Case Analysis
Case Analysis
Case Analysis
Prepared by:
BSA-2A
July 1, 2020
I. Case Summary
India and China are among the world’s fastest-growing
economies, contributing nearly 30 percent to global economic
growth and both of them are actually "re-emerging" economies.
Both India and China are in fierce competition with each other
as well as in their quest to catch up with the major economies
in the developed world with their particular strengths and
competitive advantages. China’s growth has been mainly
investment and export driven, focusing on low-cost
manufacturing, with domestic consumption as low as 36 percent
of gross domestic product (GDP). On the other hand, India’s
growth has been derived mostly from a strong services sector
and buoyant domestic consumption and relies on external trade
for about 20 percent of its GDP versus 56 percent for China. By
2011, China is the world’s second largest economy in the world
behind the United States. China is the first country in the
world to have met poverty-reduction by lifting 400 million
people out of poverty, Unlike India, with 456 million people
below the poverty line. India has emerged as the fourth-largest
market in the world when its GDP is measured on the scale of
purchasing power parity. Both economies are increasing their
share of world GDP, India using the "grow first, build later"
approach and China with "top-down, supply driven" strategy. The
Chinese economy historically outpaces India’s by just about
every measure. China’s fast-acting government implements new
policies with blinding speed, making India’s fractured
political system appear sluggish and chaotic. One of the
examples is Beijing’s shiny new airport and wide freeways are
models of modern development, contrasting sharply with the
sagging infrastructure of New Delhi and Mumbai. India is
enjoying the sort of bulge in manpower which brought sustained
booms elsewhere in Asia because it has the advantage of
democracy. India’s domestic economy provides greater cushion
from external shocks than China’s. Private domestic consumption
accounts for 57 percent of GDP in India compared with only 35
percent in China. China’s ongoing economic transformation has
had a profound impact not only on China but on the world. The
market-oriented reforms China has implemented over the past two
decades have unleashed individual initiative and
entrepreneurship. China used to be the third-largest economy in
the world but has overtaken Japan to become the second-largest
in August 2010. It has sustained average economic growth of
over 9.5 percent for the past 26 years. In 2009 its $4.814
trillion economy was about one-third the size of the United
States economy. India’s economic liberalization in 1991 opened
gates to businesses worldwide. In the mid to late 1980s, Rajiv
Gandhi’s government eased restrictions on capacity expansion,
removed price controls, and reduced corporate taxes. While his
government viewed liberalizing the economy as a positive step,
political pressures slowed the implementation of policies. The
early reforms increased the rate of growth but also led to high
fiscal deficits and a worsening current account. India’s major
trading partner then, the Soviet Union, collapsed. In addition,
the first Gulf War in 1991 caused oil prices to increase, which
in turn led to a major balance-of-payments crisis for India. To
be able to cope with these problems, the newly elected Prime
Minister Narasimha Rao along with Finance Minister Manmohan
Singh initiated a widespread economic liberalization in 1991
that is widely credited with what has led to the Indian
economic engine of today. Focusing on the barriers for private
sector investment and growth, the reforms enabled faster
approvals. Its economic progress has been accompanied by
increases in life expectancy, literacy rates, and food
security. Goldman Sachs predicts that India’s GDP in current
prices will overtake France and Italy by 2020; Germany, the
United Kingdom, and Russia by 2025; and Japan by 2035 to become
the third-largest economy of the world after the United States
and China. India was cruising at 9.4 percent growth rate until
the financial crisis of 2008–9, which affected countries the
world over.
VI. Conclusion