Potential Risks For McDonald

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Potential risks for McDonald’s include food safety issues, other operational problems, or projecting a brand image

inconsistent with the company’s values.


Company-owned stores
So far in this article, we’ve looked at McDonald’s (MCD) franchise structure and agreement. Overall, franchising
is crucial to McDonald’s profitability. However, the growth of this business is coming under pressure, given market
saturation in key developed markets—especially the US market.
McDonald’s company-owned store revenues have been falling as it moves toward franchising. However, the
company-owned model provides McDonald’s with some key strategic and competitive advantages.
As McDonald’s also operates its own stores, its expertise can also improve the franchisees’ experience at these
stores. Having its own stores also provides McDonald’s with trained personnel who can then work in collaboration with
franchisees.
Same-store sales
To understand what’s driving McDonald’s earnings and free cash flows, it’s essential to understand same-store
sales and guest counts. Same-store sales compare the sales from restaurants, or stores, that have been open for at least one
year. This statistic helps analysts evaluate what percentage of new sales comes from organic sales growth versus opening
new stores. The average spends per customer and total guest count drive same-store sales.
Last year, McDonald’s same-store sales increased 2.5% in the US despite a 2.2% fall in guest count. In the
company’s International Lead markets, its same-store sales increased by 5.8%. Higher average check per customer and
higher guest count drove this increase. Notably, its same-store sales increased in the High Growth segment and
Foundation markets. McDonald’s has been facing challenges in the US market as consumers shift toward newer brands
and healthy foods.
Is McDonald’s a REIT?
After looking at McDonald’s franchise agreement and company-owned stores, let’s drill down into another
pertinent aspect. Specifically, what business is McDonald’s in? Ray Kroc, who purchased McDonald’s in 1964, once
famously told Harvard MBA students, “Ladies and gentlemen, I’m not in the hamburger business. My business is real
estate.” So, can a company that we perceive as a fast-food chain actually be a real estate play? Let’s discuss this in
perspective.
McDonald’s: Look beyond franchise agreements and fries
At the end of 2018, McDonald’s had total assets of $32.8 billion. Out of this, 70% is net property and equipment
—totaling $23 billion. Generally, companies value real estate on a cost basis. So, the actual market value of these real
estate properties might be much higher. Under the conventional franchise agreement, McDonald’s owns the real estate
while the franchisee pays rent.
In the past, some activist investors have raised the issue of unlocking value by spinning off McDonald’s real
estate assets. However, McDonald’s did not agree with the spin-off. Management believes that spinning off the real estate
assets would harm the company more than it would create value for investors.

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