2022 PAPER 1 SOLUTION FOR TEST 1 (A'LEVEL STATISTICS) Share
2022 PAPER 1 SOLUTION FOR TEST 1 (A'LEVEL STATISTICS) Share
2022 PAPER 1 SOLUTION FOR TEST 1 (A'LEVEL STATISTICS) Share
SHARE ONLINE
REVISION
General Certificate of Education Advanced Level
STATISTICS 6046/1
PAPER 1 SOLUTION
REVISION TEST 1 2022 SESSION 3 hours
Additional materials:
Answer paper
Graph paper
List of formulae MF7
Electronic calculator (Non-programmable)
Time 3 hours
INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
Write your name in the spaces provided on the answer sheet/answer booklet.
Answer 𝒂𝒍𝒍 questions.
If a numerical answer cannot be given exactly, and the accuracy required is not specified in the
question, then in the case of an angle it should be given correct to the nearest degree, and in other
cases it should be given to 2 significant figures.
INFORMATION TO CANDIDATES
The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part of question.
You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers.
© Sharewell
@ 2022 B. C. (Share) ̶ Share
[SHARE] Online Revision Paper 1 2022
+263784089807 RES: MUTARE 1
𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑒𝑑 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑡𝑦𝑝𝑒𝑑 𝑏𝑦 𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 + 263784089807 [Turn Over
2022 [SHARE] TEST 1 SOLUTION
1. In a computer game played by a single player, the player has to find, within a fixed
time, the path through a maze shown on the computer screen. On the first occasion
that a particular player plays the game, the computer shows a simple maze, and the
probability that the player succeeds in finding the path in the time allowed is 0.75.
On subsequent occasions, the maze shown depends on the previous game. If the
player succeeded on the previous occasion, the next maze is harder, and the
probability that the player succeeds is one half of the probability of success on the
previous occasion. If the player failed on the previous occasion, a simple maze is
shown and the probability of the player succeeding is again 0.75.
27
a) Show that the probability that the player succeeds in all three games is 512. [4]
b) Find the probability that the player succeeds in exactly one of the games. [3]
c) Find the probability that the player does not have two consecutive successes. [3]
d) Find the conditional probability that the player has two consecutive success
given that the player has exactly two successes. [3]
SOLUTION
S
0.1875
0.8125 𝑆
0.375 S
0.75 S
0.75 S 0.25 𝑆
0.625 𝑆 0.375 S
0.75 S
0.625 𝑆
0.25 𝑆 0.75 S
0.25 𝑆
0.25 𝑆
= 𝟎. 𝟐𝟖(𝟐𝐬. 𝐟)
83
= 128
= 𝟎. 𝟔𝟒 (𝟐𝐬. 𝐟)
d) P(two consecutive success given that the player has exactly two successes)
̅ )+P(S
P(SSS ̅ SS)
P( 2S ∣ 2S ) = ̅ )+P(SS̅ S)+P(S ̅ SS)
P(SSS
(0.75×0.375×0.1875)+(0.25×0.75×0.375)
= (0.75×0.375×0.1875)+(0.75×0.625×0.75)+(0.25×0.75×0.375)
𝟏𝟕
=
𝟑𝟕
= 𝟎. 𝟒𝟔(𝟐𝐬. 𝐟)
2. The amounts of money, 𝑥 dollars, that 24 people had in their pockets are
summarized by ∑(𝑥 − 36) = −60 and ∑(𝑥 − 36)2 = 227.76. Find ∑𝑥 and ∑𝑥2 . [5]
SOLUTION
∑𝑥 − ∑36 = −60
∴ ∑𝑥 = 24 × 36 − 60
∑𝒙 = 𝟖𝟎𝟒
∑𝒙𝟐 =27011.76
3. A code consists of 10 digits, 4 of which are zeros and 6 of which are ones. Calculate
the number of such blocks in which the first and last digits are of the same as each
other. [4]
SOLUTION
0000111111
When the first and last digit is 0, then we treat 2 0s as non − existing
8!
∴ possible number of blocks = = 28
2!×6!
When the first and last digit is 1, then we treat 2 1s as non − existing
8!
∴ possible number of blocks = = 70
4!×4!
4.
a) An unbiased tetrahedral die has faces marked 1, 2, 3, 4. If the die lands on the
face marked 1, the player has to play 10 USD.
If it lands on a face marked with a 2 or a 4, the player wins 5 USD and if it
lands on a 3, the player wins 3 USD. Find the expected gain in one throw. [5]
b) A discrete random variable X can take values 10 and 20 only. If E(X)= 16,
write out the probability distribution of X. [7]
SOLUTION
a) Let 𝑥 be the amount paid or gained on each throw
x -10 5 3
1 1 1
𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) 4 2 4
1 1 1 3
Expected gain; (−10 × 4) + (5 × 2) × (3 × 4) = 4 ≈ 𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝟎. 𝟕𝟓
b) 𝑥 10 20
𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) 𝑎 𝑏
4 6
𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) 10 10
SOLUTION
ℎ 2
a) 3
−3=𝜎 and 𝜎 = 2 − 𝛽ℎ
3 2 1
− =𝛼 = 2 − 𝛽(5)
3 3 3
1 5
𝜎= 5𝛽 = 3
3
1
𝛽=
3
ℎ 2
−3 2≤ℎ≤3
3
1
3≤ℎ≤5
b) 𝑓(ℎ) = 3
1
2 − 3ℎ 5≤ℎ≤6
{0 otherwise
𝑡 ℎ 2 1 ℎ2 2 𝑡
1st Row; ∫2 ( − ) 𝑑ℎ = [(( ) − ℎ)]
3 3 3 2 3 2
2 𝑡2 2
= [− 3 − ( 6 − 3 𝑡)]
2 𝑡2 2
= 3𝑡 − −3 [A sketch of this graph, shows that the area
6
2 𝑡2 2 𝑡2 2 2
Therefore from 1st Row we get; − [3 𝑡 − − 3] = + 3− 3𝑡
6 6
𝑡1 1 𝑡
2nd Row; ∫3 3 𝑑ℎ = [3 ℎ]
3
3 1
= [3 − 3 𝑡] [A sketch of this graph, shows that the area
3 1 1
Therefore from 2nd Row we get; − [3 − 3 𝑡] = −1 + 3 𝑡
𝑡 1 1 ℎ2 𝑡
3rd Row; ∫5 (2 − 3 ℎ) 𝑑ℎ = [2ℎ − 3 ( 2 )]
5
35 1
= [ 6 − (2𝑡 − 6 𝑡 2 )]
1 35
= [6 𝑡 2 − 2𝑡 + ] [A sketch of this graph from 5 to 6,
6
1 35 1 35
Therefore from 3rd Row we get; − [6 𝑡 2 − 2𝑡 + ] = − 6 𝑡 2 + 2𝑡 −
6 6
Now, 1st Row, then 1st Row + 2nd Row, then finally 1st Row + 2nd Row + 3rd Row
Will give us the cumulative distribution function, 𝐹(ℎ).
In general, cumulative means incorporating all data up to the last!
Therefore,
2 ℎ2 2
− ℎ+ + 2≤ℎ≤3
3 6 3
2 32 2 1
(− (3) + + ) + (−1 + ℎ) 3≤ℎ≤5
3 6 3 3
𝐹(ℎ) =
2 32 2 1 1 35
(− (3) + + ) + (−1 + (5)) + (− ℎ2 + 2ℎ − ) 5≤ℎ≤6
3 6 3 3 6 6
1 ℎ≥6
{
2 ℎ2 2
− ℎ+ + 2≤ℎ≤3
3 6 3
5 1
∴ 𝐹(ℎ) = − 6 + 3 ℎ 3≤ℎ≤5
1
− ℎ2 + 2ℎ − 5 5≤ℎ≤6
6
{ 1 ℎ≥6
𝑦 = 𝐹(ℎ)
𝑦
(6; 1)
1
(5; 0.833)
0.833
1
(3; )
1 6
6
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 ℎ
1
c) Ans. (= 3) [integrate]
6. A random sample of St Dominic`s mathematics students marks for end of term test
are shown below.
67 76 85 42 93 48 93 46 52
72 77 53 41 48 86 78 56 80
70 70 66 62 54 85 60 58 43
58 74 44 52 74 52 82 78 47
66 50 67 87 78 86 94 63 72
63 44 47 57 68 81
SOLUTION
a) stem leaf
4 1234467788
5 0 2 2 23 4 6 7 8 8
6 023366778
7 00224467888
8 01255667
9 334
c)
40 50 60 70 80 90 [𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 (𝑚𝑖𝑙𝑒𝑠)]
7. Calculate the equation of the regression line 𝑥 on 𝑦 for the following distribution,
𝑥 22 36 25 41 35 40
𝑦 78 70 65 58 48 42
and the product-moment correlation coefficient, (𝑟) and comment your value. [7]
SOLUTION
𝑛∑𝑥𝑦−∑𝑥∑𝑦
𝑏=
𝑛∑𝑦 2 −(∑𝑦)2
6(11599)−(199)(361)
𝑏=
6(22641)−(361)2
449
𝑏=−
1105
𝑏 = −0.4063
449
(𝑥 − 33.16666667) = − (𝑦 − 60.16666667)
1105
449
𝑥 = − 1105 𝑦 + 57.61447964
𝑛∑𝑥𝑦 − ∑𝑥∑𝑦
𝑟=
√𝑛∑𝑥 2 − (∑𝑥)2 × √𝑛∑𝑦 2 − (∑𝑦)2
6(11599) − (199)(361)
𝑟=
√6(6911) − (199)2 × √6(22641) − (361)2
𝑟 = −0.6993760986
𝒓 = −𝟎. 𝟕𝟎 (2s.f)
There is a strong negative correlation between the 𝑥 and 𝑦 values.
8.
a) In a certain country, 68% of households have a printer. Find the probability
that, in a random sample of 8 households, 5, 6 or 7 households have a
printer.. [4]
b) Use an approximation to find the probability that, in a random sample of 500
households, more than 337 households have a printer. [4]
c) Justify your use of the approximation in part (b). [1]
SOLUTION
= 0.722
𝑋~𝑁(340, 108.8)
𝑃(𝑋 > 337) will be 𝑃(𝑋 > 337.5) [using continuity correction]
337.5−340
𝑃(𝑋 > 337.5) = 𝑃 (𝑧 > )
√108.8
= 0.595
SOLUTION
𝑋~𝑃𝑜(0.15) in a day.
So, for 5 days 𝑋~𝑃𝑜(5 × 0.15) …
Then the expectation of the amount that Mr Kuna pays is;
(0.75 × 200) = $ 150
10. In the past, the flight time, in hours, for a particular flight has had mean 6.20 and
standard deviation 0.80. Some new regulations are introduced. In order to test
whether these new regulations have had any effect upon flight times, the mean flight
time for a random sample of 40 of these flights is found.
5.98−6.2
∴ 𝑍𝑐𝑎𝑙 = 0.80
√40
11.
a) A petrol station finds that its daily sales, in litres, are normally distributed
with mean 4520 and standard deviation 560.
i) Find on how many days of the year (365 days) the daily sales can be
expected to exceed 3900 litres. [4]
The daily sales at another petrol station are X litres, where X is normally
distributed with mean 𝑚 and standard deviation 560. It is given that
𝑃(𝑋 > 8000) = 0.122.
SOLUTION
a)
i. 𝑋~𝑁(4520, 5202 ) [let X be the daily sales of a petrol station]
3900−4520
𝑃(𝑋 > 3900) = 𝑃 (𝑧 > )
560
∴ 𝑧 = 1.165
8000−𝑚
1.165 = 560
𝑚 = 7250
b) 𝑌~𝑁(𝜇, 𝜎)
2 2
Given that 𝜎 = 3 𝜇, then 𝑌~𝑁 (𝜇, 3 𝜇)
2𝜇−𝜇
𝑃(𝑌 < 2𝜇) = 𝑃 (𝑧 < 2 )
𝜇
3
12. A firm of solicitors claims that, on average, interviews with clients last 50 minutes. A
random sample of 15 interviews is chosen, and the time taken for each interview, 𝑥
minutes, is noted. The results are summarized by ∑𝑥 = 746 and ∑𝑥 2 = 37 180.
Assuming that the time for an interview has a normal distribution, determine at 5%
significance level, whether the firm is overstating the average interview. [6]
SOLUTION
∑𝑥 746
𝑥= = = 49.73333333
𝑛 15
1 (∑𝑥)2
𝜎̂ 2 = 𝑛−1 (∑𝑥 2 − )
𝑛
1 (746)2
= 15−1 (37 180 − )
15
592
= 105 = 5.638095238
H0 ; 𝜇 = 50
H0 ; 𝜇 < 50
If H0 is true, and since 𝑛 is small and also 𝜎 2 is unknown, then the test statistics is T,
𝑋̅ −𝜇
where 𝑇 = ̂
𝜎 and also, 𝑇~𝑡(𝑛 − 1)
√𝑛
𝑋̅ −50
i.e. 𝑇 = and 𝑇~𝑡(14)
√
5.638095238 𝑇~𝑡(14)
15
Since, 𝑡 > −1.761, we fail to reject H0 at 5% level of significance and hence conclude
that the solicitors claim is upheld.
13. The following data give the heights in centimeters of 100 male students.
155 − 160 5
161 − 166 17
167 − 172 38
173 − 178 25
179 − 184 9
185 − 190 6
Find the expected frequencies for a normal distribution having the same mean and
standard deviation as the data given, and test the goodness of fit, using a 5% level of
significance. [13]
SOLUTION
𝜇 = 𝑥 = 171.54
𝜎̂ 2 = 7.1462641232 [from the calculator]
H0 ; 𝑋~𝑁(171.54; 7.1462 )
H0 ; 𝑋 is not distributed this way.
Probabilities,
154.5−171.54 160.5−171.54
𝑃(154.5 < 𝑋 < 160.5) = 𝑃 ( 7.146264123 < 𝑧 < )
7.146264123
160.5−171.54 166.5−171.54
𝑃(160.5 < 𝑋 < 166.5) = 𝑃 ( 7.146264123 < 𝑧 < )
7.146264123
166.5−171.54 172.5−171.54
𝑃(166.5 < 𝑋 < 172.5) = 𝑃 ( 7.146264123 < 𝑧 < )
7.146264123
172.5−171.54 178.5−171.54
𝑃(172.5 < 𝑋 < 178.5) = 𝑃 ( 7.146264123 < 𝑧 < )
7.146264123
= 0.8350 − 0.5533
= 0.2817 × 100 = 28.17
178.5−171.54 184.5−171.54
𝑃(178.5 < 𝑋 < 184.5) = 𝑃 ( 7.146264123 < 𝑧 < )
7.146264123
184.5−171.54 190.5−171.54
𝑃(184.5 < 𝑋 < 190.5) = 𝑃 ( 7.146264123 < 𝑧 < )
7.146264123
O E (𝑂 − 𝐸)2
𝐸
5 5.26 0.01285171103
17 17.93 0.04823759063
38 31.28 1.443682864
25 28.17 0.3567234647
15 16.1 0.0751552795
(𝑂 − 𝐸)2
∑ = 1.93665091
∑𝑂 = 100 ∑𝐸 = 100 𝐸
2
Since, 𝑋𝑐𝑎𝑙 = 1.94 < 5.991 we fail to reject H0 , and hence conclude that data follows
a normal distribution i.e. 𝑋~𝑁(171.54; 7.1462 ), at 5% level of significance.
[email protected] / +263784089807
Sharewell B. C
Proverbs 11 vs. 2
[@2022]
NB: If you click any of the links below and it fails to direct you straight to
the respective group, then first copy the whole link of any group and,