3 - Introduction To Fixed Income Valuation-Unlocked
3 - Introduction To Fixed Income Valuation-Unlocked
3 - Introduction To Fixed Income Valuation-Unlocked
Introduction to
Fixed Income Valuation
Bond/ Fixed Income Securities Valuation Process
PPA FEB UI
YTM (single rate)
A series of spot rates
2
Bond/ Fixed Income Securities Valuation Process
PPA FEB UI
M = Face value of bond
CPN = Coupon payments
i = interest rate per annum (YTM)
m = number of coupons per year
n = number of years to maturity (from
today or last coupon)
3
Valuing Bonds – Annual Pay Bonds
We have a 10-year, $1,000 par value, 10% annual pay bond. YTM is
10%. Calculate the value of this bond.
Cash-flow
We have a 10-year, $1,000 par value, 10% semi-annual pay bond. YTM
is 8%. Calculate the value of this bond.
Cash-flow
We have a 5-year, $1,000 par value, Zero coupon bond. YTM is 3%.
Calculate the value of this bond.
No coupon payments
Cash-flow
6
SOAL
A. $685.14
B. $687.03
C. $828.39 PPA FEB UI
7
SOAL
PPA FEB UI
A. £828.40
B. £1,189.53
C. £1,193.04
8
Price/Market Yield Relationship
Price
If Yield increases ----- Price decreases
If Yield decreases ----- Price increases
PPA FEB UI
Yield
n
CPNnxm M
PRICE
1 1 i / m 1 i / m
nxm nxm
9
Relationship between coupon rate, discount rate and price relative to par value at
different maturities
PPA FEB UI
Price will converge
Price toward par-value as
Premium: YTM<Coupon maturity approaches (“pull
to par value”)
time
maturity
10
SOAL
A. increased
B. decreased
PPA FEB UI
C. stayed the same
11
SOAL
4. A $1,000, 5%, 20-year annual-pay bond has a YTM of 6.5%. if the YTM
remains unchanged, how much will the bond value increase over the
next three years?
A. $13.62
B. $13.78
C. $13.96 PPA FEB UI
12
Spot Rates and Arbitrage-Free Valuation
PPA FEB UI
any arbitrage opportunities.
structures are very rare.
13
Valuing a bond using spot rates
PPA FEB UI
2-year: 4%
3-year: 5%
14
SOAL
5. If spot rates are 3.2% for one year, 3.4% for two years, and
3.5% for three years, the price of a $100,000 face value, 3-
year, annual-pay bond with a coupon rate of 4% is closest to:
PPA FEB UI
A. $101,420
B. $101,790
C. $108,230
15
Flat Price vs Full Price
Accrued interest
Cash-flow
Settlement date
(cash is exchanged for the bond)
A 5%-bond makes coupon payments on June 15 and December 15 and istrading with a
YTM of 4%. The bond is purchased and will settle on August 21 when there will be our
coupons remaining until maturity. Calculate the full price of the bond using actual days.
Step 1: Calculate the value of the bond on the last coupon date:
PPA FEB UI
N = 4; PMT = 25; FV = 1,000; I/Y = 2; CPT PV = -1,019.04
Step 2: Adjust for the number of days since the last coupon payment:
Days between June 15 and December 15 = 183 days
Days between June 15 and August 21 = 67 days
Full price = 1,019.04 x (1.02)67/183 = 1,026.46
The accrued interest on the settlement date of August 21 is $25 (67/183) = $9.15
17
SOAL
PPA FEB UI
A. $1,000.00
B. $1,035.50
C. $1,082.58
18
Matrix Pricing
19
Matrix Pricing
PPA FEB UI
Step 1: Take the average YTM of the 6-year bonds
(5.232% + 5.284%) / 2 = 5.258%
Step 2: Average the YTM of te 4-year bond with the average 6-year bond yield
(4.738% + 5.258%) / 2 = 4.998%
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Matrix Pricing
PPA FEB UI
N = 5; PMT = 50; FV = 1,000; I/Y = 4.937; CPT PV = -1,002.73
21
Matrix Pricing
PPA FEB UI
Step 1: Calculate the spreads to the benchmark (Treasury) yields
Spread on the 5-year corporate bond is 2.64% - 1.48% = 1.16%
Spread on the 7-year corporate bond is 3.55% - 2.15% = 1.40%
Step 2: Calculate the average spread because the 6-year bond is the midpoint of five
and seven years
Average spread = (1.16% + 1.40%) / 2 = 1.28%
Step 3: Add the average spread to the YTM of the 6-year Treasury (benchmark) bond
1.74% + 1.28% = 3.02%
The estimated YTM on the newly issued 6-year, A rated bond is 3.02%
22
SOAL
PPA FEB UI
- 6.5% coupon, 5 years to maturity, yielding 6.40%
The infrequently traded bond is most likely trading at:
A. par value
B. a discount to par value
C. a premium to par value
23
Yield Measures for Fixed-Rate Bonds, FRN, & Money Market Instruments
Option-adjusted yield
Adding the value of the call option to the bond’s
current flat price
24
Effective Yield
PPA FEB UI
4% on a semiannual bond basis is an effective yield of 2% per 6-month period
The effective annual yield on the semiannual coupon bond is 1.022 – 1 = 4.04%
The quoted annual rate for the equivalent yield on a quarterly bond basis is
4 x 0.995% = 3.98%
25
Current Yield
PPA FEB UI
The annual cash coupon payments:
par value x stated coupon rate = $1,000 x 0.06 = $60
26
Yield-to-Call
PPA FEB UI
YTM on the bond is calculated as:
N = 20; PMT = 30; FV = 1,000; PV = -1,020; CPT --> I/Y = 2.867%
2 x 2.867% = 5.734%
The yield-to-first call:
N = 10; PMT = 30; FV = 1,020; PV = -1,020; CPT --> I/Y = 2.941%
2 x 2.941% = 5.882%
The yield-to-first par call:
N = 16; PMT = 30; FV = 1,000; PV = -1,020; CPT --> I/Y = 2.843%
2 x 2.843% = 5.686%
The lowest yield, 5.686%, is realized if the bond is called at par on January 1, 2022,
so the yield-to-worst is 5.686%.
27
FRN
A semiannual $1,000 par value FRN has two years to maturity, the reference rate is 180-
day LIBOR, and the quoted margin is 60 basis points. 180-day LIBOR today (a coupon
payment and reset date) is 3% and the required (discount) margin is 86 basis points.
Calculate the value of the FRN.
Both LIBOR and the margins are quoted on annual basis and must be divided by two
PPA FEB UI
to get the coupon rate for the FRN because it pays two coupons each year.
Coupon rate = (180-day LIBOR + quoted margin) / 2 = (3% + 0.6%) / 2 = 1.8%
Coupon payments = 1.8% x $1,000 = $18 every six months for two years.
The appropriate discount rate is (180-day LIBOR + discount margin) / 2
= (3% + 0.86%) / 2 = 1.93%
28
Money Market Instruments
A $1,000 90-day T-bill is priced with an annualized discount of 1.2%. Calculate its market
price and its annualized add-on yield based on a 365-day year.
PPA FEB UI
(bond equivalent yield)
A $1 million negotiable CD with 120 days to maturity is quoted with an add-on yield of
1.4% based on a 365-day year. Calculate the payment at maturity for this CD and its bond
equivalent yield.
The add-on interest for the 120-day period is 1.4% x 120/365 = 0.4603%
At maturity, the CD will pay $1 million x (1 + 0.004603) = $1,004,603
The quoted yield on the CD is the bond equivalent yield because it is an add-on yield
annualized based on a 365-day year
29
Money Market Instruments
A bank deposit for 100 days is quoted with an add-on yield of 1.5% based on a 360-day
year. Calculate the bond equivalent yield and the yield on a semiannual bond basis.
The bond equivalent yield, which is based on a 365-day year is 1.5% x 365/360 =
1.5208%
PPA FEB UI
The 100-day holding period return is 1.5% x 100/360 = 0.4167%.
The effective annual yield is 1.004167365/100 – 1 = 1.5294%
The equivalent semiannual yield is 1.0152941/2 – 1 = 0.7618%
The annual yield on a semiannual bond basis is 2 x 0.7618% = 1.5236%
Because the periodicity of the money market security (365/100) is greater than the
periodicity of semiannual-pay bond (2), the simple annual rate for the money market
(1.5%) is less than the yield on a semiannual bond basis (1.5236%)
30
SOAL
A. a spot rate.
PPA FEB UI
B. a simple yield.
C. a forward rate.
31
SOAL
PPA FEB UI
A. 3.750%
B. 5.151%
C. 7.500%
32
SOAL
PPA FEB UI
A. 3.167%
B. 5.664%
C. 6.334%
33
SOAL
PPA FEB UI
B. less than par value
C. greater than par value
34
SOAL
PPA FEB UI
A. Add-on yield based on a 365-day year
B. Discount yield based on a 360-day year
C. Discount yield based on a 365-day year
35
Yield Curve, Par Curve, and Forward Curve
Yield curve
Par curve
Shows yields by
Constructed from spot curve
maturity
36
U.S. Treasury Yield Curve
4
Maturity Yield
3.5 1 month 0,02
3 month 0,04
3
6 month 0,08
1 year 0,13
Yield
2.5
PPA FEB UI
2 year 0,35
2
3 year 0,65
1.5 5 year 1,49
7 year 2,15
1 10 year 2,74
20 year 3,48
0.5
30 year 3,77
0
Maturity
37
Par Bond Yield Curve
Consider a 3-year annual-pay bond. With spot rates of 1%, 2%, and
3%, a 3-year annual par bond will have a payment that will satisfy:
PPA FEB UI
So, the payment is 2.96 and the par bond coupon is 2.96%
38
SOAL
PPA FEB UI
B. Par bond yield curve
C. Coupon bond yield curve
39
Spot Rates vs Forward Rates
Forward rate
A borrowing/lending rate for a loan to be made at some future
date.
PPA FEB UI
Identify both the length of the lending/borrowing period and
when in the future the money will be loaned/borrowed
e.g. 2y1y = the rate for a 1-year loan, to be made two years from now
The concept
Borrowing for three years at the 3-year spot rate, or borrowing for
1-year periods in three consecutive years, should have the same
cost
40
Spot Rates vs Forward Rates
If the current 1-year spot rate is 2%, the 1-year forward rate one year from today (1y1y)
is 3%, and the 1-year forward rate two years from today (2y1y) is 4%, what is the 3-year
spot rate?
The 2-period spot rate, S2, is 8%, and the 1-period spot rate, S1, is 4%. Calculate the
PPA FEB UI
forward rate for one period, one period from now, 1y1y.
In other words, investors are willing to accept 4% on the 1-year bond today (when
they could get 8% on the 2-year bond today) only because they can get 12.154% on a
1-year bond, one year from today. This future rate that can be locked in today is a
forward rate.
41
Forward Rates and Bond Price
The current 1-year rate, S1, is 4%, the 1-year forward rate for lending from time =1 to
time = 2 is 1y1y = %%, and the 1-year forward rate for lending from time = 2 to time = 3
is 2y1y = 6%. Value a 3-year annual-pay bond with a 5% coupon and a par value of
$1,000.
PPA FEB UI
42
SOAL
14. The 4-year spot rate is 9.45%, and the 3-year spot rate is
9.85%. what is the 1-year forward rate three years from
today?
PPA FEB UI
A. 8.258%
B. 9.850%
C. 11.059%
43
SOAL
PPA FEB UI
The value of a 4-year, 10% annual-pay, $1,000 par value bond is closest
to:
A. $996
B. $1,009
C. $1,086
44
Yield Spread Measures and the Valuation of Non-Treasury Securities
PPA FEB UI
spread to reflect the 21%
21.00%
Yield
additional risks. 20%
19.70% 20.00%
19% 19.50%
The credit spread increases 19.00%
Spot Rate Yield Curve
18%
with the maturity of the 17.70% 18.20%
0%
15%
Typically, the lower the credit 1 2 3 4 5
rating, the steeper the term Maturity (years)
structure of credit spreads
45
Yield Spread Measures
G-spread I-spread
A yield spread over a A yield spread relative to swap
government bond rates
PPA FEB UI
Z-spread
A yield spread that must be added to each spot rate
on the benchmark yield curve to make the present
value of a bond equal o its price
46
Yield Spread Measures
1-, 2-, and 3-year spot rates on Treasuries are 4%, 8.167%, and 12.377%, respectively.
Consider a 3-year, 9% annual coupon corporate bond trading at 89.464. The YTM is
13.50%, and the YTM of a 3-year Treasury is 12%. Compute the G-spread and the Z-
spread of the corporate bond.
PPA FEB UI
G-spread = YTMBond – YTMTreasury = 13.5% - 12% = 1.5%
47
SOAL
PPA FEB UI
A. G-spread
B. I-spread
C. Z-spread
48
JAWABAN
PPA FEB UI
3. The price-yield relationship is inverse. If the required yield decrease, the
bond’s price will increase, and vice versa.
49
JAWABAN
5.
6. The full price includes accrued interest, while the flat price does not.
Therefore, the flat (or clean) price is 1,059.04 – 23.54 = $1,035.50.
PPA FEB UI
7. Using linear interpolation, the yield on a bond with six years to maturity
should be 6.40% + (1 / 3)(7.20% - 6.40%) = 6.67%. A bond with a 7% coupon an
a yield of 6.67% is at a premium to par value.
PPA FEB UI
x 2 = 6.334%
11. If the required margin is greater than the quoted margin, the credit quality
of the issue has decreased and the price on the reset date will be less than par
value.
51
JAWABAN
13. Par bond yield curves are based on the theoretical yields that
would cause bonds at each maturity to be priced at par. Coupon
bond yields and forward interest rates can be observed directly from
market transactions.
PPA FEB UI
Approximate forward rate = 4(9.45%) – 3(9.85%) = 8.25%.
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