Full Thesis
Full Thesis
Full Thesis
By
Muskan Thapa
Shanker Dev Campus
T.U. Regd. No. 7-2-355-65-2000
Campus Roll No. : 235/061
Kathmandu, Nepal
November, 2008
1
RECOMMENDATION
This is to certify that the Thesis
Submitted by:
Muskan Thapa
Entitled:
A COMPARATIVE STUDY ON INVESTMENT
PRACTICES OF COMMERCIAL BANKS
(With Special Reference to NABIL Bank Limited, Standard Chartered Bank
Nepal Limited and Himalayan Bank Limited)
has been prepared as approved by this Department in the prescribed format of the
Faculty of Management. This thesis is forwarded for examination.
………………………… .……….….…….………
Kishor Maharjan Dr. Kamal Deep Dhakal
(Thesis Supervisor) (Campus Chief)
2
VIVA-VOCE SHEET
by
Muskan Thapa
Entitled:
A COMPARATIVE STUDY ON INVESTMENT
PRACTICES OF COMMERCIAL BANKS
(With Special Reference to NABIL Bank Limited, Standard Chartered Bank
Nepal Limited and Himalayan Bank Limited)
And found the thesis to be the original work of the student and written
according to the prescribed format. We recommend the thesis to
be accepted as partial fulfillment of the requirement for
Viva-Voce Committee
3
TRIBHUVAN UNIVERSITY
Faculty of Management
DECLARATION
………………………………
Muskan Thapa
Researcher
T.U. Registration No. 7-2-355-65-2000
Campus Roll No. : 235/061
4
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
First of all, I would like to thank Tribhuvan University for giving chance to
prepare the thesis for a partial requirement to the fulfillment of M.B.S. program
held under Tribhuvan University.
I also owe an indebtedness to all reputed authors whose writings have provided me
the necessary guidance and invaluable materials for the enrichment of my research
paper in all possible ways. I would like to express my genuine appreciation to all
the staff of Shanker Dev Campus, Central Library Staff and Security Board
Library that provide me necessary information & data. And also express my
gratitude to the staff of various corporate bodies who bigheartedly made accessible
the requisites information.
At last but not least, my paramount dedication is to my family members and friend
Mr. Suresh Raut and Mr. Prakash Dhakal who have been uninterrupted source of
sustain for me while in during the tribulation of this research work.
I have tried to cover all the possible matters that I felt, important to sum up the “A
Comparative Study on Investment Practices of Commercial Banks (With
Special Reference to NABIL Bank Limited, Standard Chartered Bank Nepal
Limited and Himalayan Bank Limited)”. I am hopeful that this task will be
helpful to the students of business studies & to those who want to make further
researchers under this topic.
Muskan Thapa
5
Researcher
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Acknowledgement
Table of Contents
List of Tables
List of Figures
Abbreviations
Page No.
CHAPTER – I INTRODUCTION
1.1 General Background of the Study 1
1.1.1 Profile of the Concern Banks 5
1.2 Focus of the Study 8
1.3 Statement of Problem 9
1.4 Objective of the Study 11
1.5 Scope of the Study 11
1.6 Significance of the Study 12
1.7 Limitation of the Study 13
1.8 Scheme of the Study 13
6
2.4 Research Gap 43
CHAPTER – III RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Research Design 45
3.2 Population and Sample 46
3.3 Nature and Sources of Data 46
3.4 Methods of Analysis 47
3.4.1 Financial Tools 47
3.4.2 Statistical Tools 54
Bibliography
Appendix
7
LIST OF TABLES
8
4.22 Correlation between Deposit and Total Investment 87
4.23 Co-efficient of Correlation between Outside Assets and
Net Profit 89
4.24 Trend Value of Total Deposit 91
4.25 Trend Value of Total Investment 92
4.26 Trend Value of Net Profit (Rs in million) 94
9
LIST OF FIGURES
10
AB B RE VI AT I O NS
11
CHAPTER - I
INTRODUCTION
Financial institutions are the back bone of the economic development of any
country. A small financial institution is a vital contributor to the financial health of
the national economic. The financial institutions are often fragile and susceptible
to failure because of poor management, particularly financial management.
National development of any economic development is supported by financial
infrastructure of that country. Financial infrastructure indicates the financial
strength, position and environment of the institutions. The various branches of
bank in towns and villages offering various types of services. In past, they just
used to accept deposits from the saver of money and give loan to the users of
money. Savers of the money are those units whose earning exceeds expenditure on
12
real assets and user of money are those units whose expenditure on real assets
exceeds their earnings.
Banking plays a significant role in the development of national economic is a
financial institution which primary classes in borrowing and lending. Modern bank
prefers varieties of function; therefore it is difficult to decide the function of a
modern bank because of their complexity and versatility in operation. Various
authors have defined the word "Bank" in different ways. "A commercial bank is
dealer in money and it substitutes for money such a check or a bills of exchange,
he also provides a variety of financial service" (The new Encyclopedia of
Britannica, 1985: 600: Vol. 4).
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dealer in money and it substitutes for money such a check or a bills of exchange,
he also provides a variety of financial service" (The new Encyclopedia of
Britannica, 1985: 600: Vol. 4).
Only in 1990 A.D. after restoration of democracy, the government took the liberal
policy in banking sector. As an open policy of Nepal Government to get
permission to invest in banking sector from private & foreign investor under
commercial bank act 1975AD. , different private banks are getting permission to
establish with the joint venture of other countries. The development of
Commercial Bank’s in Nepal is categorized in three phases on the basis of
financial institutions policies adopted by the country from time to time.
Now, there are 25 commercial banks in operation. Among them two are under
government control and other 15 are private and joint venture banks. One of the
most important achievements of the growth of commercial banks is domestic
14
savings. Joint Venture Banks (JVB’s) gave a new horizon to the financial sector of
the country. They were expected to bring the foreign capital, technology,
experience, healthy competition, expertise and skills in Nepal. The following table
below shows in a chronological order a list of the licensed commercial banks and
their branches operating in Nepal.
Table 1.1
List of Licensed Commercial Banks
S.N. Commercial Banks Established Date Head Office
1. Nepal Bank Ltd. 1937/11/15 Kathmandu
2. Rastriya Banijya Bank 1966/01/23 Kathmandu
3. Nabil Bank 1984/07/16 Kathmandu
4. Nepal Investment Bank Ltd. 1986/02/27 Kathmandu
5. Standard Chartered Bank 1987/01/30 Kathmandu
6. Himalayan Bank Ltd. 1993/01/18 Kathmandu
7. Nepal Bangladesh Bank 1993/06/05 Kathmandu
8. Nepal SBI Bank Ltd. 1993/07/07 Kathmandu
9. Everest Bank Ltd. 1994/10/18 Kathmandu
10. Bank of Kathmandu Ltd. 1995/03/12 Kathmandu
11. Nepal Credit and Commercial Bank 1996/10/14 Siddhartha Nagar
12. Lumbini Bank Ltd. 1998/07/17 Naryanghat
13. Nepal Industrial and Commercial Bank Ltd. 1998/07/2 Biratnagar
14 Macchapuchhre Bank Ltd. 2000/10/03 Kathmandu
15. Kumari Bank Ltd 2001/04/03 Pokhara
16. Laxmi Bank Ltd. 2002/04/03 Kathmandu
17. Siddhartrha Bank Ltd 2002/12/24 Kathmandu
18 Agricultural Development Bank Ltd. 1968/01/02 Kathmandu
19 Global Bank Ltd. 2007/01/02 Birgunj, Parsa
20 Citizen Bank Ltd. 2007/06/21 Kathmandu
21 Prime Bank Ltd. 2007/09/24 Kathmandu
22 Sunrise Bank Ltd. 2007/10/12 Kathmandu
23 Bank of Asia Nepal Ltd. 2007/10/12 Kathmandu
24 NMB Bank Ltd. 2008/05/02 Kathmandu
25 Development Credit Bank Ltd. 2008/05/25 Kathmandu
15
Source: http://brf.nrb.org.np
In the study of this thesis, three banks are selected and explained in detail of them
in below:
The promoters and their shares holding patterns of Nabil Bank Ltd are as follows:
National Bank Limited, Bangladesh - 50.00%
Financial Institutions - 20.00%
Nepalese Public - 30.00%
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4,916,544 ordinary share @ Rs. 100 per share = Rs. 491,654,400.
The bank has changed its name as Nabil Bank Ltd. The bank expanded its banking
services towards the different regions and part of the country by establishing
altogether seventeen branches in urban as well as rural areas of the country.
Besides banking facilities it provides other facilities too, they are given as:
Tele Banking
Credit Card Facilities
Safe Deposit Locker
International Trade and Bank Guarantee
Western Union Money Transfer
SWIFT (Society for Worldwide Inter bank financial Tele-communication)
ATM (Automatic Teller machine)
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Share Capital of Himalayan Bank Ltd.
a. Authorized capital
10,000,000 ordinary shares @ Rs.100 per share = Rs. 1000,000,000.
b. Issued capital
6,500,000 ordinary shares @ Rs. 100 per share = Rs. 6500000
c. Paid up capital
5362500 ordinary share @ Rs. 100 per share = Rs. 536250000
Besides banking facilities it provides other facilities too, they are given as:
Tele Banking
Credit Card Facilities
Safe Deposit Locker
International Trade and Bank Guarantee
Western Union Money Transfer
SWIFT (Society for Worldwide Inter bank financial Tele-communication)
ATM (Automatic Teller machine)
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Share Capital of SCBNL
a. Authorized capital
10,000,000 ordinary shares @ Rs.100 per share = Rs. 1000,000,000.
b. Issued capital
5,000,000 ordinary shares @ Rs. 100 per share = Rs. 500,000,000.
c. Paid up capital
4,132,548 ordinary share @ Rs. 100 per share = Rs. 413,254,800.
The study focuses on the problems of resources mobilization and proper utilization
of such resources by the joint venture commercial banks of Nepal. viz. NABIL,
SCBNL and HBL. This study consists, mainly, the study of investment policies
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and rifled on the position of Joint Venture Commercial Bank's deposits and
allocation of it on different sectors of the economy.
The focus of this study is also to provide the information to the management,
shareholders, investors and customers, general public, competitors as well as those
concern parties who want to know the operating efficiency and financial position
of a bank.
Investment greatly depends on saving behavior of citizens but the saving rate of
Nepalese is very low because most of the citizens are below the poverty level.
They don’t have enough income for daily consumption. Some people hardly save
some money but they want to save for the future. Only few people invest in
industries. People must be motivated to use their savings and mobilize their excess
fund in economic activities.
Commercial banks are fond of making loans only on short term basis against
moveable merchandise. There is hesitation to invest on long term projects because
they are much more safety minded. So, they follow conservative loan policy,
which is based on strong security. They are found to be more interested in
investing in less risky and highly liquid sectors i.e. treasury bills, development
bonds and other securities. They keep high liquid position and flow lower fund to
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the productive sectors, this results into lower profitability to commercial banks and
ignorance to the national economic growth process.
Profit is must to a bank, not only from the point of view of bank but also from the
view of shareholders and depositors. And profit is only possible if the bank makes
proper and safe investment policy. Every bank must make profit to survive in the
competitive market where there is excess money and very little investment
opportunity exists. Therefore, appropriate investment policy is the basic function
of all the commercial banks, joint venture banks and other financial institutions.
21
3. To what extent has affect the total earning of the bank?
4. Are they maintaining sufficient liquidity position?
22
The scope of the study lies mainly in filling a research gap on the study of
investment policy of commercial banks. The study is basically confined to
reviewing the investment policy of commercial banks in the five year period. The
study is expected to definitely provide a useful feedback to the policy makers of
commercial banks of Nepal, and also to the government and the central bank in
formulating appropriate strategies for the improvement in the performance of
commercial banks.
As mentioned above, there are many loopholes in the in the investment policies of
commercial banks of Nepal which affects their performance to the great extent. It
becomes every body's concern when their performance doesn't see so satisfactory
in terms of utilizing its resource efficiently in productive sectors. The study of
commercial banks investment policy focusing on interest rate structure, portfolio
management and credit management will strive to disclose the internal weakness
and furnish the ideas for improvement. Therefore, the researcher has undertaken
23
the study to analyze the existing investment policy of commercial banks and point
out the defects inherent in it and provide package of suggestions for its
improvement.
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The first chapter entitled “Introduction” introduces the subject, present the
research problem, reason for studying, objective of the study, along with
limitation.
The second chapter entitled “Review of Literature” concerned with the study of
investment patterns have been reviews & presented.
The third chapter discussed the “Research Methodology” used in the study. It
comprises research design, nature & source of data, data gathering method and
analytical tools used.
The fourth chapter deals with the “Presentation & Analysis” of data & scoring the
empirical finding out the study through definite course of research methodology.
The last chapter i.e. “Summary, Conclusion and Recommendations” of the study,
which is followed by the basic conclusion of the study based in the fourth chapter
on the basic of these conclusion and recommendation has also been presented for
consideration.
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CHAPTER-II
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
Review of literature is the study of past research studies and relevant materials. It
is an advancement of existing knowledge and in-depth study of subject matter. It
starts with a search of a suitable topic and continues throughout the volumes of
similar or related subjects. It is very rare to find out completely new problem. In
literature review, researcher takes hints from past dissertation but he or she should
take heed of replication. Literature review means reviewing research studies and
other pertinent prepositions in the related area of the study so that all the past
studies their conclusions and deficiencies and further research take place. It is a
vital and mandatory process in research works. During the review of this research,
in depth study and theoretical investigation regarding Investment Policy aspects
and their present application and potentialities made. Investment “Range of
investment held by an investor, company etc”(Oxford Dictionary: 1994). Hence,
in this chapter, the focus has been made on the review of literature relevant to the
investment policy of commercial banks in Nepal. For this study, different Journals,
Article, Books, Annual reports, and some research paper related with this topic has
been reviewed.
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for the development of industry, trade and business and other resource deficit
sectors by investing the saving collected as deposits. Besides these commercial
banks renders numerous services to their customer in view of facilitating their
economic and social life. Commercial banks, play active roles, have changed the
economic structure of the world. Thus the commercial banks become the heart of
financial system.
"Bank is a financial intermediary accepting deposits and granting loans, offer the
widest menu of services of any financial institutions" (Rose, 2002:4).
27
traveler’s cheques, credit cards, debit cards, ATM, LC, gift cheques or vouchers. It
can also act as a referee and guarantor of its customers.
"The commercial bank pool together the saving of the community and arrange for
their productive use. They supply the financial need of the modern business. They
accept the deposits from the public which are repayable on demand or on short
notice. They can not afford to invest their funds in long term securities or loans.
Their business is restricted to financing the short term needs of trade and industry.
They provide the working capital required by the industries in their day to day
transactions. They grant the loan in the form of cash credit and over draft. They
also render a number of subsidiary services such as collection of bills and cheques,
safe keeping of the valuables of their customers etc. Commercial Banks deals with
other people's money. They have to find out the ways of keeping their assets liquid
so that they could meet the demands of their customers. In their anxiety to make
profits, the bank can not afford to lock up their funds in assets which are not easily
realizable. The depositor must be made to understand that the bank is fully
solvent. The depositors' confidence could be secured only if the bank is able to
meet the demand for cash promptly and fully. The banker has to keep adequate
cash for this purpose" (Radhaswamy, 1979:495).
“The role of banks is more significant in financing the private sector. It is true that
the growth of private sectors solely depend upon banking. Banking is the mother
industry that caters to the development of industry, trade and commerce. In a rapid
developing economy the banker has to play a more effective role in national
reconstruction. After all banking can be said to be the basic activity in planning.
Bank advances and investments are indicatives of the role played by them in the
economic development of the country” (Desai, 1967:7).
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2.1.2 Investments
The word investment sounds very good & attractive that is why every individual
in the world is interested in it. In Layman’s sense, there is always a return if there
is investment. This may be favorable as well as unfavorable to the investor’s stand
point.
The word "Investment" sounds very good, attractive and prestigious too. The form
"Investment" has primary significance in financial sector, which refers to the
process of determining the proper area in order to lodge a firm's fund to procure
expected gain or profit known as the favorable return by its maximum utility at
minimized risks. In laymen's sense, there is always a return if there is investment.
This return may favorable as well as unfavorable to the investor's standpoint.
"A distinction is often made between investments and saving. Saving is defined as
foregone consumption, investment is restricted to "real" investment of the sort that
increases national output in the future" (W.J Sharpe and G.J Alexander, 4th
Edition: 1).
29
enhance their future consumption possibilities i.e. It is invested to increase wealth.
Investors also seek to manage their wealth effectively obtaining the most form it,
while protecting it form inflation, taxes and factors.
Easily, the amount of risk is uncertain as well. Investment in its broad sense means
the sacrifice of current money for future money. Two different attributers are
generally involved time and risk. The sacrifice takes place in present and in
certain. The reward comes later, if at all and the magnitude is generally uncertain.
In some case, the elements of time predominate (For e.g. Government bonds in
1994).
Investment brings forth vision of profit, risk, speculation & wealth. For the
uninformed, investing may result in disaster. In general sense; investment means
to pay out money to get more. But in the broadest sense, investment means the
sacrifice of current money for future money. Two different attributes are generally
involved time & risk. The sacrifice takes place in the present and is certain. The
reward comes later, if at all, and the magnitude is generally uncertain (Sharpe,
Alexander & Baily, 2003:1). Shrestha (2002) write investment as utilization of
saving for something that is expected to produce profit or benefits. Investment is
employment of funds with the aim of achieving addition income or growth in
value. It involves the commitment of resources that have been saved or put away
from current consumption, in the hope that some benefits will accrue in the future.
Investment generally involves real assets and financial assets. Real assets
investment involves some kinds of tangible assets such as building, land,
machinery, factory etc. and financial assets investment are pieces of paper
representing an indirect claim to real assets held by someone else. Real assets are
generally less liquid than financial assets.
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According to Reilly “ Investment is the current commitment of funds for a period
of time to derive a future flow of funds that will compensate the investing unit for
the time funds are committed, for the expected rate of inflation and also for
uncertainty involved in the future flow of the funds” (Frank & Reilly, 1998:265).
According to Gitman and Joehnk, “Investment is any vehicle into which funds can
be placed with the expectation that will preserve or increase in value and
generated positive returns” (Gitman & Joehnk, 1990:248).
A banker does not prefer to invest his funds in company shares and debentures.
The shares and debentures may be very easily sold on the stock exchange. But the
bank will incur a loss if the market value of the securities falls. Unlike the
government securities there is no maturity date for shares. The income from shares
depends upon the prosperity of the company issuing the shares. If the company
becomes insolvent the banker loses heavily. If a bank has certain amount of funds
which can be left undisturbed for a number of years, investment in long term
government securities becomes profitable proposition” (Radhaswamy, 1979:549).
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investment policy is not only prerequisite for banks profitability, but also crucially
significant for the promotion of commercial savings of a backward country like
Nepal.
Many authors have given some necessities or some of the main characteristics for
sound lending and investment policies, which must be considered by the
commercial banks:
ii. Profitability
A commercial bank can maximize its volume of wealth through maximization of
return on their investments and lending. So, they must invest their funds where
they can gain maximum profit. The profit of commercial banks depends on the
interest rate, volume of loan, its time period and nature of investment in different
securities.
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iii. Liquidity
Liquidity is the ability of the firm to satisfy its short-term obligations as they come
due. Generally, people used to deposit their earnings in the different accounts of
the banks, having confidence that the bank will repay their money whenever it is
needed. In order to maintain the confidence to the depositors, the bank must
always be ready to meet current or short-term obligations when they become due
for repayment.
v. Diversification
“A bank should not lay all its eggs on the same basket.” This saying is very
important to the bank and it should always be careful not to grant loan in only one
sector. To minimize risk, a bank must diversify its investment on different sectors.
Diversification of loan helps to sustain loss according to the law of average
because if securities of a company deprived, there may be appreciation in the
securities of other companies. In this way the loss can be minimized or recovered.
vi. Tangibility
A commercial bank should prefer tangible security to an intangible one. Though it
may be considered that tangible property doesn’t yield an income apart from
intangible securities, which have lost their value due to price level inflation.
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vii. Legality
Illegal issued securities may cause problems to the investors. Therefore, all
commercial banks should follow the directives of NRB, Ministry of Finance and
other relevant organization at the time of mobilizing funds.
Funds borrowed from banks are much cheaper than those borrowed from
unorganized moneylenders. The demand for loan has excessively increased due to
cheaper interest rate. Furthermore, an increase in economic and business activities
always increases the demand for funds. Due to limited resources and increasing
loan, there is some fear that commercial banks and other financial institutions too
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may take more preferential collateral while granting loans causing unnecessary
botheration to the general customers. Such loan from these institutions would be
available on special request only and there is a chance of utilization of resources in
economically less productive fields. There lies the undesirable effect, of low
interest rate.
In addition to this, some portion of loan, advances and overdraft includes that
amount which is given to staff of the bank for house loan, vehicle loan, personal
loan and others, in mobilization of commercial banks fund, loan, advances and
overdrafts have occupied a large portion.
It may want to space its maturates so that the inflow of cash coincide with
expected withdrawals by depositors or large loan demands of its customers.
It may wish to have high-grade marketable securities to liquidate if its
primary reserve becomes inadequate.
It may also be forced to invest because the demand for loans has decreased
or is not sufficient to absorb its excess reserves.
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iii. Investment on Other Company’s Shares and Debentures
Due to excess funds and least opportunity to invest these funds in much more
profitable sector and to meet the requirement of NRB directives many commercial
banks have to utilize their funds to purchase shares and debentures of many other
financial and non-financial companies. Nowadays most of the commercial banks
have purchased regional development banks NIDC and other development banks
shares.
vi. Deposits
For a commercial bank, deposit is the most important source of the liquidity. For
bank’s financial strength, it is treated as a barometer. In the word of Eugene, “a
bank’s deposits are the amount that it owes to its customers.” Deposit is the
lifeblood of the commercial bank. Though, they constitute the great bulk of bank
36
liabilities, the success of a bank greatly depends upon the extent to which it may
attract more and more deposits, for accounting and analyzing purpose, deposits are
categorized in three headings. They are; current deposits, saving deposits, fixed
deposits.
In the words of Gitman and Joehnk, “Investment is any vehicle into which funds
can be placed with the expectation that will preserve or increase in value and
generate positive returns” (Gitman & Jochnk, 1990: 258).
“The term investment can cover a wide range of activities. It often refers to
investing money in certificate of deposits, bonds, common stocks or mutual funds.
37
More knowledgeable investors would include other financial assets such as
warrants, puts and calls future contracts and convertible securities. Investing
encompasses very conservative position and aggressive speculation” (Charles,
1998:248).
Frank K. Reilly defines investment as, “An investment may be defined as the
current commitment of funds for a period of time to derive a future flow of funds
that will compensate the investing unit for the time the funds are committed, for
the expected rate of inflation and also for the uncertainty involved in the future
flow of the funds”.
According to Reed, Cotter, Gill and Smith, “Commercial banks still remain the
heart of our financial system holding the deposits of millions of persons,
governments and business units. They make funds available through their lending
and investing activities to borrowers, individuals, business firms and governments.
Commercial banks are the most important type of financial institutions in the
nation in terms of aggregate assets” (Edward W. Reed, Edward K. Gill, Richard V.
Cotter, Richard K. Smith: 1980:1-5). The primary function of commercial banks is
the extension of credit to worthy borrowers. In making credit available,
commercial banks are rendering a great social service. Through their action,
production is increased, capital investments are expanded, and a higher standard of
living is realized. Although the investment activities of commercial banks are
usually considered separately from lending, the economic effects and social results
are the same.
The rate of return on assets is a valuable measure when comparing the profitability
of one bank with another or with the commercial banking system. A low rate
might be the result of conservative lending and investment policies or excessive
operating expenses. Banks could, of course, attempt to offset this by adopting
more aggressive lending and investment policies to generate more income.
38
Emphasizing the importance of investment policy, H.D. Crosse puts his view in
this way, “Lending is the essence of commercial banking, and consequently the
formulation and implementation of sound policies are among the most important
responsibilities of bank directors and management. Well conceived lending
policies and careful lending practices are essential if a bank is to perform its
crediting function effectively and minimize the risk inherent in any extension of
credit” (H.K. Crosse, 2nd Edition: 1963).
S.P. Singh and S. Singh, “ The investment (credit) policies of banks are
conditional, to great extent, by the national policy framework, every banker has to
apply his own judgment for arriving at a credit decision, keeping of course, his
bank’s credit policy also in mind” (Singh, 1983:128).
39
significant amounts of loan that have become un-collectable due to
mismanagement, illegal manipulation of loan, misguided lending policy or
unexpected economic downturn. Therefore, the bank investment policy must be
such that it ensures that it is sound and prudent in order to protect public funds”
(Shakespeare Baidhya, 1997:46-47).
“The term investment can cover a wide range of activities. It often refers to
investing money in certificates of deposits, bonds, common stocks or mutual
funds. More knowledgeable investors would include other financial assets such as
warrants, puts and calls future contracts and convertible securities. Investing
encompasses very conservative position and aggressive speculation” (Charles,
1998:269).
40
are “real” investment. The former is “Financial” Investment. We now turn to a
closer examination of finance and investment decision” (Bhalla, 1983:245).
From the views and definitions of various authors above, it is clear that an
investment means to trade a known rupee amount today for some expected future
stream of payments of benefits that will exceed the current outlay by an amount
that will compensate the investor for the time. The funds are committed for the
expected change in prices during the period and uncertainty involve in expected
future cash flows. Thus investment is the most important function of commercial
banks. So a bank has to be very cautious while investing their funds in various
sectors. The success of a bank heavily depends upon the proper management of
it’s invest able funds.
In the light of above, foreign joint venture banks use to justify that they don’t have
any network among these priority areas. So, if investment is made to these areas,
operation cost will be very high, that exceeds the penalty if investment won’t be
41
made. That is why they are interested in paying penalty rather than investing in
priority sectors.
Another article published on The Kathmandu Post daily of 28th April 2004 entitled
“Efficient Banking” by L.D. Mahat, in his article he has accomplished, the
efficiency of banks can be measured using different parameters. The concept of
productivity and profitability can be applied while evaluating efficiency of banks.
The term productivity refers to the relationship between the quantity of inputs
employed and the quantity of outputs produced. An increase in productivity means
that more output can be produced from the same inputs or the same outputs can be
produced from fewer inputs. Interest expense to interest income ratio shows the
efficiency of banks in mobilizing resource at lower cost and investing in high
yielding asset. In other words, it reflects the efficiency in use of funds.
According to Mr. Mahat, the analysis of operational efficiency of banks will help
one in understanding the extant of vulnerability of banks under the changed
scenario and deciding whom to bank upon. This may also help the inefficient
banks to upgrade their efficiency and be winner in the situations developing due to
slowdown in the economy. The regulators should also be concerned on the fact
that the banks with unfavorable ratio may bring catastrophe in the banking
industry.
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The article entitled. “Role of Foreign Banks in Nepal” of Mr. Sunil Chopra
concluded that joint venture banks are playing an increasing, dynamic and vital
role in the economic development of the country. This will undoubtedly increase
with time.
Ramesh Lal Shrestha (2045) in his article, “A study on deposits and credits of
commercial bank in Nepal” concluded that the credit deposit ratio would be
51.30%, other things remaining the same, in 2004 AD, which was the lowest
under the period of review. So he had strongly recommended that the commercial
bank should try to give more credit entering new field as far as possible. Other
wise, they might not be able to absorb even its total expenses.
Dinesh Raj Shakya (1998), in his thesis paper, "Financial Analysis of joint
venture Banks in Nepal, (with special reference to Nepal Arab Bank and Nepal
Standard Chartered Bank)", has made an attempt to calculate and analyze the
financial health of NABIL and SCBNL. His main objectives are to find out the
correlation between total deposits and loan and advances of both Banks and to find
the capital adequacy position. Actually he found the following findings.
43
SCBNL's liquidity and profitability position was comparatively better
than that of NABIL.
Capital adequacy position of NABIL was more satisfactory than that of
SCBNL in average, but NABIL's position was deterioration each year.
At the end of his study, he has recommended that both banks so should following
all directions of Nepal Rastra Bank for the sake of national development.
Dinesh Raj has analyzed the financial position in his study. He has not tried to
analyze the investment policy of the firms and risk analysis is not mentioned. He
has mainly tried to show the correlation between the variables. His study is mainly
concerned to two JVB’s. He has not tried to analyze the financial performance of
finance companies. His study period is up to fiscal year 1997/98. It cannot explain
and interpret the financial position of Nepal Arab Bank Limited and Nepal
Standard Chartered Bank Limited after fiscal year1997/98.
44
Findings and conclusions of the study were as follows;
NBBL has not good deposit collection, it doesn't have made enough cash
and bank balance and it has made negligible amount of investments in
government securities.
The assets management ratios were highly variable which reveals NBBL
has not followed stable policy.
NBBL's ratios of OBS operation to loan and advances lower than that of
HBL but its ratio is greater than that of NSBI.
The profitability position of NBBL is comparatively not better than that of
HBL but better than NSBI.
The credit risk ratios and interest risk ratios of NBBL is higher than that of
HBL and NSBI. Banks profitability solely depends on interest charged by a
bank but the high interest rate risk of NBBL shows that bank is failure to
maintain this.
Trends of deposit collection, lending, investment and net profit were not
better than HBL but better than NSBI.
45
To evaluate the liquidity, assets management efficiency, profitability and
risk position of Himalayan Bank in comparison to that of Nepal SBI Bank.
To study the relationship between investment and deposits of the bank.
46
Growth ratio of investment, Deposit, loan and advances and net profit of
HBL is higher than that of Nepal SBI bank. It show that HBL is running
successfully and been able to increase its profit in comparison to Nepal SBI
bank.
From the statistical analysis of financial data of both banks it is found that
total investment and total deposit of HBL and Nepal SBI bank both has
positive relation.
Raya T.K. (2003), in his thesis, “Investment Policy and Analysis of Commercial
Banks in Nepal” made a comparative study of Standard Chartered Bank Ltd. with
Nepal Investment Bank and Nepal Bangladesh Bank Ltd. His main objectives
were as follows:
To discuss fund mobilization and Investment policy of SCBNL in respect
to its fee based off-balance sheet transaction and fund based balance sheet
transaction.
To evaluate the liquidity, efficiency and profitability and risk position.
To evaluate trend of deposit, Investment, loan and advances and projection
for next five years.
47
SCBNL is comparatively average successful in its on balance sheet
operation. But off balance sheet operation activities in compared to NIBL
and NBBL has maintained the strong position.
SCBNL is comparatively higher position than that of other banks, as well
as it uses to provide interest to the customers for different activities.
There is significant relationship between deposit of loan and advances and
between assets and net profit of SCBNL.
He recommended the SCBNL for effective portfolio management and for project
oriented approach. He also suggested enhancing the off balance sheet operation.
48
has made enough investment on government securities but it has
maintained moderate investment policy on loan & advances.
From the analysis of assets management ratio or activity ratio, it can be
concluded that EBL is comparatively average or in between successful in
compared to NABIL and BOK. The total investment of EBL is in between
in compared to other two banks.
In the study, loan & advances to total deposit is higher in BOK but total
investment to total deposit is higher in NABIL. Investment on shares and
debentures to total working fund ratio is higher in BOK. But the coefficient
of variation is higher in EBL.
In analysis of profitability, total interest earned to total outside assets of
EBL is lowest at all. But overall analysis of profitability ratios, EBL is
average profitable in comparison to other compared banks i.e., NABIL and
BOK. From the viewpoint of risk ratio, EBL has higher capital risk ratio
but average of credit risk ratio in compared to NABIL and BOK.
49
As mentioned in this act, commercial banks will help in baking business by
opening its branches in the different parts of the country under the direction of
NRB, The main function of commercial banks established under this act will be,
exchange money, to accept deposits and give loan to commercial and business
activities.
According to the new provision, with effect from the 3rd quarter of FY 1995/96,
investment in shares of the rural development bank by CBs, which used to be
50
counted for the priority sector lending, only is now to be included under the
deprived sector lending.
According to the new provisions effective from FY 1997/98, NBL, RBB, NABIL,
NGBL, NIBL are required to invest 3%, HBL, NSBL, NBBL, EBL, are required
to invest 2%, Bank of Kathmandu id required to invest 1.75%, NBCL is required
to invest 0.75%. While newer commercial banks are required to invest 0.25% of
their total loans & advances to the deprived sector.
51
of loan financed to an individual, firm, company or group of companies.
According to this, CBs are required not to exceed the single borrower limit 35% in
the case of fund-based credit and 50%, in the case of non-fund based credit. Such
as the letter of credit, guarantee, acceptance letter, and commitment has been fixed
is a proportion of capital funds of bank.
Besides this, following the BASEL Capital Adequacy Accord, NRB has directed
commercial banks to maintain at least 8% capital adequacy ratio (CAR) of their
risk weighted assets (RWA) and off-balance sheet transaction i.e. letter of credit,
letter of acceptance, Bonds, Guarantee etc. They are further required to classify
their capital requirement in to (1) core capital (Tier 1) and (2) supplementary
capital (Tier 2) and maintain at least 4% of their total capital in the form of core
capital. As per the provision, risk weighted assets (RWA) are to be calculated by
classifying assets and giving them different risk weights as presented below.
52
Allocation of Risk Factors
S. No. Assets Weight
1. Cash balance 0
2. Bank Balance:
With NRB 0
With other domestic banks 20
With foreign banks 20
3. Call deposits 10
4. Investments:
Government papers 0
Share & Debenture 50
Other investment 50
5. Loan & Advances 100
6. Fixed Assets 100
7. Contingent Liabilities:
Fully secured three months LC 20
Commitment of more than a year 50
Letter of acceptance, simple 100
commitment and other LC
transactions
53
Furthermore, NRB has directed commercial banks to maintain certain reserves for
loans so classified. The existing loan loss provisioning is as follows:
LLP has affected banks capability to extend loans and made them risk averse in
issuing newer loans, particularly to the private sector and priority sector where the
loan default is high.
54
emphasized on the consistency of the investment. A comparative analysis of investment
policies of NABIL, SCBNL and HBL, where these banks were crucial as it determine its
strength and weakness on the aspect of investment policies with the NRB directives.
Here, this study also focuses on all the above issues related to the investment policy of
the bank – with similar kind of analysis tools. However the previous study on their
selection of the samples, i.e. on their selection of the banks – they have done random
sampling without any base to its selection. Hence in this study the selection is categorized
in a definable way which makes sense. The selection of the banks here is made on the
basis of their establishment date, i.e. they are categorized on the basis of their
establishment time. Besides this study on the investment practices on NABIL, SCBNL
and HBL has covered the latest data which covers the information from 2002-2007;
which makes it the latest version on this study with these banks.
55
CHAPTER - III
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
56
3.2 Population and Sample
Under the study of investment practices of Nepalese commercial banks, the total
number of commercial banks including domestic and joint venture banks operating
in the Nepal is the population. At present there are twenty three licensed
commercial banks are running in Nepal. All 25 licensed Nepalese CBs will
consider as the total population out of them this study will be concern with three
CBs as a sample. In the sample, banks are taken according to their rapid growth
rate & gradually growth rate which head office is in Kathmandu by which we can
compare about the investment practices of this bank. For this population NABIL,
SCBNL and HBL have been selected as sample and its data related to investment
practice are comparatively studied
57
Annual Reports of Concern Commercial Banks (from 2002/03 to 2006/07)
Annual Report of SEBO Nepal
Trading Report of NEPSE
Journal of Finance
Journal of Business
Previous Research Studies, Dissertation and Articles on the Subject
Various Text Books
Different Library
Different Website Related to study
The various calculated results obtained through financial and statistical tools are
tabulated under the different headings. Then they are compared with each other to
interpret the results.
58
Ratio Analysis
Financial ratio is the mathematical relationship between two accounting figures.
Ratio analysis is a part of the whole process of analysis of financial statements of
any business or industrial concern especially to take output and credit decisions.
Thus ratio analysis is used to compare a firm's financial performance and status to
that of other firm's to it overtime. The qualitative judgment regarding financial
performance of a firm can be done with the help of ratio analysis.
A. Liquidity Ratios
Liquidity ratios are used to judge the ability of banks to meet its short- term
liabilities that are likely to mature in the short period. From them, much insight
can be obtained into present cash solvency of the bank and its ability to remain
solvent in the event of adversities. It is measurement of speed with which a bank’s
assets can be converted into cash to meet deposit withdrawal and other current
obligations.
i. Current Ratio
The current ratio is the ratio of total current assets and current liabilities. It shows
the relationship between current assets and current liabilities.
Where,
Current assets include cash and bank balance, money at call or short-term notice,
loans and advances, investment in government securities and other interest
receivable and miscellaneous current assets where as current liabilities include
deposits and other accounts of short-term loan, bills payable, tax provision, staff
bonus, dividend payable and miscellaneous current liabilities.
59
The widely accepted standard of current ratio is 2:1 but accurate standard depends
on circumstances in case of seasonal business ratio.
Hence, cash and banks balance includes cash in hand, foreign cash and foreign
banks.
60
dividing the amount of investment on government securities by the total amount of
current assets and can be stated as follows,
Investment on Government Securities
Investment of Government Securities to Current Asset Ratio =
Current Assets
61
ii) Total Investment to Total Deposit Ratio
Investment is one of the major sources of earning money. This ratio includes how
properly firms’ deposits have been invested on government securities and shares
and debentures of other companies. This ratio can be computed diving total
amount of investment by total amount deposit collection, which can be shown as;
Total Investment
Total Investment to Total Deposit Ratio =
Total Deposit
Where, total working fund include total amount of assets given balance sheet
which refers to current assets, net fixed assets, total loans for development banks
and other sundry assets except off balance sheet items i.e., letter of credit, letter of
guarantee etc.
62
v) Investment on Shares and Debentures to Total Working Fund Ratio
Investment on shares and debentures to total working fund ratio shows the
investment of Banks and finance companies on the shares and debentures of
obtained dividing on shares and debentures by total working fund. That can be
calculated as;
C. Profitability Ratios
Profitability ratios are calculated to measure the efficiency of operation of a firm
on term of profit. It is the indicator of the financial performance of any institution.
This implies that higher the profitability ratio, better the financial performance of
the bank and vice versa. Profitability position can be evaluated through following
different way.
63
total outsiders assets include loans (short term as well as long term), borrowings
and bond amounts. This ratio is calculated as follows;
64
vi) Return on Equity Ratio (ROE)
The ratio measures how efficiently the banks have used the funds of the owners.
The ratio is calculated by dividing net profit by total equity capital (net worth).
This can be started as,
Net Profit
Return on Equity (ROE) =
Total Equity Capital
D. Growth Ratios
Here, the growth ratios represent how well the commercial banks are maintaining
their economic and financial condition. The higher ratios represent the better
performance of the selected firms to calculate, check and analyze the expansion
and growths of the selected Banks of the following growth ratios are calculated.
Growth ratios are directly related to the fund mobilization and investment of those
firms.
a) Growth Ratio of Total Deposit
b) Growth Ratio of Loan and Advances
c) Growth Ratio of Total Investment
d) Growth Ratio of Net Profit
65
A. Arithmetical Mean
It represents the entire data by a single value. It provides the gist and gives the
bird's eye view of the huge mass of unwieldy numerical data. It is calculated as:
X = X
N
Where:
X = Arithmetic mean
N = Number of observations
X = Sum of observations
B. Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is an important and widely used to measure dispersion. A
standard deviation is the positive square root of the arithmetic mean of the squares
of the deviations of the given observations from their arithmetic mean. It is
denoted by the letter (sigma). In this study standard deviation of different ratios
are calculated.
X2 X
2
N N
Where,
σ = Standard Deviation
2
Sum of Squares of Observation
N
2
C. Coefficient of Variation
The Coefficient of variation is the most commonly used measure of relative
variation. It is the relative measures of dispersion, comparable across distribution,
66
which is defined as the ratio if the standard deviation to the mean expressed in
percent. It is used in such problems where the researcher wants to compare the
variability of data more than two years. A series with smaller C.V. is said to be
less variable or more consistent or more homogeneous or more uniform or more
stable than the others and vice versa. It is calculated as;
Standard Deviation
Coefficient of variation 100%
Mean
C.V.
X
Where,
X = Mean
σ = Standard Deviation
C.V. = Coefficient of Variation
D. Coefficient of Correlation
Coefficient of correlation is the mathematical method of measuring the degree of
association between the two variables i.e. one dependent and one independent.
This analysis interprets and identifies the relationship between two or more
variables. In the case of highly correlated variables, the effect of none variable
may have effect on other correlated variable. Under this topic, this study tries to
find out relationship between the following variables:
The above analysis tools analyze the relationship between these the relevant
variables and helps the bank to make appropriate policies regarding deposit
67
collection, fund utilization (loan and advances and investment) and profit
maximization.
The result of coefficient is always between –1 to +1, when r=+1, it means there is
significant relationship between two variables and when r=-1, It means there is no
significant relationship between two variables.
E. Trend Analysis
Under this topic we analyze and interpret the trend of deposits, loan and advances,
investment and net profit of NABIL, SCBNL and HBL that helps to make
forecasting for next five years. The following trend value analyses have been used
in this study.
Trend analysis of total deposit, loan and advances, total investment and net profit
The trends of related variables can be calculated as, Y= a + bx
F. Hypothesis Testing
To test the set hypotheses, t-test has been employed. Under Null Hypothesis
(H0), t-test statistics is:
X μ
t =
S/ n
68
CHAPTER - IV
DATA PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS
The purpose of this chapter is to study, evaluate and analyze those major financial
performances, which are mainly related to investment management and fund.
Mobilization of NABIL Bank Ltd. in comparison to that of Standard Chartered
Bank Ltd. and Himalayan Bank Ltd. There are many types of financial ratios but
only those ratios are calculated and analyzed, which are very important to evaluate
fund mobilization of commercial bank. Necessary figures and tables are also
presented in this part to describe about the investment mechanism of the banks.
a) Liquidity Ratio
b) Assets management Ratio
c) Profitability Ratio
d) Risk Ratio
e) Growth Ratio
69
4.1.1 Liquidity Ratio
Liquidity ratio measures the ability of the firm to meet its current obligations. A
commercial bank must maintain its satisfactory liquidity position to meet the
credit need of the community. Demand for the deposits, with drawls pay maturity
in time and convert non-cash assets into cash to satisfy immediate need without
loss to bank and consequent impact or long run profit.
The following ratios are evaluated and interpreted under liquidity ratios.
Current liabilities consist of deposits, loan and advances, bills payable, tax
provision, staff bonus, dividend payable and miscellaneous current liabilities.
70
Table 4.1
Current Ratio (Times)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V (%)
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
NABIL 1.067 1.099 1.113 1.0732 1.155 1.1016 0.035 3.21%
SCBNL 0.971 0.9698 1.0226 0.981 0.946 0.978 0.028 2.86%
HBL 0.854 0.993 1.098 1.103 1.446 0.898 0.498 55.49%
Sources: Appendix 1(i)
The above table shows that current assets of NABIL is higher than current
liabilities and ratios are in increasing trend from 2002/03 to 2004/05 and again
increases in 2006/07. SCBNL has lower current assets than current liabilities in
FY 2002/03, 2003/04, 2005/06, 2006/07 and higher C.A in 2004/05, it means
SCBNL has not sound ability to pay short term obligations due to more liabilities.
In case of HBL in FY 2002/03 to 2003/04 it's current assets if lower than current
liabilities but from FY 2005/06 to 2006/07 it's current assets is greater than current
liabilities and HBL ratio is in increasing trend during the study period.
In average liquidity position of NABIL is greater than other banks i.e. 1.106 >
0.978>0.898. So, NABIL is sound in liquidity position than other banks.
Likewise the co-efficient of variation (C.V) of NABIL is less than HBL and
slightly higher than SCBNL i.e. 3.21% > 2.86 % and 3.21% < 55.49%. It can be
said that current ratio of NABIL is more consistent than HBL and less consistent
than SCBNL.
Thus, it can be concluded that NABIL is capable to pay their current obligations in
comparison to SCBNL and HBL.
71
(ii) Cash and Bank Balance to Total Deposit Ratio (Cash Reserve Ratio)
Cash and bank balance is said to be the first defense of every banks. The ratio
between the cash and bank balance and total deposit measures the ability of the
bank to meet the unanticipated cash and all types of deposits. Higher the ratio, the
greater will be the ability to meet sudden demand of deposit and vice versa. But
every high ratio is not desirable since bank has to pay interest on deposits. This
will also maximize the cost of fund to the bank.
Where,
Cash and bank balance is composed of cash on hand including foreign cheques,
other cash items; balance with domestic banks and abroad. Deposit includes
current deposits, saving, deposits, fixed deposits, money at call or short notice and
other types of deposits.
Table 4.2
Cash and Bank Balance to Total Deposit (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 8.51 6.87 3.83 2.87 5.93 5.60 2.27 40%
SCBNL 8.06 9.56 5.75 5.53 8.21 7.42 1.73 24%
HBL 9.42 9.10 8.12 6.48 5.85 7.79 1.61 21%
Sources: Appendix 1(ii)
Table 4.2 shows that the cash and bank balance to total deposit ratio of NABIL has
followed decreasing trend from FY 2002/03 to 2005/06 & it increases in 2006/07.
Similarly, SCBNL has increases from 2002/03 to 2003/04 ad decreases form FY
2004/05 to 2005/06 and again increases in 2006/07. On the case of HBL it has
followed decreasing trend during the study period i.e., FY 2002/03 to FY 2006/07.
72
In average, NABIL has maintained lower cash & bank balance to total deposit
ratio than SCBNL i.e. 5.60<7.42<7.79. It states that cash and bank balance in
liquidity position of NABIL is lower than other two banks. The C.V of NABIL is
40%, which is comparatively higher than that of SCBNL 24% and HBL 21%. So
that NABIL shows the less consistent than that of SCBNL and HBL.
73
Table 4.3
Cash and Bank Balance to Current Assets Ratio (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 8.25 6.81 3.74 3.07 6.06 5.59 2.21 38%
SCBNL 8.85 10.76 5.53 5.94 9.18 7.91 2.04 26%
HBL 12.14 10.76 9.45 7.42 6.33 9.22 2.37 26%
Sources: Appendix 1(iii)
Above table exhibits that cash and bank balance to current assets ratio of NABIL
has followed decreasing trend from FY 2002/03 to 2005/06 and increased in FY
2005/06. SCBNL has followed fluctuating trend from FY 2002/03 to 2005/06 & it
followed increasing trend from 2005/06 to 2006/07. In case of HBL it has
followed decreasing trend.
While examining the mean ratio, NABIL had maintained 5.59 which is less than
SCBNL and HBL i.e. 7.91 and 9.22. It states that liquidity position of NABIL is
lower than other two banks. In this regard, the co-efficient of variation between
the above ratios of NABIL is 38% which is comparatively higher than that of
SCBNL & HBL i.e., 38%>26%26% it shows less consistent of NABIL than that
of SCBNL & HBL. It shows the current ratios are less heterogeneous than that of
other two banks.
Thus, it can be concluded that NABIL is low capable to maintain cash & bank
balance is comparison to other two banks.
74
or they can be converted into cash in other ways. The main purpose of this ratio is
to examine the portion of commercial banks current assets that is invested on
different government securities.
Table 4.4
Investment on Government Securities to Current Assets Ratio (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 25.87 25.78 16.12 12.69 21.06 21.36 5.85 28.83%
SCBNL 38.52 39.56 37.28 40.22 32.27 36.97 3.23 8.75%
HBL 20.54 18.45 25.68 22.22 23.24 22.02 2.72 12.36%
Sources: Appendix 1(iv)
The above table 4.4 shows that the ratio of NABIL is in decreasing trend from FY
2002/03 to 2005/06 and increased is FY 2006/07. In the case of SCBNL & HBL
its ratio is in fluctuating trend.
In overall, the mean ratio of investment n govt. securities to current assets ratio of
NABIL is lower than that of SCBNL & HBL i.e. 21.36<22.02<36.97. It means
NABIL had invested its fewer portions of current assets on government securities,
than other two banks. On the other had C.V in ratios of NABIL is greater than that
of SCBNL & HBL i.e. 28.83%>12.36%>8.75%. Which means the variability's of
ratios of NABIL is less consistent than that of SCBNL & HBL.
It can be concluded that NABIL has invested its less portion of current assets as
government securities than that of SCBNL & HBL. NABIL's liquidity portion
75
from the point of view of investment on government securities is poorer than that
of other two banks.
To make a high profit by mobilizing its fund in the best way, a commercial bank
should not keep its all collected funds as cash and bank balance but they should be
invested as loan and advances to the customers. If sufficient loan and advances
cannot be granted, it should pay interest on those unutilized deposit funds and may
lose some earnings, but high loan and advances may also be harmful to keep the
bank is most liquid position because they can only be collected at the time of
maturity only. Thus, the bank must maintain its loan and advances in appropriate
level to find out portion of current asset, which is granted as loan and advances.
Table 4.5
Loan & Advances to Current Assets Ratio (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 55.93 57.50 70.71 71.26 68.11 64.70 7.40 11.45%
SCBNL 33.34 31.40 42.14 41.61 47.68 39.33 6.58 16.74%
HBL 66.56 69.45 63.07 68.08 59.59 65.34 4.00 6.12%
Sources: Appendix 1(v)
76
Above table exhibits that loan and advances to current assets ratio of NABIL is in
increasing trend from FY 2002/03 to 2005/06 and then in decreasing trend from
2005/06 to 2006/07. In case of SCBNL & HBL ratio both are in fluctuating trend
during the study period.
While examining the mean ratio, NABIL has maintained 64.70 which is slightly
lower than HBL i.e. 65.34 and higher than SCBNL i.e. 39.33. On the other side
co-efficient of variation of NABIL 11.45% is lower than SCBNL ad higher than
HBL i.e. 16.74>11.45>6.12.
From the above table it can be concluded that NABIL has succeeded to invest its
fund in loan and advances in comparison to SCBNL but seen little weak in
comparison to HBL in point of view of meant & C.V.
77
Table 4.6
Loan & Advances to Total Deposit Ratio (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 57.67 5.8 72.57 66.79 66.61 34.33 5.72 8.89%
SCBNL 30.36 30.30 42.12 38.75 42.61 36.86 5.47 14.84%
HBL 51.62 58.70 54.21 59.50 56.57 56.12 2.94 5.24%
Sources: Appendix 1(vi)
In the table 4.6, all the banks have fluctuating trend regarding the ratios. During
the study period, NABIL has highest ratio of 72.57 is FY 2004/05 ad lowest ratio
57.67 is FY 2002/03, SCBNL has highest ad lowest ratios 42061 and 30.30 is FY
2006/07 and 2003/04 and HBL has highest & lowest ratios 59.50 and 51.62 is FY
2005/06 and 2002/03 respectively.
In over all men ratio of loan & advances to total deposit of NABIL is higher than
that of SCBNL & HBL is side co-efficient of variation of above banks. NABIL
has 8.89%, which is comparatively higher than 5.24% of HBL and less than
14.84% of SCBNL. It shows that HBL is more than other banks.
78
In the process of portfolio management of bank assets, various factors such as
availability of fund, liquidity requirement Central banks norms etc are to be
considered in general. A high ratio is the indicator of high success to mobilize the
baking fund as investment and vice versa.
Total Investment
Total Investment to Total Deposit Ratio =
Total Deposit
Table 4.7
Total Investment to Total Deposit Ratio (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 44.85 41.33 29.27 31.93 38.32 37.14 5.79 1.6%
SCBNL 54.47 53.68 50.18 55.71 55.10 53.83 1.94 3.6%
HBL 48.44 42.22 47.20 41.10 39.34 43.66 3.54 8.1%
Sources: Appendix 1(vii)
The above table exhibits that the ratio of NABIL is in decreasing trend from
2002/03 to 2004/05 and is increasing trend from 2005/06 to 2006/07. In the case
of SCBNL it's also in decreasing trend from 2002/03 to 2004/05 and increases is
FY 2005/06 & 2006/07. And incase of HBL its ratio has fluctuating trend which is
48.44, 42.22, 47.20, 41.10 and 39.35 is the year 2002/03, 2003/04, 2004/05,
2005/06 & 3006/07.
In average NABIL has maintained lower, mean value i.e. 37.14<43.66< 53.83 than
other two banks. SCBNL has maintained the highest mean value of 53.83.
The CV ratio of NABIL is 1.6% which is lower than 3.6% of SCBNL is more
stable than that of other two banks.
79
In conclusion, NABIL is in weak condition to mobilize its deposits by investing in
different sectors in comparison of other two banks.
Where, total working fund is the total assets. It is composed up of current assets,
fixed assets, miscellaneous assets and investment: loans for development bank etc.
Table 4.8
Loan & Advances to Total Working Fund Ratio %
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 46.82 48.91 61.60 57.87 57.04 54.45 6.29 11.56%
SCBNL 27.24 27.11 37.19 34.67 36.73 32.59 5.03 15.44
HBL 44.82 50.21 46.60 51.54 49.53 48.54 2.75 5.66
Sources: Appendix 1(viii)
The above table exhibits that the ratio of NABIL & SCBNL is decreasing trend
from 2003/04 to 2004/05 and increasing trend from 2005/06 to 2006/07. In case of
HBL its ratio is in fluctuating trend.
80
On the basis of mean ratios, NABIL has maintained the higher ratio than that of
SCBNL & HBL i.e. 54.45>48.54>32.59. So, NABI is in good condition to
mobilize its total working fund as loan and advances. Co-efficient of variation of
NABIL is less than SCBNL and higher than HBL i.e. 11.56%>15.44%>5.66%. It
indicates more uniform of NABIL is comparison to SCBNL and very less uniform
than HBL.
So that NABIL's fund mobilization in terms of loan & advances with respect of
total working fund is more satisfactory than that of other two banks.
81
Table 4.9
Investment on Government Securities to Total Working Fund Ratio (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 21.67 21.93 14.04 10.31 17.64 17.12 4.99 29%
SCBNL 31.47 33.62 31.90 33.54 24.85 31.28 30.70 11.8%
HBL 13.82 13.34 18.94 16.82 18.81 16.35 2.67 16.31%
Sources: Appendix 1(ix)
From the above table it is clearly seen that investment on government securities to
working fund ratio of NABIL, SCBNL & HBL is in fluctuating trend.
On the basis of mean, NABIL has maintained slightly higher ratio than HBL and
lower ratio than SCBNL i.e. 17.12>16.35<31.28. The co-efficient of variation of
NABIL is higher than that of SCBNL & HBL i.e. 29%>16.31%>11.8%.
From the above analysis, it can be concluded that NABIL's fund mobilization in
terms of government securities with respect of total working fund is not more
satisfactory than that of other tow banks. And NABIL is not satisfactory of ratios
point of view is fund mobilizing term and less homogeneous.
Investment on shares and debentures to total assets ratio reflects the extent to
which the banks are successful to mobilize their assets on purchase of shares and
82
debentures of other companies to generate incomes and utilize their excess fund. A
high ratio indicates more portion of investment on share and debentures out of
total working fund and vice versa.
Table 4.10
Investment on Shares & Debenture to Total Working Fund Ratio (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 0.13 0.13 2.56 0.47 1.053 0.87 1.02 11.7%
SCBNL 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.16 0.076 0.047 62.13%
HBL 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.21 0.15 0.03 22.6%
Sources: Appendix 1(x)
The above table exhibits that the ratio of NABIL & SCBNL is in increasing trend
incase of HBL it is in fluctuating trend.
On the basis of mean ratios, NABIL has higher investment than other two banks
i.e. 0.87%>0.15>0.076. Moreover, CV of NABIL is less than other two banks i.e.
11.7 %< 22.6 %< 62.13%, which states that the position of NABIL is better in this
regard.
It can be concluded that NABIL has invested more portion of its total working
fund on shares & debentures than other two banks. And also NABIL is more
consistent and homogeneous than SCBNL & HBL.
83
4.1.3 Profitability Ratio
Profit is the lock bone of the financial institutions and commercial banks. The
main objective of a commercial bank is to earn profit providing different types of
banking services to its customers. To meet various objectives like to have a good
liquidity position, meet fixed internal obligation, overcome the future
contingencies, grab hidden investment opportunities, expend banking transitions in
different places and finance government in need of development funds etc, a
commercial bank must earn sufficient profit.
Profitability ratios are the best indicators of overall efficiency. Here mainly those
ratios are presented and analyzed which are related with profit as well as
investments. An effort has bee made to measure the profit earning capacity of
NABIL, SCB & HBL through the following ratios.
Return will be higher if the banks working fund is well managed and are
efficiently utilized, maximizing taxes with in legal options available will also
improve the return.
Net Profit
Return on Total Working Fund Ratio =
Total Working Fund
Where,
Net profit includes the profit that is left to the internal equities after all costs,
chares & expenses
84
Table 4.11
Return on Total Working Fund Ratio (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 2.51 2.72 3.02 2.84 2.47 2.71 0.23 8.47%
SCBNL 2.42 2.27 2.46 2.55 2.42 2.42 0.10 4.18%
HBL 0.88 1.02 1.06 1.50 1.43 1.18 0.27 23.05%
Sources: Appendix 1(xi)
The above table exhibits that the ratio of NABIL is in increasing trend from
2002/03 to 2004/05 and decreasing from 2005/06 to 2006/07. In case of SCBNL
it’s in fluctuating trend and incase of HBL it’s in increasing trend from 2002/03 to
2005/06 & its decreases on 2006/07.
In the mean ratios, it is observed that the NABIL has the highest mean value i.e.
2.71>2.42>1.18. So, NABIL is highly efficient to earn net profit and return as
well. On the other hand C.V of NABIL is less than HBL and higher than SCBNL
i.e. 8.47% <23.05%>4.18%.
From the above analysis it can be concluded that NABIL is in strong position in
the earning capacity by utilizing available resources than other banks. It’s less
consistent and homogeneous than SCBNL & more than HBL.
85
The total outside assets includes loan & advances investment n government
securities, share and debentures and other all types of investment.
Table 4.12
Total Interest Earned to Total Outside Assets Ratio (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 7.38 7.14 7.20 6.86 6.50 7.02 0.34 4.89%
SCBNL 14.9 5.86 5.93 5.46 5.87 7.66 4.08 53.72%
HBL 5.71 5.61 5.75 6.10 6.10 5.85 0.23 3.94%
Sources: Appendix 1(xii)
The above comparative table reveals that NABIL has fluctuating trend from FY
2002/03 to 2005/06 and on FY 2006/07 its increasing. SCBNL has fluctuating
trend during the study period and HBL has fluctuating trend from 2002/03 to
2005/06 its stable is 2006/07.
On the basis of mean ratios NABIL is less than SCBNL 7.02<7.66 & higher than
HBL i.e. 7.02>5.85 in respect to total interest earned to total outside assets. On the
other hand, C.V of NABIL is less than that of SCBNL and higher than HBL.
From the above analysis, it can be concluded the NABIL is in strong position is
earning high interest income from its total outside assets is comparison to SCBNL
& HBL is view point of mean & C.V ratio. Moreover, SCBNL is comparatively
efficient to earn high interest income from outside assets than other banks.
86
Total Interest Earned
Total interest earned to total working fund ration =
Total Working Fund
Table 4.13
Total Interest Earned to Total Working Fund Ratio (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 6.15 5.98 6.22 5.87 5.88 6.01 0.17 2.84%
SCBNL 4.81 4.41 4.83 4.61 5.94 4.72 021 4.45%
HBL 4.96 4.84 5.01 5.32 5.17 4.96 0.22 4.40%
Sources: Appendix 1(xiv)
The above comparative table reveals that NABIL & SCBNL has followed
fluctuating trend during the study period. In the case of HBL it is in fluctuating
trend from FY 2002/03 to FY 2005/06 and decreasing is 2006/07 like wise 4.96,
4.84, 5.01, 5.32, 5.17 is FY 2002/03 to 2006/07.
The mean of NABIL is greater than that of other two banks i.e. 6.01>4.96>4.72.
So, we can say that NABIL is in strong position to generate interest income from
the total working fund than other two banks. On the other hand, C.V of NABIL is
lower than that of SCBNL & HBL i.e. 2.84% <4.40%<4.45%. It means more
consistent their two banks.
Thus, it can be concluded that the ratio of total interest earned to total working
fund ratio of NABIL is satisfactory is compared to other two banks. That means
the total interest earned to total working fund ratio of NABIL is stable in
comparison to SCBNL & HBL.
87
(iv) Total Interest Paid to Total Working Fund Ratio
This ratio measures the percentage of total interest paid against the total working
fund. A high ratio indicates the higher interest expenses on total working fund and
vice versa.
Table 4.14
Total Interest Paid to Total Working Fund Ratio
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 1.91 1.70 1.42 1.55 2.04 1.72 0.25 14.76%
SCBNL 1.22 1.20 1.16 1.20 1.44 1.24 0.11 9.02%
HBL 2.31 1.91 1.95 2.12 2.24 2.11 0.17 8.3%
Sources: Appendix 1(xv)
The above comparative table reveals that total interest paid to total working fund
ratio of NABL and SCBNL is in decreasing trend at first 3 years i.e. FY 2002/03
to 2004/05 and then it is in increasing trend from 2005/06 to 2006/ 07 . In case of
HBL its ratio is in decreasing trend from FY 2002/03 to 2003/04 and in increasing
trend from 2004/05 to 2005/06.
The mean ratio of NABIL i.e. 1.72 is average between SCBNL and HBL i.e. 1.24
and 2.11. It means NABIL pays average interest than other two banks during the
study period. On the other hand NABIL'S coefficient of variable is higher i.e.
14.76% in comparison to SCBNL and HBL i.e. 9.02% and 8.3%. It indicates that
NABIL ratio is less consistent than other two banks.
88
In conclusion we can say that NABIL is in better position from payment of interest
point of view (less expenses generate the high income generate theory). It seems to
be successful to collect its working fund from less expensive sources in
comparison to HBL and less than SCBNL.
Net Profit
Return Loan & Advances Ratio =
Loan & Advances
Table 4.15
Return on Loan & Advances Ratio (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean S.D C.V
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 5.37 5.56 4.90 4.92 4.33 5.02 .48 9.5%
SCBNL 8.9 8.41 6.62 7.37 6.6 7.58 1.64 13.77%
HBL 1.96 2.03 2.30 2.90 2.89 2.42 0.45 18.8%
Sources: Appendix 1(xiii)
The above table exhibits that the ratio of NABIL has maintained fluctuating trend.
SCBNL has decreasing trend at first i.e. from FY 2002/03 to 2004/05 and then
followed fluctuating trend from 2005/06 to 2006/07. HBL has maintained
increasing trend from 2002/03 to 2005/06 and then decreases in 2006/07.
The mean of the NABIL is higher than HBL i.e. 5.02>2.42 and lower than SCBNL
i.e. 5.02<7.58 is respect to return on loan & advances ratio. On the other hand C.V
89
of NABIL is less than that of other two banks. So NABIL has maintained high
return with variability ratios.
From the above analysis, it can be concluded that NABIL is significantly able to
earn high return on its loan and advances is comparison of other two banks is point
of view of average mean & low C.V ratio.
Table 4.16
Return on Equity Ratio (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Mean SD CV
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 35.12 30.77 31.30 33.91 32.79 32.88 1.42 4.32%
SCBNL 37.03 35.96 33.89 37.55 32.68 35.42 2.08 5.86%
HBL 19.95 19.87 19.99 25.90 36.89 24.52 7.38 30.10%
Sources: Appendix 1(xvi)
The above table exhibits that ratios of NABIL followed decreasing trend from FY
2002/03 to FY 2003/04 and then increased from FY 2004/05 to 2005/06 and again
decreased is FY 2006/07. In case of SCBNL ratio, it followed decreasing trend
from FY 2002/03 to 2004/05 then increasing trend from 2005/06 to 2006/07. In
90
case of HBL ratio, it followed decreasing trend is FY 2002/03 to FY 2003/04 and
then increased from FY 2004/05 to 2006/07.
In the mean ratios, it is observed that NABIL has the average mean value i.e.,
32.88 which is less than 35.42 of SCBNL and higher than 24.52 of HBL. The co-
efficient of variation of NABIL is less than other two banks i.e., 4.32%<
5.86%<30.10%.
In the point of view of average mean and lower C.V it can be concluded that
comparatively NABIL has mobilized its equity capital more efficiently than other
two banks. So, NABIL has sound investment policy on equity capital more over
its lower C.V shows its more homogenous during the study period.
91
(i) Growth Ratio of Total Deposit
Table 4.17
Growth Ratio of Total Deposit (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Growth Ratio
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 13448 14119 24587 19347 23342 14.74%
SCBNL 18756 21161 19335 23061 24647 7.06%
HBL 21007 22010 24814 26490 30048 9.36%
Sources: Appendix 1(xvii)
Figure 4.1
Growth Ratio of Total Deposit
The above comparative table shows that the growth ratio of NABIL deposit is
higher than that of SCBNL and HBL i.e. 14.74%>9.36%>7.06%. It means that the
performance of NABIL to collect greater deposit compared to SCB & HBL is
better year-by-year.
92
(ii) Growth of Total Loan and Advances
Table 4.18
Growth Ratio of Loan and Advances (%)
Banks Fiscal Year Growth Ratio
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 7756 8190 10586 12923 15546 18.98%
SCBNL 5696 3410 8143 8935 10502 16.53%
HBL 10845 12920 13451 15762 17794 13.18%
Figure 4.2
Growth Ratio of Loan and Advances
The above comparatives table no. 19 shows that the growth ratio of NABIL has
maintained ratio of 18.98% where as SCBNL & HBL maintained 16.53% and
13.18% respectively. It means the performance of HBL to grant loan and advances
in comparison to other banks is better year-by-year.
93
(iii) Growth of Total Investment
Table 4.19
Growth Ratio of Total Investment
Banks Fiscal Year Growth Ratio
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 (%)
NABIL 6031 5836 4270 6179 8945 10.35%
SCBNL 10216 11360 9703 12848 13553 7.32%
HBL 10175 9292 11692 10889 11823 3.82%
Figure 4.3
Growth Ratio of Total Investment
The above comparative table shows that growth ratio of total investment of
NABIL is higher than SCBNL & HBL i.e. 10.35%>7.32%>3.82%. So we can say
that NABIL has better growth level for investment sector even FY 2003/04 to
2004/05 has decreasing growth amount and then increasing growth amount there
after.
94
(iv) Growth Ratio of Total Net Profit
Table 4.20
Growth Ratio of Total Net Profit
Banks Fiscal Year Growth
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 Ratio (%)
NABIL 416 455 518 635 674 12.82%
SCBNL 507 538 540 659 692 8.08%
HBL 212 263 308 457 492 23.43%
Figure 4.4
Growth Ratio of Total Net Profit
The above comparative shows that the growth ratio of NABIL's net profit i.e.
12.82% is lower than HBL i.e. 23.43% and higher than SCBNL i.e. 8.08%. In the
view of net profit NABIL has average position in comparison to other two banks.
95
investment and net profit as well as hypothesis test are used to achieve the
objectives of the study.
Table 4.21
Correlation between Total Deposits and Loan and Advances
Evaluation Criterions
Banks r r2 P.E. 6 P.E.r
NABIL 0.97 0.9409 0.0178 0.1068
SCBNL 0.83 0.6889 0.0938 0.5628
HBL 0.96 0.9216 0.0236 0.1416
Sources: Appendix 2(i, iv, vii)
96
From the above table, three sample banks co-efficient of correlation between total
deposit and loan and advances shows high degree of positive relationship. In case
of NABIL, it is fund that co-efficient of correlation between total deposit and loan
and advances is 0.97, which is high degree of positive correlated. When we
consider, the value of coefficient of determination (r 2), it is 94.09% of the
variation is the dependent variable (loan and advances) has been explained by the
independent variable (total deposit).
Similarly, considering the valued of (r) i.e. 0.97 and comparing it with 6PE i.e.
0.1068 we can find that (r) is greater than the value of 6PE. This reveals that the
value of r is significant. In other words there is significant relationship between
total deposit and loan and advances in case of NABIL.
Likewise, in the case of SCBNL & HBL, it has high degree of positive correlation
between deposit and loan & advances., However by application of coefficient of
determination (r2) it indicates that SCBNL and HBL has 68.89% and 92.16%
respectively of the variation in the dependent variable i.e. loan and advances has
been explained by the independent variable i.e. deposits. Moreover considering the
probable error, in case of SCBNL and HBL, (r) is greater then 6 P.E is can be said
that the value of (r) is significant i.e., there is significant relationship between total
deposit and loan & advances.
Lastly, we can draw the conclusion from the above analysis that in NABIL,
SCBNL and HBL, there is positive relationship between total deposits and loan &
advances. The relationship is significant and the value of (r 2) shows high percent
in the dependent variable which has been explained by the independent variable.
This indicates that three banks are successful to mobilize their deposits in-proper
way as loan & advances. Moreover, we can further conclude that NABIL has
higher correlation between deposit and loan & advances as well as higher value of
97
(r2) than those of SCBNL & HBL. Which indicates that it is in strong condition to
grand loan & advances for mobilizing the collected deposits in comparison to
other two banks.
The table 4.22 shows the value of r, r2, P.E and 6P.E between deposit and total
investment of NABIL, SCBNL & HBL for the study period of 2002/03 to
2006/07.
Table 4.22
Correlation between Deposit and Total Investment
Evaluation Criterions
Banks r r2 P.E. 6 P.E.
NABIL 0.82 0.6724 0.0988 0.5928
SCBNL 0.98 0.9604 0.0119 0.0714
HBL 0.79 0.6241 0.1134 0.6804
Sources: Appendix 2(ii, v, viii)
From the above table 4.22, we find that co-efficient of correlation between
deposits (independent) and total investment (dependent) value of 'r' is 0.82 in case
of NABIL. It shows highest degree of positive relationship between two variables.
However, by application of coefficient of determination the value of (r 2) is 0.6724
which indicates 67.24% of the variation of the dependent variable (total
investment) has been explained by the independent variable (deposits). Moreover,
by considering the probable error, since the value of r i.e. 0.82 is greater than
98
6P.E. i.e. 0.5928. So, we can say that there is significant relationship between total
deposits and total investments.
On the other hand in case of SCBNL and HBL, both have high degree of
correlation between deposit and total investment. However, by the application of
coefficient of determination i.e. r2 it indicates SCBNL to be 96.04% and HBL to
be 62.41% respectively of the variation in the dependent variable i.e. total
investment has been explained by the independent variables i.e. deposit more over
considering the probable error since the value of r i.e. 0.98 of SCBNL and 0.79 of
HBL is more than 6 P.E. So we can say that there is significant relationship
between total deposit and total investment of SCBNL & HBL.
Lastly, we can draw the conclusion from the above analysis that NABIL, SCBNL
& HBL as high degree of positive relationship between deposit & investment. The
relationship is significant and the value of (r2) shows high percent in the dependent
variable which has been explained by the independent variable. This indicates that
three banks are successful to invest their deposit in proper way. More over, we can
further conclude that NABIL has slightly lower correlation between investment &
deposit as well as lower value of r2 in comparison to SCBNL ad higher value in
comparison to HBL. It indicates that NABIL is in average position to follow the
policy of maximizing the investment of their deposits in comparison to SCBNL
and HBL.
99
find out whether the net profit is significantly correlated with respective total
assets or not.
Table 4.23
Co-efficient of Correlation between Outside Assets and Net Profit
Evaluation Criterions
Banks r r2 P.E. 6 P.E.
NABIL 0.93 0.8649 0.0408 0.2448
SCBNL 0.83 0.6889 0.0938 0.5628
HBL 0.96 0.9216 0.0236 0.1416
Sources: Appendix 2(iii, vi, ix)
From the above listed table it has been found that the coefficient of correlation
between total outside assets (independent) and net profit (dependent) of NABIL is
0.93 high degree of positive correlation between these two variables. On the other
hand, considering the value of co-efficient of determination r2 i.e. 0.8649 indicates
that 86.49% of the variation in the dependent variables (net profit) has been
explained by the independent variables (total outside assets) moreover by
considering the probable error. We can further say that there is significant
relationship between total outside assets and net profit because the value of r i.e.
0.93 is greater that 6 P.E. i.e. 0.2448. It indicates that NABIL is capable to earn
net profit by mobilizing total outside assets.
Similarly, co-efficient of correlation between outside assets and net profit in case
of SCBNL and HBL is found to be 0.83 and 0.96 respectively, which indicates
high degree of correlation between these two variables. On the other hand,
considering the value of co-efficient of determination r2 i.e. it indicates SCBNL to
be 68.89% and HBL to 92.16% respectively of the variation in the dependent
variable i.e. net profit has been explained by the independent variables i.e. outside
assets moreover, considering the probable error since the value of r i.e. 0.83 of
100
SCBNL & 0.96 of HBL is more than 6 P.E. So we can say that there is significant
relationship between net profit and total outside assets of SCBNL & HBL.
Lastly, we can draw the conclusion from the above analysis that NABIL, SCBNL
& HBL has high degree of positive relationship between deposit & investment.
The relationship is significant and value of r2 shows the high percent in the
dependent variable which has been explained by the independent variable. This
indicates that three sample banks are successful to mobilize fund and get return i.e.
net profit from such mobilized assets. Moreover, we can further conclude that
NABIL has slightly lower correlation between net profit & outside assets as well
as lower value of r2 in comparison to HBL and higher value in comparison to
SCBNL. It means NABIL is in average position in its efficiency to get return i.e.
net profit from outside assets.
101
(i) Trend Analysis of Total Deposit
Under this topic and effort has been made to calculate the trend values of deposit
of NABIL, SCBNL & HBL for 5 years from 2002/03 to 2006/07 and forecast for
next 5 years till 2012.
Table 4.24
Trend Value of Total Deposit
(Rs. in million)
Year Trend Values NABIL Trend Values SCBNL Trend Values HBL
2002/03 11965 104223.75 20361.68
2003/04 14466.80 105591.99 22618.54
2004/05 16968.60 106960.23 24875.40
2005/06 19470.40 108328.47 27132.26
2006/07 21972.20 109696.71 29389.12
2007/08 24474 111064.95 31645.98
2008/09 26975.80 112433.19 33902.84
2009/010 29477.60 113801.43 36159.70
2010/011 31979.40 115169.67 38416.56
2011/012 34481.20 116537.91 40673.42
Sources: Appendix 3(i, iv, vii)
Figure 4.5
Trend Value of Total Deposit
102
The above table shows that the deposit of all the three banks has the increasing
trend. If other thing remains the same, the total deposit of the same, the total
deposit of NABIL will be 34481.20 million in FY 2011/012 which is less deposit
among the three banks. Similarly deposit of SCBNL & HBL will be 116537.91
million and 40673.42 million for the FY 2011/012 respectively.
From the above trend analysis, it is found that the deposit collection position of
NABIL is weak in comparison to SCBNL and HBL. The calculated trend values
of total deposit of NABIL, SCBNL & HBL are fitted in trend line.
The following table 4.25 shows the trend values of total investment for trend
values of total investment for ten years from 2007/08 to 2011/012 of NABIL,
SCBNL & HBL.
Table 4.25
Trend Value of Total Investment
103
(Rs in million)
Year Trend Values NABIL Trend Values SCBNL Trend Values HBL
2002/03 5017.95 9903.71 9795.98
2003/04 5635.04 10719.84 10285.18
2004/05 6252.13 11535.97 10774.38
2005/06 6869.22 12352.10 11263.58
2006/07 7486.31 13168.23 11752.78
2007/08 8103.40 13984.36 12241.98
2008/09 8720.49 14800.49 12731.18
2009/010 9337.58 15616.62 13220.38
2010/011 9954.67 16432.75 13709.58
2011/012 10571.76 17248.88 14198.78
Sources: Appendix 3(ii, iv, viii)
Figure 4.6
Trend Value of Total Investment
The above table shows the total investment of NABIL, SCBNL & HBL has the
increasing trend value. Other things remaining the same the total investment of
NABIL will be 10571.76 million in the mid July 2012. That is the average
investment among three banks. Similarly, the deposit of SCBNL & HBL will be
17248.88million and 14198.78 million respectively.
104
From the above trend analysis, it is found that the total investment of NABIL is
lower in compared to SCBNL & HBL. The calculated trend values of total
investment of NABIL, SCBNL and HBL are fitted in the trend line.
105
Table 4.26
Trend Value of Net Profit (Rs in million)
Year Trend Values Trend Values Trend Values
NABIL SCBNL HBL
2002/03 400.74 488.79 195.79
2003/04 470.28 537.83 271.17
2004/05 539.82 586.87 346.55
2005/06 609.36 635.91 421.93
2006/07 678.90 684.95 497.31
2007/08 748.44 733.99 572.69
2008/09 817.98 783.03 648.07
2009/010 887.52 832.07 723.45
2010/011 957.06 881.11 798.83
2011/012 1026.60 930.15 874.21
Sources: Appendix 3(iii, vi, ix)
Figure 4.7
Trend Value of Net
Profit
106
The above table shows that the net profit of NABIL, SCBNL & HBL is in
increasing trend value. Other things remaining the same, the net profit of NABIL
will be 1026.60 million in the mid July 2012. That is the highest among the three
during the study period. Similarly, the net profit of SCBNL and HBL will be
930.15 million and 874.21 million in mid 2012 respectively.
From the above trend analysis, it is fund that the net profit of NABIL us the
highest among three sample banks. The calculated trend values of net profit of
NABIL, SCBNL and HBL are fitted in the trend line.
i) Formulating of hypothesis
Null Hypothesis
Alternative Hypothesis
ii) Computing the test statistic
iii) Fixing the level of significance
iv) Deciding two tailed or one tailed test
v) Having decision
t-test
In this research study the sample is small i.e., n =5. Hence, to deal with small
sample “t” test is used. Suppose we want to test if two independent samples have
been drawn from two normal populations having the same means, the population
variances being equal.
107
We set up the Null hypothesis H 0 : 1 = 2 i.e., the samples have been drawn
from the normal population, or the sample means X1 and X 2 do not differ
significantly. Under the assumption that a2 = 6a2 i.e., population variances are
equal but unknown, the test statistic under H 0 is:
X1 X 2
= with …….. d.f. = n1 + n2 – 2
1 1
S2
n1 n 2
Where,
X1 =
X 1
X2 =
X 2
n1 n2
1
S2 = x12 + x 2
n1 +n 2 -2
2
108
2006/07 66.61 2.28 5.21 42.61 5.78 33.41 56.57 0.45 0.2025
321.64 163.57 184.14 149.59 280.6 42.18
X1 =
X 1
X2 =
X 2
X3 =
x 3
n n n
x1 -x 2
Under Ho the test statistics is given by t= with.....d.f. =n1 +n 2 -2
1 1
S2 ( + )
n1 n 2
109
Where s 2 =
1
n1 +n 2 -2
X12 + X 22
1
= (163.57+149.59)
5+5-2
1
= ×313.16
8
= 39.145
Now,
Test statistics under Ho is,
64.33-36.83
t=
1 1
39.145( + )
5 5
27.5 27.5
= = =6.95
15.66 3.96
The calculated value of t = (two tailed test) at 5% level of (n 1+n2-2) 8 d.f. is 2.306
Decision
Since the calculated value of t = 6.95 is greater than tabulated value i.e. 2.306
therefore the null. Hypothesis is rejected and hence alternative hypothesis (H 1) is
accepted i.e. there is significant difference between mean ratio of loan and
advances to total deposit of NABIL and SCBL.
110
Alternative Hypothesis (H1): x1 x 3 (two tailed test) i.e. there is significant
difference between mean ratios of loan and advances to total deposit of NABIL
and HBL.
Tabulated value of 't' (two tailed) at 5% level of (n1+n3-2) d.f. i.e. 8 is 2.306
Decision
Since the calculated value of t =0.739 is greater than tabulated value i.e. 2.306
therefore the Null hypothesis is rejected and hence alternative hypothesis (H1 ) is
accepted i.e. there is significant difference between mean ratio of loan and
advances to total deposit of NABIL and HBL
111
X1= x 2
1 = X 2
2 = X 2
2 =4 X 3 = X 2
3
Here,
x1 =
X 1
x2=
X 2
x3=
X 3
n n n
x1 =20.304 x 2 = 37.57 x 3 = 22.02
Again,
x1 =(x1 -x1 ) x 2 =(x 2 -x 2 ) x 3 =(x 3 -x 3 )
112
1
Where, S2 ( X12 + X 22 )
n1 +n 2 -2
1
(137.02+40.059)
5+5-2
1
= ×177.079
8
=22.13
Now,
Test statistics under Ho is,
20.304-37.57
t= ) =5.803
1 1
22.13( +
5 5
The calculated value of (t) = 2.803
Tabulated value of (t) (two tailed test) at 5% level of (n1+n2-2) d.f. i.e. 8 d.f. is
2.306
Decision
Since the calculated value of (t) = 5.803 is greater the tabulated value i.e. 2.306
therefore alternative hypothesis (H1) is accepted i.e. there is significant difference
between mean ratios of investment in government securities to current assets of
NABIL and SCBL
113
Alternative Hypothesis (H1): x1 x 2 (two tailed test) i.e. there is significant
difference between mean ratios of investment on govt. Securities to current assets
ratios of NABIL and HBL.
Tabulated value of (t) (two tailed test) at 5% level of (n1+n2-2) d.f. i.e. 8 d.f. is
2.306
114
Decision
Since the calculated value of (t) = 0.594 is lower than tabulated value i.e. 2.306
therefore the Null hypothesis Ho is accepted i.e. there is no significant difference
between mean ratios of investment in government securities to current assets ratio
of NABIL and HBL
(iii) Hypothesis Test of Return on Loan and Advances Ratio between NABIL
and SCBL and Between NABIL and HBL
Here ratios of return on loan and advances of NABIL and SCBL are taken and
carried out under t-test of significance difference
Here,
x1 =
X 1
x2 =
X 2
x3 =
X 3
n n n
115
a) Test of Significance difference between NABIL and SCBL
Null Hypothesis Ho: x1 = x 2 i.e. there is no significance difference between
1
(.91447+4.3547)
5+5-2
=0.6589
Now,
Test of statistics under Ho is
x 1 -x 2
t=
1 1
S2 ( + )
n1 n 2
5 .0 1 6 -7 .5 8
=
1 1
.6 5 8 9 ( + )
5 5
-2 .5 6 4
=
0 .2 6 3 5 6
9 .7 2 8
116
Tabulated value of 't' (two tailed test ) at 5% level of (n1+n2-2) d.f. i.e., 8 d.f. is
2.306
Decision
Since the calculated value of t = 9.728 is greater then tabulated value of t = 2.306
therefore the Null hypothesis (Ho) is rejected and hence alternative hypothesis (H 1)
is accepted i.e., there is significant difference between mean ratios of return on
loan and advances of NABIL and SCBL.
difference between mean ratios of return on loan and advances of NABIL & HBL.
1
(.91447+ .82932)
5+ 5-2
= 0.21797
Now,
Test statistics under HO is
117
x1-x2
t=
1 1
S2 ( + )
n1 n3
5.016-2.416
=
1 1
0.21797( + )
5 5
2.6
=
0.29527
8.805
Calculated value of 't' (two tailed test) at 5% level of (n1+n2-2) 8 d.f. is 2.306
Decision
Since the calculated value of 't' = 8.805 is greater than tabulated value of t = 2.306
therefore the Null hypothesis is rejected and hence alternative hypothesis is
accepted. i.e. there is significant difference between mean ratios of return on loan
and advances of NABIL and HBL
(iv) Hypothesis Test of Total Interest Earned to Total Outside Assets Ratio of
NABIL, SCBL and HBL
Ratios of total interest earned to total outside assets of NABIL, SCBL and HBL
are taken and carried out under (t-test) of significance difference.
118
2005/06 6.86 -0.156 0.0243 5.46 -2.144 4.5967 6.10 -0.246 0.0605
2006/07 6.50 -0.516 0.2662 5.87 -1.734 3.0067 6.10 0.246 0.0605
35.08 0.47232 38.02 66.6789 29.27 0.21212
119
Here,
x1 =
X 1
x2=
X 2
x3=
X 3
n2 n2 n3
Again,
x1 =(x1 -x1 ) x 2 =(x 2 -x 2 ) x 3 =(x 3 -x 3 )
difference between mean ratios of total interest earned to total outside assets ratios
of NABIL and SCBNL.
x1 -x 2
t= With.........d.f.=n1 +n 2 -2
2 1 1
S( +
n1 n 2
120
1
Where, S 2 ( X 12 + X 22 )
n 1 +n 2 -2
1
(0.47232+66.6789)
5+5-2
=8.394
Now,
Test statistics under Ho is,
7.016-7.604
t= = -0.0262
1 1
8.394( + )
5 5
The calculated value of (t) = 0.0262
Tabulated value of (t) (two tailed test) at 5% level of (n 1+n2-2) 8 d.f. is 2.306.
Decision
Since the calculated value of (t) = 0.262 is lower than tabulated value of (t) =
2.326 therefore the Null Hypothesis (H O) is accepted and alternative Hypothesis is
rejected i.e., there is no significant difference earned to total outside assets of
NABIL and SCBNL
121
(Where, x1 is mean ratio of NABIL and x 3 is mean ratio of HBL)
1
(0.47232-0.21212)
5+5-2
=0.08555
7.016-5.854
=
1 1
0.0855( + )
5 5
1.162
0.1849
6.284
Decision
Since calculated value of t = 6.284 is greater than tabulated value of t =2.306 there
fore the Null hypothesis (HO) is rejected and alternative hypothesis (H1) is
accepted i.e. there is significant difference between mean ratios of total interest
earned to total outside assets of NABIL and HBL.
122
4.3 Major Findings of the Study
The main findings of the study are derived on the analysis of financial data of
NABIL, SCBNL and HBL is given below.
Liquidity Ratio
The liquidity position of NABIL, SCBNL and HBL reveals that:
From the analysis of current ratio it is found that the mean of ratio of
NABIL is higher than that of SCBNL and HBL. It means NABIL has
maintained the higher liquidity. And lower risk in compare to other banks.
The ratio of NABIL is more consistent than HBL and less consistent than
SCBNL.
The mean ratio of cash and bank balance to total deposits of NABIL is
lower than SCBNL and HBL, It states that cash and bank balance in
liquidity position of NABIL lower than other two banks. And the ratio of
NABIL is less consistent than that of SCBNL and HBL.
The mean ratio of cash and bank balance to current assets of NABIL is
lower than SCBNL and HBL. It states that the liquidity position of NABIL
is poorer than that of SCBNL and HBL, and the ratio of HBL is more
variable than that of other two banks.
The mean ratio of investment on government securities to current assets of
NABIL is lower in compared to SCBNL and HBL. It reveals that
investment on government securities of NABIL is poorer than other two
banks. The ratio of NABIL is less consistent than that of SCBNL and HBL.
The mean ratio of loan and advances to current assets of NABIL is higher
than HBL and slightly lower than SCBNL. The ratio of NABIL is more
consistent than SCBNL and less consistent than HBL.
123
Assets Management Ratio (Activity Ratio)
The assets management ratio of NABIL, SCBNL and HBL reveals that.
The mean ratio of loan and advances to total deposit of NABIL is higher
than that of SCBNL and HBL. The ratio of NABIL is more stable than
SCBNL and less than HBL.
The mean ratio of total investment to total deposit of NABIL is lower than
SCBNL and HBL. The variability of ratios is lower than that of SCBNL
and HBL.
The mean ratio of loan and Advances to total working fund of NABIL is
higher than SCBNL and HBL. The variability of ratios is higher than HBL
and lower than SCBNL.
The mean of investment on government securities to total working fund
ratio of NABIL is higher than HBL and lower than SCBNL. However
NABIL seams to have more variable and uniform ratios than that of two
compared banks.
The mean ratio of Investment on share and debentures to total working fund
of NABIL is higher than SCBNL and HBL and also NABIL is more
consistent and homogeneous than SCBNL and HBL.
From the above findings it helps to conclude that NABIL, is comparatively
successful in its on balance sheet operation is compared to SCBNL and
HBL. It predicts that NABIL has successfully maintained and managed its
assets towards different income generating activities.
Profitability Ratio
The profitability ratio of NABIL, SCBNL and HBL reveal that:
The mean ratio of return on total working fund is higher than SCBNL and
HBL. On the other hand NABIL is less consistent and homogeneous than
SCBNL and more than HBL.
124
The mean ratio of return on total working fund is higher than SCBNL and
HBL. On the other hand NABIL is less consistent and homogeneous than
SCBNL and more than HBL.
The mean ratio of total interest earned to total outside Assets of NABIL is
higher than HBL and slightly lower than SCBNL. The variability of the
ratio of NABIL is in between in comparison to SCBNL and HBL.
The mean ratio of return on loan and advances of NABIL is higher than of
NABIL is more consistent than other two banks.
The mean ratio of total Interest earned to total working fund of NABIL is
higher than that of SCBNL and HBL. The ratio of NABIL is more
consistent than that of other two banks.
The mean ratio of total interest pays to total working fund is higher than
SCBNL and lower than HBL. NABIL'S ratio is less consistent than other
two banks.
From the above findings of profitability ratios, it can be concluded that the
NABIL is comparatively in higher position than that of SCBNL and HBL.
So, the profit earning capacity of NABIL is high in comparison to other two
banks.
Growth Ratios
From the analysis of growth ratios of NABIL, SCBNL and HBL it reveals that:
The growth ratio of NABIL deposit is higher than that of SCBNL and HBL.
It means the performance of NABIL to collect deposit is greater than
SCBNL and HBL.
The growth ratio of NABIL loan and advances is higher than that of
SCBNL and HBL. It means the performance of NABIL to grant loan and
advances in compared to other two banks is better.
125
The growth ratio of total investment is higher than that of SCBNL and HBL
it indicates that NABIL has succeeded on the investment than other two
banks.
The growth ratio of NABIL net profit is higher than SCBNL and lower than
HBL. It means the performance of NABIL to earn profit is in moderate
position in comparison to other two banks.
From the above analysis, it can be concluded that NABIL has maintained
high growth ratios on total deposit, loan advances and total Investment but
it has moderate position on net profit. We must say that the bank is
successful in increasing its sources and its mobilization.
126
Trend Analysis and Projection for Next Five Years
The trend analysis of total deposit loan and advances, total investment and net
profit and projection for next five years of NABIL, SCBNL and HBL reveals that:
Total deposits of all the three banks have increasing trend. The total deposit
of NABIL will be 34481.20 million in the mid July of 2012, which is the
lower deposit among the sample banks similarly the total deposit of
SCBNL and HBL will be 116537.91 million and 40673.42 million
respectively in the mid July of 2012. The deposit collection of NABIL is
lower than SCBNL and HBL.
The total investment of all the three banks has increasing trend. The total
investment of NABIL will be 10571.76 million in the mid of July 2012
similarly, the total investment of SCBNL and HBL will be 17248.88
million and 14198.78 million in the mid July 2002. The total investment of
NABIL is not better in comparison to SCBNL and HBL.
The net profit of all three banks has increasing trend. The net profit of
NABIL will be 1026.60 million in the mid of July 2012 that is the highest
net profit among three banks. Similarly the net profit of SCBNL and HBL
will be 930.15 million and 874.21 million respectively in the mid July
2012.
Test of Hypothesis
From the test of significance regarding the parameter of the population, it has been
found that
There is significant difference between mean ratio of loan and advances to
total deposit of NABIL and SCBNL and NABIL and HBL
There significant difference, between mean ratios of investment in
government securities to current Assets of NABIL and SCBNL but there is
no significant difference between mean ratios of investment in government
securities to current Assets ratio of NABIL and HBL.
127
There is significant difference between mean ratios of Return on loan and
advances of NABIL and SCBNL and BABIL and HBL.
There is no significant difference between mean ratios of total interest
earned to total outside assets of NABIL and SCBNL but there is significant
difference between mean ratios of total interest earned to total outside
assets of NABIL and HBL.
128
CHAPTER - V
SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Summary
The development of any country depends upon its economic development.
Economic development demands transformation of savings or invertible resources
into the actual investment formation is the prerequisite in setting the overall pace
of the development of a country. It is the financial institutions that transfer funds
from surplus spending units to deficit units.
The evolution of the organized financial system in Nepal has a more recent history
than in other countries of the world. In Nepalese content, the history of
development of modern banks started from the establishment of Nepal bank
limited in 1937 A.D. nowadays there are 25 CBs operating in Nepal financial
market which is in increasing due to the country moved towards economic
liberalization, financial scenario has changed, and foreign banks were invited to
operate in Nepal. For the better performance of CBs, successful formulation &
effective implementation of investment policy is the prime requisite. Nowadays
there is a very high competition in the banking industries but very less opportunity
to make investment. The opportunities are hidden. Thus these CBs should take
129
initiative action in search of the new opportunities. So that, they can easily survive
in this competitive banking business world & earn profit. A bank manager its
investment has a lot to do with the economic health of the country because the
bank loans support the growth of new business & trade empowering the economic
activities of the country.
Commercial banks are not able to utilize its deposits properly i.e. providing loan
and advances or lending for a profitable project, the reason behind it is lack of
sound investment policy, increasing trend of this type of situation certainly lead
closure of the banking institutions.
130
Hence, the sufficient return is not earned due to the lack of stable, strong and
appropriate investment policy. They have not been able to utilize their funds more
efficiently and productively. Though the directions and guidance are being
provided by the Nepal Rastra Bank but the long term and published policy about
their operation does not sound good in the joint venture banks. Therefore, the
banks investment policy must be such that it is sound and prudent in order to
protect public funds.
The study is based on secondary data from the fiscal year 2002/03 to 2006/07. The
data are collected from annual reports, financial statement, official records,
periodicals, journals and bulletins, various published reports and relevant
unpublished master’s thesis. Besides this, personal contacts with the bank have
also been made.
For the fulfillments of the objectives of the study many analyses have been done.
Both financial as well as statistical tools have been used to analyze and interpret
the facts and information. Under financial tools, various financial ratios related to
the investment function of commercial banks i.e. liquidity ratio, assets
management ratio, profitability ratio, risk ratio, and growth ratio have been studied
and interpreted. Under statistical analysis, some relevant statistical tools, i.e.
correlation co-efficient, trend analysis and hypothesis test have been studied and
tested. This analysis gives clear picture of the performance of the bank with regard
to its investment practices. Financial & statistical tools are used to reckoning and
secondary data were compiled, processed, tabulated and graphed for better
131
presentation. From which various finding have shown in above chapter from that
finding conclusion have been drawn which are presented as below.
Investments are valued at lower of cost or market value. Diminution in the value
of investments is provided for to cover the possible losses. Investments in unlisted
companies' shares are valued at cost. All investments are subject to regular review
as required by Nepal Rastra Directive. Commercial banks invest in different sector
like Nepal government treasury bills, Nepal government saving bonds, Nepal
government other securities, Nepal Rastra banks bonds, foreign securities, local
licensed institutions, foreign banks, organized institutions' shares, organized
institutions' bonds and debentures, other investments, NCM mutual funds and
SWIFT investment etc. 53.75% of investment of government securities from total
investment by the NABIL bank, 52.44% of investment of government securities
from total investment by the SCBNL and 54.60% of investment of government
securities form total investment by the HBL bank. Investment in share and
debenture by NABIL is 3.21%, SCBNL is 0.33% and HBL is 0.62%. Likewise
investment to other sector by NABIL is 43.041%, SCBNL is 47.22% and HBL is
44.78%. By which HBL investment in government securities is high as compare to
other two banks because in government securities risk is minimized there is no
more risk. But investment in share and debenture NABIL bank investment is
higher than SCBNL and HBL. And investment in other sector is higher than
NABIL and HBL.
In loan it's divided into two parts priority sector and deprived loan. NABIL bank
priority sector is 365.24 million, SCBNL is 191.9 million and HBL is 407.4
million, priority sector is divided into two parts direct investment and indirect
investment but all the banks has invest in direct investment i.e. in agriculture,
domestic industries, services and power sector. And NABIL bank deprived loan is
430.2 million, SCBNL is 303.2 million and HBL is 533.7 million. NABIL
132
deprived loan is in direct investment i.e. 11.4 million and indirect investment is
418.8 million and other two banks all deprived loan is in indirect investment.
5.2 Conclusion
The current ratio of NABIL is comparatively better than SCBNL and HBL.
NABIL has maintained highest current assets ratio but it has lower mean ratio of
cash and bank balance to total deposit and cash and bank balance to current assets
ratio. NABIL has minimum deposit collection. It has made average investment on
loan & advances and it has maintained low investment policy on government
securities.
From the analysis of assets management ratio it ca be concluded that NABIL has
successfully maintained ad managed its assets towards different income generating
activities. The ratio of loan and advances to total deposit is higher but the mean
ratio of total investment to total deposit is lower than SCBNL and HBL but
Investment on government securities to total working fund is in moderate position
in compare to other two banks. The mean ratio of Investment on share and
debenture to total working fund of NABIL is higher than SCBL and HBL. NABIL
is more consistent and homogeneous than SCBNL and HBL.
In profitability ratio, the mean of return on total working fund and total interest
earned to total working fund of NABIL is higher than SCBNL and HBL. The
mean ratio of total interest earned to total outside Assets return on loan and
advances and total interest paid to total working fund of NABIL is in moderate
position in comparison to SCBNL and HBL. So, the profit earning capacity of
NABIL is high is comparison to other two banks.
There is high degree of significant relationship between deposit and loan and
advances, deposit and total investment and outside assets and net profit of NABIL
is compare to SCBNL and HBL.
133
Total deposit, total investment and net profit of three sample banks are in
increasing trend. Other things remaining the total deposit of NABIL will be on
average position in compare to other two banks but total investment trend of
NABIL is not better in comparison to SCBNL and HBL. The net profit of NABIL
will be highest among three banks.
From the above analysis, it can be concluded that all three banks have significant
difference between loan and advances, return on loan and advances. There is no
significance difference between investment on government securities to current
assets of NABIL and HBL and ratios of total interest earned to total outside assets
of NABIL and SCBNL. But there is significant difference between investment on
government securities to current assets of NABIL and SCBNL and significant
difference between total interest earned to total outside assets of NABIL and HBL.
134
Ratio NABIL SCBNL HBL 1st 2nd 3rd
Position Position Position
Liquidity Ratio
Current Ratio 1.1016 0.035 3.21 NABIL HBL SCBNL
Cash and Bank Balance to 5.60 7.42 7.79 HBL SCBNL NABIL
Total Deposit Ratio
Cash and Bank Balance to 5.59 7.91 9.22 HBL SCBNL NABIL
Current Assets
Investment on Government 21.36 36.97 22.02 SCBNL HBL NABIL
Securities to Current Assets
Loan and Advances to Current 64.70 39.33 65.34 HBL NABIL SCBNL
Assets
Assets Management Ratio
Loan and Advances to Total 34.33 36.86 56.12 HBL SCBNL NABIL
Deposit
Total Investment to Total 37.14 53.83 43.66 SCBNL HBL NABIL
Deposit
Loan & Advances to Total 54.45 32.59 48.54 NABIL HBL SCBNL
Working Fund
Investment on Government 17.12 31.28 16.35 SCBNL NABIL HBL
Securities to Total Working
Fund
Investment on shares and 0.87 0.076 0.15 NABIL HBL SCBNL
Debentures to Total Working
Fund
Profitability Ratio
Return on Total Working Fund 2.71 2.42 1.18 SCBNL NABIL HBL
Total Interest Earned to Total 7.02 7.66 5.85 SCBNL NABIL HBL
outside Assets
Total Interest Earned to Total 6.01 4.72 4.96 NABIL HBL SCBNL
Working Fund
Total Interest Paid to Total 1.72 1.24 2.11 HBL NABIL HBL
Working Fund
Return on Loan & Advances 5.02 7.58 2.42 SCBNL NABIL HBL
135
Return on Equity 32.88 35.42 24.52 SCBNL NABIL HBL
Growth Ratio
Total Deposit 14.74 7.06 9.36 NABIL HBL SCBNL
Total Loan and Advances 18.98 16.53 13.18 NABIL SCBNL HBL
Total Investment 10.35 7.32 3.82 NABIL SCBNL HBL
Total Net Profit 12.83 8.08 23.43 HBL NABIL SCBNL
In average liquidity position of NABIL is greater than other banks i.e. 1.106 >
0.978>0.898. So, NABIL is sound in liquidity position than other banks. NABIL
has maintained lower cash & bank balance to total deposit ratio than SCBNL i.e.
5.60<7.42<7.79. It states that cash and bank balance in liquidity position of
NABIL is lower than other two banks. While examining the mean ratio, NABIL
had maintained 5.59 which is less than SCBNL and HBL i.e. 7.91 and 9.22. It
states that liquidity position of NABIL is lower than other two banks. In overall,
the mean ratio of investment in govt. securities to current assets ratio of NABIL is
lower than that of SCBNL & HBL i.e. 20.30<22.02<36.97. It means NABIL had
invested its fewer portions of current assets on government securities, than other
two banks. While examining the mean ratio, NABIL has maintained 64.70 which
is slightly lower than HBL i.e. 65.34 and higher than SCBNL i.e. 39.33. On the
other side co-efficient of variation of NABIL 11.45% is lower than SCBNL ad
higher than HBL i.e. 16.74>11.64>6.12. In overall liquidity ratio of HBL is in 1st
position and SCBNL is in 2nd position and NABIL is in 3rd position.
In over all mean ratio of loan & advances to total deposit of NABIL is higher than
that of SCBNL & HBL. Investment to total deposit ratio, NABIL has maintained
lower, mean value i.e. 37.14<43.66< 53.83 than other two banks. SCBNL has
maintained the highest mean value of 53.83. On the basis of mean ratio of loan &
advances with respect of total working fund, NABIL has maintained the higher
ratio than that of SCBNL & HBL i.e. 54.45>48.54>32.59. So, NABIL is in good
condition to mobilize its total working fund as loan and advances. NABIL has
136
maintained slightly higher ratio than HBL and lower ratio than SCBNL i.e.
17.12>16.35<31.28 in case of government securities with respect of total working
fund. Investment on shares and debentures to total working fund ratio, NABIL has
higher investment than other two banks i.e. 0.87%>0.15>0.076. Return on total
working fund ratio, it is observed that the NABIL has the highest mean value i.e.
2.71>2.24>1.18. So, NABIL is highly efficient to earn net profit and return as
well. On the other hand C.V of NABIL is less than HBL and higher than SCBNL
i.e. 8.47%<23.05%>4.18%. On the basis of mean ratios NABIL is less than
SCBNL 7.02<7.66 & higher than HBL i.e. 7.02>5.85 in respect to total interest
earned to total outside assets. NABIL is higher than HBL i.e. 5.02>2.42 and lower
than SCBNL i.e. 5.02<7.58 is respect to return on loan & advances ratio. The
mean of NABIL is greater than that of other two banks i.e. 6.01>4.96>4.72. So,
we can say that NABIL is in strong position to generate interest income from the
total working fund than other two banks. The overall assets management ratio of
SCBNL and NABIL is in equally position and HBL is in last position.
NABIL i.e. 1.72 is average between SCBNL and HBL i.e. 1.24 and 2.11. It means
NABIL pays average interest than other two banks during the study period. Return
on equity, it is observed that NABIL has the average mean value i.e., 32.79 which
is less than 35.42 of SCBNL and higher than 24.52 of HBL. The mean ratio of
NABIL i.e. 54.45 is higher than that of SCBNL i.e. 32.59 and HBL 48.54, it
means credit risk of NABIL is higher that of other two banks. The mean capital
risk ratio of NABIL i.e. 3.49 is higher than SCBNL i.e. 1.81 and lowers than HBL
i.e. 5.55. From the analysis it can be concluded that NABIL has degree of capital
risk is higher that SCBNL and its more variable than HBL and less then SCBNL.
The growth ratio of NABIL deposit is higher then that of HBL and SCBNL i.e.,
14.74%>9.36%>7.06%. It means that the performance of NABIL to collect greater
deposit compared to SCBNL & HBL is better year-by-year. Growth ratio of total
investment of NABIL is higher than SCBNL & HBL and the growth ratio of
137
NABIL net profit i.e. 12.82% is lower than HBL i.e. 23.43% and higher than
SCBNL i.e. 8.08%. In profitability ratio, the overall position of SCBNL is in 1 st
position, NABIL is in 2nd position and HBL is in 3rd position. In overall growth
ratio, NABIL holds the 1st position, SCBNL hold 2nd position and HBL holds in
3rd position.
NABIL, SCBNL and HBL, there is positive relationship between total deposits
and loan & advances. NABIL, SCBNL and HBL have high degree of correlation
between deposit & total investment and outside assets &net profit. So we can say
that there is significant relationship between deposit & total investment and
outside assets & net profit of NABIL, SCBNL & HBL. From the trend analysis, it
is found that the deposit collection position of NABIL is weak in comparison to
SCBNL and HBL, it is found that the total investment of NABIL is lower in
compared to SCBNL & HBL. It is found that the net profit of NABIL is the
highest among three sample banks.
5.4 Recommendations
On the basis of analysis, findings, following recommendations are made. The
banks can make use of these recommendations to overcome their weakness,
inefficiency and improve their present fund mobilization and their overall
investment policy.
Current ratio of three sample banks are not sufficient to achieve standard
ratio i.e. 2:1, so it is recommended to both banks to maintain required
current ratio. They need to maintain the present mean current ratio for the
proper management of their liquidity position.
The liquidity position of a bank may be affected by external as well as
internal factors. The affecting factors may be interest rates, supply as
demand position of loan and advances as well as savings, investment
138
situations, central banks directives, the lending policies, capability of
management, strategic planning and funds flow situation. As NABIL has
maintained lower cash and banker to total deposit and current assets ratio,
NABIL is recommended to increase cash and bank balance to meet current
obligations and loan demand.
To get success is competitive banking environment, depositors money must
be utilized as loan and advances. Negligence in administering this assets
could be the main cause of liquidity crisis in the bank and one of the main
reasons of a bank failure. It has been found from the study that NABIL has
greater ratios at all, because its large portion of fund invested as loan and
advances and negligence to invest on other sector. HBL and SCBNL have
not properly used their existing fund as loan and advances to over come this
situation, NABIL and SCBNL are strongly recommended to follow liberal
lending policy.
As bank of private sector commercial banks cannot keep this eyes closed
from the profit motive. They should be careful is increasing profit is a real
sense to maintain the confidence of shareholders, depositors and its all
customers. NABIL has high profit earning capacity, but HBL's profitability
position is worse than that of other two banks. So, HBL is strongly
recommended to utilize risk assets and shareholders fund to gain highest
profit margin. Similarly, it should reduce its expenses and should try to
collect cheaper fund being more profitable.
Out of working fund, NABIL has not invested its more funds as total
investment in comparison to other two banks. Though, the percentage of
invested by all three banks have very nominal. So, it is recommended to all
three banks to invest their more funds in different types of companies’
indifferent areas.
In terms of recovery of loan of NABIL is worse in comparison to SCBNL
and HBL. The loan loss ratio is comparatively high that makes negative
139
impact on profit. It may be facing a lot of problems on recovering loans. It
has large no-performing asset as loan unrecovered. Therefore it is
recommended to apply recovery act that would help to realize overdue loan
in time.
Most of the joint venture banks have focused their banking services
especially to big clients such as multinational companies, large-scale
industries, manufactures and exporters of garments and carpets. The
minimum level bank balance and the amount needed to open an account in
there banks are very high amount. So, small depositors are very far from
enjoying the banking facilities provided by such joint venture banks. So, all
three banks should open its doors to the small depositors and entrepreneurs
for promoting and mobilizing small investors' funds and to attract
depositors through variety of deposit schemes and facilities like cumulative
deposit scheme, prize bonds scheme, gift cheques scheme, recurring deposit
scheme (life insurance), monthly interest scheme etc.
In the light of growing competition in the banking sector, the business of
the bank should be customer oriented. It should strengthen and activate its
marketing function, as it is an effective tool of attracting and retaining
customers. For this purpose, the banks should develop an "Innovative
approach to Bank Marketing" and formulate new strategies of serving
customers in a more convenient and satisfactory way.
Although NABIL has recently expanded its nine braches all over the
country but NABIL do not have branches in the rural areas of the country.
Its branches are limited to the urban areas only. Therefore, NABIL Bank is
recommended to open branches in rural areas too to help in economic
development of the country. Nepal Government has also encouraged the
joint venture banks to expand banking service in rural areas and
communities without making unfavorable impact in their profit.
140
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Web Sites
www.aaii.com
www.blackwell_synergy.com
www.business.com
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www.sebonp.com
145
APPENDIX - 1
i. Current Ratio Times
NABIL
SCBNL
Fiscal year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Current Assets 17084409 20093715 19322679 21472350 22025802
Current 17594654 20740829 18895638 21888227 23283089
Liabilities
Ratios 0.971 0.9688 1.0226 0.981 0.946
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Current Assets 16297019 18602009 21326260 23153115 2777553
Current 19083160 18733141 19422823 20991038 1920853
Liabilities
Ratio 0.854 0.993 1.098 1.103 1.446
SCBNL
146
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Cash and Bank Balance 1512304 2023164 1111117 1276241 2021021
Total Deposit 18755635 21161442 19335095 23061032 24647021
Ratio 8.06 9.56 5.75 5.53 8.21
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Cash and Bank Balance 1979209 2001184 2014471 1717352 1757341
Total Deposit 21007379 22010333 54814012 26490852 30048418
Ratio 9.42 9.092 8.12 6.84 5.85
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Cash and Bank Balance 1512304 2023164 1111117 1276241 2021021
Current Assets 17084409 20093715 19322679 21472350 22025802
Ratio 8.85 10.07 5.529 5.94 9.18
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Cash and Bank Balance 1979209 2001184 2014471 1717352 17581910
Current Assets 16297019 18602009 21326260 23153115 2777553
Ratio 12.14 10.76 9.45 7.42 6.33
147
Investment Got. Securities 3588772 3672626 2413939 2301462 4808348
Current Assets 13868307 14244337 14971801 18133814 22829535
Ratio 25.87 25,78 16.12 12.69 21,06
148
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Investment Got. Securities 6581348 7948217 7203066 8635875 7107937
Current Assets 1708440 20093715 19322679 21472350 22025802
Ratio 38.52 39.56 37.28 40.22 32.27
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Investment Got. Securities 3347102 3431728 5469729 5144312 6454873
Current Assets 16297019 18602009 21326260 23153115 2777533
Ratio 20.54 18.45 25.65 22.22 23.24
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Loan and Advances 5695823 6410242 8143208 8935418 10502637
Current Assets 17084409 20093715 1932679 21472350 22025802
Ratio 33.34 31.90 42.14 41.61 47.68
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Loan and Advances 10844599 12919631 13451168 15761977 16997997
Current Assets 16297019 18602009 21326260 23153115 27775533
Ratio 66.54 69.45 63.07 68.08 61.20
149
vi. Loan and Advances to Total Deposit Ratio (%)
NABIL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Loan and Advances 7755952 8189993 10586170 12922543 15545779
Total Deposit 13447661 14119032 14586608 19347399 23342285
Ratio 57.67 58.00 72.57 66.76 66.61
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Loan and Advances 5695823 6410242 8143208 8935418 10502637
Current Assets 18755635 21161442 19335095 23061032 24647021
Ratio 30.36 30.30 42.12 38.75 42.61
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Loan and Advances 10844599 12919631 13451168 15761977 16997797
Current Assets 21007379 22010333 24814012 26490852 30048418
Ratio 51.62 58.70 54.21 59.50 56.57
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Total Investment 10216199 11360328 9702553 12847536 13553233
Total Deposit 18755635 21161442 19335095 23061032 24647021
Ratio 54.47 53.68 50.18 55.71 55.10
150
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Total Investment 10175435 9292103 11692342 10889031 11822985
Total Deposit 21007379 22010333 24814012 26496852 30048418
Ratio 48.44 42.22 47.20 41.10 39.35
viii. Loan and Advances to Total Working Fund Ratio (Rs. in 000)
NABIL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Loan and Advances 7755952 8189993 10586170 12922543 15545779
Total Working Fund 16562624 16745486 17186331 22329971 27253393
Ratio 46.82 48.91 61.60 57.87 57.04
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Loan and Advances 5695823 6410242 8143208 8935418 10502637
Total Working Fund 20910970 23642060 21893578 25776332 28596689
Ratio 27.24 21.11 37.19 34.67 36.73
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Loan and Advances 10844599 12919631 13451168 15761977 16997997
Total Working Fund 24197974 25729787 28871343 30579808 34315868
Ratio 44.82 50.21 46.60 51.54 49.53
NABIL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Investment Govt. Securities 3588772 3672626 2413939 2301462 4808348
Total Working Fund 16562624 16745486 17186331 22329971 27253393
Ratio 21.67 21.93 14.04 10.31 17.64
151
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Investment Govt. Securities 6581348 7948218 7203066 8644855 7107937
Total Working Fund 20910970 23642060 21893578 25776332 28596689
Ratio 31.47 33.62 32.90 33.54 24.85
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Investment Govt. Securities 3347102 3431729 5469729 5144313 6454873
Total Working Fund 24197974 25729787 28871343 30579808 34315868
Ratio 13.82 13.34 18.94 16.82 18.81
NABIL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Investment on S& D 22220 22220 440282 104192 286957
Total Working Fund 16562624 16745486 17186331 22329971 27253393
Ratio 0.13 0.13 2.56 0.47 1.053
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Investment on S& D 11195 11195 13348 15348 44943
Total Working Fund 20910970 23642060 21893578 25776332 28596689
Ratio 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Investment on S& D 34266 34266 39909 39909 73424
Total Working Fund 24197974 25729787 28871343 30579808 34315868
Ratio 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.21
152
xi. Return Total Working Fund Ratio (%)
NABIL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Net Profit 416236 455311 518336 635263 673959
Total Working Fund 16562624 16745486 17186331 22329971 27253393
Ratio 2051 2.72 3.01 2.84 2.47
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Net Profit 506932 537800 539204 658756 691668
Total Working Fund 20910970 23642060 21893578 25776332 28596689
Ratio 2.424 2.27 2.46 2.55 2.42
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Net Profit 212132 263052 308277 457458 491823
Total Working Fund 24197974 25729787 28871343 30579808 34315868
Ratio 0.88 1.02 1.06 1.50 1.43
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Total Interest Earned 1001359 1042175 1058677 1189603 1411942
Total Outside Assets 6722023 17770570 17845761 21782954 24055870
Ratio 14.90 5.86 5.93 5.46 5.87
153
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Total Interest Earned 1201233 1245895 1446468 1626474 1775583
Total Outside Assets 21020034 22211734 25143510 26651008 29616709
Ratio 5.71 5.61 5.75 6.10 6.10
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Net Profit 506932 537800 539204 658756 691668
Loan and Advances 5695823 6410242 8143208 8935418 10502637
Ratio 8.9 8.41 6.62 7.37 6.6
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Net Profit 212132 263052 308277 457458 491823
Loan and Advances 10844599 12919331 13451168 15761977 16997997
Ratio 1.96 2.03 2.30 2.90 2.89
154
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Total Interest Earned 1001359 1042175 1058677 1189603 1411982
Total Working Fund 20910970 23642060 21893578 25776332 28596689
Ratio 4.81 4.41 4.83 4.61 4.94
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Total Interest Earned 1201233 1245895 1446468 1626474 1775583
Total Working Fund 24197974 25729787 28871343 30579808 34315868
Ratio 4.96 4.84 5.01 5.32 5.17
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Total Interest Paid 255154 275809 254127 303198 413055
Total Working Fund 20910970 23642060 21893578 25776332 28596689
Ratio 1.22 1.2 1.16 1.20 1.44
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Total Interest Paid 554128 491543 561964 648842 167411
Total Working Fund 24197974 25729787 28871343 30579808 34315868
Ratio 2.31 1.91 1.95 2.12 2.24
155
xvi. Return on Equity Ratio (ROE) (%)
NABIL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Net Profit 416236 455311 518336 635263 273959
Equity Capital 1165221 1479880 1656875 1873203 2055115
Ratio 35.72 30.77 31.30 33.91 32.79
SCBNL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Net Profit 506932 537800 539204 658756 691668
Equity Capital 13689 1495739 1582415 1754139 2116353
Ratio 37.03 35.96 33.89 37.55 32.68
HBL
Fiscal Year 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07
Net Profit 212132 263052 308277 457458 491823
Equity Capital 1905883 2291928 2568395 2885593 2146538
Ratio 11.13 11.47 12 15.85 22.91
156
D2006/07 = 23342
D2002/03 = 13448
N=5
D2006/07 = D2002/03 1+g
n-1
Growth rate of other banks are calculated and fed in the corresponding tables
according to the above formula.
157
APPENDIX - 2
N XY- X Y
r=
N X X N Y Y
2 2 2 2
r 2 = 0.9409
P.E. = 0.6745
1- r
2
= 0.6745
1- 0.9409 = 0.6745 0.0264 = 0.0178
5
158
ii. Calculation of Correlation Between Total Deposit and Total Investment of
NABIL
(Rs. in Million)
Year Total Deposit X2 Total Y2 XY
(X) Investment
(Y)
00/01 13447.66 180839559.48 6031.16 36374890.95 104299378.58
01/02 14119.03 199347008.14 5835.95 34058312.40 115634714.51
02/03 14586.61 212769191.29 4269.66 18229996.52 154416333.18
03/04 19347.40 374321886.76 6178.53 38174232.96 250017550.40
04/05 23342.29 544862502.44 8945.31 80018571.00 208804020.16
N =5 84842.99 1512140148.11 31260.63 206856003.82 833171996.83
N XY-
X Y
r=
N X2 X N Y Y
2 2 2
r 2 = 0.6724
P.E. = 0.6745
1- r 2
= 0.6745
1- 0.6724 = 0.6745 0.1465 = 0.0988
5
159
iii. Calculation of Correlation Between Outside Assets and Net Profit of NABIL
(Rs. in Million)
Year Outside Assets X2 Net Profit Y2 XY
(X) (Y)
00/01 13787.13 190084953.64 416.24 173255.74 5738754.99
01/02 14025.94 196726992.88 455.31 207307.20 6386150.74
02/03 14853.40 220623491.56 518.34 268676.36 7699111.36
03/04 19101.08 364851257.17 635.26 403555.27 12134152.08
04/05 24491.09 599813489.39 673.96 454222.08 16506015.02
N =5 86258.64 1572100184.64 2699.11 1507016.64 48464184.19
N XY- X Y
r=
N X2 X N Y Y
2 2 2
r 2 = 0.8649
P.E. = 0.6745
1- r 2
= 0.6745
1- 0.8649 = 0.6745 0.06042 = 0.0408
5
160
iv. Calculation of Correlation Between Total Deposit and Loan & Advances
of SCBNL
(Rs. in Million)
Year Total Deposit X2 Loan & Y2 XY
(X) Advances (Y)
00/01 18755.6 351774031.81 5695.82 32442365.47 106828749.42
01/02 21161.4 447806542.87 6410.24 41091176.86 135649909.15
02/03 19335.1 373846092.01 8143.21 66311869.10 157449779.67
03/04 23061 531811104.66 8935.42 79841730.58 206059988.68
04/05 24647 607475594.88 10502.6 110305446.97 258858778.13
N =5 106960 2312713366.23 39687.33 329992588.98 864847205.06
N XY-
X Y
r=
N X2 X N Y Y
2 2 2
r 2 = 0.6889
P.E. = 0.6745
1- r
2
= 0.6745
1- 0.6889 = 0.6745 0.1391 = 0.0938
5
161
v. Calculation of Correlation Between Total Deposit and Total Investment of
SCBNL
(Rs. in Million)
Year Total X2 Total Y2 XY
Deposit (X) Investment
(Y)
00/01 18755.64 351774031.81 10216.20 104370742.44 191611369.37
01/02 21161.44 447806542.87 11360.33 129057097.71 240400941.68
02/03 19335.10 373846092.01 9702.55 94139476.50 187599774.51
03/04 23061.03 531811104.66 12847.54 165059284.05 296277505.37
04/05 24647.02 607475594.88 13553.23 183690043.43 334046730.87
N =5 106960.23 2312713366.23 57679.85 676316644.14 1249936321.79
N XY- X Y
r=
N X 2 X N Y 2 Y
2 2
r 2 = 0.9604
P.E. = 0.6745
1- r 2
= 0.6745
1- 0.9604 = 0.6745 0.0177 = 0.0119
5
162
vi. Calculation of Correlation Between Outside Assets and Net Profit of SCBNL
(Rs. in Million)
Year Outside Assets X2 Net Profit Y2 XY
(X) (Y)
00/01 6722.02 45185552.88 506.93 256978.02 3407593.60
01/02 17770.57 315793158.12 537.80 289228.84 9557012.55
02/03 17845.76 318471149.98 539.20 290736.64 9622433.79
03/04 21782.95 474496910.70 658.76 433964.74 14349736.14
04/05 24055.87 578684881.46 691.67 478407.39 16638723.60
N =5 88177.17 1732631653.14 2934.36 1749315.63 53575499.68
N XY- X Y
r=
N X 2 X N Y 2 Y
2 2
r 2 = 0.6889
P.E. = 0.6745
1- r 2
= 0.6745
1- 0.6889 = 0.6745 0.1391 = 0.0938
5
163
vii. Calculation of Correlation Between Total Deposit and Loan & Advances of
HBL
(Rs. in Million)
Year Total X2 Loan & Y2 XY
Deposit (X) Advances (Y)
00/01 21007.38 441310014.46 10844.60 117605349.16 227816633.15
01/02 22010.33 484454626.71 12919.33 166909087.65 284358716.68
02/03 24814.01 615735092.28 13451.17 180933974.37 333777466.89
03/04 26496.85 702083059.92 15761.98 248440013.52 417642819.76
04/05 30048.42 902907544.50 16997.99 288931664.04 510762742.68
N =5 124376.99 3146490337.87 69975.07 1002820088.74 1774358379.16
N XY- X Y
r=
N X 2 X N Y 2 Y
2 2
r 2 = 0.9216
P.E. = 0.6745
1- r
2
= 0.6745
1- 0.9216 = 0.6745 0.0351 = 0.0236
5
164
viii. Calculation of Correlation Between Total Deposit and Total Investment of HBL
(Rs. in Million)
Year Total X2 Total Y2 XY
Deposit (X) Investment (Y)
00/01 21007.38 441310014.46 10175.44 103539579.19 213759334.75
01/02 22010.33 484454626.71 9292.10 86343122.41 204522187.39
02/03 24814.01 615735092.28 11692.34 136710814.68 290133841.68
03/04 26496.85 702083059.92 10889.03 118570974.34 288524994.56
04/05 30048.42 902907544.50 11822.99 139783092.54 355262169.18
N =5 124376.99 3146490337.87 53871.90 584947583.16 1352202527.55
N XY- X Y
r=
N X 2 X N Y 2 Y
2 2
r 2 = 0.6241
P.E. = 0.6745
1- r 2
= 0.6745
1- 0.6241 = 0.6745 0.1681 = 0.1134
5
165
ix. Calculation of Correlation Between Outside Assets and Net Profit of HBL
(Rs. in Million)
Year Outside Assets X2 Net Profit Y2 XY
(X) (Y)
00/01 21020.03 441841661.20 212.13 44999.14 4458978.96
01/02 22211.73 493360949.59 263.05 69195.30 5842795.58
02/03 25143.51 632196095.12 308.28 95036.56 7751241.26
03/04 26651.01 710276334.02 457.46 209269.65 12191771.03
04/05 29616.71 877149511.22 491.82 241886.91 14566090.31
N =5 124642.99 3154824551.16 1732.74 660387.56 44810877.15
N XY- X Y
r=
N X 2 X N Y 2 Y
2 2
P.E. = 0.6745
1- r 2
= 0.6745
1- 0.9216 = 0.6745 0.0351 = 0.0236
5
166
APPENDIX – 3
a=
y =
84842.99
= 16968.60
N 5
b=
xy =
25017.63
= 2501.76
x 2
10
167
ii. Trend Value of Total Investment of NABIL
(Rs. In Million)
Fiscal Year (t) Total Investment (y) x = (t-2005) X2 xy
2002/03 6031.18 -2 4 -12062.36
2003/04 5835.95 -1 1 -5835.95
2004/05 4269.66 0 0 0
2005/06 6178.53 1 1 6178.53
2006/07 8945.31 2 4 17890.62
N=5 31260.63 0 10 6170.84
a=
y =
31260.63
= 6252.13
N 5
b=
xy =
6170.85
= 617.09
x 2
10
Yc = a + bx
Yc = 6252.13 + 617.09x
Year x = (t-2003) Trend Value
Yc = 6252.13 + 617.09x
2002/03 -2 5017.95
2003/04 -1 5635.04
2004/05 0 6252.13
2005/06 1 6869.22
2006/07 2 7486.31
2007/08 3 8103.40
2008/09 4 8720.49
2009/10 5 9337.58
2010/11 6 9954.67
2011/12 7 10571.76
168
iii. Trend Value of Net Profit of NABIL
(Rs. In Million)
Fiscal Year (t) Net Profit (y) x = (t-2005) X2 xy
2002/03 416.24 -2 4 -832.48
2003/04 455.31 -1 1 -455.31
2004/05 518.34 0 0 0
2005/06 635.26 1 1 635.26
2006/07 673.96 2 4 1347.92
N=5 2699.11 0 10 695.39
a=
y =
2699.11
= 539.82
N 5
b=
xy =
695.39
= 69.54
x 2
10
169
iv. Trend Value of Total Deposit of SCBNL
(Rs. In Million)
Fiscal Year (t) Total Deposit (y) x = (t-2005) X2 xy
2002/03 18755.64 -2 4 -37511.28
2003/04 21161.44 -1 1 -21161.44
2004/05 19335.10 0 0 0
2005/06 23061.03 1 1 23061.03
2006/07 24647.02 2 4 49294.04
N=5 106960.23 0 10 13682.35
a=
y =
106960.23
= 21392.05
N 5
b=
xy =
13682.35
= 1368.24
x 2
10
170
v. Trend Value of Total Investment of SCBNL
(Rs. In Million)
Fiscal Year (t) Total Investment (y) x = (t-2005) X2 xy
2002/03 10216.20 -2 4 -20432.4
2003/04 11360.33 -1 1 -11360.33
2004/05 9702.55 0 0 0
2005/06 12847.54 1 1 12847.54
2006/07 13553.23 2 4 27106.46
N=5 57679.85 0 10 8161.27
a=
y =
57679.85
= 11535.97
N 5
b=
xy =
8161.27
= 816.13
x 2
10
171
vi. Trend Value of Net Profit of SCBNL
(Rs. In Million)
Fiscal Year (t) Net Profit (y) x = (t-2005) X2 xy
2002/03 506.93 -2 4 -1013.86
2003/04 537.80 -1 1 -537.8
2004/05 539.20 0 0 0
2005/06 658.76 1 1 658.76
2006/07 691.67 2 4 1383.34
N=5 2934.36 0 10 490.44
a=
y =
2934.36
= 586.87
N 5
b=
xy =
490.44
= 49.04
x 2
10
172
vii. Trend Value of Total Deposit of HBL
(Rs. In Million)
Fiscal Year (t) Total Deposit (y) x = (t-2005) X2 xy
2002/03 21007.38 -2 4 -42014.76
2003/04 22010.33 -1 1 -22010.33
2004/05 24814.01 0 0 0
2005/06 26496.85 1 1 26496.85
2006/07 30048.42 2 4 60096.84
N=5 124376.99 0 10 22568.6
a=
y =
124376.99
= 24875.40
N 5
b=
xy =
22568.6
= 2256.86
x 2
10
173
viii. Trend Value of Total Investment of HBL
(Rs. In Million)
Fiscal Year (t) Total Investment (y) x = (t-2005) X2 xy
2002/03 10175.44 -2 4 -20350.88
2003/04 9292.10 -1 1 -9292.1
2004/05 11692.34 0 0 0
2005/06 10889.03 1 1 10889.03
2006/07 11822.99 2 4 23645.98
N=5 53871.9 0 10 4892.03
a=
y =
53871.9
= 10774.38
N 5
b=
xy =
4892.03
= 489.20
x 2
10
174
ix. Trend Value of Net Profit of HBL
(Rs. In Million)
Fiscal Year (t) Net Profit (y) x = (t-2005) X2 xy
2002/03 212.13 -2 4 -424.26
2003/04 263.05 -1 1 -263.05
2004/05 308.28 0 0 0
2005/06 457.46 1 1 457.46
2006/07 491.82 2 4 983.64
N=5 1732.74 0 10 753.79
a=
y =
1732.74
= 346.55
N 5
b=
xy =
753.79
= 75.38
x 2
10
175