Democracy and Deep Rooted Conflict Full English PDF
Democracy and Deep Rooted Conflict Full English PDF
Democracy and Deep Rooted Conflict Full English PDF
Editors:
Peter Harris and Ben Reilly
With a Foreword by
Kofi A. Annan
Contributors:
Mark Anstey, Christopher Bennett, David Bloomfield,
K. M. de Silva, Nomboniso Gasa, Yash Ghai, Peter Harris,
Luc Huyse, Rasma Karklins, Michael Lund, Charles Nupen,
David M. Olson, Anthony J. Regan, Ben Reilly,
Andrew Reynolds, Carlos Santiso and Timothy D. Sisk
Handbook Series
1 9 9 8
Handbook Series 3. The International IDEA Handbook Series aims to present
information on a range of democratic institutions, procedures and issues in an
easy-to-use handbook format. Handbooks are primarily aimed at policy-makers
and practitioners in the field.
This is an International IDEA publication. International IDEA’s publications
are not a reflection of any specific national or political interest. Views
expressed in this publication do not necessarily represent the views of
International IDEA, its Board or its Council Members. Countries are referred
to by the names that were in official use at the time the relevant data were
collected. Maps represented in this publication do not imply on the part of
International IDEA any judgement on the legal status of any territory or the
endorsement of such boundaries, nor does the placement or size of any
country or territory reflect a political view of the Institute. Maps have been
created for this publication in order to add clarity to the text.
Copyright © International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance,
(International IDEA)1998. All rights reserved.
Application for permission to reproduce or translate all or any part of this
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Publication Editor: Salma Hasan Ali
AD & Design: Eduard Œehovin, Ljubljana; Pre-press: Studio Signum, Ljubljana
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Printed by Korotan Ljubljana d.o.o., Ljubljana 1998.
ISSN: 1402-6759
ISBN: 91-89098-22-6
Preface
Bengt Säve-Söderbergh
Secretary-General
International IDEA
vi
Foreword
The United Nations exists, among other reasons, for the fun-
damental purpose of maintaining peace and security in the
world. One of its main activities, therefore, is the resolution of
conflicts – a task which has become more complex in recent
times when many conflicts take the form of internal factional
and civil strife, though often with very serious external reper-
cussions.
This has obliged the international community to develop new
instruments of conflict resolution, many of which relate to the
electoral process and, more generally, to the entrenchment of a
democratic culture in war-torn societies, with a view to making
peace sustainable. This handbook lists an impressive range of
such instruments, based on lessons learned from recent experi-
ence in the field.
The United Nations system as a whole is focusing on avoiding
relapse into violence, especially in intra-state conflicts, by estab-
lishing the foundations of a lasting peace. That focus is
admirably reflected in this handbook. It shows that building
stable and solid internal political structures is not a separate task
from crisis management, but needs to be part of it; and it pro-
poses an array of practical resources for those of us engaged in
the search for comprehensive and lasting settlements in specific
conflicts. Competing forces have to be brought to discuss their
differences within a legal and administrative framework, and to
seek solutions based on systems of rules which derive their legit-
imacy from the will of the people, and from universal principles
of human dignity. That in turn requires the creation of institu-
tions built to last.
Happily, there is a growing trend throughout the world towards
democratization and respect of human rights. Some 120
countries now hold generally free and fair elections, and a large
number of internal conflicts end with a negotiated peace which
includes an electoral process aimed at building political structures
acceptable to all. The parties themselves agree to deliver a su-
stainable peaceful settlement through a democratic transition.
Democratic principles provide the essential starting point for
implementation of such settlements, which usually involve not
vii
only democratizing the state but also giving more power to civil
society. Once political actors accept the need for peaceful man-
agement of deep-rooted conflicts, democratic systems of gov-
ernment can help them develop habits of compromise, co-oper-
ation and consensus building. These are not abstract statements,
but practical conclusions drawn from UN experiences of con-
flict resolution in the field. This handbook, which presents sys-
tematically the lessons learned by the UN and other organiza-
tions, constitutes an invaluable addition to the literature on con-
flict prevention, management and resolution.
Kofi A. Annan
Secretary-General
United Nations
viii
Table of Contents
Table of Contents
OVERVIEW .............................................................................................................................. 1
The Need for this Handbook .......................................................................................... 2
The Aims of the Handbook .............................................................................................. 3
How to Use the Handbook .............................................................................................. 4
Analysis .................................................................................................................. 4
Process .................................................................................................................. 4
Outcome .................................................................................................................. 5
Sustainability .......................................................................................................... 5
Case Studies .......................................................................................................... 5
Tools ........................................................................................................................ 6
Sources and Acknowledgements .................................................................................. 6
CASE STUDIES
Case Studies
Overview
The nature of violent conflict in the world has changed in The question that
recent decades, both in its actual subject-matter and in the form concerns us in this
of its expression. One of the most dramatic changes has been
handbook is: how do
the trend away from traditional inter-state conflict (that is, a war
between sovereign states) and towards intra-state conflict (that is, we get an agreement
one which takes place between factions within an existing state). at the negotiating
Whereas most violent conflicts over the course of the twentieth table that will deliver
century have been between states, in the 1990s almost all major a sustainable and
conflicts around the world have taken place within states. Bet-
ween 1989 and 1996, for example, 95 of the 101 armed conflicts peaceful outcome to a
identified around the world were such internal disputes. Most of violent conflict? Our
these conflicts were propelled, at least in part, by quests for self- answer is: by
determination or adequate recognition of communal identity structuring both the
rather than by ideology or the conquest of territory. This repre-
sents a major shift in the manifestation of human conflict, espe-
process of the
cially compared to the world wars and major inter-state conflicts negotiations and the
fought over the course of this century. agreed outcomes in
By comparison, our methods of managing such intra-state such a way as to
conflicts have evolved much more slowly. Peaceful management maximize the
of domestic conflicts needs approaches which recognize the im-
prospects of
portance of building sustainable internal political structures, rather
than those designed and implemented primarily by external democracy taking root
actors. This means that issues about the internal political orga- in the post-conflict
nization of a state are of much greater importance in managing period.
conflicts today than in the past, and accordingly there is now a
greater focus than ever on the role of domestic political actors
engaged in a deep-rooted conflict. Traditional approaches all
too often fail to address the needs and interests which fuel such
conflicts, resulting in attempts to impose unsuitable solutions in
ad hoc and inappropriate ways. There is a tremendous need for
new and better tools that will more effectively address the new
context of intra-state conflict.
This handbook contains practical resources for those invol-
ved in bringing intra-state conflict out of a prolonged phase of
violence and designing a feasible and sustainable model for its
peaceful management. Unlike many works on the subject, it is
1
not primarily concerned with the role of the international com-
munity. Rather, its focus is on what happens at the negotiating
table between the parties to the conflict themselves. It offers
politicians, negotiators, mediators and other political actors a
range of tools and materials needed for the construction of a set-
tlement. These can assist both in the negotiation process itself –
how one works towards an agreement; and in the building of a
settlement – what one reaches agreement about. It is not con-
cerned with preventive diplomacy, conflict early warning sys-
tems, conflict prevention in the narrow sense, and so on, impor-
tant though those topics are. The question that concerns us in
this handbook is: how do we get an agreement at the negotiating
table that will deliver a sustainable and peaceful outcome to a
violent conflict? Our answer is: by structuring both the process of
the negotiations and the agreed outcomes in such a way as to
maximize the prospects of democracy taking root in the post-
conflict period.
The Need for this Handbook
The end-game of violent conflict is perhaps the most difficult
phase of transformation in a hugely difficult process. In that
phase, parties need two overall aids. They need to be able to
avail themselves of the most effective and appropriate dialogue
process to facilitate their negotiations; and they then need to
successfully negotiate a sustainable settlement by putting in place
effective and appropriate democratic structures and political
institutions. Our aim is to assist the users of this handbook in the
difficult task of creating comprehensive and durable solutions to
long-term violent conflicts. In so doing, we draw on the experi-
ence of a number of recent peace settlements in Northern Ire-
land, South Africa, Bougainville, Guatemala and elsewhere.
Negotiators need However, this handbook does not provide any panacea. It
practical, accessible would be ludicrous to prescribe one overall single design for use
across a variety of situations, each in many ways unique. Rather
options for building a
than offer some universal recipe for success, or reinvent the
sustainable wheel for every new situation, the handbook offers options for
democracy. the construction of solutions, helping to focus attention on the
core issues, providing many examples and lessons from other
contexts, and in very practical ways assisting creativity in solution
building. This is not an academic thesis. It is presented in read-
able, straightforward language, and is grounded in wide expe-
rience of real negotiation situations, the better to be of inter-
est and practical use to the practitioner and the policy-maker.
2
Anyone can suggest ideal solutions; but only those involved
can, through negotiation, discover and create the shape of a
practical solution.
Negotiation and mediation skills and processes have been the
subject of a great deal of academic study in recent years. The
practicalities of these processes have also been studied in depth
at inter-group, institutional and international levels. In addition,
the study of democratization and democracy building, both as a
concept and in its varied applications in the world, has become
a major field of academic interest. This project aims uniquely to
bring together all three areas, adapting the best work from each,
and constantly using each related area of knowledge to shed
light on the other areas. Our aim here is to synthesize them into
a unified approach in the form of a practical handbook. Above
all, we want to bridge the gap between the worlds of theory and
of policy, using the best of the former to strengthen the latter in
a practical, policy-oriented approach.
The Aims of the Handbook
The handbook will be of primary use to negotiators and Among the aims of
politicians representing conflicting parties, but also relevant to this handbook is to
third-party intervenors, to civil servants and policy analysts, to
provide negotiators
scholars and specialists of deeply divided societies, to journalists
and advisers, and so on. It is designed specifically for use with with a wide range of
conflicts which are, in the terminology, in the pre-negotiation or practical options, both
negotiation phase: that is, situations which have reached a stage for designing the most
where negotiation has become at least a serious possibility, if not
appropriate
an imminent eventuality. Put simply, the handbook aims:
negotiation process for
– To assist parties who are in, or about to enter, the process
of negotiating a political settlement following a period of them, and for
violent conflict, by helping them to generate creative scen- choosing the
arios for progress towards an acceptable outcome. democratic structures
– To provide them with a wide range of practical options, most suited to their
both for designing the most appropriate negotiation
situation and their
process for them, and for choosing the democratic struc-
tures most suited to their situation and their future. Using future.
the resources offered in the handbook in this construction
process, they can thus engineer an appropriate sequence
of events, a path to progress, which will co-ordinate the dif-
ficult but vital process of peace building through democra-
cy building.
– To assist them in developing solutions which are not only
feasible, acceptable and appropriate during the conflict
3
management phase, but which are also viable and sustain-
able in the long term, via appropriately designed democra-
tic institutions which protect and strengthen human rights
within the new post-conflict society.
– More generally, to provide information on the range of
varied approaches to building sustainable democracy that
have been used in post-conflict situations around the
world, for the benefit of domestic actors and the interna-
tional community alike.
How to Use the Handbook
Building peace is an The layout of the handbook is practically orientated. It is ac-
immense challenge. cepted that building peace is an immense challenge, and our
aim is simply to offer support and guidance, options and exam-
Our aim is simply to ples along the way to those involved in the task. In Chapter 1, we
offer support and examine the changing nature of conflict in recent decades and
guidance, options and discuss how democratic values and institutions provide the
examples along the framework for building effective and lasting settlements. The
handbook then consists of four consecutive stages: analysis, pro-
way to those involved cess design, outcome design, and sustainability. Each stage is gi-
in the task. ven a chapter.
Analysis
First, we analyse the conflict in question and reach a descrip-
tive understanding of its issues and elements. Chapter 2 initially
provides some insights on the nature of deep-rooted conflict, on
various typologies of conflict, and on the process of analysing
conflict. It then offers a range of analytic tools, so that readers
can be assisted in making a diagnosis of their specific conflict.
This involves reaching a detailed understanding of its issues,
themes, actors, dynamics, history, resources, phases, and so on.
The result should provide a rich and informative “snapshot” of
the conflict.
Process
Once diagnosis is complete, Chapter 3 guides readers
through the design of the most appropriate negotiation process
to suit their situation. It offers important general considerations
about designing good process, and then some specific factors to
be considered in building the process most suitable to the par-
ticular conflict. It assists readers to identify and design the basic
building blocks of their process, such as choice of venue, partic-
ipants, agenda design, the structure and ground-rules for talks,
and so on. It offers specific tools for breaking deadlock, and a
menu of negotiation/facilitation techniques from which readers
4
can choose the most appropriate options according to their
previous diagnosis, the better to construct a solid talks process
best suited to their specific needs.
Outcome
Once process has been agreed, the next phase is to address out-
come. Here we consider, in particular, the forms and functions of
the wide range of practical democratic institutions and struc-
tures which can make up the ingredients of a high-quality outcome
negotiated by means of the process designed in Chapter 3.
Chapter 4 reviews the value of such structures, and the issues
involved in their design. Then it offers a detailed and wide-rang-
ing menu of the possible democratic “levers” which those engi-
neering an outcome can consider, use and adapt. The list of
options ranges from key questions about the structure of the
state such as the distribution of power, forms of executives and
legislatures, federalism and autonomy, electoral systems, judicia-
ries, etc.; to mechanisms which address specific issues or inter-
ests such as truth and reconciliation commissions, language
boards, gender commissions and so on.
Sustainability
Finally, Chapter 5 looks at how to sustain the outcome in the
long term, and identifies the obstacles and pitfalls that may
affect the implementation of the agreement as well as the
specific mechanisms that will sustain and nourish the negotiated
settlement. It also offers some underlying principles for suppor-
ting the implementation phase. The role of the international
community in promoting and assisting democratic settlements
in post-conflict situations is also discussed and analysed from a
policy perspective.
Case Studies
The handbook includes a wide range of case studies from
deep-rooted conflicts around the world. These case studies offer
insights into both successes and failures in peace building and
democracy. All of them, both successes and failures, contain im-
portant lessons for those attempting to build an enduring settle-
ment to their own crisis. Most of these case studies – from places
ranging from Bougainville to Bosnia, and from South Africa to
Northern Ireland – are classic examples of “intra-state” conflicts
discussed earlier, in which a focus on negotiated outcomes based
on democratic principles were key to building a lasting peace. As
the case studies illustrate, building democracy in such circum-
stances is extremely difficult, but the alternatives to it almost
inevitably mean a return to bloodshed.
5
Tools
Our goal is to make this handbook as accessible and easy-to-
read as possible – to make it a handy instrument that negotia-
tors and policy-makers can turn to in order to understand the
range of options available to them in negotiating deep-rooted
conflicts. Therefore, we include throughout the book what we
refer to as “A Menu of Options”, and factsheets. These are one-
or two-page overviews that present the main options, issues, or
lessons discussed in each section in a clear and concise manner.
Also, we include at the top of each page the number and title of
each main section heading so readers can situate themselves
anywhere in the the book easily and quickly.
Sources and Acknowledgements
The handbook The two main sources of material for this handbook are prac-
illustrates its tical examples of contemporary conflict and its management
procedures by from around the world, and academic scholarship. At every
extensive use of point along the way, the handbook illustrates its procedures by
extensive use of examples and case studies drawn from real
examples and case
events and situations. One reason for this is obviously to help
studies drawn from
illustrate the points the handbook is making. Perhaps more im-
real events. This portantly, the examples offer readers the opportunity to learn
allows the reader to from instances of past and present successes and failures, and to
learn from past and compare other diagnoses and designs with their own situations.
present successes and With the academic material, the handbook aims to synthesize
failures, and to the best in contemporary scholarship and offer it in an accessible
compare other and practical form to policy-makers. It bridges the gap between
diagnoses and designs theory and policy by offering a composite of the best and most
with their own practically oriented work of theorists. The best theories are
always those that inform, and are informed by, reality and
situations.
practice. First and foremost, readers will bring their own expert
knowledge of their conflict to the handbook; this is then
complemented both by expert knowledge and analysis of other
real situations, and by the best of the relevant theoretical work.
To make the handbook as immediately practical as possible to
its readership we have listed all reference material at the end of
each chapter. Readers can pursue their particular interests further
through these many authors on whose work we have drawn. We
are deeply indebted to all of them.
6
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
1
Increasingly,
C H A P T E R
internalinternal
Increasingly, conflict,
conflict, rooted in ideas of
rooted in ideas of
human identity and often
expressed with frightening
human identity,
intensity, is the major
is the
major
threat threat
to stability and to
peace, at the individual,
stability
local and peace.
and international
levels.
In this first chapter we examine the changing
nature of conflict – conflict that is increasingly
taking place within states (intra-state) rather
than between states (inter-state) and that is
posing a severe challenge to traditional conflict
management techniques.
David Bloomfield
and Ben Reilly
Intra-state, not inter-state. In the last three years, every major armed
conflict originated at the domestic level within a state (intra-state),
rather than between states (inter-state).
Of the 101 armed conflicts during 1989-1996, only six were inter-state.
The remaining 95 took place within existing states.
Identity-based. Of the 27 conflicts in 1996 classified as “major armed
conflicts” (more than 1,000 dead per year), 22 had a clear identity
component to them.
New weapons of war. Since World War Two, cheap, mass-produced,
small-calibre weapons have killed far more people than the heavier
more traditional battlefield weaponry.
Civilian casualties. During World War One, five per cent of casualties
were civilian; by World War Two the figure had risen to 50 per cent. In
the 1990s, the proportion of civilian casualties has soared to 80 per cent.
Refugees. By 1992, there were about 17 million refugees, and a further
20 million people who were internally displaced.
Examples. Deep-rooted conflicts include Russia (Chechnya), Northern
Ireland, Iran and Iraq (with the Kurds), Israel, Afghanistan,
Bangladesh (Chittagong Hill Tribes), Indonesia (East Timor), Sri
Lanka, Burma, Algeria and elsewhere.
Source: SIPRI Yearbook 1997: Armaments, Disarmament and International Security.
Oxford: Oxford University Press for SIPRI.
(millions of US$)
1,175.1
1,467.5
2,565.4
3,226.4
’97
2,970.2
’96
1,675.8
’95
’94
427.9
’93
357.7
’92
568.5
’91
80%
205.2
’90
50%
180.4
’90s 183.7 ’89
5%
’88
WW II
’87
WW I ’86
’97
17,008,000
’96
17,198,000
’95
14,916,000
’94
14,779,000
’93
13,272,000
’92
12,396,000
’91
11,613,000
’90
10,506,000
’89
10,883,000
’88
10,376,000
’78
9,826,000
’86
8,229,000
’85 ’97
5,692,000
’84 ’96
4,576,000
’83 ’95
3,778,000
’82 ’94
’81 ’93
’80 ’92
’79 ’91
’78 ’90
© International IDEA
FACTSHEET 1 [P. 15]
1.3 The Importance of
Democratic Institutions
Box 1
THEMES OF THIS HANDBOOK
Three central themes dominate this handbook:
1. Importance of Democratic Institutions
Democracy provides the foundation for building an
effective and lasting settlement to internal conflicts.
Therefore making appropriate choices about democratic
institutions – forms of devolution or autonomy, electoral
system design, legislative bodies, judicial structures, and
so on – is crucial in building an enduring and peaceful
settlement.
2. Conflict Management, not Resolution
There needs to be move away from thinking about the
resolution of conflict towards a more pragmatic interest
in conflict management. This handbook addresses the
more realistic question of managing conflict: how to
deal with it in a constructive way, how to bring
opposing sides together in a co-operative process, how
to design a practical, achievable, co-operative system for
the constructive management of difference.
3. The Importance of Process
The process by which parties reach an outcome impacts
significantly on the quality of the outcome. Attention
must be paid to every aspect of the process of
negotiations in order to reach a durable outcome.
28
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for
Analysing
Deep-Rooted
Conflict
2
Each conflict requires
C H A P T E R
theconflicts
Most crafting
featureof well-
complex interactions of
designed structures
different forces. Each
requires the crafting of
that are purposely
well-designed structures
oriented
that are purposelyto the needs
oriented to the needs of
theof the specific
specific situation.
situation.
Analysis is a necessary prelude to problem-
solving. This chapter focuses on the process of
analysing a conflict in all its aspects – from
looking at how conflicts in general are
expressed (macro-level) to examining how a
particular conflict can be understood by
examining its component parts (micro-level).
David Bloomfield,
Yash Ghai and
Ben Reilly
2.1 Introduction
(looking both at one’s own side and at the need to also under-
stand the views of the opposition).
The latter approach (integrative) is really one that proposes
that there be movement away from the entrenched attitudes and
positions of the parties towards a situation where the real needs
and interests of the parties are focused on. There needs to be
an acceptance by the parties that there should be movement
from what is known as “positional-based” negotiation to “inter-
est-based” negotiation. In reality, however, the ebb and flow of
negotiations tends to take the parties through a number of phases,
attitudes and positions that will impact on their tactics.
Depending on the nature and maturity of the parties, they
will generally include a range of elements from all three
approaches in their negotiation strategy.
Box 2
ANALYSING A CONFLICT: THREE APPROACHES
There are three ways for actors to analyse their conflict.
Typically, the ebb and flow of negotiations will include
a range of elements from all three approaches.
Adversarial. Viewing the conflict as “us vs. them”, either
win or lose, all or nothing.
Reflective. Looking inward and reflecting on the hurt
and pain the conflict has caused and considering the
best way to achieve real goals.
Integrative. Looking both at one’s own side and the
need to understand the views of the opponents.
ACTORS
Who are the various actors, internal and external, in the The first step in
conflict? analysis is acquiring
– What are the identity groups involved? How do they all the raw data,
define themselves, and what are the core features that making sure
make up their identity?
everything relevant is
– Who are the real leaders of these groups? Are they
politicians, soldiers, religious leaders, intellectuals, etc.?
included, the better to
What pressures are they subject to from followers and see the scope and
opponents? shape of the problem.
– How do these identity groups mobilize? How do they
pursue their needs as communities (i.e., political
parties, paramilitary groups, armies, etc.)? What
alliances have they forged? What interests do they serve
(external, regional, global)? What pressures are they
subject to?
– What factions exist within parties?
– Are there spoilers (groups opposed to the peace
process)? How great a threat do they represent? What
resources exist to deal with them?
– Are there single-issue groups (those who represent a
strong opinion on a particular aspect of the conflict)?
Are there actors who remain internal geographically,
but are removed from, or opposed to, the conflict
(e.g., peace groups, business interests. etc.)?
– Who are the external actors (governments, states,
regional blocs, etc.)? Which outside interests and groups
affect the conflict?
41
2.7 Factors for Analysis
ISSUES
UNDERLYING FACTORS
What are the needs of the parties? What are their fears?
– What drives each of the parties and why? (For example,
do they really want secession, or is it an expression of a
deeper need for security?)
– What do they fear under the present situation? What
are the fears each group currently has of the other
groups?
SCOPE
BALANCE OF POWER
What is the nature and extent of the balance of power
between the parties?
– Who is stronger? Who has more support? (The
perception of the parties of their own power and their
own estimation of the “balance” between them is
critical.)
– Has this balance changed over time, or has it remained
constant?
– Is the dominant position of one party sustainable?
– Is it possible that one party may win outright victory in
the near future?
Situation
Attitudes Behaviour
2 . 8 A n a l y t i c L e n s e s
Situation
Attitudes Behaviour
2 . 8 A n a l y t i c L e n s e s
47
2.9 Conclusion
2.9 Conclusion
Conflict analysis is not easy. At the very beginning of it, adopt-
ing the integrative analytic approach is itself a challenge. It is a
difficult process, requiring time and effort to unpack the com-
plexities and multiplicities of this kind of conflict. Indeed, it can
seem extremely daunting. But it must be borne in mind that,
more often than not, what we are in fact looking at is complex-
ity rather than impossibility.
Analysis is complete Analysis is complete when we have become aware of all the
when we have become elements and factors – the actors, the issues, the relationships,
and so on – which will need to be taken into account in order to
aware of all the
develop a process for managing the conflict peacefully. From
elements and factors – the analysis, in other words, we can then move to a considera-
the actors, the issues, tion of all the ingredients which must be part of (a) a workable
the relationships, and process for reaching agreement among all those involved, and
(b) a viable outcome which covers all the elements, needs and
so on – which will interests identified. We move on now to the first of these – pro-
need to be taken into cess design – in the next chapter.
account in order to
develop a process for REFERENCES AND FURTHER READING
managing the conflict Azar, Edward E. 1991. “The Analysis and Management of
Protracted Conflict”. In V. Volkan, J. Montville and D. Julius.
peacefully. eds. The Psychodynamics of International Relationships. Volume 2:
Unofficial Diplomacy at Work. Lexington, MA: Lexington.
Bloomfield, David. 1996. Peacemaking Strategies in Northern
Ireland: Building Complementarity in Conflict Management.
London: Macmillan.
Deutsch, Morton. 1991. “Subjective Features of Conflict
Resolution: Psychological, Social and Cultural Features”. In
Raimo Vayrynen. ed. New Directions in Conflict Theory –
Conflict Resolution and Conflict Transformation. London:
Sage/ISSC.
Mitchell, Christopher. 1981. The Structure of International
Conflict. London: Macmillan.
Rothman, Jay. 1991. “Conflict Research and Resolution:
Cyprus”, Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social
Science, vol. 518. pp. 95–108.
48
© International IDEA
South Africa
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Mark Anstey
Case Study: South Africa
SOUTH AFRICA
Introduction
Conflict was evidenced early in South Africa’s recorded history, both between
and within racial groupings. Migrations by black and white groupings took place
under Zulu and British expansionism, and black tribes engaged in a series of skir-
mishes and battles with Boers (Afrikaners) and British settlers throughout the
1800s. Tensions between the British and the Boers culminated in The Boer War
(1899–1902). The discovery of diamonds (1867) and gold (1886) opened the econ-
omy and added to the competition over resources and power.
In 1910, the Boer republics (Transvaal and Orange Free State) and the British
colonies (Natal and the Cape) were unified, a tenuous white unity achieved at the
expense of black suffrage. The exclusion of blacks however sparked the formation
of the African National Congress (ANC) in 1912, and the beginnings of a long strug-
gle for political participation.
During the 1930s several investigative commissions questioned the sustainability
of economic growth in a system founded on racial discrimination. A degree of lib-
eralization resulted in relaxation of the pass laws, an erosion of the job colour bar,
moves towards a closure in the racial wage gap, and some extensions of labour
rights. But this stalled after 1945. The National Party (NP), elected in 1948 on a
wave of Afrikaner nationalism, enforced a hardline policy of formal racial sepa-
ratism: apartheid. African, Asian and coloured resistance strengthened. In 1957, Afri-
canists opposed to non-racialism split from the ANC to establish the Pan Africanist
Congress (PAC), pursuing a more militant line of resistance. The shooting of pass-
law demonstrators in Sharpeville by police sparked strikes and riots nationally, an
international outcry and a flight of capital from the country. The government hard-
ened its stance, banning the ANC and the PAC, which went underground and shift-
ed their strategies from passive resistance to violence against the state.
But social and economic realities eroded the apartheid dream. Rapid economic
growth during the 1960s produced a shortage of workers and demanded more
rather than fewer black urban dwellers. Manufacturing required a literate, techni-
South Africa
51
Case Study: South Africa
Klerk removed bans on political parties, and signaled new freedoms in political
activity. The leader of the ANC, Nelson Mandela, was released from prison, imme-
diately making statements to reassure and cohere his constituency.
Key leadership figures of the ANC were flown into the country to work in a joint
committee with government representatives on an indemnity arrangement, but
deep suspicions continued to shroud dealings. The ANC group feared that it was
being “tricked” into the country under false pretences and would be arrested; the
government team feared that amnesty arrangements would be used as a smoke-
screen to cover ongoing infiltration and a major revolutionary onslaught. Both sides
52
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
cess. Their very existence was confirmation in many ways that change was irrever-
sible. Management of the process was not simply in the hands of the regime. Steadily
it moved into a period of joint control through peace accords, economic pacts, local
government forums and a transitional executive council which laid the foundation
for the advent of majority rule.
In 1992, after lengthy behind-the-scenes discussions and in the context of pro-
gress on the political front, the trade union movement entered the National Econo-
mic Forum (NEF) with the government of the day and business. Its purpose was to
seek consensus over economic policy, especially during the transition period. In this
53
Case Study: South Africa
forum, organized labour rather than political opposition groups held sway and
sought to entrench their influence over economic and social policy-making. In making
these moves the trade unions made the decision to retain an identity separate from
that of government and to participate in the change process on its own terms, even
as it supported opposition political parties. This strategic move laid the base for a
later post-election social corporatism.
Pacting extended to areas of government as well. In 1992, representatives of cen-
tral, provincial and local government established a Local Government Negotiating
Forum to devise a viable and democratic future local government system. A National
Education and Training Forum was founded to seek agreement on restructuring
the education system to meet the country’s development needs. All these forums
embedded democratic values and processes of negotiation in the wider society and
supported the unfolding political process.
Of central concern was the role and legitimacy of police and security forces. How
could they be entrusted as custodians of transition to a new democracy – and what
were the alternatives? Several important steps were taken to address this dilemma.
A Police Board comprising representatives from political parties, civil society, gov-
ernment and the police was established in 1991 to review police policy and structure
and recommend changes for a police service into the future. A National Peace
Accord was achieved as a non-aggression pact between key stakeholders involved in
the transition process. A detailed written agreement brokered by the churches, the
Congress of South African Trade Unions (COSATU) and big business, the Accord
sought primarily to end political violence in the country, making provision for codes
of conduct for political parties and organizations, a code of conduct for police and
the security forces, guidelines for the reconstruction and development of commu-
nities, and mechanisms to implement its provisions. It committed parties to a multi-
party democracy and to respect for the fundamental rights and freedoms under-
pinning a democracy, and provided for a system of peace committees at all levels of
society to monitor adherence to the Accord and resolve disputes using mediation
and arbitration. The Police Board was entrenched as a measure of civilian control
over policing activities.
South Africa
The effectiveness of the Accord has been questioned. High levels of violence con-
tinued, particularly in Kwazulu-Natal and the East Rand. If the Accord failed to stop
violence, it at least reduced it, and certainly through its conflict resolution mecha-
nisms in the regions, it saved many lives. It contributed to the building of grass-roots
peace structures, brought hope and participation in the transition process to many
people otherwise alienated from the larger political exchange, and defused many
volatile, and potentially fatal, political confrontations. Most importantly however, it
represented a joint commitment on the part of all the stakeholders to values and
standards which were difficult to walk away from or openly reject.
54
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
zation campaign.
The ANC responded with a formalized “rolling mass action” campaign of strikes,
stayaways and boycotts. They turned their attention to the homelands and on 7
March organized a march on Bisho, the Ciskei capital. Ciskei troops opened fire, kil-
ling 28 people.
Tragically it was the rise in political deaths, culminating in the Bisho killings,
which sobered relations, facilitating the return to prominence of softliners and a
reconvening of talks. It obliged the leadership on all sides to face the realities of fail-
55
Case Study: South Africa
ing to achieve a political accord. Mandela and de Klerk reduced preconditions for
a resumption of negotiations, and talks restarted.
The political violence continued right up to the election period, with the white
right playing an increasing role as it sensed the negotiations moving to a close. The
threat of rightwing action was ever-present in the process, given the unresolved
question of who was really in charge of the country at the time – the government was
in place but a Transitional Executive Council (TEC) had established mechanisms to
ensure that in effect it governed by consent in the lead-up to elections.
The peace process was conceived in two phases – an interim constitution leading
into elections, after which a final constitution would be negotiated. The interim con-
stitution provided the foundations for a constitutional democracy, guaranteeing uni-
versal suffrage and fundamental democratic rights to be guarded by a constitutional
court. The final constitution was to be approved by the Constitutional Assembly (na-
tional assembly and the senate), and checked by the constitutional court against
constitutional principles before being adopted.
The interim constitution provided wide-ranging protection of human and civil
rights. It provided for a parliament comprising a National Assembly, with 400 mem-
bers elected by proportional representation; a Senate comprising 10 senators for
each of nine provinces, also elected by proportional representation, and a National
Executive headed by a president elected by a majority in the national assembly. The
president could appoint two deputies and a cabinet. All parties achieving more than
a five per cent vote had a right to be part of the cabinet, and cabinet posts were allo-
cated in proportion to national assembly seats.
Provincial governments were to have their own legislatures elected on the basis of
proportional representation, making decisions by simple majority vote. They could
pass laws for their provinces, but they could not exceed powers granted by the con-
stitution. Should national and provincial laws clash, the provincial one was to pre-
vail. Local governments were to be autonomous according to conferred powers. A
Council of Traditional Leaders at national level, and Houses of Traditional Leaders at pro-
vincial level, would advise parliament on traditional and customary law. By agree-
ment the interim constitution was to come into effect on the day of the elections of
the national and provincial parliaments.
South Africa
Founding Elections
During the transition process, the existing government remained in office but
acted in consultation with the Transitional Executive Council (TEC) drawn from
the parties involved in the negotiating process. An Independent Electoral Commission
(IEC) was appointed to conduct the country’s first democratic elections in April
1994. Its first meeting was held on 20 December 1993 and the actual work of setting
up systems of delivery at grass-roots level was only started two months before the
elections. Constraints included not only an unreasonably short timeframe, and the
56
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
absence of a voters roll, but the absence of infrastructure in large areas of the coun-
try, a lack of trained personnel, few existing administrative structures, and inade-
quate demographic data. Over the four days of the April 1994 elections, 8,493 ordi-
nary voting stations supplemented with 950 mobile, 1,047 special, and 187 foreign
voting stations were in operation in South Africa, and in 78 other countries. A third
of the voting stations had no electricity or regular telephone service. It was a diffi-
cult process with shortages of materials, logistical problems, sabotage of the count-
ing process, and systems failures. The IEC were acutely aware that failure to deliver
a free and fair election might lose South Africa’s democracy at the very moment of
its delivery. Efficient and credible internal and external (United Nations, European
Union, etc.) monitoring was important, as was the creative capacity of the IEC to
respond to last minute crises in administration and counting processes.
Consolidating Democracy
South Africa has taken important steps to embed its democracy in political and
civil life. A final constitution confirming the spirit of the interim constitution has
been negotiated. A number of state institutions exist to strengthen and protect the
new democracy, including: a Public Protector; a Human Rights Commission; a Com-
mission to Promote and Protect Rights of Cultural, Religious and Linguistic Com-
munities; a Commission for Gender Equality; an Auditor General; and an Electoral
Commission. The public service is being transformed to more fully represent and
serve the country’s population; new labour legislation adhering to international
standards has been introduced and a National Economic, Development and Labour
Council has been established to seek consensus on social and economic policy.
An important initiative has been the Truth and Reconciliation Commission
(TRC). The TRC offered a means of surfacing the atrocities of the apartheid system
in a manner directed at reconciling a deeply divided nation rather than simply
exacting revenge or seeking retribution. It has given people at all levels and on all
sides the opportunity to declare their part in the conflict, to shed light on disappearances,
murders, tortures and lesser human rights transgressions, and importantly to
express regret and seek forgiveness and amnesty.
Lessons for Managing Transitions to Democracy
South Africa
57
Case Study: South Africa
58
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for
Negotiation
Processes
3
If a process is
C H A P T E R
David Bloomfield,
Charles Nupen and
Peter Harris
Negotiation Processes
3.1 Introduction
C
onflicts differ so markedly in history and context, issue
and character, intensity and outcome, that processes to
address them must be responsive to each circumstance. If
a process is designed that is not appropriate to the context, then
it is defeated before it begins. This assertion comes from a recog-
nition of the uniqueness of each situation, which should save us
from universal prescriptions. But the process of comparison can
still be invaluable. The fact that an approach works in, say,
Eritrea is no guarantee that it would be in any way effective in
Palestine or Fiji. But certainly at a more specific level we might
well look at the elements of a cease-fire in Chechnya for clues as
to how to achieve a cease-fire in the Philippines. For all their dif-
ferences, there are also common or comparable elements: regio-
nal armed insurrection against a central government, claims for
self-determination, deep-rooted identity issues intertwined with
perceptions of social and economic discrimination, a recent end
to authoritarian structures of government, and so on. So while
respecting the uniqueness of a particular conflict, we can still
learn important lessons from other situations. Even developing
an answer to the question, “Why wouldn’t that work here?” en-
genders an analysis of the situation that promotes definition of
what could succeed.
3.2 Key Issues in Process Design
3.2.1 Commonly perceived deadlock
Conflicting parties come to the table only when they perceive
it – willingly or grudgingly – to be in their interests. A conflu-
ence of factors must be operating to make this so. In particular,
negotiation only tends to come about when there is a mutually
perceived notion of deadlock. This is often referred to as a
“hurting stalemate”. In many cases, only when the conviction
grows on both sides that neither will win outright and that to
continue with violent means will be costly without achieving vic-
tory, does the option of negotiation gain attraction. This does
not require that the two sides be evenly matched in their military
power and resources. That is rarely the case in internal conflict.
All it requires is that the weaker can at least prevent the outright
61
3.2 Key Issues in Process
Design
victory of the stronger – this is the rule rather than the excep-
tion in most internal conflicts.
Various internal and external factors produced this kind of
stalemate in South Africa. The rapprochement between the US
and the Soviet Union, followed by the latter’s eventual break-up,
was highly significant. As the East-West dichotomy began to
crumble, some of the traditional support bases for both sides
were removed. The international imposition of punitive sanc-
tions and “pariah status” was chipping away cumulatively at the
economic viability and moral legitimacy of the South Africans State.
Internally, the costs of sustaining apartheid and separate deve-
lopment were spiraling. Population shifts to urban centres made
implementation and control more problematic than ever, while
the development of the various homelands and assorted sep-
arate councils and assemblies produced a vast and hopelessly
inefficient bureaucracy. Internal and external resistance to the
state escalated and gained huge momentum through the 1980s,
proving ever more difficult and expensive to repress.
An effective process is Similarly, after 25 years of continuing violence in Northern
one that will prove Ireland, by the 1990s both the paramilitary forces of the Irish Re-
publican Army (IRA) and the generals of the British Army
itself resilient and realized that neither side was capable militarily of securing total
durable in the face of victory. The best each could do was to prevent the other from
delays, deadlocks, winning. The choice then became one between continuing to
fight without hope of victory and at continuing high cost in
walkouts, raised human and financial terms, or to look at other non-military options.
hopes, false So together a range of factors acted in both South Africa and
expectations and Northern Ireland to bring about perceptions on all sides both of
angry words. the pain of continued stalemate and of the attraction of negoti-
ation. The second does not, of course, follow automatically from
the first. In Sudan, in terms of human lives and suffering, envi-
ronmental degradation, internal and external economic burd-
ens, and so on, the cost of remaining in an ongoing stalemate
has been huge; and yet, in the words of one scholar, even
though Sudan “is a nation at the brink of total collapse ... lead-
ers themselves have apparently not felt the personal threat of
imminent demise”.
3.2.2 Seizing opportunities
Just the existence of stalemate, then, is not enough. It can
produce a window of opportunity, a “ripe” moment for solution,
but ripe moments must be recognized, seized and used. Nego-
tiations do not simply emerge from the ashes of conflict. A com-
monly perceived notion of deadlock leaves contending parties
with a perspective that they cannot win by war, but not necessar-
ily with incentives to search for peace. So acknowledging stale-
62
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
mate is one thing. But other factors must act on the parties to
move them towards negotiation. Stalemate is usually experi-
enced as a sterile situation, which, by definition, precludes any
opportunities for change or progress. But almost paradoxically,
stalemate can be precisely the beginning of opportunity. That
depends on the confluence of factors operating that will make
negotiation viable. These factors can come from any aspect of
the process, internal or external.
In Mozambique, the intervention of the Roman Catholic
church, using the organization Sant’Egidio, via pastoral letters,
its own contacts, and its active encouragement and persuasion of
the actors, led to its success in facilitating talks involving
FRELIMO and RENAMO in Rome between 1990 and 1992. In
the Angolan context, the Bicesse accords of 1991 grew directly
out of a major shift in superpower perspective which led to So-
viet pressure on the MPLA, and US (and South African) pres-
sure on UNITA to go to the table. In South Africa in 1990, Presi-
dent de Klerk abruptly announced the release of political pris-
oners and the unbanning of the ANC and other outlawed par-
ties. Similarly, Anwar Sadat’s famous “flight to Jerusalem” in
1977 stunned the world by breaking the universal Arab taboo on
Israeli recognition: he flew to Jerusalem and addressed the Is-
raeli parliament. So much was implicit in the gesture – putting a
huge crack in the universal Arab rejection of Israel’s right to
exist, putting an equally heavy burden of reciprocation on Is-
rael, and so on – that, like de Klerk’s speech, new possibilities
and parameters for movement were developed out of long-stan-
ding stalemate.
So, while stalemate often comes about because of the absence
of change, negotiation becomes an attractive proposition pre-
cisely because of changes in context – a new government or lea-
der, a shift in support for one side or the other, a unilateral “cir-
cuit-breaking” initiative, and so on. Such a turning point in per-
ceptions is required to transform a stalemate into a search for
alternatives. There has to be a perception, originally conceived
or induced, of the distinct possibility of a negotiated solution.
It is therefore important that an ongoing conflict be constan-
tly evaluated and assessed to ensure “windows of opportunity”
are not lost. Generally, such opportunities are rare and should
be seized. The parties themselves, because of their proximity to
the conflict, may not see such openings, and it may therefore
require a third party to take the initiative.
3.2.3 The importance of trust
Negotiations tend to focus on issues, but their success de-
pends on people. So good process also seeks to enhance the re-
63
3.2 Key Issues in Process
Design
”
Negotiators need to develop a common understanding of each
other’s positions. In the case of Cyril and myself, that common
understanding led to friendship. But what is very important
in this process of coming to understand each other is that you
have to put yourself in the shoes of the person on the other
side ... The personal chemistry between negotiators is ... a
very important ingredient of successful negotiations.
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
3.3 Pre-Negotiation
Pre-negotiation is, in the Irish phrase, “talks about talks”. It is
concerned with setting up the framework within which issues
can subsequently be discussed, not with the issues themselves. In
this handbook’s terms, pre-negotiation does not address the
design of an outcome – that will wait until the forthcoming talks
actually begin – but focuses on process. It is, in effect, negotiation
66
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
3 . 3 P r e - N e g o t i a t i o n
”
A common perception of deadlock seems to be critical,
and the first phase of negotiation [i.e., pre-negotiation]
seems to be taken up in exploring this deadlock and
developing a common mental map. In the South African
case the Groote Schuur Minute, the Pretoria Minute and
the Record of Understanding were key moments when the
major parties to the conflict spelt out their common
perception of deadlock, and how to proceed away from it.
Box 4
MAJOR ELEMENTS FOR PRE-NEGOTIATION
The following list represents the major elements to be pre-
negotiated, from the hugely complex to the apparently
straightforward:
– agreeing on the basic rules and procedures;
– participation in the process, and methods of representation;
– dealing with preconditions for negotiation and barriers to
dialogue;
– creating a level playing-field for the parties;
– resourcing the negotiations;
– the form of negotiations;
– venue and location;
– communication and information exchange;
– discussing and agreeing upon some broad principles with
regard to outcomes;
– managing the proceedings;
– timeframes;
– decision-making procedures;
– process tools to facilitate negotiations and break deadlocks;
– the possible assistance of a third party.
dela’s words is the need to deal directly with those who are caus-
ing trouble, rather than to exclude and subsequently try to mar-
ginalize them. This was one reason for the failure of Northern
Irish negotiations in 1991 and 1992. While the moderates tried
to negotiate agreement around the table, armed extremists on
both sides were excluded. The surrounding atmosphere, heavy
with the threat of paramilitary violence, undermined the signi-
ficance and efficacy of the talks.
Reviewing negotiation processes between various permuta-
tions of the parties to the Lebanese conflict since the mid-1970s,
two leading scholars make the point convincingly:
”
In terms of structure, the most important deal in the Lebanese
conflict revolved around who was included in the negotiations
and who was excluded or chose not to join … [N]o solution to
the conflict is likely to be successful if all the major parties to
the conflict are not involved in the negotiations. Nor are
substitutes likely to succeed ... because they do not have the
real power to implement the agreements.
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
fully fledged political party, when in fact they have had little op-
portunity to develop such skills.
And so time may be needed for preparation before talks. Po-
litical and technical education may be vital in order to reduce
the relative disadvantage. This is not a patronizing expression of
sympathy for the underdog; rather it is in everyone’s interests. If
one side in the negotiation process is at a serious disadvantage
in terms of skill and experience, the likelihood of either side
coming away from the table satisfied is dramatically decreased.
In any case, the need for such assistance and familiarization in
political and negotiating processes – in particular, within the
social context of the conflict – is by no means restricted to the
relatively small or the weak.
Levelling the playing-field is about establishing equity in the
negotiating process between all parties. It promotes equitable
participation at the negotiation table, so that no party has a
monopoly or a preponderance of legitimacy or authority. The
procedural rules, agreed in advance, must deal with this.
– Large-scale conferences;
– Summits of key spokespersons;
– Full round table sessions;
– Shuttle mediation;
– Bilateral discussions;
– A mixed formula of plenaries and subgroups;
– Acknowledgement of dissenting coalitions by means
of minority reports;
– Defining different roles and capacities for negotiators
and observers.
“
One of the advantages of the Oslo channel over the traditional
conference diplomacy was the informal and undisturbed
venue … an atmosphere of mutual trust and affinity was
allowed to develop between people who spent hundreds of hours
working, quarrelling and eating together in front of Norwegian
fireplaces and surrounded only by peaceful countryside.
3.4 Developing a Specific
Negotiation Process
– A Constitution
– A Bill of Rights
– Institutions and levels of government
– Aid
– Inward investment
– Strategic deployment of resources
– External relations
3.4.10 Timeframes
The question of time is central. Are the negotiations to be lim-
ited by a prearranged deadline? Or are they to be open-ended,
continuing for however long it takes to build an outcome? This
varies depending on the context, but “ripe moments” for negotia-
tion tend to be short-lived, in effect providing their own deadline.
One side of the argument insists that deadlines are necessary
to push people towards success. The other side of the argument
is that with endless time available, the urgency to pressure par-
ticipants into concessions and agreement is missing. Moreover,
participants may be tempted to use delaying tactics if there is
little or no time pressure. A party which is a reluctant participant
– which sees the status quo ante as at least no worse than a likely
outcome – can effectively draw out discussions and delay pro-
gress, if there is no pressure on them to make progress or take
the blame for failure. This is what Unionists did in Northern Ire-
land in 1991 (partly because they did not believe the seriousness
of the official deadline), and arguably what Israeli Prime Mi-
nister Netanyahu has done regarding talks with the Palestinians.
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3.4 Developing a Specific
Negotiation Process
90
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
3.4.11 Decision-making
At regular intervals during negotiations, decisions will have to
be made. Are we agreed on this agenda point, and can we then
build on that agreement to move on? Decisions must be reached
in such a way that all – or most – of the parties accept the legiti-
macy and binding nature of the agreement. But it is important
to establish this in advance. If a party can renege on an earlier
agreed point at a later stage, there is a danger of the entire pro-
cess falling apart before completion. Some mechanism must be
established for defining binding agreement in the negotiation
process.
Further, how is agreement to be confirmed? Do parties have
an overnight period to confirm acceptance of the point by others
(perhaps their political leaders) not present at the table? Again,
is each point agreed permanently before moving on to the next?
If that is so, it may mean that even if talks fall apart later, all the
agreements established prior to the break-up remain. Or is
there a banking principle at work, as in Northern Ireland?
Under that system, “nothing is finally agreed until everything is
agreed”. The parties put the agreed points “in the bank” for
future reference, only to be finally agreed when the agenda had
been completed.
The plus side of this is that a party can see the value of con-
ceding on one point in order to gain on another, on the under-
standing that they will be able to calculate the balance of conces-
sions and gains before finally approving the whole agreement.
The down side is that this tends to produce an all-or-nothing
character to the talks: if negotiations break off before full com-
pletion, then most or all of the agreements reached up to that
point may be disowned, and any future process will have to be-
gin all over again.
Cyril Ramaphosa described the South African decision-mak-
ing formula thus: “All agreements and decisions were to be ar-
rived at by general consensus among all the parties. When gen-
eral consensus couldn’t be achieved, decisions were to be taken
on the basis of sufficient consensus. Sufficient consensus was de-
fined as a process of reaching agreement that would take us to
the next step. Essentially, it finally meant that there had to be
sufficient agreement between two parties or within two parties.
Those parties were the National Party and the ANC. The parties
who disagreed with the decision could have their objections for-
mally recorded, but in the spirit of co-operation they understood
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3.4 Developing a Specific
Negotiation Process
that they could not hinder the process from moving forward.”
Ramaphosa is quoted elsewhere more succinctly, admitting that,
“sufficient consensus means if the ANC and the NP agree, the
rest can get stuffed”.
The point is well made that “sufficient consensus” needs to be
worked out for the specific context, with regard to the number
of parties present, their relative strengths, commitment to the
process and potential for disruption. Effectively, in this instance,
it was the reality that if the two mainstream parties managed
consensus, it was difficult for the other, much smaller, parties to
challenge it in any effective way.
Similar considerations about facilitating the mainstreams on
both sides led to a more intricately defined formula in Northern
Ireland in 1997. There, “sufficient consensus” was calculated ac-
cording to the electoral strengths of the negotiating parties as-
sessed at the pre-talks election, and boiled down to the require-
ment that any decision had the support of a straight majority on
each side – that is, the support of parties representing more
than 50 per cent of Unionist voters as well as more than 50 per
cent of Nationalist voters.
And how will the final agreement – the completed and agreed
outcome – be officially endorsed or ratified? Is it enough if all
parties make a joint announcement giving their approval to the
result? Or is a referendum necessary among all the represented
constituencies in order to bestow public and official endorse-
ment on the outcome? There might need to be a calculation of
the risk involved in taking the agreement to the people. They
might possibly reject it (but that would indicate its unsuitability,
in any case). Or the debate leading up to such a referendum
could give excluded or spoiling parties the chance to forge sup-
port for their arguments in public in order to undermine the
outcome. But certainly such public endorsement gives the out-
come an unquestionable legitimacy, as demonstrated by the
overwhelming support for the Northern Irish settlment in a
referendum in 1998.
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
deadlock by the implicit threat that they will take the blame if
talks stall or collapse. More positively, members of a cross-party
coalition can co-operate in pressing their respective backers to
do what is necessary to facilitate a solution to the problem.
3.6.2 Unofficial channels
Also mentioned earlier, in Section 3.4.6, was the need for
unofficial channels of communication. These channels supple-
ment and can at times circumvent the more official channels
across the table or through a secretariat. They can take any ap-
propriate form, but the more they exist the easier it is to con-
tinue discussion of a problem that, in the official setting, cannot
be openly negotiated. At Camp David, the “walk in the woods”
served this valuable purpose for a variety of permutations of par-
ticipants. (The term was quite literal: the venue was surrounded
by forest, which provided the ideal place to take a break.) In
Northern Ireland, the indoor version of the same thing was
termed “voices in the corridors”. In South Africa, the unofficial
friendship that resulted in the “Roelf and Cyril show” permitted
the development of what was somewhat prosaically termed “the
channel”: a parallel conduit for communication to supplement
the official process. In Finland, the sauna became the channel.
In Norway, it was a fireside chat.
These kinds of channels evolve organically through the pre-
negotiation and negotiation processes, and cannot in any real
sense be predicted or prescribed. But it is vital that participants
both recognize the importance of such mechanisms to lubricate
the formal talks process, and remain aware of their possibilities
as the opportunities occur. These channels may need to be de-
niable, and therefore may not involve party leaders or those with
a high profile, unless a particular personal chemistry permits it.
More often, they are quiet, behind-the-scenes chats between sec-
ond-tier delegates, for the purpose of explaining in fuller terms
the positions, problems, restraints and perceived obstacles bet-
ween rival parties.
3.6.3 Subgroups
The idea of subgroups or subcommittees has been mentioned
at various times as a means to fractionate or subdivide the agen-
da into more manageable ingredients. More specifically, when a
particular obstacle creates deadlock over a certain agenda item,
an ad hoc subgroup may be usefully convened to address the
point. Away from the formal table, the smaller group can discuss
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
“
When you get three or four people sitting down with one
chairperson, you can get stuck in to the business. Because you
have an opportunity to say, ‘Look, stop ––ing around here,
what is the problem with x?’ And the other guy says, ‘Well,
101 what we’re really bothered about is a, b and c.’ And then you
start addressing the issues. When you’re sitting with 40 people
in a room, it’s much harder to say that.
Box 6
BREAKING DEADLOCK
The following are some tried and tested techniques which
may be useful in breaking deadlock:
1. Coalition building – Build a strong coalition of
commitment between all those who value negotiations.
2. Unofficial channels – unofficial channels, such as the
“walk in the woods” at Camp David, can supplement
and at times circumvent the more official channels. The
more they exist the easier it is to continue discussion of
a problem that, in the official setting, cannot be openly
negotiated.
3. Subgroups – When a particular obstacle creates
deadlock over a certain agenda item, subgroups or
subcommittees can discuss the problem in more
forthright terms, away from the formal table.
4. Shuttle mediation – Discussions between the chair or
mediator and one party at a time, which allows for a
process of clarifying a given party’s stance on the
subject, communicating accurately other parties’
positions, and defining each party’s needs and
expectations around the deadlocking issue.
5. Proximity talks – Party delegations reside close by each
other, possibly in different rooms of the same building,
but communicate entirely through bilateral discussion
with the chair.
6. Referendums, consultations and mandates – Parties
may want to seek wider endorsement of a proposed
move, for example through referendums, before going
too far without the express support of their
constituency.
7. Unofficial supplements to negotiation – The broader
civil society in a country, including religious institutions
and leaders, business interests, labour interests and
peace groups, can function as supports for, or
alternatives to, the talks process itself.
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3.7 Third-Party
Assistance
ty to play such roles, and the new context in which they have
found themselves since the end of the Cold War. Moreover,
intervenors increasingly operate in coalitions (for example, the
collaboration of the Contact Group of States, the Organization
for Security and Co-operation in Europe, the United Nations
High Representative, the United States, the European Union
and various NGOs in Bosnia).
Even if a third party is not used during negotiations, there
may be a limited but effective role for such a person or group in
enabling low-key discussion of a problem or sticking point. An
independent mediator may well be ideal for this. The mediator
will simply facilitate focused discussion of the deadlocked point,
in order to increase communication and understanding and to
generate possibilities for agreement. Again, small delegation sizes
will help. Even where a third party mediates the formal talks, a
small-scale subgroup discussion with a different mediator (or a
secondary member of the official mediation team) can be use-
ful.
Another way to use intervention is to seek arbitration on the First and foremost,
sticking point, either by the existing mediator or, more effectively, third parties must be
by an outside person or group particularly relevant to the point
generally acceptable to
in question. While arbitration can often be criticized for the
impositional nature of its solutions, if deadlock is genuinely pro- all sides.
duced by a mutual despair, it may be seen as both necessary and
acceptable by the parties as an alternative to a breakdown in the
entire process.
In general, mediation is as much a tool as any other in nego-
tiations. If it is inappropriate for the process as a whole, ad hoc
mediation in a variety of forms can be brought in for particular
problems. The problem itself will, as always, define the charac-
teristics of the most suitable mediator or arbitrator.
First and foremost, third parties must be generally acceptable
to all sides. Usually, this is voiced in terms of the third party’s
neutrality or impartiality. But no third party is truly impartial or
neutral, since they will carry with them an agenda of their own –
whether this is an external state with regional interests in the
conflict, or simply an individual who may want to take credit for
a successful outcome.
As important as impartiality or neutrality is the acceptability of
the person or agency. Third parties can even come from within
the conflict, even from one side of it – for example, religious fig-
ures or business or civil leaders – as long as there is sufficient
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3.7 Third-Party
Assistance
respect for them from all sides and for their capacity to act in a
neutral manner. Perhaps the easiest way to summarize this qual-
ity of acceptability is to talk in terms of building the same kind
of trust which, we argued earlier, must be developed between
conflicting parties in order to develop a satisfactory working re-
lationship. The intervenor needs the working trust of all parties
in order to function.
3.7.2 Types of intervention
Third-party intervention is a wide-ranging concept. We will
borrow the work of leading scholars to get a more focused pic-
ture of what it can entail, while always remembering that such a
neat analysis is a simplification of the real world. The terms used
in the following discussion are somewhat arbitrary; we use them
here to clarify distinctions between types of intervention, rather
than as recognized definitions.
Essentially, we identify five different, if overlapping, interven-
tion roles, each appropriate at different stages and phases, or for
different elements, of the process. Each can be played by sepa-
rate parties or, more likely, an intervenor will find themselves
moving between, or combining, several roles.
Conciliation
A conciliator provides a communication channel between the
parties. The main aims of conciliation are to help identify the
major issues of contention, to lower tensions between parties,
and to move the parties closer to direct interaction (i.e., negoti-
ation) over the identified issues. In our framework, conciliation
is particularly beneficial at the pre-negotiation stage, where it has
the effect of clarifying the agenda for subsequent discussion, en-
couraging the building of a “common mental map”; reducing
tensions and facilitating greater understanding of each other’s
aims and goals; and building the initial stages of a bridge bet-
ween adversaries that will lead to more co-operative approaches.
There is no requirement that the protagonists actually meet to-
gether during conciliation.
The work of the Quaker Adam Curle in the Nigerian conflict
of 1967–1970 is an instance of conciliation. Although Curle and
his colleagues never brought the Nigerian Government or the
Biafran rebels together, they shuttled between the two sides with
messages, engaging in bilateral discussions with each side in or-
der to help them get a clearer picture of their position, their
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
view of the issues and their ideas for solution, floating possibili-
ties for progress to each side, and so on.
Facilitation
A facilitator addresses the relationship and issues between
conflicting parties. The facilitator brings representatives of the
parties together, usually in a neutral environment. The facilitator
chairs joint or separate meetings in order to examine mutual
perceptions, and encourages communication in a safe and non-
threatening way and joint analysis of the problem. Each party is
encouraged to express its perceptions of the other, as well as its
notion of the other’s perception of it. The facilitator assists the
setting of ground-rules and manages the process of the discus-
ions; the participants retain control of the content. This can take
place when the parties are not able to agree on a chair for the
meetings or the process. With mutual understanding thus
increased, the parties move on to joint discussion of their situa-
tion and their problem, and eventually to joint co-operative
analysis and problem-solving. Facilitation assumes that improved
mutual knowledge, improved understanding and trust, and
strengthened communication channels will assist in clearing the
way for the parties to engage in direct substantive negotiation
over the issues that divide them.
The Norwegian back-channel arguably functioned as facilita-
tion – confidential, unofficial discussion and relationship-build-
ing in a neutral venue, with no expectation that agreement had
to be reached. The problem-solving workshops facilitated by
Herb Kelman, a US academic, between Israeli and Palestinian
groups over a twenty-year period are excellent examples. Kel-
man identifies individuals with influence within their communities
– policy advisers, second-tier politicians, academics, opinion-
formers, and so on. He hosts three- to five-day joint meetings with
them on neutral ground. Importantly, they come as individuals,
whatever their official status at home. Led by a team of facilita-
tors, they work through the agenda of swapping understandings
of the conflict and of each other, of identifying and discussing
obstacles to progress and then jointly brainstorming possible
solutions to those obstacles. The confidentiality of the meetings,
and the control of process retained by the facilitators, make the
meetings non-threatening. They contribute to issue clarification
as well as relationship building. The individuals take the results
of the workshop – increased understanding and respect, clari-
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3.7 Third-Party
Assistance
fied issues, scenarios for progress – back with them to feed into
their official apparatus.
Arbitration
A third party that functions as an arbitrator brings authority
and legitimacy to the proceedings which permit the arbitrator to
impose a solution equally on all the conflicting parties. The arbi-
trator listens to all sides of the argument, considers the merits of
the respective cases, and then constructs a settlement in a fair
and just way. The key distinctions of arbitration are two-fold.
First, the solution comes from the third party, not the conflict-
ing parties. They do not necessarily engage in discussions to con-
struct that solution, beyond advocating their own point of view
to the arbitrator. Second, the authority of the arbitrator is such
that the conflicting parties are bound to the ruling its solution
as binding. They may well be faced with rewards for compliance
and punishments for non-compliance.
Arbitration rarely, if ever, serves as the sole approach to
managing deep-rooted conflict: because of the depth of feeling
involved in such conflict, solutions which are not “owned” by the
disputants are usually inappropriate. The legal nature of arbi-
tration can, however, be useful in contributing to a settlement.
Regional and international intergovernmental organizations,
(such as the United Nations, Organization of American States,
and so forth) and regional and international courts (such as the
European Court of Justice, the International Court of Justice,
etc.) can sometimes play an arbiter’s role on more straightforward
aspects of the conflict.
One recent example of the use of arbitration in a deep-rooted
conflict situation was the appointment of an Arbitral Tribunal
for Brœko, a war-ravaged multi-ethnic municipality in the north-
east of Bosnia. When the Dayton peace agreement was signed,
the issue of Brœko’s status was considered too contentious to be
settled, and was left to later arbitration. Although the Brcko
Arbitral Tribunal was not without its problems, its establishment
did have the useful effect of defusing the issue and removing a
potential stumbling block from the original Dayton agreement,
to be dealt with at a later time.
Pure mediation
A pure mediator’s role is to facilitate direct negotiation on
the substantive issues, with the aim of producing a lasting settle-
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Box 7
FORMS OF THIRD-PARTY INTERVENTION
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
3 . 8 C o n c l u s i o n
3.8 Conclusion
This single chapter perhaps belies the amount of work requi- A wealth of detail
red in process design. A wealth of detail needs to be addressed needs to be addressed
in order to get the optimum design for the circumstances. in order to get the
Nevertheless, the effort is vital. Without a properly designed and
maintained process vehicle, the negotiations will never complete
optimum design for
the journey towards a sustainable outcome. However, with suffi- the circumstances.
cient work completed in analysing the conflict, and then in de- Nevertheless, the effort
signing the process, we can finally move on to consider the ques- is vital.
tion of designing an outcome. The contents of this outcome –
the institutions and mechanisms which can be put in place to
promote a sustainable democratic settlement – will be examined
in the following chapter.
113
DEVELOPING A NEGOTIATION PROCESS
1. PARTICIPANTS
■ Accept, at least within the negotiation context, the right of all sides to
be present;
■ Agree on procedures permitting the involvement of previously
excluded or restricted persons;
■ Schedule time and resources to permit all parties to come to the table
prepared;
■ Make contact with, and learn from, counterparts from other contexts;
■ Look to an external powerful mediator or chairperson both to bestow
at least temporary legitimacy on all parties equally for the duration of
talks, and to underwrite the equality of all parties at the table.
■ Large-scale conferences;
■ Summits of key spokespersons;
■ Full round table sessions;
■ Shuttle mediation;
■ Bilateral discussions;
■ A mixed formula of plenaries and subgroups;
■ Acknowledgement of dissenting coalitions by means of minority
reports;
■ Defining different roles and capacities for negotiators and observers.
7. COMMUNICATION AND
INFORMATION EXCHANGE
Negotiation Processes
119
Negotiation Processes
120
© International IDEA
The Changing Nature of
Conflict and Conflict
Management
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
David Bloomfield
Case Study: Northern Ireland
NORTHERN IRELAND
The Plantation
Since English forces first arrived to claim the island of Ireland around 1170–1190
CE, centuries of complex Anglo-Irish history have produced Europe’s longest-stand-
ing identity-related conflict. Space permits no more than a sadly inadequate nod to
that rich narrative.
The indigent population at the time of the English invasion were descendants of
the Celts who had swept westward across Europe in the pre-Christian era. They had
been converted to Christianity during the 5th and 6th centuries. They were rural,
agriculturally based and formed a largely decentralized society. The Protestant
reformation which took deep root in England mostly passed Ireland by, and its pop-
ulation remained almost wholly Catholic.
As a means of later subjugation, the English introduced the Plantation, an early
but obvious form of colonialism. From the early 1600s, hundreds of thousands of
settlers from England and lowland Scotland were offered plots of fertile agricul-
tural land if they agreed to be permanently “planted” in Ireland. In the process,
most native Irish were displaced from their homes into the barren hills.
The Plantation had two key effects. First, the land displacements created a deep
and abiding Irish sense of criminal injustice on the part of the English. Second, the
native population was completely Catholic while the settlers were overwhelmingly
Protestant. In the context of the times, religion was a central defining factor of cul-
ture and politics, and so the two groups, natives and settlers, were instantly alien to
each other. Matters were not helped by the Protestant zeal with which the Planters
set about subduing the angry but powerless Irish. Oliver Cromwell – in the British con-
text, an heroic revolutionary figure in the development of western democracy – slaugh-
tered Irish Catholics by the thousand in a vicious programme of ethnic cleansing.
Ireland
The Plantation flourished best in north-east Ireland. For the next 250 years, the
history of Ireland developed along two main themes. On the one hand, there were
regular but unsuccessful attempts at rebellion by the dispossessed Catholic Irish,
South Africa
during which a cumulative sense of Irish nationalism developed. On the other, the
British-sponsored industrialization and economic development of the north-east
Northern
raced ahead. The region’s central city, Belfast, became two things by Victorian
times: a heavily industrialized port as integral to the British empire as Liverpool or
Southampton (producing ships, textiles, heavy machinery, armaments and, later,
aircraft) and a centre of strongly British-oriented culture dominated largely by
Protestants. This abiding sense of a British identity translated itself politically into
Unionism – support, that is, for the continued Union with Britain.
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Case Study: Northern
Ireland
While Irish nationalism spread throughout the rest of Ireland, in the industrial
north-east the Unionist focus remained resolutely tied to the British empire as the
predominant source of wealth and international and domestic markets and as the
channel of access to the outside world. While Irish Catholics increasingly mobilized
around the cause of Irish independence, northern Protestants rallied to the cause
of the British empire, busily filling its factories and patriotically fighting its wars.
Religion had long ceased to be the issue of conflict between these two fundamen-
tally opposed cultural communities, but continued to serve as the badge of identity
for both sides.
So by 1900, there existed in Ireland two deeply separated communities, both with
long-standing historical claims to the territory, both divided not only by religious
labels but also in their politics, history, heritage, culture and economy, who saw their
sources of support as different, their relationships to Europe as different, and espe-
cially their relationship with the superpower of the day (Britain) as diametrically
opposed.
Partition
By the turn of the 20th century, Irish pressure for independence became irre-
sistible. Northern Protestant opposition to the idea was equally strong. Both sides
began to arm, each prepared to fight their cause against the British. Heavy-handed
British suppression of an abortive 1916 rising in Dublin, the Irish capital, by rebels
of the Irish Republican Army (IRA) produced the martyrs who inspired a mass lib-
eration movement. In 1920, limited independence was granted to all 32 counties of
Ireland, but the nine counties of the north-east (the province of Ulster) were given
the option to opt out of the arrangement. Six of the nine, the ones with Protestant
majorities, chose to remain with Britain in the UK, and the island was partitioned in
1921 between the 26 counties of the Irish Free State to the south, and the six coun-
ties of Northern Ireland. The Free State fought a bloody internal civil war for a year,
Northern Ireland
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
With its permanent majority, and its deep-seated insecurities, the Northern
Ireland State practised decades of discrimination against Catholics in employment,
voting, education, housing, and so on. A highly segregated society developed, ruled
by a permanently Unionist government who controlled a highly armed and 90 per
cent Protestant police force. For 40 years, the society remained stagnant, with two
almost totally separate communities living parallel lives in a patchwork of small seg-
regated areas, each with their own housing, schools, shops, churches, factories,
clubs, sports, etc.
The Troubles
The stagnation ended in the 1960s. Catholic university students, influenced by
the US civil rights movement, took to the streets to demand an end to the discrimi-
natory practices of the Northern state. The “Troubles” thus began as a conflict
between Catholics and the state over civil rights. It escalated rapidly as the state and
police responded brutally to a largely peaceful protest movement. In 1969, the
Unionist Government realized that the situation was out of control, and requested
the British army to intervene. A burgeoning of hard-line Unionism frustrated any
last-minute attempts at moderate reform which might have quelled unrest. By 1972
the government was in complete disarray, but still resisting demands for reform, and
Westminster stepped in to close down the Belfast Parliament and assume direct rule
over Northern Ireland.
Britain moved rapidly to redress the more glaring civil rights grievances; but the
British army acted towards the Catholic community in extremely heavy-handed fash-
ion, rapidly alienating the Catholics it had arrived to protect. As Catholics rushed to
defend themselves against the threat of armed British troops and a Protestant back-
lash, the IRA – almost defunct in the 1960s – was reborn. The British army has
remained ever since.
From 1972, what had begun as a civil rights protest by the Catholic community
towards the Protestant/Unionist Government was transformed into a war of libera-
Northern Ireland
tion waged by the IRA against the British Government and army, and against the
local police.
The next 20 years form a history of failed political initiatives, occasional short-
lived cease-fires, an ebb and flow in the level of violence, economic and social dev-
astation to the region, the institutionalization of violence in Northern Irish society,
and an eventual military stalemate that neither side could win outright. In the
process, both communities grew more polarized than ever, the sense of stagnation
prevailed, and more than 3,000 people died violently as each community mytholo-
gized its contemporary martyrs and heroes.
The battle-lines were clearly drawn up. Catholics overwhelmingly supported the
Irish nationalist cause, which aspired to a united and independent Ireland. The
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Case Study: Northern
Ireland
main nationalist political party, the Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP),
espoused peaceful means towards a more just political system in Northern Ireland
and towards eventual Irish unity. Within nationalism, the smaller Republican move-
ment, consisting of the paramilitary IRA and the political party Sinn Fein (in the
Irish language, “Ourselves Alone”) advocated violent struggle to rid Ireland of the
British presence. Protestants equally fervently supported the cause of Unionism
(that is, a continuation of the union of Northern Ireland with Britain within the
UK). Mainstream political opinion was represented by the Ulster Unionist Party
(UUP), who had controlled the parliament until 1972, tempered by the smaller and
more hard-line Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), formed in the late 1960s by Ian
Paisley in response to perceived weakness within the UUP. On the fringes of
Unionism were the loyalists, paramilitary and political counterparts to the
Republicans, who adopted anti-nationalist violence to protect the Union.
Peace Initiatives
Having assumed direct rule of Northern Ireland in 1972, the British Government
had managed by late 1973 to drag the mainstream political representatives of
Unionism and Nationalism, and the Government of the Irish Republic in the South,
to a shaky political agreement that involved a new power-sharing government in the
North, and a new cross-border Council of Ireland to facilitate Southern input into
the North’s affairs. The new government, consisting of both the UUP and the SDLP,
lasted for the first five months of 1974, before massive and militant protest by the
Protestant community, enraged by the proposed Council of Ireland, brought it to
collapse and control reverted to Westminster. Direct rule continued uninterrupted
until 1998.
Throughout the 1970s and 1980s, Britain made several further attempts at
political settlement. From time to time, elections would be held for a new parliamen-
tary assembly, but the resulting bodies were always boycotted by one side or the
other. British policy was two-pronged. One aim was to enable a power-sharing gov-
Northern Ireland
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
claims to be political prisoners of war (as opposed to criminals). The resulting wave
of sympathy for Republicanism bolstered the fortunes of its political party, Sinn Fein
which, at the same time, decided to end decades of abstentionism and begin con-
testing elections in both North and South.
In response to this perceived political threat from a resurgent Republican
movement, the political parties of the Irish Republic and the SDLP met in the 1983
New Ireland Forum to develop a new definition of constitutional Irish nationalism.
The resulting Forum Report effectively redesigned Irish nationalism, and its lan-
guage and content were greatly influenced by the SDLP leader, John Hume. Old,
simplistic anti-British sentiments were replaced with new tenets of commitment to
peaceful politics and respect for the unionist tradition. The Irish Government took
the thinking of the Report as a basis for entering negotiations with Britain over what
became the 1985 Anglo-Irish Agreement, a melding of both governments’ aspira-
tions towards peaceful resolution of the Northern question. The Agreement estab-
lished several key factors formally: the governments’ commitment to work together
for peace, an Intergovernmental Conference in which Irish ministers could regu-
larly question and comment upon British policy in the North, and a secretariat of
Irish officials located in a Belfast suburb.
This international treaty between the two sovereign nations had two powerful
effects. First, it made the Republic of Ireland a partner with Britain in the process,
in contrast to their previous history of antagonism over Northern Ireland. Political
initiatives would now be authored not by Britain alone, but by both governments in
partnership. The “Irish dimension” was thus moving closer to reality. But second, in
contrast to Hume’s close, if unofficial, involvement in the drafting of the
Agreement, Unionists were not consulted about the intergovernmental negotia-
tions. They reacted with shocked anger to an Agreement that had both ignored
their opinion in its construction and, in their view, weakened the link with the UK
by allowing a “foreign” government to meddle in their affairs. Deeply alienated,
Northern Ireland
Unionist politicians withdrew from all contact with the British Government.
By 1989, however, Unionist opposition had failed to prevent the Agreement from
becoming an established fact. The Irish Government was now an engaged partner
in the political process with Britain, and Unionist anger, initially and tellingly mobi-
lized around the slogan “Ulster Says No!”, had turned to frustration. Realizing that
continued non co-operation would only make things even worse, they finally agreed
to enter discussions with the British about possible political structures, and eventu-
ally in 1991 the UUP and DUP entered British-facilitated negotiations with the
SDLP and the small, cross-community Alliance Party. Those talks failed to make
much progress, bogging down in early arguments over procedural issues. But they
did serve to set and clarify the agenda for future discussions into three strands –
127
Case Study: Northern
Ireland
128
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
129
Case Study: Northern
Ireland
Three months of talks became rapidly bogged down once again in procedural
issues, with parties fighting every point. Delays and obstructionism continued, as
politicians on all sides were deeply challenged at the prospects both of facing their
long-standing enemies across the table and of finally accepting a less-than-perfect
negotiated compromise after decades of promoting absolutist positions of outright
victory. Confidence-building measures ran in parallel to the talks, consisting largely
of concessions by the two governments over paramilitary prisoners, and a lowering
of the British army profile on the ground.
As the talks inched forward painfully into 1998, frustration grew at the extreme
fringes on both sides. New anti-cease-fire paramilitary groupings emerged from both
republicanism and loyalism, and bombings and shootings began once more. After a
series of murders by the UDA, its political party the UDP was suspended for several
weeks from the negotiations for a period of “quarantine” until the cease-fire had
been restored. Shortly thereafter, Sinn Fein was suspended for two weeks because of
similar IRA activity. The violence of the politically represented paramilitaries again
subsided, but that of the uncontrolled extremes continued sporadically.
In late March, Mitchell finally announced a two-week deadline for the talks
process. By this stage, he argued, all the relevant issues had been discussed. There
was no need for further discussion or elaboration: what was needed now was a
demonstration of the political will to reach agreement. He set the deadline of mid-
night on 9 April for an agreement.
Amidst heightened tension, signs appeared that his ultimatum, backed up by
pressure from London, Dublin and Washington, might indeed produce results.
Both Irish and British premiers arrived at the talks venue, and a hotline to the White
House was established. The midnight deadline passed, talks continued through the
night and another day, and finally, to universal surprise, after 32 hours of straight
negotiation, an agreement was announced on 10 April.
The Agreement ran to over 10,000 words. It reflected closely the three-stranded
Northern Ireland
agenda upon which it was negotiated. At its heart were the design and fast-track
implementation of new core political structures and constitutional changes, sup-
ported by various commissions, each with specific deadlines for implementation, to
oversee issues whose detail was yet to be filled in. The Agreement would be offered
to the people of both North and South in simultaneous referendums in May 1998.
Of the core changes, the first would be the removal from the Irish Constitution
of the territorial claim to the North, in parallel with a British repeal of outstanding
legislation claiming jurisdiction over Ireland as a whole.
In Strand One, in June 1998, a 108-member Northern Ireland Assembly would be
elected by a single transferable vote form of proportional representation, thus
enabling the election of smaller parties. The Assembly’s consensus voting mecha-
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
nism would require minimally 40 per cent support from each of the unionist and
nationalist blocs, provided that comprised at least 60 per cent of the overall vote. Its
early decisions would concern the election of a First Minister, Deputy First Minister
and 10 ministers with departmental responsibilities. All these posts would be allo-
cated in proportion to party strength.
In Strand Two, a North-South Ministerial Council would be established consisting
of ministers from both the Irish Parliament and the Northern Irish Assembly. (The
Assembly will not be permitted to continue in operation unless the Council is imple-
mented.) Once constituted, the Council would devise cross-border implementation
bodies with an “absolute commitment” to work together in at least 12 specified areas
of common interest. Council decisions will be by agreement, and a strict timetable
is specified for the operation of all these arrangements.
In Strand Three, a new Irish-British Treaty would replace and take over the work-
ings of the 1985 Anglo-Irish Agreement, and would permit intergovernmental co-
operation on Northern matters (including sensitive ones such as security, etc.) not
yet devolved to the Assembly. A British-Irish Council to promote wider regional co-
operation would be established, comprising representatives from the Irish and
British governments, the Northern Assembly, and the forthcoming devolved assem-
blies to be established in Scotland and Wales.
Around these key structures, specific timetables were set for establishing other
reinforcing mechanisms. The European Convention on Human Rights will be fully
incorporated into Northern Irish law. A new Northern Ireland Human Rights
Commission will co-operate through committee with its Irish counterpart.
Commissions will also be established in Northern Ireland on equality, weapons
decommissioning (to be completed within two years of the referendums), police
reform, and the criminal justice system. Finally, mechanisms will be put in place by
both governments to facilitate the accelerated release (within two years) of all para-
military prisoners from groups continuing to observe cease-fires.
Ireland
It was a tortuous document, produced through a tortuous process, and was not
without a degree of the fudge that has characterized Irish negotiations for 10 years.
When it came to voting in the Northern referendum and the Assembly election, the
South Africa
key divisive issues were not the core political structures that had entailed so much
painstaking negotiation. Instead, the predominantly Unionist anti-Agreement vote
Northern
rallied around the emotive issues of early prisoner release, victims’ rights, and
doubts over the effectiveness of weapons decommissioning. The referendum
revealed fundamental divisions within Unionism. Nationalists, Republicans,
Alliance, loyalist parties and moderate Unionists won a 71 per cent pro-Agreement
majority in the referendum, and a narrow but workable majority in the Assembly.
The UUP’s Trimble was elected First Minister, with the SDLP deputy leader as his
131
Case Study: Northern
Ireland
Deputy. But the DUP, UKUP and significant UUP elements coalesced into a hard-
line obstructionist tendency. The situation remained very tense throughout the
summer of 1998. Anti-Agreement Unionist's street protests waxed and waned,
threatening the fragile majority consensus. A small but well-armed anti-ceasefire
group split off from the IRA and embarked on a devastating bombing campaign in
the North. As the politicians returned to work in September to begin implementing
the provisions of the Agreement, there was still no certainty of success.
Northern Ireland
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for
Democratic
Levers for
Conflict
Management
4
Appropriately crafted
C H A P T E R
democratic
Appropriately crafted
democratic institutions
institutions are
are crucial to the
sustainability of any
crucial to the
negotiated settlement.
sustainability of any
negotiated
settlement.
This chapter addresses the need to inform
domestic political actors about the options
available to them in terms of democratic
institutions. It outlines the way in which basic
institutions and policies can be purposely
designed to maximize the prospects of democracy
taking root in post-conflict societies. It also
aims to draw these issues to the attention of
interested external actors in the international
community, who may be charged with the
responsibility of crafting a settlement or
supervising a period of state reconstruction.
The following constitutional and policy levers
are discussed, and the advantages and
disadvantages of various options analysed.
Ben Reilly
S
ince the early 1970s a revised focus on the possibilities and
prospects of democracy in divided societies has been evi-
dent around the world. At the base of this new wave of
interest in democracy has been a recognition that democratic
government, rather than oligarchy or authoritarianism, presen-
ted the best prospects for managing deep societal divisions.
Democracy increasingly came to be seen as not just possible, but
necessary, for the peaceful management of divided societies.
This more optimistic assessment of the potential of democracy
was greatly boosted by what has been characterized as the “third
wave” of democratization which, beginning in the 1970s and gai-
ning pace in the early 1990s, has seen a threefold increase in the
number of democratic governments around the world.
This unprecedented expansion of democratic government, At the base of this new
concentrated particularly in the developing world, has led to a wave of interest in
renewed focus on the question of which institutional arrange-
democracy has been a
ments are most likely to secure stable and legitimate democra-
tic government in divided or post-conflict societies. There is an recognition that
increasing recognition that the design of political institutions is democratic
a key factor affecting the likelihood or otherwise of democratic government, rather
consolidation, stability and longevity. A better understanding of than oligarchy or
the effects of political institutions also holds out the possibility
that we may be able to design institutions so that desired out-
authoritarianism,
comes – for example, co-operation and compromise – are rewar- presented the best
ded. Three broad areas of constitutional design have received prospects for
particular attention in this regard: the territorial structure of the managing deep
state; the form of the state’s legislative and executive functions;
societal divisions.
and the nature and structure of a state’s rules of political repre-
sentation. This has meant careful examination of the competing
claims of different forms of power sharing, federalism, the ben-
efits of parliamentary versus presidential government, the polit-
ical consequences of different electoral laws, and so on. Recent
transitions to democracy in South Africa, Chile, the Philippines
and elsewhere have also focused attention on “extra-constitu-
tional” institutions and policies which may be of particular util-
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Democratic Levers: An
Introduction
138
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
GROUP BUILDING-BLOCK
INTEGRATIVE
LESSONS LEARNED
1. For power sharing to work, there must be a strong core of moderates – both
political elite and civil society – that seeks coexistence. Moderates must be
able to withstand pressures by extremist politicians and publics.
2. More important than the actual form of power sharing (group building-block
or integrative) is the extent to which agreement to create power-sharing
system is the result of good-faith bargaining and negotiation.
3. Power-sharing systems work best when they are a temporary measure to build
confidence until more permanent structures can be developed.
146
© International IDEA
Northern Ireland
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Christopher Bennett
Case Study: Bosnia-Herzegovina
BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA
At its simplest, the Bosnian question boils down to two issues: how 2.2 million
Muslim Slavs (Bosniacs) can live amid 4.5 million Croats and 8.5 million Serbs in the
wider region of the former Yugoslavia; and how 750,000 Croats and 1.3 million Serbs
can live together with 1.9 million Bosniacs within Bosnia-Herzegovina (Bosnia)
itself. Depending on where borders are drawn and whether they are respected,
Bosniacs either form a minority squeezed between two more powerful ethnic
groups, or they comprise a relative majority in a territory shared with two large
minority communities, both of which consider the neighbouring states of Croatia
and rump Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro) their mother countries.
The current arrangement, enshrined in the Dayton Accords, is the result of three
years and nine months of fighting within Bosnia – much of it three-sided – and four
and a half years of warfare within the former Yugoslavia. It was reached after more
than 100,000 deaths (the exact figure is not known) and the expulsion of about half
of Bosnia’s 4.3 million population from their homes in so-called ethnic cleansing. It
was agreed between Bosnia’s Bosniac President, Alija Izetbegovic, on behalf of
Bosnia; Croatia’s President Franjo Tudjman, on behalf of Bosnian Croats; and
Serbia’s then President Slobodan Milosevic, on behalf of Bosnian Serbs. And it fol-
lowed several years of failed attempts by international mediators to broker an agree-
ment; massive, belated and concerted international pressure for a settlement; and
three weeks of intense negotiations at a US airforce base in Dayton, Ohio during
November 1995.
Power Sharing under Dayton
Under Dayton, Bosnia is defined as a single state with three main constituent
peoples – Bosniacs, Serbs and Croats – divided into two entities: the Federation of
Bosnia and Herzegovina (Federation), comprising 51 per cent of the territory, and
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Republika Srpska, 49 per cent. Despite being one country, both entities have their
own armed forces (and the Federation army is effectively divided into Croat and
Bosniac forces), whose strength is regulated and related to that of the neighbouring
states. The ratio between the military stockpiles of rump Yugoslavia, Croatia and
Bosnia is 5:2:2, and within Bosnia between the Federation and Republika Srpska is
2:1. The country which emerged out of Dayton nevertheless inherited the political
independence, territorial integrity and sovereignty of the previous state, the repub-
lic of Bosnia-Herzegovina, a former republic of the Socialist Federal Republic of
Yugoslavia but internationally recognized and admitted to the United Nations short-
ly after the outbreak of war in April 1992.
Dayton contains 11 annexes, of which only the first concerns the cease-fire and
military matters. The remaining 10 cover civilian aspects of the peace plan, in-
cluding the right of displaced Bosnians to return to their homes or to be compen-
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Case Study: Bosnia-
Herzegovina
sated for the loss of their property. And the future shape of the country depends as
much on the manner in which the civilian side of the peace plan is implemented, as
on the political structures contained within it.
Bosnia’s central institutions are weak. They are responsible for foreign policy, var-
ious aspects of foreign trade policy – including setting import tariffs (though criti-
cally not gathering the revenue) – inter-entity communications and criminal law
enforcement. Other matters, including tax collection, are left for the two entities.
Although the entities are able to establish “special parallel relationships with neigh-
bouring states”, these have to be “consistent with the sovereignty and territorial
integrity of Bosnia”. With the consent of the Parliamentary Assembly, the entities
can enter into specific agreements with states or international bodies. The
Federation may, therefore, form special links with Croatia, and Republika Srpska
may form special ties with rump Yugoslavia, but neither entity can break away from
Bosnia.
The Parliamentary Assembly has two chambers: the House of Peoples and the
House of Representatives. The former has 15 members, five from each constituent
people – 10 (five Bosniacs and five Croats) from the Federation and five (Serbs)
from Republika Srpska. The Bosniac and Croat members are appointed from the
House of Peoples of the Federation and the Serbs are nominated from the
Republika Srpska Assembly. Nine delegates, with at least three from each com-
munity, have to be present for a quorum. The House of Representatives has 42
members, 28 of whom are elected from the Federation and 14 from Republika
Srpska. A majority of those present in both chambers is the basic requirement for
taking decisions in the Parliamentary Assembly. However, each constituent people
has the right to declare any prospective decision “destructive of a vital interest”, in
which case the proposal requires “a majority of the Bosniac, of the Croat and of the
Serb Delegates present and voting”. In such a way, decisions are to be made by
Bosnia-Herzegovina
broad consensus and not against the declared vital interest of any community.
The “vital interest” mechanism is also a feature of the three-person Presidency.
This is made up of one Bosniac and one Croat, both directly elected from the terri-
tory of the Federation, and one Serb, directly elected from Republika Srpska. Since
each voter is only able to cast one ballot at the presidential level, Bosniacs effect-
ively elect the Bosniac member, Serbs elect the Serb member, and Croats elect the
Croat member. Although the Presidency should aim to reach decisions by consen-
sus, a majority decision is possible, subject to certain limitations. In the event of a
two-to-one decision, Presidency members can, in the following three days, declare a
decision to be “destructive of a vital interest”, in which case the decision is referred
to either the Republika Srpska Assembly or either the Bosniac or Croat members of
the House of Peoples in the Federation. A vote of two thirds of the relevant group
within 10 days renders the decision null and void. The Presidency appoints the gov-
ernment, or Council of Ministers, of which no more than two thirds of ministers can
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
come from the Federation and deputy ministers may not be of the same constituent
people as the minister.
International Presence
Taken together, all these mechanisms mean that the system requires broad agree-
ment and consensus to function. However, given the existing animosity and absence
of trust, and the fact that both Serb and Croat political leaders continue to believe
that union with their mother countries is a viable alternative to Bosnia, such con-
sensus does not exist. Indeed, if left entirely up to the former warring factions,
Dayton would never be implemented. The accord therefore includes provision for
international involvement in all aspects of the peace process – in addition to a
NATO-led peace-keeping force (initially consisting of 60,000 troops) – with overall
co-ordination entrusted to a so-called High Representative, under the authority of
the UN Security Council.
The Organisation for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) has a three-
pronged mandate in Bosnia. It monitors the human rights situation; it oversees arms
reduction; and it supervises elections. And a UN International Police Task Force
(IPTF), made up of (initially 1,500) unarmed foreign police officers, assists, advises,
monitors and observes the work of local police.
Foreign influence is equally crucial in a host of ostensibly domestic institutions.
There is, for example, a foreign Human Rights Ombudsman who is appointed by
the OSCE for the first five years of Dayton implementation; the Governor of the
Central Bank is a foreigner appointed by the International Monetary Fund (IMF)
for the first six years; and three out of the nine members of the Constitutional Court
are foreigners appointed by the President of the European Court of Human Rights.
And this massive presence is cushioned by a five-year $US 5.1 billion reconstruction
plan, designed and guided by the World Bank. Bosnia-Herzegovina
Though critical to the peace process, the scale of the international presence is in
some ways counter-productive to Bosnia’s long-term future. On the one hand,
Northern Ireland
domestic institutions and politicians have to a large extent given up responsibility
for governing their own country. On the other, the massive international stake has
led key players to declare the peace process a success, irrespective of how it is actu-
ally evolving, since failure would reflect badly on those statespeople, organizations
and countries responsible for the agreement. For example, elections were sched-
uled to take place between six and nine months after Dayton came into force and
were duly held exactly nine months from the day the agreement was signed.
However, even though the poll succeeded only in cementing the results of ethnic
cleansing, amounting to an inaccurate ethnic census of the population where more
than 100 percent of the electorate voted, the event was hailed as a “triumph of
democracy”. Moreover, since the poll, the ethnically based parties which dominate
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Case Study: Bosnia-
Herzegovina
Bosnian politics have refused to work together; the common institutions – whose
formation was ostensibly the reason that elections needed to take place – have failed
to function in a meaningful manner; and the international community, in particu-
lar the High Representative, has had to take on an increasing role, imposing solu-
tions on recalcitrant Bosnian institutions, and even ruling on issues such as the
design of the country’s flag.
That the peace remains so fragile is hardly surprising, given the circumstances in
which Dayton was arrived at. For the settlement was agreed by the very individuals
who were responsible for the war in the first place and who were aiming, above all,
to secure their own political future. Moreover, it was brokered by US diplomats, and
in particular Richard Holbrooke, whose overriding concern was to stop the fighting
and get events in Bosnia off the international political agenda because of the acri-
mony the conflict had created within the NATO alliance.
Why Dayton Worked
Dayton succeeded where earlier peace plans had failed because of the single-
minded determination of the US negotiating team and the backing they received
from other countries; because, after years of humiliation, there was a genuine threat
that European troops (in particular British and French) who made up the backbone
of the UN force in Bosnia would be withdrawn in the event of failure; and because
of a fundamental shift in the military balance, which had been in part engineered
by US diplomacy. In the course of 1995 the tide of battle changed, first in neigh-
bouring Croatia and then in Bosnia. Two out of three Serb-held enclaves in Croatia
were overrun in lightning strikes in May and August and, with the support of
Bosnian Croat forces and the predominantly-Bosniac Bosnian Army, the offensive
rolled forward into Bosnia reversing many of the early Serb war gains. Diplomatic
pressure brought a halt to the offensive when the territorial division within the
Bosnia-Herzegovina
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
When war broke out in the former Yugoslavia in 1991, the international commu-
nity had no choice but to become directly involved because the fighting was so geo-
graphically close to key western European countries. The former Yugoslavia borders
three European Union member states and literally divides 14 of them physically
from Greece. International media devoted massive attention to the conflict and
hundreds of thousands of refugees fleeing the fighting began making their way to
western Europe, and in particular to Germany. But without the political will to
address the massive imbalance in fire-power within the former Yugoslavia and neu-
tralize overwhelming Serb superiority, the only strategy open to international medi-
ators was one of appeasement – determining the minimalist Serb position and
attempting to persuade Croats and Bosniacs to accept it. And the minimalist Serb
position essentially amounted to the construction of a Serb state comprising all ter-
ritory in the former Yugoslavia inhabited by Serbs, irrespective of the wishes of the
non-Serb population.
Of Bosnia’s 109 municipalities, 37 had an absolute Bosniac majority, 32 an
absolute Serb majority and 13 an absolute Croat majority. A further 15 municipali-
ties had a simple Bosniac majority, five a simple Serb majority and 13 a simple Croat
majority. With the exception of Croat-populated western Herzegovina, an absolute
majority rarely accounted for more than 70 per cent of the population, and as often
as not neighbouring municipalities had majorities of one of the republic’s other
peoples. Bosnia could not therefore fragment neatly along an ethnic line, because
there was no ethnic line to fragment along. Dividing Bosnia into ethnic territories
would inevitably be messy and require massive population transfers.
The fundamental cause of conflict in the former Yugoslavia in the early 1990s was
not, however, simply the drive by the country’s Serbs to forge their own national
state at the expense of their neighbours. Structurally speaking, this was only a man-
ifestation of what was and remains a much deeper-rooted problem. For as commu- Bosnia-Herzegovina
nism disintegrated in eastern Europe, the gel that had held Yugoslavia together
since World War Two disappeared and the country was ill-equipped institutionally
Northern Ireland
to deal with the transition to democracy. Nearly half a century of communism had
failed to resolve the national question. Indeed, it may even be argued that commu-
nist rule had exacerbated the potential for conflict within Yugoslavia since, in prac-
tice, it had stifled open dialogue on ethnic issues. Moreover, the planned economy
had failed to sustain prosperity and had been disintegrating throughout the 1980s.
Although Bosnians had appeared to live together in reasonable harmony before
the war, ethnic identities formed over centuries of Ottoman rule – when each reli-
gious community was governed separately under its own spiritual rulers – remained
strong. As a result, when elections took place in 1990, the poll approximated to an
ethnic census as the electorate divided along ethnic lines. Though the ethnically
based parties were ostensibly in coalition and governing together, they rapidly fell
out with each other and politics descended into a “zero-sum” game, much like the
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Case Study: Bosnia-
Herzegovina
current situation, as Serbs, and later Croats, decided that they had an alternative to
Bosnia. This pattern was repeated at Bosnia’s post-Dayton 1996 elections, where the
major parties based their campaign almost exclusively on nationalist appeals to their
own ethnic group, thus reinforcing the divisions of the war rather than encouraging
politics centred on other, less damaging, issues.
Though it is without doubt possible to contain the Bosnian conflict almost in-
definitely, this requires policing and is an extremely costly approach. Moreover,
international leaders who have troops deployed in Bosnia are acutely aware of the
political risks they are running domestically, should, for example, any of their sol-
diers be killed. In addition to containing the conflict, therefore, they are hoping to
find an exit strategy. Prospects of troop withdrawal or substantial reduction are
poor, however, because of instability elsewhere in the region, and in particular in
Yugoslavia and the southern Balkans. Indeed, as the predominantly Albanian
province of Kosovo disintegrates in ethnic violence, international involvement and
presence throughout the region is expanding, not contracting. And whether in
Kosovo, Macedonia or Bosnia, the fundamental problem remains of how to recon-
cile the legitimate interests of different communities living side by side.
Bosnia-Herzegovina
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
quent divisions of the former Punjab and Bombay and the ac-
commodation of Assam, Nagaland, and Mizoland as states.
The transition to democracy in Spain after the overthrow of
Franco was greatly facilitated by the provision in the 1978 Con-
stitution for the establishment of “autonomous communities”.
By giving “historic” communities, like the Basque and Catalans,
a large measure of self-government, pressures for secession were
reduced and terrorist activities consequently declined. In the
Philippines, Muslim secessionist activity in Mindanao, lasting for
a quarter of a century, has been abated due to an agreement in
1996 between the Moro National Liberation Front and the gov-
ernment. Under this agreement a council will be established
under the chair of the leader of the Liberation Front to super-
vise development of 14 provinces in southern Mindanao island
(regarded by it as traditional Muslim homelands), followed by a
plebiscite and regional autonomy three years later. There are
many lesser-known examples from the South Pacific where auto-
nomy helped to bring disputes to some settlement (prominent-
ly the 1975 differences between Papua New Guinea and Bou-
gainville and the francophone claims in Vanuatu).
A novel form of autonomy is represented by the arrangements
under which Hong Kong returned to Chinese sovereignty in July
1997 (which Deng Xiaoping claimed had the potential to solve
many world problems). Its novelty lies in the arrangements for
the coexistence of very different, and in many respects opposed,
systems of economy and politics within one sovereign state.
Britain was prepared to return Hong Kong to China only on the
basis of promises of Hong Kong’s autonomy as set out in the
1984 Sino-British Joint Declaration. Macau’s return to China in
1999 is based on similar principles.
More importantly, China is pursuing reunification of Taiwan
with the mainland on the same policy of “One Country, Two
Systems”. It is likely that when serious negotiations between the
two sides get under way, the principal issue will be the scope and
modality of Taiwan’s autonomy. Currently there are attempts to
solve internal conflicts through autonomy arrangements, such
as Sri Lanka-Tamils; Indonesia-East Timor; the Sudan-Southern
Sudan; Georgia-Abkazia; and although not a conflict situation,
the future relationship between the US and Puerto Rico.
Autonomy is often claimed by the disaffected group: white
settlers and minority tribes in Kenya; kingdoms in Uganda;
islands in Papua New Guinea, Tamils in Sri Lanka and so on. But
sometimes the government offers autonomy as a way to fend off
159
4.2 The Structure of the
State: Federalism and
Autonomy
168
© International IDEA
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Anthony J. Regan
Case Study: Bougainville
BOUGAINVILLE
The almost 10-year old ethno-nationalist conflict in Bougainville – the most seri-
ous conflict in the Pacific island states in the 1990s – made significant progress
towards peace in 1997–1998. The Bougainville conflict has had international reper-
cussions, affecting Papua New Guinea’s relations with its neighbours, especially the
Solomon Islands and Australia, and involving the region in several attempts at con-
flict resolution. At the heart of the conflict lies the demand for independence made
by the Bougainville Revolutionary Army (BRA), a demand opposed by Papua New
Guinea and by many Bougainvilleans, including “resistance forces” armed by the
government.
Background
Independent from Australian colonial control since 1975, Papua New Guinea
(PNG) has a population of about four million people, occupying the eastern half of
the island of New Guinea and many smaller islands. The province of Bougainville
(population about 170,000) is the most distant from the mainland capital of Port
Moresby, about 1,000 km to the east. Before the conflict, Bougainville’s substantial
initial contribution to the national economy was disproportionate to its small size,
due to the enormous copper, gold and silver mine at Panguna on the main island
which was operated by Bougainville Copper Ltd. (BCL) from 1972 until 1989.
Papua New Guinea is a country of immense ethnic diversity (it has more than 800
distinct languages, to cite just one example). Bougainville fits this pattern: it has 19
main languages and a population divided into numerous small semi-traditional soci-
eties. Bougainvilleans share a strong sense of a separate ethnic identity based on dis-
tinctive black skin colour and traditional affinities with the neighbouring Solomon
Islands rather than with the rest of Papua New Guinea. Widely shared grievances
about both the imposition of colonial boundaries and alleged colonial neglect have
contributed to the sense of separate identity.
From the mid-1960s, a new grievance energized the emerging Bougainvillean
identity: the imposition of the Panguna mine for the economic benefit of PNG
despite detrimental effects on the Bougainville environment and people, and with
Bougainville
limited fiscal benefits for the province. Distinct identity and grievances about the
mine were factors in the attempted secession of Bougainville in 1975–1976. This was
resolved peacefully by national government concessions, which gave Bougainville an
effective and relatively autonomous provincial government; this was suspended,
however, in 1990.
Rapid economic and social change resulted in major differences in regional
economies within Bougainville, and significant economic inequality. Limited sec-
ondary education and employment opportunities produced a large pool of under-
educated, under-employed and resentful youth. Many Bougainvilleans blamed the
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Case Study: Bougainville
new economic inequalities on the mine operator, BCL, and the influx of non-Bou-
gainvilleans attracted by employment with the mine and on plantations. Outsiders
were also blamed for escalating social tensions and law and order problems. These
tensions contributed to the eruption of secessionist conflict in 1988–1989.
Conflict Analysis
In 1988, an inter-generational dispute among landowners around the mine led to
attacks on BCL property by young men from local landowner groups led by Francis
Ona. They demanded the closure of the mine and massive compensation. Poorly
judged and ill-disciplined responses by police and, later, the Papua New Guinea
Defence Force (PNGDF), resulted in deaths and injuries for many Bougainvilleans
and provoked demands for Bougainville independence. As a result, Ona’s
Bougainville Revolutionary Army (BRA) was able to transform the localized conflict
into a wider ethnic uprising. Ona’s support came from under-employed youth in
many parts of Bougainville.
As the situation slipped out of control, the mine was forced to close in May 1989.
All government authority collapsed. A cease-fire and withdrawal of the PNGDF was
negotiated, but instead of disarming and negotiating as agreed, the BRA tried to
take control. They made a unilateral declaration of independence in May 1990 and
appointed the Bougainville Interim Government (BIG), which included some for-
mer provincial government figures.
Once the security forces left, the focus of the BRA groups became their perceived
enemies within Bougainville. The BRA was a loose coalition of semi-independent
groups of mainly young men, each group based in its own semi-traditional society,
often with differing perceptions of the conflict. Bougainvilleans with wealth, educa-
tion or status, and many non-Bougainvilleans were harassed, imprisoned, tortured
or murdered. Ona developed and propounded an ideology based in part on a
return to traditional society and rejection of outside influences.
Armed opposition to the BRA emerged in Buka, north of the main island of
Bougainville. Local leaders there requested national government intervention, and
after some violent clashes with the BRA late in 1990, government forces took con-
trol of Buka. At the invitation of local leaders, government forces returned relative-
Bougainville
ly peacefully to the north and south-west of the main island in 1991–1992. New local
governments (“interim authorities”) drawing mainly on traditional leadership were
also established in those areas.
Armed opponents of the BRA and surrendering BRA elements formed “resis-
tance forces” which received material support from the PNGDF and gave it active
support. Bougainville became an increasingly violent place as the BRA, resistance
forces, armed criminal groups and – on occasion – PNGDF elements became em-
broiled in conflict over mainly localized issues, often resulting in spirals of revenge
killings.
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
move, the PNGDF commander announced the refusal of his forces to work with
the mercenaries. They were ejected from the country and the Prime Minister
and two key ministers were forced to stand down during a judicial inquiry.
The Conflict Management Process
Interest groups and the issues that divide
The wide range of groups with interests in the conflict or its outcomes include:
the BIG/BRA; the BTG; the resistance forces; other less organized Bougainvillean
interests; the national government; and other governments in the region.
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Case Study: Bougainville
The key issues include: the future political status of Bougainville and the method
(and timetable) to decide it; interim arrangements for the governing of Bou-
gainville in the period before the political status issue is determined; the presence
of PNG security forces in Bougainville; arrangements for the disarming of the BRA
and the resistance forces and restoration of civilian law; the future development of
Bougainville; and the possible re-opening of the Panguna mine.
In Bougainville, three main parties are involved directly in the peace process, a
range of interests and localized groups existing within each of them. The BRA and
the BIG are concentrated in central and south Bougainville, but with some elements
in most parts of the main island of Bougainville. The “hard-line” leadership under
Ona is not prepared to negotiate anything other than independence. But during
1997, war-weariness and dissatisfaction with Ona’s radical prescription for future
development of Bougainville have enabled a relatively moderate leadership to
emerge, willing to engage in an open-ended peace process involving other
Bougainvillean groups and the national government.
With members from all parts of Bougainville, the BTG provides a focus for Bou-
gainvillean leadership prepared to negotiate special political status for Bougainville
within PNG. They include both those with sympathy for the BRA’s aspiration for
independence but who believe a compromise is needed to end the suffering of ordi-
nary people, and those who are vehemently opposed to the BRA. In general,
though, the BTG acts as a bridge between the national government and the
BIG/BRA. As such, it tends to be suspected by both sides. The resistance forces con-
stitute a third major group. While represented in the BTG, they have quite distinct
structures and interests, in large part related to their combat roles, control of
weapons and links to the PNGDF. A complex web of other Bougainvillean interests
exists, including armed criminal groups; traditional leaders; women’s organizations;
churches; secular NGOs; and Bougainvilleans living elsewhere.
At the national government level, numerous ministers and government agencies
have roles in the conflict, and conflicting agendas abound. At the international
level, Australia has strong political and economic links with PNG, including support
to the PNGDF during the conflict, while in the Solomon Islands, there is consider-
able sympathy for the cause of Bougainville independence.
Bougainville
Through most of the conflict, few democratic political institutions have functio-
ned. Bougainville has elected national parliament members in the 1992 and 1997
elections, but they have all been based in the national capital, and have had limited
roles in local politics. Provincial and local governments ceased operating in 1990.
Since then, traditional leaders have provided local-level government in both gov-
ernment-controlled and BRA-controlled areas. They have strong legitimacy, reflect-
ing a widespread popular concern for strengthening traditional authority as a means
of re-establishing social control. The BTG comprises mainly members elected
indirectly by such local government bodies.
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Peace-making initiatives
Several sets of negotiations between the national government and the BRA
occurred but failed between 1988 and 1994. These efforts failed for a number of rea-
sons: (a) the lack of trust between the main parties resulted in unrealistic as-
sumptions; (b) each side tended to be confident of ultimate success, so contacts
between them were often directed at seeking short- to medium-term advantage
rather than conflict resolution; (c) differences in understanding about what actu-
ally was agreed prevented implementation of some agreements; (d) divisions within
particular parties were also a factor, with concessions made by moderate negotiators
being subsequently disowned by more hard-line groups.
But after the ejection of the mercenaries and the resignation of the prime
minister in March 1997, conditions became conducive to progress. First, more than
eight years of conflict had created deep war-weariness and leaders of all main groups
were feeling popular pressure for progress towards peace. Second, the actions of the
PNGDF in ejecting the mercenaries created more room on all sides for moderate
leadership. Third, all parties were conscious of a military stalemate. Fourth, at the
national level, the new government were willing to examine moderate alternatives.
Fifth, New Zealand emerged as an independent facilitator. Sixth, a newly elected
Solomon Islands government favoured resolution of the conflict.
From April 1997, the BTG and BRA/BIG started making direct contact for the
first time since 1995. The New Zealand government hosted talks at Burnham mili-
tary barracks outside Christchurch on New Zealand’s south island in July, involving
about 70 persons from all main groups. Francis Ona was absent, but key BRA/BIG
leaders in attendance used his absence to build a coalition of “moderate” interests.
The resulting Burnham Declaration committed the Bougainvillean leadership to
peaceful resolution of the conflict. Four developments at Burnham were crucial.
The first was the development of trust and understanding among the divided
Bougainville leadership. Second, New Zealand played a key role as neutral faci-
litator. Third, the timing of the Burnham meeting was fortuitous in building
momentum for support for a negotiated settlement among the diverse elements of
the PNG government. Fourth, the focus of the meeting was on process rather than
Bougainville
outcomes, establishing a process for achieving peace while putting outcomes on the
main divisive issues to one side. In past negotiations, efforts to address the key ques-
tions of the long-term political status of Bougainville and the BRA/BIG demand for
immediate withdrawal of the PNG security forces had resulted in impasse. The focus
on process meant that the Burnham Declaration was deliberately vague on the divi-
sive issues.
The Burnham meeting agreed that Bougainvillean delegations should soon meet
with PNG officials to plan a major leaders meeting. The meeting with officials was
held in October 1997, again at Burnham. It involved over 80 Bougainvilleans, about
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Case Study: Bougainville
20 PNG representatives, and six observers from the Solomon Islands government,
including a cabinet minister who ultimately chaired the meetings. Leaders of most
BRA “companies” and resistance forces elements attended. Remarkable progress
was made at this “Burnham II” officials meeting. The emphasis continued to be on
process, leaving outcomes on the most contentious issues to one side. However, con-
trary to expectations, a “Burnham Truce” was signed.
The Truce was monitored by a multinational unarmed monitoring group under
New Zealand leadership and was in place by December 1997. New Zealand,
Australia, Vanuatu and Fiji provided the personnel. The truce provided public edu-
cation about the accelerating peace process, while also providing security for orga-
nizing reconciliation ceremonies at the local level, and for organization of the forth-
coming leaders meeting. The dramatic progress was welcomed by almost all sides
except Ona, who consequently became increasingly marginalized.
The leaders meeting was held at Lincoln University in New Zealand in early 1998,
attended by PNG, New Zealand, Australia, Solomon Islands and other Pacific Island
states, and representatives of most Bougainvillean interest groups. The meeting pro-
duced the “Lincoln Agreement on Peace, Security and Development on Bougain-
ville”. The emphasis was still on process, but there was some progress towards agree-
ment on some of the major issues. A permanent cease-fire was agreed. To operate
from May 1998, it was to be monitored by a further regional monitoring group with
involvement of a UN observer mission. An elected “Bougainville Reconciliation
Government” was to be established by the end of 1998. Provision was also made for
withdrawal of the PNGDF, subject to the restoration of civil authority. Disarming of
the BRA and other Bougainville groups was agreed, although no modalities were
provided.
Some implementation of the Lincoln Agreement has occurred, notably with the
cease-fire agreement coming into effect on 1 May, and the Truce Monitoring
Group under New Zealand leadership becoming a Peace Monitoring Group led by
Australia. There has been some progress towards developing civilian policing
arrangements. There has been no progress towards establishing the Bougainville
Reconciliation Government or disarming, in part because Ona has opposed the
cease-fire, and thereby made it difficult for the moderate BIG/BRA leadership to be
Bougainville
seen to make too many concessions prior to the leaders meeting expected in June.
Competition for power has been increasing. Both the BTG and the BIG recognize
that ultimately there will need to be an elected Bougainville government. There are
concerns, however, that it could be difficult to hold full elections without first making
considerable progress on existing divisions and outstanding contentious issues.
Many BIG/BRA leaders tend to favour a referendum on the question of indepen-
dence. But that may cause major problems: campaigning could divide people still
further.
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Ongoing issues
The peace process has not yet touched upon some significant issues. In parti-
cular, the question of the future development of Bougainville divides participants.
Hard-line BRA elements favour a highly egalitarian society based largely on tradi-
tion. More moderate BRA/BIG leaders support a more open society, as do BTG and
most other Bougainvillean leaders. However, many otherwise “moderate”
Bougainvillean leaders also agree future economic development should be con-
trolled by Bougainvilleans, and that there should be limited freedom of movement
into Bougainville for other PNG citizens.
In general the BRA/BIG opposes any future mining or mineral exploration in
Bougainville. Many Bougainvilleans support that stand. But there are moderate
leaders who privately believe that an independent Bougainville will need mining rev-
enue to develop, and would support re-opening the mine under local control, on
fairer terms to landowners and with far greater environmental protection. Although
new mining, petroleum and gas projects elsewhere have more than made up for the
loss of revenue from Bougainville, there are national politicians keen to see mining
activity renewed there.
Bougainville remains deeply divided, and hard-line BRA elements who are still
outside the process, or future disagreement within the process, could de-rail
progress. Nevertheless, progress in the year to June 1998 has been remarkable. The
provision of the unarmed truce monitors has been of central importance in provid-
ing security for the process, giving participants confidence to continue. The focus
on process rather than outcomes has been crucial in engaging a wide range of lea-
ders in a long-term process where trust can be developed, to enable compromises to
emerge. Future progress will depend on keeping them engaged in the process.
Lessons from the Bougainville Conflict Management Process
Some aspects of the Bougainville conflict management process may be of wider
application.
– First, in a complex divided situation as in Bougainville, while it may be tempting
for a national government embroiled by ethnic conflict to exploit divisions
among its potential opponents, the danger is that those divisions themselves
Bougainville
177
Case Study: Bougainville
178
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
188
CONSTITUTING AN EXECUTIVE GOVERNMENT
190
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
4.4.1 Introduction
4.4.2 Electoral systems and conflict management
4.4.3 Needs of transitional versus consolidated democracies
4.4.1 Introduction
An electoral system is one of the most important mechanisms
for shaping political competition, because it is, to quote Giovanni
Sartori, “the most specific manipulable instrument of politics” –
that is, it can be purposely designed to achieve particular outcomes.
It can reward particular types of behaviour and place constraints
on others.
In translating the votes in a general election into seats in the
legislature, the choice of electoral system can effectively deter-
mine who is elected and which party gains power. Even with
exactly the same number of votes for parties, one system might
lead to a coalition government and another to a single party
191
4.4 Electoral Systems
for Divided Societies
Box 8
ELECTORAL SYSTEMS AROUND THE WORLD
STV
MMP
List PR
Ireland, Malta
New Zealand, Germany
SNTV
Parallel
Two Round
Jordan, Vanuatu
Block Vote
Japan, Russia
France, Mali
FPTP
Australia, Fiji
Palestine, Maldives
UK, India
© International IDEA
Plurality-Majority Systems
These comprise two plurality systems, First Past the Post and the
Block Vote, and two majority systems, the Alternative Vote and the
Two-Round System.
1. First Past the Post (FPTP) is the world’s most commonly used
system. Contests are held in single-member districts, and the win-
ner is the candidate with the most votes, but not necessarily an
absolute majority of the votes. FPTP is supported primarily on the
grounds of simplicity, and its tendency to produce representatives
193
4.4 Electoral Systems
for Divided Societies
194
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
195
4.4 Electoral Systems
for Divided Societies
List PR
List PR is an essential component of the constitutional engi-
neering package known as consociationalism. Consociationalism
entails a power-sharing agreement within government, brokered
between clearly defined segments of society divided by ethnicity,
religion and language. Consociational societies include Bel-
gium, the Netherlands, Austria and Switzerland. The idea has
four basic elements: (i) grand coalition (executive power sharing
among the representatives of all significant groups); (ii) segmen-
tal autonomy (a high degree of internal autonomy for groups that
wish to have it); (iii) proportionality (proportional representation
and proportional allocation of civil service positions and public
funds); and (iv) mutual veto (a minority veto on the most vital
issues). These four basic elements ensure that government beco-
mes an inclusive multi-ethnic coalition, unlike the adversarial
nature of a Westminster winner-take-all democracy.
Proponents of consociationalism favour list PR because it: 1)
delivers highly proportional election results; 2) is relatively in-
vulnerable to gerrymandering; and 3) is simpler than many al-
ternative systems for both voters and electoral officials and thus
will be less open to suspicion. The successful use of list PR at
South Africa’s transitional 1994 elections is often cited as a good
example of these qualities, and of the way list PR enables parties
to place women or ethnic minorities in winnable places on their
party list.
But there are also disadvantages. Because list PR relies on
large, multi-member electoral districts, it breaks the geographi-
cal link between voters and their elected member. Geographi-
cally large multi-ethnic societies which have used list PR success-
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
202
ELECTORAL SYSTEM CHOICES FOR DIVIDED SOCIETIES
Papua New
Netherlands, Guinea Northern Ireland Singapore,
South Africa 1994 1964–1975, Fiji 1998 Mauritius
1997
204
© International IDEA
Northern Ireland
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Ben Reilly
C a s e S t u d y : F i j i
FIJI
Fiji, a South Pacific island with a population of approximately 750,000, has been
the site of one of the most comprehensive recent attempts at “constitutional engi-
neering”: inducing particular political outcomes by the design and structure of
political institutions. Parliaments, executives, courts etc., can be purposely designed
and structured to achieve particular outcomes. Electoral systems, for example, can
enable minorities to be represented in parliament, or they can ensure domination
by a single ethnic majority. And different types of incentives to gain votes can induce
politicians to build support across all groups, or can encourage a narrow sectarian
focus on one group alone. The story of the constitution review exercise conducted
as part of Fiji’s return to democracy represents a good example of this process in
action.
The primary source of conflict in Fiji concerns relations between Fiji’s indigenous
population (a mixture of the Melanesian and Polynesian groups found throughout
the South Pacific islands) and the Indian Fijian community (mostly the descendants
of indentured labourers who came from India to Fiji to work on sugar plantations
in the 19th century under British colonialism). While other groups such as Chinese
and Europeans are also present, Fiji’s primary ethnic cleavage runs between “Indo-
Fijian” (i.e., Indian) and indigenous (i.e., Melanesian and Polynesian) communities.
The two communities maintain a high degree of separation in all spheres of public
and private life. They speak different languages, practice different religions, work in
different occupations, join different social groups, play different sports, and have
very little day-to-day contact. Inter-marriage between the two groups, one of the best
indicators of communal relations, is almost unheard of. Fiji is thus a classic plural
society where, in the words of Joseph Furnivall, “different sections of the same com-
munity … mix but do not combine”.
Fijian society and politics have long been characterized by an uneasy coexistence
between these two communities, with Indo-Fijians predominating in certain key
areas of the economy (particularly the sugar-cane industry) and indigenous Fijians
owning 90 per cent of the land but holding limited economic power. While the
population ratios of the two groups are fairly similar (50 per cent indigenous Fijian,
44 per cent Indian on latest figures), there is very limited informal social or eco-
nomic interaction between the two communities. Each group is also internally divid-
ed. The mostly Hindu Indian community has a sizeable (15 per cent) Muslim minor-
ity and a number of sub-identities, often based on their family roots in India. The
indigenous Fijian population have retained significant and sometimes divisive ele-
ments from both original Melanesian and Polynesian social structures.
Fiji
207
Case Study: Fiji
political parties; the incentives presented for moderation and co-operation across
ethnic lines; and effective representation of constituents.
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
C a s e S t u d y : F i j i
three for “others”. The remaining 25 seats will be allocated from an open electoral
roll. A concern to make the system workable resulted in a choice of electoral system
209
Case Study: Fiji
toto (bar the exceptions above) and tried to translate the recommendations into a
new constitution. Opposition to the report’s recommendations came from the more
210
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
C a s e S t u d y : F i j i
Fiji
211
4.5 Legislatures for
Post-Conflict Societies
David M. Olson
4.5 Legislatures for Post-Conflict Societies
4.5.1 Introduction
4.5.2 Elections and members
4.5.3 Internal features: committees, floor, procedures,
leadership, staff and facilities
4.5.4 Sources of power
4.5.5 One or two chambers?
4.5.6 Conclusion
4.5.1 Introduction
In addition to its lawmaking function, the legislature acts as
the main representative body of the state, reflecting society’s
divergent opinions at the political level. Legislatures are thus
capable of expressing and resolving a wide variety of conflicts
within society. The structure and procedural rules of a legisla-
ture, as well as the electoral basis of its membership, reward the
ability to both express and resolve conflict. Legislatures create
the conditions for the emergence of co-operative antagonists.
Though they disagree on public policy, they must agree on
structure and rules to provide the basis for the expression of
their conflicts. Those same rules and structures make it possible
to find compromise solutions to their problems, and thus devel-
op the necessary skills to find solutions to other, more weighty,
conflicts.
The means by which conflicts are expressed within a legisla-
ture are also the means by which conflicts are resolved. Most leg-
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
224
© International IDEA
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
K. M. de Silva
Case Study: Sri Lanka
SRI LANKA
Sri Lanka was often referred to as a “model” colony in the early years after inde-
pendence from Britain (1948 to the mid-1950s), since the national political lea-
dership opted for a negotiated transfer of power, in contrast to the agitation in
India. Indeed, the leadership deliberately chose to follow the constitutional evo-
lution of the “settlement” colonies of Canada, Australia and New Zealand into inde-
pendent statehood.
A decade of peaceful consolidation of power by the United National Party (UNP)
governments of 1947 to 1956 was followed by several decades of conflict. Sri Lanka’s
descent to political instability came in three stages, beginning with the period mid-
1955 to 1961 when two sets of communal riots broke out against the background of
a unilateral change in language policy. After a period of quiescence in the mid- and
late 1960s there was a second phase of confrontation and violence, culminating in
the riots of 1977. Six years of relative quiet followed until the outbreak of anti-Tamil
riots in 1983. Thereafter, ethnic violence has been a regular feature.
The conflicts in Sri Lanka illustrate the operation of some of the most com-
bustible factors in ethnic relations: language, religion, long historical memories of
tensions and conflict, and a prolonged separatist agitation. Sri Lanka’s recent polit-
ical experience also provides a case study in the internationalization of ethnic con-
flict. Internationalization of Sri Lanka’s ethnic conflict has two aspects: Indian inter-
vention, and the growth of a Tamil diaspora community – the direct consequence of
the current ethnic conflict. In addition, the Sri Lankan experience illustrates the
important point that minorities seeking redress of grievances, and guarantees of
protection of their identities, are not always agents of democratic change or liberal-
ism.
The current conflict is much more complex than a straightforward confrontation
between a once well-entrenched minority – the Sri Lanka Tamils – and a now pow-
erful but still insecure majority – the Sinhalese. These two groups constitute the
principal, but not the only, players. They have two conflicting perceptions. Most
Sinhalese believe that the Tamil minority has enjoyed a privileged position and that
the balance must shift in favour of the Sinhalese majority. The Tamils for their part
claim that they are now a harassed minority, victims of frequent acts of communal
violence and calculated acts and policies of discrimination. Most Tamil fears and
Sri Lanka
insecurity stem from the belief that they have lost the advantageous position they
enjoyed under British rule in many sectors of public life in the country; in brief, a
classic case of a sense of relative deprivation.
Major Issues and Efforts at Management
Despite the tensions and violence that have been a feature of life in post-inde-
pendence Sri Lanka, there also has been an irrepressible strand of pragmatism,
227
Case Study: Sri Lanka
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
position in some professions – medicine, law and engineering – but lost this by the
early 1980s. This represented the intellectual capital of the past – carefully gathered,
protected and augmented – but, in their eyes, not expanding rapidly enough to
overcome what they saw as the disadvantages of the new policy changes; policies
which would adversely affect the next generation of Tamils. Today the number of
Tamils in all grades of state employment has declined to 10 per cent or less, a third
or fourth of what it was in the early 1940s.
Education
Changes in university admissions policy have contributed substantially to the
sharp deterioration of ethnic relations in Sri Lanka in the last two decades, and to
radicalizing the politics of Tamil areas in the north and east. The crux of the prob-
lem was that the Tamils, who constitute about an eighth of the total population, had
for years a dominant position in the science-based university faculties. In 1970, the
United Front coalition introduced a system of standardization of marks by language
for the university entrance examination. This placed Tamil students at a disadvan-
tage in that they had to obtain higher aggregate marks to enter the university, in the
medical, science and engineering faculties, than the Sinhalese. Thereafter, a district
quota system was also introduced which gave an advantage to students in rural areas
and underdeveloped communities. All this represented a departure from the tradi-
tional practice of selecting students on the basis of an open competitive examina-
tion. The Tamils saw this policy as deliberately discriminatory.
In the late 1970s and early 1980s the newly elected UNP Government changed
this policy, and moved towards a more equitable admissions system, as well as affir-
mative action policies for rural areas (for Sinhalese, Tamil and Muslim alike).
Nevertheless, memories of the unilateral and discriminatory change in university
policy of the early 1970s remain fresh in the minds of Tamils, despite the substan-
tial expansion of university places in medicine and engineering since 1979 for stu-
dents from all sections of the population. The Tamils’ share of places in the engi-
neering and medical faculties has varied from 35 per cent to 25 per cent since
1978–1979, to around 15 per cent in more recent years.
This system has now developed powerful vested interests, which resist all attempts
to return to a merit-based system. The most vocal supporters of the system are the
Muslims and the Indian Tamils, with the Tamils of the Eastern Province and from
parts of the Northern Province (outside the Jaffna peninsula) being joined by
Sri Lanka
Sinhalese from more rural parts of the country. The most recent (1994–1995) devel-
opment is that Tamils from the Jaffna peninsula, hitherto the most vocal critics of
the system, joined in asking for the status of a disadvantaged district for Jaffna itself.
They succeeded in securing this advantage.
Land distribution
Next, there is the accommodation reached on one of the Tamil’s long-standing
grievances, the distribution of state-owned land among landless peasants. Tamil
229
Case Study: Sri Lanka
politicians have generally claimed that the Sri Lankan state has used state-owned
land as a means of changing the demographic pattern in what they call the
“Traditional Homelands of the Tamils”, primarily state-owned land in the Eastern
Province. A formula for the distribution of state land was devised in 1984, after long
negotiation between representatives of the Sri Lankan government and Tamil politi-
cians led by the Tamil United Liberation Front (TULF): state-owned land on major
irrigation schemes would be distributed on a quota system which reflected accu-
rately the population profile of the island, with the Sinhalese getting 74 per cent and
the Tamils, Muslims and Indians 12 per cent, six to seven per cent and five per cent
respectively. The Tamils were permitted to use their island-wide quota in any area
they chose, and naturally it was assumed that they would concentrate their quota in
the Eastern and Northern Provinces. On minor irrigation schemes, the distribution
of state land would reflect the demographic pattern of the district or province in
which the scheme was based.
The wide support this formula received from almost all parties to the dispute,
including the TULF, reflected a recognition, implicit more than explicit, that ine-
vitably the Sinhalese, more than others, would benefit because they are the largest
number of landless peasants.
The Politics of Devolution
Finally, we turn to the most intractable problem of all – devolution. Differences
of opinion over devolution have proved to be more difficult to resolve than any
other issue; this, despite the great deal that has been achieved between 1980 and
1987 in establishing a second tier of government (a major political achievement
given the failure of previous attempts in 1957–1958 and 1965–1968). Politicians are
caught between the Sinhalese electorate’s deep-rooted suspicions about the politi-
cal consequences of devolving more power to the provinces, and the Tamils’ insis-
tence on transferring greater power to the provinces or regions at the expense of
the central government. Tamil demands range from the creation of a large Tamil-
dominated North-Eastern Province, to the establishment of a federal political struc-
ture with a weak centre and more powerful provinces or regions. This is quite apart
from the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam’s (LTTE) insistence on a separate state
as a non-negotiable demand.
Devolution has proved to be an insuperable obstacle to practical political man-
Sri Lanka
agement because it touches on some of the most durable fears, suspicions and pre-
judices that divide the country. The resistance to transferring greater power to the
provinces in Sri Lanka springs from such fears. The proximity of the Jaffna region
in northern Sri Lanka to Tamil Nadu in southern India, formerly a reservoir of
Tamil separatist sentiment in India (and a region that has encouraged, nurtured
and protected Tamil separatist groups from Sri Lanka) presents one major concern.
Devolution of power to provincial councils is suspect, even when it has been intro-
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
duced, because of fears that it could spur separatist pressures in the north and east
of the island. Large sections of the Sinhalese view the Tamils’ pressure for devolu-
tion of power as the first step in an inevitable progression to separation of the Tamil
majority areas of the country from the Sri Lankan polity. Historical memories con-
tribute greatly to the disquiet and apprehensions the Sinhalese feel about South
India, especially the perception of South India as the single most powerful and per-
sistent threat confronting Sri Lanka and the Sinhalese.
Those in the forefront of the Tamils’ agitation for devolution of power have
always been vague, deliberately or unconsciously, in the terminology used in their
arguments. The close links that were established in more recent times between
Tamil political groups ranging from the TULF to various separatist groups, with the
government and opposition in the southern Indian state of Tamil Nadu, have natu-
rally aggravated the situation; the establishment of training camps in Tamil Nadu
for separatist activists making forays into the northern and eastern coastal regions of
Sri Lanka has further exacerbated this. The result is that decentralization which was,
and should be, a purely Sri Lankan matter has taken on a cross-national dimension;
India’s role as mediator in the political negotiations between the Sri Lanka Govern-
ment and representatives of Tamil opinion in the 1980s is the most conspicuous fea-
ture of this dynamic.
Pressure for decentralization of administration is limited to the Tamils, and large-
ly to the Tamils living in the north and east of the island, where they are either a
majority or form a substantial minority. There is no pressure from other ethnic
groups; indeed, there is strong opposition to it. The demographic profile of the
Eastern Province, where the Tamils are a minority (40 per cent of the population)
remains a critical stumbling block in the long drawn out negotiations on the
creation of a province or region amalgamating the Northern Province with parts or
the whole of the Eastern Province. The LTTE will accept nothing short of a separate
Tamil state. The deadlock over this issue continues to the present day. A section of
Muslims, led by the Sri Lanka Muslim Congress, has reacted to this by urging the
creation of a separate administrative unit in the Eastern Province in which the
Muslims would constitute a majority. A more elaborate version of this demand calls
for a Muslim province with its main base in the Eastern Province, but with enclaves
or sub-units elsewhere such as in the Mannar district of the Northern Province.
Sri Lanka
231
Case Study: Sri Lanka
232
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
India’s third role – that of mediator – began under Mrs Gandhi as a calculated
political response to the anti-Tamil riots of July 1983 in Sri Lanka; the policy was
continued under Rajiv Gandhi. India’s policy shifted from mediator to active par-
ticipant in late 1987 and continued until the mid-1990s. That too is almost unique
in the history of mediation in ethnic conflict: never before, or very rarely indeed,
has a mediator taken on the role of combatant, and waged a war against sections of
a minority, for which it was a presumed guardian, and in a neighbouring state at
that.
Indian intervention began with giving aid to one or other of the Tamil separatist
groups. This assistance was given, in part, to sustain the struggle to the point of com-
pelling or persuading the Sri Lanka Government to alter its strategy, and to negoti-
ate a settlement under Indian auspices. Second, in 1987 the Indian Government
sought to resolve the conflict itself, by acting as a mediator, applying sanctions to
one, some or all parties to the conflict, and underwriting a settlement. In the
process the Indians became a common enemy to all or some of the warring factions.
The Indian intervention reveals how the consequences of the internationalization
of an ethnic conflict are not necessarily those that the affected parties generally
anticipate; indeed, the intervention was not advantageous to the presumed benefi-
ciaries. On the contrary, internationalization actually prolonged the conflict and
made many of the parties to the conflict more intractable. Again, when large regional
or global powers enter a domestic ethnic dispute playing the role of sponsors and
suppliers, the interests of the external contenders may supersede the original issues
in the conflict.
The hard lesson that emerges from India’s mediation and interventionist role in
Sri Lanka’s ethnic conflict is that most outside powers have less to offer by way of
example from their own political system and political experience than they think
they do. To be drawn into an ethnic conflict in a neighbouring state is the worst mis-
take that a regional power can make, as Israel and Syria have learned in Lebanon.
The reluctance of the Sri Lankan Government to consider, much less accept, an-
other episode of external mediation stems from the pronounced failure of Indian
mediation, and the heavy political costs it inflicted on Sri Lanka’s democratic sys-
tem.
Sri Lanka
233
4.6 Human Rights
Instruments
Yash Ghai
4.6 Human Rights Instruments
4.6.1 Introduction
4.6.2–4.6.3 Instruments that protect minority rights
4.6.4 Protecting women’s rights
4.6.5 Recent initiatives
4.6.6 Conclusion
4.6.1 Introduction
Many of today’s most pressing issues – human rights, self-de-
termination, nationalism, international security and co-opera-
tion – are all connected with identity and ethnicity. In trying to
formulate policies to deal with such issues, one particular diffi-
culty is that religious or ethnic claims and identities are not
always negative. Indeed, concession to some of these claims may
help to allay minority fears and give them a sense of security.
Furthermore, religious and ethnic affiliations may be important
to the psychic and moral well-being of communities, which it
would be wrong to deny. Thus a balance needs to be struck
between the problems that ethnic, religious and national loyal-
ties can cause and the difficulties that can result from their ob-
struction. Striking this balance presents one of the fundamental
challenges of our time: the reconceptualization of the state to
accommodate a diversity of cultures, religion, languages and
groups.
Sometimes the difficulty in agreeing on a policy arises from a
disagreement on values. Tensions frequently exist between those
234
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
237
4.6 Human Rights
Instruments
Religion or belief, for any one who professes either, is one of the
fundamental elements in his conception of life and that freedom
of religion should be fully respected and guaranteed.
Preamble
240
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
242
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
251
4.8 National Conferences
4.8.1 Introduction
Constituent assemblies were a common mechanism during
the post-World War Two “decolonization decades” to bring po-
liticians and constitutional experts together to write a new con-
stitution for an independent nation. India’s independence Con-
stitution, for example, was the result of three years of discussion
and debate at a constituent assembly comprising eminent jurists,
lawyers, academics and politicians. In other cases, such as Papua
New Guinea, the elected parliament from the colonial era re-
convened itself as a constituent assembly in 1975 to debate and
then formally adopt a constitution. Other attempts have been
less successful, such as the use of constituent assemblies to reach
consensus on key political conflicts in Sri Lanka (1972) or to
prepare an independence Constitution in Pakistan (1947–1954).
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
During the 1990s, however, there has been a new trend tow-
ards utilizing large national conferences, not as a means of
decolonization but as a mechanism for political transition to
democracy. The distinctive features of such national assemblies
are that they typically include wide representation from civil society;
are able to act with considerable autonomy from governments;
and have proved particularly useful in forging an internal con-
sensus on democratization and transition from conflict. This
type of national assembly was widely used in Francophone Africa
in the early 1990s as a means of harnessing pro-democracy
forces. It has proven to be a key mechanism in promoting demo-
cratic transition and in effecting substantive political change
(see Case Study National Conferences in Francophone Africa).
4.8.2 What is a national conference?
A national conference (or national debate, as it is referred to National conferences
in some countries) is a public forum, held over an extended pe- are designed typically
riod, at which representatives from key political and civic groups
to fulfil two goals:
are invited to discuss and develop a plan for the country’s polit-
ical future, preferably on a consensus basis. By convening a na- first, to address the
tional conference, the central government allows other political demands for political
groups to participate in a decision-making process, while still liberalization, by
maintaining its own authority and control. In agreeing to hold
being inclusive and
and participate in a national conference the central government
is not guaranteeing political freedom or the sharing of power highly visible,
with other political factions; rather it is agreeing to conduct a especially to the
nationwide political dialogue and ideally, to jointly plan steps international
toward increased political representation and liberalization.
community; and
National conferences are designed typically to fulfil two goals:
second, to achieve
first, to address the demands for political liberalization, by being
inclusive and highly visible, especially to the international com- gradual, “managed”
munity; and second, to achieve gradual, “managed” transition, transition, often with
often with the incumbent leadership believing that it can main- the incumbent
tain control over the process. In many African countries, for leadership believing
example, national conferences opened up previously one-party
systems by bringing together different actors to address the that it can maintain
country’s political problems, formulated new constitutional rules, control over the
and established electoral timetables. Some national conferences process.
even achieved peaceful alternations in power. In this way they
can be seen as an indigenously generated African contribution
to political institution building and regime transition.
National conferences in Africa were usually “one-off” assem-
blies representing a wide range of individuals and corporate in-
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259
ORGANIZING A NATIONAL CONFERENCE
IMPLEMENTATION
Sequence of Events:
■ Conferees acquire some degree of law-making authority;
■ Existing constitutions are revised, legislatures suspended or reformed, and
transitional governments established (in other words, a form of regime
transition by peaceful means);
■ Incumbent presidents are required to work with transitional governments or to
surrender significant powers;
■ Conference participants draft a new constitution, or establish an independent
commission to do so, and submit it to a referendum;
■ Free elections are held.
Prerequisites:
■ Multipartism, especially legalization of opposition parties;
■ Freedom of association, speech and assembly;
■ Media involvement to monitor and report on events.
Organizers:
■ Governments usually, often influenced by foreign third party and/or domestic
political pressure;
■ A committee, consisting of representatives of government, other political
groups and the international community can organize national conferences.
Participants:
■ Members of existing central government;
■ Representatives of key social, religious, professional, and political interest
groups;
■ Other participants can include academics, local government personnel, NGOs,
human rights organizations, women’s organizations, trade unions, students,
and aid donors;
■ International observers.
Activities:
■ Draft an agenda; clarify issues to be discussed; convey conference goals to all
participants;
■ Depending on outcome, organize “implementation group” to ensure follow-up.
Cost Considerations:
■ Primary cost of conference organization (preparation, transportation,
accommodation, etc.) should be borne by the country itself, if possible;
■ Additional foreign financial assistance may be needed for organization and
follow-up.
Set-Up Time:
■ Usually several months are needed to organize;
■ Conference can last between several days and several months (Benin lasted
nine days; Congo, three months; South Africa, two years with interruptions).
A D V A N T A G E S
O F A N A T I O N A L
C O N F E R E N C E
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In the late 1980s and early 1990s, sub-Saharan African countries were faced with
simultaneous pressures from within and from outside to liberalize their political sys-
tems. The economic crisis and the social unrest it created increased the demands on
the political elite to liberalize the political system. The international environment
also changed dramatically, as the Cold War and its system of “protectorates” in the
developing world gave way to a greater emphasis on democracy and democratiza-
tion, especially by donor governments and the international community.
However, the demands for greater political liberalization were not assuaged.
Attempting to re-capture the political initiative, Kérékou announced in December
1989 that the People’s Revolutionary Party of Benin (PRPB) would abandon its
Marxist ideology and its monopoly on power by permitting the legal formation of
opposition parties, and by convening a national conference to discuss changes to
the Constitution.
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Francophone Africa
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long established, albeit precarious, authoritarian regime and creating the institu-
tional framework for the democratization of the political system of Benin.
Congo (Brazzaville)
Before democratization, the Congolese political system exhibited many similari-
ties to that of Benin. The state was ruled by a militarized single party with strong
Marxist-Leninist tendencies, the Congolese Labour Party (PCT) led by Col. Denis
Sassou-Nguesso.
Deterioration of the economy and mounting social unrest led to the gradual ero-
sion of the PCT’s political monopoly, and by 1990, some liberalization of the politi-
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Francophone Africa
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Togo
For more than a quarter of a century, the Togolese political system has been dom-
inated by the daunting figure of Etienne Eyadéma, who came to power in a coup in
1967. Since 1969, Togo had officially been a single-party state with the Rally of
Togolese People (RPT) as the ruling party. In reality, the RPT was a military-backed
front for the highly personalized rule of Eyadéma and his Northern Kabre ethnic
tribe.
Encouraged by events elsewhere in the region, popular pressure for democrati-
zation built up from early 1990. In March 1991, Eyadéma agreed to the establish-
ment of a multi-party system but refused to concede opposition demands for a
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Francophone Africa
with the Popular Movement of the Revolution (MPR) the only legal party to which
every citizen automatically belonged. In practice, the MPR was simply a vehicle for
the one-man rule of Mobutu, resting on his control of the army and especially the
Presidential Guard.
In 1990, following mass pro-democracy demonstrations, anti-government strikes
and pressure from external patrons, Mobutu agreed to allow the existence of oppo-
sition parties; 130 were formed, which meant that the opposition was highly frag-
mented. In April 1991, he announced that a national conference would be con-
vened. Mobutu, following widespread anti-government protest, suspended the con-
ference even before it convened. A fragile coalition known as the Sacred Union was
National Conferences in Francophone Africa
ultimately formed and the Zairian national conference eventually opened in August
1991. Although it remained in formal existence until December 1992 (far longer
than the other West African national conferences), it was frequently suspended and
clashes between government and opposition forces occurred regularly. The confer-
ence produced a draft constitution, but Mobutu remained in control, and the coun-
try became chronically unstable.
Zaire’s National Sovereign Conference in 1991–1992, and the follow-up High
Council of the Republic in 1993–1994, while not succeeding as an instrument of
democratic transition from Mobutu’s authoritarian, have contributed to the open-
ing of political space. These forums allowed opposition forces to wield some influ-
ence, to the point where at times there were competing claims of governmental
authority from the High Council and the decaying Mobutuist regime. Prominent
opposition figures such as Etienne Tshisekedi emerged to challenge the regime and
even to briefly share power as the democratization experiment was launched, but
before it lagged. Furthermore, the process led to extensive planning for elections
slated for 1997 – elections that did not take place, after civil war broke out in the
country and the rebel forces of current President Laurent Kabila defeated Mobutu’s
military. Nevertheless, many Congolese politicians, especially opposition figures,
continue to refer to the work of the national conference, and particularly its consti-
tutional vision of a federal democracy with a high degree of devolution. This vision
of a federal state could set the stage for renewed efforts to democratize the
Democratic Republic of Congo under the Kabila Government.
Lessons Learned
The national conferences in Benin, Congo and Mali were relatively successful in
providing an institutional mechanism for the transition to a more democratic polit-
ical system. However, it would be misleading to view a national conference as some
sort of institutional magic wand that can be used to produce a democratic transition.
The Togolese and Zairian experience failed to produce a democratic transition,
even though this was the hope of the opposition in both cases. In the case of Togo,
Eyadéma succeeded in controlling and neutralizing the process, sometimes with the
use of force and intimidation, while in Zaire the entire process was a farce designed
to regain some international legitimacy.
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Strengths
Forum for all sides to express view. A national conference provides a vehicle for
all sides, from the national level to the grass-roots level, to express its views, interests
and political objectives. This inclusive dialogue process facilitates the building of a
national consensus on fundamental rights and interests with the intention of devel-
oping a stable and democratic social order. Arriving at a national consensus is criti-
cal especially during those times when government legitimacy is fading and political
institution building is required. It is interesting to note that, without exception, all
11 countries that convened national conferences recorded advances in political lib-
eralization up to 1992.
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Conferences in
Francophone Africa
sition by, for instance, trying to split the opposition or co-opting it into the majority.
Instability. National conferences (with the exception of South Africa and Kenya)
were predominantly a Francophone African phenomenon occurring in one-party
regimes (10 out of the 11 countries) and in political systems resembling the French
“semi-presidential” structure. This system can eventually lead to dual conflicting
forces at the top if the parliamentary majority – and the government – is not con-
gruent with the presidential majority (see section 4.3 on “Executive Type” in this
handbook). This situation, when it occurred, tended to increase the instability of
the political system.
High expectations. In some cases, national conferences raised exaggerated ex-
pectations regarding the efficacy of such a mechanism for democratic transition,
irrespective of other circumstances – as the Benin experience reveals. Nevertheless,
such a vehicle or mechanism may still present an opportunity to bring about gen-
uine political change.
Balance of power. Comparison of the success and failure of the national confer-
ence in providing a genuine transition to a more democratic form of rule suggests
that in many cases the outcome was largely determined by the resources of real
power, especially economic and military power, which opposing sides in the conflict
were able to employ against each other. These varied domestic power equations
counted more than the procedural similarities or dissimilarities of the various con-
ferences.
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Luc Huyse
4.9 Transitional Justice
Strategies for coping with the past have ranged from massive
criminal prosecution of the supporters of the previous order to
unconditionally closing the book. In this section we review some
of these strategies and examine the pros and cons of prosecution
and punishment. In the next section, we examine two
mechanisms in greater detail – truth commissions and war crime
tribunals.
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
May violate rule of law and thus weaken new regime’s legiti-
macy. Young democracies place a high value upon the rule of
law and human rights, but post-transition justice involves a num-
ber of decisions that may trespass on these legal principles. It
may force the successor elite to violate rule of law principles to-
day while judging the undemocratic behaviour of yesterday,
which can weaken considerably the legitimacy of the new regime.
For example, the principles of the separation of powers and
of judicial impartiality are at stake when dealing with the ques-
tion of who will act as the judges of the authoritarian regime.
Political pressure, time constraints and the unavailability of suf-
ficient judicial personnel may lead the post-transition elite to
create special tribunals in which lay-judges play a prominent
role. This, the opponents of prosecutions argue, makes lapses
from important legal norms almost unavoidable. Such special
courts can, indeed, become instruments of partisan vengeance
since non-professional judges are easier targets for pressure by
the executive, the media and public opinion. This is what happe-
ned in post-war Belgium and France some 50 years ago.
Justice after transition must take place within a timeframe.
This frame consists of answers to two questions: do we accept ex
post facto criminal legislation? And will the existing statute of lim-
itation be lifted or upheld? The first question deals with the nul-
lum crimen sine lege, nulla poena sine lege principle. This principle
means that no conduct may be held punishable unless it is pre-
cisely described in a penal law, and no penal sanction may be
imposed except in pursuance of a law that describes it prior to
the commission of the offence. The second question, dealing
with the lifting of the existing statute of limitation is particularly
acute in post-communist countries. Atrocities against life and
property took place mostly in the late 1940s and during the
1950s. In most cases, as in Hungary where a 30-year statute of
limitations, exists, criminal proceedings for the most reprehen-
sible human rights abuses are precluded by reason of lapse of
time. Those who disapprove of prosecutions assert that post-
transition trials ultimately will result in changing the rules of the
game after the fact, either by applying retroactive legislation or
by recommencing the statute of limitation once it has run out.
Post-transition justice tends to be emergency justice. This is
particularly true if it comes in the early phases of the transition.
The climate is then seldom well suited for a scrupulous sorting
out of all the gradations in responsibility for the abuses of the
past.
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4.9 Transitional Justice
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Truth Commissions
4.10.1 Description
A truth commission is a body established to investigate hu-
man rights violations committed by military, government, or
other armed forces under the previous regime or during a civil
war. Truth commissions are not courts of law. Their primary pur-
pose is to provide an accurate record of who was responsible for
extra-judicial killings, such as assassinations and “disappearances”,
massacres, and grievous human rights abuses in a country’s past,
so that the truth can be made part of a nation’s common history
and the process of national reconciliation can be facilitated.
Truth commissions Truth commissions also address the demand for justice by vic-
are not courts of law. tims and their families by providing a forum for victims to relate
their stories as well as an official public record. By acknow-
Their primary pur- ledging the truth and assigning responsibility for violations to cer-
pose is to provide an tain individuals, both the violators and the victims can come to
accurate record of terms with the past. Truth commissions do not focus on a spe-
cific event, but look at violations committed over a broad period
who was responsible of time. Truth commissions are usually established immediately
for extra-judicial after a peace settlement has been reached, since at this point the
killings in a country’s new regime is generally strong in relation to the military and
other segments of society. A commission usually exists tempora-
past, so that the truth
rily; its mandate usually ceases with the submission of a report of
can be made part of a its findings. It is not intended as a prosecutorial body, but its
nation’s common findings may be used in separate judicial proceedings.
history and the The legacy of brutal internal conflict or authoritarianism is
process of national often a lingering sense of injustice and mistrust of the govern-
ment on the part of the citizens and thus a lack of confidence in
reconciliation can be new democratic mechanisms. A truth commission can enhance
facilitated. the process of national reconciliation by reducing the popula-
tion’s fear and mistrust of the government and demonstrating
the new regime’s commitment to democratic ideals, thus facili-
tating change in the public’s perception of the government.
Accepting responsibility for past violations displays respect for
the rights of individuals and rule of law, which enhances the
legitimacy of the new regime. Truth commissions can also be
especially beneficial in “buying time” during the period of
transition from the temporary political arrangements estab-
lished by a peace process to the establishment of permanent
judicial institutions.
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Box 11
EXAMPLES OF TRUTH COMMISSIONS
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4.10 Reckoning for Past
Wrongs: Truth
Commissions and
War Crimes Tribunals
286
DESIGNING A TRUTH COMMISSION
DESIGN FACTORS
Impartial and transparent. The appointment and composition of the
commission must be both impartial and transparent; its members must be
capable of acting independently and professionally.
Sufficient authority. The commission must be vested with sufficient authority to
collect information and to maximize the impact of its recommendations. The
commission established in Chad was authorized by presidential decree to
collect documentation, take testimony, and confiscate material as necessary.
The commission in South Africa was highly successful in its investigations due
to its powers of subpoena, and search and seizure.
Flexible mandate. The commission must be given a flexible mandate to decide
what types of abuses to investigate.
Realistic timeframe. The commission should have a mandate of limited
duration, but one that provides a realistic timeframe or includes mechanisms
for extension.
IMPLEMENTATION FACTORS
Sufficient funding and staff. The most successful commissions have had a large
support staff. The “National Commission for Truth and Reconciliation” in
Chile had over 60 staff members and was therefore able to investigate each
case brought before it. In the Philippines, however, the commission did not
have staffing levels to investigate the overwhelming volume of complaints
received.
Perceived impartiality of the commissioners. The South African Government
selected commissioners by committee rather than governmental appointment.
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4.10 Reckoning for Past
Wrongs: Truth
Commissions and
War Crimes Tribunal
The purpose of war crimes tribunals is to restore peace and
deter future violations by enforcing the norms they uphold. The
key difference between a truth commission (as discussed above)
and a war crimes tribunal is that a tribunal has the ability to pros-
ecute those persons accused of human rights violations. A tri-
bunal provides the accused with a fair trial and opportunity to
defend oneself.
4.10.6 Tasks and activities
War crimes tribunals undertake the following tasks:
– Investigate, prosecute and sentence persons allegedly
responsible for violations of international humanitarian
law and human rights abuses.
– Provide victims the opportunity to testify in public or
have their testimony recorded.
– Educate the public on humanitarian norms and human
rights.
4.10.7 Strengths and limitatitions
The key difference A war crimes tribunal holds the potential for taking strong,
concrete steps toward building a society based on the rule of
between a truth
law through a process that is seen to be fair and law-based.
commission and a The criticism of the post-World War Two Nuremberg trials –
war crimes tribunal is that they imposed retroactive norms and victors’ justice on
that a tribunal has the accused – no longer applies. In the intervening years, the
the ability to prosecute notion of individual responsibility for war crimes has become
those persons accused internationally accepted. Additionally, as with Rwanda and
Yugoslavia, an international tribunal under the UN need not
of human rights
be controlled by “victors” and therefore cannot be accused of
violations. seeking revenge. The effectiveness of a war crimes tribunal is
hampered, however, by four main factors.
No consensus on penalties. Although individual account-
ability for war crimes has become an accepted norm in the
international arena, there is no corresponding consensus on
the penalties to be imposed for those crimes. The interna-
tional community highlighted this situation in the Rwanda
case where the punishment under Rwandan national law for
some crimes differs greatly from the penalties endorsed. If
different judicial bodies mete out different punishments for
the same crimes, it can undermine the sense of justice that
the tribunal is meant to instil.
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294
DESIGNING A WAR CRIMES TRIBUNAL
DESIGN FACTORS
Staff. Ample staff with appropriate expertise.
Placement. Situated in a location where it will have the most public
impact on the society affected, as a visible image of justice.
IMPLEMENTATION FACTORS
Credibility. Maintenance of credibility by investigating and prosecuting
all sides of a conflict equally and precluding in absentia trials.
Use of accepted rules of procedure and standards of evidence. The ICTY and
the ICTR utilize the same set of rules in order to avoid questions of
fairness.
Number of defendants. Reduction of the number of defendants to a
manageable range by focusing prosecutorial efforts on the central core
of individuals who planned and organized the systematic violations of
humanitarian law, as opposed to everyone who may have committed
abuses.
CONTEXTUAL REQUIREMENTS
■ Co-operation from relevant international bodies in the apprehension
and enforcement of indictments.
■ Support of local government and its participation in the proceedings.
Truth Commissions
Buergenthal, Thomas. 1995. “The United Nations Truth
Commission for El Salvador”. In Neil J. Kritz. ed. Transitional
Justice. Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace Press.
Carnegie Corporation of New York. July 1997. “A House No
Longer Divided: Progress and Prospects for Democratic Peace
in South Africa”. Report to the Carnegie Commission on
Preventing Deadly Conflict.
Cassel, Jr., Douglass W. 1995. “International Truth
Commissions and Justice”. In Neil J. Kritz. ed. Transitional
Justice. Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace Press.
Cullen, Robert. August 1993. “Cleansing Ethnic Hatred”, The
Atlantic, vol. 272, no. 2.
Hayner, Priscilla B. 1995. “Fifteen Truth Commissions – 1974
to 1994: A Comparative Study”. In Neil J. Kritz. ed.
Transitional Justice. Washington, DC: United States Institute of
Peace Press.
Kritz, Neil J. “War Crimes and Truth Commissions: Some
Thoughts on Accountability Mechanisms for Mass Violations of
Human Rights”. Report for AID Conference: Promoting
Democracy, Human Rights and Reintegration in Post-Conflict
Societies, 30–31 October, 1997.
Montville, Joseph V. 1993 “The Healing Function in Political
Conflict Resolution”. In Dennis Sandole and Hugo van der
Merwe. eds. Conflict Resolution Theory and Practice. Manchester:
Manchester University Press.
Neier, Aryeh. 1995. “What should be Done About the Guilty?”.
In Neil J. Kritz. ed. Transitional Justice. Washington, DC: United
States Institute of Peace Press.
Popkin, Margaret and Naomi Roht-Arriaza. 1995. “Truth as
Justice: Investigating Commissions in Latin America”. In Neil
J. Kritz. ed. Transitional Justice. Washington, DC: United States
Institute of Peace Press.
297
4.10 Reckoning for Past
Wrongs: Truth
Commissions and
War Crimes Tribunal
“Fact Sheet on The International Criminal Tribunal for the
Former Yugoslavia”, Coalition for International Justice. 20
November, 1997.
“Fact Sheet on The International Criminal Tribunal for
Rwanda”. Coalition for International Justice. 25 November,
1997.
298
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Michael Lund
Case Study: Guatemala
GUATEMALA
Overview
The December 1996 signing of a final peace agreement between the Government
of Guatemala and the Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity officially ended a
36-year civil war and was the culmination of a series of 14 previous accords. The
Guatemalan peace process was noteworthy in several important respects:
– the accords covered a wide range of democratization, human rights, and socio-
economic issues, the resolution of which would radically change Guatemala’s gov-
erning processes and social relations; but agreement on these issues preceded,
rather than followed, a formal cease-fire;
– rather than the settlements leading to elections and creating a new democracy,
the peace process was fostered to some extent by electoral and democratic
processes that preceded the war by several years (but these processes became
more vigorous and significant as they were brought into the peace process);
– the negotiations deliberately solicited and incorporated views expressed by the
business community and other elements of civil society; and
– implementation of certain accords was handed over to special national commis-
sions and forums devised and run primarily by Guatemalans, rather than to
organs and representatives of the UN and the international community.
But despite the inclusiveness of the peace process and the breadth of the settle-
ment, a significant gap still persists between the main protagonists in the negotia-
tions and the interests of ordinary Guatemalans. Thus, if the various implementa-
tion mechanisms prove unable to overcome the influence of entrenched corporate
and military interests, many of which are represented in the Congress, they will fail
to alter relations between various interests, which is needed to progressively attain
the accords’ far-reaching goals.
The Conflict
Reacting to a history of diplomatic and military intervention in Central America
by the United States and Britain on behalf of foreign commercial interests, a nation-
alist movement emerged in the 1940s which elected two reformist presidents who
were determined to modernize Guatemala economically, expand its social services,
Guatemala
and bring about land reform. But this “Guatemala Revolution” was thwarted in 1954
by the US Central Intelligence Agency. An invasion force was launched, providing
the pretext for a coup d’état in the capital: a more authoritarian government was
installed, which repealed agrarian reform policies and clamped down on political
opposition.
Until the mid-1980s, Guatemala was ruled by military-dominated governments
that were repressive and variously corrupt. They suspended democratic institutions
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Case Study: Guatemala
and the rule of law, banned political parties and trade unions, and engaged in illegal
repression through “disappearances”, extra-judicial killings, torture, and other
human rights violations. The communist party organized a Marxist-Leninist resis-
tance movement that received support from the Cuban Government and adopted
the guerrilla tactics of the day. Its nucleus was former military personnel opposed to
Guatemala being used as a base for the April 1961 Bay of Pigs invasion in Cuba. The
first phase of the conflict ended, however, when the army essentially defeated these
forces by the end of the 1960s.
The second phase began with the emergence of two new resistance organizations
in the mid-1970s, operating primarily out of the indigenous areas of the country.
The Government continued to ban and persecute all leftist organizations, to perpe-
trate torture and extra-judicial killings, and to conduct rural scorched-earth cam-
paigns. Thus, the armed conflict constituted a struggle between, on the one hand,
a rural-based insurgency and populist urban democratic opposition movement, and
on the other hand, a corporate and military-controlled government. With compet-
ing Cold War ideologies also at stake, both sides had external suppliers of money
and weaponry. The indigenous Indian populations were especially hard-hit by the
war. Campesinos were recruited to fight as guerrillas or in government-led “civil
patrols”, and the Government in particular targeted thousands of innocent indige-
nous Indian communities in rural areas suspected of harbouring guerrillas. Thirty
years of war left 100,000 to 150,000 civilians dead or “disappeared”, over one mil-
lion displaced persons and refugees, and over 400 villages completely destroyed.
Overall, the Government and paramilitary forces were estimated to have been
responsible for 80 per cent of the non-combatant deaths and for 50,000 disap-
pearances, giving Guatemala the reputation as Central America’s worst human
rights violator.
In 1982, an alliance of guerrilla forces and leftist and populist forces formed the
Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity (URNG). By the mid-1980s, the URNG
had garnered wide support in Guatemalan society, including many Catholic priests,
as well as foreign sympathy; a degree of military stalemate had set in. For its part,
the military saw the need by 1985 to begin to return to democracy. Multi-party
democracy was formally restored, and since then elections have been regularly
held.
However, participation in the elections remained low, coup attempts remained
Guatemala
a threat, and the Government did little to address economic issues or social ine-
qualities. Military-influenced governments continued to take advantage of a weak
judicial system and corrupt police force to maintain power. Criminal violence and
drug trafficking flourished.
Ultimately, the military and the main business interests supporting it realized
they could not achieve economic growth through foreign investment and aid unless
peace was restored. In addition, the labour unions and other opposition groups,
who had reorganized themselves into the Union and Popular Action Movement
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Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
(UASP) in 1988, began to advocate pragmatic social and economic reforms that
could make headway in negotiations. By the early 1990s, the Guatemalan conflict
had shifted to a primarily political struggle over issues of representation and public
policies. Widening support for meaningful democracy was evident.
The Negotiation Process
As the Cold War drew to a close and several other Central American governments
held democratic elections, two regional peace efforts also provided the impetus for
specific negotiations. The Contadora group, composed of Colombia, Venezuela,
and Panama and led by Mexico, came close to mediating an agreement in 1985. In
1986, Guatemalan President Cerezo convened a summit meeting of the five Central
American presidents in Guatemala, where they committed themselves to negotia-
tions to achieve peaceful settlements of the three ongoing wars, to further demo-
cratization and development, and notably, to the role of the United Nations rather
than the Organization of American States as facilitator and mediator. In Guatemala,
a National Commission on Reconciliation was created with Bishop Toruno of
Zacapa as chair.
Toruno initiated informal consultations among representatives of different sec-
tors of civil society: the legal political parties, business people, priests and lay church
leaders, unions, and academics. The result was agreement on the need for constitu-
tional reform, more popular participation in government, respect for human rights,
and improved social welfare.
Toruno then facilitated direct negotiations between the Government and the
URNG in 1991. This produced an agreement on democratization principles, inter-
national verification, an agenda and procedures for further discussion, and the role
of a UN mediator, but made little progress regarding civil rights. Further talks in
1993 produced a framework agreement that then led to four accords on human
rights, refugees, a truth commission and indigenous rights.
Five further accords were signed in 1996 regarding socio-economic and agrarian
issues, civilian power and the military, a cease-fire, constitutional reform, and re-
integration and reconciliation of former combatants. By late 1996, no less than 15
accords, including the final peace agreement in December 1996, had been negoti-
ated over five years between the URNG and three successive governments.
Although these accords were fostered and mediated by regional leaders, domes-
Guatemala
tic leaders, and particularly the UN, the progress of the peace process in Guatemala
can be attributed more to the changes occurring in Guatemalan politics than to the
tutelage of the UN and the international community. A confluence of pressures
came from several directions: a populist-oriented armed insurgency; modernizing
rightwing governments; a strengthening of civilian politicians vis-à-vis the military;
the rising influence of civil society (initially the economic interests of the emerging
Guatemalan business class but increasingly labour and other mass-based groups);
and the influence of reformism within the military itself.
303
Case Study: Guatemala
The Settlements
The human rights accord of March 1994 pledged the Government to end
impunity for human rights violations and illegal security structures, and foresaw the
creation of professional security forces, the protection of human rights workers, and
the immediate establishment of MINIGUA, a UN verification body. MINIGUA’s
tasks were to investigate and publicize human rights violations, ensure follow-up in
addressing them, and assist others in promoting protection against human rights
violations and in creating a culture of respect for human rights. The resettlement
accord of June 1994 called for improving local conditions and services to allow the
return of uprooted people, expediting the processing of their return, and for legal
changes to encourage return of land to original owners or their compensation.
Another June accord created a three-member commission to document past human
rights violations since the beginning of the conflict. This truth commission has the
power to determine institutional responsibility for violations of human rights, but
not to name names or bring cases for prosecution.
The indigenous population, composed of Mayan, Xinca, and Garifuna peoples,
was not represented in any peace negotiations. But the need to address their inter-
ests was clearly recognized. Thus, the rights of the indigenous population were
explicitly addressed in a sweeping agreement in 1995. This accord affirmed the
Government’s intention to address discrimination against the majority indigenous
population, by reforming the municipal code, decentralizing the educational system,
promoting media rights for indigenous peoples, and recognizing the need for com-
munal ownership of land. All 22 linguistic groups in Guatemala were accorded offi-
cial status, and the Government committed itself to support the use of their lan-
guages. But the details were left to the implementation process, through the work
of the designated commissions.
A definitive cease-fire was agreed between the Government and the URNG in May
1996, along with a socio-economic accord that included agrarian issues. The accord
addressed taxes, expenditures on health, housing and education; citizen par-
ticipation in decision-making; a land bank, and access to land for campesinos. But it
did not require tax reform and said little about land reform. The peace process cul-
minated in the September 1996 accord, which required reforms in the legislative,
Guatemala
judicial and executive branches. The role of the military was redefined, and its size
reduced by a third. The existing police force would be transformed into a profes-
sional civilian body, the civil defense patrols that had fought guerrillas in the high-
lands were abolished, and internal security was given to a civilian intelligence
agency. Subsequent accords addressed the details of the cease-fire, created an elec-
toral commission, and reincorporated the URNG into the normal legal life of the
country.
304
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Implementation
The accords pointed toward a major restructuring and transformation of Guate-
malan society. But the accords did not themselves require structural changes; their
specific meaning was left to be settled by new implementation mechanisms that were
created or envisioned by the accords. These mechanisms can be divided into inter-
national and domestic mechanisms for carrying out various agreements, and the
actual changes in the ways of government itself, some of which resulted from the
accords and some of which occurred apart from the formal negotiations process.
MINIGUA implemented the human rights provisions of the March 1994 accord
by setting up offices throughout the country to take complaints on violations and
promote local capacity for human rights. This deterred violations and thus enabled
the 1995 elections to proceed peacefully.
National-level institutional innovations involved representatives of domestic inter-
ests in the complex issues and responsibilities of effecting a durable peace. These
included commissions on the identity and rights of indigenous peoples, judicial
reform and modernization, the displaced, civil-military relations, incorporation of
the URNG, etc.
One of the most unusual processes was the Assembly of Civil Society (ASC), man-
dated by the January 1994 accord with Bishop Toruno in the chair. For eight months
in 1994, a broad array of social, labour, women’s, and religious groups, along with
major political parties, met and developed consensus positions on all aspects of the
peace process agenda. All sectors except the business community were involved.
Their recommendations were then forwarded to the UN moderator of the talks.
Subsequent agreements between the Government and the URNG were then to be
submitted to the ASC for ratification, thus giving them the character of national
commitments. The ASC gave opposition groups an opportunity to work together in
developing concrete policy proposals.
Other changes occurred completely apart from any specific accord, but were
obviously spurred by it. To show good intentions toward the peace process as well as
to obtain international legitimacy, the military abolished forced conscription in
mid-1994 and the system of military commissioners in 1995, and it demobilized the
civil defense patrols in 1996, even before the peace accord required it.
Guatemala
Prospects
There is little immediate likelihood of a renewed war in Guatemala, because the
URNG and Government have come to control their militant flanks. But violence
and intimidation continue and re-escalation remains possible. The military con-
tinues to play a role in public security, and thus behind the scenes in politics as well,
in part because of increased crime, kidnappings, and drug trafficking and because
the dismantling of the civil defense patrols has left a security vacuum in the coun-
305
Case Study: Guatemala
tryside where disputes over land are arising. But the military itself has yet to be held
to a significant accounting of past human right abuses because of its continued
political influence and the weakness of the judiciary system. A Public Prosecutor’s
Office has been established and the new code on criminal procedure is in effect, but
justices still have difficulty rendering decisions independently. The police force,
moreover, is insufficiently staffed and continues to have links to some of the milita-
rized groups. The truth commission has only operated since 1997, and its limited
powers make it unclear whether it will strike a balance that adequately alleviates the
deep grievances felt by the many victims of past offenses.
The least advanced aspect of the accords is the removal of discrimination against
indigenous peoples and the transformation of rural society and local decision-
making. It is being assumed that more equitable social policies and higher social
spending will be possible when efficiency is gained from economic reforms, economic
growth stabilizes, and state revenues increase. And yet the Congress continues to be
dominated by groups that represent more established and better-off national inter-
ests, who seem committed to fighting against implementation of the accords.
The Guatemalan parties have gone to the international community to pay for
over half of the $US 2.6 billion needed to implement the accords from 1997 to 2001.
But it is the broad-gauged and intersecting processes that have been set in motion
in Guatemala that will mainly determine whether, over the long term, the country
will leave the traditional patterns of governance clearly behind. Although large busi-
ness interests predominate, Guatemala’s politics overall are fragmented, and the
channels for the participation of hitherto excluded groups of citizens are only
beginning to have influence.
In spite of its implementation problems, the Guatemalan peace process has
demonstrated the value of giving detailed attention to issues of process and consul-
tation, even though it may be argued that there has been insufficient progress on
core issues such as social inequalities. Questions of how truly participative the
process has been in terms of including affected groups from outside the major par-
ties (such as indigenous communities, trade unions, etc.) have also been raised. The
initial credibility and legitimacy of the democratization experiment may not last
long without attention to these issues, and meaningful progress on the widespread
social changes envisaged in the peace settlement.
Guatemala
306
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Guatemala
307
4.11 Building an
Electoral Administration
Peter Harris
4.11 Building an Electoral Administration
Box 13
ELECTORAL ADMINISTRATION: INTERNATIONAL
TRENDS
In established democracies, national and local government
officials often handle electoral administration; while ordinary
courts settle disputes, as they have a tradition of fairness and neu-
trality and generally enjoy the confidence of the electorate.
In emerging democracies, on the other hand, there is an
increasing trend to establish an independent electoral
commission. This is seen as an important step in building
traditions of independence and impartiality, as well as in building
the confidence of the electorate and parties in the electoral
process. Most new democracies in recent years have adopted
independent electoral commissions. Their positive contribution
in difficult or transitional situations can be seen, for example,
during the 1991 parliamentary elections in Bangladesh and the
1992 presidential election in Ghana, as well as during the first
democratic elections in Namibia, South Africa and Mozambique.
Africa. The trend in Africa, particularly Southern Africa, is
towards establishing independent electoral commissions, which
have varying degrees of autonomy in terms of their relationship
with the government of the day (e.g., South Africa, Namibia,
Ghana, Malawi, Mauritius and Mozambique).
Asia. Independent electoral commissions are a long-standing
feature of a number of Asian democracies, including India and
Sri Lanka. Emerging Asian democracies, such as Thailand and
the Philippines, have also followed the route of establishing an
independent electoral commission.
Commonwealth countries. Commonwealth countries, such as
Australia, Canada and India as well as a number of African
Commonwealth states tend to favour the adoption of an
independent electoral commission as the vehicle for the
administration of their electoral processes.
Eastern Europe. Hungary, Slovenia, Romania, Poland,
Czechoslovakia and Bulgaria, all established central commissions
for their crucial transitional elections in 1989 and 1990. Russia
can also be added to this list.
Latin America. In Latin American countries there is a long
history of electoral administration which pre-dates similar reforms
in Spain. As a consequence, the influence of the colonizing states
on election administration practice, generally, has been limited
and has led to the development of a wide variety of approaches.
Furthermore, the liberalization of political systems in the last
decade has led to substantial changes in the electoral system and
major electoral reforms. Specific examples include Nicaragua and
Costa Rica where the national electoral authorities have status as
a “fourth branch” of government.
315
4.11 Building an
Electoral Administration
316
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
1
Thanks to Pat Keefer of the National Democratic Institute (USA) and Keith
Klein of the International Foundation for Election Systems (USA), on whose
advice to the South African Constituent Assembly in 1995 I have drawn for this
section.
319
4.12 National Machinery
for Gender Equality
Nomboniso Gasa
4.12 National Machinery for Gender Equality
sure that women are not excluded. Again South Africa’s consti-
tution goes one step further in that it specifically uses gender-
sensitive language, spelling out issues and their implications.
Since constitutions are interpreted by courts, it is important
that the method of constitutional and judicial review also en-
hances gender equality. In addition to the role of high courts in
judicial review, general systems of legal administration have seri-
ous implications for women in terms of access to legal recourse
and redress against administrative actions that perpetuate sexu-
al discrimination. In South Africa, for example, the Constitutio-
nal Court, although not established for gender equality issues per
se, is seen as an important institution for ensuring that interpre-
tation of the law and the constitution is in keeping with principles
of equality.
Box 14
GENDER EQUALITY IN THE CONSTITUTION:
THREE EXAMPLES
South Africa. The state may not unfairly discriminate directly or
indirectly against anyone on one or more grounds, including race,
gender, sex, pregnancy, marital status, ethnic or social origin,
colour, sexual orientation, age, disability, religion, conscience,
belief, culture, language and birth.
Chapter 2, Bill of Rights
Namibia. No persons may be discriminated against on the
grounds of sex, race, colour, ethnic origin, religion, creed or social
or economic status.
Article 10
Canada. Every individual is equal before the and under the law
and has the right to the equal protection and equal benefit of the
law without discrimination based on race, national or ethnic
origin, colour, religion, sex, age, or mental or physical disability.
Bill of Rights
ity issue. There are also concerns about the extent to which the
ministry is independent and able to challenge government policy.
In addition to the women’s ministry, Uganda and other coun-
tries such as Australia and South Africa have gender desks in line
ministries and other independent bodies (discussed below).
4.12.5 The Office of the Status of Women: the case of
Australia and South Africa
A second mechanism, the Office of the Status of Women
(OSW), evolved out of the recognition that women’s machinery
should be located in a central co-ordinating department and not
exist as a separate marginal entity. The OSW is located in the
highest decision-making offices. The major objectives of the
OSW are:
– To shape government policy to ensure that gender equality
issues are integrated into the overall policies and pro-
grammes of government;
– To help develop a gender policy framework for govern-
ment and develop mechanisms to monitor and evaluate
progress;
– To provide government with all information necessary to
implement programmes for gender equality;
– To monitor government progress or lack thereof in imple-
menting government policy, international covenants and
charters;
– To develop systems for disaggregation of gender in all gov-
ernment information;
– To co-ordinate gender desks or women’s units in line min-
istries.
In Australia, executive responsibility for the status of women
in the federal government is located in the prime minister’s of-
fice, while policy advice and administration is provided by an Of-
fice of the Status of Women, based in the Department of the Prime
Minister and Cabinet and managed by a senior civil servant.
The Office on the Status of Women in South Africa, similar to
its Australian counterpart, is based in the presidency, currently
in the deputy president’s office. It is headed by a deputy minis-
ter responsible for gender equality and youth development, but
its ultimate head is the deputy president. The OSW is repre-
sented in the cabinet through submissions and presentations
made by the deputy president’s office.
325
4.12 National Machinery
for Gender Equality
are integrated into the departments and are part of the depart-
mental machinery. They have access to discussions in line min-
istries and have the potential to affect policy and budgetary pro-
visions.
The disadvantage of gender focal points is that they do not
have direct access to the cabinet, and consequently are not in-
volved in decision-making at the cabinet level. Departments
themselves determine their priorities, making it difficult to pri-
oritize gender equality issues. Similarly, it is often left to depart-
ments to determine the scope of influence and priority given to
gender focal points. Often, the desks do not enjoy support staff.
There is also danger of marginalizing gender focal points with-
in line ministries or creating a departmental “dumping ground”
for gender equality issues. In Uganda, women have warned em-
phatically against gender focal points, saying that often the offi-
cers appointed are not senior enough to wield any authority in
the department.
4.12.7 National machinery in the legislature
The legislature is one of the most crucial institutions in the
national machinery. While electing women to parliament is seen
as one of the best mechanisms for promoting gender equality, in
the past decade the debate has emphasized the need to develop
strategies that seek to take women beyond numbers, to ensure
that the equality agenda is entrenched in parliament. There are
several options for promoting and mainstreaming the gender
equality agenda into the legislative process. These include:
– Special committees or women/gender committees;
– Women’s caucuses (multi-party);
– The requirement that a certain number of women repre-
sentatives are present in the legislature before a bill is
passed;
– Ensuring that on every parliamentary committee there is
one person representing gender issues.
The major objective of these mechanisms is to ensure that any
legislation passed takes into account women’s experiences and
equality issues. In the case of South Africa, for example, the
Committee on the Quality of Life and Status of Women plays a
major role in monitoring the implementation of CEDAW, the
Beijing Platform of Action and the overall equality programmes.
This committee, like the Australian OSW, has also initiated a wo-
men’s budget initiative. Women’s caucuses can also become a
platform for women across the political spectrum to meet, set an
327
4.12 National Machinery
for Gender Equality
329
MECHANISMS FOR ENTRENCHING GENDER EQUALITY
No disadvantages,
delineate princi- tion processes, in prominence of except that con-
ples and reveal a societies emerg- the constitution stitutional provi-
country’s political ing from conflict, and its legal sions do not guar-
commitment to during a constitu- standing, it is eas- antee equality.
issues. Therefore, tional review ier to influence Legislation and
wherever possi- process, in estab- society in which other mecha-
ble, gender equal- lished democra- the law of the nisms to ensure
ity should be cies; land declares a substantive equal-
enshrined in con- Negotiation commitment to ity must comple-
stitution. process offers a gender equality. ment constitu-
tremendous tional provisions;
opportunity to General agree-
ensure that gen- ments and state-
der equality is ments of intent
integrated and made at negotiat-
entrenched in the ing tables do not
building of a new always translate
nation. into long-lasting
commitment to
equality.
Danger of
building gender by minister or decision-making marginalization
equality; deputy minister; processes and in cabinet and in
Responsible for Allocated budget offices; government in
implementation by central Possibilities to general;
of government budgeting office; influence May become
gender policy; Senior political government “dumping
Represent women staff is usually policies and ground” or
and gender appointed by the programmes; “ghetto” for
equality issues in minister; Status in the women’s issues;
government; Senior civil cabinet (if Since part of the
Monitor servants usually headed by a government,
implementation pulled from civil minister); ability to
of gender service or Equal status with challenge
equality recruited from other ministers, government is
programmes by outside. which minimizes limited;
other ministers; possibility of Often, if not
Prepare being always,
government undermined. underfunded
reports in with little support
relation to structure;
equality; May become
Draft gender isolated from
equality policies women’s
or frameworks. movement;
Resentment by
other ministers
for “interfering”
with their
departments;
Appointment of
minister by
government can
be inhibiting,
particularly in
relation to
political
independence.
Needs adequate
and new statutory body; public debate of funds;
legislation; Accessible to the gender policies Needs political
Investigate public; and education; support.
complaints or acts Open and public Has significant
of discrimination appointment power to effect
on grounds of process of implementation
gender; members. of policies and
Conduct public programmes by
education on government and
issues pertaining public institutions
to gender (e.g., universities,
equality; private
companies);
Conduct
research; Independent
statutory body, so
Monitor/review
not tied to
policies of public
government.
funded bodies in
relation to
implementation
of gender
equality;
Recommend
legislation.
The struggle for gender equality in South Africa is a long and complex one.
South African women struggled to ensure that during the transition to democracy,
their experiences and their needs would be taken into account. During the negoti-
ations for a democratic settlement in South Africa, it was apparent that both the
principles of equality and non-sexism as well as the concrete mechanisms to achieve
these goals must be enshrined in the constitution. The model that South Africa
chose to ensure this is the product of years of vigorous debate, consultation and
comparative analysis. While it draws on features from the international experiences
of Australia, Canada and Uganda, the result is uniquely South African.
The South African national machinery has five main components:
– The Commission for Gender Equality;
– Structures in the legislature: special committees such as the Committee on the
Quality of Life and the Status of Women, and the women’s caucus;
– Structures in the administration: the Office on the Status of Women, and gender
focal points in line ministries;
337
Case Study: The
Commission for Gender
Equality in South Africa
338
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Commission
Committee
Committee
Committee
Committee
Officer
Committee
Staff
Technical
Staff
Experts
Technical
Staff
Experts
Technical
Staff
Experts
Technical
Experts
Strengths
– Provides a forum for discussion, education and implementation. The CGE
can play a critical role in ensuring that constitutional provisions for gender
equality are implemented. It provides a forum in which issues pertaining to
gender equality are addressed. It is a useful instrument for educating the pub-
lic about their rights and for raising national consciousness.
– Power and authority. The CGE has the power to effect the changes that are
required. If its recommendations are ignored, or if key politicians or the pri-
vate sector fail to address gender inequalities in their institutions, the CGE can
339
Case Study: The
Commission for Gender
Equality in South Africa
340
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
– Resources needed. The main resources needed by the CGE are financing,
political support, information, access to key files and documents (government
or otherwise), and skilled and experienced staff.
– Political support. Political support is important because it sends a message of
how seriously the government of the day views these structures. This support
and respect can help ensure that the commission has access to all key govern-
ment documents.
Lessons learned
– Accessibility and confidentiality. Accessibility of the commission to ordinary
people and the confidentiality with which issues are taken up is very impor-
tant. Some of the people approaching the commission may feel the need to
keep their identities secret and information confidential. It is important that
this is respected.
– Links with other mechanisms. The CGE will be effective if it works in con-
junction with other structures of the national machinery and other constitu-
tional bodies such as the Human Rights Commission and the Truth and
Reconciliation Commission. There should be an understanding that there is
341
Case Study: The
Commission for Gender
Equality in South Africa
However, its success depends on a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the
commission’s control. Based on this understanding, South Africans opted for a
“package” of mechanisms rather than one structure. Within this package the CGE is
a crucial component.
The Commission for Gender Equality
342
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Northern Ireland
343
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for
Sustaining the
Democratic
Settlement
5
For a peace
C H A P T E R
agreement
The overriding to endure,
determinant of whether a
parties to the conflict
peace agreement will
endure is the extent to
must be motivated
which the parties to the
to
avoid
conflict a return
continue to be to
motivated to avoid a
bloodshed.
return to bloodshed.
Once agreement has been reached, it must
endure – and that is the focus of this chapter.
First, this chapter highlights general principles
that should underlie a settlement’s
implementation; next, it analyses the key issues
which can either obstruct or advance the
implementation and sustainability of a
settlement; finally, it looks at the role of the
international community in assisting with the
settlement and its implementation process.
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Basic principles for sustaining settlements
5.3 Issues and concerns
5.4 International assistance and the role of the
international community
5.5 Conclusion
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Carlos Santiso,
Peter Harris and
David Bloomfield
5.1 Introduction
5 . 1 I n t r o d u c t i o n
“
the continent had over-emphasized multi-party elections ... and
correspondingly neglected the basic tenets of liberal governance.
[Thus,] formal compliance has been commonplace in the
continent, but real changes, evidenced in the drastic and
fundamental re-composition of structures, institutions, patterns
and goals of politics have been very few and far between.
5 . 2 B a s i c P r i n c i p l e s
5 . 2 B a s i c P r i n c i p l e s
be able to play this role, the judiciary itself must be fair and im-
partial, and perceived as such. Access to it must not be limited
or curtailed.
5.3.9 Maladministration
While the effects of maladministration may appear similar to
those of corrupt government, its cause is more likely to be inabil-
ity or inexperience, unintentional rather than by design. What-
ever the reason, however, incompetent governing will funda-
mentally undermine the settlement. Maladministration can pro-
duce paralysis in government, and can be swiftly taken advan-
tage of by opponents of the peace process. Maladministration
also makes the practice of corruption much easier due to con-
fusion and lack of controls or regulating mechanisms.
The same political education programmes mentioned in
Chapter 3 as an aid to preparing people for the negotiation
process can be extended to the post-settlement situation. Since
1995, for example, the Khmer Institute of Democracy, a Cambo-
dian NGO, has been training government officials in election
processes. Additionally, interaction with counterparts from other
countries, and with the international community in general, can
bolster the confidence and skills of an incipient regime.
It is essential that the parties to the settlement, as well as the
international community, carry out a practical and realistic
needs assessment of the areas in government administration
which require strengthening. Frequently, a new government
may be reluctant to admit that it has limited expertise in a given
area, and therefore may not ask for assistance. The conse-
quences of this failure to acknowledge a deficiency and request
assistance will ultimately have far greater effects on a govern-
ment than mere embarrassment. Limitations acknowledged and
acted on may be forgiven, but incompetence, delays and
possible cover-ups all serve to undermine the consolidation of a
new regime.
Several mechanisms exist to prevent or redress the conse-
quences of maladministration. The system of the Inspection Géné-
ral de l’Etat in Francophone countries provides an oversight
mechanism within the public administration to address malad-
ministration and corrupt practices. The Ombudperson system,
originally developed in Sweden but now a common mechanism
world-wide, provides an appeal mechanism for private citizens to
redress apparent violation of their rights by the public adminis-
tration.
363
5.3 Issues and Concerns
Europe
Europe provides the most sophisticated web of interlinked
and mutually reinforcing institutions and mechanisms for con-
flict prevention, management and resolution via norms of de-
mocracy. The range of such tools available to parties in conflict
has significantly increased in the last decade. European regio-
nal organizations provide incentives for democratic develop-
ment by requiring new members explicitly to adhere to demo-
cratic principles, including respect for human and minority
rights, the rule of law and good governance.
The pro-democratic influence of such membership criteria is
important both before and after a state actually joins the orga-
nization. Becoming a member is a long and complex process
that requires prior agreements establishing a co-operative fra-
mework for strengthening and deepening reform. Once mem-
bership is attained, there is continued convergence towards
common democratic policies in members’ political systems.
European Union (EU). A western European economic orga-
nization, the EU has set stringent economic and political crite-
ria for membership. Since the 1993 Copenhagen Summit, these
include democracy, respect for human rights, supremacy of the
rule of law, and observance of fundamental freedoms. The pos-
sibility of EU membership has strongly influenced the countries
of eastern and central Europe to further consolidate their
democratic gains and sustain momentum for political reform. In
addition, the EU has been supporting democratization process-
es in eastern and central Europe since the early 1990s, providing
“positive measures” of support to democratization.
An interesting case is Turkey, which has had a long-standing
and comprehensive co-operation agreement with the EU, with-
out so far actually meeting the threshold for membership. Arg-
uably, the prospect of membership, and significant and sus-
tained support from the EU, has helped Turkey to maintain the
momentum of its political reform agenda and provided it with a
strong incentive to democratize further.
An EU suspension clause was added in 1997 which provides for
the suspension of some or all membership rights in the event of
a violation of the Copenhagen principles. The principles are
also at the core of EU foreign policy: democracy and democracy
promotion has long been a central plank of its Common Fo-
reign and Security Policy.
371
5.4 International
Dimensions
Europe. While it has neither the structures nor the military capa-
bilities for peace-enforcement and peace-keeping, it is a forum
for pan-European discussion and co-operation, especially con-
cerning human and minority rights issues, confidence building
and conflict prevention. The OSCE has also facilitated negotia-
tions in deep-rooted conflicts between Azerbaijan, Armenia and
Armenian separatists in Karabakh.
Within the OSCE, the Office for Democratic Institutions and
Human Rights (ODIHR) – originally known as the Office for
Free Elections – is responsible for furthering human rights, de-
mocracy and the rule of law, including electoral assistance, ob-
servation and monitoring. The High Commissioner on National
Minorities also plays a significant role via monitoring and fact-
finding missions. The quiet, behind-the-scenes diplomacy by the
High Commissioner has played a role in defusing tension and
addressing the needs of minorities, particularly in eastern Europe.
Other mechanisms include the European Pact on Stability in
Europe of 1995, aimed at setting mechanisms for the peaceful
resolution of border and minority disputes, and the Convention
and Court on Conciliation and Arbitration (which entered into
force in 1994), which can be a useful tool for minority conflict
prevention (such as in the case of minorities in Hungary and Ro-
mania).
Latin America
Organization of American States (OAS). A pan-American se-
curity organization, the OAS has adopted a proactive stance in
support of democracy. It recognizes that the solidarity of
American states requires that each member be a “representative
democracy” and that it needs to be proactive in its efforts to pre-
serve democracy among its members. The fact that all OAS
members in Latin America have become progressively more de-
mocratic in recent years has been a fundamental factor in its de-
velopment over the last decade.
In 1991, OAS member states met in Santiago, Chile, to endor-
se a “Commitment to Democracy and the Renewal of the Inter-
American System”, which reaffirmed their “firm political com-
mitment to the promotion and protection of human rights and
representative democracy, as indispensable conditions for the
stability, peace, and development of the region”. This was follo-
wed by the adoption of Resolution 1080 in 1993. This enables
the secretary-general of the OAS to “call for the immediate con-
vocation of a meeting in the event of any … sudden or irregular
373
5.4 International
Dimensions
5.5 Conclusion
The principles of transparency, accountability and particular-
ly participation and inclusiveness are recurrent themes through-
out this chapter. If properly adhered to, these principles will
serve to protect and insulate a peace settlement from many of
the obstacles and issues that have the potential to derail its
implementation. The developing international consensus on
the importance of the role of democratic institutions and struc-
384
Democracy and Deep-Rooted Conflict: Options for Negotiators
5 . 5 C o n c l u s i o n
388
Democracy and Deep-Rooted
Conflict: Options for Negotiators
Conclusion
393
Annex I
Contributors
Peter Harris
Harris
Anstey
Director of the Industrial Relations Unit,
University of Port Elizabeth, South Africa,
and author of Practical Peacemaking: A Mediator’s
Handbook (Jutta and Co Ltd 1993).
Bloomfield Bennett
Christopher Bennett
Director of International Crisis Group’s Balkans
Project. He is author of Yugoslavia’s Bloody
Collapse (Hurst, London, and New York
University Press, New York, 1995).
David Bloomfield
Born in Belfast, author of Peacemaking Strategies
in Northern Ireland (1997), and
Political Dialogue in Northern Ireland (1998).
He holds an MA in Peace Studies and a
PhD in Conflict Resolution. Now a consultant
trainer and writer, and Research Fellow at
the University of Ulster’s Centre for the Study
of Conflict, he is completing a book on the
1996–1998 political negotiations in Ireland.
K. M. de Silva
de Silva
Michael Lund
Senior Associate at the Center for Strategic and
International Studies and Creative Associates
International, Inc., both in Washington, DC.
He is author of Preventing Violent Conflicts: A
Strategy for Preventive Diplomacy (US Institute of
Peace, 1996).
397
Charles Nupen
Nupen
An independent consultant, and formerly
the Director of the Commission for
Conciliation, Arbitration and Mediation in
South Africa.
David M. Olson
Olson
Andrew Reynolds
Assistant professor in the Department of
Government and International Studies at the
University of Notre Dame, USA. A British
national, he is also a Fellow of the Hellen
Kellogg Institute for International Studies
and the Joan B. Kroc Institute for International
Peace Studies. Reynolds is the author or editor
of five books dealing with the politics of
elections; his latest being Electoral Systems and
Democratization in Southern Africa (Oxford
University Press).
398
Carlos Santiso
Santiso
399
Annex II
Publications
Beyond Elections ‘96: A Two-Year Window of Opportunity for
Democracy – Proposals for the Transition towards Peace and
Democracy in Bosnia and Herzegovina
Evaluating Election Observation Missions: Lessons Learned
from the Russian Elections of 1996
International Election Observation: Lessons Learned
(A round-table jointly organized by the United Nations Electoral
Assistance Division and International IDEA,
10–12 October, 1995)
Evaluación del Impacto de la Asistencia Externa en el Proceso
Electoral Nicaragüense
ISBN: 91-89098-18-8 (1998)
Report of the “Democracy Forum” in Stockholm, 12–14 June,
1996
Report of the 1997 International IDEA, Democracy Forum
403
Report of the Roundtable on National Capacity-Building for
Democracy (12–14 February, 1996)
Voter Turnout from 1945 to 1997: A Global Report on Political
Participation (A comprehensive world-wide compilation of voter
turnout statistics since 1945.)
ISBN: 91-89098-04-8 (1997)
Code of Conduct Series (ISSN: 1402-6767)
Code of Conduct for the Ethical and Professional Discharge of
Election Observation Activities (English, French, Spanish)
English ISBN: 91-89098-10-2 (1997)
French ISBN: 91-89098-14-5 (1998)
Spanish ISBN: 91-89098-16-1 (1998)
Code of Conduct for the Ethical and Professional Discharge of
Election Administration Activities (English, French, Spanish)
English ISBN: 91-89098-11-0 (1997)
French ISBN: 91-89098-15-3 (1998)
Spanish ISBN: 91-89098-17-X (1998)
Capacity-Building Series (ISSN: 1402-6279)
1. Democracy in Romania: An Assessment Mission Report
ISBN: 91-89098-03-X (1997)
2. Consolidating Democracy in Nepal: An Assessment Mission
Report
ISBN: 91-89098-02-1 (1997)
3. La Démocratie au Burkina Faso, Executive
Summary/Rapport de Synthése
ISBN: 91-89098-08-0 (1997)
4. La Démocratie au Burkina Faso, Rapport de la Mission
d’Analyse, La Cadence du Développement Démocratique au
Burkina Faso
ISBN: 91-89098-07-2 (1998)
5. Democracy in Burkina Faso, Assessment Mission Report
The Cadence of Democratic Development in Burkina Faso
ISBN: 91-89098-24-2 (1998)
6. Democracia en Guatemala, La misión de un pueblo entero
ISBN: 91-89098-23-4 (1998)
Handbook Series (ISSN: 1402-6759)
1. The International IDEA Handbook of Electoral System
Design (An easy-to-use guide describing what factors to consider when
modifying or designing an electoral system.)
ISBN: 91-89098-00-5 (1997)
404
2. Women in Parliament: Beyond Numbers
(A handbook examining the political impact women have made
through parliaments.)
ISBN: 91-89098-19-6 (1998)
The International IDEA Technical Paper Series for Election
Administrators (ISSN: 1403-3275)
The Internet and the Electoral Process
ISBN: 91-89098-21-8 (1998)
405
Index
A
ADB (Asian Development Bank) 384
Afghanistan 10, 14, 369
Algeria 10, 14, 72, 391
Angola 51, 74, 77, 109, 112, 140, 391, 392
– Bicesse Accords 16, 63, 110, 346
– 1992 elections in 16
APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation forum) 375
Argentina 221, 276, 316, 351, 361, 374
ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) 375
Australia 32, 137, 157, 171, 173, 174, 176, 181, 194, 198, 210, 215, 221, 227,
311, 314, 315, 320, 325–327, 337, 381
autonomy 11, 34, 97, 140, 141, 145, 196, 219, 248, 389, 390
see Section 4.2, “The Structure of the State: Federalism and Autonomy”,
pp. 155–168
B
Bangladesh 10, 14, 315
Belgium 32, 162, 196, 248, 277
Benin 254, 257, 258, 261, 265–267, 268, 269, 270, 272, 378
bicameralism (see legislatures)
bilateral development agencies 376, 380–381, 382
Bosnia 9, 12, 31, 87, 105, 139, 140, 143, 146, 197, 293, 355, 390, 391, 392
see Bosnia-Herzegovina Case Study, pp. 147–154
– Brœko Arbitral Tribunal 108, 112
– Dayton, Ohio peace accords 26, 89, 90, 108, 110, 112, 140, 144, 149, 151,
152, 154, 165, 197, 391
Botswana 182
Bulgaria 246, 315
Burkina Faso 254
Burma 10, 14
Burundi 20, 37, 142, 143, 390, 391
C
Cambodia 10, 20, 140, 165, 355, 358, 362, 363, 369, 391, 392
Cameroon 254, 271, 378
Canada 32, 34,137, 156, 157, 167, 181, 194, 220, 221, 227, 235, 311, 315, 321,
407
322, 323, 337, 364, 365, 379, 380, 381
– Quebec 34, 46, 156, 166, 167, 235, 247, 248
Central African Republic 254, 271
Chad 254, 257, 287, 378
checks and balances 180, 182, 186, 188, 189, 316, 349, 350, 351, 365–367
Chile 135, 185, 221, 274, 283, 287, 316, 373
China 159, 161, 379
– Hong Kong autonomy and 156, 159
Colombia 10, 186, 200, 303, 351
Commonwealth of Nations 208, 235, 315, 372, 375, 376
Comoros 254
conditionality 165, 367, 369, 372, 376, 377, 378, 379, 382, 383, 385
Congo (Brazzaville) 254, 257, 258, 261, 267–268, 270, 365, 378
consociational democracy 162, 196, 197, 203
corruption 346, 350, 358, 362–363, 365, 377, 381, 383
Costa Rica 186, 315
Côte d’Ivoire 254, 378
Council of Europe 241, 372
Cyprus 31, 34, 141, 142, 162, 182
D
de Klerk, F.W. 38, 52, 55, 56, 63, 102
deadlock 55, 57, 58, 61, 62, 65, 66, 68, 88, 99–104, 105, 182, 186, 189, 231
decommissioning of weapons 74, 128, 129, 131, 354, 355, 364, 365
deep-rooted conflict
– analysis of See Chapter 2, “Analysing Deep-Rooted Conflict”, pp. 29–48
– changing nature of See Chapter 1, “The Changing Nature of Conflict
and Conflict Management”, pp. 7–28
– characteristics of 9–13, 14, 24, 33–37, 72
– definition of 9, 14, 21
– management versus resolution 13–24, 31, 34, 38, 39, 108
democracy
– assistance 367–385
– conflict management and 17–27, 135–136
– definition of 18–19, 136–137, 392
– importance of democratic institutions 13, 16–20, 36, 135–137
Democratic Republic of Congo (formerly Zaire) 18, 254, 257, 258, 269–270,
271, 296, 379
Denmark 156, 380
E
EBRD (European Bank for Reconstruction and Development) 384
ECOWAS (Economic Community of West African States) 375
El Salvador 74, 274, 283, 285, 286, 288, 353, 365, 369, 379
408
electoral administration See Section 4.11, “Building an Electoral
Administration”, pp. 308–319
electoral systems 137, 141, 181, 187, 188, 207, 208, 209, 210, 222, 347, 391, 392
See Section 4.4, “Electoral Systems for Divided Societies”, pp. 191–204
–AV (alternative vote) 192, 193, 194, 196, 197, 202, 203, 204, 209
–best-loser system 201
–communal rolls 192, 199, 200, 203, 209
–List PR (proportional representation) 192, 193, 195, 196–197, 198, 201,
202, 203, 204, 209
– party block vote 194, 200, 201, 203
– reserved seats 200, 204
– STV (single transferable vote) 192, 193, 196, 198–199, 202, 203, 204
– vote pooling 145, 204, 209
escalation 37–38, 46–47, 142
Estonia 198, 199, 203, 247
Ethiopia 72, 84, 161, 165, 254, 275, 279, 292
EU (European Union) 12, 57, 105, 142, 153, 158, 370, 371, 381
F
federalism 137, 140, 141, 144, 145
See Section 4.2, “The Structure of the State: Federalism and Autonomy”, pp.
155–168
– advantages of 161–163
– asymmetrical federalism 34, 156
– resistance to 163–164
(see also autonomy)
Fiji 31, 35, 141, 161, 162, 176, 181, 198, 199, 376
See Fiji Case Study, pp. 205–211
– Constitution Review Commission 207, 208, 210
Finland 100, 365, 380
– A° land Islands 156, 158
– semi-presidential system 186, 188
foreign aid 249, 369, 376, 377, 379
France 72, 182, 186, 194, 245, 277, 311, 323, 378
G
Gabon 254, 258, 271, 378
gender equality mechanisms 25, 392
See Section 4.12, “National Machinery for Gender Equality”, pp. 320–334;
and The Commission for Gender Equality in South Africa Case Study,
pp. 335–342
– CEDAW (Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination
Against Women) 239, 323, 327, 334
– Commission for Gender Equality 57, 323, 333, 335–342
409
– constitutional mechanisms 321–322, 330
– gender desks/focal points 323, 326–327, 332
– ministries for women's affairs 323–324, 331
– Ministry for Gender and Community Development, Uganda 324–325
– Office of the Status of Women 323, 325–326, 332
Georgia 12, 36, 159
Ghana 163, 214, 315
governance 16, 20, 31, 43, 136, 180, 184, 258, 259, 306, 347, 351, 359, 369, 371,
376–378, 380, 381, 382, 383, 384, 389
grand coalitions 140, 144, 181, 182, 196, 201, 210
Guatemala 10, 352, 358, 374, 378, 379
See Guatemala Case Study, pp. 299–307
Guinea 254
Guinea-Bissau 254
H
Haiti 348, 364, 374, 378, 379
human rights instruments 160 See Section 4.6, “Human Rights Instruments”, pp.
234–242
– minority rights 140, 143, 160, 236–237, 240–242, 364, 371, 372, 373
– religious and ethnic persecution 236–237
– women’s rights 239–240, 321
Hungary 195, 221, 277, 315, 373
I
IDB (Inter-American Development Bank) 382, 384
IMF (International Monetary Fund) 151, 382–383
India 31, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 65, 77, 194, 252, 314, 315, 326
– federalism in 34, 137, 156, 158, 160, 162, 163, 200
– Kashmir question 35, 156, 163
– Sri Lanka and See Sri Lanka Case Study, pp. 225–233
Indonesia 10, 14, 142, 159, 164, 197, 293, 375, 379, 382
International Criminal Court 291, 294
international democracy assistance (see democracy, assistance)
Iraq 10, 14, 47, 77, 110
Israel 10, 14, 63, 68, 83, 84, 85, 89, 107, 112, 188, 233, 346, 360
K
Kenya 104, 158, 159, 163, 187, 254, 272, 296, 378, 379, 383
L
language policy 227, 228, 237, 239, 240, 242
See Section 4.7, “Language Policy for Multi-Ethnic States”, pp. 243–251
– assimilation and 243, 245–246
410
– language boards 145, 247–248, 249
– pluralism and 243, 246, 247, 248
Latvia 247, 249, 250
leadership 38, 58, 217–218, 389, 393
Lebanon 31, 84, 140, 142, 200, 203, 233
– Taif Accord 142
legislatures 179, 181, 182, 183, 184, 185, 186, 188, 189, 191, 192, 198, 201, 203,
327, 337, 347, 360, 361, 362, 391
See Section 4.5, “Legislatures for Post-Conflict Societies”, pp. 212–224
Lesotho 379
M
Malawi 315, 378, 379
Malaysia 31, 33, 34, 35, 155, 156, 164, 210, 249
Mali 254, 257, 258, 268, 270, 272, 378
Mandela, Nelson 38, 52, 53, 55, 56, 69, 71, 74, 283
Mauritius 32, 194, 201, 203, 210, 315
mediation 23, 54, 65, 105, 110, 113, 161, 166, 233, 242, 360, 369
– power 109–110, 111, 112
– pure 108–109, 110, 111, 112
(see also shuttle mediation)
MERCOSUR (Southern Atlantic Common Market) 374
Mexico 185, 195, 222, 303, 316
Meyer, Roelf 64, 100
minority rights (see human rights instruments, minority rights)
Mitchell, George 128, 129, 130, 390
monitoring 57, 151, 176, 177, 260, 285, 286, 312, 313, 316, 323, 325, 326, 327,
337, 338, 341, 349, 350, 353–355, 358, 359, 360, 362, 364, 372, 373
Morocco 35
– Western Sahara question 35
Mozambique 63, 77, 84, 89, 315, 354, 357, 365, 369
multilateral development banks 382–384
N
Namibia 315, 321, 322, 323, 369
national conferences See Section 4.8, “National Conferences”, pp. 252–262; and
National Conferences in Francophone Africa Case Study, pp. 263–272
NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) 151, 152, 291, 372
negotiation See Chapter 3, “Negotiation Processes”, pp. 59–120
Netherlands 196, 203, 380
New Zealand 175, 176, 195, 199, 200, 210, 227
Nicaragua 218, 315, 357, 369, 384
Niger 200, 254, 257, 258, 271, 378
Nigeria 34, 106, 112, 156, 162, 221, 222, 254, 376
411
Northern Ireland 10, 11, 12, 14, 26, 34, 62, 74, 81, 84, 88, 89, 91, 92, 100, 142,
198, 199, 203, 360, 365, 367, 389, 390
See Northern Ireland Case Study, pp. 121–132
Norway 67, 100, 107, 380
O
OAS (Organization of American States) 108, 370, 373, 374, 384
OAU (Organization of African Unity) 370, 374
OECD-DAC (Development Assistance Committee of the Organization for
Economic Co-operation and Development) 377, 378
OSCE (Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe) 105, 151, 160,
370, 372, 373
Oslo agreement 83, 85, 346, 360
P
Pakistan 35, 200, 252, 313
Palestinian Authority 83, 89, 107, 112, 160, 200, 360
Papua New Guinea 158, 159, 161, 162, 165, 182, 198, 203, 219, 252
See Bougainville Case Study, pp. 169–178
– Bougainville 159, 166, 389, 390 See Bougainville Case Study, pp. 169–178
parliamentarism 179, 180, 181, 183, 186, 188
parliamentary systems (see legislatures)
peace-keeping 15, 31, 368, 369, 373, 374, 375
Philippines 61, 135, 161, 287, 315, 375
Portugal 75, 186
power-sharing democracy 81, 126, 128
See Section 4.1, “Power-Sharing Democracy: An Overview”, pp. 139–146
– group approach (see also consociational democracy) 140–141, 144, 145, 196
– integrative approach 140–141, 144, 145, 196
pre-negotiation (see also negotiation) 24, 57, 66–69, 72, 75, 76, 81, 85, 87, 88,
100, 102, 106, 356
presidential systems 16, 135, 219
See Section 4.3, “Executive Type: Presidential versus Parliamentarism”, pp.
179–190
proximity talks 79, 80, 101–102, 103
R
Ramaphosa, Cyril 64, 91, 92, 100
referendums 17, 55, 92, 93, 102, 103, 118, 130, 131, 163, 165, 166, 176, 260,
266, 267, 268
refugees 11, 12, 14, 15, 153, 302, 303, 365
Russia 10, 12, 14, 33, 35, 36, 246, 247, 248, 249, 250, 315, 351, 361, 365
Rwanda 12, 142, 143, 237, 289, 290, 291, 292, 293, 294, 346, 355, 390, 391
412
S
SADC (Southern African Development Community) 375
Sant’Egidio Community 63, 89
Savimbi, Jonas 16, 345, 355
semi-presidential systems 179, 180, 185, 186–187, 188, 189, 272
Senegal 254
shuttle mediation 80, 82, 99, 101, 103, 116
Sierra Leone 10, 140, 375, 376, 379
Slovenia 200, 221, 315
South Africa 26, 34, 38, 62, 63, 64, 68, 73, 77, 81, 88, 91, 100, 102, 104, 135,
140, 143, 144, 156, 163, 181, 182, 188, 196, 197, 202, 203, 214, 215, 222,
235, 254, 257, 258, 271, 272, 274, 275, 279, 283, 284, 287, 312, 314, 321,
322, 323, 325, 326, 327, 328, 347, 353, 362, 366, 367, 375
See South Africa Case Study, pp. 49–58
– CODESA (Conference for a Democratic South Africa) 53, 55, 81, 271
– Commission for Gender Equality See The Commission for Gender Equality
in South Africa Case Study, pp. 335–342
Spain 12, 34, 71, 156, 159, 160, 161, 165, 166, 274, 315
– Basque question 12, 34, 71, 72, 159, 166
Sri Lanka 10, 12, 14, 31, 33, 34, 65, 140, 142, 155, 159, 160, 161, 163, 164, 186,
187, 198, 252, 315, 379
See Sri Lanka Case Study, pp. 225–233
Sudan 18, 62, 75, 76, 140, 159, 163
Sweden 219, 326, 363, 380
Switzerland 34, 156, 179, 196, 203, 247
– South Tyrol 158, 245
T
Tajikistan 140
Tanzania 292
– Zanzibar 156, 157, 166
Thailand 315, 375, 379
third-party assistance (see also mediation) 104–113
Togo 254, 257, 258, 269, 270, 271, 272
transitional justice 136, 293, 294
See Section 4.9, “Transitional Justice”, 273–280; and Section 4.10, “Reckoning
for Past Wrongs: Truth Commissions and War Crimes Tribunals”, pp.
281–298
(see also truth commissions, war crimes tribunals)
Trinidad and Tobago 32, 182
truth commissions 273, 274, 303, 304, 306
See Section 4.10, “Reckoning for Past Wrongs: Truth Commissions and War
Crimes Tribunals”, pp. 281–298
413
U
Uganda 159, 163, 288, 324–325, 327, 337
UNDP (United Nations Development Programme) 249, 268, 381
United Kingdom (see also Northern Ireland) 11, 12, 104, 124, 126, 127, 129, 181,
194, 213, 221
United Nations 47, 57, 74, 105, 110, 141, 149, 152, 160, 210, 227, 235, 238, 240,
274, 286, 289, 291, 292, 293, 294, 303, 323, 335, 353, 354, 355, 365,
367–369, 370, 384
United States 26, 32, 47, 82, 83, 84, 88, 89, 90, 104, 105, 108, 110, 112, 125,
128, 152, 159, 184, 186, 210, 213, 218, 222, 245, 301, 355, 380, 390
Uruguay 273, 278, 316, 374, 384
USAID (US Agency for International Development) 380
V
Venezuela 186, 195, 303, 351
W
war crimes tribunals 136, 237, 286
See Section 4.10, “Reckoning for Past Wrongs: Truth Commissions and War
Crimes Tribunals”, pp. 281–298
women's participation (see also gender equality mechanisms) 24–25
World Bank 151, 266, 267, 382, 383, 384
Y
Yugoslavia19, 31, 36, 139, 160, 164, 237, 274, 275, 289, 290, 291, 294
– Kosovo 139, 154
Z
Zaire (see Democratic Republic of Congo)
Zimbabwe 77, 283, 346, 358
414