Sat - 13.Pdf - Child Mortality Prediction Using Machine Learning

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ABSTRACT

Children Mortality refers to mortality of children under the age of five. The child
mortality rate, also under-five mortality rate, refers to the probability of dying
between birth and exactly five years of age. The mortality of children also happens
in fetus. The aim is to investigate machine learning based techniques for
classification of mortality fetal health classification results in best accuracy. The
analysis of dataset by supervised machine learning technique (SMLT) to capture
several information’s like, variable identification, uni-variate analysis, bi-variate
and multi-variate analysis, missing value treatments and analyze the data
validation, data cleaning/preparing and data visualization will be done on the entire
given dataset. Our analysis provides a comprehensive guide to sensitivity analysis
of model parameters with regard to performance in the classification of fetal
health. To propose a machine learning-based and additionally, to compare and
discuss the performance of various machine learning algorithms for the given
dataset.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS
CHAPTER NO TITLE PAGE NO
ABSTRACT V
LIST OF FIGURES Viii
LIST OF ABBREVATIONS viii
1. INTRODUCTION 1

MODEL IDE 3

OBJECTIVE 3

2. LITERATURE SURVEY 5

3. AIM AND SCOPE OF THE 7

PRESENT INVESTIGATION

SCOPE OF THE PROJECT 7

SYSTEM ARCHITECTURE 7

WORKFLOW DIAGRAM 9

EXISTING SYSTEM 9

PROPOSED SYSTEM 10

SYSTEM REQUIREMENTS 10

4. METHODOLOGY AND 11

ALGORITHMS USED

INTRODUCTION TO MACHINE 11

LEARNING

PACKAGES 14

LIST OF MODULES USED 16

ALGORITHMS USED IN 23
THE PROJECT

5. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION, 33

PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS

6. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 37

REFERENCES 38

APPENDIX

A. SOURCE CODE

B. SCREENSHOTS

C. PUBLICATION WITH PLAGARISM

REPORT
FIGURE.NO NAME OF THE FIGURE PAGE.NO

LIST OF FIGURES

1. SYSTEM ARCHITECTURE 07
2. WORK FLOW DIAGRAM 09

LIST OF ABBREVATIONS

AI - ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
ML - MACHINE LEARNING
KNN - K-NEAREST NEIGHBOUR
CHAPTER-1

INTRODUCTION
Artificial intelligence (AI) is the study of how to get computers
to do things on their own, without being explicitly programmed to do so.
In the last decade, AI has brought us self-driving cars, feasible discourse
acknowledgment, strong web search, and a vastly improved
understanding of the human genome. AI is so pervasive today that you
probably use it without even realising it on a daily basis. There are many
experts who believe this is the greatest way to progress toward human-
level AI. In this course, you will learn about the most effective AI
techniques and practise putting them into action and getting them to
function on their own. Furthermore, you'll study about the theoretical
foundations of learning while also developing the practical skills
necessary to apply these tactics to new situations. Finally, you'll learn
about some of Silicon Valley's best practises for AI and AI development.

Support Vector Machines, Parts, and Neural Organizations. Learning


how to do things on one's own (bunching, dimensionality decrease,
recommender frameworks, profound learning). AI best practises
(predisposition/change hypothesis; progress in AI and AI process).
Additionally, you'll discover how to apply learning computations to the
construction of clever robots (knowledge, control), text understanding
(web search, spam threat), PC vision/clinical
informatics/sound/information index mining and numerous domains.

Child mortality or the under-five mortality rate refers to the


probability of a child dying between birth and exactly 5 years of age,
expressed per 1,000 live births. In 2020, 5.0 million children under 5
years of age died. This translates to 13,800 children under the age of 5
dying every day in 2020. Globally, infectious diseases, including
pneumonia, diarrhoea and malaria, remain a leading cause of under-five
deaths, along with preterm birth and intrapartum-related complications.

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The global under-five mortality rate declined by 61 per cent, from 93
deaths per 1,000 live births in 1990 to 37 in 2020. Despite this
considerable progress, improving child survival remains a matter of
urgent concern. In 2020 alone, roughly 13,800 under-five deaths
occurred every day, an intolerably high number of largely preventable
child deaths.

Machine Learning is the field of study that gives computers


the capability to learn without being explicitly programmed. ML is one of
the most exciting technologies that one would have ever come across.
As it is evident from the name, it gives the computer that makes it more
similar to humans: The ability to learn. Machine learning is actively being
used today, perhaps in many more places than one would expect. he
learning process is automated and improved based on the
experiences of the machines throughout the process. Good quality
data is fed to the machines, and different algorithms are used to build
ML models to train the machines on this data. The choice of algorithm
depends on the type of data at hand, and the type of activity that needs
to be automated.

Machine Learning is widely used in the healthcare


industry. It helps healthcare researchers to analyze data points and
suggest outcomes. Natural language processing helped to give
accurate insights for better results of patients. Further, machine
learning has improved the treatment methods by analyzing external
data on patients' conditions in terms of X-ray, Ultrasound, CT-scan,
etc. NLP, medical imaging, and genetic information are key areas of
machine learning that improve the diagnosis, detection, and prediction
system in the healthcare sector.

Easily identifies trends and patterns. Machine Learning


can review large volumes of data and discover specific trends and
patterns that would not be apparent to humans. For instance, for an e-
commerce website like Amazon, it serves to understand the browsing
behaviors and purchase histories of its users to help cater to the right

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products, deals, and reminders relevant to them. It uses the results to
reveal relevant advertisements to them. No human intervention
needed (automation). With ML, you don’t need to babysit your project
every step of the way. Since it means giving machines the ability to learn,
it lets them make predictions and also improve the algorithms on their
own. A common example of this is anti-virus softwares; they learn to filter
new threats as they are recognized. ML is also good at recognizing spam.
Continuous Improvement.As ML algorithms gain experience, they keep
improving in accuracy and efficiency. This lets them make better
decisions. Say you need to make a weather forecast model. As the
amount of data you have keeps growing, your algorithms learn to make
more accurate predictions faster.Handling multi-dimensional and multi-
variety data.Machine Learning algorithms are good at handling data that
are multi-dimensional and multi-variety, and they can do this in dynamic
or uncertain environments.Wide Applications.You could be an e-tailer or
a healthcare provider and make ML work for you. Where it does apply, it
holds the capability to help deliver a much more personal experience to
customers while also targeting the right customers.

1.1.MODEL IDE:

Jupyter Notebook (formerly IPython Notebooks) is a web-based


interactive computational environment for creating Jupyter notebook
documents. The IDE was installed in Anaconda, an open-source
distribution for the languages Python and R used to perform Data
Science and Machine Learning. The IDE’s UI in which the model was
developed.

1.2 OBJECTIVE:

Reduction of child mortality is reflected in several of the


United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals and is a key
indicator of human progress.Define a problem
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The UN expects that by 2030, countries end preventable
deaths of newborns and children under 5 years of age, with all
countries aiming to reduce under 5 mortality to at least as low
as 25 per 1,000 live births.
Parallel to notion of child mortality is of course
maternal mortality, which accounts for 295 000 deaths during
and following pregnancy and childbirth (as of 2017). The vast
majority of these deaths (94%) occurred in low-resource
settings, and most could have been prevented.
In light of what was mentioned above,
Cardiotocograms (CTGs) are a simple and cost accessible
option to assess fetal health, allowing healthcare professionals
to take action in order to prevent child and maternal mortality.
The equipment itself works by sending ultrasound pulses and
reading its response, thus shedding light on fetal heart rate
(FHR), fetal movements, uterine contractions and more.

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CHAPTER-2
LITERATURE SURVEY

Using Public Health Data from Sao Paulo, Brazil, Machine Learning to
Predict Neonatal MortalityLuciana Correia Alves.The mortality rate of
newborn children is a major financial and well-being quality indicator. It
is estimated that 70% of newborn deaths in Brazil are due to neonatal
deaths. Despite its importance, newborn mortality is on the rise, raising
concerns about the need for effective methods that can assist reduce this
incidence of death. In this study, a new approach is offered to categorise
infants at high risk of neonatal mortality by utilising AI algorithms to
monitor their overall health. 15 858 entries from the SINASC and SIM
databases in Sao Paulo city (Brazil) from the SP Neo Death dataset are
used to illustrate the concept in this paper. As a result, an average AUC
of 0.96 was achieved while using SVM, XGBoost, Logistic Regression,
and Random Forests AI algorithms to classify tests as either defenceless
to death or not. In addition, the SHAP technique was used to identify the
factors that had the greatest impact on the final results of the
calculations.Mortality and Morbidity. Anne Case claims that Angus
Deaton The mortality and gloominess rates among white non-Hispanic
Americans in their mid-fifties have been steadily rising since the turn of
the century, according to our latest research (Case and Deaton 2015).
More deaths from drug overdoses, suicides, and liver disease caused by
alcohol are to blame for the rise in the overall mortality rate among
whites, especially among those with only a high school diploma or less.
Among white non-Hispanics (people and women), mortality rises for
those without a general preparation, whereas it declines for those who
have a master's degree in education. Death rates among blacks and
Hispanics have continued to reduce, despite the fact that educational
achievements have been made in this area. It used to be that death rates
in the United States were depicted as high as they are in other wealthy
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countries. The results of helpless death cannot be fully explained by
current levels of assets, particularly those that are slowly growing old,
stale, and, in any case, diminishing. While it is possible that this is just a
beginning point, we believe it is a plausible scenario in which the
deterioration of employment opportunities for whites with low levels of
education is a catalyst for a chain reaction that affects the lives of both
parents and their children. An important piece of data is shown to have
terrible effects, even if the methodology in question is successful in
promoting pay.Youngster mortality and richness decreaseAccording to
Matthias Doepke. According to Barro and Becker, children's mortality and
fruitfulness are linked in three distinct ways. “The ripeness choice is
constant in the pattern model, and the number of enduring children is not
a vulnerability. Stochastic mortality and an arrangement with consecutive
fruitfulness decisions distinguish the pattern model, which is expanded
from discrete ripeness decision. The models' quantitative forecasts are
quite similar. Despite the fact that the hard and fast ready rate declines
in each model due to an increase in child mortality, the number of
suffering young people increases. Net generation rates in industrialised
nations have dropped dramatically over the previous century due to a
variety of variables other than decreased infant and youngster
mortality..Analysis and Prediction of Child Mortality in IndiaAccording to
Rushikesh Gawande. One of the responsibilities of progress coordinators
and pioneers is to lower the mortality rate and broaden the scope of
prosperity care. There must be a breakdown of the death rates and the
reasons for the variability in order to come up with effective strategies.
There are several factors that influence the rate of child mortality, such
as the rate of birth, the rate of foetuses born, the proficiency of the
mother, and the level of undernourishment. Additionally, a thorough
examination of diseases such as jungle fever, loose bowels, and others
that affect newborns and their contribution to infant mortality is carried
out. Keeping up good health and reducing death rates necessitates an
analysis of PHCs that meet the requirements. Geographical analysis of

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specific PHC locations can also be utilised to determine the demand for
more PHCs and to predict their locations.

CHAPTER-3

AIM AND SCOPE OF THE PRESENT INVESTIGATION

SCOPE OF THE PROJECT:

The progress in reducing child mortality around the


world has been remarkable. Under-five mortality rates have declined by
almost 60 per cent since 1990, and as a result millions more children
survive to adolescence today than they did three decades ago. The
impact of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, however, threatens years of
improvement in child and adolescent survival through the interruption of
essential health services. Even before the coronavirus captured the
world’s attention, it was clear that if survival targets were to be met,
resources and policy would need to be geared towards accelerating
progress and not just maintaining it.

SYSTEM ARCHITECTURE:

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