D Gen Ict Sdgs.01 2017 PDF e
D Gen Ict Sdgs.01 2017 PDF e
D Gen Ict Sdgs.01 2017 PDF e
ICT-centric economic
growth, innovation
Telecommunication Development Bureau
Place des Nations
Printed in Switzerland
Geneva, 2017
ICT-centric economic
growth, innovation
and job creation
2017
Editors: Ahmad R. Sharafat
William H. Lehr
ISBN
978-92-61-24411-8 (Paper version)
978-92-61-24421-7 (Electronic version)
ITU 2017
FOREWORD
I am pleased to present this compelling book on ICTSDGs, which
focuses on ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation.
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), adopted in 2015 and
referred to as the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, are
universal as they embody a universally shared vision of progress
towards a safe, just and sustainable space for all human beings.
Telecommunications and information communication technologies
(ICTs) cut across all SDGs and are an enabler for growth and
development. As the international community works towards achieving
the SDGs, it is important to remember that access to ICTs is key to
social and economic development: the work of the ITUs
Telecommunication Development Sector is therefore essential in
achieving the 2030 Development Agenda.
This study, written by leading scholars and experts from around the
world, aims to address the challenges and opportunities offered by ICTs
in the areas of innovation, governance, education, job creation and
economic growth. I highly recommend that all stakeholders, including
policy-makers, regulators, operators, and investors, as well as people in
the industry and academia, read and use the findings of this study, as it
sheds light on some of the greatest opportunities of todays world.
I would like to express my sincere gratitude to everyone involved in the
preparation of this book. In particular, I would like to express my
appreciation to Dr. A. R. Sharafat (Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran,
Iran), Dr. W. H. Lehr (Massachusetts Institute of Technology,
Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA), Dr. T. Unwin (Royal Holloway,
University of London, London, United Kingdom), Dr. E. Giovannetti
i
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Brahima Sanou
Director
Telecommunication Development Bureau (BDT)
International Telecommunication Union
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
PREFACE
The idea for this book emerged not long after the United Nations
adopted the expanded set of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in
2015 that were intended to motivate and coordinate international
development efforts through 2030. As anyone who has been involved in
Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) has long known,
and increasingly everyone else involved in development efforts now
recognizes, ICTs are permeating all aspects of the global economy and
society. ICTs are transforming how all goods and services not just
digital or information goods - are designed, produced, distributed, and
sold. They are transforming how citizens, consumers, industry, and
governments acquire and share knowledge about the world. To
participate in the global information economy, one has to be a digital
citizen. ICTs must play a central role in developing solutions to address
climate change, respond to growing global competition, and to meet the
rising expectations and needs of all segments of society, including the
poorest, least skilled, or otherwise marginalized.
ICTs will also cause disruptions in traditional economic and social
structures, resulting in Digital Divides, that will need to be navigated
and the pains of disruptions mitigated if the positive benefits that ICTs
promise are to be realized. Although the potential for ICTs to contribute
positively is well-established, ICTs accelerate and amplify changes that
can also be negative if not countered. For example, ICTs can accelerate
growing income disparity and foster winner-take-all economics if
explicit efforts to ensure inclusion, universal accessibility, and support
for skills development are not adopted. In short, achieving the SDGs
will require designing and adopting ICT-centric strategies for economic
growth, employment opportunities, government policies, regulatory
frameworks, markets, and education.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Table of Contents
FOREWORD ................................................................................... i
PREFACE ........................................................................................ iii
vi
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Chapter 1
1.1 Background
At the beginning of the new millennium, a summit of world leaders met
at the United Nations in New York in September 2000 to adopt a set of
Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) that were directed toward
alleviating poverty and ameliorating the widening gap between the rich
and poor that threatens the future of humanity and the planet. The
MDGs established a set of eight goals for improving the lives of people
in the least developed nations over the next fifteen years (see Table 1).
In 2015, the United Nations (UN) took stock of the progress made
toward meeting the MDGs (United Nations, 2015a). Relative to 2000,
*
Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran
**
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
the UN noted that more than one billion people have been lifted out of
extreme poverty and inroads have been made against hunger, 1 more
girls have attended school than ever before,2 new and innovative
partnerships have been formed, and decision making in developed and
developing countries has been reshaped. Nevertheless, in spite of these
important accomplishments, none of the MDGs have been fully
achieved. Inequalities persist and progress has been uneven. For
example, the majority of the worlds one billion extremely poor people
live in just five countries, women continue to suffer from inadequate
health and sanitation facilities, and disparities between rural and urban
areas remain significant. Further progress requires renewed political
will, and collective, long-term and coordinated efforts by all
stakeholders to ensure that appropriate development goals are adopted
and pursued.
In 2012, world leaders, including heads of state and civil society
representatives, met in Rio de Janeiro to renew their joint efforts to
1
In the developing countries, the proportion of the population living on less than
$1.25 per day declined from nearly half in 1990 to 14% by 2015, and over the
same period, the proportion of undernourished people fell from 23% to 13%
(United Nations, 2015, p. 4).
2
Primary school net enrolment rates increased from 83% in 2000 to 91% in 2015 in
developing regions, and the ratio of girls-to-boys enrolled in schools in Southern
Asia has risen from 0.74 to 1.03 from 1990 to 2015 (United Nations, 2015, p. 4).
2
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
3
For example, see Bresnahan et al. (2002), Cardona et al. (2013), Gruber et al.
(2014), Jorgenson (2001), Katz (2012), OECD (2004), Spieza (2013), Van Reenen
et al. (2010), Waverman et al. (2005), and World Bank (2016). The empirical
evidence is discussed further below.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
4
ICTs make it feasible to customize the production of goods and services to satisfy
the demand associated with individual transactions (i.e., market-of-one). For
example, on-line platforms exist to allow consumers to purchase made-to-order
clothing, to match workers with jobs on a per-task basis, or to negotiate prices on a
per-unit basis.
5
The benefits of ICTs in reducing consumer prices is evident in, but not limited to,
technology intensive products. The price/performance of personal computers, cell
phones, and other digital goods has fallen dramatically over time. In addition, the
Internet allows consumers to compare prices and goods to better identify low-price
suppliers (a price benefit) and goods that more closely match their tastes and
requirements (a quality benefit). On the other hand, firms with market power may
use ICTs to more effectively price discriminate so as to capture consumer surplus;
and in the absence of effective competition policies, may abuse ICTs to collude.
6
ICTs accelerate the obsolescence of older technologies, creating a late-comer
advantage for more recent adopters that can help close development gaps.
6
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
7
ICTs may also create informational asymmetries that can strengthen the
competitive advantages of incumbents. Consequently, the impact of ICTs on
competition depends on multiple factors and hence are inherently ambiguous.
8
The World Bank refers to these complementary components as the analog
complements for the digital economy (see page 29, World Bank, 2016).
9
In the development literature, these terms may be used in multiple ways. Here,
availability refers to the need to ensure that the basic infrastructure and services are
in place so that the potential exists for users to access the services. If a country has
no mobile networks, then there cannot be any mobile service subscribers.
Affordability, or accessibility, refers to the necessity for additional complementary
factors that make it feasible for users to adopt ICTs. If users cannot afford the
services or requisite devices or lack the skills to use ICTs or awareness of the
benefits of using ICTs, then users will not adopt and use the ICTs. If mobile
broadband services are too expensive or potential users do not know how to use the
devices or services, then they will not adopt the service. Finally, Adoption refers to
the necessity of users actually acquiring and using the ICTs for the ICTs to have
any material impact on economic and social outcomes.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
developed countries are closing the gap with respect to basic services,
the quality and capabilities of the ICT infrastructure and services in the
most advanced countries continues to raise the bar in system
performance (see Figure 1). Thus, whereas much of the worlds
population has basic cell phone coverage, the goal now is to expand
access to mobile broadband that has greater capabilities, capacity, and is
more energy efficient.10
10
While basic Internet and mobile phone adoption is approaching saturation in most
developed countries and growth in new subscribers has slowed, the growth in
adoption and new subscribers in the developing world is much higher, but that is
because significant digital divides continue to exist. Moreover, the pace of growth
toward what ultimately is hoped to be close to 100% adoption for basic Internet,
mobile phone and mobile broadband is much faster than the pace for adopting
improved water, electricity, secondary school (see World Bank, 2016, p. 5-6).
However, at the same time that basic access gaps are narrowing, gaps measured in
other ways are widening (e.g., in terms of monthly data usage).
11
See Chart 1.3: ICT Penetration Levels by Level of Development in ITU (2016),
Measuring the Information Society Report 2016, International
Telecommunications Union (ITU), available at http://www.itu.int/en/ITU-
D/Statistics/Documents/publications/misr2016/MISR2016-w4.pdf
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
12
For example, a 2015 study by the Global e-Sustainability Institute estimated that
ICTs have the potential to cut global carbon dioxide emissions by 20% by 2030,
maintaining 2015 levels. (GeSI, 2015).
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
significant challenge for the future of work and social and political
sustainability.
Finally, and perhaps most important, if the ICT-enabled economic
growth proceeds without complementary improvements in the
sustainability with which we use other resources, the expansion in
global consumption of resources from water to energy will pose an even
greater challenge. For example, although global energy intensity,
calculated in terms of final energy use per unit of gross domestic
product (GDP), fell by 26% between 1990 and 2005, final energy use
per capita increased, principally due to the growing wealth which leads
to increased per capita demand for energy-using goods and services
(page 15, IEA, 2008). The energy use by data also highlights the
significant differences in per capita energy use by rich and poor
countries (Figure 2). ICTs have the potential to accelerate and amplify
threats to our environment, security, and sense of well-being that may
not be directly due to ICTs but may be worsened because of ICTs.13
ICTs make the world a smaller place. They have the potential to address
challenges on an increasingly local level customizing solutions to the
needs of particular circumstances in time, space, and context but also
increasing the potential for interactions at a distance. Promoting ICTs
that will succeed in advancing SDGs is a complex global challenge that
will require coordinated efforts by stakeholders across the ICT-centric
ecosystem. The right infrastructure will need to be matched with the
right business practices, consumer awareness and trust in the
innovations, and supportive government policies and institutions that
will allow market processes to proceed efficiently.
13
If global consumption grows without further decoupling of energy demand and
growth, if criminals or dictators are successful in their attempts to use ICTs to
extend their reach and power, or if the explosion of unfiltered information confuses
and frightens rather than informs citizens, then ICTs may aggravate existing
problems.
11
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
literature on the empirical economic impacts that ICTs have had already
on growth and the distribution of its benefits.
14
See Figure 2.6: Total Final Energy Consumption per Capita in IEA (2008),
Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency, International Energy Agency
(IEA), available at
https://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/Indicators_2008.pdf.
Note: Other in Figure 2.6 includes construction and agriculture/fishing.
15
See Note 4 supra for list of cites to survey articles and seminal research on the
economic impacts of ICTs.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
difficult for numerous reasons.16 First, ICTs are one of many inputs to
productive activities and so measuring their impact on outputs such as
GDP output or jobs is inherently difficult.17 Moreover, ICTs contribute
to production in multiple ways enhancing the efficiency of other
inputs such as labor (e.g., by enabling skilled employees to shift
attention from routine tasks that are automated to more complex tasks,
thereby increasing the productivity of labor, capital (e.g., by allowing
excess capacity to be more flexibly redirected to producing goods for
other markets), and changing the fundamental ways in which resources
are used (e.g., by allowing businesses to re-organize).
Second, the share of ICT factor inputs in total production is relatively
small in monetary terms, which makes it difficult to measure ICT inputs
accurately. This difficulty is further complicated by the rapid pace of
ICT innovation and performance-price declines.18
Third, ICTs have the potential to be general purpose technologies
basic infrastructure for the economy that can be used for many
different productive activities within an organization and so the impacts
of using ICTs spill over across the organization and its operations both
upstream with suppliers and downstream to consumers (Bresnahan and
Trajtenberg, 1995). For example, B2B eCommerce platforms can allow
16
In 1987, economist Robert Solow famously remarked that you can see the
computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics. One of the key reasons
for this was the lack of suitable data to address the inherent measurement
challenges. Using firm-level data, Brynjolfsson (1996) and Lehr and Licthenberg
(1999) demonstrated excess returns from investments in ICTs, and Jorgenson
(2001) concluded that ICT investment explained a significant share of U.S.
economic growth after 1995.
17
A key theme of this book is the need to coordinate policies and ensure that the
necessary complementary assets are in place to enable ICTs to be productive.
Subsequent chapters focus on a number of these, including ensuring a healthy
environment for innovation (see Chapter 3), receptivity for new ICT-business
models (see Chapter 5), and appropriate support for education and ICT skills
development (see Chapter 7), among others.
18
To estimate productivity effects in value terms it is necessary to measure both the
quantity and price of the ICT inputs accurately. When the volume of inputs is
small, measurement errors loom larger. Identifying appropriate prices is difficult
because the rate of economic depreciation is high.
13
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
19
The challenge of measuring positive economic effects in the face of continued
significant investment in ICTs by businesses has been termed the Solow Paradox
after Nobel-prize-winning economist Robert Solow's famous 1987 quip that you
can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics (Solow,
1987).
20
Jorgenson (2001).
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
21
World Bank (2016), p. 55.
22
The developing market evidence is less well-established for multiple reasons. First,
reliable data is typically harder to acquire for developing countries. Second,
because the availability of ICTs is of more recent vintage and adoption is lower,
measurement errors make it more difficult to estimate effects precisely, and can
result in failure to observe measurable effects. Also, since it takes time for the
effects of ICTs to percolate through the economy, the full impacts have yet to be
observed in many markets. Third, the status of other infrastructures and
complementary assets (such as well-established legal frameworks, well-developed
industry supply-chains, etc.) that are required to exploit ICTs productively tend to
be less advanced in developing markets.
23
Koutroumpis (2009) and Roller & Waverman (2001) found that a critical level of
adoption needs to be achieved before broadband access produces significant
measurable economic growth impacts. While it is certainly plausible that certain
types of ICTs, including broadband, may demonstrate such a characteristic, it is
also plausible that this effect is due to measurement errors that fail to capture the
high-returns that may be associated with strategically targeted investments in low
ICT development contexts.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
24
Economists are not in agreement whether economic productivity growth will return
to the higher rates observed during earlier periods, and what the role of ICTs will
be. For example, Brynjolfsson and McAfee (2014) tout the ability of robots and
other ICT innovations like Big Data to deliver significant productivity
improvements; and Branstetter and Sichel (2016) note that productivity growth has
stagnated in the past before returning to robust levels and note that innovation in
the ICT sectors continues at a rapid pace. Meanwhile, Acemoglu et al. (2014) find
that data on ICT-intensive manufacturing in the U.S. raises concerns about whether
ICTs are driving beneficial productivity outcomes.
25
Digital intensity may be measured in multiple ways. For example, the ITU uses
digital intensity to refer to the level of ICT usage and adoption and measures it
with three indicators: % of population using the Internet; number of fixed
broadband lines per capita; and the number of active mobile broadband
subscriptions per capita (ITU, 2016, p. 9).
26
See Broadband Commission for Sustainable Development (2016).
27
We are using the term Digital Divides here as short-hand to refer to differences in
access and/or adoption of digital infrastructure and services. Such differences may
be measured in many ways and are often summarized in terms of a weighted index
of multiple indicators. These are sometimes referred to as e-Readiness indices and
may include measures such as the number of computers per capita, Internet access
penetration, mobile network coverage by technology generation, etcetera.
Examples of such indices include the ITUs ICT Development Index (IDI), which
is a composite measure of ICT infrastructure and access indicators, ICT use or
intensity indicators, and ICT capability or skill indicators (ITU, 2016); the
Economist Intelligence Units digital economy or e-Readiness rankings index,
which is based on a weighted index of metrics clustered into multiple categories,
including Connectivity and Technology Infrastructure, Business Environment,
Social and Cultural Environment, Legal Environment, Government Policy and
16
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
are large within countries and across industrial sectors. The ICT sectors
themselves and certain other sectors like finance and insurance are
heavy users of ICTs, whereas certain other sectors like agriculture and
construction have been relatively slower adopters. Moreover, the poor,
rural, less educated, elderly, women and persons with disabilities also
tend to be less likely to be using ICTs. Addressing these digital divides
and making sure that digital literacy is widespread will be critical if
ICTs are to reduce rather than accentuate inequalities.
A key feature of digital technologies is that adoption can occur quite
quickly once the infrastructure is in place, which raises hope that digital
divides might be closed relatively fast and that the gaps between
developed and less developed economies may narrow.
Because the ICT sector represents a small share of the total economy
(about 6% of OECD countries, but a much lower share in developing
countries) and ICT jobs tend to require higher skills and education, the
potential for ICTs to lead to job growth is greatest in other sectors (see
Figure 3).
Moreover, since ICT workers tend to be both better skilled and better
paid, their increased income helps fuel job growth throughout the
economy (see Table 3). One study conducted using U.S. data found that
each new ICT job resulted in 4.9 additional jobs in other sectors
(Moretti & Thulin, 2013).
In addition to producing significant benefits in terms of economic and
productivity growth and jobs, ICTs also help deliver significant benefits
in consumer surplus. On-line information and markets make it feasible
for consumers to compare prices and product features from a wider
selection of vendors, not just those locally available but potentially
from around the world. The increased competition fuelled by ICTs
Vision, and Consumer and Business Adoption (EIU, 2010); the European Unions
Digital Economy & Society Index (DESI) which includes measures of
connectivity, human capital, use of the Internet, integration of digital technology,
and digital public services (see https://ec.europa.eu/digital-single-market/en/desi);
or the World Wide Web Foundations WebIndex that seeks to measure the Webs
global impact with a series of indicators on social, political, and economic metrics
related to use of the Web (see thewebindex.org).
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
28
The BCG study looked at consumer behavior in six countries -- the U.S., Germany,
South Korea, Brazil, China, and India. Consumer valuations for mobile technology
were derived from conjoint analysis of survey response data comparing preferences
over alternative service bundles (BCG, 2015).
29
See Figure 0.10: The size of the ICT sector and its contribution to GDP growth is
still relatively modest, World Bank (2016), World Development Report 2016:
18
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
19
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
in the near to medium term, that this is more likely a threat for the most
developed countries rather than developing nations. First, developing
nations with much lower ICT intensity still have a long way to go in
coming up the ICT intensity curve before the benefits of increasing
ICTs begin to slow. In many developing countries, economic growth is
limited by resource shortages across the board from labor skills to
medical supplies, from access to reliable power to supply chain logistics
support. ICTs can help with all of these and in so doing expand job
opportunities in bricks-and-mortar businesses. For example, on-line
platforms and more secure banking and finance services can fuel market
growth by allowing developing country businesses to tap into global
markets. Moreover, as ICTs help the economy grow, the growing
demand for consumer goods and services will help stimulate growth in
domestic jobs to satisfy those needs, especially for non-traded goods
and services.
31
See Figure 4. From a technological standpoint, two-thirds of all jobs are
susceptible to automation in the developing world, but the effects are moderated by
lower wages and slower technology adoption, in World Bank (2016), World
Development Report 2016: Digital Dividends, released May 2016, available at
http://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2016.
20
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
32
At the same time, it can further reinforce exclusion of the unconnected individuals.
This echoes a recurring theme: while appropriate use of ICTs can result in progress
toward realization of SDGs; failure to adopt ICTs or to use ICTs appropriately can
lead to a worsening of conditions.
33
For example, Chapter 3 discusses how ICTs can contribute to the vibrancy of the
innovation ecosystem; Chapter 5 discusses new types of ICT-enabled business and
21
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
market models; and Chapter 6 focuses directly on the impacts of ICTs for
employment opportunities.
34
See Figures 5 and 6 or Karabarbounis and Neiman (2014). The World Bank report
notes that in the United States, at the technological frontier, the share of income
going to routine labor has fallen from 38 to 23 percent since the late 1960s, with a
simultaneous rise in the non-routine labor share from 24 to 34 percent. (World
Bank, 2016).
22
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
35
See Figure 6: Falling labor shares in national income are associated with rising
inequality, in World Bank (2016), World Development Report 2016: Digital
Dividends., http://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2016.
23
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
36
The six pillars of the ICT ecosystem identified by the World Economic Forum are
(1) Infrastructure investment; (2) Applications and Content; (3) Markets and
Competition; (4) Policies and Regulations; (5) Government Budgets; (6) Skills and
Education for IT (WEF, 2009, p1-2).
24
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
37
See Figure 0.15: Labor shares of national income are falling in many countries,
including some developing countries, in World Bank (2016), World Development
Report 2016: Digital Dividends, released May 2016, available at
http://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2016.
25
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
38
For example, ICT-enabled smart manufacturing in the United States that may
contribute to U.S. GDP growth but at the same time reduce U.S. multinational
demand for labor in developing markets where the activity might previously been
undertaken, resulting in a negative employment shock in those former-outsourcing
markets.
26
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
27
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
28
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
29
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Biographies
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Chapter 2
2.1 Introduction
This chapter builds on the discussions in Chapter 1 concerning the
interface between ICTs, sustainability and development. It seeks to
provide recommendations to address some of the concerns of those who
are critical of the role of ICTs in the sustainable development agenda,
*
Royal Holloway, University of London, London, United Kingdom
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
38
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
39
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
40
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
consideration of the ways through which ICTs can support the SDGs by
exploring ICTs and sustainability in the environmental context, and also
through the sustainability of ICT interventions specifically designed to
address both absolute and relative poverty.
2.2.2 ICTs, WSIS Process and SDGs
The World Summit on the Information Society (WSIS, Geneva 2003
and Tunis 2005) was of considerable importance in shaping the way the
UN system has incorporated ICTs into its development initiatives.
Subsequent WSIS Annual Forums, co-organised by the ITU, UNESCO,
UNCTAD and UNDP, have provided regular opportunities for all UN
agencies and others to meet to discuss progress on the 18 Action Lines
agreed at WSIS, and the 2015 meeting was particularly important in
shaping their integration with the emerging SDGs (ITU 2015a)
(Figure 1). Despite strong arguments that universal connectivity to the
Internet should have been one of the SDGs, the emerging agreement
among those involved in finalising them during 2015 was that they
should be treated only in a supporting or facilitating role, thus featuring
in but four of the final 169 Targets (Table 1). Only one of these
mentions (9c) was overtly directed to increasing access to ICTs; the
others focused on using them to enhance scholarships, to empower
women, and to operationalise the technology bank.
The failure to appreciate sufficiently that inequality in access to ICTs is
rapidly increasing social, economic and political inequality, all of which
threaten the stability of countries and thus their ability to deliver
economic growth, was a lost opportunity. The failure to have this core
requirement more prominently featured within the SDGs undermines
the very foundations of all of the other SDGs, and the consequences of
this may well exert a persistent negative impact in the long term ability
to achieve them. Without sufficiently addressing inequitable access, and
the reasons why people do not use the Internet more extensively, the
sustainability of the intended development interventions that are indeed
mentioned as Goals is brought into question. Indeed, it seems probable
that an increasing rate of inequality in access to ICTs will create
increasing economic and social disadvantage and inequality.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
42
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
43
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
44
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
45
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
46
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
47
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
49
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
about how it can help them improve their lives. Hence, education more
broadly is a crucial requirement for more widespread use of the
Internet. Such education goes far beyond merely digital skills
acquisition. Moreover, designers need to do much more to make such
technologies user friendly and more intuitive for marginalised groups.
Education needs to inculcate an awareness that ICTs can indeed be used
to enhance health, employability, and knowledge acquisition, both
through the acquisition of information but also through enhanced
communication. Recent research by the OECD (2016b) is striking in
this context because it shows that the already advantaged use the
Internet more effectively for enhancing their careers, whereas poorer,
less privileged people, tend to use it mainly for games and interacting
with friends. Interestingly, disadvantaged students in all OECD
countries spent at least as much time online as did advantaged students,
but in half of the countries they actually spent more time than the
advantaged students. However, disadvantaged students did not use it for
productive purposes, preferring to chat or play videogames, whereas the
advantaged students used it for information gathering or reading news.
Yet again, ICTs seem to enhance inequality rather than reduce it.
Furthermore, education needs to help people better understand the risks
of using ICTs, and the privacy and security issues that need to be
considered.
The fourth element identified by the World Economic Forum (2016) is
local adoption and use, which they suggest depends much on the
existence of relevant local services that people value, as well as the
provision of relevant content in local languages. The interface between
the digital economy and retail business is crucial here, with e-
commerce, for example, only being viable where logistics permit goods
ordered online actually to be supplied on the ground. This is why some
companies are seeking to use drones to deliver goods or provide
services to places that might otherwise be inaccessible within the time
frame expected by consumers. Likewise, content in local languages
that is relevant to the needs of poor people is essential if the elite
language users of the Internet are not to be yet further advantaged. It
has been estimated, for example, that almost 80% of online content was
available in one of only 10 languages in 2016
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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54
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
effectively by people and their governments, the private sector and civil
society in making the world a more sustainable and fairer place in
which to live. This has, for example, been recognised in the work of the
ITUs m-Powering development initiative, which has emphasised the
importance of mobile broadband in achieving the SDGs, but above all
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
57
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
group all the different actors together in this threefold classification, and
international organisations have often therefore treated researchers,
foundations and donors as additional separate categories. The ITU, for
example, now has a specific category of Academia Membership.
Moreover, most uses of the term in the ICT context fail sufficiently to
consider the most important stakeholder, namely the user, be it as a
consumer for the private sector, or a citizen for governments. A key
theme of this book is that if ICTs are going to be used effectively to
deliver on the SDGs it is important that people who use, or are intended
to use, the technologies are considered both conceptually and
practically as one of the major stakeholders. Indeed, the distributed and
widespread reach of ICTs itself provides an important vehicle through
which new methods of interaction between on the one hand people, and
on the other governments and companies can take place. It is also
important that citizen-consumers have a greater voice in the
development of policies that will have such a significant influence in
their future lives, especially when critical issues such as privacy and
security are being debated. Recent work by Nesta, for example, has
highlighted the potential of collective intelligence to develop new kinds
of government decision making at a range of scales (Saunders and
Mulgan, 2017).
The notion of multi-stakeholderism, however, is problematic both as an
idea and as a practice (e.g., see Laprise and Musiani, 2015; Hoffman,
2016). For example, the Tunis Agenda did not adequately explicate the
roles of the different sectors in Internet governance (WSIS, 2005, Para.
35): states were seen as having a sovereign right over policy authority;
the private sector as having an important technical and economic role in
the development of the Internet; and civil society as being important,
especially at the community level. The role of international
organisations was considered to be in facilitating public policy
discussions, and in developing technical standards and policies. These
various stakeholders have different interests, and each has sought to
shape the multi-stakeholder dialogue in their own interests, leading to
considerable overlap, competition, and duplication of effort. If ICTs are
indeed going to be used more effectively to deliver the SDGs, ways
need to be found to reduce such overlap and ensure a more integrated
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
approach to global and national policy making. This will require the
organisations participating in the dialog to relinquish some of their own
interests for the greater good, to accept enhanced collaboration between
different organisations, and a reduction in the expansionist agendas of
some organisations.
The notion of partnerships is also frequently applied to the delivery by
many stakeholders of practical development-related programmes and
projects on the ground (Geldof et al., 2011). Such partnerships are
important because many different skills, experiences and resources are
required if ICT initiatives are to be successfully implemented in
delivering the SDGs. Initially these were conceptualised as Public-
Private Partnerships (PPPs), reflecting the neo-liberal shift towards
increasing private sector delivery of what had previously been
considered public sector activity (Unwin, 2015). However, the failure of
many PPPs in delivering sustainable ICTs for development initiatives,
which was often attributed to PPPs not sufficiently involving civil
society or indeed other stakeholders, notably the end users, has led to
the increasing use of the terms multi-sector, or multi-stakeholder
partnerships (MSPs), to emphasise that in most instances private sector
companies and governments cannot successfully deliver such initiatives
alone. A key learning from many such partnerships has also been that it
is much better to involve the business-end of companies than their
Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) departments in implementing
projects, because the business-end has more experience in ensuring
delivery and profitability, and thus sustainability, whereas projects that
rely on external CSR funding frequently collapse when that funding
runs out. A further challenge with multi-stakeholder partnerships is that
all too often well-intentioned stakeholders come together to deliver an
intervention but fail to sufficiently draw on existing good practices in
implementing partnerships. It is not easy to deliver partnerships, and
often it is more cost effective to use traditional contracts to ensure
effective implementation, but there are good partnerships models that
can be used so that new initiatives do not reinvent the wheel and repeat
the mistakes made in previous projects (see Appendix A).
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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Acknowledgements
This chapter is the product of some amazing discussions and
correspondence between the contributing authors to our overall book
project. It is very much a joint effort, and is vastly different from what I
would have written if left to my own devices. It very much reflects the
journey that we shared together; I certainly learnt a great deal from the
experience, not least about economics and economists! Thanks are
especially due to Prof. Ahmad R. Sharafat for overseeing the project,
and to Dr. Eun-Ju Kim and her team at the ITU for gently keeping us on
track. I very much hope that the ideas contained in the chapter will
encourage others to pursue similar adventures, so that together we may
indeed use ICT effectively and appropriately to support the poorest and
most marginalised as they struggle to sustain their lives.
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Appendix A
39
This Appendix draws in part on Global Education Initiative: Retrospective on
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References
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Partnership Initiatives for Education. Geneva: World Economic Forum.
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Biography
Tim Unwin is UNESCO Chair in ICT for Development (ICT4D) and
Emeritus Professor of Geography at Royal Holloway, University of
London. He was Secretary General of the Commonwealth
Telecommunications Organisation (CTO) from 2011-2015, and Chair
of the Commonwealth Scholarship Commission from 2009-2014. He
serves on the ITU's m-Powering Development Advisory Board, the UK
Department for International Developments Digital Advisory Panel,
the UN University Computing and Society International Advisory
Board, the Steering Committee of the World Economic Forums
Internet for All initiative, and is Honorary Professor at Lanzhou
University in China. He has written or edited 15 books and more than
200 academic papers and chapters, many of which focus on the use of
technology for development. His edited book Information and
Communication Technologies for Development, is published by
Cambridge University Press, and his book Reclaiming ICT4D is
published by Oxford University Press. He was appointed a Companion
of the Distinguished Order of St. Michael and St George (CMG) in the
Queens 90 birthday Honours list in 2016 for his services to the
Commonwealth.
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Chapter 3
Digital Divide and Digital
Multiplier: A Paradigm Shift
through Innovation
Emanuele Giovannetti*
This chapter discusses the key factors that facilitate and support the
creation of an environment in which innovations are more likely to
succeed, and highlights recommendations to make Information and
Communication Technologies (ICTs) key enablers in realizing the
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). These recommendations arise
from adopting a multi-stakeholder approach to support innovations. The
stakeholders roles are analyzed by focusing on how they interact
through ICT-enabled platforms that allow establishing new and
previously unachievable interconnections in the development of
innovations. Examples of such ICT-enabled platforms are discussed by
focusing on their potential benefits and associated risks, which
ultimately depend on the existence of proper technologies as well as an
enabling policy, regulatory and economic environment to support
different pillars in the innovation ecosystem, including the role of
gender in innovation, and the potential for positive spillovers to create
digital multipliers that foster useful innovations and enhance
productivity.
3.1 Introduction
This chapter identifies the key elements that facilitate and support the
creation of an environment in which innovations are more likely to
*
Anglia Ruskin University and Hughes Hall College, University of Cambridge,
Cambridge, United Kingdom
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succeed, and highlights the policies that need to be set and implemented
so that Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) may
become vital enablers in realizing the Sustainable Development Goals
(SDGs). When properly applied, ICT-centric innovations can act as
digital multipliers, providing digital dividends for the billions of
disconnected or poorly connected people in many regions of the world
(World Bank, 2016). By facilitating ICT-centric innovations, the digital
revolution plays a key role in reaching many of the SDGs discussed in
Chapter 1.
We broadly define innovation as a previously non-adopted modality to
satisfy a specific need in a given context.40 This high-level
characterization encompasses the traditional distinctions between
process, product and organisational innovations, between radical and
incremental innovations, and includes the diffusion and adoption of
innovations in new contexts. For example, product innovations may
satisfy the need for an intermediate product or service within a
production chain in a B2B framework, or increase service variety for
the end user in a B2C setting. Our definition also encompasses
processes and organizational innovations associated with structuring
and managing resources and outputs within enterprises and markets.
Our definition of innovation also includes the adoption of techniques
that may be well-established in other contexts but may find new
applications in new contexts. Thus, technological adoptions and
adaptations, often through recombination, are also regarded as
innovations.
This chapter focuses on the entire innovation ecosystem (Adner, 2006),
which includes interactions between different stakeholders participating
in the innovation process and the forces and feedbacks that drive such
interactions. In this ecosystem, ICTs play a key role in clarifying how
the linkages operate, and facilitate interactions to expand and enhance
opportunities as discussed in detail below. ICTs enable stakeholders to
develop and share new knowledge, impacting all aspects of innovation
40
The literature is rife with multiple characterizations of what constitute innovations.
For example, the pioneering work by Pavitt (1984) and Archibugi (2001) provide
useful frameworks for understanding innovation processes.
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41
Eurostat (2017). http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/microdata/community-
innovation-survey.
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42
See Mazzucato (2013) for a fascinating analysis of the role of governments in the
innovation process.
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43
ICTs make it feasible to distribute the organization of decision-making and
production in multiple dimensions: geographically (e.g., software running on a
remote server can implement functionality that previously had to be hosted on
hardware in a specific location); time (e.g., store-and-forward service); and context
(e.g., software-controlled machines can customize production on a per-unit basis).
44
A research paper on these themes, published by the UK Department for Business,
Innovation and Skills (BIS, 2014), for example, measured the unintentional
cooperation effects arising from proximity in production space by using metrics
based on weights derived from inter and intra-sector trade exchange flows.
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45
Parts of this section draw on Unwin (2017).
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active in Africa in 2016 (Du Boucher, 2016). The iHub in Nairobi was
hailed as a successful example of African innovation, after launching
Ushahidi, a crowd sourcing mapping software and the BRCK, a rugged,
self-powered, mobile Wi-Fi device that connects people and things to
the Internet with inadequate infrastructure. Incubator initiatives have
been promoted by international organizations to support
entrepreneurship in developing countries (Firestone and Kelly, 2015). A
potential problem arising from such initiatives is that large (and often
foreign-based) companies that can play an important role in promoting
the success of such hubs and incubators may also take advantage of
their superior resources to hire or acquire the assets of some of the best
emerging talents and resources available in such hubs, starving smaller
firms of talent and potentially reducing future competitive threats by
preventing smaller firms from growing to critical mass (Unwin, 2017).
This is a clear example whereby rivalry among competitors may stifle
innovation.
Similarly, the failure to successfully cooperate with other stakeholders
who embody entrepreneurial competencies and resources in the
innovation ecosystem may cause the incubator to fail in providing the
necessary business skills needed by such potential entrepreneurs to
succeed, as indicated in Recommendation 1.
Recommendation 5: Governments should protect smaller firms by
discouraging larger companies from hiring talents of smaller firms.
3.3.2 Gig Economy
Gig economies are systems where temporary employment positions are
dominant and organizations tend to use short-term or zero hour labour
contracts. The gig economies are enabled by ICT platforms generating
new demand and supply for material and digital goods and services
through ICT-based matching mechanisms. However, the typical
innovation ecosystem surrounding the gig economy presents both
opportunities and threats. Some of the problems posed by these digital
platforms are due to the fact that gig economy workers often miss out
on the social protection systems such as unemployment benefits, sick
pay and pensions. The World Bank and the International Labour
Organization (ILO) recommend that countries should adopt the same
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
46
See, for example the WISET and Portia report edited by Lee and Pollitzer (2015)
The Role of Gender-based Innovations for the UN Sustainable Development
Goals Toward 2030: Better Science and Technology for All. http://gender-
summit.com/images/GS6Docs/SDG_Report_FINAL.Jan13.pdf
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
86
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
47
For additional metrics based on crowd-sourced Internet Periphery methods see, for
example, Giovannetti and Sigloch (2015), Gupta et al. (2014) and the series of
Active Internet Measurement Systems (AIMS) workshops hosted by the Center for
Applied Internet Data Analysis (CAIDA).
https://www.caida.org/workshops/aims/1703/
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
48
Achieve higher levels of economic productivity through diversification,
technological upgrading and innovation, including through a focus on high-value
added and labour-intensive sectors.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Acknowledgement
I would like to sincerely thank Mr. Brahima Sanou, Director of
Telecommunication Development Bureau of the International
Telecommunication Union for the invitation to contribute to the ITU
study on ICTSDGs, Dr. Eun-Ju Kim, Prof. Tim Unwin and Mr.
Mohamed Ba for numerous suggestions and discussions on this chapter.
Also, sincere thanks to Prof. Ahmad R. Sharafat, Dr. William H. Lehr
and Mr. Stuart Sharrock for their many insightful comments that helped
in transforming the initial draft into this final version. I am also thankful
to Prof Ashok Jhunjhunwala for hosting me at IIT Madras, with the
support of the UK India Education Research Initiative (UKIERI). Last
but not least, I thank Anglia Ruskin University for supporting me, and
Mr. William Davies and Mr. Sebastian Sigloch for their precious
assistance. Any mistake remains of course my own responsibility.
References
Acs, Z., Anselin, L. and Varga, A. (2002), Patents and innovation counts as measures
of regional production of new knowledge. Research Policy, 31, pp. 10691085.
49
See Cornell University et al. (2015) for an overview of country level innovation
policies.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Cornell University, INSEAD, and WIPO (2015), The Global Innovation Index 2015:
Effective Innovation, Policies for Development.
http://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo_gii_2015.pdf.
Corrado, C., Hulten, C. and Sichel, D. (2006), Intangible capital and economic
growth, NBER Working Paper No. 11948.
Czernich, N., Falck, O., Kretschmer, T. and Woessmann, L. (2011), Broadband
infrastructure and economic growth. The Economic Journal 121(552), pp. 505532.
Davies, W. and Giovannetti, E. (2016), These are the things that successful crowd
funding projects do, World Economic Forum. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/
11/these-are-the-things-that-successful-Crowdfunding-projects-do
De Propris, L. (2002), Types of innovation and inter-firm co-operation,
Entrepreneurship & Regional Development.144, pp. 337-353.
Dosi, G. (1982), Technological paradigms and technological trajectories: a suggested
interpretation of the determinants and directions of technical change, Research Policy,
11(3), pp. 147-162.
Du Boucher (2016), A few things we learned about tech hubs in Africa and Asia.
http://www.gsma.com/mobilefordevelopment/programme/ecosystem-
accelerator/things-learned-tech-hubs-africa-asia.
Eurostat (2017), Community Innovation Survey (CIS).
http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/microdata/community-innovation-survey.
Firestone, R. and Kelly, T. (2015), Africa's thriving tech hubs. Background Paper for
the World Development Report 2016, World Bank, Washington, DC.
Foley, M. (2016), The role and status of national research and education networks
(NRENs) in Africa.
https://www.ubuntunet.net/sites/default/files/RoleAndStatusOfNRENsInAfrica.pdf.
Freel, M., S. and Harrison, R. T. (2006), Innovation and cooperation in the small firm
sector: Evidence from 'Northern Britain'. Regional Studies.404, pp. 289-305.
Gassmann, O., Enkel, E. and Chesbrough, H. (2010), The future of open innovation.
R&D Management, 40(3), pp. 213-22
Giovannetti, E, and Piga, C. (2017), The contrasting effects of active and passive
cooperation on innovation and productivity: evidence from British local innovation
networks, International Journal of Production Economics, 187, pp. 102112.
Giovannetti, E. and Sigloch S. (2015), An Internet periphery study: network centrality
and clustering for mobile access in Bhutan. Telecommunications Policy, 39(7), pp.
608-622.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Appendix A
1 Introduction
The Indian Institute of Technology Madras (IITM) has established a
Research Park (IITMRP) where an ICT-centric innovation ecosystem is
at work by creating and enhancing successful collaboration between
industry, research community, academia and public bodies. IITMRPs
focus on facilitating partnerships between IITM and industry has not
only fostered collaboration towards research and development, but also
resulted in spinning-off innovative business ventures that have further
generated innovations for fostering economic development in Chennai.
IITMRP was first conceptualized to create a bridge between the
academia and the industry for transforming innovations into products,
applications and services. The key notion was that the rewards of R&D
will be significantly higher if the academia and industry work together
on new ideas. The central identifying feature of IITMRPs innovation
ecosystem is the sharing of physical space (the research park), where
research-oriented companies interact formally and informally with
faculty members and other scientists and technicians at IITM.
IITMRP rewards collaborative interaction through its knowledge and
innovation ecosystem, and has produced solid and tangible results: By
2015, over 60 patents were filed for the work done at IITMRP. This
shows a successful way to overcome the traditional obstacles faced by
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
50
http://www.tidelpark.com/index.asp
51
http://stanfordresearchpark.com/about
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
a key success of IITMRP has been in showing that some of these ideas,
initially developed in the US, could be adapted to the local contexts of
Tamil Nadu and India.
IITMRPs focus is not only on business incubation but also on
supporting innovation in already established R&D intensive companies.
This is done by connecting the industry to the innovation inputs of
knowledge and being the catalyst for high-tech development.
Collaboration amongst industry R&D staff, faculty members and
students is the key element for increasing the probability of success via
introducing thriving and sustainable innovations. These three key pillars
are brought together by being co-located at IITMRP, and have been
identified as the following Golden Triad forming the ecosystem:
R&D staff: bringing the rich insights of the industry and market
Faculty: repositories of a wealth of knowledge from multiple
domains and departments
Students: different but key stakeholders, able to work relentlessly
and oblivious to risk.
The benefits of becoming a tenant company in IITMRP include high-
quality ICT and research infrastructure, and a collaborative relationship
with IITM, so that tenant companies will have the opportunity to tap
into its research resources. In other words, by moving into IITMRP, a
company will have the potential to leverage the expertise of the faculty,
utilise their research facilities, while providing part-time jobs and work
experience to IITM students. IITMRP now has 29 corporate clients52
and 16 smaller incubates53, and has developed and deployed effective
mechanisms to foster cooperation between different stakeholders.
2.1 CREDIT: Fostering Cooperation in Innovation
Ecosystem
Collaboration between the industry and academia has been formalised
so that companies residing in IITMRP are expected to seek active
collaboration with the university, for which they receive points.
52
http://respark.iitm.ac.in/our_clients/corporate_clients.php
53
http://respark.iitm.ac.in/our_clients/incubatees.php
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54
http://respark.iitm.ac.in/collaborate_with_us/credits.php
55
http://www.incubation.iitm.ac.in/
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56
http://www.bioincubator-iitm.in/
57
http://www.birac.nic.in/description_new.php?id=89
58
http://www.birac.nic.in/desc_new.php?id=84
59
http://www.rtbi.in/
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60
http://cewit.org.in/#
61
https://htic.iitm.ac.in/newsite/
100
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
62
https://ctap.iitm.ac.in/
63
Geotagg, incubated at IITM, (Deccan Chronicle, May 2, 2015)
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64
http://skillangels.com/
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Electronics & IT, Ministry of Commerce & IT, the Hot100 Technology
Award and Peoples Choice Best Startup Award. Applications for local
and international patents have been filed for Skills Angeles.
2.6.3 Solar ATM
Vortex Engineering, one of the top 10 startups that could change your
life according to Time Magazine in 201065,66, worked on financial
inclusion by developing disruptive innovations to extend the reach of
Automated Teller Machines (ATMs) to rural areas. Among them, was
the first commercially viable solar ATM. As reported by CNBC67 A
small startup, a frugal mindset and a disruptive technology are shaking
up the rural banking scene in India, giving 300 million dwellers a
chance to get a bank account. These ATMs use solar power that works
even at extremely high temperatures without requiring air-conditioning,
and are designed to minimise breakdowns. Vortex ATM is customized
to the Indias case where electricity is scarce, accessibility is poor, crisp
bank notes are hard to get and the language and dialects vary. The
research has resulted in nine patents related to Vortex ATM.
2.6.4 Micro-Spinning
Microspin has developed another impactful innovation68 that involves a
new method of spinning for small scale production, which is the
dominant reality of cotton farmers in the Vidarbha region in the Indian
State of Maharashtra. This was achieved by integrating separate
activities of weaving and dyeing, thereby allowing cotton farmers to by-
pass intermediate stages and eliminating unnecessary costs.
65
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/spinning-success-from-diverse-
opportunities/article4541988.ece
66
http://content.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,2017050_
2017049_2017042,00.html
67
CNBC Solar ATMs changing the face of banking in India, by Neerja Jetley
Tuesday, 1 Apr 2014 http://www.cnbc.com/2014/03/28/solar-atms-changing-the-
face-of-banking-in-india.html
68
Chennai tech firm spins a solution for farmers in Vidarbha, by SHILPA
ELIZABETH. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/agriculture/
chennai-tech-firm-spins-a-solution-for-farmers-in-
vidarbha/articleshow/46185407.cms?intenttarget=no
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
69
The Economic Times: Wearables for cows: How Stellapps Technologies is
'Milking' its way to success by MAMTA SHARMA, Nov. 16, 2016. Read more at:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/55350970.cms?utm_source=cont
entofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
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70
http://respark.iitm.ac.in/our_clients/corporate_clients.php.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Biography
Emanuele Giovannetti is Professor of Economics at Anglia Ruskin
University, and Fellow at Hughes Hall, University of Cambridge. He
has also taught at the University of Cape Town and the University of
Verona. His research focuses on the diffusion of mobile social
networking, market power in the Internet, mobile Internet access and
adoption of new technologies. Prof. Giovannetti has advised
governments, competition authorities and businesses in Europe, Africa
and Asia on Internet access and competition policy, and has led
multidisciplinary and multinational projects focusing on network
competition, Internet infrastructure and mobile access in developing
countries. He has published numerous academic articles in leading
academic journals, edited a special issue of Telecommunications Policy
on Peering and Roaming in the Internet and co-edited "The Internet
Revolution: A Global Perspective" published by Cambridge University
Press. He holds a PhD and MPhil in Economics from Trinity College,
University of Cambridge.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Chapter 4
*
London School of Economics, London, United Kingdom, and Australian National
University, Canberra, Australia
**
Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
4.1 Introduction
This chapter discusses the role (and limits) of governments in
establishing a legal, budgetary, policy and regulatory frameworks for
information and communication technologies (ICTs) to ensure they can
make an optimal contribution to the UNs objective of sustainable
development. We will identify and briefly assess key policy choices
affecting ICTs and how best to ensure that government policy optimizes
the role of ICTs in sustainable development.
Government policy takes various forms, such as acts of legislatures
(including general law, and fiscal or budgetary measure including tax
and expenditure), regulations and rules made by ministers and/or
regulators, and decisions taken by courts, fiscal and regulatory agencies,
and state-owned enterprises (SOE). Government influence also extends
to co-regulation, social marketing/advertising, and collective action for
non-market production by private individuals. 71 The aim of these
policies is fundamentally the same: influencing the behaviour of
individuals and organizations to promote sustainable development.
Our focus will be on government decisions on policies pertaining to
budget (tax and expenditure), law and regulation (including e-
government), and how this in turn affects the contribution of ICTs to
sustainable development.
4.2 Outline
The remainder of this chapter is broken into four sections. Section
4.3 focuses on defining the objectives, with a review of the UNs
seventeen sustainable development goals (SDGs). It will show how all
of these goals are related. In the remaining three sections, we turn our
attention to the means which could be used by the government to
achieve these objectives, focusing particularly on the governments role
in three areas:
1. First, in Section 4.4, we focus on the organization of government
71
We recognise, of course, that the extent and nature of public or state production
provides a major context for the regulation of other activities.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
72
Internet of Things (IoT) is when the Internet and networks expand to places such as
manufacturing floors, energy grids, healthcare facilities, and transportation by
networking relevant physical devices, vehicles, buildings and other items -
embedded with electronics, software, sensors, actuators, and network connectivity,
enabling these objects to collect and exchange data.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
markets. 73
4.3 Objectives and Goals
In this section, we first review and define sustainable development;
review how the UNs seventeen SDGs relate to each other; and seek to
isolate the role of ICTs and government policy in their achievement for
further analysis.
4.3.1 Sustainable Development
The overarching objective of sustainable development has been defined
by the UN as: development that meets the needs of the present without
compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own
needs. 74 The two key elements of this definition are
a focus on the needs of the people, or more broadly their well-being;
a concern with the factor of time that is, with the needs, or well-
being of people over time.
Sustainable development is a question of striking the right balance
between the well-being and needs of people in the present, and the well-
being and needs of people in the future, including future generations.
The above definition implies that the test for any new sustainable
development policy is whether it will enhance the well-being of those in
the present, without harming those in the future.
For the vast majority of todays world population, it appears possible to
both enhance the well-being of people today, and people in the future,
striking a win-win balance over time. This is presumably what
governments should focus on to achieve sustainable development. As
we shall see, to optimize the well-being of the population over time,
73
A type of auction in which transactions are made to and from a pool of participants
rather than bilaterally between one buyer and one seller. It is cleared using
operations research techniques and mathematical optimization, such as linear
programming, operated by a market manager. A smart market can assist market
operation when trades would otherwise have significant transaction
costs or externalities.
74
See What is sustainable development
www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/development-agenda.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
113
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
75
See Borger et al (2014) p. 163. In the UK, cost-benefit analysis that factored in
environmental impacts gained moment as early as 1984 with HM Treasury's
Green Book which noted that non-market impacts may not be directly measured
in money terms, but might sometimes still sensibly be given money values
(Pearce et al 1989 p. 124). In its 2003 edition, Green Book specifically referred
to the need to capture social and environmental costs and benefits for which there
is no market price (Treasury HM 2003 p. 19) and included a separate annex
dealing with non-market assessment. In the EU environmental assessment came
into focus in the EU Water Framework Directive (EC Directive 2000/60/EC), and
recently in the EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive (EC Directive
2018/56/EC).
76
See Borger et al (2014) p. 162.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
77
See Chapter 1: ICT Engines for Sustainable Development. The 2030 Agenda also
announced a total of 169 specific targets to accompany the seventeen SDGs.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
116
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
117
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Government policy on ICT markets (on the left) can directly impact
upon sustainable development, since ICT markets are a source of
employment and income for many people. Also ICT market outputs are
directly measured in GDP and therefore affect key outcomes like
economic growth, poverty, gender balance and inequality. A key
additional point for this chapter, however, is the two-way interaction
(shown in the horizontal link) between both ICT and non-ICT markets.
This captures the fact that policy on non-ICT markets (right) can affect
ICT markets (left) particularly in terms of demand and vice versa:
policy on ICT markets can affect non-ICT markets particularly in
terms of the supply of ICTs. These cross-effects are a key overlooked
strategic issue facing governments in the twenty-first century which we
shall address in this chapter. But we begin with the organization of
government itself, and the role of ICTs therein.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
78
See North (1983, 1990 and 1995).
79
North (1983) points out the reason a state holds only a contestable monopoly of
violence is because it faces both the threat of internal overthrow by revolution, and
the threat of external overthrow by other states.
80
Acemoglu D. and. Robinson J.A. (2012) document the need not only for
centralisation of power but inclusive institutions governing its use.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
120
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
121
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
81
See Oates (1999) pp. 1130ff for a discussion of potential gains from
experimentation with greater decentralization within a federal system.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
123
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
82
The data in the table is taken from Bureau of Economic Activity analysis of
Investment in Private Non-Residential Fixed Assets
https://bea.gov/national/FA2004/Details/Index.htm. For further data see Table 4a
US Annual Capital expenditure survey. For detailed 2015 data
www.census.gov/data/tables/2015/econ/aces/2015-aces-summary.html.
83
Including broadcasting and telecommunications (codes 515, and 517 in the North
American Industry Classification System (NAICS)) and information and data
processing services (NAICS 518,519).
84
All utilities combined (NAICS 22) includes electric power generation,
transmission, and distribution, natural gas distribution water, sewage, and other
systems.
85
All forms of transportation and warehousing (NAICS 48-49) include air, rail,
water, truck, transit and ground passenger, pipeline of crude oil, refined petroleum,
and miscellaneous products, natural gas, scenic and sightseeing, support activities
for transportation couriers and messengers, warehousing and storage.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
86
North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).
87
Bresnahan, T., Davis, J.P., Yin. P., (2015) p. 233.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
88
Sandvine 2016.
89
World Bank (2016), p. 55.
90
For references see Chapter 1 of this book: ICT Engines for Sustainable
Development
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
128
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
91
See North D.C and Weingast B. R. (1989) for a seminal article on the credible
commitment problem for governments.
92
See Levy, Brian; Spiller, Pablo T. (1994) for seminal application of credible
commitment problem to telecommunications.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
93
Principally owned by the Bell Telephone Company, a common law joint stock
company formed in Boston, Massachusetts on July 9, 1877, by Alexander Graham
Bell and his father-in-law Gardiner Greene Hubbard, which later evolved
into American Telephone & Telegraph (AT&T).
94
Gasmi et al 2013.
95
ibid. The fixed telecommunication infrastructure has no doubt faced increasing
competition from the mobile-cellular worldwide. Data on the extent of state
ownership of the mobile networks globally is not readily available, however it
seems likely that state owned fixed line incumbent operators have been involved in
the roll out of mobile networks particularly the early 2G networks. It is worth
noting however that the proportionof the worlds population covered by at least
2G mobile network is about 95%, with mobile-broadband 3G network reaching 84
per cent in 2016, but only 67 per cent in the case of the rural population (see ITU
2016 p88). The ITU notes however that it is impossible to draw conclusions on
mobile- phone usage in the worlds poorest nations due to lack of data (See ITU
2016 p162). The World Economic Forum notes however the gap between coverage
and penetration is 30-50% in many developed countries, and this difference jumps
to 55-75% in emerging markets World Economic Forum (2015) p. 19.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
A key policy issue for many countries then remains state ownership of
legacy telecommunication infrastructure. Telecommunication
infrastructure is a critical driver of ICT-based sustainable development,
as it remains a key input into all downstream ICT market activities.
State ownership of the telecommunication network, however, poses
serious credible commitment problems for governments. Unfettered
state ownership of key ICT assets like the telecommunication network
poses the risk of political opportunism by future governments which
may opt to raise prices or limit investment thus compromising service
quality for short-term fiscal or political gains. This would be to the
detriment of both domestic and foreign private investors in ICTs reliant
on such state-owned assets. The problem is how to credibly commit
future governments, and encourage domestic and foreign direct
investment in ICT infrastructures today, when state ownership of
critical ICT assets means that governments will control price and
quality of key ICT services available to downstream users and
investors, after private sector investments are made. Once an ICT
investment becomes a sunk cost, it is also at risk of becoming a
stranded asset, open to misappropriation by government for short-
term political gain.
Besides credible commitment, or the need for the government not to
abuse its control of assets, there is also the problem of the effect of
state-owned firms incentives on efficiency. So far as sustainable
development is concerned, the effect of state ownership on three
conditions for economic efficiency are primarily relevant.96 These are:
1. Allocative efficiency: if economic growth in a country is to be
sustainable, resources within that economy need to be allocated to
their highest return uses at the margin.
96
Empirical evidence suggests a positive fiscal impact of privatization. This is
mainly due to the cessation of state capital injections to public sector enterprises, as
well as due to the collection of privatization proceeds and taxes derived from the
profits of privatised firms. See Gupta, Schiller and Ma (1999, pp. 1011). Davis et
al. (2000) and Kikeri and Nellis (2002, pp. 1314). Other secondary effects may
include the promotion of capital markets and the enhancement of public ownership
of shares.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
97
Williamson (1963), Jensen and Meckling (1976) and Fama (1980).W Galal (1991,
pp. 26), Shleifer and Vishny (1994), Boycko, Shleifer and Vishny (1996), King
and Pitchford (1998), Nestor and Mahboobi (1999, pp. 310), Shirley and Walsh
(2000, pp. 2224, 2836), Corneo and Rob (2002) and Cragg and Dyck (2003).
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
98
Staikouras P. K. (2004) p. 375.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
interventions, there is always the potential for the company to focus its
energies on maintaining or deepening regulatory or fiscal advantages
(creating barriers to entry), or to feel that it can always fall back on
implicit government guarantees against financial failure, which are hard
for governments to avoid given their power to raise taxes. The
consequence of resisting privatization then is weaker economic
performance. Having said that, how privatization is implemented is also
important.
One of the key events that helped kick-start the growth of ICTs and the
spread of the Internet worldwide in the 1990s were steps to increase
competitive conditions in telecommunications. These focused on reform
of ownership arrangements from the early 1980s. This began in the US,
with the break-up of Ma Bell into AT&T providing long-distance
service, and the so called Baby Bells or Regional Bell Operating
companies providing local services, which was finally mandated in
1982. These moves to enhance competitive conditions through
ownership reforms were mirrored elsewhere in the world into the 1990s
and beyond, with the retreat of state ownership of telecommunications.
The superiority of private firms over their state-owned counterparts can
be confirmed by looking at productive efficiency that is the relationship
between quantity of goods produced/service provided and resources
employed.99 Historically, there was a debate between researchers who
asserted that private firms do better than SOEs given the same market
structure 100 and others who argued liberalization and competition
policies affecting market structure are more important to increased
efficiency. 101 It appears safe to conclude, however, that privatization
99
Kay and Thompson (1986, p. 20).
100
Boardman and Vinning (1989), Megginson, Nash and Van Randenborgh (1994),
Haskel and Sanchis (1995), Jones and . & Mygind, N. (2000) Estache and
Gonzalez (2002), all conclude that privatization increases firms efficiency, with
Jones and Mygind (2001), estimating that private ownership is 1322% more
efficient than public ownership.
101
Kay and Thompson (1986), Parker and Hartley (1991), De Fraja (1993), Martin
and Parker (1995), Durant, Legge and Moussios (1998), Estrin and Rosevear
(1999), Liu and Garino (2001).
134
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Spectrum Licensing
Spectrum is a critical input to a networked and digital economy and
society. It supports a wide range of services that promote economic
growth and enhance social well-being. Its role, as an economic driver
and the value it returns to society, is increasing. Wireless services can
support more efficient processes and delivery of existing services,
enabling improvements in productivity. Yet, according to data compiled
by the ITU at the end of 2013, many emerging markets had only
released one-third or less of the spectrum that will be required to meet
mobile demands alone in 2020. 104 Some countries will need up to ten
times more spectrum than what is now available. 105
A critical constraint on efficient outcomes will be the nature of
government decisions on spectrum policy. Spectrum licensing reform
on a global scale is necessary to unleash the potential sustainable
development dividend offered by ICTs. In this way, it would be
possible to satisfy the growing demand for access rights associated with
the growth of all types of wireless service, which are critical to the
102
Fershtman (1990), Boubakri, Cosset and Guedhami (2001), Debande (2001), Smith
and Trebilcock(2001), Ng and Seabright (2001) and Angelucci et al. (2002).
103
Shirley and Walsh (2000), pp. 5052, Kikeri and Nellis (2002), pp. 2125,
Nicoletti and Scarpetta (2003), pp. 711.
104
ITU (2013a).
105
World Economic Forum (2015).
135
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
continued growth of the ICT value chain and the overall economy.
Besides, reform is needed to ensure that available spectrum is used
efficiently.
One can characterize spectrum policy globally along two dimensions:
1. The first is the nature of the access model, and the resulting use of
the spectrum: exclusive use (the traditional model), shared use and
the commons.
2. The second is a more conventional breakdown of spectrum
management models into command and control, and market-based
methods.
The combinations of these access and management models are not
mutually exclusive; regulators can combine them often in the same
band and even for the same services and market outcomes differ
depending upon the conditions of demand and supply.
Historically, around the world, the typical approach to managing the
radio spectrum has been highly prescriptive, or based on command and
control. More recently a number of spectrum agencies have modernized
spectrum management policy to accommodate the use of increasingly
market-based methods and promote flexibility in use. This contrasts
with the approach thirty years ago when command and control were the
universal management practice. Most of the innovations unveiled in
recent years revolve around flexibility and the use of market-based
methods. Many countries have introduced some degree of market-based
methods, usually via competitive assignments of some kind, or auctions
for certain classes of licenses (chiefly cellular telephony spectrum
licenses).
Only a handful of countries, however, have gone beyond auctions and
introduced serious measures to address flexibility and accommodate
spectrum trading. These are the United States (US), Australia, New
Zealand (NZ) and the United Kingdom (UK). Ambitious reforms in
these countries have been associated with different degrees of
technology and service neutrality and the (re)definition of spectrum-
property rights. Only the US has adopted elements of the commons
access model. Otherwise, current arrangements elsewhere in the world
are generally biased in favour of a command and control approach in
136
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
106
Cave M. (2005) UK Independent Audit of Spectrum Holdings.
http://www.spectrumaudit.org.uk
137
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
107
Coase, R.H. (1959).
138
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
108
Noam, E. M., 1998,
109
Benkler, Y. (1998); and Benkler, Y., (2002,)
110
Werbach, K.
111
Weiser, P.J. and Hatfield, D.N. (2005). The authors claim that the success of the
802.11 standard, popularly known as WiFi, has demonstrated that unlicensed
spectrum can be big business (p. 1). See also Lessig, L. (2001),.
139
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
112
Faulhaber, G.R. (2005), WiFi is an example of an application that is known to
many consumers. However, there are many other applications that use licensed
spectrum and that consumers do not use directly. Hazlett (2006) observes that
success of unlicensed applications does not mean that more unlicensed spectrum is
needed.
113
The two approaches are not mutually exclusive. In practice the commons approach
will require some element of property rights (usually held by either a private band
manager or public spectrum manager), see Brito J (2007) .
140
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
141
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
114
Cave (2005) UK Independent Audit of Spectrum Holdings.
142
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
143
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
115
Quality of service regulation can be driven by competition concerns, information
asymmetry concerns, or externality concerns, including safety, and environment
impact.
116
See Henisz (2000 and 2002) for good reviews of this literature.
144
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
appeal, but they could also be made the place of hearing in the first
instance.
Independent commission: The common alternative approach is the
creation of an independent National Regulatory Authority (NRA)
subject to court supervision.
In addition, it is important to distinguish between nuanced scenarios.
One option is to separate the decision on whether to regulate a
component of ICT infrastructure into a separate agency from that tasked
with the decision on how to regulate in a particular case. This may place
a check on the tendency for regulatory creep, where regulatory agencies
may have incentives, and even a psychological bias to see the need for
regulation, when unregulated markets might operate better.
145
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
(including what volume, and quality); (ii) For whom?; and iii) how are
the services to be funded? 117
Clearly the funding problem will increase with the range, volume and
quality of the services, and the number of people targeted in USO.
Given the limited resources of most developing countries, there will be
a need to prioritize through careful social costbenefit analysis, and
some candidate services may need to be excluded. Decisions will thus
need to be made as to whether, for example, USO be extended from
traditional phone calls to Internet video streaming and even Internet
protocol television (IPTV)?
Limited USO funds should be focused on uses and users where there
are the greatest net social benefits. A key threshold question in any case
is whether any service under consideration would have been provided
by the market anyway, in which case USO would only crowd out
private enterprise and innovation. A policy of encouraging competition
in fixed and mobile markets appears more likely to lead to a high degree
of availability, quality and affordability for the basic connection and
services thus making separate USO unnecessary. This may then imply
a narrow emphasis on ICTs for education only, both traditional
classroom type (formal), education and distance learning or online
classroom; or ICTs for healthcare services only, such as access to
specialists for remote patients and applying broadband imaging of
patients for diagnostic purposes. Thus, although broadband
communications empowered by computer and animation technology
can provide opportunities for new ICT start-ups in urban areas, it is not
clear whether this would have a high enough net social benefit to justify
relocating USO funding from, for example, education or health, to poor
people in remote regions.
117
See papers in Symposium on Universal Service Obligation and Competition in
Information Economics and Policy 12 pp. 205-300 especially Panzar (2000) who
explains the underlying logical exercise one must go through when attempting to
measure the cost of fulfilling any specified USO; and Gasmia F., Laffont, J. J.,
Sharkey W. W. (2000) who discuss the relevance of USO to developing countries.
More recently see Chone, Flochel, and Perrot 2002; Mirabel, Poudou, and Roland
2009 and Hoernig 2006.
146
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Once the objective is clear, in terms of the service and target population
involved, the best means to fulfil the objective needs to be used. This
implies the need to find a service provider who is willing to deliver the
designated services to a satisfactory standard, to the targeted customers
at least cost. A potentially efficient way to secure such a provider would
be to auction the USO to the lowest bidder.118 Such an auction would
seek to establish who is the least cost provider of any USO service at
the required standard to a target population, in terms of the cost of
service delivery, including related administrative, and enforcement
costs.
Having determined how best to establish the price of USO service
provision, the question that remains is how best to fund it. It would
seem reasonable for funding to be approached in the same way as for
any other public good, particularly given its largely redistributive
purpose, and fund the USO out of general taxation, preferably drawing
on a broad base and low-rate tax system that minimizes distortions and
the costs of financing. The funds raised could then be paid either to the
service provider directly, or to the target populations to enable them to
buy services from the provider or a mixture of both. There may also
be some user co-payments to ensure efficient use.
In reality, the problem, however, has been the way the USO funded
which is a budget and regulation issue. In early regulated
telecommunication business between 1990 and 2010, the common
approach was for government or regulatory bodies to collect a
percentage of the gross revenues of telecommunication operators to
cover the expense of USO implementation. It is not clear why this is the
best tax base. A second major problem with most of these early funding
approaches has been the funds, which, although collected, have not
been disbursed in many countries.
118
Paul Milgrom delivered the Nobel Lecture in Stockholm, in December, 1996, in
which he provided an overview of the application of auctions to universal service.
See Milgrom (1996) and Weller (1999).
147
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
119
Sandvine (2006) p. 1.
120
ibid, p. 1.
148
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
149
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
121
Harold Demsetz, 2009, p. 9.
122
Harold Demsetz, 2009, p. 8.
150
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
This creates the problem of free-riding. The free-rider lets others incur
the risks and costs of innovation, creativity and inventiveness, and
simply imitates and appropriates their successful practices. Free-riders
can then undercut the innovators, creators or inventors price to
market, and thereby prevent them from earning a return on their
investment in innovation. This will lead to suboptimal levels of
innovation, creativity and inventiveness, as innovators, creators or
inventors are not rewarded for their contributions.
IPR serve to reduce free-riding. IPR are thus critical to ensuring
sustainable development or ensuring the well-being of those in the
future is not compromised by free-riding on innovation, creativity and
inventiveness in the present. The value of investment in intangible
capital associated with innovation, creativity and inventiveness
protected by IPR is ever increasing, accounting for the largest portion of
business investment and a key contributor to growth in advanced
economies.123 Copyright law is, in turn, the most important IPR in
terms of the value of creative and inventive investment, and output it
protects including applications and contents. The World Intellectual
Property Office (WIPO) has developed a methodology that identifies
eight groups of core creative industries protected by copyright,
according to product or service including 1) software, databases, and
computer games; 2) press and literature; 3) music, theatrical
productions, operas; 4) motion picture and video; 5) radio and
television; 6) photography; 7) visual and graphic arts; 8) advertising
services.124 In total, these industries make up between 7 and 8% of GDP
and provide an equivalent percentage of total employment. This role
only seems likely to increase for two main reasons: First, if as seems
likely, more economies of the world progress from lower to middle
income, and poverty worldwide continues to decline, demand for
creative and innovative output will increase. In addition, to the extent
ICTs displace the demand for unskilled work, creative industries will be
offering more jobs, and becoming more important to ensuring
sustainable development that benefits all.
123
OECD (2013a), p. 12.
124
WIPO Guide, para 123, pp. 4950.
151
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
125
Barker G. R. (2017a) and (2017b).
126
Horrigan, J. (2008).
152
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
127
ITU-T Technology Watch Report (2009).
128
Horrigan, J. (2008) based on a survey of 2,251 adults between April 8, 2008 and
May 11, 2008. Some 1,553 respondents in the survey were internet users and the
margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points for results based on internet
users.
129
The six activities and percentage usage included 1) use of webmail services, 56%
e.g., Hotmail, Gmail or Yahoo!; (2) storing personal photos online, 34% e.g.,
153
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Flickr; (3) using online applications, 29% e.g., Google Documents and Adobe
Photoshop express; (4) Storing personal videos online, 7% e.g., YouTube; (5)
Paying for store computer files on line, 5%; (6) Backing up hard drive to an online
site, 5%.
130
http://www.un.org/en/universal-declaration-human-rights/index.html.
131
Madrid Resolution (2009).
154
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
132
The basic principles identified in the Madrid Resolution for the use of personal
data include those of lawfulness and fairness, proportionality, purpose
specification, data quality, openness and accountability see Madrid Resolution
(2009).
133
Some examples of other privacy principles: OECD (Privacy Principles 1980),
Generally Accepted Privacy Principles (GAPP) from AICPA, FTC Fair
Information Practice Principles (FIPPs) (United States Privacy Act of 1974),
Consumer Privacy Protection Principles (CPPPS), Asia-Pacific Economic
Cooperation (APEC) Privacy Framework - Information Privacy Principles (2005)
and International Security, Trust & Privacy Alliance (ISTPA) Privacy Principles.
134
27 Member States have implemented the 1995 EU Directive
135
In general PETs are viewed as technologies that: a) Reduce the risk of
contravening privacy principles and legislation. b) Minimize the amount of data
155
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
156
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
136
HACCP was conceived in the 1960s when the US National Aeronautics and Space
Administration (NASA) asked Pillsbury to design and manufacture the first foods
for space flights. HACCP is however believed to have originated for production
process monitoring during World War II because traditional "end of the pipe"
157
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
testing on artillery shell's firing mechanisms could not be performed, and a large
percentage of the artillery shells made at the time were either duds or misfiring.
The seven HACCP principles are included in the international standard ISO 22000
FSMS 2011.
158
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
137
The use of HACCP for water quality management was first proposed nearly 20
years ago. See Havelaar, A.H. (1994).
138
Guideline for Drinking-Quality Water World Health Organization (WHO). 2004.
http://www.who.int/water_sanitation_health/dwq/GDWQ2004web.pdf
159
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
139
Annez, P. C. and Buckley, R. M. (2009)
140
UN 2014 (c) World Urbanization Prospects, p. 1.
https://esa.un.org/unpd/wup/Publications/Files/WUP2014-Report.pdf.
141
ibid, p. 1.
161
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
city sizes by over 30% on average, with around 530 more cities. As
shown in the last three rows of Table 3, small urban settlements with
fewer than 500,000 inhabitants in 2014 constituted over half of the
worlds urban population (around 2.3 billion of 3.9 billion total) but the
share of the urban population living in these small cities is expected to
fall by 2030 to around 45%, with larger cities expected to grow their
share. By 2030 smaller scale cities of 500,000 to 1 million inhabitants
are expected to grow in number by approximately 20, and host almost
150 million more people than in 2014, and incorporate around 10% of
the worlds urban population. 142 Medium-sized cities of 1 to 5 million
are projected to grow by a further 34% by 2030, or 141 reaching at total
of 558 cities, hosting 1.1 billion people worldwide - or nearly a quarter
of the worlds urban population. The next size class of cities of
5 million to 10 million are projected to grow by 47% to 63 by 2030.
Finally the number of megacities with 10 million or more inhabitants
has also increased significantly: it tripled from three in 1970 to 10 in
1990, and tripled again to 28 in 2014. By 2030, this number is projected
to reach 41 and to house 730 million people, representing one in seven
(around 14 per cent) of the worlds urban population.
These global developments pose major challenges. Rapid urban growth
threatens sustainable development when the necessary infrastructure is
not developed or when policies are not implemented to ensure that the
benefits of city life are equitably shared. An estimated 863 million
people, representing nearly one third of urban residents in developing
regions, lived in slums or informal settlements in 2012, characterized by
housing that is non-durable or overcrowded, or that lacks access to
improved water and sanitation or security against eviction (United
Nations, 2014b).
Todays cities are further growing twice as fast in terms of land area as
they are in terms of population (Angel et al., 2011). Consequently,
projections indicate that future trends in urbanization could produce a
near tripling in the global urban land area between 2000 and 2030
(Angel et al., 2011; Seto et al., 2012). Owing in part to their higher
142
ibid, p. 79.
162
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Table 3. Population distribution and number of urban agglomerations of the world by size class of
urban settlement, 1970, 1990, 2014 and 2030
163
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
incomes, urban dwellers tend to consume more per capita than rural
dwellers. Todays cities consume more than two-thirds of the worlds
energy and account for more than 70% of global greenhouse gas
emissions (UN-Habitat, 2011; IEA, 2008).
In the short run, given the rapid growth of cities, a key problem with
current infrastructure is the cost of network congestion, and the lack of
investment. According to a 2016 World Bank study, if one takes roads
for example, many cities in developing countries are stuck in an
underfunding trap for urban transport.143 In these cities, the up-front
investments that are needed for new transport infrastructure are huge,
while revenue from their still small-scale and perhaps even poor-quality
systems and other sources is insufficient to cover maintenance and
operation expenses, let alone new investment projects. This problem of
increasing urban transport congestion is global. In the US for example
where we have better data, from 1982 to 2014, there has been a 233%
increase in urban area congestion, measured as increases in the total
hours of delay for each auto commuter.144 Thus according to Texas AM
Transportation Institute 2015 Urban Mobility Scorecard, in the US in
2015, travel delays due to traffic congestion kept travellers stuck in
their cars forty-two hours per rush-hour commuter up from eighteen
hours in 1982 or nearly 7 billion extra hours, at a cost of $960 per
commuter per annum, and caused drivers to waste more than 3 billion
gallons of fuel involving a significant environmental cost. The total
nationwide price tag in the US was estimated at $160 billion.145
As the UN notes, with good planning and governance, the increasing
concentration of people in urban settlements can facilitate economic and
social development, while also offering opportunities to mitigate the
adverse impact of consumption and production on the environment.
However, rapid and unplanned urban growth threatens sustainable
development when the necessary infrastructure is not developed or
143
Ardila-Gomez, A. and A. Ortegon-Sanchez (2016), p. xiv.
144
Schrank, et al. (2015), p. 1, DeGood and Madowitz (2014), p. 12.
145
Schrank, et al. (2015), p. 1.
164
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
146
ibid, p. 1.
165
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
166
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
The above developments have implications not just for how we regulate
the use of existing transport services but also for the regulation of
transport rights of way or infrastructure across multiple utilities. The
rise of big data and big data analytics is obviously front and centre
for utility regulation and management, and widespread digitization has
obviously made possible real-time accumulation of very finely grained
and precise micro-data. Most utilities are by their nature composed of
many individual transactions that are now amenable to direct physical
measurement and can typically be monetized as well. This is probably
the major ICT-driven innovation available to regulators. Government
investment in, and use of ICTs to enable electronic pricing based on
underlying transaction data, for example, in real time, on all utilities or
networks, would enable better signals to guide infrastructure utilization,
and investment decisions and alleviate congestion. There are large
social costs from infrastructure not being priced properly. On the one
hand, of course, if prices are too low there is the risk of over-use and
congestion, while on the other hand, if the price of use is too high you
have the risk of under-utilization. At the same time, prices that better
reflect use and relative scarcities, can provide better signals for
investment.
The problem is that current government policy is hindering innovative
ICT-based developments. Focusing, for example, on transport
infrastructure, current policy on financing arrangements designed for
the pre-Internet era poses significant barriers to better ICT-based
sustainable development. Currently the financing of transport is
predominantly based on tax-funded infrastructure (using general income
or sales tax, or petrol tax), together with state ownership and control of
key assets. By comparison, a recent World Bank review of sustainable
urban transport financing, however, concludes that instruments that
charge the direct beneficiaries of urban transport investments, such as
passengers or drivers, are most likely to efficiently achieve sustainable
transport goals.147 The current general tax, or petrol-tax based financing
arrangements will increasingly fail on a number of fronts compared to
147
Ardila-Gomez, A. and A. Ortegon-Sanchez (2016), p. xiv. See also DeGood and
Madowitz (2014).
167
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
148
DeGood and Madowitz (2014), p. 6. The Highway Trust Fund, or HTF, is
capitalized by fuel taxes, a tire tax, a heavy vehicle use tax, and a fee on truck and
trailer sales. Approximately 68 percent of HTF revenues come from the tax on
gasoline and 25 percent from diesel. For purposes of simplicity, we refer to the
gas tax as a shorthand for all of the various taxes that capitalize the fund.
149
ibid (2014), p. 6.
168
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
150
Oregon is the only state in the US with an operational road charge program. In
2013 the Oregon Legislature approved the Road Usage Charge Program OReGO,
which became operational July 1, 2015.
151
The California Road Charge Pilot Program, a multi-year pilot that commenced in
the summer of 2016, has now concluded and the California State Transportation
Agency (CalSTA) will submit a final findings report to the Legislature, the
California Transportation Commission, and the Road Charge Technical Advisory
Committee in summer of 2017. See
http://www.dot.ca.gov/road_charge/index.html.
152
Ardila-Gomez, A. and A. Ortegon-Sanchez (2016), p. 55.
169
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
153
NZ has a road user charge system for heavy vehicles that has been operational for
over 30 years that can be readily applied to passenger and other light vehicles.
170
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
171
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
172
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
health offered by ICTs. The policy problems exist both on the demand
side and the supply side.
On the demand side, part of this problem is due to consumer ignorance
about how to prevent poor health outcomes, and/or treat them, which
ICT markets might help to address by making information available.
There are, however, other severe problems facing the demand side of
health markets that require government intervention based on its
taxation powers. The need for tax funding stems from the fact the
demand for health services is derived from a demand for human capital
development. Health consumption for an individual is often
unanticipated and in many cases people would prefer full coverage of
costs resulting from random shocks to their health. Contracts to either
insure, or service a loan against shocks to health or human capital,
however, are not easy transactions to negotiate in private markets,
presenting a classic case of market failure. The reason is that, unlike
physical capital such as houses, asset valuations and securities over
human capital for purposes of insurance or loan contracts are difficult to
obtain. Whereas banks and insurance houses can, with relative ease,
write contracts against future benefit or income streams derived from
houses or cars because of active secondary markets in these assets, the
same is not true for human capital.
The central point here, however, is that the taxation powers at the
disposal of governments provide them with a comparatively more
efficient enforcement or funding mechanism for health loans and health
insurance enforce premium payments, loan repayments, and pool risk.
In the absence of tax-funded government interventions, many countries
suffer from very poorly developed health systems. Even poor countries,
however, with adequate ICT-enabled tax systems could move to
contributory health accounts, accessible by consumers using health
smart cards, funded out of small tax contributions they would make to
insure their health risks over their life cycle. Such health accounts
placed within the direct control of health consumers would serve to
create the demand side for a market in health services, enable
competition on the supply side, and strengthen demand for ICT-based
health solutions.
173
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
154
Le Grand, J. (2009). See also Gaynor M. et al (2013), on the benefits of
competition in health, a recent study showing that an English government policy in
2006 promoting competition between hospitals led to an increase in quality
without a commensurate increase in expenditure p. 135, or that the effect of
competition is to save lives without raising costs, p. 134.
155
Le Grand, J. (2009), p. 479.
174
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
175
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
156
WEF (2015), p. 4.
157
Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) (2013).
176
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
158
Toma (2005), p. 4.
159
ibid, p. 4.
177
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
age and income) and/or by the education service providers. Reforms are
then required to better empower all consumers and increase competition
in the supply side of education services. For example, the social returns
to pre-adult education, especially early childhood education, but also
primary and secondary education, far exceed those in tertiary or higher
education. The political system, however, may fail to allocate as much
tax funding per student to universal pre-adult education as it does to
adults for higher education. The apparent reason for this is voter, and
interest group/middle-class capture where adult participants in tertiary
education (students and teachers) are able to extract greater rents from
the political system than children, even though the social returns to
education and training lie primarily in pre-adult school education. An
obvious solution to this is ICT-based smart education fixed-budget
accounts for individuals which can be drawn on at fixed rates for
different forms of education over the life cycle.
As the OECD notes, creating an environment that enables individuals to
choose and acquire appropriate skills, and that supports the optimal use
of those skills in work, also requires incentives for institutions to
improve the quality and relevance of their teaching. 160 Poorly designed
government policy, regulation and funding of education services
markets that undermine incentives for better performance will also
undermine ICT-based education and ICT-based sustainable
development.
On the supply side, the critical problem around the world is the lack of
competition in education and training services. It tends to be subject to
heavy licensing; and regulatory burdens which create barriers to entry,
and state ownership and management of heavily subsidised resources,
with regional monopolies that crowd out competition from the private
sector. There is a long-standing perception among economists161 that
competition can improve school markets performance. Research on the
effects of competition between private and public schools shows
improved outcomes but depends on how this competition is designed.
160
OECD (2015), p. 47.
161
E.g. Smith, 1776; Friedman, 1955.
178
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
162
The same is true in the case of school decentralization or school
autonomy.163 Thus, in voucher experiments that have introduced more
competition between private and state schools, children have
experienced higher achievement gains in private schools in some
subgroups and in some contexts.164 For example, the single group of
students who exhibit the greatest test score gains from attending private
schools in the US are minority students in inner cities. This group also
does better in terms of high-school graduation rates when in private
schools. The evidence is also consistent on cost advantages, with
private schools producing skills at lower cost particularly in low-
income countries and at the primary level.165Public administration
scholars have argued that a prime reason for the difference in output in
the two sectors of schooling can be attributed to managerial efficiencies
and the role of the principal in the private sector compared with that in
the public sector. 166
Poorly designed government policy, regulation and funding of
education services markets can thus create weak incentives for better
performance including for the adoption of ICT-based solutions in
education and training markets. These problems also manifest
themselves in the lack of education and training in ICT skills a further
key input for sustainable development. Education and training in
science, technology, engineering and maths (STEM) disciplines are
crucial inputs to the ICT sector. These ICT-related skills in STEM
complement those in the ICT sector, and a lack of adequate training of
the population in these skills limits the development of the ICT sector
itself.
Recommendation 9: The education system should be adapted and
improved to better exploit the changing ICT and digital environment
and better prepare people for the new digital economy with ICTs as the
centre of sustainable development.
162
Urquiola (2016).
163
Galiani and Schargrodsky, 2002; Hanushek et al., 2013.
164
Urquiola (2016).
165
Urquiola (2016), p. 211.
166
Toma (2005), p. 4.
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
4.7 Conclusion
We reviewed what governments need to do for ICT-based sustainable
economic development. The key challenges relate to the nature of
government policy directly affecting ICT markets and the supply of ICT
services as well as government policy affecting non-ICT markets that
indirectly affect the demand for ICT solutions for sustainable economic
development. The chapter thus identified two important points for
governments in charting their ways forward.
First, in the ICT sector itself, government should remove policies
that prevent competition and limit innovation, and encourage and
facilitate the introduction of innovative ICT-based products, and
solutions.
Second, in non-ICT sectors of the economy (e.g. agriculture, health,
energy, transportation, commerce), government needs to actively
identify barriers that prevent competition and limit innovation in
non-ICT sectors and can indirectly limit and distort demand for ICT
solutions, preventing the efficient use of ICTs to achieve
sustainability in economic development benefits.
In many countries and across most sectors, existing government policy
is frozen in time, and prevents the efficient use of ICTs to achieve
sustainability in economic development. Hence, governments need to
adapt their visions and the objectives of their regulatory regimes to
remove all barriers to the introduction of innovative ICT-based
products, and promote ICT solutions across a wide range of sectors.
General reforms of non-ICT markets that promote competition and
innovation will thus be complementary or synergistic with direct ICT-
related reforms, and vice versa.
Acknowledgement
The authors would like to acknowledge Chulalongkorn University for
granting the time to Dr. Prasit Prapinmongkolkaran and Dr. Supavadee
Aramvith to work on this chapter. Our appreciation also goes to Prof.
Ahmad R. Sharafat, Dr. William H. Lehr, Dr. Eun-Ju Kim, and Mr.
Chakthip Nitibhon for their valuable inputs to the chapter.
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Biographies
George Barker is Visiting Fellow at the London School of Economics
(LSE) and past Director of the Centre for Law and Economics at the
Australian National University (ANU) 1998-2017. He obtained a DPhil.
in Economics from Oxford University, and holds a Bachelor of Law
and a Master of Economics. He has extensive expertise in economic
analysis of law, regulation, public policy, governance and market
design in Information and Communications Technology (ICT). Since
1990s, he has advised governments and private clients in Asia Pacific,
North America and Europe on privatisation and regulation of
telecommunications, spectrum use, fixed line and mobile telephony,
digital television, the evolution of the 2G, 3G and 4G markets,
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Chapter 5
5.1 Introduction
With industry convergence driven by wireless networks, handheld
devices, and the Internet, preparing proper business models is a vital
*
George Mason University, Virginia, USA
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194
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167
Teece (2010) also highlights how business model innovation is needed in
conjunction with technology innovation in order to develop and capture value.
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168
Osterwalder and Pigneur label the portrayal of the nine elements as the Business
Model Canvas.
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169
The business model canvas is a strategic management tool that provides a template
for characterizing the key elements that comprise a business model, allowing firms
to analyze how the different elements may interact so as to better understand
tradeoffs of alternative designs (Osterwalder & Pigneur, 2010).
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198
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199
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
200
ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
201
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170
Contextualization follows the stages of Digitization (Technology in Government),
Transformation (Electronic Government) and Engagement (Electronic
Governance) (Janowski 2015)
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5.5 Conclusion
In this chapter, we highlighted the importance of establishing a business
environment in which ICT-based innovative products, services, and
applications can flourish, new jobs can be created and maintained, and
sustainability in development can be achieved. We also emphasized the
vital importance of meticulously utilizing the available tools and
methods, such as the business model canvas, to develop realistic
business models for ICT-based ventures. In addition, we provided short
descriptions of the current trends and concepts in forming and offering
ICT-based novel products and services, and discussed some important
factors that are instrumental in establishing successful ICT-based
business entities.
Acknowledgement
I would like to congratulate ITU-D for twenty-five years of fostering,
facilitating and promoting the development of telecommunication
networks as well as application of ICTs to many development and
societal challenges. I also thank Dr. Eun-Ju Kim for organizing and
leading the ICTSDGs academic group, Director Brahima Sanou for
his support and encouragement, Professor Ahmad R. Sharafat for his
leadership and guidance and Dr. William H. Lehr for his many insights.
Lastly, I would like to thank all of the academic group members it has
been a tremendous pleasure meeting everyone and discussing ICT4D
and related topics.
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Biography
Jean-Pierre Auffret is Co-Founder of the International Academy of
CIO, an NGO in Tokyo, Japan with to foster best practices on CIO and
ICT leadership. He is also Director of Research Partnerships in the
School of Business and Associate Director in the Center for Assurance
Research and Engineering in the Volgenau School of Engineering at
George Mason University. Dr. Auffrets work and research span a range
of applied technology fields including ICT leadership and governance
and cybersecurity and with APEC, NSF, IBM and World Bank. He has
30 years of industry and academic experience including executive
positions with MCI and its joint venture with British Telecom, Concert,
and academic positions with George Mason University, Duke
University and American University. Dr. Auffret earned a B.S. from
Duke University where he was an A.B. Duke Scholar, M.B.A. from the
University of Virginia and Ph.D. in Physics from American University.
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Chapter 6
*
Columbia Institute for Tele-Information, Columbia University, New York, USA
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6.1 Introduction
The Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 8 establishes Promotion of
inclusive and sustainable economic growth, employment and decent
work for all as a key objective. More specifically, SDG 8 states that
Putting job creation at the heart of economic policy-making and
development plans, will not only generate decent work opportunities
but also more robust, inclusive and poverty-reducing growth.
In this context, it is absolutely pertinent to research how Information
and Communication Technologies (ICTs) 171 can contribute to
achieving this objective. The purpose of this chapter is to present the
evidence that has been generated from academic research over the past
years on the impact of ICTs on employment. On this basis, specific
recommendations will be put forward to both create new jobs and
replace those that would be lost due to the impact of automation with
other ones. The chapter begins by presenting research on the impact of
ICTs on job creation, putting it in the context of overall economic
contributions. Following this, empirical evidence will be presented on
the impact of ICTs on labor conditions, emphasizing aspects such as
flexibility and incomes. The evidence will show, as is the case in many
areas of social science, that the contribution of ICTs to job creation can
only be detected under certain conditions. This is why the third section
of this chapter will provide public policy prescriptions that can help
mitigate any potential disruptions in labor markets that are likely to
occur as a result of the diffusion of ICTs.
6.2 ICT Contribution to Job Creation
ICTs contribute to economic growth initially through a series of effects
similar to those generated by the deployment of any type of
171
Here, ICT means the integration of information technology (computing, cloud
processing, etc.) and telecommunications networks (fixed and mobile broadband
access). It also includes all the functionality associated with the Internet use. Most
empirical research on the economic impact of ICTs focus on a specific technology,
such as broadband, in order to generate a measurable independent variable.
Throughout this chapter, when research has been conducted on broadband impact
on job creation, it is considered to be a key component of the ICT value chain.
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Residential Consumer
III surplus
penetration
Direct Household
benefits income
Enterprise
ICT
penetration
Deployment
Total Factor
Productivity Contribution to
Investment in
employment
Infrastructure
and GDP
deployment
growth
II
I
172
These did not include any secondary job creation resulting from broadband spill-
overs.
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173
All studies that have relied on input-output analysis have calculated multipliers,
which measure the total employment change throughout the economy resulting
from the deployment of a broadband network. Beyond network construction (direct
employment effects), broadband construction has an employment effect at two
additional levels. Following the sector interrelationships of input-output matrices,
network deployment will result in indirect job creation (incremental employment
generated by businesses selling to those that are directly involved in network
construction) and induced job creation (additional employment induced by
household spending based on the income earned from the direct and indirect
effects).
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
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ICT-centric economic growth, innovation and job creation
Note: Crandall et al. (2003) and Atkinson et al. (2009) do not differentiate between
indirect and induced effects, therefore Type I multipliers cannot be calculated; Katz el
(2008) did not calculate Type II multiplier because induced effects were not estimated.
Source: Adapted from Katz (2012)
The initial push for alleviating the scalability constraint has been
identified in several pieces of research:
Improved productivity as a result of the introduction of more
efficient business process support by ICTs, and marketing of excess
inventories and supply chain optimization 174 (Atkinson et al., 2009)
Revenue growth resulting from extended market coverage (Varian
et al., 2002 and Gillett et al., 2006)
Impact on the composition and deployment of industrial value
chains. ICTs can attract jobs from other regions as a result of the ability
to process information and provide services remotely. The services
most greatly impacted are outsourcing and the deployment of virtual
customer care centers.
For example, with regards to business expansion, Clarke (2008) studied
the impact of broadband access on exports of manufacturing and service
174
Efficient telecommunications make it possible to reach a broader market,
facilitating business processes. They also result in reduced input costs as the
capacity to search for lower prices increases.
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firms. The analysis was performed for countries of medium and low
levels of development in Eastern Europe and Central Asia. The study
controlled for variables such as firm size, industrial sector, foreign
ownership, firm performance, level of domestic competition,
international trade organization affiliation, progress in privatization, and
telecommunication infrastructure. The author found that in the
manufacturing sector, firms with broadband Internet access generated
6% more foreign sales than the rest. This particular effect has been well
researched in the microeconomics literature. The opportunity provided
by broadband to increase market reach and seek out the highest possible
selling price in open economies is essential in the development of a
vibrant manufacturing sector. In the service sector, firms with
broadband Internet access generate between 7.5 % and 10 % more sales.
In this case, the impact is primarily driven by enhanced access to
foreign markets. In both cases of manufacturing and service industries,
broadband improves export performance by facilitating communication
with foreign buyers, improving information on overseas markets,
consumers and standards, by ultimately linking the enterprise to
consumers, and by allowing to bid for contracts or participate in
business-to-business platforms.
Research has also allowed extending the causality from alleviation of
the resource constraint to increased demand for labor. According to
Crandall et al. (2007), the job creation impact of broadband tends to be
concentrated in service industries, (e.g., financial services, education,
health care, etc.) although the authors also identified a positive effect in
manufacturing as well. In another study, Shideler et al. (2007) found
that for the state of Kentucky in the United States, county employment
was positively related to broadband adoption in multiple sectors,
including manufacturing and certain services. This specific effect has
also been analyzed by Katz et al. (2010b) for rural economies of the
United States. In this research, it was found that within rural counties,
broadband penetration contributed to job creation in financial services,
wholesale trade and health sectors. This is the result of enterprise
relocation enabled by broadband, which benefits primarily urban
communities in the periphery of metropolitan areas (Katz et al. 2010b).
The only sector where a negative relationship was found with the
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175
This effect was also mentioned by Gillett et al. (2006).
176
Source: Euromonitor.
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177
Mercado Libre (2015). Business Overview.
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References
Abramovsky, L., & Griffith, R. (2006). Outsourcing and offshoring of business
services: How important is ICT? Journal of the European Economic Association, vol.
4, no. 2/3, pp. 594-601.
Atasoy, H. (2012). The Effects of broadband Internet expansion on labor market
outcomes. Industrial and Labor Relations Review, April 2013, vol. 66, no. 2.
Atkinson, R., Castro, D. & Ezell, S.J. (2009). The Digital Road to Recovery: A
Stimulus Plan to Create Jobs, Boost Productivity and Revitalize America. The
Information Technology and Innovation Foundation, Washington, DC.
Bohlin, E., Glaumann, M. (2011). Socioeconomic Effects of Broadband Speed: A
Microeconomic Investigation. Goteborg: Chalmers Institute of technology.
Clarke, G. (2008), Has the Internet increased exports for firms from low and middle-
income countries? Information Economics and Policy, vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 16-37.
Crandall, R., et al. (2003), The Effect of Ubiquitous Broadband Adoption on
Investment, Jobs, and the U.S. Economy. Criterion Economics, Washington DC.
Crandall, R., Lehr, W., and Litan, R. (2007), The effects of broadband deployment
on output and employment: a cross-sectional analysis of U.S. data, Issues in
Economic Policy, no.6, Brookings Institute.
De Los Ros (2010). Impacto del USO de Internet en el Bienestar de los Hogares
Peruanos: Evidencia de un panel de hogares 2007-2009, Dilogo Regional sobre
Sociedad de la Informacin, Lima.
Dutz, M, Orzag, J., and Willig, R. (2009). The Substantial Consumer Benefits of
Broadband Connectivity for U.S. Households. Internet Innovation Alliance, NY.
Gillett, S., Lehr, W., Osorio, C., and Sirbu, M. A. (2006). Measuring Broadbands
Economic Impact. Tech. Report 99-07-13829, National Technical Assistance,
Training, Research, and Evaluation Project.
Katz, R. (2012). Impact of Broadband on the Economy: Research to Date and Policy
Issues. Geneva: Int. Telecommunication Union.
Katz, R. (2015). El Ecosistema y la Economa Digital en Amrica Latina. Madrid.
Katz, R. (2017). Increasing Broadband Internet Penetration in the OIC Member
Countries. Report to the Standing Committee for Economic and Commercial
Cooperation of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation. Ankara.
Katz, R. L., et al. (2008). An Evaluation of Socio-Economic Impact of a Fiber
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Katz, R. L., Vaterlaus, S., Zenhusern, P., and Suter, S. (2010a). The impact of
broadband on jobs and the German economy, Intereconomics, 45 (1), 26-34.
Katz, R.L., Avila, J. and Meille, G. (2010b). Economic Impact of Wireless Broadband
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Shideler, D., Badasyan, N., and Taylor, L. (2007), The economic impact of
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Biography
Raul Katz is a Director of Business Strategy Research at the Columbia
Institute for Teleinformation at Columbia University and a Visiting
Professor at the Universidad de San Andres in Argentina. His research
focuses on the economic and social contribution of digital technologies,
and digitization of production processes. He advises governments,
multilateral organizations and private companies in the development of
their digital agendas. In 2004 he retired after twenty years of service as
a Partner with Booz Allen & Hamilton, where he led the North
American and Latin American Telecommunications Practices, and was
a Member of its Leadership Team. He has published five books in the
fields of broadband demand stimulation, economic impact of ICT on
development, and the digital economy. Dr. Katz holds a PhD in
Management Science and Political Science, and a MS in
Communications Technology and Policy from MIT, a Maitrise and
Licence in Communications Sciences from the University of Paris, and
a Maitrise in Political Science from Sorbonne.
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Chapter 7
James F. Larson*
This chapter examines the role of education as the basic process in the
hyper connected information era, one that is a central requirement and
key tool for achieving the SDGs. It examines both the role of ICTs in
the broad and global transformation of education, on the one hand, and
on the crucial role of education in building a strong and healthy ICT
ecosystem, on the other. Lifelong learning, massive open online courses
(MOOCs) and international education hubs are all indicators of how the
digital platform revolution is disrupting education. The chapter makes a
series of policy recommendations on teaching ICT technologies and
skills in 21st century, the need for lifelong learning, and the value of
public-private partnerships in developing education platforms.
Furthermore, it suggests that ICT education is needed to familiarize all
stakeholders with the Internet and digital networks, big data, the mobile
revolution, the Internet of Things and digital tools such as robotics, AI,
and virtual and augmented reality.
7.1 Introduction
Education is the sine qua non for both the development of information
and communication technologies (ICTs), and also for their effective
utilization to achieve sustainable development. Without education, both
*
SUNY Korea Stony Brook University, Incheon, Republic of Korea
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the development of the ICT sector and its role in achieving sustainable
development would be almost inconceivable. As noted by Yochai
Benkler, the worlds advanced economies have made two parallel shifts.
The first move, in the making for more than a century, was from an
industrial economy to one centered on transmission of information,
creation of content, and manipulation of symbols. Examples of the new
economic focus include financial services, accounting, software,
science, films and music. The second shift is the move to a
communication environment built on inexpensive processors with high
computation capabilities, interconnected in a pervasive network called
the Internet. (Benkler, 2006, p. 7). The transformation was accompanied
by a shift in the focus of research and scholarly attention related to the
advances in ICTs to the role ICTs for sustainable development, which is
the focus of this book (Schramm, 1964) (ITU, 1984).
Although the arrival of digital networks has had broad economic, social,
and political impact, one of its greatest effects has been on education,
which is the basic process of the information age (Oh M. a., 2011, p.
188). Education plays a dual role in relation to the challenges posed by
sustainable development. First, advances in ICTs are at the heart of a
broad transformation of education itself. ICTs have insinuated
themselves into all fields, forms and levels of education around the
world. Consequently they will inevitably play a role in all education
that bears on achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
Second, education plays a vital role in building a strong and healthy
ICT ecosystem, a necessary requirement for optimizing the impact of
ICTs on the SDGs. In addition to ensuring basic digital literacy, this
includes inculcating an understanding of a growing range of key ICT
trends and concepts, including networks, platforms, big data and
mobility. Such education is a prerequisite for widespread adoption of
the rapidly evolving digital technologies. All stakeholders, particularly
those with policymaking or executive responsibilities, need to
understand both of these roles in order to maximize the positive impact
of ICTs for achieving the SDGs.
One byproduct of the adoption and use of the Internet and other ICTs
around the globe and across all sectors is the increased need for
governments and political leaders to consistently plan for and invest in
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178
Chapter 3 includes further discussion of the importance of digital platforms.
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179
Big data analytics involves tools, methods and technologies to process massive
amounts of empirical data to make decisions, in many cases, without understanding
the underlying causes.
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that combines the use of Internet and digital media with traditional
classroom methods.
Recommendation 3: Governments should work with private sector
partners, schools and universities to strengthen understanding, use, and
impact of education platforms that address the SDGs. These include,
but are not limited to MOOCs, flipped classroom or flipped learning
teaching methods, problem-based and experiential learning.
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The rise of the Internet and the rapid advancement of digital technology
make it ever more important that there be stronger and more continuous
connections between education and employment. Although this is not
the only role of ICT education, it is an emerging reality. Increasingly,
people need to learn new theories and knowledge and acquire new skills
and technological competencies both on-the-job and during transitions
between employment positions. Burning Glass Technologies, a Boston
startup that analyzes labor markets by scraping data from online job
advertisements finds that the greatest demand is for new combinations
of skills. Coding skills, for example, now extend well beyond the
technology sector, and still are the most important job skill of the
future. In the United States, 49% of the postings in the highest paid
quartile of occupations are for jobs that frequently require coding skills,
as shown in Figure 1. As another example of rapid changes in the
composition of new jobs, demand for data analysts increased by 372%
over the past five years and within that segment, demand for data
visualization specialists shot up by more than 2,500%. (The Economist,
2017, p. 5)
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7.4 Conclusion
As the foregoing discussions made it clear, consideration of the future
role of ICTs in education and in achieving the SDGs cuts across
different academic fields and disciplines. Hence, in order to properly
address the role of education for achieving SDGs, a holistic approach is
needed. This need applies equally to government policymakers at all
levels, teachers, professors, researchers, technical staffs and corporate
executives. We examined both the central role of ICTs in transforming
education and also education focused on building the ICT sector and
ecosystem. The tendency of digital networks is to encourage
convergence of disciplines, fields, and departments. This highlights the
need to integrate business, science, math, engineering and other fields
in education aimed at achieving sustainability.
Acknowledgement
This chapter benefited greatly from discussions and debates with the
editors of this book (Prof. Ahmad R. Sharafat and Dr. William H. Lehr)
and authors of other chapters. The overall framework of this chapter
was built upon my earlier work with Dr. Myung Oh, a leader in both the
ICT and education sectors in The Republic of Korea. Finally, my ideas
benefited from my work over more than three years with senior
administration, faculty and staff of SUNY Korea in Incheon Songdo, an
exciting new venture in education for the 21st century.
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Biography
James F. Larson is Vice President for Academic Affairs and Chair of
the Department of Technology and Society at SUNY Korea, part of the
Incheon Global Campus and an extended campus of Stony Brook
University. He taught at major research universities in the U.S.,
Singapore and The Republic of Korea, and directed a large executive
training program for Korea Mobile Telecom (now SK Telecom) at the
University of Colorado in Boulder, 1994-95. He served as Associate
and Deputy Director of the Korea Fulbright Commission from 1996-
2010. He is a Member of the Expert Committee of SafeNet Forum, a
multi-stakeholder organization involved with Koreas new Public
Safety-LTE networks. His books include The Telecommunications
Revolution in Korea (1995 Oxford University Press) and (with Myung
Oh) Digital Development in Korea: Building an Information Society
(2011, Routledge). He received the M.A. and Ph.D. degrees in
Communication from Stanford University in 1976 and 1978,
respectively.
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International Telecommunication Union
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growth, innovation
Telecommunication Development Bureau
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ISBN: 978-92-61-24421-7
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