The Narrative of The Rise of China and Authoritarianism in The Global South The Case of Egypt
The Narrative of The Rise of China and Authoritarianism in The Global South The Case of Egypt
The Narrative of The Rise of China and Authoritarianism in The Global South The Case of Egypt
Amjed Rasheed
To cite this article: Amjed Rasheed (2022) The Narrative of the Rise of China and
Authoritarianism in the Global South: The Case of Egypt, The International Spectator, 57:2, 68-84,
DOI: 10.1080/03932729.2021.2009641
RESEARCH ARTICLE
ABSTRACT KEYWORDS
Authoritarian regimes in the Global South diffuse compelling narra China; Belt and Road
tives of China, the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and its development Initiative; Egypt;
success to reinforce authoritarian practices discursively. A case illus Authoritarian Reinforcement
trative of this process is that of Egypt under President Abdul Fatah el-
Sisi. An analysis drawing on strategic narrative theory highlights that
the el-Sisi regime has been deploying a persuasive narrative on
China, its development experience and the BRI to reinforce author
itarianism discursively under the pretext of preserving the state’s
sovereignty and achieving progress and the public good. Such
a process is called Authoritarian Reinforcement (AR).
On the other hand, Eric Heginbotham (2007) is convinced that China will have
a positive impact on world politics and global governance. He says that “Beijing has
embraced multilateralism and confidence-building measures to mitigate security con
cerns” and China “is seen as having a significantly more positive impact in the world than
the United States” (22).
In the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, much ink has been spilt on
domestic factors of impediment to democracy (Heydemann 2013; Asseburg and
Wimmen 2016; Masoud 2015; Bellin 2004). In the article, I focus on the exogenous
dynamics impeding democracy in the region instead. Past research suggested that
colonial powers promoted authoritarianism in the MENA region (Bader et al. 2010;
Burnell and Schlumberger 2010). In addition, in its fight against terrorism, the United
States (US) cooperated with most of the authoritarian regimes, which tightened their grip
on power, as exemplified by Hosni Mubarak of Egypt and Ali Abdullah Saleh of Yemen
(Ehteshami et al. 2021). Currently, signs indicate that the US-led liberal order is in retreat
(Haass 2019; Mullan 2019; Ikenberry 2018), and the ambitious Belt and Road Initiative
(BRI) project of China’s President Xi Jinping – announced in 2013 – is shifting the
gravity of the international political economy towards Asia. Given that China is an
authoritarian state, one can predict that authoritarianism will spread throughout the
MENA region, especially that the region will not be immune to the BRI consequences
(Godement 2012; Ehtehsami and Horesh 2019). As Maha S. Kamel (2018) suggests: “BRI
is not merely an economic project as framed by Beijing, but [...] it represents a new stage
in China’s engagement with the region, and – if fully implemented – could have wide
geopolitical implications.” (75)
In this article, I will examine the peaceful rise of China and its impact on democracy in
MENA, one of the key regions within the BRI (Scobell 2018; Reardon-Anderson 2018;
Ehtehsami and Horesh 2019). China’s interaction with the MENA countries has rapidly
increased over the past years. Its dependency on energy resources in the MENA region
has grown more than ever before (Scobell and Nader 2016). Also, the Chinese ‘March
West’ strategy, which is also manifested in the BRI, is a clear indication of the significance
of the region in the strategic map of Beijing. The MENA countries, for their part, are keen
on establishing a partnership with China to overcome their economic troubles. Indeed,
Algeria, Egypt, Iraq, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have
already signed a comprehensive strategic partnership with Beijing aimed at close coordi
nation in regional and international affairs (Fulton 2019).
As I will try to prove, China’s rise on the global scene and its increasing interaction
with the MENA countries diffuse authoritarian narratives and promote a type of
‘benevolent autocracy’ discursively. I call this process Authoritarian Reinforcement
(AR). I define AR as a discursive legitimation of authoritarian practices under the
pretext of maintaining political order, preserving sovereignty, achieving progress,
decoloniality and fairness in the international system. Moreover, AR has an indirect
effect of providing a form of authoritarian legitimation that is based not only on
‘authoritarianism effectiveness’ in the Global South regions, but also on issues of
sovereignty, independence and China’s alleged promotion of balanced and equal
international relations instead.
70 A. RASHEED
Research hypotheses
Against this backdrop, I examine the AR proposition in the case of the el-Sisi
government in Egypt – described by the Bertelsmann Stiftung (2020)
Transformation Index as a hardline autocracy. Indeed, following the 2013 coup,
the regime adopted authoritarian practices to control political life in the country.
Amir Hamzawy (2019) noted that the regime was able to establish its grip on society
by changing the public’s views of democracy through deploying an authoritarian
discourse “which depicts the democratic uprising of 2011 and the ensuing political
changes – or, in the regime’s language, the ‘occurrences’ – as harmful events whose
repetition would only inflict further damage on the country” (167). Hence, I look
into whether the Egyptian state narrative of China endorses authoritarian practices
discursively. It is important to mention here that I will not investigate whether such
narratives are translated into authoritarian policies, which would require different
theoretical tools and another set of data.
In this research, I use the Strategic Narratives theory by Alister Miskimmon et al.
(2013) to analyse how the process of AR occurs. This theory looks at narratives as
methods of persuasion and influence that political actors employ to get people to do
things they would not otherwise do. Therefore, they “are representations of a sequence
of events and identities, a communicative tool through which political actors – usually
elites – attempt to give determined meaning to past, present, and future in order to
achieve political objectives” (7). Narratives are also tools for political elites “to extend
their influence, manage expectations, and change the discursive environment in which
they operate” (3). Through the media, the political elites construct these ‘strategic’
narratives, first to show who they are, “what characterizes them, what attributes they
possess, what actions they take, and what motivates them”, and to shape the behaviour
of others (32).
Using this theory, I qualitatively examine: (i) how these narratives describe the
international system within which China and Egypt exist; (ii) how state media narrate
the characteristics of Egypt, its historical path and its identity in relation to other states,
both rivals and allies (that is, identity narratives); finally, and based on (i) and (ii),
I examine (iii) the policy narrative that is constructed by the Egyptian state media
regarding the Chinese authoritarian system of governance.
Based on these three elements, I propose two hypotheses:
H1. If the state narrative categorises China as a fair world power and Egypt as a mid-level
power within the international system, then it is logical for the Egyptian regime and
political elite to build a narrative centred on China taking a lead in the direction of the
global economy, development and security and in ending the unfair world system, thus
helping Egypt maintain its sovereignty and independence.
H2. If the state narrative focuses on China’s historical path and strong leadership,
then the Egyptian regime and political elite will advocate following China’s develop
ment experience and support el-Sisi’s policies to preserve Egypt’s identity and achieve
order.
72 A. RASHEED
Sino-Egyptian relations
The wave of the Arab Uprisings reached Cairo in late January 2011. The demonstrations
that took place in Tahrir Square at the heart of Cairo were the largest in the history of the
country, thanks to social media and satellite TV channels. President Mubarak – the
fourth president of Egypt from 1981 to 2011 – had already prepared his son, Gamal
Mubarak, a banker trained in the West, to succeed him. Gamal was unfamiliar with the
military institution, and there was a fear that he would privatise the latter’s commercial
enterprises. Hence, rather than trusting “Gamal’s promises that he would continue his
father’s policies, the generals decided to take matters into their own hands and manage
the succession themselves” (Rutherford 2017, xi). They removed Mubarak from power
and formed a temporary junta regime in the country.
The collapse of Mubarak’s regime caused a major change in Egypt’s foreign policy.
In particular, Sino-Egyptian relations witnessed a strategic transformation. The credit
for such transformation goes to President Mohamed Morsi (30 June 2012-3 July 2013),
the first democratically elected president of the country after nearly four decades of
Mubarak’s rule. Morsi’s move was pragmatic; indeed, his party, the Muslim
1
To be sure, state media are generally not attractive in the age of social media and talk shows. This is especially true in
Egypt, where the rate of illiteracy was at 24.6 per cent in 2019 (Daily News Egypt 2020). However, in this article, I look
into whether the el-Sisi government constructs authoritarian ideas and policies discursively. This is why the state media
can be the best place to investigate AR.
THE INTERNATIONAL SPECTATOR 73
was the only Middle Eastern leader to attend the ceremony. The visit was described as
a reflection of the strong and special ties between China and Egypt (Ehteshami and
Horesh 2019).
Although Egypt represents “less than five percent of China’s trade with MENA
countries and only one of almost 140 countries to have signed an MoU” (El Dahshan
2021), it offers enormous support to China and the BRI. China’s interest in Egypt is
based on the latter’s regional position at the heart of MENA and Africa. One could
expect that China will not remain on the sidelines in the politics of the region (Ghiselli
and Morgan 2021). Hence, Egypt can be an important player in the future calculations
of the balance of power and issues of peace and development in MENA and Africa.
The results of the Sino-Egyptian partnership are already reflected in trade. In
October 2020, the Chinese Embassy in Cairo revealed that China-Egypt trade reached
“6.69 billion U.S. dollars in the first half of 2020, up 2.7 percent year-on-year” (Xinhua
News Agency 2020). Indeed, China is by far the main trade partner for Egypt (OEC
2021).
The Egyptian elite added a pan-Arab flavour to its narrative on the world order and
China. For example, a regular columnist at al-Ahram linked the Sino-Egyptian strategic
partnership to the regional crises, particularly the Israel-Palestine conflict by referring to
the US pro-Israel policy and China’s supportive attitude to Arab issues (Salim 2014). In
an op-ed titled “2018: The Year of the Collapse of the American Unipolar Order”, an
Egyptian journalist argued that President Trump’s recognition of Jerusalem as the capital
of Israel, and his opposition to changing the legal status of the city, is an indication of the
end of what he described as the “stupid, dominative and ugly” unipolar world order
(Jaba’Allah 2018a).
Against this backdrop, the political elite sees Sino-Egyptian relations also as an
opportunity to support a Palestinian state. This linkage with the pan-Arab cause of
Palestine speaks to the hearts and minds of all the Egyptians, if not all the Arabs.
Indeed, for decades, the pan-Arab issue of Palestine was a source of pride and inspiration
for the Arab public (Barnett 1998). In the same vein, the late professor of Political Science
at Cairo University, Mohammed as-Sayyed Salim (2014), argued that China’s veto in the
United Nations Security Council to protect the integrity of Syria in 2014 and its neutral
approach to solving what he described as the “Arab-Israeli conflict” is a “qualitative shift”
in China’s Middle East policy that is consistent with Egypt’s “independent” foreign policy
after 30 June 2013. Salim was convinced that the Chinese model of development is ideal
for Egypt “to free the country from the Western pressures that threaten Egypt with
‘sanctions’ whenever a disagreement occurs” (ibid.).
Indeed, China has pursued neutrality and non-intervention in the Arab-Israeli conflict
since its early years (Schichor 1979). More recently, Beijing expressed its support to the
Arab-Israeli rapprochement in 2020. For example, in August 2020, the Foreign Ministry
spokesperson Zhao Lijian reiterated China’s consistent and clear position on the
Palestinian issue. He told the media that China “welcomes measures that will help
alleviate tension between countries in the Middle East and promote regional peace and
stability” (Chinese Foreign Ministry 2020).
Equally important, the Chinese narrative that China’s authorities deploy for their BRI
partners is important. While Western powers have portrayed the MENA region as
a problem for decades, China sees it as an opportunity. Comparatively, the MENA
countries have often been depicted in negative terms by the Western powers (Said 1978).
For its part, official state discourse in Egypt depicts China as a Global South super
power with a stable economy that allows it to compete with Western companies in a non-
exploitative way. Therefore, China is welcomed in Egypt, not only because of its success
ful development experience or non-interventionist foreign policy, but because it offers
new opportunities to the region – including a horizontal partnership based on mutual
respect and recognition. In doing so, China, paradoxically, is depicted as offering
a chance for a more democratic, fair and equal world order.
For example, economic expert Walid Gaballah, a member of the Egyptian
Association for Political Economy, told Xinhua News Agency in an interview that
“when international cooperation is based on the win-win rule, you will not find
opponents in such cooperation, that is the case with the BRI” (China Daily 2020).
Norhan al-Sheikh (2013), a member of the Egyptian Council of Foreign Relations
and Professor of International Relations at Cairo University, remarked on the fair
ness of China as a trade partner and contended that Beijing treats the countries of
the region with equality and sincerity and does not impose its values or style of
development on others. She emphasised that China provides only suggestions, not
conditions, “as it happens between friend and friend” (ibid.). In her words, China
participates “strongly and effectively in the economic and development projects for
the countries of the region without exception, thus achieving mutual benefit and
a win for all”. She ended her article by asserting that it “is remarkable that China
believes that it cannot achieve real development without achieving the development
of its partners” (ibid). Indeed, here the Western approach of a neoliberal model of
development is seen as colonial and exploitative. China, on the other hand, is seen as
a fair and unique partner.
Most importantly, much of the Egyptian narrative of China is on how the country
became a major power in the world economy without losing its identity and culture.
These narratives are arguably employed purposefully to follow China’s path of develop
ment, which would supposedly allow Egypt to preserve its culture and distinct Arab and
African identity.
Hui, Director of the Arabic Department at the University of International Business and
Economics in Beijing, argued that “unemployment and poverty have deprived young
people of dignity and hope, which must be addressed so that terrorism does not draw
them in” (ibid.).
In November 2019, President el-Sisi received Wang Yang, Chairman of the Chinese
People’s Political Consultative Conference, and reaffirmed that “development and chan
ging reality are the best ways to combat extremist ideology, along with security efforts”
(al-Dostor 2019). Such a narrative legitimises China’s human rights violations against the
Hui Muslim minority.
While the development argument is relevant, extremism, especially religious extre
mism, can be a result of a multitude of factors, such as discrimination (Koomen and
van der Pligt 2016) and martyrdom motives (Juergensmeyer 2017). Thus, one can fairly
argue that terrorism is not a only development failure. In fact, authoritarian practices
often lead to radicalisation (UNDP 2017; Fontan 2007). The very case of Uyghurs in
China is an example. Many Uyghurs joined the Islamic State (IS) organisation in Syria,
aiming at China. An Uyghur told AP: “We didn’t care how the fighting went or who
Assad was [. . . we] just wanted to learn how to use the weapons and then go back to
China” (Shih 2017).
Pro-regime newspapers in Egypt explicitly promote authoritarian policies in dealing
with the government’s foes, namely the Muslim Brotherhood. For example, the Deputy
Editor of al-Ahram, Tariq al-Sinoti (2019), described the Chinese approach of opening
so-called “rehabilitation centres” in China’s Xinjiang Uyghur region as “the most
effective to counter Islamic extremism”, hinting that Egypt needs to do the same to
tackle extremism in the country. This includes the Muslim Brotherhood too – which
was indeed declared a terrorist organisation by the junta government in
December 2013. One could argue that this could explain why President el-Sisi admires
the Chinese model of governance as it legitimises his authoritarian policies in the
country. More recently, in July 2020, Sameh Shoukry, the Egyptian Foreign Minister,
called his Chinese counterpart to express Egypt’s support for China in its handling of
the demonstrations in Hong Kong. Shoukry said that “Egypt firmly supports China’s
stance on the Hong Kong issue and opposes interference in Chinese internal affairs”
(Jaba’Allah 2020).
Both Egypt and China seem not only to have instrumentalised the US narrative of
the ‘war on terror’ to cover domestic human rights violations, but even to go beyond it
to undermine the Western leadership. For example, the al-Ahram newspaper
(Jaba’Allah 2019) interviewed Jiang Jianguo, the Director of the Chinese State
Council Information Office. Jiang claimed that the Communist Party adheres to non-
discrimination and ensures freedom of belief, and that China has achieved peaceful
coexistence. To prove his claim, he said that China is one of the most stable countries
in the world, and this cannot be achieved without the peaceful coexistence of nation
alities and religions. Drawing an analogy between the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt
and the Uyghurs in China, the interviewer asked Jiang why Western media always
distort the image of China and attack it, and Egypt suffers from this maltreatment too.
Jiang answered that some European and American countries “have a feeling of super
iority over other countries” and perpetuate prejudices. To offer a platform for justifica
tion and defence, the journalist asked why China established training centres in
THE INTERNATIONAL SPECTATOR 79
Xinjiang to combat terrorism. Jiang claimed that the local government has adopted
a policy of “combating and preventing” terrorism together, which takes into account
“the balance between imposing penalties for crimes and protecting human rights”
(ibid.).
Conclusion
Authoritarian Reinforcement in Egypt is built discursively around four main themes: the
fairness of China as an ally with a civilisational heritage; the Chinese principle of mutual
benefit; China’s successful counter-terrorism policies; and the effectiveness of author
itarianism in mitigating pandemics. Thus, H1 is supported as the Egyptian regime and
political elite have repeatedly advocated for China to take a lead in the global economy,
development and security, and to end the unfair world system, which helps maintain
Egypt’s sovereignty. H2 is also supported since the Egyptian regime also advocates for
adopting China’s development path to preserve the country’s identity and achieve social
and political order.
As our analysis suggests, the Sino-Egyptian strategic partnership is therefore
a starting point for legitimising authoritarianism discursively in Egypt. While the
partnership with China is without doubt a means for Egypt to try to achieve develop
ment, the narratives of the success of China and its style of governance in mitigating
pandemics and eradicating poverty are also powerful tools to gain the favour of the
public and justify authoritarian measures. Furthermore, the Egyptian regime has
romanticised the Chinese counter-terrorism policies to justify a brutal crackdown on
its domestic foes, the Muslim Brotherhood, even though authoritarian practices them
selves have proven to fuel radicalisation in society. Finally, while Egypt has capitalised
on the Chinese success in mitigating the Covid-19 crisis, the narrative of this success
has been exaggerated and aimed at presenting authoritarianism as useful for public
good and order.
Acknowledgments
This research would not have been possible without the exceptional support of Oliver
Schlumberger at Eberhard Karls University of Tübingen and Anoush Ehteshami at Durham
University. I would also like to thank Marie Gillespie at Open University and Ben O’Loughlin at
Royal Holloway, who looked over the transcriptions and answered numerous questions about the
theoretical framework, as well as my wife and colleague Juline Beaujouan at Edinburgh University,
for her comments and support throughout the writing of this paper. Finally, I am grateful to the
anonymous peer reviewers for their insightful comments.
Notes on contributor
Amjed Rasheed is a Visiting Lecturer at the Institute of Political Science (IPS) at Eberhard Karls
University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany. He is a Fellow at the School of Government and
International Affairs at Durham University, Durham, United Kingdom, and a Senior Researcher at
Open Think Tank, Duhok, Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
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