ETV Final Report Business Case Annexes
ETV Final Report Business Case Annexes
ETV Final Report Business Case Annexes
EPEC
June 2011
This report has been produced by the EPEC consortium with contributions from:
Jonathan Lonsdale
Mark Peacock
Nihar Shembavnekar
Ali Erbilgic
Tamara Kulyk
Philippe Larrue
Patrick Eparvier
Carlos Hinojosa
The opinions expressed in this study are those of the authors and do not necessarily
reflect the views of the European Commission
CONTENTS
Annex 1
Annex 2
Annex 3
Annex 4
Annex 5
Annex 6
Annex 7
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A1.1
Introduction
This business case builds on market analysis findings of the Cleaner Production and
Processes technology area and Low Carbon Building Materials technology group (see
main report). This showed that overall, the low carbon building materials technology
group could strongly benefit from an ETV due to the lack of international recognition of
existing certification schemes and the barriers to growth this may create.
The insulation sector is a very large market (e.g. floor, wall and roof insulation as well
as pipework) within which companies are required to obtain certification within different
member states in order to access new markets. Despite the presence of a number of
very large companies that dominate the current supply side, the insulation sector is also
characterised by the presence of a large constellation of SMEs, often working at the
local or national level, bringing to market both renewable-based and leading edge
innovative insulation products (e.g. aerogels). These producers often have to prove to
the market the extent to which some of their products offer both superior performance
and stronger environmental credentials than traditional solutions.
There are two dimensions to the environmental innovation of new insulation materials.
In some cases, innovation is oriented towards the content of the insulation product (i.e.
insulation panels made of biomass). In other cases, insulators are produced using
traditional materials while achieving higher levels of performance, notably in terms of
thermal transmission. Most often however, these two dimensions go hand in hand.
There are two points which are important to consider when analysing the potential of an
ETV in this sector. First, because insulation materials are parts of buildings, the safety
for use dimension is crucial in product testing and certification. Second, buildings are
long-term creations and as such, establishing long-term performance of innovative
insulators is also a key element.
The construction sector is highly conservative, because producers often have to deal
with safety and insurances issues. Performance claims are not only insulation-related,
they also concern the water, fire or sound resistance of the product.
There are two major and overlapping uncertainties over performance claims in the
insulation sector: medium to long-term performance (dynamic performance), and
performance under real-life operating conditions. This is highly relevant for the market
because the performance of the insulation product is dependent on the surrounding
environment and materials. In other words, performance of insulation materials may
vary considerably based on the types of additional products used in the construction of
the building. In addition, the ease with which these products can be manipulated by
installers is also a key priority for consumers.
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A1.2
A1.2.1
A1.3
Innovation drivers
A1.3.1
A1.3.2
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explains the high level of acceptance from home and building owners regarding the use
of high performing insulating materials. End users choice is also price-driven: the
product and duration (life-long cycle price) have great influence on end users,
explaining why innovative companies focus on R&D in order to develop products at
competitive prices. The economic efficiency of new technology use is therefore as
important as their environmental impact.
In addition to the demand for products with greater insulating properties, users also
express concerns regarding safety for use. In particular, high performance against fire
and water damages. In the end, the users demand guarantees across supporting
aspects of the insulation products that go beyond its core function.
A1.4
A1.4.1
A1.4.2
A1.4.3
The lambda value, or thermal conductivity, is the rate at which heat is transmitted through a material, measured in watts
per square metre of surface area for a temperature gradient of one Kelvin per meter thickness, simplified in W/mK. The
lower the value, the better the thermal efficiency of the material.
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However, todays trends in the sector provide us with hints regarding likely development
of technology performance standards. First, companies focus on increasing the
insulating capacity of their products, in order to cope with national or European
regulations. Second, production is becoming increasingly green-oriented, using
renewable materials as raw materials and aggregates to their final product. Third, some
producers are trying to reduce the thickness of their products (that is especially the
case with aerogels, which is two times thinner than standard products, with better
insulation properties). In addition, the long-term performance of new products is also
tested, and is likely to increase in oncoming years.
A1.5
Technology
developer A
Technology
developer B
Technology
developer C
Technology
developer D
Member State
Sweden
UK / Ireland
Germany
Germany
Size
Micro
Small
Small
Large
Age (years)
11
15
13
30+
Products in
development
NA
NA
Market ready
products
NA
NA
Products in
market
NA
100+
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Product
description
Environmentally
friendly and recyclable
aerogels for insulation
purposes
Pre-insulated panel
from recycled
materials
Insulating panels
from hemp
Glucose-based
insulation binder
technology
A1.6.1
X
X
Our customers are highly risk averse and prefer to buy market proven
technologies
Validation procedures for this new technology are very onerous
A1.6.2
X
X
Current standards, norms and labelling that are used for the technology (family)
Due to the high level of maturity of the insulation sector, there is a wide array of
standards and certification schemes that apply to this type of material. Existing
mechanisms are either implemented at the European level or at the national level.
European standards and norms
In order to sell their products in the European Economic Area (EEA), building products
have to conform with legally required minimum safety characteristics, leading to the CE
marking. This is one of the outcomes of the Energy Efficiency in Buildings Directive.
This Directive also paved the way for the development of European standard (EN).
European standards are adopted by the CEN (European Committee for
Standardization2) and apply to all Member States, and supercede all existing conflicting
CEN draws up voluntary technical specifications to help achieve the Single Market in Europe
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national standards. Members of the CEN have now developed the Keymark for thermal
insulation products. This is a voluntary quality mark, aimed to show insulation products
conformity to the array of European product standards. The Keymark is a voluntary
third-party certification based on the following product standards:
DIN EN 13162:2001-10 "Thermal insulation products for buildings - Factory made mineral
wool (MW) products - Specification"
DIN EN 13165:2001-10 "Thermal insulation products for buildings - Factory made rigid
polyurethane foam (PUR) products Specification"
DIN EN 13167:2001-10 "Thermal insulation products for buildings - Factory made cellular
glass (CG) products - Specification"
DIN EN 13168:2001-10 "Thermal insulation products for buildings - Factory made wood
wool (WW) products - Specification"
DIN EN 13171:2001-10 "Thermal insulation products for buildings - Factory made wood
fibre (WF) products - Specification"
Another way to gain European technical approval is to obtain its approval from a
member of the UEAtc (The European Union of Agrment3). The UEAtc was created in
the 1960s in order to facilitate international trade of construction products from one
European country to another. Members of the UEAtc are responsible for issuing
national technical approvals, and through the UEAtc it is possible to obtain approval in
another country based on work already carried out. The technical approval is a useful
tool to assess the fitness of use of a product. Membership to the UEAtc is voluntary and
the methodology for approvals is made through consensus among members.
National Agrments and technical assessments
Most national approval/certification bodies offer voluntary product certification that
relate to testing and assessment to national standards or other normative documents.
The British Board of Agrment (BBA - UK), or CSTB (in France) offer Agrment
certificates, based on rigorous examination of the product, the production process and
its fitness for use and safety. This process helps move the product from a confidential
market to the general market. However, this type of certification is regard by producers
as onerous because it is a long and expensive process and better fit for mature
products with a history on the market. As a result, there is demand for a similar, less
3
UEAtc is the European network of independent institutes, Centres or Organisations that are engaged in the issue of
technical approvals for innovative construction products or systems
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A1.7
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A1.7.1
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X
X
Company A - carries out itesting internally, working with final producers to develop
specific products. An ETV scheme would have limited added value, because the
product has no real problem entering the European market. Their production is largely
driven by high consumer demand and their aerogel-based products are only slightly
more expensive than usual products, allowing them to be competitive in the market.
Company B - sees the lack of differentiation between its environmentally-friendly
product and traditional products as its main barrier to market entry. It is looking for a
way (label, etc.) to show the added sustainability value of its product, in terms of its
content and method of production. It has no problem testing the insulating properties of
its product, so the added value of an ETV scheme would be limited. However, it would
help to access the market faster, by increasing end user confidence in the product.
Company C - uses both internal and external product testing, but could use ETV as a
complementary route to market, both inside and outside the EU. The increased speed
for entering the market which an ETV scheme could facilitate would be an additional
benefit given the large amount of money it has spent in developing and testing its
product.
Company D - sees the real added value of ETV in reducing the number of testing and
verification processes required to enter national markets. ETV could increase the
speed at which its product reaches market. It should also help reduce end user (as well
as insurance companies) reluctance to use innovative products (include also insurance
companies).
A1.7.2
potentially reduce the number of testing and certification processes SMEs would
have to undergo before entering different European markets;
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A1.7.3
Introduction
This section reviews the implementing, operating and user costs of an ETV scheme. It
provides an overview of the likely costs to developers including:
1.
2.
Costs of testing the technology in the event that the verification Body requires
further testing;
3.
Official ETV fee which the developer / vendor will need to pay to the verification
programme;
4.
A1.9
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Company B - has invested over 100,000 to date in research and development, and
spends 20,000 every year on testing (with administrative cost being around 10,000).
It considers that the verification fee range should not be more than 5,000.
Company C - has invested around 200,000 in R&D for its hemp-based product, with
an annual testing budget around 15,000 (including 5,000 for operational costs). It
considers the verification fee range has to be around 3,000, emphasising the heavy
existing costs of product testing (6,000) and certification (4,000).
Company D - has spent approximately 200,000 per year in testing its product. Testing
for new products can take up to 10 years for very innovative or step-changing products.
The company is unable to assess specific costs of verification given the very large
amount of time and money spent on various testing and verification procedures.
Table A1.4 summarises the potential cost of verification for some of the companies
interviewed in this business case. Despite the limited information provided, it is possible
to conclude that companies are:
Table A1.4: Costs to developers of undertaking testing and willingness to pay for
verification for ETV
Technology Developer
A
NA
20k
15k
200k
NA
100k
200k
1m
NA
<5k
3k
NA
NA
10k
5k
NA
NA
15k
8k
NA
NA
2 months
2 months
NA
A1.10
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Certification
Assessment report
Testing
Belgium
10k
France
15-20k
12k
3-4k
17 to 35k
12k
UK
A1.10.2 Summary of what would be the cost for developers of this technology when
undertaking an ETV
From the various interviews carried out with companies and verification bodies, it is
possible to draw some conclusions regarding the potential cost of an ETV for
developers in the insulation sector. Most of the estimates provided in the following
sections are calculated by using existing testing and certification costs as proxies. The
verification fee for an insulating product should range from 5,000 to 15,000, if no
additional testing is required. Verification fees will vary depending on the:
tests the company has previously done and the need for additional testing;
Compared to the cost technology producers are willing to pay for technology
verification, there could be a difference of up to 5,000 approximately between the
real price of verification and the maximum price producers would be willing to
pay.
Certification and testing bodies estimate the time for certification to be between 3
months and one year, depending on the numbers of parameters and the novelty of the
products. They also stated the time needed for verification must be not too long, the life
cycle of an insulating product being generally around 5 years.
sector. The market is still currently largely confined to national borders, and companies
often encounter difficulties entering new markets, due to the differences in stringent
building regulations and certification cultures among member states.
An ETV however would be created within the context of a pre-existing set of national
and European certification and testing schemes and risks being drowned in this
spaghetti bowl of schemes. In addition, Member States and additional stakeholders
may not recognise ETV as credible and relevant owing to the particular demands of
national construction sectors, for example safety issues, insurance certification and
national building requirements.
Key challenges for technology
The main challenges are:
increase the speed for accessing the market for innovative companies;
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rate of innovation;
A1.12
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The fact that most companies must go through a long and expensive testing
and certification process, limiting their capacity to undergo additional
verification;
A1.13
Marketing the ETV brand: As most other labels and certifications, the ETV
brand will have to be strongly marketed in order to increase its visibility.
Technical excellence will not suffice to ensure ETVs success. Instead ETV
operators must ensure that ETV is branded correctly, to technology developers
and consumers.
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A2.1
Introduction
This business case builds on the market analysis of the biobased products6 technology
group (see main report) which found that the overall turnover for this market is huge and
growing with particularly large potential markets including automotive, aerospace and
construction sectors. Market opportunities exist for biocomposite materials to replace
expensive and energy intensive metals or finite fossil fuel derived plastics (particularly with
rising oil prices). This creates potentially large raw materials cost savings combined with
enhanced sustainability.
Several large players dominate the EU biobased product market, although a very large
number of SMEs are trying to enter it. However, these firms face considerable challenges,
including:
they are often in pre-profit phase due to the need for long-term investments required
to commercialise products;
biobased products are a higher price than standard products; and hence,
the necessity of highlighting the additionality from specific characteristics of biobased products, such as biodegradability, recyclability, low toxicity, etc.
Being able to prove biobased product performance against standard products through an
ETV would help SMEs in accessing the EU market.
A2.2
Biobased products are commercial or industrial products composed, in whole or in significant part, of biological products or
renewable domestic agricultural materials (including plant, animal, and marine materials) or forestry material.
7
The terms biobased and biodegradability may be related, but they are not synonymous nor are they interchangeable. If a
material is biobased it comes from plants or animals, but it does not necessarily follow that it is biodegradable. A material is
biodegradable only if microbes in the environment can break it down and use it as a food source.
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Figure A2.1: Current and emerging biobased plastics and their biodegradability
Source: PROBIBP, Product overview and market projections of emerging biobased plastics, University of Utrecht,
June 2009.
The EU currently accounts for about 30% of the global 58 billion biobased products market
which is expected to more than treble by 20208. In 2010, biobased products9 accounted for
10% of sales within the global chemical industry, accounting for $125 billion (90 billion) in
value. This share could rise to as much as 20% depending on the development of
technologies, feedstock prices and an appropriate policy framework.
Germany is the third-largest producer of plastics worldwide (7.5% market share) and has a 24%
market share in the EU. Accordingly, plastics producers - as well as converters interested in biobased
materials - find ideal framework conditions for their businesses in Germany which holds a leading
position in the bioplastics industry worldwide.
Several biobased products are already sold in the European market. For example, the
chemical industry currently uses 8-10% renewable raw materials to produce various
plastics. These plastics are used for food packaging, bags, hygiene products, packaging for
biological waste, plant pots, etc.
The current market is characterized by high growth and strong diversification. Not only is
there a growing number of materials, applications and products, but the number of
manufacturers, converters and end-users has also increased considerably from a base that
a few years ago was dominated by US food major, Cargill. Significant financial investments
have been made into production and marketing10.
In 2010 the global market for bioplastics achieved estimated sales of 2 billion. The market
is expected to grow by 32.4% a year from 2011 to 2015, reaching an estimated value of
8.2 billion in 201511.
The worldwide capacity of biobased plastics is expected to increase from 0.36Mt to 2.3Mt in
2013 and to 3.5Mt in 2020. This is equivalent to average annual growth rates of 36%
between 2007 and 2013 and 6% between 2013 and 2020.
Definition of bio-based products refers to industrial products made from biological feedstock and/or biotechnological products.
10
http://www.european-bioplastics.org/index.php?id=139.
11
EL Insights, Critical Insights into Energy and Environmental Technology - Bioplastics, Issue # 17, 2011.
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A2.3
Innovation drivers
A2.3.1
A2.3.2
Lead Market Initiative for biobased products13 - this aims to stimulate EU demand for
promising new innovative technologies or business models, resulting in early
adoption of new business solutions. It is intended to create a virtuous circle of
growing demand that will in turn reduce costs through economies of scale, rapid
product and production improvements and a new cycle of innovation. This will fuel
further demand and spinouts into the global market14. The action plan covers issues
relating to standardisation, labelling and certification to ensure the quality and
consumer information on the new products.
There is a presumption that in the long-term, due to fossil fuel scarcity and resulting price
increases together with climate change pressures, there will be a shift from petroleum and
gas based raw materials towards biobased products. However, knowing at what point this
switch will occur is difficult to determine and creates market uncertainty.
Biobased materials can substitute metals and mineral-based materials in certain
applications, thus helping to free up potentially valuable resources for other uses. In some
cases, these can also offer new functionalities and higher product qualities, opening up new
business opportunities.
Advanced biomass production and new bio-chemical conversion technologies can also
lower resource use (e.g. energy, water and other inputs) in the production of existing and
new industrial (biobased) products, thereby contributing to more sustainable industrial
production and greener industries.
The recyclability, reduced greenhouse gas emissions, high biodegradability and full
compostability is also appealing to the European consumer, whose behaviour is
increasingly affected by green product qualities. Recent research also shows consumers
willingness to pay a premium for more sustainable products.
12
13
European Commission, Accelerating the Development of the Market for Bio-based Products in Europe Report of the
taskforce on bio-based products, 2007.
14
European Commission, Accelerating the Development of the Market for Bio-based Products in Europe Report of the
taskforce on bio-based products, 2007.
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A2.4
A2.4.1
Surfactants;
Bio-solvents;
Bio-lubricants;
Enzymes.
The most important markets in terms of turnover, overall maturity and development
potential are bioplastics and biopharmaceuticals.
A2.4.2
the need for the plastics conversion sector to adapt to the new plastics.
Currently, some segments of the industry appear to have reached maturity such as
advances in catalyst systems and new versions of polymers in existing polymer families.
Polymer blends and alloys along with advances in polymer matrix composite technology are
also creating new performance capabilities whilst nanotechnology promises to advance the
performance capabilities of plastics.
Overall, the bioplastics market is still in its infancy and is likely to experience high growth.
Even if the technology appears mature with incremental levels of innovation, there exist
possibilities to improve the biobased content of products.
A2.4.3
A2.5
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overhead systems, doors and seats. Its research centre works on new materials including
biobased products.
Company B - produces biodegradable trays, food containers, cutleries, plates and cups.
Since its products remain more expansive than products made from petrochemical plastics,
it puts an emphasis on its products green ingredients (that is to say biobased and
biodegradable feedstocks). Certifications are important for its clients so they are assured
that the products they buy are certified as biodegradable.
Company C - produces safety eyeglasses for people at work and has to communicate the
biodegradability of its products to its customers.
Company D - produces natural food ingredients, green chemicals and biobased monomers
for PLA.
Company E15 - produces hemp-polymer composites.
Table A2.2: Overview of technology developers in this business case
15
Organisation information
Technology
developer A
Technology
developer B
Technology
developer C
Technology
developer D
Technology
developer E
Member State
Spain
France
France
The
Netherlands
France
Size
Large
Small
Small
Small
Small
Age (years)
+20
6-10
+20
+20
10
Products in development
N/A
Confidential
data
N/A
20-30
N/A
Confidential
data
N/A
N/A
10
Products in market
N/A
30
21
N/A
10
Product description
Biobased
components
for the
automobile
industry
Biobased
trays, food
containers,
cutleries,
plates and
cups
Biobased
safety
eyeglasses
Natural food
ingredients,
green
chemicals
and biobased
monomers
for PLA
Polymerhemp
composites
Company response mainly based on a survey response, not a detailed discussion with the company.
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A2.6.1
Our customers are highly risk averse and prefer to buy market proven
technologies
A2.6.2
Our company must comply with stringent health, safety, and environmental
standards as a condition of sale
Current standards, norms and labelling that are used for the technology (family)
Standards and norms
There are several ISO standards concerning plastics. The ISO TC 61 is the standardisation
of nomenclature, methods of test, and specifications applicable to materials and products in
the field of plastics. The objective of TC 61 is the timely development and maintenance of
quality, market relevant, material and semi-finished product test methods and standards for
the global plastics industry.
In Europe, there are no norms only for biobased products. However, most biobased
products are covered by the European Norm (EN) 13432, entitled "Requirements for
packaging recoverable through composting and biodegradation16. The terms
"biodegradation", "biodegradable materials", "compostability" are very common but
frequently misused and a source of misunderstanding.
The definition of compostability is very important because materials not compatible with
composting (i.e. traditional plastics, glass, materials contaminated with heavy metals, etc.)
decrease the final quality of compost and can make it unsuitable for agriculture and,
therefore, commercially not acceptable.
EN 13432 resolves this problem by defining the characteristics a material must have to be
16
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Biodegradable polymers, which meet all criteria of scientifically, recognised norms for
biodegradability and compostability of plastics and plastic product.
A2.6.3
DIN CERTCO this certification scheme applies to products which are wholly or
partly produced from biobased raw materials20 and rates the proportion of biobased
raw materials21;
17
See http://www.european-bioplastics.org/index.php?id=129
18
Established in the 5th Amendment of the German Packaging Directive; regulation took effect in January 2009
19
http://www.astm.org/Standards/D6866.htm
20
A parallel DIN certification for Products made of compostable materials certification scheme is also available
21
It does not include an assessment or calculation of the eco-balance of the respective product, nor confirm compliance with
international, national or regional law, nor does it contain a statement about the biodegradability and compostability of a product
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In the field of biobased product, and even more in bioplastics, there are joint developments
between technology developers and buyers. Clients (that are suppliers or vendors to end
users) need specific requirements and for that reason transmit specifications to the
developer. Once the product is ready, the client and technology developer undertake joint
testing to ensure they meet client specifications. Sometimes, product volumes are very
limited so that verification does not seem to be pertinent.
Company A - is a producer of automotive components. It has its own facilities for testing
raw materials and final products. Supply chain pressures from car manufacturers (who rely
on different standards, like ISO or the norms developed by the ASTM or by the German
Association of the Automotive Industry (VDA), dictate the test requirements for its products.
Company B - uses the OK Biobased certification which is considered as sufficient. It cannot
afford a certification process for its whole set of products due to cost. Some tests are made
internally, in accordance with clients requirements, as well in client laboratories.
Company C - has based its business model on the biobased nature of its final products and
uses the OK Biobased certification which it considers is sufficient for its needs.
Company D does not use certifications for its products since it produces raw material for
industry and does not need to build its strategy on its products environmental
characteristics; rather it focuses on their technical characteristics (e.g. shock resistance).
Company E relies only on ISO 9001. Testing and industrial scale production are
performed by a third party.
A2.7
Rationale & value added for technology developers from undertaking an ETV
A2.7.1
Key: Responses relate to a Significant benefit unless in bold which is regarded by the developer as a Highly
Significant benefit
Company A - does not consider an ETV helpful in any way since it has to comply with its
clients testing protocols which differ from one company to another. Its strength is related, on
the one hand, to the low cost of its products and, on the other hand, to the integral approach
it proposes to its client, from the design in cooperation with the client to the production
including if needed R&D.
Company B - produces many products and could not afford to pay for an ETV for each
product nor for the process of production, since the final products only are of interest for the
client. For that reason, it is not interested in an ETV. Further, it already benefits from a
green certification and does not see what ETV would add since the characteristics of its
product that pass a certification process are known by the customers.
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Company C - does not see any interest in benefiting from a scheme that would certify the
performance claim of its products since there are already several appropriate certification
schemes.
Company D - does not believe an ETV would increase its market position since its products
need to comply with specific requirements imposed by clients (e.g. for shock resistance).
ETV would not certify such requirements and therefore would not eliminate the need for the
company to follow the additional requirements imposed by its clients.
Company E - believes ETV would help it to increase its credibility on the market. Its director
is very interested in ETV.
A2.7.2
A2.7.3
Introduction
This section provides a review of the cost of implementing, operating and using an ETV
scheme. It starts by providing a detailed overview of the likely costs to developers from
undertaking an ETV verification which include:
1. Costs of testing of the technology to enable it to apply to the ETV;
2. Costs of testing the technology in the event that the Verification Body requires
further testing;
3. Official ETV fee - which the developer / vendor will need to pay to the verification
programme);
4. Other internal costs to the firms.
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A2.9
firms support internal costs for tests and verification which can correspond to an
important share of the costs of development of the final product;
the timescale for verification for these types of product is already long (more than 6
months for biodegradability testing and can be up to 12 months). It is likely then that
companies in this sector would accept a timescale from 6-12 months for ETV.
Testing
costs up to
10% of total
cost of
developme
nt
R&D
budget
(correspond
ing to 810% of
turnover):
1,5m
N/A
N/A
Not
relevant
5,00010,000
N/A
N/A
5,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
12 months
12 months
12 months
12 months
2 months
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E
Testing
costs: 10k
R&D to
date: 2m
Note that some firms may only be able to provide a total or annual development cost
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A2.10
Resistance of
materials
Belgium
5,000-10,000 (C)
Germany
15,000-20,000 (C)
5,000-6,000 (T)
Spain
Key: T = testing; C = certification
Another problem relates to the field of application of the ETV scheme. When producers
make a tailor-made product for a specific client, volumes are low in most cases so that the
verification could not be pertinent in a situation of price competition. Further, even if ETV
applied to the product, the seller as well as the customer would conduct several tests in
order to verify that the products characteristics are in line with the specific requirements of
the customer. That means that ETV would not reduce the costs for testing and verification
but would increase the total cost of testing and verification.
A2.11.3 Value added for firms from undertaking the ETV
The main problem in this area is competition with conventional plastics. For the moment,
conventional plastics remain cheaper than bioplastics. Producers of bioplastics
communicate on the environmental characteristics of their products and count on the
willingness of customers to buy more expansive but greener products. There are several
certifications that help them in this communication. Companies consider that the
certification of the biobased content is the only information that matters; and so far, the
certifications provided by DIN CERTCO, Vinotte, ASMT, etc. provide these companies
with a scheme and an international credibility that is deemed sufficient.
An application for ETV would increase the sale price without necessarily increasing an
applicants market share. Besides, an ETV would have to be done for each specific product,
representing a huge number of verifications and a dramatic increase in price of the final
product, which would not be accepted by the customers.
However, once the market for biobased products is mature and prices have fallen, ETV
could help companies to reinforce their communication on the technical characteristics of
their products as well as the environmental advantages of their products compared to
conventional products.
A2.11.4 Potential number of firms who might be interested in scheme
Around 1,000 firms in Europe deliver biobased products23. Some of them are large
companies, like BASF for instance (which sells commercial products Ecoflex and Ecovio).
The industry also comprises numerous SMEs focused on niche markets.
Large companies would not necessarily be the most interested in ETV since they are
already occupy prominent market positions. In contrast, smaller players might have an
interest in ETV to secure their position in the market or to enter the market and afterwards to
increase their market share. It is reasonable to assume that 1-2% of the existing companies
will be interested in applying for ETV whereas new players will also show an interest.
In all, given the very low interest in ETV (at least currently), we estimate that over a five
year period, between 10 to 50 companies could be interested in applying for an ETV,
or roughly 4 to 20 over the next two years.
A2.11.5 Sector wide conclusions
Biobased products are emerging but their presence in the markets remains limited and they
are in general manufactured in small volumes24. Currently, the most important barriers are
the cost of production of biobased products and the difficulties in entering the market. For
producers, the key challenge is not related to the production process since it is not too
difficult to produce biobased products, but to reduce production costs. The only way to
counterbalance higher prices is to communicate the negative impacts of conventional
plastics on the environment and the virtues of biobased products. As discussed, several
certifications exist that provide companies with this communication tool. However, a pan23
24
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EPEC
A2.12
25
http://www.bioref-integ.eu/fileadmin/bioref-integ/user/documents/13._Peters_-_Biorefinery_Policy_Issues_and_Products_130910.pdf
26
https://www.ecoplastproject.com
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EPEC
ETV would be useful for companies that sell products that differ from the traditional ones not
only as regards their biodegradability and/or their biobased content but also as regards their
effect on health for the persons who manipulate them. At the time being, markets remain too
small and it is unlikely that companies would apply for ETV. Biobased products are
emerging and time is needed before ETV would raise the interest of companies.
A2.13
Firstly, the take-off of ETV for biobased products needs further policy impetus from
the European Commission and Member States to increase the development of
biobased products. Measures are needed to increase R&D to enhance the supply
of products and to reduce production costs. Measures are also needed to increase
demand for biobased products, from the public sector, industry and consumers;
Secondly, specific efforts will be required to involve and learn from the experiences
of existing institutions that deliver certifications. Mechanisms should ensure that the
testing protocols are compatible with each other to avoid double testing. For
instance, a product that would apply to ETV might apply at the same time to one or
several of these certifications. This implies that the ETV protocol would encompass
the test procedures of these individual certifications;
27
European commission (2007), Action Plan for bio-based products, SEC (2007) 1729
28
Advisory Group for Bio-based Products (2009), Taking bio-based from promise to market
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EPEC
A3.1
Introduction
This business case builds on the findings of the main market analysis which showed that,
while soil and groundwater remediation technologies is a mature market, there are a large
number of innovative technology companies seeking to bring new testing and site
characterisation and diagnostic techniques to commercialisation. These have the potential
to significantly decrease the need for laboratory testing29 and hence speed up the process of
site characterisation whilst also improving knowledge about site contaminants. Overall,
such technologies could provide a step change in current practices which in turn could
reduce costs considerably.
The companies featured in this business case have products that cover different types of
site characterisation including: probes, on site samplers, heavy metal detectors and X-ray
fluorescents. New technologies require on site demonstration which is time consuming,
costly and often difficult to conduct due to the lack of appropriate sites for testing. The
industry is dominated by large environmental engineering consulting firms that test new
technologies for quality assurance before use after considering their performance claims.
This is necessary because of the diverse nature of contaminated sites. Testing and
validation are a prerequisite for acceptance of a new product. This business case shows
the benefits that ETV will bring to both technology developers and end users.
A3.1.1
29
Laboratory testing is a critical component of the soil and groundwater remediation market and a prerequisite for any major
remediation project
30
Sweeney, Rob. (2008): In-situ land remediation. Environmental Knowledge Transfer Network.
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EPEC
Site characterisation technologies in the EU are relatively new compared with remediation
techniques, some of which are over 25 years old. There are now opportunities to introduce
advanced technologies into the market which can reduce the time spent on extracting
samples from sites and sending them to laboratories and hence greatly reduce stage one
site characterisation costs. This in turn allows risk assessments performed in laboratories to
be more focused and efficient. According to technology developers the site characterisation
market has started to take off in the past ten years. However, strict regulations and a lack of
end user confidence in adopting new technologies has stalled innovation31.
The commercial market in soil and groundwater testing in environmental laboratories
currently accounts for the majority of testing techniques for the contaminated land sector.
However, it is estimated that approximately 75% of soil and groundwater testing
could be conducted on-site with compact probes and test kits32. This creates a huge
potential increase in the market for rapid measurement technologies33. However, the
current market for such real time analytical tools is immature for the following reasons:
Companies involved in developing site characterisation and diagnostic tools are small
specialized firms that often focus on the development of specific technologies. They work
with large construction and consultancy companies that have the experience, skills and
equipment needed for comprehensive remediation projects.
A3.2
Innovation drivers
A3.2.1
Landfill Directive;
These Directives have increased the need for land remediation by forcing developers to
consider the impacts of contaminated soil and groundwater on human health, as well as
exposing developers to very large liability risks that would otherwise limit remedial actions.
Restrictions on what can be disposed of in landfill sites (together with the imposition of large
landfill fees and taxes) have also driven innovations in on site land remediation
technologies. The use of site characterisation equipment is not comprehensively regulated.
Local authorities, member state environment agencies and consulting firms dictate which
technologies they deem acceptable based on prior knowledge. Contaminated land is
31
32
Tang, Alec (2007): Rapid measurements tools. Environmental Knowledge Transfer Network.
33
Tang, Alec (2007): Rapid measurements tools. Environmental Knowledge Transfer Network.
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EPEC
regulated by present levels of contamination, not how remediation is achieved. Thus the use
and acceptability of technologies, overall, is determined on a individual, highly subjective
basis. The acceptance of site characterisation technologies is highly dependent on end user
knowledge of the technology and regulator knowledge.
In the area of land remediation, local authority personal who are generally not experts often
have a lack of confidence in new processes. They tend to use techniques that they have
known to be used in the past so as to avoid failure and perceived detrimental impacts on
human health from poor remediation34. This has largely affected the uptake of new site
investigation technologies and has contributed to the resistance of innovation.
A3.2.2
A3.3
A3.3.1
Membrane probe detectors with spectrometers to detect contaminant hot spots for
contaminants for site heat mapping.
The application of some new technologies is more accepted in some Member States than
others (e.g. XRD is widely used in Germany compared to the UK).
A3.3.2
Soil scanners and soil diagnostic tools used to detect the presence of polycyclic
aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in soil36;
34
EURODEMO (2007): European platform for demonstration of efficient soil and groundwater remediation. Sixth Framework
Programme, European Commission.
35
There are variations of these technologies and many of the innovations in site characterisation are focused on improving
these technologies and applying them in new ways.
36
Historically PAHs are detected with chemical testing in laboratories which is time consuming, costly and exposure of samples
can skew contaminant concentration levels
34
EPEC
Hand held X-ray Spectrometer (XRS) used to measure pH and carbon levels in soil;
Geo-probes used for on-site soil sampling which limits drilling and the need for
wells;
Wireless sensors, Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) for the remote collection of
data as well as telemetry;
While these products are diverse in their underpinning technologies and the contaminants
they aim to diagnose, new developments and innovation in the field of site investigation are
all focused on reducing costs by decreasing the amount of necessary laboratory testing.
Technology developers interviewed for this business case indicated that they do not face
extensive competition in their particular product areas. This is an indication of the relatively
new development of this sector. It also highlights the market need for a large number of real
time analysers for different contaminants. One technology developer noted that:
the need for innovation surrounds analysis in the field as opposed to in the lab. However, to
date lab testing has always been safer due to the high levels of standardization in labs. Labs
are heavily regulated and therefore testing standards are trusted and well known.
Regarding future market development and efficiency in the sector one developer stated that
Site characterisation is key to the remediation market. What is needed are tools that are
quick to use, coupled with pragmatic approaches that allow contractors to map sites in order
to properly mitigate health risks.
A3.3.3
A3.4
EPEC
Company B - has over ten years experience of developing site characterisation and
remediation techniques. It specialises in the development of biosensors to determine
whether or not bioremediation of soil is a plausible option for any given site. It has two
products on sale and two in development. It sells into the EU, Eastern Europe and China.
Company C - is Dutch owned, over fifty years old and specialises in the development of site
characterisation technologies (e.g. a soil core sampler to detect volatile organics and a
sampling probe that can be installed rapidly and under all geological conditions and tests
soil on multiple parameters). It is also a member of the standardisation board for technical
requirements of soil and groundwater sampling technologies in the Netherlands. Selling
products globally, it has ten to twenty technologies under development at any one time.
Company D - has developed a handheld luminator that emits light to detect bacteria and
provides a toxicity tests for soils. This technology is traditionally used for testing in water and
groundwater but the company has adapted it for soils. The company was acquired by a
large water utility in 2008. It is active in the EU and Japan.
Company E - is a multinational company that specialises in site characterisation and is also
a developer of rapid measurement tools. It employs over 13,000 staff across its EU offices
and has a turnover of 2.3 billion in 2010. It is developing hand held XRF screening tools
that detect the presence of heavy metals, as well as rapid screening tools for CPT.
A summary of each developer is shown in Table A3.1. All firms have at least one product in
the market and a pipeline of innovations. As stated in the market analysis, the UK and the
Netherlands are two of the largest markets in the EU, and have numerous innovative
technology developers, which helps explain the concentration of firms from these two
member states.
Table A3.1: Overview of technology developers in this business case
Organisation
information
Technology
developer A
Technology
developer B
Technology
developer C
Technology
developer D
Technology
developer E
Member State
UK
UK
NL
UK
NL
Size
Micro
Small
Medium
Micro
Large
Age (years)
6-10
11-20
20+
6-10
20+
Products in
development
5+
3-5
Market ready
products
3-5
Products in market
5+
5+
Product description
Soil scanner to
detect PAHs in
soil
Biosensors for
the chemical
analysis of soil
Soil sampler
coring tube to
test for
volatiles
Hand held
luminator for
detection of
bacteria in soil
Hand held
XRD heavy
metal detector
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EPEC
A3.5.1
uncertainty about the suitability of new technologies, given the diverse nature of
contaminated sites.
x
x
A3.5.2
Customers are uncertain as to how suitable our product is to their operations (i.e.
fitness for use)
Our customers are highly risk averse and prefer to buy market proven
technologies
Current standards, norms and labelling that are used for the technology (family)
Standardisation provides a set of specific parameters against which technologies can be
tested. Examples of ISO standards in this sector are shown in the Box below.
ISO requirements for the site characterisation sector
ISO 15799:2003 - Soil quality Guidance on the ecotoxicological characterization of soils and soil
materials
ISO 15175:2004 - Soil quality Characterization of soil related to groundwater protection
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EPEC
ISO/TS 17892-11:2004 - Geotechnical investigation and testing Laboratory testing of soil -- Part
11: Determination of permeability by constant and falling head
ISO 10381-5:2005 - Soil quality -- Sampling Part 5: Guidance on the procedure for the
investigation of urban and industrial sites with regard to soil contamination
ISO 10381-7:2005 - Soil quality -- Sampling Part 7: Guidance on sampling of soil gas
ISO 22475-1:2006 - Geotechnical investigation and testing -- Sampling methods and
groundwater measurements Part 1: Technical principles for execution
ISO/TS 21268-3:2007 - Soil quality -- Leaching procedures for subsequent chemical and
ecotoxicological testing of soil and soil materials Part 3: Up-flow percolation test
ISO/TS 21268-4:2007 - Soil quality -- Leaching procedures for subsequent chemical and
ecotoxicological testing of soil and soil materials Part 4: Influence of pH on leaching with initial
acid/base addition
ISO 17402:2008 - Soil quality Requirements and guidance for the selection and application of
methods for the assessment of bioavailability of contaminants in soil and soil materials
ISO 18772:2008 - Soil quality Guidance on leaching procedures for subsequent chemical and
ecotoxicological testing of soils and soil materials
Note: CEN, EN and ISO standards for Geo-technical investigation are interrelated and
overlapping, only ISO titles are presented.
ASTM International37, through its 141 technical standards writing committees and extensive
industry networks, has developed over 12,000 international voluntary consensus standards
that are globally recognised. Some of those applied to groundwater monitoring are shown in
Table A3.3
Table A3.3: ASTM standards that apply to water monitoring
Standard
Name
Standard
Guide
for
Optimization of Ground
Water
Monitoring
Constituents for Detection
Monitoring Programmes for
RCRA Waste Disposal
Facilities
Standard
Practice
for
Design and Installation of
Ground Water Monitoring
Wells
ASTM D5521 05
Standard
Guide
for
Development of GroundWater Monitoring Wells in
Granular Aquifers
Current standards and regulations in the contaminated land sector have two drawbacks:
37
Formerly known as the American Society for Testing and Materials see www.astm.org
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EPEC
They do not provide scope for validating more advanced technologies that go
beyond the standard;
They regulate the levels and types of containments present on the site, not the
process of testing for or identifying them. Therefore, if a technology is able to scan
a site and analyse the types of contaminants present, no standards exist to show
the time saved by the avoidance of laboratory testing or the costs savings provided.
One company noted that the merit and strength of ISO standards largely depends on the
working group that has written them. There are therefore large differences in how
sophisticated and detailed standards may be.
A3.5.3
A3.5.4
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EPEC
Table A3.4 shows that a number of approaches are used by companies to prove
performance claims, including previous sales, demonstrations at customer sites38 and the
use of credible testing organisations.
Table A3.4: Summary of methods used by companies to prove performance claims
Technology Developer
Approaches to providing performance claims
Use of an existing ETV scheme (e.g. DAN ETV, US ETV, Canada, etc)
x
x
ISO certification
A3.6
A3.6.1
Facilitates market entry for our product into our home market
x
x
Key: Responses relate to a Significant benefit unless in bold which is regarded by the developer as a Highly
Significant benefit
38
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EPEC
Company A - has experienced around 50% loss in profits due to end user resistance to its
new technologies. To try to resolve this problem, in 2008 the company took their soil
scanner through the EUs TRITECH ETV pilot project. This verification helped increase
sales and reduced the effort needed to prove the performance claims of the technology
across many different member states. The Managing Director noted that:
There is significant value in an ETV scheme, as third party verification greatly helps to
reduce the costs and efforts needed in trying to prove that technologies meet standards in
numerous countries. The benefits of ETV are that certification is always a requirement for
the market, and an ETV label will create faith in the technology for customers and it also
confirms the claims of the technology and helps to promote market awareness of
technologies that are available.
Before TRITECH the company spent five years seeking market acceptance of the soil
scanner. However, it estimates that 20% of its profits resulted from having the TRITECH
verification: The technology has now been recognised. Once we went through ETV it was
easier to gain market recognition and acceptance. The TRITECH experience showed that
verification creates faith in the product for customers as well as confirming the claims of the
technology.
The company has a new product in development and feels that it would benefit from ETV
and are eager to have it verified. It currently uses UK universities for testing and has also
developed close working relationships with a UK testing house that is part of the
Environment Agency. In-site demonstrations are also a large part of how the company gains
client trust. However, as there are no formal mechanisms for this process, they believe ETV
would help to standardize the process.
Company B - received government funding39 to demonstrate its product. This helped
accelerate market entry because the verification and test data was provided to end users; it
also created a 15% increase in sales.
For innovative products it is a matter of getting the client to pay for sampling, otherwise it is
too costly for small developers because of the high costs of drilling, digging wells and
testing. This largely relates to issues of accessing sites on which to test new products.
An EU ETV scheme would help to speed up the market acceptance of technologies,
particularly since there is currently no formal mechanism for technologies to be tested and
verified.
Company C - feels that there is an obvious need for an EU ETV due to the resistance
shown by environmental regulators to new products and the lack of harmonised regulations
across the EU. ETV will accelerate the rate at which new developments are accepted into
the market:
The first step is getting that stamp on technologies from regulators to ensure that they will
use it, ETV will provide this.
Having put two technologies (a soil sampler for volatile organics and a sampling probe)
through the PROMOTE ETV pilot programme in 2009, it believes the ETV was a valuable
marketing tool and that clients responded well to the fact that the technologies were verified.
It also feels that an ETV will help to harmonise standards in the industry by establishing
protocols for technology areas, thus ensuring the detail required is fit for purpose
Company D - encountered end user resistance to their new product. They feel that an EU
ETV will help to significantly reduce end user hesitation by providing a platform for new
technologies to be formally tested and reviewed by authorities.
The company became involved in site characterisation because they believe that there is a
significant need for technologies that are able to decrease the resources need for
39
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EPEC
assessment (time and labour). Any formal way of providing verification for such
technologies will prove valuable to both developers and end users:
The benefits of ETV are that it is a way of proving technology. Verification is useful at all
stages of development.
Company E - has faced end user resistance to new products. This is the largest barrier that
they face and specifically relates to the lack of regulator knowledge about the sector.
Regulations are seen as outdated, creating gaps between which technologies are
acceptable and which technologies provide the best results. The company sees ETV as
being able to help decrease these gaps.
ETV will add value by accomplishing much of what we do already for development and
testing in house for new technologies. However, end users will still want to perform their
own tests on new products for quality assurance, so the success of ETV will depend largely
on who receives the cost savings and what tests are carried out to ensure the appropriate
breadth of testing.
A3.6.2
A3.6.3
EPEC
Introduction
This section reviews the implementing, operating and user costs of an ETV scheme. It
provides an overview of the likely costs to developers including:
1. Costs of testing of the technology to enable it to apply to the ETV;
2. Costs of testing the technology in the event that the Verification Body requires
further testing;
3. Official ETV fee - which the developer / vendor will need to pay to the verification
programme);
4. Other internal costs to the firms.
The section continues by looking at the costs of supplying verification services to
companies.
A3.8
EPEC
The fear is that the costs will be a large obstacle. If the costs are too high, smaller
companies will be unable to participate. Technology developer
Company A recalls that the costs of participating in TRITECH were approximately
15,000 to 20,000 for testing procedures, 5,000 for administration costs and 10,000 to
15,000 for the actual verification. The process took eight months to complete in total which
was found to be very reasonable. The company felt that the costs for providing ETV cannot
be too high given the large amounts that are already needed for testing to reach the point
where a product is ready for verification. The company estimates that prior to ETV they
invested 20,000 in testing if costs are more than 10,000 for ETV, SMEs might be unable
to afford it.
Company B - offers remediation services and is also a developer of site investigation
technology. It spends about 50,000 per annum on specific testing and validation of new
technologies, although actual testing will be higher since they test all new products on their
own sites and include this as part of overall project costs. The company is currently able to
sufficiently test its own products through close association with a UK university, through
which it receives the necessary declarations and letters of approval. The company does not
currently have a willingness to pay for ETV. However, if ETV is able to establish a formal
mechanism for testing and validation for new products and improve access to testing sites,
the company has stated they would then be willing to pay for an ETV scheme.
Company C - was unable to recall the cost framework for participating in the PROMOTE
ETV project, primarily because the project covered the costs of testing and verification for
participating firms. However, it recognises that testing and validation costs can range from
5,000 to 100,000 per product and its annual budget for testing new products is more than
100,000.
The costs will depend on the claims you are testing for, on how complicated you make
them. The key is how many claims you are testing for. There are costs for testing, reports
and writing of manuals.
The company would pay 5,000 for ETV although they would be willing to pay more if the
system operated in a way that ensured the claims tested for were not arbitrary and that the
breadth of testing was appropriate. However, until it is known what the technical standards
will be, the company feels ETV will be most useful as a marketing tool and will not replace
the need for validation.
Company D - was a micro-business before being acquired and did not make a profit, having
directed all its resources into the development and testing for the toxicity tester for soil and
groundwater. It has an annual budget of 100,000 covering testing, validation and product
certification. The company would pay 10,000 for ETV since it feels that small companies
are unable to afford more, despite the potential pay backs:
The largest barriers for technology developers are the costs of testing. Developers do not
have large budgets for testing - it is all wrapped up in the costs for R&D. ETV cannot be
overly expensive as many developers can only afford 5,000 to 10,000 after all of the
testing that is needed before you get to that stage.
Company E - has no specific budget for product testing, certification and validation as the
costs are specific to the type of site the product will be used on and the specific role of the
product. However, the firms very large turnover provides an indication of what it is able to
commit to product testing and validation, the majority of which is conducted in-house.
Product testing costs depend on the types of measurements required which differs greatly
for each product. The company would pay 10,000 for an ETV as they spend large amounts
on testing themselves and have laboratories that carry out testing and validation services.
Table A3.6 summarises these various costs to companies. Key conclusions are that:
Firms have indicated a willingness to pay for ETV ranging from 5k-20k;
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EPEC
Firms do not have a clear idea of what their testing budgets are given that they
generally include development, testing and validation costs together.
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EPEC
Table A3.6: Costs to developers of undertaking testing and willingness to pay for
verification for ETV
Technology Developer
A
n/k
15% of
turnover
n/k
20% of
turnover
n/k
n/k
n/k
n/k
n/k
n/k
n/k
<50k
<250k
<100k
>100k
<20k
0
(currently)
<5k
10k
<10k
5k
n/k
n/k
n/k
<20k
<50k
5k-10k
30k
20%
15%
1 year
<1 year
1 year
<1 year
>2 years
Note Company D was acquired by a large utility when they were in the product testing phase and are unsure of
what verification fees and administration costs would have been at that time. Company B and D have indicated that
administration costs are not distinct from product development, testing and demonstration costs.
A3.9
A3.9.1
Overview of costs
To illustrate the potential variation in costs of verification services across the site
characterisation sector we spoke to a number of test centres including a couple who had
been involved in ETV verifications under the TRITECH and PROMOTE pilot projects.
It is important to note that these costs provide indicative, not actual, costs for the verification
and testing of the specific technologies involved in this business case. However, we are
confident that these provide the right orders of magnitude for the business case.
These results partly reflect the challenges of gaining estimates that adequately cover a
number of technology groups, rather than specific product families.
Table A3.7:
Costs of providing testing and verification services for site
characterisation
Organisation
Germany
40
Testing costing
Verification costs
<1 year
15k-20k
Note that some firms have only been able to provide a total annual development cost which often includes test costs
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EPEC
Sweden
<1 year
18,000
UK
<1 year
<10k
7,200
<10k
41
Costs are greatly increased when there is no EU protocol in existence and the testing body
and developer must establish one. One organisation had to develop protocols for soil testers
based on the US ETV protocol. This added 3,600 to the cost of verification.
A3.9.2
Summary of what would be the cost for developers of this technology when
undertaking an ETV
We are able to draw the following tentative conclusions about the costs of supplying
verification services for ETV for site investigation technologies. A typical verification fee is
likely to be 10,000 depending on the measurements that are required for the
technology. Fee costs will vary according to the:
It should generate financial savings for end users as a result of less extensive
quality assurance testing on new products.
Overall, both site characterisation technology developers and end users perceive significant
value from an ETV scheme.
Based on the findings from this analysis we believe the funding shortfall will be limited since
the costs of verification at around 10,000 (depending on the technology) are likely to match
the willingness to pay. The scheme therefore has the potential to be self sustaining.
41
The organisation does not currently perform certification but is seeking to become involved in this area and estimates the
costs for certification as <10k based on operations they currently carry out.
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EPEC
Developers are willing to wait up to 12 months for products to be verified under an ETV.
However, among both developers and end users, the length of time required for verification
is less important than the appropriate breadth of testing being carried out.
Key challenges for technology
The key challenges for the technology are:
Ensuring the appropriate breadth of testing is carried out to satisfy end users;
Validating the appropriate suite of performance claims (i.e. not measuring irrelevant
aspects of the product);
Ensuring both laboratory and field testing have been carried out.
Increased sales.
less time consuming by reducing time spent on identifying contaminants, collecting samples,
and laboratory testing.
A3.11
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EPEC
Therefore, for ETV to succeed it will need to be sponsored by the industry these
technologies are looking to serve.
A3.11.2 Possible funding support mechanisms for ETV users
At the member state level there are various options that could be explored. For example,
Company B received discretionary grant funding to support technical and commercial
feasibility studies. Without this support funding the drilling and sampling needed to test their
technology would not have been possible. Notwithstanding potential State Aid restrictions,
there might be scope for such mechanisms to factor in verification costs.
One test centre felt that an EU wide ETV will incur high bureaucratic costs which will make it
unaffordable for developers. It would like to see a simple operation where laboratories are in
control of the process with only a few persons responsible for oversight. This will allow the
need for funding to remain low. It also feels that DG Environment would have to offer
funding jointly with member states for the scheme to become fully operational.
A3.11.3 Number and location of verification bodies required to establish verification at the
European level
The experiences of ETV pilot projects in the contaminated land area (i.e. TRITECH and
PROMOTE) show that it is more important for site characterisation technologies to have
access to facilities with concentrated knowledge and appropriate testing sites as opposed to
ensuring that verification bodies (VB) are present in every member state. It is also unlikely to
be feasible to have VBs in every member state given the availability of test sites and
appropriate laboratories.
According to the TRITECH ETV programme42 there are eight organisations that have the
requisite credibility and experience to be immediate candidates as verification bodies for an
EU ETV scheme. These are located in Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Netherlands,
Germany and Sweden.
A3.11.4 Potential barriers to market introduction and diffusion
Company views
Technology developers raised concerns about the breadth of testing that will be carried out
for ETV:
The biggest issues are that technologies are used individually on different sites with
different contaminants, so the fear is that ETV will not be able to provide the right
information given the differences from site to site. Technology developer
Stakeholder views
A Dutch stakeholder is concerned that in the Netherlands there is not a strong motivation for
contractors to become involved in ETV and as a result it may become a useless process. It
stresses that contractor buy-in is fundamental and that they must be willing to invest in such
a programme for it to be successful:
In order to gain a willingness to pay from the end user and other stakeholders, ETV will
have to prove cost savings to the end user by the speed of the testing and the decrease in
laboratory testing. Stakeholder
A UK stakeholder raised concerns about the type of testing that will be done for ETV. Rapid
measurement tools offer cheaper and faster options for site characterisation. Site
demonstrations increase end user comfort with technology. However, end users will still
42
50
EPEC
want to test and prove product claims for themselves. The big question is always under
what conditions did you test it.
Opinions from end users of site characterisation technologies also illustrates the need
ideally for ETV to go beyond laboratory testing as well as regulatory/municipal authority buyin to the Scheme:
As an end user what is important is the need to see how technologies work in labs and also
how they work in field, thus ETV must show not only the laboratory test results, but also how
the technology works in the real world. Testing outputs depend on the conditions and the
boundaries it is able to set out, so there must be some idea and data present on the
boundaries of the technology, i.e. when and where and what it works on. End user
Local authorities must also be involved and willing to take some responsibility in terms of
risks. If the local authorities are not involved and vested, then ETV will not provide any
benefit. End user
One test centre stated that there would be little value in establishing ETV at the moment.
What needs to come first is a change in current regulations to make it necessary for firms to
receive an ETV logo or certificates.
A3.12
The breadth of testing must involve both laboratory and on site testing for end users
to be satisfied with the performance claims.
ETV must provide enough data to decrease the quality assurance testing end users
perform.
End users must be involved in the process in order to ensure buy in from the
industry and to have them invest in funding.
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ETV should aim to reduce the restrictions that developers face in finding appropriate
testing sites.
There is significant value in ETV as third party verification greatly helps to reduce the costs
and efforts in trying to prove that technologies meet standards in numerous countries.
Technology
developer
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A4.1
Introduction
This business case builds on the findings of the Water Technology Area market analysis
which showed that novel water monitoring technologies43 are expected to benefit from ETV
since:
there is a competitive fringe of small, world class SMEs offering step changes in both
environmental performance and price reductions against large incumbent technology
providers. However, these firms lack the market credibility and sales track record to
win valuable first contracts. Lower sales volumes will also have the effect of reducing
the opportunity to improve product quality which ironically arises from having more
units deployed;
existing standards and certification procedures often exist in this sector, but new
testing and diagnostic technologies are often highly innovative and may well exceed
existing provisions;
the EU represents a leading global market due to the number of regulations affecting
water quality across both the water sector and mainstream industry. This will provide
excellent market opportunities to deploy new technologies.
For the purposes of this business case, we have focused on in-line44 water monitoring
equipment being commercialised for applications in the water industry (e.g. extending point
monitoring into water supply networks) and other sectors including food processing and the
oil and gas sector (e.g. monitoring oil concentrations in produced water from wells).
This subsector of the water monitoring industry consists of methods and probes that can
collect and analyse a number of parameters (e.g. pH, dissolved oxygen content, turbidity,
bacteria, phenolics, etc.) in real-time45. Key reasons for selecting this subsector are that:
three industry responses were received to our initial study survey indicating a clear
acknowledgement by the market of the potential value to be derived from an ETV;
it is a growth market within the EU with water utilities, food and drink processors, and
manufacturers increasingly use in-line water monitoring to enhance quality standards
and to shift the focus away from detecting contaminants in the laboratory to a more
dynamic system of monitoring which can save costs and, particularly for water
companies, help maintain a companys reputation by being better able to respond to
abnormal water quality episodes rapidly, thus helping to avoid pollution incidents46;
the opportunities for further development within the sector are vast with opportunities
to extend the range of parameters monitored, to link products with wireless
technology for dynamic monitoring across different sites, as well for miniaturisation of
the products;
43
For the purposes of the study these cover discrete technologies such as test kits and monitoring devices which includes inline monitoring devices
44
Also widely referred to as on-line or else in-distribution for water distribution networks
45
Such products typically utilise a reference database of environmental data against which the samples are compared
46
For example, by being able to increase the dosage of chemicals in the water treatment process in order to deal with a sudden
increase in particular contaminant levels.
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A4.2
The EU possesses a world class R&D capability for water monitoring technologies
amongst its university sector as illustrated by the close association with universities
in two business cases and the presence of a leading university in a third. This
presents an excellent opportunity to focus continued efforts in facilitating the market
introduction of novel in-line sampling technologies;
there will be large opportunities to export these technologies into emerging non-EU
economies including China as well as established markets such as North America.
A4.3
Innovation drivers
Main EU and Member states regulations influencing the development of the
technology
Environmental regulation is the main driver of innovation in this sector. EU legislation
currently influencing the development of in-line water monitoring technologies includes:
47
48
49
Water Framework Directive which increases the need for water quality monitoring
at the site and river basin management level;
Environmental Liability Directive - due to the need for prevention and remediation of
environmental damage;
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Other drivers of innovation surround the need for technologies to address current needs and
more complex emerging issues such as source determination, ecological health assessment
and new pollutants. Globally, the focus is increasingly moving towards the early detection of
pollution incidents.
EU member states implementing these directives look to their national environmental
regulators to issue permits to the water sector and other industries which will state the
conditions under which they must operate their process and monitor resulting emission
loads. The degree to which regulators will be satisfied with the accuracy of new innovations
will have a large bearing on the willingness of end users to consider and adopt new
technologies.
A4.3.1
A4.4
A4.4.1
A4.4.2
In-line disposable filters that are used in conjunction with sampling pumps and
bailers which are used for on field filtration for dissolved metal analysis.
Flow-through cell technology which enables high quality field and laboratory
measurements where air contact with the sample has to be avoided decreasing the
time and expense of extensive testing.
Sampling valves that collect samples mid-stream and flow through membrane
filtration units into sterile sampling bags or graduated cylinders to test levels of
purification.
Microporous membrane
microbiological sampling.
methods
within
enclosed
chambers
that
provide
Larger number of parameters to be tested (e.g. not one but multiple types of
bacteria);
More accuracy in measurements (e.g. parts per billion rather than parts per million);
Miniaturisation of equipment;
EPEC
A4.4.3
A4.5
50
Organisation
information
Technology
developer A
Technology
developer B
Technology
developer C
Technology
developer D
Member State
Finland
UK
Finland
UK
Size
Micro
Small
Large
Small
Age (years)
11-20
3-5
20+
6-10
Products in
development
3-5
3-5
N/A
Market ready
products
3-5
N/A
Products in market
Product description
In-line self
validating double
sensing system
In-line
broadband
chemical toxicity
monitor
In-line water
sampling system
In-line water
monitors for
chlorine and
turbidity
Turbidity is a measure of the degree to which water loses its transparency due to the presence of suspended particles
57
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A4.6.1
The highly risk averse nature of customers who prefer to buy market proven
technologies.
Validation procedures are respectively the most important and third most important factors
for two developers, illustrating the challenges of verifying performance, especially when it
may be difficult to demonstrate the technology in-situ (an issue for one of the same
developers).
Table A4.2: Rationale for ETV - Barriers
Technology Developer
Barriers
x
x
Customers are uncertain as to how suitable our product is to their operations (i.e.
fitness for use)
We lack legitimacy for our environmental performance claims
A4.6.2
x
x
Our customers are highly risk averse and prefer to buy market proven technologies
x
x
Current standards, norms and labelling that are used for the technology (family)
Standardisation provides a set of specific parameters against which water quality monitoring
technologies can be tested. While there are now numerous ISO standards available and in
development in this sector (see examples in the Box below), we understand that there is
no standardisation for in-line monitors. One developer also did not feel that there was
a need for extensive standards to be developed as the industry is largely self regulating.
ISO standards for water quality monitoring various contaminants
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ISO 9308-1:2000 Determination and enumeration of Escherichia coli and coliform bacteria Part 1: Membrane filtration method
prEN ISO 5667-3; Water quality - Sampling - Part 3: Preservation and handling of water
samples (ISO/DIS 5667-3:2010)
prEN 16164; Water quality - Guidance standard for designing and selecting taxonomic keys
prEN ISO 7827; Water quality - Evaluation of the "ready", "ultimate" aerobic biodegradability of
organic compounds in an aqueous medium -- Method by analysis of dissolved organic carbon
(DOC)
ASTM International51, through its 141 technical standards writing committees and extensive
industry networks, has developed over 12,000 international voluntary consensus standards
that are globally recognised. Some of those applied to water monitoring, and particularly inline monitoring are shown in Table A4.3.
Table A4.3: ASTM standards that apply to water monitoring
51
Standard
Name
ASTM D3864 - 06
The
selection,
establishment,
application,
and
validation
and
verification of monitoring systems for
determining water characteristics by
continual sampling, automatic analysis,
and recording or otherwise signalling of
output data.
ASTM D4190 - 08
ASTM D5997
96(2009)
Formerly known as the American Society for Testing and Materials see www.astm.org
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Detection
A4.6.4
52
53
54
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Use of an existing ETV scheme (e.g. DAN ETV, US ETV, Canada, etc)
ISO certification
55
A4.7
Rationale & value added for technology developers from undertaking an ETV
A4.7.1
Facilitates market entry for our product into our home market
X
X
Key: Responses relate to a Significant benefit unless in bold which is regarded by the developer as a Highly
Significant benefit
55
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Company A - believes that customers have more market confidence in larger companies:
Small companies have to work in small niches because larger companies take the bigger
markets, so there are relatively larger costs for more specialist products. For example,
having to produce a 100 page manual.
An ETV could provide evidence of superior performance over and above an existing
standard as well as providing an independent validation label that the market would trust some sort of labelling is needed to establish a technologys credibility so that it can gain a
foothold in the market.
An ETV could accelerate sales in EU markets - Finnish companies are now having a hard
time to gain EU market share before non-EU countries access the same market with similar
products with lower costs. ETV provides an additional sales tool to the company but would
not give de facto access.
Company B sees an ETV as being of use primarily outside the EU and hence it will be
crucial for mutual recognition of the EU ETV by third countries to be in place for similar
developers to apply.
Company C sees an ETV as being helpful given the lack of standardisation for in-line
monitors and to facilitate sales outside of Finland.
Company D - does not feel that there is a need for ETV in the water monitoring industry,
primarily due its niche product offer:
When you have an individual and unique product there is no competition in the market so
there is no need for an ETV because it doesnt have to be proven against anything. The
customer is taken with the uniqueness of the product. The need for ETV might change if
competitors come into the market or it could be driven by the big companies asking for
ETV.
It sees ETV as being of use as an instrument if it is able to verify all of the claims of the
technology and not only specific aspects of it. However, this will not replace the need for
customers to perform their own on site testing and trials for new technologies.
Due to the companys success in licensing its product to Siemens, it may have a diminished
need for a scheme that might otherwise accelerate the market acceptance of its products.
A4.7.2
A4.7.3
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Introduction
This section reviews the implementing, operating and user costs of an ETV scheme. It
provides an overview of the likely costs to developers including:
1. Costs of testing of the technology to enable it to apply to the ETV;
2. Costs of testing the technology in the event that the Verification Body requires further
testing;
3. Official ETV fee - which the developer / vendor will need to pay to the verification
programme);
4. Other internal costs to the firms.
The section continues by looking at the costs of supplying verification services to
companies.
A4.9
firms are willing to pay an ETV fee of 5-10,000 for in-line monitoring equipment;
One developer noted that willingness to pay will always depend on the nature of the product
Table A4.6: Costs to developers of undertaking testing and willingness to pay for
verification for ETV
Technology Developers
A
Annual testing budget
<50k
<250
(20k
testing cost)
<100k
(>10k
testing cost)
5-10k
<10k
5-10k
10-20k
N/A
N/A
15-30k
N/A
N/A
5-30k
N/A
N/A
N/A
<6 months
<1 year
<2 years
N/A
Not willing to
pay
-
56
Company C was happy for the timescale to be less than 2 years because further testing was required to see whether groups
of new chemicals, drugs, bacteria, etc. will be acceptable. This indicates a lack of knowledge about the actual ETV process, i.e.
that the product needs to be the market ready device, not a prototype that might be further refined.
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A4.10
Poland*
Denmark*
Verification or
Certification
9.5-40k (V)
22-94k (T&V)
<10k (IPT)
-
(average 28k57)
Sweden*
10k (V)
<10k (IPT)58
UK
<10k (IPT)
59
<15k (T&V)
60
<20k (T&C)
<5k (V)
<10k (C )
Key: * = original respondent to ETV survey conducted under EPEC study. T = testing; IPT = initial product testing;
V = verification; C = certification
Furthermore, based on ETV experiences from current European practitioners in this sector
there is often a need to undertake further testing as part of the verification. This is due to the
difficulties of relying upon submitted test data from developers as well as the data often
found to not correspond directly to the verification application.
Estimates of verification range from around 10,000 or less depending on the technology.
There does not appear to be a great deal of variation between technologies. One test centre
57
Cost estimates of verification are based on over 20 verifications across a number of environmental sectors where verification
totalled 43% of total costs.
58
The costs and time scale of testing is dependent on the parameters the product is being tested on and the suite of tests that
must be performed. In general, it takes less than 6 months to test products and total testing costs are less than 10,000. It
estimates that in the past 5 years 100 water monitoring devices have been tested.
59
This test centre does not currently perform certification but has estimated the costs of verification based on current practices.
It believes it could take less than 3 months.
60
This is the price for MCERTS. There are two parts to the MCERTS certification. Testing includes theory of laboratory testing
(<5,000) and field trials (<5,000), making total testing costs less than 10,000, depending on the amount of previous testing
and data the company is able to present. Certification includes writing of final reports and publication of certification with total
costs less than 10,000 depending on the scope of the technology and the parameters being tested.
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has documented a range of approximately 9.5k-40k for verification from actual verifications
across a number of sectors, with an average of verification cost of 28k.
A4.10.2 Summary of what would be the cost for developers of this technology when
undertaking an ETV
Given a fairly good alignment of fees across several Member States, we conclude that the
costs of supplying an ETV verification across the water monitoring sector is likely to
cost less than 10,000. This is not likely to significantly increase for in-line monitoring
devices.
Initial product testing is likely to cost less than 10,000 for simple test kits and monitoring
devices. Test costs could rise considerably to 25,000 for more sophisticated in-line
monitoring devices.
Based on the market strengths of a number of EU member states in the water monitoring
sector, we believe that the strongest demand will come from Northern European countries.
Having sampled four companies, from Finland and the UK, out of a potential pool of 50-75
developers, we estimate that there are likely to be in the region of 15-30 companies in
this subsector who might be interested in taking part in the scheme over the next two
years.
A4.11.2 Sector wide conclusions
For water technology developers it is generally easier to package laboratory scale
technologies (e.g. for 20,000 apiece) due to a faster sales cycle than performance based
technologies (for several million Euro) which are much more difficult to obtain a sale from.
Using an ETV for pan-EU sales could therefore potentially help unlock a lot more sales than
for larger process technologies.
The overall EU sector in which in-line monitoring falls is worth around 1 billion or around
ten times the size of the in-line market - and comprises portable monitoring devices, probes,
analysers and test kits. However, the ability to prove performance in other areas may be a
lot easier, not least to the relative maturity of these other technology families. We therefore
estimate that despite the larger market size, the demand for ETV in the water monitoring
sector overall could be in the region of around twice that of in-line monitoring
hence some 30-60 potential applications over a two year period.
A4.12
The need to satisfy geographical and language issues suggests that at least 3 VBs
are required, potentially catering to Northern/Eastern Europe, Central Europe and
Southern Europe.
There might be scope for increasing the number of VBs to two in some regions, but
only where it can be sufficiently proved that there are enough verifications to be
carried out.
One caveat is that SMEs tend to find it easier to collaborate with national bodies. Language
issues will be problematic in some cases.
A4.12.4 Potential barriers to market introduction and diffusion
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A4.13
68
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A5.1
Introduction
This business case builds on the findings of the market analysis of the Energy Efficiency
technology group (see main report). This showed that there are a significant number of
highly innovative SMEs operating only at a national and regional scale many of whom are
backed with EU venture capital. For these developers, an ETV scheme could help access
untapped markets internationally and help compensate for their lack of reputation these vis
vis large multinationals, (this tends to create scepticism among potential buyers regarding
product quality and performance).
We consider the micro-Combined Heat and Power (mCHP) market to be of interest since:
A5.2
It is an emerging technology in the EU, with limited commercial sales to date and
hence a strong need to accelerate deployment by early adopters to achieve
significant cost curve reductions through mass production. This would turn mCHP
into a commodity product like solar PV;
The products being developed are able to run off natural gas, biomass, biogas and
hydrogen, which in turn will enable distributed heat and power generation to be made
possible in both on-grid and off-grid applications;
An additional benefit of analysing the market potential for ETV in mCHP is the clear
cross-over between this Technology Group and the Energy Generation Technology
Area where energy efficiency was also featured as a discrete Technology Group.
61
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EPEC
a result, deployment of mCHP represents a true low carbon technology replacement for the
gas boiler which is less disruptive compared to other renewable and low carbon
technologies. It also offers economic savings opportunities to the end user where Feed in
Tariffs (FITs) enable surplus electricity to be sold into the grid at a premium.
The EU mCHP market is described by one technology developer as cannibalism of the
existing gas boiler market which is both very mature and dominated by incumbent
companies seeking to protect their market share as new innovations enter the market.
Switching to mCHP systems will also rely greatly on the existing installation and service
infrastructure and skills base for heating which makes it easier to adopt than some other low
carbon technologies.
BSRIA estimated the global domestic boiler market to be worth around 7.9 (US$9.7) billion
in 2006, covering close to 12 million units, and still growing62. Globally, Europe is the
biggest market for domestic boilers with France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and the
UK dominating EU sales. We estimate that the total EU market size is therefore worth at
2.5 billion or more.
Figure A5.1 shows how the condensing (or high efficiency) boiler market expanded at the
expense of traditional boilers, from 3 million units in 2007 to 3.9 million in 2010, while
renewable boilers (e.g. small-scale biomass boilers) rose from 1 million to 1.4 million units
over the same period. Micro CHP only achieved around 100,000 installed units in 2010
mostly across the main gas using countries such as Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and the
UK bringing total installed capacity to around 230,000 units63. Despite this nascent market
for mCHP, according to BAXI - a leading European producer of boilers - the strongest future
growth in the boiler sector will be for the mCHP64, an area the company has invested heavily
including through its subsidiary BAXI-SenerTec UK65.
Figure A5.1: Western European market evolution of high efficiency boilers by
technology
Source: www.hydroheat.com.au/downloads/Baxi%20presentation.pdf
62
Boiler Market & Energy Efficiency, BSRIA, January 2008 [Available at http://www.bsria.co.uk/news/1984/]
63
DELTA Energy & Environment, mCHP in Europe: The Opportunities and Options, Presentation by Sytze Dijkstra, April 2009
64
65
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EPEC
Future estimates of the mCHP market predict annual installations of around 550,000 units
by 2015 (creating a cumulative installed base of around 2 million units), rising to around
950,000 annual units by 2020 (total installed base of 5.6 million units)66.
At the European level, boiler production is strongly consolidated around a handful of firms.
Based on consultations the following illustrates the current ranking of these major suppliers,
most of which are understood to have mCHP products close to production:
1. Bosch;
2. Vaillant (e.g. selling Hondas ECOWILL mCHP unit into the EU market combined
with its proprietary control and connection technologies67);
3. BDR Thermea (BDR stands for BAXI, De Detrich and Remeha) - BAXI and Remeha
are both developing mCHP units;
4. Viessmann (marketing a Stirling based mCHP system).
Japan was the first country to introduce mCHP systems and essentially remains the only
country globally where the technology is fully commercial. Hondas 1kW electric ECOWILL
(based around internal combustion engine (ICE) technology) was introduced in 2003 and
had sold more than 90,000 units by 200968. Yanmar also introduced a larger capacity mCHP
unit based on ICE. However, Japan has also been extensively researching fuel cell mCHP
technologies for some time, with a collaborative Polymer Electrolyte Fuel Cell (PEFC)
research programme between manufacturers Panasonic, Toshiba, Sanyos ENEOS Cell
Tech and Ebara Ballard, as well as Kyocera developing a Solid Oxide Fuel Cell (SOFC)
mCHP. Since 2005 a residential fuel cell mCHP deployment programme has installed over
3,300 system and an associated government development programme has focused on
auxillary equipment with the intention of achieving cost reductions for several
manufacturers69.
However, European firms are also global leaders in both the mCHP engine technology and
the overall product, with Germany, the Netherlands and the UK having market leading
innovation and manufacturing centres70.
The market entry strategy for mCHP adopted by one major EU boiler manufacturer BAXI
(part of BDR Thermea) illustrates a diversified strategy to maximise the channels to market
using different types of mCHP system (see Box).
BAXI has developed three product variants as follows:
-
Ecogen suited to the boiler replacement market uses the Microgen Engine Corporation (MEC)
Stirling Engine;
DACHS mini CHP based around internal combustion engine suited to commercial applications
or larger homes with high heat demand;
Fuel Cell Heating BAXI Innotech PEM fuel cell mCHP which is suited to high efficiency
residential dwellings.
One stakeholder noted that in general, mCHP is at very early stages of commercialisation
and there are still significant obstacles that need to be overcome including size, weight,
operability, and fit with existing systems, but the mass market potential is high and Id be
66
DELTA Energy & Environment, mCHP in Europe: The Opportunities and Options, Presentation by Sytze Dijkstra to COGEN
Europe, April 2009
67
Honda and Vaillant to launch cogeneration system in Europe, Energy Efficiency News, March 2009 [available at
www.energyefficiencynews.com/co-generation/i/1928/]
68
Takahiro Kasuh, Development strategies toward promotion and expansion of residential fuel cells micro-CHP system in
Japan, 2009
69
Takahiro Kasuh, Development strategies toward promotion and expansion of residential fuel cells micro-CHP system in
Japan, 2009
70
COGEN Europe, Micro CHP: Empowering people today for a smarter future tomorrow, December 2010
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surprised if there was not a significant increase in uptake over the next 5 years, particularly
as there is a lot of interest from gas and electricity distribution companies.
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A5.3
Innovation drivers
A5.3.1
A test centre stated that the ethos of CE marking is to reduce testing in each member
state. For example, a developer of a gas fuelled mCHP system could have its product
tested for safety under the Gas Appliances Directive. An approval for all the EU could then
be issued by the third party notified body.
The Ecodesign Directive which the European Commission is currently consulting
stakeholders on comprises a number of Lots which in turn cover a series of technologies.
The objective is to end up with EU energy labels that allow consumers to compare and
choose between different products. Lot 1 of the Ecodesign Directive is valid for condensing
boilers, mCHP systems and heat pumps. Under the current format the Lot requires four
steady state test points. Each test point lasts one hour and so the total test should take
between 6-8 hours. For mCHP systems, this is regarded as a much more comparative test
with gas boilers. According to one developer the ideal would be to align Lot 1 in the
Ecodesign Directive to avoid multiple tests in multiple Member States.
At a national level, building regulations tend to specify minimum levels of performance for
energy using products. These include Part L of the Building Regulations (UK) where
condensing boilers are now prescribed by law; DIN V 1 covering energy-efficiency in
building regulation in Wallonia (Belgium); and 8599 in Germany71. Unlike the UK, Germany
has never needed a law to prescribe condensing boilers. However, lower carbon products
like mCHP are now being stimulated by regulations that insist on upgrading boilers to
beyond current practice.
The replacement boiler market is not yet a regulated market. However, this will change
once the Ecodesign Directive comes into effect at the end of 2011. However, this will still
only mandate condensing boilers. According to one technology developer, there is
potential for ETV to show the green credentials of new technologies.
Feed-In Tariffs (FITs) are a very important incentive being implemented at the national level
to aid the uptake of new low carbon technologies - though sometimes they support only
71
Unlike the UK, Germany has never needed a law for condensing boilers
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mainstream technologies, not stimulate new technologies like mCHP72. The economic
viability of mCHP currently depends on prevailing subsidies within each Member State. In
the Netherlands, for example, there is a 4-6,000 subsidy for HRe boilers (i.e. mCHP units)
and field trials involving utilities (e.g. Eneco recently installing 100 Stirling engine-based
mCHP units supplied by Ariston73). The FIT is also attractive with the export rate the same
as import (i.e. net metering) and so can be optimised. By comparison, the FIT in the UK is
not regarded as economically attractive, whereas Italy pays double the import rate for
exports to the grid. Overall, as one developer noted without a FIT structure, it will take 10
years not 2 years to achieve market scale-up. Verification of performance is a prerequisite
to achieve certification to enable FITs to be granted for a mCHP system. An ETV might be
able to speed up the granting of such certifications.
As another developer noted, however, FITs are not ideal if the subsidy is used up or is cut
back (as has been seen in several EU member states recently). Hence, any focus by
developers on producing more electricity than a household requires is to take a gamble on
the long term certainty of FIT rates. Those companies that optimise the electricity and heat
outputs to match household demand may well minimise longer term political risks.
A5.3.2
Some fuel cell mCHP developers aim to create decentralised power stations by having a
very large number of installed systems across the grid. This could result in mCHP acting as
a virtual grid balancing mechanism by reducing overall demand on centralised power
stations. However, it seems too early to tell how such a mechanism might work in the EU:
Demand side management and demand response is still a very nascent debate across the
EU. All utilities are trying to understand how to play in this future landscape.
major EU energy utility
72
73
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A5.4
A5.4.1
EPEC
A5.4.3
A5.5
74
A range of four product sizes (i.e. 15kW, 24kW, 28kW and 30kW) is now available along with three sizes of heat storage tank
(i.e. 160, 180 and 200 litres)
75
This allows high temperature combustion generating steam using a very small pressure vessel which falls below specific
regulations for high pressure machinery. Heat led, the system produces 3-16kWth and 0-2kWe.
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Member
State
UK
Germany
Denmark
Austria
NL
UK
Size
Medium
Medium
Small
Small
Large
Small
Age (years)
6-10
11-20
3-5
6-10
20+
11-20
Products in
development
3-5
NA
NA
Market ready
products
NA
NA
Products in
market
5+
Fuel cell
mCHP unit
Integrated
fuel cell
microgenerator
running off
biogas to
produce
electricity &
hot water
Fuel cell
mCHP unit
for
household
use
mCHP
system
using both
proprietary
burner (for
biomass)
and engine
Stirling
engine
mCHP unit
Stirling
engine
supplier
Product
description
A5.6.1
new product price is higher than incumbent boiler technologies which alone could
prevent market penetration despite well proven environmental performance claims;
validation procedures for fuel cell mCHP products are particularly onerous.
In general, the main market barrier for mCHP is the extremely high cost of the product
compared to HE boilers, coupled with a general reluctance of consumers to spend more
money on more energy efficient products. The cost of buying a Stirling engine in Germany
from a manufacturer for example has been estimated by one company at 20,000. The
margins applied through the value chain mean that such a Stirling engine mCHP unit will
cost 30-40,000 once installed - compared to a HE boiler costing less than 5,000 with
installation of less than 1,000. There is clearly a large differential at the moment. Once the
payback time is down to a reasonable level, the end user will benefit, particularly if excess
electricity can be sold to the grid for a premium.
The responses also illustrate the difficulties of new companies in bringing products to market
such as limited track record (one developer stated that if youre in the Club then fine;
another commented on the ability of incumbents to offset high commercialisation cost with
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existing product revenues), insufficient scale of business and achieving quality standards
like ISO9001 (usually based around certifying a manufacturing production line which is hard
when products are still at late prototype stage, etc).
Table A5.4: Rationale for ETV - Barriers
Technology
Developer76
Barriers
A5.6.2
Current standards, norms and labelling that are used for the technology (family)
The European Norm for fuel cell mCHP is prEN50465 (for Fuel Cell Gas Heating Appliances
of nominal heat input inferior or equal to 70 kW) which sets out how to do steady state test
points. For the main gas using countries in the EU, there are already established
microgeneration steady state tests (e.g. through Blue Angel in Germany, Gas Kur in the
Netherlands and PAS67 in the UK). According to one developer it is essentially the same
test across Europe. Technology developers who would like their products to benefit
from feed in tariffs (FITs) in any particular EU country must perform these steady
state tests to receive an appropriate certificate.
According to one developer, there are common EU standards to a certain level but then
slight adaptations are added by individual Member States.
In Germany, DIN 4701-10 is the official method of calculating primary energy savings of
buildings according to EnEV 2007 (Energieausweis). Coverage of demand is determined by
thermal power output, however electrical power output is not considered, neither are primary
energy savings as a result of power from the mCHP unit.
In the UK, the Publically Available Standard (PAS 67: 2008) is a laboratory test principally
written for Stirling engines, but with sufficient flexibility to allow for fuel cells mCHP to also
be tested77. A leading test centre in the UK said that comparable mCHP products should
undergo the same testing. PAS 67 determines the heating and electrical performance of
heat-led micro-cogeneration packages primarily intended for heating dwellings. It is
equivalent to EN50465 and requires 24 hour testing of mCHP at various thermal outputs at
various regimes such as 30%, 100%.
As a replacement for boilers, mCHP product testing is expected to follow a typical boiler
cycle such as continuously operating; operating once a day or operating twice a day, etc.
Where products are being range rated (i.e. to see results at different power settings) then
76
77
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BS EN 15036-1: 2006 Heating boilers Test regulations for airborne noise emissions from heat
generators Part1: Airborne noise emissions from heat generators;
CEN/TR 1749: 2005, European scheme for the classification of gas appliances according to the
method of evacuation of the combustion products (types).
81
submit an independently verified, energy performance report produced from the comprehensive
set of test conditions detailed in PAS 67;
have a full set of data produced from the annual energy performance evaluation method for microcogeneration packages recorded in the Boiler Efficiency Database;
have a table in their installation instructions of the Heating Plant Emission Rate (HPER) value for
plant size ratios between 0.5 and 4.0 in steps of 0.1.
One fuel cell mCHP developer believes the UK standards are onerous, expensive and out of
date. The product accreditation standard was based around Stirling engine heat led mCHP
systems. A working group had to write a new standard for electricity led mCHP. This
enabled their fuel cell mCHP to comply with the MCS, but it turned into a long drawn out
process, taking the company 18 months to achieve MCS, compared to less than one month
for the equivalent KVK certification system in Germany. They noted that where
accreditation arises, time to market is critical because of the extra monthly cash burn and
overheads which might otherwise go into product cost reductions.
Trialling and demonstration of technologies
Verification of environmental performance is always required for mCHP systems as a
requirement of market access. It is quite normal for mCHP developers to have long term
trials to prove performance as well as enter into agreements with utility companies to trial
their prototype systems. Table A5.5 provides insights into the long time to market for BAXIs
PEM mCHP product.
78
SAP 2009, The UK governments standard assessment procedure for energy rating of dwellings
79
Source: Product Certification Scheme Requirements: Heat-led micro-cogeneration packages in dwellings, Issue 1.1, MCS:
014, February 2011
80
81
see www.sedbuk.com
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Table A5.5: Example of the 9 year product design evolution and trialling period to
prove performance for BAXIs PEM mCHP product
Beta development
GAMMA unit
Series
2002 2005
2005 2008
2010 2012
Market entry
programme 2013
45 units deployed
Source: BAXI, presentation to COGEN Europe, April 2009
82
To date, field trials for mCHP (in the range of 50 to 200 units) have occurred in several EU
member states, backed by companies who often commit to purchasing systems that meet
their design specification. This process has been greatly helped by a National Innovation
Programme (NIP) established in Germany, running from 2008 to 2012, to aid mCHP
developers. NIP works in in collaboration with German utilities to help with market
preparation and development across the EU.
Examples of the approaches taken by companies in this business case include:
Company A has received 20 million of investment from a major EU energy utility and
has also entered into an agreement with a national EU gas supplier to supply 16,000
residential mCHP products operating on natural gas over a four year period starting in
around 2012 upon successful completion of a trial phase;
Company B has trials with several utilities across the EU with the promise of a forward
order commitment from one for 100,000 units from 2012 should it achieve its technical
milestones. It notes that a lack of verification has restricted international market access to
date into both EU and non-EU countries;
Company C is already in a development partnership with fuel cell component suppliers
and energy utilities which is trialling the products in private homes. Key commercialisation
challenges include the safety of using hydrogen gas as a feedstock (which might make it
hard to gain CE approval for their SOFC mCHP unit) and variable levels of nitrogen in
natural gas which can affect the PEM reformer.
Company D - is beta prototyping over 25 units of its novel biomass mCHP system in
Austria, Germany, France and Czech Republic. The technical status of the technology is
deemed sufficient but efficiency needs proving in the field. The company intends to focus on
Austria for the immediate future so as to be close to its main test sites. This will ensure that
problems are solved rapidly and customer confidence built up. As a result modest
production growth is expected over the next 1-2 years. Since there is no European Norm for
their product due to its unique design, and given the world class reputation of Austrian
biomass manufacturers, Austrian approval is sufficient to get a foot in the door of potential
customers in France, Italy, Spain and Slovenia.
A5.6.3
82
Mike Small, Baxi, Marketing micro CHP in Europe today when can we expect what?, April 2009
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A5.7
Rationale & value added for technology developers from undertaking an ETV
A5.7.1
Note: Responses relate to a Significant benefit unless in bold which is regarded by the developer as a Highly
Significant benefit
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Company A - would like an ETV to prove product performance and be recognised like a CE
mark.
Company B - would like an ETV to prove performance once for Europe (and ideally
globally) rather than 100 times over. This would accelerate market entry lead times a
critical issue for young companies - and save considerable costs, particularly if utility
commitments to purchase products fell through. It sees an ETV as a pre-requisite for FIT
territory in the EU. An additional benefit of ETV is to help achieve market entry for innovative
companies who are unable to loss lead through an existing business: ETV would improve
credibility and increase compliance.
Other responses indicate a subdued interest in an ETV scheme, at least at the moment:
Company C has a small willingness to have and to pay for an ETV scheme since it feels
there are no real disadvantages to NOT having it this is primarily because its current
commercialisation strategy involves the entire value chain including a leading testing centre
that will help it gain CE approval.
Company D is only focused at the moment on its home market so is only potentially
interested in an ETV scheme in the future when it is ready to sell directly into other member
states. However, it notes that distributors are likely to be used in other member states since
they would also install the machines. Consequently, the company only requires CE approval
and self certification to the EU Machinery Directive.
Company E - their product has borrowed around 90% of a standard boiler, so it fulfils the
Gas Appliances Directive and fits perfectly into Lot 1 of the Ecodesign Directive. It therefore
does not believe there to be much merit from an ETV scheme although it might make it
faster to achieve the Ecodesign Directive requirements.
Company F - had already spent around 300,000 on taking the engine towards CE mark
approval (under the Gas Appliances Directive), but then decided against it: if pushed we
would have gone down the CE route at great expense but discovered it was not necessary.
The companys product is now self-certified to the EU Machinery Directive because they
realised this was the only certification required to sell to their clients, such as BAXI,
Remeha, Vaillant, Viessmann, etc. These customers also happen to be the companys
main shareholders and have injected money into the business to keep it in operation. This
close and successful supply chain relationship eliminates the companys need to
demonstrate the performance of their engine through an ETV scheme. Besides satisfied
with its own current sales position, it did note that the idea of having one centralised
validation scheme has some merit in this market.
A5.7.2
EPEC
gas boilers) to more novel technologies. It sees an EU ETV scheme as a good thing as it
might help to level the playing field. At the corporate level, an ETV might help raise the
profile of certain developers, helping them to get their foot in the door, but potentially
nothing more given the necessity to offer more than just a potentially superior product:
an ETV label would help us to engage with a technology developer. But other factors would
ultimately have to be taken into account, such as financial health, make up of the Board of
Directors, investors, etc. However, anything that helps galvanise a good fit with a potential
partner is valuable.
The EU Micropower Council felt that an EU wide verification scheme made a lot of sense: if
it could give accredited carbon or renewable energy performance, it would give additional
weight with challenging the planning authorities as well as showing off performance to end
users. In addition, the Micropower Council felt that an ETV could help to overcome some of
the challenges of companies selling across Member States and qualifying for FITs83.
A test centre felt that an ETV was well timed with the market status of mCHP as it could help
to accelerate sales into this new market. It felt that an ETV could also illustrate some of the
key environmental validations that might become commonly demand in the future including:
Carbon emissions;
Carbon savings;
Embodied carbon.
Introduction
This section reviews the implementing, operating and user costs of an ETV scheme. It
provides an overview of the likely costs to developers including:
1.
2.
Costs of testing the technology in the event that the verification Body requires further
testing;
3.
Official ETV fee which the developer / vendor will need to pay to the verification
programme;
4.
A5.9
83
For example, it was aware of an Austrian heat pump manufacturer who found it challenging to go through the UKs MCS
scheme because MCS does not recognise if a company already manufactures over 100,000 units or has ISO9001 a
company would still have to pay for a MCS representative to visit their factory.
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onerous. Total testing costs are 12,000 to 18,000 for each power output84 so costs
could easily reach eight times that level or 96,000 to 144,000. The company is willing to
pay around 10k for ETV. One full time employee at 40,000 per annum would probably be
required to oversee the process.
Company B - is focused 100% on R&D and has spent around 200 million to date on
product development. It is willing to pay up between 10,000 and 20,000 for an ETV if it
achieves EU wide approval. This sum is based on existing certification schemes costs
around 5,000 in Germany and around 7,000 (plus an annual maintenance fee of around
1,200) in the UK. Internal administration costs are perceived to be fairly substantial and
potentially between 20,000 to 30,000. The maximum time for an ETV is six months and
ideally three: if it takes longer than this then ETV is no better than existing schemes.
Company C - has been involved in a 17m R&D project, half of which is funded by industry
and utilities, and runs between 2006 and 2012.
Table A5.8 summarises these various costs to companies. Key conclusions are almost
universal agreement amongst the three fuel cell based mCHP developers that:
Table A5.8: Costs to developers of undertaking testing and willingness to pay for
verification for ETV
Technology Developers
A
Not specified
47,000 (actual
test costs)
Not specified
200m
18m
~11m
~3m
10k
10k-20k
10k
40k
20k-30k
Unknown
50k
30k-50k
Not specified
Not specified
Not specified
Unknown
Too hypothetical an
issue but substantial
potential savings
from reduced
multiple
verifications
Unknown
<6 months
<6 months
85
84
The cost alone of the G20 reference gas used for testing is 3-4k (3.6k-4.8k) as it requires a weeks worth of gas.
85
Note that some firms have only been able to provide a total annual development cost which often includes test costs
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A5.10
UK
Performance testing
Certification / Verification
11k
Microgeneration Certification
Scheme (UK)
A5.10.2 Summary of what would be the cost for developers of this technology when
undertaking an ETV
We are able to draw the following tentative conclusions about the costs of supplying
verification services for ETV in the mCHP sector. A typical verification fee is likely to be
in the order of 10,000 to 15,000 depending on the technology type, its complexity
and innovativeness.
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Stakeholders feel that an ETV could help to prove the environmental performance
credentials of products (e.g. carbon emissions, whole life costs and embodied carbon) that
86
There is an inherent risk that FITs could be reduced unexpectedly as has happened in several EU member states. This
would substantially reduce the premium for exported electricity and thus could jeopardise the sector.
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are separate issues and currently not covered by either safety compliance or performance
testing.
It is clear that an ETV has to offer something distinctly different from existing testing
and certifications.
A5.11.4 Potential number of firms who might be interested in scheme
The potential number of mCHP developers likely to be interested is assumed to be modest.
This business case consulted many of the leading players in the sector: two companies
were keen to undertake an ETV; the other four had mixed opinions. This equates at least a
33% take up level and potentially up to a 50% to 65% level.
We assume that most incumbent boiler manufacturers have generally no interest in ETV,
given that they can happily wait 5-10 years for the market to take off whilst selling their
current products or have already decided to buy in technology from overseas (e.g. Vaillant
have sourced Hondas ECOWILL mCHP system to which it has added its control system).
This leaves the independent developers. The EU supply side has seen a number of recent
company failures including Enertech and Disenco. This is not an easy market in which to
become established and to be successful requires a lot of investment and trials over several
years to gain market confidence.
In total, across the EU, we estimate that there are likely to be around 20-30 developers of
mCHP systems, half of which are probably boiler manufacturers or companies in that supply
chain. Total interest in an ETV to 2020 is therefore likely to be at least 5-10 companies
and potentially up to 15-20. We estimate that over the next 2 years around 3-5 companies
might choose to apply for an ETV.
A5.11.5 Sector wide conclusions
The energy efficiency in industry and buildings market is characterised by high levels of
consolidation, with only a few key players establishing the major trends within the markets.
These players are also the major innovators in these fields. However, the EU is also one of
the largest global markets for energy efficiency products - estimated to represent 35% of the
global energy efficiency market (157bn) rising to between 300bn and 350bn by 202087
(growth that will be largely driven by the shift to a low-carbon energy system which in turn
has brought about a renewed interest in technologies aimed at improving energy efficiency
in industry and buildings88). This provides excellent opportunities for the hundreds of
innovative R&D companies in this EU sector to bring new products to market.
We believe there will be strong demand for ETV across a number of energy efficiency
subsectors. Key benefits from an ETV could be to show the superior performance levels of
new technologies against incumbent technology providers who dominate the channels to
market as well as whole life cycle costs.
However, agreement on the benefits of an ETV is not universal across the energy efficiency
technology group. One company that has developed a proprietary air cooling system for
buildings noted that their filter membrane does not fit standard norms and customer will
typically only procure based around robust on-line test data and a year's trial at any
particular site not whether the product has a performance verification from an ETV
scheme.
A5.12
87
Roland Berger strategy consultants (2007): Innovative environmental growth markets from a company Perspective. Federal
Environment Agency Germany.
88
World Economic Forum (2009): Green Investing: Towards a Clean Energy Infrastructure.
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A5.13
89
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A6.1
Introduction
This business case builds on the market analysis findings of the Energy Technology Area
(see main report). This analysis found that solar energy is a highly innovative sector, with
many new innovations on the market, in many cases supplied by SMEs. It also suggested
that new generations of products ready to enter the market, often go beyond existing
standards, increasing the likeliness of users demanding verification. However, there are
already a number of mechanisms and paths to market for technology developers which
include established test houses (e.g. TUV and world renowned institutes such as the
Fraunhofer Solar Institute) market reputation (especially for larger companies) and testing
and verification on behalf of universities90.
The market analysis also identified solar hybrids as one of the most innovative niche markets
within the solar sector, with a global potential. Firms in this sector face considerable
challenges testing their products against existing standards, and can thus often be impeded
from benefiting from Government support programmes.
Some of the major uncertainties in the market regarding solar hybrid technologies are related
to their levels of performance in comparison to mainstream renewable and non-renewable
technologies. The two main criteria of performance in this case refer to the thermal and
electric energy output of the device, and the coefficient of performance (COP). According to
technology producers, potential buyers are still very sceptical when it comes to recognising
the added value that these technologies.
As will be explained in the following sections, hybrid technologies may combine the different
components that they include in many different ways. Giving additional importance to one of
the components is usually done at the expense of another. Thus combining these
components in order to optimise overall performance is a difficult process which technology
developers are not always able to control.
The other major concern, which is mostly cost-oriented, relates to the performance stability
of the devices over time (dynamic performance), in order to ensure payback. Being able to
prove this would reassure consumers that despite a higher first-cost in comparison to
traditional alternatives, these technologies offer the possibility of making long-term savings
or benefits91 in energy consumption and production.
A6.2
90
91
92
93
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being at the forefront of European production and innovation. At the global level, the EPIA
Global Market Outlook report shows that the annual PV market has developed from less
than 1 GW in 2003 to more than 7.2 GW in 2009.
The volume of investment in the solar power sector investment has also been one of the
highest among all clean energy sector alternatives. In 2009, the solar power sector
accounted for around 17.8 billion ($24.3 billion) or 21% of all financial investments in
sustainable energy94. That same year, total VC investment in solar power in Europe was
about 1.22 billion, accounting for 24% of worldwide VC investment in all clean energy
sectors95.
In addition the significant market dynamism displayed by solar technologies, there is also
considerable innovation taking place within this sector. For the most part however,
innovation taking place in solar technologies is incremental, and mostly dominated by large
non-European firms such as Sharp, Canon and Sanyo.
One particular sub-sector within the solar technologies family in which more radical
innovation is taking place relates to hybrid solar technologies. European firms, and
particularly SMEs, are at the cutting-edge of innovation for this particular type of technology.
In the context of this business case, the term hybrid refers to two types of innovating
products in the solar technologies sector:
Technologies mixing photovoltaic and thermal panels (PV-T) within one single
device. These are hybrid solar panels consisting of photovoltaic (electrical PV);
and thermal (heating - T) functionalities usually separate which will contribute
towards a houses electricity demands while heating hot water;
In the second case, hybrid technologies refer to devices that do not necessarily
combine photovoltaic and thermal, but rather mix two or three energy solutions at
once in order to optimise outputs. This includes for example devices using solar
collectors (thermal or photovoltaic) connected to heat-pumps from which heat is
generated.
PV-T are photovoltaic collectors that generally produce heat as a byproduct. Panels collect
electro-magnetic radiation from the sun (direct current) which is changed by an inverter into
an alternating current (AC), suitable for use in the home. The process naturally generates
heat, which is transferred via an aluminium heat exchanger to a closed circuit through which
runs an antifreeze heat transfer fluid; the fluid takes the heat to the hot water cylinder. When
set up correctly, this process actually aids the functionality of the PV module, as it causes
the heat in the cells to dissipate and PV cells are more efficient when they are cooler96.
Individually, solar thermal and photovoltaics are relatively mature technologies. However, the
idea of bringing electricity and hot water together in a single panel has only recently occurred
and represents a step changing innovation.
A6.3
Innovation drivers
A6.3.1
94
Global Trends in Sustainable Energy Investment, UNEP, SEFI, New Energy Finance (2010).
95
Global Trends in Sustainable Energy Investment, UNEP, SEFI, New Energy Finance (2010).
96
http://www.homebuilding.co.uk/feature/solar-panels-next-generation
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EPEC
being implemented at the national level are the UKs Renewable Heat Incentive (RHI) and
Feed-In Tariff (FIT). Both these Government-backed measures enable homeowners to sell
or be financially rewarded for the renewable heat and electricity they produce. Both types of
measures have strongly accelerated the installation of renewable energy capacity in
Europe97.
A6.3.2
A6.4
A6.4.1
A6.4.2
97
http://www.rhincentive.co.uk/
98
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Contrary to these claims however, a testing body representative indicated that most existing
hybrid solutions only offer 5% in efficiency gains in comparison to incumbent technologies.
Hybrid technologies also offer the possibility of making gains in terms of the surface used by
solar collectors. According to the hybrid collector producer mentioned above, 28m2 of their
PV-T panels produce the equivalent annual electrical output from 38m2 of conventional
monocrystalline PV and the same amount of thermal energy as 8m2 of conventional solar
thermal collectors (without any contribution from the heat pump). Using hybrid panels allows
to make a 18m2 gain in occupied surface.
A6.4.3
A6.5
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Technology developer A
Technology developer B
Technology developer C
Member State
UK
Sweden
Sweden
Size
Micro
Small
Small
Age (years)
1-2
10
Products in
development
NA
Market ready
products
NA
Products in market
3-5
NA
Product description
Solar cooling
A6.6.1
Customers are highly risk averse and prefer to buy market proven technologies;
Customers are uncertain as to how suitable products are to their operations (fitness
for use);
Most of these barriers relate to the need to reassure potential consumers of the performance
levels of new products.
Table A6.2: Rationale for ETV - Barriers
Technology Developer
Barriers
A6.6.2
Customers are uncertain as to how suitable our product is to their operations (i.e.
fitness for use)
Our customers are highly risk averse and prefer to buy market proven
technologies
Current standards, norms and labelling that are used for the technology (family)
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There are a number of existing mechanisms to measure and test the quality and
performance of PV and thermal products, facilitating their market access and diffusion. Most
of these are carried out on the basis of existing international or European standards.
However, due to the novelty of solar hybrid technologies, this existing family of standards
does not directly apply to them. Although European Norm EN 12975A does not exclude
hybrid solar devices from its scope, its applicability in this particular case is extremely low
due to its lack of details regarding this type of technology. As mentioned by a testing body
representative EN 12975 does apply to PV-T, but when you go into the details of testing
there are a lot of undefined situations that are not satisfactory it is a grey zone, it is not
excluded by a standard, but when you do apply it, it is very difficult to do so.
This Catch-22 situation is created by the fact that standardisation is a relatively slow
process. As expressed by a representative of a certification body standardisation is always
slower than the market standards come after the products are placed on the market, in
order to create them, you need a certain level of development of the product.
As a result, there is no specific set of parameters against which the performance of solar
hybrid technologies can be measured against. This limits the capacity of solar hybrid
technology producers to make use of existing quality and performance testing mechanisms
such as national, European or international certifications.
This raises three challenges for the development of these technologies:
Potential buyers express higher levels of scepticism with regards to the potential
performance levels of the new technology, decreasing the likelihood of market
adoption of the technology.
In the absence of specific standards for solar hybrid technologies, producers and certifying
bodies have, in a number of cases, used existing standards to individually test each of the
components of solar hybrid devices. Due to the combination of technologies that usually go
into hybrid solar devices (thermal, PV, heat pumps, energy storage devices, etc) different
norms and standards may apply to individual components of the integrated solution. Table
A6.3 presents published European standards that apply to solar thermal products.
Table A6.3: Standards applying to solar thermal products
Published standards for Solar Thermal
Products
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Source: www.estif.org
Additional standards that may apply to solar hybrid products include: EN12977 (storage
boilers), EN13203-3, EN61215, and EN61646 (solar PV).
All thermal technology testing standards are European standards. For PV technologies, most
of the standards being used are international standards produced by the International
Electrotechnical Commission (IEC).
Certification is required In order for solar products to be eligible for most government support
programmes and subsidies. As a result, certification is implicitly mandatory for any product
wishing to be competitive on the market. There are mainly two types of certification
schemes: national and European schemes.
National certifications
There are numerous national marks that certify conformity to individual Member State
standards and requirements. One of these is the UKs Microgeneration Certification Scheme
(MCS). MCS is a quality assurance scheme which demonstrates the quality and reliability of
approved products by satisfying tested standards. It certifies microgeneration technologies
used to produce electricity and heat from renewable sources. The MCS allows technologies
to benefit from financial incentives including FITs and RHI99.
A UK technology developer who recently obtained MCS certification for two of its hybrid solar
solutions explained the difficulties they encountered due to the novelty of their product and
the lack of standards for this particular type of technology. It took approximately two and a
half years before the products were certified, representing approximately 50% of the time it
took the company to make the product commercially viable. The MCS working group in
charge of certifying the product certified it using two separate sets of standards: photovoltaic
and thermal. As a result, this particular integrated technology is still officially recognised as
two separate components operating within a single device.
European certifications
Technology producers can also seek to obtain European certifications such as the Solar
Keymark certification. As opposed to national certifications which certify conformity with
requirements of national markets, Keymark certifies conformity with European standards.
Keymark also differs form the obligatory CE marking which shows conformity with European
directives, primarily around proving safety of a product.
The Solar Keymark certification was developed by the European Solar Thermal Industry
Federation (ESTIF) and the European Committee or Standardisation (CEN) with the support
99
www.microgenerationcertification.org
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This means the certification is awarded based on the quality of the manufacturing process of
the product, not only on the performance of the product itself. As a result, by obtaining the
Solar Keymark, producers aim to demonstrate the consistent factory made quality of their
products and to qualify for regulatory and financial incentive schemes in European national
markets.
Products that obtain the Keymark certification are generally eligible for national public
support schemes, and do not need to obtain additional national certification. However, in
what some consider to be a form of market protectionism, some support schemes (national,
regional or local) do require products to be certified by national bodies.
According to a Portuguese certification body offering both national certifications and the
European Keymark certification, there are no major significant differences between the two.
There are even some situations in which technically, national certifications follow the
guidelines of Keymark. Pricewise however, national certification is less expensive to obtain.
As a result, companies operating only at the national level usually only seek to obtain the
national certification.
From our discussions with technology producers and certification bodies, it became apparent
that Solar Keymark has now become the reference for certification in the field of solar
thermal technologies at the European level. Despite the fact that solar hybrid technologies
fall outside of the original scope of Solar Keymark, the certification scheme is likely to grow
to include solar hybrids in the near future.
In addition to existing European certification schemes (Solar Keymark, CE, etc), it is likely
that solar hybrid technologies, or some of their components, will be subject to the Ecodesign
Directive (Framework Directive 2009/125/EC) which lays out ecodesign requirements for
energy-using products (EUP). As a framework Directive, it does not include binding
requirements on products or product families by itself. Instead, this is done through the
further adoption of implementing measures adopted on a case by case basis for each
product group101. For the time being, no implementing measures have been adopted for
technologies in the solar hybrid sector. The Working Plan adopted under the Directive does
however foresee the adoption of implementing measures for the air-conditioning and
ventilation systems technology family. If and when this happened, solar hybrid
manufacturers would be required to:
100
http://www.cen.eu/
101
http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/policies/sustainable-business/ecodesign/index_en.htm
102
http://www.conformance.co.uk/directives/ce_eup.php
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EPEC
A6.6.3
A6.7
Rationale & value added for technology developers from undertaking an ETV
A6.7.1
Facilitates market entry for our product into our home market
C
X
X
X
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X
X
Key: Responses relate to a Significant benefit unless in bold which is regarded by the developer as a Highly
Significant benefit
Company A considers that anything which is going to give the market confidence (on the
quality and performance of their product) would be of benefit for us. It has experienced
significant difficulties getting the message across to the market regarding the performance of
its product, and the potential gains users can make in terms of cost and energy savings. It
has already used a national certification scheme to verify their product, but this process
ended up being long and expensive. According to them however, this certification is not
enough, and they need to go further in order to prove the quality and performance of the
product in order to open up markets giving potential buyers the confidence that the product
they are offering is technically accurate would be very helpful indeed.
Company B - sees the fact that solar technologies are not very well known to potential
consumers as the most limiting factor to the market take-up of their product. This lack of
knowledge with respect to what these technologies are able to do creates resistance in the
market. It believes the introduction of an ETV would make the technology more mature,
while helping to overcome some of these barriers.
Company C - expressed limited interest in using an ETV scheme, mainly because their
trialling and demonstration needs are covered by existing certifications. Instead, it believed
the advantages of such a scheme would be greater for smaller and younger companies, with
limited cash flow. An ETV scheme could represent a cost and time-friendly alternative to
traditional existing certifications which are currently too expensive and lengthy for companies
which have not generated sales or a positive cash flow.
A6.7.2
A6.7.3
EPEC
Finally, one certification body representatives clearly identified the need for an ETV
scheme, even if standards for hybrid solar products were to be developed. According
to him, certification does not always allow products with an average performance to
be distinguished from those with above average performance. There is thus a need
for a mechanism creating stronger differentiation among products. According to him
currently many average-quality solar products are able to meet the standards and
are thus certified and are thus set on the same level as high performing
productsthere might be some room for improvement in this sense.
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EPEC
Introduction
This section provides a review of the cost of implementing, operating and using an ETV
scheme. It starts by providing a detailed overview of the likely costs to developers from
undertaking an ETV verification which include:
1. Costs of testing of the technology to enable it to apply to the ETV;
2. Costs of testing the technology in the event that the Verification Body requires further
testing;
3. Official ETV fee - which the developer / vendor will need to pay to the verification
programme);
4. Other internal costs to the firms.
The section continues by looking at the costs of supplying verification services to companies.
A6.9
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EPEC
Table A6.5: Costs to developers of undertaking testing and willingness to pay for
verification for ETV
Technology Developer
A
100k
30k
NA
NA
8m
NA
<5k
NA
<5k
10k
50k
5k
15k
+50k
10k
NA
NA
NA
Return on investment in
verification/admin fee, based on sale of
one unit (c/(a+b))
NA
NA
NA
<6 months
<2 months
<6 months
A6.10
103
Approximate cost
10k (T)
15k (T)
6k (T)
15k (C)
23k (C)
CE marking (UK)
56k (T & C)
Notes: The cost of MCS is calculated on the basis of certification of two types of components that make up a single
hybrid device. The cost of certifying one component is approximately 11 000. The cost of an initial Keymark
certification is approximately 3,000. However, certification holders must carry out annual follow-ups at roughly the
103
Note that some firms have only been able to provide a total annual development cost which often includes test costs
103
EPEC
same cost. The estimate provided is based on a five-year period of certification, which is the period of validity of one
certification. Key: T = testing; C = certification
A6.10.2 Summary of what would be the cost for developers of this technology when
undertaking an ETV
Based on collated information, we conclude that the cost for technology verification of
solar hybrid products would be between 20,000 and 30,000. Furthermore, it is likely
that the procedure would require additional testing, which would represent an additional cost
of up to 15,000. Overall, therefore, verification costs for developers could rise to between
35,000 and 45,000.
The cost of verification will vary considerably on the basis of the technology being certified,
the availability of testing centres and labour costs in the testing and verifying country, and
even the existence of adequate weather conditions.
When compared to the cost developers are willing to pay for verification, there is an
average shortfall of approximately 30,000.
Testing and certification bodies indicated that if things go as planned it usually takes
between three to six months to verify solar technologies104. However, an ETV could take
much longer - as reflected in the 2.5 year delay one developer experienced in obtaining MCS
certification in the UK for its hybrid PV-T product.
104
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EPEC
The time needed for verification would represent less of a constraint than the cost, as it
seems likely verification could be done within a six-month period. This corresponds to the
time producers expressed to be willing to wait in order to obtain verification.
The size and age of the companies operating in the sector companies are
mostly young and micro/small businesses. As a result, they lack the necessary scale
to provide credible guarantees to potential buyers of their products. They generally
do not have a solid sales record and the necessary means to carry out a large scale
marketing campaign for their new products.
The need to reassure the market of the performance levels of innovative solar
hybrid alternatives - customers display very high levels of scepticism regarding the
fitness for use of these products and are generally very risk averse, preferring to buy
technologies that have been proven in the market.
An ETV scheme could also offer technology producers a means of reassuring potential
consumers of the static and dynamic performance levels of their products. In this sense, an
ETV could serve as a powerful marketing tool for technology producers.
Finally, verification could also potentially contribute to make solar hybrid products eligible for
certain public support schemes. This however would depend on national legislation in each
Member State and their willingness to recognise ETV as a reliable source of product testing.
Potential number of firms who might be interested in scheme
The current EU market for hybrid solar technologies is extremely small and there are at the
most ten companies in Europe who have developed or are currently developing solar hybrid
products. As a result, despite the high level of interest in undertaking an ETV, the absolute
number of potential users of an ETV scheme is estimated at between 5-10 over a 2 year
period.
The sector is expected to undergo considerable growth however in the oncoming years, and
the number of companies potentially interested in the scheme might increase to 50 to 100 in
the next ten years.
A6.11.2 Sector wide conclusions
The conclusions drawn from this business case could serve as the basis for the analysis of
the need for an ETV in two closely related technology sub-groups: solar thermal and solar
photovoltaics. However, our conclusions cannot be systematically applied to other products
in the larger production of heat and power from renewable sources of energy technology
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EPEC
group. The main reason for this is that within the same technology group, there can be
considerable differences among different types of products, which may strongly influence the
level of relevance of an ETV scheme. These differences mainly relate to the:
rate of innovation;
On the basis of these criteria, it is possible to draw conclusions and compare the solar
hybrid technology family, to the solar photovoltaic and solar thermal technology groups.
This comparison makes it easier to understand to what extent ETV would be relevant at a
larger scale, according to the analysis presented in the previous sections of this business
case (see Table A6.7).
Table A6.7: Comparison of solar technology sectors
Criteria
Solar hybrid
Solar photovoltaic
Solar thermal
Low
Medium/High
Medium/High
Limited
No
Yes
Yes
Step changing
Incremental
Incremental
High
High
High
Maturity
of
group/family
technology
Existence of methods
performance certification
of
Rate of innovation
Willingness to recognise a
European verification scheme.
The solar hybrid sector is for the time being a niche sector. This justifies to a large
extent the need for an ETV scheme. This does not necessarily apply to other better
know and more mature actors and technologies in solar thermal and PV;
Drivers for innovation and barriers to market entry are similar across all three
technology groups;
In all cases, the standardisation process is always slower than market and
innovation rates. As a result, there is a permanent gap created by the arrival of
highly innovative products to which existing standards to not apply;
EPEC
there is no existing certification scheme at the European level for solar PV;
regulatory framework differences among Members States are low, and thus their
willingness to accept a common European verification is potentially high.
However, the potential for an ETV scheme in solar thermal and PV could be significantly
limited, in comparison to solar hybrid for a number of reasons. These include: the existence
of a European-wide and highly recognised certification for solar thermal (Keymark), the lower
rate of innovation in solar thermal and PV, and a number of existing standards that apply to
innovative solar thermal and PV products.
As a result, over the next five years between 100 and 200 developers could potentially be
interested in submitting their products to an ETV scheme.
A6.12
Menna P, et al, European Photovoltaic RTD and demonstration programme, European Commission. Available at:
http://ec.europa.eu/energy/renewables/studies/solar_electricity_en.htm
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EPEC
Due to the limited size of the solar hybrid sector for the time being, there would only be a
need for one verification body in Europe. This centre could work in collaboration with existing
testing facilities. Since this single body would cater to the needs of all companies in the
sector, it would need to be centrally located.
A6.12.3 Potential barriers to market introduction and diffusion
The two main challenges for the implementation of an ETV scheme dedicated to this
technology group are:
The existence of a well developed and recognised set of testing and certification
organisations, which operate at the European level;
The fact that most companies must go through a long and expensive testing and
certification process, limiting their capacity to undergo additional verification. This
barrier is worsened by the fact that most producers in the field are micro and small
companies, for which the financial burden is higher. To illustrate this, a British firm
specialised in the production of PV-T had to pay 24,000 (20,000) for national
certification in addition to 67,200 (56,000) for CE marking. As expressed by a
company representative, this a big deal for SMEs. For companies that are in the
initial phases of product development and still not making sales, financing this can
be a very big challenge.
A6.13
Marketing the ETV brand: As most other labels and certifications, the ETV brand
will have to be strongly marketed in order to increase its visibility. Technical
excellence will not suffice to ensure ETVs success. Instead ETV operators must
ensure that ETV is branded correctly, to technology developers and consumers;
Making the need visible and understood: Based on the experience preparing this
business case, it soon became clear that technology developers and certification
bodies were unable to identify the need an ETV scheme would answer to. Despite
their understanding of the general logic behind ETV (improve market entry for
market-ready innovative environmental technologies), it was unclear to these
stakeholders where the added value of an ETV lies in comparison to existing routes
to the market. It will therefore be necessary to effectively communication on the
rationale of an ETV, the potential benefits for users, and its position in the landscape
to existing certification, testing and labelling schemes;
EPEC
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EPEC
A7.1
Introduction
This business case builds on the findings of the market analysis of the water treatment
technology area (see main report). This found that:
water companies are generally highly risk averse in a number of EU member states
whilst some water companies are more progressive in their approach to new
innovations and will be willing to test out new innovations, others will await the results
of tests before considering any investment.
water companies may be unwilling to trust the results from tests at other water
companies even though effluent streams will often be more or less exactly the same;
for industrial end users, there are often large variations in effluent streams and hence
the nature of the resulting sludges. This will often require site testing before the
company commits to a purchase.
This business case looks in more detail at a number of anaerobic digestion (AD) and sludge
treatment technologies being commercialised in the water, industrial and agricultural
sectors106. It seeks to show the benefits that ETV will bring to both technology developers
and end users.
A7.2
106
This area was selected because of the initial interest from three technology developers in the original ETV survey. A further
two new developers were identified to complement these three and provide a robust evidence base for the business case.
111
EPEC
treatment and disposal. Overall, the market opportunity is large and globally very attractive,
particularly when considering the opportunity to generate energy from the waste.
A7.3
Innovation drivers
A7.3.1
These Directives have created the need for more efficient and higher quality processes.
There has also been a shift away from the use of chemicals in water treatment due to the
adverse environmental impacts they produce. This has stimulated growth in membrane
filtration and UV technologies as alternatives to chlorine and other chemicals.
The digestion and treatment of sewage sludges is not as regulated as other processes in the
water treatment sector, primarily because it does not impact directly on the quality of water
delivered to the consumer or discharged to the environment: any effluent arising from
treatments is likely to be redirected back into the wastewater plant. Thermal treatment of
sewage sludges requires compliance with the Waste Incineration Directive and is a critical
component of market acceptance for technologies such as fluidised bed incineration,
pyrolysis and gasification.
Several EU countries have strict regulations for spreading sludge on the ground. For
example, the Netherlands and Sweden have outlawed sludge spreading on land,
necessitating sludge treatment and disposal. In the UK, sewage sludge spreading on
farmland is dependent on the end use of the products being grown as well as whether the
area is a nitrate vulnerable zone. In the EU there are 12 million dry tonnes of sludge per
year; in the USA there are 7 million dry tonnes of sludge.
A7.3.2
A7.4
A7.4.1
EPEC
A7.4.3
A7.5
107
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EPEC
Company B - has developed a pipeline of both lab-based and in-situ technologies to sense,
monitor, control and evaluate methane levels from AD plants as well as to improve the
energy generation from plants by around 20%. The value proposition is not only to have
more control over the AD process but also to make analysis more efficient and dynamic,
both of which will yield cost savings.
Company C - is an established supplier of sludge dewatering systems and has very good
relationships across the EU water industry built up over 20 years of trading. It has two main
product lines and is gradually increasing its market share in these product areas into several
EU markets including Finland, Germany and Poland. The company spent over 5 years
commercialising a novel system to enhance wastewater sludge digestion.
Company D - is the developer and owner of a market ready, supercritical water oxidation,
sludge treatment process that is designed to destroy all organics in the waste and generate
significant surplus energy as part of the process. The process involves no combustion or
harmful emissions and hence is a strong alternative to thermal treatment of sludges.
Company E108 - developed its own biogas production technology which is fed into an onsite
gas engine to generate electricity. It currently uses its own reference plant for agricultural
wastes and is keen to sell its first product into the rapidly growing biogas market.
A summary of each developer is shown in Table A7.1. Three companies are microbusinesses; most have at least one product in the market and a pipeline of innovations in
development.
Table A7.1: Overview of technology developers in this business case
Organisation
information
Technology
developer A
Technology
developer B
Technology
developer C
Technology
developer D
Technology
developer E
Member State
UK
Sweden
Finland
Ireland
Poland
Size
Micro
Micro
Small
Micro
Medium
Age (years)
6-10
6-10
+20
3-5
3-5
Products in
development
3-5
3-5
Market ready
products
3-5
Products in market
3-5
+5
Product description
Enhanced
sludge
digestion
using pressure
differential
Optimisation
of anaerobic
digestion
using sensors
& controls
Ultrasonic
cavitation of
sludge
digestion
process
Supercritical
oxidation of
wastewater &
sludges
Proprietary
sludge
digestion
process
A7.6.1
108
Company response mainly based on a survey response, not a detailed discussion with the company.
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EPEC
Table A7.2 illustrates the overwhelming problem of demonstrating performance in real world
operating conditions and clearly links to the resulting uncertainty that end users therefore
have in the product. A lack of mutual recognition and harmonised standards is regarded as
important for several as it a higher product price than incumbent technologies.
Table A7.2: Rationale for ETV - Barriers
Technology Developer
Barriers
Customers are uncertain as to how suitable our product is to their operations (i.e.
fitness for use)
Our company must comply with stringent health, safety, and environmental
standards as a condition of sale
Our customers are highly risk averse and prefer to buy market proven
technologies
A7.6.2
X
X
Current standards, norms and labelling that are used for the technology (family)
Standardisation provides a set of specific parameters against which technologies can be
tested. A limited number of standards have been found for AD (see Box below). This does
not provide scope for allowing technologies to show more sophisticated levels of treatment.
For example, if a technology is able to achieve the same water treatment level as another
technology but using 20% less energy then there is a market to show this off. For example,
an ETV could verify that a technology does the same as current technology but also saves
money, recycles water and also reduces the number of components at the same time.
ISO requirements in the anaerobic digestion sector
ASTM International
ASTM E1535 - 93(2006) Standard Test Method for Performance Evaluation of Anaerobic
Digestion System.
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EPEC
A7.6.3
A7.6.4
EPEC
Table A7.3: Summary of methods used by companies for proving performance claims
to potential customers
Technology Developer
Approaches to providing performance claims
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EPEC
A7.7
Rationale & value added for technology developers from undertaking an ETV
A7.7.1
Facilitates market entry for our product into our home market
Key: Responses relate to a Significant benefit unless in bold which is regarded by the developer as a Highly
Significant benefit
Company D - feels that an ETV would help to open up the EU market by showing here is a
product that works in a certain operational environment etc. It sees an ETV label as an
additional tool in the toolbox for helping facilitate market access, not a panacea, and
believes it will add legitimacy to its product claims and help build for the future by going
larger. It is targeting UK and Italian water companies as well as industrial operators in
Ireland and elsewhere. Longer term prospects are in the USA, the biggest non-EU market.
A7.7.2
A7.7.3
Validating test data from reference site to clients across the EU and beyond;
109
110
111
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EPEC
Framework Agreements act against this because they filter out companies without a track
record in delivery or financial viability. So if the innovation provided market leading
performance or there was no comparable technology used by the water company then
confidence - at least in the technology performance would be achieved by having an ETV.
In other Member States the market situation is often different because much water treatment
is municipally operated and hence fragmented. There is an incentive to improve water supply
and treatment quality to serve the voting public. The openness to innovation could be higher
and hence potentially it is less critical to have an ETV label.
Test centres provided some different perspectives also on the need for ETV:
At the moment, technology developers use reference plants so there is value in producing a
verification because the results will be applicable in a certain range of conditions and that will
give the confidence to end users despite the fact that parameters might have to change
slightly. Test centre
If the product is near market and proven, the developer will still have to adapt the
operational parameters between end users as there will always be differences between
wastewater streams. However, this does not mean having to replace parts of the technology
to suit client needs. Test centre
Often there are no particular standards available because industrial processes and closed
loop processes are so different and unique and hence an ETV could illustrate benefits. One
test centre looked at condensate recovery and the reuse of water. In one example, the water
temperature was 40-50 degrees and so energy could be recovered from it. This additional
benefit of energy recovery would be proved by the ETV, on top of the technologys
recognised ability to recycle the process water.
Introduction
This section provides a review of the cost of implementing, operating and using an ETV
scheme. It starts by providing a detailed overview of the likely costs to developers from
undertaking an ETV verification which include:
1. Costs of testing of the technology to enable it to apply to the ETV;
2. Costs of testing the technology in the event that the Verification Body requires further
testing;
3. Official ETV fee - which the developer / vendor will need to pay to the verification
programme);
4. Other internal costs to the firms.
The section continues by looking at the costs of supplying verification services to companies.
A7.9
EPEC
A sliding scale of fees was seen as fair depending on the complexity of the system and
performance claims made. Other costs involved with staffing and expenses relating to the
verification are estimated at less than 10,000.
Company B - has invested around 750,000 to date in developing and testing their set of
technologies. It considers the verification fee range has to initially be less than 5,000.
However, in due course the fee could be based on potential turnover, like an ecolabel which
also uses third party verification. For example, a fee might be a maximum of 5% of sales
(based on average revenue and sales volume) which is suited to the size of product and
company. It is difficult for the company to estimate other costs.
Company C - has spent around 300,000 to date in developing and testing the technology.
The verification fee range has to be less than 5,000 however. This is because it is hard to
price depends on what you get for the money as well as the financial situation has been
tough for the past two years. It would clearly aim to market the results from their trial and a
verification would fit in well with these marketing materials. It is too difficult for the company
to assess other costs involved in the verification process but they are expected to be of a
similar scale to the verification fee.
Company D - estimates the costs of development to date are in the order of 6m. The
verification fee range has to be 5-10,000, based on several factors:
Other costs involved would be 10-15,000 for staffing and other expenses with the
verification. The firm commented that achieving market access from ETV would be
priceless, but assigning an actual value to it is hard. One sale would make doing ETV
worthwhile but it may be chicken and egg - the sales value might be 3.5m but that is not of
relevance to the cost of verification before you have made any sales.
Table A7.5 summarises these various costs to companies. Key conclusions are that
firms are generally willing to pay no more than 5,000 for a verification;
firms would accept a timescale for verification between less than 6 months and a
year.
Table A7.5: Costs to developers of undertaking testing and willingness to pay for
verification for ETV
Technology Developer
112
E(a)
No
specific
budget
50100k
1-25k
250500k
No
specified
2.4m
750k
300k
6m
N/A
112
Note that some firms have only been able to provide a total annual development cost which often includes test costs
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EPEC
300k
<5k
<5k
<5k
10k-15k
<5k
<10k
n/k
<5k
10k-15k
N/A
<15k
5k-10k
<10k
20k-30k
5k
0.5m
20k
100k
3.5m
N/A
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
N/A
<6
months
<6
months
<1 year
<6
months
<1 year
A7.10
Denmark*
Testing
Verification or
Certification
9.5-40k (V)
22-94k (T&V)
(average 28k
113
Poland*
25-50k
25-50k (C)
50-100k
Sweden*
25-50k
10k (V)
35-60k
Key: * = original respondent to ETV survey conducted under EPEC study. T = testing; IPT = initial product testing;
V = verification; C = certification
113
Cost estimates of verification are based on over 20 verifications across a number of sectors where verification on average
totalled 43% of total costs. Testing/verification costs of 50-100k for water treatment technologies were estimated.
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EPEC
Furthermore, based on ETV experiences from current European practitioners in this sector
there is often a need to undertake further testing as part of the verification. This is due to the
difficulties of relying upon submitted test data from developers as well as the data often
found to not correspond directly to the verification application.
Estimates of verification range from around 10,000 or less depending on the technology up
to 40,000. Certification at one test centre cost up to 50,000; at another test centre cost
estimates suggests several more steps involved in the verification compared to standard
testing requirements (which already factor in reporting back to the developer).
A7.10.2 Summary of what would be the cost for developers of this technology when
undertaking an ETV
We are able to draw the following conclusions about the costs of supplying verification
services for ETV in the water sector. A typical verification fee is likely to range from
around 10,000 to 40,000 depending on the technology. Based on forecast costs from
two leading test centres in Northern Europe, fee costs will vary according to:
Location of the verification and testing - for example, Sweden has double the
hourly rates for staff compared to test centres in Portugal and Greece;
Access to test facilities for example, potential sites for testing technologies often
have to be found although dedicated demonstration facilities that sit alongside an
operational wastewater treatment works are one mechanisms for providing easy
access and risk free testing for developers.
verification fee and the perceived benefits from investing in the ETV. This illustrates the
uncertainty of quantifying benefits in the mind of the developer114.
Key challenges for technology
Willingness to pay only 5,000 might indicate that developers in this technology group
generally have to go through an extensive and expensive R&D and demonstration phase.
This already generates high quality performance data and a reference site for clients which
in many cases will be sufficient to attract future sales. ETV is therefore a nice to have, but
not a necessity for such developers.
Value added for firms from undertaking the ETV
An ETV will have the following benefits for SMEs in this particular technology group:
Validating test data from reference site to clients across the EU and beyond;
Fast tracking of ETV holders through national certification (and similar) schemes would be
advantageous.
Potential number of firms who might be interested in scheme
Many developers interviewed for this business case do not have a clear idea about the
nature of the EU competition in their respective fields. This is partly due to the
localised/national nature of the markets they operate in; it also partly reflects a nascent
supply side with a lack of visibility.
Having sampled five companies, all from different EU member states, we estimate that
there are around 20-25 companies in the EU (likely to be SMEs and developing market
ready products) who would be interested in an ETV over the next 1-2 years. We believe
the total number of EU firms offering products in this market to be in the range of 50-75.
A7.11.2 Sector wide conclusions
Our market survey of technology developers obtained three questionnaires from well
established developers of water/wastewater treatment technologies see Table A7.7 for a
summary. Despite the varying size of the firms (i.e. micro to large), and from different
member states, each stated exactly the same significant or highly significant benefits from an
ETV, including:
114
Technology developer A
Technology developer B
Technology developer C
A certain amount of clarification was also required with firms in talking through the benefits.
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Member State
Germany
Spain
Ireland
Size
Micro
Medium
Large
Age (years)
11-20
20+
20+
Products in
development
3-5
5+
Market ready
products
Products in market
3-5
5+
Product description
Adsorption technique to
treat industrial wastewater
Not specified
5-10k
50-100k
5-10k
<1 year
<2 years
<6 months
Despite the small sample size, we conclude from this random cross-section of the
market that there is indeed demand for ETV across the wider Water Technology Area.
Furthermore, in two of the three cases, there are parallels with the AD/sludge responses
regarding willingness to pay (i.e. 5-10,000) and timescales (less than 6 months to a year).
Given the very large size of the EU municipal and industrial water market and the number of
water and wastewater treatment technologies that constitute the supply side115, we estimate
that demand for ETV in this area could be in the order of five to ten applications per
technology family per year.
If we assume that there are at least five main technology families that cover primary,
secondary, tertiary water treatments plus sludge digestion and treatment, then we estimate
that total demand for an ETV could be in the region of 25-50 applications per year or
125-250 over a five year period.
A7.12
115
Filtration and disinfection were analysed in detail for the main market study
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unlock a critical barrier since testing is where the cost lies and it would streamline the
verification process. Something similar for smaller projects would be helpful.
At the Member State level, support is highly variable:
A7.12.3 Number and location of verification bodies required to establish verification at the
European level
Given the size of the EU water market and the potentially large number of developers
interested in an EU ETV scheme, we conclude the following about the number of VBs that
would be required to run an effective ETV scheme for water treatment technologies:
The need to satisfy geographical and language issues suggests that at least 3 VBs
are required, potentially catering to Northern/Eastern Europe, Central Europe and
Southern Europe.
There might be scope for increasing the number of VBs to two in some regions, but
only where it can be sufficiently proved that there are enough verifications to be
carried out.
Broadening the number of VBs beyond three means that ETV will have to be well
promoted, both by the VBs themselves as well as Member States and the EU
Commission, in order to show the benefits of participation.
Test requirements from one test centre should be transferable to others for the Scheme to
work effectively. Each EU member state would require a testing house to facilitate multiple
visits as the machinery would be expensive to ship around.
A7.12.4 Potential barriers to market introduction and diffusion
Company views
There are uncertainties for developers around the fees required for ETV, including:
whether there be any annual maintenance costs (e.g. a nominal fee for holding the
ETV which is based on declared sales for example). This could help with overall
system operating costs.
the point at which a new verification be required (e.g. second generation product).
Stakeholder views
Without sufficient awareness of the ETV scheme amongst end users it risks achieving limited
successes. One stakeholder criticised the Commission for not doing more to raise
awareness of the benefits of undertaking an ETV:
The EU has not pushed ETV enough. Even with pilot ETV projects carried out awareness
remains poor. Many people simply do not understand what it is all about. - Test centre
There is a big risk for the pre-programme practitioners because it is a new system and will
require a marketing budget (which isnt included in the grant from Commission).
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A7.13
It will be critical to put in place key performance indicators (KPIs) to see what value is
created from each verification.
Marketing of ETV is important because it can be used to increase the credibility of the
test results, especially from demonstration plants.
Part of the verification fee would need to be allocated to marketing the ETV because
this would help to drive awareness and acceptance of the Scheme amongst the key
target market for the ETV product. Without this industry are unlikely to recognise the
value of the ETV badge:
It is important to stress the additional benefit of verification for both suppliers
and purchasers as well as having branding activities to increase the
acceptance of ETV. - Test centre
One test centre noted that it is very difficult to explain to SMEs what is the difference
between certification and verification.
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