Swift BCG Swiftfocus White Paper
Swift BCG Swiftfocus White Paper
Swift BCG Swiftfocus White Paper
Digital Innovation in
Trade Finance
Have We Reached a Tipping Point?
The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) is a global
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Digital Innovation in
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of companies and markets with close collaboration
Trade Finance
at all levels of the client organisation. This ensures
that our clients achieve sustainable competitive Have We Reached a Tipping Point?
advantage, build more capable organisations, and
secure lasting results. Founded in 1963, BCG is a
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more information, please visit bcg.com.
Global trade faces a challenging period. But there are opportunities across the What is happening in Trade Finance?
value chain to drive efficiencies and increase the overall market size. Processes
that currently support the global trade finance ecosystem are labour- intensive and The state of affairs
predominantly paper-based. They are estimated to generate four billion pages of Trade flows grew from US$6.3 trillion in 2000 to US$15.6 trillion in 2008. The global
documents annually. Trade finance is calling out for a digital solution that allows financial crisis (GFC) in 2007-08 put an abrupt stop to this growth. Although there has
for many of these processes to be simplified, automated or eliminated. been some recovery, pre-2008 growth rates have not returned. Trade flows hit a high
of US$18.1 trillion in 2014 before the trend reversed in 2015. In 2016, trade flows
Digitisation will not only improve the internal efficiency of banks but allow them to contracted to near pre-financial crisis levels at US$15.8 trillion.
give their customers a better service at a lower price. This, in turn, will increase
demand for trade finance products, especially from the currently underserved SME Growth rates have varied regionally:
segment.
•• In the US, trade flows recovered steadily post-GFC from US$2.4 trillion in 2009
After years of hype and excitement followed by modest progress, digital innovation to US$3.7 trillion in 2014, but contracted to US$3.4 trillion in 2016.
in trade finance appears to be top of mind. Given the large number of entities
involved in a single transaction, and their widely differing levels of technological •• In the Asia Pacific, trade flows continued to grow strongly post-GFC from US$7.1
sophistication, change will not happen overnight. The digitisation of trade must be trillion in 2009 to US$11.9 trillion in 2014, and contracted to US$10.6 trillion in
seen through a three-year and a five-year lens. In the former, banks and corporates 2016.
must learn to thrive in a hybrid digital-and-paper world.
•• In the EU, trade flows were slower to recover post-GFC, growing from US$8.8
trillion in 2009 to US$11.6 trillion in 2014, before falling to US$10.2 trillion in
2016.
Nevertheless, BCG sees trade finance as a US$36 billion revenue opportunity for
banks alone, and the outlook is positive. The BCG Trade Finance Model predicts that
trade finance revenues will grow faster than trade flows, at approximately 4.7% per
year, reaching US$44 billion by 2020. This opportunity will be realised as the industry
becomes increasingly digitised, and complex, costly processes are rationalised.
A review of the end-to-end trade finance process reveals that a single transaction can
involve approximately 5,000 data field interactions (Exhibit A). As data flows through
the end-to-end process, a decreasing share of data field interactions create value-
At the root of these thousands of data field interactions we count no more than 60-80 •• Create value-adding data, ~1-2%
unique data fields (e.g., dates, amounts, reference numbers) across the 10-20
documents (e.g., bill of lading, commercial invoices) and 100+ pages of material. •• Duplicate existing data, ~2-3%
These unique data fields are reused across documents some 8-10 times, and many of •• Endorse/sign off on data, ~2-3%
the documents are duplicated, increasing the risk of discrepancies, which can add
significant delays to an already lengthy two-to-four-week process. If trade finance •• Read/process data, ~7-10%
processes were to be fully digitised, BCG estimates that more than 90% of data field
interactions could be simplified or eliminated altogether, creating a process that is •• Ignore/transmit to next party, ~85-90%
not only faster but also less vulnerable to error and fraud.
Exhibit 1 | The 20+ Players interact with the data fields captured in the
10-20 Documents to create ~5,000 data field ‘interactions’
Exhibit 2 | As data flows through the process, a decreasing share of data field ‘interactions’ in-
volve creating value-adding data
There is a concern that Industry 4.0 and its constituent technologies, such as the
internet of things (IoT) and 3D printing, will make parts of trade obsolete.
IoT will connect goods in transit to the internet, reducing risk. Sensors fitted to goods
and containers will track shipments door-to-door. These technologies will provide
real-time information on the location and condition of goods, greatly reducing
counterparty and compliance risk. IoT has the potential to significantly speed the
shift to open account because mitigating these risks is part of the core value
proposition of documentary trade.
In the meantime, IoT will create a wave of new unique data fields generated in the
trade finance process, the most significant change to the trade information data sets
in decades. Without digitising existing processes, players will struggle to react to this
new information flow. Paper-heavy processes risk becoming even more cumbersome
making it impossible to transfer information. Or the new source of data will be
ignored altogether. Either way, this would represent a missed opportunity.
Industry 4.0 could also present new opportunities. One bank we spoke to is closely
Source: BCG Analysis
engaged with clients to see how they can embed themselves in new business models.
For example, Industry 4.0 could revolutionise payment or financing terms for
industrial goods (e.g., turbines) from a pay over time model to a pay per usage model.
And performance guarantees could be based on machine uptime instead of the
average life of the asset.
A portion of physical trade flows will gradually be replaced by trade in intellectual Governing bodies (e.g., regulators, NGOs) are setting new standards of compliance for
property rights for 3D printing specifications, and will start to resemble buying an banks. Regulation is becoming more stringent, because with funds and goods crossing
app from iTunes or an eBook from Amazon. Purchases would be near instantaneous.
borders, trade finance carries an inherent risk of sanctioned or criminal activity.
Governing bodies must keep pace with industry change, and avoid becoming bottlenecks
Payment terms may be immediate or remain longer (e.g., 30 or 90 days), and still
or barriers.
require financing. To participate, all parties would need to join the same digital
ecosystem (e.g., a platform like Amazon or Alibaba for larger goods) potentially
eliminating the use of documentary trade altogether. For example, new technologies such as DLT and cryptocurrencies require new standards
and rules across all geographies. NGOs are helping to shape the future by setting
However, there could be alternative models, as there will always be the need to common standards and driving consensus across legacy and new industry players. The
transport physical goods, such as raw materials, produce and livestock, from one ICC-led working group of industry leaders is an example.
country to another.
Increasingly, a fifth kind of entity is also involved: namely, disruptors (e.g., FinTechs)
that have identified an opportunity to break into the ecosystem given its slow digitisation Importer’s bank, Exporter’s bank, Provide risk mitiga-
Banks
Correspondent bank tion and financing
progress over the last decade.
Disrupters are innovating to compete with legacy players, and they are finding roles
somewhere between banks and facilitators. The step-change in available technology is Governing Set the rules and
Import customs, Export customs
Bodies standards
forcing banks to ask strategic questions regarding technology investment, and how to
position themselves in the market with respect to the competition.
Invoicing platform, SWIFT,
Corporates continue to switch towards simpler, more cost-effective open account trade Freight forwarder, Insurer, Pre-ship- Provide services
Facilitators ment inspector, Import /Export to support Trade
in preference to complex and expensive documentary trade processes. This is especially terminals, Shipper, Finance ecosystem
true in countries with high levels of trust (e.g., U.S.A., France and Germany), and for Document courier
closed ecosystems, such as niche industries where all the players know each other.
Introduce
Increased legal certainty and improved communication channels mean that importers FinTechs, AI / ML tech companies
tech-enabled solu-
Disruptors (Not shown in traditional Trade
and exporters are more confident about trading without the financial reassurance a tions to the world of
Finance ecosystem diagram)
Trade Finance
bank provides. Furthermore, as corporates become increasingly cost-focused, they
are exercising market power to drive down pricing and margins on banking products,
Source: BCG Analysis
including trade finance.
One bank we spoke with suggested that the upfront investment required players to Operational enablers make the existing model of trade cheaper and easier. In the
adopt the necessary technologies to materially digitise their trade finance operations current market, they are a lifeline for banks. While they add value in the short- to
is so significant that they would need to reduce processing costs by more than 20% to medium-term, few operational enablers are game-changing. Nevertheless, they
achieve break even. represent the key focus of bank investment today.
Another bank explained that the Intelligent Document Recognition (IDR) technology Intelligent OCR learns to recognise document templates and automatically transfers
they are implementing requires 18–24 months of training before it operates at full text from paperwork into back-end fields. Enhanced with AI-supported pattern
capacity and accuracy. It is anticipated that vendors will continue to refine and recognition, this technology can help banks improve risk & compliance processes and
improve such products, ultimately leading to shorter ramp up periods. reduce cost.
Another change in the digital landscape of trade finance is that players are realising A more advanced version of Intelligent OCR technology is OCR enhanced with
that they cannot go it alone. Banks, FinTechs, shippers, logistics companies, etc. are robotics, which automatically transfers paper- based content into back-end fields,
forming partnerships to drive innovation. Some banks are looking to pool their screens documents for consistency and compliance, and feeds data into issuance
resources (e.g., R3 Corda Platform, Digital Trade Chain Consortium), while others systems. This has the potential to reduce marginal transaction costs to near-zero for a
seek access to specific technology (e.g., Barclays and Wave). bank that serves both ends of a transaction. Intelligent OCR can help banks reduce
processing times, errors and cost while achieving an improved customer experience.
As a result, it is likely that the trade finance landscape will look very different in the
next 5–10 years, with reduced costs and complexity giving international trade a much After implementing this technology, banks have reported achieving up to 50% faster
needed boost. processing times, an 80% reduction in manual validations, and a 70% reduction in
data entry FTEs.
Not everyone is convinced, however. One bank BCG and SWIFT spoke with predicts
that significant digitisation in trade finance is unlikely in the next 15 years, since the According to one bank BCG and SWIFT spoke to, the simplest technologies often
need for documentary trade with counterparts in developing and remote economies offer the best results. Robotics in trade finance may sound dull, but effectively
will continue. copying and pasting relevant data from one system to another delivers significant
From a compliance perspective, such technologies are being used not only to improve One facilitator BCG and SWIFT spoke with believes BPO is set to make a comeback
efficiency, but also effectiveness. Robotics and AI can better screen transactions close as some of the underlying barriers to adoption are being addressed. Vendors are
to the source, and shift attention towards higher-risk transactions that require manual introducing tooling to minimise the requirements and effort needed to become BPO-
approval, without the high false-positives that are common artefacts from older, pre- enabled. Although this is progress, constraints remain. Also, from a regulatory
existing solutions. Banks may try and apply the same AI decision-making capabilities perspective, BPOs do not have the same favourable treatment as Documentary Trade
to commercial decisions or checks when originating trade transactions. under Basel capital adequacy rules. Hence BPOs are actually less capital efficient for
banks.
Digitising the flow of information in trade
Distributed ledgers: Industry hype around DLT has fuelled a new wave of trade
In general, technologies that have tried to digitise the flow of information in trade finance disrupters. Coupled with other maturing technologies (e.g., APIs, OCR, AI,
have struggled to reach critical mass and growth has stalled. Machine Learning), DLT offers the strongest potential digital trade finance solution to
date. For the first time, the hype may be justified.
MT798, the standardised SWIFT messaging protocol for direct-to-bank origination
from within a client’s enterprise resource planning system, reduces process Potential benefits of a DLT platform include increased cybersecurity, reduced waiting
complexity and allows companies to buy from multiple banks with ease. However, times, transparency, ease of revenue payments, low infrastructure investment, easily
some banks fear that this will undermine the stickiness of the trade finance business, auditable transactions, efficient accommodation for additional participants,
since MT798 can work on multiple platforms, reducing dependence on bank immutability and automatic bonding and payments through smart contracts.
channels. Rather than promoting MT798, banks have waited to assess corporate
demand. Now that more corporates are requesting it, banks are feeling pressured to Trade finance has been touted as a Corporate Banking product with potential to
add MT798 capability. benefit significantly from DLT, given that it is based on trust and transparency and
has a wide array of inefficiencies to be removed. Interest in its use for trade is
Electronic Bills of Lading (eB/Ls) have been around since the 1980s, but in recent growing as companies and organisations recognise that antiquated trade systems are
years functional solutions from Bolero and essDOCS have become available. These overdue for restructuring.
digital document platforms aim to lead the journey toward paperless trade by
transferring shipping documents instantly between parties. DLT has the potential to overhaul how different parties trade across borders,
potentially threatening the central role banks play today. Technology companies, big
The adoption of eB/Ls is constrained by the familiar obstacles. Many participants in and small (e.g., IBM, Microsoft, Bloq), are betting on a DLT solution for trade,
the trade ecosystem are, for reasons of size or lack of sophistication, unlikely to invest believing that it can help optimise trade finance and logistics. A platform could allow
in the technology, and as long as adoption is far from universal, banks have little to for secure and transparent sharing of trade information between parties, streamlining
gain by investing in it while they still need to maintain their old paper-based processes and speeding up response times.
processes.
There is general consensus, however, that even if DLT falls short on its promise, it has SWIFT is taking a big step towards reducing the KYC burden associated with on-
put the topic of digital in trade finance firmly on the agenda. Senior managers are boarding correspondent banks by launching a KYC Registry and making it available
engaged and ready to embrace change. to all supervised financial institutions, regardless of whether they are connected to
SWIFT. Existing members will benefit from a broader coverage of correspondent
Regulatory compliance banking and funds distribution network while allowing them to shed due diligence
A common challenge for the above technologies is whether they can address the activities and costs. Smaller banks will benefit from industry-agreed standards and
growing costs and complexities of complying with financial crime regulations in trade best practices in KYC compliance.
finance. For banks in particular, technologies must support regulatory compliance
requirements for: This has the potential to boost trade, especially for underserved SMEs in developing
markets, by including their local banks in the global trade finance ecosystem.
•• Know your customer (KYC): Banks are responsible for knowing and verifying
the identity of their clients to minimise risks of fraud, corruption/bribery, Despite the hype around DLT, no single technological innovation will eliminate paper
money-laundering, financing of terrorism, and identity theft in trade finance. Instead, a combination of several now mature technologies (e.g.,
DLT, APIs, OCR, IDR, AI, Machine Learning) have come together to offer the strongest
•• Anti-money laundering (AML): Inaccuracy in the price, nature, volume, and possibility yet. While each of these technologies has made significant progress over
quality of goods on an invoice could inadvertently enable money laundering the last few years, the complete solution remains elusive.
across borders. Trade banks are responsible for verifying transactions, to spot
and prevent such activity
•• Sanctions: Banks are responsible for screening all aspects of the transaction for
conflicts with any sanctions regimes, including both parties, the counterparty
bank, transport company, vessel, all ports involved, and the goods being shipped
One FinTech explained that, although the term AI is used loosely, ultra-sophisticated
AI solutions do exist. This FinTech uses AI to tackle costly money laundering
monitoring processes at banks. The FinTech claims that their bank clients employ
several thousands of employees to monitor up to one million transactions per month,
but that 98% of these investigations result in false positives with no findings of money
laundering activity. Following the integration of their AI technology, the number of
transactions to review dropped by 25%, with a higher hit ratio than the human-led
process.
Furthermore, they estimate that these efficiencies will deliver US$50 million to
US$200 million in operational costs savings over four years.
Although many technologies help banks with aspects of regulatory compliance, there
remains significant scope for improvement, particularly as challenges continue to
grow. One bank explained that the decision to invest in and adopt new technologies
is driven primarily by increasing risk and compliance requirements (driving
approximately 80% of the decision) rather than operational cost savings.
For corporates, the key value differentiators for trade finance solutions and providers This new technology can assess documentary risk and uses logic and context-
are those that offer time- and cost-efficiency, while mitigating risk sufficiently. sensitive analysis to classify documents. It also extracts relevant data to support
auto-population, allowing trade finance employees to focus on value-adding tasks.
According to the BCG and BNP Paribas Corporate Treasurer Survey,1 import and
export L/Cs continue to be the dominant choice for mitigating risk in high-value A number of banks are partnering with, and investing in, FinTechs (e.g., HSBC,
international trade, despite the emergence of digital payment instruments. Treasurers Barclays, Deutsche Bank) to ensure their own footprint in the future of digital trade.
are expected to continue favouring L/Cs in the near term. According to one bank BCG and SWIFT spoke to, FinTechs come in one of two forms,
either providing interesting technology or new business cases. Banks are ramping up
Many corporates are beginning to embrace more digitised open-account trade, their investments in both models in an effort to be on one of the winning teams once
moving away from documentary trade finance, especially when transacting with well- the disruption dust settles.
known large corporates.
One bank is developing a platform that uses DLT to ensure that all parties can see
However, many will continue to rely on documentary trade for the foreseeable future, and transfer title, shipping and other original trade documentation through a secure
for example, when big ticket items, commodities, or unknown SMEs in the developing decentralised network, eliminating many of the current inefficiencies. The
world are involved. application manages ownership of documents on the distributed ledger, eliminating
disputes and forgeries, and reducing the seven-to-ten day process to four hours.
An increasing number of these corporates recognise that they will continue to use
documentary trade finance products for some time, and are looking to digital As larger banks increase their investments, smaller trade banks, with less ability to
solutions to enhance how documentary trade works for them. invest in new technology or to provide significant backup to prominent start-ups, are
likely to fall behind.
SMEs represent an often-overlooked segment of the trade ecosystem that is
embracing digital initiatives to increase their access to documentary trade. SMEs have Despite the number of non-banks trying to establish themselves in the trade finance
a history of struggling to access trade finance solutions due to their size and the space, few are gaining the critical mass that is vital to success. Bank-led consortiums
manual intensiveness of documentary trade. (e.g., R3, DTC), on the other hand, have the power, influence and investment to drive
real change, even if faced with the on-going challenge of needing consensus across a
The World Bank estimates that up to 50% of SMEs have limited or no access to large number of banks. They are even more powerful when supported by
formal credit channels, leading to a global credit gap as a large as US$2.6 trillion.1 government to build credibility and deliver working proofs of concept.
However, SMEs may help drive a wider adoption of digital innovation in trade Governing bodies
finance. Banks are forming partnerships with disruptors to develop digital solutions Although traditionally considered inhibitors of digital adoption, some governing
geared towards the SME market, which represent 50% of global GDP and two-thirds bodies are eager to get involved.
of global employment.2
Regulators are beginning to pick up speed in supporting digital change in trade The International Chambers of Commerce (ICC) is well-positioned to help the
finance at a global level, despite significant variation between countries. However, industry define new rules related to digital trade. Earlier this year, they launched a
regulatory compliance remains challenging and is not always practical within the working group, comprising industry leaders from banking, FinTech and corporates, to
confines of existing technology (e.g., price verification requirements for AML). help accelerate digitisation in trade finance. It aims to:
Looking forward, the robustness of regulatory compliance will continue to be 1. Ensure ICC rules enable digitisation
prioritised over practicality of implementation and ease of transacting. Corporates,
banks and facilitators will need to find acceptable solutions to overcome these 2. Increase the acceptance of digitisation within financial institutions and corpora-
challenges. This is not to say, however, that there is no value in regulators working tions
with technology companies, corporates, banks and facilitators to facilitate compliance
activities. 3. Establish a set of minimum standards for FinTechs to connect with core finan-
cial infrastructure
Customs authorities
Facilitators
Customs authorities around the world are starting to embrace single-window systems Many facilitators embrace the digital opportunity as a way to defend their position in
to allow international traders to submit regulatory documents at a single location. the trade finance ecosystem of the future.
This reduces the time and cost of dealing with government authorities to obtain the
relevant clearance and permits to move cargoes across borders. In the traditional, Shippers
pre-single-window environment, traders dealt with multiple government agencies in
multiple locations to obtain papers, permits, and clearances. Beyond the efficiency Shipping companies, such as Maersk and Singapore’s Pacific International Lines, are
gains, single-window systems will allow customs to plug into DLT-enabled platforms also looking to digitise, partly in response to cost pressure on the industry. A DLT
through APIs. platform, designed to track shipments around the world, will be able to capture end-
to-end supply chain information and help manage and track the paper trail of tens of
Some partnerships have emerged between customs authorities and tech companies millions of shipping containers.
(e.g., IBM’s DLT initiative with Dubai Customs and Dubai Trade) to integrate key
players from the ordering stage, in which the importer obtains a letter of credit from According to Maersk, a simple shipment of refrigerated goods from East Africa to
the bank, through the intermediary stages of freight and shipping, and ending with Europe can go through nearly 30 people and organisations, including more than 200
customs and payment. different interactions and communications across the network of shippers, freight
forwarders, ocean carriers, ports and customs authorities. With 90% of goods in global
Current processes involve many separate documents and bi- directional information trade carried by the ocean shipping industry each year, IBM estimates potential
flows between the different stakeholders coupled with long processing times, due to savings for carriers globally of US$38 billion per year.
waiting times and ‘waste’ activities, such as data re-entry. New processes offer aligned
standards, defined data security, and one main bi-directional information flow for all Disruptors
information sharing purposes, significantly reducing processing times.
The newest members of the trade finance ecosystem are also the most eager to
Governments accelerate digital innovation. They are putting pressure on legacy players to engage
and respond.
Some governments are trying to establish FinTech and DLT hubs. The government of
Singapore has secured DLT investments (e.g., IBM’s DLT innovation centre) as the In the freight-forwarding world, some start-ups (e.g., Flexport) are attempting to crack
island city-state, and owner of the world’s 2nd largest container port, strives to the approximately US$400 billion freight- forwarding market. Technology and data
become Asia’s dominant financial technology hub. However, Singapore’s status as the enable these nimble players to help companies better manage their end-to-end
regional hub will not go unchallenged. Other countries, including Australia, are also supply chains and find the most efficient way to get goods from origin to destination.
looking to compete for this title.
Others are attempting to provide a DLT-enabled asset registry for all containers
globally. A platform could capture real-time locations of these containers to create
efficiencies and reduce greenhouse emissions by significantly reducing the transport
of empty containers, estimated to be between 35% and 45%.
DLT’s most significant contribution so far has been to put the topic of digital in trade
finance firmly on the agenda of senior managers across all ecosystem players. DLT
has proved that it can work as a Proof of Concept (POC), but as one bank put it,
anything can work in a controlled POC environment. Digital solutions can work in
silos, but if there is a lack of interconnectivity, processes quickly revert back to paper.
Players should continue to work together to establish a new framework that works in
a digital world. Unlike previous attempts to digitise, the new framework must work
for all involved, rather than prioritise the interests of some.
IoT - Internet of Things refers to the interconnection, via the Internet, of computing
devices embedded in everyday objects, enabling them to send and receive data
KYC - Know Your Customer is the process of a business identifying and verifying the
identity of its clients
URBPO - Uniform Rules for Bank Payment Obligations are the rules adopted by the
International Chamber of Commerce for Bank Payment Obligations
ML - Machine Learning is the subfield of computer science that gives computers the
ability to learn without being explicitly programmed
UCP600 - UCP 600 is the latest rules of the letter of credit transactions issued by ICC
Jarryd Porter is a Project Leader in BCG’s London office and is a member of the Financial Institu-
tions practice. You may contact him by e-mail at [email protected].
Rony Kort is a Consultant in BCG’s London office and is a member of the Financial Institutions
practice. You may contact him by e-mail at [email protected].
Ravi Hanspal is a Consultant in BCG’s London office and is a member of the Financial Institu-
tions practice. You may contact him by e-mail at [email protected].
Huny Garg (External Contributor) is the Head of Trade & Supply Chain at SWIFT in Belgium.
You may contact him by e-mail at [email protected].
Acknowledgments
BCG and SWIFT would like to thank the various individuals and organisations we interviewed as
part of the research for this paper.
28 Digital Innovation in Trade Finance © The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. 2017. All rights reserved.
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