The Complex Aetiology of Cerebral Palsy
The Complex Aetiology of Cerebral Palsy
The Complex Aetiology of Cerebral Palsy
Cerebral palsy (CP) is the most common severe motor the prevalence was 1.8 per 1,000 live births10,11. These
disability in children, and its severity is demonstrated differences in prevalence indicated that defining
by the fact that 40% of children with the condition can- CP, differentiating CP from other motor disabilities
not walk independently1,2, one-third have epilepsy3, up and determining the precise lower limits of severity
to one-third are non-verbal4,5 and about one-half have that delineate cases were all problematic. This difficulty
some degree of cognitive impairment2,6–8. Lifetime costs has been repeatedly wrestled with, and numerous inter-
for a child with CP in the USA have been estimated national meetings on the definition and classification
at just under US$1 million per individual for health of CP have been held since 1958 (refs12–14), each leading
1
Department of Obstetrics &
Gynecology, Wayne State
expenditures, educational needs, social services and to changes in the d efinition of the condition (Fig. 1).
University School of Medicine, lost economic opportunity9. The prevalence, severity Ongoing population surveillance for CP began in the
Detroit, MI, USA. and burden of CP make it a public health priority for Nordic countries15–17. In the second half of the past cen-
2
Department of Health prevention, and recognition that perinatal exposures and tury, most reviews concluded that the prevalence of CP
Systems and Sciences pregnancy complications are strongly linked to the risk (generally expressed in relation to numbers of live births)
Research and Department of
of CP provides opportunities for prevention. However, in industrialized nations was fairly stable at 1.5–2.5 cases
Epidemiology and
Biostatistics, Drexel
the aetiology of CP has proved complex, making p rogress per 1,000 live births18,19, but with a modest increase in
University, Philadelphia, in its prevention difficult. the last two decades of the 20th century owing largely
PA, USA. In this Review, we consider the epidemiological to the greatly increased survival of very premature infants
3
Department of Epidemiology observations that provide evidence for the contribution as a result of the success of the new technology19,20.
and Biostatistics, College of of various developmental pathways to the pathogenesis of Estimates of CP prevalence in the 21st century, how-
Human Medicine, Michigan
CP and for the substantial success in prevention to date. ever, reveal a mixed picture. During the first decade of
State University, East
Lansing, MI, USA.
We also consider the complexities of disentangling the century, estimates of CP prevalence were generally
4
Michigan Department of
prenatal and perinatal influences, with a view to accelera higher than in the 20th century in high-income coun-
Health and Human Services, ting the translation of evidence into clinical approaches tries (HICs). In the USA, prevalence estimates increased
Lansing, MI, USA. to the prevention of CP. from 2 to as high as 3 cases per 1,000 live births between
5
Department of Pediatrics 2002 and 2012 (refs2,21–25), although the most recent of
and Human Development, The prevalence of cerebral palsy these surveys showed a slight decline to 2.9 per 1,000
College of Human Medicine, In the 1940s, in the USA, two voluntary organizations, 8-year-old children in 2010 from 3.5 in the same sur-
Michigan State University,
East Lansing, MI, USA.
the National Society for Crippled Children (later named veillance area in 2006 (ref. 26) . However, studies in
Easter Seals) and United Cerebral Palsy, initiated two Australia3, Europe27–29, Canada30, Sweden31 and Japan32
*e-mail: sKorzeni@
med.wayne.edu population surveys to determine CP prevalence10,11. have provided evidence for a declining prevalence of
https://doi.org/10.1038/ In Schenectady, New York, the prevalence was 5.9 cases CP over time, mostly among low-birthweight and pre-
s41582-018-0043-6 per 1,000 births, whereas in Minneapolis, Minnesota, term infants (Table 1). In China, a decline from 1.6 to
Table 1 | Trends in the prevalence of cerebral palsy overall and by birthweight or gestational age at delivery
Location (study) Prevalence group Years Observed prevalence (per 1,000 95% CI
in specified prevalence group)
Northern Alberta, Canada All live births 2008 2.38 2.19–2.57
(Robertson et al.30) 2009 2.26 2.10–2.44
2010 1.89 1.70–2.10
Birthweight <1,000 g 1985–1988 98.4 59.5–137.4
2008–2010 40.1 34.5–45.7
Birthweight 1,000–1,499 g 1985–1988 70.7 43.8–97.6
2008–2010 22.7 19.3–26.0
Birthweight 1,500–2,499 g 1985–1988 11.0 7.9–14.1
2008–2010 6.7 5.9–7.5
Birthweight ≥2,500 g 1985–1988 1.7 1.6–1.8
2008–2010 1.3 1.2–1.4
Europe Birthweight <1,000 g 1980 40.9 12.1–97.3
(Sellier et al.27) 2005 38.2 26.0–53.8
Birthweight 1,000–1,499 g 1980 70.9 41.7–110.9
2005 35.9 26.6–47.2
Birthweight 1,500–2,499 g 1980 8.5 5.4–12.7
2005 6.2 4.9–7.8
Birthweight ≥2,500 g 1980 1.2 0.9–1.5
2005 0.9 0.8–1.0
Japan All live births 1988–1997 1.8 1.6–2.0
(Touyama et al.32) 1998–2007 0.97 0.94–0.99
Birthweight <1,000 g 1988–1997 65.5 46.1–90.3
1998–2007 108.7 83.9–138.5
Birthweight 1,000–1,499 g 1988–1997 89.9 72.2–110.6
1998–2007 74.6 59.6–92.3
Birthweight 1,500–1,999 g 1988–1997 28.6 22.0–36.6
1998–2007 21.0 15.7–27.3
Birthweight 2,000–2,499 g 1988–1997 2.4 1.6–3.5
1998–2007 3.0 2.1–4.0
Birthweight ≥2,500 g 1988–1997 0.6 0.5–0.7
1998–2007 0.5 0.4–0.7
USA 8-year-old children 2006 3.5 3.2–3.9
(Durkin et al. ) 26
2008 3.2 2.9–3.5
2010 2.9 2.6–3.2
8-year-old children, excluding those with 2006 3.2 2.9–3.5
a documented post-neonatal cause 2008 3.0 2.7–3.3
2010 2.6 2.3–2.9
Victoria, Australia Gestational age ≥37 weeks 1983–1991 1.2 Not available
(Reid et al.3) 1992–2000 1.2 Not available
2001–2009 1.0 Not available
Gestational age 32–36 weeks 1983–1991 5.3 Not available
1992–2000 3.8 Not available
2001–2009 4.2 Not available
Gestational age 28–31 weeks 1983–1991 41.5 Not available
1992–2000 40.0 Not available
2001–2009 32.4 Not available
Gestational age <28 weeks 1983–1991 92.1 Not available
1992–2000 102.5 Not available
2001–2009 70.6 Not available
early and late neonatal variables110. In a similarly large CP with these genes or any others studied after correc-
study of infants born with very low birthweight, tran- tion for multiple comparisons131. A nested case–control
sient hypothyroxinaemia was associated with a twofold study conducted in California, USA, that was intended
greater risk of white matter damage, a key antecedent to replicate the previously identified links between sev-
of CP, after adjustment for gestational age and various eral polymorphisms and CP in 127 affected children
measures of illness severity114. Whether the association indicated an association of CP with the inducible nitric
between neonatal thyroid hormone deficits and CP is oxide synthase (iNOS)-231 T allele (which is involved
truly causal can be determined only with a randomized in inflammation) and the APOE*ε4 allele. Both associa-
trial of thyroid hormone supplementation95,115. tions were statistically significant at the 0.04–0.05 level,
Similarly, severe maternal iodine deficiency, which but neither remained significant after adjustment for
presumably leads to maternal and thus fetal hypothyrox- multiple comparisons125.
inaemia, is associated with cognitive impairments and
neurological deficits that resemble CP116. Iodine defi- Multiple births. The prevalence of CP among twins is
ciency remains an important remediable cause of cog- fourfold higher than among singletons134,135, and this
nitive, neurosensory and motor impairment in several excess is greater for higher-order multiples136,137. Nearly
parts of the world117. all of this excess risk is accounted for by the lower gesta-
tional age and lower birthweights associated with multi-
Preconception and early gestation ple births138,139, but the risk of CP is slightly higher even
Genetics. Familial clustering of CP has been described: for full-term multiple births than for singletons born at
three studies since 2007 have indicated that the relative term140–142. CP in one twin is associated with a greatly
risk of CP for the sibling of a child with CP is four118, increased risk of CP in their co-twin: in one analysis of
five119 and nine120, respectively. However, even these >20,000 twin sets in Norway, the twin of a child with
relative risks translate to a small absolute risk of CP CP had a 15-fold higher risk of CP than singletons120.
of 1–2%. Copy number variants and mutations in sin- Despite this elevated risk, fewer than 12% of twin sets are
gle genes have been implicated in CP, but these find- concordant for CP143. In the only two published series of
ings are limited by small numbers of patients, genetic identical twins, concordance for CP was 18–40%144,145.
heterogeneity and a paucity of validation studies121. Little is known about the factors that contribute
Whole-exome sequencing has revealed several poten- to disparate susceptibility to CP between co-twins,
tially disease-causing gene variants, but functional and although factors such as birth order, birthweight dis-
pathway studies are needed to validate these findings122. cordance, gender and chorionicity have been exam-
Among the most studied genetic risk factors is APOE ined145–148. Monochorionic placentation is thought to
genotype. APOE encodes apolipoprotein E (ApoE), a convey a higher risk than dichorionic placentation149, as
lipid transport protein that is abundant in the brain; for the risk of congenital anomalies150, but information
the APOE*ε4 allele has been associated with several on zygosity and chorionicity is rarely known for children
neurological conditions, most notably Alzheimer dis- with CP, making this thesis difficult to investigate in
ease. Studies of APOE genotype and the risk of CP have most databases. Genetics could have a role, but other fac-
produced a variety of results. The APOE*ε4 allele has tors are more strongly associated; for example, the death
been associated with an elevated relative risk of CP of a co-twin in utero is associated with a s ubstantially
in one Brazilian study123 and two studies conducted in higher risk of CP in the surviving twin139,151,152.
the USA124,125, one of which also indicated an elevated
risk among carriers of the APOE*ε2 allele. In a large, Socio-economic status and correlates. Several studies
population-based study conducted in Norway, the have demonstrated that children who are socially dis-
APOE*ε4 allele was associated with an increased sever- advantaged are at higher risk of CP than those who are
ity of CP126, whereas the APOE*ε2 or APOE*ε3 alleles not138,139,153–157. For example, a higher prevalence of CP
and the s59007384 polymorphism in the TOMM40 has been identified among African-American children
gene (which is located on chromosome 19 close to than among other children138,139, but this observation
APOE) were associated with reduced severity of CP127. was only partially explained by differences in level of
However, in a second Brazilian study, an elevated risk maternal education and was largely a function of higher
of CP was associated only with the APOE*ε2 allele128, rates of preterm birth among socially disadvantaged
and a Norwegian family study identified APOE*ε3 women26,154. However, although multiple indicators of
to be the APOE allele most closely linked with CP129. social disadvantage are associated with an increased
Furthermore, three much larger studies — two con- risk of CP, these relationships seem to be moderated or
ducted in Australia130,131 and one in China132 — found mediated by differences in gestational age, birthweight
no association of any APOE allele with the risk of CP. and/or their correlates (for example, maternal obe-
Hypocapnia
In a review published in 2009 (ref.133), an associ- sity139,153,154, which is more common among women of
A condition characterized by
low blood levels of carbon ation between certain thrombophilia-related genes lower socio-economic status158–161).
dioxide. and CP caused by intrauterine strokes was suggested, Analysis of a database of 6 million births in California,
but the literature on this area is sparse. A subse- USA, revealed a dose–response relationship between
Chorionicity quent Australian study of candidate maternal or fetal pre-pregnancy obesity and CP: the relative risk of CP for
Whether twins share the same
placenta (monochorionic) or
thrombophilia-related genes that included 587 children the children of mothers classed as morbidly obese (2.7)
each have their own placenta with CP and their mothers and 1,154 healthy mother was significantly higher than for those whose mothers
(dichorionic). and child pairs identified no significant association of were classed as obese (1.3)162. Large studies conducted
in South Carolina (USA)163, Norway and Denmark164, chikungunya virus infection192. Zika virus infection
and Sweden25 produced similar results. In the Swedish in utero can damage the fetal brain193, but the magnitude
study, the association was limited to infants born at term. of the contribution of Zika virus to CP is not yet under-
Putative mechanisms for this consistent finding include stood. To date, seven case-series and one cohort study
the excess inflammation seen in obesity165,166, placental have examined whether children with clinical evidence
dysfunction167,168 and thyroid hormone deficits169,170. of congenital Zika virus infection exhibit early indica-
However, maternal obesity does not seem to be associ- tors of motor dysfunction and epilepsy; in total, 54% of
ated with an increased risk of CP among children who these children had seizures and all of them were judged
are born before the 28th week of gestation171. to have abnormal motor development after follow-up
periods of 3–12 months194.
Pregnancy and congenital anomalies The presence of several nonspecific indicators of infec-
Fetal growth restriction and maternal pre-eclampsia. tion, such as maternal fever195–197, maternal receipt of anti-
Several studies have identified associations of CP with biotics198 and chorioamnionitis197,199,200, close to the time
FGR in infants born at term or near term 172–174, in of delivery have been linked to an increased risk of CP.
infants born late or moderately preterm174 or in infants Infections earlier in pregnancy have often been a ssociated
born at any gestational age175. The most definitive data with CP as well201–204, but not all studies agree205.
come from the pooling of several national CP registers
referred to as Surveillance of Cerebral Palsy in Europe, Birth defects. Two lines of evidence indicate that devel-
which revealed a significant fourfold to sixfold excess opmental aberrations similar to those that cause birth
risk of CP among infants with FGR who were born defects are involved in an appreciable fraction of CP cases.
at 32–42 weeks of gestation176. This finding is consist- First, imaging studies of children with CP have shown
ent with evidence from an Australian reconstructed that cerebral malformations, which are often unsuspected
population cohort study in which being small for before CT or MRI, are not infrequent. One systematic
gestational age and pregnancy-induced hypertension review of the topic showed that such malformations were
were associated with a twofold to ninefold increase in found in 10% of children with CP, mostly in children who
the risk of CP among all infants born after 27 weeks were born at term206. Several different brain develop-
of gestation175. mental defects seem capable of producing CP, especially
FGR and maternal pre-eclampsia have both been neuronal migration disorders207, such as schizencephaly208
associated with a reduced risk of CP in studies of children and polymicrogyria209. Interestingly, cytomegalovirus
born with low birthweight177,178. However, birthweight infection might underlie these neuronal migration
is inextricably linked with gestational maturity, which is disorders in some instances191,210. In general, the brain
strongly associated with CP; therefore, studies of chil- malformations involved seem to arise from a wide variety
dren with a birthweight below a specified threshold will of genetic and environmental insults, are not rare in
include growth-restricted newborn babies from more CP and can be congenital or acquired211. Intrauterine
mature gestational age strata, who have a lower risk of CP infections are associated with congenital anomalies; the
than infants of lower gestational ages179. Population-wide most recently identified association is with Zika virus
studies that include infants of all gestational ages do not infection212,213. A detailed review of the development
reproduce this anomaly118,176,180. of these abnormalities is available elsewhere51.
This issue particularly affects studies of pre-eclampsia The second line of evidence is the frequent presence
and CP. A study conducted in Australia showed that of malformations outside the nervous system in children
pre-eclampsia seems to provide a strong protective with CP. The NCPP showed that such malformations are
effect against CP in infants with low birthweights, but observed threefold more often in children with CP than
that no association with CP is observed in a sample in healthy children, a finding that has been confirmed in
defined by truncation of gestational age rather than of subsequent studies214–216. Hypertensive disorders of preg-
birthweight181. Confounding of FGR with gestational nancy are associated with congenital malformations, in
age seems to be reduced, if not completely avoided182, particular congenital heart defects217,218, as are indicators
by selecting samples of preterm infants on the basis of of thyroid dysfunction219–221; each of these factors are
truncated gestational age rather than truncated birth- associated with FGR, CP and other neurodevelopmen-
weight, a practice that is becoming more common183 but tal disorders (possibly reflecting mitochondrial dysfunc-
is still not universal184. tion222). A study conducted in Australia found that 53%
of children with CP and severe FGR who were born at
Infection. Maternal infections can lead to CP by transmis- or near term had a major birth defect180.
sion of pathogens to the fetus (even without a detectable
maternal inflammatory response185) and by induction Perinatal risk factors
of persistent systemic inflammation that can sensitize Perinatal stroke. Perinatal stroke, which occurs between
Schizencephaly
A birth defect characterized by the brain to subsequent insults186–188. Infections such late gestation and 28 days after birth, might account
abnormal clefts in the cerebral as toxoplasmosis, rubella, cytomegalovirus and her- for as much as half of hemiplegic CP in infants born
hemispheres of the brain. pes simplex virus during pregnancy have been associ- at term223,224, whereas children with other CP subtypes
ated with increased risks of CP189–191, but these agents often have multifocal or more diffuse injury. The most
Polymicrogyria
A birth defect characterized by
account for only a small fraction of CP cases in HICs. common form of perinatal stroke is thrombosis in
abnormal ridges and folds in A subtype of CP that is associated with microcephaly has the arterial distribution, usually in the middle cere
the brain. been reported as a result of perinatal mother-to-child bral artery, but periventricular venous infarction can
contribute225,226. Most perinatal strokes are ischaemic, guidelines that recommend MgSO4 for fetal neuro-
but haemorrhagic strokes can occur, sometimes as a protection in the setting of imminent preterm birth at
complication of ischaemic injury227. <32–34 weeks of gestation252. Implementation of these
The causes of perinatal stroke are largely unknown. guidelines might be a contributor to the reduction in CP
Perinatal stroke can be a complication of congenital heart prevalence among children who have low birthweights
disease228 and bacterial or viral meningitis229. Placental in many HICs3. Nevertheless, MgSO4 can cause maternal
factors such as chorioamnionitis199, prolonged rupture of adverse effects248, such as respiratory depression, hypo-
membranes230 and placental thrombosis231 have also been tension and confusion, and questions remain about the
implicated. Pre-eclampsia and FGR are also risk factors223. optimal timing of administration253, dosage253,254 and
Genetic predispositions to t hrombophilia have been duration255,256, and modifiers of therapeutic efficacy
described above. (for example, maternal obesity)257,258.
Melatonin treatment in combination with hypo- Claims that accurate identification of children who
thermia has been compared with hypothermia alone are at high risk of CP is possible at just a few months of
in one small trial (n = 15 in each arm) in infants with age are increasing in the literature. However, clinical pre-
birth asphyxia272. The results hinted that melatonin diction studies have often assessed CP in combination
improved survival during 6 months of follow-up and with other disorders or used other proxies for a diag-
lowered the risk of seizures and indicators of white nosis of CP, such as an interim clinical diagnosis of a
matter injury assessed at 2 weeks after birth. A trial of high risk of CP before a true diagnosis is confirmed287,288.
melatonin in preterm birth before 28 weeks of gestation A review published in 2017 concluded that CP could
is ongoing273. be diagnosed on the basis of the absence of so-called
Erythropoietin has been studied in four randomized jittery movements in infancy287, but the conclusions were
trials in infants born very preterm or who are very small. based largely on expert opinion, most of the reviewed
The treatment seemed to reduce the proportion of chil- studies defined CP in combination with other motor
dren with Bayley Mental Development Index scores <70 problems, and none included data beyond the age of
at follow-up, but the treatment did not affect the risk 2 years (see the appendix in the review287). The use of var-
of CP274. ious definitions of ‘high risk of CP’ has hampered direct
Finally, stem cell therapies for CP are also under comparisons between studies. For example, of 12 studies
investigation. These studies are not yet at a sufficiently that focused on motor dysfunction (see a review of these
advanced stage to discern the effects of the treatment on studies288), the outcome assessed in 6 was CP ‘or other
CP275,276, but evidence from small studies hints at benefits disorders’, and in 5 the clinical decision relied on clini-
for some children277. cal impressions, intelligence or development quotients;
in only 1 of the 12 was CP assessed alone. In addition,
Early diagnosis and intervention the majority of these studies do not include follow-up of
The age at which a CP diagnosis is validly, reliably and children at or beyond 2 years of age, and most are not
fully ascertained by ruling out transient or progressive population-based or geographically representative of the
motor problems is controversial. Long-standing evi- general population or a targeted high-risk group.
dence indicates that a proportion of motor problems In some studies in Australia and Europe, use of the
detected before the age of 1 year (for example, develop- General Movements Assessment in high-risk patients
mental delay, coordination problems and transient dys- has indicated a high sensitivity and specificity for the
tonia) resolve by school age without intervention278–282 prediction of a high risk of CP. These findings have
and that a small fraction of motor disability in children prompted the Australian investigators to recommend
of school age is the result of progressive motor patho widespread adoption into clinical practice289. However,
logy (for example, in metabolic disorders283), neither of given that decisions about diagnostic tests should be
which fits the current model of CP. Clinical prediction made on the basis of patient benefits289, we feel that
models and neuroimaging have been used to diag- additional research is needed, as do others290. Indeed,
nose CP before the age of 2 years, but further research although some evidence indicates that early detection
is necessary. and intervention can improve some cognitive out-
comes291, the improvements observed in motor dysfunc-
Clinical prediction studies tion are much more modest287,291, and the evidence for
Few studies have repeatedly assessed CP status over a benefit is limited by a dearth of high-quality trials292.
the first several years of childhood among the general
population. Evidence from two studies suggests that Neuroimaging studies
a diagnosis of CP at or before a child’s first birthday We have discussed the use of neuroimaging in detail in
is unreliable280,281. In the largest study to date, which a previous review293, in which we concluded that neu-
included 37,000 children, 45% of those who were diag- roimaging is not required for diagnosis of CP because
nosed with definite CP at their first birthday ‘outgrew’ the disorder is based on clinical findings, and the prin-
their motor problems by the age of 7 years280, and fewer cipal contribution of imaging is to the understanding of
than 3% of infants who were thought to have probable CP aetiology and pathogenesis. We also concluded that
CP at age 1 year had CP at age 7 years. It is impor- imaging studies were less informative than they could
tant to distinguish between CP diagnosed at an early be, largely because study designs were rarely based on
age solely on the basis of neurological findings and CP generalizable samples.
accompanied by clear evidence of a disability. Thus, a Since this previous review, several population-based
diagnosis made after ~2 years of age is more reliable284, neuroimaging studies have provided evidence that the
particularly when the motor problems are disabling occurrence of white matter injury has declined and that
(for example, an inability to walk five steps unaided of grey matter injury has increased, whereas the preva-
or a need for physical assistive devices). However, in a lence of malformations in children with CP remained
study of children who were born preterm and weighed about the same. However, the authors of a review of
<2,000 g at birth, diagnosis of non-disabling CP was these studies294 concluded that a dearth of standardized
not a stable diagnosis until after 6 years of age285. This protocols and terminology were probably responsible for
instability of diagnosis at the milder end of CP probably the heterogeneity of these findings (for example, there
explains why some, but not all, CP registers conduct was no minimum or standard age at assessment).
regular clinical reassessments at the age of 5 years to The well-designed Generation R study of a geo-
ensure diagnostic accuracy286. graphically representative sample from the Netherlands,
published in 2017, highlighted a diverse array of research or four events increased the risk of CP to 17%, 27%, 40%
questions that can be addressed by merging neuro and 55%, respectively305.
imaging with developmental neuroscience and epi-
demiology 295; an example is an ongoing effort to Hidden from view
develop growth curves of optimal brain development. Although a small fraction of CP is caused by obvious
Nevertheless, studies of selected populations continue postnatal events, such as meningitis or head trauma, at
to be more common, and these types of studies were least 90% of the factors that predispose infants to CP in
considered in a 2018 systematic review of early MRI HICs are no longer operative and are often no longer
for detection of motor outcomes at term-corrected age detectable after the perinatal period. Furthermore, many
in children born preterm296. This review identified a prenatal causes are often hidden from view because the
high sensitivity and specificity of MRI for detection inflammatory stimuli that seem to contribute to preterm
of CP or other motor problems, but the findings were birth, the silent strokes and the hormonal changes oper-
difficult to generalize because not all participants had ate under the cover of amnion and uterus. However, a
CP, and few studies were of unselected, sequentially firm diagnosis of CP cannot usually be made until the
recruited, representative infants. Instead, most were child’s nervous system is mature enough to display
carried out in tertiary centres with high-risk patients, the motor deficits that describe CP, usually at about the
and recruitment rates of eligible infants were as low as age of 2 years. By the time a child is diagnosed with CP,
17% in some settings. Consequently, further research the history of the pregnancy and the perinatal period
is needed to establish the effect of sample compo- can be reconstructed only from medical records and
sition 297 and the clinical relevance of MRI in early maternal recall, which are useful but have limitations
identification of CP. (for example, recall bias and reliance on clinical notes).
Prospective data collection can improve the precision of
Complexities in cerebral palsy epidemiology data about exposures, but to date, few prospective pre-
Accumulation and interaction of insults conception or pregnancy cohort studies have included
CP can often be the result of combined insults, but not follow-up of children to school age or beyond to assess
all insults are equally influential and some probably have neurodevelopmental outcomes. Consequently, delivery
context-specific effects; the importance of timing and and neonatal factors have received much consideration,
co-occurrence of different insults is unclear, although partly because of the dearth of quality evidence about
several examples have been studied. The combination earlier antecedents of CP. This bias has important impli-
of antenatal inflammation with postnatal systemic cations because pre-pregnancy and early pregnancy risk
inflammation is associated with an increased risk of CP factors (such as body weight) and their correlates can
in children born before 28 weeks of gestation298, as are influence the capacity for delivery-related and postna-
combinations of postnatal systemic inflammation and tal factors to provide information about the risk of CP
high or low levels of proteins that are related to angio- (for example, maternal age)306.
genesis and thyroid dysfunction299,300. FGR and/or very
preterm birth seem to make infants particularly suscep- One disorder or many?
tible to multiple-hit phenomena that involve white mat- The relationships between clinical entities that are used as
ter injury and its correlates because these infants tend to diagnoses and established pathophysiological pathways
have more vigorous postnatal inflammatory responses vary greatly. Some disorders are defined by abnormal-
than do other infants301–303. Chronic placental inflam- ities at the molecular level, such as sickle cell anaemia,
mation followed by acute fetal inflammation followed but many are defined by their clinical appearance307
by neonatal illness is similarly associated with cerebral and often represent the common end point of various
white matter injury in infants who are born before pathophysiological changes. Use of such disease entities
32 weeks of gestation304. often continues despite recognition of their heterogeneity
Additional evidence that accumulation of insults is because the entity is useful in clinical management; for
involved in CP comes from a population-based study of example, whether a stroke was ischaemic or thrombotic
infants with birthweights <2 kg with risk factors associ- matters little for the rehabilitation of a patient.
ated with ventilator use. This study showed that the risk of As discussed above, the term CP includes entities that
CP increased incrementally with addition of three venti- are apparently caused by multiple pathways, yet the sin-
latory risk factors: hyperoxia, hypocapnia and ventilation gle term persists. Some epidemiologists have referred to
for longer than expected for gestational age. The pres- ‘cerebral palsies’308 and the current definition refers to a
ence of one ventilatory risk factor was associated with an group of disorders to indicate the heterogeneity309,310, but
11% risk of CP, two risk factors were associated with a this usage has not taken hold in clinical settings, largely
35% risk and three risk factors were associated with because the traditional phenomenological entity and its
a 57% risk88. In a study of over 200,000 pregnancies, observable subdivisions are clinically useful for prog-
pre-eclampsia, neonatal infection, presumed birth nosis and management. Novel classification schemes
asphyxia and neonatal illness were cumulatively asso- based on topography have not consistently improved
ciated with an increased risk of CP213. Similarly, a study reliability in describing CP subtypes311; therefore, the
of nearly 6,000 infants with very low birthweights in field has moved away from classification according
Taiwan indicated a strong interaction between sepsis and to the underlying impairment and towards a focus on
postnatal hypoxic–ischaemic events. Infants with sepsis functioning312–315. What this trend means for aetiological
alone had a 10% risk of CP, but adding one, two, three research remains to be seen.
The temptation, which is consistent with the current born at term, among whom rates of congenital birth
emphasis on precision medicine, is to divide the con- defects are very high180. Some evidence indicates that
dition into narrower subdivisions that are more likely patterns of childhood growth differ according to CP
to be aetiologically homogeneous. However, when a subtype326. Finally, the antecedents of the severest forms
clinical entity is fairly uncommon, as is the case for CP, of CP seem to differ from those of less severe motor dis-
creating finer and finer subdivisions makes investiga- orders327, and in some studies the profile of comorbid
tion of aetiology very difficult. Even in the collaborative neurodevelopmental disorders differs by CP subtype
perinatal project, which included 50,000 participants, (for example, the co-occurrence of intellectual disa-
analysis did not consider much beyond the diagnosis bility and epilepsy seems to be more likely to develop
of CP itself; the only difference emphasized was that among children who develop hemiplegia than among
between children with birthweights above and below children who develop other types of CP)328,329.
2,500 g (refs53,316,317). Two initiatives could help to over- Despite this evidence, without agreement on relia-
come this difficulty: one is the newly initiated integra- ble definitions of CP subtypes, the findings are difficult
tion of Danish and Norwegian birth cohorts (referred to interpret and hard to replicate across populations
to as MOBAND) 318, which aggregates the medical with different background prevalence of contributing
records from 200,000 well-studied pregnancies and factors. Integration of findings from hypothesis-driven
births and links them to the national CP registers of clinical studies and preclinical studies is most likely
those countries, and the other is the Global Pregnancy to inform about the appropriate subdivision of
‘CoLaboratory’319 (CoLab; see Related links), a network neurodevelopmental syndromes that are rooted in
of investigators from multiple population-based register pregnancy.
and cohort studies who seek to facilitate standardiza-
tion of data collection instruments and study designs Future directions
and to enable data sharing to solve complex ques- Large public health interventions (for example, improved
tions about major pregnancy complications and their access to clean water, hygiene and other interventions
sequelae. However, no consensus has been reached that focus on common infections before, during and
on the kinds of subdivisions (for example, gestational between pregnancies) combined with rigorous empha-
age at birth, type of motor abnormality or distribu- sis on hypothesis-driven data collection in LMICs could
tion of affected limbs) that would lead to the greatest probably teach us a lot about CP aetiology. A similar
aetiological insight318. focus on periconception modifiable risk factors that
Specificity is problematic for all symptom-based influence the early gestation milieu that contributes
case definitions320, and mis-specification of heteroge- to increased risk of CP would be informative in LICs
neous syndromes as singular entities can mask impor- and HICs — for example, a focus on alleviating social
tant findings about aetiology321, including evidence of disadvantage. Overall, there is a pressing need to under-
therapeutic benefits322. Subtypes of a syndrome can be stand how the environment influences brain develop-
established in three ways. The first is to demonstrate ment, how it affects placentation and later placental
different risk profiles. The second is to establish that the functioning while the brain grows, and why specific
underlying morbid anatomy or pathophysiology differs. environmental factors seem to raise the risk of CP and
The third is to demonstrate that a subset of a disorder precipitating pregnancy disorders.
can be prevented (as in the case of kernicteric brain Current knowledge of the pathogenesis of CP dur-
damage prevented by control of bilirubin blood levels). ing embryogenesis and placentation rests largely on
In reality, none of these strategies alone will provide a evidence from models in cell lines and embryos and
definitive answer about subtypes of CP because some on downstream placental histopathology and related
similarities and differences in the antecedents, neu- clinical syndromes330–332. However, we do not know
roanatomy and efficacy of interventions are observed whether these methods represent in vivo pathogene-
across subtypes. sis or how to translate emerging preclinical informa-
Several lines of evidence indicate that environ- tion into population-level benefits. Maternal and fetal
mental and maternal characteristics are differentially blood-based profiling and imaging techniques are much
associated with different subtypes of CP. Some studies less informative about pregnancy disorders before the
have provided evidence that social status323 and mater- 15th gestational week333,334, which seems to be a key
nal body weight324 are associated with increased risk of aetiological window333,335–337. Emerging technologies,
hemiplegia, but not other CP subtypes. Consideration such as trophoblast retrieval and isolation from the
of maternal age also influences which factors are most cervix338,339, might provide relevant information about
strongly associated with increased risk of different early placental development and function in ongoing
types of CP306. Stratification of infants according to pregnancies, but large follow-up studies are needed to
postnatal occurrence of persistent systemic inflam- discern the relevance to CP and its correlates. Single bio-
mation seems to provide different information about markers are unlikely to be very useful clinically for large
the risk factors associated with quadriplegia299,300, but sections of the general population, but molecular pro-
not other CP subtypes, among children who are born filing to establish the timing and order of processes that
before the 28th week of gestation. The CP risk factor disrupt physiological homeostasis during pregnancy
profiles for different subtypes among infants with FGR might prompt better thinking about aetiology and pre-
also differ from those for infants with normal growth325, vention. For example, consideration of key concepts
especially for children with CP who have FGR and are from physiology, such as homeostasis, regulated systems
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