Chapter 22 Real Options: Corporate Finance, 3E (Berk/Demarzo)
Chapter 22 Real Options: Corporate Finance, 3E (Berk/Demarzo)
Chapter 22 Real Options: Corporate Finance, 3E (Berk/Demarzo)
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2) The two different types of node on a decision tree are:
A) information and decision nodes.
B) information and uncertainty nodes.
C) uncertainty and decision nodes.
D) go to meet and stay home nodes.
Answer: A
Diff: 1
Section: 22.1 Real Versus Financial Options
Skill: Definition
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3) Which of the following statements is FALSE?
A) Aside from the current NPV of the investment, other factors affect the value of an investment
and the decision to wait.
B) The option to wait is most valuable when there is a great deal of uncertainty regarding what
the value of the investment will be in the future.
C) The smaller the cost of waiting, the less attractive the option to delay becomes.
D) It is always better to wait to invest unless there is a cost to doing so.
Answer: C
Explanation: C) The smaller the cost of waiting, the more attractive the option to delay becomes.
Diff: 2
Section: 22.3 The Option to Delay an Investment Opportunity
Skill: Conceptual
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Use the information for the question(s) below.
Kinston Industries has come up with a new mountain bike prototype and is ready to go ahead
with pilot production and test marketing. The pilot production and test marketing phase will last
for one year and cost $500,000. Your management team believes that there is a 50% chance that
the test marketing will be successful and that there will be sufficient demand for the new
mountain bike. If the test-marketing phase is successful, then Kinston Industries will invest $3
million in year one to build a plant that will generate expected annual after tax cash flows of
$400,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two. If the test marketing is not successful, Kinston
can still go ahead and build the new plant, but the expected annual after tax cash flows would be
only $200,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two. Kinston has the option to stop the project at
any time and sell the prototype mountain bike to an overseas competitor for $300,000. Kinston's
cost of capital is 10%.
4) Assuming that Kinston has the ability to sell the prototype in year one for $300,000, the NPV
of the Kinston Industries Mountain Bike Project is closest to:
A) $90,000
B) $590,000
C) $455,000
D) -$45,000
Answer: A
Explanation: A) Value if test is successful
Build plant: NPV = -$3,000,000 + = $1,000,000
Value if test unsuccessful
Build plant NPV = -$3,000,000 + = -$1,000,000
Don't Build (Sell Prototype) NPV = $300,000
Since $300,000 > -$500,000 you should sell prototype if test is unsuccessful
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5) Assuming that Kinston does not have the ability to sell the prototype in year one for $300,000,
the NPV of the Kinston Industries Mountain Bike Project is closest to:
A) -$45,000
B) $455,000
C) $590,000
D) $90,000
Answer: A
Explanation: A) Value if test is successful
Build plant: NPV = -$3,000,000 + = $1,000,000
Value if test unsuccessful
Build plant NPV = -$3,000,000 + = -$1,000,000
Don't Build (abandon) NPV = $0
Since $0 > -$500,000 you should abandon
6) Assume that Kinston has the ability to ignore the pilot production and test marketing and to go
ahead and build their manufacturing plant immediately. Assuming that the probability of high or
low demand is still 50%, the NPV of the Kinston Industries Mountain Bike Project is closest to:
A) $0
B) $90,000
C) -$45,000
D) $1,000,000
Answer: A
Explanation: A) NPV = - $3,000,000 = $0
Diff: 2
Section: 22.3 The Option to Delay an Investment Opportunity
Skill: Analytical
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7) Assume that Kinston has the ability to ignore the pilot production and test marketing and to go
ahead and build their manufacturing plant immediately and that the probability of high or low
demand would still be 50%. What is the value of the the option to do pilot production and test
marketing?
Answer: The NPV of going ahead and building today (No pilot production and test marketing
option):
NPV = - $3,000,000 = $0
NPV with pilot production and test marketing option:
8) Assuming that Kinston has the ability to sell the prototype in year one for $300,000, draw a
decision tree detailing the Kinston Industries Mountain Bike Project.
Answer:
Diff: 2
Section: 22.3 The Option to Delay an Investment Opportunity
Skill: Analytical
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9) Assuming that Kinston does not have the ability to sell the prototype in year one for $300,000,
draw a decision tree detailing the Kinston Industries Mountain Bike Project.
Answer:
Diff: 2
Section: 22.3 The Option to Delay an Investment Opportunity
Skill: Analytical
10) Assume that Kinston has the ability to ignore the pilot production and test marketing and to
go ahead and build their manufacturing plant immediately. Further assume that the probability
of high or low demand is still 50%. Draw a decision tree that details Kinston Industries Mountain
Bike project if Kinston goes ahead and builds the plant immediately.
Answer:
Diff: 2
Section: 22.3 The Option to Delay an Investment Opportunity
Skill: Analytical
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11) Describe the two factors that affect the value of an investment timing option?
Answer: Volatility: By delaying an investment, we can base our decision on additional
information. The option to wait is most valuable when there is a great deal of uncertainty
regarding what the value of the investment will be in the future. If there is little uncertainty, the
benefit of waiting is diminished.
Dividends: Recall that absent dividends, it is not optimal to exercise a call option early. In the
real option context, the dividends correspond to any value from the investment that we give up
by waiting. It is always better to wait unless there is a cost to doing so. The greater the cost, the
less attractive the option to delay becomes.
Diff: 2
Section: 22.3 The Option to Delay an Investment Opportunity
Skill: Conceptual
12) Luther Industries is considering launching a new toy just in time for the Christmas season.
They estimate that if Luther launches the new toy this year it will have an NPV of $25 million.
Luther has the option to wait one year until the next Christmas season to launch the toy, however,
the demand next year will depend upon what new toys Luther's competitors introduce and
therefore greater uncertainty about next years demand. Launching the new today will involve a
total capital expenditure of $100 million. If the risk-free rate is 5%, N(d1) is .62 and N(d2) is .
65, then what is the value of the option to wait until next year to launch the new toy?
Answer: C = S × N(d1) - PV(K) × N(d2)
C = ($100 + $25) × .62 - × .65 = $15.595 or $15.6 million
Diff: 2
Section: 22.3 The Option to Delay an Investment Opportunity
Skill: Analytical
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2) Which of the following statements is FALSE?
A) An alternative to using the Black-Scholes formula is to compute the value of growth options
using risk neutral probabilities.
B) Future growth options are not only important to firm value, but can also be important in the
value of an individual project.
C) While the Black-Scholes formula values American options, most growth options cannot be
exercised at any time.
D) Out-of-the-money calls are riskier than in-the-money calls, and because most growth options
are likely to be out-of-the-money, the growth component of firm value is likely to be riskier than
the ongoing assets of the firm.
Answer: C
Explanation: C) While the Black-Scholes formula values European options, most growth options
can be exercised at any time.
Diff: 2
Section: 22.4 Growth and Abandonment Options
Skill: Conceptual
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4) Which of the following statements is FALSE?
A) Often, the decision to abandon a project entails costs, which may be either positive or
negative.
B) Mortgage interest rates are higher than Treasury rates because mortgages have an
abandonment option that Treasuries do not have: You can prepay your mortgage at any time,
while the U.S. government can repay its debt only according to the schedule outlined in the bond
contract.
C) A popular option gives holders of the bond the option to convert the bond into equity. These
kinds of bonds are termed callable bonds.
D) More often than not, there is an opportunity cost of abandoning a project: If you shut down
the project and later decide to start it up again, you have to pay the costs of restarting the project.
Answer: C
Explanation: C) A popular option gives holders of the bond the option to convert the bond into
equity. These kinds of bonds are termed convertible bonds.
Diff: 2
Section: 22.4 Growth and Abandonment Options
Skill: Conceptual
5) The idea that once a manager makes a large investment, he should not abandon the project is
known as the:
A) negative NPV fallacy.
B) abandonment fallacy.
C) sunk cost fallacy.
D) dependence fallacy.
Answer: C
Diff: 1
Section: 22.4 Growth and Abandonment Options
Skill: Definition
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Use the information for the question(s) below.
You own a small manufacturing plant that currently generates revenues of $2 million per year.
Next year, based upon a decision on a long-term government contract, your revenues will either
increase by 20% or decrease by 25%, with equal probability, and stay at that level as long as you
operate the plant. Other costs run $1.6 million dollars per year. You can sell the plant at any time
to a large conglomerate for $5 million and your cost of capital is 10%.
6) If you are awarded the government contract and your sales increase by 20%, then the value of
your plant will be closest to:
A) $5 million
B) $8 million
C) $0
D) $4 million
Answer: B
Explanation: B) V = = $8 million
Diff: 2
Section: 22.4 Growth and Abandonment Options
Skill: Analytical
7) If you are not awarded the government contract and your sales decrease by 25%, then the
value of your plant will be closest to:
A) -$1 million
B) $5 million
C) $8 million
D) $0
Answer: B
Explanation: B) V = = -$1 million, however we could abandon at any time and
receive $0, or better yet, we could sell the plant for $5 million, so this becomes the appropriate
value.
Diff: 2
Section: 22.4 Growth and Abandonment Options
Skill: Analytical
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8) Given the embedded option to sell the plant, the value of your plant will be closest to:
A) $5.0 million
B) $4.0 million
C) $6.5 million
D) $8.0 million
Answer: C
Explanation: C) Value if revenues increase
V= = $8 million
9) Assume that you are not able to sell the plant, but you are able to shut down the plant at no
cost at any time. Given the embedded option to abandon production the value of your plant will
be closest to:
A) $8.0 million
B) $4.0 million
C) $5.0 million
D) $6.5 million
Answer: B
Explanation: B) Value if revenues increase
V= = $8 million
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10) Assume that you are not able to sell the plant, but you are able to shut down the plant at no
cost at any time. The value of the option to abandon production will be closest to:
A) $1.0 million
B) $0.5 million
C) -$1.0 million
D) $3.0 million
Answer: B
Explanation: B) Value if revenues increase
V= = $8 million
Value if revenue decreases
V= = -$1 million,
however if you could abandon production you would receive $0
So, the option to abandon is worth $4 million - $3.5 million = $0.5 million
Diff: 2
Section: 22.4 Growth and Abandonment Options
Skill: Analytical
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11) Assume that it will cost you $1 million to shut down the plant, but you are able to sell the
plant for $5 million at any time. The value of the option to sell the plant will be closest to:
A) $3.0 million
B) $6.0 million
C) $5.0 million
D) $0.5 million
Answer: A
Explanation: A) Value if revenues increase
V= = $8 million
Value if revenue decreases
V= = -$1 million,
however if you could sell the plant you would receive $5 million
So, the option to sell the plant is worth $6.5 million - $3.5 million = $3.0 million
Diff: 3
Section: 22.4 Growth and Abandonment Options
Skill: Analytical
12) Assuming you are able to see the plant, draw a decision tree detailing this problem.
Answer:
Diff: 2
Section: 22.4 Growth and Abandonment Options
Skill: Analytical
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13) Assume that you are not able to sell the plant, but you are able to shut down the plant at no
cost at any time. Draw a decision tree detailing this problem.
Answer:
Diff: 2
Section: 22.4 Growth and Abandonment Options
Skill: Analytical
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2) The constant annuity payment over the life of a project that is equivalent to receiving the NPV
today is the:
A) annualized annuity.
B) independent annual benefit.
C) equivalent annual profitability.
D) equivalent annual benefit.
Answer: D
Diff: 1
Section: 22.5 Applications to Multiple Projects
Skill: Definition
3) Assume the NPV of a project is $1.5 million. The project is expected to last five years. What
is the equivalent annual benefit if the discount rate is 8%?
A) $375,685
B) $300,000
C) $347,856
D) $324,000
Answer: A
Diff: 1
Section: 22.5 Applications to Multiple Projects
Skill: Analytical
4) Rylan Inc is considering a project that has an initial cost of $2 million. It is expected to
generate cash flows for the firm of $500,000 per year for 6 years. Assuming a discount rate of
7%, what is the equivalent annual benefit?
A) $75,148
B) $80,408
C) $85,889
D) $91,901
Answer: B
Diff: 2
Section: 22.5 Applications to Multiple Projects
Skill: Analytical
5) When the value of one project depends on the outcome of one or more other projects, this is
known as:
A) mutually independent investments.
B) equivalent annual investments.
C) staged dependent investments.
D) mutually dependent investments.
Answer: D
Diff: 1
Section: 22.5 Applications to Multiple Projects
Skill: Definition
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6) Mutually dependent investments occur when:
A) the value of one project depends upon the outcome of one or other projects.
B) the value of one project is independent of any other projects.
C) a firm depends on another firm to provide materials for a project.
D) consumers and producers depend on each other's investments.
Answer: A
Diff: 1
Section: 22.5 Applications to Multiple Projects
Skill: Definition
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8) The NPV of project B is closest to:
A) $18.10
B) $21.70
C) $24.00
D) $16.90
Answer: C
Explanation: C) NPV = -80 + 25 = $24.01
Diff: 2
Section: 22.5 Applications to Multiple Projects
Skill: Analytical
PV = -16.92
FV = 0
N=5
I = 15
Compute PMT = $5.047499
Diff: 2
Section: 22.5 Applications to Multiple Projects
Skill: Analytical
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10) The equivalent annual benefit of project B is closest to:
A) $5.05
B) $5.75
C) 3.45
D) $3.40
Answer: B
Explanation: B) NPV = -80 + 25 = $24.01
PV = -24.01
FV = 0
N=7
I = 15
Compute PMT = $5.77
Diff: 2
Section: 22.5 Applications to Multiple Projects
Skill: Analytical
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11) Using the equivalent annual benefit method, which project would you select and why?
Answer: Project A
C/F0 = -79
C/F1 = 20
C/F2 = 25
C/F3 = 30
C/F4 = 35
C/F5 = 40
I = 15
Compute NPV = $16.92
PV = -16.92
FV = 0
N=5
I = 15
Compute PMT = $5.047499
Project B
NPV = -80 + 25 = $24.01
PV = -24.01
FV = 0
N=7
I = 15
Compute PMT = $5.77
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22.6 Rules of Thumb
Rearden Metal can invest in a risk-free technology that requires an up-front investment of $1
million. Rearden's managers are hesitant to invest because of uncertainty over future interest
rates. Suppose that all interest rates will be either 8% or 4% in one year and remain there forever.
The risk-neutral probability that interest rates will drop to 4% is 40%. The one-year risk-free
interest rate is 5% and today's rate on a risk-free perpetual bond is 6%. The rate on an equivalent
perpetual bond that is repayable at any time (the callable annuity rate) is 7.65%.
1) Assuming that this project will provide Rearden with perpetual annual cash flows of $55,000,
the NPV of investing in the project today is closest to:
A) -281,000
B) -150,000
C) -83,000
D) +83,000
E) +281,000
Answer: C
Explanation: C) NPV = - 1,000,000 = -83,333
Diff: 3
Section: 22.6 Rules of Thumb
Skill: Analytical
2) Assuming that this project will provide Rearden with perpetual annual cash flows of $55,000,
the NPV of investing in the project next year is closest to:
A) -281,000
B) -83,000
C) +46,000
D) +83,000
E) +143,000
Answer: E
Explanation: E) NPVrates at 4% = - 1,000,000 = 375,000
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3) Assuming that this project will provide Rearden with perpetual annual cash flows of $55,000,
the NPV of investing in the project today using the hurdle rate is closest to:
A) -281,000
B) -150,000
C) -83,000
D) +83,000
E) +281,000
Answer: A
Explanation: A) NPV = - 1,000,000 = -281,046
Diff: 3
Section: 22.6 Rules of Thumb
Skill: Analytical
4) Assuming that this project will provide Rearden with perpetual annual cash flows of $45,000,
Rearden should:
A) invest today since the NPV is positive.
B) invest today since the NPV is negative.
C) invest today since the NPV using the hurdle rate is negative.
D) delay investing since the NPV using the hurdle rate is negative.
E) delay investing since the NPV using the hurdle rate is positive.
Answer: D
Explanation: D) NPV = - 1,000,000 = -281,046 (using hurdle rate)
Since this is negative Rearden should delay investment.
Diff: 2
Section: 22.6 Rules of Thumb
Skill: Analytical
5) Assuming that this project will provide Rearden with perpetual annual cash flows of $65,000,
the NPV of investing in the project today is closest to:
A) -281,000
B) -83,000
C) +46,000
D) +83,000
E) +143,000
Answer: D
Explanation: D) NPV = - 1,000,000 = 83,333
Diff: 3
Section: 22.6 Rules of Thumb
Skill: Analytical
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6) Assuming that this project will provide Rearden with perpetual annual cash flows of $65,000,
the NPV of investing in the project next year is closest to:
A) -281,000
B) +46,000
C) +83,000
D) +143,000
E) +238,000
Answer: E
Explanation: E) NPVrates at 4% = - 1,000,000 = 625,000
7) Assuming that this project will provide Rearden with perpetual annual cash flows of $65,000,
the NPV of investing in the project today using the hurdle rate is closest to:
A) -281,000
B) -150,000
C) -83,000
D) +83,000
E) +281,000
Answer: B
Explanation: B) NPV = - 1,000,000 = -150,327
Diff: 3
Section: 22.6 Rules of Thumb
Skill: Analytical
8) Assuming that this project will provide Rearden with perpetual annual cash flows of $65,000,
Rearden should:
A) invest today since the NPV is positive.
B) invest today since the NPV is negative.
C) invest today since the NPV using the hurdle rate is positive.
D) delay investing since the NPV using the hurdle rate is negative.
E) delay investing since the NPV using the hurdle rate is positive.
Answer: D
Explanation: D) NPV = - 1,000,000 = -150,327 (using hurdle rate)
Since this is negative Rearden should delay investment.
Diff: 2
Section: 22.6 Rules of Thumb
Skill: Analytical
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9) Assuming that this project will provide Rearden with perpetual annual cash flows of $80,000,
the NPV of investing in the project today using the hurdle rate is closest to:
A) -281,000
B) +46,000
C) +83,000
D) +143,000
E) +238,000
Answer: B
Explanation: B) NPV = - 1,000,000 = 45,751
Diff: 3
Section: 22.6 Rules of Thumb
Skill: Analytical
10) Assuming that this project will provide Rearden with perpetual annual cash flows of $80,000,
Rearden should:
A) invest today since the NPV is positive.
B) invest today since the NPV is negative.
C) invest today since the NPV using the hurdle rate is positive.
D) delay investing since the NPV using the hurdle rate is negative.
E) delay investing since the NPV using the hurdle rate is positive.
Answer: C
Explanation: C) NPV = - 1,000,000 = 45,751 (using hurdle rate)
Since this is positive, Rearden should invest immediately.
Diff: 2
Section: 22.6 Rules of Thumb
Skill: Analytical
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12) Which of the following statements is FALSE?
A) When the investment cannot be delayed, the optimal rule is to invest whenever the
profitability index is greater than zero.
B) It is often better to wait too long (use a profitability index criterion that is too high) than to
invest too soon (use a profitability index criterion that is too low).
C) When the source of uncertainty that creates a motive to wait is interest rate uncertainty, the
hurdle rate is relatively easy to calculate.
D) When there is an option to delay, a good rule of thumb is to invest only when the profitability
index is at least 1.
Answer: B
Explanation: B) It is often better to wait too long (use a profitability index criterion that is too
low) than to invest too soon (use a profitability index criterion that is too high).
Diff: 2
Section: 22.6 Rules of Thumb
Skill: Conceptual
14) The rate on a risk-free annuity that can be called at any time is known as the:
A) callable annuity rate.
B) callable auction rate.
C) callable hurdle rate.
D) risk-free rate.
Answer: A
Diff: 1
Section: 22.6 Rules of Thumb
Skill: Definition
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15) The callable annuity rate can be calculated as:
A) × Hurdle Rate
B) × Hurdle Rate
C) × Cost of Capital
D)
Answer: B
Diff: 2
Section: 22.6 Rules of Thumb
Skill: Definition
1) The major principles to remember when considering real options include all of the following
EXCEPT:
A) out-of-the-money real options have value.
B) in-the-money real options need to be exercised immediately.
C) waiting is valuable.
D) create value by exploiting real options.
Answer: B
Diff: 2
Section: 22.7 Key Insights from Real Options
Skill: Definition
2) Which of the following is an example of a way in which companies can create value by
exploiting real options?
A) Abandoning good projects in favor of newer projects
B) Acting quickly to take on new projects, even if there is no cost to waiting
C) Exercising in-the-money real options immediately
D) Optimally delaying or abandoning projects
Answer: D
Diff: 2
Section: 22.7 Key Insights from Real Options
Skill: Definition
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4) Can value be created by waiting for uncertainty to resolve?
Answer: Value can be created by waiting for uncertainty to resolve because once it is resolved
you can make better decisions with better information. If there is no cost to waiting, investing
early never makes sense. If there is a cost, the benefits must be weighed.
Diff: 2
Section: 22.7 Key Insights from Real Options
Skill: Definition
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