Equity Markets: Fundamentals
Equity Markets: Fundamentals
Equity Markets: Fundamentals
Fundamentals
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Equity Markets
3000
Index Value
2500
2000
1500
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
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Session Objectives
Understand different asset Learn the relationship Identify how beta affects the
classes and examples within between risk and return, using returns of equities
each CAPM as an example
• Cash
• Cash equivalents
Risk and return are highly correlated, and more risk results in higher volatility.
• Can be mitigated
This chart illustrates the generalized relationship between risk and return for different securities.
Option Contracts
Corporate Bonds
Risk free rate is normally taken as the yield on a long-term government bond. Risk (market)
It is called Risk free rate because, in developed countries and most developing countries, the
risk of government default is zero and the principal invested is safe
Corporate Finance Institute®
Weekly Return
0%
5%
-15%
-10%
-5%
10%
15%
Feb-17
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Apr-17
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Risk and Return – Example
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Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
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Jan-19
February 27, 2017 - February 24, 2020
Feb-19
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S&P 500
Walmart
Jan-20
Marathon Oil
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
The CAPM demonstrates the relationship between the expected return and risk of an investment.
Ra = Rf + βa * (Rm – Rf)
Return of Market 7%
Expected Return
of Asset
2% 1.75 7% 2%
Expected Return
of Asset
10.75%
The beta (ꞵ) of an asset reflects the volatility of the security relative to a market benchmark.
This chart showcases how stocks with varying betas perform relative to the market.
2%
Weekly Return
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19
Beta can be understood as the slope (gradient) of the line of best fit.
x x
x x
x x
x
x x
- x
+ Market (% change)
x
x x x
x
x
x
-
Share (% change)
Corporate Finance Institute®
Obtaining Beta in Excel
When comparing the return of a company with the market, the slope of the trendline is the beta.
Note: While Raw Beta is derived from historical data, Adjusted Beta is an estimate of the security’s future beta.
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Session Objectives
Identify the different types Learn about the capital stack Learn the key differences
and characteristics of equities and its constituents between public and private
equity
Ownership
Debt
Equity
Senior debt
Subordinated debt
Hybrid
Equity
Senior debt
Subordinated debt
Convertibles
Hybrid Convertible securities (option to convert debt into equity)
Equity
Senior debt
Subordinated debt
Hybrid
Equity
Preferred shares Higher liquidation and higher dividend priority (vs. Common)
• Reflects equity ownership of a • Participate in company’s profits • Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL)
company (through dividends and capital gains) • Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT)
• Also referred to as common share, • Voting rights (for corporate policies • Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA)
voting share, ordinary share and electing board of directors)
• Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL)
• Higher risk relative to preferred stock • May have multiple share classes
or bonds (example: voting vs. non-voting)
• Reflects equity ownership of a • Priority claim of assets (in a • Convertible: option to convert to
company liquidation event) and dividends, common shares
• Also referred to as preference share relative to common shareholders • Cumulative: unpaid dividends are
or preferred share • Typically no voting rights added to the next dividend
• Higher risk relative to bonds • Fixed dividend payments • Participating: additional
participation in the upside
• Callable: shares may be
repurchased by the company
Morgan Stanley
Comparison
Note: information is accurate as of
March 2, 2020 • Less risk than common stock
• Higher dividend yield
• Lower total return (no capital gains)
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Hybrid Securities
• If Tesla’s stock increases by 25%, investors can convert to common shares Upside potential
• If Tesla’s stock didn’t increase by 25%, the investors hold the notes Downside protection
• Greater liquidity and stocks can be easily traded on the exchange • Illiquid investment resulting in difficulty in exiting investments
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Session Objectives
• New issues are first sold in the primary • Investors trade securities which were
market after underwriting (bonds) or an originally released in the primary market
IPO (stocks) • The formal stock exchanges (such as
• Following an IPO, companies may offer NYSE, NASDAQ, etc.)
follow-on or seasoned equity offerings • The secondary market can be further
broken down into the auction market
and dealer market
• Largest stock exchange in the world by market cap • One of the fastest growing stock exchanges in Asia
• Technology focused
• Largest stock exchange in continental Europe by market cap
• Largest stock exchange in Asia by market cap • One of the oldest stock exchanges in the world
Auction Dealer
• NYSE • NASDAQ
Over-The-Counter (OTC) includes securities which are not traded on public stock exchanges.
• Securities which don’t • Access to unlisted • Less liquidity (due to low • Best Market (OTCQX)
meet listing requirements securities volume) • Venture Market
for other exchanges • Fewer regulations • Less public information (OTCQB)
• Highly volatile (beneficial • Pink Open Market
for traders)
A stock index is composed of selective stocks, used to measure the performance of the chosen companies as
an aggregate.
01 02 03
Categories
of Equity
Security
Investor Type
Cyclicality • Common
• Growth
• Preferred
• Value • Cyclical • Convertible/
• Income • Defensive Hybrid
(non-cyclical)
• The equity value of a firm (publicly traded shares) Mega Cap Micro Cap
• Used as an approximation of size (no debt included) • $50M - $300M
• $200B & higher
• Ex. Apple Inc. • Ex. Aware, Inc.
Formula
• Market Cap = Shares Outstanding * Price per Share Market Cap
• Market cap usually fluctuates daily
Large Cap Small Cap
*B = Billion USD
• $10B - $200B *M = Million USD • $300M - $2B
Consumer Consumer
Financials Utilities
Discretionary Staples
Industries are sub-categories of sectors (multiple industries may be in the same sector).
• Aerospace & • Food Products • Energy Equipment & • Electric Utilities • Equity Real Estate
Defense • Household Products Services • Gas Utilities Investment Trusts
• Airlines • Tobacco • Oil, Gas & Consumable • Water Utilities • Real Estate
• Machinery Fuels Management &
Development
• Chemicals
Materials • Metals & Mining
• Paper & Forest Products
Corporate Finance Institute®
S&P 500 Industry Breakdown – Refinitiv
4.0%
% Change
2.0%
0.0%
-2.0%
-4.0%
-6.0%
Month
Key Takeaways:
• In September, the market falls 4%, the cyclical industry falls 5.6% and the defensive industry falls 1.6%.
• In December, the market rises 4.2%, the cyclical industry rises 5.9% and the defensive industry rises 1.7%.
• It’s clear that the cyclical industry fluctuates much more with the market, whereas the defensive industry has less
volatility (shown by a flatter line) which fluctuates much less relative to the market.
Volume Liquidity
Market Illiquidity
• The chart here exemplifies the problem
with illiquid companies (using ticker
SQBG as an example)
Market Liquidity
• Here is a chart of ticker AAPL which has
much more liquidity than the previous
example
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Session Objectives
Identify the benefits and Compare mutual funds and Understand the difference
drawbacks of pooled funds exchange-traded funds between active and passive
investing
Pooled Funds
Open-End Closed-End
A pooled fund is a portfolio which consists of money from many different investors.
• Money is pooled together and managed • Pooled funds are managed by • Annual fees and expenses
by professionals professionals • Since the fund is being controlled solely
• The fund managers then buy and sell • The funds consists of many positions to by fund managers, an investor lacks
securities within the fund ensure investment diversification control in choosing investments and
Examples: • Pooled funds generally have high strategies
• Mutual Funds liquidity, ensuring ease in buying or • Pooled funds aren’t guaranteed to
• Exchange-Traded Funds selling a share of the fund achieve a positive return, and may return
• Hedge Funds less than the major market indexes
• Pension Funds
Mutual funds, managed by professionals, pool money from investors and invest in securities on behalf of the
investors.
• Money market funds (cash & eq.) • The mutual fund portfolio is managed by • A management expense ratio (MER) is
• Fixed income funds professionals taken off the total fund return to pay the
• The fund consists of many positions to managers
• Equity funds (stocks)
ensure investment diversification • Since the fund is being controlled solely
• Balanced funds (equities & fixed income)
• A position in a mutual fund may be sold by portfolio managers, an investor lacks
• Index funds (track market index) control in choosing investments and
or purchased daily (but not intraday)
• Specialty funds (niche – ex. Energy) strategies
• Mutual funds aren’t guaranteed to
achieve a positive return, and may return
less than the major market indexes
Investors
Distributed to investor Pool money
together
Don’t trade on a
Returns Fund Manager
stock exchange
Increase in Invests in
value securities
Securities
Exchange-traded funds hold a variety of securities, similar to a portfolio, and are traded on exchanges.
Types of ETFs
Benefits Disadvantages
An index fund is an ETF or mutual fund which invests in a group of securities, focused on tracking a specific
market index.
• Sector
• Broad market
• Bonds
• Dividend-focused
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
• Leveraged • Focuses on tracking the Russell 2000 index
Tracking Error
Disadvantages
• A portfolio manager has discretion over the investment allocation • A fund which is not actively trying to outperform an index or
and is trying to beat an index or benchmark. benchmark.
• Ability to beat the market • Higher fees (MERs) • Low fees • Won’t outperform the
• Not limited to certain • May underperform the • Won’t underperform that market
investments market market • No change in strategy
• Investment losses can • Clean exposure to a
be sold to offset capital market or asset class
gains tax
Fund Structure Unlimited share purchases and share Fixed number of shares from an IPO
redemptions from fund manager
Fund Price Net asset value per share Premium or discount to net asset value
per share
The fees for various securities and funds differ greatly; this table showcases typical industry standards.
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Session Objectives
Learn about the different Understand the difference Determine how bid and ask
types of market orders between settlement date and dictates the market price
settlement period
Market Order (Buy or Sell) Example: Jenny wants to purchase a share of company A
which is currently trading at $15.50. She puts in a market
• Executes the order at the market price order to purchase 1,000 shares and is filled at $15.63 (the
• Most common & simple type of order lowest ask/offer price).
Mutual funds are purchased through the fund, or a broker which offers them.
Details
• Some funds have capital requirements
• Important to conduct due diligence (i.e. allocation,
historical performance, management expense Example: Samantha wants to invest $500 into bank Z’s
ratio) mutual funds while the current day’s NAV is $50. At the
end of the day, bank Z’s mutual fund NAV is calculated as
$48. Her investment is completed the following day and
she receives 10.4 shares. If the bank doesn’t offer
Trading Mutual Funds fractional mutual fund shares, she will receive 10 shares
• Mutual fund share value remains constant during and have $20 left over.
the day
• The price is set at the net asset value (NAV),
usually within two hours of market close
• Orders are completed once the current day’s NAV
is decided
Settlement Period
• The trade is finalized, and the buyer • The time range between the trade
and seller must exchange their date and the settlement date
payment and assets • The buyer and seller complete the
• Stocks: typically 2 business days transaction
after trade date (T+2) • Final day of the settlement period is
• Mutual funds: typically 1 or 2 when the buyer is the registered
business days after trade date (T+1 owner of the security
or T+2) • They buyer doesn’t need to have the
• ETFs: typically 2 business days after cash in their account until the
trade date (T+2) settlement date
Bid Ask
Spread
• The highest price paid by the buyer • The lowest price sold by the seller
• Sellers can view this and determine Spread = Ask - Bid • Buyers can see this and decide how
how much to sell the security for much to buy the security for
• Other buyers can decide what to pay • Other sellers can determine what
for the security they should sell the security for
Clarification:
• The spread for this security = $8.05 (Ask) - $8.00 (Bid) = $0.05.
• If an investor submits a buy order of 100 shares for $8.06 each, 100 shares will be purchased for $8.05
(current sell order).
• If an investor places a sell order of 100 shares at $8.01, the order will be placed at the top of the sell orders
section but will not be filled.
Corporate Finance Institute®
Pricing (Bid/Ask) – Refinitiv
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Session Objectives
Learn about fundamental and Differentiate between relative Apply technical analysis
technical analysis and intrinsic valuation tools to analyze security
methodologies trading patterns
Fundamental analysis focuses on deriving a security’s intrinsic value based on financial information.
Relative Methods
• Assesses metrics and multiples of similar firms to • Prior relevant M&A transactions are analyzed to
derive an appropriate value for the firm being assess an appropriate value of a business
analyzed
• Different multiples are more relevant for certain • Timely and relevant past M&A deals may be
industries or businesses (ex. a retail firm may be difficult to locate, and they usually include a
focused on revenue multiples) takeover premium
Market EV/Sale
Price Shares Net Debt EV Sales EBITDA Earnings EV/EBITDA P/E
Cap s
Company name ($/share) (M) ($M) ($M) ($M) ($M) ($M) X X X
Micro Partners $9.45 100 $945 $125 $1,070 $268 $76 $47 4.0x 14.1x 20.1x
Junior Enterprises $5.68 1,250 $7,100 $2,00 $9,100 $4,136 $778 $412 2.2x 11.7x 17.2x
Miniature Company $18.11 50 $906 $25 $931 $443 $96 $56 2.1x 9.7x 16.3x
Average Limited $12.27 630 $7,730 $350 $8,080 $1,949 $528 $294 4.1x 15.3x 26.3x
Behemoth Industries $9.03 1,500 $13,545 $0 $13,545 $6,622 $795 $423 2.0x 17.0x 32.0x
Average 2.9x 13.6x 22.4x
Valuation
Transaction Value
Date Target Buyers EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
($M)
01/24/2017 Current Ltd 2,350 Average Limited 1.9x 9.4x 11.2x
Current Share
Price
Current P/E
Ratio
17.91
Technical analysis assesses investment opportunities through trend analysis and stock performance patterns.
Traders analyze stock charts to determine patterns which may indicate future price trends.
125
175
225
275
325
Feb-17
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Ascending Triangle Example
Dec-18
Technical Analysis – Continuation Pattern Example
Jan-19
February 28, 2017 - February 27, 2020
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19
Jun-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jan-20
Price ($ USD)
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
800
Feb-17
Amazon.com, Inc.
Double Top Example
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
February 28, 2017 - February 27, 2020
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19
Jun-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jan-20
Technical Analysis – Moving Averages
$7
Stock Price in USD ($)
$6
$5
$4
$3
$2
$1
$-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Time (Days)
S&P 500
Golden Cross
Death Cross
Golden Cross
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Session Objectives
Compare different investment Understand the goals of each Learn how to evaluate
styles and strategies investment strategy securities based on the
investment strategy used
Capital Preservation
Income
Capital Gain
• Short term investment • Take advantage of market • Market timing can work • Technical trading
strategies are usually held fluctuations against you • Charting
for anywhere between one • Get market timing right • Higher risk if trading
day and one year
• Quick benefit • May miss the higher returns
of longer term investments
3300
3200
Index Value
3100
3000
2900
2800
2700
Feb-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Sep-19
Oct-19
May-19
Jun-19
Apr-19
Dec-19
Mar-19
Nov-19
Aug-19
February 27, 2019 - February 26, 2020
• Investors make money if the • Investors loses money if the • If an investor believes a
security falls in value (with security appreciates certain industry/sector or
little upfront cost) (unlimited potential loss) company will underperform,
• Ability to profit in a bear • The short sellers must they will short the stock and
market supply the stock lender with hope to rebuy it at a lower
the stock’s dividend price
• May be used to hedge a
current investment payments
Investors borrow shares at a certain price with the obligation to give back the shares in the future.
• The investor borrows the stock from someone who owns it Buy 10 shares
• The investor then sells the stock in the market for cash
• The investor closes the short position by purchasing the stock Pay $50 Market
back from the market and giving the shares back to the Borrow
original owner Return
10 shares
10 shares
Stock Lender
= $100 loss
3300
3200
Index Value
3100
3000
2900
2800
2700
Feb-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Sep-19
Oct-19
May-19
Jun-19
Apr-19
Dec-19
Mar-19
Nov-19
Aug-19
February 27, 2019 - February 26, 2020
The long and short strategy combines a long investment with a short investment.
Long Short
Investment Long & Short
Investment
Relevant
Benefits Disadvantages Example
Strategies
Pair Trade: • Betting on company- • Miss out on full upside • Long Coke short Pepsi
• Long investment and specific performance of just betting on one
short position within • Doesn’t rely on a bull or direction
the same sector bear market • Get both bets wrong
Market-Neutral: • Can be used to hedge
• Equal investments in risk
long and short
positions
• Intrinsic Valuation
Invest in stocks which are
• Low Price/Book Value Ratio Methods • Kraft Heinz
undervalued (trading at a
• Low P/E Ratio • DCF Analysis • Molson Coors
Value Stocks discount)
• Comps Analysis
• AT&T
Invest in securities which offer • High dividend yield
• Consistent high dividend • General Mills
high yields for consistent income • Blue chip stocks
Income Strategy • High yield bonds
• Risk management
• Sharpe ratio (risk-
• Focus on absolute returns (not • Vanguard Alternative
Achieve positive returns and limit adjusted performance)
relative to a market) Strategies Fund
losses • Low portfolio standard
Absolute Return • Invest in a variety of securities (VASFX) ETF
deviation
and instruments
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Equity Markets
3000
Index Value
2500
2000
1500
1000
Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19
Recognize different asset Understand the relationship Identify the different types
classes and components of between risk and return and characteristics of equities
each
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