HSTP Ii: Health Sector Transformation Plan II
HSTP Ii: Health Sector Transformation Plan II
HSTP Ii: Health Sector Transformation Plan II
2020/21-2024/25
(2013 EFY - 2017 EFY)
February 2021
CONTENTS
Foreword......................................................................................................................................................... ....... 3
List of Acronyms.............................................................................................................................. ...................... 5
Executive Summary................................................................................................................................................. 9
Chapter 1: Introduction........................................................................................................................................... 12
Chapter 2: Country Context .................................................................................................................................... 14
Chapter 3: Performance of Health Sector Transformation Plan I – Situation Analysis ..................................... 17
3.1 Health status and economic gains ............................................................................................................. 20
3.1.1 The state of healthy life ............................................................................................................................................... 20
3.1.2 Major causes of mortality and morbidity................................................................................................................ 20
3.1.3 Economic gain.................................................................................................................................................................. 21
3.2 The status of health system performance ................................................................................................. 22
3.2.1 Progress towards universal health coverage......................................................................................................... 22
3.2.2 Healthy lifestyle and practices................................................................................................................................... 22
3.2.3 Demand for health services........................................................................................................................................ 22
3.2.4 Health security, health system resilience, and lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic............................ 22
3.2.5 Health system responsiveness.................................................................................................................................. 23
3.3 Service Delivery............................................................................................................................................ 23
3.3.1 Service delivery platforms of the health sector.................................................................................................... 24
3.3.2 Reproductive, Maternal, Neonatal, Child, Adolescent and Youth Health (RMNCAYH)............................... 24
3.3.3 Prevention and control of major diseases.............................................................................................................. 26
3.3.4 Health promotion........................................................................................................................................................... 28
3.4 The state of equity in the Ethiopian health system .................................................................................. 29
3.4.1 Geographic disparities in health................................................................................................................................. 29
3.4.2 Gender disparities in health........................................................................................................................................ 30
3.4.3 Socioeconomic disparities........................................................................................................................................... 30
3.5 Health system inputs .................................................................................................................................. 31
3.5.1 Health Workforce .......................................................................................................................................................... 31
3.5.2 Medical products and supplies .................................................................................................................................. 31
3.5.3 Health infrastructure .................................................................................................................................................... 32
3.5.4 Health financing.............................................................................................................................................................. 32
3.5.5 Health information ........................................................................................................................................................ 33
3.5.6 Community engagement ............................................................................................................................................ 34
3.6 Leadership, governance and multi-sectoral collaboration........................................................................ 34
3.6.1 Leadership and governance ....................................................................................................................................... 34
3.6.2 Multi-sectoral collaboration ....................................................................................................................................... 35
3.7 SWOT Analysis ............................................................................................................................................. 35
3.8 Stakeholder Analysis ................................................................................................................................... 37
3.9 Summary of Lessons from HSTP-I implementation ................................................................................. 38
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Chapter 4: Health Sector Transformation Plan II: Objectives, Targets, and Strategic Directions ...................... 40
4.1. Vision ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 41
4.2. Mission ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 41
4.3. Values ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 41
4.4. Objectives ................................................................................................................................................................................ 41
4.5. Targets ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 44
4.6. Strategic Directions .............................................................................................................................................................. 47
4.7. Priorities /Transformation Agendas of HSTP-II............................................................................................................ 66
Chapter 5: Costing and Financing ........................................................................................................................... 67
5.1 Costing ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 68
5.2 Financial space and costing analysis . .............................................................................................................................. 77
5.3. Financial Gap analysis . ........................................................................................................................................................ 84
5.4. The Financing Gap: Business as Usual ............................................................................................................................ 85
5.5. Financing the Gap ................................................................................................................................................................. 86
5.6. Other Financing the Gap Options ..................................................................................................................................... 87
Chapter 6: Implementation Arrangement .......................................................................................................... 89
6.1. Integration of initiatives ...................................................................................................................................................... 90
6.2. HSTP-II governance .............................................................................................................................................................. 91
6.3. Planning and budgeting ...................................................................................................................................................... 92
6.4. Health service delivery arrangements ............................................................................................................................ 94
6.5. Optimizing monitoring and review systems ................................................................................................................. 95
6.6. Multi-sectoral collaboration .............................................................................................................................................. 95
6.7. Public-private partnership .................................................................................................................................................. 96
6.8. Fostering innovation through health technology assessment and adaptation ................................................. 97
6.9. Health diplomacy, Communication and visible leadership ....................................................................................... 97
6.10. Risks and Mitigation .......................................................................................................................................................... 98
Chapter 7: Monitoring and Evaluation Plan ........................................................................................................ 99
7.1. Monitoring and Evaluation Framework ....................................................................................................................... 100
7.2. Indicators .............................................................................................................................................................................. 100
7.3. Index measurement in HSTP-II ...................................................................................................................................... 101
7.4. Transforming Data into Information and Action: The Data Cycle ........................................................................ 102
7.5. Evaluation ............................................................................................................................................................................. 103
7.6. Dissemination and communication .............................................................................................................................. 103
7.7. Coordination, Policy and Institutional Environment for Monitoring and Evaluation ..................................... 104
Annex 1: Indicators and Targets of HSTP-II .
....................................................................................................... 106
ANNEX 2: Equity indicators and targets ............................................................................................................. 111
Annex 3: References ............................................................................................................................................. 112
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FOREWORD
Ethiopia has implemented the first Health Sector
Transformation Plan (HSTP-I) from 2015/16 to
2019/20, during which significant achievements were
registered in improving the health of our population and
increasing access to and utilization of health services.
Health outcome indicators have shown improvement,
with a remarkable reduction in morbidity and mortality
from major communicable diseases such as HIV,
tuberculosis and malaria. Maternal and child health
has also improved that resulted in saving the lives of
millions of women and children.
The plan aspires to achieve UHC through expanding access to services and improving the provision of quality and
equitable comprehensive health services at all levels. We will expand health services based on the recently revised
Essential Health Services Package (EHSP), through which different high impact interventions will be made available
for each respective level of care. Reproductive, Maternal, Newborn, Child, Adolescent and Youth health will continue
to be the major focus areas. We will continue to strengthen the prevention and control of major communicable
diseases such as HIV, Tuberculosis and Malaria. As NCDs and mental health problems are becoming public health
concerns, we will give a special focus on the prevention and control of NCDs and mental health problems, mainly
through integrating these services with the primary health care system. The health extension program (HEP) will be
revitalized based on the newly revised HEP roadmap where more essential health services will be expanded to make
services more accessible to the population.
To protect the population from emergencies, we will focus on strengthening our public health emergency
management system and work towards building a resilient health system. The plan also focuses on strengthening
health investment areas such as medicines, information health workforce, health infrastructure, digital health and
innovations in health. The plan also emphasizes on strengthening multi-sectoral collaborative approach through
which we can tackle the social determinants of health. Strengthening the engagement of the private sector in the
health sector priorities is also identified as a major strategic area.
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From the 14 strategic directions, we have identified five priority areas/transformation agendas, which will be the top
priority issues of the sector. These include Quality and Equity of health Services, Information Revolution, Motivated,
Competent and Compassionate Health workforce (MCC), Health Financing and Leadership.
The first priority area, i.e, quality and equity aspires to improve the provision of quality and equitable services to the
population. A national quality and equity strategy towards achieving narrowing health disparities is being developed
and equity and quality will be mainstreamed in all of our health programs with regular measurement and improvement.
Information revolution will continue to be the priority in HSTP-II as availability and use of quality data are key for
informed evidence-based decision-making in the sector. The sector will focus on improving the production and use
of quality of data, with a special focus on improving the routine health management information system (HMIS). As
a key priority area, the sector will focus on creating a motivated, competent and compassionate health workforce,
which will be one of the key inputs to provide quality and responsive health service. To accelerate progress towards
UHC by protecting our people from financial hardship, health financing will be one of the priority areas. The sector
will work towards sustainable health financing by implementing different health financing interventions such as
insurance schemes, rigorous resource mobilization and different innovative financing mechanisms. The fifth priority
area is leadership, which will play a pivotal role in policy and strategy development, creating and strengthening
transparency and accountability in the health system, promote coordination and inter-sectoral collaboration and
overall guidance of the health system.
The HSTP-II builds on the successes and challenges of the first HSTP. Although different challenges are anticipated
from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and other political instabilities, I believe Ethiopia will continue to build
on the successes achieved so far, and mitigate the challenges that hinder progress and continue the path towards
transforming the health system and improve the health status of the population, which is the backbone to develop
a productive and prosperous nation.
The objectives of the plan can only be successful through the dedication of health workers, the continued political
commitment, collaboration and concerted effort of all stakeholders. I hope that our collaborative efforts with the
community, CSOs, development partners, donors, line ministries, academia, associations, the private sector and
other stakeholders will continue to transform the health sector and achieve the ambitious targets set in the plan.
Looking forward to working with you all towards the successful implementation of the HSTP-II and realization of the
vision.
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LIST OF ACRONYMS
AHRI Armauer Hansen Research Institute
AIDS Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome
ALOS Average Length of Stay
AMR Ant-Microbial Resistance
ANC Antenatal Care
ANC4 Antenatal Care Fourth Visit
APR Annual Performance Report
APTS Auditable Pharmaceutical Transaction and Service
ARM Annual Review Meeting
ART Antiretroviral Therapy
ARV Antiretroviral
BEmOC Basic Emergency Obstetric Care
CASH Clean and Safe Health Facilities
CBHI Community Based Health Insurance
CEmOC Comprehensive Emergency Obstetric Care
COC Certificate of Competence
COVID-19 Corona Virus Disease-19
CPD Continued Professional Development
CPR Contraceptive Prevalence Rate
CRC Compassionate Respectful and Caring
CRVS Civil Registration and Vital Statistics
CSA Central Statistical Agency
CSC Community Scorecard
CSO Civil Society Organization
DALYs Disability Adjusted Life Years
DHIS2 District Health Information System
DMAT Disaster Management Assistant Team
DPCD Disease Prevention and Control Directorate
DQA Data Quality Assessment
DR TB Drug resistance Tuberculosis
ECD Early Childhood Development
eCHIS Electronic Community Health Information System
EDHS Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey
EFDA Ethiopia Food and Drug Authority
EFY Ethiopian Fiscal Year
EHAQ Ethiopian Hospitals Alliance for Quality
EHIA Ethiopia Health Insurance Agency
EHRIG Ethiopian Hospital Reform Implementation Guideline
EHSP Essential Health Services Package
EHSTG Ethiopian Hospital Services Transformation Guideline
EmONC Emergency Obstetric and Neonatal Care
ENBC Essential New-Born Care
EOC Emergency Operations Center
EPAQ Ethiopian Primary Health Care Alliance for quality
EPHI Ethiopian Public Health Institute
EPHIA Ethiopia Population Based HIV Impact Assessment
EPI Expanded Program on Immunization
EPSA Ethiopia Pharmaceutical Supply Agency
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EPTB Extra Pulmonary Tuberculosis
ETB Ethiopian Birr
FMOH Federal Ministry of Health
FP Family Planning
GBD Global Burden of Disease
GBV Gender Based Violence
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GGE General Government Expenditure
GGHE General Government Health Expenditure
GGI Good Governance Index
GII Gender Inequality Index
GMP Growth Monitoring and Promotion
GTP Growth and Transformation Plan
HALE Healthy Life Expectancy
HAPCO HIV/AIDS Prevention and Control Office
HBV Hepatitis B Virus
HCF Healthcare Financing
HCI Human Capital Index
HCMIS Health Commodity Management Information System
HCs Health Centers
HCV Hepatitis C Virus
HDI Human Development Index
HDSS Health and Demographic Surveillance System
HEHD Hygiene and Environmental Health Directorate
HEP Health Extension Program
HEPHD Health Extension and Primary Health Directorate
HERQA Higher Education Relevance and Quality Agency
HEW Health Extension Workers
HF Health Facility
HHM Health Harmonization Manual
HiAP Health in All Policies
HIS Health Information System
HIT Health Information Technician
HITD Health Information Technology Directorate
HIV Human Immunodeficiency Virus
HMIS Health Management Information System
HP Health Post
HPV Human Papilloma Virus
HRD Human Resource Directorate
HRH Human Resource for Health
HRIS Human Resources Information System
HSTP Health Sector Transformation System
HSTQ Health Service Transformation in Quality
HTA Health Technology Assessment
ICMNCI Integrated Community Case Management of Newborn & Childhood Illness
ICT Information Communication Technology
ICU Intensive Care Unit
IDP Internally Displaced People
IHR International Health Regulation
IMNCI Integrated Management of Neonatal and Child Illness
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IMR Infant Mortality Rate
INVEA Immigration, Nationality and Vital Event Agency
IR Information Revolution
JCCC Joint Core Coordinating Committee
JCF Joint Consultative Forum
JRM Joint Review Mission
JSC Joint Steering Committee
KM Knowledge Management
KMC Kangaroo Mother Care
KPI Key Performance Indicators
KPP Key and Priority Populations
LAN Local Area Network
LIP Leadership Incubation Program
LLINs Long-Lasting Insecticidal Net
LMIS Logistic Management Information System
LQAS Lot Quality Assurance Sampling
M&E Monitoring and Evaluation
MCC Motivated, Competent and Compassionate
MCH Maternal and Child Health
MCV Measles Containing Vaccine
MDG Millennium Development Goals
MFR Master Facility Registry
MHM Menstrual Hygiene Management
MMR Maternal Mortality Ratio
MNH Maternal & Newborn Health
MOE Ministry of Education
MOH Ministry Of Health
MPDSR Maternal and Perinatal Death Surveillance and Response
MSWT Multi-Sectoral Woreda Transformation
MTCT Maternal to Child Transmission
MTR Mid-Term Reviews
NAPHS National Action Plan for Health Security
NCDI Non-Communicable Diseases and Injuries
NCoD National Classification of Disease
NGO Non-Governmental Organizations
NHA National Health Account
NHDD National Health Data dictionary
NICU Neonatal Intensive Care Unit
NNMR Neonatal Mortality Rate
NNP National Nutrition Programme
NNT Neonatal Tetanus
NTD Neglected Tropical Diseases
ODF Open Defecation Free
OHT OneHealth Tool
OOP Out of Pocket
OPD Out Patient Department
ORS Oral Rehydration Salt
PCD Partnership and Cooperation Directorate
PHC Primary Health Care
PHCU Primary Health Care Unit
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PHEM Public Health Emergency Management
PLHIV People Living with HIV
PMT Performance Monitoring Team
PMTCT Prevention of Mother to Child Transmission of HIV
PNC Postnatal Care
PPP Public-Private Partnership
QI Quality Improvement
QUALY Quality-Adjusted Life-Year
RDQA Routine Data Quality Assessment
RDT Rapid Diagnostic Test
RED Reach Every District
RHBs Regional Health Bureau
RHD Rheumatic Heart Disease
RIS Regulatory Information System
RMNCAYH Reproductive, Maternal, Neonatal, Child, Adolescent and Youth Health
RMNCH Reproductive, Maternal, Neonatal and Child Health
RRT Rapid Response Team
SALTS Saving Life Through Safe Surgery
SARA Service Availability and Readiness Assessment
SDGs Sustainable Development Goals
SHI Social Health Insurance
SPA Service Provision Assessment
SPM Strategic Planning and Management
SRH Sexual and Reproductive Health
STH Soil Transmitted Helminthiasis
STI Sexually Transmitted Infections
SUD Substance Use Disorders
SWOT Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
TB Tuberculosis
TF Total Fertility
TFC Treatment Followup Centers
TFR Total Fertility Rate
THE Total Health Expenditure
TICs Treatment Initiating Centers
TVET Technical Vocational Educational Training
U5MR Under 5 Mortality Rate
UHC Universal Health Coverage
USD United States Dollar
VLBW Very Low Birth Weight
VMMC Voluntary Medical Male Circumcision
VPN Virtual Private Network
VSD Very Sever Disease
WASH Water, Sanitation and Hygiene
WBHSP Woreda Based Health Sector Plan
WDG Women Development Group
WHO World Health Organization
WoHo Woreda Health Office
ZHD Zonal Health Department
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This is the second Health Sector Transformation Plan (HSTP-II) covering the period between Ethiopian fiscal years
2013 and 2017 (July 2020–June 2025). HSTP-II was developed as the first part of a 10-year health sector plan. It was
prepared based on an in-depth situational analysis and performance evaluation of HSTP-I; it takes into consideration
the country’s global commitments and aligns with its overall macro-economic development framework.
HSTP-I (July 2015–June 2020) achieved significant achievements despite ongoing challenges, such as internal
conflicts leading to population displacement and the COVID-19 pandemic.
The HSTP-I period was marked by encouraging improvements in life expectancy at birth. This included notable
reductions in maternal mortality (decreased 676 deaths per 100,000 live births in 2011 to 401 in 2017). In addition,
under-5 mortality and infant mortality per 1000 live births decreased from 123 and 77 in 2005 to 59 and 47,
respectively, in 2019. However, over the years, there have been no significant reductions in neonatal mortality (33
deaths per 1,000 live births in 2019).
Morbidity and mortality from common communicable diseases, including malaria, HIV, tuberculosis (TB), and vaccine-
preventable diseases, declined dramatically during HSTP-I. However, the same period witnessed a substantial rise
in the prevalence of non-communicable diseases. Although the burden of neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) is
decreasing, the proportion of people affected remains considerable.
In terms of disease risk factors, there has been a relatively high level of reduction in unsafe sex behaviour. The
prevalence of stunting, underweight, and wasting have also diminished from 51% to 37%, from 33% to 21%, and from
12% to 7% respectively, between 2005 and 2019.However, risks from water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) and
dietary factors, alcohol use, and high blood glucose level showed a lower rate of reduction.
The performance of major health programs has improved, as seen by an increase in the utilization of certain health
services. For instance, in 2019, 41% of married Ethiopian women were using contraception compared to just 27% in
2011 and 35% in 2016 (the unmet need remains considerably high at 22%). Antenatal care visit 1 (ANC1) coverage
also improved from 62% in 2016 to 74% in 2019, although only 43% of pregnant women had four or more visits.
Skilled birth delivery has increased from 28% in 2016 to 50% in 2019. The mean availability of tracer items for basic
emergency obstetrical care (BEMOC) stands at more than 85% for hospitals, 74% for health centers (HCs) and 55%
for higher-level clinics. Access to safe abortion services and post-abortion care has also expanded. In terms of child
health, in 2019, the proportion of children receiving three doses of pentavalent vaccine and all basic vaccines reached
61% and 43%, respectively.
There has also been impressive progress in prevention and control of major communicable diseases. Ethiopia is on
track to achieve one of the three targets of the Global End TB Strategy; TB incidence has declined by 21% from the
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2015 estimate (as compared to a targeted decline of 20%). TB case notification has been improving, with a detection
rate of 71% in 2019/20. TB treatment success and cure rates also reached 95% and 80%, respectively in 2019/20.
There has also been progress towards achieving two of the 90-90-90 targets for HIV: 90% of people who know
their status were on ART, with 91% achieving viral supersession. Furthermore, in 2019/20, 91% of eligible mothers
received services for antiretroviral therapy and prevention of mother-to-child transmission were available in 84%
of public health facilities. Malaria control initiatives have been on track. Between 2015 and 2019, malaria deaths
dropped from 3.6 to 0.3 per 100,000 among populations at risk. Malaria case incidence has dropped from 5.2 million
in 2015 to under 1.6 million in 2019/20.
Several interventions have been implemented to enhance financial risk protection in accessing essential health
services. These include provision of high-impact interventions free of charge through an exemption program;
subsidization of more than 80% of the cost of care in public health facilities; implementation of community-based
health insurance (CBHI) schemes; and full subsidization of the very poor through fee waivers for both health services
and CBHI premiums. A revised health care financing strategy was developed within the framework of achieving the
goal of universal health coverage.
To address the social and environmental determinants of health, the Government of Ethiopia has taken steps to
strengthen engagement with key local and international sectors and stakeholders, for example in the nutrition and
WASH programs. There have been multi-sectoral collaborative activities and interventions to improve the status of
food security and nutrition, including the high-level government commitment platform, - the “Seqota” Declaration
to end child under-nutrition by 2030. The government implemented major strategic initiatives to improve hygiene
and environmental health, such as- urban sanitation, scale up of community-led and school-led total sanitation and
hygiene, sanitation marketing, and actions to build adaptation and resilience to climate change into the health sector.
The three-tier health system—primary, secondary and tertiary—continues to be the backbone of health service
delivery. The primary health care infrastructure has expand enormously, with potential coverage reaching more than
90% in 2019. The Health Extension Program continues to make significant contributions towards improved health
indicators in the country. In the second- and third-tier facilities, implementation of strategic initiatives and reforms
has strengthened pre-hospital and hospital clinical care. Overall, outpatient attendance rate increased from 0.27 to
0.9 per capita per year between 2000 and 2019.
In 2019, the Essential Health Service Package (EHSP) was revised and endorsed with emphasis on service availability,
accessibility, acceptability, and affordability. The 1993 Health Policy has undergone revision and is currently being
finalized. Based on the HSTP-I M&E (monitoring and evaluation) framework, the health information system was
strengthened to generate data to the monitor the performance and various components of the plan.
An effective leadership and governance system further strengthened the legal and regulatory framework for
the implementation of HSTP-I. In addition, stakeholder engagement and partnership with the health sector was
strengthened through such platforms as the Joint Steering Committee meetings with Regional Health Bureaus, the
Executive Committee Meetings with agencies; and the regular meetings of the Joint Consultative Forum and the Joint
Core Coordinating Committee.
Four transformation agendas were implemented during HSTP-I: 1) Woreda Transformation, 2) Information
Revolution, 3) Transformation in Quality & Equity, and 4) Compassionate, Respectful, and Caring Health Workers.
Leadership at all levels prioritized and closely monitored these agendas; and the agendas were successful in
mobilizing resources and strengthening health sector’s efforts to achieve the positive results described above.
HSTP-II aims to build on the successes of the HSTP-I period, incorporating the lessons from its implementation.
HSTP-II is aligned with the country’s overall macro-economic development framework. The plan was developed in a
consultation with the National Plan and Development Commission by employing Strategic Planning and Management
tool, and using an inclusive and active participatory process led by the health sector. The process included iterative
gathering of feedback during which different versions of the Plan were shared with a wide range of stakeholders,
including government sectors and agencies, regional health bureaus, academia, professional associations, the private
sector, civil service organizations, and development partners.
The overall objective of HSTP-II is to improve the health status of the population–by accelerating progress towards
universal health coverage, protecting populations during health emergencies, transforming woredas, and improving
the health system’s responsiveness.
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HSTP-II has targets to measure its objectives and performance that are developed by considering baseline, national
and international standards and anticipated resources. For instance, HSTP-II has set ambitious targets to reduce the
maternal mortality rate to 279 per 100,000 live births and to reduce under-5 and neonatal mortalities to 44 and 21
per 1,000 live births, respectively. In terms of service uptake, targets include increasing skilled delivery attendance
to 76%, coverage of ANC 4 to 81%, and coverage of pentavalent (3), TB detection rate and ART coverage to 90%, 81%,
and 95%, respectively. The list of all indicators with the corresponding targets appears in the “Targets” section.
The Government of Ethiopia developed 14 strategic directions, along with their major activities, to achieve the
targets laid out in HTSP-II:
Five priority issues were identified as part of the transformation agenda for HSTP-II. Key interventions will be
implemented to address these priority issues to transform the health system and to achieve health for all. The
transformation agenda are:
1. Quality and Equity: Ensuring equity in delivery of quality health services by creating high-performing primary
health care units, ensuring active engagement of the community in service delivery, and continually improving
clinical care outcomes.
2. Information revolution: Significantly improving methods and practices for collecting, analyzing, presenting,
using, and disseminating information that can influence decisions.
3. Motivated, competent, and compassionate health workforce: Ensuring equitable distribution and availability
of an adequate number and skill mix of health workers who are motivated, competent, and compassionate to
provide quality health services.
4. Health financing: Reforming public financial management and health financing to improve efficiency and
accountability, while pursuing the agenda of sustainable domestic resource mobilization for health.
5. Leadership: Enhancing leadership and governance mechanisms at all levels of the health system to drive
attainment of the national strategic objectives through activities to ensure alignment and harmonization,
thereby creating an enabling environment for the translation of plans into results.
The overall costing for HSTP-II implementation was computed using OneHealth Tool (OHT), a tool based on the
WHO’s six health system building blocks framework. Accordingly, U.S. dollars $21.88 billion and $ 27.55 billion at
base and high-case scenario respectively is required for the five years to be covered in the plan, while the available
financial resources during that period are projected at $18.7 billion, $19.7 billion, and $21.9 billion for low-, medium-,
and high-case scenarios, respectively.
HSTP-II will be cascaded to all levels of the health system, and will be translated into annual operational plans
using the woreda-based health sector annual plan. Its implementation will be regularly monitored using the agreed
monitoring framework in a coordinated manner.
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Chapter 1
INTRODUCTION
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Ethiopia has accomplished the second growth and transformation plan (GTP-II, June 2015 – June 2020), marked by
several positive results and achievements. However, this period was also marred by internal conflicts, resulting in
large displacement of populations and creating additional burden to the health system. In addition, the COVID-19
pandemic posed a clear threat to ongoing reforms and relatively strong economic growth, with wide-ranging,
serious impacts across the country. Nevertheless, the country has still managed to achieve impressive progress in
transforming the socioeconomic status of its people.
The first Health Sector Transformation Plan (HSTP-I) was the health chapter of the GTP-II and the first phase of
the “Envisioning Ethiopia’s Path towards Universal Health Coverage through Strengthening Primary Health Care
by 2035.” The performance of HSTP-I has been critically reviewed through annual performance reviews and ad hoc
assessments, including routine Health Information Management System (HMIS) assessments, mid-term reviews,
Joint Review Mission reports, and various population- and facility-based surveys.
These reviews show that Ethiopia has achieved the goals of the GTP despite the challenges mentioned above.
These achievements were made possible due to the implementation of high-impact interventions, primarily through
flagship community-based programs such as the Health Extension Program (HEP). Through the implementation of
the four Transformation Agendas (1. Woreda Transformation, 2. Information Revolution, 3. Transformation in Quality
& Equity, and 4. Compassionate, Respectful, and Caring Health Workers), the health sector has developed momentum
to address critical health system bottlenecks. The health sector has also ardently advocated for multi-sectoral
collaboration to address the social determinants of health. However, the COVID-19 pandemic caused an important
setback and threatened to unwind these gains and achievements.
The second Health Sector Transformation Plan (HSTP-II) is the next five-year national health sector strategic plan,
which covers the period between 2013–2017 Ethiopian fiscal years (July 2020–June 2025). During this strategic
period, the sector envisions building on the successes and consolidating the gains of HSTP-I to build a resilient,
sustainable, high-quality, equity-based health system. Thus, the preparation of HSTP-II was informed by in-depth
situational analysis of the performance of the health sector during HSTP-I. The plan also took into account the
nation’s long-term socioeconomic strategic directions and priorities, the global situation and country’s commitments
to sustainable development goals, and the dynamics of social determinants of health.
The Ministry of Health (MOH) and Regional Health Bureaus (RHBs) used an active participatory process to develop
the HSTP-II. The health sector first identified the nation’s long-term strategic goals in consultation with the National
Plan and Development Commission, using the Strategic Planning and Management tool. A series of consultations
were held with the private sector, academia, professional associations, other government sectors and development
partners. These consultations were instrumental in developing a comprehensive plan and ensuring commitment and
shared vision among all stakeholders, and the resulting feedback was incorporated in the plan.
HSTP-II’s objectives and strategic directions were developed based on the situational analysis of the HSTP-I; and
the baseline and targets were developed using data from recent surveys and in consultation with program experts.
Costing and target setting was developed using a OneHealth tool designed to inform national strategic health
planning in low- and middle-income countries by linking strategic objectives and targets of health programs to the
required investments in health systems.
The six chapters that follow give a comprehensive overview of HSTP-II. Chapter 2 covers the country context; Chapter
3 describes the situation analysis; Chapter 4 outlines the objectives, targets, and strategic directions of HSTP-II;
Chapter 5 details the costing and financial gap analysis; Chapter 6 describes the implementation arrangement; and
Chapter 7 covers the monitoring and evaluation (M&E) plan.
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Chapter 2
COUNTRY CONTEXT
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Geography
Ethiopia is located in the North-Eastern part of Africa, also known as the Horn of Africa. It is bordered by Sudan and
South Sudan on the west, Eritrea and Djibouti on the northeast, Somalia on the East and Southeast, and Kenya on
the south. Ethiopia lies between the Equator and Tropic of Cancer, between the 30oN and 150oN Latitude and 330o E
and 480o E longitude.
The country occupies an area of 1.1 million km2 and water bodies occupy 7,444 km2. Ethiopia is a country with rich
geographical diversity that includes rugged mountains, flat-topped plateaus, deep gorges, and river valleys. Over the
ages, erosion, volcanic eruptions and tectonic movements have contributed to the nation’s diverse topography. More
than half of the geographic area of the country lies 1,500 m above sea level. The highest altitude is at Ras Dashen
(4,620 m above sea level) and the lowest altitude is at Danakil (Dallol) Depression (148 m below sea level).
Demographic Profile
With a population of about 101 million in 2020, Ethiopia is the second most populous country of Africa and ranks
12th in the world. Ethiopia is the home to various ethnicities, with more than 80 different spoken languages. The
country is characterized by rapid population growth (2.6%), young age structure, and a high dependency ratio, with
a high rural-urban differential. Ethiopia has a high total fertility rate of 4.6 births per woman (2.3 in urban areas and
5.2 in rural areas) and a corresponding crude birth rate of 32 per 1000 in 2016. The average household size is 4.6.
By 2024, the population is projected to reach 109.5 million (Central Statistics Agency, Juy 2013) and will reach 122.3
million by 2030 (See Figure 1 below).
Children under age 15 years and individuals in the age group of 15-65 years account for 47% and 49% of the population,
respectively. Only 4% of the population is above the age of 65 years. The sex ratio between males and females is
almost equal, and women of reproductive age constitute about 23% of the population. Nearly 80% of the population
lives in rural areas mainly depend on subsistence agriculture (Central Statistics Agency, Juy 2013).
2020 2029
80 80
65-69 65-69
60-64 60-64
54-59 54-59
50-54 50-54
45-49 45-49
40-44 40-44
35-39 35-39
30-34 30-34
25-29 25-29
20-24 20-24
15-19 15-19
10-14 10-14
5-9 5-9
0-4 0-4
6 4 2 0 2 4 6 6 4 2 0 2 4 6
Demographic shift/dividend
Ethiopia’s population age structure has the potential to yield demographic dividends since the majority of the
population is young. However, harnessing this dividend will depend on the country’s ability to scale up human capital
investments and address existing inequalities. With enhanced efforts to reduce health and education inequalities
between urban and rural areas and among regional states, Ethiopia can benefit from accelerated economic growth
and improve citizens’ quality of life. Strategic investments in health, education, economic policy, and governance will
be crucial to achieve substantial gains from the demographic dividend.
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Socioeconomic situation
Ethiopia is engaged in rapid, comprehensive development activities to transition from poverty to sustainable,
reliable growth and prosperity. Since 1991, the country has implemented several macroeconomic policies, including
a market-based and agriculture-led industrialization. The government has introduced initiatives to ensure successful
transformation from an agrarian to industry-led economy. The country has registered commendable achievements
on Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) mainly in reducing poverty head count, achieving universal primary
education, narrowing gender disparities in primary education, reducing child and neonatal mortality, and combating
HIV, TB, and malaria.
Ethiopia is a low-income country with a gross domestic product (GDP) per capita (current US$) of $772 in 2018, up
from about $340 in 2010. It is one of the fastest-growing economies in Africa, experiencing an average annual growth
of about 10% between 2004 and 2014. The main contributors to the economic growth are agriculture, industry,
and service sectors. According to Ethiopia’s poverty assessment report, household poverty rate has diminished
remarkably, by around 20%, between 2011 and 2016 (World Bank 2019). However, despite its significant economic
growth, the country remains one of the world’s poorest.
Women’s empowerment has been an important feature of Ethiopia’s economic reform. The Ethiopian Constitution
recognizes the principle of equality of access to economic opportunities, employment, and property ownership for
women. According to a report by the Central Statistical Agency (CSA), the national income inequality coefficient
increased from 0.298 in 2010/11 to 0.328 in 2015/16.
Between 2000 and 2017, Ethiopia’s Human Development Index value increased from 0.283 to 0.463, an increase of
63.5%. However, it remains below the average of 0.504. According to the 2019 World Bank report, Ethiopia’s Human
Capital Index is 0.38, making Ethiopia 135th of 157 countries (The World Bank, 2019).
The road coverage has increased by six-folds compared to 1990, with total road length reaching 105,000 kms. Under
the Universal Rural Road Access Program, about 10,765 rural kebeles are now connected, creating better access
to health care for millions of mothers and children. Connectivity via modern communication devices has improved
tremendously, with 32 million mobile phone subscribers, which expands opportunities for digital health.
The Ethiopian health sector, alongside other sectors, is playing its part as a means of economic growth. The
contribution of the sector towards national socioeconomic development is critical, as equitable human development
well-being relies on the health status and well-being of individuals and communities. Investing in health is an
investment in current and future generations, and towards sustainable development. Health is also a measure of
inclusive growth that should be commensurate with economic development. Otherwise, economic growth without
equitable social development may not be sustainable. The health sector should therefore be viewed as a conduit to
development, and as a means to ensuring social justice and sustainable economic development.
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Chapter 3
PERFORMANCE OF HEALTH SECTOR
TRANSFORMATION PLAN I – SITUATION ANALYSIS
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This section provides a comprehensive overview of the progress made in achieving the Ethiopian health sector’s
goals and objectives. The section also presents some of the key lessons from the implementation of HSTP-I, including
strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) and stakeholder analysis of the Ethiopian health system.
The Ethiopian health system framework (Figure 2), adapted from the WHO African region framework, is used to
analyze and structure the situation analysis.
Mission: To promote the health and wellbeing of the society through providing and regulating
a comprehensive package of health services of the highest possible quality in an equitable manner
Impact
Improved Health Status Economic Gain
Efficiency
Intermediate
Results
Universal Health Coverage Woreda Transformation
Protect People from Health
Health System Responsiveness
Emergencies
Processes
Equity & Quality
Information
Community
Products &
Workforce
Financing
Supplies
Medical
Health
Health
Health
Health
Inputs
Principles
Figure 2. Ethiopia’s health system framework (adapted from the WHO African regional framework)
Overall, while HSTP-I was successful on some fronts, the performance on certain domains in the health system
framework, as measured by key performance indicators from its M&E framework, was in general sub-optimal. Table
1 summarizes the baseline, targets, and achievements of HSTP-I on key performance indicators. Details on specific
topics are presented in subsequent sub-sections.
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Table 1. Summary of performance for HSTP-I key performance indicators
2015
Domain Indicator HSTP-I Target Achievement
baseline
Life expectancy at birth (in years) 64 69 65.5
Maternal morality ratio 420 199 401
Under five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 64 30 59
Infant mortality (per 1,000 live births) 44 20 47
Neonatal morality (per 1,000 live births) 28 10 33
Health status Stunting (under five years old) 40 26 37
Wasting (under five years old) 9 4.9 7
HIV incidence rate (per 1,000) 0.03 0.25 0.16
TB incidence rate (per 100,000) 224 156 151
TB mortality rate (per 100,000) 32 17 22
Malaria death rate (per 100,000) 0.6 0.32
Contraceptive prevalence rate 42 55% 41%
Unmet need for FP 24 10% 22%
ANC (at least four visits) 95% 43%
Skilled birth attendance 90% 50%
Postnatal care coverage 95% 34%
Still birth rate (per 1000 live births) 18 10 15
CS rate as proportion of births 2.2 8 4
ART to prevent MTCT of HIV 59% 95% 91%
Status of Priority
Three doses of pentavalent immunization 98% 61%
Health Programs
Exclusive breast feeding at six months 72% 59%
ART coverage – Adult >=15 years 82% 90% 75.8%
TB case detection rate 61% 87% 71%
TB treatment success rate 92% 95% 95%
Proportion of women screened for cervical Ca 0.6% 20% 5%
% of HHs with safe water source 35% 28%
OPD attendance per capita 0.48 2 0.9
Average length of stay 4.3 5 days 4.5 days
Health emergency risk management
Proportion of emergency affected people
Health Security 36% 95% 84%
provided rehabilitation
Proportion of epidemics controlled NA 85% 80%
Health workers per 1,000 population 0.84 1.6 1.74
Proportion of Woredas with CBHI 15% 80% 70%
OOP as a proportion of THE 33.7% 15% 31%
Health System
% of HCs with BEmONC 56% 100% 74%
Investments
% of hospitals with CEmONC 83% 100% 85%
Essential medicines availability at PHC 90% 100% 48%
Report completeness 72% 90% 89%
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3.1 HEALTH STATUS AND ECONOMIC GAINS
3.1.1 The state of healthy life
Life expectancy at birth increased from 58 years in 2007 to 65.5 years in 2017, with an annual rate of increase
ranging from 1.98% in 2007 to 0.7% in 2016. Despite encouraging improvements in life expectancy at birth, premature
death and suboptimal quality of life still constitute major health and development challenges in Ethiopia. Although
health-adjusted life expectancy at birth (57.5 years) is above the average for low-income countries (54.9 years), it is
still lower than the global average (63.3 years) and that of low- to middle-income countries (59 years).
120%
100%
80%
60% 74% 70% 58%
40%
20% 17% 24% 35%
0% 9% 6% 7%
Figure 3. Relative share of categories of diseases for DALYs lost in Ethiopia, 1999-2019
Ethiopia has documented notable achievements in improving the health status of women and children in the last
two decades. Between 1990 and 2015, child deaths have diminished by two-thirds. The under-5 mortality rate
decreased from 123 per 1,000 live births in 2005 to 59 in 2019. Similarly, the infant mortality rate decreased from 77
per 1,000 live births to 47 in 2019. However, maternal and neonatal mortalities remain high. The decline in maternal
mortality declined was modest: from 871 deaths per 100,000 livebirths in 2000 to 401 in 2017. Similarly, neonatal
mortality declined modestly, from 39 deaths per 1,000 livebirths in 2000 to 33 in 2019. (Figure 4)
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Trends in Childhood Mortality Rates in Ethiopia, 2005-2019
140
123
120
100 88
80 77 67
59 59
60 48
47
40
39 37 33
20 29
0
2005 EDHS 2011 EDHS 2016 EDHS 2019 EDHS
In the last two decades, morbidity and mortality from common communicable diseases such as HIV, drug susceptible
TB and vaccine preventable diseases like measles has decreased, including during the HSTP-I period. Due to the lack
of comparable data, it has been difficult to measure the impact on mortality from NCDs. However, data from the
Global Burden of Disease (2019) suggests that an increasing trend in the proportion of deaths is attributable to NCDs
(Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, 2019).
Injuries, accidents, and mental health problems are becoming growing concerns. The 2016 Ethiopia Demographic
and Health Survey (EDHS) showed that 3% of households reported having at least one member who was injured or
killed in the 12 months before the survey (CSA [Ethiopia] and ICF Macro [USA], 2016). As per WHO estimates, road
traffic accidents caused 27 deaths per 100,000 population in 2016 (WHO, 2018). The burden of neglected tropical
diseases (NTD) is decreasing, even though a considerable number of people in Ethiopia are still affected. In 2017,
NTDs caused 547,599 DALYs annually (1.4% of the total DALYs lost from any cause), and 3 deaths per 100,000
population, accounting for 0.6% of the total deaths in the country in the same year.
Nevertheless, further investment is critical to sustain these gains and improve access to services and quality of care.
A study found that in 2015 there were 8 million avoidable premature deaths due to lack of access to quality care,
leading to $6 trillion in annual economic loss (Harvard Medical School, 2018). Inadequate access to high-quality
health care results in significant mortality and imposes a macroeconomic burden that is inequitably distributed, with
the largest relative burden falling on low-income countries like Ethiopia. It is estimated that COVID-19 will shave 2.9
percentage points off this fiscal year’s economic growth in Ethiopia.
Poor-quality care can also lead to important waste and inefficiency. Health-care waste includes the overuse of
unnecessary care or ineffective approaches, medical errors, unsafe care, incoordination of care, misuse (including
inappropriate hospital admissions and bypassing), fraud, and abuse.
The World Health Report (2010) estimated that about 20-40% of all health sector resources are wasted and
highlighted leading sources of inefficiency (WHO, 2010). According to a study done in public health facilities in
Ethiopia, the average number of outpatient equivalent visits per clinical staff per day in primary hospitals was 2.54
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in 2016. This is slightly lower than output production found among health centers in Ethiopia, at 3.7 outpatient
equivalent visits per clinical staff per day (Peter Berman, 2016). The average pure technical efficiency score among the
inefficient primary, secondary, and tertiary hospitals and health centers were 68%, 66%, 61%, and 79%, respectively,
implying that on average, these same facilities could reduce their inputs by 32%, 44%, 39%, and 21%, without reducing
outputs. Those efficiency reports indicate some areas where improvements in resource allocation and use improve
the efficiency of health services.
With respect to financial risk protection, according to the National Health Account (NHA)-7, out-of-pocket (OOP)
spending on health remains high at 31% of Total Health Expenditure (THE) in 2016/17, with a significant proportion
of households (4.2%) facing catastrophic health expenses (Ministry of Health of Ethiopia, 2019).
3.2.4 Health security, health system resilience, and lessons from the COVID-19
pandemic
In the Joint External Evaluation conducted in 2016 by MOH and WHO using the International Health Regulations
(IHR) framework, Ethiopia scored 2.6 out of a possible 4 points (highest scores for national legislation and policy, and
lowest score for chemical and radiation events).
Overall, public health emergency management in Ethiopia has been effective, including outbreak investigations and
timely responses. During the period of the HSTP-I, rehabilitation services were provided to 84% of people affected by
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public health emergencies. The proportion of epidemics controlled within acceptable mortality rates also increased
from 40% in 2015/16 to 80% in 2017/18. In terms of laboratory confirmation of outbreaks, the performance
has remained consistently above 80% between 2015 and 2018. However, certain challenges remain, such as
limited surveillance capacity at the lower levels, poor functionality of emergency operations centers (EOCs), poor
documentation of rumors and a limited verification system, suboptimal laboratory-based surveillance, inadequate
emergency funds, inadequate preparedness for pandemics such as COVID-19, and conflicts that lead to many
internally displaced people (IDPs).
The COVID-19 pandemic offered a number of lessons on the need to continue investing in and improving public
health to build a resilient health system. The experience points these priority needs:-
§ Improve emergency health management: Strengthen the public health emergency management (PHEM)
system at all levels of the health system. Decentralization of PHEM functions is critical for timely detection
and containment of outbreaks and emergencies. Operationalizing PHEM at all levels will requires identification
of a dedicated PHEM team with strong linkages to a robust community surveillance system. Strengthening of
everyday preparedness and integration of clinical and public health response at each level is crucial.
§ Establish an emergency funding source: To respond to the need for additional flexible funds to respond to
emergencies, a contingency fund should be established. In addition, a pre-defined financial, human, infrastructure,
and supplies mobilization scheme should be considered to cover acute periods of such emergencies.
§ Develop an emergency supply plan: Prior planning to manage stocks of the medicines, supplies, and medical
devices needed to maintain essential and pandemic health services at each level of health care is critical. This
should take into consideration possible supply and transport disruptions during a pandemic.
§ Strengthen governance: Strong leadership and governance are paramount for an effective response. This should
include multi-sectoral coordination mechanisms, at national and local levels, among government ministries,
competent authorities, nongovernmental organizations, and non-state actors involved in preparedness and
response activities. Health care leaders should implement actions to strengthen health sector coordination
and communication mechanisms with preparedness, response and recovery partners (e.g., national emergency
management and other government agencies, and the health care sector at subnational and local levels).
§ International solidarity: The COVID-19 pandemic has underlined the need for global solidarity. No country can
tackle the pandemic and overcome its economic and social impact alone.
According to WHO-AFRO report, the health system’s score for responsiveness and satisfaction in Ethiopia is 0.52,
which is slightly above the average for the African region (0.47). Access to social support has the highest score, at
1.0. Other aspects, such as autonomy, prompt attention, and choice of care provider have lower scoring: 0.25, 0.27,
and 0.31, respectively (WHO Regional Office for Africa, 2018). Contributing factors for the low scores include long
waiting time, lack of clean toilets, lack of privacy in examination rooms, absence of directions and communications
on post-visit care, lack of laboratory and radiologic services, and other facility characteristics. Health workers’ lack of
respect for patient privacy is a common main reason for low satisfaction with outpatient services (Fufa BD, 2019). By
contrast, good communication and attitude from health staff improve client satisfaction (Kumsa A, 2016).
The national assessment of the HEP also identified a number of areas for improvement. Priority areas include
expanding the HEP service package to meet the ever-growing needs of the community, addressing gaps in quality of
care provided by health extension workers (HEWs), revising the number and mix of health professionals, strengthening
HEP infrastructure to allow the provision of more comprehensive and improved services, improving the functionality
of community structures and its engagement, strengthening HEP leadership, and revising information system to
allow effective monitoring and evaluation of the program. Also, the current HEP service packages, delivery modalities,
and service delivery points were found to be inadequate, leading to marginalization of males and youth.
However, numerous continuing challenges persist: poor coordination and referral linkages, inefficient facility
management and weak accountability, weak ambulance management system, low staffing in and client satisfaction,
and a need for more ICUs and ICU equipment—among others. In addition, rehabilitative and palliative care services
were limited, as were specialty and subspecialty clinical services.
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about other methods, counseled on side effects, and counselled on what to do if side effects occur since 2015 (PMA
2019).
Younger women are having sex later, getting married later, having births later and starting contraceptive use earlier
than older women. On average, rural women give birth to two children before starting contraception for the first
time, while urban women start contraception after their first birth (PMA 2019).
Despite the encouraging reduction in under-5 mortality rate, it is still estimated that 189,000 under-five children
die from preventable childhood diseases every year with more than half happening during their neonatal period.
Many more children suffer illnesses and face long-term disabilities due to complications of neonatal and childhood
diseases. Neonatal disorders, diarrhoea and lower respiratory infections remain the major killers of under-five
children contributing for 40.7%, 13.2% and 10.3% of total deaths respectively. Injury, measles, and malaria are also
major killers of under five children (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, 2019) . Malnutrition remains to be a
major contributor to child mortality contributing for nearly half of under-5 deaths.
The progress of Ethiopia in preventing childhood deaths has been less successful in the prevention of neonatal
mortality. The proportion of neonatal deaths from the total under-five deaths increased from 43% in 1990 to 55% in
2019 (EPHI and ICF, 2019). In addition, equivalent numbers of stillbirths occur, representing a “silent epidemic”. Close
to half of stillbirths occur during the process of labour and delivery. More than 80% of all newborn deaths are caused
by preventable and treatable conditions. Congenital anomalies are also becoming notable contributors to neonatal
mortality, morbidity and disability. Generally, half of neonatal deaths occur in the first day of life, and some three
quarters of all neonatal deaths occur within the first week of life.
Despite increasing accessibility of services, uneven distribution of health resources, sub-optimal quality of care,
low child health care seeking behaviour of communities, low coverage of Kangaroo mother care (KMC) services,
and shortage of essential health commodities and equipment at service delivery points remain to be key challenges
contributing to high rates of neonatal mortality.
3.3.2.3 Immunization
In 2019, coverage with three doses of pentavalent vaccine and all basic vaccines among children under 1 year
of age reached 61% and 44%, respectively. However, about 19% of children had no vaccination at all. There is also
high vaccination dropout rate with a national dropout of 13% from pentavalent 1 to measles, with high regional
variation. Factors in low immunization coverage include inadequate cold chain infrastructure, data inconsistency
among different reports, inadequate service delivery and behavioral change communication, and sub-optimal overall
management of the Extended Program on Immunization.
TB case notification has been improving, with a detection rate of 71%. In 2019/20, TB treatment success and cure
rates also reached 95% and 80%, respectively (MOH, 2019). According to the mid-term review of the national TB
and Leprosy strategy in 2018, among health facilities having TB smear microscopy, 74% participated in external
quality assurance (EQA) schemes and the concordance rate was 96%. According to SARA 2018, 50% and 39% of
health facilities (excluding health posts) offered TB diagnosis by sputum smear microscopy examination and clinical
symptoms, respectively. Multi-drug-resistant (MDR) TB is a public health concern as the number of cases increase
in Ethiopia. Since 2009, a cumulative of 4,906 drug-resistant TB (DR TB) patients were detected and enrolled
on second-line drug treatment. As of 2019, there are 59 DR TB treatment initiative centers, and more than 700
treatment follow-up centers providing DR TB treatment services.
The prevalence of leprosy has sharply declined, from 20 per 10,000 population in 1983 to 0.34 per 10,000 population
in 2018/19. The number of leprosy cases detected in 2011 Ethiopian Fiscal Year (EFY) (2018/19) was higher than the
number detected in the last two years. A total of 3,383 new leprosy cases were detected in 2018/19, mainly from
Oromia and Amhara regions (MOH, 2019).
Increasing case detection, addressing MDR TB, accelerating response to TB/HIV, increasing financing to close
resource gaps, and intensifying research and innovations remain some of the main priorities for prevention and
control of TB and leprosy.
The 2019 World Malaria Report indicated that Ethiopia is on track for a 40% reduction in incidence and mortality by
2020. However, high-level resistance of malaria vectors to insecticides, sub-optimal usage of interventions by target
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communities, complacency in maintaining the momentum, delay in implementing the national case management
guidelines, and shortage of complete and timely data for evidence-based decision-making are remaining challenges
that need close attention.
In 2015, about 16% of the population is hypertensive, with higher prevalence among urban (22%) than those rural
dwellers (13%). In addition, the prevalence of rheumatic heart disease was 17 per 1000 children and young adults
aged 4-24 years. Diabetes, asthma, chronic kidney disease, and eye diseases are among the major NCDs affecting
Ethiopians (NCDI Commission, 2018) .
Despite the increasing burden of NCDs, available health services are very limited. The 2018 SARA assessment
revealed that only 36%, 49%, 53% and 9% of health facilities, excluding health posts, offered diagnosis and treatment
for diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, chronic respiratory diseases, and cervical cancer, respectively. Overall readiness
score for these services is very low, ranging from 18% for chronic respiratory disease diagnosis/management to 51%
for cervical cancer diagnosis (FMOH and EPHI, 2018).
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3.3.4 Health promotion
Health promotion has been central to all policies and strategies in Ethiopia. During HSTP-I, the health sector focused
on promoting multi-sectoral actions on nutrition and WASH.
3.3.4.1 Nutrition
Ethiopia has one of the highest rates of malnutrition in sub-Saharan Africa, and faces high rates of acute and chronic
malnutrition and micronutrient deficiencies. Between 2005 and 2019, the prevalence of stunting decreased from 51%
to 37%; underweight declined from 33% to 21%; and wasting decreased from 12% to 7%. The prevalence of anemia in
children aged 6 to 59 months, and in women in the reproductive age group, were 57% and 24%, respectively.
During HSTP-I, considerable efforts were made to improve food security and nutrition. Multi-sectoral collaborative
interventions were implemented with the objectives of improving nutritional status of children and women. In
2015, the government launched a major collaborative platform, a high-level government commitment called Seqota
Declaration, to end child under-nutrition by 2030, and this intervention is continuing. In addition, the health sector
also implemented nutrition interventions, including micronutrient supplementation, deworming, screening and
growth monitoring, and management of malnutrition.
Despite national commitment and continued efforts, several cross-cutting issues remain. These include missed
opportunities to integrate nutrition into the health sector, introduce nutrition-sensitive RMNCH interventions, and
mainstream multi-sectoral nutrition programs into other sectors; along with frequent changes of National Nutrition
Program implementing sectors officials at all levels, inadequate capacity of HEWs, and weak supply chain systems.
Sanitation in schools and health facilities is also a major problem in Ethiopia: 40% of schools have unimproved latrines;
only 6% of schools have basic hand-washing facilities with soap; and 18% have limited services (WHO and UNICEF,
2019). According to 2017 baseline survey on menstrual hygiene management in Ethiopia, 50.9% of girls reported
that they discuss menstruation with their close friends, 24% with their sisters, and 16.3% with their mothers (MOH
and UNICEF, 2017).
During the first phase of the One WASH national program (2015-2019), a total of 1,920 health facilities obtained
water supply schemes and 3,109 health facilities obtained access to latrine facilities. The HSTP-I target for health
institutions with gender and disability sensitive full WASH packages is 60%. However, only 34% of health facilities have
an improved water source in the facility premises. Besides two third (61%) of facilities have access to an improved
sanitation facility in the premises and 52% health facilities had safe disposal of infectious wastes according to the
2018 service availability and readiness assessment (OWNP, 2019).
Low coverage of sanitation facilities at schools and health facilities, poor household-level hygiene and sanitation,
poor community attitudes and behavior regarding hygiene and environmental health, poor regulation of unhygienic
practices, and weak coordination among different sectors remain in need of improvement.
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3.4 THE STATE OF EQUITY IN THE ETHIOPIAN
HEALTH SYSTEM
Despite efforts to reduce regional disparities, inequitable distribution of health outcomes and health services
continues across different segments of the population. Health indicators vary significantly by region, place of
residence, gender, disability status, education, and socioeconomic status. In general, urban residents, literates, and
wealthier segments of society enjoy better health outcomes compared to others (Firew Tekle Bobo, 2017).
Results of the 2019 Mini EDHS show that although there have been improvements, inequalities persist. However,
health disparities are still unacceptably wide across different segments of the population and across regions and
the urban-rural divide, calling for innovative solutions to address the root causes (EPHI and ICF, 2019). As shown
in Figure 5, the probability of dying during the early childhood period (per 1000 live births) is considerably higher in
some regions compared to others.
Number of deaths during early childhood period (per 1000 live births), by region,
2019
Somali
Benishangul Gumuz
Gambella
Dire Dawa
Oromia
Amhara
Harari
Afar
SNNP
Tigray
Addia Ababa
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Figure 5. The probability of early childhood deaths by time of death and regions, 2019
The results of the 2019 mini-DHS showed that coverage with RMNCH services is consistently lower in rural areas and
special support regions as compared to that in urban areas and non-special support regions. The widest urban-rural
disparity in maternal health service utilization occurred in health facility delivery. The use of modern family planning
methods varies significantly across regions. In 2019, the contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) (modern methods)
ranged from 3.4% in Somali Region to 49.5% in Amhara. Vaccination with all basic vaccines varied from 18.2% in
Somali Region to 73.0% in Tigray and 83.3% in Addis Ababa. In 2019, the under-5 mortality rate was 59 deaths per
1,000 live births, ranging from 26 in Addis Ababa to 101 in Somali.
Similarly, utilization of RMNCH services largely varied by educational status and wealth quintiles. Individuals and
households with higher educational status and in the higher and highest wealth quintiles had consistently better
health service utilization indicators compared to their less educated and poorer counterparts (Firew Tekle Bobo,
2017) (Figure 6).
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Maternal health service utilization by household wealth quintile
100
80
60
40
20
0
ANC Health Facility Delivery PNC
Overall, there are pressing needs to address geographic and regional disparities in health services access, utilization,
and outcomes. Major challenges include inconsistency in priorities, limited contextualization of health service delivery
systems, low community awareness and utilization of available services, mal-distribution and wrong placement of
health workers, and inadequate infrastructure. Addressing these challenges will require context-specific, innovative
solutions to tackle the root causes.
However, efforts to address gender disparities in health is still in its early stages. Gender-disaggregated data from
the routine health information system, population-based surveys, including the EDHS, and model-based estimations
show that women in general have a longer life expectancy than men do. However, women tend to receive health
services less frequently than their male counterparts, possibly compromising their quality of life. In Ethiopia, gender
disparities in health service utilization may be linked to the women’s limited decision-making power at the household
level. Factors such as needing permission to visit a health facility, obtaining money for treatment, distance to a health
facility, and unwillingness to go to a health facility alone are important barriers to women’s health service utilization.
Among the major challenges in the addressing gender disparities in health are limited enforcement of existing
laws and policies on the rights of women and girls, limited capacity among health care workers in designing and
implementing gender-responsive health services, and limited capacity for providing comprehensive, multi-sectoral
services to survivors of sexual GBV.
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3.5 HEALTH SYSTEM INPUTS
3.5.1 Health Workforce
Increasing access to compassionate, respectful, and caring health workers was one of the transformation agendas
of HSTP-I, and the government sought to increase the availability of health workers. In 2018, health worker density
was estimated at 1.0 per 1,000 population (considerably lower than 4.5 per 1000 population standard proposed
by WHO to achieve UHC). The inadequate skill mix of health professionals is another issue; there is a relatively high
number of nurses but a shortage of medical doctors, midwives, anesthetists, pharmacists, and medical laboratory
technologists. To address this, MOH and the MOE have committed to scaling up health professional training in public
and private universities and colleges.
Key initiatives implemented during HSTP-I include upgrading HEWs and expansion of medical residency
(specialization) and nursing specialty trainings and scale up midwifery and anesthesia professional trainings. The
Ethiopian Residency Matching Program for 22 medical specialty programs enrolls an average of 1,050 residents per
year in 13 public universities; 3,150 residents were in training in 2019. The nursing specialty training program was
started with categories for neonatal, emergency and critical care, operating room, pediatric and surgical nursing.
However, it fell short of meeting the target with only 1,113 enrolled and 771 graduated in 2019 against a target of
11,780 specialty nurses.
To improve the quality of health professional education, the Higher Education Relevance and Quality Agency
(HERQA) is working actively to accredit private health education institutions. A Certificate of Competence (COC)
program was developed based on Ethiopian occupational standard, serving as a criterion for licensing graduates of
technical vocational education training-level trainees. MOH also implemented a National Licensing Examination for
first-degree graduates of seven health care types to measure their competencies and issue license accordingly. To
address the need for continuous professional development, MOH developed and approved the national continued
professional development (CPD) implementation guidelines, followed by identification and accreditation of CPD
provider institutions. The CPD program is expected to become a requirement for re-licensing of health workers.
In 2009, the MOH introduced the Human Resources Information System (HRIS) to facilitate routine data collection
and management. However, the system has not been fully functional at various levels, and has failed to produce
comprehensive national HR information. During the HSTP-I period, the MOH took actions to strengthen the HRIS.
High staff turnover has been a persistent challenge for the health sector. To motivate and retain health staff, MOH
developed a new incentive package for health workers that is allocated based on pre-identified exposure level of
risk. Interventions need to continue during HSTP-II to build and sustain a competent, motivated, and compassionate
health workforce, with adequate number and skill mix. Moreover, human resource management has to be further
improved to retain a motivated health workforce.
With the need to shift from product-oriented to patient-oriented services, several initiatives were carried out
during HSTP-I, including rollout of auditable pharmaceutical transactions and service (APTS) in 200 health facilities,
introduction of clinical pharmacy and drug information services, and increased emphasis on anti-microbial resistance
(AMR).
However, several challenges remain. For instance, a recent essential tracer medicines availability survey indicates
that nationally, 21.8% of hospitals and health centers fulfilled more than 80% of the storage conditions. Hospitals
demonstrated better performance, fulfilling more than 80% of storage conditions versus only 18.9% of health centers
1. A score composed of indicators that include readiness of diagnostics and essential medicines, density of pharmacy professionals, and rate
of blood donation
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and 4.6% of health posts. Comparison of data between 2015 and 2018 surveys showed that the percentage of
hospitals that met at least 80% of the storage conditions has increased from 43.0% in 2015 to 71.4%, whereas the
storage availability declined from 63.0% to 44.6% in health centers. Progress on plans to reduce pharmaceuticals
wastage rate to less than 2% and increase the contribution of local manufacturers in supplying EPSA to 60% are far
behind 2020 targets, but there is a challenge in last-mile delivery of medical supplies. There are also challenges
in procurement, maintenance, and inventory management of medical equipment, along with a gap in testing the
efficacy of generic drugs produced in Ethiopia, due to lack of bioequivalence centers.
The blood safety program has shown improvement in geographical coverage of the population/ hospitals accessing
safe blood services from 90% to 100% in 5 years. Thus, through a network of the blood bank sites, safe blood and
blood products have been made available to 420 health facilities across the country. Total units of blood collected
per annum increased from 121,960 in 2015 to 288,966 unit in 2019/20, mainly provided by voluntary blood donors
(99.5%). Despite this significant increase in the amount of blood collected, there is a profound lack of production and
utilization of blood products.
To ensure safety and efficacy of traditional medicines, efforts are underway to strengthen research on and production
of quality-assured traditional medicine in Ethiopia.
In the HSTP-II period, actions including proper quantification and forecasting, reduced procurement lead-time should
continue to ensure an uninterrupted supply of quality-assured medicines and supplies, to avoid stockouts and ensure
timely access to essential medicines and health products.
The SARA 2018 survey assessed availability of seven basic amenity tracer items.2 These were found only in 1% of the
764 health facilities assessed. The mean availability of tracer items for all facilities assessed was 39%, with referral
hospitals scoring the highest and health posts the lowest (30%). Current administrative reports, however, show that
water and electricity are available in 59% and 76% of health facilities, respectively.
In terms of the network infrastructure system (Health Net), as of September 2019, about 1,636 health facilities are
connected with a cabled virtual private network (VPN) and 1,944 sites are connected with wireless 3G option. An
additional 25 health facilities with no cabled VPN or Wireless 3G options are connected with customized options.
As per the 2018 WHO Africa Regional report, the health infrastructure index3 in Ethiopia (is 0.46 (higher than the
regional average of 0.39). However, high inflation of construction materials, security problems in some regions, lack
of finance and cash flow for capital projects, inefficiency of some contractors, and capacity gaps at regional and lower
levels continue to challenge the development of the health infrastructure.
In HSTP-II period, there should be a continued focus on upgrading, maintaining and equipping of health facilities, in
addition to construction of primary hospitals and other medical infrastructure projects.
than 80% of the cost of care in government health facilities; implementation of CBHI schemes; and full subsidization
for the very poor through fee waivers both for health services and CBHI premiums.
2 Water, electricity, sanitation facilities, emergency transport, consultation room, computer with internet, and communication equipment
3 Composite of amenities, equipment and HF to population coverage and readiness
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In the 7th round NHA (2016/17), Ethiopia’s total health expenditure was estimated at 72 billion ETB ($3.1 billion),
accounting for 4.2% of the country’s GDP. The total health expenditure has grown steadily since 1995/96, and grew
by 45% from 49.6 billion birr in 2013/14 to 72.1 billion birr in 2016/17. However, this growth was 15% in real terms
after adjusting for inflation (Ministry of Health of Ethiopia, 2019). Furthermore, the share of GDP is lower than the
expected average of 5% for low-income countries, and well below the global average of 9.2%. The share of government
contribution for total health expenditure was 32% in 2016/17—only slightly higher than the 30% contribution in
2013/14. Expenditure on health as a share of total government expenditure increased from 7.6% in 2013/14 to 8.1%
in 2016/17. This figure is lower than the low-income country average government health expenditure (8.7%). Average
health expenditure per capita is $33, as compared to a regional average of $38 (World Bank, 2016). Although the
government allocates 60-70% of total budget to pro-poor sectors, allocations to health fall well short of the Abuja
Declaration target or WHO’s recommended $86 per capita spent to deliver UHC.
Major financial challenges include low government budget allocation to health, inefficient resource utilization, lack
of a strategic purchasing and performance-based financing mechanism, ineffective processes for the selection and
financing of the poor absent social health insurance (SHI), and low coverage of the informal sector through the
ongoing CBHI scheme.
During the HSTP-I period, the government developed health information systems policy documents and guidelines,
and established and staffed health information technology structures at different levels. During this period,
1,588 facilities were connected with copper-wired VPN, and 1,806 facilities with 3G wireless networks. E-health
architecture has been designed and implemented, but a large part of the information revolution road map activities
remains unimplemented (MOH, 2019).
With regard to data quality, report completeness improved from 72% in 2015 to 89% in 2019 (MOH, 2019). Data
consistency also improved, leading to reduced discrepancy between the data from routine information system and
data in surveys. Various platforms were put in place to strengthen key decision-making, including performance
monitoring teams (PMTs), review meetings, a Joint Steering Committee (JSC), and planning forums. The MOH also
began engaging local universities in capacity building and mentorship program.
The DHIS2 platform was customized and fully scaled up with user-friendly data use features. Other service recording
systems for logistics, regulatory system, and other functions were also introduced. An electronic Community Health
Information System (echoes) application was developed and implemented in 1250 in rural health posts; and several
other applications are in development including a Master Facility Registry, a web-based HRIS, and a National Health
Data Dictionary (MOH, 2019).
Regarding public health surveillance information system, 23 reportable diseases, including maternal and perinatal
death surveillance and response, are reported through the disease surveillance system. A national database center
was created at EPHI to handle the Public Health Emergency Management (PHEM) information system.
Vital events and civil registration systems are operational, but the coverage is low; and current practices for vital
event registration needs improvement, especially at health-facility and community levels.
Despite interventions to strengthen health information systems, there are persisted gaps, including limited human
resources HIS, inadequate functionality of PMTs at all levels, poor documentation, inadequate implementation of
data quality assurance, and limited coverage of VPN-Health Net, LAN, electricity, and computers. Implementation of
an electronic medical records began, but its functionality and scale up is very much limited.
To strengthen knowledge management, a strategic plan and road map (2016-2020) has been developed. In addition,
knowledge management (KM) structures are established at EPHI and AHRI. However, lack of functional coordination
mechanism and absence of a systematic/institutional management of knowledge assets limit the ability to create
value and meet the tactical and strategic requirements.
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A number of studies took place during the HSTP-I period, including EDHS 2016, mini-DHS 2019, review mission/
mid-term reviews, the Malaria Indicator Survey, Data Quality Review (DQA), SARA, and others. The Ethiopian
Public Health Institute (EPHI) and Armature Hansen Research Institute (AHRI) also conducted research on health
sector topics. In 2019, a total of 119 operational, biomedical, and clinical studies were conducted on infectious and
non-infectious diseases, health system, nutrition and traditional medicines. However, most findings from research
and technical reports are not synthesized for use in decision-making, indicating weaknesses in research coordination
and knowledge management.
However, in recent years, the functionality of these structures has shown signs of decline. According to the 2019
National HEP Assessment, WDA leaders did not demonstrate model behaviors. Major challenges in community
engagement strategies include low capacity and acceptability among WDA leaders and low acceptance by community
members. Overdependence on the WDA structure has resulted in underutilization of other community resources,
including those of men, religious leaders, and traditional leaders.
Stakeholder engagement and partnership: As a coordination platform with RHBs, the MOH holds regular
Joint Steering Committee (JSC) meetings every two months, and Executive Committee Meetings take place with
agencies every two weeks. These platforms support the health sector by regularly reviewing and monitoring the
performance against set targets and helping to make timely decisions. Joint Consultative Forum (JCF) meetings are
held regularly between MOH and donors. The Joint Core Coordinating Committee (JCCC) meetings between MOH
and developing partners address technical and operational issues. The Ministry has also been working closely with
private organizations and professional associations and has ensured their engagement in planning, review meetings,
supportive supervision, and other health activities.
Accountability: The Ministry has developed a scorecard system to improve the accountability of the health system by
enabling communities to measure the performance of health facilities and provide feedback. Currently, the scorecard
system is in use in more than 600 woredas. Despite these initiatives, there is a recognized need to further strengthen
accountability framework at each level during HSTP-II period.
Leadership capacity building: The Ministry has been working towards improving the capacity of health sector
leaders. The Leadership Incubation Program (LIP) was started in 2019 with the goal of producing future leaders—a
positive initiative that should continue.
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Health policy: During HSTP-I, the 1993 health policy was revised to respond to current sociodemographic,
epidemiologic, and economic changes in Ethiopia. The revision also took into account the government’s vision of
becoming a middle-income country and the national commitment to UHC and the SDGs. The policy document has
undergone a series of consultations and will be submitted to the Council of Ministers for final ratification.
Health sector planning: Under the leadership of MOH and RHBs, and in line with the country’s GTP II, the HSTP-I was
developed with the aim of transforming the health system and ensure equitable, quality, resilient, sustainable health
services to all segments of the population. Guided by the principles of “one plan, one budget, and one report” in the
health sector, annual woreda-based health sector plans (WBHSP) are prepared through top-down and bottom-up
approaches. The WBHSPs have contributed to the alignment and harmonization of systems for planning, budgeting,
resource allocation, prioritization, tracking, and reporting. This has increased capacity for planning and is expected
to help staff to focus on the results of activities. Challenges include weak resource mapping, misalignment of the
timing with the government budget ratification schedule, and poor utilization of plans for budget negotiations at
sub-national level, resulting in disproportionate budgeting for health.
To engage effectively with other sectors, the Ministry has initiated the concept of multi-Sectoral Woreda
Transformation concept, comprising 11 line ministries. A pilot implementation took place at Gimbichu Woreda, but
there needs to be further action.
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Strengths Weaknesses
§ Good coordination and governance mechanism, especially at § Sub-optimal quality of health services
Federal and Regional levels § Low public trust and satisfactions on the health service and health
§ Improved service availability and accessibility, particularly to system
PHC § Disparity in health care utilization among the population by factors
§ Presence of Community-based health extension program such as geography, residence, level of education, wealth and other
and community engagement platforms equity parameters
§ Initiation and implementation of national quality § Poorly coordinated referral system at all levels
improvement initiatives and learning collaborative platforms § Lack of organized pre-hospital services (with universal access call
§ Increased availability of ambulance services number and dispatch center)
§ Improving health facility management system (governing § Poor planning of human resource for health which resulted in
board/management committee) scarcity of staff for some cadres and unbalanced mix of staff
§ Engagement of CSOs such as professional associations and § Inadequate competency and skill, low motivation and satisfaction
stakeholders in the health system of the health work force
§ Strong diseases surveillance system § High staff turnover including the leadership and absence of
§ Establishment of national and regional Disaster Medical retention mechanism
Assistant Team (DMAT) § Lack of streamlined scope-based work
§ Initiation and implementation of health care financing § Inadequate pharmaceutical supply chain management system
reforms (such as fee retention, private wing, service fee resulting in shortage of supplies, high wastage rate, and unsafe
revision) disposal of non-usable items
§ Community Based Health Insurance § Inadequate implementation of rational medicine use
§ Increased community contribution (for infrastructure, service § Weak maintenance of medical equipment
improvement and ambulance procurement) § Lack of system for safe & environment friendly decommissioning
§ Regular and participatory review mechanism in place and disposal of non-usable medical equipment
§ Improved data storage, better and improved reporting and § Fragmented and weak implementation of health care financing
data availability supported with ICT infrastructure § Lack of standard cost of health service
§ Availability of national and international donors for § Inefficient utilization of resources
supporting the public health sector
§ Inadequate implementation of CBHI in pastoral regions
§ Challenges in financial utilization and liquidation at all levels
§ Sub-optimal public-private partnership and weak inter-sectoral
collaborative efforts
§ Sub-optimal accountability at all levels of the health system
§ Limited awareness and leadership capacity
§ Sub-optimal uniformity in regulatory practices at public and
private health and health related institutions
§ Lack of independent regulatory body
§ Conflict of interest between regulatory and other sectors
§ Poor data quality in terms of consistency and timeliness
§ Lack of standardized electronic medical record (EMR) system in
public health facilities
§ Low utilization of evidence for decision making
Opportunities Threats
§ Economic growth and presence of strong government § High adult illiteracy rate, especially among women
structure § Poor health literacy and health system literacy
§ Positive government attention to global commitments, such § Low economic status of the population (poverty, high
as SDGs unemployment)
§ Increasing risk factors, unhealthy lifestyle and harmful practices
§ Strong political will to advocate for women leadership
§ Inadequate information on social determinants and other health
§ Global PHC/UHC movement related activities
§ Presence of community engagement mechanism in § Community fatigue in some activities such as HDA
developmental activities including health (disease prevention § Inadequate political commitment to support health sector in some
movements, ambulance purchase) regions and Woredas
§ Global advocacy for timely emergency and trauma care
§ Presence of favorable cultural and traditional self-help
practices in the community
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Opportunities Threats
§ Increase in community demand for high quality of health care § Increasing manmade and natural disasters, and emergence and
§ Improving engagement of stakeholders (CSO and re-emergence of disease epidemics
Professional associations) in improving quality of care § Proliferation and/or weakly controlled promotion of processed
§ Improved government commitment to PPP foods
§ Increased number of health professionals’ training § Low government expenditure on health
institutions (public and private sectors) and programs § Delayed government decision to implement Social Health
§ Engagement of local universities in HIS and knowledge Insurance
generation § Appointment of public health facility management by political
§ High political commitment to support the expansion and affiliation, not by merit, in local governments
building of health infrastructure § Weak inter-sectoral collaboration
§ Improved road accessibility and transportation facilities § Lack of consistency in implementation of gender mainstreaming
§ Establishment of third-party insurance for Road Traffic § Weak law enforcements and regulatory mechanisms
Accident
§ Weak/poor infrastructure such as road, water supply, ICT,
§ Improved education enrolment, particularly girl’s education electricity
§ Increased number of new graduate health workers § Inadequately managed urbanization and industrialization
(availability)
§ Compromised quality of pre service training
§ Implementation of various reforms in the country
§ Increasing brain drain (to other sectors and abroad)
§ Presence of scientifically proven and globally accepted health
§ Limited incentive mechanism for private sector investment in
technologies
health services and products
§ Advancements in technology both globally and locally,
§ The effect of global economy (rising cost of pharmaceuticals,
improving internet availability, access to various media outlet
supplies etc.)
and Social Networks
§ Porous border, increasing number of refugees, instability of
neighboring countries and internal political instability
§ Inadequate aid effectiveness and Low predictability of funding
§ Climate change, global warming
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Behaviors we
Stakeholders Their needs Resistance issues Institutional response
desire
Participation,
Access to health Dissatisfaction
engagement
information and service, Community mobilization,
Ownership empowerment, ensure participation
Community Opting for unsafe
Service utilization Quality of health care Quality and equitable service
alternatives
and information
Stewardship Underutilization
Healthy life style
Administrative measures
Ratification of Policies, Implementation of
Parliaments, Prime proclamations etc. proclamations, Policies etc. Put in place strong M&E
Organizational
Minister’s Office, system and comprehensive
restructuring
Council of Ministers, Equity & quality capacity building
Regional Governments Influence on budget mechanisms
Resource allocation Plans & Reports
allocation
Fragmentation Collaboration
Inter-sectoral Evidence-based plan &
Line Ministries (Water, collaboration reports Dissatisfaction
Finance, Labor,
Effective and efficient use Transparency
Women’s Affairs,
of resources & coordination
Agriculture, etc.) Consider health in all Considering health as low
policies and strategies Technical support priority Advocacy
Knowledgeable, skilled
Health professional Technical, policy support, Policy and leadership
and ethical health Curriculum revision
training institutes guidance support
professionals trained
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However, during the implementation of HSTP-I, the link between primary healthcare units and HEP began showing
signs of slowdown. This was caused by several factors, including inadequate support from political leadership,
dissatisfaction and fatigue among HEWs, sub-optimal facility readiness, and community demands that surpassed
the scope of the services provided at health posts. The epidemiologic transition also posed new challenges to the
health system, in particular the rise in NCD burden. Community-based activities by HEWs, including household visits,
have declined in recent years. Further, the implementation of the strategy for generating grassroots community
faced such challenges as low literacy, slow progress in community training (level-I training), limited supportive
supervision, and lack of incentives, recognition, or appreciations of volunteers.
Accordingly, a number of service and/or program specific quality improvement initiatives were developed and
implemented. However, a range of problems undermined implementation, including lack of coordination at national
and subnational level, weak accountability mechanisms, sub-optimal quality measurement data and tools, weak
information use culture, shortage of a wide range of service inputs (including finance, competent and compassionate
workforce, medical supplies and public health infrastructure). Community preference for higher-level care (secondary
and tertiary) and lack of integration across service components along the continuum of care (such as poor referral
and follow-ups services) contribute to the challenges.
Despite intensive ongoing to address the equity gaps, disparities remain in delivery and coverage of high-quality
health services, persisting across domains of geography, age, gender, and disability. These disparities, in turn,
contribute to inequities in use of health services, health outcomes, and population-level impacts.
Ethiopia has built a public health management system at national and subnational levels to coordinate and strengthen
all efforts to improve the preparedness of the health sector, and to prevent or reduce the public health consequences
of outbreaks of diseases. Core capacities to prevent, detect, respond to, and mitigate public health emergencies have
improved. The country has responded to the COVID-19 pandemic in a coordinated and organized manner using the
“whole of government” approach. The health sector has played remarkable and commendable role in the overall
preparedness and response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Despite these successes, a number of challenges to health security persist, as detailed in section 3.2.4. Continuing
weaknesses in systems for emergency operations, care, prevention, and financing, combined with the emergence
of new and emerging infections such as COVID-19 and conflicts leading to many internally displaced persons (IDPs),
still stand in the way of building a resilient health system.
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Chapter 4
HEALTH SECTOR TRANSFORMATION PLAN II:
OBJECTIVES, TARGETS, AND STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS
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4.1 VISION
To see a healthy, productive and prosperous society.
4.2 MISSION
To promote the health and well-being of the society through providing and regulating a comprehensive package of
health services of the highest possible quality in an equitable manner.
4.3 VALUES
§ Community first
§ Integrity, loyalty, honesty
§ Transparency, accountability, and confidentiality
§ Impartiality
§ Respect for law
§ Being a role model
§ Collaboration
§ Professionalism
§ Change/innovation
§ Compassion
4.4 OBJECTIVES
HSTP-II’s objectives are operationally defined as high-level result statements, equivalent to goals that lead to
achievement of the vision for the sector. The targets described in section 4.5 will be used to measure achievements
under these objectives.
The overarching objective of HSTP-II is to improve the health status of the population by realizing these four
objectives:
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Improve health status of the population
This overall objective entails strengthening the health system to ensure that people live longer, healthier lives by
reducing the causes of premature deaths, including maternal and childhood health conditions, unhealthy lifestyles,
and accidents; expanding access to high-quality health care for all; and ameliorating the effects of social determinants
of health. It focuses on enabling all people to have a long life and a good quality of life. In addition, the objective
embraces the inclusion of all segments of the population, irrespective of gender, age groups, places of residence,
geographical areas, level of economic status, education, or other equity dimensions. It aspires to the goal of never
leaving anyone behind.
The four pillars for improving the population health status are described as follows.
This objective ensures the achievement of the following three components of UHC to all population subgroups:
§ Essential service availability: The Government of Ethiopia revised its essential health service packages (EHSP)
in 2019. HSTP-II intends to ensure that all components of care and all essential interventions are available at
each service delivery level, mainly at the primary health care level, with an acceptable level of quality.
§ Essential service coverage: HSTP-II intends to ensure that all individuals and communities receive the services
they need. Effective coverage combines three essential components of health care interventions: need,
utilization, and quality.
§ Financial risk protection: This is a key component of UHC, which is defined as access to all needed quality
health services without being exposed to financial hardship. HSTP-II intends to ensure that the EHSP service
components are accessible, and that they are used by community members without causing financial hardship
to service users.
2. Protect people from health emergencies
This objective refers to improving health security by protecting the public from the impact of public and medical
(routine) health emergencies caused by human-made and natural disasters, conflicts, recurrent and unexpected
disease outbreaks and epidemics, accidents, emergencies due to infectious or non-infectious causes, and new health
threats. It also includes safeguarding the public from cross-border health problems and ensuring the health security
of the population. Essentially, this objective refers to increasing health system resilience.
Public health emergency services mainly focus on preparedness, prevention, detection, management, and recovery
from all public health emergencies. Medical emergencies include any medical problems that could cause death or
permanent injury if not treated quickly. These emergencies can arise due to infectious or non-infectious disease
conditions, or due to trauma, that requires stabilization and immediate medical care. Preparing for such emergencies
entails establishing and implementing emergency, trauma, and intensive care medical services. Protecting the public
from both public health and medical emergencies requires the capacity and resources to ensure preparedness,
prevention, early detection, and response. It also entails post-emergency assessment, interventions, and
documentation of lessons from the emergency events.
3. Woreda transformation
Woreda Transformation has a threefold meaning in the HSTP-II. The first one is it is an aspiration to see a transformed
Ethiopia at each Woreda. Woreda is a structural unit which is better positioned for programmatically manageable
and politically accountable programing to implement socioeconomic strategies closer to the community mainly with
enhanced engagement of individuals and communities. Secondly, woreda transformation is a pathway towards
development by using households as building blocks of nations. Hence, it promotes transforming all households
from the level they are now to the next socially acceptable level in a manner that does not slide back. This sets
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Ethiopia to prosper making all forms of poverty to be part of history. Third, woreda transformation is a means to
cascade SDG to sub national level so that no one is left behind by tailoring/customizing national programs to local
context and creating ample space for local wisdom and ownership.
The need for woreda transformation, in all sectors, is timely as the socioeconomic challenges are troubling almost
all households in one way or another. The low access, utilization, quality and efficiency of social services, limited
economic opportunity including high unemployment and the equity gaps observed in the country is increasing.
Furthermore, the need to convert youth bulge to demographic dividend and the demand for rights are mounting.
The lack of reliable information to inform strategic decision aggravates the situations above souring the pains for
majority of citizens in need of socioeconomic opportunities fairly. Therefore, there is intense pressure on government
in particular and the entire communities in general to take bolder moves to come out of such multitude of challenges
stronger. Such moves require the aspiration, the path way and means of cascading our global commitments into
action that can be felt by households. Woreda transformation could be one answer if implemented in a concerted
manner. It will also make the changes sustainable as the actions are deliberated locally in culturally sensitive and
scientifically sound manner, thereby empowering communities to own & lead their development in collaboration
with all actors with mutual interest.
Health related challenges are among the challenges faced by households as described above.
Health is both a means and product of development requiring/demanding a central position for holistic development.
It is a measure of social justice as well as a driver for better economic opportunities as a nation and individual citizens.
Hence, health agenda is beyond the agenda of health sector.
Cognizant of the potential of Woreda transformation, this health sector’s plan is developed making woreda
transformation as an objective of HSTP-II. The sector, through its PHC approach, will consider the role of individuals,
families and communities in promoting health and wellbeing. Households are considered as the center of gravity to
address the challenges of families and tap potentials of the community for inclusive and sustainable development.
Therefore, transformed households highly contribute to the nation’s growth and development efforts of ending
poverty and hunger and promote health & wellbeing. Transforming households in a given Woreda results in
a transformed Woreda, where the environmental, social, economic and other dimensions of development are
improved. Such holistic development approach that focuses on household impact will result in better health and
well-being by addressing the social determinants of health. Transforming Woredas require community participation,
engagement, empowerment and ownership. It also requires a multi-sectoral collaborative effort, another element of
PHC approach, to address development issues and social determinants of health. The health sector will contribute
towards a multi-sectoral Woreda transformation. The following four pillars may guide how implementation of
multisectoral collaboration result in inclusive development including in health of people:
§ Principle: It is expected that all government sectors buy into the principle of “Households are center of
transformation” and accept that woreda priority supersede sectoral interest. This will ease running the principle
of one plan, one budget and one M&E framework in woredas.
§ Packaging: Packaging of interventions into community, service centers and woreda leadership will streamline
resources, administration and monitoring for efficiency and synergy.
§ Partnership: coordinated planning, actions and monitoring of public sectors along the administrative layers
focusing on woreda transformation will bring better community mobilization, CSO engagement and enhance
private sector role in changing woredas and their households for better in all walks of life.
§ Performance measure: The measurement of this objective will be based on two dimensions: Multi-Sectoral
Woreda Transformation and sector-specific Woreda transformation.
This focuses on holistic development at the community level, which can be addressed by integrated multi sectoral
interventions. The health sector will contribute towards such multi-sectoral development. It will be measured using
MSWT performance measures, which will be based on indicators in the following key areas of development:
§ Livelihood related indicators (food security, income level of households and other economic measurements)
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§ Lifestyle indicators (Including household physical condition, household utilities (such as water, latrine, energy…),
use of technologies (access to information etc…)
§ Literacy indicators (adult literacy, girls’ education and other education indicators)
§ Life expectancy and related indicators (Health impact indicators)
Sector-specific Woreda Transformation: The health sector will work in close collaboration with relevant sectors
and contribute towards holistic MSWT. The health-sector specific Woreda transformation mainly focuses on
strengthening and transforming district health systems through improving key health system investments and
implementing high-impact health interventions mainly at household and primary health care levels. It will focus on
creating model households, model kebeles and high performing primary health units (PHCUs) through a meaningful
community engagement and a transformed Woreda leadership. It also focus on implementation of Woreda
management standards, reforms and implementation of health-financing strategies to reduce financial risks to the
community. The health-specific Woreda transformation will be measured on indicators that includes the following
key attributes:
Health system responsiveness includes respecting dignity, privacy, non-discrimination, autonomy, confidentiality,
and clear communication; and includes a focus on users focus: choice of provider, short wait times, respect for
clients’ voice and values, affordability, and ease of use. Achieving this objective will improve clients’ and communities’
satisfaction and trust, which will in turn improve service uptake and recommendation of services to others.
4.5 TARGETS
HSTP-II targets are set by considering baseline, previous trends, burden of disease, national and international
standards, efficacy of technologies, anticipated availability of resources, and other concerns, using the OneHealth
tool and wider consultation with experts. The targets are set for the year 2017 EFY (2024/25). The performance of
HSTP-II will be measured against these targets:
General
1. Increased life expectancy at birth from 65.5 to 68
2. Increased UHC index from 0.43 to 0.58
3. Increased proportion of clients satisfied during their last health care visit (Client satisfaction rate) from
46% to 75%
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6. Decrease infant mortality from 47 per 1,000 live births to 36 per 1,000 live births
7. Decrease neonatal mortality from 33 per 1,000 live births to 21 per 1,000 live births
8. Increase CPR from 41% to 50%
9. Increase proportion of pregnant women with four or more ANC visits from 43% to 81%
10. Increase deliveries attended by skilled health personnel from 50% to 76%
11. Increase Cesarean Section Rate from 4% to 8%
12. Decrease still birth rate (per 1,000) from 15 to 14
13. Increase Proportion of newborns with neonatal sepsis/Very Sever Disease (VSD) who received treatment
from 30% to 45%
14. Increase coverage of early postnatal care (PNC) within 2 days from 34% to 76%
15. Increase proportion of asphyxiated newborns resuscitated and surviving from 11% to 50%
16. Increase proportion of under five children with pneumonia who received antibiotics from 48% to 69%
17. Increase proportion of under five children with diarrhea who were treated with ORS and Zinc from 44% to
67%
18. Increase pentavalent 3 coverage from 61% to 85%
19. Increase second dose of measles containing vaccine (MCV2) measles coverage from 50% to 80%
20. Increase full vaccination coverage from 44% to 75%
21. Reduce mother to child transmission rate of HIV from 13.4% to less than 5%
22. Decrease teenage pregnancy rate from 12.5% to 7%
23. Decrease stunting prevalence in children aged less than 5 years from 37% to 25%
24. Decrease wasting prevalence in children aged less than 5 years from 7% to 5%
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Hygiene and environmental health
47. Proportion of households having basic sanitation facilities from 20% to 60%
48. Increase proportion of kebeles declared open defecation-free (ODF) from 40% to 80%
49. Increase proportion of households having hand washing facilities at the premises with soap and water
from 8% to 58%
Medical services
50. Increase outpatient attendance per capita from 1.0 to 1.75
51. Increase bed occupancy rate from 41.9% to 75%
52. Increase proportion of patients with positive experience of care from 33% to 54%
53. Decrease institutional mortality rate from 2.2% to 1.5%
54. Increase percentage of blood component production from total collection from 23.3% to 65%
55. Increase ambulance response rate to 90%
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4.6 STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS
The strategic plan for HSTP-II identifies 14 strategic directions that are detailed below.
Taking in to account the national PHC approach that views PHCs as a foundation of the health system, a full spectrum
of services will be provided based on the recently revised EHSP, in an integrated manner across all level of health care
delivery system. Increasing demand for and provision of the EHSP to the general population and vulnerable groups
is the critical step in ensuring Ethiopia’s progress towards UHC. Decentralization of more essential health services
to the comprehensive health posts, and integration of HEP packages to all primary-level health facilities, will play
critical role in this regard.
Health services provision will consider the following key interventions/activities: Demand creation (through behaviour
change communication, or BCC, advocacy, social mobilization), provision of services through different modalities
(static, outreach, mobile…), uninterrupted supply of essential commodities, referral linkage, and service integration
when appropriate, which can apply for most programs stated below.
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Family Planning and Reproductive Health
Major strategic initiatives
§ Increase demand for quality contraceptive service through BCC and other demand creation interventions
§ Universal access to quality and comprehensive rights-based family planning information and services at all
levels of health care delivery system, with emphasis to post-pregnancy family planning services
§ Expand family planning and sexual and reproductive health services to workplaces, private health facilities,
people with special needs, universities and colleges, and in humanitarian settings
§ Improve access to screening and management for SRH and medical problems, such as cervical cancer, infertility,
sexually transmitted infections (STIs)
§ Strengthen Prevention and management of GBV and child marriage
§ Expand access to quality comprehensive abortion care services
§ Provide quality and equitable antenatal, labor, delivery, and postnatal care services, mainly through introduction
of at least one ultrasound service for all pregnant women before 24 weeks of gestation, expansion of maternity
waiting rooms, implementation of 24 hours stay after delivery and improving community engagement in making
transport available
§ Improve access to comprehensive emergency maternal and newborn care through expansion of OR blocks,
equipping and staffing of health facilities
§ Improve referral network for women and New-born babies during complications, in a way that can access
comprehensive services in 30 minutes
§ Strengthen maternal and perinatal death surveillance and response system
§ Strengthen prevention and management of obstetric fistula and pelvic organ prolapse
§ Strengthen and expand advanced neonatal care, NICU and Essential New-born Care (ENBC) services
§ Strengthen & expansion of services for low birth weight and preterm babies including kangaroo mother care
(KMC)
§ Strengthen PMTCT
§ Strengthen and expand contextualized integrated community case management of new-born & childhood
illness and quality Integrated management of newborn and childhood illnesses services
§ Introduce and scale up early childhood development (ECD) implementation through a multi-sectoral collaboration
approach
Immunization
Major strategic initiatives
§ Design and implement innovative strategies to build demand, community participation and BCC (Build trust,
confidence, and resilient demand for immunization services)
§ Improve effective coverage of routine immunization to achieve Universal Immunization through data-driven and
evidence based strategies such as implementation of intensified outreach strategies, Reach Every District/Child
(RED/C) approach, vaccination of missed children during school entry, expansion of services (such as HPV) and
others
§ Strengthen vaccine supply chain (planning, forecasting, quantification, CCE) in order to implement effective
vaccine management strategies at all levels
§ Enhance and sustain the accelerated vaccine-preventable diseases (polio, measles, MNT) control, elimination
and eradication initiatives
§ Introduce and rapidly scale up (achieve high coverage and geographic reach) new vaccines into the immunization
program (HepB birth dose, Yellow Fever, Meningitis A, Measles and Rubella (MR) etc…)
§ Strengthen the second year of life (2YL) immunization service delivery
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§ Strengthen immunization integration with other Health services to ensure access and avoid Missed Opportunity
for Vaccination (MOV)
§ Strengthen surveillance, detection, and communication for vaccine-preventable diseases and adverse events
following immunization, to rapidly detect and respond to outbreaks, enhance immunization safety, improve
management of outbreaks, and diminish incidence of adverse events
§ Expand provision of comprehensive sexual and reproductive health information, counseling, and services
§ Support and facilitate the introduction/adaptation, testing and scale up of high-impact, youth-focused, youth–
friendly, and innovative interventions to improve effective and person-centered care
§ Expand provision of comprehensive, sexual and reproductive health information, counseling and services; and
access to psycho-social support for adolescents
§ Promotion of healthy behavior among adolescents (nutrition, physical activity, no tobacco, alcohol, or substance
use)
§ Implement interventions to prevent, detect, and manage sexual and other forms of gender-based violence and
harmful practices such as child and forced marriage
§ Implement parenting skill enhancement program and expand access to life skill training for adolescents and
youth
§ Strengthen the integration of adolescents and youth health with school health initiatives and programs
Nutrition
Major strategic initiatives:
HIV
Major strategic initiatives
§ Intensify combination prevention interventions (structural, biomedical and behavioral) targeting key and priority
populations and high incidence geographic localities
§ Scale up pre-exposure prophylaxis for population groups at substantive risk and experiencing high levels of HIV
incidence and strengthen post-exposure prophylaxis
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§ Strengthen case finding through targeted HIV testing, especially for key and priority populations, using innovative
approaches (such as index case testing, partner notification, social network services and HIV self-test) and
expand the service to health posts and community level.
§ Implement Fast-Track Cities Initiative against HIV
§ Strengthen implementation of ART regimen optimization & rollout of third-line ART treatment
§ Expand and strengthen viral load testing services
§ Strengthen HIV prevention and control mainstreaming and social enablers that includes gender based violence
prevention and mitigation, economic empowerment of women, elimination of stigma and discrimination,
empowerment of communities to respond to the HIV program
Hepatitis
Major strategic initiatives
§ Initiate and expand hepatitis testing and treatment service at hospitals and health centers, and also scale up
viral load testing
§ Strategize program implementation toward the elimination of viral Hepatitis by 2030
§ Integrate viral hepatitis service into the existing HIV/SRH, TB, MNCH services, and create linkage between viral
hepatitis services with blood safety and infection prevention activities
§ Enhance implementation of integrated, patient-centered TB prevention and care (shift from a TB control to
Ending the TB epidemic mode)
§ Strengthen TB and leprosy case finding, contact tracing and screening services
§ Strengthen TB/DR-TB diagnostic services, including sample referral network and access to a more sensitive
screening tools such as chest X-Ray and GeneXpert
§ Enhance provision of Community TB screening and treatment support services
§ Engage private facilities in TB diagnosis and treatment services
§ Strengthen and expand TB prevention therapy for HIV+ cases and household contacts
§ Strengthen and expand universal drug susceptibility testing services
§ Strengthen and expand drug-resistant TB treatment initiating and follow up sites
§ Strengthen and expand house-to-house screening, passive case finding and contact investigation of leprosy
cases
§ Capacity building of clinical and laboratory diagnosis, treatment and disability prevention of Leprosy
§ Strengthen rehabilitation services for people with a major disability
Malaria
Major strategic initiatives
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4.6.1.3. Prevention and Control of Neglected Tropical Diseases
Description
This direction focuses on implementation of appropriate interventions to prevent and control neglected tropical
diseases in Ethiopia, resulting in the elimination of many. It includes schistosomiasis, soil-transmitted helmenthiasis,
onchocerciasis, podoconiasis, lymphatic filariasis, leishmaniasis, trachoma, scabies, and snakebite. Through service
integration, multi-sectoral approach and large-scale treatment campaigns, also known as mass drug administration,
will be strengthened and continued in HSTP-II. Priority interventions include preventive chemotherapy, transmission
control, WASH, innovative case management, prevention of zoonotic diseases, and vector ecology management.
In addition, service integration, multi-sectoral approaches and large-scale treatment campaigns or mass drug
administration will be strengthened.
Mental health is one of the top priorities in HSTP-II. Mental health promotion, prevention, and management of
common mental health problems such as depression, bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia will be addressed through
such interventions as advocacy, social mobilization, BCC, strengthening social support, capacity building, and
expansion of access to medication, psychosocial interventions, and rehabilitation.
Non-Communicable Diseases
Major strategic initiatives
§ Facilitate the development and enforcement of comprehensive policies and legislations to address the rising
burden of unhealthy diet and khat consumption
§ Establish a multi-sectoral coordination mechanism for prevention and control of NCDs and their risk factors
§ Implement awareness-raising programs on NCDs and risk factors for the general public, at workplaces and
schools
§ Enforce the implementation of regulations on tobacco and alcohol
§ Promote institutionalization of interventions on the reduction of exposure to environmental and occupational
risk factors for NCDs
§ Scale up programs for primordial, primary and secondary prevention of Rheumatic heart disease
§ Expand implementation of interventions on NCDs and risk factor to primary health care through task shifting,
task sharing, and improved referral networks
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§ Support health facilities to fulfill minimum standards to deliver screening, diagnosis, treatment, and care services
for NCDs and risk factors
Mental Health
Major strategic initiatives
§ Facilitate the development of mental health legislation to protect the rights of people with mental health
conditions
§ Strengthen integration and coordination of mental health care implementation and scale up at each level of the
health system
§ Conduct advocacy, social mobilization and SBC interventions to create public awareness on mental health and
mental illnesses
§ Establish a National Institute of Mental Health
§ Introduce and strengthen promotion and preventive mental health services in schools, work places, health
facilities, religious, and traditional treatment settings
§ Expand and strengthen prevention and rehabilitation interventions against substance use, suicide and self-harm
§ Ensure availability of mental health services to vulnerable groups or special populations
§ Expand access to rehabilitation services for substance abuse
• Ensure a dependable and affordable supply of essential medicines and diagnostic technologies for mental
health and access to psychosocial care at community level
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§ Reduce indoor air pollution through promotion of safe, smokeless energy source options.
§ Ensure inclusive water, sanitation and hygiene services in all health facilities
§ Strengthen Infection prevention and control interventions in health facilities
§ Promote water, sanitation and hygiene services and practices in schools and workplaces
§ Improve occupational health and safety through regular promotion and monitoring
§ Promote environmental pollution prevention
§ Improve resilience of the health system towards climate change and reduce the health system’s contribution for
climate change
§ Strengthen hygiene and environmental health institutional arrangement and implementation capacity
§ Strengthen multi sectorial integration and coordination for hygiene and Environmental Health interventions
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4.6.1.7. Medical Services
Description
During HSTP-II, the sector aspires to create a medical system offering comprehensive medical services, including
pre-facility care. These services receive support to provide safe, effective, efficient, equitably accessible, and
internationally acceptable care by designing and implementing a range of strategic interventions. This strategic
direction includes clinical services, emergency and critical care, quality of health services, blood transfusion services,
laboratory, and diagnostic services.
For clinical services the emphasis will continue to be on standardizing diagnostic treatment, curative, rehabilitation,
and palliative services in health. Standardized, strengthened clinical care leadership, innovative financing in health
facilities, improved surgical and anaesthesia care availability and accessibility, improved rehabilitative service
accessibility and quality of care, medical tourism, and introduction and scale up of I-CARE will also be priority strategic
areas.
The emergency care system includes services that range from scene care to facility care with an appropriate referral
and communication to maintain continuum of care. The system provides an integrated platform for delivering
accessible, quality, time-sensitive health care services across the life course. Establishing and strengthening
emergency, trauma, and intensive care medical services is essential for ensuring timely care for the acutely ill and
injured. Besides meeting the everyday health needs of the population, a well-organized, prepared, and resilient
emergency care system has the capacity to maintain essential acute care delivery throughout a mass event, limiting
direct mortality, and avoiding secondary mortality altogether. During emergencies that require a public health
response, links will be made with the national PHEM system to respond in a coordinated and integrated manner.
Blood transfusion is a life-saving intervention that involves mobilization, recruitment and selection of blood donors,
use of appropriate blood collection procedure, processing and testing of blood units and cold-chain maintained
storage and transportation, issuing and transportation of safe blood units to health facilities. It also includes
compatibility testing and administration to patients. To meet the ever-increasing demand for quality blood and blood
products, the program will implement strengthening volunteer blood donation program, expanding blood banks
across the country and consolidation of key blood transfusion service functions, strengthening coordination of blood
transfusion service, strengthening quality management system to the level of accreditation, and appropriate use of
blood and blood products in health facilities.
Regarding laboratory service, the health sector will continue to improve access to quality laboratory service through
laboratory capacity building, quality assurance programs, infrastructure development and maintenance and
expansion of basic and advanced lab services at health facilities. Moreover, the program will implement a laboratory
quality management system, a step-wise accreditation process, preventive and curative equipment maintenance,
and a laboratory information system.
Clinical Services
Major strategic initiatives
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§ Intensify clinical auditing and mentorship
§ Establish and implement tissue and organ transplantation program
§ Develop and implement cancer registry
§ Strengthen centralized coordination of blood transfusion services and use of blood and blood products
§ Advocate and build awareness to increase total blood collection from voluntary non-remunerated blood donors
§ Strengthen blood donor recruitment and management, including post-donation counseling service
§ Strengthen quality-assured testing for transfusion-transmissible infections, blood grouping, compatibility
testing, and component production and transport of blood
§ Promote the safe and appropriate use of blood and blood products at the clinical interface and strengthening
hemo-vigilance program
§ Accredit national and regional blood banks with African Society of Blood Transfusion Services
§ Introduce newer blood transfusion technologies and products
§ Strengthen the implementation of laboratory quality management system and stepwise laboratories quality
improvement process towards accreditation to ISO 15189 or 17025 standards
§ Establish a national proficiency testing/EQA production center and expand as needed
§ Improve availability of national and regional lab infrastructures including bio-security and Biosafety Level Three
capacity at the national level
§ Improve accessibility of essential diagnostic service and enhance specimen referral linkages and networks,
including backup services
§ Improve and strengthen access and quality to pathology services
§ Improve and strengthen Imaging services including nuclear medicine
§ Standardize laboratories testing capacity at each tier of the health care delivery system
§ Introduce and expand auditable laboratory services in hospitals and beyond
§ Strengthen national capacity for the evaluation and validation of laboratory technology methods and reagents
§ Establish national genomics and bioinformatics center
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TB, HIV, Malaria and fungal infections. AMR leads to prolonged illness, longer hospital stays, higher medical costs
and increased mortality. It also threatens to undermine the effectiveness of health programs and reduce public
confidence.
AMR is becoming a public health threat to Ethiopia. According to the national AMR surveillance reports (2018 and
2019), drug resistance surveillance of anti TB and HIV drugs and other studies, resistance was found to be high
among common micro-organism, mycobacteria and HIV. The major drivers are believed to be overuse and misuse
of antimicrobials including irrational prescribing, dispensing, poor patient adherence and self-medication with
antimicrobials. Ethiopia has developed and been implementing national strategy of AMR Prevention and Containment
(2015-2020) in alignment with global action plan. Even though a national AMR surveillance plan is developed, and
AMR Surveillance system is established, challenges remain. Only nine hospitals currently provide DST. Awareness is
low and inappropriate use of drugs is common.
This direction aims at strengthening actions to the prevention and containment of the spread of the ever-increasing
AMR as a public health threat. During HSTP-II, the ministry will strengthen priority actions towards prevention of
AMR by improving the availability of safe, effective and quality assured antimicrobials and promoting its effective
use. The ministry will engage a wide range of actors such as the agriculture and food industry, the pharmaceutical
industry, NGOs, CSOs, the private sector and other stakeholders to synergize efforts towards AMR prevention and
containment.
Building on the gains made, and addressing major health care quality challenges, HSTP-II will focus on cultivating
competent and companionate health care providers who offer service that are safe, evidence-based, timely, people-
centered, and clearly communicated. Interventions will engage both clients and communities to optimize services
and improve of care outcomes. Quality monitoring will focus on outcomes of care, community trust in services, and
effective coverage and competency of care.
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§ Reform, redefine, and standardize scopes and functions of health facilities
§ Establish and strengthen collaborative, high-quality learning platforms
§ Decentralize and share/shift tasks to minimize facility crowding and to maximize efficient utilization of specialized
service providers
§ Develop and implement a support package for public and private health facilities for accreditation
§ Establish quality improvement hubs
§ Strengthen regular quality of care measurement and improvement
§ Access to and uptake of health care: Ethiopia will continue to scale up access to essential health care and
ensure that all members of society have equal access to essential health services: for example, by reducing
physical barriers, distance, price, and socio- cultural barriers.
§ Difference in health status (or outcomes) such as life expectancy, mortality, and nutritional status can occur
not only due to differences in health service access and uptake, but also to a wider social, economic, and
environmental determinant (the wider determinants of health), pointing to the critical importance of addressing
the underlying structural determinants of health.
The health sector requires solid capacity, strong coordination, and relationships with other sectors to implement
a spectrum of public health emergency risk management measures at the community, regional, national, and
international levels. The HSTP-II period will focus on strengthening the capacity for preparedness, detection,
prevention, response and recovery to all public health emergencies and disasters. An integrated approach to public
health emergency management and clinical emergency care reduces the impact of public health emergencies. The
result of this strategic direction is minimization of the occurrence and consequences of public health emergencies
and disasters.
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Major strategic initiatives
§ Design and implement multi-sectoral coordination approaches at all levels to create model households, keels,
schools and communities.
§ Design and implement interventions to increase health literacy and health system literacy
§ Design, test, and scale up alternative community engagement options for the HEP and health service delivery
and introduce innovative motivation mechanisms for community volunteers
§ Introduce new and strengthen existing social accountability mechanisms such as community scorecard , town
hall meetings; and increase participation of the community in health facility governing boards to enhance
accountability and transparency of the health system to the public
§ Evaluate, refine, and implement competency-based training for community-level structure representatives and
model households
§ Introduce and implement “self-care” initiatives
§ Design and implement approaches to enhance community resource contribution
§ Apply human-centered design and other frameworks to foster social innovation in designing novel solutions
tailored to prevailing people’s desires and local contexts
§ Use existing community potentials and indigenous resources such as associations, faith-based, and communi-
ty-based organizations as platforms for engaging communities in health
§ Cultivate and incubate local community-led innovations for local health problems
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§ Establish National Medicine and Poison Information Center
§ Strengthen the prevention and containment of antimicrobial resistance
§ Strengthen implementation of auditable pharmaceutical transactions and services
§ Strengthen clinical pharmacy and drug information services
§ Revise the National Medicine Policy
§ Strengthen integration of modern and traditional medicine
§ Introduce audit-and-feedback and accountability system at all levels
§ Build and maintain adequate quality control systems, infrastructures, and laboratories (including Min-laborato-
ries at each entry and exit port)
§ Control food adulteration and develop a rapid alert system for health products
§ Strengthen registration capacity, introduce product- and risk-based auditing pre- and post-licensing inspection,
improve post-shipment (consignment) and post-marketing surveillance, and enforce quality control tests of
products
§ Strengthen pharmaco-vigilance and vaccine safety and improve interface with clinical surveillance
§ Establish a regulatory system for safety and quality of blood, blood products, human tissues, and organs
§ Establish Regulatory Center of Excellence to provide service, training, and research
§ Standardize, register, and regulate the safety and efficacy of traditional medicine and practice
§ Regulation of health professionals and traditional medicine practitioners (professional ethics and code of
conduct)
§ Regulation of health and health-related facilities, both public and private (enforcing adherence to the Ethiopian
health facility minimum standard)
§ Competency assessment of all graduates before joining the health workforce
§ Introduce and scale up clinical audits to ensure quality of practice in health facilities
§ Engage private health care facility associations in health regulatory system
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quality of pre-service training and continuous professional development, and will emphasize promotion of ethics
and professionalism in pre-service education and in-service training programs. The human resource management
aspect of this direction focuses on need-based training, recruitment, deployment, performance management, and
motivation. It also includes leadership development, with attention to the involvement of women in leadership
positions. Generally, this direction requires multi-faceted interventions, from recruiting students with the drive and
motivation to be health professionals, to continuously engaging health science students to consider being a health
professional and inspiring practicing health professionals to demonstrate commitment to their country and its
people, and to care for their patients.
This strategic direction also addresses the process of ideation, evaluation, selection, development, and implementation
of new or improved products, services, or programs to improve health outcomes. Health innovation identifies new
or improved health policies, systems, products, and technologies, and services and delivery methods that improve
people’s health and well-being.
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data quality assurance and auditing; improve demand for quality data
§ Strengthen culture of information use at all levels (nurturing leadership role in championing information use,
capacity building, accountability mechanism, advanced data analytics, data use forums/platforms)
§ Create structures and forums (Research Council) that identifies research needs, coordinates the process, and
translates evidence to policy
§ Mainstream HIS training in all health professional training curricula
§ Establish and enhance knowledge management system at all levels
§ Strengthen biomedical research to develop and test diagnostics, therapeutics and vaccines
§ Strengthen birth and death notification for Civil Registration and Vital Statistics system and system for
documenting cause of death
§ Strengthen health information system governance
§ Strengthen health biotechnology research and use of biotechnology products
§ Strengthen short term and long term medical research trainings
§ Establish system for technology transfer for production of vaccine and diagnostic materials
§ Design and expand innovation labs
§ Establish and strengthen a system for technology transfer for vaccines and diagnostics production
§ Strengthen biomedical research to develop and test diagnostics, therapeutics, and vaccines
§ Establish incubation centers for health innovations
§ Establish and strengthen Health Research Council
This strategic direction can be realized through devising new implementation modalities and governance
arrangements. The strategy will employ current local and global opportunities that take advantage of the dynamisms
of the health sector to transform supply- and demand-side health financing mechanisms.
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4.6.9. Enhance Leadership and Governance
Description
This direction is about ensuring an accountable, transparent leadership and governance system for effective
implementation of strategies. It addresses public accountability on resource management and optimal health service
provision; and includes designing and implementing sound regulation mechanisms, building effective teams, and
institutionalizing appropriate implementation mechanisms and platforms.
The components include transparency, accountability, responsiveness, effectiveness and efficiency, participatory,
consensus building, equitable and inclusiveness, and adherence to the rule of law. Strategic initiatives incorporate
the views of minorities, minimize corruption, and include the voices of the vulnerable in decision-making and
implementation of decisions.
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4.6.11. Enhance Digital Health Technology
Description
Digital technologies provide concrete opportunities to tackle health system challenges, and thereby offer the
potential to enhance the coverage and quality of health practices and services. This strategic direction includes four
major components: 1) Digitization targeted to clients, 2) health workers, 3) health system managers, and 4) health
data services.
The range of uses for digital technologies in supporting health systems is wide, and these technologies continue to
evolve. Digital health technologies and interventions should be linked to the broader digital health architecture. All
digital health systems should be developed by applying interaction design methods to make them user-friendly.
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4.6.13. Health in All Policies
Description
Health in All Policies (HIAP) is a systematic approach for considering the health implications of decisions of public
policies across all sectors. It anticipates the synergistic effects of public policies, and prevents and mitigates harmful
health effects ensuing from policies to advance population health. It advances the accountability of policymakers for
health impacts through efficient, effective multi-sectoral actions; and emphasizes the need to be vigilant to prevent
any unintended consequences of public policies on determinants of health, well-being, and the health system. By
promoting healthy practices across all sectors, HIAP fosters inclusive, sustainable development and helps address
the social determinants of health, reduce multi-sectoral risk factors, and promote health and well-being.
A sub-element of the engagement arrangement, partnership with the private sector, could strengthen health
service delivery, improving the quality, quantity, and affordability of essential health inputs by facilitating local
manufacturing of pharmaceuticals and medical devices. This partnership also increases production of skilled health
human resources; mobilizes additional resources for the health sector; and contributes to meet the increase demand
for access and utilization of health care.
This transformation agenda refers to ensuring delivery of quality health care (reliable, patient-centered and efficient) to all in need
in an equitable and timely manner. It is about ensuring availability of the best care to all, so that the quality of care provided does
not differ by any personal characteristics including age, gender, socioeconomic status or place of residence, or disability status.
Improving quality of care requires broad solution space that addresses both the demand for quality of care by the community,
and the care itself. Only a few methods have been used up to now to improve the demand side. People with high expectation
Quality and equity
demand quality of care and vice versa. Some of the interventions are described here, but more innovative approaches are needed.
Facilities should also design accountability mechanisms to redress poor quality of care, and should be transparent to inform people
about the level of care provided. In addition, HSTP-II will address the supply side by emphasizing quality of care. Activities will
include regular monitoring of the state of equity at all levels of the health sector implementation of tailored interventions, such as
redesigning mode of service delivery, incentive packages and others, to reinforce quality of care.
The overall goal of the information revolution is to improve the capability of the health system to generate and use high-quality
data for evidence-based decision-making and advance towards better health systems performance. The information revolution
is not only about changing the techniques of data and information management; it is also about bringing fundamental cultural
Information
and attitudinal change regarding perceived value and practical use of information. HSTP-II, efforts will focus on three pillars of the
Revolution
information revolution: transforming a culture of high-quality data use; digitization of the health information system (HIS); and
improving HIS governance.
This priority area/transformation agenda refers to ensuring availability of an adequate number and mix of quality health workforce
Motivated, that are Motivated, Competent and Compassionate (MCC) to provide quality health service. Creating motivated, competent and
Competent and compassionate health workforce depends on several but inter-related factors. These include well-regulated, high-quality pre-service
Compassionate education, in-service training, and CPD to build the required number of well-qualified professionals and managers; fair recruitment,
(MCC) health selection, orientation, and placement; and creation of an enabling work environment with clear roles and responsibilities, equitable
workforce remuneration packages, and performance support (supportive supervision and timely feedback) through strong human resources
management policy and practices.
Transformation in health financing is about reforming the financing and management system of the health system so as to
mobilize sufficient, sustainable health finance and improve efficiency. High out-of-pocket expenditure, catastrophic expenditure,
and inefficient allocation and utilization of resources are major challenges to achieving universal health care coverage. HSTP-II
Health financing will address these finance-related barriers through these major interventions: proactively mobilizing adequate resources from
domestic and international sources, reforming resource allocation & prioritization, optimizing the health insurance system, forming
public-private partnership, reforming cost recovery mechanisms, implementing performance-based financing, and designing and
implementing strategies for efficient use of resources and capacities.
Transformation in leadership is about enhancing the leadership and governance system at all levels of the health system to
drive attainment of the strategic objectives. Lack of clear accountability, transparency, shared vision, evidence-based decisions,
regulation, and coordination are some of the leadership and governance challenges of the sector. Leadership is a crucial pillar
of a health system and exerts direct influence on the performance of health systems. Translation of plans to results will require
Leadership
leadership at all levels of the health system functions well. HSTP-II will implement these major interventions to transform
leadership: redesigning & restructuring the health system, institutionalizing accountability mechanisms, strengthening clinical
governance, ensuring regulatory system autonomy, strengthening stakeholder engagement and partnership, building leadership
capacity at all levels, and incorporating the Health in All Policies approach throughout the government.
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Chapter 5
COSTING AND FINANCING
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5.1 COSTING
Costing and financing of HSTP-II is computed using OneHealth Tool (OHT) (Figure 7). This tool is built on six health
system building blocks, drawing upon the WHO health system framework that includes the health workforce,
infrastructure, logistics and supply chain, health information system, health systems financing, and leadership and
governance. OHT is a policy projection-modeling tool that allows users to create short- and medium-term plans for
scaling up health services. It is used for health planning, costing and budgeting with a focus on integrating planning
and financial space analysis. The tool is also organized into three components: health systems, health services
delivery, and impact module.
National (HQ)
Health Services
Health Systems
Environmental Health
Other Specializations
4. National Referral
Health Promotion
Malaria
3. County
2. Primary
1. Community
Where there are financial limitations, the tool facilitates a process of prioritization and/or scenarios with more
realistic levels of ambition for developing the plan.
The OneHealth tool uses a modular approach; the user can either decide to use only one module (e.g., Malaria or
Human Resources) independently, and/or can make use of other modules in sequential order. Once the user selects
which interventions s/he intends to focus, s/he then allocates these into different modules. Subsequently, the
disease modules are defined. This flexible approach allows variation between the structures of vertical disease
programs in countries
OneHealth tool is based on Spectrum, which is a Windows-based system of integrated policy models. The integration
builds on DemProj, which is used to create the population projections that support many of the calculations in the
other components, such as FamPlan, the AIDS Impact Model, and the Lives Saved Tool.
The assessment of costing and financial feasibility is integrated into the planning process. In addition to this
investment are linked to results in terms of system outputs and predicted health outcomes and impacts. The cost
estimate is based on:
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5.1.1. Assumptions: Base and High Scenario
Targets were estimated using available baseline evidences from surveys such as EDHS, SARA; estimates and
projections; researches; routine HMIS data, and expert opinion as a last option. Inputs for the tool were completed
through iterative consultative workshops with program experts and relevant stakeholders. Lists of high-impact
interventions in each program area were identified and prioritized prior to entry to the OneHealth tool for costing and
target setting. Considering this, the tool generated cost and targets on two scenarios: base case scenario and high
case scenario. Base case scenario considers existing interventions and similar investments to estimate targets and
cost. The high case scenario additional investment such as expansion of infrastructure and increases high-impact
intervention coverage to estimate impact level targets and cost. The base case scenario achieves the targets set in
HSTP-II with a minimum cost and lower health outcomes, while the high-case scenario has relatively higher targets
and better health outcomes (Table 2).
Some of the major impact indicators based on the estimated cost are shown below. For example, in base case
scenario, maternal mortality ratio (MMR) will decline from 401 to 279 and 220 per 100,000 live births in 2024, in
base case and high case scenario, respectively.. To achieve MMR SDG target of 140 per 100,000 live births, we have
to use the high case scenario, which requires increasing the coverage of high-impact interventions and mobilization
of sufficient resources (Figure 8). Similarly, under 5-mortality rate will decline from 59 in 2019 to 44 and 36 per
1,000 live births in 2024 in base case and high case scenarios, respectively (Figure 9).
350
300
279
250
220
200
150
100
50
0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Figure 8. Maternal Mortality Ratio targets (per 100,000 live births): Base and high case scenarios
50
44
40
36
30
20
10
0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Figure 9. Under-5 mortality rate targets (per 1,000 live births): Base case and high case scenarios
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Table 2. Basic Assumptions of Costing for Base and High Case Scenarios
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Table 3. HSTP-II Summary Cost - Base Case Scenario (USD in ‘000)
Total
Cost Area 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/24
USD ‘000
Health Service (Program Management) 355,688 319,578 342,277 342,739 316,010 1,676,292 8%
Medicines, commodities, and supplies 1,658,318 1,879,407 2,303,523 2,343,421 2,685,527 10,870,196 50%
2% 3%
Health Service
1% (Programme Management)
5% 7%
Medicines, Commodities
and Supplies
13% Human Resources
Health Infrastructure
19% 50%
Healthcare Financing
Figure 10. Percentage share of the various components of HSS to base case costing
Out of the total cost allocated for program cost, which is $1.67 billion, the highest proportion (17%) is allocated for
each Health Extension Program (HEP), (12.2%) for diagnostic management, 11.9% for immunization, and 8.7% quality
of health services, and 7.8% for maternal, new-born, adolescent and reproductive health.
The health system, as per the OneHealth tool, includes human resource, infrastructure, logistics supply management,
health financing, HIS, research and technology, regulatory activities, and other governance-related activities. The
total cost allocated for the health system is $20.21 billion. The highest proportion is for medicines, commodities
supplies and logistics management (53.8%), followed by human resources (21.1%) and infrastructure (13.7%) (Table
4, Table 5).
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Table 4. HSTP-II Cost - Base Case Scenario by program and health system building blocks (USD in ‘000)
Hygiene and Environmental Health 15,087 14,788 14,733 14,542 14,504 73,654
Mental, neurological, and substance use disorders 195 270 171 186 239 1,061
Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTD) 23,261 24,077 22,210 22,210 22,190 113,948
Injury Prevention; Emergency and Critical Care 49,472 18,024 18,039 18,226 18,309 122,070
Health Extension Program (HEP) 64,960 57,690 65,526 64,135 32,806 285,117
Total program costs (management) 355,688 319,578 342,277 342,739 316,010 1,676,292
Health Systems 0 0 0 0 0 0
Health Information & Innovation 155,467 162,624 167,203 166,833 164,015 816,141
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Table 5. HSTP-II Cost - Base Case Scenario by HSTP-II strategic Directions (USD in ‘000)
Strengthen pharmaceutical
and medical equipment supply 51,732 45,133 39,962 39,585 43,063 219,475 1%
management
Strengthen governance and leadership 1,106 1,446 2,337 2,664 2,220 9,774 0%
Improve health infrastructure 553,592 554,608 553,843 555,165 554,583 2,771,791 13%
Health in all policies and strategies 996 1,281 2,069 2,364 1,957 8,667 0%
Regarding the share allocated for strategic directions, the highest cost allocation for the strategic direction “improve
access to equitable and quality health services,” “improve human resource management,” and “improve health
infrastructure” accounts for 56%, 19%, and 13% respectively (Table 5).
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Table 6. HSTP-II Summary Cost - High Case Scenario (USD in ‘000)
Total
Cost Area 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25
USD ‘000
Medicines, commodities,
supplies and logistics 1,740,683 2,094,279 2,609,319 2,731,768 3,147,656 12,323,705 45%
management
1% 2%
1% Health Service
(Programme Management)
4% Medicines, Commodities, Supplies
9% and logistic management
Human Resources
Healthcare Financing
45%
Health Information and Innovation
16%
Regulatory
Governance
Figure 11. Percentage share of the various components of HSS with a high case scenario costing
From the total cost in high case scenario, program management cost accounts for 9% ($2.47 billion), and the other
health system related cost accounts for 91% ($25.07 billion). From the program management cost, the highest
proportion is costed for nutrition (22.3%) followed by diagnostic management (14%), and Health Extension Program
(11.5%) . Regarding health system cost in high case scenario, the highest proportion is costed for Medicines,
commodities, supplies and logistics management (49.2%) followed by infrastructure (24.3%) (Table 7).
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Table 7. HSTP-II Cost - High Case Scenario by program and health system building blocks (USD in ‘000)
Hygiene and Environmental Health 15,087 14,788 14,733 14,542 14,504 73,654
Mental, neurological, and substance use disorders 195 270 171 186 239 1,061
Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTD) 23,261 24,077 22,210 22,210 22,190 113,948
Injury Prevention; Emergency and Critical Care 39,459 40,180 40,037 40,063 40,540 200,280
Health Extension Program (HEP) 64,960 57,690 65,526 64,135 32,806 285,117
Health Systems 0 0 0 0 0 0
Health Information & Innovation 155,467 162,624 167,203 166,833 164,015 816,141
Regarding the share allocated for strategic directions in high case scenario, the highest cost allocation is for the
strategic directions “improve access to equitable and quality health services,” “improve health infrastructure,” and
“improve human resource management,” accounting for 52%, 22.1% and 15.9% respectively.
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Recurrent and Capital Cost: Base case and High Case Scenario
The total recurrent cost in base case and high case scenarios is $20.45 billion and 422.9 billion, respectively. Regarding
capital cost, the total in base case scenario is $1.39 billion and in the high case scenario$4.63 billion. In base case
scenario, recurrent cost accounts for 93.6% and capital cost accounts for 6.4%. In High case scenario, recurrent cost
accounts for 83.2% and capital cost accounts for 17.1% (Table 8).
Table 8. Recurrent and Capital Cost: Base Case and High Case Scenarios (USD in ‘000)
Cost by Service Delivery Levels: Base case and High Case Scenario
The total cost is also estimated by service delivery levels in the two scenarios. Out of the total estimated cost, 58.8%
($12.86 billion) in base case and 59% ($16.26 billion) in high case is allocated for the PHCU (household/community
level, Health Post, Health Center, and Primary Hospital level interventions). At secondary and tertiary level of care
(general and specialized hospitals), the total estimated cost is $6.79 billion (31%) and $7.6 billion (27.6%) in base case
and high case scenarios respectively. In addition, the remaining cost is allocated for national and sub-national level
program support such as for trainings, workshops, and supportive supervision is estimated and described in Table 9
and Table 10.
Table 9. HSTP Summary Cost by Service Delivery Levels of Base Case Scenario (USD in ‘000)
1.3 Health Center / Primary Hospital 1,642,394 1,867,408 2,112,484 2,296,530 2,575,954 10,494,771
1 Hospital (General & Specialized) 1,250,263 1,283,608 1,372,985 1,406,366 1,479,266 6,792,487
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Table 9. HSTP-II Summary Cost by Service Delivery Levels of High Case (USD in ‘000)
1.1 House Hold / Community 171,494 201,386 312,511 284,481 334,206 1,304,078
1.3 Health Center / Primary Hospital 2,039,147 2,217,164 2,401,414 2,602,544 2,770,770 12,031,038
1 Hospital (General & Specialized) 1,331,742 1,417,883 1,538,076 1,617,407 1,696,892 7,601,999
Per capita health expenditure: Base case and High Case Scenario
The per capita public health spending is expected to increase from $33 to $45 in 2019 to $45.0 in 2024 in base case
scenario. In high case scenario, the per capita public health spending is expected to increase from $33 in 2019 to $56
in 2024 (Figure 12).
120.0
56.0
53.5 54.0
100.0 49.3
45.4
80.0
60.0
42.5 42.4 45.0
36.9 38.2
40.0
20.0
0.0
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Figure 12. Estimated Total Public Health Expenditure per capita (in USD): Base case and high case scenario
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To attain UHC and quality of health care, Ethiopia requires strong fiscal commitment and efficiency in utilization
of resources. In the seventh round NHA (2016/17), Ethiopia’s total health expenditure (recurrent and capital) was
estimated at ETB 72 billion ($3.10 billion). In 2016/17, total health expenditure accounted for 4.2% of the country’s
GDP, which is lower than the expected average of 5% for low-income countries, and well below the global average of
9.2% (WHO, 2016).
A more intensive review of health financing in Ethiopia demonstrates that it faces critical difficulties. Due to a change
in the funding landscape and substantial decline in foreign aid, the Ethiopian health sector, like that of other developing
countries, has been heavily dependent on external sources. On the other hand, the government has shown a strong
commitment to increasing public health spending and has coordinated the use of program-based strategies, such as
pooled funding, to mitigate the effect of fragmented aid in the sector.
Given the change in funding landscape and the decline of foreign aid to health, there is a need to understand fiscal
space for health. The fiscal space analysis primarily focuses on domestic resources with specific attention to potential
expansion from the improved use and performance of public resources.
The use of this fiscal space for health assessment is to forecast the financial resource availability for HSTP-II:
2020/21 to 2024/25 implementation. Furthermore, the analysis helps to explore various options to create fiscal
space for health using sensitivity analysis with three scenarios: low (base), medium, and high (best) variants.
The analysis forecasts available financial resource for 10 years from 2020 to 2029 by considering the five potential
sources of fiscal space creation. The analysis employs all standard assumptions including Low middle-income
country average targets, Abuja and other well-known global targets for setting the cut-off points for defining the
scenarios. The analysis results are presented in an interactive dashboard. Finally, the forecasted data is categorized
as government, private, which includes OOP, insurance, and foreign assistance.
The analysis has taken into account the following standard parameters to forecast available financial resources
for HSTP-II. The standard parameters are further broken down as follows: Insurance as CBHI and SHI, and foreign
assistance as health grants channelled through MOF (Channel I), Channelled through Ministry of Health (Channel II),
and health grants channelled through non-government institutes (channel III).
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Table 10. Summary of Three Scenario Projections in relation to the MTEF Projection
Out-of-pocket expenditure
As the ultimate goal of health care financing strategy is to ensure equity by making quality health service to all
regardless of individual financial status. OOP is estimated based on out-of-pocket expenditure as percent of the
total health expenditure. It is known that OOP is managed by households or individuals, and therefore should not be
considered as a budget available to the government or MOH, but would rather help to show the cost of HSTP-II with
the full envelope of estimated available resources.
The NATIONAL HEALTH ACCOUNT 2016/17 (NHA VII) report finds that the share of OOP spending in health financing
has continued to decline, but not enough to protect households from catastrophic and impoverishing spending.
Efforts to expand financial protection through the various programs (including CBHI and SHI) need to triple to increase
health utilization and reduce OOP spending at the point of use.
For financial resource prediction, the three OOP scenarios are designed on the basis of proposed strategic measures
to minimize OOPs by enhanced prepayment mechanisms such as CBHI and SHI. The low case scenario suggests that
the OOP share of overall health spending stands at 31%, whereas the medium case scenario at 27.8% and the high
case at 24.90%.
Pooling of health resources through health insurance is one component of health financing functions. Over the
last few years, Ethiopia has seen remarkable achievement in CBHI enrolment and resource pooling. However, the
2016/17 NHA reported that about 1% of total heath expenditure was pooled into the government system through
CBHI, while private employers and insurance companies contributed 3% of total health expenditure in 2016/17.
The available resource projection considers the expansion of insurance for the three scenarios as 38% of HH
(household) and 77% of woreda enrolment with no SHI (social health insurance) for the low case scenario (or base
case—continuation of business as usual with limited government health investment), and 50% of HH and 77% of
woreda enrolment with SHI for civil servants starting by 2024 as medium case scenario. The high case scenario is
80% enrolment for both HH and woreda, with an early start of SHI for civil servants in 2023.
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In addition, for channel 3, historical data from the MOH resource tracking and mapping database were used. Due to
the lack of full and timely financial details on channel 3, the financial prediction for this channel may not be wholly
accurate.
In response to the changing financing landscape, health financing in Ethiopia will rely increasingly on the government’s
financing capacity. As the country’s health sector currently depends on external assistance, increasing domestic
health spending is expected to absorb the projected reduction in this assistance. However, as a major increase in
government health expenditure stems from economic growth, increased domestic health spending must be preceded
by the projected growth of GDP from the Ministry of Finance and realization of the Commission’s Plan.
Efficiency gain
Fiscal space analysis for health is not necessarily the only mean of adding resources rather than using existing
resources efficiently. For efficiency gain estimation, various options considered using the studies conducted so far
on primary, secondary and tertiary health care level efficiency analyses. However, the savings from the efficiency
assumptions totally depends on implementation of the action points and recommendations from efficiency studies;
it may not be far from showing the theoretical possibilities only. The cost saving from estimated efficiency gains be
seen as bridging the funding gap, as indicated in the section on recommendations for the funding gap.
The Ethiopia Health Care Financing Strategy (HCFS) includes a number of innovative financing options that could
potentially bridge the funding gap and ensure sustainable financing. The Council of Ministers is expected to approve
the HCFS at the beginning of 2013 EC. The implementation of innovative financing schemes will be determined
upon approval of the Health Care Financing Strategy and the socioeconomic condition of Ethiopia. Therefore, it is
not possible quantify how the level of resources that can be mobilized through innovative financing options under
HSTP-II. There is strong international evidence of the potential of innovative financing options for the mobilization of
significant health resources, such as the airline levies, sin-taxes (tobacco is already approved in Ethiopia), extractive
industries, airtime levies, private contributions (corporate social responsibility), a national health lottery, mobilization
of more philanthropists, and public-private partnerships.
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5.2.4. Financial space projection
Total resource projection
According to the three scenario assumptions, the total financial forecast shows an increasing pattern with an annual
average amount of $3.74, $3.94 and $4.37 billion USD, respectively, for low, medium and high scenarios. The total
available resource for the 2020/21 to 2024/25 five-year HSTP-II forecast is projected at $18.69, $19.70 and $21.87
(billions), respectively, for the three scenarios.
The prediction of funding availability was intended to demonstrate the anticipated change in health financing to
domestic, sustainable financing in Ethiopia. Government plays a vital role in domestic financing by reprioritizing
health and promoting access to health. However, since health funding increases will largely on the country’s economic
development, the prediction of the available resources goes along with the GDP growth estimate (Figure 13).
6.00 5.70
4.93 4.82
5.00
4.29 4.33
In Billion USD
1.00
-
2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25
The above figure shows that available resources significantly increase over time for all scenarios, reflecting an
increasing GDP growth trend projection in Ethiopia.
Source of finance
For the three cases, the financial forecast considers various financial sources to health. The Government of Ethiopia’s
commitment to moving to domestic, sustainable health care support is evident in these projections (summarized at
the end of this section in Table 12).
For the business as usual case, though the total THE projection remains low, the government’s share of health
expenditure increases to offset the declining external assistance trend (Figure 14). The nominal increases of the
government expenditure, without reprioritizing health, are derived from government budget projections in the
Mid-Term Expenditure Framework or MTEF. For the business as usual case scenario, the GGHE as a share of GGE
maintains it current share at 8%.
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Available resources for hstp-ii projections:
source of finance base
50.0%
45.0%
40.0%
35.0%
30.0%
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25
The medium case scenario projection assumes that government reprioritize health and increases the GGHE as a
share of GGE from 8% to 10% in five years. In this scenario, the government provides the lion’s share of total health
expenditure by contributing about half of these expenditures by 2024/25. This scenario envisions a moderate decline
in OOP as a result of increased CBHI coverage and the start of SHI at the fourth year of HSTP-II. Unlike in the low
case scenario, external assistance is assumed to follow moderate declining trend, because the MOH, as part of the
Health Care Financing Strategy, plans to mobilize more resources from both domestic and international sources in
the coming years (Figure 15).
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25
In the high-case scenario, as in the medium-case scenario, government health reprioritization results in GGHE
representing 12% of GGE by 2024/25. The external aid funding landscape could improve as a result of the COVID-19
pandemic. For this scenario, SHI is assumed to be launched at third year of HSTP-II, but only for civil servants. Figure
16 shows a significant increase on the share of insurance in total health expenditure from 1.2% to 3.7%. This is an
indication of the importance of SHI for domestic resource mobilization; a significant reduction in OOP would not be
possible without SHI, even with full enrollment of CBHI-targeted beneficiaries.
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Available Resource for HSTP-II Projections:
Source of Finance medium
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25
Financing
Government External Assistance OOP Insurance
Option
GC Base Medium High Base Medium High Base Medium High Base Medium High
2020/21 1.10 1.15 1.19 1.06 1.06 1.06 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.06 0.06 0.07
2021/22 1.27 1.38 1.49 1.06 1.06 1.15 1.02 0.99 0.97 0.06 0.06 0.08
2022/23 1.46 1.67 1.87 1.06 1.06 1.26 1.11 1.04 1.00 0.06 0.07 0.17
2023/24 1.69 2.03 2.34 1.06 1.06 1.37 1.21 1.09 1.03 0.06 0.15 0.18
2024/25 1.96 2.46 2.95 1.06 1.06 1.49 1.32 1.15 1.06 0.06 0.15 0.19
Total 7.49 8.69 9.84 5.31 5.31 6.33 5.61 5.21 5.00 0.28 0.49 0.70
Projected per capita spending from HSTP-II costing is much greater than the estimated per capita expenditure of
HSTP-II available resource projection shown in Table 12. Table 13 shows that the per capita health spending for all
scenarios ranges from $36.11 to $42.17 on average, while for HSTP-II cost estimates range from $42.30 to $53.24.
For Ethiopia, as one dollar per capita represents about $100 million or more, a small change in per capita expenditure
has a significant impact on the overall health resource estimation.
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Table 13. Per Capita Health Expenditure Based on Projected Available and Required Resources
5.00 11.0%
In Billion USD
4.00 9.0%
7.0%
3.00
5.0%
2.00
3.0%
1.00 1.0%
- -1.0%
2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25
According to the HSTP-II cost estimate, $21.89 billion and USD 27.55 billion at base and high case scenario
respectively is required for the next five years, while the available financial resources for the HSTP-II years are
projected at $18.69, $19.70 and $21.87 billion for low, medium, and high case scenarios, respectively. The funding
gap is large, except for the high case scenario. The funding gap for HSTP-II between business as usual (base/low)
available resource projection and required resources at base case is $3.2 billion, which is 14% of the HSTP-II budget.
This gap is amplified for high case required resource with 8.86 billion USD which is 32%.
The “Financing the Gap” section discuss potential financing options to fill this funding gap. Just to highlight, HSTPII
required resources, while moving from business as usual (low) to medium and high case available resource projections,
the funding gap substantially declines to 18.7% and 0.1%, respectively.
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Required vs Available Resources for HSTP II Projections (in billion USD)
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
Figure 18. Planned expenditures versus financial space (total health expenditure)
in base/low and high case scenarios
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
-
2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25
-1.00
-2.00
Figure 19. Financing gap for business as usual with base cost scenario
The high case scenario HSTP-II cost estimation against business as usual (base case scenario) available resource
projection gives a financing gap of an annual average of $1.77 billion from 2020/21 to 2020/24. In sum, this leaves
$8.86 billion financing gap in five years, which is about 2% of GGE (Figure 20).
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Financing Gap for Business as usual with high cost scenario
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
-
2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25
-1.00
-2.00
-3.00
Figure 20. Financing gap for business as usual with high cost scenario
Based on the available resource projections, the medium and high case scenarios estimate higher available resource
as compared to business as usual. This can happen only if government reprioritizes health and increases the GGHE
as a share of GGE from 8% to 10% and 12 %, respectively, for the medium and high cases; and if external assistance
decreased to 25% and 30% of THE by 2024/25 for the medium and high case scenarios. Under these conditions, the
financing gap could be diminished (Table 14).
Table 14. Financing Gap for HSTP-II Base Scenario Cost with Available Resource Projections (in Billion USD)
The financing gap dramatically decreases from business as usual scenario to medium and high case scenarios, to
about 14% for medium and 10% for the high case scenario against the HSTP-II base cost estimates (Table 15).
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Table 15. Financing gap for HSTP-II high scenario cost with available resource projections (in Billion USD)
In general, the high case scenario cost estimates of HSTP-II exceed projected available resources in all scenarios.
The HSTP-II period will be in deficit for the implementation of high case scenario health targets unless additional
resources from international assistance are considered or the government or the government allocates 12% to
14% of its budget to health. On the other hand, the reduction of health objectives involves trade-offs between cost
reduction and compliance with local and international health commitments.
Potential efficiency gains: Health sector inefficiencies and significant loss of resources due to inefficiencies are
global concern. UHC cannot be achieved by raising resources alone; resources will have to be used more efficiently.
Globally, 20-40% of all health resources are wasted due to inefficiencies. According to the 2016 /17 Ethiopia health,
system efficiency studies inefficiencies due to HR, drugs and supplies, and indirect costs were reported at all levels
(Ethiopia Economic Association, 2016) (Peter Berman, 2016). The costs saved from addressing these reported health
sector inefficiencies was estimated between $37 and $90 million per year. This could fill the whole funding gap for
the base case and high case resource projections. Health system efficiency improvement is one of the priorities in
HSTP-II, and one of the strategic objectives of the Health Care Financing Strategy. The sector will continue to take
advantage of the bulk procurement that enhance values for money in the next five years. Furthermore, the sector
will explore and implement human resource productivity-enhancing interventions to ensure that available human
resources produce more outpatient equivalents than they currently do. Additional planned improvements include
strengthening distribution of and management of health commodities and building capacity to carry out health
budgeting at all levels.
Innovative financing: One of the major health financing flagship initiatives is the launch of innovative financing. Data
from HSTP-I have been synthesized to describe convenient forms of innovative health financing for Ethiopia, such as
sin-tax, airtime levy, airlines levy, and so on, as described previously; and major service providers, such as financing
sectors and banks could play a role in innovative financing through their corporate social responsibility (CSR)
programs. As the feasibility of innovative financing in Ethiopia context was manifested in HSTP-I era, implementation
is expected to happen in HSTP-II. The sin-tax proclamation was recently launched, but the amount earmarked for
health has not yet determined. It is difficult at present to quantify the resources that can be mobilized through
innovative financing; but the expectation is that this model will contribute significantly to reducing the financing gaps
during HSTP-II.
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Performance Based Financing: PBF can be help achieve better results in the health sector compared to the
traditional approach to financing inputs—provided the approach is planned with detailed prospective cost analyses
and a careful, holistic multi-level approach. Leveraging the SDG Pool Fund and other external assistances, the MOH
and development partners will consider the design and implementation of a PBF mechanism that:
§ Defines clear eligibility criteria for sub-national organizations to access the PBF fund, including those addressing
health inequity
§ Incentivizes subnational levels to allocate more resources to the health sector
§ Motives these entities to improve efficiency and effective delivery of results by linking disbursement of funds
with achievement of set outcome indicators and efficiency gains
§ Ensures data quality through establishing a relevant verifying agent.
Financial and administrative issues for PBF such as fund flow, mechanism to address equity, and others should be
outlined separately.
Multi-sectoral collaboration: Health outcomes depend not only activities/programs run by the health sector but to
other sectors as well, particularly education, WASH, transport and others. Non-health sectors health expenses are
not accurately accounted for within health expenditure. As part of the woreda transformation agenda of HSTP-II,
proper alignment of plans and well-organized expenditure tracking of non-health investments improves the efficient
use of resources and also helps to count every penny directly or indirectly channeled to the health care system in
Ethiopia.
Implementation of the Health Care Financing Strategy: One of the HCF strategic objective is to mobilize adequate
resources from domestic and external sources through traditional and innovative approaches (MOH, 2017). This
strategy aims to increase the health sector resources to address the HCF resource gap that Ethiopia is likely to face
in the coming years by maximizing available resources from all sources through sustainable, innovative, and scalable
approaches. The HCF strategy is expected to be approved by the Council of Ministers at the beginning of 2013 EC. In
view of this funding gap, the implementation of HCF strategies be prioritized in HSTP-II.
Introduce HSTP-II expenditure and financing monitoring system: Expenditure and financing monitoring was a
major concern throughout HSTP-I. It is therefore essential to develop an effective expenditure plan to manage and
control the costs of any project from the outset. This will strengthen the monitoring system for effective utilization
of the HSTP-II budget, but will also address how the cost baseline, control costs, and cost variance management will
be effectively managed. This system will enable more frequent monitoring of HSTP-II expenditure and financing, and
will facilitate rapid and proactive decision-making on budget utilization and funding gaps.
The expenditure monitoring system is primarily intended to monitor and control costs. It checks cost variance from
the baseline cost. This process should take place regularly throughout the HSTP-II period, and more frequently as
project costs increase.
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Chapter 6
IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENT
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The implementation arrangement of HSTP-II aims at facilitating the implementation of the health sector
transformation plan at all system level and by relevant stakeholders. The main implementation arrangements of
HSTP-II are described below.
Implementation of HSTP-II entails eight initiatives. The first two require the attention of sectoral leadership at all
levels to keep them focused on integrated activities and practice good governance to build ownership of all initiatives
and help all implementers deliver on their missions towards common vision. Hence, identifying integrative activities
is important, including the transformation agenda. Building on the transformation agenda of HSTP-I, systematically
packaging sets of initiatives/programs or major activities of transformation agenda to streamline communication,
resource utilization, and monitoring of HSTP-II implementation.
The third implementation arrangement helps to address the lack of a detailed implementation plan for cascading
the strategic plan into operationalization plan to align existing resources or inputs (financial, human, time and
other relevant resources) with anticipated services to be delivered to clients. Ethiopia’s health sector planning and
budgeting model, woreda-based national health sector planning, has been in place for about a decade, serving as
planning framework at all levels. Optimizing the this model as a health sector planning and budgeting mechanism,
by objectively assessing its lessons, will be critical in translating HSTP-II to tangible actions on the ground. There
must also be detailed implementation plans for flagship initiatives/programs, indicating a clear pathway for all, and
providing all actors with the resources required for meaningful impact within reasonably faster time. Based on the
experience to date, emergencies happen all the time, so that nothing can be left to assumptions. Hence, the strategic
and annual operational plans should factor in the need to respond to public health emergencies, including resource
mapping exercises with relevant stakeholders (risk-oriented planning and budgeting).
The fourth arrangement addresses the challenges to organizational structures at national, regional, and sub-regional
health sector in measures supporting implementation of sector-specific and multi-sectoral strategies. Based on the
situational analysis observed in chapter II & III, restructuring must be considered as a way of building a quality health
system.
The fifth implementation arrangement aims at optimizing monitoring and evaluation (M&E) to inform decisions on
adjusting plans over the course of strategic periods. Evidence must assess whether current activities are working
well, drop/abandon ineffective or failed activities, and trigger new actions or developments including innovations
as needed. Review of sectoral performance should include research, as appropriate, as well as generating new
evidence. The research agenda should focus on developing and testing solutions (including innovations and product
development) that respond to challenges in improving the health status of the nation and building quality throughout
the health system.
The sixth and seventh implementation arrangements focus on fostering partnership and collaboration by promoting
multi-sectoral collaboration and private-sector engagement, respectively. Though, these coordination arrangements
existed in HSTP-I, they were not backed up by relevant structures, resources, and monitoring frameworks.
The eighth approach is forward-looking, aimed at expediting the implementation of the plans and fostering innovation
by introducing health technology assessment and adaptation mechanism including development aspects of local
researches. The ninth approach is about communication, health diplomacy, and visible leadership.
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At national level, efforts will also be made to integrate and mainstream elements of the health policy within the
policies and programs of all other sectors, fostering inter-sectoral collaboration. Health sector plans and activities
will be particularly linked with sectors like food security and nutrition, education, environment and climate change,
information, communication and technology, and agriculture, to support achievement of universal health care. All
activities will focus on aligning with global initiatives and agreed upon international declarations.
The organizational structure and institutional culture (which includes different management- and communication-
related guidelines and protocols) are the basic frameworks on which all the other components and stakeholder
elements coalesce for effective governance of the plan. All necessary legal and regulatory frameworks to support
and back up the enforcement of health actions are in place, even though they need to be properly compiled for easy
reference by the public and generalist audiences. There are also initiatives for capacity building and enhancing the
leadership skills of the health sector management at all levels.
The MOH is also working towards splitting provider and regulatory functions to create an open and transparent
mechanism of governance for health sector activities. Within the period of HSTP-II, it will conduct preparatory activities
for establishing semi-autonomous professional and facility regulation through the involvement of professional
associations and other stakeholders. It is currently revising the Health Harmonization Manual (HHM) in the spirit
of strengthening coordination and accountability and for eventually moving towards “full” harmonization with “one
plan, one budget, and one report (MOH, 2019).” Accordingly, the coordination and implementation of the HSTP-II will
have an institutional framework built on consultation and review, which is meant to optimize the dialogue between
the MOH and health partners for to obtain effective development assistance to the health sector. The principles for
such dialogue are ownership by the Government of Ethiopia, alignment of partners to the government, harmonization
among partners, mutual accountability between the Government and partners, and financing for results.
The overall governance and implementation arrangements are clearly outlined within the HHM in the following
text.
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§ The Joint Core Coordinating Committee (JCCC): This committee serves as the technical arm of the JCF, and assists
and works closely with MOH in following up the implementation of the decisions of the Joint Consultative Forum
and the recommendations of the review missions (mid-term and annual review meetings, and final evaluation).
The JCCC is also responsible for assisting MOH in organizing the review, conducting M&E, and coordinating
operational research and thematic studies. The JCCC will be composed of PPMED, staff, and senior members
from the HPN Group, and is chaired by the Director of PPMED. With the ongoing revision and full implementation
of the HHM, the functioning of the JCCC will be revitalized by revising its composition (implemented by the JCF)
and by developing performance accountability measures among federal and regional government levels and
with development partners.
Agreements based on the health sector Code of Conduct, and signed by major development partners, should reflect
the priorities and targets of the government’s strategic and annual plans. The agreements also stipulate that funding
from all sources will be translated into the Ethiopian chart of accounts and fiscal years.
The overall planning framework consists of strategic and annual plans; and strategic plans such as HSTP-II are to be
cascaded to annual operational plans for their actual implementation. Both strategic and annual plans are the result
of consultation entailing top-down and bottom-up processes. The top-down process ensures alignment of national
priorities and targets with those of the regions and woredas. This process also helps to create consistency between
health sector plans and the national prosperity plan. The bottom-up process ensures that the priorities and targets
within regions and districts take local challenges and capacity into account. Each decentralized entity (health facility
and health management structure) and programs will have its own strategic plan that emanates from the broader
HSTP-II. The sub-strategic plan is a reflection of HSTP, while the annual plan breaks down the strategic plan further
into shorter periods. Annual plans describe health sector activities in the geographical areas, and start with resource
mapping that lists all the planned expenditure by government, donors, NGOs, and other stakeholders.
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The principles governing both strategic and annual plans are:
§ Government ownership and leadership in all health planning processes: This principle means that the
MOH, RHBs, Zonal Health Departments, and Woreda Health Offices at all levels own the process, and have
the responsibility to organize and lead the planning sessions. It also ensures all stakeholders (government,
development partners, NGOs, CSOs, private sector, the community) will have active roles in the consultation.
The plan and budget should also be approved by the relevant local government authority through the formal
approval process.
§ Linkage: Linkage to resource mapping from all stakeholders (government, development partners, NGOs, CSOs,
private sector), which includes financial and non-financial resources in line with the “one budget” principle.
§ Alignment to other plans vertically (strategic-annual) and geographically (federal → regional → zonal → woreda), and
horizontally (including activities of all stakeholders operating at that particular level). Annual plans represent
the detailed operationalization of the five-year strategic plan, reflecting the priorities and stipulated targets in
sufficient detail within the specified period.
§ Comprehensiveness in terms of all of the following: scope of covering all activities (including those of
stakeholders) in the health sector; resource mapping with estimates of the total resources available from
all sources; implementation schedule (quarterly/monthly) with major activities and responsible bodies for
implementing each activity; monitoring framework with key performance indicators, baseline data, annual
targets, sources and mechanisms of collecting data; and reporting and feedback mechanisms.
Planning and management capacity will be strengthened at all levels under HSTP-II, especially at the woreda level.
To promote performance-based resource allocation and accountability, performance agreements and/or MOUs
can be developed and instituted between the health sector and partners and implementers as tools to enhance
collaboration, by clarifying mutual expectations, responsibilities and accountability. To enhance utilization and
absorptive capacity of regions and lower-level units, an agreed procedure can be instituted for reviewing statements
of accounts that are linked with performance indicators of agreed-upon programs.
The Partnership and Cooperation Directorate of the MOH has developed a strategy document to improve coordination
of stakeholders and oversight of health care financing activities at all levels. This document also addresses grant
management, procurement, and audit, and strategies to enhance absorptive capacity at federal and regional levels,
including establishing grant management units at lower levels, especially at RHBs.
The organization of the SDG pool fund will also strengthened within one of the strategic initiatives of the Health
Care Financing Strategy (“Generating additional finances from innovative financing mechanisms”) (MOH, 2017).
Conditions for support through the pool fund are to the extent possible coordinated and harmonized among the
partners considering support for addressing issues of quality, equity, and resilience of the health system, with
agreement between the government and partners on a common set of indicators and procedures that will be verified
through joint review and regular prioritization sessions. While continuing to encourage all partners to move towards
direct budget support (channel I), the government also plans to increase the number of contributors to the pool
fund, by encouraging other partners to join and by ensuring that pooled funds are managed by the public sector and
disbursed using public-sector procedures.
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6.4. HEALTH SERVICE DELIVERY ARRANGEMENTS
The Ethiopian health service delivery will continue to be structured into three tiers providing primary-, secondary-,
and tertiary-level health care (Figure 21).
Health
center Health center Primary level
40,000 (15,000 - 25,000) people healthcare
People
Health post
(3,000 - 5,000) people
URBAN rural
Figure 21. Ethiopian Health Tier System
The primary health care unit (PHCU) consists of health posts, health center, and primary hospitals. One health center
is attached to five satellite health post to provide services to approximately 25,000 people altogether. According
to the HEP optimization roadmap, health posts will be either comprehensive or basic. The comprehensive health
posts will be staffed by HEWs, nurses, midwives, and other health professionals to provide more comprehensive
service, while the basic HPs will be staffed by health extension workers, and will provide various preventive and
health promotion services, in addition to treating cases such as malaria, pneumonia, scabies, trachoma, and other
mild illnesses. Both health post types also refer clients to health centers for services requiring higher-level care. The
HEWs are supported by volunteer community-level workers to reach every household and execute their package of
interventions.
Health centers provide both preventive and curative services, and also serve as referral centers and practical training
sites for health extension workers. Primary hospitals offer inpatient and ambulatory services to about 100,000
people, and also provide emergency surgery (including caesarean sections and blood transfusions).
General hospitals are categorized under the second tier of health care. These hospitals provide similar services to
those of primary hospitals, and serve on average 1 million people. They are referral centers for primary hospitals and
training centers for health officers, nurses, and emergency surgeons.
The third tier in the Ethiopian health care system, tertiary health care, consists of a specialized hospital that covers a
population of approximately 5 million. It also serves as a referral center for general hospitals.
Currently, MOH has seven agencies that are responsible for guiding and implementing health and health-related
activities, including:
§ Ethiopian Public Health Institute (EPHI): Responsible for public health- and nutrition-related surveys and
researches, quality laboratory systems, and public health emergency management
§ Armauer Hansen Research Institute (AHRI): Primarily responsible for generating and delivering scientific
evidence, developing new tools and methods through biomedical, clinical, and translational research; and serves
as a hub for technological transfer and capacity building in medical research and training
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§ HIV/AIDS Prevention and Control Office (HAPCO): Primarily responsible for coordination of multi-sectoral HIV
prevention and control activities
§ Ethiopian Health Insurance Agency (EHIA): Primarily responsible for establishing and implementing an efficient,
effective health insurance system
§ Ethiopian Food and Drug Authority (EFDA): Responsible for assuring the safety, efficacy, and quality of health
and health-related products and services through control and supervision of food safety, pharmaceutical quality,
tobacco and tobacco products, cosmetics and related products, and other regulatory activities.
§ Ethiopian Pharmaceuticals Supply Agency (EPSA): Responsible for ensuring a sustainable supply of quality-
assured pharmaceuticals to health facilities at an affordable price
§ National Blood Bank: Responsible for ensuring the availability of blood and blood products in Ethiopia
HSTP-II will continue to focus on strengthening and expanding health services facilities within the framework of
primary health care by improving governance and ensuring equitable access to and utilization of quality health
services. The transformation perspective will also redesign and restructure the service delivery system through a
systemic reform process that rationalizes the health system so that high-quality services are provided at the right
level, by the right provider, and at the right time to optimize outcomes (The Lancet Global Health Commission, 2018).
This implies transforming service delivery to respond to the dynamic epidemiologic transition that is sweeping the
country, in addition to making the health system resilient to withstand emergencies, epidemics, and pandemics.
The health management information system is being updated with recent technological development, and DHS2 is
being rolled out at all levels. Data completeness and timeliness are among the critical challenges that the information
revolution is expected to address—and one of the key transformation agenda of the HSTP. There is also an ongoing
initiative to catalyze and accelerate data use within the health sector.
The MOH and EPHI collaborate and work closely with the Central Statistical Agency, or CSA, and the newly
restructured Immigration, Nationality and Vital Events Agency by conducting population and facility-based surveys
and streamlining and strengthening the vital events registration system within the country.
Despite these initiatives, the monitoring review system within the health sector remains plagued by the absence of
functional linkages across the central, regional, and woreda levels; inability to sustain timely and complete reporting;
and low levels of data use for action and decision-making. With regard to research in particular, there is concern
at all levels that the translation of evidence to policy and practice is very poor. Research activities also tend to be
mostly descriptive, rather than being operational in terms of improving the monitoring performance of plans or being
translated into concrete practice at policy and program levels. Other research concerns include poor coordination and
the limited funding resources available for research. Strengthening functioning and linkages for the existing health
sector research advisory councils (is one step in tacking these challenges. Another step is to secure senior-level
management for strengthening activities initiated within some directorates of the MOH to work with universities
and to tap their network of demographic surveillance sites.
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care movement, and was re-affirmed within the Millennium Development Declaration, which focuses on a broad
multi-sectoral approach for any national development plans, including health.
Implementation of HSTP-II will take place through multi-sectoral collaboration to address all the determinants
of health (personal, social, environmental, economic, and political). This entails collective actions by wide-ranging
actors outside the health sector, such as education, environment, agriculture, housing and infrastructure, and water,
within the ecological framework of health determinants. Engaging these sectors involve the coordination different
stakeholders within the public sector, private sector, non-government agencies, civil services and community-level
organizations. Among the key sectors for collaboration are:
The multi sectoral ministerial steering committee established in 2019 had selected Gimbichu Woreda to pilot the
interventions. The ministerial steering committee was led by the health sector based on the experience of the health
sector’s woreda transformation. However, he health sector alone cannot take such a huge role. It will require a
national-level mechanism to bring all these actors together for a common goal and improve health through their
concerted actions. The health sector can lead the technical coordination, but Ministry of finance should take the lead
role in financing, donor mobilization and governance.
The mechanisms for multi-sectoral collaboration include joint planning, implementation, review, and evaluation of
sectoral programs at all levels. Coordination committees will be established at regional, Zonal and woreda level to
ensure ownership of the development efforts and engage community and all stakeholders.
The government will also facilitate the private sector’s usual engagement in the expansion of health infrastructure,
local production of pharmaceuticals, and medical devices, as well as training and continuing development for health
professionals.
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6.8. FOSTERING INNOVATION THROUGH HEALTH
TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT AND ADAPTATION
Although research and development of technologies is the domain of the Ministry of Innovation and Technology,
Ministry of Health should also foster technological innovations that facilitate and expedite the implementation of
HSTP-II activities.
The government can create a conducive environment for innovation in use and development of health technologies
across the spectrum of invention, technological assessment, adoption, and diffusion. In terms of innovation, the
health sector can support basic and applied research by universities and other research institutions. Governments
can and should play an active part in supporting innovative approaches and facilitating the health technology
assessment process for effective adoption of successful endeavors. Particularly nowadays, the growing presence
of mobile technology can have a positive influence in the implementation of health care activities. Mobile and other
IT-related applications can foster solutions to the challenges of expanding health care access across large geographic
areas, local communities, and individual patients and providers.
In terms of health technology assessment, the MOH also has established a Health Economics and Financing Analysis
team within the Partnership and Coordination Directorate. This team spearheads application of evidence-based
health care decision-making by compiling evidence and defining effectiveness measures for different health
technologies and programs (Zegeye EA, 2018). Health technology assessment has been established as a tool for
priority setting in the health sector—a tool that helps to systematically evaluate innovative interventions and inform
policy decisions on their application and resource allocation. The EPHI and AHRI are among the institutions that are
conducting research on a range of interventions and technology assessment programs.
Therefore, health technology innovation and assessment is critical to adopting and diffusing new, cost-effective
health technologies to improve health sector performance.
Locally, diplomacy—for instance, in the form of negotiation with important government sectors such as Ministry
of Finance—is vital to increase evidence–driven, multi-sectoral collaborative actions to build a healthy, productive
society. Regional, continental and global responses, led by global multi-lateral organizations such as World
Health Organization (WHO), also have an impact on the success of the domestic response plan through globally
accepted guidance, lesson exchange, and sharing burdens. The MOH will share HSTP-II implementation successes
and challenges in global and regional forums such as World Health Assembly and UN General Assembly. These
diplomatic initiatives will strengthen existing collaborations and attract new partnership platforms to more lives and
build resilient systems.
In the next five years, MOH will strengthen its capacity in health diplomacy at all levels at domestic and international
levels for successful implementation of the HSTP-II by aligning its policy and strategies with global and national
multi-sectoral response directions. Success stories and lessons will be shared both locally and at global platforms
to advocate for changes in global public health practices. In addition, the MOH will build the capacity of Ethiopian
diplomats across the globe so that they can advocate for health investment in Ethiopia.
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Regarding communication and visible leadership, MOH is accountable for public interest and user experience
of health services, and accepts feedback by making the status of HSTP-II implementation visible to the public
through such media as official press releases, public news platforms, and social media outlets, and through regular
reports submitted to Council of Ministers and House of Representatives. The Communications and Public Relations
Department at all levels of MOH will be responsible for increasing the visibility of activities carried out during the
implementation of HSTP-II.
2 Occurrence of Health The MOH will strengthen the public health emergency management system by improving the capacity for
Emergencies emergency preparedness, prevention, early detection and response of emerging and re-emerging diseases
and other emergencies. The MOH will also strengthen the intra-sectoral and multi-sectoral collaboration
and coordination among different stakeholders, improve capacity as per the IHR recommendations and
enhance regular risk assessment at all levels. Emergency preparedness will be strengthened for an effective
emergency response to any emergency at all levels. Health screening at POAs will also be strengthened.
3 Inadequacy of financial The health sector will focus more on domestic financing to fill the financial gap required during the HSTP-II
resource period. The following efforts will be done:
Sudden reduction - Implementation of innovative domestic financing strategies to mobilize adequate finance domestically
of donor funds (Low will be implemented
predictability of external - Strengthen the implementation of CBHI and initiate implementation of Social Insurance as an internal
funding due to world mechanism to increase financing to the health sector
economic recession) - Strengthen public-private partnership
4 Inadequate budget The health sector will work with the government and use strong evidence informed advocacy on adequate
allocation by the budget allocation to the sector. There will be improved political commitment at all levels of the health
government to health system.
5 Weak inter-sectoral The MOH will work closely with the government and line Ministries to collaborate in addressing social
collaboration determinants of health
6 Inadequate private The MOH will work with other government ministries and agencies, civil society organizations, the private
sector involvement sector to attract investment; strengthen public-private partnerships
7 Population The MOH will work closely with other government ministries and agencies, civil society organizations, and
displacements, neighboring countries to prevent and control cross-border health and health-related health challenges at
in-migrations and centers for IDPs and refugees.
instability of neighboring
countries Establishing service delivery points at IDP sites and refugee centers and strengthening health services in
these sites.
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Chapter 7
MONITORING AND
EVALUATION PLAN
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This Section includes the main M&E components of the strategic plan. Detailed descriptions, definitions, indicator
matrix and other components are broadly described in a separate “Monitoring and Evaluation of HSTP-II”
document.
Coverage of
(Promotion, prevention, curative and
Essential
Health Financing Improved
Leadership and Governance
Communication Regular reporting, review by performance monitoring teams, regular review at JSC, ARM and other forums; midterm and
and use final evaluation, Global reporting, share information products by different platforms
7.2 INDICATORS
M&E for HSTP-II will use 76 core indicators to monitor and evaluate the implementation of the strategic plan. The
impact, outcome, output and, input indicators were selected in a balanced way, using thoroughly defined selection
criteria including relevance, availability of data sources, measurability, sensitivity, and alignment with national and
international priority health interventions and requirements. Besides the most commonly used types of indicators,
indices/composite indicators are included. The indicators include baseline, midterm targets (2022), and endline
targets (2025).
The period for data collection and analysis varies for each indicator. Some indicators are analyzed on a monthly
basis, others quarterly, annually, at 2-3 years, and at 5 years’ time. Target setting was done using a OneHealth tool
and considering criteria such as previous trend, baseline, capacity, and national and international commitments.
The process was participatory, with iterative, consultative engagement of program experts and stakeholders; and
participants—learning from HSTP-I lessons—sought to make the targets realistic.
Selected tracer indicators will be analyzed by equity parameters. The plan is to regularly monitor and design
interventions to reduce the inequality in selected parameters. Equity analysis report will be developed at least
every year or two, based on the type of indicator, and distributed to stakeholders. The targets for the tracer equity
indicators appear in Annex 2.
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Monitoring Health Security Index
The health security index is measured by IHR core competencies, which are organized under four major health
security domains (prevention, detection, response, and others). The Ethiopian Public Health Institute will conduct a
health security assessment on a yearly basis. HSTP-II plans to increase the health security index from 0.63 to 0.78.
Resilience Index
The resilience index is derived from analysis of responses from key informants in relation to resilience attributes
in their systems, which include awareness, diversity, versatility and self-regulation, and mobilization, adaption and
integration. This assessment will be conducted every 5 years. The Ethiopian Public Health Institute will be responsible
for conducting a survey to determine the resilience of the health system. Based on the report from WHO for Africa
region, the resilience score for Ethiopia in 2019 is 0.49, and the plan in the HSTP-II period is to increase it to 0.50.
Data sources
The common data sources used to measure and inform HSTP-II include routine and non-routine data sources.
Routine health information sources: This includes routine sources such as HMIS, the regulatory information system,
the health commodity management information system, the human resource information system, civil registration
and vital statistics, the health insurance information system, the integrated financial management information
system, and administrative reports. Data from both public and private sectors will be gathered to provide a full
picture of health system performance.
Non-Routine health information sources: This includes population and housing census surveys, Demographic and
Heath Surveys, and other surveys and assessments, as well as research findings and other non-routine data sources
such as burden of disease studies, modeling for HIV estimates, and others.
E-health architecture
The Ethiopian eHealth Architecture illustrates how distinct IT components form a coherent and holistic national HIS
that provides an increasingly sophisticated set of business capabilities to the health sector. The eHealth architecture
supports coordination of IT choices and appropriate resource utilization, minimizing duplication of effort and facilitating
access to and integration of data. During the strategic period, the e-Health architecture will be implemented with
the aim of improving data quality and use, interoperability between and across eHealth applications, performance
monitoring, and sharing of information.
Data quality
Improving the quality of data for a meaningful decision-making process will be a focus in this HSTP. Interventions in
this domain will tackle technical, organizational, and behavioral factors affecting the quality of data. Improving data
quality requires the effort of every actor in the health sector, primarily every health workers, and comprehensive
implementation of techniques for improving data quality.
Data quality-assurance techniques will be implemented holistically at each level of the health system. As part of
external verification process, and to enhance reliability and credibility, data quality audit (DQAs) will be conducted
every two years by the Ethiopian Public Health Institute.
Data use at the facility level will predominantly be led by the performance monitoring team, which will also guide and
oversee other data use platforms, such as departmental-level data reviews, quality improvement processes, clinical
review sessions, and other data use forums. Additional platforms will also be employed for data use.
Performance review
Regular, participatory performance review meetings will be undertaken every two months, quarterly, biannually
and annually at different levels. During performance reviews, all relevant stakeholders will meet and review the
performance of the sector. The overall annual performance of the sector will be reviewed during the Annual Review
Meeting. Each level of the health system will conduct programmatic and general evidence-based performance
review regularly.
7.5 EVALUATION
Evaluation of HSTP-II activities will take place at mid-term (2022/23) and end-term (2025) to assess the status of
attainment of set objectives and targets. The mid-term evaluation will assess progress towards achievement of
results and generate lessons learned, while the end-term will inform development of the subsequent strategic plan.
In addition, Joint MPH-HPN Review Mission (JRM), will be executed as scheduled in the HHM. MOH will strengthen
the capacity of regions to conduct self-evaluation that considers their specific context. Impact evaluation will also be
conducted for selected interventions as deemed necessary.
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7.7 COORDINATION, POLICY AND INSTITUTIONAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR MONITORING
AND EVALUATION
§ The Ethiopian Public Health Institute is mandated to conduct health related survey and research. However,
overall coordination of M&E will be the responsibility of the Planning and M&E unit of MOH. Additionally, this
unit will map, coordinate, and lead the planning and execution of surveys, operational research, and evaluation,
and documentation, and sharing of findings.
§ A Research Coordination Unit will be established at MOH. It will be responsible for the translation of researches
into action through policy dialogues, and by producing policy briefs and other evidence synthesis documents.
§ HSTP promotes involvement of all stakeholders in the planning, implementation, review, and M&E process. The
community will be involved in rating the health system; and the level of community involvement/ contribution
in the health sector will be assessed. Community scorecards will be implemented to regularly measure the
responsiveness of the health system and community satisfaction, and to identify priority areas within the health
sector.
§ Joint coordination platforms will be used for planning, monitoring and evaluation. The platforms include,
Joint Steering Committee, Joint Consultative Forum, and Joint Core Coordinating Committee (described in the
“Implementation Arrangement” chapter) .
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Annex 1
INDICATORS AND
TARGETS OF HSTP-II
The indicator matrix includes the name of the indicator, its category, type, data source, baseline and targets of
HSTP-II.
Level of Frequency of
Type of Mid- term Target
Indicator Data Data Source data collec- Baseline
Indicator Target 2022 (2024/25)
Collection tion/Analysis
General
1 Life Expectancy at Birth Census/
(years) World health
Impact Population 5 years 65.5 68
Statistics/
BOD study
2 UHC Index Mixed (HMIS,
Outcome Facility 2-3 years 0.43 0.50 0.58
DHIS, EHIA)
3 Proportion of clients
satisfied during their last
health care visit (Client Outcome Facility KPI Report Quarterly 46% 60% 80%
satisfaction rate)
Reproductive, Maternal, Neonatal, Child, Adolescent and Youth Health and Nutrition (RMNCAYH-N)
4 Maternal Mortality Rate
Impact Population EDHS 5 years 401 279
- Per 100,000 live birth
5 Under 5 Mortality Rate – EDHS/ 5 years/2-3
Impact Population 59 51 43
per 1,000 LB MiniDHS yrs
6 Infant mortality rate per EDHS/ 5 years/2-3
Impact Population 47 42 35
- 1,000 LB MiniDHS yrs
7 Neonatal mortality rate EDHS/ 5 years/2-3
Impact Population 33 28 21
- per 1,000 LB MiniDHS yrs
8 Contraceptive
Outcome Population EDHS 5 years 41% 45% 50%
Prevalence Rate
9 Proportion of pregnant
Facility/ Monthly/ 5
women with four or Outcome HMIS/EDHS 43% 60% 81%
population years
more ANC visits
10 Proportion of deliveries
Facility/ Monthly/ 5
attended by skilled Outcome HMIS/EDHS 50% 62% 76%
population years
health personnel
11 Early Postnatal Care Facility/ Monthly/ 5
Outcome HMIS/EDHS 34% 53% 76%
coverage, within 2 days population years
12 Cesarean Section Rate Facility/
Outcome HMIS Monthly 4% 6% 8%
population
13 Still birth rate (Per 1000) Impact Facility HMIS Monthly 15 14.5 14
14 Proportion of
asphyxiated newborns Facility/
Outcome HMIS Monthly 11% 29% 50%
resuscitated and population
survived
15 Proportion of newborns
with neonatal sepsis/ Facility/ Monthly/ 5
Outcome HMIS/EDHS 30% 37% 45%
Very Sever Disease (VSD) population years
who received treatment
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Level of Frequency of
Type of Mid- term Target
Indicator Data Data Source data collec- Baseline
Indicator Target 2022 (2024/25)
Collection tion/Analysis
36 Mortality rate from all
Population/
types of injuries (per Impact HMIS Monthly 79 73 67
facility
100,000 population
37 Cataract Surgical
Rate (Per 1,000,000 Outcome population HMIS Quarterly 720 1071 1500
population)
38 Proportion of
hypertensive adults Facility/ 5 years/
Outcome STEPS/HMIS 40% 50% 60%
diagnosed for HPN and Population Annual
know their status
39 Proportion of
hypertensive adults
Outcome Facility HMIS Monthly 26% 41% 60%
whose blood pressure is
controlled
40 Proportion of DM
patients whose blood Outcome Facility HMIS Monthly 24% 40% 60%
sugar is controlled
41 Coverage of services for
severe mental health
disorders - 5% 16% 30%
Outcome Facility HMIS Monthly
Depression 1% 9% 20%
Substance Use
Disorders
42 Proportion of Trachoma
endemic woredas
with Trachomatous
Impact Population NTD Survey 2-3 years 26% 49% 77%
Inflammation Follicular
(T.F) to < 5% among 1 to
9 years old children
Hygiene and Environmental health
43 Proportion of
HMIS/ 5 years/
households having basic Outcome Household 20% 38% 60%
Survey quarter
sanitation facilities
44 Proportion of kebeles
Outcome Kebele HMIS Annual 40% 55% 80%
declared ODF
45 Proportion of
households having hand
washing facilities at the Output Household DHS 5 years 8% 31% 58%
premises with soap and
water
HEP and Primary Health Care
46 Proportion of Model
Outcome Household HMIS Quarterly 18% 32% 50%
households
47 Proportion of health
centers and primary
hospitals providing Input Facility HMIS Annual 1.3% 9.0% 19%
major emergency and
essential surgical care
48 Proportion of high
performing Primary
Outcome Facility HMIS Quarterly 5% 19% 35%
Health Care Units
(PHCUs)
49 Proportion of health
posts providing
Input facility HMIS Annual 0% 5% 12%
comprehensive health
services
Medical Services
50 Outpatient attendance
Outcome Facility HMIS Annual 1.02 1.35 1.75
per capita
51 Bed Occupancy Rate Output Facility HMIS Monthly 41.9% 57% 75.0%
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Level of Frequency of
Type of Mid- term Target
Indicator Data Data Source data collec- Baseline
Indicator Target 2022 (2024/25)
Collection tion/Analysis
70 Proportion of births
notified (from total Input Facility HMIS Monthly 35% 55% 80%
births)
71 proportion of deaths
notified (from total Input Facility HMIS Monthly 3.4% 18.0% 35.0%
deaths)
72 Health workers density
Input Facility HRIS/HMIS Annual 1 1.6 2.3
per 1,000 population
73 Health care workers’
Outcome Facility HRIS Annual 6.2% 5.4% 4.5%
attrition rate
74 Proportion of health
facilities (health centers
and hospitals) with
basic amenities (water,
electricity, latrine,...)
59% 73% 90%
• Improved water supply Input Facility HMIS Annual
76% 86% 100%
• Electricity
1 Ratio of deliveries assisted by Skilled Birth Attendants between pastoralist and HMIS/survey 0.54 0.80
non-pastoralist regions
2 Ratio of deliveries assisted by Skilled Birth Attendants between Rural and Urban HMIS/Survey 0.25 0.50
3 Ratio of SBA between lowest and highest wealth quintiles Survey 0.16 0.50
4 Ratio of pentavalent 3 coverage between the lowest quantile and highest quantile EDHS 0.57 0.75
5 Ratio of average Pentavalent 3 coverage between woredas below and above the HMIS NA
national median
6 Ratio of OPD attendance between Males and Females HMIS 0.89 0.92
8 Ratio of OPD attendance Between Pastoralist and Non pastoralist regions HMIS NA 0.90
10 Ratio of “Coverage of currently on ART” between pediatrics (<15) and Adults (>15) HMIS 0.54 0.80
11 Ratio of facilities with basic amenities (water, electricity, sanitation facilities and ICT SARA 0.62 0.90
network) between rural and urban
12 Availability of essential drugs by Rural and Urban facilities LMIS NA 0.90
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Annex 3
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