CalculationsManual4.05 NA (S CURVE)
CalculationsManual4.05 NA (S CURVE)
CalculationsManual4.05 NA (S CURVE)
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Copyright © 2008 ARGUS Software, Inc. All rights reserved.
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shall not be held legally responsible for any typographical, arithmetic and listing errors.
Version: 4.05 Doc. Version: 1.0 Rev. Date: 10/7/08 ARGUS Developer Calculations Manual
i
CONTENTS
Table of Contents
Chapter 1
Valuation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Valuation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Valuation Rent. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Rent Escalation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
% Rents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Hotel Valuation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Capitalization Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Gross Development Value . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Purchaser’s Costs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Net Realization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Chapter 2
Land Transfer Tax . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Cumulative Bands . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Non-Cumulative Bands . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Chapter 3
Cash Flow. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Internal Rate of Return and Net Present Value . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Inflation and Rent Escalation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Chapter 4
Finance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Basic Finance (Interest Sets) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Interest Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Breakdown of Interest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Structured Finance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Mortgage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Chapter 5
Performance Measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Profit on Cost%. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Profit on GDV%. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Development Yield . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Cost per gross sq ft/sq m . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Cost per net sq ft/sq m. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Plot Ratio (Floor Area Ratio) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Cap Rent per net sq ft/sq m. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Chapter 6
Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
S Curve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
Weighted Curve. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
Chapter 7
Contact details. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
CHAPTER 1
Valuation
Valuation
The capital value of an investment property is calculated by capitalizing the net rental income
stream from the property.
The yield, used to capitalize the rental income, reflects the return required by investors in the open
market for a type of investment. In simple terms, the yield is the income from an investment
expressed as a proportion of the investment’s Capital Value, or Capitalized Rent (CR).
From this simple formula we can calculate the capital value of a property when the rent and yield
are known.
An example valuation is displayed in the Project Proforma screen of ARGUS Developer as
follows:
For more complex valuations in which you may wish to take account of, for example, future
changes in income, the formula may be expanded.
Valuation Rent
To value a property investment, any non-recoverable costs must be deducted from the gross annual
rent to calculate the actual net rental income receivable by the investor, or the Net Operating
Income. Such costs might include non-recoverable outgoings such as vacancy costs and non-
recoverable service charge or insurance. The net rent is then capitalized to calculate the value of the
investment.
In ARGUS Developer, the net operating income is identified as the Valuation Rent, displayed in
Capitalized Rent as follows:
The Valuation Rent, or net rent, in this example is therefore $449,000 per annum.
Valuation Rent = 500000 - 51000 = 449000
Rent Escalation
If rent escalation is applied from the project start date, then the initial Valuation Rent will include
escalation at the specified rate for the period from the project start date. Fixed deductions are not
grown.
The formula to calculate rent escalation is as follows:
n-
-----
i 12
R × 1 + ---------
100
R = Current annual rent, to be inflated
i = Annual rate of escalation, as a percentage
n = Escalation period in months
important to note that deductions are calculated on the inflated Annual Gross Rent, so that the
calculation of the Valuation Rent in the above example is as follows:
24
------
3 12
Inflated Annual Gross Rent = 500000 × 1 + --------
- = 530450
100
Deductions from the inflated annual gross rent are then calculated as follows:
% Rents
Percentage, or %, rents are calculated based on Sales Volume or turnover.
Details of the anticipated Sales Volume per annum must be entered. A multiplier is then applied to
the Sales Volume to calculate the Turnover (or %) Rent.
The Sales Volume may be defined as a fixed annual amount throughout the cash flow. Alternatively
the user can apply escalation to the Sales Volume by applying a Rent Escalation Set, and specify
whether the Sales Volume grows during the income period or for the whole cash flow period.
There are three “Breakpoint Type” options available for the calculation of % rents:
• zero breakpoint
• natural breakpoint
• arbitrary breakpoint
Zero Breakpoint
When zero breakpoint is selected, the % Turnover multiplier is applied to the entire Sales Volume
p.a. to calculate the rent payable. The rent payable will therefore rise and fall depending on
turnover.
% rent pa = Sale Volume pa × % Turnover
Example: Assuming an Annual Sales Volume of $1,000,000 and % Turnover set at 7%, the % rent
is calculated as follows:
·
% rent pa = 1000000 × 0.07 = 70000
Natural Breakpoint
This is used when the total rent payable comprises a core, or base, rent together with an additional
% rent. In this case the rent payable will never fall below the base rent. For example, a lease may
guarantee the landlord a percentage of total sales subject to a minimum core rent.
In order to calculate the “Natural Breakpoint” the core rent is calculated as an equivalent value in
terms of Sales Volume, by dividing the rent by the % Turnover. This equivalent value is the Natural
Breakpoint.
Base Rent
Natural Breakpoint = ----------------------------
% Turnover
Only Sales Volume in excess of this Natural Breakpoint is used for the calculation of % Rent. So
the % Rent is calculated as follows:
Example: Assuming Sales Volume pa of $1,000,000, Base rent of $10,000 pa and % Turnover of
8%, the calculation is:
10000
Natural Breakpoint = --------------- = 125000
0.08
Arbitrary Breakpoint
The Arbitrary Breakpoint may be entered as an amount per month per unit area (in sq ft or sq m) or
as a total annual amount. Only Sales Volume in excess of the Arbitrary Breakpoint is used to
calculate the Percentage Rent. So:
Example: Assuming a Sales Volume pa of $1,000,000, Rent $100,000 pa, Arbitrary Breakpoint set
at $200,000 and % Turnover of 8%, the rent payable is calculated as follows:
Hotel Valuation
In ARGUS Developer hotels may be valued by selecting the Use Type “Hotel” in the Capitalized
Rent form.
Typically hotel valuation is based on room and occupancy rates, rather than floor area. Occupancy
rates may vary throughout the year, with varying room rates applied, and the valuation should
reflect this. A typical hotel valuation cannot, therefore, be undertaken using the straightforward
“Area * Rent Rate * Yield” model as for other types of valuation. Hotel valuation requires several
steps to be completed before capitalization can take place.
To establish the rental value of a hotel, occupancy profiles must be defined for different room
types within the hotel, specifying the average occupancy rate (as a percentage) for each month of
the year. These occupancy rates are then multiplied by the room rate to calculate the total annual
rental value for each room type. This is then multiplied by the total number of rooms to give a total
MRV (Market Rental Value) for the hotel.
The formula is as follows:
MRV pa = [ Daily room rate × Occupancy rate × No. days ] × Total no. rooms
The total MRV for the hotel is then capitalized in the usual way (see “Valuation” on page 1).
Example: To use a simple example for illustrative purposes: a hotel with 15 double rooms, all of
which are available at a room rate of $50 per night. Assuming average occupancy throughout the
year of 80%, the MRV may be calculated as follows:
MRV pa per room = Room Rate × Occupancy Rate × No. days
MRV pa per room = 50 × 0.8 × 365 = 14600
Therefore, the hotel gross rent is calculated:
Total MRV pa = MRV pa per room × Total no. rooms
Total MRV pa = 14600 × 15 = 219000
This total gross rent per annum of $219,000 is then capitalized to produce a capital value for the
hotel (see “Valuation” on page 1).
The above example would be entered in the Capitalized Rent form in ARGUS Developer as
follows:
Occupancy Profiles
More complex occupancy profiles can be created, specifying different average occupancy rates for
each month of the year.
The annual gross rent, or MRV, is calculated by multiplying each month’s occupancy rate by the
number of days in that month and totalling these for the whole year. The room rate is multiplied by
the resultant figure.
Where:
OR1 = Occupancy rate in month 1
D1 = Number of days in month 1
Capitalization Method
A valuation is undertaken for each tenant/unit in the Capitalized Rent form in Argus Developer,
provided a cap rate is entered.
There are three capitalization options available for the valuation. These methods can be selected
from the Capitalization Method drop-down in the Receipts tab of the Assumptions for Calculation
window.
The options are:
• Hardcore;
• Capitalize Sale Date NOI;
• Capitalize 12 month NOI. See “Capitalize 12 month NOI” on page 9.
These methods of calculation are outlined below.
Hardcore Method
When the Hardcore method of valuation is used, ARGUS Developer takes the Net rent at the sale
date and the market rental value (MRV) at that date, if different, and applies the appropriate
capitalization yield to calculate the capital value.
The Hardcore method values rental income in layers. The “core” net rental income is valued into
perpetuity at the yield or “hardcore rate”, as outlined in the Valuation section above.
If the property is reversionary, i.e. the market rental value is higher than the current rent, then the
future uplift in income or “reversion” is also capitalized. This future increase in rental income is
valued at the same yield and discounted to a present value.
This can be illustrated as follows:
$
REVERSION
CORE RENT
time
CR = [ NI × Years Purchase into perpetuity ] + [ ( NR-NI ) × Years Purchase into perp. × Present Value ]
1 1 -n
CR = NI × --- + ( N R-NI ) × --- × ( 1 + i )
i i
where:
CR = Gross capital value, or Capitalized Rent
NI = Net current rent per annum (net of any deductions and ground rent) i.e. Valuation Rent
NR = Net open market rental value (MRV) per annum (net of any deductions and ground rent)
i = Hardcore rate (yield)
n = Number of years from the valuation date to the reversion to market rent
Details of rents and yields are entered in ARGUS Developer in the Capitalized Rent form. Years
Purchase and Present Value multipliers may be sourced from valuation tables.
Example: For a freehold property let at a net rent of $100,000 per annum, with a reversion to
market rental value (MRV) of $115,000 per annum at the next rent review in four years’ time, and
adopting a hardcore rate (yield) of 8.00% (annually in arrears), the valuation is calculated as
follows:
1 1 -4
CR = 100000 × ---------- + 15000 × ---------- × ( 1 + 0.08 )
0.08 0.08
-d
1 1- ( 1 + i ) -n 1 -( n + d )
CR = NI × --- - NI × --------------------------- × ( 1 + i ) + ( N R-NI ) × --- × ( 1 + i )
i i i
where:
CR = Gross capital value, or Capitalized Rent
NI = Net current rent per annum (net of any deductions and ground rent) i.e. Valuation Rent
NR = Net open market rental value (MRV) per annum (net of any deductions and ground rent)
-0.75
1 1- ( 1 + 0.08 ) -4 1 -4.75
CR = 100000 × ---------- - 100000 × ------------------------------------------- × ( 1 + 0.08 ) + 15000 × ---------- × ( 1 + 0.08 )
0.08 0.08 0.08
So:
is no vacancy or free rent between terms) that falls within the 12 month period. No adjustment
would be made for “market” percentage rent or any renewals where there has been a vacancy or
free period.
3. Rent Additions and Costs - only those that are capitalized are included. Rent Additions and
Costs are calculated during periods of free rent, so only the treatment of Rent Additions and
Costs during vacancy need to be considered. Since Base Rent is being calculated during periods
of Vacancy, Rent Additions and Costs are included also to simulate having a lease in place.
Therefore, Rent Additions and Costs are included during the entire 12 month period, with no
need to do separate calculations for each base term/vacant/renewal segment that could be
included in the 12 months. These are not subject to vacancy at this time.
4. TIs and Lease Commissions - it is possible to have TIs and/or Commission costs payable in
respect of a new or renewal lease that would commence during the 12 month projection.
On the Receipts tab in the “Capitalization” area, if the Deduct Post-Sale TI Costs and Lease
Commissions from Capital Value check box is checked on, this reduces the proceeds of sale
when this Capitalization method is active.
Escalation and Inflation
During the 12 month run off period, it is assumed that escalation will continue on rent, turnover
(percentage) rent and Additional Rent revenues. Inflation will continue on TI costs and Additional
Rent costs.
Historic Data Files
Existing files are defaulted to calculate according to the current calculation methodology, in respect
of capitalization (in other words, “off”) so values will not change on existing files.
NDV = GDV-A
where:
NDV = Net Development Value
GDV = Gross Development Value
A = Acquisition costs (also referred to as purchaser’s costs - see below)
Note: The data entry field for Purchaser’s costs is hidden unless Show Purchaser’s Costs has
been checked on the Country tab of System Configuration, under Administration in the File
menu.
Purchaser’s Costs
Purchaser’s costs, or acquisition costs, are calculated on the price paid for an investment, i.e. on
Capitalized Rent. These are generally not deducted from gross sales receipts (Unit Sales), although
the user may select this option (Apply to Direct Sales) in the Expenditure tab of the Assumptions
for Calculation form.
Note: The data entry field for Purchaser’s Costs is hidden unless Show Purchaser’s Costs has
been checked on the Country tab of System Configuration, under Administration in the File
menu.
Purchaser’s costs comprise agents and legal fees, and other acquisition costs, totalled to give a
single percentage figure.
Costs are generally residualised on the total Capitalized Rent and are calculated by the following
formula:
CR
A = CR- -----------------
( 1 + a )
where
CR = Capitalized Rent
a = Purchaser’s costs, expressed as a percentage
A = Purchaser’s costs, expressed as an amount
In ARGUS Developer, in the Expenditure tab of Assumptions for Calculation, users may specify
whether Purchaser’s Costs are calculated on the Gross Development Value (i.e Capitalized Rent
before deduction of purchaser’s costs) or Net Development Value.
The above formula assumes Purchaser’s Costs are calculated on the Net Development Value. If the
Gross Development Value is selected for calculation, the formula for calculating Purchaser’s Costs
on the Capitalized Rent is as follows:
A = CR × a
In the Expenditure tab of Assumptions for Calculation in ARGUS Developer, the user may also
select whether Purchaser’s Costs are to be deducted from revenue or added to costs.
Net Realization
Net Realization is the Net Development Value plus any rental income received from tenants during
the project or phase where tenants’ income stream has been enabled.
CHAPTER 2
Land Transfer Tax
Land Transfer Tax is the tax payable by the purchaser when acquiring land or property, generally
calculated as a % of the purchase price. In ARGUS Developer this is calculated on the Land
Acquisition Price.
Land Transfer Tax can be entered as a single % rate or amount in the Land Transfer field in
Definition or, when the tax is calculated at different %s based on stepped thresholds, a tax profile
can be created using the Land Transfer Tax Schemes form in File|Administration.
Bands are defined by specifying lower and upper band limits and the % tax rate applicable to each
band. The calculation of tax may also be as cumulative or non-cumulative, and fixed amounts can
be manually specified for each band if required.
Cumulative Bands
In some countries, land transfer tax is calculated as a continual accumulation from one band to the
next (as opposed to a single percentage applied to the total value). In this case the tax bands are
cumulative, with differing rates applied to different tranches of the purchase price. These are
totalled to calculate the total tax payment.
For example, purchase tax on a $1,000,000 acquisition, based on the Land Transfer Tax Scheme set
out below, would be calculated as follows:
Tax calculation:
$55,000 @ 0.5% $275.00
$195,000 @ 1.0% $1,950.00
$750,000 @ 1.5% $11,250.00
$1,000,000 $13,475.00
Non-Cumulative Bands
When bands are non-cumulative, tax is calculated on the whole purchase price at the single % rate
applicable to the band within which the total purchase price falls.
For example, purchase tax on a $450,000 acquisition, based on the Land Transfer Tax Scheme set
out below, would be calculated as follows:
Non-Cumulative Land Transfer Tax Scheme:
Lower Limit Upper Limit Percentage
$0 $59,999 0.00%
$60,000 $249,999 1.00%
$250,000 $499,999 2.50%
$500,000 (No limit) 4.00%
Tax is calculated on the whole purchase price at 2.5%, since the property purchase price of
$450,000 falls within the band $250,000-$499,999.
So the Purchase Tax payable is:
$450,000 * 2.50% = $11,250
CHAPTER 3
Cash Flow
R x1 R +V
R x2 R x ( n-1 ) xn xn
V 0 = ------------ + ----------------------- + ... + ---------------------------------- + --------------------------
1 + a ( 1 + a ) x ( n-1 ) ( 1 + a ) xn
( 1 + a ) x2
where:
V0 = Initial value, or Acquisition Price, as a manual figure or residual through iteration
mathematics.
a = Discount rate
n = Number of periods
x = Measure standard for the period (i.e. monthly)
R = Net Income after operating costs and ground rent
Vxn = Valuation net of associated costs
The Cash Flow works through for each period resulting in the accumulation by:
xn
Ri V xn
V0 =
∑ ------------------
(1 + a) (1 + a)
- + -----------------------
i xn
i=1
where:
Ri = Recurring periodic net revenue
The practical effects of x and n are illustrated below.
The standard principles for discounting are applied so that the NET PRESENT VALUE is ZERO.
The program finds the IRR by iterating (produces multiple calculated guess rates) over the time
based series of costs and revenues in the cash flow spreadsheet until the difference between the sum
of the discounted receipts and the sum of the discounted costs is zero.
An Initial IRR guess rate must be entered in the Calculation tab of Assumptions for Calculation.
Monthly Discounting
ARGUS Developer calculates the IRR based on monthly discounting where all future figures are
assumed to be timed at the start of each month. The aggregate figure for each month is discounted
from the first of the month. Therefore, total expenditure in, say, month 4 of the cash flow is
discounted from the 1st day of the 4th month back to the project start date.
Example
Total expenditure in month 4 of $100,000 discounted at 12% (PV of $1 for 4 months).
To be precise, it is discounted by the number of days from the first of the (4th) month back to the
project start date.
The formula used is as follows:
n
(1 + i)
where i = IRR and n is the fractional number of days (122 / 365)=0.3342
0.3342
( 1 + 0.12 ) = 1.03860
So the calculation is:
$100,000 divided by 1.03860
= $96,283
n-
-----
i 12
C× 1+ --------
-
100
Where:
C = Amount to be inflated
i = Annual rate of escalation/inflation
n = Escalation period in months from phase start
For example, assume a cost of $1,000,000 payable monthly from the project start over a period of 4
months, with inflation at 3% per annum. The inflated cost is calculated as follows:
In Arrears In Advance
Month Cost Inflation Inflated Inflation Inflated
factor cost factor cost
1 250,000 1.0000 250,000 1.0025 250,617
2 250,000 1.0025 250,617 1.0049 251,235
3 250,000 1.0049 251,235 1.0074 251,854
4 250,000 1.0074 251,854 1.0099 252,475
CHAPTER 4
Finance
To view all the total interest rows as shown in the picture above, right-click on the rows at the
bottom of the Cash Flow grid and select the Show Full Interest Detail menu option:
Interest Rates
The interest rate(s) to be used in ARGUS Developer are defined in the Interest/PR Sets tab of
Assumptions for Calculation.
The debit rate is the rate of interest charged by the lender on the loan amount and represents an
outflow from the cash flow. The credit rate is the rate at which interest is earned when the finance
arrangement is in credit. It represents an inflow of money to the cash flow.
Basic Finance is calculated on a monthly basis on the Period Total for Interest row in the Finance
Cash flow in ARGUS Developer.
Breakdown of Interest
The breakdown of interest is provided for information purposes only and is only available when the
basic financing method has been selected. It is not used when calculating the total interest charge.
The breakdown is approximate only due to the way in which additional revenues and other income
are used to offset the Building Interest charges. Interest is reported as follows:
Land Interest
This is the total amount of interest attributable to the land costs from the start of the phase to the
beginning of the Letting Vacancy period.
Building Interest
This is the total amount of interest attributable to everything other than land costs. This includes
any income from Additional Revenues and Capitalization. The interest is accrued from the
beginning of the phase to the start of the Letting Vacancy period.
Vacancy Interest
This is the interest attributable to all costs from the start of the Letting Vacancy to the end of the
Letting Vacancy period.
Other Interest
This is the interest attributable to all costs from the end of the Letting Vacancy period to the end of
the phase. Interest is shown in several circumstances:
• If a phase is part of a linked multi-phased scheme and does not realise a profit - interest accrues
on outstanding costs if the phase length is shorter than the project length.
• If a phase is part of a linked multi-phased scheme and realises a profit - interest accrues on the
profit amount if the phase length is shorter than the project length. A Credit Interest rate must
be entered for this to happen.
• If a phase has a duration entered for the stage after the Letting Vacancy. If the phase realises a
profit and a Credit Interest rate has been entered, interest is earned on the profit amount.
Structured Finance
When Structured Finance is selected, users can set up multiple equity partners, interim loans during
construction (as debt sources of finance) and mortgages to look at financing scenarios for projects.
For further information on setting up, and options for, Structured Finance please see the ARGUS
Developer Reference Manual.
Mortgage
A mortgage loan can be applied when Structured Debt and Equity is used to calculate the financing
of a project appraisal. ARGUS Developer calculates interest and principal (capital repayments),
amortising down to zero for the specified amortization period.
The total monthly payment (DS) to the mortgage lender (principal plus interest) is calculated as
follows:
N
(--------------------------
1 + f ) × -f
N
×L
( 1 + f ) -1
where
L Loan amount
N Mortgage loan term, or amortization period, in months
f interest factor, calculated from the formula below:
1---
i n
f = 1 + --- -1
p
where:
i interest rate
n Compounding period (see table below)
p Dividing factor for each compounding period option (see table below)
For example:
This total monthly mortgage payment amount (DS) comprises principal and interest.
The interest payment each period is calculated as follows:
Outstanding loan balance ×f
where f is the interest factor, calculated as set out above.
The principal may then be calculated as the total mortgage payment less this interest payment.
A ratio of 1.0 indicates a break even situation where the net operating income is just enough to
cover mortgage payments. A higher ratio indicates that the income from the project is more than
sufficient to service the debt.
CHAPTER 5
Performance Measures
Performance measures are used to assess the return from a project, to analyse the degree of risk
associated with a project and to compare returns from different projects. These measures are
displayed in the Project Proforma screen in ARGUS Developer, and can also be viewed in the
Results Panel. Additional performance measures are calculated in the Finance DCF when
Structured Debt and Equity is applied to a project.
The performance measures calculated in ARGUS Developer are summarised below, with the
exception of the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) which is detailed in Chapter 3 ‘Internal Rate of
Return and Net Present Value’ on page 15.
Profit on Cost%
For a project to be financially viable and attractive to a developer, the developer will seek a margin
for risk and profit. This will vary according to the scheme proposed and the state of the market. A
developer’s target profit margin is generally expressed as a yield calculated in terms of either total
costs or total capital value, as shown below.
Profit on Cost is the Profit expressed as a percentage of Total Costs (including interest).
Profit
---------------------------
Total Costs
Profit on GDV%
The Profit expressed as a percentage of the Gross Development Value. The Gross Development
Value is the sum of Unit Sales and Capitalized Rent.
Profit
---------------------------------------------------------------
Gross Development Value
Development Yield
The Development Yield reflects the investment yield plus the annual return to cover risk and profit,
and is used to assess a scheme’s viability.
Users may specify on the Calculation tab in Assumptions for Calculation whether the Development
Yield is calculated using the Rent or MRV at the Sale Date.
The Development Yield is then calculated as the exit Rent or MRV per annum, inclusive of rental
growth if applied, expressed as a percentage of Total Costs (including interest).
Rent or MRV
---------------------------------
Total Costs
In ARGUS Developer the user may also specify whether the calculation of the Development Yield
is to be net of non recoverable costs, ground rent and rent additions/costs, in the Calculation tab of
the Assumptions for Calculation form. The user may also select whether to include tenants with no
capital value.
It should be noted that the development yield will be distorted where there is residential
accommodation, for example, which is to be sold to owner occupiers which will not, therefore, be
income-producing. This accommodation contributes to total costs but not rental value. A possible
solution to this problem would be to create separate phases for the part of the development which is
to be sold to owner occupiers and the part which is to be let and income-producing and to apportion
the land cost between these two phases.
Capital Value
---------------------------------
Net floor area
Equity IRR
This is the overall Internal Rate of Return for all equity funding sources in a project, when
Structured Finance is applied. This is calulated from the combined net cashflow for all Equity
funding sources.
For further information on the IRR calculation please see “Internal Rate of Return and Net Present
Value” on page 15.
CHAPTER 6
Distribution
ARGUS Developer provides pre-defined curve types for distributing cost and revenue items in the
cash flow over the timescale of the project. The S Curve and Weighted Curve types are detailed
below.
S Curve
S Curve distribution is typically used to spread construction and associated costs over a project
contract period. The curve imitates the actual spend pattern in a typical building contract.
The S Curve shows a slow initial spend rate, rising to a peak after the mid point of the construction
period and then falling in the period to completion. The resultant cumulative spend curve broadly
follows an “S” shape, hence the name of this distribution type.
The formula for the standard construction distribution curve, the “S Curve”, is as follows:
Starting with:
Old Val = 0
Period Number
CM = ---------------------------------------------
Number of Periods
S-Curve
120,000
100,000
80,000
Amount
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Period
Cumulative Periodic
Weighted Curve
Weighted curve distribution apportions the total item cost over a period based upon the %
weighting specified.
Weighting at 50% distributes the cost item in even amounts across the specified period. Weighting
of greater than 50% produces a “front weighted” distribution where the spend rate falls as the
project progresses, whereas weighting of less than 50% produces an “end loaded” distribution with
the spend rate increasing during the project.
Example
This can be illustrated by the following example, assuming a total cost of $100,000 to be
distributed over 10 periods:
Weighted Curve
120,000
100,000
80,000
Amount
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Periods
Cumulative Periodic
CHAPTER 7
Contact details
UK contact details:
ARGUS Software (UK) Tel : +44 (0)20 8906 4059 or 0845 6440 400
London
Fax: +44 (0)020 8959 6079
UNITED KINGDOM
Support Tel : +44 (0)20 8238 8345
Support email: [email protected]
Info email: [email protected]
US contact details:
ARGUS Software Tel : +1 713-621-4343
Houston, TX Fax: +1 713-621-2787
USA
Support Tel: +1 888-472-1005
Support email: [email protected]
Info email: [email protected]
Symbols H
A I
Inflation 16
Acquisition costs 11
Interest
ARGUS Software web address 31
Breakdown of Interest 20
Building Interest 20
C Debt and Credit Rates 20
Interest & finance fees in IRR 16
Interest Rate Type 20
Cap Rent per net sq ft/sq m 24 Land Interest 20
Capital value 1 Other Interest 20
Capitalized Rent 1, 8, 10 Period Total for Interest 19
Cash Flow 15 Vacancy Interest 20
Inflation 16 Internal Rate of Return 15
Interest & finance fees in IRR 16 Equity IRR 25
Internal Rate of Return 15 Interest & finance fees in IRR 16
Manual Discount Rate for Present Value 16 Pre Finance IRR 16, 25
Monthly Discounting 16
Net Present Value 15 L
Rent Escalation 16
Cost per gross sq ft/sq m 24
Land Transfer Tax 13
Cost per net sq ft/sq m 24
Cumulative Bands 13
Non-Cumulative Bands 14
D
M
Debt Service Ratio 22
Development Yield 23 Manual Discount Rate 16
Distribution 27 Mortgage 21
S Curve 27 Debt Service Ratio 22
Weighted Curve 29
N
E
Net Development Value 11
Escalation 2 Net Operating Income 1
Net Present Value 15
Manual Discount Rate 16
F Net Realization 11
Finance 19 O
Basic Finance (Interest Sets) 19
Breakdown of Interest 20
Debt Service Ratio 22 Occupancy Profiles 6
Occupancy Rates 5
Development Finance 19
Finance Fees 21
Interest Rates 20 P
Mortgage 21
Structured Finance 21
Performance Measures 23
Floor Area Ratio 24 Cap Rent per net sq ft/sq m 24
Cost per gross sq ft/sq m 24
G Cost per net sq ft/sq m 24
Development Yield 23
Equity IRR 25
Gross Development Value 10 Floor Area Ratio 24
Growth/escalation 16 Plot Ratio 24
Rent
% Rents 3
Net Operating Income 1
Rent deductions 1
Valuation Rent 1
Rent Escalation 2
Rent free periods
Valuation 8
Return on Equity (ROE) 24
S Curve 27
Structured Finance 21
Vacancies
Vacancy Interest 20
Valuation 8
Valuation 1
% Rents 3
Capital value 1
Capitalized Rent 1, 8
Core rental income 7
Hardcore Method 7
Hardcore rate 7
Hotel Valuation 5
Net Operating Income 1
Rent Escalation 2
Reversion 7
Turnover Rent 3
Valuation Rent 1
Voids and Rent Free Periods 8
Weighted Curve 29
Yields
Capitalization yield 1
Development yield 23
Hardcore rate 7