Energy Policy: Wen Jun, Nafeesa Mughal, Jin Zhao, Malik Shahzad Shabbir, Gniewko Niedbała, Vipin Jain, Ahsan Anwar
Energy Policy: Wen Jun, Nafeesa Mughal, Jin Zhao, Malik Shahzad Shabbir, Gniewko Niedbała, Vipin Jain, Ahsan Anwar
Energy Policy: Wen Jun, Nafeesa Mughal, Jin Zhao, Malik Shahzad Shabbir, Gniewko Niedbała, Vipin Jain, Ahsan Anwar
Energy Policy
journal homepage: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
JEL classification: This study scrutinizes the impact of globalization, non-renewable energy consumption, and economic growth on
E11 CO2 emission for selected South Asian economies during 1985–2018 under the EKC framework. For this purpose,
D51 we apply a fully modified ordinary least square (FMOLS) technique. The empirical findings of this study identify
Keywords: that globalization is positively associated with CO2 emission. The results also indicate that non-renewable energy
Globalization consumption increasing environmental pollution. Moreover, the results confirm the EKC hypothesis in the South
Non-renewable energy consumption
Asian region; this means that at the early stages of development, when economic growth increases, environ
CO2 emission
South Asian countries
mental pollution also increases, but environmental degradation starts to decrease with the increases in economic
growth after the threshold point. The empirical outcomes suggest that the government should subsidize and
promote renewable energy sources to tackle the problem of environmental degradation.
1. Introduction literature and was initially developed by Kuznets in 1995. This idea was
supported by various researchers in their analysis to identify the envi
Several studies include various indicators of CO2 emissions (CO2E), ronment and its relationship with income in the EKC scheme (Selden and
such as growth level, the structure of energy use (renewable versus non- Song, 1994; Grossman and Krueger, 1991; and Vincent, 1997). Meadows
renewable), financial development, technological innovation, liber et al. (1972) highlighted environmental sustainability awareness for the
alization of trade, and urbanization under the Environmental Kuznets first time in the 1970s. Still, in the 1990s, Selden and Song (1994),
Curve (EKC) premises. However, many countries have recently sup Panayotou (1993), Grossman and Krueger (1991) and described the
ported the EKC hypothesis, which asserts the globalization (GLOB), environmental issues resulting from rapid EG and development. These
economic growth (EG), and CO2E nexus. Generally, the production of studies have also tested and confirmed the EKC hypothesis.
goods and services and its growth cannot be achieved without impacting The income-environment relationship under the scheme of the EKC
environmental quality and without consuming energy sources. Since the has also been examined by several empirical studies of Shahbaz et al.
EKC theory was presented in the 1990s, researchers, economists, and (2012) and Esteve and Tamarit (2012). These analyses have supported
environmentalists have focused their attention on the environment- the EKC in their studies by using different techniques. Based on the as
growth nexus under EKC’s framework in their theoretical and empir sessments of EG and GHG emissions under the premises of the EKC
ical analyses (Brock and Taylor, 2004). The income inequalities and hypothesis, Jebli et al. (2016); Al-Mulali et al. (2016); and Apergis and
growth (inverted U-shaped) nexus are widely discussed in the past Ozturk (2015) have included various additional explanatory variables in
* Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: [email protected] (W. Jun), [email protected] (N. Mughal), [email protected] (J. Zhao), Mshahzad786.pk11@gmail.
com (M.S. Shabbir), [email protected] (G. Niedbała), [email protected] (V. Jain), [email protected] (A. Anwar).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112230
Received 17 July 2020; Received in revised form 2 February 2021; Accepted 25 February 2021
0301-4215/© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
W. Jun et al. Energy Policy 153 (2021) 112230
their analysis. Several economies try to increase competition and eco energy and environmental degradation nexus under the EKC frame
nomic growth; thus, GLOB plays a vital part and can yield sustainable EG work’s premises for selected South Asian economies. The unique
in less developed economies. contribution of this study is to overcome a vacuum in the recent studies,
Recently, various economies have been connected to each other, under the framework of EKC and by adding some plausible variables.
especially culturally, socially, economically, and politically, due to This paper used the most recent data with the recent econometrics ap
GLOB and advanced information systems. GLOB permits advanced proaches and a vigorous model to fill this vacuum in the empirical
technology and its transfer through FDI from advanced nations to less literature. The research study question is tightly focused on the policies
technological advancement countries. Therefore, GLOB’s role in deter of environmental sustainability. The key aim of the present study is to
mining EG is crucial, and it enhances economic activities by owing to detect the role of GLOB toward environmental degradation.
technological innovations and investment activities of the country. Furthermore, only a few studies used subsamples from the perspec
Conversely, the worldwide demand for goods and services has required tive of Asian countries. This deficiency in previous studies motivates
increased energy demand; it concluded EG is mainly driven by energy. further analysis on this topic with some additional information and
Thus, the energy consumption of non-renewable is highly associated changes. With all these deficiencies, this study seeks answers to the
with the growth rate, worsening the environment’s quality. The leading research questions. Does EG significantly increase/decrease CO2E in
cause of deforestation, depletion of natural resources, climate change, south Asian countries? Do the selected Asian countries demonstrate an
and global warming is carbon dioxide emissions and GLOB (Shahbaz environmental Kuznets curve to demonstrate the growth-CO2 emission
et al., 2017a). hypothesis? Similarly, Can GDP growth be achieved without worsening
Several previous studies have extensively covered environmental environmental health in these countries?
sustainability. They have provided a sustainable framework and various
policy implications for environmental protection and sustainable EG in 2. Literature review
the literature; the growth-environmental pollution nexus can be
mentioned in the scheme of an inverted U-shaped environmental Kuz A detailed description of the literature review is given, which is
nets curve (EKC). The environmental quality-growth relation in three based on theoretical, conceptual, and empirical analyses regarding the
stages was defined by Grossman and Krueger (1991). Since the 1990s, nexus between energy-growth-induced emissions. The relation between
the nexus of environmental-growth is determined through this curve. GDP growth and CO2E alone cannot be presented in complete detail;
Grossman and Krueger (1991) have used this curve to examine the North therefore, following the literature review by Nassani et al. (2017) study
American Free Trade Agreement’s environment-growth link. Different incorporates various other variables and examined their impacts on
analytical analyses initially discussed the EKC’s premise for investi CO2E. The studies on Asian countries are discussed as the subsample,
gating the connection between climate and EG and overlooked the role and the findings are not identical (Niu et al., 2011; Apergis and Ozturk,
of the other related variables, including (Heil and Selden, 2001; 2015; Narayan and Narayan, 2010; Jaunky, 2011; Keho, 2017; Liu et al.,
Schmalensee et al., 1998; Moomaw and Unruh, 1997; and Holtz-Eakin 2017; Li et al., 2021; Nasreen et al., 2017). However, except for Niu et al.
and Selden, 1995). The three different stages of the EKC framework (2011), all other studies have taken various countries to be a whole
show that EG initially deteriorates the quality of the environment at a group.
threshold level, but after a certain maximum point, the curve moves Recently, the EKC hypothesis has been tested by Jaunky (2011) and
downward; thus, the CO2 emissions-EG nexus is negative. Panayotou Cowan et al. (2014) and verified the presence of EKC tests for
(1993) first defined the indicators of pollution-GDP growth nexus under cross-country panel data. Besides, Ibrahim and Law (2014) and Cicea
the EKC scheme. The EKC framework is discussed by Dinda (2004) and et al. (2014) have assessed panel data under the EKC hypothesis and
Stern (2004) in their empirical analysis. found mixed results. Similarly, the EKC hypothesis has been tested by
Additionally, the determinants of CO2E in terms of fossil fuel energy Ajmi et al. (2015) for G7 nations and found that the results do not verify
sources and EG have been discussed in several empirical works (Hettige the authenticity of the EKC by using Granger’s causality test. The energy
et al., 2000; Kahuthu, 2006; Liu et al., 2007; Tao et al., 2008; Diao et al., use, CO2E, and EG nexus have also been examined by various re
2009; Fodha and Zaghdoud, 2010; Hanif and Gago-de-Santos, 2016; searchers who have not reached the same conclusions. In the USA
Wang et al., 2016; and Nasreen et al., 2017). Halkos (2013) explored the setting, Soytas et al. (2007) applied enhanced vector autoregression and
growth and environmental degradation nexus and also discussed other observed that CO2E is a big source of energy consumption caused by
pollutants. More efficient policies, particularly in Asian countries, are Granger. Besides, they have also explored the energy, CO2E, and energy
needed where emissions remain high. This study addresses the growth nexus but have not found any causality among them for the USA;
energy-growth carbon emission nexus, thus based on sequential past similarly, the results of Ghosh (2010) and Soytas and Sari (2009) for
empirical research using some control variables under the EKC India and Turkey, respectively, do not indicate any causal relationship
hypothesis. among energy, growth, and CO2E.
Environmental pollution and CO2E are strongly affected by EG and The plentiful empirical analyses on the growth-environment nexus in
development. The growth-environmental degradation nexus is not a the EKC premises, but their contribution to empirical analysis is unde
focus of the early stages of EG, environmental issues are not sufficiently niable (Shafik and Bandyopadhyay 1992; Grossman and Kruege, 1995).
considered, and advanced technologies have-not been accessible to Various past empirical works have been performed on this topic to
solve these issues (Dinda, 2004). Consequently, as per capita income investigate the EKC premises using panel data approaches (see Cole
rises, the level of environmental deterioration also rises. The nexus of et al., 1997; Al Sayed and Sek, 2013; Farhani et al., 2014). Similarly,
CO2E, EG, and energy sources have been considered significant by numerous empirical works have employed time-series data for
numerous researchers. Various explanatory variables are also incorpo cross-country or single country analysis. Thus, this study attempts to
rated in analyzing the CO2E, EG, and NRENW nexus, such as trade estimate the panel group data analysis under the framework of EKC and
openness, financial development, population, and other factors. This therefore also contributes to the existing literature. Through the use of
well-studied topic uses different time-period frameworks for different these possible factors within the EKC system, this analysis contribution
countries, with different methodologies and different controlled vari is unique, which creates this research distinct from other studies and
ables in various empirical analyses. The findings of these studies conflict helps fill a literature void. Furthermore, this research includes NRENW
with each other and vary according to the country assessed. and GLOB under the umbrella of the EKC framework. GLOB with
This study examines the role of GLOB, growth-emission nexus with non-renewable sources has not been joined together (in the framework
other selected variables due to its importance in policymaking and of the EKC hypothesis) in the South Asian countries background; this
sustainable EG across the globe. The study tries to identify the growth- research used the new evidence in the scientific literature using the most
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W. Jun et al. Energy Policy 153 (2021) 112230
modern econometric methods and a robust model. The research study percentage of total final energy usage. Next, to measure globalization’s
question is tightly focused on the policies of environmental sustain impact on environmental degradation, we used the globalization index
ability with the help of GLOB and renewable sources of energy. (KOF index of globalization, 2020) as an explanatory variable. The data
Economic growth (GDP) has a close correlation with energy con for globalization is gathered from the KOF index of globalization (Gygli
sumption and is an indicator of oxygen in the entire world. NRENW is a et al., 2019). The data for non-renewable energy consumption, GDP per
prerequisite for the achievement of EG (Sahir and Qureshi, 2007). capita, and CO2 emission is collected from the World Development In
Various developing countries and their residents (particularly South dicators (World Bank, 2020).
Asian countries) are living below the poverty line. However, to lift The empirical studies of (Apergis and Ozturk 2015; Al-Mulali et al.,
millions of inhabitants out of poverty, many South Asian economies are 2016; and Jebli et al., 2016) have included various explanatory vari
struggling to attain EG through industrialization and GLOB. Unfortu ables in growth-emission nexus under the scheme of the EKC hypothesis.
nately, land degradation, agricultural development, industrial devel This study follows these three equations.
opment, infrastructure development, and other practices have
deteriorated environmental quality. The leading cause of climate change Carbon emission it =β0+ β1 (GDP per capita) it +β2 (GDP per capita)2
and the rise in earth temperature is carbon dioxide emissions (Fodha, it+β3Macroeconomic variable it + Uit …. (1)
and Zaghdoud, 2010; Al-Mulali et al., 2015). 2
Carbon emission it=β0+ β1 (Ln-GDP it) +β2 (Ln-GDP it) + Uit …. (2)
Whereas greenhouse gases (GHGs) represent a combination of gases,
but CO2 makes up approximately 75 percent of these gases in the at
2
Carbon emission it =β0+ β1 (Ln-GDPit) +β2 (Ln-GDP it) + β3 (LnNRENWit)
mosphere. These gases move from one place to another continuously, + β4 (LnGLOBit) + Uit …. (3)
stay within the biosphere, and not disappear/dissipate for thousands of
years. The Joint Research Center of the European Union (EU) reported
that the world’s ninety percent CO2E is fossil fuel incineration (Oliver
4. Results and discussion
et al., 2012). In recent decades, primarily responsible for environmental
degradation is the most developed economies; however, the ratio of
4.1. Descriptive statistics
CO2E has also increased in developing countries (IEA, 2015). This con
verts ocean water into carbonic acid, and marine life and coral reefs are
Table 1 describes the descriptive statistics of all variables like CO2E,
being damaged due to high carbon dioxide rates in the atmosphere (U.S.
GDP per capita, NRENW, and GLOB.
Environmental Protection Agency, 2016).
The mean value of the carbo emissions is 0.565 with a minimum
Shahbaz et al. (2017b) have applied the methodology of a NARDL
value of 0.040 and a maximum value of 1.817, and the standard devi
model for Japan to find the nexus between GLOB, environment, and
ation is 0.416. Whereas the mean value of the GDP per capita log is
energy-growth between 1970 and 2014. Accordingly, to their results,
1032.824 with a minimum value of 317.770 and a maximum value is
the environment’s quality is significantly worsening, rapid growth and
3946.194, and the standard deviation value is 753.897. The mean values
development processes as a result of GLOB’s growth and expanded use of
of NRENW and GLOB are 45.682 and 44.288, respectively.
fossil fuels. Recently, Shahbaz et al. (2017a) have used panel data
analysis between 1970 and 2012 for China. Their research inspected the
EKC hypothesis, and the correlations between GLOB and CO2E were also 4.2. Results of panel unit root tests
examined. The findings suggest a substantial decline in CO2E from
GLOB. Additionally, Shahbaz et al. (2018) examined the GLOB and CO2E Most of the time, the macroeconomic indicators have a unit root
relationship during 1970–2014 for 25 developed countries. The findings problem. In such a situation, the output of the estimations usually is
show that GLOB is significantly increasing CO2E. misleading or spurious. Therefore to check the stationary of the in
Recently, Haseeb et al. (2018) have shed light on the nexus between dicators, we apply three different unit root tests. Table 2 represents the
CO2E and its essential components: growth, GLOB, energy use, financial results of the “Panel unit root test” of Hadri (2000), Breitung (2001), and
development, and urbanization for Russia, India, Brazil, South African, Im et al. (2003). The results of all these three tests confirm that all the
and China nations. They have tested the EKC hypothesis and confirmed indicators are stationary at first difference.
the EKC for these countries. Their findings show that CO2E significantly
decreases with an increase in GLOB. However, Shahbaz et al. (2015), in 4.3. Results of cointegration tests
their study, used the test “Bayer and Hanck cointegration” and “vector
error correction model” (VECM) to examine the effects of GLOB on CO2E Before analyzing the association between the indicators, all the in
for India from 1970 to 2012. Environmental quality was found to be dicators must be cointegrated in the long-term. Table 3 represents the
positively associated with GLOB. statistical results of the Pedroni and Kao cointegration test. Pedroni
Nonetheless, to the best of our knowledge, many researchers have cointegration test results describe that six out of seven values (three
given less attention to GLOB, energy sources, and CO2E for the countries between and three within the dimension) are significant, confirming the
of South Asia. Thus, this study is based on past research using the EKC cointegration among the variables. The Kao, 1999 cointegration ADF
hypothesis with a few additional variables to fill the gap with a chro statistics is 20.078 with the p-values of 0.000. these values show that
nological empirical analysis. long term association exists among all variable CO2E, GDP per capita,
NRENW, and GLOB.
3. Data and methodology
Table-1
This paper examines the impact of globalization (GLOB), non- Descriptive statistics.
renewable energy consumption (NRENW), and EG on CO2 emissions Description CO2E GDP NRENW GLOB
(CO2E). We use the annual data of selected South Asian economies (Sri
Mean 0.565 1032.824 45.682 44.288
Lanka, Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and Nepal) from 1985-2018. We use Median 0.538 803.684 50.925 44.317
CO2E as a proxy of environmental degradation measured in metric tons Maximum 1.817 3946.194 73.768 62.233
per capita. The GDP per capita (based on constant 2010 US$) is used as Minimum 0.040 317.770 3.37266 22.854
the proxy of EG, and we use the square of GDP for investigating the Sd. Dev. 0.416 753.897 21.342 10.596
Observations 170 170 170 170
presence of the EKC hypothesis in South Asian countries.
Moreover, we measure non-renewable energy consumption as a Source: Author’s Calculation.
3
W. Jun et al. Energy Policy 153 (2021) 112230
Table-2 the countries (Nepal, India, Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka) except Pakistan.
Panel unit root test analysis. This means that at the early stages of development, when EG increases,
Breitung test Im-Pesaran-Shin Hadri test the CO2E increases, but after a threshold point, with the further increase
Variables Breitung test (IPS) test in EG, the CO2E starts to decline. The NRENW is a significant source of
I(0) I(1) I(0) I(1) I(0) I(1) CO2E in all countries. The empirical outcomes demonstrate that a 1%
lnCO2it
upsurge in NRENW leads to increased CO2E by 0.735%, 0.732%,
− 1.09 2.45*** 0.39 3.97*** 1.27 1.93**
0.828%, 2.58%, and 0.419% in Nepal, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, India, and
− −
lnGDPit
4.81 − 2.41*** 1.87 − 4.69*** 6.74*** 2.12**
lnNRENWit
3.58 − 3.69*** 0.98 − 5.21*** 4.47*** 4.67*** Pakistan, respectively.
lnGLOBit
2.10 − 4.04*** 3.25 − 5.07*** 4.89*** 2.72*** Moreover, the result shows that GLOB has a positive association with
Note: Where ***, ** signifies a 1 and 5% level of significance. CO2E in Nepal, Pakistan, and Bangladesh. A 1% increase in GLOB in
Source: Author’s Calculation. creases CO2E by 2.14%, 0.599%, and 0.562% in Nepal, Pakistan, and
Bangladesh. In India, GLOB’s favorable association with environmental
quality, as a 1% increase in GLOB, reduces CO2E by 0.448%.
Table-3
The statistical results of the Pedroni and Kao cointegration.
4.5. Results of FMOLS (full panel)
Pedroni (2004) residual cointegration test
within-dimension Above, Table 5 represented the results of the whole panel. The results
Statistic P-value revealed that GDP has positive, whereas the GDP’s square negatively
Panel ADF-Statistic − 1.41769 0.0781
affects CO2E. The results of GDP and Square of GDP approve the exis
Panel PP-Statistic − 3.20703 0.0007 tence of EKC-hypothesis in the case of selected South Asian countries.
Panel v-Statistic − 0.67289 0.7495 These empirical findings are in line with the findings of Anwar et al.
Panel rho-Statistic − 1.96615 0.0246 (2021), Khattak et al. (2020), and Yang et al. (2017), who describes that
Between the dimension at early phases of development, the environmental pollution increases as
Statistic P-value EG increases; however, after threshold point, environmental deteriora
Group ADF-Statistic − 1.58406 0.0566 tion starts to decline with the increase in EG. Moreover, the NRENW has
Group PP-Statistic − 4.00491 0.0000 a positive link with CO2E. As a 1% increase in NRENW increases the
Group rho-Statistic − 1.70207 0.0444 CO2E by 0.80%. Our outcomes support the empirical findings of Dogan
(Kao, 1999) panel cointegration test and Seker (2016), Javid and Sharif (2016a,b), and Khan et al. (2020),
t-statistics P-value who report that NRENW increases the CO2E. Likewise, GLOB is also
ADF − 2.85602 0.0021 positively affecting CO2E as a 1% increase in GLOB increases CO2E by
0.38%. Our finding is parallel to the outcomes of Khan et al. (2019),
Source: Author’s Calculation.
Ahmed et al. (2015), Danish et al. (2018), who claim that GLOB in
Note: Where *** and ** signify 1 and 5% levels of significance, respectively.
creases environmental degradation.
4
W. Jun et al. Energy Policy 153 (2021) 112230
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