2015 Annual Results: Umut Zenar, CEO and Dr. Carsten Sauerland, CFO
2015 Annual Results: Umut Zenar, CEO and Dr. Carsten Sauerland, CFO
2015 Annual Results: Umut Zenar, CEO and Dr. Carsten Sauerland, CFO
Çanakkale Plant
Slide 1 - 31.03.2016
Agenda
1. Market Overview
Market Trends 4
Cement and Clinker Volume Changes 17
Readymix Volume Changes 18
Export Regions 19
2. Financial Report
Income Statement 21
Cash Flow 23
Dividend Policy 25
Capex Structure 26
Net Debt / EBITDA 27
Balance Sheet 28
3. Outlook 30
Slide 2 - 31.03.2016
Contents
1. Market Overview
Market Trends 4
Cement and Clinker Volume Changes 17
Readymix Volume Changes 18
Export Regions 19
2. Financial Report
Income Statement 21
Cash Flow 23
Dividend Policy 25
Capex Structure 26
Net Debt / EBITDA 27
Balance Sheet 28
3. Outlook 30
5. Appendix 45
Slide 3 - 31.03.2016
Global Market Trend
Bt -2.7% 0.0%
CAGR
4.5
+7.0% 4.0 4.1 4.0 4.0
4.0 3.8
3.6
3.5 3.3
3.0
3.0 2.8 2.8
2.6
2.5 2.3
2.2
2.0
2.0 1.8
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 E 2016 E
Source: Global Cement Report 2015 11th Edition, CemWeek Monthly Reports
Slide 4 - 31.03.2016
Global Market Trend (continued)
Consumption in developing countries is expected to be in line with developed countries at around 2.5% level
%
15
-10
-15
-17.5
-20
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 E 2016 E
* Developed Countries: Western Europe, North America, Developed Far East, Australia & New Zealand
Source: Global Cement Report 2015 11th Edition, CemWeek Monthly Reports, Exane BNP Paribas Reports
Slide 5 - 31.03.2016
Macroeconomic Assumptions for Turkey 2007 – 2016E
Turkey Macroeconomic Indicators
Current Average
TR-3 Months
Account Housing Population
Years Deposit Rate,
•Slowed down in current account balance Balance, % of
Annual,%
Loan Rate, (mio)
share in GDP due to continuing lower fuel GDP Annual, %
Slide 6 - 31.03.2016
Relationship between GDP Growth and Cement Demand Growth
%
25
20
15
10
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25
1981 1985 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 E
Slide 7 - 31.03.2016
Cement Consumption per Capita and GDP Per Capita in Turkey
$ Kg
10,822
11,000 10,444 10,428 10,459 837 900
827 830
10,003 770
10,000 764 836 800
10,380
9,247 696
9,290 700
9,000 624 8,561
599 9,180
645 600
8,000 518 590
453 7,597 500
7,000 406 420 7,036
400
6,000
5,775 300
5,000
200
4,565
4,000 100
3,492
3,000 0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E
Slide 8 - 31.03.2016
Turkish Cement Sector (2000 – 2016E)
This presentation/report demonstrates "estimated results" of market research done by Akçansa Çimento Sanayi ve Ticaret A.Ş. in addition to
Turkish Cement Manufacturers’ Association figures.
Slide 9 - 31.03.2016
Cement Sector Distribution in Turkey
52 integrated plants, 18 grinding mills, 70 plants, 21 players
Bulgaria
Black Sea
2 Georgia
Greece 4
5 İSTANBUL
4
6
3
1
1 Armenia
3
3 6 6 5 3
8
10
ANKARA 6 6 3
Aegean
Sea 11
IZMIR 6 3 Iran
7
7 12
10 15
4
14
11
7 13
ADANA 4
5 9
Iraq
16 Syria
Mediterranean Sea
AKÇANSA ( 4 ) 1. Nuh Çimento (2) 6. Votorantim (6) 11.Yurt (2) 16. Medcem (1)
Grinding Mill X
OYAK ( 9 ) 2. Traçim (Soyak) (1) 7. Batıgrup (3) 12.Goltas (1)
Integrated Plants X ÇİMENTAŞ ( 5 ) 3. Aşkale (Ercimsan) (6) 8. Bursa (1) 13.Kipas (1)
LİMAK (10) 4. Çimko (Sanko) (4) 9. Sönmez (1) 14.AS (1)
ÇİMSA ( 6 ) 5. Titan (ADO) (3) 10.Vicat (2) 15.Fernas (1)
Slide 10 - 31.03.2016
Turkey Clinker Capacity Distribution
Akçansa Çimsa
9% 7%
Oyak
Other 15%
16%
10% Limak
Votorantim 4%
4%
Kipas
5% 7%
Vicat 5% Aşkale
6%
6% 6%
Nuh Sanko-Barbetti
Cementir As
Source: TCMA
Slide 11 - 31.03.2016
Domestic Sales Volumes Change (December YTD)
1,2% -9,2%
East Anatolia
Central Anatolia
-3,1%
Aegean
7,4%
3,0%
South East Anatolia
Mediterranean -6,5%
7,0%
Slide 12 - 31.03.2016
Clinker Stock Level Change (December YTD)
East Anatolia
Central Anatolia 2015-11 : -21%
Aegean 2015-12 : -13% 2015-11 : 465kt
In Turkey, total clinker stocks are 4,5 mio tons and there is a 16% decrease in stock level
compared to the last year’s figure
This presentation/report demonstrates announcement of TCMA as of December’15
Figures do not include non TCMA members’ figures
Slide 13 - 31.03.2016
Akcansa Markets
Slide 14 - 31.03.2016
Akcansa Market Trends
Domestic Export
Readymix
FY 15
Price
Volume Energy Costs FY 15
(TL/m3)
General Coal (USD / ton)
Slide 15 - 31.03.2016
Baltic Dry Index
Index Value
Index Value
Slide 16 - 31.03.2016
Akçansa Sales Volume Components
Domestic Cement
Shipments Product Mix
Domestic Clinker
[M ton] Export Cement
[%]
Export Clinker
9.0 100%
7.5 7.6
7.5
80%
6.0
60% 82.7% 81.9% +82% Domestic
4.5 6.2 6.2
40%
3.0
20% 0.0%
1.5 0.0 1.3%
0.1 0.7 8.0% 9.7%
0.6 +18% Export
0.6 0.6 8.0% 8.5%
0.0 0%
FY14 FY15 FY14 FY15
Slide 17 - 31.03.2016
Akçansa Sales Volumes (Continued)
-6% FY 14 FY 14
[M m3] [%]
4.7 FY 15 -1.6 FY 15
4.4 20
18.3
16.7
15
10
0
RMC Sales * Vertical Integration Ratio **
*) RMC figures include RMC sales of Karçimsa
**) Vertical integration ratio is calculated by dividing transfer of cement to RMX business line to total cement sales volume
Slide 18 - 31.03.2016
Akcansa Export Regions (FY15)
FY14
Russia
7.0%
Latin America
19.0%
49.0% West Africa
22.0%
North Africa
FY15
Export to USA North Africa Latin America
has biggest
portion in FY15 7.0%
3.0%
USA 26.0%
West Africa
has been 64.0%
keeping its West Africa
high weight in
total export
(~50%)
Shift from Russia, North Africa
and Latin America to USA and
West Africa
<50 k ton >100; <50 k ton >100 k ton
Slide 19 - 31.03.2016
Contents
1. Market Overview
Market Trends 4
Cement and Clinker Volume Changes 17
Readymix Volume Changes 18
Export Regions 19
2. Financial Report
Income Statement 21
Cash Flow 23
Dividend Policy 25
Capex Structure 26
Net Debt / EBITDA 27
Balance Sheet 28
3. Outlook 30
5. Appendix 45
Slide 20 - 31.03.2016
Income Statement
Var. Var
Company Mio TL
4Q14 4Q15 4Q15 vs. 4Q14 % Ch. Q 12M14 12M15 12M15 vs.12M14 % Ch. YTD
Net Sales 332,1 398,0 65,8 19,8% 1.410,9 1.468,5 57,7 4,1%
Cost of Sales (247,9) (288,0) (40,1) 16,2% (1.019,2) (1.040,1) (20,8) 2,0%
Gross Margin 84,2 110,0 25,8 30,6% 391,6 428,5 36,8 9,4%
Marketing&Sales Expense (5,0) (3,7) 1,3 -26,2% (16,6) (15,8) 0,7 -4,3%
General Management Expenses (17,7) (17,2) 0,5 -2,7% (50,6) (53,8) (3,1) 6,2%
EBIT 61,5 89,1 27,6 44,8% 324,4 358,8 34,4 10,6%
Other Operating Income/Charges (0,4) (2,9) (2,4) 550,3% (4,5) (7,1) (2,7) 59,6%
Operating Income 61,1 86,2 25,2 41,2% 320,0 351,7 31,8 9,9%
Income/Losses from Investment Activities (1,0) 0,1 1,1 -106,5% 16,6 20,7 4,1 24,8%
Non-Operating Financial Income 1,9 1,3 (0,6) -33,0% 6,6 7,8 1,2 18,4%
Non-Operating Financial Charge (7,0) (6,8) 0,1 -1,5% (34,5) (31,6) 2,8 -8,2%
Profit/Loss before Taxes 55,0 80,7 25,7 46,8% 308,7 348,6 39,9 12,9%
Taxes On Income (10,8) (16,2) (5,4) 50,6% (58,4) (65,6) (7,2) 12,3%
Net Income/Loss 44,2 64,5 20,3 45,9% 250,3 283,0 32,7 13,1%
*) Excludes the depreciation and amortization amount attributable to other operating expenses.
Slide 21 - 31.03.2016
Company Profit and Loss Accounts (FY15)
300
20,8
4,1 7,2
290 2,4
2,7 4,1
283,0
280 57,7
270
260
250,3
0
FY14 Net Sales Cost of Operat. Exp. Other Inv. Fin. Taxes FY15
Sales Inc.&Exp. Inc.&Loss Inc.&Loss
Slide 22 - 31.03.2016
Cash Flow Statement
Company Mio TL
FY14 FY15
Cash flow from operating activities
Operating income before the changes in working capital 401,0 434,2
Changes in working capital 14,2 (33,8)
Taxes paid (58,8) (59,4)
Other items (12,4) (2,3)
344,0 338,7
Cash flow from investing activities
Tangible and intangible fixed assets (113,7) (115,6)
Financial assets (0,1) (0,7)
Proceeds from fixed asset disposals 2,5 4,0
Dividends Received 17,7 19,9
(93,5) (92,5)
Cash flow from financing activities
Dividend payments (145,6) (227,6)
Net proceeds from bonds and loans (73,1) 13,6
Interest paid (35,1) (24,9)
Other items 0,7 1,2
(253,1) (237,6)
Net change in cash and cash equivalents - continuing operations (2,6) 8,6
Slide 23 - 31.03.2016
Cash Flow Usage
FY14 FY15
329.8 338.2
Mio TL Mio TL
Adj. operating cash flow * Dividend paid S&G Capex Net debt reduction
*) Operating cash flow is adjusted for dividends received, interest paid and other items.
Slide 24 - 31.03.2016
Dividend Paid, Dividend Yield and Payout Ratio
** +31% +14%
+57%
257.6 10.1 88.5 91.2 91.5 90.9 91.6
226.3
+31%
6.6 6.8
+24%
144.4 5.6
5.2
110.0
88.7
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
*) Akcansa closing share price as of 23 February 2016 is used for 2016 dividend yield calculation (on gross basis)
**) CAGR (Compound Annual Growth) of dividend paid amount for the last four years
There has not been any change in dividend payment policy throughout years
Slide 25 - 31.03.2016
Total Capex Distribution
M TL +2%
%
100% 120 113.7 115.6
Key Investments in 2015: 17% 110
23% 19.7
Cement Business Line: 100 26.5
80%
1. (I&G) New cooler and preheater for Line1 in order to 90
increase kiln efficiency (CNK)*
80
2. (L&E) Building up SNCR*** system (BCM)** in order
to reduce NOx emission 60% 39% 70
54% 44.0 62.2
3. (I&G) Switchyard project (LDK)**** 60
RMC Business Line: 40% 50
1. (I&G) Acquisition of RMC plant in Samsun 40
2. (I&G) Capacity increase and relocation of RMC Plant
in BCM Plant
30
20% 38% 43.2
3. (I&G) Capacity increase of RMC Plant in İzmir – 29% 20 33.7
Gümüldür 10
0% 0
*) Çanakkale Plant FY14 FY15 FY14 FY15
**) Büyükçekmece Plant
***) Selective Non-Catalytic Reduction Legal & Environment (L&E)
Improvement & Growth (I&G)
****) Ladik Plant
Replacement (Rep)
Slide 26 - 31.03.2016
Net Debt / EBITDA
M TL
X
1.8 450
Net debt
1.6 Net Debt/EBITDA (LTM) 400
1.2
1.2 285 300
256 263
241 247
1.0 250
225
1.0 0.8
0.8 179 200
0.7
163 0.6
151
0.6 150
0.4
0.6 0.4
85
0.4
91
100
70 0.2
0.2 50
0.2 0.2
0.0 0
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
Slide 27 - 31.03.2016
Balance Sheet
Variance Variance
Mio TL 31.12.2014 31.12.2015 FY15 vs FY14 Mio TL 31.12.2014 31.12.2015 FY15 vs FY14
Current Assets 500,8 569,3 68,5 Current Liabilities 324,3 326,7 2,4
Cash & cash equivalents 13,3 21,9 8,6 Financial Liabilities 48,2 12,4 (35,8)
Trade receivables 332,8 398,9 66,1 Trade payables 238,9 271,1 32,2
Inventories 138,8 135,2 (3,6) Tax payable 9,5 14,0 4,5
Other current assets 15,9 13,3 (2,6) Other current liabilities 27,8 29,2 1,5
Non-current Assets 1.101,7 1.135,8 34,1 Non-current Liabilities 122,3 177,8 55,5
Financial investments 220,8 212,9 (7,9) Financial Liabilities 50,1 100,5 50,5
Fixed Assets 745,0 786,4 41,5 LT provisions 25,5 30,0 4,5
Goodwill 129,5 129,5 - Deferred tax liabilities 46,6 47,2 0,6
Deferred tax assets 1,1 1,0 (0,1) Other non-current liablities - - -
Other non-current assets 5,4 6,0 0,6
TOTAL ASSETS 1.602,5 1.705,1 102,6 TOTAL LIABLILITES & EQUITY 1.602,5 1.705,1 102,6
Variance
BS data and key ratios 31.12.2014 31.12.2015 FY15 vs FY14
Work ing Capital 232,8 263,1 30,2
Work ing Capital / Net Sales (LTM) 16,5% 17,9% 1,4%
Net debt 85,0 91,1 6,1
Net debt / EBITDA (LTM) 0,2x 0,2x 0,0x
Net Debt / Equity 7,4% 7,6% 0,2%
Slide 28 - 31.03.2016
Contents
1. Market Overview
Market Trends 4
Cement and Clinker Volume Changes 17
Readymix Volume Changes 18
Export Regions 19
2. Financial Report
Income Statement 21
Cash Flow 23
Dividend Policy 25
Capex Structure 26
Net Debt / EBITDA 27
Balance Sheet 28
3. Outlook 30
5. Appendix 45
Slide 29 - 31.03.2016
Outlook 2016
Compared to FY15:
Energy Price FY16
Decreasing coal and petcoke prices
Coal (USD / ton)
Effect of FX rate appreciation effect on diesel prices
Petcoke (USD/ton) net-off by fuel price decrease due to excess global
Diesel (TL / Lt) supply
Electricity (TL / kwh) Potential increase in electricity prices can be
mitigated by windmill project
(*) Compared to FY15
Slide 30 - 31.03.2016
Construction Projects in Turkey
Slide 31 - 31.03.2016
Turkish Cement Market, Sales Volumes Change %, (2016 - Expected)
2,0% 0,5%
East Anatolia
Central Anatolia 2,5%
Aegean
2,5%
2,0%
South East Anatolia
Mediterranean 2,5%
2,5%
This presentation/report demonstrates "estimated results" of market research done by Akçansa Çimento Sanayi ve Ticaret A.Ş.
Slide 32 - 31.03.2016
Contents
1. Market Overview
Market Trends 4
Cement and Clinker Volume Changes 17
Readymix Volume Changes 18
Export Regions 19
2. Financial Report
Income Statement 21
Cash Flow 23
Dividend Policy 25
Capex Structure 26
Net Debt / EBITDA 27
Balance Sheet 28
3. Outlook 30
5. Appendix 45
Slide 33 - 31.03.2016
Awards, PR and Other Activities
Slide 34 - 31.03.2016
Awards, PR and Other Activities (continued)
Slide 35 - 31.03.2016
Awards, PR and Other Activities (continued)
Slide 36 - 31.03.2016
Awards, PR and Other Activities (continued)
Slide 37 - 31.03.2016
Awards, PR and Other Activities (continued)
Slide 38 - 31.03.2016
Awards, PR and Other Activities (continued)
Slide 39 - 31.03.2016
Awards, PR and Other Activities (continued)
Slide 40 - 31.03.2016
Follow Us
Slide 41 - 31.03.2016
Contacts
Websites
www.akcansa.com.tr
www.betonsa.com.tr
www.sabanci.com.tr
www.heidelbergcement.com
Slide 42 - 31.03.2016
Disclaimer
This presentation (Presentation) has been prepared by Akçansa Çimento Sanayi ve Ticaret A.Ş. for the sole purpose
of providing information relating to Akçansa (Information).
This Presentation is based on public information and data provided by Akçansa management and basically
demonstrates forward looking statements based on numerous assumptions regarding our present and future
business strategies and the environment in which we will operate in the future.
Please be aware that the forward looking statements and/or assumptions of future events declared in the
Presentation and/or in the Information may not prove to be accurate.
No warranty or representation, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, completeness, or timeliness of this
Information is made by Akçansa.
No profitability or any other warranty is claimed by the Information provided either on company or sectoral basis.
No liability/responsibility is accepted by Akçansa for any loss or damages of any kind, incurred by any person for any
information howsoever arising from any use of this Presentation or the Information.
The Information contained at this Presentation has been included for general informational purposes only and no
person should make any investment decisions in reliance upon the information contained herein.
Akçansa shall not be held responsible for any kinds of losses that may rise from investments and/or transactions
based on this Presentation or Information or from use of this Information and/or Presentation.
Slide 43 - 31.03.2016
Appendix
Slide 44 - 31.03.2016
Akcansa at a glance
Operations in Turkey
Ready-mixed concrete
Yalova Production capacity
Operation Capacity 7 million m3
300.000 Number of RMC plants
35
İzmir (Aliağa) Çanakkale
Operation Capacity Cement Production Capacity
350.000 5.500.000
Clinker Production Capacity
4.450.000
Slide 45 - 31.03.2016
Turkish Cement Market (Expectations)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E
1. Private Housing 62% 57% 50% 51% 54% 52% 53% 53% 51% 50%
2. Commercial 14% 16% 13% 9% 11% 10% 11% 9% 10% 9%
3. Public 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6%
4. Infrastructure/Projects 20% 22% 32% 35% 30% 33% 31% 33% 34% 35%
Slide 46 - 31.03.2016
Urban Transformation in Istanbul
Istanbul will be reconstructed in the following ten years and outline of the project is as below:
Slide 47 - 31.03.2016
Urban Transformation (Continued)
Sources: Ministry of Environment and Urban Planning, Istanbul Urban Regeneration Association, TURKSTAT
Slide 48 - 31.03.2016
Construction Projects in Marmara Region
Slide 49 - 31.03.2016
Big Infrastructure Projects in Istanbul
Slide 50 - 31.03.2016
Big Infrastructure Projects in Istanbul (Continued)
3rd Bridge
• Groundbreaking ceremony was held on 29 May 2013.
• Ictas Construction Industry Trade Corp.-Astaldi Joint Initiative
Group won the project
• Estimated cost is 2,5 bio USD
• Will be built in 3 years
• Consumption for total project : Volume:
• ~1,2 m m3 RMC and ~0,25 mt CEM
• 3rd Bridge; Volume :
• 2013 -2014: ~200 k m3
• Highway; Volume:
• 2013 -2015: ~1000 k m3
Slide 51 - 31.03.2016
Energy always matters
Slide 52 - 31.03.2016
EBITDA Margins
EBITDA Margin* - Quarterly
%
35 31.7
30.0 30.0 31.2
30 26.2 26.4 27.6 26.9
25 22.5 23.7 21.9 21.8
23.6
19.3
20 16.8
14.4
15
10
5
0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
*) Excludes the depreciation and amortization amount attributable to other operating expenses.
These figures represent the management report view.
Slide 53 - 31.03.2016
Akçansa Sustainability Approach
Sustainability
Committee
Sustainable Energy
Biodiversity & CO2 Reporting
Construction Fuel
Slide 54 - 31.03.2016
General Basics About Cement and RMC Production
Production
Fuel
A cement plant of 1 mio ton clinker capacity may consume 100 k ton petrocoke or 130 k ton coal, or a mix of both
7.500 kcal/ton in petrocoke vs. 6.000 kcal/ton in coal.
Fuel accounts for 30-35% of the variable cost of producing 1 ton of cement
1% increase in alternative fuel usage have 1,5-2 mio TL cost advantage per year
Electricity
Slide 55 - 31.03.2016