Geopolitics Geography and Strategic History
Geopolitics Geography and Strategic History
Geopolitics Geography and Strategic History
history
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1
CHAPTER ONE
GEOPOLITICS: GEOGRAPHY, HISTORY AND STRATEGY:
A TRINITY OF RELATIONSHIPS
Introduction
This is a book about relationships and the puzzles they present. These
two issues will be explored through a trinitarian structure. Understanding the
manner in which geography, history and strategy interact and have produced
political outcomes that have affected the security of states is the analytical
objective. Initially it would appear that this relationship is self-evident given
the fact that the configuration of terrain, changing technology and political
preferences are widely recognized as being pivotal to all security
arrangements. Deudney has pointed out, that there is a long history in
attempting to develop explanatory power with respect to these variables:
“geopolitical theorizing about the relationship between material contexts and
security politics is also among the oldest and most central lines of argument
in the 2,500 year project of Western political science.”1
The Problem of Definition
Despite this impressive intellectual lineage, which stretches back to
antiquity, geopolitics in the early twenty first century has a three-fold
problem. First there is the problem of definition. Every theory is generated
for someone and for some reason. Geopolitical theory initially emerged --
from Aristotle to Montesquieu and Machiavelli -- as a result of a naturalist
intellectual impulse. In The Prince, Machiavelli suggested that mastery of
geography is a key component to political survival: “He (the prince) should
1
D. Deudney, “Geopolitics as Theory: Historical Security Materialism,” European Journal of International
Relations Vol 6, No 1 2000 p 78.
2
learn the nature of sites, and recognise how mountains rise, how valleys
open up, how plains lie, and understand the nature of marshes--and in this
invest the greatest care...and the prince who lacks this skill lacks the first
part of what a Captain must have.”2
There are numerous contemporary definitions of geopolitics. Many
focus on an appreciation of the development of modern economies,
changes in transport and weapons technology, access to trade routes and
resources. Aron has maintained that geopolitics “combines a geographical
schematization of diplomatic – strategic relations with a geographic-
economic analysis of resources, with an interpretation of diplomatic attitudes
as a result of the way of life and of the environment (sedentary, nomadic,
agricultural, seafaring).”3 Gray has tried to disaggregate the concept to
reveal its essential components: “Geopolitics is regarded here as a house
with five rooms: geophysical resources; location; human resources--skills
and culture; experience--the past, history, legends, myths; and mental
cartography. These categories capture the sources of the political
implications of geography.”4 Sloan focuses on the way in which these
components should function together to generate explanations: “Geopolitical
theory is an attempt to draw attention to the importance of certain
geographical patterns in political history. It is a theory of spatial
relationships and historical causation. From it explanations have been
deduced which suggest the contemporary and future political relevance of
various geographical conceptualisations.”5 Grygiel maintains that
geopolitical theory has three constituent elements: lines of communication
2
N. Machiavelli, The Prince (H.C. Mansfield Jr., Trans), Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1985. p 59.
3
R. Aron, Peace and War, London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson, 1966 p 191.
4
C.S. Gray, Perspectives on Strategy, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2013, p 125.
5
G.R. Sloan, Geopolitics in United States Strategic Policy 1890-1987, Brighton: Wheatsheaf Books, 1988
p 8.
3
6
For a more detailed discussion of these three elements see J.J. Grygiel, Great Powers and Geopolitical
Change, Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press, 2006, pp 26-36.
7
J.J. Grygiel, Great Powers and Geopolitical Change, Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press, 2006, pp
24-25. Furthermore, he argues that a state has no capacity to change this geographic reality. Environmental
changes take place over decades and a policy maker can only respond; he cannot control them.
8
See Baylis and Smith (eds.), The Globalization of World Politics, Second Edition, Oxford: Oxford
University Press, 2001, p 314.
9
See Steans and Pettiford, An Introduction To International Relations Theory, Third Edition, Harlow:
Pearson Education Limited, 2010.
10
These editions were published in 2001.2005 and 2010.
4
11
L Friedman .Strategy: A History, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2015.p120-122.
12
B, Heuser, The Evolution of Strategy, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2010.
13
C. Hill, Grand Strategies: Literature, Statecraft and World Order, New Haven: Yale University Press,
2010.
14
See C.S. Gray, Modern Strategy, Oxford; Oxford University Press 1999 Chapter 8.
15
M. Evans, From Kadesh to Kandahar, Military Theory and the Future of War, from Strategic Studies A
Reader. T.G.Mahnken & J.A. Maiolo (eds) London : Routledge 2014 p393-394.
5
25
There is an academic journal dedicated to this task, Geopolitics. It promotes what could be described as
the political branch of geography. One of its constant themes is the emphasis on globalism. An example of
this literature may be found here: C Flint ,The Geopolitics of Laughter and Forgetting :A World Systems
Interpretations of the Post –Modern Geopolitical Condition, Geopolitics, Vol 6 ,No 3 ,Winter 2001.p1 -16
26
W.Outhwaite ;T.Bottomore (eds),Dictionary of Twentieth Century Social Thought, Cambridge:
Blackwell, 1993 p 161.
27
S.R..Gokmen, Geopolitics and the Study of International Relations. PhD thesis, Middle East Technical
University, August 2010 p79.
28
Two examples of this literature are : M. W. Lewis and K. E Wigen, The Myth of the Continents: A
Critique of Metageography (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1997) and J. M. Blaut, The
Colonizer’s Model of the World: Geographical Diffusionism and Eurocentric History (New York: The
Guilford Press, 1993).
8
29
J. Agnew and S. Corbridge, Mastering Space, London: Routledge, 1995, p 3.
30
J.P. Sharp, “Hegemony, Popular Culture and Geopolitics: the Reader’s Digest and the Construction of
Danger”, Political Geography, Vol. 15, No. 67 (1996), p 559.
31
J. Black, Geopolitics, London: Social Affairs Unit, 2009, p 3.
9
32
Ibid p177.
33
D. Deudney, Geopolitics as Theory: Historical Security Materialism, European Journal of International
Relations, Vol 6,No 1 2000 p78.
34
Mackinder’s ideas will be fully examined in Chapter Two.
35
Chapter Seven of his book, which is titled the Freedom of Men, is devoted to this topic.
36
H.J. Mackinder ,The Human Habitat, Records of the British Association of Advanced Science.1931,
Quoted in. W. H. Parker: Geography as an Aid to Statecraft, Oxford :Clarendon Press .1982 p86.
10
39
S.R. Gokmen, Geopolitics and the Study of International Relations, PhD Thesis, Middle East Technical
University, August 2010 p192.
12
are projected through space from one location to another.”40 As a result, the
formulation of foreign policy should remain cartographically dependent.41
This the departure point for understanding the contribution of
geopolitics, both as a tool of analysis and as a guide to practice. Since the
industrial revolution, and the attendant technological revolutions in overland
transport (via railway) and communication (via the telegraph), states have
transformed the territorial jurisdiction through nationalizing the economy
and centralizing political functions.42 Indeed, during the construction of
railroads beyond the borders of a state and via favourable locations enabled
imperial powers to attempt the assertion of economic hegemony, the
projection of military force and the diffusion of values into previously
isolated and/or contested regions.43
Perhaps the most significant instance a geopolitically-inspired
reconfiguration of terrain in the modern period was the building of the
“artificial strait” connecting the Atlantic with the Pacific Oceans across the
Isthmus of Panama. Aguirre details the efforts by the foreign policy elite to
secure the terrain through which the canal would be built, the construction of
a doctrine of extra-territoriality to accommodate control, the geopolitical
40
H, &M. Sprout, (to be finished)
41
J. Hillen, “Foreign Policy by Map: What Geopolitics Is, and Why We Need It.” National Review
February 23, 2015; https://www.nationalreview.com/nrd/articles/413255/foreign-policy-map, accessed
September 8, 2015.
42
The literature on this point is extensive. Examples include E. Weber, Peasants into Frenchmen: The
Modernization of Rural France, 1870-1914 (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1976); D. E. Showalter;
Railroads and Rifles: Soldiers, Technology and the Unification of Germany (Archon Books, 1975); S. G.
Marks, Road to Power: The Trans-Siberian Railroad and the Colonization of Asian Russia, 1850-1917
(Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1991).
43
For instance, S. McMeekin, The Berlin-Baghdad Express: The Ottoman Empire and Germany's Bid for
World Power (Cambridge: Belknap Press, 2010); D. Lewis, Iron Horse Imperialism: The Southern Pacific
of Mexico, 1880-1951 (Tucson: University of Arizona Press, 2007); D. Devine, Slavery, Scandal, and Steel
Rails: The 1854 Gadsden Purchase and the Building of the Second Transcontinental Railroad Across
Arizona and New Mexico Twenty-Five Years (Lincoln, NE: iUniverse, 2004). And for more recent
examples, see M. Z. Ispahani, Roads and Rivals: The Political Uses of Access in the Borderlands of Asia
(Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1989).
13
GEOGRAPHY
GEOPOLITICS
STRATEGY HISTORY
Diplomatic
History
FIG 1.1
44
R. Aguiree, The Panama Canal (Leiden: Martinus Nijhof, 2010).
45
See Mackinder, Democratic Ideals and Reality, 89 for how Palestine flanks the Suez Canal.
46
B. Haggman argued that “Geopolitics, both as Kjellen saw it and in its main Western i.e. Anglo-Saxon
stream (Mackinder, Spykman et al) is a science which borders on history, geography and political science,
but can also be regarded as an aid to all three. It is, to a great extent, a method of analysis more than a
science in itself.” in “Rudolf Kjellen and Modern Swedish Geopolitics, Geopolitics, Vol 3, No 2, Autumn
1998, p. 107.
14
Geography
At its core, geography is the study of the “manifold features, physical
and human, which diversify the earth’s surface.”47 The physical
configuration of the earth’s surface, its mountains, plains, deserts, rivers,
coastline, and seas, remains the stage on which the human drama that is
politics is played out. Mountains and deserts were oftentimes barriers to
human interaction whereas vast riverine plains opened before determined
raiders, traders (in luxuries) and proselytizers. In the pre-industrial world,
overland travel was relatively easily achieved, provided provisions could be
seized or purchased en route; however, travel overseas remained
monopolized by those who could afford it. In order to keep out or regulate
the presence of undesired travellers, polities erected borders along defensible
positions, ideally in mountainous terrain or along the banks of rivers. The
formation of states, which may be defined as the monopolization of the
legitimate use of force within a jurisdiction, necessitated the creation of
borders, ideally defensible borders. Natural barriers, even when reinforced
by defensive bulwarks and manned borders, have never achieved perfect
security.
Travel across the surface of the earth is only one feature of human
geography; transport is another. In the era prior to the mechanization of
overland transport, the friction of terrain, even across the vast expanse of the
Eurasian plains, limited the range of movement of bulky goods (even given
the use of ox-drawn carts) to relatively short distances. Maritime transport
(historically relying on access to free energy in the form of buoyancy and
wind power) facilitated the movement of bulky goods (given a ship and a
47
S. W. Wooldridge and W. G. East, The Spirit and Purpose of Geography (London: Hutchinson
University Library, 1967 reprint), p. 11.
15
crew that had to be fed) even over long distances, thereby enhancing an
opportunity for regional specialization of production. Given the variability
of the earth’s surface, the opportunities and limitations for travel and
transport enabled local populations to found polities that primarily operated
through an overland exchange of communications among administrators and
military officers, or through maritime exchanges of goods that generated
great wealth.48 Ultimately the logistics underpinning these distinctive
polities is grounded in physics and is the primary source the objectivity
associated with the study of geography.
Strategic Studies
The field of strategic studies, in the modern context, examines the
interactions between or among adversaries, engaged in conflict, potential or
realized. A strategy is not merely a static plan of action, rather it is a
dynamic awareness of one’s goals, an evaluation of the efficacy of means,
and an appreciation of consequences – given the fact that one’s adversaries
are also implementing their strategy to secure a desired, and perhaps even a
mutually unattainable, outcome. As one adversary becomes aware of
opponents and their capabilities, means may change, even goals may change
as the consequences of seeking that which may be achieved only at an
unacceptable cost.
Strategic studies, at the individual or institutional level, often focus on
stratagems for attaining economic success, power, or sexual gratification.49
48
E. W. Fox, History in Geographic Perspective: The Other France (New York: W. W. Norton, 1971)
49
For a comprehensive treatment, see the multivolume effort by R. Greene, The 48 Laws of Power, The
Art of Seduction, and Mastery, New York: Penguin Books, 2000; 2001, and New York: Viking Penguin,
2012, respectively. Greene is also the author of a book that is more exclusively macro in focus, The 33
Strategies of War, New York: Viking Penguin, 2006. Politicians often write about strategy. Consider D.
Rumsfeld, Rumsfeld’s Rules: Leadership Lessons in Business, Politics, War, and Life (New York:
HarperCollinsPublishers, 2012). For a game theoretic approach to this subject see A. K. Dixit and B. J.
Nalebuff, Thinking Strategically: The Competitive Edge in Business, Poltiics and Everyday Life (New
16
Across time and space, adversarial relationships reveal five several essential
processes. First, parties engaged in conflict seek to surprise their enemies
through the use of deception and propaganda; second, they clandestinely
gather sensitive information by deploying spies; third, in order to obtain a
competitive edge, they develop new military or productive technologies;
fourth, by engaging allies through diplomacy, they negotiate favourable
shifts in the balance of power; and, fifth, they resort to violence or the threat
of violence in order advance their interests or preserve their security.50
Adversarial relations are fraught with uncertainty; miscalculation and
mistakes cannot be discounted in any analysis. Parties to a conflict rarely
know for certain what an adversary’s intentions, capabilities and tolerance
for risk might be. Therefore, in the heat of battle, which is the singular
moment of strategic action, chance and contingency may overcome
meticulous planning; and these uncertainties are termed the fog of war.51
The process of making strategy is often elusive and hard to do:
“strategy is neither policy nor armed combat; rather it is the bridge between
them .The strategist can be thwarted if the military wages the wrong war
well or the right war badly. Neither experts in politics and policy making nor
experts in fighting need necessarily be experts in strategy. The strategist
York, W. W. Norton and Company, 1991.) W. Duggan draws on anecdotes from business to instruct
readers on The Art of What Works: How Success Really Happens, New York: McGraw Hill, 2001. For an
anthropologic approach to strategy, see F. G. Bailey: Stratagems and Spoils, Oxford: Basil Blackwell,
1980; Morality and Expediency: The Folklore of Academic Politics, London: Guildford and Worcester,
1977; Humbuggery and Manipulation: The Art of Leadership, Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1988; and
The Tactical Uses of Passion: An Essay on Power, Reason, and Reality, Ithaca: Cornell University Press,
1983. Not for the faint of heart is H. von Senger’s The Book of Stratagems: Tactics for Triumph and
Survival (ed. and trans. by M. B. Gubitz), New York: Penguin Books, 1991.
50
L. Freedman, Strategy, p. 3 mentions “deception and coalition formation, and the instrumental use of
violence” as three “elementary features of human strategy that are common across time and space.” To his
list, we can add technological innovation and espionage. That these features of strategic thought and
action are transhistorical and transcultural deserves further investigation.
51
Clausewitz, On War, p. 101 describes war as occurring in a fog of uncertainty, where “A sensitive and
discriminating judgment is called for; a skilled intelligence to scent out the truth.”
17
52
C. Gray, Why is Strategy Difficult, from Strategic Studies A Reader ,(eds) T. G.Mahnken and
J.A.Maiolo, London: Routledge, 2008 p 394.
53
G. R. Elton, The Practice of History, New York: Thomas Y. Crowell Company, 1967, pp. 9 and 10.
54
J. H. Hexter, Doing History, Bloomingdale: Indiana University Press, 1971; P. Gardiner, The Nature of
Historical Explanation, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1961; P. Burke, History & Social Theory, Ithaca:
Cornell University Press, 1992; E. H. Monkkonen (ed.), Engaging the Past: The Uses of History Across the
Social Sciences, Durham: Duke University Press, 1994; T. J. McDonald, The Historic Turn in the Human
Sciences, Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1996.
55
E. H. Carr, What is History? New York: Random House, 1961, pp. 15-16.
18
56
J. R. Hall’s Cultures of Inquiry: From Epistemology to Discourse in Sociohistorical Research,
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1999 is the best book on how the social sciences and history have
sought to overcome the divide between generalizing and particularizing intellectual approaches. A useful
reminder on the presence of exceptions in social scientific phenomena is to be found in J. H. Levine,
Exceptions are the Rule: An Inquiry into Methods in the Social Sciences, Boulder: Westview, 1993.
57
The list of contributors to this shift is overwhelming. A number have incorporated a geographic
perspective in their writing. F. Braudel, The Mediterranean and the Mediterranean World in the Age of
Philip II, Vols. I and II (trans. by S. Reynolds), New York: Harper & Row, Publishers, 1973. . J. L. Abu-
Lughod, Before European Hegemony: The World System A.D. 1250-1350, Oxford: Oxford University
Press, 1989. E. Le Roy Ladurie, “History that Stands Still,” The Mind and Method of the Historian (trans.
by S. Reynolds and B. Reynolds), Chicago: Chicago University Press, 1981, pp. 1-27.
58
I. Wallerstein, The Modern World-System: Vol. I, Capitalist Agriculture and The Origins of the
European World-System in the Sixteenth Century, Vol. II, Mercantilism and the Consolidation of the
European World-Economy, 1600-1750; Vol. III, The Second Era of the Great Expansion of the Capitalist
World-Economy, 1730-1840s; New York: Academic Press, 1974, 1980, 1989 respectively. G. Modelski,
Long Cycles in World Politics, Seattle: University of Washington Press, 1987. C. Earle, “The Periodic
19
Structure of the American Past: Rhythms, Phases, and Geographic Conditions,” Geographical Inquiry and
American Historical Problems, Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1992, pp. 446-540.
59
Braudel, The Mediterranean, pp.
60
G. W. Skinner, “Presidential Address: The Structure of Chinese History,” The Journal of Asian Studies,
44, 2 (Feb., 1985), pp. 271-292.
61
R. H. Bates, A. Greif, M. Levi, J.-L. Rosenthal, and B. R Weingast,, Analytic Narratives, Princeton:
Princeton University Press, 1998, p. 10.
20
62
J.J. Grygiel, Great Powers and Geopolitical Change, Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press, 2006,
p. 36.
63
M. V. Creveld, Supplying War: Logistics from Wallenstein to Patton (Cambridge: Cambridge University
Press, 1977), p. 1; see also the classic considerations by C. von Clausewitz, On War, ed. and trans. by
Michael Howard and Perter Paret (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1976) and A. H. Jomini, The Art
of War (Philadelphia: J. B. Lippincott & Co., 1862). J. Thompson, The Lifeblood of War: Logistics in
Armed Conflict (Washington: Brassy’s, 1991) and J. A. Lynn, ed., Feeding Mars: Logistics In Western
Warfare From The Middle Ages To The Present (Boulder, CO; Westview Press, 1994) provide historic
overviews. For an interesting case study drawn from ancient history, see D. W. Engles, Alexander the
Great and the Logistics of the Macedonian Army (Berkeley, CA: University of California Press, 1978.)
64
Clausewitz, On War, p. 338.
65
R. Smith, War Amongst the People
21
the routes over which the materiel must move to the site of battle may be
direct and efficient or hidden and dispersed, move it must, often across
terrain that is inhospitable, broken, and even contested.66 As Sun-Tzu stated,
“One who does not know the topography of mountains and forests, ravines
and defiles, wetlands and marshes cannot maneuver the army. One who
does not employ local guides will not secure advantages of terrain.”67
Sun Tzu’s book of aphorisms, The Art of War (400 BC), makes the
following point: “know the enemy, know yourself; your victory will never
be endangered. Know the ground, know the weather; your victory will then
be total”.68 Strategy must take into account geography and an acute
appreciation of the actual terrain across which an armed force has to fight
can be critical to success. Sun Tzu developed a typology that would be of
utility to the military commander. Geography not only shapes strategy but
has a purchase on the operational and tactical levels of war: “warfare, the
making of war, is first of all about the making the most of one’s chances
with the constraints imposed by nature.”69
A successful military strategy has been accessed as having the
following components: “clearly identifying political goals, assessing one’s
comparative advantage relative to the enemy, calculating costs and benefits
carefully, and examining the risks and rewards of alternating strategies.”70
The purpose of military strategy is a singular one: “Strategy is designed to
make war useable by the state, so it can, if need be, use force to fulfil its
66
H. A. Winters with G. E. Galloway, Jr., W. J. Reynolds, and D. W. Rhyne, Battling the Elements:
Weather and Terrain in the Conduct of War (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1998).
67
Sun-Tzu’s Art of War, trans. by R. D. Sawyer in The Seven Military Classics of Ancient China (Boulder,
CO: Westview Press, 1993), p. 182.
68
Sun Tzu, The Art of War, Oxford: Oxford University Press.1963 p129.
69
D. Moran, “Geography and Strategy”, from J. Baylis, James J. Witz and C.S. Gray (eds.), Strategy in the
Contemporary World, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2013, p116.
70
T.G. Mahnken& J.A. Maiolo, Strategic Studies A Reader ,London :Routledge.2014 p2.
22
75
J S Corbett, Some Principles of Maritime Strategy, London: Longmans, Green & Co 1911, P12
76
A. Beaufre, An Introduction to Strategy, London: Faber and Faber, 1965, p30.
24
need to recognise and analyse whatever new situation he found himself in:
“To estimate the enemy situation and to calculate distances and the degree of
difficulty of the terrain so as to control victory are virtues of the superior
general. He who fights with full knowledge of these factors is certain to
win, he who does not will surely be defeated.”77 The ‘positions’ were
abstract and relational concepts: accessible, entrapping, indecisive,
constricted, Precipitous, and distant. In each, Sun Tzu outlined how the
commander, must integrate these positions with his plans when conducting
operations against an enemy.
In the following chapter, entitled ‘The Nine Varieties of Ground,’ Sun
Tzu focused on how troops can be deployed and employed to the greatest
tactical advantage on the terrain that they find themselves. Ground is
classified as dispersive, frontier, key, communicating, focal, serious,
difficult, encircled and death. The ability to calibrate the use of troops
against this diverse typology is regarded by Sun Tzu as the commander’s
premier skill: “The tactical variations appropriate to the nine types of
ground, the advantages of close or extended deployment, and the principles
of human nature are matters the general must examine with the greatest
care.”78
Today these geographical considerations fall under the military’s term
“combat intelligence”: "leaders at all levels must therefore focus on those
aspects that most directly affect their units' mission. Platoon leaders
concentrate on streams, ditches, wood lines, fields and individual hills;
division commanders are concerned with transportation networks, drainage
patterns and hill systems. In either case, the leaders analyze the potential for
77
Sun Tzu, The Art of War, Oxford: Oxford University Press 1963, P128
78
Ibid P133
25
cover and concealment, movement and obstacle effect, and observation and
direct fire effect."79Among the military, there is (and often unstated,) a
powerful continuity between Sun Tzu’s aphorisms and the modern approach
to informed leadership in combat.
The relevance of geography to military operations has found
expression in the classic writings of Carl Von Clausewitz. In On War,
which was published in 1832, there was a chapter titled “The Elements of
Strategy” wherein Clausewitz developed a typology of key variables that a
military commander must consider before engaging in battle. They
consisted of: psychological elements, including morale; military force,
including its size, composition and organisation; geometry of the situation,
including the relative positions and movements of forces and their
relationships (distance, etc.) to obstacles, channels, objectives etc; terrain
including mountains, rivers, woods and roads, all of which might influence
military activities; and supply, including the amount given the size of the
force, the means for securing it and the sources. It can be suggested that the
relative importance, scale, and components of these factors may have
changed, but they remain the basic elements of strategy.80
Where in these Clausewitzian elements of strategy is geography? To
Clasusewitz, the geometry of operations, the environment of operations, and
the sources and means of support are all geographic elements. This, in turn,
raises the question: are these three geographic factors determinative of
victory in land warfare? Clausewitz was careful to spell out the key
relationship that pertained between these three geographical based factors
79
.E.J. Palka, Geographical Information in Military Planning, Military Review, Vol LXV111 No. 3 March
1988,p53.
80
For an updated view of Clausewitz see: R Carlyle, Clausewitz’s Contemporary Relevance, The
Occasional, Number 16, Strategic and Combat Studies Institute, 1995.
26
81
C Van Clausewitz, On War, Edited by M Howard & P Paret, Princeton: Princeton University Press,
1976, P184
82
C.S Gray, Modern Strategy Oxford :Oxford University Press,1999.p41.
83
G Etzel Pearcy & L C Peltier, Military Geography, New York: D /Van Nostrand, 1966
27
84
Ibid, p53.
85
H. D Winters, Battling The Elements, P 269-270
28
88
Ibid P73
89
For an introduction to the literature on military technology,See: J. U. Nef, War and Human Progress: An
Essay on the Rise of Industrial Civilization, New York: W. W. Norton and Co., Inc., 1963; W. H. McNeill,
The Pursuit of Power: Technology, Armed Force, and Society since A.D. 1000, Chicago: The University of
Chicago Press, 1982; G. Parker, The Military Revolution: Military Innovation and the Rise of the West,
1500-1800, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988; M. van Creveld, Technology and War: From
2000 B. C. to the Present, New York: The Free Press, 1991; and J. Keegan, A History of Warfare, New
York: Alfred Knopf, 1994; G. Friedman and M. Friedman, The Future of War: Power, Technology, and
American World Dominance in the 21st Century, New York: Crown Publishers, Inc., 1996; and M. Boot,
War Made New: Technology, Warfare, and The Course of History 1500 to Today, New York: Gotham
Books, 2008.
90
J.Gooch ,History and the Nature of Strategy from The Past as Prologue, W.Murray and R.H.Simreich
(eds),Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,2006,p141.
30
91
Culture is another factor influencing the relationship of strategy with geography. "Geography does not
determine national strategic culture in some simple and mechanistic fashion, but the geographical
circumstances of all kinds of a community cannot help but play a large role in the course of that
community's historical experience. Strategic culture may be understood to be a set of socially transmitted
attitudes, beliefs, and preferred procedures that members of a society learn, practice and teaches its new
members. It is close to self-evident both that geographical factors (location, size and character of national
territory, character of neighbours, and so forth) must permeate defence thinking, sometimes as an idée fixe.
Although some of those geographical factors are subject to change and to a changing significance as
technology and trade flows (inter alia) alter."91 See W. Murray& A. Bernstein ,eds The Making of
Strategy, Cambridge University Press, 1994 p 7-23, and p?for quote. For relevant examples: W. Murray,
MacG. Knox, and A. Bernstein (eds.), The Making of Strategy: Rulers, States, and War (Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press, 1994); G. Dijkink, National identity and Geopolitical Visions: Maps of Pride
and Pain (London: Routledge, 1996); and, for a good overview of the subject, A. I. Johnston, “Thinking
About Strategic Culture,” International Security 19, 4 (Spring 1995), pp. 32-64.
92
R.D. Kaplan, The Revenge of Geography, New York :Random House,2012p125-126.
31
101
R. B. Strassler (ed.), The Landmark Thucydides: A Comprehensive Guide to The Peloponnesian War,
New York: Free Press, 1996, pp. 3-16.
102
Baron de Montesquieu, The Spirit of the Laws, trans. by Thomas Nugent, New York: Hafner Publishing
Company, 1949, pp. 221-27 and 320-21.
103
G. W. F. Hegel, The Philosophy of History, trans. by J. Sibree, New York: Dover Publications, Inc.
1956, p. 80.
104
Fox, History in Geographic Perspective, p. XYZ, disposes of “geographical determinism” by calling
attention to the human ability to take geography into account when taking decisions, ignoring it at one’s
peril, successfully transform circumstances or developing new technologies to overcome challenges, or in
making mistakes.
105
He taught at the University of Gothenburg from 1891 until 1916. In 1917 he was appointed Professor of
Political Science at Uppsala University.
34
108
L. Binder, J. S. Coleman, et al, Crises and Sequences in Political Development, Studies in Political
Development 7, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1971, p. viii for quotes and pp. 112-114 , 220-23 for
discussion of territory in the context of the identity and penetration crises. An attempt was made to apply
this approach to historical case studies by Raymond Grew (ed.) Crisis of political Development in Europe
and the United States, Studies in Political Development 9, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1978.
109
J. LaPalombara, in his essay “Penetration: Crisis of Governmental Capacity,” Crises and Sequences, p.
221 skirts how the quest for glory and security resulted in territorial expansion among the Enlightenment
European monarchs, thusly: “… in the administrative histories of several Western nation-states … [t]he
most fascinating among these are Brandenburg-Prussia and France … the rulers of a particular polity
sought to expand the geographic areas over which they could exercise control. What motivated these
ambitions and attempted changes need not detain us here….”
110
Fox, History in Geographic Perspective, 1971 and I. Wallerstein, The Modern World-System, I, 1974
both appeared.
111
36
112
Stein Rokkan, “Dimensions of State Formation and Nation-Building: A Possible Paradigm for Research
on Variations within Europe,” Charles Tilly, ed., The Formation of National States in Western Europe,
Studies in Political Development 8, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1975, pp. 562-600 and 578-79
specifically for
113
See T.F.Fazal, State Death in the International System, International Organization Vol 58 ,Spring 2004
,pp311-344.
37
power struggle over social prestige and the economic benefits.114 The
boundaries of a state are rarely coterminous with the national society living
within the jurisdiction of a state—let alone coterminous with a fully
integrated national economy.115 Because borders were in doubt, the holder
of the final and legitimate decision-making authority, i.e. sovereignty,
remained contested until such time that “a more permanent political
geography” was established. 116
Second, because commerce may traverse the borders of the state, the
impetus to control—abolish, regulate and tax—it is a significant impetus to
the formation of the modern state.117 Feudal lords claimed the power to
regulate control within their domains; however, would-be absolute monarchs
of the early modern period sought to concentrate control over the economic
life of the state by abolishing feudal privileges. Hirst has argued that a
synthesis of territoriality and sovereignty bestowed a number of permanent
tangible benefits on the institution of the state: most notably, the state
becomes the “superior political agency that determines the role and powers
of all subsidiary governments.”118
Third, states may also promote the self-conscious realization that an
ethnic group is in fact a community, with an attachment historically to a
given territory, a distinctive culture, and a unique historical fate. Niebhur
114
For one example in the early history of the United States see A. R. L. Cayton, Frontier Republic:
Ideology and Politics in the Ohio Country, 1780-1825, Kent, OH: Kent State University Press, 1986.
115
Consider: during the industrial revolution, iron and coal deposits may be found across a border in the
territories of adversarial powers.
116
R.J. Johnston, Geography and the State, London: Macmillan,1982 p41 and for the exclusivity of
political control over a territory, see A. James, Sovereign Statehood, London: Allen & Unwin ,1986 p13.
117
An alternative perspective that sees the empire in terms of its relationship to geography as
foreshadowing the modern state’s control over the economy: “The state apparatus seems to have emerged
as sedentary farming produced a surplus for exchange, allowing for trade, occupational specialization, and
an increasing stratification of society. Evidence from the Middle East, the Indus basin, and the Nile valley
suggests the growth of trade and specialization stimulated agglomeration in specialized communities, the
early towns.” R.E.H. Mellor, Nation, State, And Territory, London: Routledge,1989 p41-42.
118
P Hirst, War and Power in the 21st Century, London: Polity Press, 2001, p45.
38
made a crucial insight to the degree of artifice, which can vary from state to
state, that is required to hold the nation state together: “it was tempting to
forget that communities are composed of organic and of contrived forms of
cohesion. In civilised societies both are necessary. The necessity for both
forms is constant, but the proportion between them is variable according to
the culture, the degree of education in a nation and the intensity of the means
of communication”. 119 To some extent, all national communities were
“imagined communities,” either intellectuals invented such communities or
they systematized and glorified ethnic traditions as the essence of a new
nation.120 In either event, standards—laws, regulations, and norms—were
imposed.
Although the historical circumstances of every state has been
different, in terms of their development, every nation state, in Europe at
least, had a common starting point. The process began by the expansion of
what Pounds and Ball called “core-areas” [See figure 1.2].121 These core
areas had three salient qualities: first, they had to be able to defend
themselves from attack and encroachment; secondly, they had to be capable
of generating a surplus income to pay for the armed forces that could, if
required, facilitate further expansion; thirdly, they had to have the capability
to participate in long-distance commerce, which was usually river borne, to
obtain materials which were not available locally. To these three, Hechter
suggests a fourth: a more or less homogeneous ethnic group that dominated
the area that comes to be identified with the state: Castile in Spain, Ȋle de
France in France, the Home Counties in England, etc. “Each of these small
119
R. Niebuhr, Nations and Empires, London: Faber and Faber, 1959, p. 260
120
B. Anderson, Imagined Communities: Reflections on the Origin and Spread of Nationalism, London:
Verso, 2006.
121
N.J.G.Pounds &S.S.Ball, Core Areas and the Development of the European States System ,Annals of
the Association of American Geographers Vol 54 ,No 1,1964.
39
one’s military power, which excludes any power within and without.”124
These processes, internal directed against feudal competitors and external
against emperors and popes, marked the end of the medieval structure.
These processes were not peaceful. “The ‘fixing’ of national spaces
on the European map took place in the midst of widespread violence and
warfare, particularly during the Reformation, the Counter–Reformation and
the Thirty Years War, a conflict that claimed up to 30 per cent of the
population in parts of central Europe.”125 European states were in a
“competitive geopolitical environment”126 and thus policy makers had a
powerful motivation to build administrative infrastructure enabling the
extraction of revenue from the ruled societies in order to pay for military
campaigns and standing armies. The territorial state became the dominant
political form in Europe because it : “triumphed over other possible forms
(empire, city-state, lordship) because of the superior fighting ability which it
derived from access to both urban capital and coercive authority over
peasant taxpayers and army recruits.”127
The ambiguity of border areas, the mutability of commerce, and the
non linear progress for national community meant that the formation and
consolidation of the modern state took much longer128 than is normally
supposed. Although the inception of the modern state is often dated from
the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648, its consolidation, according to Smith, in
the practice international politics is relatively recent: “the First World War
124
J.H. Herz, “Rise and Demise of the Territorial State”, World Politics, Vol. 9 (1957), p479.
125
M. Heffernan, The Making of Europe Geography and Geopolitics, London: Arnold ,1998 p17.
126
G. Gill, The Nature and Development of the Modern State, Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillian,2003
p186.
127
T, Ertman ,Birth of the Leviathan, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,1997 p4.
128
“Instead of scattered islands of political power, each almost isolated from the other, there was a solid
block of territory in which one ruler had final authority. It took centuries to attain this result.” J.R.Strayer,
On The Medieval Origins of The Modern State, Princeton: Princeton University Press ,1970 , p. 31.
41
129
N. Smith, American Empire: Roosevelt’s Geographer and the Prelude to Globalization, Berkeley:
University of California Press, 2003, p. 118.
130
J. D. Hardy and L. J. Hochberg, “The Ukraine Crisis, Part II: Borderland” Mackinder Forum, April 9,
2014: http://www.mackinderforum.org/commentaries/the-ukrainian-crisis-part-ii, accessed September 30,
2015.
42
stagnate for long periods and then start a rapid growth process.”131 What
seems to have been absent in much of the rest of the world is the reinforcing
processes of a sovereign territorial state penetrating the society, a dynamic
market economy which facilitated the goal of a self-perpetuating growth,
and a strenuous geopolitical environment that spurred economic and military
competition.
In much of the Middle East states and the indigenous Asian empires
this dynamic was attenuated: they were largely agrarian in focus and “did
not penetrate the society very effectively and certainly not as deeply as the
states of the West….” Second, “the absence of geopolitical competition for
Asia empires robbed them of the impetus to rationalize structures at home
and encourage innovation in technological development … the Mughal,
Caliphate and Ottoman empires did not penetrate deeply into the societies
over which they ruled. The linkages between centre and region were weak
and extended, with central power at best exercised directly only on an
episodic basis.”132 In Africa the formation of nation states was different
again. Here was the product of a specific colonial process whereby the
131
D. Acemoglu & J.A.Robinson, Why Nations Fail, London: Profile Books, 2013, p. 56 for quote. These
authors also endorse (on p. 51) a mono- causal economic explanation that sets geography aside: “The great
inequality of the modern world that emerged in the nineteenth century was caused by the uneven
dissemination of industrial technologies and manufacturing production. It was not caused by divergence in
agriculture performance.” Darwin has argued that there were also cultural influences at work: “Absolute
loyalty to a territorial state and its ruler conflicted with notions of an Islamic community of believers- the
umma –and the autonomous authority of those who interpreted the Korean and the sharia.” J. Darwin,
After Tamerlane, London: Penguin Books, 2008, p. 498.
However, in Europe there also was an unequal access to technology among the various rulers
which spurred mercantilist and other controls over economic development. The contest between monarch
and pope for the allegiance of Christians in Europe was resolved in favour of the monarchs. It is not clear
why unequal access to technology or the quest for universalistic cultural factors embedded in powerful,
trans-national institutions should operate differently in Africa and Asia—and not be susceptible to a
geographic analysis. There is no guarantee that the outcomes will be the same, but perhaps the
fundamental point is that the newly independent former colonies and protectorates of the European powers
have not had enough time to redraw their borders. If the European experience is a useful temporal yard
stick against which state-formation might be measured, the sixty years since the end of World War II and
the beginning of decolonization is simply not enough time for the relevant processes to have occurred.
132
G. Gill, The Nature and Development of the Modern State, Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmilian ,2003
p186.
43
133
J. Darwin, After Tamerlane, London :Penguin Books,2008 p305.
134
G.Gill, The Nature and Development of the Modern State, Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan,2003,p186.
135
Historical sociologists have, by and large, been responsible for the literature on state-formation and
revolution: B. Moore, Jr., Social Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy: Lord and Peasant in the Making
of the Modern World, Boston: Beacon Press, 1966; C. Tilly, ed., The Formation of National States in
Western Europe, 1975; R. Bendix, Kings or People: Power and the Mandate to Rule, Berkeley: University
of California Press, 1978; T. Skocpol, States and Social Revolutions: A Comparative Analysis of France,
Russia, and China, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1979; J. A. Goldstone, Revolution and
Rebellion in the Early Modern World, Berkeley: University of California Press, 1991. Mainstream authors
in international relations in general have not recognized how these processes of state formation impinge on
the international system.
44
136
N. Kliot and D. Newman, Geopolitics at the End of the Twentieth Century, London: Frank Cass, 2000, p
2.
137
S. Waterman, “Partition, Secession, Recession and Peace in our Time”, Geojournal, Vol. 39, 1996, p.
351.
138
From the end of the First World War to the end of the Cold War the line between the state and the
international system in which it operated was assumed to constitute two separate, hermetically sealed,
entities. This binary line and the assumptions that went with it dissolved in a manner that few policy
makers or academic writers have anticipated: “That the high politics of diplomacy and strategic affairs
could and should be separated from the low politics of domestic politics and transnational relations is no
longer valid. Ethnicity, with its ability to influence state behaviour both domestically and internationally –
perhaps most obviously through secessionist and irredentist movements in a number of critically important
45
regions –is now the very essence of high politics.” S.R. Gokmen ,Geopolitics and the Study of International
Relations, PhD thesis, Middle East Technical University ,August 2010, .p. 174-175.
139
The literature on this subject has been vast as it has been the varied. For example: E.N. Luttwak, “From
Geopolitics to Geo-Economics,” National Interest, Vol. 20l, (1990), pp17-24; R. Boyer and D. Drache
(eds.), States Against Markets: The Limits of Globalisation, London: Routledge, 1996; and K. Ohmae, The
End of the Nation State, London: Harper and Collins, 1995.
140
M Ignatieff, Virtual War, London: Vintage, 2001, p176.
141
J. Gray, “The Era of Globalisation is Over”, New Statesman, (24th September 2001), p25.
46
state formation; however, all have a relationship to the territory that they
penetrate, control and secure. Their function remains to sustain the artificial
entity that is the nation state and ensure that its borders are successfully
defended. The decision makers in a state must sustain its geopolitics by
retaining and balancing three capabilities : first, the geo-strategy of military
defence; second, understand the historical geography of nation and faculitate
state cohesion; and, third, engage other states through diplomacy in order
maintain alliances and deprive potential and realized enemies of a
favourable field of action. This last function still has a an echo with some
erstwhile policy makers.John Hillen, the former US Assistant Secretary of
State between 2005-07, has argued: there are too many world-views,
ideologies, and half-baked assumptions informing the formation of US
foreign policy. To this cacophony of preconceived sentiments and
assumptions about human nature and utopian fixes to the use of power in the
international arena, he offers the following corrective:
The answer should be the map — literally, the physical map,
and more broadly, geopolitics classically defined, which of
course has political geography at its root. A geopolitical
analysis of the United States and the rest of the world offers
better guidance for a consistent, smartly managed, prudent, and
unapologetic exertion of American power and leadership than
any particular political philosophy or perspective on human
nature. Of course, the map doesn’t spit out easy answers or
perfect policies, but geopolitical realities — many of which
move as little as the mountains of the Hindu Kush have moved
47
142
J. Hillen, “Foreign Policy by Map: What Geopolitics Is, and Why We Need It,” National Review,
February 23, 2015, https://www.nationalreview.com/nrd/articles/397926/foreign-policy-map, accessed
September 29, 2015.
143
For a recent example of how geo-strategy and historical geography should be incorporated into
explanations of how diplomatic history unfolds, see R. W. Aguirre, The Panama Canal, in International
Straits of the World, vol. 15, ed. by Gerard J. Mangone (Boston: Martinus Nijohoff Publishers, 2010).
48
144
Aron has summarised the constituent elements of geopolitical theory: “The theory itself is constructed
on the basis of geographical design, by the simultaneous consideration of a constant element (the land–sea,
continental–seafaring opposition) and of three variable elements (the technique of movement on land and
on sea, the population and resources utilizable in the rivalry of nations, and the extension of the diplomatic
field.” To these variable elements, we would add technological factors. R. Aron, Peace and War ,London:
Weidenfeld and Nicolson ,1966, p. 192.
145
H.R. Winton, An Imperfect Jewel: Military Theory and the Military Profession ,School of Advanced Air
and Space Studies, Air University, Maxwell Air Force base ,Alabama p4
49
146
L.C. Peltier and G.Etzel Pearcy, Military Geography ,New York: Van Nostrand,1966 p167.
147
M. Hollis, The Philosophy of Social Science, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press ,1994 p202.
148
P.M. O’Sullivan, The Geography of War in the Post–Cold War World, Ontario: Edwin Mellen
Press,2001 p113.
50
There are five case studies; the first four are historically based. The
last one has a contemporary perspective. All five have been selected to
demonstrate the effects of the interaction between policy makers and the
natural environment. Furthermore, they will show that the outcome of this
interaction is not predictable, and the assumption that political outcomes
could be explained by focusing exclusively on the material environment as
the causal factor is no longer valid. The implications for the three states to be
examined: Britain, United States and China will be an ability to evaluate the
uniqueness of their approach to the geography with respect to the state they
each control and the geographical locations where they attempted to project
military and political power. This was conditioned by geography but not
determined by it. Other factors such as domestic politics, culture and
changes in transport and weapons technology impacted as well.
The first examines one of the episodes in Halford Mackinder’s
career; his time as British High Commissioner to South Russia during the
Russian Revolution. This case study explores two important changes. The
first is what Smith called the geopolitical ‘shakeout’ that occurred after the
First World War with the demise of multinational empires. The second
addresses how the challenges and the internal domestic influences led
eventually to a British Coalition government, led by Lloyd George, to
consciously withdraw geo-strategically from South Russia where it had been
providing military aid to the White Russian Army and to reduce the
geopolitical scope of British foreign policy. This was despite Mackinder
presenting the British Cabinet with a plan that advocated geostrategic
engagement, albeit on a smaller and more sustainable level.
The second case study focuses on the consequences of erroneous
geopolitical assumptions and the abject failure to recognise the geostrategic
51
unprecedented scale. What was the nature and content of that education?
In the final analysis, both policy makers and senior military commanders
appreciated the changes that were taking place, changes that suggested the
reduced utility of absolute as compared to relative space.
The fourth case study will address the geopolitical challenges that the
United States faced in the post-War world. The emergence of a new
geopolitical reality on the Eurasian continent, a victorious and expansive
Soviet Union, caused the United States to formulate a grand strategy of
containment, the scope of which would extend to the whole of the Eurasian
rimland and entail an unprecedented peacetime expansion in the scope of
U.S. foreign policy.Containment across Eurasia required a new geo-strategy
that underlined a new capability to project military power on a global scale
that was without precedent. This would reach its apotheosis with perceived
threats in a number of geographical locations, each of which was vested with
a strategic importance that was not merited in terms of the existing
geopolitical realities. In order to escape from these assumptions regarding
the unrelenting spread of Communism, President Richard Nixon and Henry
Kissinger reappraised the Sino-Soviet split and the US relationship with
China as a new way of balancing and containing the power of the Soviet
Union.
The last case study addresses the expansion of contemporary China.
The realities of Chinese expansion are dissolving the Cold war era
geopolitical dichotomy of a Eurasian heartland contained by an alliance of
maritime powers situated along the continental rimland. The Chinese state
is now constructing a number of ‘amphibian ports’ that have fused together
overland transport via rail, road, and pipeline with intermodal maritime
shipping via containerization. The geostrategy implications of these
53
150
J. Darwin ,After Tamerlane ,London: Penguin Books,2008 p496.
151
Ibid p496.
54