long-term care facility having received recent intravenous
antibiotic therapy; undergoing chemotherapy; chronic dialysis within the past 30
days; or wound care within the past 30 days of the current infection). The
exclusion criteria were solid organ transplantation and anyone with a diagnosis of
active tuberculosis or a fungal infection [28]. In this study, the viral pneumonia
was confirmed by respiratory viruses multiplex PCR using respiratory specimens
of the patients. Classification of radiologic findings was three types by chest
computerized tomography (CT) confirmed by one clinician and two radiologists;
lobar consolidation, centrilobular nodule, GGO.
Viral pneumonia was diagnosed using the Influenza Antigen Rapid Test kit (SD
BIOLINE, Young-in, Republic of Korea), the Anyplex II RV16 detection kit
(Seegene, Seoul, Republic of Korea), or a multiplex virus RT-PCR. Viruses that
can be diagnosed using the above equipment include influenza viruses A and B;
adenoviruses; RSV A and B; parainfluenza viruses 1, 2, and 3; coronaviruses 229E,
NL63, and OC43; metapneumoviruses; rhinoviruses; enteroviruses; and boca-
viruses. This test is generally done using specimens from nasopharyngeal/
oropharyngeal swabs, sputum, or transtracheal aspirate. The sensitivity and the
specificity of the multiplex PCR kit used in this study are reported to be 95.2%
and 98.6% [29].
Pneumococcal pneumonia was diagnosed when Streptococcus pneumoniae was
isolated from a normally sterile blood or sputum, or the urine antigen assay for S.
pneumoniae (Alere BinaxNOW, Young-in, Korea) was positive. Microbiological
Statistical analyses
Categorical variables were compared using Fisher’s exact test or the Pearson x2
test, and continuous variables were compared using Student’s t-test or Mann-
Whitney U-test, as appropriate. Multivariate analyses were performed using the
logistic regression model in the backward stepwise conditional manner.
All significance tests were two-tailed, and p-values #0.05 were deemed to
indicate statistical significance. Statistical analyses were performed using the SPSS
software version 21.0 (IBM Corporation, Armonk, NY, USA).
Results
Etiology of CAP
During the study period, 456 patients with CAP were identified who met the
definition, and 327 (72%) patients were tested with the respiratory virus PCR.
Among the 327 patients, an etiologic diagnosis could be established in 204 cases
(62%). In this study, 317 patients were tested using specimens from
nasopharyngeal swabs or sputum, with the exception of 10 patients who were
intubated at admission using specimens from transtracheal aspirate.
Among 327 patients, respiratory viruses were detected in 60 (18%) patients,
while 250 (76%) patients were diagnosed with non-viral pneumonia with negative
PCR results, and 17 (5%) patients were diagnosed as being co-infected with a
virus and bacteria. Co-infected patients (n517, 5%) were excluded from the
study.
Among the 60 patients with respiratory viruses, influenza viruses was most
common (n523, 38%). Other etiological agents included RSV (n59, 15%),
rhinoviruses (n57, 12%), coronaviruses (n56, 10%), adenoviruses (n55, 8%),
metapneumoviruses (n55, 8%), parainfluenza viruses (n53. 5%) and bocaviruses
(n52, 3%).
Among 250 cases of non-viral pneumonia, Streptococcus pneumoniae pathogen
was most common (n588, 35%). Other etiological pathogen included
Mycoplasma pneumoniae (n510, 4%), Klebsiella pneumoniae (n57, 3%),
Staphylococcus aureus (n55, 2%), Haemophilus influenza (n55, 2%), Escherichia
coli (n53, 1%), Pseudomonas aeruginosa (n52, 1%), Moraxella catarrhalis (n51,
,1%), Proteus mirabilis (n51, ,1%) and Peptostreptococcus spp. (n55, 2%).
Table 1. Clinical features and outcomes of 310 patients with viral or non-viral community-acquired pneumonia.
Continuous variables were expressed as means ¡ SDsa or medians (IQRs)b and were compared by the Student’s t testa or Mann-Whitney U testb.
CURB-65: Confusion-Urea-Respiratory-Blood pressure-65 score, PSI: Pneumonia severity index, ICU: Intensive care unit.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0114710.t001
Table 2. Laboratory and radiological findings of 310 cases of viral or non-viral community-acquired pneumonia.
Continuous variables were expressed as medians (IQRs)a and were compared by Mann-Whitney U testa. GGO: Ground-glass opacity.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0114710.t002
Discussion
In this study, rhinorrhea and the GGO radiologic pattern were independently
associated with viral pneumonia, and were specific predictors of viral pneumonia
in patients with CAP.
The use of highly sensitive diagnostic tests in CAP patients increased the
number of microbiological diagnoses and enabled identification of viral infection,
despite an unknown etiology in ,50% of cases [32]. It is estimated that 100
million cases of viral pneumonia occur each year [30]. The prevalence of viral
infection was 22–33% in CAP, and influenza viruses accounted for most cases of
viral pneumonia (6–8% of CAP) [7, 25, 32]. In this study, viral infection was
detected in 18% of CAP, slightly lower than reported previously, but influenza
pneumonia accounted for 7% of CAP, which is similar to previous reports. The
slightly lower value for viral pneumonia is possibly due to a delay in applying the
diagnostic tests for the virus because this study was performed across two referral
centers, not primary care clinics.
Previous studies have demonstrated that the PSI score, ICU admission, need of
mechanical ventilation and mortality rate were not different between bacterial and
viral pneumonia [26]. Our results were consistent with previous findings, and no
differences in severity of disease and mortality were observed between viral and
bacterial CAP.
Previous studies showed some clinical parameters associated with viral
pneumonia in patients with CAP, however, the results were inconsistent; age and
an immunocompetent host were associated with viral pneumonia in some studies
[33, 34], but not in others [25]. The presence of a cough was associated with a
higher incidence of viral pneumonia in one study [25], but in another study, it
was associated with a lower frequency of a dry cough [26]. Several studies showed
that purulent sputum, high fever, chest pain, an altered mental state, and dyspnea
Table 3. Clinical features, outcomes, laboratory and radiological findings of influenza pneumonia, compared to pneumococcal pneumonia.
Continuous variables were expressed as means ¡ SDsa or medians (IQRs)b and were compared by the Student’s t test a or Mann-Whitney U testb
CURB-65: Confusion-Urea-Respiratory-Blood pressure-65 score, PSI: Pneumonia severity index, GGO: Ground-glass opacity.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0114710.t003
Table 4. Independently associated factors for viral pneumonia in patients with community-acquired pneumonia.
Logistic regression analysis without variable Logistic regression analysis with backward conditional variable
Risk Factor selection selection
OR 95% CI P value OR 95% CI P value
Lower Upper Lower Upper
Rhinorrhea 3.59 1.59 8.10 0.002 3.52 1.58 7.87 0.002
Lymphocyte % 1.01 0.98 1.04 0.436
Creatinine 0.63 0.39 1.02 0.629
GGO 4.35 2.27 8.34 ,0.001 4.68 2.46 8.89 ,0.001
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0114710.t004
viral and non-viral CAP [26]. We found no differences in WBC count and CRP
levels between viral and non-viral CAP, and these parameters were not helpful in
differentiating the two. Univariate analysis showed that viral pneumonia was
associated only with a significantly lower concentration of serum creatinine and a
Fig. 1. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves of rhinorrhea and ground glass opacity in chest imaging as a predictor of viral pneumonia
in 310 patients with community-acquired pneumonia. GGO: ground glass opacity. Area under the curve: (a) rhinorrhea, 0.562 (95% CI, 0.477–0.647); (b)
GGO, 0.639 (95% CI, 0.555–0.723); (c) GGO or rhinorrhea, 0.672 (95% CI, 0.592–0.751).
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0114710.g001
Supporting Information
S1 Table. Clinical features and outcomes of 295 patients with viral or non-viral
community-acquired pneumonia. Continuous variables were expressed as means
¡ SDsa or medians (IQRs)b and were compared by the Student’s t testa or Mann-
Whitney U testb. CURB-65: Confusion-Urea-Respiratory-Blood pressure-65
score, PSI: Pneumonia severity index, ICU: Intensive care unit.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0114710.s001 (DOCX)
S2 Table. Laboratory and radiological findings of 295 cases of viral or non-viral
community-acquired pneumonia. Continuous variables were expressed as
medians (IQRs)a and were compared by Mann-Whitney U testa. GGO: Ground-
glass opacity.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0114710.s002 (DOCX)
S3 Table. Independently associated factors for viral pneumonia in patients
with community-acquired pneumonia. GGO: ground glass opacity.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0114710.s003 (DOCX)
Acknowledgments
Disclaimer: There were no conflicts of interest, and no financial support was
received for this study.
Presented in part: ID Week 2014, Philadelphia, October 8–12, 2014 (abstract
no. 792).
Author Contributions
Conceived and designed the experiments: HCJ. Performed the experiments: JEK.
Analyzed the data: JEK HCJ. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: UJK
HKK SKC JHA SJK KHP. Wrote the paper: JEK SIJ HCJ.
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