Reconceiving The Global Trade Finance Ecosystem Final
Reconceiving The Global Trade Finance Ecosystem Final
Reconceiving The Global Trade Finance Ecosystem Final
Reconceiving
the global trade
finance ecosystem
November 2021
About the authors
About McKinsey About the Advisory Group
McKinsey is a global management consulting firm on Trade Finance
committed to helping organisations create Change Established by the ICC in August 2020, the Advisory
that Matters. Located in more than 130 cities and 65 Group on Trade Finance (AFT) is a cross-sector
countries, our teams help clients across the private, coalition of leaders in global trade and finance who
public and social sectors shape bold strategies and pledged to highlight the issues faced by micro, small,
transform the way they work, embed technology and medium-size enterprises (MSMEs), advocate for
where it creates value, and build capabilities to better access to trade finance, and think about how
sustain the change. Not just any change, but change the global trade ecosystem can better serve MSMEs.
that matters—for their organizations, their people, The ATF is co-chaired by Victor K. Fung, Chairman
and for society at large. of the Fung Group, and Marcus Wallenberg, Chair of
SEB, and its members include: Amy Jadesimi, CEO
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Flora Mutahi, CEO of Melvin Marsh; Takeshi Niinami,
President and CEO of Suntory Holdings; Samuel
About the International Chamber
Palmisano, Chairman of the Center for Global
of Commerce
Enterprise; Mark Tucker, Group Chairman of HSBC
The International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) is Holdings; Jeremy Weir, CEO, Trafigura; and Zhu
the institutional representative of more than 45 Min, Chairman of the National Institute of Financial
million companies in over 100 countries. ICC’s core Research at Tsinghua University. ICC Secretary
mission is to make business work for everyone, General John W.H. Denton AO also joins the ATF as
every day, everywhere. Through a unique mix of an ex officio member.
advocacy, solutions, and standard setting, we
promote international trade, responsible business For more information on the AFT,
conduct, and a global approach to regulation, please visit iccwbo.org.
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size enterprises (SMEs), business associations, and and reports on global developments in sourcing,
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focus on China. As the knowledge bank and think
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1 As defined by BIS, trade finance refers to products provided by banks and financial institutions to help businesses
manage their international payments and associated risks, along with working capital. See “Trade finance: Developments
and issues,” Bank for International Settlements, January 2014, bis.org. The research described in this report considered
a broad set of financial instruments supporting business-to-business global trade, including risk-covering instruments
(often referred to as documentary business, for example, letters of credit and guarantees), buyer-led finance and liquidity
solutions (for example, supply-chain finance, dynamic discounting), and cross-border seller-side finance (for example,
invoice discounting, factoring, pre-shipping finance).
2 Asia–Pacific Trade Facilitation Report 2019: Bridging trade finance gaps through technology, UN Economic and Social
Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) and Asian Development Bank (ADB), September 2019, adb.org.
3 Steven Beck, Alisa Di Caprio, and Kijin Kim, “2017 trade finance gaps, growth, and jobs survey,” ADB Briefs (Asia
Development Bank), September 2017, Number 83, adb.org.
4 Steven Beck et al., “2021 trade finance gaps, growth, and jobs survey,” ADB Briefs, October 2021, Number 192, adb.org.
5 Miriam Bruhn et al., MSME finance gap: Assessment of the shortfalls and opportunities in financing micro, small and
medium enterprises in emerging markets, International Finance Corporation working paper, 2017, openknowledge.
worldbank.org.
6 In this report, global trade refers to cross-border trade, and the vision proposed applies to cross-border trade. It is
possible, however, that large markets could also achieve significant impact by adopting the measures outlined here for
domestic trade.
30%
10%
55% 85% Buyer-led finance3
EMEA
5%
Asia–Pacific 15%
Cross-border
Americas Documentary business2 supplier-side
finance4
1
The scope of trade finance volumes represented covers the financing for international trade and supply-chain volumes (cross-border trade-linked opportunity)
and excludes domestic trade financing, such as domestic factoring, and domestic guarantees.
2
Examples include letters of credit and international guarantees.
3
Examples include payables financing and dynamic discounting.
4
Examples include receivables discounting and forfeiting.
Source: Capital IQ; FCI Annual Review; ICC Trade Finance Survey; IMF Direction of Trade Statistics; McKinsey research
buyers to use their own funds to pay an invoice prior to the original due date. These
products help unlock working capital by optimizing cash flow; buyers can extend payment
terms, and suppliers accepting a discount are paid sooner. The category accounts for
less than 10 percent of trade finance volumes but is commonly regarded as an untapped
market with the potential to grow to roughly ten times its current size, given that only
a small share of payables is financed today. To tap this opportunity, some banks have
developed fully automated supply-chain finance platforms based on legacy technology,
which if successfully scaled, could achieve attractive cost-to-serve figures. Notably, in the
past ten years, a few dozen fintechs exclusively focused on this business have emerged,
further enabling financing for MSMEs. An increasing number of large corporates have
signed up for buyer-led finance programs to create resilient supply chains. Reduced
financing cost has attracted MSMEs to opt for early payments through these types of
programs, which showed especially strong growth during 2020’s liquidity crunch.
3. Supplier-side finance includes factoring, receivables discounting, forfaiting, and other
products that address corporate sellers’ financing needs by anticipating the liquidity
resulting from commercial transactions. It accounts for roughly one-third of global trade
finance volumes, when considering cross-border flows. Factoring is generally considered
a more complex business than receivables discounting, as it often requires the formal
transfer of credit (and related balance-sheet assets) from the corporate client to a bank.
Core participants
Core participants include buyers and suppliers, which may be enterprises and other
organizations, such as NGOs and public entities. Other core participants are financial
institutions, technology providers, and logistics providers.
Buyers and suppliers. Buyers and suppliers in trade finance include enterprises
and organizations of all sizes. Most, however, are MSMEs, which number approximately
400 million worldwide and serve as the backbone of economies around the globe, accounting
for over 95 percent of firms and 60 to 70 percent of employment.7 This suggests that a
healthy trade ecosystem requires healthy MSMEs.
With 600 million new jobs required by 2030 to absorb the growing global workforce,
according to the World Bank,8 MSME development is a high priority for governments around
the world. A primary constraint on MSME growth and international expansion is access
to financing. In a World Bank survey of business owners, this was the second-most-cited
obstacle facing respondents in emerging markets and developing countries. Large buyers
seeking to maintain a lean and efficient supply chain and strong vendor relationships are
increasingly pursuing solutions to support supplier financing, which is commonly necessary to
accelerate production, shipments, and deliveries.
7 “Small & medium-sized enterprises,” National Action Plans on Business and Human Rights, globalnaps.org.
8 “Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) finance,” World Bank, worldbank.org.
s
or
at
Financial
nts
it
cil
ipa institutions
Fa
tic
r
pa
re
Co
Since buyers and suppliers are constantly seeking to expand their markets, participation in
trade marketplaces—both physical and digital—plays an essential role in their strategies. To
be of true benefit, digital marketplaces need to be interoperable with other marketplaces, and
the services and technical interfaces between participants and marketplaces need to adhere
to certain standards and protocols. Otherwise, the time and expense of connecting to each
marketplace could become prohibitive.
Finally, buyers and suppliers are looking to operate as cost-efficiently as possible. Cross-border
payments and trade document processing add up to a meaningful portion of trading costs.
Any improvements in these areas brought about by leveraging new technology and alternative
payment corridors will generate significant benefits in companies’ overall cost profile.
Financial institutions. In the trade finance ecosystem, financial institutions provide the
liquidity and the risk assessment needed for executing trade transactions, along with a wide
range of services to satisfy a growing list of trade participants’ adjacent requirements. Several
types of institutions participate in the ecosystem, with the following being the most common:
9 Jacques Bughin and Susan Lund, “Next-generation technologies and the future of trade,” VoxEU CEPR, April 10, 2019,
voxeu.org.
10 Anna Nagurney, “Today’s global economy runs on standardized shipping containers,” The Conversation, April 5, 2021,
theconversation.com.
Facilitators
The following descriptions of facilitators look at the main categories identified earlier: trade
organizations, governments, and regulators.
Trade organizations. Numerous trade associations at the local, regional, and global levels
provide support to trade participants. Their role continues to be crucial, and advances in
technology and communications have enabled them to deepen and broaden their impact. One
example is the International Chamber of Commerce, which represents more than 45 million
companies across more than 100 countries. Many other domestic and bilateral chambers
of commerce have an active role in shaping some of the rules, and some other associations,
such as the DCSA and the Global Supply Chain Finance Forum, provide technical standards.
In addition, a few supernational organizations (such as the United Nations) define some of the
standards used in trade finance, as largely described in section 2.
Governments and regulators. Governments and regulators continue to play an essential role
in the facilitation of trade services among market participants, as well as in fostering inclusion.
Participants are bound by market regulations, which can be uneven across countries,
creating challenges for a market that, by definition, crosses borders. Governments may be
especially likely to take an active role when they determine there is a significant market gap.
For example, in response to the challenges resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic, according
to the OECD,12 governments have been looking to their ECAs to fill any financing gaps left by
the private market and to mitigate the impact of the crisis. Further, in an OECD survey,13 43
percent of ECA respondents reported an increase in their business levels, and 64 percent
reported taking measures to increase working capital support.
11 “Five predictions for the next five years of digitalisation in container shipping,” Digital Container Shipping Association,
September 28, 2021, dcsa.org.
12 “Trade finance in the COVID era: Current and future challenges,” OECD, March 23, 2021, oecd.org.
13 OECD economic outlook, interim report September 2021: Keeping the recovery on track, OECD, September 21, 2021,
oecd.org.
14 As part of this initiative, interviews were conducted with over 60 suppliers, buyers, and subject-matter experts across 16
emerging-market countries and multiple key industry sectors to better understand trade finance end users’ primary pain
points.
Technology
readiness
Low High Low High Low High Low High Low High
Financing
& market
access
Low High Low High Low High Low High Low High
Much of the current and potential global trade involves micro, small, and medium-size
enterprises, but they face many hurdles to full participation in this global ecosystem. A
deeper understanding of the global trade ecosystem can help participants do more to enable
the growth of trade with these current or would-be buyers and suppliers. The next section
examines how network interoperability might help.
Exhibit 4
Direct bank-
Fintech trade to-MSME
Messaging
finance platform relationship
network
on blockchain (eg, invoice
finance)
Credit
insurance
company
Centralized Logistics
supply chain network on
Credit finance platform blockchain
insurance
company
Institutional Logistics
investor provider
… to global interoperability
The key to this vision for a future global trade finance ecosystem is an “interoperability layer”
fostering ubiquitous access across networks and platforms. Such a model would significantly
improve global efficiency, in part by sharply limiting redundancies while simultaneously
enabling the adoption of a series of global shared utilities and standards. Importantly, this
model is compatible with the ongoing development of bespoke solutions addressing both
current and prospective pain points that have impacts on specific sectors, geographies, and
other subgroups.
The interoperability layer is a virtual construct designed to act as an umbrella for existing
and future standards, protocols, and guiding principles—though to be clear, it is not a
proposal for regulatory changes or replacement. Although the interoperability layer would
provide no direct services to trade participants, its setting of standards and creation of a
common taxonomy, for example, would be essential to the functioning of an efficient and
truly interoperable ecosystem. The governance of this construct could be provided by a
single global industry entity or by a consortium drawing from several that combined would
provide an aligned framework for open standards, portability, inclusion, and best practices
benefiting market participants across existing and new networks. The ultimate aim would
be the convergence of all participants at a network level, to enable and facilitate adoption
of the ecosystem in the shortest possible time, without it being dependent on the individual
participant (Exhibit 5).
Interoperability layer
Trade finance Guiding principles
Digital trade enablers interoperability for trade finance
foundations interoperability
Export
credit Institutional
agency investor
Credit
insurance
company
Distributed
Fintech trade
Messaging banking network
finance platform
network Institutional for invoice
investor on blockchain
finance
Credit
insurance
company
Institutional
investor
Centralized Logistics
supply chain network on
finance platform blockchain
Logistics provider
Credit
insurance Logistics provider
company
Logistics provider
15 “MYbank’s use of digital technology leads to record growth in rural clients,” press release, Ant Group, June 23, 2021,
antgroup.com.
Guiding
principles for Blue books for trade Best practices for Guidelines for setting up
trade finance finance processes and sustainable trade finance and operating shared
interoperability workflows utilities
Digital trade
enablers
Globally recognized Standards for digital
company identifiers trade documents
Some of the building blocks of such an architecture are already present in the market, though
not at scale; others remain only partially developed. Hence, an interoperability layer could be
viewed as central to three key missions (Exhibit 7):
1. Promote adoption at scale of existing trade finance standards for operational interaction
2. Design and disseminate additional global trade finance standards and protocols to fill
market gaps
3. Develop blue books and identify guiding principles for improved collaboration among
trade finance ecosystem participants
The remainder of this section analyzes these three missions, describing in detail the various
building blocks of a logical architecture and the potential role of an interoperability layer.
16 Stephen Polasky, Belinda Reyers, and Heather Tallis, “Setting the bar: Standards for ecosystem services,” Proceedings of
the National Academy of Sciences, June 16, 2015, Volume 112, Number 24, pnas.org.
17 Thematic Review of Implementation of the Legal Entity Identifier, Financial Stability Board, May 28, 2019, fsb.org.
18 The legal entity identifier: The value of the unique counterparty ID, October 2017, McKinsey.com.
19 “The power of LEIs to transform client lifecycle management in banking: A U.S.$4 billion beginning,” Global Legal Entity
Identifier Foundation, October 29, 2019, gleif.org.
20 “Commission proposes a trusted and secure Digital Identity for all Europeans,” press release, European Commission, June
3, 2021, ec.europa.eu.
21 Europe’s Digital Decade: Commission sets the course towards a digitally empowered Europe by 2030,” press release,
European Commission, March 9, 2021, ec.europa.eu.
26 Standard definitions for techniques of supply chain finance, Global Supply Chain Finance Forum, 2016,
supplychainfinanceforum.org.
27 Enhancement of the standard definitions for techniques of supply chain finance, Global Supply Chain Finance Forum,
2021, supplychainfinanceforum.org.
28 Brant Carson, Giulio Romanelli, Patricia Walsh, and Askhat Zhumaev, “Blockchain beyond the hype: What is the strategic
business value?,” June 2018, McKinsey.com.
29 “ISDA Common Domain Model,” ISDA, October 14, 2019, isda.org.
30 Alessio Botta, Nunzio Digiacomo, Reema Jain, Prakhar Porwal, Giulio Romanelli, and Adolfo Tunon, “From tech tool to
business asset: How banks are using B2B APIs to fuel growth,” October 2021, McKinsey.com.
35 “Swift and ICC collaborate to drive sustainability in trade finance,” SWIFT, 2021, swift.com.
36 The last pit stop? Time for bold late-cycle moves, Global Banking Annual Review, October 2019, McKinsey.com.
An interoperability layer not only could facilitate trade finance but also could improve the
performance of participants in the global trade ecosystem. The next section outlines the
benefits of an interoperability layer for each segment of participants as they proceed through
a potential three-stage rollout plan.
Building a
consensus for global
interoperability
Exhibit 8
Financial institutions
Although 40 percent of global trade is currently supported by bank-intermediated trade
finance, coverage is not uniform across countries or segments, particularly in developing
countries and with MSMEs. A full deployment of the interoperability layer would bring a
substantial structural change to the financial industry as a whole, specifically benefiting
existing providers (primarily banks) while also attracting much-needed new credit capacity
to the industry (from entities such as institutional investors), drawn by added transparency,
access to technology, and regulatory support. In addition, the ecosystem could bring
additional revenue streams and value-added services while making the processes more
efficient and cost effective.
Expanded credit capacity. Financial institutions, institutional investors, and credit insurance
companies are often constrained by regulatory and legal factors, lack of information,
cumbersome processes, and limited access to trade finance assets due to technology
constraints. This proposed vision should activate several levers enabling financial institutions
37 Treatment of trade finance under the Basel capital framework, Bank for International Settlements, October 2011, bis.org.
38 “DCSA takes on eBL standardisation, calls for collaboration: $4 billion estimated in potential annual savings at 50%
adoption rate for container shipping industry,” Hellenic Shipping News, May 5, 2020, hellenicshippingnews.com.
39 “Afreximbank and AfCFTA announce the operational roll-out of the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System
(PAPSS),” press release, Afreximbank, September 28, 2021, afreximbank.com.
1 2 3
Mobilize the existing trade finance Develop the reconceived Scale up global efforts, with
ecosystem ecosystem and begin scaling up solutions addressing the needs
adoption of all market participants
— Establish governance model for
the interoperability layer — Finalize missing elements of the — Support development of shared
interoperability layer (eg, blue utilities, based on blue books and
— Launch detailed action plan to
books, best practices) standards
accelerate adoption of standards
for digital trade enablement — Promote broader adoption of — Scale up global adoption of the
the chosen standards applying reconceived ecosystem by both
— Finalize critical missing elements
a supply-side approach (starting the supply and demand sides
for trade finance interoperability
with banks)
foundations
— Build a road map to drive adoption
of the key standards
The first step in bringing this vision to reality has already been taken. Over the past year,
the ICC has—through the ATF—secured contributions of expertise, ideas, and efforts from
many trade participants, which have shaped the proposed model. The next step is for these
parties to align with other trade participants to contribute to the development, execution, and
promotion of the target vision.
Launch action plan to accelerate adoption of standards for digital trade enablement.
As we have discussed in this report, the accelerated adoption of existing standards by
banks and their technology providers is a critical step toward the success of a potential
interoperability layer. The benefits in terms of revenue growth, operational efficiencies,
and credit risk control are clear. The plan for this accelerated adoption could lead off with
globally recognized company identifiers and standards for digital trade documents—the two
building blocks identified as digital trade enablers in Exhibit 6. Globally recognized company
identifiers would allow participants to unequivocally identify a party for commercial, risk,
and compliance purposes. In a world where thousands of companies are created each day,
particularly in the MSME segment, this building block is critical. Broader standardization for
digital trade documents through the MLETR standard is essential to helping all parties realize
the agility and cost efficiencies they desire. In this first phase of the implementation plan,
financial services industry forums and multilateral organizations such as trade associations
Blue books for trade finance Asia–Pacific Trade Facilitation Report (ESCAP, Develop recommendations for Expedite cross-border adoption
processes and workflows 2019) core trade finance processes of recommendations, and finalize
for all market participants development for additional
processes
Digital trade enablers Global recognized company Legal Entity Identifier (GLEIF, 2014)
identifiers
Decentralized Identifier (W3C, 2021)
European Digital Identity Accelerate adoption
(EC, expected 2022) working mainly on the supply side (banks and tech providers)
42 Reconceiving the global trade finance ecosystem Reconceiving the global trade finance ecosystem 43
Conclusion
41 As per the policy published by China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the inclusive Small & Micro loan has been defined
as “total amount of credit granted to a single borrower not more than RMB 10 million.”
42 On November 1, 2021, China’s Personal Information Protection Law (PIPL)—a comprehensive set of rules around data collection and
protection—took effect. Applicable to the country’s citizens and all companies and individuals handling their data, the PIPL aims to
protect the rights and interests of personal information, regulate personal information-processing activities, and promote the rational
use of personal information through data localization measures, restrictions on cross-border data flows, and continued surveillance and
law enforcement powers. See “Personal Information Protection Law of the People’s Republic of China,” The National People’s Congress
of the People’s Republic of China, August 20, 2021, npc.gov.cn.
43 “China to further optimize financial services to SMEs,” State Council, People’s Republic of China, April 26, 2021, english.www.gov.cn.
44 Refers to banks with combined features of a general partnership and a publicly traded company.
46 Personas are aggregate portraits of users based on ethnographic research. They illustrate how target users differ, and they encourage a
people-centered approach.