Notes
Notes
Notes
1.2 How Countries Are Classified by Their Average Levels of Development and World income
distribution
1. Countries are often classified based on income, human development, poverty levels, and quality of
governance.
2. The World Bank classifies countries into four ranges of average national income: Low, Lower-Middle,
Upper-Middle, and High.
3. High-income countries (HICs) have a GNI per capita of at least $12,056, but it may not be considered
"upper income" in countries like Japan, the UK, and the US.
4. Middle-income countries (MICs) have experienced significant growth, with more than 60% of the
world's population living in these countries.
5. Upper-middle-income countries (UMCs) have a GNI per capita between $3,896 and $12,055, while
lower-middle-income countries (LMCs) have a GNI per capita between $996 and $3,895.
6. Low-income countries (LICs) have a GNI per capita below $1,026, and many of them are located in
sub-Saharan Africa.
7. Least-developed countries have low education and health criteria, high economic vulnerability, and low
income. Over a billion people live in these countries.
8. Developed countries with high-income levels are primarily members of the OECD.
9. China and India have experienced rapid income growth, transitioning from low-income to middle-
income countries.
10. Average levels of human development have been rising globally, as measured by the Human
Development Index (HDI) of the UNDP.
11. Inequalities in income and access to health and education exist within countries.
1.3 Economics and Development Studies:
Development Economics: The study of how economies are transformed from stagnation to growth and
from low-income to high-income status, and overcome the problems of poverty.
Development Economics holds a geographic scope considered to be most of Asia, Sub-saharan Africa,
Middle east, North Africa, Latin America and Caribbean.
Development economics has a broader scope than traditional neoclassical economics and political
economy.
considers a wide range of factors beyond market interactions, including social, political,
historical, and institutional influences on economic development.
recognizes the importance of institutions, governance, social norms, and cultural factors in
shaping economic outcomes.
acknowledges the diverse realities and contexts of developing countries, including historical
legacies and unique cultural and social characteristics.
goes beyond focusing solely on aggregate measures like GDP growth and income levels.
emphasizes the multidimensional nature of development, including social well-being, human
capabilities, sustainability, and equity.
Closely examines issues such as poverty, inequality, education, health, gender disparities,
environmental sustainability, and social justice.
aims to formulate context-specific policies and interventions that are relevant and effective in
promoting development.
seeks to promote sustainable, inclusive, and equitable development.
embraces a multidisciplinary approach, drawing insights from various disciplines to understand
and address development challenges.
Studying development economics raises several critical questions that are important to understanding and
addressing the challenges faced by developing countries. Some of these questions include:
1. What causes economic disparities and poverty?
- Understanding the root causes of poverty and inequality is crucial for designing effective strategies to
alleviate them.
2. How can economic growth be fostered and sustained?
- Exploring the factors that contribute to economic growth and identifying sustainable strategies to
promote it is vital for long-term development.
3. What role does institutions and governance play in development?
- Examining the impact of governance structures, legal frameworks, and institutions on development
outcomes helps in creating effective policies and institutions that support development.
4. How can social and economic inequalities be reduced?
- Analyzing the drivers of inequality and identifying policies and interventions to reduce disparities is
important for promoting social justice and inclusive growth.
5. What is the role of international trade and globalization in development?
- Assessing the benefits and challenges of participating in the global economy helps in formulating
trade policies that promote development and minimize negative consequences.
6. How can sustainable development be achieved?
- Understanding the interactions between economic growth, social development, and environmental
sustainability is crucial for pursuing development paths that are environmentally responsible and socially
inclusive.
7. How do cultural, social, and political factors influence development?
- Recognizing the influence of cultural, social, and political factors on development outcomes helps in
tailoring policies and interventions to specific contexts and addressing unique challenges.
By studying development economics and exploring these critical questions, policymakers, researchers,
and practitioners can gain insights into the complexities of development and contribute to evidence-based
decision-making and sustainable development strategies.
Economics as a social system: need to go beyond the simple economics
1. Economies are not isolated entities but are part of broader social systems.
2. Social systems consist of interconnected elements such as economic institutions, political systems,
cultural norms, social structures, and environmental factors.
3. These elements interact and influence each other, shaping the dynamics and outcomes of economic
activities.
4. Development policies should consider the broader institutional and structural variables that operate
within a society, such as governance systems, legal frameworks, social norms, educational systems,
infrastructure, and environmental sustainability.
5. Neglecting these factors can lead to incomplete or ineffective policy approaches.
6. Policymakers need to take into account institutional and structural variables alongside traditional
economic variables for a comprehensive understanding of the dynamics at play.
7. This holistic perspective enables a deeper analysis of the drivers of development and the potential
barriers or constraints that need to be addressed.
8. A development policy focused solely on increasing income levels may overlook the importance of
investing in education and healthcare systems.
9. Similarly, an exclusive emphasis on economic growth without considering social and environmental
dimensions may lead to inequalities, environmental degradation, and social unrest.
10. Therefore, a comprehensive approach to development requires recognising and analysing the
interdependencies between economic factors and the broader social systems in which they operate.
11. This approach helps identify the underlying causes of development challenges, design more effective
policy interventions, and promote sustainable and inclusive development outcomes.
Summary
Meaning of Development
Sustenance refers to the ability to meet one's basic needs for survival and well-being. These needs
typically include access to food, water, shelter, clothing, healthcare, and other essentials. Without
the means to fulfill these basic needs, individuals may struggle to thrive and reach their full
potential. Ensuring sustenance is a crucial aspect of human rights and social justice, as it forms the
foundation for a dignified life.
2. Self-Esteem: To Be a Person
Self-esteem is the subjective evaluation and perception of one's own worth and value as a person. It
involves a sense of self-respect, self-acceptance, and belief in one's abilities and intrinsic worth.
Self-esteem plays a vital role in mental and emotional well-being, as it contributes to feelings of
confidence, resilience, and overall life satisfaction. It is nurtured through positive self-perception,
personal achievements, supportive relationships, and a sense of belonging within a community.
Freedom from servitude refers to the absence of oppression, exploitation, or subjugation that limits an
individual's autonomy and agency. It encompasses the ability to make choices and decisions based
on one's own values, beliefs, and preferences. This concept includes both political and economic
freedoms, such as the right to participate in decision-making processes, freedom of expression, and
the absence of forced labor or slavery. Having freedom from servitude allows individuals to live a
life of self-determination, pursuing their own goals and aspirations.
Empowering and investing in women is essential for achieving comprehensive societal development.
Women play a pivotal role in key domains such as education, healthcare, the economy, and community
well-being. Women in developing countries have primary responsibility for child-rearing, and the
resources that they are able to bring to this task will determine how readily the cycle of transmission of
poverty from generation to generation can be broken.
Moreover, women play a significant role in transmitting values to the next generation. By ensuring
women's equitable access to education and opportunities, promoting their meaningful participation in
decision-making processes, and safeguarding their reproductive health rights, societies can unlock
their potential as catalysts for change. Empowered women contribute significantly to economic growth,
social stability, and sustainable development. Furthermore, investing in women yields a multiplier
effect, as they often prioritize investing in their families and communities, resulting in positive
intergenerational impacts. Recognizing and supporting the central role of women is crucial for
advancing gender equality, fostering prosperity, and forging a more inclusive future.
1.What are economic institutions, and how do they shape problems and prospects for successful
development?
Economic institutions refer to the formal and informal rules, norms, and organizations that govern
economic activities within a society. Economic institutions encompass a wide range of entities, including
legal systems, property rights regimes, financial institutions, market structures, trade policies, labor
regulations, and regulatory frameworks. They play a crucial role in shaping the problems and prospects
for successful development. Here's an explanation of economic institutions and their influence:
Economic institutions play a significant role in shaping problems and prospects for successful
development in the following ways:
1. Property Rights and Contract Enforcement: Clear and secure property rights provided by economic
institutions encourage investment, innovation, and entrepreneurship. When property rights are protected
and contracts are enforced, individuals and businesses have the confidence to engage in economic
activities, leading to economic growth and development.
2. Market Functioning and Efficiency: Economic institutions establish the rules and regulations that
govern market activities. Well-designed institutions that promote competition, prevent monopolies,
ensure fair trade practices, and protect consumers create a conducive environment for market efficiency.
This fosters healthy competition, innovation, and optimal allocation of resources, driving economic
growth.
3. Access to Finance and Credit: Sound economic institutions facilitate access to finance and credit for
businesses and individuals. Institutions such as banks, credit unions, and microfinance organizations
provide financial services, allowing entrepreneurs to invest in productive activities and individuals to
fund education, housing, and other essential needs. Access to finance is crucial for promoting investment,
job creation, and economic development.
4. Trade and Investment Policies: Economic institutions shape trade and investment policies, including
tariffs, regulations, and incentives. Favorable trade and investment policies attract foreign direct
investment, promote exports, and facilitate economic integration, enhancing growth prospects for
developing economies.
5. Governance and Corruption: Economic institutions influence governance structures and anti-
corruption measures. Transparent and accountable governance systems reduce corruption, ensure the
efficient allocation of resources, and foster investor confidence. Strong institutional frameworks that
prevent corruption contribute to sustainable development.
6. Labor Market Regulation: Economic institutions determine labor market regulations, including
minimum wage laws, employment protection, and labor standards. These regulations impact employment
dynamics, wage levels, and worker rights. Well-designed labor market institutions can promote inclusive
growth, decent work, and social well-being.
7. Social and Environmental Considerations: Economic institutions that integrate social and
environmental considerations into their policies and practices promote sustainable development.
Institutions that prioritize social equity, environmental sustainability, and community engagement
contribute to long-term prosperity and well-being.
Overall, economic institutions shape the incentives, rules, and regulations that govern economic activities.
When these institutions are well-designed, transparent, and inclusive, they create an enabling environment
for successful development by encouraging investment, fostering market efficiency, promoting fair
competition, and addressing social and environmental challenges. Conversely, weak or poorly functioning
economic institutions can impede development by creating barriers to entry, fostering corruption,
hindering market efficiency, and perpetuating inequalities.
In addition to the aforementioned factors, colonial legacies too have had a lasting impact on economic
institutions in many developing countries. During the era of colonialism, European powers imposed
economic systems that primarily served their own interests, often resulting in extractive institutions
that perpetuated inequality and hindered local development. These institutions were designed to extract
resources, exploit labor, and control markets, rather than promote inclusive and sustainable economic
growth. The legacies of colonialism, such as unequal land distribution, limited access to education and
healthcare, and economic dependence on primary commodities, have posed significant challenges to
the prospects of successful development in many countries. Overcoming these legacies and reforming
economic institutions to be more inclusive, transparent, and responsive to the needs of the population
are critical steps in fostering sustainable development and reducing the disparities created by historical
inequalities.
6. Inequality and Inclusive Growth: Nepal struggles with high levels of income inequality and regional
disparities. Economic models that do not adequately address these disparities or promote inclusive growth
can face challenges in achieving their intended goals and may exacerbate social and economic divisions.
Addressing these challenges requires a comprehensive approach that encompasses political stability,
infrastructure development, human capital investment, and policies that promote inclusive and sustainable
economic growth.
Below are some of the key elements that are often included in definitions of development include:
Economic growth: This refers to an increase in the overall output of goods and services in an
economy.
Human development: This refers to the improvement in the well-being of people, as measured
by factors such as health, education, and access to basic necessities.
Sustainability: This refers to the ability of development to meet the needs of the present without
compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.
Development is not just about economic growth. It is also about improving the quality of life for
people, both now and in the future.
Development should be sustainable. This means that it should not damage the environment or
exhaust natural resources.
Development should be inclusive. It should benefit everyone, not just a select few.
Development should be equitable. It should reduce inequality and ensure that everyone has the
opportunity to reach their full potential.
The SDGs, or Sustainable Development Goals, are a set of 17 goals that were adopted by the United
Nations in 2015. The SDGs are a global agenda for sustainable development, and they aim to end
poverty, protect the planet, and ensure prosperity for all.
The SDGs fit with the real meaning of development in a number of ways. First, they focus on both
economic growth and human development. Second, they emphasize the importance of sustainability.
Third, they are global in scope, and they recognize that development is a shared responsibility. However,
there are also some ways in which the SDGs do not fully capture the real meaning of development. For
example, they do not explicitly mention issues suchas inequality, gender equality, and peace and security.
Additionally, they focus on the overall well-being of people, but they do not specifically address the
needs of marginalized groups.
Overall, the SDGs are a significant step forward in the effort to define and achieve sustainable
development. However, there is still work to be done to ensure that the SDGs are fully aligned with the
real meaning of development.
The SDGs are a step in the right direction, but they are not the end of the road. We need to continue to
work to ensure that development is truly inclusive, equitable, and sustainable.
Background :
Characteristics of developing countries:
1. Poor Governance
2. High corruption
3. Low per capita income
4. Mass poverty
5. Rapid Population Growth
6. Poor education
7. Higher unemployment
8. Lack of infrastructures
9. Unstable Political system
10. Lack of skilled manpower
11. Technological backwardness
12. Colonial Legacies- poor institutions etc.
13. Adverse Geography
14. Larger rural population
15. Low level of industrialization and manufactured
The World Bank classifies countries into income groups based on GNI per capita.
Income is not the only factor that determines development. Other factors include education, health, and
social indicators.
The distribution of countries across income groups is not uniform.
Some countries classified as high-income may still face development challenges whereas the
countries classified as low-income may still be ahead in some fields of development .
Income comparisons based on official foreign exchange rates can be exaggerated when using official
foreign exchange rates, and adjustments like purchasing power parity (PPP) are necessary for more realistic
comparisons of living standards.
The classification of countries based on average income provides a broad framework for understanding
economic development.
Market exchange rates represent the value of one currency in terms of another currency. They are
determined by the foreign exchange market and reflect the current supply and demand for currencies.
Limitations of market exchange rates: Market exchange rates do not consider the differences in the cost of
goods and services between countries. They do not account for variations in price levels, purchasing power,
or the standard of living in different countries.
Therefore, using market exchange rates alone to compare incomes can be misleading and fail to capture the real
purchasing power of individuals.
2.3 Comparing Countries by Health and Education, and the Human Development Index
2.3.1 Comparing Health and Education Levels
-By examining these indicators across different income groups and regions, it becomes evident that there are
significant variations in health and education outcomes. Low-income countries and middle-income countries display
diverse development challenges and outcomes.
-This comparison of health and education levels highlights the importance of considering multiple dimensions of
development beyond just income.
-It emphasizes the need to evaluate a country's overall well-being and capabilities to gain a comprehensive
understanding of its economic development.
Introduction
The HDI measures a country's level of human development on a scale from 0 to 1, with 0 representing the
lowest human development and 1 representing the highest.
The New HDI builds upon the traditional HDI, incorporating refinements to better reflect the multifaceted
nature of human development.
In the New HDI, the countries are classified into four groups: low human development, medium human
development, high human development, and very high human development.
HDI can also differ within the country. In nepal, Kathmandu has the highest HDI, and Humla, Bajura have
lowest HDI
1. Long and healthy life, which is measured by life expectancy at birth. This indicator reflects the average
number of years a newborn is expected to live and provides insights into the overall health conditions and
healthcare access within a country.
2. Knowledge, which is measured by a combination of average schooling attained by adults and expected
years of schooling for school-age children. This indicator captures the educational attainment of the
population, reflecting the importance of education in enabling individuals to lead fulfilling lives and
contribute to society.
3. Decent standard of living, which is measured by real per capita gross domestic income.
It takes into account the income level of individuals within a country, adjusted for the Purchasing
Power Parity (PPP) to account for differences in the cost of living.
It also considers the diminishing marginal utility of income, recognizing that the impact of
additional income decreases as a person's income level rises.
Calculation
To calculate the New HDI, two steps are involved. First, the three "dimension indices" are created,
and then these indices are aggregated to produce the overall HDI.
a. Health Dimension: The health dimension is measured using the life expectancy at birth index.
Health Dimension Index = (Actual Value of Life expectancy - Min Value) / (Max value - Min Value)
b. Education Dimension: The education dimension considers two indicators: average years of schooling for adults
and expected years of schooling for school-age children.
Minimum value for education indicators is set at 0, as societies can subsist without formal education.
Maximum value for average schooling is set at 15 years.
The indices for each indicator are calculated using the same formula as the health dimension.
c. Standard of Living Dimension:
The standard of living dimension uses the purchasing power-adjusted per capita Gross National Income (GNI).
The upper goalpost for income is set at $75,000 per capita based on evidence suggesting that there are diminishing
gains in human development beyond this threshold.
Income index =[ ln(actual income) - ln(minimum value) ] / [ln (upper goalpost) - ln( minimum value)]
2.3.3 Human Development Index Ranking: How Does it Differ from Income Rankings?
HDI is important because income alone does not accurately predict a country's performance in education
and health.
Some countries perform better or worse on the HDI than expected based on their income levels.
Examples include Cuba performing better and Guyana performing worse than predicted by income.
Bangladesh outperforms Pakistan on the HDI, despite a lower income level.
These examples highlight the limitations of using income as the sole indicator of development.
It is based on a limited number of indicators and does not capture other important aspects of
development, such as environmental sustainability, gender equality, and political freedom.
The HDI gives equal weight to the three dimensions of human development. This means that a country
with a high life expectancy, but low levels of education and income, will have the same HDI as a country
with low life expectancy, but high levels of education and income.
The indicators used in the HDI are not always comparable across countries
It is not sensitive to changes in the distribution of income. For example, a country with a high HDI may
experience a decrease in the average level of income, but if the distribution of income remains the same,
the HDI will not change.
The HDI is a measure of human development, but it is not a measure of well-being.
Note:
a. Human Capital is measured on the basis of skills and education.
b. Mortality rates affect the labor market by declining the number of labor forces .
c. Under-5 mortality rates are greater in the developing world. The infants die mostly due to malnutrition and
water borne diseases such as diarrhea.
d. In the case of education, least developed/ developing countries have a low pupil-teacher ratio. And region
wise, the east-pacific region has a low pupil-teacher ratio.
During the industrial era, around the 18th century, the richest countries were about three times wealthier
than the poorest countries.
Currently, the ratio between the richest and poorest countries is approximately 100 to 1, indicating a
significant increase in disparity.
This divergence in economic growth and living standards over the past two centuries is known as the
process of divergence
Despite the historical divergence, there is a consideration of whether developing and developed nations are
exhibiting convergence in living standards.
Convergence refers to the idea that developing countries, through dedicated economic development
efforts, may catch up to the living standards of developed nations.
- The "Great Divergence" refers to the significant gap in productivity and incomes between early
industrialized countries and the rest of the world.
- The Industrial Revolution, starting in England, brought about unprecedented gains in living standards through
technological advancements.
- Colonialism and exploitation played a role in accumulating wealth during this period.
- The process of divergence was fueled by trade imbalances and hindrance of industrialization in colonies.
- Harsh working conditions and exploitation were prevalent in early factories.
- Decolonization brought significant geopolitical changes, but many developing countries struggled to achieve
economic progress.
- Historical evidence shows that there was a divergence between developing and developed countries for two
centuries after the Industrial Revolution.
Technology transfer :
IT allows developing countries to adopt existing technologies and skip earlier stages of technological
development, leading to faster growth.
The developing countries have an advantage of backwardness which refers to the shorter time needed for a
country to double its output per worker if it starts its economic growth later.
Today’s developing countries do not have to “reinvent the wheel”; for example, they do not have to use
vacuum tubes before they can use semiconductors.
To conclude:
- Convergence may not lead to identical incomes but tends to narrow the gap between countries.
- The concept of convergence can vary depending on the perspective, such as average country incomes or individual
incomes.
- Recent data indicates a trend towards (re-)convergence, with developing countries experiencing faster growth on
average.
- Investment in Physical and Human Capital: Countries that invest in infrastructure, technology, education, and
healthcare tend to experience economic growth and convergence.
- Technological Progress: Adopting and developing new technologies enhances productivity, efficiency, and
competitiveness, enabling countries to catch up with more advanced economies.
- Institutional Development: Strong institutions, including governance structures, rule of law, and property rights,
create a conducive environment for investment, entrepreneurship, and economic development.
- Trade and Globalization: Engaging in international trade and embracing globalization allows countries to
specialize, expand markets, and benefit from technology transfer and knowledge sharing.
- Education and Human Capital Development: Investing in education and developing a skilled workforce boosts
productivity and innovation, contributing to economic growth and convergence.
- Infrastructure Development: Adequate infrastructure facilitates the movement of goods, services, and people,
reduces transaction costs, and attracts investment.
- Economic and Policy Reforms: Implementing sound economic policies and market-oriented reforms fosters
competition, private sector development, and investment, stimulating convergence.
- Knowledge and Technology Transfer: Collaboration, research and development, and access to international
knowledge networks and technology transfer contribute to narrowing the development gap between countries.
These factors work together to shape the convergence process, although the specific combination and impact can
vary among countries based on their unique circumstances and policy choices.
- Per capita income convergence at the country level refers to the tendency of poorer countries to grow faster than
richer countries, leading to a narrowing of the income gap between them.
- To examine per capita income convergence, growth rates are estimated as a function of initial income. If poorer
countries are growing faster, there will be a downward sloping plot, indicating convergence. If poorer countries are
growing more slowly, the plot will be upward sloping, indicating divergence.
- In the first period (1970-1994), only 63 out of 152 countries grew faster than the United States. However, in the
second period (1994-2017), 116 countries grew faster than the United States.
- It shows a significant shift from a pattern of global divergence (consistent with long-term trends) to one of
convergence.
- Previous research extending into the early 21st century suggested either no convergence or continued
divergence across countries. However, in recent years, there has been a strong change in the pattern of
growth, indicating a historic period of (re-)convergence of average incomes across countries.
This marks a significant shift in the global economic landscape, with developing countries experiencing faster
growth rates and closing the income gap with developed countries.
Conditional convergence
- Conditional convergence suggests that economies with similar characteristics tend to converge in terms of their
economic performance and income levels over time.
- Based on the idea that countries with lower initial income levels have higher investment rates and savings rates,
leading to faster economic growth.
- As the lower income countries catch up with more developed economies, their growth rates gradually decrease,
resulting in a convergence of income levels.
- However, conditional convergence does not mean that all countries will reach the same income level; it depends
on other factors such as institutions, policies, and governance.
- Countries with favorable conditions, such as sound economic policies and institutions, are more likely to
experience conditional convergence and achieve higher income levels.
- Early research on convergence in the mid-1980s focused on data from developed OECD countries due to their
perceived reliability and availability of comprehensive variables.
- The initial studies found strong evidence of convergence, but this conclusion was somewhat biased because it only
considered countries that were already rich.
- By only observing countries that were already wealthy, the data reflected those that had either maintained their
high income or transitioned from lower income to high income.
- When developing countries were included in the analysis, divergence rather than convergence was observed during
certain periods, such as 1965-1980 and 1980-2005
Therefore, the selection of countries at the beginning of the study period significantly influences the findings,
emphasizing the importance of a broader and more inclusive sample when examining convergence.
Absolute Income Convergence
- Absolute income convergence refers to the reduction in the absolute differences of income levels between
countries over time.
- China and India have experienced rapid economic growth since 1990, leading to relative income convergence with
high-income OECD countries.
-However, China and India started with lower incomes, so even though their growth rates were high, the actual
income gains were smaller compared to the OECD countries.
-Sub-Saharan Africa had a growth rate similar to the high-income OECD average during this period, but its absolute
income gain was much smaller in comparison.
It's important to note that even when the average income of a developing country becomes a larger fraction of
developed country incomes, the absolute income differences may continue to widen for a certain period before
eventually starting to decrease.
World-As-One-Country Convergence
- World-as-one-country convergence is an approach that considers the entire world as a single country to analyze
changes in global inequality.
- It looks at the decrease in inequality among individuals globally as convergence and the increase in inequality as
divergence..
- Unlike country-based convergence studies, world-as-one-country convergence takes into account changes in
inequality within countries as well as between them.
- In the 21st century, there has likely been world-as-one-country convergence, with faster income growth in
countries like China and India compared to wealthier nations like the United States.
- However, within-country inequality has continued to rise in countries such as China, India, and the United States.
- Most researchers and policymakers primarily focus on development at the national level and still use country-
based convergence studies as the standard approach.
Risks to convergence:
- Technological divides: Unequal access to technology and digital infrastructure could deepen disparities and
hinder convergence efforts.
- Climate change impacts: Adverse effects of climate change, particularly in regions like Africa, can pose
challenges to economic development and potentially disrupt convergence.
- Self-defeating policies: Policies driven by narrow interests or lacking a long-term vision may impede
convergence and perpetuate inequality.
- Armed conflict: Widespread armed conflicts can disrupt economies, lead to poverty, and hinder progress towards
convergence.
- Stagnation in least-developed countries: Some countries may face persistent challenges and remain stuck in
low-income levels, impeding overall convergence progress.
- Limitations of country averages: The convergence trend discussed focuses on average income levels among
countries, without considering inequality or extreme poverty within nations. These factors can influence the overall
picture of convergence.
Despite the risks, there is optimism that the world may be on a sustainable path towards re-convergence after
centuries of divergence, where countries' incomes become more aligned once again. This suggests the potential for a
more equitable and balanced global economic landscape.
1. Geography: Countries with favorable geographic conditions, such as access to natural resources,
are more likely to develop.
2. Institutions: Countries with good institutions, such as a well-functioning legal system and a stable
political system, are more likely to develop.
3. Education: Countries with a well-educated workforce are more likely to develop.
4. Technology: Countries that adopt new technologies are more likely to develop.
5. Culture: The culture of a country can also affect its development. For example, cultures that value
education and innovation are more likely to develop.
6. History: The history of a country can also affect its development. For example, countries that have
been through periods of conflict or instability are more likely to lag behind in development.
7. Colonial legacies: The legacy of colonialism can have a significant impact on the development of
a country. For example, countries that were colonized by European powers often have weaker
institutions and less developed economies than countries that were not colonized. This is because
colonialism often led to the exploitation of natural resources and the suppression of indigenous
cultures. However, it is important to note that not all colonial legacies are negative. For example,
some countries that were colonized by European powers were able to benefit from the introduction
of new technologies and ideas.
How Low-Income Countries Today Differ from Developed Countries in Their Earlier
Stages
Some of the significant differences between low-income countries today and developed countries in their earlier
stages of development can be listed below:
1. Physical and Human Resource Endowments: Developing countries today are often less well endowed with natural
resources compared to developed countries in their earlier stages. Additionally, the difference in skilled human
resource endowments is more pronounced, affecting the ability to exploit resources and generate economic value.
2. Per Capita Incomes and GDP: People in low-income countries today have lower levels of real per capita income
compared to developed countries in the past. Developing countries began their growth process with lower per capita
income levels compared to developed countries.
3. Climate: Most developing countries are located in tropical or subtropical climates, while the economically
successful countries are mostly located in temperate zones. Extreme heat and humidity in poor countries can lead to
deteriorating soil quality, reduced crop productivity, and health issues.
4. Population Size, Distribution, and Growth: Developing countries have experienced rapid population growth, with
some still growing at high rates. The concentration of large and growing populations in certain areas presents
challenges, including higher person-to-land ratios and the potential for economic setbacks.
5. Historical Role of International Migration: In the past, international migration was a major outlet for rural
populations, with large numbers of people migrating to countries with labor shortages. However, international
migration today is more restricted due to immigration laws in developed countries, limiting the potential benefits for
reducing population pressures in developing countries.
6. International Trade Benefits: Rapidly expanding export markets and free trade played a significant role in the
development of economically advanced nations in the past. However, many developing countries in the 20th century
faced difficulties in generating rapid economic growth through world trade, with deteriorating trade positions and
declining terms of trade.
7. Basic Scientific and Technological Research and Development Capabilities: Developing countries often face
challenges in access to ideas and technology used in industrial nations, which hinders their ability to generate
economic value. The technology gap between rich and poor nations, both in physical objects and ideas, is a
significant factor in the development divide.
8. Efficacy of Domestic Institutions: The effectiveness of domestic institutions in developing countries can impact
economic growth. Institutions that are extractive or unhelpful can hinder development, while stable political
structures and flexible social institutions can provide a conducive environment for growth.
Understanding these differences is important for formulating requirements and priorities for generating and
sustaining economic growth in developing countries. Addressing these conditions can contribute to overcoming the
challenges and promoting development in low-income nations.
Interest in low-income countries grew after World War II as they gained independence from colonial rule.
Those countries were different and mostly depended on farming.
They saw the success of the Marshall Plan, which helped European countries rebuild after the war.
Emphasized the importance of accelerated physical capital accumulation.
The term “capital fundamentalism” is used critically to highlight its focus on capital and potential
oversights in other factors.
3.2.1 Rostow’s Stages of Growth
A functional economic relationship in which the growth rate of gross domestic product depends directly on
the national net savings rate and inversely on the national capital-output ratio.
The model suggests that a country’s economic growth depends on two factors: its ability to save and invest
money and how efficiently it uses its capital.
When a country saves and invests a larger portion of its income (GDP), it has the potential to grow faster.
The efficiency of capital utilization is important. If a country can use its capital resources more effectively,
it can generate more output (goods and services) from the same amount of investment.
Technological progress and labor force growth also play a role in economic growth, although they are not
explicitly described in this model.
Technological progress can make production more efficient, allowing for greater output from the same
level of investment.
The model focuses on the significance of investment (saving and using capital) in driving economic
growth.
To make a country's economy grow faster, one important way is to save more money instead of spending it
all.
Saving a higher percentage of income can lead to faster economic growth.
Countries that can save and invest more money tend to grow faster and develop better.
Poor countries often struggle with a lack of money for building things like infrastructure and factories.
Getting help from other countries through foreign aid or private investment can fill the money gap and help
the economy grow.
Using resources more efficiently and reducing the loss of value over time can also boost economic growth.
3.2.4 Necessary Versus Sufficient Conditions: Some Criticism of the Stages Model
The theory of stages of growth, which focused on saving and investment, didn't always work to make
countries develop.
The reason is that just saving and investing money is not enough for growth. Other things like good
markets, roads, educated workers, and efficient government are also needed.
The models assumed that developing countries had the same conditions as Europe did after receiving help,
but often they didn't have those conditions.
Things like skilled managers, educated workers, and good planning were often missing.
The models didn't pay enough attention to another way to make countries grow, which is to use investments
more efficiently and get more output from them.
Structural Transformation
Structural transformation refers to the transition of an economy from low productivity and labor-intensive
economic activities to higher productivity and skill intensive activities
In simpler terms, it means shifting the focus of an economy from primarily relying on farming to relying
more on manufacturing industries.
Introduction:
Developed by: Sir Arthur Lewis in 1954. He graduated from London School of economics and was
awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics Sciences.
A theory of development in which surplus labor from the traditional agricultural sector is transferred to the
modern industrial sector, the growth of which absorbs the surplus labor, promotes industrial- isation, and
stimulates sustained development
Two-Sector Model:
Underdeveloped economy is divided into two sectors: traditional rural subsistence sector and modern
urban industrial sector.
Rural sector has a large population and low productivity.
Modern sector is more productive and requires labor from the rural sector.
- Wages in the industrial sector remain constant and are a premium above the fixed average subsistence level of
wages in the agricultural sector.
- Supply of labor from the rural sector to the industrial sector is considered to be easily available.
Assumptions:
1. Surplus labor in the rural sector: The model assumes that the rural subsistence sector has a surplus of labor,
meaning that additional labor can be transferred to the industrial sector without reducing agricultural output.
2. Constant wages in the industrial sector: It assumes that wages in the industrial sector remain constant over time.
These wages are determined as a premium above the fixed average subsistence level of wages in the agricultural
sector.
3. Reinvestment of profits: The model assumes that industrial capitalists reinvest all their profits into the modern
sector. This reinvestment enables the expansion of production and the growth of output and employment in the
industrial sector.
4. Elastic supply of rural labor: The model assumes that the supply of labor from the rural sector to the industrial
sector is perfectly elastic, meaning that labor is readily available for employment in the industrial sector.
Agricultural(Traditional) Sector:
-No marginal productivity
-Marginal productivity = average productivity
-Subsistent technology
-Lack of technological progress
-surplus labor which is then transferred to modern sector
Manufacturing(modern) Sector:
- Marginal Productivity = wage of worker
- The profit generated by this sector can be reused for investment which further generates demand and absorbs the
earlier sector which in overall leads to growth
-Wage rate is higher due to which labors tend to be lured towards this sector.
Diagrammatic Explanation:
Fig: Lewis two-sector model
The figure shows the labor market in a developing economy. The X axis holds the number of labors
whereas the Y axis hold the productivity
Traditional(agricultural sector)
TPA- Total production in agriculture sector, MP/AP(Marginal productivity of labor/Average productivity
of labor),
As we are increasing the number of labor in the agriculture sector, TP(Total productivity)of the agricultural
sector is increasing and after a certain point TP becomes the maximum. When TP becomes maximum, MP
will be equal to zero(represented by point L in figure b diagram(ii) ). After the point L , if we continue on
A A
hiring labor then the MP is going to be negative which creates a situation of excess(surplus) labor.
This surplus labor is then transferred to the modern sector.
Modern(Manufacture sector)
TPM- Total production in manufacturing sector, W = wage rate in agriculture sector, W = wage rate in
A M
manufacturing sector
When labor starts transferring from Primary Sector (Agricultural) to modern sector
Modern sector provides higher wage than the primary sector
The wage rate of primary sector is 0W which lies lower that wage rate in manufacturing sector ‘W ‘
A M
When excess labor is supplied to modern sector from traditional sector then TP of modern sector is
increasing
DD curve represents marginal product of labor
Modern sector is paying wage rate which is 0W but the marginal product of labor = OD
M
TO BE CONTINUED
False-paradigm model
Underdevelopment as an outcome of faulty and inappropriate advice from experts(developed
country)
Offer complex but misleading models of development that leads to incorrect and inappropriate
policies
Chapter 4: Contemporary models of development and Underdevelopment
The chapter discusses the challenges and importance of achieving economic development, as well as the
progress made in understanding the factors that hinder or promote development.
It tells that development is difficult but possible with systematic efforts and improved understanding.
The new models after the 1980s reveal that development faces more obstacles than previously recognized.
The chapter also talks about "Growth diagnostics"(Key word for the chapter) framework, which helps
identify and address the specific constraints that hinder a developing country from closing the gap with
developed nations.
Coordination Failure:
A coordination failure is a situation where everyone would be better off if they all made the same choice,
but they can't coordinate their choices, so they all end up making a different choice that is worse for
everyone.
For example, imagine that there are two roads that lead to the same destination. One road is shorter, but it
is also more crowded. The other road is longer, but it is less crowded. If everyone drove on the shorter
road, it would be faster for everyone. However, if everyone drives on the longer road, it would be slower
for everyone.
There are several reasons why coordination failure may occur: Some of them might be:
o people may hold different expectations about what others will do, making it challenging to align
their actions.
o individuals might hesitate to make the first move or take action because they believe it is more
advantageous to wait for someone else to initiate the coordination.
For instance, there are firms and workers. Firms need workers with the right skills, and workers need firms
to employ them. If there are no firms, workers will not acquire the skills, and if there are no workers with
the right skills, firms will not enter the market.This can lead to a coordination failure, where the economy is
stuck in a bad equilibrium because everyone would be better off if there were firms and workers with the
right skills. In this equilibrium, there are no firms and no workers with the right skills.
Coordination failure can sometimes lead to underdevelopment trap, in which a region (or agent) remains
backwards
-Government policy is analyzed as an integral part of the development process. It acknowledges that the
government itself can be influenced by and have an impact on the underdeveloped economy. This means
that government policy is shaped by the same factors that are causing the underdevelopment.
-The most effective government policy interventions are those that can move the economy to a self-
sustaining, better equilibrium.
-These interventions are called "deep interventions" because they require a significant amount of
government effort. However, once these interventions are successful, they can have a lasting impact on the
economy.
In much of economics, such complementarities are not present. For example, in competitive markets, when
there is excess demand, there is counterpressure for prices to rise, restoring equilibrium. Whenever
congestion may be present, the more people there are using one road, the more commuters try to find an
alternative route.
Coordination problems are best illustrated by the where-to-meet problem. Suppose, we four decide to meet
in Chitwan, but neglected to specify a specific location in the city. Now we all are out of communication
and can arrive at a common meeting point only by chance or by very clever guessing(The story may lose a
bit of its power in the age of texting, cell phones, social media, and e-mail).
The basic idea reflected in the S-shaped function of Figure is that the benefits an agent receives from taking
an action depend positively on how many other agents are expected to take the action or on the extent of
those actions.
For example, the price a farmer can hope to receive for his produce depends on the number of middlemen
who are active in the region, which in turn depends on the number of other farmers who specialize in the
same product.
Assumptions:
Factors: We assume that there is only one factor of production; labor, with a fixed total supply, L
Factor payments: The labor market has two sectors.
-Workers in the traditional sector receive a wage of 1. Workers in the modern sector receive a higher wage,
represented by W(greater than 1)
-The higher wage in the modern sector may be a compensation for the more demanding and less desirable
nature of factory work.
-In equilibrium, workers would not gain any net utility from switching sectors during industrialization.
-If economic profits are generated, it can result in an increase in average income and potential income
redistribution, making everyone better off without making anyone worse off.
-Additionally, if there is excess labor supply, the social benefits of industrialization are even greater.
Technology: We assume that there are N types of products, where N is a large number.
Domestic demand: We assume that each good receives a constant and equal share of consumption out of
national income
International supply and demand: We assume that the economy is closed.
Market structure: We assume perfect competition in the traditional (cottage industry) sector, with free
entry and no economic profits. Therefore, the price of each good will be 1, the marginal cost of labor
(which is the only input). We assume that, at most, one modern-sector firm can enter each market.
Even Though both countries; A and B have the same level of poverty, the TGP in A is
greater so it takes more effort to eliminate absolute poverty in country A.
The TPG is found by adding up the amounts by which each poor person’s income, Yi,
falls below the absolute poverty line, Yp.
Formula: APG
When p = 0, the FGT index represents the poverty headcount ratio (proportion of the
population below the poverty line).
As p increases, the FGT index places greater weight on the income gaps experienced by
the poor, reflecting greater intensity or severity of poverty.
5.3.2 Dualistic Development and Shifting Lorenz Curves: Some Stylised Typologies
Fig 5.6: Improved Income Distribution under the Traditional-Sector Enrichment Growth Typology
Fig 5.8: Crossing Lorenz Curves in the Modern-Sector Enlargement Growth Typology
Figure 5.13 illustrates the traditional neoclassical theory of functional income distribution.
The model considers two factors of production: capital (a fixed factor) and labor (the only
variable factor).
Under competitive market assumptions, the demand for labor is determined by its
marginal product, meaning additional workers will be hired up to the point where their
marginal product equals their real wage.
Due to the principle of diminishing marginal products, the labor demand curve is
negatively sloped (DL) and the labor supply curve (SL) is upward-sloping in the
traditional neoclassical approach.
The equilibrium wage (WE) and employment level (LE) are determined at the
intersection of the labor supply and demand curves.
The total national output, which equals total national income, is represented by the area
0REL.
National income is distributed between workers and capitalists in two shares: WE LE
going to workers as wages, and WERE remaining as capitalist profits (return to owners of
capital).
The model assumes constant-returns-to-scale production functions, where doubling all
inputs doubles the output.
The theory suggests that each factor gets paid in accordance with its contribution to
national output.
This model of income distribution is central to the Lewis theory of modern-sector growth,
which is based on reinvestment of rising capitalist profits.
5.7.2 Labour and Inclusive Development
The majority of people in developing countries receive their income from labor, but not all
labor income comes from traditional wage-based jobs.
In low- and middle-income countries, nearly half of the workforce is engaged in self-
employment, such as farming and microenterprises, with irregular and low-productivity
incomes.
Many people living in poverty or vulnerable to poverty are already employed but face limited
opportunities for higher income.
Work is fundamental to economic development as it provides income and shapes future
income possibilities for individuals.
The quality of work experiences, including skills development and job stability, can influence
individuals' capabilities and engagement in civic affairs.
Labor market inequality can magnify other forms of inequalities in society.
The availability of work is not guaranteed, and hundreds of millions of net new jobs will be
needed in the coming decade, especially in developing countries.
Good government policies can facilitate the creation of quality jobs, while poorly designed or
implemented policies can hinder job creation.
There are different perspectives on how to create quality jobs, with some advocating for job
creation diagnostics to identify constraints and address them through policy.
Some constraints on job creation, such as infrastructure development, can be addressed with
political will, while others related to social norms and legislation require broader societal
engagement and time.
5.8.3 Modifying the Size Distribution Through Increasing Assets of the Poor
Correcting resource prices and utilization levels alone is not sufficient to reduce income
inequality and poverty substantially.
The primary cause of income inequality is the highly concentrated ownership of
productive and financial resources (physical capital, land, financial capital, and human
capital) among a small segment of the population.
The focus should be on directly reducing the concentrated control of assets, unequal
distribution of power, and limited access to education and income-earning opportunities
in developing countries.
Land reform is one example of a policy that can be used to transform tenant cultivators
into smallholders, but complementary measures such as access to credit, fertilizers,
marketing facilities, and agricultural education are crucial for its success.
Dynamic redistribution policies may involve facilitating the gradual transfer of annual
savings and investments to low-income groups over time.
Increasing access to education and skills is essential, but complementary policies to
create productive employment opportunities for the educated are equally important for
improving the income-earning potential of the poor.
Policymakers must have a strong knowledge base and engage with people living in
poverty to better understand their specific conditions and priorities.
Inclusive policies should consider the diversity within poor communities, including
differences between men and women, ethnic groups, and castes.
5.8.4 Progressive Income and Wealth Taxes
National policies aiming to uplift the living standards of the bottom 40% require adequate
financial resources to turn plans into reality.
The main source of development finance is direct and progressive taxation on both
income and wealth.
Progressive income taxes mean that the rich pay a larger percentage of their total income
as taxes compared to the poor.
Wealth taxation includes personal and corporate property taxes and may also involve
progressive inheritance taxes, with the aim to burden higher-income groups more heavily.
In many developing and some developed countries, progressive tax structures may not be
implemented effectively.
The poor often bear a larger share of their incomes in taxes due to taxes being withheld at
the source
The rich often derive a significant portion of their incomes from assets that may go
unreported, making it easier for them to avoid taxes.
To achieve effective redistribution, policies are needed to enforce progressive tax rates on
income and wealth, particularly for the highest-income groups.
5.8.5 Direct Transfer Payments and the Public Provision of Goods and
Services
Providing tax-financed public goods and services to the very poor is a crucial part of
poverty eradication policies.
Examples include public health projects, school lunches, nutritional supplementation,
clean water, and electrification in rural and remote areas.
Direct money transfers and subsidized food programs for the urban and rural poor are
additional forms of public consumption subsidies.
Designing direct transfers and subsidies requires careful attention to address four
significant problems:
o Limited resources should be directed to genuinely poor individuals.
o Beneficiaries should not become overly dependent on the poverty program;
incentives for building assets like education should be maintained.
o Avoid diverting those productively engaged in other economic activities into the
poverty program.
o Consider the resentment from non-poor individuals slightly above the poverty
line.
Subsidies should be targeted to specific geographic areas where the poor reside and
emphasize goods that non-poor people do not typically consume.
Imposing a work requirement before food aid can be useful, as seen in programs like the
Bangladesh Food for Work Programme and the MGNREGA in India.
Workfare programs, like the Food for Work Programme, are preferred over welfare or
direct handouts when certain criteria are met, including preserving incentives, net
benefits, and reducing stigma.
Well-designed programs can indirectly increase the bargaining power of the poor by
providing better "outside options," such as guaranteed public employment programs.