Republic of the Philippines

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
MMSS-04 Rev. 0 / 08-15-2023
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 25
Typhoon GORING (SAOLA)
Issued at 5:00 PM, 29 August 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 PM today.

TYPHOON GORING SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIES WHILE MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD

Location of Center (4:00 PM)

The center of the eye of Typhoon GORING was

estimated based on all available data at 165 km East
of Calayan, Cagayan (19.1°N, 123.0°E)

Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 165 km/h near the
center, gustiness of up to 205 km/h, and central
pressure of 945 hPa
Present Movement

West Northwestward at 10 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up
to 350 km from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
dir. and
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW
Location Cat. speed
(°N) (°E) (km/h) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
2:00 AM 19.6 121.9 Over the coastal waters of Babuyan Island 165 TY NW 15
30 August 2023
24-Hour Forecast
2:00 PM 20.3 120.7 135 km West of Basco, Batanes 155 TY WNW 10
30 August 2023
36-Hour Forecast
2:00 AM 21.0 119.3 265 km West of Itbayat, Batanes 155 TY WNW 15
31 August 2023
48-Hour Forecast
405 km West Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes
2:00 PM 21.5 118.0 165 TY WNW 10
(OUTSIDE PAR)
31 August 2023
60-Hour Forecast
510 km West Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes
2:00 AM 21.7 117.0 165 TY WNW 10
(OUTSIDE PAR)
01 September 2023
72-Hour Forecast
605 km West Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes
2:00 PM 21.8 116.1 165 TY W 10
(OUTSIDE PAR)
01 September 2023
96-Hour Forecast
745 km Northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
2:00 PM 22.0 114.7 150 TY W Slowly
(OUTSIDE PAR)
02 September 2023
120-Hour Forecast 895 km West Northwest of Northern Luzon or
2:00 PM 22.0 113.0 in the vicinity of Guangdong, China (OUTSIDE 110 STS W Slowly
03 September 2023 PAR)

Page 1 of 4

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 Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
MMSS-04 Rev. 0 / 08-15-2023
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 25
Typhoon GORING (SAOLA)
Issued at 5:00 PM, 29 August 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 PM today.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

TCWS No. Luzon Visayas Mindanao

4 The northeastern portion of Babuyan Islands (Babuyan Is.) - -

Wind threat: Warning lead time: 12 hours

Typhoon- Range of wind speeds: 118 to 184 km/h (Beaufort 12)
force winds Potential impacts of winds: Significant to severe threat to life and property

The southern portion of Batanes (Sabtang, Uyugan, Ivana, Mahatao,

- -
3 Basco) and the rest of Babuyan Islands

Wind threat:
Storm-force Warning lead time: 18 hours
winds Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property

The northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana, Gonzaga,

Santa Praxedes, Claveria, Sanchez-Mira, Pamplona, Abulug, Ballesteros,
Aparri, Buguey, Camalaniugan, Santa Teresita, Allacapan, Lal-Lo, Lasam,
- -
2 Gattaran, Baggao, Peñablanca), the rest of Batanes, the northern portion
of Ilocos Norte (Pagudpud, Adams, Bangui, Dumalneg), and the northern
Wind threat: portion of Apayao (Calanasan, Luna, Santa Marcela, Flora, Pudtol)
Gale-force
winds Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property

The northern and eastern portion of Isabela (Dinapigue, San Mariano,

Ilagan City, Tumauini, San Pablo, Cabagan, Maconacon, Divilacan, Palanan,
Santa Maria, Santo Tomas, Quezon, Delfin Albano), the rest of Ilocos Norte,
- -
1 the rest of Cagayan, the rest of Apayao, northern portion of Abra (Tineg,
Lagayan, Lacub, Malibcong) and the northern portion of Kalinga (Balbalan,
Wind threat: Pinukpuk, Rizal, City of Tabuk)
Strong
winds Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property

Page 2 of 4

Prepared by: JEMB Checked by: SFD

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 Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
MMSS-04 Rev. 0 / 08-15-2023
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 25
Typhoon GORING (SAOLA)
Issued at 5:00 PM, 29 August 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 PM today.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall

Forecast accumulated rainfall from today to tomorrow afternoon

 100-200 mm: Babuyan Islands
 50-100 mm: Batanes, Ilocos Norte, the northern portion of Abra, Apayao, and the northern and eastern portions of
mainland Cagayan.

Forecast accumulated rainfall from tomorrow afternoon to Thursday afternoon

 Greater than 200 mm: Batanes and Babuyan Islands
 100-200 mm: The northern portion of Ilocos Norte and the northwestern portion of Cagayan
 50-100 mm: Apayao, Abra, the northern portion of Ilocos Sur, the northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan, and
the rest of Ilocos Norte

Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-
induced landslides are still expected especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as
identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.

The enhanced Southwest Monsoon will also bring occasional or monsoon rains over the western portions of Central
Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas over the next three days. For more information, refer to Weather Advisory #10 for
Southwest Monsoon issued at 11:00 AM today and 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast and Outlook at 4:00 PM today.

Severe Winds

The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds
may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in
areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.

 Significant to severe impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible within any areas where Wind Signal No. 4 is
hoisted.
 Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas where Wind Signal No.
3 is hoisted.
 Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2
 Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are also possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.

Wind Signal No. 5 is the highest possible warning level due to severe winds that may be hoisted by PAGASA over
Extreme Northern Luzon.

The enhanced Southwest Monsoon will continue to bring gusty conditions over the following areas not under any
Wind Signal, especially in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds:

 Today: Aurora, Bataan, Bulacan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Visayas, Dinagat Islands,
Camiguin, and most of Zamboanga Peninsula.
 Tomorrow: Ilocos Region, Zambales, Bataan, Bulacan, Aurora, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol
Region, and Visayas.
 Thursday: Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Zambales, Bataan, Bulacan, Aurora, Metro Manila,
CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, and Western Visayas.

Page 3 of 4

Prepared by: JEMB Checked by: SFD

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 4801 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
 Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
MMSS-04 Rev. 0 / 08-15-2023
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 25
Typhoon GORING (SAOLA)
Issued at 5:00 PM, 29 August 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 PM today.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

A Gale Warning is in effect for the seaboards of Luzon, seaboards of Visayas, and the northern seaboard of Mindanao.
Disruption in civilian maritime activities is expected over these areas (e.g., suspension of sea travel) due to hazardous
sea condition. For more information, refer to Gale Warning #12 issued at 5:00 PM today.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

 GORING is forecast to follow a mainly northwestward or west northwestward path across the Luzon Strait from
today until it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow evening or Thursday morning. The latest
track forecast indicates that the typhoon may pass very close or make landfall in the vicinity of Babuyan Island
between tonight or tomorrow early morning (although a slight northward shift in the track forecast may bring the eye
and eyewall region of the typhoon to the southern portion of Batanes). During this period, the typhoon is forecast to
persist in strength by the time it passes very close or over Batanes (although gradual re-intensifying and reaching
into a super typhoon category is not ruled out).
 Outside the PAR region, the typhoon will continue its west northwestward movement for the remainder of Thursday
before turning more westward by Friday, increasingly unfavorable conditions over the waters southeast of mainland
China will trigger a weakening trend. By the time GORING may make landfall in the vicinity of southeastern China
(near Hong Kong/Pearl River Delta area) on Sunday, it will have weakened to minimal typhoon strength.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to
take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly
susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall
warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please
monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 8:00 PM today.

DOST-PAGASA

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