Erkenn

DOI 10.1007/s10670-015-9760-z

ORIGINAL ARTICLE

From Isolation to Skepticism

Scott Hill1

Received: 29 November 2014 / Accepted: 17 August 2015

Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Abstract If moral properties lacked causal powers, would moral skepticism be

true? I argue that it would. Along the way I respond to various arguments that it
would not.

1 Introduction

Many people believe that moral properties lack causal powers. Whatever goodness
is like, whatever has or does not have goodness, it makes no causal difference to the
way in which our moral beliefs are formed. This gives rise to a question: How could
it be anything other than an accident that our moral beliefs are true? It is easy
enough to see why it isnt an accident that normally formed perceptual beliefs are
true. My beliefs about the black mug on my desk, for example, are causally related
to the mug in ways that ensure that my mug beliefs are not merely accidentally true.
If the mug were a different color, I would not have believed it was black. So far so
good. But trouble emerges when we apply this test to our moral beliefs. If the moral
realm had been different, our moral beliefs would have been the same. This leads to
skepticism.
This familiar sort of worry has been subjected to a number of objections.1 I show
that there is a way of stating the worry that is immune to each of these objections. If
moral properties lack causal powers, then skepticism ensues.

1
See Bealer (2000), Behrends (2013), Clarke-Doane (2014), Enoch (2011), Hanna (2010), Huemer
(2005), Lewis (1986), Littlejohn (2011), Skarsaune (2011), Surgeon (1985), Vavova (2014) and
Wielenberg (2010).

& Scott Hill

[email protected]
1
Department of Philosophy, Auburn University, 6080 Haley Center, Auburn, AL 36849, USA

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2 Background

If I decide whether to believe the number of stars in Andromeda is even on the basis
of a coin toss, and the outcome of the toss happens to match the truth, then my belief
is accidentally true in a way that rules out knowledge. This case is easy. But there
are other, more difficult, cases in which it is unclear whether a belief is accidentally
true in a problematic way. A test is needed. Some tests require that a subjects belief
have the right modal tie to the truth. Let S believe p. Then one such test employs:

Sensitivity: If p were false, S would not believe p.

another test employs:

Safety: If S were to believe p, p would be true.

Sensitivity is understood to say that S does not believe p at the closest worlds at
which p is false. Safety is understood to say that p is true at all nearby worlds at
which S believes p. Let distance between worlds, for now, be evaluated using the
Lewisian 2 closeness relation:

1. It is of the first importance to avoid big miracles.

2. It is of the second importance to maximize the spatio-temporal region of perfect
match.
3. It is of the third importance to avoid small miracles.
4. It is of the fourth importance to maximize the spatio-temporal region of
approximate match.

An event at one world is a miracle relative to a second world if and only if that
event violates the laws of the second world. The greater the violation of the second
worlds laws, the bigger the first worlds miracle is relative to the second world. Call
a belief that fails to have the right modal connection to the truth modally
problematic.
A different test employs:
Reliability: Ss belief that p was formed by a reliable process.
A reliable belief forming process is understood to be one that yields a sufficiently
high ratio of true to false beliefs. It is unclear exactly how high the ratio must be.
But one to one is not high enough. And all to none is.
Finally, consider a metaethical doctrine:
Isolation: Moral properties lack causal powers. What moral properties are like,
and whether something has a moral property, makes no causal
difference to our moral beliefs.

2
See Lewis (1979).

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3 From Isolation to Skepticism

The ideas in the previous section may be combined to form a skeptical argument:
The Argument from Isolation

(1) Isolation is true.

(2) If Isolation is true, then our moral beliefs are modally problematic.
(3) If Isolation is true, then our moral beliefs are unreliably formed.
(4) Therefore, our moral beliefs are modally problematic and unreliably formed.
(5) If our moral beliefs are modally problematic and unreliably formed, then we
lack moral knowledge.
(6) Therefore, we lack moral knowledge.

(1) is left undefended. I aim to show that Isolation leads to skepticism; not that
skepticism is true.
My initial (but not final) defense of (2) relies on the Lewisian closeness relation.
Consider two worlds:3
W0: Torturing babies for fun is not wrong and everything else (including our
moral beliefs) is the same as it is in the actual world.
and
W1: Torturing babies for fun is not wrong and we do not believe it is wrong.
Concerning sensitivity: Since everything but whether it is wrong to torture babies
is the same, W0 maximizes the spatio-temporal region of perfect match. And, given
Isolation, our belief was formed in a way that is causally independent of wrongness.
So no Lewisian miracles are required to keep it the same. Contrast this with W1 .
Since our belief is different at W1 , the region of perfect match is not maximized. At
W0 there is perfect match and no miracles. At W1 there is not perfect match. So W0
is closer to the actual world than W1 . Therefore our belief is insensitive.
Concerning safety: Since W1 is a world with perfect match and no miracles, it is
as close to the actual world as any world can get. So it is a nearby world. And there
is therefore a nearby world at which we believe torturing babies for fun is wrong but
that belief is false. So our belief is unsafe.
My considered defense of (2) will rely on dealing with various worries that the
Lewisian closeness relation is inapplicable to moral counterfactuals and various
attempts to show that our moral beliefs are sensitive or safe stemming from the
trivial truth of counterpossibles or the supervenience of the moral on the non-moral.
My initial defense of (3) relies on a comparison due to Field.4 Suppose we had
beliefs about a distant planet. These include elaborate beliefs about the inhabitants
3
More exactly: W0 and W1 are classes of worlds. My claim is that there is a world in W0 that is closer to
the actual world than any world in W1 . Or put another way: All of the closest worlds at which torturing
babies for fun is not wrong are in W0 . None of the closest worlds are in W1 .
4
This is a variant of Fields (1989, pp. 2530) Nepalese Village case. Similar examples appear in Street
(2006), Enoch (2011, p. 158), and Bedke (2009).

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of the planet and the goings on there. Since the planet is so distant, it is causally
isolated from us in all relevant respects. So however we got our beliefs about the
planet, those beliefs were formed in a way that is causally independent of that
planets happenings. Our elaborate beliefs about that planet are unreliably formed.
And, given Isolation, there is no relevant difference between our imagined planet
beliefs and our actual moral beliefs. So our moral beliefs are unreliably formed.
My considered defense of (3) will rely on an examination of various attempts to
explain how our moral beliefs could be reliably formed and how they are different
from our imagined planet beliefs.
My defense of (5) is twofold. First, proponents of Isolation typically adopt either
sensitivity or safety or reliability as their test for problematic accidentalness. As we
will see below, different authors adopt different tests. But they all seek to show that
our moral beliefs satisfy at least one or another of the tests. And, because our moral
beliefs succeed in passing whichever of the preferred tests the authors in question
adopt, it is claimed that such beliefs are not true in a problematically accidental way.
Below, I argue that our moral beliefs fail to satisfy any (suitably refined version) of
the tests in question. If I am right, then our beliefs fail to pass the best versions of
the various tests that the proponents of Isolation have themselves adopted.
Therefore, such proponents should, by their own lights, judge our moral beliefs to be
problematically accidentally true and not instances of knowledge. Second, it is not
just proponents of Isolation that adopt these tests. They are employed by diverse and
established bodies of literature within epistemology.5

4 Trivially Sensitive, Safe, and Reliable

One might try objecting that (2) and (3) are false. One could do this by appealing
to:6
(Trivial): Beliefs with necessarily true content are trivially sensitive, safe, and
reliably formed.
Consider (2). I said that our moral beliefs lack sensitivity and safety and therefore
we lack moral knowledge. But someone might doubt this. Someone might suggest
that the moral truths we are interested in are necessary truths. And given the
standard analysis of counterfactuals,7 beliefs with necessarily true content are
trivially sensitive.8 and safe 9 Our moral beliefs trivially satisfy the relevant
conditions. So (2) is false.
Next, consider (3). I said that our moral beliefs must be unreliably formed and
therefore we lack moral knowledge. But one might follow Lewis in holding that

5
See the footnotes below for relevant citations.
6
This objection is inspired by Lewis (1986, pp. 113115) answer to parallel concerns about modal
realism. Enoch (2011, pp. 172173), Wielenberg (2010, pp. 460461), and others make similar points.
7
See Lewis (1973).
8
See Sosa (1999).
9
See Roland and Cogburn (2011).

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beliefs with necessarily true content are not only trivially reliably formed but also
trivially infallibly formed. For if it is a necessary truth that so-and-so, then
believing that so-and-so is an infallible method of being right. If what I believe is a
necessary truth, then there is no possibility of being wrong. That is so whatever the
subject matter of the necessary truth, and no matter how it came to be believed.10
Therefore, since our moral beliefs are necessarily true, they are reliably formed.
And (3) is false.
This objection is unsound. Start with the question of whether beliefs with
necessarily true content can be formed in an unreliable way. Imagine that you are
contemplating the existence of God. You decide to let a coin toss determine what
you will believe about the matter. If the coin lands heads you will believe that God
exists. Otherwise, you will believe God doesnt exist. Suppose the coin lands heads
and you form your belief accordingly. Suppose, in addition, that God exists. Now,
note that God, if He exists, exists necessarily. Forming your beliefs on the basis of a
coin toss is an unreliable method. So it is possible to form beliefs with necessarily
true content using an unreliable method and therefore such beliefs are not trivially
reliably formed.11
Now consider whether beliefs with necessarily true content are trivially sensitive
and safe. There is a genuine problem here. But the problem is not due to sensitivity
or safety. The problem is instead due to the Lewisian analysis. According to the
analysis, all counterfactuals with necessarily false antecedents (counterpossibles)
are trivially true. This is why sensitivity and safety are trivially satisfied by beliefs
with necessarily true content. However, the standard analysis goes wrong here.12
Many counterpossibles are not trivially true. To see this, suppose that God
(necessarily) does not exist. Now consider:
CP1: If God were to command us to torture babies just for fun, we would be
morally obligated to do so.
CP2: If God were to try to open a nightclub so exclusive that even He couldnt get
in, He would be unable to do so.
10
Lewis (1986, pp. 114115).
11
Objection: I have not yet shown that Lewis claim is mistaken (See Conee and Feldman (1998)). We
know from the generality problem that whether a belief forming method is reliable can vary depending on
how that method is described. So although I have described a case in which a necessary belief is
unreliably formed under one description, it may remain true that it is reliably formed under a different
description.
Reply: It seems to me that Lewis claim would be robbed of its interest if he were merely suggesting
that for any necessary truth anyone believes, we can cook up some description or other according to
which that belief is reliably formed. The same thing could be said of contingent truths. Consider the
method of believing that which is true. This is an infallible method. You will never go wrong if you use it
whether the belief you end up with is contingent or necessary. But if I decide on the basis of a coin toss to
believe that the number of stars in Andromeda is even, then my belief is unreliably formed. The relevant
method for assessing reliability is tossing a coin; not believing truly. Similarly, if I decide whether to
believe God exists on the basis of a coin toss, the relevant method for assessing reliability isnt believing a
necessary truth. It is instead tossing a coin.
12
See Brogaard and Salerno (2007) and Nolan (1997). That there are non-trivially true counterpossibles
is one reason to posit impossible worlds. As Krakauer (2013) points out, other reasons include the need to
make sense of epistemic possibility, the content of the beliefs of non-ideal agents, and (arguably) distinct
propositions that pick out the same set of possible worlds.

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CP3: If God were to actualize any world with more than 43 billion significantly
free creatures, it would contain at least the amount of evil that is in the actual
world.
CP1 through CP3 are not trivially true. But, assuming God does not exist, they
are counterpossibles. And the standard analysis judges them to be trivially true. So
the standard analysis is false. It needs to be extended to account for
counterpossibles.13

5 The Strangeness of Impossibility

Once it is recognized that the Lewisian analysis must be modified, it seems plausible
that the modification should include a closeness relation that discriminates between
worlds that are possible and worlds that are impossible. One, therefore, might target
(2) by adding:
(SOI): It is of the first importance to avoid violations of metaphysical law.
The other respects of similarity would then each be demoted one slot in importance.
With (SOI) in hand, it seems possible to undermine (2). The argument for (2)
relied on the idea that the Lewisian closeness relation requires nothing but match
with respect to spatio-temporal fact and the avoidance of miracles. And, given
Isolation, a world at which our moral beliefs are false but everything else is the same
is a world with perfect match of spatio-temporal fact and without any miracles. So
such a world is very close to the actual world. It is on this basis that I was able to
argue that our moral beliefs are insensitive and unsafe. However, if (SOI) is true,
then one might doubt this. Any world at which our moral beliefs are false is an
impossible world. There are some possible worlds that are very far away from the
actual world. And, given (SOI), any impossible world will be further from the actual
world than any possible world. So a world at which our moral beliefs are false is a
very distant world. And (2) is false.
This objection is inadequate. Even with the addition of (SOI), my defense of (2)
can be sustained. First, consider whether our moral beliefs are sensitive. This is
evaluated by going to the closest world at which our moral beliefs are false. W0 , the
impossible world at which the moral realm is different but our moral beliefs remain
the same, includes a violation of metaphysical law. But by all other measures it is as
close to the actual world as can be. W1 , an impossible world at which the moral
realm is different but our moral beliefs are changed to reflect this, violates
metaphysical law as well. But, since our beliefs are different, it also violates exact
match of particular matter of fact. So worlds like W0 are even more distant than W0 .
13
If you dont like the theological examples, consider Maudlins (2007, p. 22).
M1: If one could trisect the angle, then one could square the circle.
M2: If one could construct a 23-gon, then one could square the circle.
M1 and M2 are counterpossibles. M1 is true but not trivially true. M2 may be false. Even Lewis in some
places [e.g. Lewis (1993, p. 164165)] is plausibly read as (implicitly) relying on counterpossibles with
non-trivial truth-values.

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So, although adding (SOI) yields the result that W0 is a distant world, it is still the
closest of any worlds at which the moral realm is different. And that is all that is
required to show that our moral beliefs are insensitive.
Second, the introduction of (SOI) either undermines the motivation for appealing
to safety or motivates the introduction of a modification to safety according to
which our moral beliefs are unsafe. If (SOI) were true, then all beliefs with
necessarily true content would be trivially safe. For a world at which the moral
realm is different but everything else is the same is as close to the actual world as
any impossible world could be. There is perfect spatio-temporal match. There are no
miracles. The only thing that keeps it from being a nearby world is that it is
impossible. No impossible world can get any closer than that. So, given (SOI), the
closest any impossible world can get to the actual world is still very distant. And if
all impossible worlds are very distant, then all beliefs with necessarily true content
are trivially safe. Notice how problematic this is for the appeal to safety. Impossible
worlds were invoked in this context to rescue sensitivity and safety from triviality.
But if (SOI) is true, the problem returns and all beliefs with necessarily true content
are trivially safe. So if (SOI) is true, it seems that safety should be abandoned and
only sensitivity should be used to diagnose modal problematicness.
Third, the safety theorist might try weakening (SOI) to avoid this problem. But
note that any weakening of (SOI) that successfully avoids the problem will yield the
result that our moral beliefs are unsafe. For reasons already identified, the world at
which our moral beliefs are false but everything else is the same is as close to the
actual world as any impossible world can get. So, on the one hand, if being that
close is not sufficient for being a nearby world, then no impossible world is a nearby
world. And the problem would return. On the other hand, if being as close to the
actual world as any impossible world can get is sufficient for being a nearby world,
then there is a nearby world at which our moral beliefs are false but we continue to
hold those beliefs. And so our moral beliefs are unsafe.
Fourth, one might modify the safety condition. Some authors have moved from
analyzing safety in terms of the modal status of belief to analyzing it in terms of the
modal status of the process 14 that produces belief. However, even if these revisions
avoid the problem,15 they all articulate safety in terms of the reliability of processes.
And whether our moral beliefs are safe ends up hinging on whether we arrive at
such beliefs by a process that is reliable in some class of nearby worlds that includes
the actual world. And, as I argue below, our moral beliefs are not reliably formed in
the actual world. So the relevant modification would yield the result that our moral
beliefs are unsafe.

14
Hawthorne (2007) discusses methods of belief production. Prichard (2007) discusses ways of
belief formation. Sosa (2002) and Williamson (2000) discuss bases of belief.
15
Roland and Cogburn (2011) argue that they do not.

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6 Contingently True Moral Beliefs Can Be Sensitive and Safe

So far we have been focusing on moral beliefs with necessarily true content.
Someone might try another strategy. They might focus on moral beliefs with
contingently true content together with the metaphysical law that moral properties
supervene on non-moral properties. Take, for example, my belief that Hitler is evil.
The content of this belief is contingently true. For Hitler might not have perpetrated
the Holocaust. He might have been very different than he actually was. And if he
had been different enough, he would not have been evil.16 Now consider two worlds
at which Hitler is not evil:
W2: All non-moral facts are the same as they are at the actual world. But being a
Holocaust perpetrator is not evil making.
and
W3: All necessarily true moral facts are the same as they are at the actual world.
But Hitler did not perpetrate the Holocaust.
At W2 I continue to believe Hitler is evil even though he is not. After all, all the
mental facts are the same as they are at the actual world. At W3 I do not keep my
belief that Hitler is evil. For if Hitler did not perpetrate the Holocaust, then I would
not believe that he did. And if I didnt believe that, then I wouldnt continue to
believe he was evil.
Now, W2 departs from the actual world by violating metaphysical law. For to
change the moral status of Holocaust perpetration without changing any non-moral
properties is to violate the supervenience of the moral on the non-moral. And
therefore metaphysical law is violated. W3, on the other hand, only departs from the
actual world with respect to contingent mental and physical fact. For to change my
beliefs and to change what Hitler did does not violate metaphysical law. Thus, given
(SOI), W3 is much closer to the actual world than W2. Therefore, if Hitler were not
evil, I would not have believed that he was evil. And so my belief that Hitler is evil
is sensitive. Similarly, at all nearby worlds at which Hitler is evil, I continue to
believe that he is evil. For a world like W2 at which he is not evil but I continue to
believe he is evil is a very distant world. Thus, my belief that Hitler is evil is safe.
I do not think this objection is successful. First, the objection fails to address the
worry that moral beliefs with necessarily true content are insensitive and unsafe.
This failure opens up an alternative route to skepticism about contingently true
moral beliefs. The source of skeptical doubt isnt that I might not know Hitler is evil
because I might be mistaken about whether he actually perpetrated the Holocaust or
had the character he did. The moral skeptic does not call such beliefs into question.
Instead, the source of skeptical doubt is that I might not know whether being a
Holocaust perpetrator or having the character Hitler actually had are evil making
properties. That these are evil making properties is a necessary truth. I may know
that Hitler perptrated the Holocaust and I may know what Hitlers character was

16
This objection is inspired by Clarke-Doane (2014, p. 13), Surgeon (1985), and Wielenbergs (2010,
p. 455) objections to various skeptical arguments.

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like. But I dont know that these things are evil making. Once I see this, I have a
defeater for my contingently true belief that Hitler was evil. An adequate solution to
the problem at hand will vindicate the belief that if Hitler did what I think he did,
and if he had the character that I think he had, then Hitler was evil. The objection in
question does nothing to vindicate such beliefs. So it is inadequate.
Second, the objection seems more like a counterexample to the simple account of
sensitivity and safety than it does an explanation of how moral knowledge is
possible. In particular, I think it makes contingently true beliefs about speculative
metaphysical matters sensitive and safe in an objectionably trivial way. Suppose
there is a community of people with crazy beliefs about strange ghosts. These ghosts
cannot causally effect us in any way. No matter what they are like, it makes no
causal difference to the physical world. And no matter what they are like, it makes
no causal difference to the way in which we form our beliefs. However, what the
physical world is like makes a difference to the ghosts. In particular, whenever
someone is over five feet tall, a ghost pops into existence and starts following that
person around. Of course, we cant see the ghosts. But they can see us. And they
will continue to follow us around so long as we are over five feet tall. In addition,
members of this community insist that the connection is not merely contingent. It is
metaphysically necessary. The property of being-followed-by-a-ghost supervenes
on the property of being-over-five-feet-tall. Necessarily, any and only people over
five feet tall are followed by ghosts. So the relevant property supervenes on a
causally efficacious property. And that causally efficacious property causally effects
our ghosts beliefs.
Now imagine that I am a member of this community. I believe that Hitler was
followed by a ghost. It seems to you that my belief is crazy even if it is true. How
could I know that Hitler was followed by a ghost? After all, my belief was formed in
a way that is entirely causally independent of what the ghost was like and of what its
ghostly activities were. So, even if my belief is true, it is not an instance of
knowledge. Suppose I then give you the very response I gave regarding my belief
that Hitler was evil: I know that Hitler was followed by a ghost because my Hitler
belief is sensitive and safe. Consider two worlds at which Hitler was not followed by
a ghost:
W4: All non-ghostly facts are the same as they are at the actual world. But being
over five feet tall is not ghost making.
and
W5: All necessarily true ghostly facts are the same as they are at the actual world.
But Hitler was not over five feet tall.
Everything I said on behalf of my non-crazy Hitler moral belief can be said on
behalf of my crazy Hitler ghostly belief. At W4 I continue to believe that Hitler was
followed by a ghost even though he was not. For all non-ghostly mental facts are the
same as they are at the actual world. And at W5 I do not keep my belief that Hitler
was followed by a ghost. For if Hitler were not over five feet tall, then I would not
have believed that he was. And if I didnt believe he was over five feet tall, then I
wouldnt believe he was followed by a ghost.

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Now, W4 departs from the actual world by violating metaphysical law. For, by
hypothesis, to change the ghostly status of being over five feet tall is to violate
metaphysical law. W5 , on the other hand, only departs from the actual world with
respect to contingent mental and physical fact. For to change my belief and to
change Hitlers height does not violate metaphysical law. Thus, given (SOI), W5 is
much closer to the actual world than W4 . Therefore, if Hitler were not followed by a
ghost, I would not have believed that he was. And so my belief that Hitler was
followed by a ghost is sensitive. Similarly, at all nearby worlds at which Hitler was
followed by a ghost, I continue to believe that he was. For a world like W4 at which
Hitler is not followed by a ghost but I keep my belief is a very distant world. Thus,
my belief that Hitler was followed by a ghost is safe. This seems implausible. Even
if my crazy metaphysics is true, and even if I am right that ghostly properties
supervene on non-ghostly properties, they are not instances of knowledge. That my
beliefs satisfy the simple account of sensitivity is a reason to think the simple
account needs to be modified or supplemented in some way.
To summarize: The body of literature I am criticizing takes the simple account of
sensitivity (or safety) to be its test for problematic accidentalness. If it can be shown
that a belief satisfies the simple account, then that is taken to show that the belief in
question is not problematically accidentally true. Our moral beliefs satisfy the
simple variants of these tests. So, it is argued, they are not accidentally true.
The ghost case, however, is meant to show that this line of argument is mistaken.
My ghost beliefs are true in a problematically accidental way. And, since my ghost
beliefs satisfy the simple accounts of sensitivity and safety, something more than the
mere satisfaction of one or the other of these accounts must be required in order to
secure non-accidentalness. Any acceptable refinements of (or additions to) these
tests will yield the result that my ghost beliefs are problematic. And, since there is
no relevant epistemic difference between the ghost case and the moral case it is
designed to parody, any plausible way of refining these accounts that rules out
knowledge in the ghost case will also rule out knowledge in the moral case.
For example, one might try adding a causal requirement to these accounts. This
would indeed yield tests with the result that my ghost beliefs are problematic. But,
by hypothesis, moral properties lack causal powers. So to add to the simple account
of sensitivity (or safety) a causal requirement would be to yield an account
according to which my moral beliefs are also problematic. For another example, one
might try adding a reliability requirement. This might rule out knowledge in the
ghost case. But, I argue below, our moral beliefs, given Isolation, are not reliability
formed. So to add to the simple account a reliability requirement would be to
modify it in such a way that it yields the result that our moral beliefs are
problematically accidentally true.
Objection: It is true that my ghost beliefs are problematic. But I have given the
wrong diagnosis about why such beliefs are problematic. I say that they are
problematic because they are accidentally true. Sensitivity (or safety) is an account
of problematic accidentalness. It fails to accommodate the judgment that my ghost
beliefs are problematically accidentally true. So it must be modified to accommo-
date this judgment. However, someone might object, I am mistaken about this
suggestion. There are other features a belief might have that can keep it from being

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knowledge. Accidentalness is just one such feature. Perhaps my ghost beliefs pass
the accidentalness test while failing to pass some other test. For example, maybe the
problem with my ghost beliefs is that they fail to cohere with other beliefs I have. It
is lack of coherence rather than accidentalness that renders my ghost beliefs
problematic. Thus, one could keep the simple accounts of sensitivity and safety as
our tests for accidentalness. And since our moral beliefs pass those tests, they are
not problematically accidentally true. And, the relevant moral beliefs cohere with
my other beliefs while the relevant ghost beliefs do not. That is why I have
knowledge in the moral case but not the ghost case.
Reply: I am skeptical of this response. It seems to me that there are no plausible
diagnoses of what is wrong with my ghost beliefs that deliver the judgment that my
ghost beliefs are problematic while my moral beliefs are not. Consider the diagnosis
of incoherence. As things actually are, I believe that there are no causally
inefficacious ghosts. So adding the belief that Hitler was followed by such a ghost to
the beliefs I actually have would indeed yield a contradiction. But we are not
imagining that I have the same beliefs I actually have plus some ghost beliefs.
Instead, the supposition is that some of my beliefs are different than they actually are.
In the imagined case, my beliefs are perfectly consistent with with belief in the Hitler
following ghost. I believe in the relevant ghosts. And I do not believe anything that
contradicts the belief that such ghosts exist. Still, even if such causally inefficacious
ghosts happen to exist; and even if they turn out to necessarily supervene on height in
the relevant ways, if my beliefs about them are formed without any causal connection
to the ghosts or their activities, then it is a mere accident that such beliefs are true. My
perfectly consistent ghost beliefs do not count as knowledge. And neither do my
perfectly consistent moral beliefs. Is the diagnosis, instead, supposed to be that my
ghost beliefs are unreliably formed? If so, then I argue below that our moral beliefs
are unreliably formed as well. So again I lack moral knowledge. The challenge I
would issue to those who are sympathetic to the strategy in question is this: Find
some plausible way to diagnose what is wrong with my ghost beliefs that doesnt also
deliver the judgment that something is wrong with my moral beliefs. Coherence
cannot play the role of such a diagnosis. Reliability cannot play that role. Sensitivity
and safety cannot play that role. Every one of these diagnoses either (i) fails to
deliver the judgment that my ghost beliefs are problematic or (ii) fails to exonerate
my moral beliefs. Thus, the appeal to moral beliefs with contingently true content
cannot support an adequate objection to the Argument from Isolation.

7 No Rights Without Beliefs

One might object to (2) and (3) by appealing to:17

(Rights): Necessarily, a being has rights if and only if that being is capable of
having beliefs.

17
This is Wielenbergs (2010) objection to skeptical arguments due to Joyce (2001) and (2006), Ruse
(1986), and especially Street (2006).

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 S. Hill

(Rights) seems to spell trouble for (2) and (3). First, if (Rights) is true, then our
moral beliefs are sensitive. The idea 18 is this: Go to the nearest world at which I
lack rights. Given (Rights), it will be a world at which I lack the capacity to form
beliefs. And so, at such a world, I will not believe that I have rights. Thus, if I did
not have rights, I would not believe that I did. So my belief is sensitive and (2) is
false. Second, if (Rights) is true, then our moral beliefs are reliably formed. The idea
19
is that since (Rights) is true, if I believe I have rights, then I do have rights. And if
this is so, then the process by which I come to believe I have rights is reliable. So
premise (3) is false.
It seems to me that this objection is unsuccessful. First, given the relevant
assumptions, my belief does indeed satisfy the simple account of sensitivity. But
this is for the same reason that my belief that Hitler was evil satisfies the simple
account. The property of having rights supervenes on the non-moral property of
having the cognitive faculties required to form beliefs. But, following the reasoning
in Sect. 6, we can set up a parody case in which the property of being followed by a
ghost supervenes on the non-ghostly property of having the cognitive faculties
required to form beliefs. So if I were not followed by a ghost, then I would lack the
capacity to form beliefs. And therefore I would not believe I was followed by a
ghost. Thus, my ghostly belief would satisfy the simple account of sensitivity. But
this is not sufficient to secure knowledge in the case of my ghostly belief. So, it is
not sufficient to secure knowledge in the case of my moral belief either.
Second, this response still has the result that moral beliefs with necessarily true
content are not sensitive. Take, for example, (Rights). It is a necessary truth. So
consider two worlds at which it is false. One is the impossible world at which
(Rights) is false but everything else is the same. The other is the impossible world at
which (Rights) is false but I lack the capacity to form beliefs. Following the
reasoning from Sect. 5, the later world is further from the actual world than the
former. So, my belief is insensitive.
Third, some refinements of the simple account of sensitivity deliver the judgment
that my belief is not sensitive. 20
18
See Wielenberg (2010, p. 455).
19
Here is how Wielenberg (2010, pp. 449450) puts it: [I]f rights exist at all, their presence is
guaranteed by the presence of certain cognitive faculties. The cognitive faculties in question are either the
very ones required to form beliefs about rights or are closely linked to such faculties. If you think you
possess moral barriers, then you do.... Therefore... the processes that ultimately generate, say, the belief
that one has... right[s]... are significantly reliable.
20
Consider the refinement Williamson (2000) offers on behalf of the sensitivity theorist:
S doesnt know P when there is no Q such that:
(i) S believes that Q,
(ii) S would not have believed Q if Q had been false,
(iii) Q entails P, and
(iv) Not-P does not explain how S could falsely believe that Q.

Now, let S be me and let P be the belief that I have rights. For any Q you pick, condition (iv) will be
unsatisfied. After all, if P were false, then, given (Rights), I wouldnt believe Q since I wouldnt have any
beliefs at all. So Ps falsity does not explain how I could falsely believe Q. Therefore, my belief that I
have rights is not sensitive.

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Fourth, consider whether my belief is reliably formed: suppose you are agnostic
about whether you have rights. You toss a coin. Someone has arranged things so that
if the coin lands heads you will instantly believe you have rights and if it lands tails
your brain will instantly be damaged in such a way that you lose the capacity to
have beliefs. Now consider:
(Damaging The coin lands heads. Your belief that you have rights is due to the
Coin): outcome of the coin toss.
The earlier reasoning about (Rights) and reliability applies equally to this case.
Given (Rights), if you believe you have rights, then you do. If this, by itself, is
sufficient for reliability, then your belief in (Damaging Coin) would be reliably
formed. But your belief is not reliably formed.
Go back to the ghost case: Imagine that (necessarily) a causally inefficacious
ghost follows one around if and only if one has the capacity to form beliefs. You are
agnostic about whether such ghosts exist. But you flip a coin that will either damage
your brain in such a way that you lose your capacity to have beliefs or you form the
belief that such ghosts exist. Even if your belief turns out to be true, it was not
reliably formed. So, the appeal to (Rights) is not sufficient to establish reliability.

8 Survival is Good

One might object to (2) and (3) by appealing to:21

(SG): Survival is good.
and
(Select): Evolution selects survival. If evolution selects survival, then evolution
selects beliefs with content closely related to (SG). Evolution could not
have easily failed to select survival.
What is it to be closely related to (SG)?22 For present purposes, it will be
sufficient to note two things. First, if (SG) is true, then propositions that are closely
related to (SG) are true. Second, many of our most important moral beliefs have
content that is closely related to (SG).
This supports an argument against (2) and (3). Regarding (2):23 If evolution gives
us any moral beliefs at all, those beliefs will have content closely related to (SG).
And since (SG) is true, the moral beliefs evolution gives us will be true. This is a
process that results in a high ratio of true to false beliefs. So our moral beliefs are

21
This is Enoch (2009) and (2011, pp. 168176) objection to both Streets (2006) skeptical argument
and a skeptical argument of his own. Skarsaune (2011) and Behrends (2013) defend similar objections.
My criticism is meant to extend to Behrends and Skarsaunes variants of Enochs objection.
22
See Enoch (2011, p. 169).
23
See Enoch (2011, p. 168).

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 S. Hill

reliably formed. Regarding (3):24 (SG) and our closely related moral beliefs are
necessarily true. So they are trivially sensitive and safe. There is a way in which
evolution could have failed to select true moral beliefs. But this would happen in a
bizarre, very distant possible world in which evolution somehow did not select for
beliefs closely related to (SG). The existence of a distant possible world like that
does not in any way threaten the sensitivity or safety of our moral beliefs. So our
moral beliefs are not modally problematic.
It seems to me that this objection is unsuccessful. Regarding sensitivity and
safety: In Sect. 4, we saw that the mere necessary truth of our moral beliefs is
insufficient to yield the result that they are not modally problematic. And nothing
about the present objection casts doubt on the argument from Sect. 5 that, given
(SOI), our moral beliefs are insensitive and unsafe.
Regarding reliability: To the extent that our beliefs in this case satisfy the simple
account of reliability, that is a reason to think the simple account of reliability needs
modification. Suppose you decide to toss a coin. Someone has arranged things so
that if it lands heads, then you will instantly form a bunch of beliefs with content
closely related to (SG). If it lands tails, you will instantly be destroyed. Now
consider:
(Destroying The coin lands heads. Your beliefs with content closely related to
Coin): (SG) are due to the outcome of the coin toss.
The reasoning about (SG) and (Select) applies equally to this case. If the
destroying coin gives you any beliefs at all, those beliefs will have content closely
related to (SG). And, since (SG) is true, those beliefs will be true. If this, by itself, is
sufficient for reliability, then your belief in (Destroying Coin) would be reliably
formed. But your belief is not reliably formed.
Again, compare this to an example in which the relevant moral beliefs are
replaced with ghost beliefs. Suppose that unbeknownst to anyone previously, it is a
necessary truth that:
(GF): Causally inefficacious ghosts follow people around.
Imagine you flip a coin that will either destroy you or give you a bunch of beliefs
closely related to (GF). If the coin gives you any beliefs at all, they will be beliefs
with content closely related to (GF). But, even if (GF) is a necessary truth, your
ghostly beliefs are not reliably formed. In the same way, the appeal to (SG) and
(Select) is not sufficient to establish reliability.

24
Enoch (2012, p. 172174) puts it this way: One way of putting the [objection to moral knowledge]...
is in terms of counterfactual robustness.... It is not completely clear [however] that the thought... here can
be made fully coherent. The evolutionary aim would have had to not be of any value. And how could
that be? Fundamental normative truths are presumably necessary in a fairly strong sense.... It is not
immediately obvious, then, how to state the problem.... [A]s a conceptual matter, evolution could not have
had a very different aim in mind.... The possible worlds in which... there is no correlation between
our normative beliefs and the normative truths are quite far.

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9 Adequate Grasping

Now we turn to a series of objections that toss out sensitivity and safety and appeal
only to reliability.25 All then hinges on premise (3). Is there an explanation of how
our moral beliefs could be reliably formed (even if they are insensitive and unsafe)?
One such explanation is that there is a special way of understanding moral
properties. When we understand something in this way, our beliefs are guaranteed to
be true. And if they are guaranteed to be true, then they are reliably formed.
The plausibility of this explanation will depend on how its details are filled out.
For example, the mere guaranteeing of truth is not sufficient for reliability.
Consider:
(Schmunderstanding): A subject schmunderstands something if and only if that
subjects beliefs about that thing are true.
There is a way in which schmunderstanding guarantees truth. By definition, if a
subject schmunderstands something, then that subjects beliefs about that thing are
true. But this does not preclude unreliably formed belief: Imagine you have a
random truth value assigner (RTA). When you type a sentence into the RTA, it
randomly produces a judgment about the truth value of the proposition expressed by
that sentence. Now suppose you type sentences expressing propositions about some
moral property into the RTA. The RTA then randomly produces judgments about
the truth values of those propositions. You then conform your beliefs to the
deliverances of the RTA. Finally, suppose the deliverances of the RTA just happen
to match the truth values of the relevant propositions. So all your beliefs about the
moral property in question are true. You schmunderstand the moral property. So
there is a way in which your beliefs are guaranteed to be true. However, they are not
reliably formed.
Now, consider a way of filling out the account of understanding:26
(Adequate A subject adequately grasps a property if and only if that subject
Grasp): has a consistent, clear, and determinate grasp of that property.
Consistent grasping is left unanalyzed. For a subject to have a clear grasp of a
property is for that subject to be able to successfully distinguish between that
property and other similar properties. For a subject to have a determinate grasp of a
property is for there to be few or no cases about which the subject is unable to
successfully determine whether that property is instantiated. Grasping comes in
degrees. If a person consistently, clearly, and determinately grasps a property to a
high degree, then that person adequately grasps that property. Otherwise, the
property is grasped but not adequately grasped.
This supports an objection to (3): We adequately grasp moral properties. Adequate
grasping guarantees truth. The way in which adequate grasping guarantees truth
secures reliably formed belief. So our moral beliefs are reliably formed.

25
The strategy considered in this section is due to Huemer (2005) and Bealer (2000). Parfit (2011) takes
a similar line.
26
This objection is due to Huemer (2005, p. 125).

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 S. Hill

Adequate grasping does guarantee a large body of truth. This follows from the
definitions of clarity and determinacy. To have a clear grasp of a property just is
to be able to evaluate the truth of property identity statements about it. So you must
be able to tell whether goodness is identical to pleasure, for example. Otherwise you
wouldnt have a clear grasp of goodness. And to have a determinate grasp of a
property just is to be able to tell what has the property and what doesnt. So you
must be able to tell whether Mother Teresa has goodness, for example. Otherwise
your grasp of goodness would not be determinate.
However, adequate grasping does not secure reliability. Go back to the RTA.
Suppose you enter sentences expressing propositions about goodness into the RTA.
Some of these are sentences of the form Goodness is identical to P where P is
some property such as pleasure. The others are of the form Goodness is had by x
where x is some potential bearer of goodness such as Mother Teresa. Suppose that
for each proposition expressed by a sentence of one of these forms, you enter the
relevant sentence into the RTA. Then you run the RTA and conform your beliefs to
its deliverances. Finally, suppose the deliverances of the RTA just happen to match
the truth-values of the relevant propositions.
You have a consistent grasp of goodness. Furthermore, you can successfully
distinguish between goodness and any other property. So your grasp is clear.
Finally, you can successfully determine what has goodness and what doesnt. So
your grasp is determinate. Thus, you adequately grasp goodness. But your beliefs
about it are unreliably formed.
Someone might object: Reliability is guaranteed only when beliefs are caused by
an adequate grasp.27 In the case under consideration, your beliefs were not caused
by an adequate grasp. They were caused by the RTA. So adequate grasping really
does ensure reliability. However, consider a parallel defense of the explanation in
terms of schmunderstanding: Reliability is guaranteed only when beliefs are caused
by schmunderstanding. In the case under consideration, your beliefs were not
caused by schmunderstanding. They were caused by the RTA. So schmunderstand-
ing really does ensure reliability.
It should be clear what is wrong with this. To schmunderstand goodness just is to
have true beliefs about goodness. Is the suggestion that you need to have true beliefs
and then those beliefs must cause themselves? Assuming such a thing is possible, it
is perfectly compatible with the RTA story. You form your beliefs about goodness
using the RTA. So you schmunderstand goodness. And then those beliefs go on to
cause themselves. Is the suggestion that you start with a few true beliefs and then go
on to infer a bunch of other beliefs from those? That is still compatible with the
RTA story. You got some true beliefs from the RTA. Then those beliefs caused you
to form more true beliefs. Still, your beliefs are not reliably formed. The same sort
of worry applies to the explanation in terms of adequate grasping. To have an
adequate grasp of goodness just is to be able to successfully sort out true property
identities about goodness and attributions of goodness from false ones. After you
run the RTA, you are able to do such sorting. So you adequately grasp goodness. If
you go on to form beliefs about goodness based on that adequate grasp, then those

27
Huemer (2005, p. 125).

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beliefs are still unreliably formed. Is the idea that there is something more to
adequate grasping than mere successful sorting of true beliefs from false? I have no
objections to that. But that something more is not a part of the definition of adequate
grasping we have been given. And I do not know what to add to the account that can
fix the problem. 28

10 Plenitude

One might deny (3) by appealing to:29

(Plenitude): For any consistent assignment of truth-values to propositions expressed
by sentences of the form P is identical to P* or P is instantiated in C,
there is a property that corresponds to that assignment.
Go back to the case in which you form beliefs about goodness using the RTA.
Given (Plenitude), your moral beliefs are reliably formed even in this case. For any
consistent assignment of truth-values the RTA might generate, there is a property
that corresponds to that assignment. And, according to the response in question,
your beliefs are about whatever property most closely corresponds to those beliefs.
For this reason, consistent outputs of the RTA produce a high ratio of true to false
moral beliefs. All are true and none are false. So your moral beliefs, however you
got them, are reliably formed.
This objection entails the truth of an implausible form of moral subjectivism.30
Consider Kant. He believes that wrongness is identical to the property of treating
someone merely as a means, that it is distinct from failing to maximize pleasure, and
that it would be wrong to harvest the organs of one healthy person to save others.
Now consider Mill. He believes wrongness is identical to the property of failing to
maximize pleasure, that it is distinct from treating someone merely as a means, and
that an organ harvest would not be wrong. Given (Plenitude), there is a property that
corresponds to Kants beliefs and a distinct property that corresponds to Mills. And
if their beliefs are about different properties, then Kants beliefs do not conflict with
Mills. But this is an incorrect result. Kants beliefs do conflict with Mills. They
have competing, incompatible theories of wrongness. The appeal to (Plenitude) does
not accommodate disagreement.
Consider Nietzsche. He believes that goodness is identical to the will to power
and that it is had by those who dominate and control others. Given (Plenitude), there
is a property that corresponds to Nietzsches beliefs, that property is what his beliefs
are about, and so those beliefs are true. This is another incorrect result. Nietzsche
has a mistaken theory of goodness. He is wrong about what it is and about what has
it. The appeal to (Plenitude) does not accommodate error.

28
Note that Huemers (2005, p. 125) suggestion is not that moral propositions are analytic, or true by
virtue of the definitions of the relevant concepts, since in [his] view hardly any concepts are definable.
29
See Huemer (2005, p. 126). Huemers response, on this interpretation, is similar to Balaguers
(1998, pp. 4849) response to a parallel worry in the epistemology of mathematics.
30
Huemer (2005, pp. 4865) offers arguments like these in another context.

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11 Moral Skepticism Implies Everything Skepticism

Another objection: Some authors maintain that arguments for moral skepticism
prove too much.31 In some cases the accusation is that worries about moral
knowledge extend to all a priori knowledge. In other cases the accusation is that the
reasoning in support of moral skepticism equally supports perceptual skepticism or
that such arguments are mere applications of standard skepticism to morality.
I have different responses to different accusations. First, I think that the skeptical
considerations raised here do extend to all a priori beliefs. But I think it will take
hard work that I cannot do here to defend such a claim. However, if the antiskeptic
wants to do all the hard work for me, and show that the worries raised here extend to
all a priori beliefs, then I will gladly accept the result. For it is one that I already
believe. Of course, the anti-skeptic will then point out that since my argument is an
a priori one, it is self-defeating. Again, I agree. The argument is self-defeating. And
something, somewhere must be wrong with it. But as I point out in the next section,
showing that something, somewhere must be wrong with a skeptical argument is not
an adequate solution to the skeptical puzzle motivated by that argument. I dont
want to know that some premise or other of the argument is false. I want to know
exactly which premises are false and why. Second, these skeptical worries do not
extend to perceptual beliefs and are not a mere application of standard skepticism to
morality. The argument appeals to standard tools epistemologists use to evaluate
beliefs. Simply look at the wide body of literature that employs these tools without
skeptical consequences. Here is another way to put the point: if the worry about
moral knowledge really is just an instance of more general skepticism, then the
standard tools used to resolve perceptual skepticism (e.g. reliability, sensitivity, and
safety) should provide equally good resolutions to the worry about moral
skepticism. I have argued that they dont. And if I am right, then either (i) the
problem is not just an uninteresting instance of the worry about perceptual
skepticism or (ii) it is an instance of the same problem but it has somehow gone
unnoticed that the standard responses to perceptual skepticism dont work. And,
while (ii) would be a much more interesting result than (i), it is also far less
plausible. So it does not seem to me that the worries raised here lead to perceptual
skepticism.

12 Moorean Modesty

A final objection: We should be more confident about our moral knowledge than we
are about the speculative epistemological tools I have employed here. So if we are
forced to toss out either the speculative epistemological tools or Moorean modesty,
then the speculative epistemological tools should go.

31
This objection is inspired by points Cuneo and Shafer-Landau (2014), Hanna (2010), Huemer (2005),
Vavova (2014), and Wielenberg (2010) make against skeptical arguments due to Bedke (2009), Joyce
(2006), and Street (2006).

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I am not a moral skeptic. And I am in some ways sympathetic to this response.

But I am looking for a solution to the puzzle. And it seems to me that Moorean
modesty, by itself, cannot support an adequate solution for two reasons. First, a
complete solution to a skeptical puzzle must explain how knowledge about the
relevant domain of inquiry is possible. Moorean modesty doesnt do this. It just
gives us a reason to think that something somewhere must be wrong with the
skeptical argument. So, while I am in some ways sympathetic to appeals to Moorean
modesty, I dont think such an appeal is enough to solve the problem. Second, the
puzzle is not about moral knowledge apart from all else. It is about the conjunction
of moral knowledge with Isolation. And Isolation is itself a speculative metaphys-
ical thesis. So the choice is not between speculative epistemological tools and
Moorean modesty. The choice is instead between speculative epistemological tools,
on the one hand, and Moorean modesty plus a speculative thesis about the
metaphysics of moral properties, on the other. Maybe the right choice is to reject the
speculative metaphysical thesis while keeping both Moorean modesty and the
speculative epistemological tools. Or maybe not. I am perplexed.

13 Conclusion

I would like to end with three positive suggestions. First, those of us who are
interested in moral epistemology may benefit by thinking about impossibility. In
particular, it may be worth trying to come up with a principle that tells us exactly
when impossible examples are relevant to the evaluation of a theory. We cannot
dismiss an example merely because it is impossible. But it also seems that we
cannot appeal to just any impossible case whatsoever when testing a theory. There
must be some middle ground. It seems to me that a theory about when impossible
examples are relevant could help us think about moral epistemology.32 Second, I
want to recommend a heuristic: when presented with a moral epistemology,
consider what happens when the proposal is applied to non-moral (and non-
mathematical) examples (e.g. inefficacious ghosts or distant planets). Applying the
theory in this way might yield a counterexample. Third, I want to recommend
another heuristic: when presented with a moral epistemology according to which
our moral beliefs are not problematically accidentally true because they were
formed by a process with features F1 , F2 ; . . ., and Fn , look for other processes (e.g.
certain kinds of coin flipping or an RTA) that also have F1 , F2 ,. . ., and Fn but might
yield beliefs that are true in a problematically accidental way. This may show that
the process in question does not, in fact, rule out problematically accidental true
belief.33

32
It also seems to me that such a theory could help us think about issues in philosophy of religion. See
the impossible examples discussed in Hill (2014).
33
Thanks to Louise Antony, Lynne Baker, Phil Bricker, Justin Dealy, Maya Eddon, Fred Feldman, Ed
Ferrier, Cameron Gibbs, Matt Gifford, Pete Graham, Bob Gruber, Ryan Hebert, Dennis Kavlakoglu,
Casey Knight, Hilary Kornblith, Jordan Kroll, Victor Ma, Trish Magalotti, Chris Meacham, Luis Oliveira,
Kristian Olsen, Ben Rancourt, Julie Rose, Kim Soland, Miles Tucker, Aaron Washington, Hayley
Webster, and three anonymous referees for Erkenntnis.

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