Financial, Treasury and Forex Management
Financial, Treasury and Forex Management
Financial, Treasury and Forex Management
PROFESSIONAL PROGRAMME
FINANCIAL TREASURY
AND FOREX
MANAGEMENT
MODULE 2
PAPER 5
ICSI House, 22, Institutional Area, Lodi Road, New Delhi 110 003
tel 011-4534 1000, 4150 4444 fax +91-11-2462 6727
email [email protected] website www.icsi.edu
TIMING OF HEADQUARTERS
Monday to Friday
Office Timings 9.00 A.M. to 5.30 P.M.
Phones
41504444, 45341000
Fax
011-24626727
Website
www.icsi.edu
E-mail
[email protected]
ii
iii
SYLLABUS
MODULR II, PAPER 5: FINANCIAL, TREASURY AND FOREX MANAGEMENT (100 Marks)
Level of Knowledge:Expert Knowledge
Objective: To acquire expert knowledge of practical aspects of the management and techniques of financial,
treasury and forex management.
Detailed Contents:
1. Economic Framework
1. Nature and Scope of Financial Management
Nature, Significance, Objectives and Scope (Traditional, Modern and Transitional Approach), Risk-Return
and Value of the Firm, Financial Distress and Insolvency, Financial Sector Reforms and their Impact, Functions
of Finance Executive in an Organisation
2. Capital Budgeting
Time Value of Money, Planning and Control of Capital Expenditure, Capital Budgeting Process Techniques
of Capital Budgeting- Discounted and Non- Discounted Cash Flow Methods, Choice of Methods Capital
Rationing; Risk Evaluation and Sensitivity Analysis, Simulation for Risk Evaluation Linear Programming
and Capital Budgeting Decisions under Constraints and with Multiple Objectives using Mathematical
Programming Models, Inflation, Uncertainty and Evaluation using Statistical Decision Theory, Analysis of
Capital Budgeting, Decisions- Some Case Studies
3. Capital Structure
Meaning and Significance, Capital Structure vis--vis Financial Structure; Planning and Designing; Optimal
Capital Structure, Determinants of Capital Structure; Capital Structure and Valuation - Theoretical Analysis,
EBIT - EPS Analysis, EBITDA Analysis (Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization), Risk
and Leverage; Measures of Operating and Financial Leverage, Effects of Leverage on Shareholders Returns
4. Cost of Capital
Meaning; Factors Affecting Cost of Capital ,Measurement of Cost of Capital, Weighted Average Cost of
Capital, Marginal Cost of Capital
5. Financial Services
Meaning, Significance, Scope and Structure of Financial Services, Types of Financial Services- Merchant
Banking, Securitization of Debt, Loan Syndication, Housing Finance, Custodial and Advisory
6. Project Finance
Project Planning - Preparation of Project Report, Project Appraisal under Normal, Inflationary and Deflationary
Conditions, Project Appraisal by Financial Institutions - Lending Policies and Appraisal, Norms by Financial
Institutions and Banks; Loan Documentation, Project Review and Control; Social Cost and Benefit Analysis
of Project. (UNIDO Approach), Term Loans from Financial Institutions and Banks; Lease and Hire Purchase
Finance; Venture Capital Funds; Private Equity; International Finance and Syndication of Loans, Deferred
Payment Arrangements; Corporate Taxation and its Impact on Corporate Financing, Financing Cost
Escalation
iv
7. Dividend Policy
Introduction; Types, Determinants and Constraints of Dividend Policy Forms of Dividend Different Dividend
Theories - Walters Model, Gordons Model and Modigliani-Miller Hypothesis of Dividend Irrelevance Dividend
Policy - Practical and Legal Constraints Corporate Dividend Practices in India
8. Working Capital
Meaning, Types, Determinants and Assessment of Working Capital Requirements, Negative Working Capital
Operating Cycle Concept and Applications of Quantitative Techniques Management of Working Capital Cash, Receivables, Inventories; Financing of Working Capital; Banking Norms and Macro Aspects Factoring
and Forfeiting
9. Security Analysis and Portfolio Management
Security Analysis - Measuring of Systematic and Unsystematic Risk, Fundamental Analysis (Economic,
Industry and Company), Technical Approach and Efficient Capital Market Theory
Portfolio Management - Meaning, Objectives; Portfolio Theory -Traditional Approach; Fixed and Variable
Income Securities, Markowitz Portfolio Theory; Modern Approach - CAPM Model; Economic Value Added,
Sharpe Single & Multi Index Model; Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT); Risk Adjusted Measure of Performance
10. Derivatives and Commodity Exchanges- An Overview
11. Treasury Management
Meaning, Objectives, Significance, Functions and Scope of Treasury Management, Relationship between
Treasury Management and Financial Management; Role and Responsibilities of Chief Finance Officer
Tools of Treasury Management; Internal Treasury, Controls; Environment for Treasury Management, Liquidity
Management, Regulation, Supervision and Control of Treasury Operations, Implications of Treasury on
International, Banking
12. Forex Management
Nature, Significance and Scope of Forex Management, Foreign Exchange Market and its Structure, Foreign
Exchange Rates and its Determination, Exchange Rate Quotes; Types of Exchange Rates; Forex Trading;
Currency Futures and Options, Foreign Exchange Risk Exposures and their Management; Exchange
Rate Forecasting; Risk in Foreign Exchange Business
13. Practical Problems and Case Studies
2. Prasanna Chandra
3. I.M. Pandey
: Financial Management (2005); Vikas Publishing House Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi.
4. R.P. Rustagi
5. R. Charles Moyer,
James R. McGuign &
William J. Kretlow
7. J.B. Gupta
8. Ravi M. Kishore
vi
Topic
1.
2.
Capital Budgeting
3.
4.
Cost of Capital
5.
Financial Services
6.
Project Finance
7.
Dividend Policy
8.
Working Capital
9.
10.
11.
Treasury Management
12.
Forex Management
13.
vii
CONTENTS
FINANCIAL, TREASURY AND FOREX MANAGEMENT
LESSON 1
NATURE, SIGNIFICANCE AND SCOPE OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Nature, Significance and Scope of Financial Management
Investment Decisions
Financing Decisions
Dividend Decisions
Decision Criteria
Profit Maximisation
Wealth Maximisation
10
13
15
15
16
17
18
18
19
21
Institutional Strengthening
21
24
25
25
LESSON ROUND-UP
26
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
27
viii
Page
LESSON 2
CAPITAL BUDGETING
Time Value of Money
30
30
31
31
31
32
33
34
35
36
36
37
Capital Rationing
38
38
41
43
45
51
54
57
58
58
69
LESSON ROUND-UP
76
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
77
LESSON 3
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
82
82
83
ix
Page
84
84
86
87
88
88
Criticism of MM Hypothesis
93
97
Limitations of EBITDA
97
Definition of Leverage
98
Types of Leverage
98
Operating Leverage
98
Financial Leverage
99
102
Financial BEP
103
Indifference Point
103
Combined Leverage
103
104
105
106
109
109
LESSON ROUND-UP
112
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
113
LESSON 4
COST OF CAPITAL
116
116
117
118
119
120
121
Page
122
122
123
123
124
124
125
125
127
128
128
LESSON ROUND-UP
131
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
133
LESSON 5
FINANCIAL SERVICES
136
137
137
138
139
140
140
141
142
Loan Syndication
144
Securitization of Debt
146
149
150
150
151
152
153
153
xi
Page
155
157
157
LESSON ROUND-UP
157
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
158
LESSON 6
PROJECT PLANNING
Project Planning
162
162
164
167
168
169
170
174
Loan Policy
175
177
Lending Rates
178
Loan Documentation
178
179
184
184
187
188
188
189
189
189
Lease Finance
190
Finance Lease
190
Operating Lease
191
Hire-Purchase
191
Venture Capital
192
xii
Page
Private Equity
192
193
194
194
194
195
196
LESSON ROUND UP
196
197
LESSON 7
DIVIDEND POLICY
200
201
203
Irrelevance of Dividend
203
205
Walter Formula
207
208
210
212
212
LESSON ROUND-UP
217
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
217
LESSON 8
WORKING CAPITAL
220
220
221
223
224
224
225
xiii
Page
226
232
233
235
235
236
Cash Management
238
Inventory Management
242
Receivables Management
245
249
Tandon Committee
249
Chore Committee
254
Marathe Committee
255
Kannan Committee
255
256
258
Factoring Services
259
261
261
Mechanics of Factoring
261
263
Forfaiting Services
263
264
Ratio Analysis
264
Case Studies
265
LESSON ROUND-UP
270
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
271
LESSON 9
274
275
277
280
xiv
Page
284
284
285
287
287
Portfolio management
289
290
Markowitz Model
294
295
296
297
300
302
303
303
304
305
307
Case Studies
308
308
LESSON ROUND-UP
311
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
312
LESSON 10
316
Characteristics of Derivatives
318
318
318
Types of Markets
319
Forward Contract
320
320
320
Futures Contract
322
Pricing of Futures
322
xv
Page
323
Options Contract
324
Class of Options
325
325
Swaps
326
Swaption
329
Properties of Swaption
329
329
Equity Derivatives
330
331
332
Financial Derivatives
332
Forex derivatives
332
333
Credit Derivatives
334
336
337
339
339
340
NSE-SPAN
341
342
Commodities Market
343
344
344
344
345
345
346
346
346
346
LESSON ROUND-UP
347
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
348
xvi
Page
LESSON 11
TREASURY MANAGEMENT
Introduction- Treasury Management
350
350
352
354
355
361
362
364
364
364
365
365
365
365
367
369
369
370
371
372
373
LESSON ROUND-UP
376
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
376
LESSON 12
FOREX MANAGEMENT
Introduction
380
380
381
382
382
383
xvii
Page
384
385
385
385
386
387
390
391
392
395
396
398
399
400
400
Currency Options
402
402
403
403
404
Transaction Exposure
404
Translation Exposure
406
Economic Exposure
407
409
411
412
Pegging of Currency
412
413
LESSON ROUND-UP
418
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
419
421
TEST PAPERS
Test Paper 1
518
Test Paper 2
522
xviii
Lesson 1
Lesson 1
Nature, Significance and Scope of
Financial Management
LESSON OUTLINE
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Introduction
2 PP-FT&FM
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
Investment ordinarily means utilisation of money for profits or returns. This could be done by creating physical
assets with the money and carrying on business or purchasing shares or debentures of a company or sometimes,
though erroneously, purchasing a consumer durable like building. In an economy, money flows from one type of
business to another depending upon profits expected or in a capital market securities of a concern are purchased
or sold in the expectation of higher or lower profits or gains. However within a firm, a finance manager decides
that in which activity resources of the firm are to be channelised, and more important who should be entrusted
Lesson 1
with the financing decisions. A marketing manager may like to have a new show room, a production manager a
new lathe and a personnel manager higher wages for labour, which may lead to regular and efficient production.
Over and above, the top management may like to enter an entirely new area of production like a textile company
entering electronics. All these are the ventures which are likely to increase profits. But resources are limited.
Hence, the problem of accepting one proposal and leaving other.
Capital budgeting is a major aspect of investment decision making process. Investment decisions and capital
budgeting are considered as synonymous in the business world. Investment decisions are concerned with the
question whether adding to capital assets today will increase the revenue of tomorrow to cover costs. Thus
investment decisions are commitments of monetary resources at different times in expectation of economic
returns in future. Choice is required to be made amongst available resources and avenues for investment. As
such investment decisions are concerned with the choice of acquiring real assets, over the time period, in a
productive process. In making such a choice consideration of certain aspects is essential viz., need for investment,
factors affecting decisions, criteria for evaluating investment decisions and selection of a particular alternative
from amongst the various options available.
Investment decisions have, thus, become the most important area in the decision making process of a company.
Such decisions are essentially made after evaluating the different proposals with reference to growth and
profitability projections of the company. The choice helps achieve the long term objectives of the company i.e.,
survival and growth, preserving market share of its products and retaining leadership in its production activity.
The company likes to avail of the economic opportunity for which investment decisions are taken viz., (1) expansion
of the productive process to meet the existing excessive demand in local market, exploit the global market, and
to avail of the advantages and economies of the expanded scale of production. (2) replacement of an existing
asset, plant and machinery or building, necessary for taking advantages of technological innovations, minimising
cost of production by replacing obsolete and worn out plants, increasing efficiency of labour, etc. (3) The choice
of equipment establishes the need for investment decisions based on the question of quality and latest technology.
(4) Re-allocation of capital is another area of investment, to ensure asset allocation in tune with the production
policy. (5) Mergers, acquisitions, re-organisations and rehabilitation are all concerned with economic and financial
involvement and are governed by investment decisions.
Thus, investment decisions encompass wide and complex matters involving the following areas:
capital budgeting
cost of capital
measuring risk
management of liquidity and current assets
expansion and contraction involving business failure and re-organisations
buy or hire or lease an asset.
Factors affecting investment decisions are essentially the ingredients of investment decisions. Capital is a scarce
resource and its supply cost is very high. Optimal investment decisions need to be made taking into consideration
such factors as are given below viz. (1) Estimation of capital outlays and the future earnings of the proposed
project focusing on the task of value engineering and market forecasting; (2) availability of capital and
considerations of cost of capital focusing attention on financial analysis; and (3) a set of standards by which to
select a project for implementation and maximising returns therefrom focusing attention on logic and arithmetic.
FINANCING DECISIONS
Financing decision is the next step in financial management for executing the investment decision once taken.
A look at the balance-sheet of a sample company indicates that it obtains finances from shareholders ? ordinary
4 PP-FT&FM
or preference, debentureholders on long-term basis, financial institutions as long-term loans, banks and others
as short-term loans and the like. There are variations in the provisions governing the issue of preference shares,
debentures, loan papers, etc. Financing decisions are concerned with the determination of how much funds to
procure from amongst the various avenues available i.e. the financing mix or capital structure. Efforts are made
to obtain an optimal financing mix for a particular company. This necessitates study of the capital structure as
also the short and intermediate term financing plans of the company.
In more advanced companies, financing decision today, has become fully integrated with top-management
policy formulation via capital budgeting, long-range planning, evaluation of alternate uses of funds, and
establishment of measurable standards of performance in financial terms.
Financial decision making is concerned more and more with the questions as to how cost of funds be measured,
proposals for capital using projects be evaluated, or how far the financing policy influences cost of capital or
should corporate funds be committed to or withheld from certain purposes and how the expected returns on
projects be measured.
Optimal use of funds has become a new concern of financing decisions and top managements in corporate
sector are more concerned with planning the sources and uses of funds and measuring performance. New
measurement techniques, utilising computers, have facilitated efficient capital allocation through financing
decisions.
Application of computers, in the area of financial management has made it possible to handle a large
number of operations particularly of repetitive nature. Ranging from routine record-keeping activities like
accounting, computers are now being used in inventory management, budgeting, capital investment
decisions, evaluating uncertainties in decision making, cost estimation, information analysis, security analysis,
etc. Processing of accounting data including general ledger information and trial balance and preparing
income statement and balance sheet has been rendered easy through the use of computers in financial
planning and control. Analysis of funds flow, cash flow and income statement and balance sheet is done
through the use of computers. A great variety of computer analysis are available for forecasting financial
needs and making the best choice from amongst the various sources of finance. Thus, the nature of financial
decisions and the process therefor has undergone a considerable change with the introduction of computer
technology in financial management.
The computer has made making efficient investment decisions and financing decisions easy. These decisions
are jointly made as an effective way of financial management in corporate units. No doubt, the purview of
these decisions is separate, but they affect each other. Financial decisions, as discussed earlier, encompass
determination of the proportion of equity capital to debt to achieve an optimal capital structure, and to balance
the fixed and working capital requirements in the financial structure of the company. This important area of
financing decision making, aims at maximising returns on investment and minimising the risk. The risk and
return analysis is a common tool for investment and financing decisions for designing an optimal capital
structure of a corporate unit. It may be mentioned that debt adds to the riskiness of the capital structure of a
firm.
DIVIDEND DECISIONS
The dividend decision is another major area of financial management. The financial manager must decide
whether the firm should distribute all profits or retain them or distribute a portion and retain the balance.
Theoretically, this decision should depend on whether the company or its shareholders are in the position to
better utilise the funds, and to earn a higher rate of return on funds. However, in practice, a number of other
factors like the market price of shares, the trend of earning, the tax position of the shareholders, cash flow
position, requirement of funds for future growth, and restrictions under the Companies Act etc. play an important
role in the determination of dividend policy of business enterprise.
Lesson 1
DECISION CRITERIA
Decision criteria depends upon the objective to be achieved through the instrumentality of decision making
process. The main objectives which a business organisation pursues are maximisation of return and minimisation
of costs.
A fair decision criterion should distinguish between acceptable and unacceptable proposals and solve the problem
of selection of the best alternatives from amongst the various alternatives available in a given situation to achieve
the above objectives. A fair decision criterion should follow the following two fundamental principles i.e. (1) the
Bigger and Better principle; (2) A Bird in Hand is Better than Two in the Bush principle. The first principle
suggests that bigger benefits are preferable to smaller ones; whereas the second one suggests that early
benefits are preferable to later benefits.
Both the above principles are based on the assumption other things being equal which is a rare reality. But in
practice the decision process very much adheres to these principles particularly in the areas of capital budgeting
decisions and determining the cost of capital in project financing proposals.
Decision criteria in financial management can be studied under two separate heads viz. The criteria for investment
decisions; and the criteria for the financing decisions.
Criteria for investment decisions are mainly concerned with planning and control of capital expenditure through
budgeting process following the tools of analysis viz. ? pay back period, accounting rate of return, discounted
cash flow methods e.g., net present value method, etc. We shall discuss these methods for evaluating investment
decisions in detail in the study relating to capital budgeting. However, the essence and the inherent spirit in
these techniques is based on logic which helps in the decision making process.
As a matter of fact, these techniques have been founded on the following decision criteria:
1. Urgency: The use of urgency is treated as criterion for selection of investment projects in many corporate
units/business enterprises/government set up. Urgency is assessed on the following basis:
(a) it provides sufficient justification for undertaking a project;
(b) it provides immediate contribution for attainment of objectives of the project; and
(c) it maximises profits.
Although urgency as criterion lacks objectivity, being non-quantifiable, yet it definitely provides a ordinal ranking
scale for selection of projects on preferential pre-exemption basis.
2. Pay back: Time is of essence while selecting this criterion for investment decisions. The decision is taken on
the basis of quickness in pay off of the investments. Pay back simply measures the time required for cash flows
from the project to return the initial investment to the firms account. Projects, on the basis of this criterion,
having quicker pay backs are preferred.
Pay back decision criterion does not follow the principles laid down above viz. the bigger and better and bird
in hand. It ignores the first principle completely as it does not take into account the cash flows after investment
has been recovered. It also does not satisfy entirely the second principle as it assigns zero value to the receipts,
subsequent to recovery of the amount.
3. Rates of return: It provides another decision criterion based on accounting records or projected statements
to measure profitability as annual percentage of capital employed. Rate of return is arrived at following two
different methods for treating income in the analysis which give different results. In the first case, average
income generated from investment is taken after deduction of depreciation charge. In second case, the original
cost is taken as denominator rather than average investment. This gives the simple yearly rate of return. This is
based on bigger and better principle. This criterion can be applied either against average investment in the
year selected for study or simply against initial cost.
6 PP-FT&FM
4. Undiscounted benefit-cost ratio: It is the ratio between the aggregate benefits and the cost of project.
Benefits are taken at face value. The ratio may be gross or net. It is gross when calculated with benefits
without deducting depreciation. In the net version, depreciation is deducted from benefits before computing the
results. Both ratios give identical ranking. Net ratio equals the gross ratio minus 1.0. This relationship makes it
simple to calculate gross ratio and then to arrive at net ratio.
This criterion is compatible with the bigger and better principle. But it does not follow the second principle of
bird in hand as early receipts are given identical weights to later receipts in the projects life.
5. Discounted benefit-cost ratio: This ratio is more reliable as it is based on present value of future benefits
and costs. It may also be gross or net like the one discussed earlier. It takes into account all incomes whenever
received and to this extent complies with bigger and better principle. Early receipts are given more weight than
late receipts on account of introduction of discount factor.
This ratio satisfies the requirements of both the principles and is a good criterion for decision making.
6. Present value method: This concept is useful as a decision criterion because it reveals the fact that the
value of money is constantly declining as a rupee received today is more in value than the rupee at the end of a
year. Besides, if the rupee is invested today it will fetch a return on investment and accumulate to Re. 1 (1+i) at
the end of n period. Hence a rupee received at the end of n period is worth 1/(1+i)n now. Investment decisions
require comparison of present value with the cost of assets, and if the present value exceeds the cost, the
investment is rendered acceptable.
Another off-shoot of this criterion is net present value method which is closely related to cost-benefit ratio. It
takes into account all income and its timing with appropriate weights. Here difference of present value of benefits
and costs is considered as against the ratio in cost-benefit analysis. This criterion is useful for acceptance of
projects showing positive net present value at the companys cost of capital rate. It can be used for choosing
between mutually exclusive projects by considering whether incremental investment yields a positive net present
value.
7. Internal rate of return: It is a widely used criterion for investment decisions. It takes interest factor into
account. It is known as marginal efficiency of capital or rate of return over cost. It stipulates rate of discount
which will equate the present value of the net benefits with the cost of the project. This method satisfies both
these principles.
The criteria used in financing decisions, with particular reference to capital structure of a corporate unit can be
discussed here precisely.
The capital structure of a corporate unit contains two important parameters viz., the owners capital known as
equity and the debt which represents interest of debentureholders in the assets of the company. The factors
responsible for inclusion of debt in the capital structure of a company are tax-savings, easier to sell, lower cost
of floatation and services, lower cost of capital, the advantage of leverage, no dilution of equity and probable
loss of control, logical to consolidate and fund short-term indebtedness by a bond issue, advantageous in the
inflationary trends of rising interest rates and improvement in financial ratios.
There is no alternative for a company to equity financing to meet its requirement for funds. Debt can be raised
by a company only on an adequate equity base which serves as a cushion for debt financing. The study of
effect of leverage is the main focus point to determine the best mix of debt and equity sources of funds. It is,
therefore, desired to consider this criterion for financing decision making in relation to leverage and cost of
capital.
Lesson 1
A3
A1
A2
A1
An
A1
...
Co
CO
t
1 K1 1 K 2 1 K 3 1 K1
1 K n
1 K
Where A1A2 represent the stream of benefits expected to occur if a course of action is adopted. Co is the
cost of that action and K is the appropriate discount rate, and W is the Net present worth or wealth which is the
difference between the present worth or wealth of the stream of benefits and the initial cost.
The management of an organisation maximises the present value not only for shareholders but for all including
employees, customers, suppliers and community at large. This goal for the maximum present value is generally
justified on the following grounds:
(i) It is consistent with the object of maximising owners economic welfare.
(ii) It focuses on the long run picture.
(iii) It considers risk.
(iv) It recognises the value of regular dividend payments.
(v) It takes into account time value of money.
(vi) It maintains market price of its shares.
(vii) It seeks growth in sales and earnings.
However, profit maximisation can be part of a wealth maximisation strategy. Quite often two objectives can be
pursued simultaneously but the maximisation of profit should never be permitted to overshadow the objectives
of wealth maximisation.
8 PP-FT&FM
The objective of the firm provides a framework for optimal decision making in the area of business management.
The term objective should be used in the sense of decision criteria for taking decisions involved in financial
management. It means that what is relevant is not overall objective of the business but operationally useful
criterion against which the investment, financing and dividend policy decisions are to be judged. Another point to
note in this context is that objective provide a normative framework. In other words, it implies that the focus is
on what a firm should try to achieve and on policies that it should follow if the objectives are to be achieved.
Objective
Advantages
Disadvantages
Profit maximisation
Large amount
of profits
Highest market
value of
common stock
2. Recognizes risk or
uncertainty
Lesson 1
equity) as say, 15 per cent, then a 14 per cent earning is actually a reduction, not a gain, in economic value.
Profits also increase taxes, thereby reducing cash flow.
Return on assets is a more realistic measure of economic performance, but it ignores the cost of capital. Leading
firms can obtain capital at low costs, via favourable interest rates and high stock prices, which they can then
invest in their operations at decent rates of return on assets. That tempts them to expand without paying attention
to the real return, economic value-added.
Discounted cash flow is very close to economic value-added, with the discount rate being the cost of capital.
There are two key components to EVA. The net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) and the capital charge, which
is the amount of capital times the cost of capital. In other words, it is the total pool of profits available to provide
cash return to those who provided capital to the firm. The capital charge is the product of the cost of capital times
the capital tied up in the investment. In other words, the capital charge is the cash flow required to compensate
investors for the riskiness of the business given the amount of capital invested. On the one hand, the cost of
capital is the minimum rate of return on capital required to compensate debt and equity investors for bearing
risk-a cut-off rate to create value and capital is the amount of cash invested in the business, net of depreciation
(Dierks and Patel, 1997). In formula form,
EVA = (Operating Profit) (A Capital Charge)
EVA = NOPAT (Cost of Capital x Capital)
However, in practical situations there are adjustments to both NOPAT and the capital employed to reduce noneconomic accounting and financing conventions on the income statement and balance sheet.
These are adjustments that turn a firm's accounting book value into an economic book value, which is more
accurate measure of the cash that investors have put at risk in the firm and upon which they expect to accrue
some returns. These adjustments turn capital-related items into more accurate measures of capital and include
revenue- and expense-related items in NOPAT, thus better reflecting the financial base upon which investors
expect to accrue their returns. Furthermore these adjustments are made to address the distortions suffered by
traditional measures, such as return on equity, earnings per share and earnings growth, that change depending
upon the generally accepted accounting principles adopted or the mix of financing employed.
Implementing EVA in a company is more than just patting one additional row in the income statement. It is of
course some kind of change process which should be given some management effort. However, if right actions
are taken straight from the beginning then implementing EVA should be one of the easiest change process that
a company goes through. The actions might include e.g.:
Gaining the understanding and commitment of all the members of the management group through
training and discussing and using this support prominently during the process.
Training of the other employees, especially all the key persons.
Adopting EVA in all levels of organization.
However, there are a few common mistakes that are often taken in implementing or using EVA. Most of them are
bound up with either misunderstanding and thus misusing the concept at upper levels or not training all the
employees to use EVA and thus not using the full capacity of the concept. These common mistakes include
defining capital costs intentionally wrongly (usually too high for some reason), using EVA only in the upper
management level and investing too little in training of employees.
Although EVA is a value based measure, and it gives in valuations exactly same answer as discounted cash
flow, the periodic EVA values still have some accounting distortions.
That is because EVA is after all an accounting-based concept and suffers from the same problems of accounting
rate of returns (ROI etc.). In other words, the historical asset values that distort ROI distort EVA values also.
10 PP-FT&FM
In EVA valuations, the historical asset values (book value) are irrelevant and only the cash flows are left to give
the end result.
Dividend
Decisions
Trade-off
Market Value
of the Firm
Risk
LIQUIDITY
It is an important concept in financial management and is defined as ability of the business to meet short-term
obligations. It shows the quickness with which a business/company can convert its assets into cash to pay what
it owes in the near future. According to Ezra Soloman, it measures a companys ability to meet expected as well
as unexpected requirements of cash to expand its assets, reduce its liabilities and cover up any operating
losses. Liquidity, as a decision criterion, is widely used in financial management. It is used for managing liquid
resources or current assets or near cash assets so as to enhance the effectiveness with which they are utilised
with a view to minimising costs. It also focuses attention on the availability of funds. Enhancement of liquidity
enables a corporate body to have more funds from the market.
While using liquidity as a decision criterion, the management makes use of ratios. They give a birds eye view of
the current liquidity position or shortages thereof. A company will like to have liquid resources for transaction
purposes, as a precautionary measure and for speculative opportunities. The managements attitude towards
these i.e., transaction motive, precautionary motive and speculative motive (taking advantage of lower prices of
raw materials etc., in the market) is an important determinant of a companys liquidity position.
Liquidity is assessed through the use of ratio analysis. Liquidity ratios provide an insight into the present cash
solvency of a firm and its ability to remain solvent in the event of calamities.
Current Ratio which is the ratio of current assets to current liabilities, is widely used by corporate units to judge
the ability to discharge short-term liabilities covering the period upto one year. The interpretation of the current
ratio is that 'higher the ratio, greater is the ability of the firm to pay off its bills'.
Nevertheless, it is a crude ratio and does not take into account the difference amongst different categories of
assets. For example, inventory may not be turned into cash as quickly as Account Receivables. The main
Lesson 1
11
difficulty that arises in treating inventory as a quick item is that unless one has ensured about the quality,
condition and marketability of the inventory it may be impossible to turn it into cash immediately at the estimated
value. Therefore, to assess quick liquidity position, inventory is excluded while calculating Quick Ratio. The
ingredients of current assets while computing the Quick Ratio are cash, marketable securities and receivables.
Besides cash, the other two items are near cash and at very short notice can easily be converted into cash.
Therefore, for taking financial decisions particularly for assessing cash position of the company and its ability to
discharge current obligations, Quick Ratio is frequently relied upon. Nevertheless, the main shortcoming of the
Quick Ratio is that it ignores inventories and concentrates on cash, marketable securities and receivables in
relation to current obligations although inventory is also a basic input in current ratio without which companys
decision process cannot be complete.
Liquidity ratio enables a company to assess its Net Working Capital. Working Capital is denoted by the combination
of current assets or current liabilities of a company, and for calculation of net working capital we deduct current
liabilities from current assets. Having done so we are left with the ready money in our hands to meet day to day
needs of the business. If we still want to know as to how much is available with the company per rupee of sales
then Net Working Capital is divided by sales.
Tailor-made measurement can be devised for calculating liquidity ratio in different situations. For example, the
principle of liquidity can be extended to study liquidity of receivables (or inventories) separately to enable the
executives to take decisions about the collection period of bills.
Liquidity of receivables is assessed through Average Collection Period (ACP). ACP tells us the average number
of days receivables are outstanding i.e., the average time a bill takes to convert into cash. The inverse to this
ratio is Receivables Turnover Ratio (RTR). Either of the two ratios can be used as both depict the slowness of
recovery, but the readings are different. For financial decisions and to use liquidity as criterion the average
collection period ratio is used, and receivables turnover ratio is used to help in taking corrective steps for
maintaining the optimum liquid position for the company at any given time to avoid risk of losing goodwill and
chances of bankruptcy. The ratio, in short, reveals the following results:
(1) Too low an average collection period may suggest excessively restricted credit policy of a company.
(2) Too high an average collection period (ACP) may indicate too liberal a credit policy. A large number of
receivables may remain due and outstanding, resulting in less profits and more chances of bad debts.
Average collection period and receivables turnover ratio should be compared to the average age of accounts
payable or accounts payable turnover ratio. Though adequate liquidity could be maintained by accelerating
collections and deferring payments, yet this has its own limitations and drawbacks. It affects the credit standing
of the company in business and banking circles.
In the same spirit, decisions are made to maintain a proper inventory level in the company. For the purpose, it
becomes essential to assess the liquidity of inventory. Inventory Turnover Ratio i.e., cost of goods sold divided
by average annual inventory, shows the rapidity with which inventory is turned into receivables through sales.
The higher the ratio, the more efficient is the inventory management system of the company.
To conclude, liquidity, as a decision criterion is an important tool in financial management. Financial decisions
are affected by liquidity analysis of a company in the following areas:
1. Management of cash and marketable securities;
2. Credit policy of a firm and procedures for realisation;
3. Management and control of inventories;
4. Administration of fixed assets;
5. Taking decisions for efficient use of current assets at minimum cost; and
12 PP-FT&FM
6. Decisions to keep the companys position on sound basis to avoid eventualities.
The above analysis of liquidity suggests evaluation of current assets of a company. On liabilities side also,
liquidity position is analysed and managed through assessment of long and medium term debts of the company,
and the arrangements for their repayments. This is done purely from the precautionary point of view so that the
company could be saved from the risk of bankruptcy for non-payment of its debt to the lenders.
PROFITABILITY
Profitability as a decision criterion is another important tool in financial management for taking decisions from
different angles after evaluating the performance of the company in different spheres. For example, if it becomes
essential for the company to examine profit per unit of sale then it is done by estimating profitability per rupee of
sales. It is used as a measure of comparison and standard of performance. Similarly, there could be other ratios.
Because different users look at the profitability of a company from different angles, they use different ratios.
Short-term creditors, long-term lenders, equity shareholders, investors, etc. all are interested in profitable
operations of a concern. They use the ratios which best suit their requirements. Profitability can be related to
sales or to total capital employed or to net worth of the company. But then different figures for profits are taken
into account.
Profitability to sales ratio, reflects the companys ability to generate profits per unit of sales. If sales lack sufficient
margin of profit, it is difficult for the business enterprise to cover its fixed cost, including fixed charges on debt,
and to earn profit for shareholders. From investors point of view profits are compared by the investors as
percentage to the capital employed in the business enterprise. Absence of adequate profitability ratio on sales
reflects the companys inability to utilise assets effectively. This is analysed through the asset turnover ratio.
One of the important profitability ratios is profits on equity profit figure after interest, before dividend and taxes,
drawn from the profit and loss account is related to the equity of the shareholders as shown in balance sheet.
This is an indicator of profits earned on funds invested by the owners. It is an indicator of actual returns received
by them. This ratio may assume two forms:
(1)
(2)
[The ratio at (2) is used where the company has no preference shareholders].
Profit margin is another measure of viewing profitability. The revenue bearing property of sales can be easily
assessed from the profit margin. It is derived by dividing operating income from business by sales. This ratio
indicates the efficiency of operations as well as how products are priced. Inadequacy of profit margin is an
evidence of companys inability to achieve satisfactory results. Pricing decisions are made by financial executives
in consultation with the marketing departments of the company. Policy decisions relating to increase or decrease
in price are taken in respect of different products keeping in view the competitiveness of the market. Profit
margin ratio is constantly used by business executives for this purpose. To look into the cash generating capacity
of sales, gross profit margin is used by deducting the cost of goods sold from sales and dividing by sales.
The gross profit margin ratio indicates the profits relative to sales after deduction of direct production cost. It
indicates efficiency of production operations and the relationship between production costs and selling price.
The difference between the above two ratios i.e. gross profit margin and net profit margin ratios is that general
and administrative expenses are excluded while computing gross margin. Thus net profit margin ratio is calculated
as under:
Lesson 1
13
NPM ratio is an indicator of companys ability to generate profits after paying all taxes and expenses. Decline in
this ratio reflects the presence of either higher expenses relative to sales or higher tax burden on the company,
affecting its profitability adversely. For assessment of profitability as a decision criterion return on investment
(ROI) is a frequently used ratio.
Return on Investment: This is an important profitability ratio from the angle of shareholders and reflects on the
ability of management to earn a return on resources put in by the shareholders. The beauty of the ROI ratio is
that earning of the company can be viewed from different angles so as to take decisions on different causes
responsible, to reduce or to enhance the profitability of the company. One way of finding out rate of return on
assets employed in the company is to find the ratio of earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) to capital
employed. This ratio indicates operating income to the assets used to produce income.
Another way of computing the ratio of return is through the assets turnover ratio and margin of profit which gives
the same results, as EBIT to capital employed. It may be seen from the following:
EBIT
Sales
Sales
Assets
EBIT
Assets
A high ratio indicates efficient use of assets and low ratio reflects inefficient use of assets by a company.
Another off-shoot of profitability ratio is the times interest earned ratio, which gives a clue to the interest bearing
capacity of the income character of business operations. This ratio relates operating profits to fixed charges
created by the companys borrowings, and provides an indication of margin of safety between financial obligations
and Net income after tax. A company may earn profits but may find it difficult to make payments of excess
interest charges or may face inability to meet such obligations. EBIT should be 5 to 6 times interest charges as
a satisfactory guideline for this ratio. Lenders, particularly banks and financial institutions, greatly rely on this
ratio particularly in profitability assessment through projections of income of the borrower in the coming years
after investment of borrowed funds.
In this way we find that profitability as decision making criterion in financial management, is crucial for business
managers. Business works as a system comprised of sub-systems. Different criteria assess different aspects
and assist in viewing different situations which have an aggregate impact on business activity, and therefore
form the basis of financial management.
Company B
Total Capital
` 100
` 100
Owners capital
` 100
` 50
NIL
` 50
Borrowed capital
14 PP-FT&FM
Rate of earnings
20%
20%
15%
` 20
` 20
` 7.50
` 20
` 12.50
Taxes at 50%
` 10
` 6.25
` 10
` 6.25
10%
12.5%
Rate of interest
Earnings before interest and taxes
Interest paid
But if the company is not able to earn sufficient returns, the returns on owners funds are reduced and risk
increases. Using borrowed funds or fixed cost funds in the capital structure of a company is called financial
gearing. High financial gearing will increase the earnings per share of a company if earnings before interest and
taxes are rising, as compared to the earnings per share of a company with low or no financial gearing. It may be
understood that leverage and gearing are used interchangeably. (The former is used in the USA and the latter in
U.K.). So at times when the economy is doing well, the shareholders of a highly geared company will do better
than the shareholders of a low geared company. However, if the company is not doing well, when its profits
before interest and taxes are falling, the earnings per share of highly geared company will fall faster than those
of the low geared company. The higher this level of financial gearing, the greater the risk. Those who take risk
should appreciate that in difficult times their reward will be below average but in good times they will receive
above average rewards. The lower the levels of financial gearing, the more conservative are the financial policies
of the company and the less will be deviations over time to earnings per share.
Risk is associated with fixed charges in the shape of interest on debt capital. Higher the fixed charges, the
greater the chance that it will not be covered by earnings and so greater the risk. Large companies financed by
heavy borrowings, need to continue to produce and search for new markets for their output. Any internal
disturbance or external constraint that may hamper the companys production and sales will reduce inflow of
funds but fixed interest charges have to be paid. A study of the effects of capital gearing on cost of capital is quite
important for financial decisions. Given that a company has to minimise the cost of capital, it should fix up a level
of gearing where is costs of capital is minimum.
As against the traditional theory of capital structure suggesting that the average cost of capital does depends on
the level of gearing, the alternative theory on cost of capital as propounded by Modigliani and Miller argues that
the cost of capital is independent of the capital structure. The essence of the Modigliani and Miller argument is
the arbitrage process. Should the value of two firms with identical incomes and the same risk class ratios vary
(which would be possible under the traditional theory) the investors would arbitrage so as to make the market
value of the two firms equal. A key assumption of the model is that the investors can arbitrage between companies,
and between loan and equity capital, without increasing the risk of their individual investment portfolios.
Despite all the above theoretical explanations the fact remains that debt is associated with risk which enhances
with increase in the leverage. There are two major reasons for this increased risk viz., (1) interest is a fixed
charge and is required to be paid by the company whether or not it earns profits; and (2) a substantial decrease
in liquidity or increased demands from creditors for payment if the company has higher proportion of debt capital
in its capital structure. For these reasons, the risk of a company not being able to meet its obligations is greater
than in the case of a company in which the proportion of borrowed sum is substantially smaller.
Distinction may be made between different types of risk to which an enterprise is exposed in the business
environment.
The risk which we have discussed is financial risk that arises in relation to owners return created by the utilization
Lesson 1
15
of funds in the enterprise particularly fixed cost securities i.e. debt and preference shares. Financial risk is
distinguished from business risks which is associated with the chance of loss due to variability of return, in
general, created by the enterprise and as such it is known as operating risk. It is concerned with EBIT (earning
before interest and taxes) whereas financial risk is concerned with EAIT (earning after interest and taxes). If
there is preference capital then the financial risk is concerned with earnings available to ordinary (equity)
shareholders after dividends have been paid to preference shareholders. Financial risk encompasses the risk
of possible insolvency and the variability in the earnings on equity. In case the enterprise does not employ debt
or preference capital there will be no financial risk and over all risk for the firm will be low. It is only because of
application of debt financing, that overall risk increases and originates into financial risk to equity holders.
Besides, there are other types of risk which are related to investment decisions and not cost of financial sources
viz., purchasing power risk, market risk, interest rate risk, social or regulatory risk and other risks. Purchasing
power risk affects all investors. The risk is associated with changes in the price level on account of inflation.
Under inflationary conditions, the purchasing power of money decreases over time, and the investor is faced
with the possibility of loss on account of investments made to the extent of inflation. Under inflationary conditions,
therefore, the real rate of return would vary from the nominal rate of return (viz., the percent return on the face
value of investment made). Interest rate risk is concerned with holders of the bonds due to changes in interest
rates. These bonds are high quality bonds not subject to business or financial risk but their prices are determined
by there prevailing level of interest rates in the market. As a result, if interest rate falls, the price of these bonds
will rise and vice versa. The risk is more in case of long-term bonds because the rate of interest may fluctuate,
over a wider range as compared to a short-term bond. As regards social and regulatory risks, they arise due to
harsh regulatory measures like licensing, nationalisation, price controls limiting profits, etc. Other types of risks
may depend upon the nature of investment. Detailed discussion is not required at this stage.
16 PP-FT&FM
Theory of financial management is based on certain systematic principles, some of which can be tested in
mathematical equations like the law of physics and chemistry. Financial management contains a much larger
body of rules or tendencies that hold true in general and on the average. The use of computers, operations
research, statistical techniques and econometric models find wide application in financial management as tools
for solving corporate financial problems like budgeting, choice of investments, acquisition or mergers etc. This
takes the financial management nearer to treatment as a subject of science. Nevertheless, there remains a wide
scope for application of value judgement in financial decisions making. Most practical problems of finance have
no hard and fast answers that can be worked out mathematically or programmed on a computer. They must be
solved by judgement, intuition and the feel of experience. Thus, despite its frequent acceptance as an applied
science, finance remains largely an art. Because, according to George A. Christy and Peyton Foster Roden
(Finance: Environment and Decisions) knowledge of facts, principles and concepts is necessary for making
decisions but personal involvement of the manager through his intuitive capacities and power of judgement
becomes essential. This makes financial management and managing a companys finance both an art and a
science. It requires a feel for the situation and analytical skills alongwith a thorough knowledge of the techniques
and tools of financial analysis and the know-how to apply them and interpret the results.
A very interesting presentation has been made by Weston in his book Methodology in Finance. The finance
functions are mainly three viz., planning, organisation and financial control. In each of these finance functions
elements of science and art can be observed. Wherever methodology is to be applied in decision making in all
these areas, the subject matter becomes a science confronted with the framework of techniques and tools. On
the other hand, when the question of choice to make selection out of the alternative results arises the subject
matter becomes an art requiring human skills for value judgement. For example, in planning function there are
certain goals, which may be short-term goals or long-term goals. Each falls within the area of art. Another
parameter of planning is estimating funds, which may again be short-term or long-term involving techniques and
skills. When involvement to techniques is there the subject matter remains science and when the skills are
required to be interpreted, the subject matter becomes an art. It so happens in all aspects of planning, organisation
and control.
Thus, in the entire study of financial management whether it is related to investment decision, financing decisions
i.e. deciding about the sources of financing, or dividend decision, there is a mixture of science as well as art.
When techniques for analytical purposes are used it is science and when choice in appreciation of the results is
made it is an art. Thus, people will like to call financial management as science as well as art. But it is better if we
say that the discipline of financial management has both the aspects of science as well as art; where there is
theory of systematic knowledge it is science and where there is application it is art.
Lesson 1
17
outflows and the manager must forecast the sources and timing of inflows from customers and use them to pay
the liability.
2. Raising Funds: The Financial Manager has to plan for mobilising funds from different sources so that the
requisite amount of funds are made available to the business enterprise to meet its requirements for short term,
medium term and long term.
3. Managing the Flow of Internal Funds: Here the Manager has to keep a track of the surplus in various bank
accounts of the organisation and ensure that they are properly utilised to meet the requirements of the business.
This will ensure that liquidity position of the company is maintained intact with the minimum amount of external
borrowings.
4. To Facilitate Cost Control: The Financial Manager is generally the first person to recognise when the costs
for the supplies or production processes are exceeding the standard costs/budgeted figures. Consequently, he
can make recommendations to the top management for controlling the costs.
5. To Facilitate Pricing of Product, Product Lines and Services: The Financial Manager can supply important
information about cost changes and cost at varying levels of production and the profit margins needed to carry
on the business successfully. In fact, financial manager provides tools of analysis of information in pricing
decisions and contribute to the formulation of pricing policies jointly with the marketing manager.
6. Forecasting Profits: The Financial manager is usually responsible for collecting the relevant data to make
forecasts of profit levels in future.
7. Measuring Required Return: The acceptance or rejection of an investment proposal depends on whether
the expected return from the proposed investment is equal to or more than the required return. An investment
project is accepted if the expected return is equal or more than the required return. Determination of required
rate of return is the responsibility of the financial manager and is a part of the financing decision.
8. Managing Assets: The function of asset management focuses on the decision-making role of the financial
manager. Finance personnel meet with other officers of the firm and participate in making decisions affecting the
current and future utilisation of the firms resources. As an example, managers may discuss the total amount of
assets needed by the firm to carry out its operations. They will determine the composition or a mix of assets that
will help the firm best achieve its goals. They will identify ways to use existing assets more effectively and reduce
waste and unwarranted expenses.
The decision-making role crosses liquidity and profitability lines. Converting the idle equipment into cash improves
liquidity. Reducing costs improves profitability.
9. Managing Funds: Funds may be viewed as the liquid assets of the firm. In the management of funds, the
financial manager acts as a specialised staff officer to the Chief Executive of the company. The manager is
responsible for having sufficient funds for the firm to conduct its business and to pay its bills. Money must be
located to finance receivables and inventories, to make arrangements for the purchase of assets, and to identify
the sources of long-term financing. Cash must be available to pay dividends declared by the board of directors.
The management of funds has therefore, both liquidity and profitability aspects. If the firms funds are inadequate,
the firm may default on the payment of liabilities and may have to pay higher interest. If the firm does not
carefully choose its financing methods, it may pay excessive interest costs with a subsequent decline in profits.
18 PP-FT&FM
The financial sector performs this basic economic function of intermediation essentially through four transformation
mechanisms:
(i) Liability-asset transformation (i.e., accepting deposits as a liability and converting them into assets
such as loans);
(ii) Size-transformation (i.e., providing large loans on the basis of numerous small deposits);
(iii) Maturity transformation (i.e., offering savers alternate forms of deposits according to their liquidity
preferences while providing borrowers with loans of desired maturities); and
(iv) Risk transformation (i.e., distributing risks through diversification which substantially reduces risks for
savers which would prevail while directly in the absence of financial intermediation).
The process of financial intermediation supports increasing capital accumulation through the institutionalisation
of savings and investments and as such, fosters economic growth. The gains to the real sector of the economy,
therefore, depend on how efficiently the financial sector performs this basic function of financial intermediation.
A distinction is often made in the literature between operational efficiency and allocational efficiency; while the
former relates to transaction costs, the latter deals with the distribution of mobilised funds among competing
demands. Sustained improvements in economic activity and growth are greatly enhanced by the existence of a
financial system developed in terms of both operational and allocational efficiency in mobilising savings and in
channelling them among competing demands. In addition, functional efficiency of a financial system must be
judged in terms of (a) the soundness of the appraisals as measured by the level of overdues, (b) the resource
cost of specific operations, and (c) the quality and speed of delivery of services. Both operational and allocational
efficiency, to a large extent, are influenced by market structure and the regulatory framework, and on both
grounds the Central Bank has an important role to play in developing economy like India.
Lesson 1
19
with the ultimate objective of improving the allocative efficiency of available resources, increasing the return on
investments and promoting an accelerated growth of the real sector of the economy.
According to Economic Development Institute of the World Bank while dealing with structure reforms and
development of financial system has specified the following key areas of reforms:
Reforms of structure of financial systems;
Policies and Regulations to deal with insolvency and illiquidity of financial intermediaries;
The development of markets for short and long term financial instruments;
The role of institutional elements in development of financial systems;
The links between financial sector and the real sectors, particularly in the case of restructuring financial
and industrial institutions or enterprises.
The dynamics of financial systems management in terms of stabilisation and adjustment, and
Access to International Markets.
More specifically, the financial sector reform in India seeks to achieve the following:
(i) suitable modifications in the policy framework within which various components of the financial system
operate, such as rationalisation of interest rates, reduction in the levels of resources, pre-emptions and
improving the effectiveness of directed credit programmes.
(ii) improvement in the financial health and competitive capabilities by means of prescription of prudential
norms, recapitalisation of banks, restructuring of weaker banks, allowing freer entry of new banks and
generally improving the incentive system under which banks function;
(iii) building financial infrastructure relating to supervision, audit, technology and legal framework; and
(iv) upgradation of the level of managerial competence and the quality of human resource of banks by
reviewing relating to recruitment, training, and placement.
20 PP-FT&FM
interest rates, high levels of pre-emptions in the form of reserve requirements and credit allocation to certain
sectors. Easing of these external constraint constitutes a major part of the reform agenda.
(i) Interest Rate Policy
The reform of the interest rate regime constitutes an integral part of the financial sector reforms. For long, an
administered structure of interest rates was in vogue. The purpose behind this structure was largely to direct
implicit subsidy to certain sectors and enable them to obtain funds at concessional rates of interest. An element
of cross subsidisation automatically got built into a system where concessional rates of interest provided to
some sectors were compensated by higher rates charged to other non-concessional borrowers. The regulation
of lending rates, ipso factor, led to the regulation of the deposit rates mainly to keep the cost of funds to banks in
reasonable relation to the rates at which they are required to lend. This systems of setting the interest rates
through administrative fiat became extremely complex and was characterised by detailed prescriptions on the
lending as well as the deposit side.
In recognition of the problems arising from administrative control over the interest rates, such as, market
fragmentation, inefficient allocation of resources, and the like. Several attempts were made since the mid-1980s
to rationalise the level and structure of interest rates in the country. Initially, steps were taken to develop the
domestic money market and freeing of the money market rates. The rates of interest offered on Government
securities were progressively raised so that the government securities were progressively raised so that the
Government borrowing could be carried out a market-related rates. The rates at which the corporate entities
could borrow from the capital market were also freed.
In respect of banks, a major effort was undertaken to simplify the administered structure of interest rates. In
September 1990, a process of simplification was undertaken by reducing the number of slabs for which lending
rates had hitherto been prescribed. Until some time ago, the Reserve Bank was prescribing a minimum lending
rate, two concessional rates of lending for small borrowers and a maximum deposit rate. The rationalisation in
the structure of interest rates culminated in the Reserve Bank abolishing and minimum lending rate in October
1994 and leaving banks to determine their prime lending rates. On the deposit side, since July, 1996 the Reserve
Bank prescribes only a maximum rate for deposits upto one year.
A gradual approach has thus far been adopted in reforming the interest rates structure in India. Care has been
taken to ensure that banks and financial intermediaries do not have incentives which tempt them to lend at high
rates of interest assuming higher risks. A major safeguard in this regard has been the prescription of prudential
norms relating to provisioning and capital adequacy. These combined with higher standards of operational
accountability and appraisal of credit risks would ensure that banks lend prudently and with care.
(ii) Pre-emption of Deposits
In the past, the cash reserve ratio (CRR) and the statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) had to be maintained at high
levels because of rising fiscal and monetised deficits. Reduction in these deficits is now the stated goal of fiscal
policy and several steps have already been taken in this direction. As the containment of deficits occurs, reductions
in the reserve requirements are being effected. These measures will help to increase the lendable resources
available with the banking industry. It must be noted, however, that being an instrument of monetary control,
CRR will continue to be used flexibly, depending on the monetary situation.
(iii) Directed Credit
In respect of directed lending, it is prescribed that 40 per cent of the net bank credit should go to certain
sectors?the priority sector?such as agriculture, small scale industry and small businesses and the programmes
for poverty alleviation. Give the imperfections of the credit market, credit allocation for certain sectors becomes
necessary in the Indian context. The prescription of 40 per cent of net bank credit to the priority sector as well as
prescription of two concessional rates of interest applicable for small loans have been retained. Since the bulk
of borrowers with such credit needs fall within the priority sector, they will continue to obtain bank finance at
Lesson 1
21
concessional rates. Priority sector borrowers with credit needs of higher amounts will however, be governed by
the general interest rate prescriptions. This will ensure that a certain proportion of bank credit goes to the
designated sector and to the needy borrowers, without unduly affecting the viability and profitability of banks.
22 PP-FT&FM
senior managers of the banks infuses a qualitative dimension to the conventional discharge of financial
regulation through prescribing prudential norms and encouraging market discipline. In totality, however, these
measures interact to produce a positive impact on the overall efficiency and stability of the banking system in
India.
The thrust of the Reserve Banks financial sector policies is on strengthening the health of financial institutions
as well as on improving the efficiency of financial markets. Policy initiatives encompassed the adoption of
international standards and codes in the banking system, strengthening urban cooperative banks (UCBs) and
non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) and improvement in customer services. The Reserve Bank undertook
several initiatives to improve corporate governance in the banking system.
The Reserve Bank continued to stress the need to improve customer services by banks to ensure that the
benefits of financial liberalization percolate to the widest sections of society. Several measures were undertaken
to further improve the functioning of the money, the debt and the foreign exchange markets. Internal technical
groups on the money market, the Government securities market and the foreign exchange market were set up
to chart a medium-term framework for the future course of market development in the context of the ongoing
changes in the institutional framework and market dynamics.
In the capital market, policy initiatives are directed towards further broadening and deepening the markets,
achieving better investor protection and making the market investor friendly.
In regard to capital flows, India has adopted a policy of active management of the capital account. The compositional
shifts in the capital account towards non-debt flows since the early 1990s have been consistent with the policy
framework, imparting stability to the balance of payments. The substitution of debt by non-debt flows also gives
room for manoeuvre since debt levels, particularly external commercial borrowings, have been moderate. There is
also the cushion available from the foreign exchange reserves. Since non-debt creating flows are dominating, the
emphasis is on encouraging inflows through foreign direct investment and enhancing the quality of portfolio flows
by strict adherence to what may be described as Know Your Investor principle. Prudential regulations over financial
intermediaries, especially over banks, in respect of their foreign exchange exposures and transactions are a
dynamic component of management of the capital account as well as financial supervision.
India has made significant progress in financial liberalization since the institution of financial sector reforms in
1992 and this has been recognized internationally. India has chosen to proceed cautiously and in a gradual
manner, calibrating the pace of capital account liberalization with underlying macroeconomic developments, the
state of readiness of the domestic financial system and the dynamics of international financial markets. Unlike in
the case of trade integration, where benefits to all countries are demonstrable, in the case of financial integration,
a threshold in terms of preparedness and resilience of the economy is important for a country to get full
benefits. A judgmental view needs to be taken whether and when a country has reached the threshold and
financial integration should be approached cautiously, preferably within the framework of a plausible roadmap
that is drawn up by embodying the country-specific context and institutional features. The experience so far has
shown that the Indian approach to financial integration has stood the test of time.
The optimism generated by the recent gains in microeconomic performance warrants a balanced consideration
of further financial liberalisation. At this stage, the optimism generated by impressive microeconomic performance
accompanied with stability has given rise to pressures for significantly accelerating the pace of external financial
liberalization. It is essential to take into account the risks associated with it while resetting an accelerated pace
of a gradualist approach. The recent experience in many countries shows that periods of impressive
macroeconomics performance generate pressures for speedier financial liberalization since everyone appears
to be a gainer from further liberalization, but the costs of instability that may be generated in the process are
borne by the country, the government and the poorer sections. Avoiding crisis is ultimately a national responsibility.
The approach to managing the external sector, the choice of instruments and the timing and sequencing of
policies are matters of informed judgment, given the imponderables.
Lesson 1
23
The overall approach to the management of Indias foreign exchange reserves in recent years reflects the
changing composition of the balance of payments and the liquidity risks associated with different types of flows
and other requirements. The policy for reserve management is thus judiciously built upon a host of identifiable
factors and other contingencies. Taking these factors into account, Indias foreign exchange reserves continue
to be at a comfortable level and consistent with the rate of growth, the share of external sector in the economy
and the size of risk-adjusted capital flows.
The financial system in India, through a measured, gradual, cautious, and steady process, has undergone
substantial transformation. It has been transformed into a reasonably sophisticated, diverse and resilient system
through well-sequenced and coordinated policy measures aimed at making the Indian financial sector more
competitive, efficient, and stable. Concomitantly, effective monetary management has enabled price stability
while ensuring availability of credit to support investment demand and growth in the economy. Finally, the multipronged approach towards managing capital account in conjunction with prudential and cautious approach to
financial liberalization has ensured financial stability in contrast to the experience of many developing and
emerging economies. This is despite the fact that we faced a large number of shocks, both global and domestic.
Monetary policy and financial sector reforms in India had to be fine tuned to meet the challenges emanating
from all these shocks. Viewed in this light, the success in maintaining price and financial stability is all the more
creditworthy.
As the economy ascends a higher growth path, and as it is subjected to greater opening and financial integration
with the rest of the world, the financial sector in all its aspects will need further considerable development, along
with corresponding measures to continue regulatory modernization and strengthening. The overall objective of
maintaining price stability in the context of economic growth and financial stability will remain.
Indias financial system holds one of the keys, if not the key, to the countrys future growth trajectory. A growing
and increasingly complex market-oriented economy, and its rising integration with global trade and finance,
require deeper, more efficient and well-regulated financial markets.
The Government of India Constituted a High Level Committee on Financial Sector Reforms on 17th August
2007, under the Chairmanship of Shri Raghuram Rajan, Professor, Graduate School of Business, University of
Chicago, with a view to outlining a comprehensive agenda for the evolution of financial sector indicating especially
the priorities and sequencing decisions. The terms of Reference of the Committee were as under:
(i) To identify emerging challenges in meeting the financing needs of the Indian economy in the coming
decade and to identify real sector reforms that would allow those needs to be more easily met by the
financial sector;
(ii) To examine the performance of various segments of the financial sector and identify changes that will
allow it to meet the needs of the real sector;
(iii) To identify changes in the regulatory and supervisory infrastructure that can better allow the financial
sector to play its role, while ensuring that risk are contained; and
(iv) To identify changes in the other areas of the economy-including in the conduct of monetary and fiscal
policy, and the operation of legal system and the education system-that could help the financial sector
function more effectively.
The Committee on Financial Sector Reforms delivered its Draft report to Indias Planning Commission in April
2008. The report shows that recognizing the deep linkages among different reforms, including broader reforms
to monetary and fiscal policies, is essential to achieve real progress.
The report has three main conclusions. First, the financial system is not providing adequate services to the
majority of Indian retail customers, small and medium-sized enterprises, or large corporations. Government
ownership of 70% of the banking system and hindrances to the development of corporate debt and derivatives
markets have stunted financial development. This will inevitably become a barrier to high growth. Second, the
24 PP-FT&FM
financial sector if properly regulated, but unleashed from government strictures that have stifled the development
of certain markets and kept others from becoming competitive and efficienthas the potential to generate
millions of much-needed jobs and, more important, have an enormous multiplier effect on economic growth.
Third, in these uncertain times, financial stability is more important than ever to keep growth from being derailed
by shocks, especially from abroad.
Purpose of formation
FSLRC was formed as most legal and institutional structures of the financial sector in India had been created
over a century. Many financial sector laws date back several decades, when the financial landscape was very
different from that seen today.
There are over 61 Acts and multiple rules and regulations that govern the financial sector. For example, the
SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) Act does not give the regulator powers to arrest anyone but
tasks it with penalising all market related crimes stiffly. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Act and the Insurance
Act are of 1934 and 1938 period, respectively.
The Commission was formed to review and recast these old laws in tune with the modern requirements of the
financial sector. FSLRC plans to eliminate 25 of the current 61 laws that currently govern the financial sector and
amend many others.
Consumer protection
According to FSLRC, all financial laws and regulators are intended to protect the interest of consumers. Hence,
a dedicated forum for relief to consumers and detailed provisions for protection of unwary customers against
mis-selling and defrauding by smaller print etc has been recommended.
The FSLRC report proposes certain basic rights for all financial consumers. For lay investors, the report proposes
additional set of protections. The Commission has recommended some amendments to existing laws and new
legislations. These changes will have to be carefully brought about accordingly.
Some basic protections consumers would expect include that financial service providers must act with due
diligence. It is essential to protect investors against unfair contract terms, unjust conduct and protection of
personal information. The FSLRC report also recommends fair disclosure and redressal of investor complaints
by financial service providers.
Lesson 1
25
Judicial review
The panel has recommended judicial review of regulations. The report has suggested a sunset clause of 10
years. In other words, the laws would be reviewed every 10 years. The committee also recommended giving
required attention to debt management and setting up a financial redressal agency and a financial stability and
development council.
26 PP-FT&FM
etc. Foreign currency loans are availed from foreign banks due to globalization. Foreign Institutional
Investors (FII) have also started participation in Indias equity market due to liberalisation of the
economy.
(b) Investment Decisions: Presently, investment decisions of firms are not confined to Indian territory
but spread over globally. Foreign investors are encouraged. Hence the competitions in India as well
as from abroad have made the financial management more complex and foreign exchange
management has become highly specialised area in financial management. The time value of money
coupled with exchange rate fluctuations make the decision making exercise more complex and
compelled the decision makers to make the use of various sophisticated management techniques
like probability theory, capital rationing, linear programming, goal programming and sensitivity analysis
to overcome the problems.
(c) Dividend Decisions: In view of wealth maximisation of firm, the internal generation of funds are not
paid out by way of dividend or issue of bonus shares. They are utilised by companies in portfolio
management by floating mutual funds etc. In order to avoid scams, the Government has established
new institutions like SEBI, NSE, Stock Holding Corporation of India etc. It further increases the scope of
financial management and makes it more complex.
However, in true sense, as such there is no change in scope of financial management in India because it still
aims at maximising value of shares. Basically, it is extension in earlier coverage.
LESSON ROUND-UP
Financial Management deals with procurement of funds and their effective utilizations in the business
and concerned with investment, financing and dividend decisions in relation to objectives of the company.
Investment decisions are essentially made after evaluating the different proposals with reference to
growth and profitability projections of the company.
Financing decisions are concerned with the determination of how much funds to procure from amongst
the various avenues available i.e. the financing mix or capital structure.
Dividend decision is to decide whether the firm should distribute all profits or retain them or distribute
a portion and retain the balance.
Profit maximization ensures that firm utilizes its available resources most efficiently under conditions
of competitive markets.
Wealth maximization means the management of an organization maximizes the present value not
only for shareholders but for all including employees, customers, suppliers and community at large.
Economy value added is the after cash flow generated by a business minus the cost of capital it has
deployed to generate that cash flow.
Liquidity means ability of the business to meet short-term obligations. It shows the quickness with
which a business/company can convert its assets into cash to pay what it owes in the near future.
Profitability ratio reflects on the ability of management to earn a return on resources put in by the
shareholders evaluating the performance of the company in different spheres
Financial reform in India is aimed at enhancing the productivity and efficiency of the economy as a
whole and also increasing international competitiveness
Lesson 1
27
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
(These are meant for re-capitulation only. Answers to these questions are not to be submitted for evaluation)
1. Discuss the nature and scope of Financial Management.
2. What is justification for the goal of maximising the wealth of shareholders?
3. Critically examine the goals of maximisation of profit and maximisation of return on equity.
4. The goal of profit maximisation does not provide us with an operationally useful criterion. Comment.
5. Financial management has changed substantially in scope and complexity in recent decades. How do
you account for this trend? In what directions has emphasis in the field been shifted?
6. Investment, financing and dividend decisions are interrelated. Comment.
7. What criteria should you adopt in making financial decisions in your company? Discuss with reference
to the costing of funds decisions.
8. Write short notes on:
(a) Liquidity;
(b) Profitability;
(c) Costing and risk;
(d) Financial distress.
9. Discuss the responsibilities of a financial executive in a corporation.
28 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 2
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
LESSON OUTLINE
Capital Budgeting
29
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Choice of Methods
Capital Rationing;
LESSON ROUND UP
29
30 PP-FT&FM
Why ` 1 received today worth more than 1 ` Received after a time period
There are four primary reasons why a rupees to be received in the future is worth less than a rupees to be
received immediately.
1. Presence of positive rates of inflation which reduce the purchasing power of rupees through time.
Suppose Rate of petrol about one year back was ` 65 per litter and now it is 76 per litter. This may be
observed that in this example purchase power of rupee in terms of petrol purchased has decreased
from 1/65 to 1/76.
2. A rupee today is worth more today than in the future because of the opportunity cost of lost earnings
that is, it could have been invested and earned a return between today and a point in time in the future.
3. Thirdly, all future values are in some sense only promises, and contain some uncertainty about their
occurrence. As a result of the risk of default or non-performance of an investment, a rupee in hand today
is worth more than an expected rupee in the future.
4. Finally, human preferences typically involve impatience, or the preference to consume goods and services
now rather than in the future.
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
31
Example
Find Present Value of ` 80,000 to be received after five years when required rate of return is 10%
Present Value = 80000/ (1+0.10)5
= ` 49,674
Assume in the same example, the rate of return is 15%,
Present Value will be
= 80000/ (1+0.15)5
= 39,774
The above calculation shows, higher the discount rate, the lower the present value of the future cash flows.
Cash Flow in `
80,000
70,000
50,000
30,000
R1
(1 K)1
R2
(1 K)2
...
Rn
(1 k)n
Wn
(1 k)n
Sn
(1 k)n
If cash outflow is also expected to occur at some time other than initial investment (non-conventional cash flows)
then formula would be
32 PP-FT&FM
R
Rn
Sn
Wn
C1
Cn
1
C 0
NPV
...
...
n
n
n
t
n
(1 k )1
(
1
k
)
(
1
k
)
(
1
k
)
(
1
k
)
(
1
k
)
NPV
Cash Flow in `
2,50,000
Nil
4,20,000
1,05,000
3,50,000
Nil
2,50,000
10,000
At the end of fourth year company made a sale of scrap for ` 2,40,000 and realized ` 30,000 from working
capital. Find Net Present Value (NPV) if required rate of return is 10%
Present Value of Cash Flows = ` {(2,50,000/ (1+0.10)1+ 4,20,000/(1+0.10)2 + 3,50,000/(1+0.10)3 + 2,50,000/
(1+0.10)4 + 2,40,000(1+0.10)4+ 30,000(1+0.10)4} = ` 11,92,507
Present Value of Cash Out Flows = ` {(8,00,000/ + 1,05,000 / (1+0.10)2 + 10,000(1+0.10)4} = ` 8,93,607
Net Present Value = Present Value of Cash Inflow- Present value of Cash Outflows
= ` 11,92,507- ` 8,93,507= ` 2, 98,900.
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
33
both raising of long-term funds as well as their utilisation. It may, thus, be defined as the firms formal process
for acquisition and investment of capital. To be more precise, capital budgeting decision may be defined as the
firms decision to invest its current fund more efficiently in long-term activities in anticipation of an expected flow
of future benefit over a series of years. The long-term activities are those activities which affect firms operation
beyond the one year period. Capital budgeting is a many sided activity. It contains searching for new and more
profitable investment proposals, investigating, engineering and marketing considerations to predict the
consequences of accepting the investment and making economic analaysis to determine the profit potential of
investment proposal. The basic feature of capital budgeting decisions are:
(1) current funds are exchanged for future benefits;
(2) there is an investment in long-term activities; and
(3) the future benefits will occur to the firm over series of years.
34 PP-FT&FM
that one is tempted to believe that this constitutes the only problem in capital decisions. However, if we examine
carefully, it is easy to realise that choice among alternatives is only one facet albeit the important facet of the
problem from the top management perspective. The other facets are implementation and control as applied to
all phases of capital investment, and these are important aspects because in the ultimate analysis, the top
management is accountable to Board of directors and owners for the success or failure of investment plans.
Let us examine in brief how investment decisions are influenced by management perspective. Obviously, we
have to start with the company objectives which provide the broad guidelines to policies, plans and operations.
A possible objective might be to maximise return on investment in which case the management might seek to
minimise investment by selecting only a few capital projects that yield the highest returns. On the other hand, the
objective may be to maximise sales volume and in that case all capital investment that yield a net profit (may be
small) would be made without undue concern. If the management is guided by a growth objective, expansionary
investment involving high capital cost would be undertaken.
Within the board company objectives, top management also reviews the competitive position of the company
and if the competition is sharper, the management looks out continuously to evaluate and upgrade the equipments
to achieve greater efficiency at least cost. In big companies, the management sets out policies to guide lower
levels of management in the search for evaluation of and initiation of capital projects.
Top management has also to keep watch on company funds which finance investments. It cannot allow funds to
lie idle just because suitable project is not at hand. The cost of idle funds is substantial and hence the need for
looking out for suitable investment opportunities. If such opportunities exist then the management must spare
funds and if existing funds are inadequate it should raise funds externally. It should be remembered that if there
is no profitable investment opportunity with in the company, the dividend policy of the company should be liberal.
Funds for capital investment must be arranged on a long-term basis otherwise borrowings short and investing
long can lead to lack of liquidity and consequent troubles. The major sources of long-term funds are long-term
borrowing, new equity capital (sale of stock) and retained earnings. Sometimes, a change in the inventory
system also releases funds by effecting reduction in inventory to be carried. The selection of the right source of
funds is again influenced by managements own belief and value judgement and such other factors like outsider
control, dilution of equity, price earnings ratio, cost of funds etc.
And finally, the top management is usually concerned with implementation and control aspects of investment
projects. Specific responsibilities are to be assigned to specific individuals or cells and progress reports have to
be carefully studied. In big projects, improved methods like programme evaluation review technique (PERT) or
critical path method (CPM) may be used.
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
35
difficult to find a market for such assets. The only way out will be to scrap the capital assets so acquired
and incur heavy losses.
(4) Risk and uncertainty: Capital budgeting decision is surrounded by great number of uncertainties.
Investment is present and investment is future. The future is uncertain and full of risks. Longer the
period of project, greater may be the risk and uncertainty. The estimates about cost, revenues and
profits may not come true.
(5) Difficult to make: Capital budgeting decision making is a difficult and complicated exercise for the
management. These decisions require an over all assessment of future events which are uncertain. It is
really a marathon job to estimate the future benefits and cost correctly in quantitative terms subject to
the uncertainties caused by economic-political social and technological factors.
(iv) Market forecast: Both short and long run market forecasts are influential factors in capital investment
decisions. In order to participate in long-run forecast for market potential critical decisions on capital
investment have to be taken.
(v) Fiscal incentives: Tax concessions either on new investment incomes or investment allowance allowed
36 PP-FT&FM
on new investment decisions, the method for allowing depreciation deduction allowance also influence
new investment decisions.
(vi) Cash flow Budget: The analysis of cash-flow budget which shows the flow of funds into and out of the
company, may affect capital investment decision in two ways. First, the analysis may indicate that a
company may acquire necessary cash to purchase the equipment not immediately but after say, one
year, or it may show that the purchase of capital assets now may generate the demand for major capital
additions after two years and such expenditure might clash with anticipated other expenditures which
cannot be postponed. Secondly, the cash flow budget shows the timing of cash flows for alternative
investments and thus help management in selecting the desired investment project.
(vii) Non-economic factors: A new equipment may make the workshop a pleasant place and permit more
socialising on the job. The effect would be reduced absenteeism and increased productivity. It may be
difficult to evaluate the benefits in monetary terms and as such we call this as non-economic factor. Let
us take one more example. Suppose the installation of a new machine ensures greater safety in operation.
It is difficult to measure the resulting monetary saving through avoidance of an unknown number of
injuries. Even then, these factors give tangible results and do influence investment decisions.
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
37
is accepted, the firm incur the investment and not otherwise. Broadly, all those investment proposals which yield
a rate of return greater than cost of capital are accepted and the others are rejected. Under this criterion, all the
independent prospects are accepted.
(ii) Mutually exclusive decisions: It includes all those projects which compete with each other in a way that
acceptance of one precludes the acceptance of other or others. Thus, some technique has to be used for
selecting the best among all and eliminates other alternatives.
(iii) Capital rationing decisions: Capital budgeting decision is a simple process in those firms where fund is
not the constraint, but in majority of the cases, firms have fixed capital budget. So large number of projects
compete for these limited budget. So the firm ration them in a manner so as to maximise the long run returns.
Thus, capital rationing refers to the situations where the firm have more acceptable investments requiring greater
amount of finance than is available with the firm. It is concerned with the selection of a group of investment out
of many investment proposals ranked in the descending order of the rate of return.
38 PP-FT&FM
It may be recalled that capital expenditure is classified into three main forms viz.:
(1) expenditure made to reduce costs;
(2) expenditure made to increase revenue;
(3) expenditure which is justified on non-economic grounds.
Which exercise control over capital expenditure in any of the above categories, the capital expenditure analysis
should concentrate on three types of outlays viz.: (1) Major projects, (2) Routine expenditure, and (3) Replacement.
As regards major projects, strategic investment may be made for expansion of productive capacity or achieving
product innovation or preparing barriers against capital fluctuations. In the second type of outlay, routine
expenditure may be working condition improvement, maintenance expenditure, competition oriented expenditure
etc. Thirdly, replacement need may arise to avoid capital wastage for existing equipment to check its disposal
value or it may be obsolescence replacement. In all circumstances, proper attention is to be devoted in analysing
the need for the capital expenditure so that it would be curtailed to the minimum required.
One important aspect of control device is to match the demand schedule for the capital for the company and the
supply of capital from different sources. Demand comes for capital from all departments and it is at this level
control could be exercised to keep the demand at the bare minimum required for the objective inherent in capital
investment decisions. Supply of capital, on the other hand, is a scarce commodity and the company has to incur
expenditure for availing it. This necessitates for the finance manager to exercise economy in capital expenditure
so that optimum benefit could be obtained with the use of scarce capital sources. This establishes the need for
capital rationing to impose constraints on capital expenditure under prevailing market conditions and place selfimposed constraints to check the funds being raised from outside agencies like borrowings. Thus, the device of
capital rationing is adopted to control capital expenditure.
CAPITAL RATIONING
The firm may put a limit to the maximum amount that can be invested during a given period of time, such as a
year. Such a firm is then said to be resorting to capital rationing. A firm with capital rationing constraint attempts
to select the combination of investment projects that will be within the specified limits of investments to be made
during a given period of time and at the same time provide greatest profitability.
Capital rationing may be effected through budget ceiling. A firm may resort to capital rationing when it follows the
policy of financing investment proposals only by ploughing back its retained earnings. In that case, capital
expenditure in a given period cannot exceed the amount of retained earnings available for reinvestment.
Management may also introduce capital rationing when a department is authorised to make investments upto a
limit beyond which investment decisions will be made by higher level management.
Capital rationing may result in accepting several small investment proposals then accepting a few large investment
proposals so that there may be full utilisation of budget ceiling. This may result in accepting relatively less
profitable investment proposals if full utilization of budget is a primary consideration. Similarly, capital rationing
also means that the firm foregoes the next most profitable investment falling after the budget ceiling even though
it is estimated to yield a rate of return much higher than the required rate of return. Thus, capital rationing does
not lead optimum results.
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
39
levels in the organisation should be encouraged to participate in the discovery of best available proposals for
capital outlays within the limits of their authority, knowledge and experience. It is better if management establishes
well-defined guidelines for searching investment proposals so that no useful idea remains uncommunicated
and no redundant proposal pass through the processing stage.
Proposals regarding capital expenditure do not originate at the level of the controller or the budget committee.
The requirements for fixed-assets expenditure are forwarded by the managers of different operating units or
departments. It is, however, better if such proposals are accompanied by commercial and technical assumptions
on which these are based and duly supported with details relating to the following matters;
(a) Market potential for the product and yearly sales forecasts for different years.
(b) Raw material requirements and their supply position.
(c) Technical details relating to physical facilities and flow diagrams.
(d) Financial implications.
Capital expenditure proposals may also originate at the top management level of the company. The Chief
Executive may carry out survey relating to physical facilities, new market, development of new products, stage
of technology and the like. Such efforts may lead to discovery of certain useful alternatives which should be
screened and evaluated in the same way as originating at lower levels.
II. Establishing the Criteria: Economic performance like return on investment as calculated in a number of
ways under different methods furnishes the most important criterion used for evaluating fixed assets investment
proposals. But here also the technique to be used for evaluating economic performance should be clearly
defined and communicated. There are also occasions when non-economic criteria like competition, risk, legal
requirements, and social responsibilities become the over-riding considerations in evaluating different investment
proposals. But it does not mean that criteria once established holds good under all circumstances and for all
times to come. Relevance and reliability of criteria should be continuously reviewed.
III. Screening and co-ordination: At this stage, all those proposals which are conflicting and do not deserve
further consideration are rejected so that only useful alternatives are analysed in detail. Economic evaluation
generally plays an important role in the screening process. Along with screening, there is also the need for
blending together and unifying different capital projects under the total capital expenditure programme. In this
way, conflicting and duplicate proposals would be eliminated and taken together all of them contribute to the
accomplishment of some higher objectives. Co-ordination will be greatly facilitated in different proposals for
capital outlays are related to each other.
IV. Evaluating Investment Proposals: It would be useful if different proposals are properly classified and
diagnosed before their evaluation. Investment proposals may be classified on the basis of the degree of risk
involved or the extent to which they are postponable. In terms of reasons for the expenditure, the proposals may
be classified whether they result in replacements, betterments or additions to assets. In the process, certain
mutually exclusive and conflicting proposals will be eliminated. If the firm enjoys sufficient resources to finance
all the remaining projects which are profitable, ranking them in order of preference is not a serious problem. But
in reality, the number of proposals are generally larger than the amount of funds available with the firm, and the
controller wants to recommend only the most desirable of them. As a matter of fact, some of the good proposals
are also rejected even when they are profitable.
Return on investment in the underlying consideration for economic evaluation and techniques dealing with this
kind of appraisal have received wide publicity in the literature covering planning and control of fixed assets
expenditures. However, a number of non-economic criteria like social responsibilities and emergencies should
be accorded with due consideration while appraising different investment projects. At the same time, certain
appraisal technique should not be accepted blindly, simply because they are more sophisticated and are expressed
numerically. The underlying assumption of different techniques should be adequately looked into and their
reliability and suitability under a given situation thoroughly tested.
40 PP-FT&FM
V. Budgeting Capital Expenditure: Capital budgeting refers to the process of planning the investment of funds
in long-term assets of the enterprise. Its purpose is to help management control capital expenditure. With the
help of capital budgeting, management is able not only to reject poor investment decisions but also to select, in
order of priority the projects which are most profitable and consistent with the objectives and targets set.
Additions, replacement and betterments require additional funds to be committed to long-term assets, and are
thus included in the capital budget which is typically prepared for a year. Capital budget is a snapshot of the plan
and projects for the coming year for which approval is sought. Capital budget should be flexible so as to eliminate
some of the projects already included but allow addition of new projects that deserve consideration. Inclusion of
certain projects in the capital budget and its approval by the management does not mean that actual expenditure
has been authorised. Rather, it offers an opportunity to look at each project even from the view point of the total
organisation. There is also the need of reconcile capital budget with other budgeting activities of the enterprise
for example, cash revenue and expense budgets.
VI. Controlling Projects in Process: Another important aspect of planning and control of capital outlays is to
devise a procedure to exercise control over projects while in process. Controlling of projects in process generally
falls within the purview of the financial manager. He is concerned with laying down the procedure to ensure that
completion satisfies the norms with respect to cost, time and purpose of expenditure. Variations from approved
plans together with reasons should promptly be reported to responsible authorities for deviations. The observations
and up-to-date progress report provide sufficient information to the management about the exact stage and
status of all major projects. Programme Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) and Critical Path Scheduling
(CPS) are the newly developed and sophisticated techniques often used by large undertakings to plan and
control the firm and cost of construction.
VII. Follow-up and Performance Report: The project manager or the manager originating the investment
proposal, is responsible for submitting its completion report on the basis of which management normally proceeds
to carry out the post completion audit. Follow up implies comparing and reporting actual results with the projected
result of investment proposal so as to evaluate the performance and outcome in proper perspective. It is required,
however, that procedures and format of follow-up should be clearly defined and communicated. Frequency and
duration of audit should also be clearly indicated. Audit personnel should also be provided with broad guidelines
as to the extent of economic and non-economic evaluation they are expected to carry out.
A project below a certain size may be audited locally by the staff of the departmental manager. But projects
involving a number of departments or above a certain size should be audited by a certain group. The latter
approach claims uniformity, efficiency and detailed review of the project as its main advantages. The postcompletion audit helps managemnt in a number of ways:
(a) to validate the existing capital expenditure, planning and control procedures and methods;
(b) to evaluate results;
(c) to highlight reasons for projects failure; and
(d) to judge soundness of proposals originating at different levels in the organisaiton.
INVESTMENT CRITERIA
A sound and systematic investment criteria is absolutely necessary to appraise the economic worth of an
investment proposal. It is because of the fact that huge sums of scarce financial and other resources are to be
sunk almost irrevocably within a limited span of time for which returns and rewards are uncertain and expected
to accrue over a long period of time in the future. A sound investment criteria at least should provide the
following:
1. a means of distinguishing between acceptable and non-acceptable projects;
2. ranking of projects in order of their desirability;
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
41
Initial Investment
Annual cash inflows
Rs. 25,000
= 5 years
Rs. 5,000
The annual cash inflow is calculated by taking into account the amount of net income on account of the asset (or
project) before depreciation but after taxation.
Sometimes there are projects where the cash inflows are not uniform. In such a case cumulative cash inflows
will be calculated and by interpolation exact payback period can be calculated. For example if the project need
42 PP-FT&FM
an initial investment of ` 25,000 and the annual cash inflow for five years are ` 6,000, ` 9,000, ` 7,000, ` 6,000
and ` 4,000 respectively. The pay back period will be calculated as follows:
Year
Cash inflow `
Cumulative cash-inflow `
1.
6,000
6,000
2.
9,000
15,000
3.
7,000
22,000
4.
6,000
28,000
5.
4,000
32,000
It is evident form the above table that in 3 years ` 22,000 has been recovered and ` 3,000 is left of initial
investment of ` 25,000. It indicates that payback period is between 3 to 4 years calculated as follows:
Pay back period = 3 years +
3,000
6,000
= 3.5 years.
Decision Rule for Payback Method:
Accept the project if the payback period calculated for it is less than the maximum set by the management.
Reject the project if it is otherwise. In case of multiple projects, the project with shorter payback period will be
selected. In essence, payback period shows break-even point where cash inflows are equal to cash out flows.
Any inflows beyond this period are surplus inflows.
Advantages of Payback Method:
1. It is easy to calculate and investment proposals can be ranked quickly.
2. For a firm experiencing shortage of cash, the payback technique may be used with advantage to select
investments involving minimum time to recapture the original investment.
3. The payout method permits the firm to determine the length of time required to recapture through cash
flows, the capital expenditure incurred on a given project and thus helps it to determine the degree of
risk involved in each investment proposal.
4. This is ideal in deciding cash investment in a foreign country with volatile political position and a longterm projection of political stability is difficult.
5. This is, likewise, more preferred in case of industries where technological obsolescence comes within
short period; say electronic industries.
Disadvantages of Payback Method:
1. The payback method ignores the time value of money and treats all cash flows at par. Thus, projects A
and B with the following cash flows are treated equally:
Years
Cash Flows
Project A `
Project B `
1.
5,000
2,000
2.
4,000
3,000
3.
3,000
4,000
4.
2,000
5,000
Investment
14,000
14,000
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
43
Although Pay Back period is 4 years for both the projects, project A is preferable since it recovers larger
amount of money during the initial years.
The pay back method, therefore, ignores the fact that amount of cash received today is more important
than the same amount received after say, 2 years.
2. The payback method does not consider cash flows and income that may be earned beyond the payout
period.
3. Moreover, it does not take into account the salvage or residual value, if any, of the long-term asset.
4. The payback technique ignores the cost of capital as the cut-off factor affecting selection of investment
proposals.
Suitability of using Paybck Period of Medhod :
Payback period method may be successfully applied in the following circumstances:
(i) where the firms suffers from liquidity problem and is interested in quick recovery of fund than profitability;
(ii) high external financing cost of the project;
(iii) for projects involving very uncertain return; and
(iv) political and economic pressures.
It may, therefore, be said that payback period is defined as the measure of projects liquidity and capital recovery
rather than its profitability.
Average investment is estimated by dividing the total of original investment and investment in the project at the end
of its economic life by 2. The approach of dividing average annual after-tax earnings of the project by its original
investment makes no attempt to incorporate the fact of gradual recovery of investment over time, hence tends to
undertake the average rate of return. The average investment approach on the other hand, gives best result when
original investment is evenly recovered over the economic life of the project which may not always be the case.
Decision Rule for Average of Rate of Return Method:
Normally business firm determine rate of return. So accept the proposal if
44 PP-FT&FM
ARR > Minimum rate of return (cut off rate)
and Reject the project if
ARR < Minimum rate of return (cut off rate)
In case of more than one project, where a choice has to be made, the different projects may be ranked in
descending or ascending order of their rate of return. Project below the minimum rate will be dropped. In case of
project yielding rate of return higher than minimum rate, it is obvious that project yielding a higher rate of return
will be preferred to all.
Advantages of Average Rate of Return Method:
(i) Earnings over the entire life of the project are considered.
(ii) This method is easy to understand, simple to follow. Accounting concept of income after taxes is known
to every student of accountancy.
Disadvantages of Average Rate of Return Method:
(i) Like the payback technique, the average return on investment method also ignore the time value of
funds. Consideration to distribution of earnings over time is important. It is to be accepted that current
income is more valuable than income received at a later date.
(ii) The method ignores the shrinkage of original investment through the process of charging depreciation
allowances against earnings. Even the assumption of regular recovery of capital over time as implied in
average investment approach is not well founded.
(iii) The average rate of return on original investment approach cannot be applied to a situation where part
of the investment is to be made after the beginning of the project.
Suitability of using ARR Method:
If the project life is not long, then the method can be used to have a rough assessment of the internal rate of
return. The present method is generally used as supplementary tool only.
Comparison between Average Rate of Return and Payback Method:
The average rate of return method and its comparison with payback method may be illustrated as follows:
Suppose there are two investment proposals A and B each with capital investment of ` 20,000 and depreciable
life of 4 years. Assume that following are the estimated profit and cash inflows when annual straight line
depreciation charged is ` 5,000.
Period
Project A
Project B
Book Profits
`
1.
4,000
9,000
1,000
6,000
2.
3,000
8,000
2,000
7,000
3.
2,000
7,000
3,000
8,000
4.
1,000
6,000
4,000
9,000
Total
10,000
30,000
10,000
30,000
Average rate
of return on
original
investment
12.5%
Book Profits
`
12.5%
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
45
If evaluated in terms of average rate of return method, the two projects are equally favourable. However, project
A is more favourable than project B since it provides larger cash inflows in the initial period (i.e. Quicker Payback).
R1
R2
Rn
Wn
Sn
...
C
(1 K)1 (1 K)2
(1 k)n (1 k)n (1 k)n
N
Rt
S Wn
NPV =
n
C
t
(1 k)n
t = 1(1 k)
If cash outflow is also expected to occur at some time other than initial investment (non-conventional cash flows)
then formula would be
R
Rn
Sn
Wn
C1
Cn
1
C 0
NPV
...
...
n
n
n
t
n
(1 k )1
(1 k )
(1 k )
(1 k )
(1 k )
(1 k )
Sn Wn N C t
C0
t
(1 k)n t=1(1 k)t
t=1(1 k)
N
NPV =
Rt
46 PP-FT&FM
NPV = Net Present Value
R=Cash inflow at different time period
K=Rate of discount or cost capital
t=1 = first period in the sum
N=The last period in the sum
Sn=Salvage value
W n=Working capital
C=Cost of investment plus Working Capital
Decision Rule of using DCF Method:
If
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
47
(ii) Determine the rate of discount that equates the present value of its future cash benefits to its present
investment. The rate of discount is determined by the method of trial and error.
(iii) Compare the rate of discount as determined above with the cost of capital or any other cut-off rate, and
select proposals with the highest rate of return as long as the rate is higher than the cost of capital or cut
off rate.
Assuming conventional cash flows, mathematically the Internal Rate of Return is represented by that rate of,
such that
C
CF1
1
(1 r)
n
CFt
t 1(1 r)
n
CF2
(1 r)
(1 r)
CF
(1 rt) t
CFn
...
Sn
t 1
(1 r)
Sn
n
(1 r)
Wn
(1 r)n
Wn
(1 r)n
Sn Wn
(1 r )n
S Wn
n
C
(1 r)n
t 1(1 r)
n
CFt
S Wn n
C1
n
n
t
(1 r)
t 1(1 r)
t 1 (1 k)
n
CFt
48 PP-FT&FM
NPV > 0 r > k (higher rate will be tried)
NPV = 0 r = k
NPV < 0 r < k (lower rate will be tried)
To calculate the exact figure, we use the method of interpolation i.e.
PVC
PV
IRR(r ) rL CFAT
Dr
DPV
or
PV PVCFAT
rH C
Dr
DPV
16%
17%
` 18,000.00
` 18,000.00
NPV
+ ` 334.40
() ` 85.60
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
49
Since Net Present Value is greater than zero i.e. ` 334.40 at 16% rate of discount, we need a higher rate of
discount to equalise Net Present Value with total outlay. On other hand, Net Present Value is less than zero i.e.
() ` 85.60 at 17% rate of discount we need lower rate. So the above exercise shows that internal Rate of Return
lies between 16% and 17%. To find out the exact figure, the interpolation can be used i.e.
IRR rL
PVCFAT PVc
Dr
PV
rL = 16
PVCFAT = + ` 18,334.40
PVC = ` 18,000
DPV = ` 420
Dr = 1
334
IRR 16 `
1 16.8
`420
= 16.8
Alternatively it can be worked out by using higher rate of return.
Under uneven cash inflow, the calculation of internal rate of return is a tedious job. The process of Internal Rate
of Return can be understood with the help of following illustration i.e. Company A is proposed to instal a new
machine costing ` 16,200 having an economic life of 3 years. The annual Cash inflow shall be ` 8,000, 7,000
and 6,000 in the respective 3 years. Calculate Internal Rate of Return.
To compute internal rate of return, the trial and error method has been followed.
Average cash inflow =
F
I `16,200
2.314
C `7,000
According to annuity table factor closest to 2.314 for 3 years are 2.322 (14%) and 2.246 (16%). Broad results
are given in the following table:
Year
Cash
in flow
`
Rate of
Discount
(14%)
PV
`
Rate of
Discount
(16%)
PV
`
Rate of
Discount
PV
`
(15%)
1.
8,000
0.877
7,016
.862
6.896.08
.870
6,960
2.
7,000
0.769
5,383
.743
5,201.00
.756
5,292
3.
6,000
0.675
4,050
.641
3,846.00
.658
3,948
16,449
15,943
16,200
16,200
16,200
16,200
NPV
+249
-257
From the above table, it is quite clear that net present value is zero with 15% rate of discount, so it is the true
internal rate of return.
50 PP-FT&FM
Advantages of IRR Method:
(i) The discounted cash flow (IRR) takes into account the time value of money.
(ii) It considers cash benefits, i.e. profitability of the project for the whole of its economic life.
(iii) The rate of discount at which the present value of cash flows is equated to capital outlay on a project is
shown as a percentage figure. Evidently, this method provides for uniform ranking and quick comparison
of relative efficiency of different projects.
(iv) This method is considered to be a sophisticated and more reliable technique of evaluating capital
investment proposals.
(v) The objective of maximising of owners welfare is met.
Disadvantages of IRR Method:
(i) The discounted cash flow is the most difficult of all the methods of project evaluation discussed above.
(ii) An important assumption implied in this method is that incomes are reinvested (compounding) over the
projects economic life at the rate earned by the investment. This assumption is correct and justified only
when the internal rate of return is very close to the average rate of return earned by the company on its
total investments. To the extent internal rate of return departs from the typical rate of earnings of the
company, results of this method, will be misleading. Thus, when the internal rate of return on a project is
computed to be 30% while companys average rate of return is 15%, the assumption of earning income
on income at the rate of 30% is highly unrealistic. From this point of view the assumption of the net
present value method that incomes are reinvested at the rate of discount (cost of capital) seems to be
more reasonable.
(iii) The rate may be negative or one or may be multiple rate as per calculations. When a project has a
sequence of changes in sign of cash flow, there may be more than one internal rate of return.
C. Profitability Index (PI)
Profitability Index is defined as the rate of present value of the future cash benefits at the required rate of return
to the initial cash outflow of the investment. Symbolically, Profitability Index is expressed as
n
PI
At
t 1(1 k)
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
51
Advantages of PI Method:
(1) Profitability Index method gives due consideration to the time value of money.
(2) Profitability Index method satisfies almost all the requirements of a sound investment criterion.
(3) This method can be successfully employed to rank projects of varying cash and benefits in order of their
profitability.
Disadvantages of PI Method:
(1) This method is more difficult to understand and compute.
(2) This method does not take into account the size of investment.
(3) When cash outflows occur beyond the cement period Profitability Index Ratio criterion is unsuitable as
a selection criterion.
Points of Differences
1. Interest Rate: Under the net present value method rate of interest is assumed as the known factor whereas
it is unknown in case of internal rate of return method.
2. Reinvestment Axiom: Under both the methods, it is assumed that cash inflows can be re-invested at the
discount rate in the new projects. However, reinvestment of funds, at cut-off rate is more possible than internal
rate of return. So net present value method is more reliable than internal rate of return method for ranking two or
more projects.
3. Objective: The net present value method took to ascertain the amount which can be invested in a project so
that its expected yields will exactly match to repay this amount with interest at the market rate. On the other
hand, internal rate of return method attempts to find out the rate of interest which is maximum to repay the
invested fund out of the cash inflows.
Points of Similarities
IRR will give the same results as NPV in terms of acceptance or rejection of investment proposals in the following
circumstances:
1. Projects having conventional cash flows i.e. a situation where initial investment (outlay or cash outflow)
is followed by series of cash inflows.
2. Independent Investment Proposals: Such proposal, the acceptance of which does not exclude the
acceptance of others.
The reasons for the consistent results under net present value and internal rate of return method in above two
cases are simple and logical. According to the net present value method the rule is that an investment proposal
will be accepted if it has positive net present value (NPV > 0) which is possible only when actual rate of ret urn
is more than cut off rate. It is supported by internal rate of return method. In those case internal rate of return is
more than required rate of return (r > k). When the net present value is = 0 or internal rate of return r = k the
project may be accepted or rejected. So the proposal which have positive net present value will also have a
higher than required rate of return.
52 PP-FT&FM
NPV
IRR
r1
r2
r3
IRR
Profitable Index(PI)
Accept
(1) Positive
>k
>1
Indifferent
(2) Zero
=k
=1
Reject
(3) Negative
<k
<1
Given the above relationship, any discounted cash flow criterion may be employed where investment proposals
are independent and there is no capital budget constraints. In such a situation, the set of projects selected by all
the criterion would be the same though there may be differences in internal ranking. In the real world, however,
firms are faced with mutually exclusive proposals and limited availability of funds. On account of the imperfections,
all the projects with (NPV) > 0, (IRR) > k, and (PI > 1) can be accepted.
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
53
CHOICE OF METHODS
The business enterprise is confronted with large number of investment criteria for selection of investment
proposals. It should like to choose the best among all. Specially, it is the choice between Net Present Value and
Internal Rate of Return Method because these are the two methods which are widely used by the firms. If a
choice must be made, the Net Present Value Method generally is considered to be superior theoretically because:
(i) It is simple to operate as compared to internal rate of return method;
(ii) It does not suffer from the limitations of multiple rates;
(iii) The reinvestment assumption of the Net Present Value Method is more realistic than internal rate of
return method.
On the other hand, some scholars have advocated for internal rate of return method on the following grounds:
1. It is easier to visualise and to interpret as compared to Net Present Value Method.
2. It suggests the maximum rate of return and even in the absence of cost of capital, it gives fairly good
idea of the projects profitability. On the other hand, Net Present Value Method may yield incorrect
results if the firms cost of capital is not calculated with accuracy.
3. The internal rate of return method is preferable over Net Present Value Method in the evaluation of risky
projects.
Limits on Investment
The evaluation techniques discussed above help management to appraise and rank different capital
investment proposals in terms of their economic benefits. But does it mean that management will accept all
projects promising some economic benefit? The most probable answer seems to be in negative. For one
thing, no firm enjoys infinite capital supply at a point of time when investment decisions have to be made.
Ability to generate funds internally and to raise them externally is not without limits. Next, there are also
occasions when quantitative factors of economic evaluation need to be supplemented with a number of
qualitative considerations like employee relations, competitive position, environmental and social
responsibility and public relations. Moreover, there are some valid reasons for establishing some minimum
acceptable rate of return below which management will not accept any investment proposal even if resources
would remain unutilised for sometime. The rate of return below which no investment should ordinarily be
accepted is known as the cut off rate or the hurdle rate. Establishing the levels of hurdle rate enables the
organisation to make investment decisions and maintain consistency in the actions of different people in
the organisation. Further, by indicating the hurdle rate management communicates throughout the
organisation its expectation as to the minimum rate of return.
The cut off rate may be established by any of the following methods:
1. By the method of intuition;
2. By the historical rate of return;
3. By the weighted average cost of capital;
4. By the cost of funds to be used to finance a given project.
The method used to establish a hurdle rate should be carefully selected keeping in view the overall objectives of
the enterprise, its environment and opportunity cost of funds required to be invested in a given project.
54 PP-FT&FM
Co - efficient of Variation =
f(x x)2
f
Standard Deviation
100
Mean
Both standard deviation and co-efficient of variation require to be adjusted with the discount rate with which the
project investments are evaluated. According to the degree of standard deviation or co-efficient of variation, the
investment proposals shall be termed as highly risky or less risky investments. Less risky projects shall be
afforded highest priority in investment or capital budgeting decisions.
Risk adjusted discount rates are used in investment and budgeting decisions to cover time value of money and
the risk. According to new thinking, discounting and risk considerations are treated separately. The method
which is used for this purpose is known as Certainty Equivalent Method (CE). The riskness of the project is
handled by adjusting the expected cash flow and not the discount rate. The certainty equivalent in a year
represent the cash-flows that investors would be satisfied to receive for certain period i.e. certainty equivalent
converts the projects expected cash flow for this year into a certain amount investors consider equivalent to the
project calculated cash flow for the year. Net Present Value of these cash flows is calculated with risk free
interest rate as the discounting factor. Both the methods i.e. Risk adjusted discount rate and certainty equivalent
methods are good for Risk Evaluation. The essential difference in the two methods is that the risk adjusted
discount rate method account for risk by adjusting the discount rate in the denominator of the expected net
present value formula, while the certainty equivalent method accounts for risk by adjusting the expected cash
flow in the numerator of the expected net present value formula.
For evaluating risk, payback method provide crude account for risk differences by altering payback
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
55
requirements i.e. instead of four year payback requirements, the firm may require three year payback for a
proposed new product line that the firm feels is riskier investment. Shortening payback is similar to raising
the discount rate.
Decision tree technique is another method which many corporate units use to evaluate risky proposals. A
decision tree shows the sequential outcome of a risky decision. A capital budgeting decision tree shows the
cash flows and net present value of the project under differing possible circumstances.
For example, a company X has an opportunity to invest in equivalent schemes that will last for two years and
will cost ` 1,00,000 initially and has the following estimated possible cash flow after tax (CFAT)
Year
One:
30% chance that (CFAT) will be ` 40,000/40% chance that (CFAT) will be ` 60,000/30% chance that (CFAT) will be ` 80,000
Two:
Probability
Probability
Probability
20,000
0.2
70,000
0.3
80,000
0.1
50,000
0.6
80,000
0.4
1,00,000
0.8
80,000
0.2
90,000
0.3
1,20,000
0.1
CFAT
Year 1
Probability
(`)
.3
40,000
Cash outlay
1,00,000
.4
.3
60,000
80,000
CFAT
Year 2
CFAT at
15%
(` )
(a) NPV
at 15%
Expected
(b) Joint
Probability
NPV a x b
(` )
0.2
20,000
49,920
- 50,080
0.06
- 3,005
0.6
50,000
72,600
- 27,400
0.18
- 4,932
0.2
80,000
95,280
- 4,720
0.06
- 283
0.3
70,000
1,05,120
5,120
0.12
614
0.4
80,000
1,12,680
12,680
0.16
2,029
0.3
90,000
1,20,240
20,240
0.12
2,428
0.1
80,000
1,30,080
30,080
0.03
902
0.8
1,00,000
1,45,200
45,200
0.24
10,848
0.1
1,20,000
1,60,320
60,320
0.03
1,810
1.00
10,411
Note: Present value of cash inflows are worked out on the basis of three decimal points.
The above decision tree shows possible CFAT outcomes in each year and the probabilities associated with
these outcomes. The decision tree shows nine distinct paths, or combinations of outcomes that the project
56 PP-FT&FM
would take if accepted. One possibility is that one years CFAT is ` 40,000 and the second years CFAT is `
20,000. This is worst combination of outcomes that could occur. The company X would have paid ` 1,00,000 for
a CFAT stream of ` 40,000 and ` 20,000 in years one and two respectively. If the company X determined that an
appropriate discount rate for this project is 15%, the NPV of the worst path is ` 50,080. By looking at the
decision tree figure, the best path for the firm is CFAT1 = ` 80,000 and CFAT2 = ` 1,20,000. The NPV at 15% of
that path is ` 60,320. The decision tree shows NPV of each of the nine possible CFAT paths in the tree at
discount rate of 15%. The expected net present value (NAP) of the problem depicted by the decision tree is the
weighted average of net present values of all the paths:
N
NPV (Prob j ) (NPVj )
J0
Sensitivity Analysis
Capital budgeting remain unrealistic in the circumstances when despite a set of reliable estimates of return,
outlays, discount rate and project life time uncertainty surrounds some of all of these figures. Sensitivity analysis
is helpful in such circumstances.
It is a computer based device. Sensitivity analysis has been evolved to treat risk and uncertainty in capital budgeting
decisions. The analysis is comprised of the following steps: (1) Identification of variables; (2) Evaluation of possibilities
for these variables; (3) Selection and combination of variables to calculate NPV or rate of return of the project; (4)
substituting different values for each variables in turn while holding all other constant to discover the effect on the
rate of return; (5) Comparison of original rate of return with this adjusted rate to indicate the degree of sensitivity of
the rate to change in variables; (6) subjective evaluation of the risk involved in the project.
The purpose of sensitivity analysis is to determine how varying assumptions will effect the measures of investment
worth. Ordinarily, the assumptions are varied one at a time i.e. cash flows may be held constant with rate of
discount used to vary; or discount rate is assumed constant and cash flow may vary with assumed outlay; or the
level of initial outlay may change with discount rate and annual proceeds remaining the same.
In the context of NPV, sensitivity analysis provides information regarding the sensitivity of the calculated NPV to
possible estimation errors in expected cash flows, the required rate of return and project life.
Suppose, a proposed project has an initial estimated cost (after tax) of ` 75,000 and an estimated expected
cash flow (after tax) stream of ` 20,000 per year for seven years. The estimated k is 15%.
NPV = - ` 75,000 + (` 20,000) (Annuity at 15% for 7 years)
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
57
58 PP-FT&FM
associated with the project including identification of possible extremely bad outcomes which might happen if
the project is accepted.
Z = a D
Subject to
Cx D M
X,D 0
where:
a = time-value-factors vectors (a is a row vector)
D = dividend vector
C = matrix of cash flows (outlays are positive and inflow are negative), the rows are the cash flows of
each period and the columns are the cash flows of each investment.
M = column vector of cash available from outside sources.
X = column vector indicating the number of units invested in each investment.
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
59
The above is the primal model and can be presented in summation notation as under assuming different
investments and a planning horizon of T periods:
Maximise Z
a tD t
t 0
Subject to
j
C jt x j D t Mt
J1
t = 0, 1..T
X j ,D t 0
The above formula can be tested in a problem where a company has a capital budget limited to ` 10,000 and
has following investment opportunities X1 and X2 in period 1 and 2 with time value of money as 0.5 and internal
rate of return for opportunity X1, as 10% and for opportunity X2 as 14% generating cash flow as under:
X1
X2
Period 1
` 11,400
Period 2
12,100
There is possibility that the cash flow generated in period 1 are re-employed in period 2 in another opportunity
X3. The above facts can be presented as under:
Period
Cash flows
Investments
In Rupee
x1
x2
X3
-10,000
-10,000
11,400
-11,400
12,100
12,540
10,000
C
0
12,000
10,000
11,400
0
11,400
12,540
Since x1 is equal to 1 then one unit or ` 10,000 is invested J = 1; and financing of ` 10,000 is available only at
time 0, so M (10,000 0 0)
This leads to the primal model as under:
D0
Maximize Z = aD = (1.05 1.05 1.05 ) D1
D2
0
Subject to
60 PP-FT&FM
10,000
0
12,000
10,000
11,400
0
11,400
12,540
X1 D0 10,000
X 2 D1 0
X D 0
3 2
X j, Dt 0
Subject to
10,000x1 10,000x 2 0x 3 D 0 10,000
0x1 11,400x 2 11,400x 3 D1 0
12,100x1 0x 2 12,540x 3 D 2 0
If
x1 D0 D1 0
x2 1
x3 1
D 2 12,540
the value of objective function is Z = 1.05-2 12,540 = ` 11,347, with the above, the constraints are satisfied. No
other solution is better.
Dual Problems
The above explanation is devoted to primal linear programming problem, a maximization case but it could be the
minimization case also. Such pairs of problems with maximization and minimization problems are called dual
linear programming problems.
Dual linear programming has become important because of certain reasons, according to Baumol, these reasons
are viz. (1) Duality yield a number of powerful theorems which add substantially to our understanding of linear
programming. (2) Duality analysis has been very helpful in the solution of programming problems. Indeed as we
shall see, it is frequently easier to find the solution of a programming problem by first solving its associated dual
problem. (3) The dual problem turns out to have an extremely illuminating economic interpretations which
incidentally shows that old fashioned marginal analysis is always implicitly involved in the search for an optimal
solutions of a linear programming problems.
With the given problem to maximise the results as under, we can go to solve a minimisation problem covering
opposite aspects of the problems. Suppose maximisation problems with given constraints is as under:
Maximize Z = P1Q1 P2 Q 2 ..........PnQn
Subject to = a11Q1 a12Q2 ..........a1nQn C1
..
a m1Q1 a m2 Q 2 .......... a mnQ n Cm
Q1 0,..........Qn 0
The above is the primal problem and it has its dual as under:
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
61
From the above, one thing is obviously clear that we have changed the word maximize to minimize and
substituted symbol to . For unit profits P1, P2Pn we took the capacity figure C1, C2Cn. Original variables Q1,
Q2,Qn has been substituted by a new set of variables V1, V2Vm. The order in which the constant appears in
inequalities has been reversed and instead of reading them across we would read now down. Where a12 was
formerly the second constant in the first inequality, would now make it first constant in the second inequality and
so on. These steps of converting a primal into dual are summarized below by Baumol:
(1) If the primal problem involves maximization, the dual involves minimization, and vice versa;
(2) If the primal involves > signs, the dual involves < signs and vice versa;
(3) The profit constraints Pj in the primal model replace the capacity constraints Cj, and vice versa;
(4) In the constraint inequalities the co-efficients which were found by going left to right are positioned in the
dual from top to bottom, and vice versa;
(5) A new set of variables appears in dual;
(6) Neglecting the number of non-negativity conditions, if there are n variables and m inequalities in the
primal model, in the dual there will be m variables and n inequalities.
The dual of the problem is the original linear programming problem itself. So, the problem which was primal
could be dual and vice versa.
To illustrate the above discussion, we take a simplified illustration in an advertising budgeting problem which
aims to minimize the cost of reaching 30 million potential customers of whom 23 million are required to have an
income of over ` 5,000 per year. Suppose the relevant data are those shown in the following table:
Cost per Ad.
(` 000)
Audience
(000)
Newspaper
28
0.6
T.V.
400
Radio
20
0.8
0.7
Newspaper advertisement reaches 1 million readers where as T.V. programme covers 9 million viewers. Let the
N, T and R respectively represent the newspaper, television, and radio advertisements budgeted, our programme
is then:
Minimize Ad. Cost = 28N + 400T + 20R
Subject to :
N + 9T + 0.8R 30 Required Audience size
0.6N + 2T + 0.7R 23 (required income)
N 0, T 0, R 0
62 PP-FT&FM
The above primal is converted into dual problem as under:
Minimize
30v1 23v 2
Subject to
v1 0.6v 2 28
9v1 2v 2 400
0.8v1 0.7v 2 20
v1 0,v 2 0
From the above, it is evident that primal involved 3 variables and 2 ordinary constraints whereas the dual
involved 2 variables and 3 constraints. No change has occurred in inequalities on non-negativity conditions i.e.
both in the primal and in the dual problems each variable is required to be greater than or equal to zero.
If we turn the above ordinary constraints into equations, we have to rewrite the problem with slack variables in
the same shape as discussed in the beginning of this section.
From the literature available on financial management evidence can be gathered whether the linear programming
technique are being widely used for capital budgeting decisions. However, for academicians interest remain
widely recognised for a keen desire to use the techniques of linear programming in budgeting decisions. With
the use of computers, the multinational companies and American giant business enterprises are making use of
these techniques.
Capital budgeting Techniques under uncertainty:
Risk can be defined as the chance that the actual outcome will differ from the expected outcome. Uncertainty
relates to the situation where a range of differing outcome is possible, but it is not possible to assign probabilities
to this range of outcomes. The two terms are generally used interchangeably in finance literature. In investment
appraisal, managers are concerned with evaluating the riskiness of a projects future cash flows. Here, they
evaluate the chance that the cash flows will differ from expected cash flows, NPV will be negative or the IRR will
be less than the cost of capital. In the context of risk assessment, the decision-maker does not know exactly
what the outcome will be but it is possible to assign probability weightage to the various potential outcomes. The
most common measures of risk are standard deviation and coefficient of variations. There are three different
types of project risk to be considered:
1. Stand-alone risk: This is the risk of the project itself as measured in isolation from any effect it may
have on the firms overall corporate risk.
2. Corporate or within-firm risk: This is the total or overall risk of the firm when it is viewed as a collection
or portfolio of investment projects.
3. Market or systematic risk: This defines the view taken from a well-diversified shareholders and investors.
Market risk is essentially the stock markets assessment of a firms risk, its beta, and this will affect its
share price.
Due to practical difficulties of measuring corporate and market risk, the stand-alone risk has been accepted as
a suitable substitute for corporate and market risk. There are following techniques one can use to deal with risk
in investment appraisal.
Statistical Techniques for Risk Analysis:
(a) Probability Assignment
(b) Expected Net Present Value
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
63
ENPV
i 0
ENCFt
1 k t
Where ENPV is the expected net present value, ENCFt expected net cash flows in period t and k is the discount
rate. The expected net cash flow can be calculated as follows:
ENCFt = NCFjt Pjt
Where NCFjt is net cash flow for jth event in period t and Pjt probability of net cash flow for jth event in period t21.
For example, A company is considering an investment proposal costing ` 7,000 and has an estimated life of
three years. The possible cash flows are given below:
Expected net present value
All amount in `
Cash flow
In Year 1
Prob.
Expected
Value
Cash flow
in Year 2
Prob.
Expected
Value
Expected
Value
2000
0.2
400
3000
0.4
1200
4000
0.3
1200
3000
0.5
1500
4000
0.3
1200
5000
0.5
2500
4000
0.3
1200
5000
0.3
1500
6000
0.2
1200
3100
3900
4900
64 PP-FT&FM
If we assume a risk free discount rate of 10%, the expected NPV for the project will be as follows:
Year
ENCF in `
PV@10%
PV in `
3100
0.909
2817.9
3900
0.826
3221.4
4900
0.751
3679.9
PV
9719.2
Less : NCO
7000
ENPV
2719.2
CF CF
i 1
Thus, it is the square root of the mean of the squared deviation, where deviation is the difference between an
outcome and the expected mean value of all outcomes and the weights to the square of each deviation is
provided by its probability of occurrence. For example, the standard deviation of following project X and Y is as
follows23:
Table 2.8
PROJECT-X (Standard deviation)
CF CFt CF
All Amount in in `
CF
CF CF
t
CF CF
CF CF
Pi
CF CF Pi
2
4000
6000
-2000
4000000
0.1
400000
5000
6000
-1000
1000000
0.2
200000
6000
6000
0.4
7000
6000
1000
1000000
0.2
200000
8000
6000
2000
4000000
0.1
400000
1200000
1095
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
65
CF CF
CF
CF CF
t
CF CF
Pi
CF CF Pi
2
12000
8000
4000
16000000
0.1
1600000
10000
8000
2000
4000000
0.15
600000
8000
8000
0.5
6000
8000
-2000
4000000
0.15
600000
4000
8000
-4000
16000000
0.1
1600000
4400000
2098
In the above example, Project Y is riskier as standard deviation of project Y is higher than the standard deviation
of project X. However, the project Y has higher expected value also so the decision-maker is in a dilemma for
selecting project X or project Y.
(d) Coefficient of Variation:
If the projects to be compared involve different outlays/different expected value, the coefficient of variation is the
correct choice, being a relative measure. It can be calculated using following formula:
CV =
Standard deviation or
Expected Value CF
For example, the coefficient of variation for the above project X and project Y can be calculated as follows:
CV ( X ) = 1095 = 0.1825
6000
CV (Y ) = 2098 = 0.2623
8000
The higher the coefficient of variation, the riskier the project. Project Y is having higher coefficient so it is riskier
than the project X. It is a better measure of the uncertainty of cash flow returns than the standard deviation
because it adjusts for the size of the cash flow.
(e) Probability Distribution Approach:
The researcher has discussed the concept of probability for incorporating risk in capital budgeting proposals.
The concept of probability for incorporating risk in evaluating capital budgeting proposals. The probability
distribution of cash flows over time provides valuable information about the expected value of return and the
dispersion of the probability distribution of possible returns which helps in taking accept-reject decision of the
investment decision.
The application of this theory in analyzing risk in capital budgeting depends upon the behaviour of the cash flows,
being (i) independent, or (ii) dependent. The assumption that cash flows are independent over time signifies that
future cash flows are not affected by the cash flows in the preceding or following years. When the cash flows in one
period depend upon the cash flows in previous periods, they are referred to as dependent cash flows.
(i) Independent Cash Flows over Time: The mathematical formulation to determine the expected values
of the probability distribution of NPV for any project is as follows:
n
NPV
i 0
CF t
1 k t
CO
66 PP-FT&FM
where CF1 is the expected value of net CFAT in period t and I is the risk free rate of interest.
The standard deviation of the probability distribution of net present values is equal to ;
t2
1 k
i 0
21t
where t is the standard deviation of the probability distribution of expected cash flows for period t, t
would be calculated as follows:
CF
n CF t Pn
i 0
Thus, the above calculation of the standard deviation and the NPV will produce significant volume of information
for evaluating the risk of the investment proposal. For example, The standard deviation of the probability distribution
of net present
values under the assumption of the independence of cash flows over time for the above mentioned example of
expected net present values can be calculated as follows:
Probability distribution approach
Year 1
CF in `
CF CF in `
t
CF CF `
CF CF
in `
Pi
CF CF Pi in `
2
2000
3100
-1100
1210000
0.2
242000
3000
3100
-100
10000
0.5
5000
4000
3100
900
810000
0.3
243000
490000
700
Year 2
3000
3900
-900
810000
0.4
324000
4000
3900
100
10000
0.3
3000
5000
3900
1100
1210000
0.3
363000
690000
831
Year 3
4000
4900
-900
810000
0.3
243000
5000
4900
100
10000
0.5
5000
6000
4900
1100
1210000
0.2
242000
490000
700
Lesson 2
n
t2
1 i
i 0
2t
Capital Budgeting
67
2
2
2
1.10 1.10 1.10
=` 1073.7
where s is the standard deviation of the probability distribution of possible net cash t 2 flows and is the variance
of each period.
(ii) Dependent Cash Flows: If cash flows are perfectly correlated, the behavior of cash flows in all periods is
alike. This means that if the actual cash flow in one year is a standard deviations to the left of its expected value,
cash flows in other years will also be a standard deviations to the left of their respective expected values. In
other words, cash flows of all years are linearly related to one another. The expected value and the standard
deviation of the net present value, when cash flows are perfectly correlated, are as follows:
n
NPV
i 0
CF t
NPV
1 t
i 1
1 i i
Where,
NPV = Expected Net Present Value
CFt = Expected Cash Flow for year"t"
I = Risk-free interest rate
NPV = S tan darddeviationofNet Pr esentValue
t = S tan darddeviationofthecashflowforyear"t"
For example, if we calculate NPV and sNPV for an investment project requiring a current outlay of Rs 10,000,
assuming a risk free interest rate of 6 per cent. The mean
and standard deviation of cash flows, which are perfectly correlated, are as follows:
Year
CFt (`)
5,000
1,500
4,000
1,000
5,000
2,000
3,000
1,200
NPV
5000
1.06
NPV
1, 500
1.06
4000
1.06
1, 000
1.06
3000
1.063
2, 000
1.06
1, 200
1.06 4
Rs.3,121
68 PP-FT&FM
the range of ` 2,000 and ` 3,000 etc. If the probability of having NPV zero or less is low, eg. .01, it means that the
risk in the project is negligible. Thus, the normal probability distribution is an important statistical technique in the
hands of decision makers for evaluating the riskiness of a project.
The area under the normal curve, representing the normal probability distribution, is equal to 1 (0.5 on either side
of the mean). The curve has its maximum height at its expected value i.e. its mean. The distribution theoretically
runs from minus infinity to plus infinity. The probability of occurrence beyond 3 s is very near to zero (0.26 per cent).
For any normal distribution, the probability of an outcome falling within plus or minus.
1 from the mean is 0.6826 or 68.26 per cent,
2 from the mean is 95.46 per cent,
3. from the mean is 99.74 per cent.
Figure 2.4
For example, If one needs to calculate for the above mentioned example the probability of the NPV being zero
or less, the probability of the NPV being greater than zero and the probability of NPV between the range of `
1500 and ` 3000, it can be calculated as follows using normal distribution.
Probability of the NPV being zero or less:
Z=
X - X 0-2719.2
=
-2.533
1073.7
According to Table Z, the probability of the NPV being zero is = 0.4943, therefore, the probability of the NPV
being zero or less would be 0.5-0.4943=0.0057 i.e. 0.57 per cent.
Probability of the NPV being greater than zero:
As the probability of the NPV being less than zero is 0.57 per cent, the probability of the NPV being greater than
zero would be 1-0.0057=0.9943 or 99.43 per cent.
Probability of NPV between the range of ` 1,500 and ` 3,000:
Z1
1, 500 2, 719.2
1.13
1, 073.7
Lesson 2
Z2
Capital Budgeting
69
3000 2719.2
0.26
1073.7
The area as per Table Z for the respective values of -1.13 and 0.26 is 0.3708 and
0.4803 respectively. Summing up, we have 0.8511 i.e., there is 85.11 per cent probability of NPV being within
the range of ` 1500 and ` 3000.
Present Value
Year
Cash Flow in `
Interest Factor
Cash Flow `
(25,000)
1.0000
(25,000)
5,000
0.9091
4,545
5,000
0.8264
4,132
5,000
0.7513
3,757
5,000
0.6830
3,415
5,000
0.6209
3,105
5,000
0.5645
2,822
5,000
0.5132
2,566
5,000
0.4665
2,333
5,000
0.4241
2,120
10
5,000
0.3855
1,928
Cost of Capital
10.0%
70 PP-FT&FM
Present Value of Benefits
` 30,723
` 25,000
` 5,723
B. The cumulative cash flow of the proposed investment for each period in both nominal and present-value
terms is:
Year
Flow
Cash
Interest Factor
Present Value
Cash Flow
Present Value
Cash Flow
Cumulative
PV Cash Flow
Cumulative
(` 25,000)
1.0000
(`25,000)
(`25,000)
(`25,000)
5,000
0.9091
4,545
(20,000)
(20,455)
5,000
0.8264
4,132
(15,000)
(16,322)
5,000
0.7513
3,757
(10,000)
(12,566)
5,000
0.6830
3,415
(5,000)
(9,151)
5,000
0.6209
3,105
(6,046)
5,000
0.5645
2,822
5,000
(3,224)
5,000
0.5132
2,566
10,000
(658)
5,000
0.4665
2,333
15,000
1,675
5,000
0.4241
2,120
20,000
3,795
10
5,000
0.3855
1,928
25,000
5,723
Payback Period
5 years
C. Based on the information provided in part B, it is clear that the cumulative cash flow in nominal rupees
reached `0 at the end of Year 5. This means that the nominal payback period is 5 years. The cumulative cash
flow in present-value rupees exceeds `0 when the Year 8 interest payment is received. This means that the
present-value payback period is roughly 8 years. If cash flows were received on a continuous basis, the presentvalue payback period would be 8.28 years ( = ` 658/` 2,333).
D. Assuming a positive rate of interest, the present-value payback period is always longer than the nominal
payback period. This stems from the fact that present-value dollars are always less than nominal dollars, and it
therefore takes longer to receive a fixed dollar amount back in terms of present-value dollars rather than in
nominal terms.
Qns No 2: Decision Rule Conflict. Balwinder has been retained as a management consultant by Square
Pants, Inc., a local specialty retailer, to analyze two proposed capital investment projects, projects X and Y.
Project X is a sophisticated working capital and inventory control system based upon a powerful personal
computer, called a system server, and PC software specifically designed for inventory processing and control in
the retailing business. Project Y is a similarly sophisticated working capital and inventory control system based
upon a powerful personal computer and general- purpose PC software. Each project has a cost of ` 10,000, and
the cost of capital for both projects is 12%. The projects = expected net cash flows are as follows
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
71
Solution:
Years
Project Y
(10,000)
(10,000)
6,500
3,500
3,000
3,500
3,000
3,500
1,000
3,500
A. Calculate each project = s nominal payback period, net present value (NPV), internal rate of return
(IRR), and profitability index (PI).
B. Should both projects be accepted if they are interdependent?
C. Which project should be accepted if they are mutually exclusive?
D. How might a change in the cost of capital produce a conflict between the NPV and IRR rankings of
these two projects? At what values of k would this conflict exist?
E. Why does a conflict exist between NPV and IRR rankings?
Solution
A. Payback:
To determine the nominal payback period, construct the cumulative cash flows for each project:
Cumulative Cash Flow in `
Year
Project X
Project Y
(10,000)
(10,000)
(3,500)
(6,500)
(500)
(3,000)
2,500
500
3,500
4,000
72 PP-FT&FM
Net Present Value
All amount in INR
Years
Present Value
Factor @ 12%
Cash Flow
in `
Project X
Project Y
(10,000)
(10,000)
1.0000
6,500
3,500
0.8929
5,803.57
3,125.00
3,000
3,500
0.7972
2,391.58
2,790.18
3,000
3,500
0.7118
2,135.34
2,491.23
1,000
3,500
0.6355
635.52
2,224.31
Project X
Project Y
(10,000)
(10,000)
630.72
B. Using all methods, project X is preferred over project Y. Because both projects are acceptable under the NPV,
IRR, and PI criteria, both projects should be accepted if they are interdependent.
C. Choose the project with the higher NPV at k = 12%, or project X.
D. To determine the effects of changing the cost of capital, plot the NPV profiles of each project. The crossover
rate occurs at about 6% to 7%. To find this rate exactly, create a project , which is the difference in cash flows
between projects X and Y:
Years
3,000
(500)
(500)
(2,500)
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
73
Thus, if the firms cost of capital is less than 6.2%, a conflict exists, because
NPVY > NPVX but IRRX > IRRY.
E. The basic cause of conflict is the differing reinvestment rate assumptions between PV and IRR. The conflict
occurs in this situation because the projects differ in their cash flow timing.
Qns No 3: Decision Rule Criteria. The net present value (NPV), profitability index (PI), and internal rate of
return (IRR) methods are often employed in project valuation. Identify each of the following statements as true or
false, and explain your answers.
A. The IRR method can tend to understate the relative attractiveness of superior investment projects when
the opportunity cost of cash flows is below the IRR.
B. A PI = 1 describes a project with an NPV = 0.
C. Selection solely according to the NPV criterion will tend to favor larger rather than smaller investment
projects.
D. When NPV = 0, the IRR exceeds the cost of capital.
E. Use of the PI criterion is especially appropriate for larger firms with easy access to capital markets.
Solution
A. False. The IRR method implicitly assumes reinvestment of net cash flows during the life of the project at
the IRR and will overstate the relative attractiveness of superior investment projects when the opportunity
cost of cash flows is below the IRR. If, for example, a project has a projected IRR = 22%, but cash flows
thrown off during the life of the project can only be reinvested at, say, 15%, then the true IRR for the
project will be less than 22% and its relative attractiveness will be overstated using the IRR method.
B. True. The PI = PV Cash Flows/Cost, and NPV = PV Cash Flows -Cost. Therefore, when PV Cash Flows
= Cost, PI = 1 and NPV = 0.
C. True. Selection according to the NPV criterion will tend to favor larger as opposed to smaller investment
projects.
D. False. The IRR is the interest rate that equates the PV cash flows with the investment cost of a project.
NPV = PV Cash Flows - Cost, when cash flows are discounted at an appropriate risk-adjusted cost of
capital, k. Therefore, when IRR = k, NPV = 0.
E. False. Larger firms with easy access to capital markets maximize the value of the firm through the
process by selecting projects according to the NPV criterion. Smaller firms, which face capital budget
constraints forcing rejection of some NPV > 0 projects, can best employ scarce capital through use of
the PI criterion.
Question No 4:
Mr. Jagdish owns a Drug Store, located in Maliwara Ghaziabad. The drug store sells pharmaceuticals, cosmetics,
toiletries, magazines, and various novelties. The most recent annual net income statement of drug store is as
follows:
Amount in `
Sales revenue
1,800,000
Total costs
Cost of goods sold
Wages and salaries
1,260,000
200,000
74 PP-FT&FM
Rent
120,000
Depreciation
60,000
Utilities
40,000
Miscellaneous
30,000
Total
1,710,000
90,000
Drug Stores sales and expenses have remained relatively constant over the past few years and are expected to
continue unchanged in the near future. To increase sales, Drug Store is considering using some floor space for
a small soda fountain. Drug Store would operate the soda fountain for an initial three-year period and then would
reevaluate its profitability. The soda fountain would require an incremental investment of `20,000 to lease furniture,
equipment, utensils, and so on. This is the only capital investment required during the three-year period. At the
end of that time, additional capital would be required to continue operating the soda fountain, and no capital
would be recovered if it were shut down. The soda fountain is expected to have annual sales of `100,000 and
food and materials expenses of `20,000 per year. The soda fountain is also expected to increase wage and
salary expenses by 8% and utility expenses by 5%. Because the soda fountain will reduce the floor space
available for display of other merchandise, sales of non-soda fountain items are expected to decline by 10%.
A. Calculate net incremental cash flows for the soda fountain.
B. Assume that Drug Store has the capital necessary to install the soda fountain and that he places a 12%
opportunity cost on those funds. Should the soda fountain be installed? Why or why not?
Solution
A. The relevant annual cash flows from the proposed soda fountain are:
Amount in `
Incremental revenue (A)
100,000
Increment Cost
Food and materials
20,000
16,000
2,000
54,000
92,000
8,000
20,000
B. No, the NPV for the proposed soda fountain should be calculated to determine the economic viability of
the project.
NPV = (Incremental annual cash flow)(PVIFA, N = 3, i = 12%) - `20,000
= `8,000(2.4018) - `20,000
= -`785.60 (A loss)
Because NPV < 0, Drug Store should not undertake the soda fountain investment project.
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
75
Question No 5: Cash Flow Analysis. The Future India Press is analyzing the potential profitability of three
printing jobs put up for bid by the Department of Revenue:
Job A
Job B
Job C
` 5.00
` 8.00
` 7.50
` 2.00
` 4.30
` 3.00
` 8,00,000
` 6,50,000
` 4,50,000
` 90,000
` 75,000
` 55,000
` 50,00,000
` 52,00,000
` 40,00,000
Job B
Job C
5.00
8.00
7.50
2.00
4.30
3.00
3.00
3.70
4.50
8,00,000
6,50,000
4,50,000
24,00,000
24,05,000
20,25,000
90,000
75,000
55,000
23,10,000
23,30,000
19,70,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
23,00,000
23,20,000
19,60,000
8,33,333
8,66,667
6,66,667
14,66,667
14,53,333
12,93,333
Deduct taxes
7,33,333
7,26,667
6,46,667
Cash flow
7,33,333
7,26,667
6,46,667
76 PP-FT&FM
Add back depreciation plus amortization
8,43,333
8,76,667
6,76,667
15,76,667
16,03,333
13,23,333
50,00,000
52,00,000
40,00,000
60,000
Tax rate
B.
50%
Job B
Job C
15,76,667
16,03,333
13,23,333
3.8887
3.8887
3.8887
61,31,185
62,34,881
51,46,045
50,00,000
52,00,000
40,00,000
11,31,185
10,34,881
11,46,045
14%
Job C is the most profitable, and therefore is the most attractive because NPVC
> NPVA > NPVB. However, NPV > 0 for each job and each project is attractive.
C. Risk for the firm is reduced through diversification. If job A is counter-cylical, then it is least risky, other things
being equal, and could be attractive on the basis of both its risk and return characteristics.
LESSON ROUND-UP
Capital Budgeting refers to long-term planning for proposed capital outlays and their financing. Capital
Budgeting may also be defined as the firms decision to invest its current fund more efficiently in longterm activities in anticipation of an expected flow of future benefit over a series of years.
Capital Rationing helps the firm to select the combination of investment projects that will be within the
specified limits of investments to be made during a given period of time and at the same time provide
greatest profitability.
Pay Back technique estimates the time required by the project to recover, through cash inflows, the
firms initial outlay.
Pay back period =
Initial Investment
Annual cash inflows
Average Rate of Return method is designated to consider the relative profitability of different capital
investment proposals as the basis for ranking them the fact neglected by the payout period technique.
Average Rate of Return
Net earnings after Depreciation and Taxes
=
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
77
Net Present Value: The cash outflows and inflows associated with each project are ascertained first and
both are reduced to the present values at the rate of return acceptable to the management. The rate of
return is either cost of capital of the firm or the opportunity cost of capital to be invested in the project.
Sn Wn N C t
C0
t
(1 k)n t=1(1 k)t
t=1(1 k)
N
Rt
NPV =
Internal Rate of Return: The internal rate of return refers to the rate which equates the present value of
cash inflows and present value of cash outflows.
C
Sn Wn n
C1
t
n
t
(1 r)
t 1(1 r)
t 1 (1 k)
n
CFt
Profitability Index (PI): Profitability Index is defined as the rate of present value of the future cash benefits
at the required rate of return to the initial cash outflow of the investment.
n
PI
At
t 1(1 k)
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
(These are meant for re-capitulation only. Answers to these questions are not to be submitted for evaluation)
1. Define capital budgeting and examine the need for capital budgeting.
2. Explain different methods of appraising project profitability. Which method is considered to be the
best?
3. Distinguish between Internal Rate of Return and Net Present Value techniques. Which method would
you recommend for evaluating investment? Explain.
4. (a) Capital Budgeting models are used to evaluate a wide variety of capital
expenditure
decisions. Comment on this statement and enunciate some of the important expenditure decisions to
which capital budgeting technique can be applied.
(b) The Susan Co. is contemplating either of two mutually exclusive projects. The data with respect to
each are given below. The initial investment for both is equal to their depreciable value. Both will be
depreciated straight line over a five-year life.
Project A (`)
Project B (`)
Initial Investment
1,00,000
1,40,000
Year
10,000
25,000
15,000
25,000
78 PP-FT&FM
3
20,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
35,000
25,000
(i) Calculate the net present value and benefit-cost ratio for each project.
(ii) Evaluate the acceptability of each project on the basis of above mentioned two techniques.
(iii) Select the best project, using NPV and benefit-cost ratios and comment on the resulting rankings.
(iv) Assume that the Susan Co. has an 11% cost of capital.
(v) The following data relates to discounting factor:
Year
.901
.812
.731
.659
.593
and discounting factor for present value of an annuity discounted at 11% for five years is 3.696.
5. Define the concept of cost of capital. State how you would determine the weighted average cost of
capital of firm.
6. Write short notes on:
(1) Profitability Index
(2) Sensitivity Analysis
(3) Linear Programming and Capital Budgeting
(4) Capital Rationing.
7. Explain the various steps of capital budgeting process.
Lesson 2
Capital Budgeting
79
80 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 3
Capital Structure
LESSON OUTLINE
Lesson 3
Capital Structure
81
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
LESSON ROUND UP
EBIT-EPS Analysis
The optimal capital structure indicates the best debt-to-equity ratio for a firm that maximizes its
value. Putting it simple, the optimal capital structure for a company is the one which proffers a
balance between the idyllic debt-to-equity ranges thus minimizing the firms cost of capital
81
82 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 3
Capital Structure
83
a greater extent. Further, in case of growth through acquisitions or the inorganic mode of growth as it is called,
the firm would find that financial leverage is an important tool in funding the acquisitions.
2. It is an indicator of the risk profile of the firm
One can get a reasonably accurate broad idea about the risk profile of the firm from its capital structure. If the
debt component in the capital structure is predominant, the fixed interest cost of the firm increases thereby
increasing its risk. If the firm has no long term debt in its capital structure, it means that either it is risk averse or
it has cost of equity capital or cost of retained earnings less than the cost of debt.
3. It acts as a tax management tool
The capital structure acts as a tax management tool also. Since the interest on borrowings is tax deductible, a
firm having healthy growth in operating profits would find it worthwhile to incorporate debt in the capital structure
in a greater measure.
4. It helps to brighten the image of the firm
A firm can build on the retained earnings component of the capital structure by issuing equity capital at a
premium to a spread out base of small investors. Such an act has two benefits. On the one hand, it helps the firm
to improve its image in the eyes of the investors. At the same time, it reduces chances of hostile take-over of the
firm.
Particulars
Note
No.
Amount as
at 31st March,
2012
Amount as at
31st March,
2011
(1)
Shareholders funds
(a)
Share Capital
(b)
(2)
Current liabilities
1,28,000
(a)
Trade payable
1,28,000
2,00,000
1
72,000
84 PP-FT&FM
(b)
60,000
TOTAL
4,60,000
II.
ASSETS
(1)
Non current-assets
(a)
Fixed Assets
(b)
Preliminary expenses
(2)
Current Assets
(a)
inventories
48,000
(b)
Trade receivable
88,000
(c)
Cash at bank
52,000
TOTAL
4,60,000
8,000
In the above illustration, the total liabilities size of ` 4,60,000 is the financial structure of the firm while the long
term block of ` 2,72,000 is the capital structure. We can also say that that the total financial structure minus the
current liabilities structure gives us the capital structure.
We can enunciate the following differences between financial structure and capital structure:
Capital structure relates to long term capital deployment for creation of long term assets. Financial
structure involves creation of both long term and short term assets.
Capital structure is the core element of the financial structure. Capital structure can exist without the
current liabilities and in such cases;
Capital structure shall be equal to the financial structure. But we cannot have a situation where the firm
has only current liabilities and no long term capital.
The financial structure of a firm is considered to be a balanced one if the amount of current liabilities is
less than the capital structure net of outside debt because in such cases the long term capital is considered
sufficient to pay current liabilities in case of sudden loss of current assets.
Components of the capital structure may be used to build up the level of current assets but the current
liabilities should not be used to finance acquisition of fixed assets. This would result in an asset liability
mismatch.
Lesson 3
Capital Structure
85
to seven years of the project. Expansion of the capacity, addition of product lines etc. should be accounted
for in the plan.
2. Consistency: The planned capital structure should be consistent with the over all financing philosophy
of the firm. If the firm has a risk averse philosophy, then the plan should have minimum component of
debt.
3. Feasibility: The planned capital structure should have feasibility, i.e. it should not be impractical. Feasibility
also means that it should be workable within the amount of share capital, debt and retained earnings
expected to be available to the firm.
86 PP-FT&FM
that yield optimal values within the constraints at the time and place when the decisions were made. We can,
therefore, say that the optimal capital structure is an ideal situation which can function as the benchmark of
performance for a firm. But this benchmark is invincible and the firm can expect to achieve moderated or toned
down versions of this benchmark depending upon dynamics of each project.
Firm A
Firm B
Equity Capital
1000
2000
Debt
1000
nil
Turnover
2000
2000
1200
1200
Other expenses
100
100
Interest
150
550
700
Tax @40%
220
280
330
420
Dividend
100
200
Retained Earning
230
220
We have two firms A and B entailing same investment of ` 2000 lacs. Firm A has equal mix of debt and equity
financing while firm B has only equity financing. Rate of interest is 15% p.a. Tax rate is 40% and rate of dividend
is 10%. A comparison of bottomline in both the cases shows that firm B has a higher profit before tax but lower
retained earning because of higher tax outgo and higher dividend payment. In case the management of the firm
is keen on internal accruals, a mix of equity and debt would be better suited but if the management is considering
profit after tax as the key criterion, then the firm should avoid taking on debt.
Normally a company wishes to raise capital by way of both equity and debt. In the real world, deciding on the
capital structure is not so easy. In deciding the capital structure of a firm, following points need to be considered.
Lesson 3
Capital Structure
87
would rely more on debt than equity. Generally speaking, long term assets should be financed by a balance
between term debt and equity and short term assets should be financed by long term sources and more by short
term debt. The current assets (short term assets) and fixed assets (long term assets) are determined by the
nature of the business itself. A trading firm might have more current assets than fixed assets. In business like
construction, capital and higher consumer goods their volumes and hence requirements of funds are affected
by the changes in national and global scene. Business subject to such variations need a capital structure that
can buffer the risks associated with such savings. The degree of competition is also a major factor to be considered
in deciding the capital structure. In highly competitive industry with low entry barriers companies need to be well
capitalized.
88 PP-FT&FM
financial risk that might arise from a particular capital structure decision. The normal risk has already
been factored in the projections while matching with the expected returns. It is the abnormal financial
risk which should be minimised.
2. Maximisation of profit: The capital structure is formulated with a view to achieve the goal of maximisation
of firms profits. These profits are after tax profits which add to shareholder wealth. Thus if the debt
obligations of the firm entail tax breaks, it would be advisable for the firm to enlarge the debt component
of the structure.
3. Nature of the project: Formulation of the structure is also determined by the nature of the investment
project. If the project is a capital intensive, long gestation project then it should be financed by debt of
matching maturity.
4. Control of the firm: This aspect of the firm also plays a part in the determination of the capital structure.
Since the key to control of the firm is ownership of the equity capital, the promoters would like to part
with only that proportion of equity capital as is necessary for execution of the project. Spreading of
equity among the public investors exposes the firm to risk of take over. Hence a capital structure which
makes the firm vulnerable in this respect is discouraged.
Lesson 3
Kd
D
(D E)
Ke
Capital Structure
89
E
(D E)
This happens because when the degree of leverage increases, Kd which is lower than Ke receives a higher
weight in the calculation of K. This can also be illustrated by a graph as shown below:
Ke
K
Cost of Capital
Kd
Scenario A
Scenario B
Equity
2,00,000
1,00,000
1,00,000
12%
12%
8%
8%
50,000
50,000
Interest on Debt
8,000
Equity earnings
50,000
42,000
4,16,667
3,50,000
1,00,000
4,16,667
4,50,000
Debt
Cost of Equity
Cost of Debt
Net operating income
90 PP-FT&FM
There are two points to be noted here
1. As the cost of capital decreases the value of the firm would go up as it is dependent upon the return
expected and the cost of capital. Inverse relationship exists between the value of the firm and cost of
capital for any given level of return.
2. This means that as we increase the level of debt in the company, the value of the firm would go up even
further. This would mean that the companies would like to employ as much debt as possible.
2. Net Operating Income Theory
Taking an opposite view from the view taken in the net income approach, this approach states that the cost of
capital for the whole firm remains constant, irrespective of the leverage employed in the firm. We can express
the cost of equity as:
Ke
Ko
(K o K d ) D
(D E)
Ke
Cost of Capital
Ko
Kd
Degree of Leverage D/S
Let us repeat the example we discussed earlier in net income approach. Let us take a company that has an
investment of ` 2,00,000 and net operating income of ` 50,000. It is considering two scenarios: 1) no debt and
2) equal levels of debt and equity of ` 100,000 each. Let us assume that the company finds out that the overall
cost of capital is 10% and the cost of debt is 8%.
As the return expected on total capital is 10 per cent, therefore the market value of total capital would be such
that this return becomes 10 per cent on the same. This means that the market value of capital would be `
5,00,000 in both the scenarios as our assumption in this case is that the total market value remains constant.
Also the value of debt would also remain constant as the cost of debt remains constant. This means that the
equity capitalization can be calculated by subtracting the market value of debt from the total market value of
the firm. Then the return on equity divided by the market capitalization of equity would give us the cost of
equity.
Equity
Scenario A
Scenario B
Equity
2,00,000
1,00,000
1,00,000
8%
8%
50,000
50,000
10%
10%
Debt
Cost of Debt
Net operating income
Overall Capitalization rate
Lesson 3
Total market value
Interest on debt
Debt capitalization rate
Market value of debt
Market value of equity
Capital Structure
91
5,00,000
5,00,000
8,000
0.08
0.08
1,00,000
5,00,000
4,00,000
Vl Vu
EBIT EBIT
K ol
K ou
Here the subscript l is used to denote leveraged firm and subscript u is used to denote unleveraged firm.
Since the V (Value of the firm) as established by the above equation is a constant, then under the MM model,
when there are no taxes, the value of the firm is independent of its leverage. This implies that the weighted
average cost of capital to any firm is completely independent of its capital structure and the WACC for any
firm, regardless of the amount of debt it uses, is equal to the cost of equity of unleveraged firm employing no
debt.
92 PP-FT&FM
Proposition II
The expected yield on equity, Ke is equal to Ko plus a premium. This premium is equal to the debt equity ratio
times the difference between Ko and the yield on debt, Kd. This means that as the firms use of debt increases its
cost of equity also rises, and in a mathematically precise manner.
Proposition III
The cut-off rate for investment decision making for a firm in a given risk class is not affected by the manner in
which the investment is financed. It emphasizes the point that investment and financing decisions are independent
because the average cost of capital is not affected by the financing decision.
Example
Let us take the case of two firms X and Y, similar in all respects except in their capital structure. Firm X is
financed by equity only; firm Y is financed by a mixture of equity and debt. The financial parameters of the two
firms are as follows:
Financial Particulars of Firms X and Y
(Amount in `)
Particulars
Firm X
Firm Y
10,00,000
10,00,000
Equity Capital
10,00,000
6,00,000
Nil
4,00,000
1,00,000
1,00,000
Debt Interest
20,000
4,00,000
1,00,000
80,000
10%
12%
10,00,000
6,66,667
10,00,000
10,66,667
10%
9.37%
0.6
Debt
Net operating Income
Equity earnings
Equity capitalization rate
From the above particulars, it can be seen that the value of leverged firm Y is higher than that of the unleveraged
firm. According to Modigliani Miller approach, such a situation cannot persist because equity investors would do
well to sell their equity investment in firm Y and invest in the equity of firm X with personal leverage. For example,
an equity investor who owns 1% equity in firm Y would do well to:
Sell his equity in Firm Y for ` 6,667
Borrow ` 4,000 at 5% interest on personal account and
Buy 1.0667% of the equity of firm X with the amount of ` 10,667 that he has.
Such an action will result in the following income:
Lesson 3
Capital Structure
Particular
93
(` )
1066.70
200.00
Net Income
866.70
This net income of ` 866.7 is higher than a net income of ` 800 foregone by selling 1 percent equity of firm Y and
the leverage ratio is the same in both the cases.
When investors sell their equity in firm Y and buy the equity in firm X with personal leverage, the market value of
equity of firm Y tends to decline and the market value of equity of firm X tends to rise. This process continues
until the net market values of both the firms become equal because only then the possibility of earning a higher
income for a given level of investment and leverage by arbitraging is eliminated. As a result of this the cost of
capital for both the firms is the same.
The above example explained that due to the arbitrage mechanism the value of a leveraged firm cannot be
higher than that of an unleveraged firm, other things being equal. It can also be proved that the value of an
unleveraged firm cannot be higher than that of leveraged firm, other things being equal.
Let us assume the valuation of the two firms X and Y is the other way around and is as follows:
(Amount in `)
Particulars
Firm X
Firm Y
20,000
4,00,000
1,00,000
80,000
8%
12%
12,50,000
6,66,667
12,00,000
10,66,667
Debt Interest
Market Value of debt
(Debt capitalisation rate is 5%)
Equity earnings
Equity Capitalisation rate
If a situation like this arises, equity investors in firm X would do well to sell the equity in firm X and use the
proceeds partly for investment in the equity of firm Y and partly for investment in the debt of firm Y. For example,
an equity investor who owns 1 percent equity in firm X would do well to:
Sell his 1% equity in firm X for ` 12,500
Buy 1.01% of the equity and debt in firm Y involving an outlay of ` 12,500
Such an action will result in an increase of income by ` 172 without changing the risk shouldered by the investor.
When investors resort to such a change, the market value of the equity of firm X tends to decline and the market
value of the equity of firm Y tends to rise. This process continues until the total market value of both the firms
becomes equal.
CRITICISM OF MM HYPOTHESIS
If the MM theory was correct, managers would not need to concern themselves with capital structure decisions,
because such decisions would have no impact on stock prices. However, like most theories, MMs results would
hold true only under a particular set of assumptions. Still, by showing the conditions under which capital structure
is irrelevant, MM provided important insights into when and how debt financing can affect the value of a firm.
94 PP-FT&FM
Capital Structure
Lesson 3
Case No.
Equity (%)
Debt (%)
1.
100
2.
75
25
3.
50
50
4.
25
75
95
For calculating the impact on EPS of various levels of EBIT, we take five values of ` 5000, ` 7,500, ` 12,500 and
` 15,000. The tax rate is assumed to be 40 %.
(a) If EBIT is ` 5,000
Debt Level (%)
25
50
75
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
Intt.
2,500
5,000
7,500
PBT
5,000
2,500
2,500
Tax
2,000
1,000
PAT
3,000
1,500
2,500
1,00,000
75,000
50,000
25,000
3.0
2.0
1.0
EBIT
Equity
EPS
We find that with increasing level of debt in the capital structure, the EPS decreases.
(b) If EBIT is ` 7,500
Debt Level (%)
25
50
75
7,500
7,500
7,500
7,500
Intt.
2,500
5,000
7,500
PBT
7,500
5,000
2,500
Tax
3,000
2,000
1,000
PAT
4,500
3,000
1,500
1,00,000
75,000
50,000
25,000
4.5
4.0
3.0
25
50
75
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
Intt.
2,500
5,000
7,500
PBT
10,000
7,500
5,000
2,500
Tax
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
EBIT
Equity
EPS
In this case also, the EPS decreases with increasing level of debt.
(c) If EBIT is ` 10,000
Debt Level (%)
EBIT
96 PP-FT&FM
PAT
Equity
6,000
4,500
3,000
1,500
1,00,000
75,000
50,000
25,000
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
EPS
At this level of EBIT, the EPS remains unchanged irrespective of any change in the capital structure.
(d) If EBIT is ` 12,500
Debt Level (%)
25
50
75
12,500
12,500
12,500
12,500
Intt.
2,500
5,000
7,500
PBT
12,500
10,000
7,500
5,000
Tax
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
PAT
7,500
6,000
4,500
3,000
1,00,000
75,000
50,000
25,000
7.5
8.0
9.0
12.0
25
50
75
15,000
15,000
15,000
15,000
Intt.
2,500
5,000
7,500
PBT
15,000
12,500
10,000
7,500
Tax
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
PAT
9,000
7,500
6,000
4,500
1,00,000
75,000
50,000
25,000
9.0
10.0
12.0
18.0
EBIT
Equity
EPS
Now we see that EPS increases with increasing level of debt.
(e) If EBIT is ` 15,000
Debt Level (%)
EBIT
Equity
EPS
25
50
75
5,000
3.0
2.0
?1.0
7,500
4.5
4.0
3.0
Lesson 3
Capital Structure
97
10,000
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
12,500
7.5
8.0
9.0
12.0
15,000
9.0
10.0
12.0
18.0
The indifference point of a firm (EBIT of ` 10000 in this case) varies from firm to firm but normally it approximates
the breakeven point.
Limitations of EBITDA
Factoring out interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization can make even completely unprofitable firms appear
to be fiscally healthy. The use of EBITDA as measure of financial health made these firms look attractive.
EBITDA numbers are easy to manipulate. If fraudulent accounting techniques are used to inflate revenues and
interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization are factored out of the equation, almost any company may appears
to be profitable and great.
Operating cash flow is a better measure of how much cash a company is generating because it adds non-cash
charges (depreciation and amortization) back to net income and includes the changes in working capital that
also use or provide cash (such as changes in receivables, payables and inventories). These working capital
factors are the key to determining how much cash a company is generating. If investors do not include changes
in working capital in their analysis and rely solely on EBITDA, they will miss clues that indicate whether a
company is losing money because it isnt making any sales.
Despite various shortcomings, there are some good reasons for using EBITDA.
1. The first factor to consider is that EBITDA can be used as a shortcut to estimate the cash flow available
to pay debt on long-term assets, such as equipment and other items with a lifespan measured in decades
rather than years. Dividing EBITDA by the amount of required debt payments yields a debt coverage
ratio. Factoring out the ITDA of EBITDA was designed to account for the cost of the long-term assets
and provide a look at the profits that would be left after the cost of these tools was taken into consideration
2. Another factor is that EBITDA estimate to be reasonably accurate, the company under evaluation must
have legitimate profitability. Using EBITDA to evaluate old-line industrial firms is likely to produce useful
results. This idea was lost during the 1980s, when leveraged buyouts were fashionable, and EBITDA
began to be used as a proxy for cash flow. This evolved into the more recent practice of using EBITDA
to evaluate unprofitable dotcoms as well as firms such as telecoms, where technology upgrades are a
constant expense.
98 PP-FT&FM
3. EBITDA can also be used to compare companies against each other and against industry averages. In
addition, EBITDA is a good measure of core profit trends because it eliminates some of the extraneous
factors and allows a more apples-to-apples comparison.
Ultimately, EBITDA should not replace the measure of cash flow, which includes the significant factor of changes
in working capital. Remember cash is king because it shows true profitability and a companys ability to
continue operations.
Definition of Leverage
James Horne has defined leverage as, the employment of an asset or fund for which the firm pays a fixed cost
or fixed return.
Types of Leverage
Leverage can be classified into three major headings according to the nature of the finance mix of the company.
Leverages
Operating Leverages
Financial Leverage
Combined Leverage
The company may use finance or leverage or operating leverage, to increase the EBIT and EPS.
OPERATING LEVERAGE
The leverage associated with investment activities is called as operating leverage. It is caused due to fixed
operating expenses in the company. Operating leverage may be defined as the companys ability to use fixed
operating costs to magnify the effects of changes in sales on its earnings before interest and taxes. Operating
leverage consists of two important costs viz., fixed cost and variable cost. When the company is said to have
a high degree of operating leverage if it employs a great amount of fixed cost and smaller amount of variable
cost. Thus, the degree of operating leverage depends upon the amount of various cost structure. Operating
leverage can be determined with the help of a break even analysis.
Operating leverage can be calculated with the help of the following formula:
Lesson 3
Capital Structure
99
Exercise:
From the following selected operating data, determine the degree of operating leverage. Which company has
the greater amount of business risk? Why?
Amount in `
Company A `
Company B `
Sales
25,00,000
30,00,000
Fixed costs
7,50,000
15,00,000
Variable expenses as a percentage of sales are 50% for company A and 25% for company B.
Solution
Statement of Profit
Amount in `
Company A
Company B
Sales
25,00,000
30,00,000
Variable cost
12,50,000
7,50,000
Contribution
12,50,000
22,50,000
Fixed cost
7,50,000
15,00,000
Operating Profit
5,00,000
7,50,000
= 2.5
Similarly Company B Operating Leverage would be 3
Comments
Operating leverage for B Company is higher than that of A Company; B Company has a higher degree of operating
risk. The tendency of operating profit may vary portionately with sales, is higher for B Company as compared to A
Company.
FINANCIAL LEVERAGE
A leverage activity with financing activities is called financial leverage. Financial leverage represents the
relationship between the companys earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) or operating profit and the
earning available to equity shareholders.
100 PP-FT&FM
Financial leverage is defined as the ability of a firm to use fixed financial charges to magnify the effects of
changes in EBIT on the earnings per share. It involves the use of funds obtained at a fixed cost in the hope of
increasing the return to the shareholders. The use of long-term fixed interest bearing debt and preference
share capital along with share capital is called financial leverage or trading on equity.
Financial leverage may be favourable or unfavourable depends upon the use of fixed cost funds.
Favourable financial leverage occurs when the company earns more on the assets purchased with the funds,
then the fixed cost of their use. Hence, it is also called as positive financial leverage.
Unfavourable financial leverage occurs when the company does not earn as much as the funds cost. Hence, it
is also called as negative financial leverage.
Financial leverage can be calculated with the help of the following formula:
OP
FL =
PBT
Where
FL = Financial leverage
OP = Operating profit (EBIT) PBT = Profit before tax.
FL =
Where
FL = Financial Leverage
EBIT = Earnings before Interest and Tax
EPS = Earnings Per share.
Exercise
A Company has the following capital structure.
`
Equity share capital
1,00,000
1,00,000
8% Debentures
1,25,000
Lesson 3
The present EBIT is ` 50,000. Calculate the financial leverage assuring that the company is in 50% tax bracket.
Solution
Statement of Profit
50,000
10,000
40,000
Income Tax
20,000
Profit
20,000
Financial leverage =
= 50,000
40,000
= 1.25
Plan A
Plan B
` 40,000
`10,000
` 10,000
`40,000
` 50,000
` 4,000
50,000
1,000
The earnings before interest and tax are assumed at ` 5,000, and 12,500. The tax rate is 50%. Calculate the
EPS.
102 PP-FT&FM
Solution
When EBIT is ` 5,000
Particulars
Plan A
Plan B
` 5,000
` 5,000
` 4,000
` 1,000
` 1,000
` 4,000
` 500
` 2,000
` 500
` 2,000
1,000
4,000
` 0.5
` 0.5
Plan A
Plan B
` 12,500
` 12,500
` 4,000
` 1,000
` 8,500
` 11,500
` 4,250
` 5,750
` 4,250
` 5,750
1,000
4,000
` 4.25
` 1.44
Operating Leverage
Financial Leverage
Trading on equity is not possible while the company Trading on equity is possible only when the
is operating leverage.
company uses financial leverage.
Lesson 3
Financial BEP
It is the level of EBIT which covers all fixed financing costs of the company. It is the level of EBIT at which EPS
is zero.
Indifference Point
It is the point at which different sets of debt ratios (percentage of debt to total capital employed in the company)
gives the same EPS.
COMBINED LEVERAGE
When the company uses both financial and operating leverage to magnification of any change in sales into a
larger relative changes in earning per share. Combined leverage is also called as composite leverage or total
leverage.
Combined leverage expresses the relationship between the revenue in the account of sales and the taxable
income.
Combined leverage can be calculated with the help of the following formulas:
CL = OL FL
Exercise 4
Kumar Company has sales of ` 25,00,000. Variable cost of ` 12,50,000 and fixed cost of ` 50,000 and debt of `
12,50,000 at 8% rate of interest. Calculate combined leverage.
Solution
Statement of Profit
Amount in `
Sales
Less:
Less:
25,00,000
Variable cost
15,00,000
Contribution
10,00,000
Fixed cost
5,00,000
Operating Profit
5,00,000
104 PP-FT&FM
Calculation of operating leverage
Contribution
Operating Profit
= 10,00,000
5,00,000
=2
` 5,00,000
` 1,00,000
` 4,00,000
= 1.25
Combined leverage = 2 1.25 = 2.5
If the earnings are not affected by the changes in current assets, the working capital leverage can be calculated
with the help of the following formula.
where,
CA = Current Assets
TA = Total Assets
DCA = Changes in the level of Current Assets
Exercise 7
The following information is available for two companies.
You are required to compare the sensitivity earnings of the two companies for 30% charge in the level of their
current assets.
Solution
Lesson 3
X Ltd.
Y Ltd.
` 4,00,000
` 1,00,000
Current Assets
` 10,00,000
` 4,00,000
Total Assets
` 14,00,000
` 14,00,000
` 1,50,000
` 1,50,000
Fixed Assets
= 0.90
= 0.3125
106 PP-FT&FM
refers to the use of debt to acquire additional assets. Financial leverage may decrease or increase return on
equity in different conditions.
A. Situation: High Financial Leverage:
Financial over-leveraging means incurring a huge debt by borrowing funds at a lower rate of interest and utilizing
the excess funds in high risk investments in order to maximize returns.
B. Situation: Low Financial Leverage:
Financial low-leveraging means incurring alow debt by borrowing funds. It may affect positively, if decrease the
value ofbought asset with this low debt.
8,500
5,000
(c ) Gross Profit
3,500
1,500
(2)
(e) EBIT
2,000
(3)
(1)
Business risk is associated with the impact of item no. (3) above of changes in item nos. (1) and (2). The Cost
of goods sold item consists of cost of raw materials, labour cost, factory rent and other manufacturing expenses.
Out of these elements, labour cost and factory rent are fixed costs while the rest are variable depending upon
the level of sales. Now if the fixed costs are increased the expectation would be that the sales would rise in
anticipated proportion. However if the sales do not rise as anticipated, business risk of the firm increases.
Uptill now we have assumed that the firm has no debt and as such, no interest cost. Let us assume that the firm raises
debt with yearly interest payment of ` 500 lacs. The Profit & loss account would now be extended as shown below:
Lesson 3
Sr.
No
Particulars
(a)
EBIT
(b)
Interest
(c)
(d)
Tax @ 40%
600
(e)
900
Amount
2,000
500
(4)
1,500
(5)
Now item no. (5) i.e. profit after tax is dependent on interest payments which are fixed. If EBIT decreases as a
result of changes in items (1) and (2) and item no. (4) remains the same, the venture would become riskier as an
additional element of financial risk has been built in. The change in risk profile of the firm has been caused by
change in its leverage. The changes in fixed labour costs and factory rent are referred to as changes in operating
leverage while the changes in fixed interest costs are described as changes in financial leverage.
A firm has operating leverage when it can expand output and sales without a proportionate increase in fixed
costs. Let us assume that in our earlier illustration, cost of sales has the following break-up:
Cost of raw materials
` 2,500
Labour Cost
` 500
Factory rent
` 500
` 1,500
Labour cost and factory rent are fixed costs for running the factory for manufacturing, say, 1,00,000 units of the
product. The firm now plans to expand the capacity to 2,00,000 units in the same factory by increasing the
number of factory labour and installation of new machinery. The profit and loss account under the two levels of
capacity would now read as under:
Amount in `
Capacity
Capacity
(100000 units)
(200000 units)
Sr. No.
Particulars
1.
Net Sales
8,500
17,000
2.
2,500
5,000
3.
Labour cost
500
1,000
4.
Factory rent
500
500
5.
1,500
2,500
6.
Gross profit
3,500
8,000
7.
Selling Expenses
1,500
2,500
8.
EBIT
2,000
5,500
9.
Tax @ 40%
800
2,200
10.
1,200
3,300
We see that while net sales have increased by 100%, the EBIT has increased by 175%, thanks to the operating
108 PP-FT&FM
leverage provided by the fixed factory rent and the fixed component of manufacturing expenses and selling
expenses, which we assume to be ` 500 lacs each.
Now, if due to recessionary conditions, capacity utilisation of the factory is reduced to 50% and 40% in two
subsequent years respectively, profitability of the firm would change as under:
Amount in `
Capacity
50%
Capacity
40%
Net Sales
8,500
6,800
2.
2,500
2,000
3.
Labour cost
1,000
1,000
4.
Factory rent
500
500
5.
1,500
1,300
6.
Gross profit
3,000
2,000
7.
Selling Expenses
1,500
1,300
8.
EBIT
1,500
700
9.
Tax @ 40%
600
280
10.
900
420
Sr. No
Particulars
1.
We see that the fall in EBIT is much sharper than the decline in sales. This has happened due to operating
leverage.
Let us assume that the firm decides to move from rented factory premises to own premises. This is achieved by
borrowing a sum of ` 15 crores from the bank carrying fixed interest of 12% p.a. The capacity is also simultaneously
doubled. The comparative profit & loss figures shall now read as under:
Amount in `
Original
Capacity
Double
Capacity
Sr. No.
Particulars
1.
Net Sales
8,500
17,000
2.
2,500
5,000
3.
Labour cost
500
1,000
4.
1,500
2,500
5.
Gross profit
4,000
8,500
6.
Selling Expenses
1,500
2,500
7.
EBIT
2,500
6,000
8.
Interest
180
180
9.
2,320
5,820
10.
Tax @ 40%
928
2,328
11.
1,392
3,492
Lesson 3
By creating financial leverage, the firm has not only ensured rise in EBIT but in PAT as well. But at the same time,
it has increased its financial risk, i.e. the risk of default on repayment of loan amount and the interest on loan.
Now let us see how financial leverage impacts the performance of the firm in recessionary conditions:
Amount in `
Original
Capacity
Double
Capacity
Sr. No.
Particulars
1.
Net Sales
8,500
6,800
2.
2,500
2,000
3.
Labour cost
1,000
1,000
4.
1,500
1,300
5.
Gross profit
3,500
2,500
6.
Selling Expenses
1,500
1,300
7.
EBIT
2,000
1,200
8.
Interest
180
180
9.
1,820
1,020
10.
Tax @ 40%
728
408
11.
1,112
612
We can see that in case of financial leverage, the impact on PAT upon reduction in capacity utilisation is much
severe. The degree of financial leverage can be calculated by the rate of change of PAT for a one percent
change in sales.
: ` 10,000
Situation 2
: ` 12,000
Capital structure:
110 PP-FT&FM
Financial Plan
X(`)
Y (`)
Equity
25000
50000
Debt (10%^)
50000
25000
75000
75000
Solution
Annual production and sales 60% of 5,000 = 3000 Unit
Contribution per Unit
Selling Price
25
15 Per Unit
10 Per Unit
Amount in `
PLAN- X
PLAN- Y
Situation 1
Situation 2
Situation 1
Situation 2
Contribution
30,000
30,000
30,000
30,000
Fixed cost
10,000
12,000
10,000
12,000
20,000
18,000
20,000
18,000
10% of 50,000
5,000
5,000
10% of 25,000
2,500
2,500
15,000
13,000
17,500
15,500
1.50
1.67
1.5
1.67
1.33
1.38
1.14
1.16
2.00
2.30
1.71
1.94
2.00
2.31
1.71428571
1.94
Interest on Debts
Highest and least value of combined leverage. Highest Value = 2.30 under situation 2 plan X. Least Value = 1.71
under situation 1 plan Y.
Example No. 2. XYZ company has a choice of the following three financial plans. You are required to calculate
the financial leverage in each case
Plan I
Plan II
Plan III
Equity capital
` 2,000
` 1,000
` 3,000
Debt
` 2,000
` 3,000
` 1,000
EBIT
` 400
` 400
` 400
Lesson 3
Amount in `
Plan I
Plan II
Plan III
EBIT
400
400
400
Less Interest-(I)
200
300
100
EBT
200
100
300
1.33
FL (EBIT/EBT)
Example No. 3. Calculate operating leverage and financial leverage under situations A, B and C and financial
plans 1, 2 and 3 respectively from the following information relating to the operating and financial leverage which
give the highest value and the least value.
Installed capacity (units)
Actual production and sales (units)
1,200
800
15
10
1,000
Situation B
2,000
Situation C
3,000
Financial Plan
Sources of Fund
Equity
` 5,000
` 7,500
` 2,500
Debt
` 5,000
` 2,500
` 7,500
Cost of debt
12 per cent
Solution
Amount in `
A
S VC
4,000
4,000
4,000
EBIT
3,000
2,000
1,000
1.33
3,000
3,000
3,000
600
300
900
2,400
2,700
2,100
1.25
1.11
1.43
112 PP-FT&FM
Situation B
EBIT
2,000
2,000
2,000
600
300
900
1,400
1,700
1,100
1.43
1.18
1.82
1,000
1,000
1,000
Less : Interest
600
300
900
EBT
400
700
100
Financial Leverage
2.5
1.43
10
Less : Interest
EBT
Financial Leverage
Situation C
EBIT
LESSON ROUND-UP
Capital Structure of a firm is a reflection of the overall investment and financing strategy of the firm. It
shows how much reliance is being placed by the firm on external sources of finance and how much
internal accruals are being used to finance expansions.
Optimal capital structure means arrangement of various components of the structure in tune with both
the long-term and short term objectives of the firm.
The three Capital Structure Theories areNet Income Approach, Net Operating Income Approach
and Modigliani Millar Approach.
Net income approach provides that the cost of debt capital, Kd and the cost of equity capital Ke remains
unchanged when the degree of leverage, varies.
Net Operating Income approach states that cost of the capital for the whole firm remains constant,
irrespective of the leverage employed in the firm.
Modigliani and Miller have restated the net operating income position in terms of three basic propositions:
Proposition I The total value of a firm is equal to its expected operating income divided by the
discount rate appropriate to its risk class.
Proposition II The expected yield on equity, Ke is equal to Ko plus a premium.
Proposition III The cut off rate for investment decision making for a firm in a given risk class is not
affected by the manner in which the investment is financed.
Leverage: leverage refers to relationship between two variables as reflected in a unit change in one
variable consequent upon a unit change in another variable.
Leverage =
Two major types of Leverages are: Financial leverage and operating leverage.
Financial leverage measures the extent to which the cost of project has been funded by borrowed
money as compared to owners equity.
EBIT EPS Analysis indicates the projected EPS for different financial plans.
Lesson 3
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
(These are meant for re-capitulation only. Answers to these questions are not to be submitted for
evaluation)
1. What is the significance of capital structure? Describe its various kinds.
2. What points need to be kept in mind while deciding the capital structure of a firm?
3. Describe the process of planning and designing of capital structure.
4. Briefly discuss the theories of capital structure.
5. Illustrate the difference between operating leverage and financial leverage.
6. What factors determine the cost of capital?
7. Explain the various types and leverages and their significance in financial decision making.
114 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 4
Cost of Capital
LESSON OUTLINE
Lesson 4
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
LESSON ROUND UP
Cost of a capital of a company is not only important Capital Budgeting decisions but it very important
in deciding the capital structure of a company and various important financial decisions.
115
116 PP-FT&FM
COST OF CAPITAL
The cost of capital is the required rate of return that a firm must achieve in order to cover the cost of generating
funds in the marketplace. It is used to evaluate new projects of a company as it is the minimum return that
investors expect for providing capital to the company, thus setting a benchmark that a new project has to meet.
Lesson 4
CIo =
t+1
COt
(t + C)t
Where,
CIo = initial cash inflow
C = outflow in the period concerned
N = duration for which the funds are provided
T = tax rate
Implicit cost is the rate of return associated with the best investment opportunity for the firm and its shareholders
that will be forgone if the projects presently under consideration by the firm were accepted.
118 PP-FT&FM
capital of each source. According to net present value method, present value of cash inflow must be
more than the present value of cash outflow. Hence, cost of capital is used to capital budgeting decision.
2. Importance to Structure Decision: Capital structure is the mix or proportion of the different kinds of
long term securities. A firm uses particular type of sources if the cost of capital is suitable. Hence, cost
of capital helps to take decision regarding structure.
3. Importance to Evolution of Financial Performance: Cost of capital is one of the important determining
which affects the capital budgeting, capital structure and value of the firm. Hence, it helps to evaluate
the financial performance of the firm.
4. Importance to Other Financial Decisions: Apart from the above points, cost of capital is also used in
some other areas such as, market value of share, earning capacity of securities etc. hence; it plays a
major part in the financial management.
Lesson 4
120 PP-FT&FM
Example 1
If the cost of debt for Cowboy Energy Services is 10% (effective rate) and its tax rate is 40% then:
Kd after taxes =Kd (1 tax rate)
= 10 (1 0.4) = 6.0 %
Example 2
Jain & Co sells a new issue of 6% irredeemable debentures to raise ` 100,000 and realizes the full face value of
` 100. The company falls in 40% tax bracket. Debts are issued at par. Find Cost of Capital
Solution
Before tax cost of debt = Interest / Sale value or Interest /Principal being issued at par
6,000 / 1,00,000 * 100 = 6%
Cost of debt after tax = (1 - T) * before tax cost of debt
= (1 - 0.40) * 6%
= 0.036 or 3.6%
Cost of debt which are issued at premium
Example 3
Jain & Co sells a new issue of 6% 1000 irredeemable debentures of ` 100 each @ 10 % premium. The company
falls in 40% tax bracket. Find Cost of Capital
Solution
Sale value or net proceeds from sale of Debentures (SV) = ` (1,000*100+ 1,000*100*10%)
= ` 1, 10,000
Kd = I (1 - T) / SV
Where:
Kd = cost of debt after tax
SV = Sale value of debentures
T = Tax rate
I = Annual interest payment
Cost of debt = 6,000 / 1,10,000 * (1 - 0.40) = 3.27%
Lesson 4
Kd = I (1 - T) / SV
Cost of debt = 6,000 / 90,000 * (1 - 0.40) = 4%
After tax cost of Redeemable debt :Kd (after tax) = Kd (before tax) * ( 1 - T )
Example 5
A firm issues debentures worth ` 1,00,000 and realizes ` 98,000 after allowing 2% commission to brokers. They
carry an interest rate of 10% and are due for maturity at the end of 10th year. The company has 40% tax bracket.
Solution
Redeemable value = `1,00,000; Sale value = ` 98,000. Annual interest (I) = ` 10,000
Cost of debt = ((10,000 + [1,00,000 - 98,000] / 10) / [(1,00,000 + 98,000) / 2)]
Cost of debt (after tax) = 6.18%
Example 6
X Limited issues its Bond at par @ `1,000 per bond. These bonds will mature after 20 years at part and bears
coupon rate of 10%. Coupons are annual. The bond will sell for par but flotation costs amount to ` 50 per bond.
What is the pre-tax and after-tax cost of debt for X Limited?
Solution
Present realization from sale of 1 Bond = ` 950
Annual Interest
= ` 100
= Rs 1000
122 PP-FT&FM
Kd = .1061 (1 - .34)
Kd = .07 = 7%
Lesson 4
Kp = D + (RV - SV) / N
(RV + SV) / 2
1. CAPM model
This is a popular approach to estimate the cost of equity. According to the SML, the cost of equity capital is:
Ke = Krf + (Km - Krf)
Where:
Ke = Cost of equity
Krf = Risk-free rate
Km = Equity market required return (expected return on the market portfolio)
124 PP-FT&FM
= beta - Systematic Risk Coefficient.
Example 10:
Calculate the cost of equity capital for a company whose Risk-free rate =10%, equity market required return
=18% with a beta of 0.5.
Solution
Ke= 0.10 + 0.5(0.18 - 0.10)
= 0.14 or 14%.
Lesson 4
current dividend is Rs, 4.5 per share. The dividends are expected to grow at the rate of 6%. Compute the cost of
equity capital.
Solution
Here, D1 = `4.5 + growth rate 6% = ` 4.77 per share
P0 = `95
Ke =
126 PP-FT&FM
Cost of Equity:
E(Ri)= Ri + im = x (E(Rm) Rf) 4% + 1.5 x 3.5 9.25
Cost of debt = 0.07(1-0.35) = 0.455 or 4.55%
WACC = (4.55%*1/3) + (9.25%*2/3)
= 0.076833
Example No 15
A firm is considering a new project which would be similar in terms of risk to its existing projects. The firm needs
a discount rate for evaluation purposes. The firm has enough cash on hand to provide the necessary equity
financing for the project.
Also, the firm has 10,00,000 common shares outstanding current price ` 11.25 per share. Next years dividend
expected to be `1 per share firm estimates dividends will grow at 5% per year.
It has 1,50,000 preferred shares outstanding. The current price of preference share is `9.50 per share and
dividend is `0.95 per share. if new preferred are issued, they must be sold at 5% less than the current market
price (to ensure they sell) and involve direct flotation costs of `0.25 per share
It has a total of `10,00,000 (par value) in debt outstanding. The debt is in the form of bonds with 10 years left to
maturity. They pay annual coupons at a coupon rate of 11.3%. Currently, the bonds sell at 106% of par value.
Flotation costs for new bonds would equal 6% of par value.
The firms tax rate is 40%. What is the appropriate discount rate for the new project?
Solution:
Market value of common = 11.25(1000000)
` 1,06,00,000
` 2,32,75,000
Cost of Equity:
Div1
g
P
1
0.05
11.25
0.1389
Div
net P
0.95
9.50(1 0.05) 0.25
0.1083
` 1,12,50,000
` 14,25,000
Lesson 4
Cost of debt:
Net price = 106% - 6% = 100% of par value
Net price = par
Therefore, cost of debt = coupon rate
r = 11.3%
Therefore:
11250000
1425000
10600000
WACC
0.1389
0.1083
0.1131 0.4
23275000
23275000
23275000
0.1046
10.46%
Marginal Cost of Capital (MCC)
MCC can be defined as the cost of additional capital introduced in the capital structure since we have assumed
that the capital structure can vary according to changing requirements of the firm.
The following illustration shows how marginal cost of capital can be calculated:
Let us assume that the capital structure of the firm has been expanded by addition to various components. The
addition has been ` 2,000 lacs for debt, ` 1,000 lacs for preference capital, ` 2,000 lacs for equity capital and
` 6,000 lacs for retained earnings. The cost of each component of the capital structure after addition would be
the weighted average of the old and new values of the component:
Componen
Existing
Value
Cost
(%)
Additional
Value
Cost
(%)
Weighted
Average
Cost (%)
Debt
4,000
14
2,000
16
14.6
Pref. Capital
1,000
1,000
12
10.5
Equity Capital
1,000
15
2,000
20
18.34
Ret. Earnings
4,000
18
6,000
18
18.00
Having calculated the weighted cost of each component, we calculate the weighted average cost of the entire
capital structure now:
Component
Weight (%)
Cost (%)
Weighted Cost
Debt
28.57
14.6
14.6 x 0.29
= 4.23
Preference capital
9.52
10.5
10.5 x 0.0952
= 1.00
Equity capital
14.28
18.34
Retained earnings
47.62
18
18 x 0.4762 = 8.57
Total
Marginal cost of addition is 16.42 15.2 = 1.22%. The return on investment has to be more than the revised
weighted average cost of capital in order to ensure that the investors stay invested.
128 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 4
E. Investments necessary to replace worn-out or damaged equipment tend to have low levels of risk.
SOLUTION
A. True: The need to gather information concerning the creditworthiness of borrowers increases the interest
rates charged by creditors. Similarly, the task of information gathering in the investment project evaluation
process reduces the IRR from those projects.
B. False: Even though depreciation expenses involve no direct cash outlay, they must be explicitly
considered in investment project evaluation because they affect corporate cash outlays for income tax
payments.
C. False: The marginal cost of capital will tend to be more elastic for larger as opposed to smaller firms.
Large firms tend to have easy access to capital markets given their relatively long operating history, and
substantial resources. On the other hand, the marginal cost of capital can increase rapidly (be quite
inelastic) for smaller firms which, for example, face capital constraints due to scarce managerial talent.
D. True: The component costs of debt and equity tend to be jointly as opposed to independently determined.
Higher levels of debt, for example, will usually increase the perceived level of risk for debt holders and
equity holders alike, and, therefore, raise the interest rate charged by creditors and the rate of return
requirement of stockholders.
E. True: Investments necessary to replace worn out or damaged equipment have highly predictable returns
and low levels of risk.
Exercise 2
ABC Ltd. has the following capital structure.
`
Equity (expected dividend 12%)
10% preference
10,00,000
5,00,000
8% loan
15,00,000
You are required to calculate the weighted average cost of capital, assuming 50% as the rate of income-tax,
before and after tax.
Solution
Sources of Funds
Amount in `
After Tax
Cost of Capital
Weights
Cost
Equity
10,00,000
12%
33.33%
3.99
Preference
5,00,000
10%
16.67
1.67
8% Loan
15,00,000
4%
50.00
2.00
7.66%
130 PP-FT&FM
Exercise 3
A company has on its books the following amounts and specific costs of each type of capital.
Type of Capital
Book Value
Market Value
Debt
4,00,000
3,80,000
Preference
1,00,000
1,10,000
Equity
6,00,000
9,00,000
15
Retained Earnings
2,00,000
3,00,000
13
13,00,000
16,90,000
Amount
Cost % (X)
Weighted Cost
Debt
4,00,000
20,000
Preference Shares
1,00,000
8,000
Equity Shares
6,00,000
15
90,000
Retained Earnings
2,00,000
13
26,000
W = 13,00,000
XW
W
Kw =
Kw =
1,44,000 x 100
13,00,000
= 11.1%
XW = 1,44,000
Lesson 4
B. Computation Weighted Average Cost of Capital using Market Value
Source of Funds
Amount
Cost % (X)
Weighted Cost
Debt
3,80,000
19,000
Preference Shares
1,10,000
8,800
Equity Shares
9,00,000
15
13,500
Retained Earnings
3,00,000
13
39,000
W = 16,90,000
KW =
XW
W
Kw =
2,01,800
100
16,90,000
XW = 2,01,800
= 11.9%
LESSON ROUND-UP
The cost of capital is a term used in the field of financial investment to refer to the cost of a company's
funds (both debt and equity), or, from an investor's point of view "the shareholder's required return on
a portfolio company's existing securities"
Cost of capital is used to evaluate new projects of a company and it is the minimum return that investors
expect for providing capital to the company.
For an investment to be worthwhile, the expected return on capital must be greater than the cost of
capital. The cost of capital is the rate of return that capital could be expected to earn in an alternative
investment of equivalent risk.
Cost of capital may be classified into the following types on the basis of nature and usage:
(a) Explicit and Implicit Cost.
(b) Average and Marginal Cost.
(c) Historical and Future Cost.
(d) Specific and Combined Cost.
There are four main factors which mainly determine the cost of Capital of a firm. General economic
conditions, the marketability of the firms securities (market conditions), operating and financing
conditions within the company, and the amount of financing needed for new investments.
There are factors affecting cost of capital that the company has control over and includes Capital
Structure Policy, Dividend Policy, Investment Policy etc.
There are some factors affecting cost of capital that the company has not control over and these
factors includes Level of Interest Rates, Tax Rates.
Cost of Debt is calculated after tax because interest payments are tax deductible for the firm. Cost of
capital is denoted by the term Kd.
Kd after taxes = Kd (1 tax rate)
132 PP-FT&FM
Irredeemable preference shares are those shares issuing by which the company has no obligation to
pay back the principal amount of the shares during its lifetime. The only liability of the company is to
pay the annual dividends. The cost of irredeemable preference shares is:
Kp (cost of pref. share) =
Kp = D + (RV - SV) / N
(RV + SV) / 2
Lesson 4
g = Growth rate
Earnings-Price Ratio approach
According to this approach, the cost of equity capital is:
Ke =
E1
P0
Where:
E1 = Expected earnings per share for the next year
P0 = Current market price per share
E1 = (Current EPS) * (1 + growth rate of EPS)
The weighted average cost of capital (WACC), as the name implies, is the weighted average of the
costs of different components of the capital structure of a firm. WACC is calculated after assigning
different weights to the components according to the proportion of that component in the capital structure.
Marginal Cost of Capital (MCC) can be defined as the cost of additional capital introduced in the
capital structure since we have assumed that the capital structure can vary according to changing
requirements of the firm.
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
(These are meant for re-capitulation only. Answers to these questions are not to be submitted for evaluation)
1. What is cost of capital? Define cost of capital.
2. Cost of capital computation based on certain assumptions. Discuss. Explain the classification of cost.
3. Mention the importance of cost of capital. Explain the computation of specific sources of cost of capital.
4. How overall cost of capital is calculated? Explain various approaches for calculation of cost of equity.
5. Rama Company issued 1,20,000 10% debentures of ` 10 each at a premium of 10%. The costs of
floatation are 4%. The rate of tax applicable to the company is 55%. Complete the cost of debt capital.
(Ans. 4.26%)
6. Siva Ltd., issued 8,000 8% debentures for ` 100 each at a discount of 5%. The commission payable to
underwriters and brokers is ` 40,000. The debentures are redeemable after 5 years. Compute the
after tax cost of debt assuming a tax rate of 60%. (Ans. 3.69%)
7. Suraiya Limited issued 4,000 12% preference shares of ` 100 each at a discount of 5%. Costs of
raising capital are ` 8,000. Compute the cost of preference capital. (Ans. 12.90%)
134 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 5
Lesson 5
Financial Services
LESSON OUTLINE
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Merchant Banking,
Housing Finance,
Securitization of Debt
Loan Syndication
LESSON ROUND UP
Loan Syndication
Securitization
Housing Finance
Custodial Services
Regulation of Financial Services Sector
Future of Financial services is very bright in developing country like India but for using various
financial services in an efficient manner Financial literacy will be the key.
Unknown
135
136 PP-FT&FM
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
The economic development of a nation is reflected by the progress of the various economic units, broadly
classified into corporate sector, government and household sector. While performing their activities these units
will be placed in a surplus/deficit/balanced budgetary situations.
There are areas or people with surplus funds and there are those with a deficit. A financial system or financial
sector functions as an intermediary and facilitates the flow of funds from the areas of surplus to the areas of
deficit. A Financial System is a composition of various institutions, markets, regulations and laws, practices,
money managers, analysts, transactions and claims and liabilities.
Seekers of funds
(mainly firms and
government)
Suppliers of
funds (mainly
householder
Financial Institutions
Non
Institution
Banking Institution
Cooperative
Banks
Banks
Captial Mkt
Term
Type
Fund Based
Leasing
Treasury bills
Medium term
Hire purchase
Commercial Bill
Long term
Factoring
Short term
Private Sector
Foreign Banks
Public Sector
RRBs
Financial Services
Financial Instruments
Money Mkt
Commercial
Financial Market
Banking
Fee based
Primary Market
Primary Securities
Merchant Banking
Secondary Market
Secondary Securities
Credit Rating
Derivative Market
Organised financial
Unorganised financia
Institutions
institutions
Since this lesson is concentrated on financial services, we will make elaborate discussion about Financial
Services.
Lesson 5
industry encompasses a broad range of organizations that deal with the management of money. Among these
organizations are Asset Management Companies like leasing companies, merchant bankers and Liability
Management Companies like discounting houses and acceptance houses, and further general financial institutions
like banks, credit card companies, insurance companies, consumer finance companies, stock exchanges, and
some government sponsored enterprises. The term Financial Services in a broad sense means mobilising
and allocating savings. Thus, it includes all activities involved in the transformation of savings into investment
138 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 5
Structuring the financial collaborations / joint ventures by identifying suitable joint venture partners and
preparing joint venture agreements.
Rehabilitating and restructuring sick companies through appropriate scheme of reconstruction and
facilitating the implementation of the scheme.
Hedging of risks due to exchange rate risk, interest rate risk, economic risk, and political risk by using
swaps and other derivative products.
Managing In- portfolio of large Public Sector Corporations.
Undertaking risk management services like insurance services, buy-hack options etc.
Advising the clients on the questions of selecting the best source of funds taking into consideration the
quantum of funds required, their cost, lending period etc.
Guiding the clients in the minimization of the cost of debt and in the determination of the optimum debtequity mix.
Promoting credit rating agencies for the purpose of rating companies which want to go public by the
issue of debt instrument.
Undertaking services relating to the capital market, such as 1) Clearing services, 2) Registration and
transfers, 3) Safe custody of securities, 4) Collection of income on securities
140 PP-FT&FM
FINANCIAL SERVICES
CORPORATE/COMMERCIAL
PERSONAL
TRANSACTIONAL
SECURITY
FUND BASED
Equipment leasing
Hire Purchase
Bill Discounting
Loans/Investments
Venture Capital
Housing Finance
Capital Restructuring
WEALTH
ACCUMULATION
GENERATION
OF FINANCIAL
NON-FUND/FEE BASED
Issue Management Services
Portfolio Management
Corporate Counseling
Loan Syndication
Arranging Foreign Collaboration
Merger & Acquisition
Factoring
Lesson 5
142 PP-FT&FM
Increasing acceptance of microfinance has, in turn, laid the groundwork for an increasing focus on mesofinance, or small and medium enterprise finance loans and investments larger than micro-loans, but smaller
than would be profitable for a large, commercial financial institution to make.
Second, remittances from developed to developing countries, sent home by migrants, have reached sizes and
growth rates too large for the major commercial players to ignore. The World Bank has shown that these flows
totaled some $199 billion in 2006, more than twice the amount in 2001. And this figure includes only transfers
through official channels. Available household surveys suggest that unrecorded flows through informal channels
may add 50 percent or more to this estimate.
Almost all multinational banks now have microfinance initiatives, and the challenge has become moving their
commitments and activities into mainstream business operations where they can scale to match the enormous
global demand.12,13 Another challenge is to expand the focus from microfinance to meso-finance, roughly
defined as financing in the $50,000 to $1 million range, which would enable small and start-up businesses to
grow to levels where they could begin taking advantage of economies of scale and creating significant numbers
of jobs.
Lesson 5
144 PP-FT&FM
(c) Managing/Advising on international offerings of debt/equity i.e. GDR, ADR, bonds and other instruments;
(d) Private placement of securities;
(e) Primary or satellite dealership of government securities;
(f) Corporate advisory services related to securities market including takeovers, acquisition and
disinvestment;
(g) Stock broking;
(h) Advisory services for projects;
(i) Syndication of rupee term loans;
(j) International financial advisory services.
The activities of the merchant bankers in the Indian capital market are regulated by SEBI (Merchant Bankers)
Regulations, 1992 notified by SEBI in exercise of the powers conferred by Section 30 of SEBI Act, 1992 after
approval of the Central Government.
LOAN SYNDICATION
Loan syndication involves obtaining commitment for term loans from the financial institutions and banks to
finance the project. Basically it refers to the services rendered by merchant bankers in arranging and procuring
credit from financial institutions, banks and other lending and investment organisation or financing the client
project cost or working capital requirements. In a service, it is project finance service.
Loan syndication is infact a tie up of term loans from the different financial institutions. The process of loan
syndication involves the following steps:
1. Firstly, where the borrower directly submits the loan application to the lead financial institutions for a
particular industry, the loan syndication gets automatically arranged through the lead institution who on
its own would like the other financial institutions to participate in the financial assistance to the borrower.
In this case, borrower need not approach the different financial institutions.
2. Secondly, where the borrower engages a merchant bank for arranging the loan syndication, then it
becomes the duty of the merchant bank to approach the financial institutions before making a formal
application to ascertain the possibilities of getting loan for a particular industry from the financial institutions.
On getting the positive response, the merchant bank submits the formal information or applications form
to the financial institution for the loan on behalf the borrower. The merchant banker also makes an
indepth study of the investment proposal before taking up the project for loan syndication.
The process of loan syndication involves the formalities such as:
(1) Preparation of project details,
(2) Preparation of loan application,
(3) Selection of financial institutions for loan syndication,
(4) Issue of sanction letter of intent from the financial institutions
(5) Compliance of terms and conditions for the availment of the loan,
(6) Documentation, and
(7) Disbursement of the loan.
The public financial institutions require the borrower to submit the requisite information for the loan in the prescribed
forms along with the project report which is thoroughly scrutinised by them at individual levels and discussed in
Lesson 5
the inter-institutional meetings. After the officers of the institutions satisfy themselves of the viability of the project,
the proposal for the loan is submitted to the sanctioning authority and it is after this sanction the formal letter of
intent is issued to the borrower.
This letter of intent is only an offer for financial assistance which is required to be accepted by the borrower in its
board meeting with all the necessary terms and conditions appended to it. On complying with the terms and
conditions of the loan, the borrower company avails of the loan amount in suitable installments as per the project
details submitted and agreed to by the Financial Institutions. Before compliance of all the formalities and before
the creation of security, the borrower also can avail of a Bridge Loan against the sanctioned amount of the loan.
In this way, it has been seen that the merchant bankers are neither creators of credit like commercial banks nor
are they purveyors of credit like development banks. What they do is that they arrange/procure finance on
request for the projects that come up for counseling. That is, in sequence of merchant banking services
arrangement of finance comes next to project counseling. Otherwise too, after having decided the project to be
undertaken, its implementation as a pre-requisite would require arrangement of funds that would involve,
(a) Assessing the quantum and nature of funds required;
(b) Locating the various sources of finance;
(c) Approaching these sources with loan application forms and complying with other formalities etc.
146 PP-FT&FM
Loan Application
This is an important aspect of loan syndication which would include preparation of loan application, filing and
following up the loan application with the financial institution and arranging the disbursal of the same. Adequate
care has to be taken particularly with regard to the compliance of what are known as covenants or the terms
and conditions stipulated in the letter of intent/sanction, particularly with regard to security, conversion option
etc. Other than these, the company has to ensure the compliance of the provisions of the Companies Act,
especially those pertaining to powers of the company to borrow and other relevant legislations to be entitled for
obtaining the disbursement of the amount of loan.
SECURITIZATION OF DEBT
Securitisation constitutes a key segment of structured finance. It is a technique by which identified receivables
and other financial assets can be packaged into transferable securities and sold to investors. The instruments
issued under a securitisation deal derive their value from the cash flows (current or future) or collateral value of
Lesson 5
a specified financial asset or pool of financial assets, general debt obligations or other financial receivables.
Normally, these instruments do not have any recourse to the Originator other than aforementioned assets and
specified third party support mechanisms that are clearly defined and are not unlimited (i.e. credit enhancements).
The simplest way to understand the concept of securitisation is to take an example. Let us say, I want to own a
car to run it for hire. I could take a loan with which I could buy the car. The loan is my obligation and the car is my
asset, and both are affected by my other assets and other obligations. This is the case of simple financing.
On the other hand, if I were to analytically envisage the car, my asset in the instant case, as claim to value over
a period of time, that is, ability to generate a series of hire rentals over a period of time, I might sell a part of the
cash flow by way of hire rentals for a stipulated time and thereby raise enough money to buy the car. The
investor is happier now, because he has a claim for a cash flow which is not affected by my other obligations; I
am happier because I have the cake and eat it also and also because the obligation to repay the financier is
taken care of by the cash flows from the car itself.
In this way, in securitization the loan itself is not sold to another lender but rather a security instrument is created
backed by the principal and interest payments on the loan. Through this means the beneficial ownerships of the
loan is effectively transferred. The purchaser of the loan assumes the risk in the event of loan default, and the
lender removes the risk from its balance sheet. Once securitization has taken place, then the securities themselves
can be traded in a secondary market. To the borrowers, securitisation does not matter for what they get is loan
and to them it makes no difference as to who holds the claim.
Securitisation can be classified into two categories:
(1) Asset backed securitisation (ABS)- Securitisation of receivables which are existing i.e. the obligation
of the Obligor to make payments is not dependent on further action or performance by the Originator.
E.g. Mortgage-backed receivables, auto receivables securitisation and hire purchase rental receivables.
(2) Future Flow securitisation (FFS)- Securitisation of receivables which are to be generated in the future
i.e. the obligation of the Obligor to make payments depends on further substantial performance by the
Originator . E.g. Typical FFS receivables are trade receivables (long term), electricity receivables, and
toll road receivables.
148 PP-FT&FM
Investor for the finance provided and the returns thereon against identified risks. Typically, on the
happening of pre-identified events, affecting the underlying assets or cash flows or the payment ability
of the Obligors, these entities pay moneys, which are passed on, to the Investor.
Besides these primary parties, the other parties involved in a deal are given below:
1. Rating Agency: Since structured finance deals are generally complex with intricate payment structures
and legal mechanisms, rating of the transaction by an independent qualified rating agency plays an
important role in attracting Investors.
2. Administrator or Servicer: The Servicer performs the functions of collecting the cash flows, maintaining
the assets, keeping records and general monitoring of the Obligors. In many cases, especially in the
Indian context, the Originator also performs the role of the Servicer.
3. Agent and Trustee: The Trustee is the manager of the SPV and plays a key role in the transaction. The
Trustee generally administers the transaction, manages the inflow and outflow of moneys, and does all
acts and deeds for protecting the rights of the Investors including initiating legal action against various
participants in case of any breach of terms and triggering payment from various credit enhancement
structures.
4. Structurer: Normally, an investment banker acts as the structurer and designs and executes the
transaction. The Structurer also brings together the Originator, Credit Enhancement Provider, the Investors
and other parties to a deal. In some cases (like ICICI), the Investor also acts as the Structurer.
Generic deal diagram
A securitisation deal normally has the following stages:1. The originator issues loan to the obligors
2. The cashflows (principal + interest) on the loan are collected by the collection agent on behalf of the
originator.
3. Support mechanisms (or credit enhancements) are appointed in the structure in order to minimise or
mitigate potential credit risks.
4. The loan pool is selected and credit rating is taken.
5. A structure, generally, a merchant banker is appointed.
6. The SPV is formed. It acquires the receivables under an agreement at their discounted value.
7. The SPV pays the purchase consideration to the originator.
Lesson 5
8. & 9. The SPV funds the purchase by issuing class A (senior) Pass Through Certificates (PTCs) and
class B (Subordinated) PTCs.
10. The collection agent collects the receivables, usually in an escrow mechanism, and pays off the collection
to the SPV.
11. The SPV either passes the collection to the investors, or reinvests the same to pay off to investors at
stated intervals.
Since the early 1990s, securitization has been one of the dominant means of capital formation in the United
States. Several trillion dollars in securitizations were outstanding at its peak before the financial crisis, and it
remains an important source of financing. The investors can be banks, mutual funds, other financial institutions,
government etc. In India only qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) who possess the expertise and the financial
muscle to invest in securities market are allowed to invest in PTCs. In order to prevent unhealthy practices
surrounding securitization viz; origination of loans for the sole purpose of securitization and in order to align the
interest of the originator with that of the investors and with a view to redistribute credit risk to a wide spectrum of
investors, it was felt necessary by the Reserve Bank of India that originators should retain a portion of each
securitization originated and ensure more effective screening of loans. In addition, a minimum period of retention
of loans prior to securitization was also considered desirable, to give comfort to the investors regarding the due
diligence exercised by the originator. The Bank vide its circular DBOD.No.BP.BC-103/21.04.177/2011-12 dated
May 07, 2012 has issued the final guidelines in this regard to banks. It has been decided to extend the guidelines
to NBFCs also.
Other Players
Central and
State
Governments
Housing and
Urban
Development
Corporation
Insurance
Organisation
Banks
Cooperative
Bank
Specialized Housing
Financing Institutions
150 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 5
5. Large-scale construction : HDFC provides loans for constructing large-scale housing, under group
housing or for employees of a particular organization on the basis of collective responsibility.
6. Facility to weaker sections : The corporation provides loans for creating housing facility to people
belonging to the weaker sections of society. This is done through low-cost housing, by using hollowblocks for construction.
Objectives
1. To provide long-term finance for construction of houses for residential purposes in urban and rural
areas, and finance or undertake housing and urban infrastructure development programmers in the
country.
2. To finance or undertake, wholly or partly, the setting up of new or satellite towns.
3. To subscribe to debentures and bonds issued by the State Housing and Urban Development Boards,
Improvement Trusts, and Development Authorities, etc especially for the purpose of housing and urban
development programmes.
4. To finance or undertake the setting up of industrial enterprise for building material.
5. To administrate the amount received, from time to time, from the Government of India and other sources
as grants or otherwise, for the purpose of financing or undertaking housing and urban development
programmes in the country
6. To promote, establish, assist, collaborate and provide consultancy services for the projects in designing
and planning of works relating to housing and urban development in India and abroad.
Housing Programmes
HUDCO undertakes the following housing programs:
Urban housing
Rural housing
Cooperative housing
Construction housing
152 PP-FT&FM
Staff rental housing
Repairs, renewals and upgradations
Night shelters for pavement dwellers
Working women ownership condominium
Housing schemes through NGOs/CBOs
Housing through private sector
Individual housing loans through HUDCO Niwas
Lesson 5
The part played by it in the supply of housing finance falls into three categories: (i) promotional, (ii)
regulatory and (iii) financial. The promotional role includes promotion of HFIs/HFCs, coordination with
Government and other agencies in securing necessary amendments to the existing laws to remove
impediments in the housing sector and encouragement to participation of NGOs and social action groups
in housing development. The regulatory powers exercised earlier by the RBI relating to HFCs are now
the domain of the NHB. It regulates them through directions and guidelines. The financial support by the
NHB to HFCs is in the form of equity capital and refinance, promotion of loan linked savings instruments
and mortgage-based securitizations.
In pursuance of its objective to promote HFCs and to provide financial and other support to them, the
NHB issues operating guidelines to them from time to time. These pertain to share capital and activity
norms, nominee directors and auditors, lending norms in terms of target groups, refinance rates of
interest and other charges, ceiling on administrative cost, quarterly returns and so on.
The NHB prudential norms for HFI relate to income recognition, provisioning, asset classification, capital
adequacy, concentration of credit/investment and so on.
154 PP-FT&FM
Around 90 percent of all the land in India does not have a clear title. The ownership in unclear and
hence, the land is off the market, thereby creating scarcity of land. This problem could be attributed to
poor record keeping and complicated processes.
(iii) High Stamp Duty: The cost of transferring land, stamp duty and registration charges payable are
prohibitively high. This dissuades people from seeking housing development and financing. Moreover,
the procedure followed is also not transparent.
(iv) Obsolete Rental Laws: Obsolete tenancy and rental control laws keep a large part of the urban properties
off the market. The rental laws must be revised to protect the owner and the property from the tenant. It
is incumbent that steps are taken to get rid of all the old tenancies, remove restrictions on increase of
rentals and empower owners to reclaim their properties without any court proceedings, which currently
may even take decades.
(v) Foreclosure Laws: Though the level of foreclosure for the housing finance companies are relatively
low at around 1.5 to 2 percent, the foreclosure laws are obsolete and outdated. The laws for nonpayment of Equated monthly Installment (EMI) and consequent foreclosure and repossession of the
property must be revised. This would help financing companies to have the final rights on the property,
which is the collateral for the housing loan. Moreover, this would further boost the housing finance
business.
(vi) Inadequate Building Codes and Standards: Although there are several building guidelines and
standards in various cities and states, neither the housing developers follow them and nor do the
authorities implement them. The system needs to be made more transparent and direct, so that there is
no room for ambiguity and confusion. Presently too much of paperwork in the form of different permissions
that needs to be obtained from too many authorities. They need to be centralized, simplified, streamlined
and made transparent, so that there is no scope for corruption and time delays. There must be a single
window clearance for all building and construction requirements. This will reduce time, paperwork and
corruption at all levels and attract further investment capital. Mandatory ratings of developers and projects
can be undertaken by rating agencies like NAREDCO, ICRA, CRISIL, etc to safeguard the interests of
the public and increase investor confidence.
(vii) Inadequate Development and Planning: The city or state authorities must use professionals to plan
and execute all development plans for cities and towns, with future development in mind. This must be
done without any political compulsions. The plans must be prepared in advance and executed without
any exceptions and all regulations must be strictly enforced. The central and the state governments
must lay down specific overall guidelines for the city/town coporations to follow and enforce them strictly.
This will allow porper zoning within cities and towns, and green areas and other infrastructure systems
to fall into place as the development plans unfold.
(viii) Inadequate Infrastructure: This is one problem area which needs to be tackled on a war footing. Most
Indian cities lack the infrastructure since they fail to keep pace with the growth in population and
development. The central and state governments must provide sufficient power, water and roads to
cope with the growth. The electricity boards must be able to provide reliable power and the corporation
must charge reasonable property taxes to cover the costs of roads and water supply. The assessment
base of property tax must be changed from historical value to capital value. The user charge for water,
sewage and electricity and other municipal services boards may have to be considered very seriously.
Presently, the property taxes do not cover the infrastructure costs. There is also pilferage and actual
charges are not collected. The government cannot continue to subsidize these infrastructure costs
indefinitely.
Lesson 5
156 PP-FT&FM
In the Depository mode, corporate actions such as IPOs, rights, conversions, bonus, mergers/amalgamations,
subdivisions & consolidations are carried out without the movement of papers, saving both cost & time. Information
of beneficiary owners is readily available. The issuer gets information on changes in shareholding pattern on a
regular basis, which enables the issuer to efficiently monitor the changes in shareholdings.
The Depository system links the issuing corporates, Depository Participants (DPs), the Depositories and clearing
corporation/ clearing house of stock exchanges. This network facilitates holding of securities in the soft form and
effects transfers by means of account transfers.
Lesson 5
8. Elimination of problems related to selling securities on behalf of a minor - A natural guardian is not
required to take court approval for selling demat securities on behalf of a minor.
LESSON ROUND-UP
Various services offered by merchant bankers include: corporate counseling; project Counseling and
pre-investment studies; capital re-structuring; credit syndication and project finance; issue management
and underwriting; portfolio management; non-resident investment counseling and management;
acceptance credit and bill-discounting; advising on mergers, amalgamations and take-over, arranging
off-shore finance; fixed deposit brokering; and relief to sick industries
A diversified housing finance system is emerging in the country. The main components of the system
are the NHB, the HUDCO, insurance organisations, commercial and cooperative banks and specialized
158 PP-FT&FM
HFIs in the public, private and /joint sectors such as the HDFCs, the SBIHF, Canfin Home, Indbank
Housing, Citihome, Dewan Housing Finance and so on.
Securitisation is the process of pooling and repackaging of homogeneous illiquid financial assets into
marketable securities that can be sold to investors. The process leads to the creation of financial
instruments that represent ownership interest in, or are secured by a segregated income producing
asset or pool, of assets. The pool of assets collateralises securities. These assets are generally secured
by personal or real property such as automobiles, real estate,or equipment loans but in some cases
are unsecured, for example, credit card debt and consumer loans.
Custodial services constitute an important modern financial service rendered by institutions of finance.
Custodial services refer to safekeeping of securities of a client. The person who provides custodial
services is known as a custodian. A custodian maintains the accounts of securities of his client;
collects benefits accruing to the client in respect of securities under custody; keeps the client informed
of the actions taken by the issuer of securities; and maintains and reconciles records of the services.
In Depository System, share certificates belonging to the investors are to be dematerialized and their
names are required to be entered in the records of depository as beneficial owners.
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
(These are meant for re-capitulation only. Answers to these questions are not to be submitted for
evaluation)
1. What do you mean by the term Financial Services? State various types of financial Services.
2. What is the significance of financial services in a country like India? Elucidate.,
2. Describe the role of Merchant Bankers in managing pre-capital issues.
3. Loan syndication is one of the project finance services. Discuss.
4. Define a financial service industry and discuss the various services rendered by it.
5. Write short notes on:
(a) Depository system in India
(b) Merchant Banking
Lesson 5
160 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 6
Project Planning
LESSON OUTLINE
Lesson 6
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Project Planning
Loan Documentation,
Loan Documentation
Loan Syndication Bridge Loans against
Sanctioned Loan
Private Equity;
International Finance and Syndication of
Loans,
162 PP-FT&FM
PROJECT PLANNING
What is Project Planning?
Project planning defines the project activities and end products that will be performed and describes how the
activities will be accomplished. The purpose of project planning is to define each major task, estimate the time
and resources required, and provide a framework for management review and control. The project planning
activities and goals include defining:
1. The specific work to be performed and goals that define and bind the project.
2. Estimates to be documented for planning, tracking, and controlling the project.
3. Commitments that are planned, documented, and agreed to by affected groups.
4. Project alternatives, assumptions, and constraints.
The planning process includes steps to estimate the size of the project, estimate the technical scope of the
effort, estimate the resources required to complete the project, produce a schedule, identify and assess risks,
and negotiate commitments.
Repetition of these steps is necessary to establish the project plan. Typically, several iterations of the planning
process are performed before a plan is actually completed.
Lesson 6
Strategic
Planning
Business Needs
Budgeting Estimates
IT Strategy
Resources
Project
Start-up
Detailed Specifications
Identified Project Risks
Project Organization
Estimate to Complete
Detailed Project Schedule
Detailed WBS
Staffing & Resource Plan
Deliverable Assignments
Technical Approach
Quality Plan
Baselined Project Plan
Planning
Risk ID
Project
Close-Out
Concept
Definition
Concept Paper
Project Categorization
Pre-project Team Org
Cost Constraints
Schedule Requirements
Project Sponsor ID
Technology Assessment
Cost Benefit Analysis
Make Buy Decision
Critical Success Factors
Project Methodology Tailoring
Project
Performance
Requirement Changes
Risk & Mitigation List
Current Project Organization
Current Estimate to Complete
Planned vs Actual Schedule
Current WBS
Planned vs Actual Staffing
Current Deliverable Assignments
Updated Technical Approach
Project Action Items
Quality Audits
Updated Project Plan
Statement of Work
Oversight Risk Assail
Pre-Project Team Org
Project Budget Estimates
Project Timeframe
Key Schedule Milestones
Identified Project Tasks
Resource Identification
Deliverable Requirements
Technical Approach Req
Quality Activities
Draft Project Plan
Lessons Learned
Team Awards
Final Cost
Values Admin
Closure Contract Closure
The plan defines the objectives of the project, the approach to be taken, and the commitment being assumed.
The project plan evolves through the early stages and, by the time the project is ready to begin project execution,
contains the detail required to successfully complete the project. Then, when implementation begins, the plan is
updated as required.
(1) Planning in the Concept Phase
In the projects concept phase, a need that would result in a product is identified. While only very general
information may be known about the project at this time, it is important to capture this information for the planning
phase. In this stage, the focus of planning is on the project definition and on getting the project underway. A
strategy for deriving a solution to the stated goals is important at this point. The problem being addressed by the
project is clearly stated; the project goals and objectives are identified; and success criteria for the project are
documented. Also, the assumptions, constraints, and risks that apply to the project are defined. Without a
description of this concept information, the completed project plan is difficult to thoroughly understand. Results
of the technology assessment also are documented as a precursor to the technical approach that is later defined
(2) Planning in the Planning Stage
The project plan is completed in the Project Planning and Risk Identification stage of a project. For large projects,
this stage may be run as a mini-project, with a team of people dedicated to performing the effort. For very small
projects, the plan may be developed by a group of people as a part-time job. Since various skill sets are required
164 PP-FT&FM
to complete a successful project plan, it is a difficult task for one person to develop the entire plan. During this
project stage, details of the plan are determined and an approach is defined. The full project plan is then developed.
The plan may include the following elements: a brief project summary, a work breakdown structure, a project
organization chart, a schedule, an approach, a list of identified risks, an estimated budget and cost, a list of
deliverables, a description of planned quality activities, a description of the configuration management process
to be used, and a summary of project requirements.
Even during the planning stage, the development of the project plan is an iterative process. Each element of the
plan is regularly revisited for changes and refinements, based upon further analysis and decisions made in
developing other plan elements. This refinement also develops .buy-in. from the project team and stakeholders.
It is critical to get buy off on the project plan from the involved parties prior to actually starting the project.
Approval of the plan commits the resources needed to perform the work.
(3) Planning in the Project Start-up Stage
To transition a project from the initial conceptualization and planning to execution requires some type of start-up
activities. The project start-up stage is typically a short period that transitions a project from the planning to the
execution stage. In the start-up stage, the team is assembled and a kickoff meeting is held to familiarize the
team with the elements of the plan and the requirements of the system. Specific work packages detail and
specify the activities being performed by the teams, as well as the cost and schedule associated with those
activities.
Sometimes, particularly in systems that include procurement, there may be a need to update the project plan
during this stage to reflect negotiations or refinements in scope that occurred prior to the actual start of the
project. In these cases, the plan is reviewed and updated prior to presentation to the team. Also, in some
projects, auxiliary plans (such as the configuration management or quality assurance plans) are detailed in the
start-up phase. These plans are developed from strategies defined in the project planning stage.
(4) Planning in the Project Execution Stage
Planning in the project execution stage consists of re-planning when it is determined that the project is not on
track with the current plan. This might occur for a variety of reasons. It is very important to know that project
plans will change and that re-planning is a natural part of the planning process. Re-planning does not necessarily
mean that a project is in trouble. Frequent and extensive re-planning may, however, indicate that there are some
serious issues with the project plan. It is better to re-plan than to simply throw away the original plan and operate
without a plan.
(5) Planning in the Project Close-Out Stage
A close-out process is performed once the project objectives have been met. Closing a project should be fairly
routine. The first step is acceptance of the system by the users. It is important that the user decides when the
project is completed. The determination is based upon the success criteria defined in the very early concept and
planning stages of the project. This acceptance may be very informal or it may be very formal and depends upon
the criteria defined in the plan.
Lesson 6
and the heavy financial state of public funds through financial institutions, banks and investment organisation
being contemplated. High technology involvement, higher cost in the project implementation and as such economy
cannot afford to tolerate failure of the project. Therefore, to ensure before taking in hand a project whether or not
the proposed project is viable, preparation of project report has become essential exercise for all corporate units
particularly in the light of the following background:
(1) Planning in advance, the accomplishment of the following objectives:
(a) Performance Objectives
(b) Marketing Objectives
(c) Operations Objectives
(d) Technical Objectives
(e) Financial Objectives
(f) Personnel Objectives
(g) Organisation Objectives
(h) The end product Objectives
(i) The customer benefit Objectives, and
(j) The societal Objectives
(2) To evaluate above objectives in the right perspective it is essential to consider the input data, analyse
the data, predict outcome, choose best alternatives, take action and measure results with predictions.
Stress is laid that the objectives become measurable, tangible, verifiable, attainable and the risk of
failures is avoided to the maximum desired extents.
(3) To evaluate constraints on resources viz. manpower, equipment, financial and technological.
(4) To avail of the financial facilities who require a systematic project report to evaluate desirability of
financing the project. Besides, the financial intermediaries today check up and verify the project
proposals for accepting the responsibility for a company to procure funds from the capital market.
Merchant banks who have entered in the capital market as financial intermediaries are quite careful
about the project viability before taking up a contract for making financial services available to corporate
units.
(5) Successful implementation of a project depends upon the course of action suggested in the project
report. Besides, comparison of results will depend upon the projected profitability and cash flows,
production schedule and targets as planned in the project report.
The above background necessitating the preparation of a project report leaves the impression that the task of
preparation of project report involves skills, expertise and experience of field work covering different aspects by
financial, technical, commercial, socio-economic, government rules and regulations and the legal requirements
under different laws and can only be handled by a team of experts in different areas. Project idea can be
formulated by an entrepreneur but project report cannot be prepared single-handedly as it requires a multidisciplinary approach to incorporate the following set of analysis in the project report:
166 PP-FT&FM
Potential Market
Market Analysis
Market Share
Technical Viability
Technical Analysis
Sensible Choices
Risk
Financial Analysis
Return
Benefits and Costs in Shadow Prices
Ecological Analysis
Restoration Measures
(1) Technical analysis comprising systems analysis using technique of operation research to sort out complex
problems like allocation problems, replacement problems, inventory problems, scheduling and queuing
of operations with use of PERT/CPM, Linear programming. Inter programming, Goal Programming and
simulation etc.
(2) Marketing research to forecast demand for goods/services which may be produced on implementation
of the project, capture market and elicit cooperation of the consumers etc.
(3) Financial analysis, to project future cash flows, profitability, evaluate net worth, to do cost-benefit analysis,
profit plannings, budgeting and resource allocation, etc.
(4) Techno-economic Analysis suggesting to adopt optimal technology for project size/objectives, to explore
economic conditions to absorb projects products, etc.
(5) Project Design and network analysis i.e. detailed work plan to the project and its time profile.
(6) Input output analysis etc.
Lesson 6
168 PP-FT&FM
Important ingredients of appraisal are the following:
(1) Objectives as defined in the proposal to be kept in view for satisfactory assessment of operational
courses;
(2) Accuracy of methods and measurements planned to be adopted is well adhered to;
(3) Objectivity of the proposal is highlighted so as to keep off from the bias and personnel prejudices;
(4) Ensure the reliability of the data and projected statements;
(5) Predictors made to conform to reality and should be objective.
In project appraisal above points should be kept in view by the members of appraisal team irrespective of the
fact whether the appraisal is being done for an industrial project being implemented by a corporate unit or the
project devoted to the national economy sponsored by the state agency.
Form the angle of a company unit the project appraisal of the project may be done at three stages as under:
(1) Projects appraisal by the corporate unit itself i.e. the promoters of the company are interested in ensuring
that on successful implementation of the project whether or not it would generate the required rate of
return on the total investment. The promoters make selection of the projects following investment criteria
of obtaining the required rate of return. In this appraisal , all aspects with reference to project idea are
identified and evaluated. As a matter of fact, it is a feasibility study done to identify the project, identify
internal constraints and external difficulties, environmental constraints including government placed
restrictions and regulations. Once the promoters are satisfied on this aspect, they have the formal
feasibility report prepared and consider it for investment purposes.
(2) Second stage of project appraisal arises when a project report duly accepted by the promoters is submitted
by the corporate unit of financial institution for considering it for grant of financial institution for considering
it for grant of financial facilities to finance the cost of implementation of the project.
(3) Project appraisal is done by Government agencies for according approvals required to clear a particular
project under the different statues or state regulations. The main criterion followed by Government
agencies is the cost benefit analysis and social gains.
Lesson 6
However, during inflationary conditions the project cost is affected in magnitude of parameters. Cost of project
on all heads viz. labour wage, raw material, fixed assets, equipments, plant and machinery, building material,
remuneration of technicians and managerial personnels undergo a shift change. Besides, inflationary conditions
place constraints on the resources of the consumers of the product and affect the demand pattern. Thus cost at
production are affected besides the projected statements of profitability and cash flow by the change in the
demand pattern and market forecasting figures. The inflationary pressures alone do not stop here. The financial
institution and banks revise their rate of lending and their financing cost further escalate during inflationary
conditions. Under such conditions, the appraisal of the project generally be done keeping in view the following
guidelines which are usually followed by the Government agencies, banks and financial institutions:
(1) Make provisions for delay in project implementation, escalation in project cost as per the forecasted rate
of inflation in the economy particularly on all heads of cost.
(2) Sources of finance should be carefully scrutinized with reference to revision in the rate of interest to be
made by lender and the revision which could be followed in the interest bearing securities. All these
factors will push up the cost of financial resources for the corporate unit.
(3) Profitability and cash flow projections as made in the project report require revision and adjustment
should be made to take care of the inflationary pressures affecting adversely future projections.
(4) Explain fully the criteria followed in adjusting the inflationary pressures viz. there are two criteria followed
given as under:(a) take inflationary rate at average rate and escalate the total cost at that rate;
(b) adjust each cost item against inflationary rate. This would make adjustment for inflationary pressures
in the cost elements responsible outflows and the revenue elements in the cash. Both cash inflows
and outflows will accordingly adjust to inflationary changes at the appropriate rate applicable to
each of them respectively.
(5) Examine the financial viability of the project at the revised rates and assess the same with reference to
economic justification of the project. The appropriate measure for this aspect is the economic rate of
return for the project which will equate the present value of capital expenditure to net cash flows over
the life of the project. The rate of return should be acceptable which accommodates the rate of inflation
per annum.
(6) In inflationary times, early pay back projects should be prepared. Because projects with long pay back are
more subjected to inflationary pressures and the cash flow generated by the project will bear high risk.
170 PP-FT&FM
The Project
The first and foremost consideration for appraisal of project report by a financial institution is the examination of
the project itself. It may be recalled that the term lending financial institutions have been established by the
Government with the sole objective to promote development and growth of the industries which are given
planned priorities for the economic development of the country. Therefore, the project should be such which
meet this standard and falls within the category of approved projects.
Another important consideration in this area is that the project report prepared by the corporate unit should
confirm to the prescribed standard of the financial institutions. To be on the safe side, it is desirable if the project
report is prepared by the reputed consultants approved by the financial institutions or the Technical Consultancies
organisation established in different parts of the country by the financial institution.
There is no standard performa for preparation of report but to facilitate its easy appraisal it should be self
contained study with all necessary feasibility reports, market surveys, projected financial statements, managerial
personnel and organisational charts, status of the company in the ownership and title to the property and the
legal relationship with the promoters be clearly specified to avoid discrepancies and confusions. In reality, the
prescribed application form for financing by the financial institutions contains clauses to bring out most of the
salient features in accepting a project proposal.
Lesson 6
3. Viability Tests
After analyzing the Project and Promoters capacity, a bank/financial institution carries out the different validity
tests
A. Technical Aspects of Project Appraisal
This involves studying the feasibility of selected technical processes and its suitability under Indian conditions,
Location of the project, Plant layout, appropriateness of the chosen equipment, machinery and technology,
availability of raw material, power and other inputs, appropriateness of technology chosen from social point of
view, availability of infrastructure for the project, the techno economic assumptions and parameters used for
analyzing costs and benefits and viability provision for treatment of effluents, training of manpower, legal
requirement on documentation, license and registration.
The technical feasibility is generally examined by technical specialists in the organizations. In case of highly
specialized projects, the banks seek opinions or get the projects appraised through experts like consultants, or
organizations like Technical Consultancy Organizations (TCOs).
B. The Financial Aspects of Project Appraisal
Financial Appraisal of a project is most important for a banker. The primary aim of financial analysis is to determine
whether the project satisfies the investment criteria of generating acceptable level of profitability. The project
should be able to service the debt and ensure expected returns to the investor. The important aspects which are
examined while conducting financial appraisal are investment outlay, means of financing, projected financial
statements, viability and profitability, break-even point analysis, sensitivity analysis and risk analysis.
Cash flow statement is the basis for financial analysis. In the initial period there is a negative cash flow because
of investment in capital assets, but after the project takes off, the cash flow becomes positive due to the increased
income.
Investment is generally required in the initial years, which is a cash outflow for the project. In the operational
phase, there is inflow from the business, which results in positive cash flow till the project is wound up. In the last
year, the inflow is higher due to the residual value adding to the cash inflow.
The period from start of the project till its winding up is known as project life and will vary from project to project.
Generally, projects with more than 20 years life are analyzed for financial cost and benefits for 20 years only, as
the benefits accruing after that have a negligible present value.
(a) Measures of Financial Viability NPV, BCR and IRR
Financial viability is measured by net present value, benefit cost ratio, internal rate of return and debt service
coverage ratios.
172 PP-FT&FM
Net Present Value (NPV) representing wealth creation by the Project, is calculated by taking the discounted sum
of the stream of cash flows during the project life. In symbolic terms we can express NPV of a project as under:
n
1
2
...
Invst.
NPV = (1 r )
(1 r )3
(1 r )n
Where C = Cash Flows for different periods, r = Discount Rate and Invest. = Initial Investment
In other words, NPV represents the difference between the present value of the cost and benefit streams.
A project is considered viable if the NPV is positive at a given discount rate and vice-versa. When two or more
mutually exclusive projects are being appraised, the project with the highest NPV should be selected. Among
the discounted techniques, NPV is considered the most important parameter for assessing viability.
(i) Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR):BCR is the ratio of discounted value of benefit and discount value of cost. It
can be expressed as under:BCR =
The project is viable when BCR is one or more than one and is unviable when it is less than one.
(ii) Internal Rate of Return (IRR):IRR represents the returns internally generated by the project. This is
also the rate which makes the net present value equal to 0. The calculation of IRR is a process of trial
and error. Normally, the process starts with the minimum discount rate and as the discount rate is
increased the NPV will come down and becomes 0 or negative. If NPV is positive at one rate and
negative at the immediate next rate (for example if NPV is positive at 20% discount rate and is negative
at 25%), Interpolation Method could be used for finding out the exact IRR by the following formula.
Exact IRR by interpolation method =
L + (H L) (NPV at L)
{(NPV at L) (NPV at H)}
Where, IRR = Internal Rate of Return; L = Lower discount rate where NPV was positive; H = Higher
discount rate at which NPV was negative.
The project is considered viable if the IRR is more than the acceptable rate for the entrepreneur which
could be the opportunity cost for his funds. In case of agricultural and rural development projects generally
the prescribed IRR for viability is 15% in India and other developing countries.
(b) Sensitivity Analysis
Projects are sensitive to fluctuation in values of critical variables like costs of inputs and prices of outputs. It is
important to examine how sensitive is the project to fluctuations in the values of these variables because the
basic assumptions taken for projections of balance sheet, cash flow statements for future years have an element
of uncertainty. Different projects may, however, get affected differently from changes in the assumption of cost
and return items. Sensitivity analysis helps us in finding out that how sensitive is the project to these fluctuations.
Sensitivity analysis involves identification of crucial variable relating to costs and returns, specification of alternative
values of the crucial variables and re-computation of the NPV and IRR by using the alternative values. A project,
which is highly sensitive to even small fluctuations in cost and price, is a risky project for financing.
(c) Scenario Analysis
Sensitivity analysis takes care of only one or two variable which is at times inadequate. This limitation is partially
overcome by what is known as scenario analysis, where scenario of certain prices, cost and other variables are
created and the financial parameters are computed.
Lesson 6
C. Economic Appraisal
The objective of economic appraisal is to examine the project from the entire economys point of view to determine
whether the project will improve the economic welfare of the country. Economic appraisal is traditionally not
conducted in banks or financial institutions. It is generally conducted by agencies like the World Bank and the
development agencies of the Government for the projects having huge investment and profound implication for
the economy. Examples of the projects where economic analysis is conducted are big dams, forestry projects
and big industrial projects.
D. Social/distributive Appraisal
For an analysis of a project to be complete, it should include not only the financial and economic but also social
appraisal. The social analysis consists of two parts: measurement of the distribution of the income due to the
project and identification of the impact on the basic needs objectives of the society.
The steps involved in social appraisal are: conducting financial analysis, economic analysis and appraisal of
distributional effect of the net benefits (externalities) of the project. Here, the affected parties like farmers, dealers
of the goods, existing operators and Government are to be identified. One party (like farmers whose lands will
be irrigated in the case of a dam) is a gainer but the other (like those who are displaced due to the dam) is a
loser.
After social and distributive analysis it may emerge that a project is financially unviable but socially and
economically is viable. In such situations the decisions to undertake the project would depend upon the goals of
the Government. If the Government believes that the positive externalities are worth the negative financial cash
flow, it may decide to implement the project.
E. Environmental Aspects
Developing countries including India are now becoming increasingly aware of the urgency to integrate
environmental concerns into their project formulations and appraisal. This has led to the increased importance
being attached to the environmental aspects in the projects and now most of the banks and financial institutions
insist on what is known as Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA). The essence of EIA is a prediction of the
consequences to the natural environment from development projects.
The emphasis in EIA is on those consequences of the projects which are relatively well known and whose
magnitudes can be easily estimated. Conditional, uncertain or probabilistic aspects of the impacts are not
considered. Another elaborate analysis called Environmental risk Assessment (ERA) is used to differentiate a
new and additional analysis in which the probabilistic element is explicitly addressed.
In India, the consciousness has already come at the policy level. A separate ministry has been formed and
Environment (Protection) Act, 1986 was passed by the Government of India. Further, Central Pollution Control
Board (CPCB) has been formed for ensuring proper implementation of the provisions of the Act. Most of the
174 PP-FT&FM
industries are covered by the Act and therefore such industries have to seek clearance not only before setting
up of industries but also on a regular basis from the state level PCBs. State level PCBs implement the standards
set by CPCB. Reserve Bank of India has also directed the banks not to extend certain credit facilities to industries
which have deleterious effects on the environment. Thus, environmental aspects of the projects are becoming
very important in project appraisal.
(1) Safety
Banks need to ensure that advances are safe and money lent out by them will come back. Since the repayment
of loans depends on the borrowers capacity to pay, the banker must be satisfied before lending that the business
for which money is sought is a sound one. In addition, bankers many times insist on security against the loan,
which they fall back on if things go wrong for the business. The security must be adequate, readily marketable
and free of encumbrances.
(2) Liquidity
To maintain liquidity, banks have to ensure that money lent out by them is not locked up for long time by
designing the loan maturity period appropriately. Further, money must comeback as per the repayment schedule.
If loans become excessively illiquid, it may not be possible for bankers to meet their obligations vis--vis depositors.
(3) Profitability
To remain viable, a bank must earn adequate profit on its investment. This calls for adequate margin between
deposit rates and lending rates. In this respect, appropriate fixing of interest rates on both advances and deposits
is critical. Unless interest rates are competitively fixed and margins are adequate, banks may lose customers to
their competitors and become unprofitable.
Lesson 6
LOAN POLICY
Based on the general principles of lending stated above, the Lending Policy Committee (LPC) of individual
banks prepares the basic Lending policy of the Bank, which has to be approved by the Banks Board of Directors.
The loan policy outlines lending guidelines and establishes operating procedures in all aspects of Lending
management including standards for presentation of Lending proposals, financial covenants, rating standards
and benchmarks, delegation of Lending approving powers, prudential limits on large Lending exposures, asset
concentrations, portfolio management, loan review mechanism, risk monitoring and evaluation, pricing of loans,
provisioning for bad debts, regulatory/ legal compliance etc. The lending guidelines reflect the specific banks
lending strategy (both at the macro level and individual borrower level) and have to be in conformity with RBI
guidelines. The loan policy typically lays down lending guidelines in the following areas:
Level of Lending-deposit ratio
Targeted portfolio mix
Hurdle ratings
Loan pricing
Collateral security
3. Hurdle ratings
There are a number of diverse risk factors associated with borrowers. Banks should have a comprehensive risk
176 PP-FT&FM
rating system that serves as a single point indicator of diverse risk factors of a borrower. This helps taking
Lending decisions in a consistent manner. To facilitate this, a substantial degree of standardisation is required in
ratings across borrowers. The risk rating system should be so designed as to reveal the overall risk of lending.
For new borrowers, a bank usually lays down guidelines regarding minimum rating to be achieved by the borrower
to become eligible for the loan. This is also known as the hurdle rating criterion to be achieved by a new
borrower.
4. Pricing of loans
Risk-return trade-off is a fundamental aspect of risk management. Borrowers with weak financial position and,
hence, placed in higher risk category are provided Lending facilities at a higher price (that is, at higher interest).
The higher the Lending risk of a borrower the higher would be his cost of borrowing. To price Lending risks,
banks devise appropriate systems, which usually allow flexibility for revising the price (risk premium) due to
changes in rating. In other words, if the risk rating of a borrower deteriorates, his cost of borrowing should rise
and vice versa. At the macro level, loan pricing for a bank is dependent upon a number of its cost factors such
as cost of raising resources, cost of administration and overheads, cost of reserve assets like CRR and SLR,
cost of maintaining capital, percentage of bad debt, etc. Loan pricing is also dependent upon competition.
5. Collateral security
As part of a prudent lending policy, banks usually advance loans against some security. The loan policy provides
guidelines for this. In the case of term loans and working capital assets, banks take as primary security the
property or goods against which loans are granted. In addition to this, banks often ask for additional security or
collateral security in the form of both physical and financial assets to further bind the borrower. This reduces the
risk for the bank. Sometimes, loans are extended as clean loans for which only personal guarantee of the
borrower is taken.
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
If a bank creates assets-loans or investment-they are required to be backed up by bank capital; the amount of
capital they have to be backed up by depends on the risk of individual assets that the bank acquires. The riskier the
asset, the larger would be the capital it has to be backed up by. This is so, because bank capital provides a cushion
against unexpected losses of banks and riskier assets would require larger amounts of capital to act as cushion.
The Basel Committee for Bank Supervision (BCBS) has prescribed a set of norms for the capital requirement for
the banks for all countries to follow. These norms ensure that capital should be adequate to absorb unexpected
losses. In addition, all countries, including India, establish their own guidelines for risk based capital framework
known as Capital Adequacy Norms. These norms have to be at least as stringent as the norms set by the Basel
committee. A key norm of the Basel committee is the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), also known as Capital Risk
Weighted Assets Ratio, is a simple measure of the soundness of a bank. The ratio is the capital with the bank as a
percentage of its risk-weighted assets. Given the level of capital available with an individual bank, this ratio determines
the maximum extent to which the bank can lend. The Basel committee specifies a CAR of at least 8% for banks.
This means that the capital funds of a bank must be at least 8 percent of the banks risk weighted assets. In India,
the RBI has specified a minimum of 9%, which is more stringent than the international norm.
Lesson 6
The RBI also provides guidelines about how much risk weights banks should assign to different classes of
assets (such as loans). The riskier the asset class, the higher would be the risk weight. Thus, the real estate
assets, for example, are given very high risk weights. This regulatory requirement that each individual bank has
to maintain a minimum level of capital, which is commensurate with the risk profile of the banks assets, plays a
critical role in the safety and soundness of individual banks and the banking system.
Limit
15 per cent of capital fund (Additional
5 percent on infrastructure exposure)
2. Group Borrower
3. NBFC
4. NBFC - AFC
178 PP-FT&FM
project. In that case, the exposure to a group of companies under the same management control may
be up to 50% of the Banks capital funds.
3. Aggregate exposure to capital market: A banks aggregate exposure to the capital market, including
both fund based and non-fund based exposure to capital market, in all forms should not exceed 40
percent of its net worth as on March 31 of the previous year.
In addition to ensuring compliance with the above guidelines laid down by RBI, a Bank may fix its own Lending
exposure limits for mitigating Lending risk. The bank may, for example, set upper caps on exposures to sensitive
sectors like commodity sector, real estate sector and capital markets. Banks also may lay down guidelines
regarding exposure limits to unsecured loans.
Lending Rates
Banks are free to determine their own lending rates on all kinds of advances except a few such as export
finance; interest rates on these exceptional categories of advances are regulated by the RBI. It may be noted
that the Section 21A of the BR Act provides that the rate of interest charged by a bank shall not be reopened by
any court on the ground that the rate of interest charged is excessive. The concept of benchmark prime lending
rate (BPLR) was however introduced in November 2003 for pricing of loans by commercial banks with the
objective of enhancing transparency in the pricing of their loan products. Each bank must declare its benchmark
prime lending rate (BPLR) as approved by its Board of Directors. A banks BPLR is the interest rate to be
charged to its best clients; that is, clients with the lowest Lending risk. Each bank is also required to indicate the
maximum spread over the BPLR for various Lending exposures. However, BPLR lost its relevance over time as
a meaningful reference rate, as the bulk of loans were advanced below BPLR. Further, this also impedes the
smooth transmission of monetary signals by the RBI.
LOAN DOCUMENTATION
Term lending by the Financial Institutions is a high risk business and is therefore important for them to satisfy
themselves that no legal lacuna or formality is omitted as might expose the Financial Institutions to the danger
of losing the money lent. The relationship between the Lender and the Borrower is a legal relationship which
results in mutual rights, duties and liabilities and commercial prudence demands that these should be well
expressed and be fool proof as far as possible. Loan documentation is one of the most important aspects of
banking and banks are very cautious in documentation for a project financing
Procedure for execution of documents has been standardized in most of the cases. Sometimes delay takes
place in providing certain documents required in connection with the execution of the loan documents. The
Company Secretary of the Borrower should therefore in consultation with Legal Department of the financial
institution and the Companys advocate arrange to have:
(a) Inspection and investigation of the Title Deeds of the Borrower in respect of its properties by the Lenders
and/or by the advocates chosen by the Borrower from the panel maintained by the Lenders to establish
a clear and marketable title in favour of the Borrower to its properties.
(b) Approval of the shareholders of the company for mortgaging/charging companys properties in favour of
the Financial Institutions as required under Section 293(1)(a) of the Companies Act, 1956;
(c) Shareholders Authority to the Board of directors of the company to borrow in excess of the limits
of its paid-up capital and free reserves as required under Section 293(1)(a) of Companies Act,
1956;
(d) Resolution of the Board of directors of the Company accepting the terms and conditions of the Sanction
Letter or Letter of Intent issued by the Financial institution sanctioning the term loan and execution of
Loan Agreement and Deed of Hypothecation.
Lesson 6
(e) Normally the Lending Institution obtains several undertakings from the borrower on stamp papers. These
are:
(i) Undertakings from the Promoters Group regarding non-disposal of their shares in the Company
without prior approval of the Lender;
(ii) Undertaking by the Promoters to meet the over-run in the cost of the project without having recourse
to the Institutions and agreeing not to withdraw the unsecured loans and deposits brought in by the
Promoters/their Group for financing the project;
(iii) Undertaking to complete the pending formalities given in the Sanction Letter within a stipulated
period and also to create the Mortgage (if not completed) within a stipulated period.
(f) The Institution in the case of bridge loan gets a Demand Promissory Note signed by the authorized
Director.
(g) The Institution also obtains a No-lien letter from the Companys Bank to which the sanctioned loan
amount is to be credited. Format of this No-lien letter is provided by the Lending institution.
(h) Permission of the Income-tax authorities under Section 281 of ITA.
(i) Letter of Confirmation under Section 9A of IDBI Act that none of its Directors are interested in the project
being financed.
(j) Permission/exemption under Urban Land Ceiling Act, wherever required.
As such before signing the Loan Documents with the Financial Institutions, the Company secretary should,
besides keeping the aforementioned documents/paper, constantly liaise with the lenders to ascertain if any
further compliance is required to enable disbursement of the loan amount as soon as the documentation gets
completed.
The importance of the Loan Agreement and its main terms and conditions are discussed hereunder.
180 PP-FT&FM
which contains the exact rate of interest applicable to the loan and mode of its payment which is quarterly
installments falling due on specified dates. In the eventuality of default in payment of instalment of
interest, the clause contains provisions of compound interest being reckoned with rests taken or made
quarterly. There is provision for interest on defaulted installments of principal. Again liquidation damages
are to be paid on such defaulted sums at the rate settled by the financial institutions. The clause also
describes the mode of computation of interest and other charges.
(c) Another important clause in the Loan Agreement is the conversion of the option into Equity. In line with
the Governments policy, mandatory conversion option has been done away with. Institutions shall,
however, have a right to convert loan into equity in the event of default and assistance granted for
rehabilitation of the borrower concern or to meet a part of the cost of over-run. In case of conversion of
loan into equity is applicable to a particular loan it is so stated under the clause conversion right. The
institutions reserve a right to convert at par the entire outstanding amount into equity and in the case of
conversion option attached to over-run cost of the project upto 20% of the additional assistance sanctioned
by the institutions. The consequence of conversion is that the portion of the loan so converted would
cease to carry interest as from the date of conversion and the loan stands correspondingly reduced.
Upon partial conversion, the instalment of loan payable after the date of conversion stands reduced
proportionately by the amount of the loan so converted into equity shares of the company. On such
conversion, the lender becomes the equity holder.
(d) Disbursement of the loan amount is another important aspect. The loan agreement describes the terms
of disbursement. The basic idea is that the loan amount is required to be used by the borrower company
as per the schedule of expenditure submitted by it and all expenditure is to be adhered to as per the
schedule. The institutions want that the amount so disbursed by them should be used for the purpose of
project implementation only. With this end in view, the draw-down schedule of the loan amount is drawn
and mode of disbursement for the loan is also specified in the agreement.
(e) Another important term of the loan agreement is the repayment of loan. The borrower has to repay the
principal amount of the loan in quarterly instalments to the lender institution from a particular date
depending upon the moratorium allowed as per the information furnished in the application for the
financial assistance. The repayment clause contains provisions to exercise right by the lending institution
to vary or alter the repayment schedule wherever cash inflow/profitability position so warrants. The
company shall not make premature repayment of loan without prior permission of the lenders, and on
such request being made by the company, the lenders reserve the right to impose such conditions to
accept premature repayment. Generally, lenders stipulate payment of premium with such premature
repayments. However, premature repayment of foreign currency loan is not possible and only in very
special case the Institutions recommend such premature repayment after obtaining the approval of the
Ministry of Finance and of the Reserve Bank of India.
(2) The Security for loan
The security clause is an important clause in the loan agreement. The borrower company has to execute security
documents in favour of the lender on the basis of the provisions made in the agreement.
Loan Agreement stipulates security for the loan in the forms of mortgage of immovable properties, hypothecation
of movable assets and personal guarantee of the promoters/directors of the borrowing company. The security
clause stipulates first mortgage over the borrowers immovable and movable properties including its movable
machinery, spares, tools, and accessories, present and future, and also a first charge on all the remaining
assets of the borrower, present and future, (save and except book debts in the case of hypothecation), subject
to prior charges created and/to be created in favour of the borrowers bankers on the borrowers stocks of the
raw materials, semi-finished goods and finished goods, consumable stores and book debts and such other
movables as may be agreed to by the lenders for securing borrowing for working capital requirements in the
Lesson 6
ordinary course of the business. Where there are more than one mending institution involved, the mortgage and
charge are to be created on pari-passu basis in favour of such institutions.
The provision of personal guarantee of Promoter/Directors made in the security clause is discretionary. The
institutions in some cases obtain pledge of unencumbered shares held by the promoter as security for the loan.
In these cases, it is to be ensured that the shares are not subject to lock-in-period or the intention to create the
pledge is discussed in the prospectus.
(3) Borrowers Warranties
Under this clause the borrower ensures the lenders of the accurate description of the project in the Loan
Application, on the basis of which the borrower has been granted the loan followed by execution of the agreement.
The borrower also undertakes to furnish correct information relating to the project to the lender in future also.
Besides, this clause requires the borrower to disclose any material affecting the project in future also. Such
changes may cover scope of the projects, the location of its factory, the processes to be used for the manufacture
of its products, the line of activity, the specifications of machinery and equipment required for the project, buying
and selling arrangements, the management set-up, the arrangements entered into with collaborators, machinery
suppliers and technical consultants etc. except as approved by the lenders from time to time.
Warranties clause also cover assurance by the borrower for a good title to its properties. The assurance specifies
that there has been no changes or encumbrances on the property or the assets of the borrower; that the
properties are not involved in any litigation of title or ownership; that there is no defect in the property affecting
its title, of ownership; that there is no infringement of public law, or no default in payment of demands of
Municipalities or other statutory authorities etc. Further, warranty also covers that the properties are not affected
by any public schemes like widening of public roads etc.
In addition to the above, the warranties clause covers briefly about the selling and purchasing arrangements;
management agreements; financial position; auditors certificates, permissions under FEMA; various consents/
licence from Government of India or State Agencies; Agreement with technical consultants/collaborators;
agreements with machinery suppliers; construction schedules; cash budgets; supply of power, water, raw material,
arrangements for working capital and arrangements for meeting short fall in the resources for completion of the
project. Compliance of provisions of the Companies Act, 1956 in relation to borrowing like passing of requisite
resolutions under Sections 293(1)(a) and 293(1)(d); adequacy of technical, financial and executive staff;
resolving conflict in Memorandum of Association and Articles of Association exist in loan agreement. This list
of warranties is not complete or exhaustive but only illustrative. Additional conditions befitting the circumstances
are appended whenever the Institution deems them fit.
(4) Condition Precedent to Disbursement of the Loan
To safeguard the interest of the financial institutions, the borrower is required to comply with the following
matters incorporated under this clause in the Loan Agreement:
(a) The borrower shall have share capital paid-up to the required extent as stipulated in the loan agreement;
(b) The borrowers shall have created security in favour of lenders having proved to the satisfaction of the
lenders about the borrowers clear and marketable title over its properties;
(c) The borrower shall have complied with the provisions of the Companies Act, 1956, viz. under Section
293(1)(a) as applicable;
(d) The borrower shall have entered into arrangements with other financial institutions and banks where so
required for the balance portion of the funds required for completion of the project;
(e) The borrower has furnished tax clearance certificate under Section 230A of the Income-tax Act, 1961;
(whenever applicable)
182 PP-FT&FM
(f) That there are no legal proceedings pending against the borrower company involving any claim on its
properties;
(g) There has been no default discharge of its obligations to the financial institutions;
(h) The borrower shall satisfy the lender of the utilisation of earlier disbursed amount of the loan.
Here, also additional conditions precedent to disbursement could be added depending upon the circumstances
of each case as the Institution may deem fit. Similarly, some of the above conditions could even be deleted
where the circumstances so warrant when compliance of such conditions in a particular case is not required.
(5) Concurrent Covenants
The affirmative covenants and terms as given in the Loan Agreement which apply during the currency of the
Loan Agreement cover the following subject matter:
(a) Project implementation;
(b) Utilisation of loan;
(c) Loan amount to be kept in separate Bank Account;
(d) Insurance of the mortgaged assets and insurance policies to be furnished to the lenders endorsing the
Lenders as Mortgages;
(e) To report to the lender any changes in project;
(f) To report to the lender any adverse changes in the production and profitability projections;
(g) To report to the lender the changes in different contractors/agreements as covered in the loan agreement
specially those made with machinery suppliers/collaborators/technicians or technical consultants and
suppliers of raw materials;
(h) Borrower to ensure proper maintenance of the property;
(i) Borrower to inform the lender of the notices received by it about the winding up proceedings and other
legal process instituted against the company;
(j) Borrower to inform the lenders of the causes of delay in completion of the project;
(k) Borrower to inform any loss-damages the borrower suffers due to any unforeseen circumstances;
(l) On happening of certain events proportionate repayment of the loan is required to be made by the
borrower. These, events may include payment being made to other lenders covered under the loan
syndication arrangements without making proportionate payments to all i.e. preference being made in
payment of dues by paying one over the other;
(m) The borrower to reimburse and pay costs/charges and expenses to lenders e.g. travelling expenses of
lenders inspection team etc.
(n) Furnish to lenders the documents executed in favour of banks and other institutions;
(o) Make alterations in memorandum of association and articles of association as desired by the lenders;
(p) Pass necessary resolutions to entitle lenders to rights shares/bonus shares where a right of conversion
of loan into equity has been exercised by the lenders;
(q) Furnish details of additional property, movable or immovable acquired by the company subsequent to
the creation of mortgage;
(r) Borrower shall facilitate the appointment of the lenders nominee directors;
Lesson 6
(s) Borrower to agree to the lenders right to depute observers at meetings of the Board of directors or
General Meeting of the Borrower Company.
(t) Borrower to place before its Board of Directors for consideration of all important matters and also those
matters which the lenders may desire;
(u) Borrower to uphold lenders rights to appoint Technical/Management consultants and chartered
accountants as and when the lender may so decide.
Negative Covenants
In addition to the above positive covenants, there are certain negative covenants in the agreement which is
required to be performed by the borrower. These negative covenants restrict the company (1) to pay commission
to promoters, directors, managers or other persons for furnishing guarantee or indemnity or for undertaking any
other liability in connection with any financial assistance obtained and/or to be obtained by the borrower for the
purpose of the project; (2) to pay dividend to the equity share holders if default has been committed in payment
of interest or repayment of installments of principal to the lenders; (3) to create charge or lien on its assets; (4)
to enter into any partnership, profit-sharing or royalty agreements or enter into any similar arrangements whereby
the business or operations of the company are affected; (5) to create any subsidiary or become subsidiary to
any other existing concern; (6) to recognize or register any transfer of shares in the borrowers share capital by
the promoter directors, their relatives and associates who are required to furnish Undertaking for non-disposal
of shares to the Financial Institutions; (7) to permit withdrawal of unsecured loans and deposits brought in or
to be brought in by the Promoter Directors Group or Associates to finance capital cost of the project and to meet
the working capital needs unless such withdrawal or payment of interest on such unsecured loan and deposit is
permitted by the lenders.
The various other aspects covered under the negative covenants include not to carry out (1) the amendment of
the memorandum of association and articles of association or alteration in the capital structure of the Company
i.e. borrower (2) transfer of undertaking, trading activity other than the activities permitted by the Lenders (3)
payment of directors remuneration, in addition to what has been approved by the Central Government and
the Institution. Negative covenants also relate to (1) Mergers/consolidation etc. utilisation of funds, donations,
new project, change of registered office and location of factory, not to raise loans or debentures or invest funds
in other concerns etc. without the prior approval of the Lenders.
(6) Reporting System and Inspections
The borrower company is required to submit to the lender the quarterly/half-yearly progress reports during the
period when project implementation is in progress. Once the project is completed and production is commenced
the borrower company is required to submit quarterly progress reports of production, sales, gross profits and
other important details having a bearing on the operational performance of the company. Besides, the audited
annual accounts of the company are also required to be submitted by the company to the lenders.
In addition to above and obtaining the information through periodical reports, the loan agreement contains
provision for having the inspection of the borrower concern carried out periodically by the lenders to verify
project expenditure, Books of Accounts and records; technical-cum-financial-cum-legal inspections through the
Institutional Inspection team of experts in different areas. This practice continues till the entire amount of the
loan is repaid. The cost of such inspection is borne and paid by the company on demand and until payment; the
same shall carry interest at the same rate as on defaulted sums under the loan agreement.
(7) Remedies for the Breach
The main remedy of the lender against the borrower is to call back the loan amount with interest and other dues.
The clause for remedies specifies those circumstances in which the lender can take recourse to such remedies.
These circumstances, inter alia, are default in payment of principal sum of the loan; interest and arrears of
interest, non-performance of covenants and conditions; supply of misleading information to the tenders relating
184 PP-FT&FM
to the projects, its promoters or relating to its operations; refusal to disburse loan by other Financial Institutions;
sales, disposal or removal of Assets of the Company without lenders approval etc. etc.
(8) Cancellation, Suspension and Termination of Loan
The lender may cancel any part of the loan by giving notice to the borrower if such loan amount remains
unavailed of by the borrower company. Any portion of the loan may be suspended or terminated for non-compliance
of the terms and conditions of the loan agreement by the borrower or on emergence of any extraordinary
situation. Such suspension shall continue till the default is remedied.
A continuous review of project progress at the activity and outputs levels Identify necessary
corrective action
Why
Analyze current situationIdentify issues and find solutionsDiscover trends and patternsKeep
project activities on scheduleMeasure progress against outputsMake decisions about human,
financial and material resources
Lesson 6
When
How
Continuous
Field VisitsRecordsReports
Agriculture Example
Microfinance Example
Water Example
Outputs The
tangible
products or
services
Number of clients
receiving and correctly
using credit
Project Evaluation tends to focus on tracking progress at the higher levels of the logical framework i.e.
project outcomes. Evaluations tend to explore questions like, Is the project successful at achieving its outcomes?
Is the project contributing to its ultimate goal? Evaluation data is collected and analyzed less frequently and
often requires a more formal intervention (often by technical advisors or external evaluators) to show project
results.
Agriculture Example
Microfinance Example
Water Example
Outcomes Are
the project outputs
resulting in the
desired project
outcomes?
% of families adopting
improved techniques
% of hectares covered
with improved techniques
% of households with
increased working
capital
*Note While projects are expected to contribute to the achievement of the goal level indicators, it is NOT the
responsibility of the project to achieve (or to monitor) the goals.
Project Control involves establishing the systems and decision-making process to manage variances between
the project plans (in terms of scope, cost, schedule, etc.) and the realities of project implementation. It also
involves establishing how project variances and changes are managed, documented and communicated with
stakeholders.
186 PP-FT&FM
The Project Monitoring and Evaluation Plan
Connecting the Logical Framework and the Monitoring and Evaluation Plan
Project Management is Iterative!
A crucial element of a comprehensive implementation plan is a monitoring and evaluation plan which identifies
the system for tracking and measuring project progress, performance and impact. The appropriate time to
develop the formal Monitoring and Evaluation plan is after the project is approved for funding but before the
start-up of project activities. However, the preparatory work that contributes to that plan will start long before this
point.
Strong project design makes it easier to create and align comprehensive monitoring and evaluation systems.
The Monitoring and Evaluation Plan expands on the initial progress indicators provided in the logical framework
and the project proposal; and provides additional details for each of the levels of the project logical framework.
While the format of project monitoring and evaluation plans varies, the plan usually includes the following
information:
What indicators are being monitored and evaluated?
What information is needed to track the indicator?
What are the sources of the information?
What data collection methods are appropriate?
Who will collect the information?
How often will it be collected?
Who will receive and use the results?
While there are many considerations (budget, resources, donor requirements, etc.) to keep in mind when
identifying what data to collect in the Project Monitoring and Evaluation Plan, the most important consideration
should be the usefulness of the data. When identifying indicators, the project team should always ask What will
this information tell us? and What are the expected improvements in decision-making resulting from this data?
Monitoring Project Progress AND Project Risk
Project Management is Comprehensive!
Lesson 6
188 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 6
Little and Mirrlees have also suggested an elaborate methodology for calculating shadow prices of non-tradables.
Use of detailed input-output tables is suggested with a view to tracing down the chain of all non-traded and
traded inputs that go into their production. However, in the case of non-availability of detailed input/output tables,
a conversion factor based on the ratio of domestic costs of representative items to world prices of these items
could be used for approximation of shadow prices of non-traded resources. Little and Mirrlees believe that in all
less developed countries, one of the major criteria for the choice of a project should be its ability to generate
savings and, hence, the Little-Mirrlees method suggests the use of accounting rate of interests to calculate
present worth of future annuities of savings and consumption. Guidelines, on the other hand, do not make any
adjustment for consumption and saving impact of project investment. Unlike the five stages of UNIDO, the Little
and Mirrlees procedure is relatively more practical, although, unlike guidelines, it does not provide sufficient
insights by examining project investment from different angles.
L-M
190 PP-FT&FM
LEASE FINANCE
A lease represents a contractual arrangement whereby the lessor grants the lessee the right to use an asset in
return for periodic lease rental payments. While leasing of land, buildings, and animals has been known from
times immemorial, the leasing of industrial equipments is a relatively recent phenomenon, particularly on the
Indian scene.
There are two broad types of lease: finance lease and operating lease.
Finance Lease
A finance lease or capital lease is essentially a form of borrowing. Its salient features are:
1. It is an intermediate term to a long-term non-cancellable arrangement. During the initial lease period,
referred to as the primary lease period. Which is usually three years or five years or eight years, the
lease cannot be cancelled.
2. The lease is more or less fully amortised during the primary lease period. This means that during this
period, the lessor recovers, through the lease rentals, his investment in the equipment along with an
acceptable rate of return. Thus, a finance lease transfers substantially all the risks and rewards incident
to ownership to the lessee.
3. The lessee is responsible for maintenance, insurance, and taxes.
Lesson 6
4. The lessee usually enjoys the option for renewing the lease for further periods at substantially reduced
lease rentals.
Operating Lease
An operating lease can be defined as any lease other than a finance lease. The salient features of an operating
lease are:
1. The lease term is significantly less than the economic life of the equipment.
2. The lessee enjoys the right to terminate the lease at a short notice without any significant penalty.
3. The lessor usually provides the operating know-how and the related services and undertakes the
responsibility of insuring and maintaining the equipment. Such an operating lease is called a wet lease.
An operating lease where the lessee bears the costs of insuring and maintaining the leased equipment
is called a dry lease.
From the above features of an operating lease it is evident that this form of a lease does not result in a substantial
transfer of the risks and rewards of ownership from the lessor to the lessee. The lessor structuring an operating
lease transaction has to depend upon multiple leases or on the realisation of a substantial resale value (on
expiry of the first lease) to recover the investment cost plus a reasonable rate of return thereon. Therefore,
specialising in operating lease calls for an in-depth knowledge of the equipments and the secondary (resale)
market for such equipments. Of course, the prerequisite is the existence of a resale market. Given the fact that
the resale market for most of the used capital equipments in our country lacks breadth, operating leases are not
in popular use. In recent years there have been attempts to structure car lease and computer lease transactions
in the operating lease format.
The key features of lease finance in India:
Most leases in India are finance leases not operating leases
Lease finance is available for identifiable performing assets
Lease finance is available in small volume
There is a great deal of flexibility in structuring lease finance
Lease of immovable assets is not possible by banks
Lease tenors up to eight years is available
HIRE-PURCHASE
Hire Purchase is a loan or contract that involves an initial deposit, linked to a specific purchase, which is a way
of obtaining the use of an asset before payment is completed. The payments of the HP are in monthly instalments,
plus interest within which at the end of the agreement. Finance companies usually offer the facility of leasing as
well as hire-purchase to its clients.
The main features of a hire-purchase arrangement are as follows:
The hiree (the counterpart of lessor) purchases the asset and gives it on hire to the hirer (the counterpart
of lessee).
The hirer pays regular hire-purchase instalments over a specified period of time. These instalments
cover interest as well as principal repayment. When the hirer pays the last instalment, the title of the
asset is transferred from the hiree to the hirer.
The hiree charges interest on a flat basis. This means that a certain rate of interest, usually around 8
percent, is charged on the initial investment (made by the hiree) and not on the diminishing balance.
192 PP-FT&FM
The total interest collected by the hiree is allocated over various years. For this purpose, the sum of the
years digits method is commonly employed.
The following differences between leasing and hire-purchase, from the point of view of the lessee (hirer), may
be noted.
Leasing
Hire-Purchase
VENTURE CAPITAL
Venture capital is a source of financing for new businesses. Venture capital funds pool investors cash and loan
it to startup firms and small businesses with perceived, long-term growth potential. This is a very important
source of funding startups that do not have access to other capital and it typically entails high risk (and potentially
high returns) for the investor.
Venture capital provides long-term, committed share capital, to help unquoted companies grow and succeed. If
an entrepreneur is looking to start-up, expand, buy-into a business, buy-out a business in which he works,
turnaround or revitalise a company, venture capital could help do this. Obtaining venture capital is substantially
different from raising debt or a loan from a lender. Lenders have a legal right to interest on a loan and repayment
of the capital, irrespective of the success or failure of a business. Venture capital is invested in exchange for an
equity stake in the business. As a shareholder, the venture capitalists return is dependent on the growth and
profitability of the business. This return is generally earned when the venture capitalist exits by selling its
shareholding when the business is sold to another owner.
Venture capitalist prefers to invest in entrepreneurial businesses. This does not necessarily mean small or
new businesses. Rather, it is more about the investments aspirations and potential for growth, rather than by
current size. Such businesses are aiming to grow rapidly to a significant size. As a rule of thumb, unless a
business can offer the prospect of significant turnover growth within five years, it is unlikely to be of interest to a
venture capital firm. Venture capital investors are only interested in companies with high growth prospects,
which are managed by experienced and ambitious teams who are capable of turning their business plan into
reality.
Venture capital firms usually look to retain their investment for between three and seven years or more. The term
of the investment is often linked to the growth profile of the business. Investments in more mature businesses,
where the business performance can be improved quicker and easier, are often sold sooner than investments in
early-stage or technology companies where it takes time to develop the business model.
Just as management teams compete for finance, so do venture capital firms. They raise their funds from several
sources. To obtain their funds, venture capital firms have to demonstrate a good track record and the prospect
of producing returns greater than can be achieved through fixed interest or quoted equity investments. Most UK
venture capital firms raise their funds for investment from external sources, mainly institutional investors, such
as pension funds and insurance companies.
PRIVATE EQUITY
Private equity is essentially a way to invest in some assets that isnt publicly traded, or to invest in a publicly
traded asset with the intention of taking it private. Unlike stocks, mutual funds, and bonds, private equity funds
Lesson 6
usually invest in more illiquid assets, i.e. companies. By purchasing companies, the firms gain access to those
assets and revenue sources of the company, which can lead to very high returns on investments. Another
feature of private equity transactions is their extensive use of debt in the form of high-yield bonds. By using debt
to finance acquisitions, private equity firms can substantially increase their financial returns.
Private equity consists of investors and funds that make investments directly into private companies or conduct
buyouts of public companies that result in a delisting of public equity. Capital for private equity is raised from
retail and institutional investors, and can be used to fund new technologies, expand working capital within an
owned company, make acquisitions, or to strengthen a balance sheet. Generally, the private equity fund raise
money from investors like Angel investors, Institutions with diversified investment portfolio like pension funds,
insurance companies, banks, funds of funds etc.
194 PP-FT&FM
instalments in the period ahead of delivery. This is known as deferred payment arrangement with the machinery
suppliers. The machinery suppliers in India or abroad may agree to above arrangement on security which is
procured in the form of guarantee from financial institutions and banks of repute relied upon by the machinery
suppliers.
Guarantee for deferred payments are offered by All India Institution viz, IFCI, IDBI, ICICI to foreign machinery
supplier and also to indigenous machinery supplier against the request of the company for financing project cost
of the company. The application made by the borrower for facility of guarantee is processed in the same manner
as applicable for loan. However, the borrower company to be able to avail the facility should be in possession of
requisite import licence where the guarantee is required for import of machinery from abroad or should have tied
up the foreign currency loan from the foreign institution with the approval of the Government of India where the
guarantee for such loans is required to be given to such foreign lending institution.
Lesson 6
196 PP-FT&FM
7. Deduction in respect of profits and gains from business of hotels and convention centers in specified
areas.
8. Allowability of revenue expenditure and capital expenditure (except on land) incurred on scientific
research.
9. Capital expenditure incurred on acquisition of patent rights or copy rights (before 1st day of April 1998)
is also allowed to be amortised in equal instalments over a period of 14 years.
10. Deduction of capital expenditure incurred on specified business under section 35AD of Income Tax Act,
1962.
11. Expenditure for obtaining license to operate telecommunication services in equal installments over the
period for which the license remains in force.
12 Amortisation of preliminary expenses such as feasibility report or project report expense are allowed in
5 equal installments.
LESSON ROUND UP
Project decisions are taken by the management with basic objective to maximize returns on the
investment being made in a project.
Project report is a working plan for implementation of project proposal after investment decision by a
company has been taken.
Project appraisal should be analyzed for determining the project objects, accuracy of method and
measurement, objective of the proposal, reliability of data and project statements.
A careful balance has to be stuck between debt and equity. A debt equity ratio of 1:1 is considered
ideal but it is relaxed up to 1.5:1 in suitable cases.
Lesson 6
Economic Rate of Return is a rate of discount which equates the real economic cost of project outlay
to its economic benefits during the life of the project.
Domestic Resource Cost measures the resource cost of manufacturing a product as against the cost
of importing/exporting it. The output from any project adds to domestic availability implying a notional
reduction in imports to the extent of output of the project or an addition to exports if the product is being
exported.
Effective Rate of Protection attempts to measure the net protection provided to a particular stage of
manufacturing
The Loan agreement is an agreement expressed in writing and entered into between the borrower and
the lender bank, institution or other creditors. It envisages a relationship taking into account the
commitment made at that time and the conduct of the parties carrying legal sanctions.
Loan syndication involves obtaining commitment for term loans from the financial institutions and
banks to finance the project. Basically it refers to the services rendered by merchant bankers in arranging
and procuring credit from financial institutions, banks and other lending and investment organization
or financing the client project cost or working capital requirements
In Social Cost-Benefit Analysis, a project is analyzed from the point of view of the benefit it will generate
for the society as a whole.
198 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 7
Dividend Policy
LESSON OUTLINE
Lesson 7
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Introduction
Types of Dividend Policies
Determinants and Constraints of Dividend
Policy
Type/ Forms of Dividend
Dividend Policy
Case Studies
LESSON ROUND UP
SELF TEST QUESTIONS
Dividend decision is one of the crucial parts of the financial manager, as it determines the amount
available for financing the organisation long term growth and it plays very important part in the
financial management
199
200 PP-FT&FM
INTRODUCTION
Dividend policy determines what portion of earnings will be paid out to stock holders and what portion will be
retained in the business to finance long-term growth. Dividend constitutes the cash flow that accrues to equity
holders whereas retained earnings are one of the most significant sources of funds for financing the corporate
growth. Both dividend and growth are desirable but are conflicting goals to each other. Higher dividend means
less retained earnings and vice versa. This position is quite challenging for the finance manager and necessitate
the need to establish a dividend policy in the firm which will evolve a pattern of dividend payments having no
adverse effects on future actions of the firm.
The formulation of the dividend policy poses many problems. On the one hand theory would seem to dictate that
the firm should retain all funds which can be employed at a higher rate than the capitalization rate; on the other
hand, stock-holders preference must be considered.
Two important considerations evolve from the above, firstly, whether owners needs are more important than the
needs of the firm. It is not easy to ascertain the extent to which shareholders best interest or desires affect
dividend policy because of the following difficulties: (1) in determining the dividend needs of the stock-holders,
as related to tax position, capital gains, current incomes; it is also difficult to locate exactly what more affects the
interest of the shareholders current income requirements or alternative use of funds, or tax considerations. (2)
Existing conflict of interest amongst shareholders dividend policy may be advantageous to one and not to other.
Nevertheless, investors expectations of dividend are mainly based on three factors viz., (a) reduction of uncertainty
due to current earnings by way of dividend. (b) Indication of companys strength and sound position that reposes
confidence in investors. (c) To meet the need of current income.
Secondly, need of the firm are easier to determine which the centre of attention is for the policy makers. Firmoriented matters relating to dividend policy can be grouped under the following six categories, affecting directly
or indirectly the determination and the appropriateness of the policy:
(1) Firms contractual obligations, restrictions in loan agreement and/or legal limitations/considerations;
and insufficiency of cash to pay dividends.
(2) Liquidity, credit standing and working capital requirement and considerations. Ability to borrow, nature
of stockholders, degree of control, timing of investment opportunities, inflation and need to repay debt.
(3) Need for expansion-availability of external finance, financial position of promoters, relative cost of external
funds, the ratio of debt to equity.
(4) Business cycle considerations.
(5) Factors relating to future financing.
(6) Past dividend policies and stockholders relationship.
The above factors affect the different firms or industry in different manner in different situations.
Lesson 7
202 PP-FT&FM
(4) Nature of Business Conducted by a Company: A company having a business of the nature which
gives regular earnings may like to have a stable and consistent dividend policy. Industries manufacturing
consumer/consumer durable items have a stable dividend policy.
(5) Existence of the Company: The length of existence of the company affects dividend policy. With their
long standing experience, the company may have a better dividend policy than the new companies.
(6) Type of Company Organisation: The type of company organisation whether a private limited company
or a public limited company affects dividend decisions. In a closely held company, a view may be taken
for acquiescence and conservative policy may be followed but for a public limited company with wide
spread of shareholder, a more progressive and promising dividend policy will be the better decision.
(7) Financial Needs of the Company: Needs of the Company for additional capital affects the dividend
policy. The extent to which the profits are required to be invested in the company for business growth is
the main consideration in dividend decisions. Working capital position of a company is an important
condition that affects the dividend policy as no company would declare a dividend to undermine its
financial strength and threaten its solvency.
(8) Market Conditions: Business cycles, boom and depression, affects dividend decisions. In a depressed
market, higher dividend declaration are used to market securities for creating a better image of the
company. During the boom the company may like to save more, create reserves for growth and expansion
or meeting its working capital requirements.
(9) Financial Arrangement: In case of financial arrangements being entered into or being planned like
merger or amalgamation with another company, liberal policy of dividend distribution is followed to
make the share stock more attractive.
(10) Change in Government Policies: Changes in Government Policies particularly those affecting earnings
of the company are also taken into consideration in settling dividend decisions. For example, higher rate
of taxation will definitely affect company earnings and carry impact on dividend decisions. Besides,
fiscal, industrial, labour, industrial policies do affect in different magnitude the dividend decisions of
individual corporate enterprises.
Cash dividend
Bond dividend
Stock dividend
Property Divided
Lesson 7
THEORIES OF DIVIDEND
Dividend decision of the business concern is one of the crucial parts of the financial manager, because it determines
the amount of profit to be distributed among shareholders and amount of profit to be treated as retained earnings
for financing its long term growth. Hence, dividend decision plays very important part in the financial management.
Dividend decision consists of two important concepts which are based on the relationship between dividend
decision and value of the firm.
Theories of Dividend
Irrelevance of dividend
Solomon
Approach
M.M.
Approach
Relevance of Dividend
Walters
Model
Gordons
Model
204 PP-FT&FM
most comprehensive arguments to hold that investors are indifferent to dividends and capital gains and so
dividends have no effect on the wealth of shareholders. They argue that the value of the firm is determined by
the earning power of firms assets or its investment policy. The manner is which earnings are divided into dividends
and retained earnings does not affect this value. These conclusions of MM thesis are based on certain assumptions
viz. Existence of perfect market with rational investors, no floatation cost on issue of shares, no taxes, investment
policy of firm not subject to change, perfect certainty by every investors as to future investments and profits of
the firm (this is dropped by MM later). With these assumptions, the market price of a share at the beginning of
the period is defined as equal to the present value of dividend paid at the end of the period plus the market price
at the end of the period. Thus,
P0
1
1 p
(D1 P1)
nP0
1
[nD1 (n
(1 p)
n)P1
nP1]
The total value of new shares to be sold ( nP1) will depend on the volume of new Investment I, the net income
earned Y during the period and the dividend paid on outstanding shares (nD1) will be:
nP1 I (Y nD1)
Substituting the above into main equation above we have:
nP0
1
(1 p)
[(n
n)P1 I Y ]
Since D1 does not appear in the above equation MM concludes that P0 is not a function of D1, the other variable
n, n, P1, I, Y are assumed to be independent of D1.
Question
In the light of above, consider the following data:
p = .12
P0 = 10
D1 = .40
Shares outstanding 5,00,000
Solution
P0
1
1 p
(D1 P1)
Lesson 7
P0 (1 p) D1 P1
= 10 (1.12) .40 = 10
P1=10.80
nP1 I (Y nD1)
n(10.80) 10,00,000 (5,00,000 2,00,000)
n
7,00,000
10.80
64,815 shares.
n(1120
. ) 10,00,000 5,00,000
n
5,00,000
1120
.
44,643
The discounted value per share before and after a dividend payment will be the same as if earnings had been
retained. Further, the total value of new shares to be sold will depend on the volume of new investment I, the net
income earned during the period Y and the dividend paid on outstanding shares nD1 which established that P0 is
not function of D1 and all the variables in the equation are independent of D1.
However, the unrealistic assumptions of MM thesis render the hypothesis unrealistic and insignificant.
Y = 13
X = 10
MCC
Earnings
New Debt
Rs. 50 m.
Rs. 100 m.
Fig. 1
Capital
Raised
206 PP-FT&FM
Suppose the firm has Rs. 50 million of retained earnings and a 50% optimum debt ratio. It can invest Rs. 100
million, its marginal cost is constant at 10% for upto Rs. 100 m. of capital; beyond Rs. 100 million, MCC rises to
13% as firm begins to use more expensive new capital.
In case the investment opportunities are ranked in terms of their rate of return (IRR) as bad, normal and good as
respectively shown by IRR1, IRR2 and IRR3 in the Fig.2 then IRR1 shows that firm can invest more money at
higher rates of return than it can in other given situations.
IRR1
IRR2
IRR3
If the above investment opportunities are combined with the cost of capital, the point where the investment
opportunity curve cuts the cost of capital curve, defines the proper level of new investment. Where investment
opportunities are relatively poor, the optimum level of investment is Rs. 25 million. Where it is normal, it is Rs. 75
million and when good, it is Rs. 125 million. (See the Fig. 3)
96
IRR2
IRR1
IRR3
Inter-relation of cost
of capital, investment
opportunities and new
investment.
O
Rs. 25
Rs. 75
Lesson 7
its pay-out ratio is zero %. Under IRR2 condition it can invest only Rs. 75 million by raising Rs. 25 million debt but
the 50:50 ratio will change. To retain this, it should have 37.5 million equity and the same amount of debt. If it has
Rs. 50 million in total earnings and decides to retain and reinvest Rs. 37.5 million, it must pay Rs. 12.5 million
dividends. In this case pay out ratio is 25% (12.5/50). In the third situation it should invest only Rs. 25 million as
it has Rs. 50 million earnings it could finance entire Rs. 25 million out of retained earnings and still have Rs. 25
million available for dividends. But this decision is not good, it will move it away from the target debt-equity ratio.
The firm must retain Rs. 12.5 million and sell Rs. 12.5 million debt that is Rs. 50 million minus Rs. 12.5 million is
equal to Rs. 37.5 million residual that should be paid out as dividend then pay out ratio is 75%.
The above theory cant be applied in fully. Flexibility may moderately be introduced.
An appropriate dividend policy must be evaluated in the light of the objectives of the firm, viz. Choose a policy
that will maximise the value of the firm to its shareholders. Shareholders wealth includes not only the market
price of stock but also current dividends which may be in the form of cash dividend or stock dividends. Payment
of stock dividends does not fundamentally affect the value of the firm or influence the volume of financing
available to the firm. But cash distributions, may effect the value of this firm or clearly influence the volume of
funds available to the firm.
D
P
Ra
(E D)
Rc
Rc
Where:
P : market price per share of common stock
D : dividend per share
E : earnings per share
Ra : return on investment
Rc : market capitalization rate.
Example: To illustrate the above formula suppose
Ra = return on investment is given as 0.12
Rc = market capitalization rate is as 0.10
E = earnings per share is Rs. 4/D = dividend per share is Rs. 2/Then, the market price per share would be:
2 (0.12 0.10)(4 2)
0.10
208 PP-FT&FM
= Rs. 44/The optimal payout ratio is determined by varying D until we obtain the maximum market price per share.
According to Walter the dividend payout ratio should be zero if Ra is greater than Rc. This will maximise the
market price of the share. In the instant case, we have P = Rs. 48 as calculated under:
2 (0.12 0.10)(4 0)
0.10
= Rs. 48/-
So, with payout ratio 0, the market price is maximised and comes to Rs. 48/-. Similarly, if Ra is less than Rc the
optimal payout ratio should be 100%. This point can be exemplified if Ra = 0.8 instead of 0.12 and other figures
remain unchanged as in the above example, then we have market price of share as under:
2 (0.8 0.10)(4 2)
0.10
4 (0.8 0.10)(4 4)
0.10
= Rs. 40/Thus, market price per share can be maximised with complete distribution of earnings. If Ra is equal Rc, then
market price per share is insensitive to payout ratio. To sum up Walters conclusions, the firm should distribute
all the earnings in dividends if it has no profitable opportunities to invest.
E(1 b)
Ke br
Lesson 7
The dividend growth model thus, provides an additional measure of the intrinsic value of shares and may be
used to supplement other valuation methods.
Example
Determine the market price of a share of LMN Ltd., given
ke = 11%
E = Rs. 20
R = (i) 12%; (ii) 11%; and (iii) 10%
The market price be determined if
(a) b = 90%
(b) b = 60% and
(c) b = 30%
Solution
E(1 b)
Ke br
(i) r = 12%
(a) b = 90%
br = .9 Rs. .12 = 0.108
P=
Rs. 20 (1 0.9)
= Rs. 100
.11 .108
(b) b = 60%
br = .6 Rs. .12 = 0.072
P=
Rs. 20 (1 0.6)
= Rs. 210.52
.11 .072
(c) b = 30%
br = .3 .12 = 0.036
P=
Rs. 20 (1 0.3)
= Rs. 189.19
.11 .036
(ii) r = 11%
(a) b = 90%
br = .9 Rs. .11 = 0.099
P=
Rs. 20 (1 0.9)
.11 0.099 = Rs. 181.82
(b) b = 60%
br = .6 .11 = 0.066
P=
Rs. 20 (1 0.6)
.11 0.066 = Rs. 181.82
210 PP-FT&FM
(c) b = 30%
br = .3 Rs. .11 = 0.033
P=
Rs. 20 (1 0.3)
= Rs. 181.82
.11 .033
(i) r = 10%
(a) b = 90%
br = .9 Rs. .10 = 0.090
P=
Rs. 20 (1 0.9)
.11 0.090 = Rs. 100
(b) b = 60%
br = .6 Rs. .10 = 0.060
P=
Rs. 20 (1 0.6)
= Rs. 160
.11 .060
(c) b = 30%
br = .3 Rs. .10 = 0.030
P=
Rs. 20 (1 0.3)
= Rs. 175
.11 .030
The impact of dividend growth model can thus be analysed in three situations:
(1) When normal capitalization rate is less than the actual capitalization rate: CDnorm < CRact
In such a situation, the shareholder gains more earnings by investing in the company than he expects as a
norm. The shareholder would want the firm to retain more than to pay as dividend. If dividend payout is enhanced
it will lower the intrinsic value as it lowers the growth rate of a highly profitable company.
(2) Another situation could be where normal capitalization rate equals the actual capitalization rate: CDnorm = CRact
This situation represents that the company is doing well and shareholders are indifferent as to the level of
dividend. If dividend is declared, it would be reinvested in the companies. Thus the dividend payout ratio does
not effect the intrinsic value of the company.
(3) Where normal capitalization rate is more than actual capitalization rate i.e., CDnorm > CRact :
This situation represents the opposite side of (1) above. Here, the company is not doing well as expected, the
shareholders would like to invest elsewhere in more profitable avenues, so dividend payout has to be higher and
intrinsic value of shares accordingly gets enhanced.
The dividend growth model, thus an additional measure of the intrinsic value of shares that may be used to
supplement other valuation methods.
Lesson 7
for depreciation in accordance with the provisions of Section 205(2) of the Act. Alternatively, Dividend could be
declared out of profits of the company for any previous financial year or years arrived at after providing for
depreciation in accordance with those provisions and remaining undistributed. The dividend can also be declared
out of moneys provided by the Central Government or a State Government for the payment of dividend in
pursuance of guarantee given by that government.
In this regard, three things are more important viz.
(a) to provide for depreciation before declaring dividend for the particular financial year;
(b) to set-off the amount of loss of previous financial year against the profit of the company in that year as
per the provisions of the Companies Act, 1956.
(c) Central Government may allow company to declare or pay dividend for any financial year out of the
profits of the company for that year or any previous financial year without providing for depreciation.
The company is required to transfer to the reserves such percentage of its profits for that year not exceeding ten
percent in addition to providing for depreciation as required under Section 205(2A) of the Act. The company has
the freedom to transfer voluntarily any amount of its profits or the higher percentage of its profits to the reserves
in accordance with the rules as prescribed by the Government from time to time. The intention of the law is to
restrict a company not to pay dividend out of capital.
It has been held in number of cases by Supreme Court that when a dividend is declared it becomes a debt of the
company and a shareholder is entitled to sue for recovery of the same. Jurisdiction for such suit is at the place
where the dividend is to be sent. (See AIR 1971 SC 206 Hanuman Prasad Gupta v. Hiralal).
(
Dividends are to be paid within 30 days from the date of the declaration. If they are not paid the company is
required to transfer the unpaid dividend to Unpaid Dividend account within seven days of the expiry of the period
of thirty days. The company is required to open this account in any scheduled bank as required under Section
205-A of the Companies Act, 1956 and deposit the amount of dividend within 5 days.
(3) Dividend is to be paid only to registered shareholders or to their order or their bankers because Section 206
places the restriction for dividend not to be paid to any other person excepting those named above. This provision
has been made to prevent misuse of the funds and the litigation.
212 PP-FT&FM
the definition of dividend includes interim dividend and Sub-section (1A) of Section 205 stipulates that the Board
of Directors may declare interim dividend and the amount of dividend including interim dividend is to be deposited
in a separate bank account within five days from the date of declaration of such dividend and the amount of
dividend including interim dividend so deposited under Sub-section (1A) shall be used for payment of interim
dividend.
Section 207 stipulates that where a dividend has been declared by a company but has not been paid or the
warrant in respect thereof has not been posted, within 30 days from the date of declaration, to any shareholder
entitled to the payment of dividend, every director of the company, shall, if knowingly a party to the default, be
punishable with simple imprisonment for a term which may extend to three years and shall also be liable to a
fine of one thousand rupees for everyday during which such default continues and the company shall be
liable to pay simple interest at the rate of eighteen percent per annum during the period for which such default
continues.
Lesson 7
Solution
2.50 + P1 = 15 1.2
P1 = 18 2.50
P1 = Rs. 15.50
(ii) If the dividend is not paid
Po = 15
Ke = 20%
D1 = 0
P1 =?
0 + P1 = 151.20
P1 = Rs. 18.
Exercise No. 2
Ram Company belongs to a risk class for which the appropriate capitalization rate is 12%. It currently has
outstanding 30000 shares selling at Rs. 100 each. The firm is contemplating the declaration of dividend of Rs. 6
per share at the end of the current financial year. The company expects to have a net income of Rs. 3,00,000
and a proposal for making new investments of Rs. 6,00,000. Show that under the MM assumptions, the payment
of dividend does not affect the value of the firm. How many new shares issued and what is the market value at
the end of the year?
Solution
214 PP-FT&FM
ke = capitalisation rate for firm in that risk class (assumed constant throughout)
D1 = dividend per share at time 1
P1 = market price per share at time 1.
In the given problem
Po = 100
D1 = Rs. 6
P1 =?
Ke = 12%
6 + P1 = 112
P1 = 112 6
P1 = Rs. 106
If Dividend is not declared
Ke = 12%, Po = 100, D1 = 0, P1 =?
112= P1
Calculation of number of new shares to be issued/ Market Value of Firm
Dividends is Paid
Net Income
3,00,000
3,00,000
Total Divided
1,80,000
Nil
Retained earning
1,20,000
3,00,000
Investment required
6,00,000
6,00,000
4,80,000
3,00,000
106
112
4,528
2,679
30,000
30,000
34,528
32,679
106
112
36,60,000
36,60,000
There is no change in the total market value of shares whether dividends are distributed or not distributed.
Exercise No 3:
A company has 10,000 shares of Rs 100 each. The capitalisation rate is 12%. Income before tax is Rs 1,50,000.
Tax rate is 30%. Dividend pay-out ratio is 60%. The company has to take up a project costing Rs 4,00,000. Find
MPS at the end of the current year and the number of shares to be issued for financing the new project if (a)
dividend is paid, and (b) if dividend is not paid. Base the answer on M-M approach.
Lesson 7
Solution
Net income = Rs 1,50,000(1 0.30) = Rs 1,05,000
Dividend = Rs 1,05,000 0.6 = Rs 63,000
Dividend per share = Rs 63,000/10,000 = Rs 6.30
MPS1 when dividend is paid= Rs (100 1.12) 6.30 = Rs 105.70
Additional investment required = Rs 4,00,000 Rs 1,05,000 Rs 63,000 = Rs 2,32,000
No. of shares to be issued additionally = Rs 2,32,000/105.70 = 2,195
MPS1 when dividend is not paid= Rs 105.70 + 6.30 = Rs 112
Additional investment required = Rs 4,00,000 1,05,000 = Rs 2,95,000
No. of shares to be issued additionally = Rs 2,95,000/112 = 2,634
Exercise No. 4
From the following information supplied to you, determine the theoretical market value of equity shares of a
company as per Walters model:
Earnings of the company
Rs 5,00,000
Dividends paid
Rs. 3,00,000
Rs. 1,00,000
0.15
Are you satisfied with the current dividend policy of the firm? If not, what should be the optimal dividend payout
ratio in this case?
Solution
Solution
D
r
E D Rs 3 0.15 Rs 5 Rs 3
ke
0.125
Rs 43.20
ke
0.125
The optimal dividend payout ratio, given the facts of the case, should be zero.
Working Notes
(i) ke is the reciprocal of P/E ratio = 1/8 = 12.5 per cent
(ii) E = Total earnings Number of shares outstanding
(iii) D = Total dividends Number of shares outstanding
Exercise No. 5
X company earns Rs 5 per share, is capitalised at a rate of 10 per cent and has a rate of return on investment of
18 per cent. According to Walters model, what should be the price per share at 25 per cent dividend payout
ratio? Is this the optimum payout ratio according to Walter?
216 PP-FT&FM
Solution
Solution
D
(a) P
r
E D Rs 1.25 0.18 Rs 5.0 - Rs 1.25
ke
0.10
Rs 80
ke
0.10
This is not the optimum dividend payout ratio because Walter suggests a zero per cent dividend payout ratio in
situations where r > ke to maximise the value of the firm. At this ratio, the value of the share would be maximum,
that is, Rs 90.
Exercise No. 6
A company has the following facts:
Cost of capital (ke) = 0.10
Earnings per share (E) = Rs.10
Rate of return on investments ( r) = 8%
Dividend payout ratio: Case A: 50% Case B: 25%
Show the effect of the dividend policy on the market price of the shares.
Solution:
Case A:
D/P ratio = 50%
When EPS = Rs.10 and D/P ratio is 50%, D = 10 x 50% = $5
Rs. 5
Case B:
D/P ratio = 25%
When EPS = Rs.10 and D/P ratio is 25%, D = 10 x 25% = Rs. 2.5
Case B
D/P Ratio
40
30
Retention Ratio
60
70
Cost of capital
17%
18%
12%
12%
EPS
Rs.20
Rs.20
Solution
P
Rs.20 (1 - 0.60)
0.17 (0.60 x 0.12)
=>
Rs.81.63 (Case A)
Lesson 7
P
Rs.20 (1 - 0.70)
0.18 (0.70 x 0.12)
=>
Gordons model thus asserts that the dividend decision has a bearing on the market price of the shares and that
the market price of the share is favorably affected with more dividends.
LESSON ROUND-UP
Dividend Policy determines what portion of earnings will be paid out to stockholders and what portion
will be retained in the business to finance long term growth.
The amount of dividend payout fluctuates from period to period in keeping with fluctuations in the
amount of acceptable investment opportunities available to the firm. If the opportunities abound,
percentage of payout is likely to be zero; on the other hand, if the firm is unable to find out profitable
investment opportunities, payout will be 100 per cent.
Walter formula: Prices reflect the present value of expected dividend in the long run. A firm is able to earn
a higher return on earnings retained than the stockholder is able to earn on a like investment then it
would appear beneficial to retain these earnings all other things being equal. Walters model is as under:
D
P
Ra
(E D)
Rc
Rc
Dividend Capitalization model projects that dividend decision has a bearing on the market price of the
share.
E(1 b)
Ke br
Modigliani Miller Approach: According to MM, the discounted value per share before and after a dividend
payment will be same as if earnings had been retained.
P
nP0
1
[nD1 (n n)P1 nP1]
(1 p)
Dividend Policy is determined by the Board of Directors having taken into consideration a number of
factors which include legal restrictions imported by the Government to safeguard the interest of various
parties or the constituents of the company.
An appropriate dividend policy must be evaluated in the light of the objectives of the firm.
Section 205 (2) of the Companies Act provides that dividend could be declared out of profit of the
company for any previous financial year or years arrived at after providing for depreciation in accordance
with those provision and remaining undistributed.
Dividend is also paid in the form of shares of stock and this is referred as stock dividend or bonus shares.
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
(These are meant for re-capitulation only. Answers to these questions are not to be submitted for evaluation)
What do you understand by dividend policy? What are the main determinants of dividend policy in a
corporate enterprise?
Do you feel that a dividend decision is backed by a theoretical framework? What are different dividend
theories? Describe each of them precisely.
218 PP-FT&FM
What steps as a corporate executive would you suggest to the management for following an appropriate
dividend policy for your company that may be appreciated by the investors in general? Give reasons
for your recommendations.
What are the legal constraints on payment of dividends? Discuss in the light of statutory framework
existing in India.
How would you justify elimination of dividend entirely as a policy of your company to your shareholders?
Under what circumstances a company should follow such a dividend policy?
Write short notes on the following:
(1) Steady Dividend Policy.
(2) Fluctuating Dividend Policy.
Lesson 8
Working Capital
LESSON OUTLINE
Lesson 8
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Case Studies
LESSON ROUND UP
Operating Circle
All companies should focus on the proper management of working capital. Inventory, accounts
receivable, and accounts payable are of specific importance since they can be influenced most
directly by operational management and here starts the role of Management.
219
220 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 8
has to be met permanently as with other fixed assets. This requirement is referred to as permanent or fixed
working capital.
Any amount over and above the permanent level of working capital is temporary, fluctuating or variable working
capital. The position of the required working capital is needed to meet fluctuations in demand consequent upon
changes in production and sales as a result of seasonal changes.
Both kinds of working capital are necessary to facilitate the sales proceeds through the Operating Cycle.
6. Long Term working capital: The long-term working capital represents the amount of funds needed to keep
a company running in order to satisfy demand at lowest point. There may be many situations where Demand
may fluctuate considerably. It is not possible to retrench the work force or instantly sell all the inventories whenever
demand declines Due to temporary reasons. Therefore the value, which represents the long-term working capital,
stays with the business process all the time. It is for all practical purpose as permanent as fixed assets. In other
words, it consists of the minimum current assets to be maintained at all times. The size of the permanent
working capital varies directly with the size of Operation of a firm.
7. Short term working capital: Short-term capital varies directly with the level of activity achieved by a company.
The Volume of Operation decides the quantum of Short-term working capital. It also changes from one firm to
another; from cash to inventory from inventory to debtors and from debtors back to cash. It may not always be
gain fully employed. Temporary Working capital should be obtained from such sources, which will allow its return
when it is not in use.
8. Gross Working Capital: Gross working capital refers to the firms investment in current assets. Current
assets are those assets which can be converted in to cash with in an accounting year and includes cash short
term securities, debtors bills receivable and stock.
9. Net Working Capital: Net working capital refers to the difference between current asset and Current liabilities.
Current liabilities are those claims of outsiders, which are expected to mature for payment within accounting
year and include creditors, bills payable and outstanding expenses. Net Working capital can be positive or
negative. A positive net working capital will arise when current assets exceed current liabilities.
The Gross working capital concept focuses attention on two aspect of current assets management.
(a) How to optimize investment in current assets?
(b) How should current assets be finance?
Both the question is the most decision making action of the management. It should be give due consideration
before taking decision.
Both Net and Gross working capital is important and they have equal significance from management point of
view.
222 PP-FT&FM
enterprise ordinarily finances its own customers, requires large amounts to pay its own bills, and uses inventories
of direct materials for conversion into end products. These conditions augment the working capital requirements.
2. Degree of Seasonality: Companies that experience strong seasonal movements have special working capital
problems in controlling the internal financial savings that may take place. Aggrevating this difficulty is the fact
that no matter how clearly defined a pattern may be, it is never certain. Unusual circumstances may distort
ordinary relationships. Although seasonality may pull financial manager from the security of fixed programmes
to meet recurring requirements, flexible arrangements are preferable to guard against unforeseen contingencies.
An inability to cope with sharp working capital swings is one of the factors that encourages companies to
undertake diversification programmes.
3. Production Policies: Depending upon the kind of items manufactured, by adjusting its production schedules
a company may be able to offset the effect of seasonal fluctuations upon working capital, at least to some
degree, even without seeking a balancing diversified line. Thus in one year, in order to avoid burdensome
inventories, firm may curtail activity when a seasonal upswing normally takes place. As a matter of policy, the
choice will rest on the one hand, and maintaining a steady rate of production and permitting stocks of inventories
to build up during off season periods, on the other. In the first instance, inventories are kept to minimum levels
but the production manager must shoulder the burden of constantly adjusting his working staff; in the second,
the uniform manufacturing rate avoids fluctuations of production schedules, but enlarged inventory stocks create
special risks and costs. Because the purchase of inventories is often financed by suppliers, the mere fact that a
company carries bigger amounts does not necessarily mean that its cash problem is more serious.
4. Growth Stage of Business : As a company expands, it is logical to expect that larger amounts of working
capital will be required to avoid interruptions to the production sequence. Although this is true it is hard to draw
up firm rules for the relationship between the growth in the volume of a companys business and the growth of its
working capital. A major reason for this is managements increasing sophistication in handling the current assets,
besides other factors operating simultaneously.
5. Position of the Business Cycle: In addition to the long-term secular trend, the recurring movements of the
business cycle influence working capital changes. As business recedes, companies tend to defer capital
replacement programmes and deflect depreciations to liquid balances rather than fixed assets. Similarly, curtailed
sales reduce amounts receivable and modify inventory purchases, thereby contributing further to the accumulation
of cash balances. Conversely, the sales, capital, and inventory expansions that accompany a boom produce a
greater concentration of credit items in the balance sheet.
The tendency for companies to become cash-poor as the tide of economic prosperity rises and cash-rich as it
runs out is well known economic phenomenon. The pressure on company finances during boom years is reflected
in the business drive for loans and the high interest rate of these years as compared with a reversal of such
conditions during the periods of economic decline. The financial implications of these movements may be
deceptive. A weakening of the cash position in favourable economic environment may suggest the need or
difficulty of raising capital for the further expansion rather than a shortage of funds to take care of current needs.
On the other hand, a strong cash position when the economic outlook is bleak may be the forerunner of actual
financial difficulties. The financial manager must learn to look behind the obvious significance of the standard
test of corporate liquidity interpret their meaning in the light of his knowledge of the companys position in the
industry, the prospects of new business and the availability of external sources for supplying additional capital.
6. Competitive Conditions: A corporation that dominates the market may relax its working capital standard
because failing to meet customers requirements promptly does not necessarily lead to a loss of business. When
competition is keen, there is more pressure to stock varied lines of inventory to satisfy customers demands and
to grant more generous credit terms, thereby causing an expansion in receivables.
7. Production Collection Time Period: Closely related to a companys competitive status are the credit terms,
it must grant. These arrangements may be result of tradition, policy within the industry, or even carelessness in
Lesson 8
failing to carry out announced principles. And the arrangements, in turn, are part of the overall production
collection time sequence, that is, the time intervening between the actual production of goods and the eventual
collection of receivables, flowing from sales. The length of this period is influenced by various factors.
Purchases may be on a cash basis, but the manufacturing cycle may be prolonged and sales terms generous,
causing a wide gap between cash expenditure and receipt and possibly placing heavy financing pressure on the
firm. The pressure may be eased, despite long manufacturing cycle, if the company can persuade its suppliers
to bear a large part of its financing burden or the manufacturing cycle may be short, and get the pressures heavy
because suppliers do not bear a large part of financial burden. The financing requirements of the company may
always be traceable to the relation between purchasing and sales credit volume and terms of operations.
8. Dividend Policy: A desire to maintain an established dividend policy may affect the volume of working
capital, or changes in working capital may bring about an adjustment of dividend policy. In either event, the
relationship between dividend policy and working capital is well established, and very few companies ever
declare a dividend without giving consideration to its effect on cash and their needs for cash.
9. Size of Business: The amount needed may be relatively large per unit of output for a small company subject
to higher overhead costs, less favourable buying terms, and higher interest rates. Small though growing companies
tend to be hard pressed in financing their working capital needs because they seldom have access to the open
market as do large established business firms have.
10. Sales Policies: Working capital needs vary on the basis of sales policy of the same industry. A department
store which caters to the carries trade by carrying a quality line of merchandise and offering extensive charge
accounts will usually have a slower turnover of assets, a higher margin on sales, and relatively larger accounts
receivable than many of its non-carriage, trade competitors. Another department store which stresses cash and
carry operations will usually have a rapid turnover, a low margin on sales, and small or no accounts receivable.
11. Risk Factor: The greater the uncertainty of receipt and expenditure, more the need for working capital. A
business firm producing an item which sells for a small unit price and which necessitates repeat buying, such as
canned foods or staple dry goods etc., would be subject to less risk than a firm producing a luxury item which
sells for a relatively high price and is purchased once over a period of years, such as furniture, automobiles etc.
224 PP-FT&FM
accounts. Increase in sales generally requires larger investment in receivable. It is advantageous for a business
enterprise to maintain the shortest credit terms possible alongwith the lowest cost of capital. Delinquent accounts
should be avoided by expediting collections or by eliminating the delinquent customers or the cost of capital
involved in such accounts be recovered from such customers for delinquency. The firm can reduce investment
in receivables by offering cash discount to customers.
Risk is associated with receivables. The risk is related to bad debt losses to the profit margin i.e. a company can
bear more risk with great profit margin. Risk associated with receivables can be accounted for by adjusting
either (1) the discount rate used to ascertain the present value of receivables cost of capital; or (2) the cash
flow resulting from receivables. Standard deviation and co-efficient of variation are tools that may be used to
determine the degree of risk associated with cash group.
XXXX
XXXX
XXX
XXXX
XXXX
Total of A
XXXXX
Less:
B. Value of Trade Payable
XXXX
XXXX
XXXX
Total of B
XXXX
Working Capital
Total of A-Total of B
Lesson 8
borrowing, and late payments to creditor - all of which result in a lower credit rating. A lower credit rating means
banks charge a higher interest rate, which can cost a corporation a lot of money over time.
In general, companies that have a lot of working capital will be more successful since they can expand and
improve their operations. Companies with negative working capital may lack the funds necessary for growth.
However, some companies can sell their inventory and generate cash so quickly that they actually have a
negative working capital. This is generally true of companies in the restaurant business (McDonalds had a
negative working capital of $698.5 million between 1999 and 2000). Amazon.com is another example. This
happens because customers pay upfront and so rapidly that the business has no problems raising cash. In
these companies, products are delivered and sold to the customer before the company even pays for them.
In order to understand how a company can have a negative working capital, let us take an example of Wal-Mart.
Suppose Wal-Mart orders 500,000 copies of a DVD to Warner Brothers and they were supposed to pay within
30 days. What if by the sixth or seventh day, Wal-Mart had already put the DVDs on the shelves of its stores
across the country? By the twentieth day, they may have sold all of the DVDs. Here, Wal-Mart received the
DVDs, shipped them to its stores, and sold them to the customer (making a profit in the process), all before they
had paid Warner Brothers! If Wal-Mart can continue to do this with all of its suppliers, it doesnt really need to
have enough cash on hand to pay all of its accounts payable. As long as the transactions are timed right, they
can pay each bill as it comes due, maximizing their efficiency.
The bottom line is that a negative working capital can also be a sign of managerial efficiency in a business with
low inventory and accounts receivable (which means they operate on an almost strictly cash basis).
Accounts
Receivables
Cash
Inventory
Accounts
Payables
226 PP-FT&FM
Cash
Inventories
Receivables
Thus, the current assets represent cash or near cash necessary to carry on business operations at all times. A
level of current assets is thus maintained throughout the year and this represents permanent working capital.
Additional assets are also required in business at different times during the operating year. Added inventory
must be maintained to support peak selling period when receivables also increase and must be financed. Extra
cash is needed to pay increased obligations due to spurt in activities.
Fixed assets financing is different to current assets financing. In fixed assets investment is made in building,
plant and machinery which remains blocked over a period of time and generates funds through the help of
working capital at a percentage higher than the return on investment in current assets. Working capital financing
or current assets financing is done by raising short-term loans or cash credits limits but fixed assets financing is
done by raising long-term loans or equity.
The working capital leverage and the capital structure leverage are, therefore, two different concepts. Capital
structure leverage is associated with the fixed assets, financing, with an optional mix of owners funds and
borrowed funds. Owners funds are the internal funds of the company comprised of equity holders money in the
shape of equity, retained earnings, depreciation fund and reserves. Borrowed funds are the external sources of
funds raised from banks, financial institutions, issue of debentures, stock and term deposits from public. Financing
of fixed assets with borrowed funds is cheaper than using owners funds which increases the earnings per share
and tends to increase the value of owners capital in the share market. The detailed discussion on this aspect
can not be accommodated as this topic is entirely devoted to the aspects of working capital.
Lesson 8
CASH
(Ultimate Stage)
Sundry Debtors
(Period of Credit
Taken by customers)
Stage IV
Stage I
Raw materials
(Period of Turnover
of raw-material
stocks)
Working Capital
Operating Cycle
Finished goods
(Period of Turnover
of finished goods stock)
Stage III
Stage II
Stock-in-process
(Period in
production)
The above figure would reveal that operating cycle is the time that elapses between the cash outlay and the
cash realisation by the sale of finished goods and realisation of sundry debtors. Thus cash used in productive
activity, often some time comes back from the operating cycle of the activity. The length of operating cycle of an
enterprise is the sum of these four individual stages i.e. components of time.
The operating cycle can be calculated for a period as under:
S.No. Name of Working Capital
Component
1.
Formula
Raw materials
Period of raw material stock
Period of Production
3.
Period of turnover of
Days
228 PP-FT&FM
Example No. 1
Calculate the Operating cycle from the following figures related to company X:
Particulars
Average amount
Outstanding
`
Average value
per day (340
days assumed) `
1,80,000
Work-in-progress inventory
96,000
1,20,000
Debtors
1,50,000
Creditors
1,00,000
2,500
Cost of Sales
4,000
Sales
5,000
Solutions
Calculation of operating cycle
Days
1. Period of Raw Material Stock
Less: Credit granted by supplier
2. Period of Production
3. Turnover of Finished Goods
4. Credit taken by customers
Operating Cycle Period
180
, ,000
2500
100
, ,000
2500
96,000
4,000
120
, ,000
4000
150
, ,000
5000
72
40
32
24
30
30
116
Comments: Operating cycle is long and a number of steps could be taken to shorten this operating cycle.
Debtors could be cut by a quicker collection of accounts.
Finished goods could be turned over more rapidly, the level of raw material inventory could be reduced or the
production period shortened.
Requirement of working capital over the operating cycle period could be guessed for short-term, medium term as well
as long-term. For short term, working capital is required to support a given level of turnover to pay for the goods and
services before the cash is received from sales to customers. Effort is made that there remains no idle cash and no
shortage of money to erase liquidity within the companys working process. For this purpose sales budget could be
linked to the expected operating cycle to know working capital requirement for any given period of time or for each
month. Medium term working capital include profit and depreciation provisions. These funds are retained in business
and reduced by expenditure on capital replacements and dividend and tax payment. By preparing budget the minimum
amount required for medium term working capital can be estimated. The company can work out its working capital
needs for different periods through cash budget which is key part of working capital planning. To prepare such a
budget operating cycle parameters are of great use as estimation of future sales level, time and amount of funds
flowing into business, future expenditure and costs all can be made with least difficulty to help the main target.
Lesson 8
Then, operating cycle help in assessing the needs of working capital accurately by determining the relationship
between debtors and sales, creditors and sales and inventory and sales. Even requirement of extra working
capital can be guessed from such estimate.
Example No. 2
From the following information, you are required to estimate the net working capital:
Cost per unit (`)
Raw Material
200
Direct Labour
100
250
Total Cost
550
average 6 weeks
average 2 weeks
average 4 weeks
average 4 weeks
average 6 weeks
` 75,000
Selling price
Output
Assume that production is sustained at an even pace during the 52 weeks of the year. All sales are on credit
basis. State any other assumptions that you might have made while computing.
Answer
Computation of Net working Capital
Nature of Asset/Liabilities
Basis of Calculation
Amount
(`)
A. Current Assets
(i) Raw material stock
Average 6 weeks
52,000 200 6
52
(ii) Work-in-progress
(a) Raw Material
12,00,000
Average 2 weeks
52,000 200 2
52
4,00,000
52,000 175 2
52
3,50,000
230 PP-FT&FM
(iii) Finished goods stock
Average 4 weeks
52,000 550 4
52
(iv) Debtors
22,00,000
Average 6 weeks
52,000 800 6
52
(v) Cash at bank
48,00,000
75,000
Total of A
90,25,000
B. Current Liabilities
(i) Creditors
Average 4 weeks
52,000 200 4
52
C. Net Working Capital (A-B)
8,00,000
82,25,000
Note: (i) It has been assumed that the material has been introduced at the commencement of the process.
(ii) Lag in payment of overheads is nil.
(iii) There is no depreciation charge.
The company may have a budget or plan to show the expected increase in sales over the next period and by
using the relationship may determine sales and the relevant items of current assets and current liabilities. The
relationship between sales and funds required as working capital can vary at different stages of economic cycle.
Advance knowledge of actual sales is the main determinant of the working capital needs. For example, raw
material stocks are partly based on estimates of production level and work in progress and finished goods are
based on expected sales. At times of downturning in economic activity, there could be overstocking which is not
desirable and a company should adjust this level to business activity.
The above is the management oriented approach of calculating working capital. Banks and financial institutions
view the assessment of working capital from the angle as discussed in the following pages. Banks normally
provide working capital finance to hold an acceptable level of current assets viz. raw materials and stores,
stocks in progress, finished goods and sundry debtors for achieving a pre-determined level of production and
sales. The assessment of funds required to be blocked in each of these items of the working capital required by
an industry.
Lesson 8
3. Finished goods in the next stage: The funds blocked in finished goods inventories are assessed by estimating
the manufacturing cost of product.
4. Sundry Debtors: When goods sold is not realised in cash, sundry debtors are generated. The credit period
followed by a particular industrial unit in practice is generally the result of industry practices. Investment in
accounts receivable remains blocked from the time of sale till the time amount is realised from debtors. The
assessment of funds blocked should be on the basis of cost of production of the materials against which bank
extends working capital credit.
5. Expenses: One months total expenses, direct or indirect, are provided by way of cushion in assessing the
requirement of funds which may include rent, salaries, etc. depending upon the length of operating cycle.
6. Trade Credit received on purchases reduces working capital funds requirements and has to be taken into
account for correct assessment of funds.
7. Advances received alongwith purchase orders for the products also reduce the funds requirements for
working capital.
Taking into consideration the above parameters of operating cycle, the working capital for a unit can be assessed
as under:
Particular
Basis of Calculation
1. Raw material
Months consumption
100
2. Stock in process
100
100
4. Sundry debtors
100
5. Expenses
One months
100
Total
500
3. Finished goods
` 100
` 100 200
300
Banks do not provide the entire amount of ` 300 towards working capital. At every stage bank would insist upon
the borrowers stake in the form of margin which depends on various factors like saleable quality of product,
durability, price fluctuations, market conditions and business environment, etc. Thus the bank at every stage
would allow at the pre-determined rate the margin as noted below:
Component of Working Capital
Raw material
Less: Margin 10%
Stock in process
Less: Margin 40%
Finished goods
Less: Margin 25%
90
100
40
60
100
25
75
232 PP-FT&FM
Sundry Debtors (at sale value)
100
10
100
100% Margin
100
90
315
500
315
185
Before sanctioning the working capital of ` 315, the bank would ensure that borrower is in a position to bring in
margin money of ` 185 by way of excess current assets over current liabilities based on projected balance
sheet.
the slope of the line. With the help of such model, linear equation could be solved.
O. C.
Number of working days in the period
Where, C
O.C.
Operating cycle
C.G.S.
C
. S.
C.G.S
Lesson 8
234 PP-FT&FM
(f) Other miscellaneous sources are Dealer Deposits, Customer advances etc.
Sales
Aggressive
Conservative
Current Assets
To explain, an aggressive current asset policy aims at minimising the investment in current assets corresponding
to increase in sales thereby exposing the firm to greater risk but at the result of higher expected profitability. On
the other hand conservative policy aims at reducing the risk by having higher investment in current assets and
thereby depressing the expected profitability. In between these two, lies a moderate current asset policy.
Lesson 8
by 1, ROI increases by 6%
be 18%
i.e. 6 + 1 = 7 x 3 = 21%
6% x 4 = 24
Assets turnover side of ROI computation may also reflect the working capital management.
Current assets reflect the funds position of a company and is known as Gross Working Capital. Working
Capital leverage is nothing but current assets leverage which refers to the asset turnover aspect of ROI. This
reflects companys degree of efficiency in employing current assets. In other words, the ability of the company
to guarantee large volume of sales with small current asset base is a measure of companys operating efficiency.
This phenomenon is asset turnover which is a real tool in the hands of finance manager in a company
to monitor the employment of fund on a cumulative basis to result into high degree of working capital
leverage.
Short-term loans or cash credit raised by the company to meet the requirements of working capital i.e. to finance
the current assets, add to the profitability of the companys turnover of current assets in comparison to the cost
associated in terms of interest charges on such loans. This is the exact measure of working capital leverage.
However, the concept of working capital leverage has not been much in use in academic discussions and its real
importance is also to be understood by the business enterprises. To maximise profits, finance managers
unanimously view the investment in current assets be kept to the minimum and should be financed from the
funds such as current liabilities or low cost funds.
236 PP-FT&FM
According to an analysis of financial results from the 2,000 largest companies in the U.S. and Europe performed
in 2005 by Hackett-REL, U.S. and European companies have reduced working capital by 12 percent and 17
percent, respectively, over the past three years. This strongly indicates that awareness of the benefits of
working capital and cash management improvement has been elevated beyond the treasury to the office of
the CEO.
But while corporate profits may be soaring, corporations are still overlooking billions in cash a staggering
$460 billion in the U.S. and some $570 million in Europe. This enormous sum is literally stuck in transit, a
result of inefficient receivables, payables and inventory practices that could be reclaimed with relatively little investment.
Liberating the billions in cash trapped on the balance sheet is easier than one may think. Dell Inc., for instance
a lauded for overall strong corporate management and working capital performance builds a computer only
when it has received payment for an order, and doesnt pay its own suppliers for an agreed-upon period of time
thereafter. As a result, Dell enjoys negative working capital and, the more it grows, the more its suppliers finance
its growth.
Not all companies can operate like Dell, but most can improve their working capital position by at least 20
percent over time if they pay attention to the following list of cash management dos and donts:
(1) Get educated. There is more to working capital management than simply forcing debtors to pay as quickly
as possible, delay paying suppliers as long as possible and keep stock levels as lean as possible. A properly
conceived and executed improvement program will certainly focus on optimizing each of these components, but
also, it will deliver additional benefits that extend far beyond operational rewards. All this underscores the need
for ambitious executives to integrate working capital management into their strategic and tactical thinking, rather
than view it as an extraneous added bonus.
(2) Institute dispute management protocols. Consider a case where a companys working capital is deteriorating
due to an increase in past-due accounts receivable (A/R). A review of the past-due A/R illustrates a high level of
customer disputes, which are taking on average of 30 days to resolve and consuming significant amounts of
sales, order-entry and cash collectors time.
By tackling the root cause of the disputes in this case, poor adherence to pricing policies the company can
eliminate the disputes, thereby improving customer service. Established dispute-management protocols
free up time for sales, order-entry and cash collections personnel to be more effective at their designated
roles, and they also will increase productivity, reduce operating costs and potentially boost sales. And finally,
days payable outstanding (DPO) and working capital will improve, as customers wont have reason to hold
payment.
This example illustrates how working capital is one of the best indicators of underlying inefficiency within an
organization and why it is critical that senior executives remain focused on addressing the primary causes of
working capital excesses to control operating costs and remain competitive.
(3) Facilitate collaborative customer management. One of the most important cash management and
working capital strategies that executives CFOs and treasurers, as well as CEOs can employ is to avoid
thinking linearly and concerning themselves solely with their own companys needs. If it is feasible to collaborate
with customers to help them plan their inventory requirements more efficiently, it may be possible to match
your production to their consumption, efficiently and cost-effectively, and replicate this collaboration with your
suppliers.
The resulting implications for inventory levels can be massive. By aligning ordering, production and distribution
processes, companies can increase inherent efficiency and achieve direct cost savings almost instantly. At this
point, payment terms can be most effectively negotiated.
Lesson 8
(4) Educate personnel, customers and suppliers. A business imperative should be to educate staff to consider
the trade-offs between various working capital assets when negotiating with customers and suppliers. Depending
on the usage pattern of a raw material, there may be more to gain from negotiating consignment stock with a
supplier instead of pushing for extended terms - particularly in cases of long lead-time items or those that
require high minimum-order quantities.
The same can hold true for customers. Would vendor-managed inventory at a customer site provide you the
insight into true usage to better plan your own production? It is important to remember, however, that this is not
the solution for all products, and it should be evaluated on a case-by-case basis.
(5) Agree to formal terms with suppliers and customers and document carefully. This step cannot be
stressed enough. Terms must be kept up to date and communicated to employees throughout the organization,
especially to those involved in the customer-to-cash and purchase-to-pay processes; this includes your sales
organization.
Avoid prolific new product introductions without first establishing a clear product-range management strategy.
Whether in the consumer products or aluminium extrusions business, many companies rely heavily on new
products to maintain and grow market share. However, poor product-range management creates inefficiency in
the supply chain, as companies must support old products with inventory and manufacturing capability. This
increases operating costs and exposes the company to obsolete inventory.
(6) Dont forget to collect your cash. This may sound obvious, but many businesses fail to implement effective
ongoing collection procedures to prevent excess overdue funds or build-up of old debts. Customers should be
asked if invoices have been received and are clear to pay and, if not, to identify the problems preventing timely
payment. Confirm and reconfirm the credit terms. Often, credit terms get lost in the translation of general payment
terms and whats on the payables ledger in front of the payables clerk.
(7) Steer clear of arbitrary top-down targets. Too many companies, for example, impose a 10 percent
reduction in working capital for each division that fails to take into account the realistic reduction opportunities
within each division. This can result in goals that de-motivate employees by establishing impossible targets,
creating severe unintended consequences. Instead, try to balance top-down with bottom-up intelligence when
setting objectives.
(8) Establish targets that foster desired behaviours. Many companies will incentivise collections staff to
minimize A/R over 60 days outstanding when, in fact, they should reward those who collect A/R within the
agreed-upon time period. After all, what would stop someone from delaying collections activities until after 60
days when they can expect to be rewarded? Likewise, a purchasing manager may be driven by the purchase
price and rewarded for buying when prices are low, but this provides no incentive to manage lot sizes and order
frequency to minimize inventory.
(9) Do not assume all answers can be found externally. Before approaching existing customers and
suppliers to discuss cash management goals, fully understand your own process gaps so you can credibly
discuss poor payment processes. Approximately 75 percent of the issues that impact cash flow are internally
generated.
(10) Treat suppliers as you would like customers to treat you. Far greater cash flow benefits can be realized
by strategically leveraging your relationship with suppliers and customers. A supplier is more likely to support
you in the case of emergency if you have treated them fairly, and, likewise, a customer will be willing to forgive
a mistake if you have a strong working relationship.
That said, also realize that each customer is unique. Utilize segmentation tactics to split your customers and
suppliers into similar groups. For customers, segmentation may be based on criteria including, profitability,
238 PP-FT&FM
sales, A/R size, past-due debt, average order size and frequency. Once segmentation is complete, it is important
to define strategies for each segment based around the segmentation criteria and your strategic goals.
For example, you should minimize the management cost for low-margin customers by changing service levels,
automating interaction, etc. Finally, allocate your resources according to the segmentation, with the aim of
maximizing value.
CASH MANAGEMENT
By cash management, we mean the management of cash in currency form, bank balances and readily marketable
securities. Cash is the most important component of working capital of a firm. It is also the terminal conversion
point for other constituents. Each firm holds cash to some extent at any point of time. Source of this cash may be
the working capital operating cycle or capital inflows. Similarly the outflow of cash from the cash reservoir of a
firm can be either to the operating cycle or for capital repayment.
Lesson 8
The size of the cash pool depends upon the overall operations of the firm. Ideally, for transaction purposes, the
working capital inflows should be more than the working capital outflows at any point of time. The non-working
capital inflows should be utilized for similar outflows such as purchase of fixed assets together with the surplus
of working capital inflows.
(b) Speculative Motive
Since cash is the most liquid current asset, it has the maximum potential of value addition to a firms business.
The value addition can come in two forms. First, as the originating and terminal point of the operating cycle, cash
is invaluable. But cash has an opportunity cost also and if cash is kept idle, it becomes a liability rather than an
asset. Therefore, efficient firms seek to deploy surplus cash in short term investments to get better returns. It is
here that the second form of value addition from cash can be had. Since this deployment of cash needs to be
done skillfully, not all the firms hold cash for speculative motive. Further the amount of cash held for speculative
motive should not cause any strain upon the operating cycle.
(c) Contingency Motive
This motive of holding cash takes into account the element of uncertainty associated with any form of business.
The uncertainty can result in prolongation of the working capital operating cycle or even its disruption. It is
possible that cost of raw materials or components might go up or the time taken for conversion of raw materials
into finished goods might increase. For such contingencies, some amount of cash is kept by every firm.
240 PP-FT&FM
(` in crores)
Firm A
Firm B
Firm C
2012
2013
2012
2013
2012
2013
Income
3,031.76
3,322.44
10,948.86
11,353.68
1,381.91
1,882.61
27.95
27.49
522.08
913.16
315.21
1,089.34
0.92
.082
4.77
8.04
22.81
57.86
Firm A is a large cement manufacturer, Firm B is a FMCG giant and firm C is a leading soft ware company. Out
of the above three firms, firm A has been holding the minimum quantum of cash and bank balances as percentage
of total income while firm C has the maximum quantum. On the face of it, the first impression that one is likely to
get is that firm A is the most efficient user of cash and bank balances while firm C is the most inefficient user. But
that would be a hasty conclusion. We have to move further and probe into the status of cash and bank balances
vis--vis other current assets:
Current Assetsincl. Loans
Firm A
Firm B
Firm C
and Adv.
2012
2013
2012
2013
2012
2013
Inventories
312.60
30.12
1182.10
1240.03
Sundry Debtors
247.63
216.50
264.51
424.78
375.22
395.61
27.95
27.49
522.08
913.16
151.74
1098.34
12.81
6.02
48.53
50.61
306.29
351.42
744.09
798.19
147.68
129.26
907.48
901.55
2761.32
3426.76
674.64
1623.1
3.08
3.05
18.90
26.65
22.49
67.66
From the above table we note that Firm a holds just around 3% of its current assets as cash balances, i.e. its
operating cycle has an extended and large span requiring conversion into Loans and Advances, Inventories,
Sundry Debtors before re-conversion into cash. Firm B is engaged in manufacture and trading of consumer
non-durables having a relatively shorter operating cycle. As such, holding of cash by this firm as a percentage of
total current assets is larger. Firm C has 22.49% of the current assets in cash and bank balances in 2012 while
the figure has gone up to 67.66% in 2013. The abnormal rise is due to the fact that out of the cash and bank
balances of ` 1098.34 lacs represented unutilised proceeds of the capital issue made by the firm. Ignoring this
figure, the cash and bank balances are ` 666.84 lacs, still 56.43% of the current assets. The implication of this
is that the firm C, being in the services sector as a software exports, has a short operating cycle. The inventory
holding is nil and current assets and generally held either as cash or receivables. So, the level of cash and bank
balances viewed per se, is no indicator of the efficiency of cash management. We have to analyse the various
components of cash holding to arrive at a more accurate conclusion.
Lesson 8
of small amounts. It is generated from counter cash receipts of the firm, if any, and from cash withdrawals from
the bank. The volume of cash on hand maintained by the firm again depends upon the nature of operations of
the firm. In case of major portion of the sales being in cash, firm is left with large amounts of end of day cash
which needs to be taken care of safely. This entails security and custody arrangements for the cash before it is
deposited in the bank. Moreover, since receipt and payment of cash is a primary level transaction which is
culminated with the handing over of the cash, special care is required while handling cash.
Cheques on hand are clubbed with cash in a categorization because a cheque is a secondary form of cash and
is equivalent to holding cash. The care and precaution required for holding cheques is much less than required
for cash because almost all the cheques are account payee cheques which can be credited to the account of
the firm only. The cheques in hand need to be deposited carefully and expeditiously into the bank in order to get
credit to the correct account well in time. Attention also needs to be paid to those cheques which are dishonoured
at the time of presentation to the payee banks since the drawer of the cheques has to be contacted for obtaining
rectified cheque.
2. Bank Balances
Bank balances represent the amount held with banks in savings, current or deposit accounts. In the case of
firms, balances are not held in savings accounts. A firm has at least one main current account with a bank
through which the transactions are carried out. All the excess cash is deposited into this account together with
the cheques. Payments to employees, creditors and suppliers are made by way of cheques drawn on this
account. Being a current account, no interest is payable to the firm on the balance maintained in this account.
Therefore the firm seeks to keep just sufficient balance in the current account for meeting immediate payment
liabilities. After accounting for these liabilities, the surplus is transferred either to an interest bearing deposit
account or invested in short term liquid instruments. In case the firm has borrowed funds for working capital, the
surplus cash and cheques are credited to those accounts, thereby reducing the liability of the company.
Firm B
Firm C
2012
2013
2012
2013
2012
2013
27.41
26.30
520.61
911.74
151.57
1,098.17
15.15
7.86
147.56
222.9
149.28
275.55
0.59
0.75
373.05
689.45
0.72
820.55
1.03
2.32
0.00
0.00
1.57
2.07
Remittances in Transit
10.64
15.36
We can note that while firm B has a substantial portion of the cash in deposit accounts, firms A and C have
comparatively much larger portion in current accounts. In the case of firm A, it appears that the cash inflows are
quickly followed by cash outflows so that it does not have surpluses available for keeping in bank deposits.
Firms B and C have comparatively comfortable cash position evidenced by the amounts kept in deposit accounts.
It means that the firms have less pressure for cash outflows. Further, firm A has substantial amount outstanding
as Remittance in Transit, i.e. remittance sent from other centers and cheques sent under collection. Such
remittance need to be translated into bank balances at the earliest or else the firm can not make much use of
242 PP-FT&FM
this cash. There are certain deposits which have been earmarked for a specific purpose, for example margin
money for bank guarantees or letters of credit. Such earmarked deposits can not be used for other purposes
and to that extent, the cash balances are deemed to have been converted into other assets.
INVENTORY MANAGEMENT
Inventory Management is the second important segment of working capital management Inventory is the second
step in the operating cycle wherein cash in converted into various items of the inventory. Inventory has the
following major components:
Lesson 8
Firm B
Firm C
2012
2013
2012
2013
2012
2013
907.48
901.55
2,761.32
3,426.78
674.64
1,623.21
Inventories
312.8
300.12
1182.10
1424.04
Sundry Debtors
247.63
216.50
264.51
424.78
375.22
395.61
27.95
27.49
522.08
913.16
151.75
1,098.34
12.51
60.2
48.53
50.61
306.29
351.42
744.08
798.19
147.68
129.26
Inventory as % of Total
current assets
33.75
33.29
42.80
36.19
Firm A, being in the current manufacturing sector has over 30% of the current assets held in the form of inventories,
244 PP-FT&FM
while firm B, being in the FMCG manufacturing and trading sector has over 35% of the current assets in the
inventory form. Firm C, in the software export segment has obviously zero inventory holding.
Lesson 8
The total usage of that particular item for a given period is known with certainty and the usage rate is
even throughout the period.
There is no time gap between placing an order and receiving supply.
The cost per order of an item is constant and the cost of carrying inventory is also fixed and is given as
a percentage of the average value of inventory.
There are only two costs associated with the inventory and these are the cost of ordering and the cost
of carrying the inventory.
Given the above assumptions, the optimum or economic order quantity is represented as:
EOQ
2AB
C
% to total
5000
45.45
1000
50.00
22.93
4000
36.36
1200
48.00
22.00
2000
18.18
6000
120.00
55.05
11000
100.00
218.00
100.00
Thus the cost of raw material C which accounts for 55% of the total consumption value should be given priority
over item A although the number of units consumed of the latter is much more than former.
RECEIVABLES MANAGEMENT
Receivables are near the terminating point of the operating cycle. When raw material has been converted into
finished goods, the final product is sold by the firm. Some of the sales are done on spot basis while the remaining
sales are made on credit. The extent of credit sales varies from industry to industry and within an industry.
Period of credit depends upon the position of the firm in the industry. If the firm has a monopoly position, period
of credit would be very low. If the industry consists of a large number of players in keen competition with each
other, the period of credit would tend to be fairly long. Also, during periods of demand recession, even a firm in
monopoly situation might be forced to extend credit in order to promote sales.
Receivables are generally referred to by the name of Sundry Debtors in the books of account, Strictly speaking,
Sundry Debtors refer to receivables created in the course of operation of the working capital cycle, i.e. those
persons which owe payment to the firm for goods supplied or services rendered. Thus sundry debtors represent
an intermediate stage between reconversion of finished goods into cash. So long as the sundry debtors persist,
the firm is strained of cash. So, logically the firm seeks to minimize the level of sundry debtors.
The period of credit allowed to debtors also depends upon the industry practice. This period of credit has two
components. First component is a small period of week to ten days which is normally allowed in all industries
246 PP-FT&FM
and no interest is charged on the amount due. The second component is the larger one, length of which varies
from industry to industry and interest is usually charged for this period. In the alternative, the firm may charge full
invoice value for payment made after the credit period and allow discount for spot payments.
The existence of debtors in the books of a firm is a routine and normal situation. Only a firm with a commanding
market share or the one operating in a situation of acute mismatch between demand and supply can afford to
dictate terms of sale and receive full invoice value in advance. Otherwise, the firm has to maintain a balance
between promoting sales and maintaining the level of receivables within manageable limits.
Apart from the Sundry Debtors, cash flow of the firm is also affected by Loans and Advances made to suppliers,
subsidiaries and others. These advances are not exactly working capital advances but nevertheless these are
treated as current assets because these are assumed to be recoverable or converted into inventory, fixed
assets or investments within one year.
Credit policy can have a significant influence on sales. In theory, the firm should lower its quality standard for
accounts accepted as long as the profitability of sales generated exceeds the added costs of the receivables.
What are the costs of relaxing credit standards? Some arise from an enlarged credit department, the clerical
work of checking additional accounts, and servicing the added volume of receivables. We assume for now that
these costs are deducted from the profitability of additional sales to give a net profitability figure for computational
purpose. An other cost comes from the increased probability of bad-debt losses.
Illustration
To assess the profitability of a more liberal extension of credit, we must know the profitability of additional sales,
the added demand for products arising from the relaxed credit standards, the increased slowness of the average
collection period, and the required return on investment. Suppose a firms product sells for ` 10 a unit, of which
`8 represents variable costs before taxes, including credit department costs. The firm is operating at less than
full capacity, and an increase in sales can be accommodated without any increase in fixed costs. Therefore, the
contribution margin of an additional unit of sales is the selling price less variable costs involved in producing the
unit, or `10 `8 = `2.
At present, annual credit sales are running at a level of `2.4 million, and there is no underlying trend in such
sales. The firm may liberalize credit, which will result in an average collection experience of new customers of
2 months. Existing customers are not expected to alter their payment habits and continue to pay in 1 month.
The relaxation in credit standards is expected to produce a 25 percent increase in sales, to `3 million annually.
This `6,00,000 increase represents 60,000 additional units if we assume that the price per unit stays the
same. Finally, assume that the opportunity cost of carrying additional receivables is 20 percent before taxes.
This information reduces our evaluation to a trade-off between the added profitability on the additional sales and
the opportunity cost of the increased investment in receivables. The increased investment arises solely from
new, slower paying customers; we have assumed existing customers continue to pay in 1 month. With the
additional sales of `6,00,000 and receivable turnover of 6 times a year (12 months divided by the average
collection period of 2 months), the additional receivable are ` 6,00,000 / 6 = `1,00,000. For these additional
receivables, the firm invests the variable costs tied up in them. For our example, `80 of every Re.1.00 in sales
represents variable costs. Therefore, the added investment in receivables is .80 x `1,00,000 = `80,000. In as
much as the profitability on additional sales, `1,20,000, far exceeds the required return on the additional investment
in receivables, `16,000, the firm would be well advised to relax its credit standards. An optimal credit policy
would involve extending trade credit more liberally until the marginal profitability on additional sales equals the
required return on the additional investment in receivables.
Now, we shall revert back to our sample firms and examine the level of Sundry Debtors and loans and Advances
vis-a-vis the level of operations.
Lesson 8
` in crores
A
2012
2013
2012
2013
2012
2013
Sundry Debtors
247.63
216.50
264.51
424.78
470.76
464.10
306.29
351.42
744.09
798.19
136.91
104.73
Sales/Services
3,031.76
1,381.91
1,882.61
(1) as % of (3)
8.17
6.52
2.49
3.87
34.08
24.65
(2) as % of (3)
10.10
10.57
7.02
7.27
9.91
5.56
Obviously firm B has adopted a tight and conservative policy towards debtors. It is recovering its receivables
quickly. Similarly the outgo on loans and advances is not disproportionate as compared to sales. One reason for
this is that the firm B has undertaken a qualitative analysis of loans and advances and has treated some of these
as doubtful. Such doubtful advances, including loans and advances to subsidiary companies have been charged
to the Profit and Loss Account as part of prudent accounting practice. Similar treatment has been accorded to
sundry debtors as well.
In the case of firm C, the sundry debtors are a fairly high percentage of total sales and rightly so, because the
firm has no inventory and most of the working capital is locked in receivables only. The loans and advances are,
however at around 6-10% of sales.
It is difficult to prescribe a reasonable level for loans and advances for any firm because of the percentage of
sundry debtors to sales varies widely among these firms. In case of firm A sundry debtors are between 6 to 8%
of sales while loans and advances are around 10% of sales. The loans and advances consist of various types of
deposits, pre payments and advances etc. Not all loans and advances are meant to be converted into cash.
That is why loans and advances, although considered as current assets, are not treated part of the working
capital. In fact some of the advances get converted into either capital expenditure or investments. For example
advances for supply of capital goods would ultimately get shaped into fixed assets. Advances towards share
application money or as loans to subsidiary are converted into investments. Similarly pre-paid taxes & duties are
ultimately treated as expenses. In the case of firm B, the sundry debtors are just around 3-4% of sales while
loans and advances are around 7% of sales.
If a firm is buying raw material or traded goods on credit, then ideally the level of such creditors should be more
than the level of debtors at any point of time. Benchmarking of the receivable level can also be done against
248 PP-FT&FM
historical industry trends. To guard against the receivables rising beyond tolerable levels, firms usually treat all
advances and debts over six months old as doubtful cases and, if needed, charge such amounts to the profit
and loss account.
Illustration :
Ash Ltd. follows collection policy as detailed below :
(i) 10% of the sales is collected in the same month
(ii) 20% of the sales is collected in the 2nd month
(iii) 40% of the sales is collected in the 3rd month
(iv) 30% of the sales is collected in the 4th month.
Sales of the company for the first three quarters of the year are as follows :
Month of the
Quarter
Quarter-I
Quarter-II
Quarter-Ill
15,000
7,500
22,500
15,000
15,000
15,000
15,000
22,500
7,500
Total
45,000
45,000
45,000
90
90
90
100
(10%
100
100
2
+
20%
40%)
30%
(10%
20%)
70%
(10%)
90%
Amount
Recoverable
Recovered
Balance
Balance
Amount
15,000
70%
30%
4,500
15,000
30%
70%
10,500
15,000
10%
90%
13,500
45,000
Average age of receivables = 28500/45000*90 = 57 days
Rocoverables at the end of Q-II
28,500
Lesson 8
Month
Amount
Recoverable
Recovered
Balance
Balance
Amount
7,500
70%
30%
2,250
15,000
30%
70%
10,500
22,500
10%
90%
20,250
45,000
33,000
Amount
Recoverable
Recovered
Balance
Balance
Amount
22,500
70%
30%
6,750
15,000
30%
70%
10,500
7,500
10%
90%
6,750
45,000
24,000
250 PP-FT&FM
4. Sundry Debtors: When goods sold is not realised in cash, sundry debtors are generated. The credit period
followed by a particular industrial unit in practice is generally the result of industry practices. Investment in
accounts receivable remains blocked from the time of sale till the time amount is realised from debtors. The
assessment of funds blocked should be on the basis of cost of production of the materials against which bank
extends working capital credit.
5. Expenses: One months total expenses, direct or indirect, are provided by way of cushion in assessing the
requirement of funds which may include rent, salaries, etc. depending upon the length of operating cycle.
6. Trade Credit received on purchases reduces working capital funds requirements and has to be taken into
account for correct assessment of funds.
7. Advances received alongwith purchase orders for the products also reduce the funds requirements for
working capital.
Taking into consideration the above parameters of operating cycle, the working capital for a unit can be assessed
as under:
S.No. Component of Working Capital Basis of Calculation
1.
Raw material
Months consumption
100
2.
Stock in process
100
3.
Finished goods
100
4.
Sundry debtors
100
5.
Expenses
One months
100
Total
500
` 100
` 100
200
300
Banks do not provide the entire amount of ` 300 towards working capital. At every stage bank would insist upon
the borrowers stake in the form of margin which depends on various factors like saleable quality of product,
durability, price fluctuations, market conditions and business environment, etc. Thus, the bank at every stage
would allow the margin at the pre-determined rate as noted below:
Permissible Limit (`)
Raw material
Less: Margin 10%
100
10
90
Stock in process
Less: Margin 40%
100
40
60
Finished goods
Less: Margin 25%
100
25
75
100
10
90
100
100
315
Lesson 8
500
315
185
Before sanctioning the working capital of ` 315, the bank would ensure that borrower is in a position to bring in margin
money of ` 185 by way of excess current assets over current liabilities based on projected balance sheet.
75% of the working capital gap will be financed by the bank i.e.
Total Current assets
Less: Current Liabilities other than Bank Borrowings
= Working Capital Gap.
Less: 25% of Working Capital gap from long-term sources.
252 PP-FT&FM
2.
Alternatively, the borrower has to provide for a minimum of 25% of the total current assets out of longterm funds and the bank will provide the balance. The total current liabilities inclusive of bank borrowings
will not exceed 75% of the current assets:
Total Current Assets
Less: 25% of current assets from long-term sources.
Less: Current liabilities other than Bank borrowings
= Maximum Bank Borrowing permissible.
3.
The third alternative is also the same as the second one noted above except that it excludes the permanent
portion of current assets from the total current assets to be financed out of the long-term funds, viz.
Total Current assets
Less: Permanent portion of current assets
Real Current Assets
Less: 25% of Real Current Assets
Less: Current liabilities other than Bank Borrowings
= Maximum Bank Borrowing permissible.
Thus, by following the above measures, the excessive borrowings from banks will be gradually eliminated
and the funds could be put to more productive purposes.
The above methods may be reduced to equation as under:
1st Method
2nd Method
3rd Method
Where,
PBC stands for Permissible Bank Credit
WCG stands for Working Capital Gap
TCA stands for Total Current Assets
OCL stands for Other Current Liabilities
(i.e. Current Liabilities other than Bank Borrowings)
CRA stands for Amount required to finance Core Assets.
The three alternative methods mentioned above may be illustrated by taking the following figures of a borrowers
financial position, projected at the end of next year.
ILLUSTRATION
Current Liabilities
` in lakhs
100
50
Current Assets
Raw materials
` in lakhs
200
150
Stock-in-process
20
200
Finished goods
90
50
10
350
370
Lesson 8
` in
lakhs
370
2nd Method
Total Current Assets
` in
lakhs
370
3rd Method
Total Current Assets
borrowings
150
220
55
Excess borrowings
Current Ratio
278
165
200
35
1 .17 : 1
95
275
69
Maximum Bank
150
56
Borrowings Permissible
128
220
200
permissible
Excess borrowings
370
206
92
sources
` in
lakhs
72
Current Ratio
1.33 : 1
Current Ratio
1.79 : 1
220
56
144
The above approach of lending is meant to ensure reasonable relationship between current assets and current
liabilities. Conventionally a current ratio of 2 : 1 is considered satisfactory but at that time it was anticipated that
in view of the constraints the availability of long-term funds in India and lack of alternative sources, the vast
majority of borrowers would not be able to comply at present with conventional standard. Accordingly, the study
group preferred to take a realistic view in suggesting that current liabilities should not exceed the current assets
and as such it is necessary that current ratio should carry a thin margin of safety i.e. it should be slightly over 1.1.
The study group also emphasised the importance of the classification of current assets and current liabilities
which should be made as per definition in the Companies Act.
The above illustration shows that each successive method is intended to increase progressively the investment
of borrowers long-term funds (comprising borrowers own funds and long-term borrowings) to support current
assets. The Committee recommended placement of the borrower on the first method within a year and their
moving to the second and third methods in stages. Out of three methods Reserve Bank of India accepted first
two methods for being put into practice by bank and deferred implementation of third method for the time being
pending group work and detailed studies to be undertaken to work out core current assets for various industries.
First and second method are not alternative but successive stages through which borrowers will pass. A borrower
who reached 1st method will push a head to conform to second method. The borrower who already satisfy the
requirement of the second method are not allowed to slip back to the 1st method by increasing their dependence
on bank borrowings. This is to say, existing current ratio should not be impaired.
The application of first method which was the stage to be reached with in period of one year, might have required
many existing borrowers to repay excess borrowings. In such cases bank were to hold dialogue with the customers
to adjust the excess borrowing without causing any hardship to them. If adjustment was difficult, the bank could
convert the excess borrowing into Working Capital Term Loan (WCTL) for being amortised over a reasonable
254 PP-FT&FM
period taking into account the borrowers cash accruals and obligations and his capacity to raise additional
equity. Period of regularisation was to be agreed to on negotiation basis between banker and borrower at the
time of entry into the new system.
3. Style of credit: A change in the style of lending has also been suggested by the Committee so as to bifurcate
the cash credit into a loan account and demand cash credit instead of treating the entire credit limit as cash
credit for a year. This will make the credit less expensive to borrowers. The demand cash credit will meet the
seasonal requirements of industry and will be wiped out automatically at the end of the business cycle. This will
introduce a better financial discipline in the credit system and will generate better financing system in the banking
economy with numerous advantages.
4. Information system: To monitor better credit information system in the banking industry, the committee
suggested for the borrower to submit quarterly statements in the prescribed format about its operations, current
assets and current liabilities and funds flow statements with monthly stock statements and projected balance
sheets and profit and loss account at the end of financial year.
5. Follow up: The Committee also suggested a close follow up for supervision and control of the use of credit by
the banks and change in attitude of the banks from security-oriented lending to production oriented lendings/
credit.
6. Norms of Capital Structure: For examining the capital structure of the company the norms have also been
suggested by the committee for monitoring a better equity : debt relationship.
3. Chore Committee
Reserve Bank of India accepted the above recommendations of the Tandon Committee but found that the gap
between sanctioned cash credit limit and its utilisation has remained unanswered. In this context, RBI appointed
in April 1979 a working group under the Chairmanship of Mr. K.B. Chore to look into this gap between the
sanctioned limits and their utilisation.
The Chore Committee has, inter alia, recommended as follows:
(1) emphasised need for reducing the dependance of large and medium scale units on bank finance for
working capital;
(2) to supplant the cash credit system by loans and bills wherever possible; and
(3) to follow simplified information system but with penalties when such information is not forthcoming
within the specified limit.
Chore Committee also suggested that the banks should adopt henceforth Method II of the lending recommended
by the Tandon Committee so as to enhance the borrowers contribution towards working capital. The observance
of these guidelines will ensure a minimum current ratio of 1.33 : 1. Where the borrowers are not in a position to
comply with this, excess borrowings on account of adoption of Method II should be segregated and converted
into a working capital term loan (WCTL). This loan should be made repayable in half-yearly instalments over a
period not exceeding five years. WCTL may carry a rate of interest higher than the rate applicable on the relative
cash credit limit, not exceeding the ceiling with a view to encouraging an early liquidation of WCTL.
It was also suggested that banks should fix separate limits where feasible for peak level and non-peak level
requirements with periods where there is a pronounced seasonal trend. This will not apply to agro-based industries
but also to certain consumer industries like fans, refrigerators, etc. The borrower should be discouraged from
approaching banks frequently for ad hoc limits in excess of the sanctioned limits excepting those special
circumstances when such requests be considered for short duration with 1 per cent additional interest over
normal rate which could be waived in general cases on merits. Sick units may be allowed general exemptions
from the above requirements. The Committee also favoured encouragement be given to bill finance i.e. bill
Lesson 8
acceptance and bill discounting practices involving banks, buyers and sellers. The Committee suggested some
modifications and improvements in the system earlier recommended by the Tandon Committee. The modified
system includes that banks should submit half-yearly statements to RBI above credit limits of borrowers with
aggregate working capital of ` 50 lakhs and above from the banking system.
4. Marathe Committee
In 1982, it was felt that an independent review of the Credit Authorisation Scheme (CAS) which had been in
operation for several years would be useful and accordingly the Reserve Bank of India appointed a Committee
referred as Marathe Committee in November 1982 to review the working of the Credit Authorisation Scheme.
The Committee submitted its report in July 1983.
The Marathe Committee which was given terms of reference to examine the Credit Authorisation Scheme from
the point of view of its operational aspects stressed that the CAS is not to be looked upon as a mere regulatory
measure which is confined to large borrowers. The basic purpose of CAS is to ensure orderly credit management
and improve quality of bank lending so that all borrowings, whether large or small, are in conformity with the
policies and priorities laid down by the Central Banking Authority. If the CAS scrutiny has to be limited to a
certain segment of borrowers, it is because of administrative limitations or convenience, and it should not imply
that there are to be different criteria for lending to the borrowers above the cut off point as compared to those
who do not come within the purview of the scheme.
5. Kannan Committee
With a view to free the banks from rigidities of the Tandon Committee recommendations in the area of Working
Capital Finance and considering the ongoing liberalizations in the financial sector, IBA constituted, following a
meeting of the Chief Executives of Selected public sector banks with the Deputy Governor of Reserve Bank of
India on 31.8.96, a committee on Working Capital Finance including Assessment of Maximum Permissible
Bank Finance (MPBF), headed by Mr. K. Kannan, the then Chairman and Managing Director of the Bank of
Baroda.
The Committee examined all the aspects of working capital finance and gave far reaching recommendations on
the modalities of assessment of working capital finance in its report, submitted to IBA on February 25, 1997. It
observed that since commercial banks in India were undergoing a metamorphosis of deregulations and
liberalizations, it was imperative that micro-level credit administration should be handled by each bank individually
with their own risks-perceptions, risks-analysis and risks-forecastings. The final report of the Committee was
submitted to RBI for its consideration in March, 1997. In its final report, the Kannan Committee also pointed that
alongwith modification of existing systems of working capital assessment and credit monitoring, certain
undermentioned areas also need to be addressed:
(1) Regular interface with the borrower to have a better understanding of (i) his business/activity; and, (ii)
problems/constraints faced by him and the future action plan envisaged;
(2) Periodical obtaining of affidavits from the borrowers, declaring highlights of their assets, liabilities and
operating performance (in lieu of subjecting even the high rated/high valued borrowers to several routine
inspections/ verifications) in order to bestow faith-oriented, rather than ab initio doubt-oriented, approach
in monitoring the credit dispensation.
(3) Periodical exchange of information between/among financing banks/financial institutions to pick-up the
alarm signals at the earliest.
(4) Establishing, within, a time bound programme, a Credit Information Bureau to provide updated
information of existing/new borrowers before taking a credit decision. (Modality of Information Bureau in
advanced countries may be taken as a guide for floating an appropriate Credit Information Bureau).
256 PP-FT&FM
Accordingly, the Kannan Committee recommended that the arithmetical rigidities, imposed by Tandon Committee
(and reinforced by Chore Committee) in the form of MPBF-computation, having so far been in vogue, should be
given a go-by. The committee also recommended for freedoms to each bank in regard to evolving their own
system of working capital finance for a faster credit delivery in order to serve more effectively various segments
of borrowers in the Indian economy.
Concurring with recommendations of the Kannan Committee, Reserve Bank of India (vide circular No. IECD No.
23/08.12.01/96 dated 15.04.1997) advised to all the banks, inter-alia, as under:
It has now been decided that the Reserve Bank of India shall withdraw forthwith the prescription in regard to
assessment o working capital needs based on the concept of maximum permissible bank finance (MPBF)
enunciated by Tandon Working Group. Accordingly, an appropriate system may be evolved by banks for assessing
the working capital needs of borrowers within the prudential guidelines and exposure norms already prescribed.
The turnover method, as already prevalent for small borrowers, may continue to be used as a tool of assessment
for this segment; since major corporates have adopted cash budgeting as a tool of funds management, banks
may follow cash budget system for assessing the working capital finance in respect of large borrowers; there
should also be no objection to the individual banks retaining the concept of the present maximum permissible
bank finance, with necessary modifications or any system.
Reserve Bank of India further directed that Working capital credit may henceforth be determined by banks
according to their perception of the borrower and the credit needs. Banks should lay down, through their boards
a transparent policy and guidelines for credit dispensation in respect of each broad category of economic activity.
Lesson 8
Hence so long as a firm does not default on payment of its current liabilities, the fact that it has a negative net
working capital need not be a cause for concern. This may not always be true as most of the organisatons may
like to see current assets more than current liabilities. Example of such organisations could be banks who
provide short-term credit or suppliers of raw material who sell on credit to firms.
(c) Does the balance sheet give a true picture of current assets?
We have restricted the discussion of current assets to the position obtained as on a particular date. This position
may not be representative of the state of affairs prevailing on a day to day basis throughout the year. In order to
even out the effects of daily variation in the level of current assets, it is advisable to take average of weekly,
monthly or quarterly holding depending upon the nature of the industry and turnover of the assets. The position
at the end of a day is a static position which is not representative of the entire year. By taking period averages
some amount of dynamism is brought into the picture.
The second point to be noted is that an industry might have seasonal peaks or troughs of working capital
requirement. For example agro based industry like fruit processing unit would need to stock more raw material
during the peak season when the crop has been harvested than during the lean season. In such cases different
norms have to be applied for peak season and non peak season for holding of current assets for judging the
reasonability of their holding.
We find, therefore that the high level of current assets is nothing but a fiction when we seek to realize the current
assets. It may happen that the inventory carried by the firm may consist of obsolete items, packing materials,
finished goods which have been rejected by buyers and items like dies and tools which are more fixed than current
in character. Prudence would advise that the firm should get rid of these current assets as early as possible.
On the other hand, the current liabilities are more ascertainable and less fictions. The payment of these liabilities,
if not possible from the operating cycle, has to be arranged from long term sources of funds which results in a
mismatch that is not conducive to financial health of the firm.
258 PP-FT&FM
bank accounts. There are two ways of holding bank balances first as current accounts through which the day
to day transactions of the firm are carried out and secondly as fixed deposits in which balances are held for a
specified twice period. Current account balances are most liquid. Fixed account balances are convertible into
cash by adjustment downwards of the rate of interest even before maturity. Hence even fixed deposit balances
should be treated at par as regards liquidity. But there is a catch here. Quite a few fixed deposits are not held
perse, but as margin money deposits for availing the facilities like letters of credit and guarantee from banks. To
the extent of such margin money deposits, the liquidity of bank balances of the firm is impaired.
Cash balances are also held as un availed portion of the working capital facilities granted by the banks. All such
balances earn money for the firm in terms of the interest that is saved on unavailed portion. Yet the money
remains available to the firm almost on call. Such balances are most suitable to a firm for enhancement of
liquidity provided the firm has the policy of availing bank finance for its working capital requirements.
These firms maintain just enough balance in their current accounts and transfer the surplus immediately to the
borrower accounts for saving interest thereon. In most such cases, even the routine transactions are carried out
through the borrowal accounts, thus precluding the need for maintaining current accounts even.
Lesson 8
4. Receivables
(i) Sundry debtors are classified into two categories, secured and unsecured.
(ii) Secured debts are backed by agreements, documents and physical security. All these debts are
considered good unless default occurs. Further classification of these debts is done as over six months
old and less than six months old.
(iii) Unsecured debts are divided into these over six months old and less than six month old. The former
category contains a sub-classification of doubtful debts which is charged to provision made for bad and
doubtful debts.
FACTORING SERVICES
As the accounts receivable amount to the blocking of the firms funds, the need for an outlet to impart these
liquidity is obvious. Other than the lag between the date of sale and the date of receipt of dues, collection of
260 PP-FT&FM
receivables involves a cost of inconvenience associated with tapping every individual debtor. Thus, if the firm
could contract out the collection of accounts receivable it would be saved from many things such as administration
of sales ledger, collection of debt and the management of associated risk of bad-debts etc.
Factoring is a type of financial service which involves an outright sale of the receivables of a firm to a financial
institution called the factor which specialises in the management of trade credit. Under a typical factoring
arrangement, a factor collects the accounts on the due dates, effects payments to the firm on these dates
(irrespective of whether the customers have paid or not) and also assumes the credit risks associated with the
collection of the accounts. As such factoring is nothing but a substitute for in-house management of receivables.
A factor not only enables a firm to get rid of the work involved in handling the credit and collection of receivables,
but also in placing its sales in effect on cash basis.
Lesson 8
Mechanics of Factoring
Factoring offers a very flexible mode of cash generation against receivables. Once a line of credit is established,
availability of cash is directly geared to sales so that as sales increase so does the availability of finance. The
dynamics of factoring comprises of the sequence of events outlined in figure.
(1) Seller (client) negotiates with the factor for establishing factoring relationship.
(2) Seller requests credit check on buyer (client).
(3) Factor checks credit credentials and approves buyer. For each approved buyer a credit limit and period
of credit are fixed.
(4) Seller sells goods to buyer.
(5) Seller sends invoice to factor. The invoice is accounted in the buyers account in the factors sales ledger.
SELLER
4. GOODS
BUYER
5. CREDIT CHECK
1. NEGOTIABLE
2. REQUESTS CREDIT
6. INVOICE NOTICE
FACTOR
OF ASSIGNMENT
3. INVOICE
7. 80% PAYMENT
8. PAYMENT ON DUE
9. BALANCE PAYMENT
DATE
262 PP-FT&FM
(6) Factor sends copy of the invoice to buyer.
(7) Factor advices the amount to which seller is entitled after retaining a margin, say 20%, the residual
amount paid later.
(8) On expiry of the agreed credit period, buyer makes payment of invoice to the factor.
(9) Factor pays the residual amount to seller.
Types of Factoring: Factoring services may be rendered to cover domestic as well as international sales. The
various services offered by factors for domestic sales are of six types whose essential characteristics are outlined
in Table 1.
Table 1 : Types of Factoring Services
Type of Factoring
Type of Functions
Availability of
Finance
bad debts
Protection*
against
Credit
Advice
Sales
Ledger
Administration
Collection
Disclosure
Customers
Full Source(Non-Recourse)
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Recourse Factoring
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Agency Factoring
Yes
Possible
No
No
Yes
Bulk Factoring
Yes
Possible
No
No
Yes
Invoice** Discounting
Yes
Possible
No
No
No
No
Undisclosed Factoring
Yes
Possible
No
No
No
No
* Any form which includes this element may be referred to as non-recourse factoring
** Also referred to as confidential or non-notification factoring.
Source: Ranjani Chari-opcit. P. 28.
Illustration:
The turnover of Zenith Ltd. is ` 100 lakh of which 72% is on credit. Debtors are allowed one month to clear
off the dues. A factoring company is willing to advance 80% of the bills raised on credit for a fee of 1% a
month plus a commssion of 5% on the total amount of debts. Zenith Ltd. as a result of this arrangement is
likely to save ` 48,000 annually in management costs and avoid bad debts at 1% on the credit sales.
A bank has come forward to make an advance equal to 80% of the debts at an annual interest rate of 15%.
However, its processing fee will be at 1% on the debts. Would you accept factoring or the offer from the
bank?
Lesson 8
Solution:
Cost of Factoring
Annual Credit Sales
100 x 72%
= ` 72 Lakh
72 Lakh / 12
= ` 6 Lakh
4,80,000
4,80,000 x 0.01
= ` 4,800
= ` 30,000
= ` 34,800
` 4,000
` 6,000
` 10,000
` 24,800
` 6,000
` 6,000
` 6000
Management Cost
` 4,000
` 22,000
Since cost of Bank Finance is les than the cost of factoring, therefore, it is advisable to accept bank offer.
2. Forfaiting Services
Forfaiting is a form of financing of receivables pertaining to international trade. It denotes the purchase of trade
bills/promissory notes by a bank/financial institution without recourse to the seller. The purchase is in the form of
discounting the documents covering entire risk of non-payment in collection. All risks and collection problems
are fully the responsibility of the purchaser (forfeiter) who pays cash to seller after discounting the bills/notes.
The salient features of forfaiting as a form of export relating financing are as under:
(i) The exporter sells and delivers goods to the importer on deferred payment basis.
(ii) The importer draws a series of promissory notes in favour of the exporter for payment including interest
charge. Alternatively the exporter draws a series of bill which are accepted by the importer.
264 PP-FT&FM
(iii) The bills/notes are sent to the exporter. The promissory notes/bills are guaranteed by a bank which may
not necessarily be the importers bank. The guarantee by the bank is referred to as an Aval, defined as
an endorsement by a bank guaranteeing payment by the importer.
(iv) The exporter enters into a forfaiting agreement with a forfeiter which is usually a reputed bank. The
exporter sells the avalled notes/bills to the bank at a discount without recours and recives the payment.
(v) The forfeiter may hold these notes/bills till maturity for payment by the importers bank.
Forfaiting vs. Export Factoring
Forfaiting is similar to cross border factoring to the extent both have common features of non recourse and
advance payment. But they differ in several important respects:
(a) A forfeiter discounts the entire value of the note/bill but the factor finances between 75-85% and retains
a factor reserve which is paid after maturity.
(b) The avalling bank which provides an unconditional and irrevocable guarantee is a critical element in the
forfaiting arrangement wheras in a facoring deal, particularly non-recourse type, the export factor bases
his credit decision on the credit standards of the exporter.
(c) Forfaiting is a pure financing arrangement while factoring also includes ledger administration, collection
and so on.
(d) Factoring is essentially a short term financing deal. Forfaiting finances notes/bills arising out of deferred
credit transaction spread over three to five years.
(e) A factor does not guard against exchange rate fluctuations; a forfeiter charges a premium for such risk.
3. Ratio Analysis
Ratio Analysis is normally used for working capital control. The following ratios are commonly used:
1. Current Ratio
Current Assets
Current Liabilities
Current Assets
Inventories
Current Liabilities
3. Inventory Turnover
Annual Sales
Current Assets
Sales
Debtors
Lesson 8
CASE STUDIES
Exercise No. 1 : Calculate cash conversion period from the financial variables given hereunder:
Year 2010-2011
Year 2011-12
Year 2012-13
Inventory
940
936
Bills Receivables
942
962
Bills Payable
608
606
Sales
7,936
7,036
Solution :
Inventory conversion period:
{(608+606)/2}
= 31.5 days
7036
Cash conversion period:
Exercise No. 2 Find the average conversion period with the help of the following data:
Gross operating cycle
88 days
65 days
45 days
4 days
25 days
Solution :
Average conversion period : 88 - (45 + 4 + 25) = 14 days
Exercise No. 3 Calculate the finished goods conversion period if:
(` lakh)
Finished goods opening stock
525
850
Cost of production
8,000
Administrative expenses
2,250
Excise duty
3,000
Solution :
Average stock of finished goods : ` (525 + 850)/2 = ` 687.5 lakh
266 PP-FT&FM
Cost of goods sold : ` 525 Lakh + 8,000 Lakh + 2,250 Lakh + 3,000 Lakh 850 Lakh = ` 12,925 lakh
Daily average = 12,925/365 ` 35.41 lakh
Finished goods conversion period = 687.5/35.41 = 19.42 days
Exercise No. 4 : Firm uses 1,100 units of a raw material per annum, the price of which is ` 1,500 per unit. The
order cost per order is ` 150 and the carrying cost of the inventory is ` 200 per unit. Find the EOQ and the
number of orders that are to be made during the year.
Solution :
Economic Order Quantity
= 41
No. of orders during the year = 1,100/41 = 26.8 or 27
Exercise No. 5 : A factory uses 40,000 tonnes of raw material priced at ` 50 per tonne. The holding cost is ` 10
per tonne of inventory. The order cost is ` 200 per order. Find the EOQ. Will this EOQ be maintained if the
supplier introduces 5% discount if the order lot is 2000 tonnes or more?
Solution :
Economic Order Quantity
= 1265
No. of orders = 40,000/1265 = 31.62
Order cost = ` 200 31.62 = 6325
Carrying cost = ` 10/2 1265 = 6,325
Total cost = ` 6,325 + 6,325 = ` 12,650
EOQ with discount:
No. of orders = 40,000/2000 = 20
Order cost = ` 200 20 = ` 4,000
Carrying cost = ` 10/2 2,000 = ` 10,000
Price discount = 40000 0.05 = ` 2,000
Total cost = 4,000 + 10,000 2,000 = ` 12,000
Since total cost without discount > total cost with discount, discount may be availed. In this case, there
will be deviation from the EOQ.
Lesson 8
Exercise No. 6 : Find out the average size of receivables if the goods are sold for ` 10,00,000 on a net 60 credit
term with an assumption that 20% of the customers do not pay within the prescribed time. Will there be any
change in the average size if the terms of credit change to 2/10 net 60 with an assumption that 60% of the
customers avail the discount?
Solution
Case I:
Average collection period = 60 + 0.20 60 = 72 days
Average size of receivables = ` (10,00,000/360) 72 = ` 2,00,000
Case II:
Average collection period = (0.6 10) + 0.4 (60 + 0.2 60)
= 6 + 28.8 = 35 days
Average size of receivables = ` (10,00,000 / 360) 35 = ` 97,222.22
Exercise No. 7 : A firm sells 25,000 units at an average price of ` 200 per unit. The variable cost is 80 per cent
of the sale price. The credit term is 1/10 net 30. One-tenth of the customers avail the discount and the average
collection period is 28 days. Administrative cost is ` 20,000. Collection cost/sales and bad debt/sales ratios are
2% each. To increase the level of sales, credit term is changed as 2/10 net 30 as a result of which the sales are
expected to be 50,000 units. The administrative cost, collection cost ratio and bad debt ratio are expected to be
unchanged. The cost of funds is 10%. Tax rate is 30%. Find the net benefit of the changed credit terms.
Solution
Average size of receivables:
Case I : ` (50,00,000 /360) 28 = ` 3,88,889
Case II : ` (1,00,00,000 /360) 28 = ` 7,77,778
Financing cost:
Case I: ` 3,88,889 0.10 = ` 38,889
Case II: ` 7,77,778 0.10 = 77,778
Net Benefit:
Case I
Case II
Revenue (sales)
50,00,000
1,00,00,000
40,00,000
80,00,000
Net revenue
10,00,000
20,00,000
38,889
77,778
20,000
20,000
1,00,000
2,00,000
1,00,000
2,00,000
7,41,111
15,02,222
2,22,333
4,50,667
5,18,778
10,51,555
268 PP-FT&FM
Net benefit of liberal term = ` 10,51,555 5,18,778 = ` 5,32,777
Exercise No. 8 : From the following information extracted from the books of a manufacturing company, compute
the operating cycle in days and the amount of working capital required:
Particulars
Amount in `
48,000
4,40,000
10,00,000
10,50,000
16,00,000
Raw Material
32,000
Work-in-progress
35,000
Finished Goods
26,000
365
16
Solution
Computation of Operating Cycle
(i) Raw material held in stock:
= 27 days
Less: Average credit period granted by Suppliers = 16 days
Period for raw material holding = 11 days
(ii)
= 13 days
(iii)
= 9 days
(iv)
= 11 days
Lesson 8
= ` 1,26,500
Exercise No. 9 : From the following information calculate;
(1) Re-order level
(2) Maximum level
(3) Minimum level
(4) Average level
Normal usage
Maximum usage
Minimum usage
: units
Log in time
: 5 to 7 weeks
Solution
(1) Re-order Level
= Maximum consumption Maximum Re-order period
= 1507=1050 units
(2) Maximum Level
= Re-order level + Re-order quantity (Minimum consumption Minimum delivery period)
= 1050 + 500 (50 5) = 1300 units
(3) Minimum Level
= Re-order level (Normal consumption Normal delivery period)
= 1050 (100 6) = 450 units
(4)
= 875 units
270 PP-FT&FM
LESSON ROUND-UP
Gross Working Capital is the total of all current assets. Networking capital is the difference between
current assets and current liabilities.
Permanent Working Capital is that amount of funds required to produce goods and services necessary
to satisfy demand at its lowest point.
Various factors such as nature of firms activities, industrial health of the country, availability of material,
ease or tightness of money markets affect the working capital.
Factors which influence cash balance include credit position of the company, status of receivables
and inventory accounts, nature of business enterprise and managements attitude towards risk.
The amount of time needed for inventories to travel through the various process directly affect the
amount of investment. The investment in inventories is guided by minimization of costs and
managements ability to predict the forces that may cause disruption in the follow of inventories like
strikes or shifts in demand for the product.
Factors influencing investment in receivables are mainly the cost and time values of funds.
The operating cycle is the length of time between the companys outlay on raw materials, wages and
other expenditures and the inflow of cash from the sale of the goods.
In deciding companys working capital policy, an important consideration is trade-off between profitability
and risk.
Working capital leverage may refer to the way in which a companys profitability is affected in part by
its working capital management.
Funds flow represent movement of all assets particularly of current assets because of movement in
fixed assets is expected to be small except at times of expansion or diversification.
Cash management means management of cash in currency form, bank balance and reality marketable
securities.
As John Maynard Keynes put, these are three possible motivates for holding cash, such as transaction
motive, precautionary motives and speculative motive.
Inventory management has at its core the objective of holding the optimum level of inventory at the
lowest cost.
There are various technical tools used in inventory management such as ABC analysis, Economic
Order Quantity (EOQ) and inventory turnover analysis.
ABC analysis is based on paid to those item which account for a larger value of consumption rather
than the quantity of consumption.
EOQ determines the order size that will minimize the total inventory cost EOQ =
2 AB
C
Factoring is a type of financial service which involves an outright sale of the receivables of a firm to a
financial institution called the factor which specializes in the management of trade credit.
Lesson 8
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
(These are meant for re-capitulation only. Answers to these questions are not to be submitted for evaluation)
1. What do you understand by working capital? What are its components?
2. Working Capital Management is nothing more than deciding about level, structure and financing of
current assets. Comment.
3. How would you assess the working capital requirements for seasonal industry in which you have been
appointed as Finance Manager? Illustrate your answer with the example.
4. What are the norms for working capital management to be observed in sick industries? How would
you control the liquidity of resources to avoid sickness in industrial unit facing shortage of cash
resources?
5. Write short note on banking norms and macro aspects of working capital management keeping in
view the recommendations of the Tandon Committee and Chore Committee.
6. What is the significance of working capital for a firm?
7. Briefly describe main constituents of working capital?
8. Why does the operating cycle determine the extent of working capital?
9. Describe the principles of effective cash management.
10. What are the main components of inventory?
11. Write short notes on the following:
(i) Working Capital Leverage.
(ii) Financing of working capital.
(iii) Techniques for control of working capital.
272 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 9
Lesson 9
Security Analysis and Portfolio
Management
LESSON OUTLINE
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
SECURITY ANALYSIS
Measuring
of
Systematic
Unsystematic Risk
and
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
Portfolio Management
Portfolio Analysis
LESSON ROUND UP
Markowitz Model
Sharp Index Model
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Arbitrage Pricing Theory
273
274 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 9
conscious analysis of pros and cons. Mostly it is a spur of the moment activity that is promoted and supported by
half-baked information and rumours. Speculative deployment of funds is generally prevalent in the secondary
equity market. What attracts people to speculation is a rate of return that is abnormally higher than the prevailing
market rates. The balancing of risk and return nevertheless operates in speculative activity also and as such the
risk element in speculation is very high.
Investment differs from gambling and betting also. Both gambling and betting are games of chance in which
return is dependent upon a particular event happening. Here also, there is no place for research-based activity.
The returns in gambling are high and known to the parties in advance.
To say that investors like return and dislike risk is, however, simplistic. To facilitate our job of analyzing securities
and portfolios within a risk return context, we must begin with a clear understanding of what risk and return are,
what creates them and how they should be measured.
Risk
(Forces that
contribute to
variation in return)
Systematic Risk
That portion of total variability in
return caused by factors affecting
the pricing of all securities
Interest
Rate Risk
Market
Risk
Unsystematic Risk
That portion of total risk that is
unique to a firm or industry.
Business
Risk
Financial
Risk
276 PP-FT&FM
Systematic and unsystematic risk can be subdivided. Systematic risk for bonds is normally identified with interest
rate risk; for stocks with market risk. Unsystematic risk includes business and financial risk.
Total Return
Total return, or holding period return (r), is perhaps the best unique, rational and comparable measures of
results, no matter what type of asset is under discussion. For example, if a bought a stock on April 1, for ` 10,
received Re.1 in dividends at year end, and the stock price was `11 on March 31st, then total return or holding
period return is :
1+2 =
Income payments received during the period (`) + Value at end period
Value or the begining of the period (`)
(1+r1)+(1+r2)+..(1+rn) 1
` 1,00,000
Cash flows
Dividends received
`7,500
Capital appreciation
`12,500
Ending value
Total Return
`1,20,000
[(1,20,000/1,00,000)]-1 = 20%
Lesson 9
Suppose the investor has a tax rate of 30%. The `7,500 in dividends yields only `5,250 after taxes
(`7500 *.70), and the capital gains is only `8,750 after taxes (`12,500*.70). So, after-tax return equals
[(1,00,000+5,250+ 8,750)/1,00,000]-1= 14%
High nominal returns may also reflect high inflation rate. Suppose that during the performance measurement
period a 10 percent return was required just to maintain purchasing power. After-tax real return equals
[(1,00,000+5,250+ 8,750)/1,00,000(1.10)]-1= 3.6364%
So, the rate of return to this portfolio is either 20% or 14% or 3.6364%. for a tax exempt investor the 20% return
is appropriate. For a taxable investor, the return is only 14%. Inflation affects both equally.
278 PP-FT&FM
Efficient Market Hypothesis has put to challenge the fundamental and technical analysts to the extent that
random walk model is valid description of reality and the work of charists is of no real significance in stock price
analysis. In practice, it has been observed that markets are not fully efficient in the semi-strong or strong sense.
Inefficiencies and imperfections of certain kinds have been observed in the studies conducted so far to test the
efficiency of the market. Thus, the scope of earning higher returns exists by using original, unconventional and
innovative techniques of analysis. Also, the availability of inside information and its rational interpretation can
lead to strategies for deriving superior returns.
In short, if these theories are taken in their strongest forms, fundamentalists say that a security is worth the
present value (discounted) of a stream of future income to be received from the security; technicians assert that
the price tend data should be studied regardless of the underlying data; efficient market theorists contend that a
share of stock is generally worth whatever it is selling for.
There are four confusing terms which are appearing at this juncture-face value, book value; market value and
intrinsic value. Let us first clarify them.
Face value of the security is the denominating value. It is also called the nominal value. When we say that
authorized share capital of a company is ` 200 lac divided into 20 lac shares of ` 10 each, we mean that the face
value or the nominal value of the share is ` 10/- each.
The book value may be much more than the face value. Let us assume that the shares of ` 10/- each are issued
at ` 30/- each. The issuer is charging a premium of ` 20/- for the intrinsic value equalization. The issuer normally
charges premium for the following attributes:
Long years of establishment and profitable track record.
Leadership position in the market.
Potential for continued growth in the future.
Existence of free reserves with the issuer which makes the book value higher than the face value.
Case Study
Let us clarify the concept of book value a little further. Assuming that a company has been incorporated with an
authorized capital of 2 crore shares of ` 10/- each and the company operates profitably for three years, the
broad financial position of the company shall be as under:
(` In lacs)
Item
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Income
600
1,200
2,400
Expenditure
800
1,000
1600
Profit/Loss
(200)
200
800
Equity Capital
2,000
2,000
2,000
Free Reserves
200
800
10
10
10
10
14
Face Value/share
Book Value/share
(Share capital + free reserves)
Lesson 9
Book value of the share of the company became less than face value at the end of the first year due to the loss
incurred by it. The book value was equal to the face value at the end of the second year due to recoupment of the
loss. At the end of the third year the book value become ` 14/- due to building up of reserves. If, after the end of the
third year the issuer wishes to come up with an offering of additional shares, the offer price will not be less than ` 14.
In actual market conditions does the book value track the market value? We may observe the trend of few
company
Sl.
No.
Face Value
Per Share
Book Value
Market Value
(As on 30
September)
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
HB Ltd.
13.8
168.70
FI Ltd.
10
136.3
250.50
IT Ltd.
314.3
3411.30
ITB Ltd.
10
175.8
349.80
BIS
10
299.3
229.70
RP Ltd.
10
20.4
22.60
RL Ltd.
10
138.2
562.60
IDD Ltd.
10
101.9
144.85
MTGL Ltd.
10
151.2
109.50
10
SC Ltd.
61.4
210.70
11
RLD Ltd.
190.5
821.15
12
HCT Ltd.
60.5
205.90
13
HPC Ltd.
10
173.8
172.45
14
CIP Ltd.
10
152.8
946.35
15
NES Ltd.
10
27.5
565.85
16
HH Ltd.
34.3
248.75
17
TISC Ltd.
10
93.6
116.50
18
LCET Ltd.
10
77.1
129.15
19
T&L Ltd.
10
133.0
167.00
20
BA Ltd.
10
283.2
380.05
21
BHL Ltd.
10
182.6
160.15
22
HIND Ltd.
10
621.5
522.10
23
ZTE Ltd.
99.2
57.50
24
BSS Ltd.
10
194.3
216.20
25
GRA Ltd.
10
295.3
309.00
26
GSIM Ltd.
10
75.3
367.15
280 PP-FT&FM
27
GLX Ltd.
10
155.14
163.00
28
ASC Ltd.
10
171.17
138.15
29
CAS Ltd.
10
32.1
189.80
30
CIG Ltd.
10
18.2
131.20
We note that the market value is not equal to the book value for shares of any of the leading companies of the
country. In fact, there is wide divergence between these two. The divergence is mostly on the upper side except
in some cases. We can conclude, therefore, that book value is not a perfect indicator of the intrinsic value of a
security. At best it can be an indicator of the floor value or base value below which the market value in normal
circumstances should not slide. Book value is a historic indicator. It depicts what the company has earned and
saved in the past. It does not reflect the future earning potential of the company.
Having considered that the book value is not an appropriate measure for ascertaining the real or intrinsic value
of a security, let us take up a more rigourous process of evaluating securities called fundamental analysis.
D1
1+r
P1
1+r
where:
D1 = dividend to be received at the end of year 1
r = investors required rate of return or discount rate
P1 = selling price at the end of year 1
P0 = selling price today
Lesson 9
Therefore,
500 = ` 20 + ` 530
1+r
1+r
Will r = .10 balance the equation? At a required rate of return of 10 percent, the dividend is worth `18.18
(`20*.909) and selling price has a present value of ` 481.8182 (`530 *.909)(see present value table). The
combined present value is ` 500.
Should a rate of return of 15 percent have been required, the purchase price would have been too high at
` 500. (the dividend of `20 and selling price of `530 remains constant). To achieve a 15% return, the value of the
stock at the beginning of the year would have had to be
P0 = (`20/1.15) + (`530/1.15)
= `17.39 + 460.87
= ` 478.26
An alternative approach would be to ask the question: at what price must we be able to sell the stock at the end
of one year (if purchase price is ` 500 and the dividend is ` 20) in order to attain a rate of return of 15 percent?
` 500 = (`20/1.15) + (P1/1.15)
` 500 = `17.39 + .87 P1
` 554.72 = P1 (selling price)
Now let us look at a multiple year holding period. In most cases dividends will grow from year to year. We can
similarly add the present value of all dividends to be received over the holding period and the present value of
the selling price of the stock to the end of the holding period to arrive at the present value of the stock.
To simplify let us assume that dividends will grow at the constant rate into the indefinite future. Under this
assumption the value of a share is
P0 =
(1+r)2
(1+r)3
(1+r)n
D1
r1 -g
This model states that the price of a share should be equal to next years expected dividend divided by the
difference between the appropriate discount rate for the share and its expected long term growth rate. Alternatively,
this model can be stated in terms of the rate of return on an equity share as
r = (D1/P0) + g
Illustration: An investor is holding 1000 shares of Right Choice Ltd. The current rate of dividend paid by the
company is ` 5/- per share. The long term growth rate is expected to be 10% and the expected rate of return is
19.62%. We need to find out the current market price of the share:
Solution
P0
D 1 8
rg
282 PP-FT&FM
5 1 0.10
.1962 .10
5 1.1
5.5
57.17
0.0962 0.0962
The real value or intrinsic value is valid for a given set of conditions. These conditionalities include the national
and international economic situation, industry specific and company specific circumstances. The first three
conditionalities are viewed from a macro perspective in order to even out the effect of minor happenings. The
last conditionality is observed at the micro level because at this level, even relatively smaller happenings can
disturb the demand supply equilibrium.
Fundamental analysis is a three level systematic process that analyse the overall external and internal environment
of the company before placing a value on its shares. The three levels at which the analysis is carried out are the
following:
(a) Analysis of the economy
(b) Industry Level Analysis
(c) Company Analysis
We shall describe the analytical process at all these levels in greater details hereunder:
Lesson 9
forced out of the market. At the end of the pioneering stage, selected leading companies remain in the industry.
In the expansion stage of the growth cycle the demand for the products increases but at a lower rate. There is
less volatility in prices and production. Capital is easily available in plenty for these units. Due to retention of
profits, internal accruals increase.
At the stagnation stage, the growth rate initially slows down, then stagnates and ultimately turns negative. There
is no product innovation. External capital is hard to come by. Even the internal capital takes flight. This stage of
the industry is most valuable during times of slow down in national economy.
Company Analysis
Armed with the economic and industry forecasts, the analyst looks at the company specific information. Company
information is generated internally and externally. The principle source of internal information about a company
is its financial statements. Quarterly and annual reports including the income statement, the balance sheet and
cash flows must be screened to assure that the statements are correct, complete, consistent, and comparable.
Many popular and widely circulated sources of information about the companies emanate from outside, or
external sources. These sources provide supplements to company-generated information by overcoming some
of its bias, such as public pronouncements by its officers. External information sources also provide certain
kinds of information not found in the materials made available by companies themselves. There are traditional
and modern techniques of company analysis.
Among the traditional techniques are forecasting expected dividends and earnings using price-earning ratios
which help us to determine whether a stock is fairly valued at a point in time. Such approaches allow us to
evaluate an equity share for a short term horizon. Moreover, an approach combining the dividend discount
model (with variable growth rates) and the concept of systematic risk can also be helpful in evaluating a stock for
a longer term holding period. Among the modern methods are regression analysis, and the related tools of trend
and correlation analysis, decision tree analysis and simulation. Modern methods have strengths of the traditional
methods while attempting to overcoming their shortcomings.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
In the fundamental analysis, share prices are predicted on the basis of a three stage analysis. After the analysis
has been completed, the deciding factors that emerge are the financial performance indicators like earnings
and dividends of the company. The fundamentalist makes a judgement of the equity share value with a risk
return framework based upon the earning power and the economic environment. However, in actual practice, it
often happens that a share having sound fundamentals refuses to rise in value and vice versa. We would now
examine an alternative approach to predicting share price behavior. This approach is called the Technical Analysis.
It is used in conjunction with fundamental analysis and not as its substitute.
Technical analysis assumes that market prices of securities are determined by the demand-supply equilibrium.
The shifts in this equilibrium give rise to certain patterns of price and volume of trading which have a tendency to
repeat themselves over a period of time. An analyst who is familiar with these patterns can predict the future
behaviour of stock prices by noticing the formation of these patterns.
It is a science of predicting the share price movements from the past data about share price movements. These
predictions are indicative and do not provide irrefutable declarations about future trends. In this type of analysis,
no weightage is given to intangible items like investors attitude, market sentiment, optimism, pessimism etc.
Technical analysis is based on the following assumptions:
The inter-play of demand and supply determines the market value of shares.
Supply and demand are governed by various factors both rational and irrational.
Stock values tend to move in trends that persist for a reasonable time.
284 PP-FT&FM
These trends change as a result of change in demand-supply equilibrium.
Shifts in demand and supply can be detected in charts of market action.
Chart patterns tend to repeat themselves and this repetition can be used to forecast future price
movements.
Markets behave in a random style.
Markets discount every future event that has a bearing upon share values.
In a bullish phase, after each peak, there is a fall but the subsequent rise is higher than the previous one. The
prices reach higher level with each rise. After the peak has been reached, the primary trend now turns to a
bearish phase.
Lesson 9
In a bearish phase, the overall trend is that of decline in share values. After each fall, there is slight rise but the
subsequent fall is even sharper. The secondary trend reversals last for one to three months.
Minor trends are changes occurring every day within a narrow range. These trends are not decisive of any major
movement.
1. TECHNICAL CHARTS
These are the plottings of prices and trading volumes on charts. The purpose of reading and analysing these charts
is to determine the demand-supply equation at various levels and thus to predict the direction and extent of future
movement of the prices. The charts are not infallible but because of their repeated accuracy, they have come to be
accepted. In all the charts, a correlation exists between market price action and the volume of trading when the price
increase is accompanied by a surge in trading volumes, it is a sure sign of strength. On the other hand, when the
decline in share prices is accompanied by increased volumes, it is indicative of beginning of bearish trend.
There are three ways to construct a chart. These are the Line Chart, Bar Chart and Point & Figure Chart.
Line Chart
In a Line Chart, the closing prices of successive time periods are connected by straight lines and the intra-period
highs and lows of stock prices are ignored. This type of chart is useful for making broad analysis over a longer
period of time.
286 PP-FT&FM
(a) Bar Chart These charts portray intra-period high, low and closing values on a single verticle line designated
for each time period. The vertical dimensions of the line represent price. The horizontal axis of the chart indicates
the complete time period of analysis. Bar charts focus on time, volume and price.
(c) Point and Figure Chart In this type of charts, emphasis is laid on charting price changes only and time and
volume elements are ignored. The first step in drawing a figure and point chart is to put a X in the appropriate
price column of a graph. Successive price increases are added vertically upwards in the same column as long
as the uptrend continues. Once the price drops, the figures are moved to another column and Os are entered in
downward series till the downward trend is reversed.
Limitations of charts
Interpretation of charts is prone to subjective analysis. This factor is a major cause of often contradictory analysis
being derived from the same charts. Also the changes in charts are quite frequent in the short term perspective
leading to a host of buy and sell recommendations which are not in the best interest of the investor. Another
disadvantage is that decisions are made on the basis of chart alone and other factors are ignored.
2. TECHNICAL INDICATORS
Apart from the charts, technical analysts use a number of indicators generated from prices of stocks to finalise
their recommendations. These indicators are often used in conjunction with charts. Some of the important
indicators are the Advance Decline Ratio, the Market Breadth Index and Moving Averages.
Lesson 9
288 PP-FT&FM
(a) the strong form,
(b) the semi-strong form, and
(c) the weak form theory.
Strong
Form
of efficiency
All information
(inside and
publicly
available)
in public
domain
Only historical
information in
public domain
All Publicly
available
information in
public domain
(a) The Strong Form of Efficiency: This test is concerned with whether two sets of individuals one having
inside information about the company and the other uninformed could generate random effect in price
movement. The strong form holds that the prices reflect all information that is known. It contemplates that
even the corporate officials cannot benefit from the inside information of the company. The market is not only
efficient but also perfect. The findings are that very few and negligible people are in such a privileged position
to have inside information and may make above-average gains but they do not affect the normal functioning
of the market.
(b) Semi-strong form of Efficiency: This hypothesis holds that security prices adjust rapidly to all publicly
available information such as functional statements and reports and investment advisory reports, etc. All publicly
available information, whether good or bad is fully reflected in security prices. The buyers and sellers will raise
the price as soon as a favourable price of information is made available to the public; opposite will happen in
case of unfavourable piece of information. The reaction is almost instantaneous, thus, printing to the greater
efficiency of securities market.
(c) The Weak Form theory: This theory is an extension of the random walk theory. According to it, the current
stock values fully reflect all the historical information. If this form is assumed to be correct, then both Fundamental
and Technical Analysis lose their relevance. Study of the historical sequence of prices, can neither assist the
investment analysts or investors to abnormally enhance their investment return nor improve their ability to select
stocks. It means that knowledge of past patterns of stock prices does not aid investors to make a better choice.
The theory states that stock prices exhibit a random behaviour.
In this way, if the markets are truly efficient, then the fundamentalist would be successful only when (1) he has
Lesson 9
inside information, or (2) he has superior ability to analyse publicly available information and gain insight into the
future of the company. The empirical evidence of the random walk hypothesis rests primarily on statistical tests,
such as runs test, correlation analysis and filter test. The results have been almost unanimously in support of the
random walk hypothesis, the weak form of efficient market hypothesis.
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
Individual securities have risk-return characteristics of their own. In any case, given an estimate of return, the
investor is always concerned about the probable downside price expectation or the risk. Portfolio, or combination
of securities, helps in spreading this risk over many securities. The investors hope that if they hold different
assets, even if one goes bad, the others will provide some protection from an extreme loss.
Portfolio management thus refers to managing efficiently the investment in the securities by diversifying the
investments across industry lines or market types. The reasons are related to the inherent differences in the
debt and equity markets, coupled with a notion that investment in companies in dissimilar industries would most
likely do much better than the companies within the same industry.
However, there is disagreement over the right kind of diversification and the right reason. In the following
paragraphs a formal, advanced notion of diversification conceived by Harry Markowitz will be introduced. Markowitz
assumes that investor attitudes towards portfolio depend exclusively upon (1) expected return and risk, and (2)
quantification of risk. And risk is,by proxy, the statistical notion of variance, or standard deviation of return.
PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS
While discussing Security Analysis, we had restricted our discussion to the behavior of value of individual equity
securities. Portfolio Analysis seeks to analyze the pattern of returns emanating from a portfolio of securities, i.e.
a number of securities that absorb a proportion of total amount of investment. Although holding two securities is
probably less risky than a portfolio composed exclusively of less risky asset. How? This is done by finding two
securities each of which tends to perform well whenever the other does poorly. This makes a reasonable return
for the portfolio more certain as a whole, even if one of its components happens to be quite risky. For example,
if you invest in two stocks, say, one in company engaged in sugar production and other, in a company engaged
in cement production, you would be always able to get a reasonable return as cement is a highly cyclical
industry and sugar is non cyclical. When cement industry will rise, the sugar industry will just perform below
average but when cement industry will fall sugar industry will outperform.
We shall clarify the concept of Portfolio with the help of following illustration:
Stock X
Stock Y
Return (%)
7 or 11
13 or 5
Probability
.5 each return
.5 each return
Expected return(%)
9*
Variance (%)
16
Standard deviation(%)
290 PP-FT&FM
alone (has it less risk)?
Let us construct a portfolio consisting of two-thirds stock X and one-third stock Y. The average return of this
average return of each security in the portfolio; that is;
N
(20.1)
Rp =
X i Ri
i=1
where:
Rp = expected return to portfolio
Xi = proportion of total portfolio invested in security i
Ri = expected return to security i
N = total number of securities in portfolio
Therefore,
Rp = (2/3)(9) + (1/3)(9) = 9
But what will be the range of fluctuation of the portfolio? In periods when X is better as an investment, we have
Rp = (2/3)(11) + (1/3)(5) = 9; and similarly, when Y turns out to be more remunerative, Rp = (2/3)(7) + (1/3)(13) = 9.
Thus, by putting part of the money into the riskier stock, Y, we are able to reduce risk considerably from what it
would have been if we had confined our purchases to the less risky stock, X. If we held only stock X, our
expected return would be 9 percent, which could in reality be as low as 7 percent in bad periods or as much as
11 percent in good periods. The standard deviation is equal to 2 percent. Holding a mixture of tow-thirds X and
one-third Y, or expected and experienced return will always be 9 percent, with a standard deviation of zero. We
can hardly quarrel with achieving the same expected return for less risk. In this case we have been able to
eliminate risk altogether.
The above illustration indicates that it is better to spread out or diversify the investment in order to minimize the
risk associated with investment in single securities. This fact is the essence of Portfolio Analysis.
Portfolio is a collection of securities belonging to a diverse set of industries. Management of a portfolio is considered
to be a specialised activity because of the time and effort involved in tracking of each component of the portfolio.
Portfolio management is a relatively new concept in security analysis. It gained prominence after World War II when
it was realised that the instability of the securities market had put at stake fortunes of individuals, companies and
governments. It was then discovered that investing in a basket of stocks maximised profits while minimising risks.
Lesson 9
N
COVxy
/N
Expected
Return
Difference
Stock X
-2
Stock Y
13
Stock X
11
Stock Y
-4
Product
-6
-6
COV = 1/2[(7 - 9)(13 9) +[(11 - 9)(5 9)]
= 1/2[(-8) + (-8)] = -16/2 = -8
The coefficient of correlation is another measure designed to indicate the similarity or dissimilarity in the behavior
of two variables. We define
rxy =
covxy
x y
where:
rxy = coefficient of correlation of x and y
COVxy = covariance between x and y
x
= standard deviation of x
= standard deviation of y
The coefficient of correlation is, essentially, the covariance taken not as an absolute value but relative to the
standard deviations of the individual securities (variables). It indicates, in effect, how much x and y vary together
as a proportion of their combined individual variations, measured by x y In our example, the coefficient of
correlation is
rxy = 8/[(2)(4)] = -8/8 = -1.0
If the coefficient of correlation between two securities is -1.0, then a perfect negative correlation exists (rxy
cannot be less than -1.0). If the correlation coefficient is zero, then returns are said to be independent of one
292 PP-FT&FM
another. If the returns on two securities are perfectly correlated, the correlation coefficient will be +1.0, and
perfect positive correlation is said to exist (rxy cannot exceed +1.0).
Thus, correlation between two securities depends upon (1) the covariance between the two securities, and (2)
the standard deviation of each security.
We have shown the effect of diversification on reducing risk. The key was not that two stocks provided twice as
much diversification as one, but that by investing in securities with negative or low covariance among themselves,
we could reduce the risk. Markowitzs efficient diversification involves combining securities with less than positive
correlation in order to reduce risk in the portfolio without sacrificing any of the portfolios return. In general, the
lower the correlation of securities in the portfolio, the less risky the portfolio will be. This is true regardless of how
risky the stocks of the portfolio are when analyzed in isolation. It is not enough to invest in many securities; it is
necessary to have the right securities.
Let us conclude our two-security example in order to make some valid generalization. Then we can see what
three-security and larger portfolios might be like. In considering a two-security portfolio, portfolio risk can be
defined more formally now as:
p
Eq 0.1
Where:
p
= covxy
Thus we now have the standard deviation of a portfolio of two securities. We are able to see that portfolio risk
( p) is sensitive to
(i) the proportions of funds devoted to each stock,
(ii) the standard deviation of each stock, and
(iii) the covariance between the two stocks.
If the stocks are independent of each other, the correlation coefficient is zero (rxy = 0). Second, if rxy is greater
than zero, the standard deviation of the portfolio is greater than if rxy = 0. Third, if rxy is less than zero, the
covariance term is negative, and portfolio standard deviation is less than it would be if rxy were greater than or
equal to zero. Risk can be totally eliminated only if the third term is equal to the sum of the first two terms. This
occurs only if (1) rxy = -1.0, and (2) the percentage of the portfolio in stock X is set equal to X x = y/( x + y).
To clarify these general statements, let us return to our earlier example of stocks X and Y. In our example,
remember that
Stock X
Stock Y
Lesson 9
We calculated the covariance between the two stocks and found it to be -8. The coefficient of correlation was 1.0. The two securities were perfectly negatively correlated.
Changing the proportion of amount invested
What happens to portfolio risk as we change the total portfolio value invested in X and Y? Using Equation 9.1,
we get:
Stock X
(%)
Stock Y
(%)
Portfolio
Standard
Deviation
100
2.0
80
20
0.8
66
34
0.0
20
80
2.8
100
4.0
Notice that portfolio risk can be brought down to zero by the skillful balancing of the proportions of the portfolio
to each security. The preconditions were rxy = -1.0 and the proportion of amount invested in X is Xx = y/( x + y),
or 4/(2 + 4) = .666.
-0.5
1.34*
0.0
1.9
+0.5
2.3
+1.0
2.658
= (.666)2(2)2 + (.334)2+(2)(.666)(.334)(-5)(2)(4) =
1.777 + 1.777 (.444)(4) = 1.77 = 1.34
If no diversification effect had occurred, then the total risk of the two securities would have been the weighted
sum of their individual standard deviations:
Total undiversified risk = (.666)(2) + (.334)(4) = 2.658
Since the undiversified risk is equal to the portfolio risk of perfectly positively correlated securities (rxy = +1.0),
we can see that favorable portfolio effects occur only when securities are not perfectly positively correlated.
294 PP-FT&FM
Figure: 10.1 : Graphic illustration of the correlation between two securities
+1
A
-1
Line XY represent various combinations of X and Y. Point X has 100% holding of X and point Y has 100%
holding of Y. The coefficient of correlation along XY is +1. It means that 100% holding of X is least risky and
100% holding of Y is most risky.
Segment XAY has zero correlation and line XR has 1 coefficient of correlation.
The crucial point of how to achieve the proper proportions of X and Y in reducing the risk to zero will be taken up
in the Markowitz model. However, the general notion is clear. The risk of the portfolio is reduced by playing off
one set of variations against another.
MARKOWITZ MODEL
Dr. Harry M. Markowitz is credited with developing the first modern portfolio analysis model. It provides a theoretical
framework for analysis of risk-return choices. The concept of efficient portfolios has been enunciated in this
model A portfolio is efficient when it yields highest return for a particular level of risk or minimizes risk for a
specified level of expected return.
The Markowitz model makes the following assumptions regarding investor behaviour:
Investors consider each investment alternative as being represented by a probability distribution of
expected returns over some holding period.
Investors maximize one period expected utility and possess utility curve, which demonstrates diminishing
marginal utility of wealth.
Individuals estimate risk on the basis of variability of expected returns.
Investors base decisions solely on expected return and variance of returns only.
At a given risk level, higher returns are preferred to lower returns. Similarly for a given level of expected
returns, investors prefer less risk to more risk.
Lesson 9
Expected
Return
296 PP-FT&FM
Standard Deviation
In the above graphic presentation, arc XY is the efficient frontier. All points on this arc provide a superior
combination of risk and return to other combinations with the shaded area, which represent attemptable
portfolios. Each portfolio has its own combination of risk and return. Investors final choice out of the range
depends on his taste.
Portfolio Optimization
Lesson 9
Thus Beta is a measure of the non-diversifiable or systematic risk of an asset relative to that of the market
portfolio. A beta of 1 indicates an asset of average risk. If beta is more than 1, then the stock is riskier than the
market. On the other hand, if beta is less than one, market is riskier.
Recall that portfolio theory implied that each investor faced an efficient frontier. In general, the efficient frontier
will differ among investors because of differences in expectations. When we introduce riskless borrowing and
lending there are some significant changes involved. Lending is best thought of as an investment in a riskless
security. This security might be a savings account, Treasury bills, or even high-grade commercial paper. Borrowing
can be thought of as the use of margin. Borrowing and lending options transform the efficient frontier into a
straight line. See Figure below for the standard efficient frontier ABCD. Assume that an investor can lend at the
rate of RF = .05, which represents the rate on Treasury bills.
Frontier with introduction of Lending
Hence the point RF represents a risk-free investment (RF = .05; p = 0). The investor could place all or part of his
funds in this riskless asset. If he placed part of his funds in the risk-free asset and part in one of the portfolios of
risky securities along the efficient frontier, what would happen? He could generate portfolios along the straightline segment RF B.
298 PP-FT&FM
Let us examine the properties of a given portfolio along the straight-line segment RF B. Consider point B on the
original efficient frontier ABCD where, say, Rp = .10 and p = .06. If we placed one-half of available funds in the
riskless asset and one-half in the risky portfolio, B, the resulting combined risk-return measures for the mixed
portfolio, O, can be found from Equation A and B:
(eqnA) Rp = XRM + (1 X)RF
where:
Rp = expected return on portfolio
X = percentage of funds invested in risky portfolio
(1 X) = percentage of funds invested in riskless asset
RM = expected return on risky portfolio
RF = expected return on riskless asset
and:
(eqnB)
=X
where:
p
=(
1
1
) (.10) + ( ) (.05) = .075
2
2
1
1
) (.06) + ( ) (.00) = .03
2
2
Introduction of the possibility of borrowing funds will change the shape of our efficient frontier in 22.1 to the right
of point B. In borrowing, we consider the possibilities associated with total funds invested being enlarged through
trading on the equity.
Consider three cases. If we assume that X is the percentage of investment wealth or equity placed in the risky
portfolio, then where X = 1, investment wealth is totally committed to the risky portfolio. Where X < 1, only a
fraction of X is placed in the risky portfolio, and the remainder is lent at the rate RF. The third case, X > 1,
signifies that the investor is borrowing rather than lending. It may be easier to visualize this by rewriting Equation
A as follows:
(eqnC) Rp = XRM (X 1) RF
where all terms are as in Equation A and the term RF is the borrowing rate. For simplicity, the borrowing rate
and lending rate are assumed to be equal or 5 percent. The first component of Equation C is the gross return
made possible because the borrowed funds, as well as the original wealth or equity, are invested in the risky
portfolio. The second term refers to the cost of borrowing on a percentage basis. For example, X = 1.25 would
indicate that the investor borrows an amount equal to 25 percent of his investment wealth. This is equivalent
to a margin requirement of 80 percent (X = 1/margin requirement). His net return on his investment wealth
would become:
Lesson 9
Hence the levered portfolio provides increased return with increased risk.
The introduction of borrowing and lending has given us an efficient frontier that is a straight line throughout. In
Figure below we show the new efficient frontier. Point M now represents the optimal combination of risky securities.
The existence of this combination simplifies our problem of portfolio selection. The investor need only decide
how much to borrow or lend. No other investments or combination of investments available is as efficient as
point M. the decision to purchase M is the Investment decision. The decision to buy some riskless asset (lend)
or to borrow (leverage the portfolio) is the financing decision.
Efficient Frontier with Borrowing and Lending
These conditions give rise to what has been referred to as the separation theorem. The theorem implies that all
investors, conservative or aggressive, should hold the same mix of stocks from the efficient set. They should
use borrowing or lending to attain their preferred risk class. This conclusion flies in the face of more traditional
notions of selection of portfolios for conservative clients and others for investors who are more daring. This
analysis suggests that both types of investors should hold identically risky portfolios. Desired risk levels are then
achieved through combining portfolio M with lending and borrowing.
If all investors face similar expectations and the same lending and borrowing rate, they will face a diagram such
as that in Figure above and, furthermore, all of the diagrams will be identical. The portfolio of assets held by any
investor will be identical to the portfolio of risky assets held by any other investor. If all investors hold the same
risky portfolio, then, in equilibrium, it must be the market portfolio (M). The market portfolio is a portfolio comprised
of all risky assets. Each asset will be held in the proportion which the market value of the asset represents to the
total market value of all risky assets. This is the key: All investors will hold combinations of only two portfolios, the
market portfolio and a riskless security.
300 PP-FT&FM
The straight line depicted in Figure above is referred to as the capital market line. All investors will end up with
portfolios somewhere along the capital market line and all efficient portfolios would lie along the capital market
line. However, not all securities or portfolios lie along the capital market line. From the derivation of the efficient
frontier we know that all portfolios, except those that are efficient, lie below the capital market line.
Observing the capital market line tells us something about the market price of risk. The equation of the capital
market line (connecting the riskless asset with a risky portfolio) is
Re = R F +
RM-RF
eM
+ bi
The first point on the line is the riskless asset with a beta of zero, so
RF =
RF =
+ b(0)
Lesson 9
The second point on the line is the market portfolio with a beta of 1. Thus,
RM =
+ b(1)
RM
=b
(RM RF) = b
Combining the two results gives us
Ri = RF + i (RM RF)
This is a key relationship. It is called the security market line. It describes the expected return for all assets and
portfolios of assets, efficient or not. The difference between the expected return on any two assets can be
related simply to their difference in beta. The higher beta is for any security, the higher must be its expected
return. The relationship between beta and expected return is linear.
Recall that in the beginning of this chapter we said that the risk of any stock could be divided into systematic and
unsystematic risk. Beta is an index of systematic risk. This equation suggests that systematic risk is the only
important ingredient in determining expected returns. Unsystematic risk is of no consequence. It is not total
variance of returns that affects returns, only that part of the variance in returns that cannot be eliminated by
diversification.
The CAPM is based on a list of critical assumptions:
Investors are risk averse and use the expected rate of return and standard deviation of return as
appropriate measures of risk and return for their portfolio.
Investors make their investments decisions based on a single period horizon which is the immediate
next time period.
302 PP-FT&FM
Transaction costs are either absent or so low that these can be ignored.
Assets can be bought and sold in any desired unit.
The investor is limited by his wealth and the price of the asset only.
Taxes do not affect the choice of buying assets.
All individuals assume that they can buy the assets at the going market price and they all agree on the
nature of the return and risk associated with each investment.
In the CAPM, the expected rate of return is equal to the required rate of return because the market is in equilibrium.
The risk-less rate can be earned by investing in instruments like treasury bills. In addition to the risk free rate,
investors also expect a premium over and above the risk free rate to compensate them for investing in risky
assets since they are risk averse. Thus the required rate of return for the investors becomes equal to the sum of
Risk-free rate and the risk premium.
The risk premium can be calculated as the product of Beta and market risk premium, i.e. difference between
expected rate of return and risk-free rate of return.
Lesson 9
of as the way to attract Wall Street investment. There is nothing that points to EPS as anything more than a ratio
that accounting has developed for management reporting. Many executives believe that the stock market wants
earnings and that the future of the organizations stock depends on the current EPS, despite the fact that not one
shred of convincing evidence to substantiate this claim has ever been produced. To satisfy Wall Streets desire
for reported profits, executives feel compelled to create earnings through creative accounting. Accounting tactics
that could be employed to save taxes and increase value are avoided in favor of tactics that increase profit.
Capital acquisitions are often not undertaken because they do not meet a hypothetical profit return. R&D and
market expanding investments get only lip service. Often increased earnings growth is sustained by overzealous
monetary support of businesses that are long past their value peak. We must ask then, what truly determines
increased value in stock prices. Over and over again the evidence points to the cash flow of the organization,
adjusted for time and risk that investors can expect to get back over the life of the business.
Economic Value Added (EVA) is a measurement tool that provides a clear picture of whether a business is
creating or destroying shareholder wealth. EVA measures the firms ability to earn more than the true cost of
capital. EVA combines the concept of residual income with the idea that all capital has a cost, which means that
it is a measure of the profit that remains after earning a required rate of return on capital. If a firms earnings
exceed the true cost of capital it is creating wealth for its shareholders.
304 PP-FT&FM
extended to take account of non-financial factors. In the multi-index model, for example, one of the indexes
could easily be the rate of inflation.
Single-Index Model
The major assumption of Sharpe's single-index model is that all the covariation of security returns can be
explained by a single factor. This factor is called the index, hence the name "single-index model."
According to the Sharpe single index model the return for each security can be given by the following equation:
R= I+ I+e
Where R
Alpha Coefficient
Beta Coefficient
Alpha Coefficient refers to the value of Y in the equation Y = ? + ? x when X = 0. Beta Coefficient is the slope of
the regression line and is a measure of the changes in value of the security relative to changes in values of the
index.
A beta of +1.0 means that a 10% change in index value would result in a 10% change in the same direction in the
security value. A beta of 0.5 means that a 10% change in index value would result in 5% change in the security
value. A beta of 1.0 means that the returns on the security are inversely related.
The equation given above can also be rearranged as shown below:
R=
I +
+e
Here the component I is the market related or systematic component of the return. The other component
represents the unsystematic component. As is assumed to be near zero the unsystematic return is given by
alpha only.
Multi-Index Models
The multi-index model assumes a return-generating process that is a linear function of many factors. In this
approach, each factor is a source of systematic risk. Since investors cannot diversify systematic risk, they are
assumed to be compensated for bearing this risk.
ri=0+AfA+BfB....+KfK+i
As a result, a security's sensitivity to each factor affects the assumed return-generating process for the security.
This sensitivity is captured by a "factor beta," and the return-generating process is assumed to take the form
The last term is the source of idiosyncratic or diversifiable risk. Except for the fact that multiple factors make this
a richer model than the single index model, the use of a multi-factor model is similar to the single-index model.
A broad generalization of these models is the Arbitrage Pricing Theory.
Lesson 9
Ri RF/i
where:
Ri = expected return on stock i
RF = return on a riskless asset
i = expected change in the rate of return on stock I associated with a 1 percent change in the market
return
If stocks are ranked by excess return to beta (from highest to lowest), the ranking represents the desirability of
any stocks inclusion in a portfolio. The number of stocks selected depends on a unique cutoff rate such that all
stocks with higher ratios of (Ri RF)/ i wil be included and all stocks with lower ratios excluded.
To determine which stocks are included in the optimum portfolio, the following steps are necessary:
1. Calculate the excess return-to-beta ratio for each stock under review and the rank from highest to
lowest.
2. The optimum portfolio consists of investing in all stocks for which (Ri RF)/ i is greater than a particular
cutoff point C.
Sharpe notes that proper diversification and the holding of a sufficient number of securities can reduce the
unsystematic component of portfolio risk to zero by averaging out the unsystematic risk of individual stocks.
What is left is systematic risk which, because it is determined by the market (index), cannot be eliminated
through portfolio balancing. Thus the Sharpe model attaches considerable significance to systematic risk and its
most important measure, the beta coefficient ().
According to the model, the risk contribution to a portfolio of an individual stock can be measured by the stocks
beta coefficient. The market index will have a beta coefficient of +1.0. A stock with a beta of, for example, +2.0
indicates that it contributes far more risk to a portfolio than a stock with, say,a beta of + .05. Stocks with negative
betas are to be coveted, since they help reduce risk beyond the unsystematic level.
Since efficient portfolios eliminate unsystematic risk, the riskiness of such portfolios is determined exclusively by
market movements. Risk in an efficient portfolio is measured by the portfolio beta. The beta for the portfolio is
simply the weighted average of the betas of the component securities. For example, an optimal portfolio which
has a beta of 1.35, suggests that it has a sensitivity above the + 1.0 attributed to the market. If this portfolio is
properly diversified (proper number of stocks and elimination of unsystematic risk), it should move up or down
about one-third more than the market. Such a high beta suggests an aggressive portfolio. Should the market
move up over the holding period, this portfolio will be expected to advance substantially. However, a market
decline should find this portfolio falling considerably in value.
In this way, establishing efficient portfolios (minimum risk for a given expected return) comprising broad classes
of assets (e.g., stocks, bonds, real estate) lends itself to the mean-variance methodology suggested by Markowitz.
Determining efficient portfolios within an asset class (e.g., stocks) can be achieved with the single index (beta)
model proposed by Sharpe.
306 PP-FT&FM
unanticipated events. Of course, change itself is anticipated, and investors know that the most unlikely occurrence
of all would be the exact realization of the most probable future scenario. But even though we realize that some
unforeseen events will occur, we do not know their direction or their magnitude. What we can know is the
sensitivity of returns to these events.
Systematic factors are the major sources of risk in portfolio returns. Actual portfolio returns depend upon the
same set of common factors, but this does not mean that all portfolios perform identically. Different portfolios
have different sensitivities to these factors.
Because the systematic factors are primary sources of risk, it follows that they are the principal determinants of
the expected, as well as the actual, returns on portfolios. It is possible to see that the actual return, R, on any
security or portfolio may be broken down into three constituent parts, as follows:
(Z)
R = E + bf + e
where:
E = expected return on the security
b = securitys sensitivity to change in the systematic factor
f = the actual return on the systematic factor
e = returns on the unsystematic, idiosyncratic factors
Equation Z merely states that the actual return equals the expected return, plus factor sensitivity times factor
movement, plus residual risk.
Empirical work suggests that a three-or-four-factor model adequately captures the influence of systematic factors
on stock-market returns. Equation Z may thus be expanded to:
R = E + (b1) (f1) + (b2) (f2) + (b3) (f3)
+ (b4) (f4) + e
Each of the four middle terms in this equation is the product of the returns on a particular economic factor and
the given stocks sensitivity to that factor. Suppose f3 is associated with labor productivity. As labor productivity
unexpectedly increases, f3 is positive, and firms with high b3 would find their returns very high. The subtler
rationale and higher mathematics of APT are left for development elsewhere.
What are these factors? They are the underlying economic forces that are the primary influences on the stock
market. Research suggests that the most important factors are unanticipated inflation, changes in the expected
level of industrial production, unanticipated shifts in risk premiums, and unanticipated movements in the shape
of the term structure of interest rates.
The biggest problems in APT are factor identification and separating unanticipated from anticipated factor
movements in the measurement of sensitivities. Any one stock is so influenced by idiosyncratic forces that it is
very difficult to determine the precise relationship between its return and a given factor. Far more critical is the
measurement of the bs. The bs measure the sensitivity of returns to unanticipated movements in the factors. By
just looking at how a given stock relates to, say, movements in the money supply, we would be including the
influence of both anticipated and unanticipated changes, when only the latter are relevant.
Empirical testing of APT is still in its infancy, and concrete results proving the APT or disproving the CAPM do not
exist. For these reasons it is useful to regard CAPM and APT as different variants of the true equilibrium pricing
model. Both are, therefore, useful in supplying intuition into the way security prices and equilibrium returns are
established.
Lesson 9
Return (rx)
The returns measured can be of any frequency (i.e. daily, weekly, monthly or annually), as long as they are
normally distributed, as the returns can always be annualized. Herein lies the underlying weakness of the ratio
- not all asset returns are normally distributed.
Abnormalities like kurtosis, fatter tails and higher peaks, or skewness on the distribution can be a problematic
for the ratio, as standard deviation doesn't have the same effectiveness when these problems exist. Sometimes
it can be downright dangerous to use this formula when returns are not normally distributed.
308 PP-FT&FM
How the returns are distributed is the Achilles heel of the Sharpe ratio. Bell curves do not take big moves in the
market into account. As Benoit Mandelbrot and Nassim Nicholas Taleb note in their article, "How The Finance
Gurus Get Risk All Wrong", which appeared in Fortune in 2005, bell curves were adopted for mathematical
convenience, not realism.
However, unless the standard deviation is very large, leverage may not affect the ratio. Both the numerator
(return) and denominator (standard deviation) could be doubled with no problems. Only if the standard deviation
gets too high do we start to see problems. For example, a stock that is leveraged 10 to 1 could easily see a price
drop of 10%, which would translate to a 100% drop in the original capital and an early margin call.
CASE STUDIES
Question No 1: The following table summarizes risk premiums for stocks relative to treasury bills and bonds, for
different time periods:
Stocks - T. Bonds
Arithmetic Average
Geometric Average
Arithmetic Average
Geometric Average
1926-2010
8.41%
6.41%
7.24%
5.50%
1962-2010
4.10%
2.95%
3.92%
3.25%
1981-2010
6.05%
5.38%
0.13%
0.19%
Lesson 9
Solution 1
A. It measures, on average, the premium earned by stocks over government securities. It is used as a
measure of the expected risk premium in the future.
B. The geometric mean allows for compounding, while the arithmetic mean does not. The compounding
effect, in conjunction with the variability of returns, will lower the geometric mean relative to the arithmetic
mean.
C. The longer time period is most appropriate, because it covers more of the possible outcomes - crashes,
booms, bull markets, bear markets. In contrast, a ten-year period can offer a slice of history that is not
representative of all possible outcomes.
Question 2
You are an investor who is interested in the emerging markets of Asia. You are trying to value some stocks in
Afghanistan, which does not have a long history of financial markets. During the last two years, the stock market
has gone up 60% a year, while the government borrowing rate has been 15%, yielding an historical premium of
45%. Would you use this as your risk premium, looking into the future? If not, what would you base your
estimate of the premium on?
Solution 2
Recent history is probably not an appropriate basis for estimating the premium, since this history can be skewed
upward or downward by a couple of good or bad years. The premium should be based on the fundamentals
driving the Afghanistan market, relative to other emerging and developed markets, and estimate a premium
accordingly.
Question 3
The beta for Marathon Limited is 1.10. The current six-month treasury bill rate is 3.25%, while the thirty-year
bond rate is 6.25%. Estimate the cost of equity for Marathon Limited, based upon
(a) Using the treasury bill rate as your risk-free rate.
(b) Using the treasury bond rate as your risk-free rate.
(Use the premiums in the table in question 1, if necessary.)
Which one of these estimates would you use in valuation? Why?
Solution 3
CAPM: using T.Bill rate = 3.25% + 1.10 (8.41%) = 12.50%
CAPM: using T.Bond rate = 6.25% + 1.10 (5.50%) = 12.30%
The long-term bond rate should be used as the risk-free rate, because valuation is based upon a long time
horizon.
* 8.41% is the arithmetic mean average premium earned by stocks over treasury bills between 1926 and 2010.
** 5.50% is the geometric mean average premium earned by stocks over treasury bonds between 1926 and
2010.
Question 4
You have been asked to estimate the beta of a high-technology firm which has three divisions with the following
characteristics
310 PP-FT&FM
Division
Beta
Market Value
Personal Computers
1.60
` 100 million
Software
2.00
` 150 million
Computer Mainframes
1.20
` 250 million
5%
Correlation coefficient
0.75
4%
Lesson 9
Rm R F
Where,
Rm = Market rate of return, i.e. 0.10
RF = Risk free return, i.e. 0.03
= Standard deviation 0.04
=
0.10 0.03
0.04
= 1.75
x rM
xrm
Where,
1 = Beta factor of investment
= Standard deviation of investment in security, i.e. 0.08
Rm
LESSON ROUND-UP
Investment may be defined as a conscious act on the part of a person that involves deployment of
money in securities issued by firms with a view to obtain a target rate of return over a specified period
312 PP-FT&FM
of time.
Investment is conscious act of deployment of money in securities issued by firms. Speculation also
involves deployment of funds but is not backed by a conscious analysis of pros and cons.
The main objective of security analysis is to appraise are intrinsic value of security.
The Fundamental approach suggests that every stock has an intrinsic value which should be equal to
the present value of the future stream of income from that stock discounted at an appropriate risk
related rate of interest.
Technical approach suggests that the price of a stock depends on supply and demand in the market
place and has little relationship with its intrinsic value.
Efficient Capital Market Hypothesis (ECMH) is based on the assumption that in efficient capital markets
prices of traded securities always fully reflect all publicly available information concerning those
securities.
Performance of a company is intimately related to the overall economic environment of the country
because demand for products and services of the company would under normal circumstances be
directly related to growth of the countrys economy.
Industry level analysis focuses on a particular industry rather than on the broader economy.
Down Jones theory shows that share prices demonstrate a pattern over four to five years and these
patterns can be divided into primary, secondary and minor trends.
Charts and Indicators are two major tools of Technical Analysis.
Portfolio management refers to managing efficiently the investment in the securities by professionals
for both small investors and corporate investors who may not have the time and skills to arrive at
sound investment decisions.
Portfolio Analysis seeks to analyze the pattern of return emanating from a portfolio of securities.
Risk means that the return on investment would be less than the expected rate. Risk is a combination
of possibilities because of which actual returns can be slightly different or greatly different from expected
returns.
As per Markowitz Model, a portfolio is efficient when it yields highest return for a particular level of risk
or minimizes risk for a specified level of expected return.
According to Sharpe Index Model, return on a security is correlated to an index of securities or an
index or an economic indicator like GDP or prices and the return for each security can be given by:
R=?I+?+e
Capital Asset Pricing Model provides that if adding a stock to a portfolio increases its standard deviation,
the stock adds to the risk of the portfolio. This risk is the un-diversified risk that can not be eliminated.
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
(These are meant for re-capitulation only. Answers to these questions are not to be submitted for evaluation)
1. What is security analysis? Why do we need to carry it out?
2. Describe the nature of Indian Financial System.
3. What are the various techniques of security analysis?
Lesson 9
Probability
0.1
12%
8%
0.2
14%
10%
0.2
15%
12%
0.3
16%
10%
0.1
18%
14%
0.1
20%
6%
You are required to determine whether the project should be accepted. The riskfree rate of return is
6%.
314 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 10
Lesson 10
Derivatives and Commodity Exchanges
An Overview
LESSON OUTLINE
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Credit derivatives
Characteristics of Derivatives
Commodity Market
Forward Markets
Types of Derivatives
Futures
LESSON ROUND UP
Swaps
315
316 PP-FT&FM
INTRODUCTION
A derivative (or derivative security) is a financial instrument whose value depends on the values of other, more
basic underlying variables. In recent years, derivatives have become increasingly important in the world of
finance. Futures and options are now traded actively on many exchanges. Forward contracts, swaps, and many
different types of options are regularly traded outside exchanges by financial institutions, fund managers, and
corporations in what is termed the over-the-counter market. Derivatives also often form part of a bond or stock
issue.
The variables underlying derivatives are the prices of traded assets. A stock option, for example, is a derivative
whose value is dependent on the price of a stock. However, as we shall see, derivatives can be dependent on
almost any variable, from the price of hogs to the amount of snow falling at a certain ski resort.
In recent decades, financial markets have been marked by excessive volatility. As foreign exchange rates,
interest rates and commodity prices continue to experience sharp and unexpected movements, it has become
increasingly important that corporations exposed to these risks, be equipped to manage them effectively. Price
fluctuations make it hard for businesses to estimate their future production costs and revenues. Derivative
securities provide them a valuable set of tools for managing these risk. Risk management, being used to control
such price volatility has consequently risen to the top of financial agendas. It is here that derivative instruments
are of utmost utility.
CONCEPT OF DERIVATIVES
In any commercial transaction, there are minimum two parties. Between these parties there is an exchange of
price and goods or service. One of the parties
pays the price while the other party provides goods or services. The exchange of price and goods or services
could be either simultaneous or follow one another with a time gap.
Let us consider these illustrations:
Illustration 1
You [along with two friends] want to go for the Aero India January 2013 air show, for which tickets are sold out.
Through one of your close friends, you obtain a recommendation letter, which will enable you to buy three
tickets. The price of a ticket is Rs 1,000. Which is the commodity that you are suppose to buy? Money/
recommendation letter (instrument) or both?
The recommendation letter is a derivative instrument. It gives you a right to buy the ticket. The underlying asset
is the ticket. The letter does not constitute ownership of the ticket. It is indeed a promise to convey ownership.
The value of the letter changes with changes in the price of the ticket. It derives its value from the value of the
ticket.
Illustration 2
A agrees to buy a shirt from B for ` 800/-. A pays ` 800/- to B while B promises to deliver the shirt after one
week.
Illustration 3
A agrees to buy a shirt from B while A promises to pay in four monthly installments of ` 200/- each.
All the above three illustrations are examples of Spot transactions. Virtually all the commercial transactions are
Lesson 10
Spot transactions. In a spot transaction, pricing of goods or services is done according to the current value.
The goods or services being purchased are tangible.
Now let us consider a situation where both the parties in a transaction agree to the quantity of goods and price
but the exchange is to take place at a future date.
Illustration 4
A is a farmer who intends to sell his crop of 50 tones of wheat, which shall be ready after six months. He wants
to make sure about the price that he should get for his crop. B is a bakery owner who needs 50 tonnes of wheat
at the time of the next crop for his bakery business. He wants to make certain that he gets the quantity after six
months. Both of them negotiate a deal under which A agrees to supply 50 tonnes of wheat to B at a price of `
10,000 per tonne.
The above illustration is a case of forward contract in which the quantity of wheat and its price have been settled
but the exchange is to take place after six months. In this contract, the item to be exchanged i.e. wheat, is a
commodity. There can be instances when the subject of exchange is foreign currency, shares, real estate etc. In
every forward transaction, a nominal amount (expensed as a percentage of the contract amount) is paid upfront
by the buyer to the seller as a token of his willingness to buy and also with a view to impose a moral binding upon
the seller in addition to the legal binding of the contract.
318 PP-FT&FM
derivatives. Products/contracts traded outside the exchanges are called Over-the-counter derivatives. The generic
term used for the market outside the exchanges is over-the-counter market. Worldwide, large volume is traded
in both exchange-traded and OTC derivative products. India also trades in both exchange-traded and OTC
derivative products on different asset classes.
Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956 (SC(R) A) defines derivative to include
1. A security derived from a debt instrument, share, loan whether secured or unsecured, risk instrument or
contract for differences or any other form of security;
2. A contract which derives its value from the prices, or index of prices, of underlying securities.
Derivatives are securities under the SC( R)A and hence the trading of derivatives is governed by the regulatory
framework under the SC(R)A.
CHARACTERISTICS OF DERIVATIVES
The important characteristics of derivatives are as follows:
Derivatives traded on exchanges are liquid and involves the lowest possible transaction costs.
Derivatives can be closely matched with specific portfolio requirements.
The margin requirements for exchange-traded derivatives are relatively low, reflecting the relatively low
level of credit-risk associated with the derivatives.
Derivatives are traded globally having strong popularity in financial markets.
Derivatives maintain a close relationship between their values and the values of underlying assets.
The change in values of underlying assets will have effect on values of derivatives based on them.
Lesson 10
Over-The-Counter (OTC)
Usually done between two financial institutions/corporate bodies
Not listed
Trades are typically larger than exchange traded derivative transactions
Structure can be customised as per the requirements of the two parties.
TYPES OF MARKETS
Types of Markets
Spot Market
Equity
Derivative
Derivatives Market
Commodity
Derivative
Forex or financial
Derivative
Interest Rate
Derivative
Credit
Derivative
320 PP-FT&FM
FORWARD CONTRACT
A Forward contract is a one-to-one, bipartite/tripartite contract, which is to be performed mutually by the contracting
parties, in future, at the terms decided upon, on the contract date. In other words, a forward contract is an
agreement to buy or sell an asset on a specified future date for a specified price. One of the parties to the
contract assumes a long position, i.e. agrees to buy the underlying asset while the other assumes a short
position, i.e. agrees to sell the asset. As this contract is traded out of the exchange and settled mutually by the
contracting parties, it is called an over-the-counter product. As mentioned before, over-the-counter(OTC) is a
generic term used for a product/market, which is off the exchange.
Forward contracts are extensively used in India in the foreign exchange market. Forward contracts are negotiated
by the contracting parties on a one-to-one basis and hence offer tremendous flexibility in terms of determining
contract terms such as price, quantity, quality (in case of commodities), delivery time and place. The parties may
freely decide upon all these terms, based on their circumstances and negotiation powers. They may also carry
out subsequent alterations in the contract terms, by mutual consent.
Lesson 10
the seller and the buyer have near perfect information about future price of the goods and services, the forward
contract may be considered as an appropriate means of their price discovery.
322 PP-FT&FM
FUTURES CONTRACT
A futures contract is an exchange traded forward contract to buy or sell a predetermined quantity of an asset
on predetermined future date at a predetermined price. Contracts are standardized and theres centralized
trading ensuring liquidity.
There are two positions in a future contract :
Long position: This is when a futures contract is purchased and the buyer agrees to receive delivery of the
underlying assets (Stock/indices/ commodities)
Short Position: This is when a futures contract is sold and the seller agrees to make delivery of the underlying
assets ((Stock/indices/ commodities)
Pricing of Futures
Futures should theoretically trade at a fair price.The fair price is the price adjusted for cost of carry for delivery at
a later date.The cost of carry is the interest cost on the amount actually paid for an asset on a spot purchase.
Cost of carry is adjusted for any dividends receivable in case of equities.
Cost of carry = Interest cost over period expected dividend yield
The fair price of a future contract is always at a premium to the spot price.
Example: A futures contract is available on a company that pays an annual dividend of `5 and whose stock is
currently priced at `200. Each futures contract calls for delivery of 1,000 shares of stock in one year, daily
marking to market, an initial margin of 10% and a maintenance margin of 5%. The corporate treasury bill rate is
8%.
(i) Given the above information, what should the price of one futures contract be?
(ii) If the company stock price decreases by 7%, what will be the change, if any, in futures price ?
(iii) As a result of the company stock price decrease, will an investor that has a long position in one futures
contract of this company realises a gain or loss? Why ? What will be the amount of this gain or loss ?
Solution:
(i) Annual dividend (D) = `5
Current Stock Price(S) = `200
Lesson 10
Forward
Futures contracts
Operational mechanism
Contract specification
Liquidation profile
Price discovery
Examples
324 PP-FT&FM
OPTIONS CONTRACT
Option Contract gives its holder the right, but not the obligation, to take or make delivery on or before a specified
date at a stated price. But this option is given to only one party in the transaction while the other party has an
obligation to take or make delivery. Since the other party has an obligation and a risk associated with making
good the obligation, he receives a payment for that. This payment is called as option premium.
Option contracts are classified into two types on the basis of which party has the option:
Call Option: A call option is with the buyer and gives the holder a right to take delivery.
Put Option: The put is with the seller and the option gives the right to make delivery .
Option contracts are classified into two types on the basis of time at which option can be exercised:
European Option: European Style options are those contracts where the option can be exercised only on
the expiration date.
American Option: American style option are those contracts where the option can be exercised on or before
the expiration date.
Lesson 10
Time value reflects the fact that the longer the option has to run until expiration, the greater the premium should
be. This is perfectly logical. The right to buy or sell a stock for two months should be worth more than the same
privilege for only one month. The third factor namely volatility is also easy to understand. Higher the volatility
higher the risk and higher the risk, higher the premium.
Two terms used frequently in the options are class and series.
Series of Options
A series of options is all options of the same class having both the same strike price and the same expiration
month. In the one class of TISCO calls, there is a number of different series as each call within that class has a
different strike price and/or a different expiration month from any other option within the class. Each individual
option is called a series. The total of all puts or calls on a particular stock makes up a class.
Options Derivatives
In simple terms, the options premium is determined by the three factors mentioned earlier, intrinsic value, time
value, and volatility.
But there are other, more sophisticated tools used to measure the potential variations of options premiums. They
are generally employed by professional options traders and may be of little interest to the individual investor.
326 PP-FT&FM
Delta, gamma, theta and vega are very sophisticated tools for predicting changes in an options premium. They
merely take the three factors which determine a premium (price of the stock, passage of time, and volatility), and
measure each in an exacting manner. The derivatives vary for each series of options.
Options
SWAPS
A swap can be defined as the exchange of one stream of future cash flows with another stream of cash flows
with different characteristics.
A swap is an agreement between two or more people/parties to exchange sets of cash flows over a period in
future. Swaps can be divided into two types viz.,
(a) Currency Swaps, (b) Interest Rate Swaps.
Currency Swaps: The currency swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange (swap) payments or
receipts in one currency for payment or receipts in other currency. Suppose if two entities are trading in currency,
the rationale for currency swap between them lies in the fact that one borrower has a comparative advantage in
borrowing in one currency, while the other borrower has an advantage in borrowing in another currency.
Interest Rate Swaps: An interest rate swap is an agreement whereby one party exchanges one set of interest
rate payment for another rate over a time period. The most common arrangement is an exchange of fixed
interest rate payment for another rate over a time period. The interest rates are calculated on notional values of
principals.
Lesson 10
Table Borrowing Rates That Provide a Basis for the Comparative Advantage Argument
Fixed
Floating
Company A
10.0%
Company B
11.2%
An Example
Suppose that two companies, A and B, both wish to borrow $10 million for five years and have been offered
the rates shown in Table. We assume that company B wants to borrow at a fixed rate of interest, whereas
company A wants to borrow folating funds at a rate linked to six-month LIBOR. company B clearly has a worse
credit rating than company A because it pays a higher rate of interest than company A in both fixed and
floating markets.
A key feature of the rates offered to companies A and B is that the difference between the two fixed rates is
greater than the difference between the two floating rates. Company B Pays 1.2% per annum more than company
A in fixed-rate markets and only 0.7% per annum more than company A in floating-rate markets. Company B
appears to have a comparative advantage in floating-rate markets, whereas company A appears to have a
comparative advantage in fixed-rate markets.3 It is this apparentanomaly that can lead to a swap being negotiated.
Company A borrows fixed-rate funds at 10% per annum. Company B borrows floating-rate funds at LIBOR plus
1% per annum. They enter into a swap agreement to ensure that A ends up with floating-rate funds and B ends
up with fixed-rate funds.
To understand how the swap might work, we first assume that A and B get in touch with each other directly. The
sort of swap they might negotiate is shown in Figure 5.6. Company A agrees to pay company B interest at sixmonth LIBOR on $10 million. In return, company B agrees to pay company A interest at a fixed rate of 9.95% per
annum on $10 million.
Company A has three sets of interest-rate cash flows:
1. It pays 10% per annum to outside lenders.
2. It receives 9.95% per annum from B.
3. It pays LIBOR to B.
9.95%
Company A
Company B
10%
LIBOR
LIBOR + 1%
9.93%
Company A
LIBOR
9.97%
Financial
institution
LIBOR
B
Company
LIBOR + 1%
328 PP-FT&FM
The net effect of the three cash flows is that A pays LIBOR plus 0.05% per annum. This is 0.25% per annum less
than it would pay if it went directly to floating-rate markets. Company B also has three sets of interest rate cash
flows:
1. It pays LIBOR +1% per annum to outside lenders.
2. It receives LIBOR from A.
3. It pays 9.95% per annum to A.
The net effect of the three cash flows is that B pays 10.95% per annum. This is 0.25% per annum less than it
would pay if it went directly to fixed-rate markets.
The swap arrangement appears to improve the position of both A and B by 0.25% per annum. The total gain is,
therefore, 0.5% per annum. It can be shown that the total apparent gain in this type of interest rate swap
agreement is always a b, where a is the difference between the interest rates facing the two companies in
floating-rate markets. In this case, a = 1.2% and b = 0.70%.
If A and B did not deal directly with each other and used a financial institution, an arrangement, such as that
shown in Figure 5.7, might result. (This is similar to the example in Figure 5.4.) In this case, A ends up borrowing
at LIBOR + 0.07%, B ends up borrowing at 10.97%, and the financial institution earns a spead of four basis
points per year. The gain to company A is 0.23%; the gain to company B is 0.23%; and the gain to the financial
institution is 0.04%. The total gain to all three parties is 0.50% as before.
In finance, a swap is a derivative in which two counterparties agree to exchange one stream of cash flows
against another stream. These streams are called the legs of the swap.
The cash flows are calculated over a notional principal amount, which is usually not exchanged between
counterparties. Consequently, swaps can be used to create unfunded exposures to an underlying asset, since
counterparties can earn the profit or loss from movements in price without having to post the notional amount in
cash or collateral.
Swaps can be used to hedge certain risks such as interest rate risk, or to speculate on changes in the underlying.
Most swaps are traded Over The Counter (OTC), tailor-made for the counter parties. Some types of swaps are
also exchanged on future markets, for instance Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc., the largest US
futures market, the Chicago Board Options Exchange and Frankfurt-based Eurex AG.
Illustration: Two companies Rita Ltd. and Gita Ltd. are considering to enter into a swap agreement with each
other. Their corresponding borrowing rates are as follows:
Name of Company
Floating Rate
Fixed Rate
Rita Ltd.
LIBOR
11%
Gita Ltd.
LIBOR + 0.3%
12.5%
Rita Ltd. requires a floating rate loan of 8.million while Gita Ltd. requires a fixed rate loan of 8 million.
(i) Show which company had advantage in floating rate loans and which company has a comparative
advantage in fixed loans.
(ii) If Rita Ltd. and Gita Ltd. engage in a swap agreement and the benefits of the swap are equally split, at
what rate will Rita Ltd. be able to obtain floating finance and Gita Ltd. be able to obtain fixed rate
finance? Ignore bank charges.
Solution:
(i) Although Gita Ltd. faces higher rates in both markets, it has a comparative advantage in the floating rate
Lesson 10
market. It is paying only 30bp more in the floating rate market, but it must pay 150bp more in the fixed
rate market. Rita Ltd. has a comparative advantage in the fixed rate market because It is paying 150 bp
less there, compared to 30 bp less in the floating rate market.
(ii) Net Potential Gain = (LIBOR - (LIBOR + 0.3) + (12.5 - 11) = - 0.3 + 1.5 = 1.2 per cent i.e. 0.6 per cent
benefit to each company
Net floating rate cost to Rita Ltd. would be = LIBOR - .6% And net fixed rate cost to Gita Ltd. would be 12.5% .6% = 11.9%
So the swapping the interest rate obligations, both companies would be benefitted to the extent of .6%.
Swaption
A swaption is an option granting its owner the right but not the obligation to enter into an underlying swap. While
options can be traded on a variety of swaps, the term swaption typically refers to options on interest rate
swaps.
Properties of Swaption
Unlike ordinary swaps, a swaption not only hedges the buyer against downside risk, also lets the buyer take
advantage of any upside benefits. Like any other option, if the swaption is not exercised by maturity, it expires
worthless.
If the strike rate of the swap is more favourable than the prevailing market swap rate, then the swaption will be
exercised as detailed in the swaption agreement.
It is designed to give the holder the benefit of the agreed upon strike rate if the market rates are higher,
with the flexibility to enter into the current market swap rate if they are lower.
The converse is true if the holder of the swaption receives the fixed rate under the swap agreement.
Investors can also use swaptions to trade the volatility of the underlying swap rate.
330 PP-FT&FM
Derivatives trading commenced in India after SEBI granted the final approval to commence trading and settlement
in approved derivative contracts on the NSE and BSE. NSE started operations in the derivatives segment on
June 12, 2000. Initially, NSE introduced futures contracts on S&P CNX Nifty index. However, the basket of
instruments has widened considerably. Now trading in futures and options is based on not only on S&P CNX
Nifty index but also on other indices viz., CNX IT and Bank Index as well as options and futures on single stocks
and also futures on interest rates.
National Stock Exchange of India (NSE) has made noteworthy contribution in setting up an organized derivatives
market. At the outset it was realized that the fulfillment of certain pre-requisites was essential before the trading
in exchange traded derivatives could start. Some of the pre-requisites are:
1. Strong and healthy cash market
The first and foremost requirement is the existence of a strong and healthy cash market. An efficient, transparent
and fair cash market with strong settlement cycles helps in building an efficient derivatives market.
2. Clearing Corporation and Settlement Guarantee
Existence of a common clearing corporation providing settlement guarantee as well as cross margining is essential
for speedy settlement as well as for risk minimization. This is particularly important in the case of derivatives
where there are often no securities to be delivered and the settlement is arranged in the form of cash difference.
3. Reliable wide area telecommunication network
Since derivative trading must be introduced on nation wide basis so as to provide equal opportunities for hedging
to the investor population throughout the country, existing and reliable telecommunications network along with
existence of proven automated trading systems is extremely important.
4. Risk containment mechanism
There should exist a strong and disciplined margining system in the form of daily and mark to market margins,
which provide a cover for exposure along with price risk and notional loss in case of default in settling outstanding
positions, thereby minimizing market risk.
EQUITY DERIVATIVES
These are derivative instruments with underlying assets based on equity securities. An equity derivatives value
will fluctuate with c hange in its underlying assets equity, which is usually measured by share price change in
the price of the index.
Index futures
Stock Future
Index option
Stock Option
Index Futures: It is a future contract with the index as the under lying asset. There is no underlying security or
stock, which is to be believed to fulfil the obligations as index futures are cash settled. They can be used for
hedging against an existing equity position, or speculating on future movements of the index.
Stock Future: A stock future contract is a standardized contract to buy or sell a specific stock at a future date at
an agreed price. The contract derives its value from the underlying stock.
Index option: This an option contract where the option holder has the call or put option on the index.
Lesson 10
Stock option: Stock option is an option contract where the option holder has the right, but not the obligation, to
buy or sell the particular stock on or before a specified date at a stated price.
Advantages of trading in equity derivatives
It provides incentive to make profits with minimal amount of risk capital.
Lower cost of trading.
It increases trading volume in stock market liquidity.
It also provides liquidity, enables price discovery in underlying market.
332 PP-FT&FM
1. Market Capitalization Method
Under this arrangement, a weight is assigned to each component total of the Stock Index based upon its share
in market capitalization of all the components. Then, on daily basis, changes in the market capitalization of each
component impact the value of the index in proportion to their weights. Market capitalization, as we know is the
multiple of the market value and the number of outstanding shares.
2. Market Value Method
Under the method, the weight is assigned on the basis of the market value and the index represents the aggregated
market value of the component Stocks.
3. Equal Weightage
Under this arrangement of components, equal weightage is given to all the components. If there are 50 stocks
in an index, each shall have 2 percent weight.
Out of the above three methods of arrangement, the market capitalization method is the most rational since it
takes into account both market price and the number of shares. Thus a component having both larger floating
stock and greater market value gets a better weightage.
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES
Financial derivatives came into the spotlight along with the rise of uncertainty of post 1970, when the U.S.A.
announced an end to the Britton Woods System of fixed exchange rates. This generated enormous discomfort
owing to currency fluctuations. To mitigate this risk, foreign currency derivatives were introduced on an Over the
Counter (OCT) basis by banks that ended up providing cover to their importer/ exporter clients at a cost. Within
a few years, commodity futures exchanges that had perfected the trading/clearing/settlement of derivatives over
many decades started futures trading for currencies.
Forex derivatives
A Foreign exchange (Forex) derivative is a financial derivative contract where the underlying is a particular
currency and/or its exchange rate. These can be used by currency or forex traders, as well as large multinational
corporations. The multinational corporations often uses these products when they expect to receive large amounts
of money in the future but want to hedge their exposure to currency exchange risk. Financial instruments that fall
into this category include: currency options contracts, currency swaps, and forward and futures contracts.
Lesson 10
334 PP-FT&FM
a derivative in which the buyer of the floor receives money if on the maturity of any of the floor, the
reference rate fixed is below the agreed strike price of the floor.
Interest Rate Swaption: It is an option to enter an interest rate swap. In exchange for an option premium,
the buyer gains the right but not the obligation to enter into a specified swap agreement with the issuer
on a specified future date.
Payer Swaption: A swap option giving the holder the right to pay a fixed rate and receive a floating
rate in an interest rate swap.
Receiver Swaption: It gives the right but not the obligation to enter into an Interest rate future. It is
a financial derivative with an interest-bearing instrument as the underlying asset. For example,
Treasury-bill futures, Eurodollar futures etc.
CREDIT DERIVATIVES
Credit derivatives are financial contracts that provide insurance against credit-related losses. These contracts
give investors, debt issuers, and banks new techniques for managing credit risk that complement the loan sales
and asset securitization methods. The general credit risk is indicated by the happening of certain events, called
credit events, which include bankruptcy, failure to pay, restructuring etc. There is a party trying to transfer credit
risk, called protection seller.
A credit derivative being a derivative does not require either of the parties, the protection seller or protection
buyer to actually hold the reference asset. When a credit event takes place, there are two ways of settlement
cash and physical. Cash settlement means the reference asset will be valued, and the difference between its
Lesson 10
par and fair value will be paid by the protection seller. Physical settlement means the protection seller will
acquire the defaulted asset, for its par value.
According to the Report of the Working Group on Introduction of Credit Derivatives in India set up by the Reserve
Bank of India Credit derivatives are over the counter financial contracts. They are usually defined as off-balance
sheet financial instruments that permit one party (beneficiary) to transfer credit risk of a reference asset, which
it owns, to another party (guarantor) without actually selling the asset.
Three years
Reference credit
ABC Company
Reference loan
Credit event
Default payment
The default payment is payable by the entity providing protection upon the occurrence of a credit event.
(2) Total Return Swaps (TRS): It is financial contract which transfers both the credit risk and market risk of
an underlying asset. In a TRS, the total return obtained from one asset is passed on the protection
seller, in return for a fixed pre-determined amount paid periodically. The total returns out of the asset are
reflected by the actual cash flows and the actual appreciation/ depreciation in its price over time.
For example: Suppose a bank lends ` 100 crores to a firm a fixed rate of 10%. The bank seeks to hedge
an unexpected increase in the borrowers credit risk. The Bank enters into a TRS whereby:
agrees to pay a counterparty the total return based on an annual rate (F) equal to the promised
interest and fees on the loan plus the change in the market value of the loan.
In return bank receives a variable market rate payment of interest annually (e,g, one year LIBOR)
that reflects the cost of its funds.
Counter
Party
F+(PT-PO)/PO
1 yr LIBOR
Bank
X
Loan to
Firm Z
(2) Credit Link Notes (CLN): CLNs are a securitized form of credit derivatives. The protection buyer
issues notes or bonds which implicitly carries a credit derivative. The buyer of the CLN sells protection
and pre-funds the protection sold by way of subscribing to he CLN. If there is a credit event payment
due from the protection seller, the amounts due on the notes/bonds on account of credit events will be
appropriated against the same and the balance will be paid to the CLN holder.
336 PP-FT&FM
For example: Let us consider an issuer of credit cards that wants to fund its (credit card) loan portfolio via an
issue of debt. In order to reduce the credit risk of the loans, it issues a two-year credit linked notes. The principal
amount of the bond is 100 percent as usual, and it pays a coupon of 7.50%, which is 200 bp above the two year
benchmark. If however, the incidence of bad debt amongst credit card holders exceeds 10% then the term
states that note holders will only receive back ` 85 per ` 100 nominal.
The credit card issuer has in effect purchased a credit option that lowers its liability in the event that it suffers
from a specified credit event, which in this case is an above-expected incidence of bad debts.
Investors may wish to purchase CLN because the coupon paid on it will be above what the credit card bank
would pay on a bond and higher than other comparable investments in the market.
Lesson 10
market has grown dramatically. Today Swaps involve exchange of other than interest rates, such as mortgages
and currencies. Swaps may also include Caps and Floors or Caps and Floors combined Collars. A derivative
consisting of an option to enter into an interest rate swap, or to cancel an existing swap in the future is called a
Swaption.
(F) Warrants
All options having maturity above one year are called warrants. These are generally traded over-the-counter.
(G) Leap
Leap the acronym for Long-term Equity Anticipation Securities are options having a maturity of up to three
years.
(H) Swaptions
Swaptions are options to buy/sell a swap that will become operative at the expiry of the option. Thus a swaption
is an option on a forward swap. Rather than having calls and puts, the swaptions market has receiver swaptions
and payer swaptions. A receiver swaption is an option to receive fixed and pay floating, whereas a payer swaption
is an option to pay fixed and receive floating.
338 PP-FT&FM
1. Buy Open
2. Sell Open
3. Buy Close
4. Sell Close
Buy Open orders are those wherein the client has first opened a buy position before sell. At the time of closure
of this open position, the order is called a sell Close.
Similarly when a client sells prior to buying, the sell order is identified as Sell Open and when the same sell
Open position is to be closed out the respective buy order is market as a Buy Close order.
The futures market is a zero-sum game, i.e. the total number of long in any contract always equals the total
number of short in any market. The total number of outstanding contracts (lot/short) at any point in time is called
the Open Interest.
The open-interest figure is a good indicator of the liquidity in every contract.
The index futures and index options contracts traded on NSE are based on S&P CNX Nifty Index and the CNX
IT Index, while stock futures and options are based on individual securities. Presently stock futures and options
are available on 119 securities. While the index options are European style, stock options are American style.
There are a minimum of 7 strike prices, three-in-the-money, one at-the-money and three out-of-money for
every call and put option. The strike price is the price at which the buyer has a right to purchase or sell the
underlying.
In respect of equity derivatives, at any point of time there are only three contracts available for trading, with 1
month, 2 months and 3 months to expiry. These contracts expire on last Thursday of their respective expiry
months. A new contract is introduced on the next trading day following the expiry of the near month contract. All
the derivatives contracts are presently cash settled.
5. Clearing and settlement
Clearing and settlement is undertaken by clearing members of the exchange and the clearing bank. Clearing
members can be either trading members, clearing members who can trade and settle only for their own trades;
or professional clearing members who can clear and settle their own trades as well as those of other trading
members.
6. Clearing Mechanism
The first step in clearing process is working out open positions and obligations of clearing (self clearing/tradingcum-clearing/professional clearing) members (CMs). The open positions of a CM is arrived at by aggregating
the open positions of all the trading members (TMs) and all custodial participants (CPs) clearing through him, in
the contracts which they have traded. The open position of a TM is arrived at by summing up his proprietary
open position and clients open positions. Proprietary positions are calculated on net basis for each contract and
that of clients are arrived at by summing together net positions of each individual client. A TMs open position is
the sum of proprietary open position, client open long position and client open short position.
7. Settlement Mechanism
All futures and options contracts are cash settled, i.e. through exchange of cash. The underlying for index
futures/options of the index cannot be delivered. These contracts, therefore, have to be settled in cash. Stock
futures and stock options can be delivered as in the spot market. However, it has been currently mandated that
Stock Options and Futures would be cash settled. The settlement amount for a CM in netted across all their
TMs/clients, across various settlements. For the purpose of settlement, all CMs are required to open a separate
bank account with the stock exchanges clearing corporation designated clearing banks for F&O segment.
Lesson 10
340 PP-FT&FM
The CM who has exercised the option receives the exercise settlement value per unit of the option from
the CM who has been assigned the option contract.
Final Exercise Settlement: Final Exercise settlement is effected for all open long in-the-money strike
price options existing at the close of trading hours, on the expiration day of an option contract. All such
long positions are exercised and automatically assigned to short positions in option contracts with the
same series, on a random basis.
The investor who has long in the money options on the expiry date will receive the exercise settlement
value per unit of the option from the investor who has been assigned the option contract.
Initial Margin
The computation of initial margin is done using the concept of Value-at-Risk (VAR). The initial margin amount
will be large enough to cover a one-day loss that can be encountered on 99% of the days. Value at Risk is a
single number which estimate maximum possible loss on an investment. VAR methodology seeks to measure
that a portfolio may stand to lose within a certain horizon time period due to potential changes in the underlying
assets market price. In other words VAR seeks to measure the maximum loss that a portfolio might sustain over
a period of time given a set probability level. Initial margin amount computed using VAR is collected up-front.
Lesson 10
NSE-SPAN
The objective of NSE-SPAN is to identify overall risk in a portfolio of all futures and options contracts for each
member. The system treats futures and options contracts uniformly, while at the same time recognizing the
unique exposures associated with options portfolios, like extremely deep out-out-the-money short positions and
inter-month risk.
Its over-riding objective is to determine the largest loss that a portfolio might reasonably be expected to suffer
from one day to the next day based on 99% VAR methodology.
SPAN considers uniqueness of option portfolios. The following factors affect the value of an option:
(i) Underlying market price
(ii) Volatility (variability) of underlying instrument, and
(iii) Time to expiration.
(iv) Interest rate
(v) Strike price
As these factors change, the value of options maintained within a portfolio also changes. Thus, SPAN constructs
scenarios of probable changes in underlying prices and volatilities in order to identify the largest loss a portfolio
might suffer from one day to the next. It then sets the margin requirement to cover this one-day loss.
The complex calculations (e.g. the pricing of options) in SPAN are executed by NSCCL. The results of these
calculations are called risk arrays. Risk arrays, and other necessary data inputs for margin calculation are
provided to members daily in a file called the SPAN Risk Parameter file. Members can apply the data contained
in the Risk Parameter files, to their specific portfolios of futures and options contracts, to determine their SPAN
margin requirements.
Hence, members need not execute complex option pricing calculations, which is performed by NSCCL. SPAN
has the ability to estimate risk for combined futures and options portfolios, and also re-value the same under
various scenarios of changing market conditions.
Margins
Initial Margin: Margin in the F&O segment is computed by NSCCL upto client level for open positions
of CMs/TMs. These are required to be paid up-front on gross basis at individual client level for client
positions and on net basis for proprietary positions. NSCCL collects initial margin for all the open positions
of a CM as computed by NSE-SPAN. A CM is required to ensure collection of adequate initial margin
from his TMs up-front, in turn the TM collects it from his clients.
342 PP-FT&FM
Premium Margin: In addition to initial margin, premium margin is charged at client level. This margin is
required to be paid by a buyer of an option till the premium settlement is complete.
Assignment Margin for Options on Securities: Assignment margin is levied in addition to initial margin
and premium margin. It is required to be paid on assigned positions of CMs towards interim and final
exercise settlement obligations for option contracts on individual securities, till such obligations are
fulfilled. The margin is charged on the net exercise settlement value payable by a CM towards interim
and final exercise settlement.
Client Margins: NSCCL intimates all members of the margin liability of each of their client. Additionally
members are also required to report details of margins collected from clients to NSCCL, which holds in
trust client margin monies to the extent reported by the member as having been collected from their
respective clients.
Lesson 10
Market-wide Position Limit Violation: PRISM monitors market wide position limits for futures and
option contracts on individual securities. The open position across all members, across all contracts
cannot exceed lower of the following limits; 30 times the average number of shares traded daily in the
previous calendar month or 20% of the number of shares held by non-promoters in the relevant underlying
security i.e. 20% of the free float in terms of the number of shares of a company. When the total open
interest in an option contract, across all members, reaches 60% of the market wide position limit for a
contract, the price scan range and volatility scan range (for SPAN margin) are doubled. NSCCL specifies
the market-wide position limits once every month, at the beginning of the month, which is applicable for
the subsequent month.
Client-wise Position Limit Violation: Whenever the open position of any client exceeds 1% of the
free float market capitalization (in terms of no. of shares0 or 5% of the open interest (in terms of
number of shares) whichever is higher, in all the futures and option contracts on the same underlying
security, then it is termed as client-wise position limit violation. The TM/CM through whom the client
trades/clears his deals should be liable for such violation and penalty may be levied on such TM/CM
which he may in turn recover from the client. In the event of such a violation, TM/CM should immediately
ensure that the client does not take fresh positions and reduce the position of those clients within the
permissible limit.
Misutilisation of TM/Constituents Collateral and/or Deposit: it is violation, if a CM utilizes the collateral
of one TM and/or constituent towards the exposure and/or obligations of a TM and/or constituent.
Violation of Exercised Position: When option contracts are exercised by a CM, where no open long
positions for such CM/tm and/or constituent exist at the end of the day, at the time the exercise processing
is carried out, it is termed as violation of exercised position.
COMMODITIES MARKET
India, a commodity based economy where two-third of the one billion population depends on agricultural
commodities, surprisingly has an under developed commodity market. Unlike the physical market, futures markets
trades in commodity are largely used as risk management (hedging) mechanism on either physical commodity
itself or open positions in commodity stock.
For instance, a jeweller can hedge his inventory against perceived short-term downturn in gold prices by going
short in the future markets.
In the present discussion, we aim at understanding the knowhow of the commodities market and how the
commodities traded on the exchange. The idea is to understand the importance of commodity derivatives and
learn about the market from Indian point of view. In fact it was one of the most vibrant markets till early 70s. Its
development and growth was shunted due to numerous restrictions earlier. Now, with most of these restrictions
being removed, there is tremendous potential for growth of this market in the country.
A commodity may be defined as an article, a product or material that is bought and sold. It can be classified as
every kind of movable property, except Actionable Claims, Money & Securities.
Commodities actually offer immense potential to become a separate asset class for market-savvy investors,
arbitrageurs and speculators. Retail investors, who claim to understand the equity markets, may find commodities
an unfathomable market. But commodities are easy to understand as far as fundamentals of demand and
supply are concerned. Retail investors should understand the risks and advantages of trading in commodities
futures before taking a leap. Historically, pricing in commodities futures has been less volatile compared with
equity and bonds, thus providing an efficient portfolio diversification option.
Commodity market is an important constituent of the financial markets of any country. It is the market where a
wide range of products, viz., precious metals, base metals, crude oil, energy and soft commodities like palm oil,
344 PP-FT&FM
coffee etc. are traded. It is important to develop a vibrant, active and liquid commodity market. This would help
investors hedge their commodity risk, take speculative positions in commodities and exploit arbitrage opportunities
in the market.
FMC
Commodity Exchanges
Lesson 10
National Exchanges
NCDEX
MCX
Regional Exchanges
NMCE
NBOT
Other Regional
Exchange
346 PP-FT&FM
Corporate having price risk exposure in commodities
Lesson 10
need special facility for storage. Due to the bulky nature of the underlying assets, physical settlement in commodity
derivatives creates the need for warehousing. Similarly, the concept of varying quality of asset does not really
exist as far as financial underlyings are concerned. However in the case of commodities, the quality of the asset
underlying a contract can vary largely. This becomes an important issue to be managed.
LESSON ROUND-UP
According to the Section 2(ac) of Securities Contract (Regulations) Act, 1956, derivatives includes:
a security derived from a debt instrument, share, loan, whether secured or unsecured, risk instrument
or contract for difference or any other form of security;
a contract which derives it value from the prices, or index of the prices, of underlying securities.
An option represents the right but not the obligation to buy or sell a security or other asset during a
given time for a specified price called the Strike price. An option to buy is known as a Call and an
option to sell is called a Put.
In Forward Contract, the purchaser and its counter party are obligated to trade in security or other
asset at a specified date in future.
A Future represents the right to buy or sell a standard quantity and quality of an asset or security at a
specified date and price.
Interest only securities popularly known as IOs, receive the interest portion of the mortgage payment
and generally increase in value as interest rates rise and decrease in value as interest rates fall.
Structured Notes are debt instruments where the principal and/or the interest rate is indexed to an
unrelated indicator.
A swap is a simultaneous buying and selling of the same security or obligation. Interest rate swaps are
fairly common in which two parties exchange identical securities having different interest rate structures.
A Stock Index is a particular kind of index that represents changes in the market values of a number of
securities contained in that index.
Index futures are the future contracts for which the underlying is the cash market index. In India,
futures on both BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty are traded
Value at Risk is a single number which estimate maximum possible loss on an investment. VAR seeks
to measure the maximum loss that a portfolio might sustain over a period of time given a set probability
level.
The seller agrees to deliver if the contract owner elects to buy, or to purchase if the contract owner
elects to sell. For agreeing to the terms of the contract, the seller receives a fee, which in options is
called the premium.
A class of options consists of all options of the same type (put or call) covering the same underlying
security.
A series of options is all options of the same class having both the same strike price and the same
expiration month.
All futures and options contracts are cash settled, i.e. through exchange of cash. For the purpose of
settlement, all CMs are required to open a separate bank account with NSCCL designated clearing
banks for F&O segment.
348 PP-FT&FM
The actual position monitoring and margining is carried out on-line through Parallel Risk Management
System (PRISM) using SPAN (Standard Portfolio Analysis of Risk) system for the purpose of computation
of on-line margins, based on the parameters defined by SEBI.
Commodity defines as an article, a product or material that is brought and sold. It can be classified as
every kind of movable property, except actionable claim, money and security.
Forward Market Commission (FMC) will regulate commodities exchanges.
Derivatives as a tool for managing risk first originated in the commodities markets in India.
A strong and vibrant cash market is a pre-condition for a successful and transparent future market.
Adoption of risk management or risk mitigation tool is now sin qua non for success in business with
exposure to commodities.
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
(These are meant for re-capitulation only. Answers to these questions are not to be submitted for evaluation)
1. Illustrate the difference between spot market and forward market.
2. What do you understand by the term financial derivatives ?
3. What is the significance of a Stock Index?
4. What are future contracts and how do they differ from forward contracts?
5. Describe the various kinds of options contracts.
6. Evaluate the growth of derivatives market in India.
Lesson 11
Lesson 11
Treasury Management
LESSON OUTLINE
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Unit level
Domestic level
International level
Liquidity Management
LESSOUN ROUND UP
349
350 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 11
receipts of funds are credited to the account of the firm well in time. Another way of ensuring timely availability of
funds is to park short-time surplus funds in liquid securities which can be sold conveniently and quickly to realize
cash. In this way, availability can be ensured without straining other resources.
352 PP-FT&FM
and deployment of funds is well organized, surplus of funds shall soon start emerging which can be deployed in
short term liquid investments. However, if the inflow and outflow of funds is not evenly matched in the time
dimension, bottlenecks and mismatch of funds are sure to emerge. Apart from causing administrative problems
and rationing of funds, such a situation also leads to increase in cost of funds. Thus the treasury manager seeks
to avoid such situations. Timely deployment of funds is a well planned activity requiring intra-organisation coordination and liaison with banks and financial institutions apart from forex dealers.
Key benefits
Risk forecasting
Investment appraisal
Tax planning
Pensions planning
Smooth operations
Efficiency gains
Lesson 11
Key benefits
Key benefits
Key benefits
FX risk management
Reduce volatility
354 PP-FT&FM
Pension risk management
5. Corporate Governance
Key Activities
Key benefits
Ensure accurate valuation of financial instruments Ensure the financial profile represents and true and
fair view
Ensure accurate accounting of Treasury
transactions
Demonstrate preparedness
6. Stakeholder Relations
Key Activities
Key benefits
Manage relationship with banks and other investors Relationship benefit from proactive communication
Manage relationship with credit rating agencies
Lesson 11
To-Pay and Order-To Cash cycles, there can be a direct effect on the overall debt and investment requirements
and thus on the capital structure required in the business.
The question then is: if the Treasury function is becoming more of a business partner, how can the department
manage its time to ensure that day to day administration, processing and transaction execution is completed
using the minimum of resource? The answer is that larger companies automate the majority of their daily financial
processing and administration tasks, supported by policy standards, control and monitoring processes, embedding
financial best practices across the whole business. Integrating corporate systems with those of their banks can
achieve significant levels of automation, reducing the amount of time that needs to be spent on tasks such as
calculating the daily cash position.
At the same time, the efficient use of secure systems can minimise operational risk, increase operational security
and maximise straight through processing. Add to this automatic reconciliation of bank account data and Treasury
can then manage exceptions rather than every item, giving them the time to devote to delivering value-added
services across the company.
356 PP-FT&FM
In a similar fashion, it would be appropriate to set out the pattern of use of funds of any company into various
sectors of the economy, including the foreign sector. Dispensation of funds for current or capital expenditures in
domestic and international markets can be separately set out. Such an analysis is particularly more relevant to
multinational corporations and branches or subsidiaries of foreign companies in whose case foreign markets
and foreign sources of supply play an important part. The head office or the holding company may spend apart
of its funds in investment in the host country, make inward remittances for working capital or investment purposes
and outward remittances for royalty and dividend payments or technical fees.
International financial markets emerged out of the need to facilitate operations of nations arising out of commercial
and financial transactions with the rest of the world. This emergence can be attributed logically to the interrelations of the economic unit with the corporate sector and of the latter with the other sectors of the economy,
including the foreign sector. It would be apt to set out here the inter-relations between micro level operations of
a treasury manager with the macro level working of the corporate sector and foreign sector. A treasury manager
is a micro unit in the financial sector. The environment he faces is competition from other similar units in the
corporate sector. Besides this, the corporate sector, in turn, is inter-linked with all other sectors of the economy.
The treasury manager is thus faced with a total environment of the economy which includes foreign sector and
it is thus necessary for him to be familiar with the international financial system, as much as to the domestic
financial system.
Lesson 11
7. Keep liaison with Registrar of Companies and government departments concerned with the investment
and financing decisions for any information regarding policy changes.
8. Keep abreast with all legal and procedural requirements for raising funds and investment decisions.
9. Keep the top management or the board informed of any likely changes in the financial position of the
company due to internal factors.
358 PP-FT&FM
The timing and quantum is also adjusted having regard to overall liquidity in the market.
The subscription to the loans can be in cash as also in the form of rolling over of existing securities
which have fallen due for repayment.
In the secondary market, which is a retail market, trading is over the counter. Main operators in the secondary
market are the Discount and Finance House of India (DFHI), banks, FIs, PFs etc. This market is an over-the
counter (OTC) market where trading is done through phones, fax etc.
The concept of yields is important for understanding of the government securities market. Yield, as we know, is
the rate of return on an investment. In case of lending made by the banks, they stipulate a rate of interest per
annum which becomes the benchmark for their return. The actual yield may vary from the benchmark depending
upon whether the periodicity of interest is monthly, quarterly or half yearly basis. In case of government securities,
however, the yields are determined on the basis of the price at which the security is auctioned in the primary
market or the prices determined in the secondary market through sale and purchase.
Nominal Yield
Coupon rate is the rate of interest payable per annum per Rs. 100/- or the face value. If the purchase price is
different from the face value then the return is equal to (coupon rate/purchase price) x 100. This return is called
the normal yield.
Real Yield
Nominal yields deflated by the index of inflation rate, such as WPI or CPI will give real yields, which reflect the
true purchasing power of the return on these securities.
Net Yield
Nominal yields adjusted for the tax rate or payment of relevant taxes at which deduction of tax at source takes
place are called the net yield.
Current Yield
Coupon rate is the rate at which the bond carries interest. This is the nominal yield payable on on the face value
of the bond regularly and remains unaltered, say, for example 7.75% loan 2005. Current yield is equal to (coupon
rate x face value)/ cost or market price.
Redemption yield or yield to maturity
This takes into account the price paid for the bond, length of time to maturity and the coupon rate of the bond.
This is the yield which the holder gets per annum if he holds it until maturity and is the same as current yield if the
bond is purchased at par. Redemption yield is equal to current yield +/ average annual capital gain or loss (for
the bond purchased at a discount or premium as the case may be).
RBI is responsible for public debt management of the government. It does this by underwriting and subscription
to new issues not subscribed by public, by use of Open Market Operations (OMO) as a technique of sale and
purchase of government securities to control the liquidity and the interest rate structure and by use of SLR and
CRR as the method of controlling the liquidity of banking system and their contributions to government debt.
Lesson 11
notes. Exchange is done through dealers in foreign exchange regulated by the central bank of a country. Banks
are usually the dealers apart from other specialized agencies.
One of the important components of the international financial system is the foreign exchange market. The
various trade and commercial transactions between countries result in receipts and payments between them.
These transactions are carried out in the currencies of the concerned countries? any one of them or in a
mutually agreed common currency. Either way, the transactions involve the conversion of one currency to the
other. The foreign exchange market facilitates such operations. The demand for goods and services from one
country to another is the basis for demand for currencies in the market. Thus basically, demand for and supply
of foreign currencies arises from exporters or importers or the public having some transactions with foreign
countries.
Companies having an import or export component in their business profile have to frequently deal in forex
operations. Forex operations in a country being supervised by the central bank, reference to the central bank in
one form or the other is necessary to use foreign exchange. If the country on the whole is a net exporter of goods
and services, it would have a surplus of foreign exchange. If, on the other hand, it is a net importer then it would
have a shortage of foreign exchange. The extent of regulation of the forex market depends upon the availability
of foreign exchange in a country. If the forex is scarce, then holding and using it would be subject to a lot of
regulatory control. It also matters whether international trade forms a significant percentage of the GDP of a
nation. If it is so, then the awareness about forex regulations would be much more widespread as compared to
a situation when foreign trade forms an insignificant portion of GDP. Presently, however, with increasing
globalisation, forex dealing has become a normal part of treasury operations.
Every foreign exchange transaction involves a two-way conversion a purchase and sale. Conversion of domestic
currency into foreign currency involves purchase of the latter and sale of the former and vice versa. These
transactions are routed through the banks. The transactions take the shape of either outright release of foreign
currency for meeting travel and related requirements or payments to outside parties in the denominated currency
via the medium of correspondent banks. For effecting payment, following instruments are generally used:
Telegraphic transfers (TT)
A TT is a transfer of money by telegram or cable or telex or fax from one center to another in a foreign
currency. It is a method used by banks with their own codes and correspondent relations with banks and
abroad for transmission of funds. It involves payment of funds on the same day, it is the quickest means of
transmission of funds. As there is no loss of interest or capital risk in this mode, it enjoys the best rate for the
value of receipts.
Mail Transfers (MT)
It is an order to pay cash to a third party sent by mail by a bank to its correspondent or branch abroad. It is issued
in duplicate, one to the party buying it and the other to the correspondent bank. The amount is paid by the
correspondent bank to the third party mentioned therein in the transferee country by its own cheque or by
crediting the partys account. As the payment is made after the mail advice is received at the other end, which
will take a few days, the rate charged to the purchaser is cheaper to the extent of the interest gain to the seller
bank.
Drafts and cheques
Draft is a pay order issued by a bank on its own branch or correspondent bank abroad. It is payable on sight but
there is always a time lapse in the transit or in post between the payment by the purchaser of the draft to his
bank and the receipt of the money by the seller in the foreign center. As in the case of MT, there is risk of loss of
draft in transit or delay in release of payment to the beneficiary and loss of interest in the intervening period.
360 PP-FT&FM
Bills of exchange
It is an unconditional order in writing addressed by one person to another, requiring the person to whom the
order is addressed, to pay certain sum on demand or within a specified time period. If it is payable on demand,
it is called a sight bill. If it is payable after a gap of some time, it is called a usance bill. Such bills can be bankers
bills or trade bills. Bankers bills are drawn on banks abroad while trade bills are made between individual
parties.
There are four major components of the forex markets, depending upon the level at which the transactions are
put through. These can be either
Banks with public
Inter-bank deals
Deals with correspondents and branches abroad
Deals with RBI.
In the market, there is no physical exchange of currencies except in small denominations when travelers and
tourists carry them across national borders. The medium of exchange is credit instruments or book entries in the
books of concerned banks.
Exchange rates can be spot rates or forward rates. If an importer is paying on receipt of documents, then he can
buy a foreign currency say dollars on spot basis. It means that the exchange of Indian Rupee and Dollars is
proceeding on current basis. But if the importer agrees to pay three or six months hence, his demand for dollars
might arise only after three or six months. In such a situation, the transaction is carried out through forward
transaction. The exchange of Rupee and Dollar is to take place after the stipulated time period, though the
exchange price has been pre-decided.
Just as the banks are buying and selling spot, they also do business in forward currencies. Corresponding to the
spot rate of exchange, there is a forward rate for various periods. Currencies sold or bought in forward are
subject to the influences of interest rates? both domestic and international. Forward rates also depend upon the
elative position of currencies vis--vis other currencies. Hence there is an implicit risk that the forward rates
contracted today may be different from actual spot rates that would prevail three or six months hence. If any
bank succeeds in forward purchases with forward sales of the same currency, it avoids exposure to the exchange
rate risk. If the forward sales and purchases do not match, the bank may have an uncovered position which it
may cover with another bank which has a contrary position. If it fails to cover with a bank, it may still do so with
the central bank of the country or with a correspondent bank abroad. If a bank takes a position uncovered, it may
take a calculated risk in the hope that the rate may move in its favour or else it may have to bear the exchange
rate differential.
When foreign exchange markets operate in a free manner, the assumption is that the exchange rates between
various currencies would be quoted at the same level at all the trading centers throughout the world. But it
seldom happens and at the best of times, there are discernible differences in exchange values across centers.
Banks and other dealers take advantage of these differences and profit from the rate difference. This operation
is called arbitrage. For example, if the Dollar-Euro parity is 1.00 in New York and 1.05 in Frankfurt, then a dealer
can sell Euros in Frankfurt, purchase Dollars and with the Dollars, buy Euros again in New York thereby profiting
from the deal.
Operations in the forex market are exposed to a number of risks. These risks are as follows:
Credit risk arising out of lending to a foreign borrower whose credit rating is not known for certainty.
Currency risk of trading in a currency whose stability and strength is known to fluctuate.
Lesson 11
Country risks involved in dealing in the currency of a country whose political and economic stability is
uncertain.
Solvency risks due to mismatch between current assets and liabilities of dealers and resultant default in
meeting forward commitments.
In India, commercial and most of the co-operative banks have been authorized to deal in foreign exchange.
Banks finance huge amount of foreign trade. This trade is conducted on daily basis through purchase and sale
of foreign currencies. The demand and supply of active currencies is matched by the banks from their own
stock. There are cases when the bank needs some currencies or has a surplus of such currencies. These needs
are met by buying or selling such currencies to the RBI.
The foreign exchange department of every bank draws up a position sheet for each currency daily in which
purchases and sales of the currency are recorded. The banks generally avoid taking any exchange risk by
covering uncovered balances at the end of the day. When the purchases exceed sales, the credit balance is
plus and the position is overbought. This is to be covered by equal sales of that currency. When the sales
exceed purchases, it is a situation of overselling and the same is covered by purchases of that currency.
A typical dealer in Forex may be a bank having the controlling and supervisory authority and the head office.
Actual dealings in forex would take place through authorized branches. At these branches, there are dealing
rooms and back office operations. Dealing room would perform the following functions normally:
Quoting, negotiating and fixing rates of exchange for larger sized customer transactions involving
purchase or sale of foreign currencies.
Arranging cover against purchase and sale of foreign currencies.
Trading on own account, i.e. purchase/sale of foreign currencies for profit.
Mobilisation of required foreign currency funds by swapping arrangements or purchases from other
dealers.
Accepting customer forward contracts for purchase/sale of foreign currency and arranging cover against
the same.
The back office operations would comprise of the following:
Consolidation of all exchange deals and provide cover operations
Analysis of the structure of the deals for determining the future rates.
Processing of inter-bank deals, sending or receiving contract notes or confirmation of deals.
Follow-up work on contracts
Transfer of funds to correspondents and their branches.
362 PP-FT&FM
not be any idle funds and second consideration is that there should be no threat of liquidity crisis. Idle funds
have their own cost and it results in lowering of profitability. Extreme tightness of funds, on the other hand, raises
the specter of default and loss of commercial reputation. So a delicate balance between these two conflicting
objectives has to be maintained by the finance manager. It is in this context that the function of finance becomes
crucial to the survival and growth of a firm.
The financing function refers to the securing of right resources of funds at an appropriate cost and at the right
time. Here the decision is to be taken about the least cost combination of funds for capital requirements and for
working capital needs. Whether owners equity should be used for financing or should the firm resort to external
financing? If owners equity is to be arranged, what returns are to be assured? If borrowing has to be done, then
what rate of interest is to be paid?
In line with the twin objectives of investment and financing, the finance manager has to take responsibility for all
decisions pertaining to these areas. In the finance function, a macro view of the requirements and uses of funds
is to be taken. The finance manager has to arrange the funds within the approved capital structure of the firm.
The funds may be debt or equity. Once the funds have been arranged, it is left to the treasury function to utilize
these funds according to the approved parameters. Financial management is also concerned with the overall
solvency and profitability of the firm. By overall solvency, we mean that the funds should be able at all times to
meet its liabilities. The liabilities can be short-term or long-term. The long-term liabilities pertain to payment of
long-term borrowings. Internal liabilities like payment to shareholders are a matter of consideration once external
solvency has been attained by the firm. Profitability means that the firm should run its affairs profitably. It may be
possible that some segments of the firm may at times face strain upon their profitability due to macro-economic
or internal causes. But the firm should be in a position to earn reasonable return on its investment on the capital
employed. Capital employed, as we know, is the sum of own funds and borrowed funds. Profitability of operations
of the firm means that both the own funds and borrowed funds generate adequate surpluses for the firm. This
can be ensured by investing the funds in such projects which provide optimal returns.
The treasury function is concerned with management of funds at the micro level. It means that once the funds
have been arranged and investments identified, handling of the funds generated from the activities of the firm
should be monitored with a view to carry out the operations smoothly. Since funds or cash is the lubricant of all
business activity, availability of funds on day to day basis is to be ensured by the treasury manager. The role of
treasury management is to manage funds in an efficient manner, so that the operations in the area of finance are
facilitated in relation to the business profile of the firm. The treasury function is thus supplemental and complemental
to the finance function. As a supplemental function, it reinforces the activities of the finance function by taking
care of the finer points while the latter delineates the broad contours. As a complementary function, the treasury
manager takes care of even those areas which the finance function does not touch. Looked at from this point of
view, the treasury function integrates better with manufacturing and marketing functions than the finance function.
This is because the treasury department of a firm is involved in more frequent interaction with other departments.
For the purpose of performing this role, the treasury manager operates in various financial markets including the
inter-corporate market, money market, G-sec market, forex market etc.
1. Control Aspects
The objective of financial management is to establish, coordinate and administer as an integral part of the
management, an adequate plan for control of operations. Such a plan should provide for capital investment
programs, profit budgets, sales forecasts, expenses budgets and cost standards.
The objective of treasury management is to execute the plan of finance function. Execution of the plan takes
care of the issues arising in routine operations of the firm which have a bearing upon the funds position.
Lesson 11
Thus the finance function of a firm would fix the limit for investment in short term instruments for a firm for
example. It is the treasury function that would decide which particular instruments are to be invested in within the
overall limit having regard to safety, liquidity and profitability. Again, the finance function would arrange the
borrowed funds for the firm but the treasury function would take care of day-to-day monitoring of the funds.
2. Reporting Aspects
Financial management is concerned with the preparation of overall financial reports of the firm such as Profit
and Loss account and the Balance Sheet. It also takes care of the taxation aspects and external audit. Based
upon the performance of the firm, budgets for the ensuing years are fixed. The reports are submitted to the top
management of the firm.
Treasury management is concerned with monitoring the income and expense budgets on a periodic basis vis-vis the budgets. The budgets are fixed department/ segment wise so as to dovetail with the overall corporate
budgets. Variances from the budgets are analysed by the treasury department on a continual basis for taking
corrective measures. The corrective measures that can be taken are pointing out of discrepancies to departmental
heads and refuse payments that are not according to approved procedures and guidelines. The treasury
department is also involved in the internal audit of the firm.
3. Strategic Aspects
The finance function is involved in formulating overall financial strategy for the firm. The top management chooses
the line of activity for the firm. The finance function firms up the investment and financing plans for the activity.
The strategic choices before the financial manager are the options of investment and financing. While making
these choices, the finance manager is taking a long-term view of the state of affairs. It is just possible that the
business of a firm may not be profitable in the initial years but it does not mean that the choice regarding
investing has been strategically incorrect. In fact, there are many mega projects where the gestation period is
even upto seven years. But given the correctness of the original assumptions, performance of the finance
function would be measured by the number of years that gets reduced in breaking even.
Strategy for treasury management is more short-term in nature. The treasury manager has to decide about the
tools of accounting and development of systems for generation of controlling reports. The maintenance of
proper systems of accounting is one of the objectives of treasury management. Another strategic objective for
treasury management would be maintenance of short-term liquidity. This is done through regulation of payments
and speedy realization of receivables.
4. Nature of assets
The finance manager is concerned with creation of fixed assets for the firm. Fixed assets are those assets which
yield benefit to the firm over a longer period of time. It can be said that the time span of a project coincides with
the span of the fixed assets. In case the fixed assets have depreciated physically by a significant measure, then
a decision has to be taken for upgradation and replacement of the assets.
The treasury manager is concerned with the net current assets of the firm. Net current assets are the difference
between the current assets and current liabilities of the firm, both normally realizable within a period of one year.
Current assets should always be more than the current liabilities for ensuring liquidity of the firm. Current assets
are the inventory, receivables and cash balances. Current liabilities are the trade creditors, statutory payables
and loan repayables within one year. To ensure a healthy level of net current assets, the treasury manager is to
ensure that the quality of the assets does not deteriorate.
As regards investments, the finance manager is concerned with long-term and strategic investments. These
investments could be funded from borrowed funds or from internal accruals. The investments are expected to
be held over a longer period of time as such day-to-day monitoring of the investments is not required. The
treasury manager is concerned with short-term investments. The tenor and quality of these investments has to
be constantly monitored by the treasury manager for ensuring safety and profitability.
364 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 11
for pooling risks, for policies or strategies, or for both these. In this sense, management of the treasury function
in this model is very much centralised. Although this model readily lends itself to global organisations, it could
also be used by local businesses that need to access global markets.
366 PP-FT&FM
for the guidance of the users. It is expected that all the users shall comply with all important disclosure requirements
for endorsing the integrity and validity of the systems.
(b) Supportive Roles
The second role expected from a treasury manager is a supportive role. In this role, the treasury manager
supports the activities of other departments like manufacturing, marketing and HRD. The support is evidenced
through a meaningful and constructive coordination with the other departments. While doing this, the treasury
manager is acting as an extended arm of the finance manager. Allocation for expenses for every department is
made by the finance manager in the annual budget. It is the duty of treasury manager to ensure that each
department is able to spend the earmarked amount subject to completion of disclosure and documentation
formalities.
(c) Leadership Roles
The treasury manager also has a leadership role to play. This role comes into play during times of exigency. An
exigency could occur during times of systems break-down. During such periods, the treasury manager has to
make alternative arrangements for transaction processing. While doing this, he has to act like a leader and carry
the team along with him. Another example of exigency could be a situation when the firm is face to face with a
sudden and unexpected liquidity crunch. During such an eventuality, the treasury manager has to use his
ingenuity and leadership skills for tiding over the crunch. These skills could take the shape of postponing and
prioritizing payments and expediting recoveries.
(d) Watchdog Roles
The treasury department is the eyes and ears of the management. Every financial transaction passes through
his accounting system. As a processor of all the financial transactions, he keeps a watch on suspected bunglings
and frauds in the firm. He sets an example for other departments of the firm by adhering to sound accounting
practices and transparent dealings.
(e) Learning Roles
The accounting practices all over the world are in a state of constant flux due to evolution of new accounting
concepts and technological changes. The treasury manager accepts these changes with an open mind and
adopts the changes best suited to the organization. Simultaneously, he educates the other departments of the
firm also about the changes.
(f) Informative Roles
The treasury manager is the source of information for the top management regarding performance of the firm
vis--vis the budgets. For conveying this information, he develops a management information system suited for
the organization. This system provides concise and timely information on all the relevant parameters which
enable the top management to take decisions.
Apart from the above roles, the treasury manager has the under-mentioned responsibilities which he is expected
to shoulder along with his roles:
1. Compliance with statutory guidelines
While establishing operational systems for the firm, the treasury manager has a duty to ensure that the systems
comply with all statutory and regulatory guidelines. Particularly, he has to take care of provision regarding
taxation and other government dues. He must ensure that the system should be simple and not cumbersome.
The system should be transparent and it should protect the integrity of the transactions. Moreover, it should be
impersonal and capable of being operated on the basis of pre-established guidelines. It should be flexible also
to incorporate any subsequent changes in accounting and taxation norms.
Lesson 11
368 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 11
370 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 11
Proper liquidity management can increase the turnover of business and also creates additional profit to the
company/banks. Liquidity management has great significance in modern days to the company/bankers/financial
institution, because they engage not only in retail business, but also deal in wholesale banking and investment
banking business.
Overliquidity on the other hand implies excess idle cash balance in hand. So every company should avoid both
the position and should manage the company without less/excess funds in hand i.e. just liquid position.
372 PP-FT&FM
(a) Internal control of different, dealing rooms, settlement offices and control offices.
(b) Checking of unhealthy insider trading system.
(c) Mutual and ammicable solution of different conflicts of interest in dealing operation.
Internal Control System: It relates to forming policies to check leakage of profit for the institution. In treasury
operation, the role of Central Offices are vital. They should form suitable guidelines for the institution in respect
of various treasury dealing operations. There are advice dealing offices to bifract all treasury items into different
classes according to risk involvement. As treasury business is a risky business responsible positioned persons
should be delegated powers to deal in treasury operation with imposition of different limits on their discretionary
power.
Some important area should be taken (i) fixation of rates for each treasury items and (ii) fixing limits for dealers
to deal with different counterparties, with proper observation of confidentiality and adherance to best market
practice. Treasury executive should be ensured that the transactions were carried in correct manner by cross
checking during each dealing day.
For above facts the central offices should develop proper policies and guidelines for treasury operation and
should advice the dealers to deal according to policies of the following :
(i) restriction on deal in ones own account.
(ii) timely advice to dealing offices in respect of any adverse transactions received or excess reporting.
(iii) timely submission of returns to different statutory authorities.
(iv) review of security and contingency arrangement of different offices.
(v) proper verification of compliance given by lower offices for irregularities.
Insider Dealings
Insiders are those who are in management including near and dear; and their dealings means-taking advantages
of unpublished internal informations of the corporate body. These may create price sensex situation. So these
unadvantages dealings should properly efficient internal control system should be taken by the management to
eliminate insider dealing by fixing penalties for insider dealers.
Lesson 11
Banks/financial institutions should observe confidentiality. It is essential for the preservation of reputable and
efficient market place for bank/financial institution. The transactions should not be dealt in non-market rates. So
this practice should be avoided. Adequate safeguards should be established to prevent abuse of informations
by staff members with respect to non-public price-sensitive informations.
374 PP-FT&FM
Historically, the treasury of a sovereign included gold, silver and other precious metals which were used as a
medium of exchange. As a ruler, the sovereign exercised un-challanged rights over all the precious metals
extracted from the earth. The booties earned from wars, foreign exploits and domestic plundering kept on
adding to the treasure chest of the sovereign. These metals were circulated in the form of coins which became
a medium of all commercial transactions in due course, replacing the earlier system of barter. The practice
continued till the nineteenth century when paper currency began to be issued.
Reserve Bank of India manages the macro treasury management of the country. This is done through
Issue of Currency notes
Distribution of small coins, one, two and five rupee coins and rupee notes on behalf of the government
Maintenance of currency chests.
The currency is issued by the Reserve Bank of India in terms of the Indian Currency Act whereas the small coins
and rupee coins are issued under the provisions of the Indian Coinage Act. The provision of adequate supply of
currency and coins is the responsibility of the government which was at first discharged by providing currency
chests at the branches of Issue Department of RBI and at branches of Imperial Bank of India (which later
became State Bank of India). SBI carried out the business of Government treasury and maintained the currency
chests at all district headquarters. Later on all the nationalized banks were also entrusted with the task of
maintenance of currency chests.
The basic objective of keeping the currency chests at various places in India is to facilitate quick disbursement
of currency and coins to far flung places and also to facilitate remittance to banks. This way, the banks can remit
surplus cash to the currency chests located in their region and avoid transportation of cash over long distances.
Also, the banks can draw from the currency chests during time of need. Currency chests are the agents of the
Reserve Bank of India for keeping custody of currency and coins. Any deposit of currency and coins into these
chests implies that the money circulation has been curtailed to that extent. Similarly, any disbursal from these
chests would expand their supply. Thus expansion and contraction of currency takes place on continual basis
due to operation of the currency chest.
Government as a sovereign power has control on cash and currency circulated in the country. The issue of
currency and coins is based on the treasures of the government in the form of gold and silver stocks which
are supposed to back such issue. More recently, government securities and their promissory notes became
the basis of such issue. In fact, the coins of gold and silver were first replaced by the paper currency on the
one hand and coins of base metals like copper, nickel, bronze, zinc etc., on the other. To supplement the
available currency and to facilitate trade and business, credit instruments came into vogue in the form of
promissory notes to pay at a future date by the trade and industry. Thus on the one hand, the government
promissory notes became the basis for coins and currency rather than precious metals like gold and silver;
and on the other hand, the promissory notes of trade and industry became the source of credit instruments.
These credit instruments, particularly the safest among them such as government securities, in fact became
the medium of parking of liquid funds over a period of time. Thus apart from handling cash and currency and
bank funds, the liquid investment in government securities and mutual funds became another function of
treasury management.
Treasury function is a part of the total managerial functions. Managerial function set-up can be classified into
three broad units, viz. production function, marketing function and finance function. Production function pertains
to the building up of capacities and generation of output. Marketing function is concerned with the marketing
of the output through establishment of the sales and marketing network. In the finance function, the manager
is concerned with financing of inputs and outputs and management of funds during the entire production
cycle.
Availability of cash, currency and credit by the government, business and foreign sectors is a must for macro
Lesson 11
operations of the economy. In broader terms, all financial resources including forex are to be made available to
the micro-economic units, i.e. the companies. Similarly, the operations at the national level involve return flow of
funds, repayment of loans, taxes, fees etc. to the government, business and foreign sector.
The finance function comes into play when the company is incorporated. With capital restructuring, efforts are
made for arriving at least cost combinations of capital for financing of a project and forecasting for working
capital. In this function, one has to coordinate with the production and operations manager, sales or marketing
manager and they together constitute the marketing team. Apart from arranging the requisite funds for
commencing an activity, the finance function is also concerned with managing the day-to-day finances of the
company. Whereas arranging project funds and working capital finance is a one-time assignment, management
of funds on daily basis is a much more astute activity requiring forecasting skills and prioritization ability of a
high order.
The inflows and outflows of funds, their coordination and synchronization and making arrangements for meeting
any gap between them is only one end of the spectrum of finance function. The other end of the spectrum is the
management of the surpluses and maximization of returns from short term funds. These two ends of the spectrum
form the core of activities of the finance function. But the handling of each of the activities requires further
specialization. Arranging of long-term funds is the domain of the proper finance function but the management of
funds required in and arising from the day-to-day activities of the firm is the domain of the treasury function.
These two have to be viewed together and analysed for overall assessment of financial efficiency. So a finance
manager need not have a treasury function or a treasury manager need not be bothered with long term
arrangement of funds. The finance manager can be termed as an arranger of funds whereas the treasury
manager can be viewed as a manager of funds.
Treasury management has both macro and micro aspects. At the macro level, the inflows and outflows of cash,
credit and other financial instruments are the functions of the government and the business sectors. These
inflows are arranged by them as borrowing from the public. In these sectors, the ratio of savings to investments
is less than one, i.e. the savings are inadequate to fund the investments. Hence the need for borrowing. They
accordingly issue securities or promissory notes which are part of the financial system. These borrowings for
financial needs are met by surplus savings and funds of the household and the foreign sector, where the ratio of
savings to investments is positive. The micro units utilize these inflows and build up their capacities for production
of output. This leads to establishment of a production system which logically leads us to the natural consequence,
i.e. the establishment of distribution and consumption systems. Once the production, distribution and consumption
systems are in place at the micro level, the generation of surpluses at the units begins. These surpluses are
channeled back into the macro system as outflows from the micro system. The inflows are the taxes paid to the
government and repayment of loans made to the banks and financial institutions. These inflows into the macro
level have to be managed by the treasury managers at the macro level.
While arranging funds for the micro unit, the finance manger aims at optimizing the value of his assets or wealth
and minimizing the burden of his liabilities. He may seek to maximise his operational profits and seek to maximise
the wealth of stakeholders of the micro unit. The basic objectives are economy, efficiency and productivity of
assets. These objectives can not be achieved at the one end of the finance spectrum unless the management
of funds at the other end of the spectrum, i.e. the treasury segment is equally triggered by the dictums of
economy, efficiency and productivity.
376 PP-FT&FM
LESSON ROUND-UP
Treasury management is the science of managing treasury operations of a firm. Treasury in its literal
sense refers to treasure or valuables of the Government.
Macro level: It is the inflows and outflows of cash, credit and other financial instruments are the functions
of the government and the business sectors. These inflows are arranged by them as borrowing from
the public. In these sectors, the ratio of savings to investments is less than one, i.e. the savings are
inadequate to fund the investments.
At micro level, the finance manger aims at optimizing the value of his assets or wealth and minimizing
the burden of his liabilities. He may seek to maximise his operational profits and seek to maximise the
wealth of stakeholders of the micro unit.
The availability of funds in right quantity, Availability in right time, Deployment in right quantity,
Deployment in right time and Profiting from availability and deployment are the main objective of the
Treasury Management.
At unit level, treasury managers activities encompass all other management functions.
Treasury manager monitors the cash flows of the unit on a continual basis. It is ensured by him that
adequate funds are made available for day-to-day working of the unit. In case there is genuine shortfall
in cash flows, the outflows are made in an order of priority with the more urgent payments being made.
At domestic level or national level treasury management function is to channelise the savings of the
community into profitable investment avenues.
At the international level, the function of treasury management is concerned with management of
funds in the foreign currencies
Analytic and planning tools, Zero Based Budgeting and Financial Statement Analysis are the various
Tools of treasury management.
Internal treasury control is a process of self improvement which is concerned with all flows of funds,
cash and credit and all financial aspects of operations.
Environment for treasury management can be broadly classified as Legal environment, Regulatory
environment and Financial environment
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
(These are meant for re-capitulation only. Answers to these questions are not to be submitted for evaluation)
1. What do you understand by treasury management? What are its main objectives?
2. What is the significant of treasury management for the top management of a company?
3. Distinguish between treasury management and financial management.
4. Describe the various tools of treasury management.
5. Bring out the importance of control in the treasury function.
Lesson 11
378 PP-FT&FM
Lesson 12
Lesson 12
Forex Management
LESSON OUTLINE
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
LESSON ROUND UP
380 PP-FT&FM
INTRODUCTION
FOREX, an acronym for Foreign Exchange, is the largest financial market in the world. Every firm and individual
operating in international environment is concerned with foreign exchange i.e. the exchange of foreign currency
into domestic currency and vice-a-versa. Generally, the firms foreign operations earn income denominated in
some foreign currency; however, the shareholders expect payment in domestic currency and therefore, the firm
must convert the foreign currency into domestic currency. So, what is foreign exchange?
Exchange rate is the price of one countrys money in terms of other countrys money. When we say that exchange
rate of Indian rupee is 52.40 per US Dollar, we mean than 52.40 Indian Rupees are required to purchase one US
Dollar. When this exchange rate becomes 52.90 we say that the value of Indian Rupee has depreciated against
the US Dollar. On the other hand when the exchange rate becomes 52.10 we say that Indian Rupee has
appreciated against the US dollar. Assuming that there are no exogenous factors restricting the changes in
exchange rates, their movement can be traced to pure demand and supply. When Indian rupee depreciates
against the US Dollar, it indicates that demand for latter is more than its supply. Similarly when the supply of US
dollar is more than its demand, it declines in value against the Indian Rupee.
Currency of a country is used for transactions with foreigners. Each country in the world has its own currency.
Theoretically, a country should transact with all foreign entities on a one-to-one basis, i.e. for all imports from a
foreign country, a host country should pay in the currency of the former and for all exports, the host country
should be paid in its currency. But practically this is not possible because it involves keeping record of a multitude
of exchange rates and associated payment problems. Therefore, most of the countries choose a common
currency for trade amongst themselves. The U.S. dollar has emerged as the strongest international currency for
the past sixty years and as such is used as the payment medium for most of the world trade. In the European
Union the Euro has established itself as the common currency of about 25 countries.
It is clear that the currency of a country is evaluated against a common currency for external transactions. In
case of countries having dominant economic power, trade would be held in their currency. Hence a country is
required to trade in U.S. dollar or in other dominant currencies like Euro, Pound or the Japanese Yen. Account
of a countrys external trade is kept in the form of a Balance of payment account which is a double book entry
system. Receipts of foreign currencies are credited to this account while payments in foreign currency are
debited to this account. The balance in this account shows a positive or a negative figure depending upon
whether the receipts of foreign currency are more or less than the payments.
Other things being equal, the presumption is that a country having a deficit balance of payments position would
have a weakening national currency and vice versa. A deficit in the balance of payment account results in more
demand for foreign currencies. Hence their value vis--vis the domestic currency increases.
Lesson 12
The tools of forex management are akin to domestic currency management but the level of analytical skills
required for it is slightly higher because of the existence of spot, forwards and futures markets unlike the domestic
currency area. Operations in the forex market require quicker response time because of the greater volatility in
exchange rates.
382 PP-FT&FM
Indian subsidiary of a Multinational corporation imports white goods in completely knocked down (CKD)
from the Chinese affiliate. After reassembling these goods, the same are exported to Europe.
The World Bank disburses aid to an Indian State under an infrastructure development project.
The above illustrations show how individuals, companies and states transact in forex. When goods or services
are imported into a country, these are paid for in the currency of the country exporting these goods or services.
When an Indian traveler goes to a foreign country on a short visit, he needs foreign currency of that country for
meeting his expenses. When he stays in that country for a longer duration for employment purpose, he earns
foreign currency of that country. When an Indian firm exports goods to Europe, it is earning foreign exchange.
Thus when goods and services are sent abroad by India, foreign currencies are earned by them.
Forex management being involved in all the trade and non-trade transactions involving forex, it is essential to
have a broad idea of international banking and trading practices. Since the transactions are taking place among
counter parties from different countries, a standardized format of documentation is used to minimise errors.
Apart from the transaction value, forex management finds scope as a mode of investment. Because of the
frequent and often miniscule fluctuations in forex values, enough arbitrage and speculative opportunities crop
up in the forex market for astute investors. There are many expert forex dealers specializing in trading of forex.
Lesson 12
forex manager. The forex manager is a category apart from the finance manager or the treasury manager. He
deals in currency and money but not of one country. He has to transact with a number of counter parts both in
the domestic country and abroad. He is face to face with special kind of risk. Yet his vocation is full of opportunities
and challenges.
For effective management of forex transactions, the forex manager is expected to have the following skills:
(a) Awareness of historical development of world trade
The forex manager must have a fair idea of as to how the world trade has reached its present status. The shifting
power alliances, emergence and decline of economic superpowers, present political situations, trade patterns
etc. should be known. This knowledge base enables the manager to view the current situation in proper
perspective.
(b) Ability to forecast future trends
The forex manager must be in a position to derive an accurate forecast of the future trends in international trade
flows and exchange rate patterns. This forecast helps the manager to prepare his forex budget.
(c) Comparative Analysis skills
The forex manager should be able to carry out a comparative analysis of costs of domestic and imported raw
materials, price of local sales and export sales, shipping rates, insurance costs etc. in order to determine whether
it is expedient to produce locally or to outsource
(d) In-depth knowledge of forex market
The forex manager is expected to have in-depth knowledge of functioning of foreign exchange markets, their
rules and regulations, the size of their operation, the profile of active currencies, strength and weakness of the
domestic currency etc. in order to achieve better pricing of deals.
(e) Knowledge of interest rates
Since interest rates have a direct bearing upon exchange values, awareness about domestic and international
interest rates enables the forex manager to form an accurate opinion about the forward premia.
(f) Willingness to undertake risk
Armed with the knowledge and awareness about international financial and trade patterns, currency positions
and interest rates, the forex manager should have the ability to undertake reasonable level of risks with a view
to profit from forex exposures.
(g) Hedging strategies
The forex manager should be in a position to hedge his positions to the best extent possible. To achieve this, a
sense of timing is essential in the background of ever changing world of exchange values.
384 PP-FT&FM
The forex market is a wholesale market called the inter-bank market. Commercial banks are the market makers.
Corporations use the foreign exchange market for a variety of purposes relating to their operation like payment
for imports, conversion of export receipts, hedging of receivables and payables, payment of interest on foreign
currency loans, placement of surplus funds etc.
Forex market operates at three levels. At the first level are the currency dealers or money changers who provide
for encashment of travelers cheques and release of small amount of forex to travelers. The money changers
quote the buying and selling rates for various currencies. An illustration of the quote is given below.
Far larger than the money changer market is the spot foreign exchange market which is at the second level. This
market is involved with the exchange of currencies held in different currency denominated bank accounts. The
spot exchange rate, which is determined in the spot market, is the number of units of one currency per unit of
another currency, where both currencies are in the form of bank deposits. The deposits are transferred from
sellers to buyers accounts. Delivery or Value or actual transfer is spot or immediate. Usually it takes one
or two days. This distinguishes the spot market from the forward market. Spot exchange rates are determined
by the demand supply equations of the currencies being exchanged.
The inter-bank foreign exchange market is the largest financial market in the world. The phenomenal size of this
market can be put in perspective by noting, for example, that foreign exchange turnover exceeds that of all the
worlds stock markets combined. Indeed it takes over 2 months average trading on the New York Stock Exchange
to match 1 day of trading in forex.
The forex market is an informal arrangement of the larger commercial banks and a number of foreign exchange
brokers. The banks and brokers are linked by telephone, telex, computers and a satellite communications
network called the Society for Worldwide International Financial Telecommunications (SWIFT). Because of
speed of communications, significant events have virtually instantaneous impacts everywhere in the world.
The efficiency of the spot forex market is revealed in the extremely narrow spreads between buying and selling
prices. These spreads can be smaller than a tenth of a percent of the value of currency exchanged.
Lesson 12
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT
AUTHORIZED MONEY
CHANGERS
AUTHORIZED
DEALERS
RESTRICTED
FULL FLEDGED
386 PP-FT&FM
currently numbering over 70, are its members. It has its headquarters at Mumbai and local offices at Bangalore,
Calcutta, Chennai and New Delhi. The affairs of FEDAI are managed by a Managing Committee at the Head
Office and respective Local Committees at local offices. The Committees are represented equally by banks
incorporated in India and outside India. The principal functions of FEDAI are:
(a) To frame rules for the conduct of foreign exchange business in India. These rules cover various aspects
like hours of business, charges for foreign exchange transactions, quotation of rates to customers,
interbank dealings, etc. All authorized dealers have given undertakings to the Reserve Bank to abide by
these rules. Provisions of FEDAI rules have been considered at appropriate places in the relevant
chapters of this book.
(b) To coordinate with Reserve Bank of India in proper administration of exchange control.
(c) To circulate information likely to be of interest to its members. (Information of international trade received
from organizations like the International Chamber of Commerce is passed to the members. It also acts
as a clearing house for exchange of information among members.)
Thus, FEDAI provides a vital link in the administrative set-up of foreign exchange in India. It is the mouthpiece of
the authorized dealers, representing their views to the Reserve Bank and other international agencies.
Lesson 12
If speculating traders think the Japanese Yen is going to weaken in the near future due to poor economic data or
a change in interest rate policy, then they sell the yen on the foreign exchange market relative to another stronger
currency. The supply of yen will increase and cause the currency to depreciate. If many investors feel that a
particular currency will depreciate in the near future, their collective selling of that currency will move its price down.
Similarly, if speculators feel that a currency is going to appreciate in the near future then they will buy that currency
today and cause it to experience a higher demand which causes its price to go up. Investors help materialize their
predictions by acting in a herd mentality, and in some peoples eyes bring about a self fulfilling prophecy.
Different Currencies and their symbols
Country
Currency
Symbol
Australia
Dollar
A$
Canada
Dollar
Can $
Denmark
Krone
Dkr
EMU
Euro
Finland
Markka
FM
India
Rupee
Iran
Rial
RI
Japan
Yen
Kuwait
Dinar
KD
Mexico
Peso
Ps
Norway
Krone
NKr
Saudi Arabia
Riyal
SR
Singapore
Dollar
S$
South Africa
Rand
Sweden
Krona
Skr
Switzerland
Franc
SFr or CHF
United Kingdom
Pound
United States
Dollar
388 PP-FT&FM
respective banks computerized records systems and go on to the next transaction. Subsequently, written
confirmations will be sent containing all the details. On the day of settlement, bank A will turn over a US dollar
deposit to bank B and B will turn over a sterling deposit to A. The traders are out of the picture once the deal is
agreed upon and entered in the record systems. This enables them to do deals very rapidly. At the international
level inter-bank settlement is effected through the Clearing House Inter Bank Payment System (CHIPS), located
at New York.
When asked to quote a price between a pair of currencies, say pound sterling and dollar, a trader gives a twoway quote i.e. he quotes two prices: a price at which he will buy a sterling in exchange for dollars and a price at
which he will sell a sterling for dollars. In a normal two-way market, a trader expects to be hit on both sides of
his quote in roughly equal amounts. That is, in the pound-dollar case above, on a normal business day the
trader expects to buy and sell roughly equal amount of pounds (and of course dollars). The Banks margin would
then be the bid-ask spread.
But suppose during the course of trading a trader finds that he is being hit on one side of his quote much more
often than the other side. In our pound-dollar example this means that he is either buying many more pounds
vice versa. This leads to the trader building up a position. If he has sold (bought) more
pounds than he had bought (sold) he is said to have net short position (long position) in pounds. Given the
volatility of exchange rates, maintaining a short or long position for too long can be a risky proposition. For
instance, suppose that a trader has built up a net short position in pounds of 1,00,000. The pound suddenly
appreciates from say $1.7500 to $1.7520. This implies that the banks liability increases by $2000 ($0.0020 per
pound for 1 million pounds). Of course, a pound depreciation would have resulted in a gain. Similarly, a net long
position leads to a loss if it has to be covered at a lower price and a gain if at a higher price. (By covering a
position we mean undertaking transactions that will reduce the net position to zero. A trader net long in pounds
must sell pounds to cover; a net short must buy pounds).
t
The potential gain or loss from a position depends upon the size of the position and the variability of exchange
rates. Building and carrying such net positions for long durations would be equivalent to speculation and banks
exercise tight control over their traders to prevent such activity. This is done by prescribing the maximum size of
net positions a trader can building up during a trading day and how much can be carried overnight.
Lesson 12
390 PP-FT&FM
coming 6 months later, it introduces the risk that the amount of dollars they would receive for a certain
amount of euros today will not be the same in 6 months time. A company may want to limit, or hedge,
this exchange rate risk by immediately converting their euro into dollars, or by purchasing forward
contracts in the foreign exchange market. A forward contract is a contract to convert euros into dollars at
a future date at a set price.
In this way, the forward rate is a price quotation to deliver the currency in future. The exchange rate is
determined at the time of concluding the contract, but payment and delivery are not required till maturity.
Foreign exchange dealers and banks give the forward rate quotations for delivery in future according to
the requirements of their clients. Generally, the forward quotations are given for delivery in 30 days, 90
days, and 180 days, But, the quotations may be given up to 2 years. Sometimes, forward contracts with
maturities exceeding two years are also arranged by the dealers to meet specific requirements of their
clients. Quotations are normally given for major currencies, but dealers also provide forward quotations
for other currencies on the specific request of their clients.
The forward rate for a currency may be higher or lower than the spot rate. Forward rate may be higher
than the spot rate if the market participants expect the currency to appreciate vis--vis the other currency,
say US dollar. The currency, in such case is called trading at a forward premium. If the forward rate is
lower than the spot rate, the participants expect the currency to depreciate vis--vis the US dollar. The
currency in this case, is said to be trading at forward discount.
(e) Forward premium or discount is generally calculated as percentage per annum. This percentage
helps in making a comparative analysis of the interest rate differential between the two countries whose
currencies are quoted. The forward premium (or discount) is generally calculated by the following formula:
Forward premium (or discount) in percent per annum
100
Spot Rate
n
49.05 48.20
48.20
6
100
1
= 10.58% (discount)
If, on the other hand, the forward rate for the Rupee is 47.80/$, the forward premium on it will be
47.80 48.20
48.20
6
100
1
= 4.97% (premium)
Lesson 12
exchange markets in two countries. Controls, restrictions and other interventions which can affect adjustments
in exchange, and interest and inflation rates differential also influences the spot and forward rates.
Theoretically, in the (i) efficient market and (ii) absence of intervention or control in the exchange or financial
markets, the forward rate is an accurate predictor of the future spot rate. These requirements are, generally,
satisfied if the following three conditions are found:
(i) Interest Rate Parity: According to interest rate parity principle, the forward premium (or discount) on
currency of a country vis--vis the currency of another country will be exactly offset by the interest rate
differential between the countries. The currency of the country with lower interest rate is quoted at a
forward premium and vice-versa.
(ii) Purchasing Power Parity (PPP): According to the PPP Principle, the currency of a country will depreciate
vis--vis the currency of another country on the basis of differential in the rates of inflation between
them. The rate of depreciation in the currency of a country would roughly be equal to the excess inflation
rate in the country over the other country.
(iii) International Fisher Effect: The interest rare differential between two countries, according to the Fisher
effect, will reflect differences in the inflation rates in them. The high interest country will experience
higher inflation rate.
It should, however, be noted that even if these conditions are satisfied, the future spot rate might not be identical
to the forward rate. Random differences between the two rates may be found.
(Fisher effect)
Differences in
expected inflation
rates
Differences between
forward and spot rates
Therefore equals
(Expectations theory)
Expected changes
in spot rates
392 PP-FT&FM
Exchange rate movements overtime are influenced by various factors not only those mentioned above but also
by market imperfections arising out of official intervention in markets, exchange control restrictions, customs
barriers, etc.
1/(` /$)ask
($/` )ask
1/(` /$)bid
The ask on the rupee being the bid on the dollar and vice-versa.
Problem :
A bank in Canada displays the following spot quotation.
C$/$ : 1.3690/1.4200
At the same time a bank in New York quotes
$/C$ : 0.7100/0.7234
(a) Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
(b) If the Canadian bank lowers its ask rate to 1.3742, Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
(c) If you buy one million U.S. $ from Canada and sell them in U.S.A after the Canadian lowers its ask rate.
What is the riskless profit you will make?
Solution:
(a) If we buy U.S. dollars from Canada we will pay C$ 1.4200 per U.S. dollar. This can be sold in U.S.A for
1.4085 only there by leaving us with a loss. Hence there is no arbitrage opportunity.
$/C$
0.7100/0.7234
Lesson 12
C$/$
[1/($/C)ask]/[1/($/C$)bid]
[1/0.7234]/[1/0.7100]
1.3824/1.4085
(b) If the Canadian bank lowers its ask rate to 1.3742 we can buy U.S. $ from Canada for C$ 1.3742 and
sell them in U.S.A for C$ 1.4085 per U.S. dollar. Thus making an arbitrage profit of 0.0343 Canadian
dollars on every U.S. dollar.
(c) 10,00,000
1.3732
14,08,500
10,00,000
1.4085
-13,73,200
35,300
Thus if one million U.S. dollars are bought from Canada and sold in America after the Canadian bank lowers its
ask rate, the riskless profit that can be made is C$ 35,300.
(Z/Y)ask
(Z/Y)bid
Problem :
A bank in Wales is currently offering the following quotes:
FFr/
7.9970/7.9990
HK$/
11.9071/11.9091
0.6750/0.6770
394 PP-FT&FM
FFr [(1/7.9990) (11.9071) (0.6750)] = FFr 1.0048
There is an arbitrage opportunity.
A riskless profit of FFr 1.0048 per French Franc.
Note: Problems given above are not real life situations, these type of arbitrage opportunities seldom appear in
the market. Even if it does it will only be for a few moments and efficient traders are bound to take advantage of
this situation.
Negative interest rate differential> forward premia, therefore, there is a possibility of arbitrage inflow in India.
Suppose, investment = $1000 by taking a loan @ 8% in US. Invest in India at spot rate of ` 42.0010 @ 12 % for
six months and cover the principal + interest in the six month forward rate. Principal= $ 1000 = ` 42001.
Interest on investment for six months = ` 42,001 * 12/ 100* 6/12
= ` 2520.06
Amount at the end of six months = Interest + Principal
= ` 42001+ 2520.06
Lesson 12
= ` 44,521.06
Converting the above in dollars at the forward rate = $ 44,521.06 / 42.8020
= $ 1,040.16
The arbitrageur will have to pay at the end of six months = $1,000+ ($1000* 8/100 *6 /12)
Hence, the arbitrageur gains ($1040.16 -$1040) = $ 0.16 on borrowing $1000 for six months.
Problem : If,
Spot rate: ` 44.0030 = $ 1
6 month forward rate: ` 45.0010 = $ 1
Annualised interest rate on:
6 month rupee: 12 %
6 month dollar: 8%
Calculate the arbitrage possibilities.
Solution:
The rule is that if the interest rate differential is greater than the premium or discount, place the money in the
currency that has a higher rate if interest or vice versa.
Given the above data:
Negative interest rate differential= (12-8)= 4%
Forward premia (annualised) =
396 PP-FT&FM
depreciates against the US Dollar, it indicates that demand for latter is more than its supply. Similarly when the
supply of US dollar is more than its demand, it declines in value against the Indian Rupee.
Currency of a country is used for transactions with foreigners. Each country in the world has its own currency.
Theoretically, a country should transact with all foreign entities on a one-to-one basis, i.e. for all imports from a
foreign country, a host country should pay in the currency of the former and for all exports, the host country
should be paid in its currency. But practically this is not possible because it involves keeping record of a multitude
of exchange rates and associated payment problems. Therefore, most of the countries chose a common currency
for trade amongst themselves. The U.S. dollar has emerged as the strongest international currency for the past
sixty years and as such is used as the payment medium for most of the world trade. In the European Union the
Euro has established itself as the common currency of about 25 countries.
It is clear that the currency of a country is evaluated against a common currency for external transactions. In
case of countries having dominant economic power, trade would be held in their currency. Hence a country is
required to trade in U.S. dollar or in other dominant currencies like Euro, Pound or the Japanese Yen. Account
of a countrys external trade is kept in the form of a Balance of payment account which is a double book entry
system. Receipts of foreign currencies are credited to this account while payments in foreign currency are
debited to this account. The balance in this account shows a positive or a negative figure depending upon
whether the receipts of foreign currency are more or less than the payments.
Other things being equal, the presumption is that a country having a deficit balance of payments position would
have a weakening national currency and vice versa. A deficit in the balance of payment account results in more
demand for foreign currencies. Hence their value vis--vis the domestic currency increases.
1. Fundamental Factors
The fundamental factors include all such events that affect the basic economic and fiscal policies of the concerned
government. These factors normally affect the long-term exchange rates of any currency. On short-term basis
on many occasions, these factors are found to be rather inactive unless the market attention has turned to
fundaments. However, in the long run exchange rates of all the currencies are linked to fundamental causes.
The fundamental factors are basic economic policies followed by the government in relation to inflation, balance
of payment position, unemployment, capacity utilization, trends in import and export, etc. Normally, other things
remaining constant the currencies of the countries that follow sound economic policies will always be stronger.
Similarly for the countries which are having balance of payments surplus, the exchange rate will always be
favorable. Conversely, for countries facing balance of payment deficit, the exchange rate will be adverse.
Continuous and ever growing deficit in balance of payment indicates over valuation of the currency concerned
and the dis-equilibrium created can be remedied through devaluation.
3. Technical Factors
The various technical factors that affect exchange rates can be mentioned as under:
Lesson 12
(a) Capital Movement: The phenomenon of capital movement affecting the exchange rate has a very
recent origin. Huge surpluses of petroleum exporting countries due to sudden spurt in the oil prices
could not be utilised by these countries for home consumption entirely and needed to be invested
elsewhere productively. Movement of these petro dollars, started affecting the exchange rates of various
currencies. Capital tended to move from lower yielding to higher yielding currencies and as a result the
exchange rates moved.
(b) Relative Inflation Rates: It was generally believed until recently that one prima-facie direction for
exchange rates to move was in the direction adjusted to compensate the relative inflation rates. For
instance, if a currency is already overvalued, i.e., stronger than what is warranted by relative inflation
rates, depreciation sufficient enough to correct that position can be expected and vice versa. It is necessary
to note that exchange rate is a relative price and hence the market weighs all the relevant factors in a
relative term, (in relation to the counterpart countries). The underlying reasoning behind this conviction
was that a relatively high rate of inflation reduces a countrys competitiveness in international markets
and weakens its ability to sell in foreign markets. This will weaken the expected demand for foreign
currency (increase in supply of domestic currency and decrease in supply of foreign currency). But
during 1981-85 period exchange rates of major currencies did not confirm the direction of relative inflation
rates. The rise of the dollar persistently for such a long period discredited this principle.
(c) Exchange rate policy and intervention: Exchange rates are also influenced in no small measure by
expectation of changes in regulation relating to exchange markets and official intervention. Official
intervention can smoothen an otherwise disorderly market but it is also the experience that if the authorities
attempt half-heartedly to counter the market sentiments through intervention in the market, ultimately
more steep and sudden exchange rate swings can occur. In the second quarter of 1985 the movement
of exchange rates of major currencies reflected the change in the US policy in favour of co-ordinated
exchange market intervention as a measure to bring down the value of the dollar.
(d) Interest rates: An important factor for movements in exchange rates in recent years has been difference
in interest rates; i.e. interest differential between major countries. In this respect the growing integration
of the financial markets of major countries, the revolution in telecommunication facilities, the growth of
specialized asset managing agencies, the deregulation of financial markets by major countries, the
emergence of foreign exchange trading etc. having accelerated the potential for exchange rates volatility.
4. Speculation
Speculation or the anticipation of the market participants many a times is the prime reason for exchange rate
movements. The total foreign exchange turnover worldwide is many a times the actual goods and services
related turnover indicating the grip of speculators over the market. Those speculators anticipate the events even
before the actual data is out and position themselves accordingly to take advantage when the actual data
confirms the anticipations. The initial positioning and final
profit taking make exchange rates volatile. These speculators many a times concentrate only on one factor
affecting the exchange rate and as a result the market psychology tends to concentrate only on that factor
neglecting all other factors that have equal bearing on the exchange rate movement. Under these circumstances
even when all other factors may indicate negative impact on the exchange rate of the currency if the one factor
that the market is concentrating comes out positive the currency strengthens.
5. Others
The turnover of the market is not entirely trade related and hence the funds placed at the disposal of foreign
exchange dealers by various banks, the amounts which the dealers can raise in various ways, banks attitude
towards keeping open position during the course of a day, at the end of the day, on the eve of weekends and
holidays, window dressing operations as at the end of the half year or year, end of the month considerations to
398 PP-FT&FM
cover operations for the returns that the banks have to submit the central monetary authorities etc. all affect
the exchange rate movement of the currencies.
% Spread =
For example, if the ask price of $/ is $1.6646 and the bid price is $1.6629, then the % spread may be ascertain
as follows :
% Spread =
16646
.
16629
.
100
16646
.
= 0.1%
1
Direct Quote
Lesson 12
There are two major ways of offering exchange rate quotes. These are called the direct quote and indirect
quote.
Cross Rates
If X, Y and Z are three different currencies and quotes are given in terms of:
X/Y
Z/Y
Then the computation of X/Z is given by:
X/Y
Z/Y
Thus attaining
X/Z
Thus the X/Z rate derived from the Y/X and Y/Z is called the Cross rate.
Problem :
Consider the following quotes:
$/SFr
0.7935
C$/SFr
1.0866
Then $0.7935 =
Finally $/C$
= C$ 1.0866
C$ 1.0866
= 0.7303
In international transactions, both the direct quote and indirect quote are used. For example, if the direct quote
of Euro in U.S. is Euro/$ = Euro 1.037 and American importer has to pay Euro 1,000 to a German Firm, then how
many $ will be required by the American importer ? In this, case, the quote for $/Euro may be obtained as the
inverse of Euro/$ i.e., 1/1.037 = 0.9643. So, he will require $0.9643 x 1,000 = $964.32 to pay for the German
firm.
In an ordinary foreign exchange transaction, no fees are charged. The bid-ask spread itself is the transaction
cost. Also, unlike the money or capital markets, where different rates of interest are charged to different borrowers
depending on their creditworthiness, in the wholesale foreign exchange market no much distinction is made.
Default risk the possibility that the counter party in a transaction may not deliver on its side of the deal is
handled by prescribing limits on the size of positions a trader can take with different corporate customers.
400 PP-FT&FM
upward pressure on the home currency. In the former case, the home currency tends to depreciate, and
in the latter to appreciate, against foreign currencies.
(b) Demand and supply: The demand for a foreign currency to pay for imports, etc. and the supply of a
foreign currency by way of receipts on account of exports, etc. vary at various rates of exchange. The
rate which equilibrates the demand and supply should be the rate of exchange. Imagine a New York
City firm exports its products to a German company. The business transaction will be settled in dollars
so the American firm obtains revenue in its own currency and can pay its employees salaries in dollars.
To facilitate the transaction, the German firm needs to convert some of its capital from euros to dollars
on the foreign exchange market. The supply of euros increases leading to an appreciation of the dollar
and depreciation of the euro. It can also be said that the German firm increases the demand for dollars,
again causing the dollar to appreciate in comparison to the euro. This transaction would have to be for
a very large contract in order for the exchange rate to actually move a pip up or down.
(c) Purchasing power parity: This theory maintains that free international trade equalises prices of tradable
goods in different countries. So, a product will sell for the same price in common currency in all countries.
Different rates of changes in prices i.e. different inflation rates must eventually induce off-setting changes
in exchange rates in order to restore approximate price equality. Mathematically, the rate (or the expected
rate) of change of the exchange rate should equal the rate (or the expected rate) of change of the
inflation rate. Evidence shows that there do exist disparities between changes in observed exchange
rates and those in inflation rates in the short-run. But, the theory should hold in the long-run.
(d) Interest rate: Interest rates are often highly related with inflation rates, and interest rate differentials
between countries may be the result of inflation rate differentials. Therefore, interest rate differentials
are also used as an important determinant of exchange rates.
Interest rates in a country are determined, under free market conditions, by supply of and demand for
money. Funds flow across countries in search of opportunities for higher returns. These flows between
any two countries cause opposite changes in demand of and supply for their respective currencies.
According to the theory of International Fisher Effect, the exchange rate of a currency with higher interest
rate will depreciate to offset the interest rate advantage achieved by foreign investments till an equilibrium
is achieved.
(e) Relative income levels: If income level in a country rises and that in her trading partner remains
unchanged, the demand by the former for the goods of the latter may increase. That is, the former would
need more units of currency of the latter, while their supply remains unchanged. This would put upward
pressure on the exchange rate of the latter. There can be different configurations of the relative income
levels and of corresponding exchange rates.
(f) Market expectations: Like other financial markets, foreign exchange markets react to any news that
may have an effect on exchange rates in future. Expected developments regarding polity, economy etc.
of a country is used to figure out how exchange rates would move. These peeps into the future impinge
on the present as well as the future spot rates.
Lesson 12
difference between a Forward contract and the Futures contract is that the Forward contract is an over-thecounter (OTC) product. The main advantages of Currency Futures over Forwards are price transparency,
elimination of counter-party credit risk and greater accessibility for all.
The Futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell the underlying Currency, on a specified date in the future,
and at a specified price. The underlying asset for a Currency Futures contract is a Currency. The Exchanges
clearing house acts as a central counter-party for all trades and thus provides a performance guarantee.
Currency Futures can be bought and sold on the Currency Exchanges through members of the Exchange.
MCX-SX, NSE and USE all offer Currency Futures in India. Before trading, the investor/trader/speculator needs
to open a trading account and deposit the stipulated cash and/or collaterals with the trading member. The
average daily turnover in global Forex and related markets is trillions of US Dollars
How do Exchange Traded Currency Futures enable hedging against Currency risk?
On a Currency exchange platform you can buy or sell Currency Futures. If you are an importer, you can buy
Futures to lock in a price for your purchases at a future date. You thus avoid exchange rate risk. If you are an
exporter, you sell Currency Futures on an exchange platform and lock in a sale price at a future date.
402 PP-FT&FM
Exchanges stand in as the counter-party for each transaction. Therefore, participants do not need to
worry about defaults.
In the event of a default, Exchanges will step in and fulfil the obligations of the defaulting party, and
then proceed to recover dues and penalties from them.
Those who enter the market either by buying (long) or selling (short) a Futures contract can close their
contract obligations by squaring-off their positions at any time during the life of that contract by taking an
opposite position in the same contract.
Participants have to open a trading account and deposit stipulated cash and/or collaterals with the
trading member.
A long (buy) position holder has to short (sell) the contract to square-off their position and vice
versa.
Participants will be relieved of their contract obligations to the extent they square-off their positions.
All contracts that remain open at expiry are settled in INR in cash at the reference rate specified by the
Reserve Bank of India.
Lesson 12
Call Premium
Put Premium
Exchange Rate
Strike Price
Time to maturity
Call & Put options become more valuable as time to maturity increases, it is because of
Risk as the time increases.
Volatility
As volatility increases there is high degree of uncertainty about the rate of the currency
and hence on the option. The owner of the call benefits from the rate increase and that
of the put benefits from the rate decreases.
404 PP-FT&FM
2. Neither the forward rate is successful in forecasting the exchange rate nor are other fundamental variables
3. Given the various market imperfections in the real world, hedging exchange rate risk can lead to an
increase in the value of the firm
Transaction Exposure
A transaction exposure occurs when a value of a future transaction, through known with certainty, is denominated
in some currency other than the domestic currency. In such cases, the monetary value is fixed in terms of foreign
currency at the time of agreement which is completed at a later date.
For example, an Indian exporter is to receive payment in Euros in 90 days time for an export made today. His
receipt in Euros is fixed and certain but as far as the Re. value is concerned, it is uncertain and will depend upon
the exchange rate prevailing at the time of receipt. All fixed money value transactions such as receivables,
payables, fixed price sale and purchase contracts etc. are subject to transaction exposure. The transaction
exposure looks at the effects of fluctuations in exchange rates on the transactions that have already been
entered into and have been denominated in foreign currency.
Transaction exposure refers to the potential change in the value of a foreign currency denominated transaction
due to changes in the exchange rate. Credit purchases and sales as well as borrowing and lending denominated
in foreign currencies, and uncovered forward contracts are some examples of transaction exposure.
Transaction exposure basically covers the following:
(a) Rate Risk: this will occur
(i) When there is mismatch of maturities and borrowings:
(ii) In foreign exchange, it results in net exchange positions (long or short).
(b) Credit Risk: A situation when the borrower is not in a position to pay.
(c) Liquidity Risk: Same as in the case of credit risk.
To illustrate, suppose an Indian company, XX India Ltd., contract with a US company, YY US Inc., to sell 1000
sets of machines for delivery one year from now. XX India Ltd. wants to realize ` 2000 million from this sale. The
US company has indicated that it will enter into the contract if the price is stated in US$. The one-year forward
rate is ` 49/$1. Hence XX India Ltd. quotes a price of $41 million. The Indian company faces transaction
exposure. If, for example, the value of rupee increases to ` 47/$1, the Indian company would receive ` 1,927
million ($41 million x ` 47) rather than ` 2000 million which it was expecting. Foreign currency depreciation will
result in exchange loss if the exposed receipts are greater than the payments. Foreign currency appreciation, on
the other hand, will cause exchange loss if exposed receipts are smaller than exposed payments. The company
may hedge its position or take some other action to guarantee its future rupee proceeds from sale. The company
may, otherwise lose on the transaction if the value of the dollar weakens. The concept of hedging can be
understood with the help of following problem.
Problem : Ankush Ltd. has a plan to raise an amount of ` 50 crore for a period of 3 months, 6 months from now.
The current rate of interest is 9% but it may rise in 6 months time. The company wants to hedge itself against the
Lesson 12
increase in interest rate. Bank of India has quoted a forward rate agreement (FRA) at 9.1% per annum. Find out
the effect of FRA and actual interest cost to Ankush Ltd., if the actual rate after 6 months happens to be 9.5% or
8.5%.
Solution: If actual rate is 9.5%.
In this case, the bank, shall pay a differential of 0.4% (9.5%-9.1%). The cash flow is
Cash Flow = 50 Crores x 0.4% x 0.25 = ` 5,00,000
This amount is paid up front to Ankush Ltd., which can invest it @9.5% for 3 months period at 6 months from
now. Total accumulation is
Total amount = ` 5,00,000 x (1.095/4)= ` 5,11,875
At the end of the borrowing period Ankush Ltd. will pay interest @9.5% on ` 50 Crores
Interest = ` 50 Crores x 0.095 x .25 = ` 1,18,75,000
Net Cost to XYZ = ` 1,18,75,000 ` 5,11,875 = ` 1,13,63,125
This is 9.1% of the total borrowing for a period of 3 months. So, by entering into Forward Rate Agreement (FRA),
Ankush Ltd. has restricted its cost at 9.1% p.a.
If actual rate is 8.5%
If the rate is 8.5%. Ankush Ltd. will be required to pay up front 0.6% to the bank i.e. the amount of ` 7,50,000. On
the due date, interest on ` 50 Crores is payable @8.5% i.e. ` 1,06,25,000. The total cost to Ankush Ltd. is `
1,13,75,000 which is 9.1% of total funds.
It may be noted that the amount of ` 7,50,000 is to be borrowed at 8.5% p.a. for a period of 3 months. This will
be paid to the bank. The borrowing of ` 7,50,000 will be repaid as ` 7,65,938 after 3 months inclusive of interest.
Problem : Silver Oak Ltd., an Indian company, is mainly engaged in international trade with US and UK. It is
currently 1st January. It will have to make a payment of $7,29,794 in the coming six months time. The company
is presently considering the various alternatives in order to hedge its transactional exposure through its London
office. The following information is available :
Exchange Rates :
$/ Spot rate : 1.5617 - 1.5773
6-month $ forward rate : 1.5455 - 1.5609
Money Market Rates:
Borrow
Deposit
(%)
(%)
US Dollar
4.5
Sterling
5.5
Foreign currency option prices (Cents per for contract size 12,500) :
Exercise Price
3.7
9.6
$1.70/
Suggest which of the following hedging option is the most suitable for Silver Oak Ltd. :
(i) Forward exchange contract
406 PP-FT&FM
(ii) Money market
(iii) Currency option
Solution:
(i) Using Forward Exchange Contract
$ 729794/1.5455 = 472206
(ii) Using Money Market
Silver Oak Ltd. must make a deposit now
Six months dollar deposit rate : 4.5/2 = 2.25%
Z X 1.0225 = $ 729794
Z = $ 729794/1.0225
= $ 7,13,735
Hence amount required to be deposited @ 4.5% = $ 713735
Cost of buying $ 713735 at current spot rate is 713735/1.5617 = 457024
Six months sterling borrowing rate = 7/2 = 3.5%
Interest for six months on 457024 = ( 457024 X 0.035) = 15996
Total Cost = 457024 + 15996 = 473020
(iii) Using Currency option
Each contract will deliver = 1.7 x 12500 = $ 21250
No. of put option contract required = 729794/21250 = 34.34 or 34
Cost of total contracts = 0.096 x 12500 x 34 = $ 40800
Sterling cost of option = 40800/1.5617 = 26,125
Sterling required = 34 x 12500 = 425000 to buy $ 722500 @ $ 1.70
Shortfall = 729794 722500 = 7294
Cost of sterling using forward rate = 7294/1.5455 = 4720
Total cost using option = 26125+425000+4720 = 455845
Therefore currency options are the cheapest mode of hedging transaction exposure.
Translation Exposure
This is also called the accounting exposure. It refers to and deals with the probability that the firm may suffer a
decrease in assets value due to devaluation of a foreign currency even if no foreign exchange transaction has
occurred during the year. This exposure needs to be measured so that the financial statements i.e the balance
sheet and the income statement reflect the change in value of assets and liabilities. It may be noted that the
assets and liabilities are considered exposed to foreign exchange risk if their values are to be translated into
parent company currency using the exchange rate effective on the balance sheet date. Other assets and liabilities
and the capital that are translated at the historical exchange rates i.e., the rate in effect when these items were
first recognized in the balance sheet, are not considered to be exposed.
The translation exposure occurs when the firms foreign balances are expressed in terms of the domestic
Lesson 12
currency. Changes in exchange rates can therefore, alter the values of assets, liabilities, expenses and profits of
foreign subsidiaries. Two related decision areas are involved in translation exposure management:
(i) Managing balance sheet items to minimize the net exposure,
(ii) Deciding how to hedge against this exposure
Financial managers should attempt to keep a rough balance between exposed assets and liabilities. Such a
balance would bring about offsetting changes in values when the balance sheet of a foreign subsidiary is translated.
If the value of the currency declines relative to the currency of the home country, then the translated value will be
lower and simultaneously the translated liabilities would also be lower. An asset denominated in terms of foreign
currency will lose value if that foreign currency declines in value. A firm would normally be interested in its net
exposed position for each period in each currency. Although, expected changes in exchange rates can often be
included in the cost benefit analysis relating to such transactions, still there is an unexpected component in
exchange rate changes.
This exposure is particularly relevant for the companies which have subsidiaries in other countries. These
companies have to translate the financial statements of their subsidiaries that are prepared in a foreign currency
into the currency of the home country to prepare the consolidated statements. Foreign currency depreciation
results in exchange losses if the exposed assets are greater than exposed liabilities. Foreign currency appreciation,
on the other hand, will produce exchange gains.
The calculation of translation gains and losses is an exercise on paper only. These gains and losses do not
involve any actual cash flow. Some companies, however, are concerned about this risk because it affects their
cost of capital, earnings per share, and the stock price, besides the ability to raise capital in the market.
To illustrate the translation risk, assume that XYZ (India) Ltd., has a wholly owned subsidiary, YZ Inc. in USA.
The exposed assets of the subsidiary are $200 million and its exposed liabilities are $100 million. The exchange
rate changes from $0.020 per rupee to $0.021 per rupee. The potential foreign exchange gain or loss to the
company will be calculated as follows:
In this case, the net exposure is
Exposed assets
$200 million
Exposed liabilities
$100 million
Net exposure
$100 million
` 2.400 million
` 2.500 million
` 0.100 million
If the post-devaluation rate is less than the pre-devaluation rate ($0.20 = Re. 1), the net result will be potential
exchange loss. In this case, an unrealized translation loss of ` 0.100 million would have been incurred. In the
example given above, the transactions are fairly straightforward. But, when different types of assets and liabilities
are involved, conceptual problems emerge about the true home-currency value of these items. Four different
methods are used to translate assets and liabilities of the subsidiary into the currency of the parent company,
namely, current/ non-current method, monetary/non-monetary method, temporal method, and current-rate method.
Economic Exposure
The economic exposure refers to the probability that the change in foreign exchange rate will affect the value of the
firm. Since the intrinsic value of the firm is equal to the sum of the present values of future cash flows discounted
at an appropriate rate of return, the risk contained in economic exposure requires a determination of the effect of
changes in exchange rates on each of the expected future cash flows. The firms economic exposure may be
408 PP-FT&FM
greater or lesser than its translation exposure since the present value of future cash flows can neither be increased
nor decreased by a revaluation of the currency. The measurement of economic exposure requires that a detailed
analysis of the effects of exchange rates changes on each of the future cash flows should be made.
Economic, operating, competitive, or revenue exposure refers to the immediate and potential effect of change in
the exchange rate on the net present value (NPV) of expected future cash flows generated by the affiliates. The
favourable factors in a country like stability, low rates of taxation, easy availability of funds, and favourable
balance of payment may change over time because of variations in the economic condition of a country. The
local currency may also be devalued or depreciated as a result of changes in the economic forces. The inflationary
forces, supply of funds, and price controls may also be affected as a result of change in exchange rates. In fact,
the economic exposure encompasses all facets of a companys operations including the effects of exchange
rate changes on customers, suppliers, and competitors. The economic exposure is more subjective, difficult to
measure, and broader in nature than the translation and the transaction exposures. In fact, the translation and
the transaction losses are one-time events, whereas the economic loss is a continuous one. For example,
assume that the Danish subsidiary of an Indian company is likely to earn 100 million Kroner each year. The
annual depreciation charges are estimated at 10 million Kroner. The exchange rate between the countries is
likely to change from ` 9.60 per Danish Kroner to ` 8.00 per Kroner in the next year. The change in the
exchange rate will have the following effect on the cash flows of the parent company:
Profit after taxes
Depreciation
10 million Kroner
` 1056 million
` 880 million
Exchange loss
` 176 million
Thus, the Indian company loses ` 176 million in cash flows over the next one year. If the anticipated business
activity would be same for the next five years, the next cash flows would decrease by ` 880 million.
The actual impact of economic exposure on the value of the company depends on the distribution of sales
between the domestic and export markets, elasticity of demand for the product in each market, and the cost
structure of the affiliate.
The major differences among the exposures are given below:
Differences among Translation, Transaction and Economic Exposures
Bases
EconomicExposure
Transaction Exposure
Translation Exposure
Duration
Gains/
Losses
Contract
General in nature
Specific in nature
Specific in nature
Measurement
in actual spot
rates
Lesson 12
Hedging
Relatively easy
Easy
Value
Extent of
exposure
Management
of exposure
All departments
Treasury department
Treasury department
Thus, the translation exposure is historic in nature. It is basically static. It does not consider the likely change in
an exchange rate. Moreover, no cash flow is involved in this exposure. The transaction and economic exposures,
on the other hand, consider the impact of an exchange rate change in future.
It may be noted that the firms are exposed to exchange rate changes at every stage in the process of capital
budgeting, from developing new products to entering into contracts to sell these products in foreign market. For
example, a weakening of the Re. will increase the competition among firms that depend upon the export markets,
while hurting those firms that need import as inputs in their production process.
The transaction exposure can result in exchange rate related losses and gains that are already realized and
have an impact on the reported income. However, the translation exposure results in exchange rate losses and
gains that are reflected in the firms accounting record and are not realized and hence have no impact on the
taxable income. Thus, if the financial market are efficient and the managerial goal is consistent with the wealth
maximization, then the firm should not have to waste efforts and real resources hedging against the book value
losses caused by translation exposure. However, if the financial market is not efficient, then the firm should find
it economical and go for hedge against expected translation exposure. But it is useful for a firm to manage its
transaction and economic exposures because they affect the value of the firm directly.
410 PP-FT&FM
purposes, currencies of the A.C.U. parties undertaking such transactions may also keep in view the availability
of forward cover in the currency chosen.
(b) Transfer Pricing: It is a mechanism by which profits are transferred through an adjustment of prices on intrafirm transactions. It can be applied to transactions between the parent firm and its subsidiaries or between
strong currency and weak currency subsidiaries. Subject to the demands of competition, a parent may charge
higher prices to its weak currency subsidiary, thereby increasing its own profit and reducing that of the subsidiary.
The taxable income of the subsidiary comes down. Recovering higher level of operating charges from the
subsidiaries also serves the same purpose. It is likely that audit profession, exchange controls and customs
duties of the host country may supervene to negate this strategy. So, the mechanism may be applied moderately
gradually over a long period, without upsetting the environment in which the subsidiaries operate.
(c) Leading and Lagging and extension of Trade Credit: Leading implies speeding up collections on receivables
if the foreign currency in which they are invoiced is expected to appreciate. Lagging implies delaying payments
of payables invoiced in a foreign currency that is expected to depreciate. At the level of an individual transaction
this is a specific protection measure; but at the corporate level this requires forecasting of currency movements,
centralisation of information on transactions, and evolving guidelines for subsidiaries. Hence, it has been located
here as a general protection measure.
Leading and lagging is primarily an intra-firm measure, because in third party trade there is a clear conflict of
interest between buyer and seller. It involve both costs and benefits. There are three elements in this calculation:
(i) cash cost/benefit represented by the interest rate differential between the lead and lag countries; (ii) an
expected cash gain/loss to be realised on the altered transactional exposure in the said countries, and (iii) an
expected translation gain/loss on the altered translation exposure. The corporate policy should take them into
account and also consider effective tax rates in the two countries as also the currency of intra-firm invoicing.
Duration of a trade credit should be decided keeping in view much the same factors discussed above.
Problem: An Indian importer has to settle an import bill for $1,30,000. The exporter has given the Indian exporter
two options :
(i) Pay immediately without any interest charges.
(ii) Pay after three months with interest @ 5% per annum.
The importers bank charges 15% per annum on overdrafts. The exchange rates in the market are as follows :
Spot rate (` /$)
48.35/48.36
:
48.81/48.83
= ` 62,86,800
` 2,35,755
Total : ` 65,22,555
$ 1,30,000
$ 1,625
$ 1,31,625
Lesson 12
Forward ` /$ rate ($ 1,31,625 x ` 48.83) =
` 64,27,249
RSE
(FV RV)2
RV
Where RSE is the root square error as a percentage of realized value; FV is the forecasted value and RV is the
realized value.
Fixed exchange rate forecasts are based on the study of government decision-making structure. Attempt is
made to determine the pressure to devalue the currency of the nation and the ability of the government to
sustain the disequlibrium.
412 PP-FT&FM
Forecasting fixed exchange rates requires an assessment of balance-of-payments disequilibrium on the basis
of key economic variables such as inflation, money supply, international reserves, gap between official and
market rates, and the balance of foreign trade. The change in the exchange rate required to restore the balance
of payment equilibrium is estimated with the help of forward exchange rates, free market rates and the purchasing
power parity principle. The capacity of the country to resist or postpone the use of corrective measures is
evaluated on the basis of the ability to borrow hard currencies and the availability of international reserves.
Attempt is also made to project the policies which may be followed by the Government to correct the position of
the nation.
Thus, exchange rates are forecasted to make various decisions by the companies which require foreign exchange.
These forecasts are made separately for the fixed and floating exchange rates with the help of different methods.
Percentage change between forecasted and current exchange rates may be calculated to find out appreciation
or depreciation in the currency.
PEGGING OF CURRENCY
Pegging of currency refers to a method of stabilizing a countrys currency by fixing its exchange rate to that of
another country
Different countries follow different methods for pegging of their currencies. The foreign exchange value is established
according to the practice being followed by a country. If the country follows a fixed rate of parity between its currency
and a foreign currency, then the changes in parity value of that currency shall determine changes in the value of
domestic currency vis-a-vis other foreign currencies. Thus, in that situation, performance of the domestic economy is
not reflected in the valuation of its currency. This is one extreme side of absolute rigidity in fixation of exchange rate.
The other extreme is allowing the exchange value of the national currency to float independently according to market
forces without any intervention from the Central Bank. In between these two extremes, there are many intermediate
arrangements for determination of exchange values. These arrangements are being listed below:
(a) Domestic currency pegged to one foreign currency
Under this arrangement, the exchange rate of one currency is pegged to a dominant foreign currency, usually
the U.S. dollar. For example the Argentine Peso was till recently pegged to the US dollar in the ratio of 1:1.
(b) A currency pegged to a basket of currencies
The currency of a country may be pegged to a basket of currencies. The basket is generally formed by the
Lesson 12
currencies of major trading parties to make the pegged currency more stable than if a single currency peg is
used. Trade, services and major capital flows may be used as currency weights while calculating the basket.
The Indian Rupee is linked to a basket of currencies.
(c) Flexibility limited in terms of a single currency
In this system, the value of the currency is maintained within certain margins of the peg. Some Middle Eastern
countries follow this system and maintain their currency within a limit of the peg against the U.S. dollar.
(d) Pegged to some indicators
Under this arrangement, the currencies adjust more or less automatically to changes in the selected indicators.
A common indicator is the real effective exchange rate (REER) that reflects inflation adjusted changes in the
currency against major trading parties.
This category also includes cases where the exchange rate is adjusted according to a pre-announced schedule.
(e) Managed Float
Central Bank of a country decides the exchange rate in this system. The rates are revised from time to time
depending on forex reserves, developments in parallel exchange markets, the real effective exchange rate etc.
(f) Independent float
In this system market forces determine the exchange rate. Most of the developed countries follow this system of
exchange rate.
1) 1$ = ` 43.18
2) 1 = ` 78.68
3) 1INR = Euro 0.0184
4) 100 Indo Rupiah = ` 0.53
Identify the quote as Direct or Indirect quote. Also compute the Direct for Indirect Quote and Vice Versa.
Solution:
Direct/Indirect
Opposite rate
1$ = ` 43.18
Direct
1 = ` 78.68
Direct
Indirect
Direct
Question No. 2
Direct Quote
a) INR/$43.72 43.94
b) INR/Euro 54.44 54.67
c) INR/100 0.3996-0.3999
Bid Rate
Spread %
414 PP-FT&FM
Find out Bid Rate and offer Rate. Also find out the spread. Express the spread in %
Solution:
Direct Quote
Bid
Offer
Spread
Spread as %
43.72
43.94
0.22
54.44
54.67
0.23
INR/100 0.3996-0.3999
0.3996
0.3999
0.0003
0.0003/0.3999x100=0.075%
Question No. 3
Mr. X took a long position in dollar futures [bought futures] on 01.07.12 when the futures were trading at ` 42.35.
He closed his position on 05.07.12 by making a future sell at ` 42.40. He bought 5 dollar futures contract. The
size of each contract is $1,25,000. The closing futures price during the period when his position was open is
given below.
Date
01.07.12
42.36
02.07.12
42.45
03.07.12
42.25
04.07.12
42.30
05.07.12
42.40
Show how Mr. X will take book profit or loss from futures market?
Solution
It seen that, the futures exchange daily closes the open buy position by selling futures at the days closing price
and reopens by buying on next days opening price. The daily profit or loss is then credited to margin account.
Date
Buy price
01.07.12
42.35
42.36
0.01
02.07.12
42.36
42.45
0.09
03.07.12
42.45
42.25
(0.20)
04.07.12
42.25
42.30
0.05
05.07.12
42.30
42.40
0.10
Net credit
0.05
31250
Question No. 4
On 1.1.2013, UBS, a French firm, purchased a machinery from a US firm for $ 1,00,000 on 3 months credit. On
the same day, the French firm entered into a 3 months forward contract with its bank for purchasing $ 1,00,000.
Later on the machinery was found sub-standard. After negotiation, it was decided that UBS will pay only $70,000.
On 31.3.2013, UBS book the delivery of $ 70,000 from the bank and paid the same to the US firm. Calculate the
net amount in Euro that UBS has to pay to its bank, using the following data:
Lesson 12
1.1.2013
Spot 1 Euro = $1.25/1,26
3 months forward swap margins 0.10 / 0.08 c
31.3.2013
Spot 1 Euro = $1.26/1.27
Solution
1.1.2013 Spot 1 Euro = $ 1.25/1.26
3 months forward rate 1 Euro = $ 1.2490/1.2592
31.3.2013 Spot 1 Euro = $ 1.26/1.27
31, 3.2013:
UBS has to purchase 1, 00,000$ for 1,00,000/1.2490 i.e. 80,064 Euro It will pay 70,000$ to US firm. It will sell
remaining 30,000$ to bank @ 1.27$ per Euro (spot rate on 31.3.13).
Amount payable for 1, 00,000$
80,064 Euro
23,622 Euro
56,442 Euro
Question No. 5: A US Co. exports a Radiotherapy machine to the Health Department of Government of
Switzerland. The price is 1,00,000 CHF with terms of 30 days. The present spot rate is 1.72 CHF per dollar. The
30 days forward rate is 1.71. The US Co. enters into forward contract. How many dollars the US Co. receives
after 30 days? Is the CHF at premium or at a discount?
Solution
The applicable rate: 1$ = 1.71 CHF
To receive after 30 days = 1,00,000/1.71 i.e. 58,479.53$
Today 1$ = 1.72 CHF
Forward 1$ = 1.71 CHF
(It means purchasing power of dollar, in terms of CHF, is decreasing. It means dollar is at discount), So, CHF is
at premium.
Question No. 6
Sacrifice Ltd. is planning to import a multi-purpose machine from Japan at a cost of 3,400 lakhs Yen. The
company can avail loans at 18% interest per annum with quarterly rests with which it can import the machine.
However there is an offer from Tokyo branch of an India based bank extending credit of 180 days at 2% per
annum against opening of an irrevocable letter of credit.
Other information:
Present exchange rate ` 100=340 yen
180 days forward rate ` 100=345 yen
Commission charges for letter of credit at 2% per 12 months. Advise whether the offer from the foreign branch
should be accepted?
416 PP-FT&FM
Solution
Assumptions
Credit from Tokyo Branch is available for 180 days. Considering this fact, we assume
(a) Alert Ltd. requires credit for 180 days i.e. under both the alternatives, all the payments (Principal,
Commission & Interest) will be made after 180 days.
(b) 180 Days = 6 months = Two Quarters.
Evaluation of Two alternatives
(A) To pay 3,400 Lakhs Yen, Alert Ltd. may borrow ` 1,000 Lakhs in Indian Market. From this amount, it
may purchase 3,400 Lakhs Yen and pay for machine. (Now there is no foreign exchange risk). It may
repay the loan (raised in Indian market) with interest after 180 days. Total payment (including interest) =
` 1,000 Lakhs (1.045) (1.045) = ` 1,092.025 Lakhs
(B) Alert may borrow 3,400 Lakhs Yen from Tokyo Branch and pay for machine. It has to pay 34 Lakhs Yen
as interest. (Rate of interest is 2% p.a.; For 180 days it is 1%. 1% of 3,400 Lakhs = 34 Lakhs). Alert has
to pay 3,434 Lakhs Yen after 180 days. At that time 1 Yen can be purchased, on the basis of forward, for
Re. 0.289855. (345 Yens = ` 100).
(Hence 1 Yen = 100 / 345 i.e. 0.289855). To purchase 3,434 Lakhs Yen, Alert has to pay 3,434 Lakhs x .289855
i.e. ` 995.362 Lakhs).
Under this alternative, there is one more cost i.e. cost of getting Letter of credit (LC).
Bank charges for issuing LC will be 1% (Commission is 2% per 12 months. For 180 days, it is 1%). The LC will
be for 3,400 Lakhs Yen. Today 3,400 Lakhs Yen are equal to ` 1,000 Lakhs. Hence Commission = ` 1,000
Lakhs x 1 % i.e. ` 10 Lakhs. We assume that commission will be paid after 180 days and for this delay Bank will
charge interest @ 18% p.a. with quarterly rests. Commission and interest on commission = ` 10 lakhs (1.045)
(1.045) = ` 10.92 1akhs.
Total payment under Alternative I (After 180 days) = ` 1,092.025 Lakhs
Total payment under Alternative II (After 180 days) = (` 995.362 Lakhs + ` 10.92 Lakhs) = ` 1,006.282 Lakhs
Recommendation
Alternative II (Tokyo Branch Credit) may be preferred
Question No. 7
A customer with whom the Bank had entered into 2 months forward purchase contract for Euro 5,000 @ ` 54.50
comes to bank after 1 months and requests for cancellation of the contract. On this date, the prevailing rates are:
Spot 1 Euro : ` 54.60 / 54.70
One month forward 1 Euro : ` 54.90 / 55.04
What is the loss or gain to customer on cancellation?
Solution
On the day the customer comes to the bank for cancellation, the bank will enter into a forward contract (same
maturity date as that of the original) under which bank will sell 5,000 Euro @ ` 55.04.
On maturity, bank will sell 5,000 Euro to customer (@ ` 55.04) for ` 2,75,200 (under the new contract) and
Lesson 12
purchase 5,000 Euro from the customer (@ ` 54.50) for ` 2,72,500 ( under the original contract ). Loss to the
customer ` 2,700. (This loss will be recovered from the customer)
Question No 8: An Indian exporting firm, Bimal Jalan & Co. would cover itself against a likely depreciation of
Pound sterling. The following data is given :
Receivables of Bimal Jalan & Co. : 5,00,000. Spot rate ` 56/
3 months interest rate: India: 12% p.a. UK : 5% p.a. What the exporter should do?
Solution :
The firm may borrow 5,00,000/1.0125 i.e. 4,93,827.16.
This amount shall be repaid after three months with interest @ 5% p.a. using the export proceeds.
Convert borrowings in Rupees. 4,93,827.16 x 56 i.e. ` 2,76,54,321,
Invest this amount for three months.
Investment proceeds = 2,76,54,321x1.03
= ` 2,84,83,950.63
Question No. 9
The rate of inflation in USA is likely to be 3% p.a. and in India it is likely to be 6.50%. The current spot rate of US
$ in India is 53.40. Find the expected rate of US $ in India after 1 year and 3 years from now using purchasing
power parity theory.
Solution
Spot rate: 1 $ = ` 53.40
1 year forward rate: 1$(1.03) = ` 53.40 (1.0650)
1 $ = ` 55.21456
3 year forward rate: 1$(1.03)3 = ` 53.40 (1.0650) 3
1 $ = ` 59.03076
Question No. 10
On April 1, 3 months interest rate in UK Pound and USD are 7.50% and 3.50% p.a. respectively. The UK Pound/
USD spot rate is .7570. What would be the forward rate of USD for delivery 30th June?
Solution
Three months interest rate (UK): 7.50/4 = 1.875% = 0.01875
Three months interest rate (US): 3.50/4 = 0.875% = 0.00875
Spot rate: 1$ = 0.7570
3 months forward rate : 1$(1.00875) = 0.7570(1.01875)
1 $ = 0.7645
418 PP-FT&FM
LESSON ROUND-UP
Forex management may be defined as the science of management of generation, use and storage of
foreign currencies in the process of exchange of one currency into other called foreign exchange.
Exchange rate is the price of one countrys money in terms of other countrys money.
Factors affecting Foreign Exchange Rates can be grouped into Fundamental Factors, Political and
Psychological Factors, Technical Factors such as Capital Movement, Relative Inflation Rates. Exchange
rate policy and intervention-Interest rates and Speculation.
A spot exchange rate is a rate at which currencies are being traded for delivery on the same day.
A direct quote indicates the number of units of the domestic currency required to buy one unit of
foreign currency.
An indirect quote indicates the number of units of foreign currency that can be exchange for one unit
of the domestic currency.
Ask price is the selling rate or the offer rate and refers to the rate at which the foreign currency can be
purchased from the dealer.
Bid price is the rate at which the dealer is ready to buy the foreign currency in exchange for the
domestic currency
The ask-bid spread depends upon the breadth and depth of the market for that currency and the
volatility of the currency.
% Spread =
The exchange rate between two currencies calculated on the basis of the rate of these two currencies
in terms of a third currency is known as a cross rate.
The forward rate is a price quotation to deliver the currency in future. The exchange rate is determined
at the time of concluding the contract, but payment and delivery are not required till maturity.
Transfer Pricing is a mechanism by which profits are transferred through an adjustment of prices on
intra-firm transactions.
Leading implies speeding up collections on receivables if the foreign currency in which they are invoiced
is expected to appreciate.
Lagging implies delaying payments of payables invoiced in a foreign currency that is expected to
depreciate.
Netting implies that all transactions-gross receipts and payments among the parent firm and subsidiaries
should be adjusted and only net amounts should be transferred.
Matching is a process whereby cash inflows in a foreign currency are matched with cash outflows in
the same currency with regard, to as far as possible, amount and maturation
A transaction exposure occurs when a value of a future transaction, through known with certainty, is
denominated in some currency other than the domestic currency.
Translation Exposure is also called the accounting exposure. It refers to and deals with the probability
that the firm may suffer a decrease in assets value due to devaluation of a foreign currency even if no
foreign exchange transaction has occurred during the year.
Lesson 12
The economic exposure refers to the probability that the change in foreign exchange rate will affect
the value of the firm.
Capital account convertibility implies the right to transact in financial and other assets with foreign
countries without restrictions.
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
(These are meant for re-capitulation only. Answers to these questions are not to be submitted for evaluation)
1 What is the importance of Foreign Exchange for a country?
2. What do you understand by spot rates and forward rates?
3. What factors determine exchange rates?
4. How can forex risks be managed?
420 PP-FT&FM
Machine A
Machine B
Cost
56,125
56,125
1st Year
3,375
11,375
2nd Year
5,375
9,375
3rd Year
7,375
7,375
4th Year
9,375
5,375
5th Year
11,375
3,375
36,875
36,875
Find out
(a) Average rate of return on A and B machines
(b) Which machine is better from the point of view of pay-back period and why?
(c) Calculate average rate of return when salvage value of machine A turns out to be ` 3,000 and when B
machine has zero salvage value.
Answer to Question No. 1
(a) Average Rate of Return (ARR)
ARR =
` 36,875
Average income of machine A =
= ` 7,375
5
` 36,875
Average income of machine B =
= ` 7,375
5
Average investment =
1
(` 56,125) = ` 28,062.50
2
(Average investment of Machine A and Machine B is the same as the cost is same)
ARR for Machine A =
7,375
100
28,062.50
26.28%
422 PP-FT&FM
ARR for Machine B =
7,375
100 26.28%
28,062.50
ARR
Average income
Average investment
=
7,375
100
29,563
= 24.95%
ARR of Machine A
= 24.95%
As Machine B does not have any salvage value, the ARR for Machine B will remain the same, i.e. 26.28% (as
calculated in (a) above).
Question No. 2
A Company is contemplating to purchase a machine. Two machines A and B are available, each costing `
5,00,000. In comparing the profitability of the machines, a discounted rate of 10% is to be used. Earnings after
taxation are expected as follows:
CASH FLOW
Year
Machine A(`)
Machine B(`)
1,50,000
50,000
II
2,00,000
1,50,000
III
2,50,000
2,00,000
IV
1,50,000
3,00,000
1,00,000
2,00,000
Indicate which of the machines would be profitable using the following methods of ranking investments proposals:
(i) Pay back method
(ii) Net present value method
(iii) Post pay back profitability
(iv) Average rate of return.
This discount factor at 10% is:
1st year
.9091
.8264
3rd year
.7513
4th year
.6830
5th year
.6209
Total
1,50,000
1,50,000
II
2,00,000
3,50,000
III
2,50,000
5,50,000
Investment
5,00,000
1,50,000
12 = 2 years 7.2 months
2 year +
2,50,000
Total
50,000
II
1,50,000
2,00,000
III
2,00,000
4,00,000
IV
3,00,000
5,00,000
Investment
5,00,000
50,000
1,00,000
12 = 3 years 4 months
3 year +
3,00,000
Machine A
Machine B
II
Machine B
1,50,000
50,000
II
2,00,000
1,50,000
Discount
Factor @10%
Machine B
0.9091
1,36,365
45,455
0.8264
1,65,280
1,23,960
424 PP-FT&FM
III
2,50,000
2,00,000
0.7513
1,87,825
1,50,260
IV
1,50,000
3,00,000
0.6830
1,02,450
2,04,900
1,00,000
2,00,000
0.6209
62,090
1,24,180
6,54,010
6,48,755
Initial Investment
5,00,000
5,00,000
1,54,010
1,48,755
Machine A
Machine B
II
Ranking
Machine B
8,50,000
9,00,000
5,00,000
5,00,000
3,50,000
4,00,000
II
Machine A
Machine B
8,50,000
9,00,000
5,00,000
5,00,000
3,50,000
4,00,000
70,000
80,000
5,00,000
5,00,000
70,000
100
5,00,000
80,000
100
5,00,000
= 14%
= 16%
II
Ranking
70,000
70,000
12 years
14 years
Cost (`)
50,000
Life
10 years
5,000
10,000
7,000
5,000
6,000
5,500
50,000/5,000
= 10 years
Project B
70,000/6,000
= 11.66 years
Project C
70,000/5,500
= 12.73 years
(b) From the above, one can simply say that, on the basis of surplus life over pay-back period, Project C is
the best because, C has the longest surplus life of 1.27 years. (14 12.73). However, to be more
scientific, the scrap value should be taken into account in this case, because if the full life is alowed to
be run the scrap value will be realised. One way to do this would be to deduct scrap value from initial
cost and calculate the time period required to cover this cost. The difference between the life of the
project and the time required to cover this cost may then be taken to represent the surplus life. On this
basis, the surplus life of our projects are:
Project A:
10 years
(45,000/5,000) years
= 1 year
Project B:
12 years
(60,000/6,000) years
= 2 years
Project C:
14 years
(63,000/5,500) years
= 2.55 years
50,000
72,000
77,000
45,000
60,000
63,000
5,000
12,000
14,000
Surplus
426 PP-FT&FM
However, in order to select the best project we must see the highest rate of cash flow:
For Project A, the rate of surplus cash flow is 1.1 per cent per annum.
For Project B, the rate of surplus cash flow is 1.7 per cent per annum.
For Project B, the rate of surplus cash flow is 1.6 per cent per annum.
On the above basis, Project B yields the highest rate of surplus cash flow per annum and is the best.
Alternative Solution
Calculation of Depreciation
A
Cost (`)
Less: Scrap (`)
50,000
70,000
70,000
5,000
10,000
7,000
45,000
60,000
63,000
12
14
Life (years)
10
4,500
5,000
4,500
Projects
A (`)
B (`)
C (`)
5,000
6,000
5,500
Depreciation
4,500
5,000
4,500
9,500
11,000
10,000
50,000
9,500
70,000
11000
,
70,000
10,000
= 5.3 years
= 6.4 years
= 7 years
II
III
Life
10 years
12 years
14 years
4.7 years
5.8 Years
7 years
III
II
` 44,650
` 63,800
` 70,000
5,000
10,000
7,000
49,650
73,800
77,000
III
II
Rank
Rank
Cash Flows over the profitable period
Profitable period * CFATBD
Estimated Scrap
Surplus Cash Flow
Rank
PROJECT Y
6 years
15
15
1st Year
2nd Year
10
3rd Year
4th Year
5th Year
6th Year
Life of Project
Estimated Cash Outflow (` in lakhs)
Estimated Cash Inflow (` in lakhs)
Compute internal rate of return of Project X and Y and state which project you could recommend. You may use
the present value tables given below:
PRESENT VALUE OF Re. 1
After
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1st
0.833
0.800
0.769
0.741
0.714
0.690
0.677
2nd
0.694
0.640
0.592
0.549
0.510
0.476
0.444
3rd
0.579
0.512
0.455
0.406
0.364
0.328
0.296
4th
0.482
0.410
0.350
0.301
0.260
0.226
0.198
5th
0.402
0.328
0.269
0.223
0.186
0.156
0.132
6th
0.335
0.262
0.207
0.165
0.133
0.108
0.088
Cash Inflow
Discount
Factor @ 25%
Present
Value (`)
Discount Factor
@30%
Present
Value (`)
1st Year
8,00,000
.800
6,40,000
.769
6,15,200
2nd Year
10,00,000
.640
6,40,000
.592
5,92,000
3rd Year
7,00,000
.512
3,58,400
.455
3,18,500
4th Year
3,00,000
.410
1,23,000
.350
1,05,000
Inflow
Discount Factor
@ 35%
1st Year
8,00,000
.741
5,92,800
.714
5,71,200
2nd Year
10,00,000
.549
5,49,000
.510
5,10,000
Discount Factor
@ 40%
428 PP-FT&FM
3rd Year
7,00,000
.406
1,84,200
.364
2,54,800
4th Year
3,00,000
.301
96,300
.260
78,000
15,16,300
14,14,000
PV required 15,00,000
PV at 35%
15,16,300
PV at 40%
14,14,000
Difference in Rate = 5%
Difference in inflow at 35% and 40% = 1,02,300
IRR = 35% +
16,300
5 35.8%
102
, ,300
Project Y
Years
Cash Inflow
Discount
Factor @ 30%
Present
Value (`)
Discount Factor
@ 40%
Present
Value (`)
7,00,000
.741
5,18,700
.714
4,99,900
8,00,000
.549
4,39,200
.51
4,08,000
8,00,000
.406
3,24,800
.364
2,91,200
6,00,000
.301
1,80,600
.26
1,56,000
5,00,000
.223
1,11,500
.186
93,000
4,00,000
.165
66,000
.133
53,000
Total
16,40,800
Discount Factor
@ 45%
7,00,000
.69
4,83,000
8,00,000
.476
3,80,800
8,00,000
.328
2,62,400
6,00,000
.226
1,35,600
5,00,000
.156
78,000
4,00,000
.106
43,200
13,83,000
PV required: `15,00,000
PV at 40%: `15,01,200
PV at 45%: ` 13,83,000
Difference in Rate = 5%
Difference in inflow at 40% and 45% = 1,18,200
IRR = 40% +
1200
,
5
118
, ,200
= 40 + .05 = 40.05%
15,01,200
Project B
1,00,000
1,50,000
50,000
50,000
35,000
20,000
+15,000
17,500
10,000
7,500
7,500
12,000
17,000
+ 5,000
6,000
8,500
2,500
1
Cash Outlay
Differential Differential
cash flow
net cash
(B-A) flow (B-A)
Net savings
Salvage (at the end of 8 years)
2,500
10,000
4,000
14,000
10,000
10,000
Thus, if Project B is chosen it would require an additional outlay of ` 50,000 but would save in terms of cash
inflows ` 10,000 each year for eight years. This project should be accepted if it has a positive net present value
at a 10% discount rate.
`
PV of ` 10,000 each for eight years @ 10% (10,000 x 5.335)
PV of ` 10,000 at the end of eight years @ 10% (10,000 x .467)
53,350
4,670
58,020
50,000
8,020
As Project B will offer whatever Project A offers and also helps in generating an additional net present value of
` 8,020 it should be preferred to Project A.
Question No. 6
The Klein & Co. is contemplating either of two mutually exclusive projects. The data with respect to each are
430 PP-FT&FM
given below. The initial investment for both is equal to their depreciable value. Both will be depreciated straight
line over a five-year life.
Project A
Project B
(` )
(` )
1,00,000
1,40,000
Initial Investment
Year
10,000
25,000
15,000
25,000
20,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
35,000
25,000
(i) Calculate the net present value and benefit-cost ratio for each project.
(ii) Evaluate the acceptability of each project on the basis of above mentioned two techniques.
(iii) Select the best project, using NPV and benefit cost ratios and comment on the resulting rankings.
(iv) Assume that the Klein Co. has an 11% cost of capital.
(v) The following data relates to discounting factor:
Year
.901
.812
.731
.659
.593
and discounting factor for present value of an annuity discounted at 11% for five years is 3.696.
Answer to Question No. 6
(i) The NPV for project A can be calculated as follows:
Year
30,000
.901
27,030
35,000
.812
28,420
40,000
.731
29,240
45,000
.659
29,655
55,000
.593
2,515
Total
1,46,600
For Project A, question provides data regarding profits after taxes. To obtain cash inflow, therefore, we have to
add depreciation amount. Total project investment is ` 1,00,000. Life of the project is 5 years and it is depreciated
at straight line method. Therefore, depreciation amount would be ` 20,000 each year which should be added to
(3.696) x (53,000)
` 1,95,888
NPV of Project B
1,95,888 1,40,000
` 55,888
NPV of Project A
1,46,960 1,40,000
` 46,960
B/C
146
, ,960
= 1.47
100
, ,000
Project B
B/C
195
, ,888
= 1.40
140
, ,000
(ii) On the basis of both NPV and B/C ratios, both projects are acceptable because their NPVs are greater than
zero and their B/Cs are greater than one respectively.
(iii) On the basis of NPV, project B is preferable to project A. On the basis of B/C ratios, project A is preferable to
project B. If the firm is operating under capital rationing the B/C ratio approach would be best (i.e. project A
preferred), while if the firm has unlimited funds, the NPV approach is best (i.e. project B preferred).
Question No. 7
M/s Lalvani & Co. has ` 2,00,000 to invest. The following proposal are under consideration. The cost of capital
for the company is estimated to be 15 per cent.
Project
Initial Outlay `
1,00,000
25,000
10
70,000
20,000
30,000
6,000
20
50,000
15,000
10
50,000
12,000
20
4.6586
10 years
5.1790
20 years
6.3345
432 PP-FT&FM
Answer to Question No. 7
The ranking of various project under the various methods are shown below:
(i) Pay-Back Method:
Pay back period =
Initial Investment
Annual cash flows
Initial Investment `
Ranking
1,00,000
25,000
70,000
20,000
3.5
30,000
6,000
50,000
15,000
3.33
50,000
12,000
4.17
(ii) Net Present Value Method: The project with the highest N.P.V. is to be ranked first.
Project
Life in
years
PV Factor
at 15%
PV`
NPV (`)
Ranking
1,00,000
25,000
10
5.1790
1,29,475
29,475
70,000
20,000
4.6586
93,172
23,172
30,000
6,000
20
6.3345
38,007
8,007
50,000
15,000
10
5.1790
77,685
27,685
50,000
12,000
20
6.3345
76,014
26,014
(iii) Profitability Index Method: The project which shows the highest profitability index is to be ranked first.
Profitability Index =
Project
Initial
investment (`)
Annual Cash
Flow (`)
Life in
years
PV Factor
at 15%
PV(`)
Profitability
Index
Ranking
1,00,000
25,000
10
5.1790
1,29,475
1.29
70,000
20,000
4.6586
93,172
1.33
30,000
6,000
20
6.3345
38,007
1.27
50,000
15,000
10
5.1790
77,685
1.55
50,000
12,000
20
6.3345
76,014
1.52
Question No. 8
Mohan & Co. is considering the purchase of a machine. Two machines X and Y each costing ` 50,000 are
available. Earnings after taxation are expected to be as under:
Machine X(`)
Machine Y(`)
1st
15,000
5,000
.9091
2nd
20,000
15,000
.8264
3rd
25,000
20,000
.7513
4th
15,000
30,000
.6830
5th
10,000
20,000
.6209
Earning
Machine X(`)
Earning
Machine Y(`)
Cumulative Earning
Machine X (`)
Cumulative Earning
Machine Y (`)
1st
15,000
5,000
15,000
5,000
2nd
20,000
15,000
35,000
20,000
3rd
25,000
20,000
60,000
40,000
4th
15,000
30,000
75,000
70,000
5th
10,000
20,000
85,000
90,000
15,000
12 year
25,000
2 years +
3 years +
3 years 4 months
10,000
12 year
30,000
MACHINE X
MACHINE Y
` 85,000
` 90,000
` 85,000/5
` 90,000/5
= ` 17,000
= ` 18,000
` 10,000
` 10,000
` 17,000 10,000
` 18,000 10,000
= ` 7,000
= ` 8,000
` 50,000/2
` 50,000/2
= ` 25,000
= ` 25,000
Average Investment
434 PP-FT&FM
Return on Investment
25,000
25,000 25,000
25,000
28%
32%
Note: In this case, Net cash flows after depreciation have been calculated for arriving at the ROI. The question
can be solved with gross cash flows also.
(iii) Net present value method
Calculation of Present Value of Cash Flows
Year Discount factor at 10%
Machine X
Machine Y
Cash flow
P.V.
Cash flow
P.V.
.9091
15,000
13,636
5,000
4,545
.8264
20,000
16,528
15,000
12,396
.7513
25,000
18,782
20,000
15,026
.6832
15,000
10,245
30,000
20,490
.6209
10,000
6,209
20,000
12,418
85,000
65,400
90,000
64,875
Cashflow (`)
(30,000)
4,000
10,000
20,000
11,000
Cashflow
Inflow (`)
(30,000)
4,000
4,000
10,000
14,000
20,000
34,000
11,000
45,000
= 30,000/4 = ` 7,500
Accounting profits/(losses) =
In `
(`)
Year 1
4,000 7,500
= (3,500)
Year 2
10,000 7,500
= 2,500
Year 3
20,000 7,500
= 12,500
Year 4
11,000 7,500
= 3,500
15,000
`15,000
Average profits =
= ` 3,750
4
`3,750 100
ARR =
= 12.5%
`30,000
Net Present value
Year
Cashflow(`)
DF@12%
PV (`)
(30,000)
1.0
(30,000)
4,000
0.8929
3,572
10,000
0.7972
7,972
20,000
0.7118
14,236
11,000
0.6355
6,991
NPV
2,771
Cumulative Cash
436 PP-FT&FM
Internal Role of return
Discount at 16% and use linear interpolation:
Year
Cashflow (`)
DF@16%
PV (`)
(30,000)
1.0
(30,000)
4,000
0.8621
3,448
10,000
0.7432
7,432
20,000
0.6407
12,814
11,000
0.5523
6,075
NPV = ` (231)
2,771
4% 15.7%
IRR = 12% +
2771 231
Question No. 10
The management of a company has two alternative projects under consideration. Project A requires a capital
outlay of ` 1,20,000 but Project B needs ` 1,80,000. Both are estimated to provide a cash flow for five years: A
` 40,000 per year and B ` 58,000 per year. The cost of capital is 10%. Show which of the two projects is
preferable from the viewpoint of (i) Net Present Value; and (ii) Internal rate of Return.
Answer to Question No. 10
(i) Determination of NPV
Years
CFAT Project in `
15
40,000
58,000
P.V. Factor
Total P.V. in `
A
3.791
` 1,51,640
2,19,878
1,20,000
1,80,000
31,640
39,878
In the above case, Project B is preferable as its NPV is more than that of A.
(ii) Determination of IRR
Payback Period =
=
180
, ,000
58,000
120
, ,000
40,000
= 3 years (Project A)
= 3.1034 (Project B)
Annuity Table indicates that closest factor to 3.0 against five years are 3.058 (19%) and 2.991 (20%).
By interpolation, we get
IRRA = r1
= 19
(PVCFAT PVC ) 1
PV
(122
, ,320 120
, ,000)
1
2680
= 19 + 0.86
(181366
, ,
180
, ,000)
1
4,002
(1366)
,
1
(4,002)
= 18 + 0.34 = 18.34%
So project A is preferable as its IRR is greater that of B.
Question No. 11
Andhra Pradesh Udyog is considering a new automatic blender. The new blender would last for 10 years and
would be depreciated to zero over the 10 year period. The old blender would also last for 10 more years and
would be depreciated to zero over the same 10 year period. The old blender has a book value of ` 20,000 but
could be sold for ` 30,000 (the original cost was ` 40,000). The new blender would cost ` 1,00,000. It would
reduce labour expense by ` 12,000 a year. The company is subject to a 50% tax rate on regular income and a
30% tax rate on capital gains. Their cost of capital is 8%. There is no investment tax credit in effect.
You are required to
(a) Identify all the relevant cash flows for this replacement decision.
(b) Compute the present value, net present value and profitability index.
(c) Find out whether this is an attractive project?
Answer to Question No. 11
(a) Tax on the sale of the old machine:
Original cost
` 40,000
Sale Price
` 30,000
Book value
` 20,000
Profit
` 10,000
Tax
` 30,000
Taxes on sale
5,000
` 25,000
` 100,000
` 25,000
` 75,000
= 1,00,000/10 =
` 10,000
` 2,000
20,000/10 =
438 PP-FT&FM
Book Value in `
Cash flow in `
12,000
12,000
8,000
4,000
Increased tax
2,000
2,000
2,000
10,000
Cash flow
Present value
1-10
` 10,000
6.710
` 67,100
Present value
` 67,100
` 67,100 ` 75,000
= () ` 7,900
Profitability Index
` 67,100/` 75,000
= .895
(c) Since the net present value is negative and profitability index is less than one, the project is not an attractive
project.
Question No. 12
A most profitable company in the country is faced with the prospect of having to replace a large stamping
machine. Two machines currently being marketed will do the job satisfactorily. The Zenith Stamping machine
costs ` 100,000 and will require cash running expenses of ` 40,000 per year. The Godrej Stamping machine
costs ` 150,000 but running expenses are only expected to be ` 30,000 per year. Both machines have a tenyear useful life with no salvage value and would be depreciated on a straightline basis.
(a) If the company pays a 50% tax rate and has 10% after-tax required rate or return, which machine should
it purchase?
(b) Would your answer be different if the required rate of return were 8%?
Answer to Question No. 12
Godrej
Zenith
Differential
` 1,50,000
` 1,00,000
`50,000
Operating expenses
30,000
40,000
10,000
Depreciation
15,000
10,000
5,000
Initial outlay
Expenses savings-depreciation
5,000
2,500
Cash flow
7,500
5.6502
7,500 x 5.65
42,376
`5
` 1,00,000
The variable costs will remain the same but the fixed costs will increase by the amount of depreciation on the
new machine. The current selling price is ` 10 per unit, which may have to be brought down by 50 paise in order
to sell the entire production of 50,000 units.
The company adopts straight line method of depreciation, tax rate is 50% and the minimum required rate of
return is 15%. P.V. factors at 15%.
(i) Present value of an annuity of Re. 1 at the end of 9 years
= 4.772
= 0.247
1,00,000
20,000
(12,500)
1,07,500
Revenues:
Existing
Proposed
4,00,000
40,000 units @ ` 10
50,000 units @ ` 9.50
4,75,000
Variable cost
40,000 units @ ` 5
2,00,000
440 PP-FT&FM
50,000 units @ ` 5
_______
2,50,000
Contribution margin
2,00,000
2,50,000
Fixed cost
1,00,000
**1,09,500
Surplus
1,00,000
1,15,500
15,500
7,750
Incremental Cash Flow from year 1 to 9 after tax (including depreciation)` 7,750 + ` 9,500
= ` 17,250
3. Cash Inflow (10th year):
`
Annual incremental cash flow
17,250
20,000
5,000
42,250
Cash flow
(` )
P.V. at 15%
Total P.V
(` )
1-9
17,250
4,772
82,317.00
10
42,250
0.247
10,435.75
Total
92,752.75
P.V. of outlays
1,07,500.75
(14,747.25)
The machine yields negative P.V. of (`14,747.25) and hence should not be procured. Therefore, it would not be
advisable for the company to purchase the machine.
**Note: Depreciation =
Expected Return
(` )
3=1x2
28,00,000
11,20,000
18,00,000
7,20,000
12,00,000
2,40,000
20,80,000
20,00,000
NPV
80,000
Expected Return
(` )
3=1x2
6,40,000
2,56,000
5,40,000
2,16,000
3,60,000
72,000
5,44,000
2,00,000
NPV
1,44,000
From the above it is clear that the small factory is a better investment on NPV basis.
Question No. 15
A product is currently being manufactured on a machine that has a book value of ` 30,000. The machine was
originally purchased for ` 60,000 ten years ago. The per unit costs of the product are: Direct labour ` 8.00;
direct materials ` 10.00; variable overheads ` 5.00; fixed overheads ` 5.00; and total is ` 28.00. In the past year
6,000 units were produced and sold for ` 50.00 per unit. It is expected that the old machine can be used
indefinitely in the future.
An equipment manufacturer has offered to accept the old machine at ` 20,000, a trade-in for a new version. The
purchase price of the new machine is ` 1,00,000. The projected per unit costs associated with the new machine
are: direct labour ` 4.00; direct materials ` 7.00; variable overheads ` 4.00; fixed overheads ` 7.00; and total is
` 22.00.
The management also expects that, if the new machine is purchased, the new working capital requirement of
the company would be less by ` 10,000. The fixed overheads costs are allocations from other departments plus
the depreciation of the equipment. The new machine has an expected life of ten years with no salvage value; the
straight line method of depreciation is employed by the company. It is also expected that the future demand of
442 PP-FT&FM
the product would remain at 6,000 units per year. Should the new equipment be acquired? Corporate tax is @
50%.
Notes:
(i) Present value of annuity of Re. 1.00 at 10% rate of discount for 9 years is 5.759.
(ii) Present value of Re. 1.00 at 10% rate of discount, received at the end of 10th year is 0.386.
Answer to Question No. 15
Determination of Cash Outflows t = 0
`
Cost of new machine
1,00,000
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
Less :
20,000
5,000
10,000
35,000
65,000
`
I.
II.
48,000
24,000
24,000
10,000
3,000
Additional Depreciation
7,000
3,500
27,500
CFAT (A)
110
` 27,500
23
() 15
8
Question No. 16
Apollo Ltd. manufactures a special chemical for sale at ` 30 per kg. The variable cost of manufacture is ` 15 per
kg. Fixed cost excluding depreciation is ` 2,50,000. Apollo Ltd. is currently operating at 50% capacity. It can
produce a maximum of 1,00,000 kgs. at full capacity.
The production manager suggests that if the existing machines are replaced, the company can achieve maximum
capacity in the next 5 years gradually increasing the production by 10% a year.
The finance manager estimates that for each 10% increase in capacity, the additional increase in fixed cost will
be ` 50,000. The existing machines with a current book value of ` 10,00,000 and remaining useful life of 5 years
can be disposed of for ` 5,00,000. The vice-president (finance) is willing to replace the existing machines
provided the NPV on replacement is ` 4,53,000 at 15% cost of capital.
(a) You are required to compute the total value of machines necessary for replacement. For computations,
you may assume the following:
(i) All the assets are in the same block. Depreciation will be on straight line basis and the same is
allowed for tax purposes.
(ii) There will be no salvage value for the new machines. The entire cost of the assets will be depreciated
over a five year period.
(iii) Tax rate is 46%.
(iv) Cash inflows will accrue at the end of the year.
(v) Replacement outflow will be at the beginning of the year (year 0).
(b) On the basis of data given above, the managing director feels that the replacement, if carried out, would
at least yield a post-tax return of 15% in three years provided the capacity build up is 60%, 80% and
100% respectively. Do you agree? Give reasons.
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
0.87
0.76
0.66
0.57
0.50
0.87
1.63
2.29
2.86
3.36
=`X
= ` 5,00,000
= (X ` 5,00,000)
444 PP-FT&FM
Determination of cash flows after tax (CFAT) and Net Present Value (NPV) (excluding depreciation)
Years
1
Increase Production
and sales (kg) ...(I)
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
Contribution per
unit (Sales Price
Variable Cost) i.e.
` 30 ` 15) ...(II)
15
15
15
15
15
1,50,000
3,00,000
4,50,000
6,00,000
7,50,000
50,000
1,00,000
1,50,000
2,00,000
2,50,000
1,00,000
2,00,000
3,00,000
4,00,000
5,00,000
46,000
92,000
1,38,000
1,84,000
2,30,000
Earnings after
taxes ...(V VI)
54,000
1,08,000
1,62,000
2,16,000
2,70,000
0.87
0.76
0.66
0.57
0.50
46,980
82,080
1,06,920
1,23,120
1,35,000
Incremental
Contribution
(I x II) ...(III)
Incremental fixed
cost ...(IV)
Incremental
profits (III IV) ...(V)
PV Factor
Total Present Value (`)
10,00,000
5,00,000
X + 5,00,000
10,00,000
X 5,00,000
= X 5,00,000 / 5
= 0.20 X 1,00,000
Tax Rate
= 0.46
...(B)
= (A) + (B)
= ` 4,94,100 + 0.30912X ` 1,54,560
= ` 3,39,540 + 0.30912X
Net present value = Present value of cash flows after tax Present value of outflows
` 4,53,000
` 4,53,000
0.69088X
3,86,540
= ` 5,59,489
0.69088
10%
30%
50%
` 10,000
` 30,000
` 50,000
` 15
` 15
` 15
` 1,50,000
` 4,50,000
` 7,50,000
` 50,000
` 1,50,000
` 2,50,000
` 1,00,000
` 3,00,000
` 5,00,000
` 11,898
` 11,898
` 11,898
` 88,102
` 2,88,102
` 4,88,102
` 40,527
` 1,32,527
` 2,24,527
` 47,575
` 1,55,575
` 2,63,575
` 59,473
` 1,67,473
` 2,75,473
0.87
0.76
0.66
` 51,742
` 1,27,279
` 1,81,812
5 years
5
446 PP-FT&FM
Total Present Value
= ` 3,60,833
=`
59,489
` 3,01,344
Hence, the assessment of the managing director is correct as the Net Present Value is positive.
Question No. 17
The management of Rohit Ltd. is considering the replacement of machine which has current written down value
of `25,00,000 and a present sale value of `8,00,000. The machine is still usable for 5 years, but will have no
scrap value at the end of 5 years.
A new machine having a useful life of 5 years and scrap value of ` 1,00,00,000 at the end of this is available for
` 10,00,000. The installation of the new machine, it is estimated, would result in saving of ` 20,00,000 per
annum in operating cost at the present level of production. The capacity of new machine is more than that of old,
and since sales are no Question, utilisation of additional capacity would bring in an additional contribution of `
25,00,000 per annum (after meeting incremental costs of production and sale). This machine would be depreciated
@ 25 per cent on written down basis.
The company has other assets in the block. Current income tax is 35 per cent. Considering the companys
estimated cost of capital, it will not pay to purchase the new machine unless the net savings are 20% or more,
on the added investment. Should the company replace the existing machine?
Answer to Question No. 17
(`)
Existing Machine
Current Written Down Value of Machine
25,00,000
8,00,000
Life of Machine
5 years
New Machine
Scap Value
10,00,000
Cost Price
1,00,00,000
Life of Machine
5 years
Calculation of Cash Flows for 5 years
(`)
1
20,00,000
20,00,000
20,00,000
20,00,000
20,00,000
Contribution
25,00,000
25,00,000
25,00,000
25,00,000
25,00,000
EBIT
45,00,000
45,00,000
45,00,000
45,00,000
45,00,000
Incremental Depreciation
16,75,000
12,56,250
9,42,187
70,664
5,29,980
EBIT
28,25,000
32,43,750
35,57,813
37,93,359
39,700
98,750
11,35,313
12,45,234
13,27,676
13,89,507
18,36,250
21,08,438
23,12,579
24,65,683
25,80,513
NPV
15,30,147
14,64,099
13,38,289
11,89,199
1,03,78,108
Total PV
65,58,842.3
As the Net Present cash inflow in negative, it is not advisable to purchase the machine.
Old Machine Cost
` 25,00,000
` 1,00,00,000 ` 8,00,000
` 92,00,000
Calculation of Incremental Depreciation
(`)
Year
Old machine
New machine
Incremental Depreciation
625000
2300000
1675000
468750
1725000
1256250
351563
1293750
942187
263672
970313
706641
197754
727734
529980
Question No. 18
Strong Enterprises Ltd. is a manufacturer of high quality running shoes. Ms. Dazling, President, is considering
computerising the companys ordering, inventory and billing procedures. She estimates that the annual savings
from computerisation include a reduction of ten clerical employees with annual salaries of `15,000 each, `8,000
from reduced production delays caused by raw materials inventory Questions, `12,000 from lost sales due to
inventory stockouts and `3,000 associated with timely billing procedures. The purchase price of the system is
`2,00,000 and installation costs are `50,000. These outlays will be capitalised (depreciated) on a straight-line
basis to a zero book salvage value which is also its market value at the end of five years. Operation of the new
system requires two computer specialists with annual salaries of `40,000 per person. Also annual maintenance
and operating cash expenses of `12,000 are estimated to be required. The companys tax rate is 40% and its
required rate of return (cost of capital) for this project is 12%.
You are required to
(a) find the projects initial net cash outlay.
(b) find the projects after tax profit and cash flows over its 5-year life.
(c) evaluate the project using Net Present Value (NPV) method.
(d) evaluate the project using Profitability Index (PI) method.
(e) calculate the projects payback period.
(f) find the projects cash flows and NPV [parts (a) through [(c)] assuming that system can be sold for
`25,000 at the end of five years even though the book salvage value will be zero.
(g) find the projects cash flows and NPV [parts (a) through (c)] assuming that the book salvage value of
depreciation purposes is `20,000 even though the machine is worthless in terms of its resale value.
448 PP-FT&FM
NOTE:
(i) Present value of annuity of Re. 1 at 12% rate of discount for 5 years in 3.605.
(ii) Present value of Re. 1 at 12% rate of discount, received at the end of 5 years is 0.567.
Answer to Question No. 18
(a) Projects Initial cash outlay
`
Cost
2,00,000
Installation Expenses
50,000
2,50,000
(b) Projects after tax profit and cash inflows over its 5-year life
Savings
1,50,000
8,000
12,000
3,000
1,73,000
Less: Expenses
Depreciation
50,000
80,000
Maintenance cost
12,000
1,42,000
31,000
12,400
18,600
Cash inflow
= PAT + Depreciation
= ` 18,600 + ` 50,000 = ` 68,600
Cash inflow
after tax (`)
PV of Annuity of Re. 1 at
12% for five years
(1 to 5)
68,600
3.605
2,47,303
2,50,000
NPV
Since NPV is negative, the project is unviable.
(d) Evaluation of the Project by using PI Method
Profitability Index (PI)
( ` 2,697)
68,600
68,600
68,600
137,200
68,600
205,800
68,600
274,400
68,600
343,000
1,73,000
Less : Expenses
Depreciation
` 46,000
` 80,000
Maintenance cost
` 12,000
1,38,000
35,000
Tax (40%)
14,000
21,000
450 PP-FT&FM
Cash inflow = PAT + Depreciation = ` 21,000 + ` 46,000 = ` 67,000.
Working**
Years
PV factor at 12%
(1 to 5)
67,000
3.805 (Annuity)
2,41,535
8,000
0.567
4,536
2,46,071
2,50,000
NPV
( ` 3,929)
Question No. 19
P. Ltd. has a machine having an additional life of 5 years, which costs `10,00,000 and has a book value of
`4,00,000. A new machine costing `20,00,000 is available. Though its capacity is the same as that of the old
machine, it will mean a saving in variable costs to the extent of `7,00,000 per annum. The life of the machine will
be 5 years at the end of which it will have a scrap value of `2,00,000. The rate of income-tax is 46% and P Ltd.s
policy is not to make an investment if the yield is less than 12% per annum. The old machine, if sold today, will
realise `1,00,000; it will have no salvage value if sold at the end of 5th year. Advise P. Ltd. whether or not the old
machine should be replaced. (Present value of Re. 1 receivable annually for 5 years at 12% = 3.605, present
value of Re. 1 receivable at the end of 5 years at 12% per annum = 0.567). Capital gain is tax free. Ignore
income-tax savings on depreciation as well as on loss due to sale of existing machine.
Answer to Question No. 19
Net Cash Outlay on New Machine
`
Purchase Price
Less: Realisation from sale of old machine
Net Initial Investment
20,00,000
1,00,000
19,00,000
Cash Inflows
Annual saving in variable cost as a
Result of purchase of New Machine
7,00,000
Tax = 46%
Annual Saving in variable cost after tax = ` 7,00,000 (1 0.46) =
3,78,000
13,62,690
1,13,400
14,76,090
19,00,000
4,23,910
10
P.V.
.893
.797
.712
.636
.567
.507
.452
.404
.361
.322
40,00,000
30,000
10,000
20,000
40,60,000
20,000
40,80,000
Less: Cash inflow at the start cash salvage value of old machine
Less: Removal charges
Less: Tax benefit on the loss of old machine (40%)
40,000
10,000
30,000
48,000
78,000
40,02,000
4,00,000
1,60,000
2,40,000
4,06,000
6,46,000
452 PP-FT&FM
Statement Showing NPV of Cash Flows
Cash
inflows
PV Factor
12%
(` )
Annual Cash inflow for 10 years
Working capital received back after 10 years
Present
value
(` )
6,46,000
5.650
36,49,900
20,000
0.322
6,440
36,56,340
40,02,000
NPV =
(3,45,660)
Recommendation: Since NPV is negative by ` 3,45,660, the company is advised not to buy the new machine.
`
@
1,50,000
Salvage Value
40,000
10,000
30,000
1,20,000
48,000
Note: Tax benefit has been presumed to have been realised at zero year. In practical life, tax benefit will be
realised at the year-end over and if this presumption is taken then ` 48,000 will have to be discounted by the
factor 0.893.
Question No. 21
A firm has an investment proposal, requiring an outlay of ` 40,000. The investment proposal is expected to have
2 years economic life with no salvage value. In year-1, there is a 0.4 probability that cash flow after tax (CFAT)
will be ` 25,000 and 0.6 probability that CFAT will be ` 30,000. The probabilities assigned to CFAT for the year2 are as follows:
If CFAT = ` 25,000
If CFAT = ` 30,000
Amount
Amount
Probability
(`)
Probability
(`)
12,000
0.2
20,000
0.4
16,000
0.3
25,000
0.5
22,000
0.5
30,000
0.1
The firm uses a 10% discount rate for this type of investment.
You are required to
(i) Present the above information in the form of a decision tree.
(ii) Find out the NPV under (a) the worst outcome; and (b) under the best outcome.
(iii) Find out the profitability or otherwise of the above investment proposal.
Probability Year 2
Path No.
Joint profitability
Year 1 & Year 2
0.4
` 25000
0.2
12000
0.08
0.3
16000
0.12
0.5
22000
0.20
0.4
20000
0.24
0.5
25000
0.30
0.1
30000
0.06
Cash Outlay
` 40,000
0.6
` 30000
1.00
The Decision Tree given above shows that there are six possible outcomes each represented by a path.
(ii) The Net Present Value (NPV) of each path at 10% discount rate is given below:
(Cash inflow
year 1 x Discount
factor year 1)(a)
Total
Cash
inflow
(c) =
(a)+(b)
Cash
Outflow
(d)
Net
present
value(e)
=(c)(d)
1.
32,637
40,000
7,363
2.
35,941
40,000
4,059
3.
40,897
40,000
897
4.
43,790
40,000
3,790
5.
47,920
40,000
7,920
6.
52,050
40,000
12,050
Path
(a) If the worst outcome is realized, the Net Present Value which the project will yield in ` 7,363 (negative).
(b) The best outcome will be path 6 when Net Present Value is highest i.e. ` 12,050 (Positive).
(iii) Statement showing the Expected Net Present Value
Path
7,363
0.08
589.04
4,059
0.12
487.08
897
0.20
179.40
3,790
0.24
909.60
454 PP-FT&FM
5
7,920
0.30
2,376.00
12,050
0.06
723.00
1.00
3,111.88
Yes, the project will be accepted since the Expected Net Present Value is positive.
Question No. 22
A product is currently manufactured on a machine that is not fully depreciated for tax purposes and has book
value of ` 80,000. It was purchased for ` 2,40,000 twenty years ago. The costs of the product are as follows:
Unit Cost
(` )
Direct labour
28.00
Indirect labour
14.00
10.50
Fixed overhead
17.50
70.00
In the past year 10,000 units were produced. It is expected that with suitable repairs the old machine can be
used indefinitely in future. The repairs are expected to average ` 75,000 per year.
An equipment manufacturer has offered to accept the old machine as trade-in for a new equipment. The new
machine would cost ` 5,20,000 before allowing for ` 1,00,000 for the old equipment. The project costs associated
with the new machine are follows:
Unit Cost
(` )
Direct labour
14.00
Indirect labour
21.00
7.00
Fixed overhead
22.75
64.75
The fixed overhead costs are allocations for other departments plus the depreciation of the equipment.
The old machine can be sold now for ` 60,000 in the open market. The new machine has an expected life of 10
years and salvage value of ` 20,000 at that time. The current corporate income tax rate is assumed to be 50%.
For tax purpose cost of the new machine and the book value of the old machine may be depreciated in 10 years.
The minimum required rate is 10%. It is expected that the future demand of the product will stay at 10,000 units
per year. The present value of an annuity of Re. 1 for 9 years @ 10% discount factor is = 5.759. The present
value of Re. 1 received at the end of 10th year @ 10% discount factor is = 0.386.
Should the new equipment be purchased? (Assume no capital gain taxes).
Purchase Price
5,20,000
1,00,000
4,20,000
Depreciation:
New Machine
Old Machine
Differential Depreciation per annum
50,000
8,000
42,000
4,20,000
5,25,000
75,000
6,00,000
1,80,000
1,38,000
69,000
69,000
42,000
1,11,000
1,31,000
6,39,249
50,566
6,89,815
4,20,000
2,69,815
456 PP-FT&FM
COST OF CAPITAL
Question No. 23
In considering the most desirable capital structure for a company, the following estimates of the cost of debt and
equity capital (after tax) have been made at various levels of debt-equity mix:
Debt as percentage of
total capital employed
7.0
15.0
10
7.0
15.0
20
7.0
15.5
30
7.5
16.0
40
8.0
17.0
50
8.5
19.0
60
9.5
20.0
You are required to determine the optimal debt-equity mix for the company by calculating composite cost of
capital.
Answer to Question No. 23
Composite Cost of Capital
Debt as % of
total capital
Cost of
debt %
Cost of
equity %
Composite
Cost of capital %
7.0
15.0
(7 x 0) + (15 x 1)
= 15.0
10
7.0
15.0
= 14.20
20
7.0
15.5
= 13.80
30
7.5
16.0
= 13.45
40
8.0
17.0
= 13.40
50
8.5
19.0
= 13.75
60
9.5
20.0
= 13.70
The optimal debt-equity mix for the company on the basis of composite cost of capital = 40 % debt
= 60 % Equity
When the composite cost of capital will be least i.e. 13.40.
Question No. 24
M/s Robert Cement Corporation has a financial structure of 30% debt and 70% equity. The company is considering
various investment proposals costing less than ` 30 lakhs.
The corporation does not want to disturb its present capital structure.
The cost of raising the debt and equity are as follows:
Cost of debt
Cost of equity
9%
13%
10%
14%
11%
15%
12%
15.5%
Upto ` 5 lakhs
Prop. of
capital
structure
Cost
before
tax (%)
Cost after
tax of
Capital
Weighted
cost
Upto ` 5 lakhs
Debt
0.30
9.00
4.50
1.35
Equity
Equity
0.70
13.00
13.00
9.10
Debt
0.30
10.00
5.00
1.50
Equity
Equity
0.70
14.00
14.00
9.80
Debt
0.30
11.00
5.50
1.65
Equity
Equity
0.70
15.00
15.00
10.50
Debt
0.30
12.00
6.00
1.80
Equity
Equity
0.70
15.50
15.50
10.85
10.45
11.30
12.15
12.65
(i) Project A costs ` 8 lakhs. In the above table one can see that Project A lies in the range of ` 5 lakhs and
` 20 lakhs. So the weighted average cost of capital for this amount to the company will be 11.30 per
cent. Similarly, for the project B which requires ` 21 lakhs and lies in the range of ` 20 lakhs and ` 40
lakhs the weighted average cost of capital will be 12.15 per cent.
(ii) A company may accept a project which is expected to give after tax return of 11% if project cost is below
` 5 lakhs. The project which requires above ` 5 lakhs may not be accepted by the company because the
expected rate of return on the project is low as against its cost of capital and thus acceptance of project
will adversely affect the value of share of the company.
458 PP-FT&FM
Question No. 25
Following are the details regarding capital structure of a company.
Book value
Market value
(`)
(%)
Debentures
80,000
76,000
Preference Capital
20,000
22,000
1,20,000
2,40,000
13
40,000
2,60,000
3,38,000
(`)
Equity Capital
Retained Earnings
Specific cost
You are required to calculate the weighted average cost of capital using (i) book value as weights (ii) market
value as weights. Can you imagine a situation where weighted average cost of capital would be the same using
either of the weights?
Answer to Question No. 25
(i) Calculation of the weighted average cost of capital using book value weights:
Source of Capital
Debentures
80,000
4,000
Preference Capital
20,000
1,600
1,20,000
13
15,600
40,000
3,600
Equity Capital
Retained Earning
2,60,000
Weighted average cost of capital (Ko)
24,800
XW
W
Total Costs
100
Total Capital
Rs. 24,800
100 9.54%
Rs. 2,60,000
Approximately
(ii) Calculation of the weighted average cost of capital using market value as weights:
Source of Capital
Marketvalue (W)(Rs)
SpecificCost (X)(%)
Totalcost (WX)(`)
Debentures
76,000
3,800
Preference Capital
22,000
1,760
1,80,000
13
23,400
60,000
5,400
Equity Capital
Retained Earning
3,38,000
Rs. 34,360
Ko
100
Rs. 3,38,000
= 10.17%
34,360
, ,000
Value of Equity Share = ` 120
3
`Rs60,000
. 60,000
2
3
`Rs
.180
, ,000
18,0,000
2
The weighted average cost of capital computed on the basis of market value weight is higher than the weighted
average cost of capital computed on the basis of book value weights as in our Question. Because market value
of equity capital is higher than its book value.
The weighted average cost of capital would be the same under book value weights and market value weights
provided there is no difference in value of securities under both the cases.
Question No. 26
The Novex company has the following capital structure on 31st March, 2013
`
Ordinary shares (4,00,000 shares)
80,00,000
20,00,000
14% Debentures
60,00,000
1,60,00,000
The share of the company sells for ` 20. It is expected that company will pay next year a dividend of ` 2 per
share which will grow at 7 per cent forever. Assume a 40 per cent tax rate.
You are required to:
(a) Compute a weighted average cost of capital based on existing capital structure.
(b) Compute the new weighted average cost of capital if the company raises an additional ` 40 lakh debt by
issuing 15 per cent debenture. This would result in increasing the expected dividend to ` 3 and leave
the growth rate unchanged, but the price of share will fall to ` 15 per share.
(c) Compute the cost of capital if in (b) above growth rate increases to 10 per cent.
Answer to Question No. 26
(a) Weighted Average Cost of Capital Existing Capital Structure
Amount
cost
After-tax
(%)
Weights
cost (%)
Weighted
Ordinary Shares
80,00,000
0.17
* 0.500
0.0850
20,00,000
0.10
0.125
0.0125
14% Debentures
60,00,000
0.084
0.375
0.0315
Total
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
1,60,00,000
0.1290
or 12.9%
460 PP-FT&FM
(K e )
D1
g
P0
Rs. 2
0.07
Rs. 20
After-tax
cost
Weights
(%)
Weighted
cost (%)
Ordinary shares
80,00,000
0.27
0.40
0.108
20,00,000
0.10
0.10
0.010
14% Debentures
60,00,000
0.084
0.30
0.025
15% Debentures
40,00,000
0.09
0.20
0.018
Scripts
Total
**
2,00,00,000
0.161
(K e )
or 16.1%
D1
g
P0
Rs. 3
0.07
Rs.15
Amount
(` )
After-tax
cost
Weights
(%)
Weighted
cost (%)
Ordinary shares
80,00,000
0.30
*** 0.40
0.120
20,00,000
0.10
0.10
0.010
14% Debentures
60,00,000
0.084
0.30
0.025
15% Debentures
40,00,000
0.09
0.20
0.018
Total
2,00,00,000
(K e )
D1
g
P0
Rs. 3
0.10
Rs.15
0.173
or 17.3%
90,000 units
` 5/-
Raw Materials
Direct Wages
Overheads
Materials in hand
2 months requirements
Production time
1 month
3 months
2 months
3 months
` 30,000/-
Wages and overheads are paid at the beginning of the month following. In production all the required materials
are charged in the initial stage and wages and overheads accrue evenly.
Answer to Question No. 27
Calculation of Working Capital Requirement
Amount in `
Amount in `
45,000
Work in Progress:
Materials (90,000 x ` 3 x 1/12)
22,500
1,875
3,750
28,125
1,01,250
1,12,500
Cash
30,000
3,16,875
45,000
3,750
7,500
56,250
2,60,625
462 PP-FT&FM
Question No. 28
The Management of Apollo Ltd. Has called for a statement showing the working capital needed to finance a level
of activity of 6,00,000 units of output for the year. The cost structure for the companys product, for the above
mentioned level is given as under:
Cost per unit (`)
Raw materials
20
Direct labour
Overheads
15
Total cost
40
Profit
10
Selling price
50
Past trends indicate that raw materials are in stock on an average for two months.
Work in progress will approximate to half a months production. Finished goods remain in warehouse on an
average for a month. Supplier of a materials extend a months credit.
Two months credit is normally allowed to debtors. A minimum cash balance of ` 60,000 is expected to be
maintained. The production pattern is assumed to be even during the year. Prepare the statement of working
capital determination.
Answer to Question No. 28
Statement showing Cost & Profit
Per unit (`)
20.00
1,20,00,000
5.00
30,00,000
Overheads
15.00
90,00,000
Total cost
40.00
2,40,00,000
Profit
10.00
60,00,000
Sales
50.00
3,00,00,000
Raw materials
Direct labour
`
2
, ,00,000
Raw materials (stock for two months) = 120
12
Work in progress 1/2 months production i.e. 1/2 month total cost
1
= 2,40,00,000
24
Finished goods remain in warehouse for one month
1
2,40,00,000
Total inventory one months total cost =
12
20,00,000
10,00,000
20,00,000
2
3,00,00,000
12
50,00,000
60,000
1,00,60,000
1
120
, ,00,000
12
10,00,000
90,60,000
Question No. 29
M/s Kataria & Co. have approached their banker for their working capital requirement who have agreed to
sanction the same by retaining the margins as under:
Raw material
15%
Stock in Progress
30%
Finished goods
20%
Debtors
10%
From the following projections for 201314 you are required to work out:
(a) the working capital required by the company; and
(b) the working capital limits likely to be approved by bankers.
Estimates for 201314
Annual Sales
16,80,000
Cost of production
14,40,000
8,15,000
45,000
1,80,000
1,55,000
Inventory Norms:
Raw material
Work in Progress
Finished goods
2 months
15 days
1 months
The firm enjoy a credit of 15 days on its purchases and allows 1 month credit on its supplies. On sales orders,
the company has received an advance of ` 25,000. State your assumption if any.
464 PP-FT&FM
Answer to Question No. 29
Calculation of Monthly consumption of raw materials, monthly sales and
monthly cost of production
Raw materials
Opening Stock + Purchases (` 8,15,000 + ` 1,80,000)
` 9,95,000
` 1,55,000
Annual Consumption
` 8,40,000
Rs. 8,40,000
Monthly Consumption =
12
` 70,000
` 1,40,000
` 1,20,000
Monthly Sales
12
12
12
12
1,40,000
60,000
1,20,000
1,40,000
45,000
5,05,000
8,15,000 1
Less : (i) Creditors 15 days purchases
2
12
= 33,959
= 25,000
58,959
4,46,041
1,40,000
21,000
60,000
18,000
1,19,000
42,000
1,20,000
24,000
96,000
1,40,000
14,000
1,26,000
Nil
3,83,000
= ` 1 lakh
Building
= ` 8 lakhs
= ` 12 lakhs
= ` 6,50,000
= ` 6,26,000
= ` 1,35,000
Administrative expenses
Steam requirement
= ` 50,000
= ` 7,000 tonnes at ` 16 per tone
Power
Packing drums
= ` 60,000
= ` 30 each per 500 kgs.
6 months
3 months
3 months
1 month
Credit to customers
1 month
1 month
Cash expenses
1 month
466 PP-FT&FM
Answer to Question No. 30
Working:
Forecast Operating Statement
6,50,000
6,26,000
15,000
1,35,000
60,000
Building
16,000
Administrative expenses
50,000
Steam requirement
1,12,000
Power
60,000
Depreciation: Plant
84,000
Building
20,000
Total Cost
18,28,000
7,312
Selling price
8,500
Profit
1,188
2,97,000
Investment
` in lakh
Fixed Assets
1.00
Land
8.00
Building
12.00
Total
21.00
3,25,000
1,56,000
3,750
1,52,333
1,77,083
36,083
8,50,749
53,417
7,97,332
`/lakh
Investment
21.00
Working Capital
7.97
28.97
2,97,000 100
Rs. 10.25%
Rs. 28,97,000
Rs. 1188
,
100 13.97%
Rs. 8,500
90,00,000
16,00,000
1,06,00,000
106
, ,00,000
2,40,000
44.16
4,00,000
7,50,000
17,66,666
10,16,666
2,54,166
468 PP-FT&FM
From above it is clear the new credit policy is acceptable to the company because profit on account of additional
sales is expected to increase by ` 4,00,000 as against the required rate of return of ` 2,54,166 on the additional
investment in receivable.
Assumptions :
Question No. 32
Compute maximum bank borrowings permissible under Method I, Method II and Method III of Tandon Committee
norms from the following figures and comment on each method:
` (lakhs)
Current Liabilities:
Current Assets:
400
200
` (lakhs)
Raw Materials
600
Work-in-process
Finished goods
Receivables including billswith bankers
800
80
360
800
200
____
1,400
40
1,480
Method I
Total current assets
(` in lakhs)
1480
600
880
220
660
140
Method II
Total current assets
1480
370
600
510
290
1480
380
1100
275
825
600
225
575
Comments
Method I:
According to Method I prescribed by Tandon Committee the maximum permissible limit of bank
borrowings for the Company are ` 660 lakhs whereas actual bank borrowings are of ` 800
lakhs. Thus, there is excess amount of bank borrowing to the tune of ` 140 lakhs which may be
converted into term loan to be paid out gradually.
Method II:
According Method II, the Company has to get ` 290 lakhs converted into term loan to be phased
out gradually.
Method III:
As per Method III, excess borrowings of the Company from bank are ` 575 lakhs. Under this
method, the borrower has to finance core current assets also from the long-term sources. Till
the time the borrower is able to arrange for long-term funds, bank may convert the excess
amount of borrowings into term loan to be phased out in future.
Question No. 33
X Public Limited Company has obtained the following data concerning the average working capital cycle for
other components in the same industry.
Day
Raw material stock turnover
Credit received
20
(40)
15
40
60
95
Using the following information, you are required to calculate the current working capital cycle for X Public
Limited Co. and briefly comment on it.
470 PP-FT&FM
` (000)
Sales
3,000
Cost of sales
2,100
Purchases
600
80
Average work-in-progress
85
180
Average creditors
90
Average debtors
350
Less: Creditors
Work in progress
Debtors
80
365 49 days approx.
600
Average creditors
Purchases
90
365 (55)days
60
85
365 15 days
2100
180
365 31 days
2100
Average debtors
365
Sales
350
365 43 days
3000
` (per unit)
Raw materials
160
Direct labour
60
Over heads
120
Total cost
340
Profit
Selling price
60
400
Raw materials are held in stock on an average for one month. Materials are in process on an average for halfa-month. Finished goods are in stock on an average for one month.
Credit allowed by suppliers is one month and credit allowed to debtors is two months. Time leg in payment of
wages is 1-1/2 weeks. Time leg in payment of overhead expenses is one month. One fourth of the finished
goods is sold against cash.
Cash in hand and at bank is expected to be ` 50,000 ; and expected level of production amounts to 1,04,000
units.
You may assume that production is carried on evenly throughout the year, wages is equivalent to a month.
Answer to Question No. 34
Total value method
Working:
1. Raw material inventory: Total cost of materials for the whole year (Fifty two weeks) is ` 1,66,40,000.
The monthly (four weeks ) consumption would be ` 12,80,000. Raw material requirement is for one
month, hence raw materials in stock would be ` 12,80,000.
2. Debtors: The average credit sales (per week) is ` 6,00,000. Therefore, a sum of ` 48,00,000 is the
amount of sundry debtors.
3. Creditors: Suppliers allow a one month credit period. Hence the average amount of creditors is `
12,80,000. Besides wages and overhead payable are:
Wages (1-1/2 weeks) = ` 1,80,000
Overheads (4 weeks) = ` 9,60,000
4. Work-in-process:
472 PP-FT&FM
`
(i) Raw materials in WIP
6,40,000
(ii) Labour cost (it is given in the question that labour and overheads accrue
evenly throughout the year or month. Thus on the first day of month it would
be zero, and on the last day of the month the WIP includes one months labour cost
on an average it is equivalent to 1 week labour cost).
1,20,000
2,40,000
Total WIP
10,00,000
12,80,000
Labour
4,80,000
Overhead
9,60,000
27,20,000
12,80,000
Debtors
48,00,000
Work-in-process
10,00,000
27,20,000
Cash
50,000
98,50,000
12,80,000
Wages payable
1,80,000
Overheads payable
9,60,000
24,20,000
74,30,000
12,80,000
*Debtors
40,80,000
Work-in-progress
10,00,000
27,20,000
Cash
50,000
Total
91,30,000
12,80,000
Wages payable
1,80,000
Overhead payable
9,60,000
67,10,000
Total
91,30,000
*Debtors: The average credit sales (per week) is ` 5,10,000 (1,500 units x `340).
Question No. 35
In order to increase sales from the normal level of ` 2.4 lakhs per annum, the marketing manager submits a
proposal for liberalising credit policy as under :
Normal sales
` 2.4 lakhs
30 days
Relevant increase
over normal sales
(` )
15 days
12,000
30 days
18,000
45 days
21,000
60 days
24,000
30
45
60
75
90
1/12
1/8
1/6
1/4.8
1/4
(iii) Sales
2.4
2.52
2.58
2.61
2.64
0.8
0.84
0.86
0.87
0.88
(iv) Contribution
(Sales x P/V ratio)
(v) Increase in contribution
474 PP-FT&FM
overexisting (a)
0.04
0.06
0.07
0.08
0.2
0.315
0.43
0.54375
0.66
0.04
0.063
0.086
0.10875
0.132
0.023
0.046
0.06875
0.092
0.017
0.014
0.00125
(0.012)
(ix) Excess (a b)
It will be seen from the above calculation that there is maximum return when the credit period is for 45 days.
There is an excess of contribution over increase in return on investment. Therefore management is advised to
extend the credit period to 45 days.
Note: Investment in debtors could be calculated on variable cost basis also.
Question No. 36
Taxes Manufacturing Company Ltd., is to start production on 1st January, 2012. The prime cost of a unit is
expected to be ` 40 out of which ` 16 is for materials and ` 24 for labour. In addition variable expenses per unit
are expected to be ` 8, and fixed expenses per month ` 30,000. Payment for materials is to be made in the
month following the purchase. One-third of sales will be for cash and the rest on credit for settlement in the
following month. Expenses are payable in the month in which they are incurred.
The selling price is fixed at ` 80 per units manufactured and sold are expected to be as under :
January
900
April
2,100
February
1,200
May
2,100
March
1,800
June
2,400
Draw up a statement showing requirements of working capital from month to month, ignoring the question of
stocks.
Answer to Question No. 36
Statement showing requirements of Working Capital (Jan. to June 2012)
January
February
March
April
May
June
21,600
28,800
43,200
50,400
50,400
57,600
14,400
19,200
28,800
33,600
33,600
30,000
30,000
30,000
30,000
30,000
30,000
Variable
7,200
9,600
14,400
16,800
16,800
19,200
Total (i)
58,800
82,800
1,06,800
1,26,000
1,30,800
1,40,000
Requirements:
Wages
Materials
Expenses:
Fixed
Receipts:
24,000
32,000
48,000
56,000
56,000
64,000
48,000
64,000
96,000
1,12,000
1,12,000
24,000
80,000
1,12,000
1,52,000
1,68,000
1,76,000
34,800
2,800
5,200
26,000
37,200
35,600
34,800
37,600
32,400
6,400
30,800
66,400
Sundry Debtors
(Credit Sales)
Total (ii)
Cash required:
[(i)(ii)]
Surplus (ii)(i)
Cumulative requirement
Cumulative Surplus
Question No. 37
Estalla Garment Co. Ltd. is a famous manufacturer and exporter of garments to the European countries. The
finance manager of the company is preparing its working capital forecast for the next year. After carefully screening
all the documents, he collected the following information:
Production during the previous year was 15,00,000 units. The same level of activity is intended to be maintained
during the current year.
The expected ratios of cost to selling price are:
Raw materials
40%
Direct wages
20%
Overheads
20%
The raw materials ordinarily remain in stores for 3 months before production. Every unit of production remains
in the process for 2 months and is assumed to be consisting of 100% raw material, wages and overheads.
Finished goods remain in warehouse for 3 months. Credit allowed by the creditors is 4 months from the date of
the delivery of raw material and credit given to debtors is 3 months from the date of dispatch.
The estimated balance of cash to be held: ` 2,00,000
1
Lag in payment of wages:
month
2
1
Lag in payment of expenses: 8 month
2
Selling price is ` 10 per unit. Both production and sales are in a regular cycle. You are required to make a
provision of 10% for contingency (except cash). Relevant assumptions may be made.
You have recently joined the company as an assistant finance manager. The job of preparing the forecast
statement has been given to you. You are required to prepare the forecast statement. The finance manager is
particularly interested in applying the quantitative techniques for forecasting the working capital needs of the
company. You are also required to explain the approach in the brief note to be prepared by you.
476 PP-FT&FM
Answer to Question No. 37
Forecast statement of Working Capital Requirement of Estalla Garment Co. Ltd.
A. Current Assets
`
80
3
30,00,000
80
3
30,00,000
80
2
20,00,000
40
3
15,00,000
________
95,00,000
B. Current Liabilities
`
40
4
20,00,000
20
1
1,25,000
20
1
1,25,000
________
22,50,000
`
Excess of current assets over current liabilities (A B)
72,50,000
7,25,000
79,75,000
Total sales
15,00,000 x ` 10
` 1,50,00,000
2,00,000
81,75,000
Sir,
This has reference to your direction to prepare a brief note on application of quantitative techniques for forecasting
the working capital. In this connection, I hereby submit as under:
Apart from the estimation of working capital, as per operating cycle method, the following quantitative techniques
are also used for estimating the working capital needs of the company:
(i) Regression analysis method: The regression analysis method is very useful statistical technique of
forecasting working capital requirements. In the sphere of working capital management, it helps in
making projections after establishing the average relationship in the past years between sales and the
working capital and its various components. The analysis can be carried out through the graphic portrayals
(scatter diagram) or through mathematical formulae. The relationship between sales and working capital
may be simple and direct indicating complete linearity between the two or may be complex in differing
degrees involving simple linear regression and multiple regression situations. This method is suitable
for simple as well as complex situations.
(ii) Percent-of-sales method: It is a traditional and simple method of determining the level of working
capital and its components. In this method, working capital is determined on the basis of past experience.
If over the years, the relationship between sales and working capital is found to be stable, then this
relationship may be taken as base for determining the working capital for future. This method is simple,
easy to understand and useful in forecasting of working capital. However, this method is criticised on
the assumption of linear relationship, between sales and working capital. Therefore, this method is not
universally applicable.
Submitted please.
XYZ
(Assistant Finance Manager)
Question No. 38
A dealer having annual sales of ` 50 lakh extends 30 days credit period to its debtors. The variable cost is
estimated at 80% on sales and fixed costs are ` 6,00,000. The dealer intends to change the credit policy for
which the following information is given:
Credit Policy
Period (Days)
Average Collection
(` in lakhs)
Annual Sales
45
56
60
60
75
62
478 PP-FT&FM
Rate of return (pre-tax) required on investment is 20%.
You are required to assess the most profitable policy with the help of incremental approach. Calculations may be
restricted to two decimal places.
Answer to Question No. 38
Evaluation of Proposed Credit Policies
Amount in lakhs (`)
Credit Policy
Present
Period (days)
30
45
60
75
Annual Sales
50
56
60
62
40
44.8
48
49.6
Fixed Cost
Total Cost
46
50.8
54
55.6
4.00
5.20
6.00
6.40
1.20
2.00
2.40..(A)
3.78
50.8 x 45/365
6.26
54 x 60/365
8.88
55.6 x 75/365
Incremental Investment in Debtors as compared
to present level
11.42
2.48
5.10
7.64
0.50
1.02
1.53
0.70
0.98
0.87
Required Return:
Policy B having Average Collection Period 60 days yields the maximum profit and thus is most profitable.
Question No. 39
On 1st January, 2013, the Board of directors of Dowell Co. Ltd. wishes to know the amount of working capital
that will be required to meet the programme of activity; they have planned for the year. The following information
is available:
(i) Issued and paid-up capital ` 2,00,000.
(ii) 5% Debentures (secured on assets) ` 50,000.
(iii) Fixed assets valued at ` 1,25,000 on 31.12.2013.
(iv) Production during the previous year was 60,000 units. It is planned that this level of activity should be
maintained during the present year.
2 months
30,000
1 month
18,750
Finished goods
3 months
67,500
Debtors
3 months
75,000
1,91,250
2 months
Current Assets:
Raw Material
Work-in-progress
30,000
1,61,250
(b)(i)
`
Sales 60,000 units @ `5
`
3,00,000
1,80,000
30,000
Overheads @ 20%
60,000
Gross profit
Less: Debenture Interest @ 5% on 50,000
Net Profit
2,70,000
30,000
2,500
27,500
480 PP-FT&FM
Dowell Company Limited
(ii)
Share Capital
2,00,000
8,750
Assets
Fixed Assets
1,25,000
Current Assets:
(balance figure)
Raw material
30,000
Work-in-progress
18,750
67,500
27,500
Finished goods
5% Debentures
50,000
Debtors (equivalent
Creditors
30,000
to 3 months sales)
75,000
3,16,250
3,16,250
Working Notes:
(i) Computation of Cost and Sales:
Per unit
Total
60,000 units
5.00
3,00,000
Raw material
3.00
1,80,000
Direct Wages
0.50
30,000
Overheads
1.00
60,000
4.50
2,70,000
Selling price
Cost of Sales:
1,80,000 2
= ` 30,000
2 months consumption
12
1,80,000
` 15,000
30,000 1
Direct Wages*
2
12
` 1,250
60,000 1
Overheads*
2
12
` 2,500
` 18,750
`
Issued equity share capital
50,00,000
15,00,000
Fixed assets
30,66,667
Production during the previous year was 10,00,000 units which is expected to be maintained during the current
year. The expected ratios of cost to selling price are?
Raw material
40%
Direct wages
20%
Overheads
20%
Raw material ordinarily remains in stock for 3 months before production. Every unit of production remains in
process for 2 months. Finished goods remain in stock for 3 months. Creditors allow 3 months for payment and
debtors are allowed 4 months credit. Estimated minimum cash to be held will be half a month. The selling price
will be ` 8 per unit. The production is in continuous process and sales are in regular cycle.
Answer to Question No. 40
Total Production
10,00,000 units
Sale Rate
` 8/unit
` 8 x 40% = ` 3.20
Wages
` 8 x 20% = ` 1.60
Overheads
` 8 x 20% = ` 1.60
482 PP-FT&FM
Current Assets
(` )
Cash
2,00,000
8,00,000
8,00,000
16,00,000
26,66,667
Total :
60,66,667
Current Liabilities
Creditors 10,00,000 x ` 3.20 x 3/12
8,00,000
66,667
66,667
9,33,334
51,33,333
(` )
Sales
80,00,000
Less:
Raw Material
32,00,000
Wages
16,00,000
Wages
16,00,000
Profit
64,00,000
16,00,000
Balance Sheet as on
Liabilities
Assets
Capital
50,00,000
Fixed
15,00,000
Raw Material
8,00,000
Work-in-Progress
8,00,000
1,00,000
16,00,000
8,00,000
30,66,667
Finished Goods
16,00,000
Debtors
26,66,667
Cash
2,00,000
66,667
66,667
91,33,334
________
91,33,334
Average
Return (%)
Beta
13
0.80
14
1.05
17
1.25
13
0.90
Using CAPM model you are required to (a) Calculate the expected rate of return for each portfolio manager and
compare the actual returns with the expected returns. (b) Based upon your calculations, select the manager
with the best performance.
Answer to Question No. 41
(a) Use the CAMP equation :
The expected rates of return are as follows :
Portfolio
Manager
Average
Return (%)
Actual
Return
(%)
Difference
between
Actual and
Expected
Returns (%)
13
13
+ 0.2
14
14
0.3
17
17
+ 1.5
13
13
0.4
(b) Portfolio Managers A and C did better than expected, since A exceeded the expected return by 1.56 percent
(0.2% 12.8%) and C bettered the expected return by 9.68 percent (1.5% 15.5%). C therefore showed the
best performance.
Note: Average return is the actual return.
Question No. 42
From the following information, calculate the expected rate of return of a portfolio:
Risk Free rate of interest
12%
18%
2.8%
2.3%
0.8%
484 PP-FT&FM
Answer to Question No. 42
Calculation of Expected Rate of Return of a Portfolio
Expected Rate of Return of a portfolio can be worked by using following formula:
R e R f j (Rm R f )
Where Re
...(1)
Rf
rm
0.80 0.028
=
Beta co-efficient of Security j.
0.023
Since in the question, information on ? is not given, it is essential to find it. The formula to calculate ? is
rsm s
m
(2)
Where rsm
0.80 0.028
0.023
= 0.97
Now we may get expected rate of return by substituting available information in equation (1)
Re
Question No. 43
The following information is available in respect of Security-X and Security-Y:
Security
1.8
22.00%
1.6
20.40%
7% + (8.3% x 1.8)
7% + 14.94%
21.94%
This is less than the expected return of Security X i.e. 22%. Therefore, Security A is not correctly priced.
Security Y
0.80 0.028
0.023
7% + (8.3% x 1.6)
7% + 13.28%
20.28%
Return of 20.28% is less than the expected return of 20.40%. Therefore, Security Y is not correctly priced.
In case, both securities are correctly priced, then they must offer same Reward to Risk Ratio. The risk free rate
would have to be such that:
(22% IRF) 1.8
.2 IRF
0.152
IRF
7.6%
So, both securities would have correctly priced if the risk free rate is 7.6%.
LEASING
Question No. 44
XYZ Ltd. Is considering to acquire an additional computer to supplement its time-share computer services to its
clients. It has two options
(i) To purchase the computer for ` 22,00,000.
(ii) To lease the computer for 3 years from a leasing company for ` 5,00,000 as annual lease rent plus 10%
of gross time-share service revenue. The agreement also requires an additional payment of ` 6,00,000
at the end of the third year. Lease rent are payable at the year end, and the computer reverts to the
lessor after the contract period.
The company estimates that the computer under review now will be worth ` 10 lakhs at the end of the third year.
Forecast revenues are
Year
22,50,000
25,00,000
27,50,000
Annual operating costs (excluding depreciation/lease rent of computer) are estimated at ` 9,00,000 with an
additional ` 1,00,000 for start-up and training costs at the beginning of the first year. These costs are to be borne
by the lessee. XYZ Ltd. Will borrow at 16% interest to finance the acquisition of the computer; repayments are to
be made according to the following schedule:
486 PP-FT&FM
Year-end
Principal (`)
Interest (`)
Total (`)
5,00,000
3,52,000
8,52,000
8,50,000
2,72,000
11,22,000
8,50,000
1,36,000
9,86,000
The company uses the straight line method to depreciate its assets and pays 50% tax on its income.
The management of XYZ Ltd. Approaches you, as a company secretary, for advice. Which alternative would you
recommend and why?
Note: Present value factor at 8% and 16% rate of discount:
Year
8%
16%
0.926
0.862
0.857
0.743
0.794
0.641
Total PV
(` )
(` )
(` )
(` )
(` )
(` )
(` )
1.
5,00,000
2,25,000
7,25,000
3,62,500
3,62,500
0.926
3,35,675
2.
5,00,000
2,50,000
7,50,000
3,75,000
3,75,000
0.857
3,21,375
3.
5,00,000
2,75,000
6,00,000
13,75,000
6,87,500
6,87,500
0.794
5,45,875
12,02,925
PV
factor
at 8%
Total PV
Instalment Payment
Tax advantage on
Net cash
outflows
Depreciation
Principal
Interest
@16%
Total
Interest Payment
(` )
(` )
(` )
(` )
(` )
(` )
1.
5,00,000
3,52,000
8,52,000
1,76,000
2,00,000
4,76,000
0.926
4,40,776
2.
8,50,000
2,72,000
11,22,000
1,36,000
2,00,000
7,86,000
0.857
6,73,602
3.
8,50,000
1,36,000
9,86,000
68,000
2,00,000
7,18,000
0.794
5,70,092
Salvage
value
Total
(` )
(10,00,000) 0.794
(7,94,000)
8,90,470
Recommendation: Since the Present value of cash outflows under borrowing/buying alternative ` 8,90,470 is
PV factor at 8%
14
1,00,000
3.312
3,31,200
Loan at the
beginning of
the year in `
Loan
Instalment
in `
Interest
on Loan
in `
Principal
Principal
Repayment
outstanding
of the year in ` at the end in `
10,00,000
3,57,398
1,60,000
1,97,398
8,02,602
8,02,602
3,57,398
1,28,416
2,28,982
5,73,620
5,73,620
3,57,398
91,779
2,65,619
3,08,001
3,08,001
3,57,398
49,397
3,08,001
*(` 10,00,000 / 2.798) Present value factor of annuity of Re. 1 at 16% for 4 years.
Present value of cash outflows under Buying alternative
Year
Loan
Instalment
Tax advantage
Payment of
DepreInterest
ciation
Net Cash
on
PV factor Total PV
Outflows
at 8%
3,57,398
80,000
75,000
2,02,398
0.926
1,87,421
3,57,398
64,208
75,000
2,18,190
0.857
1,86,989
3,57,398
45,890
75,000
2,36,508
0.794
1,87,787
488 PP-FT&FM
4
3,57,398
24,699
75,000
2,57,699
0.735
1,89,409
Salvage value
(4,00,000)
0.735
(2,94,000)
4,57,606
Recommendation: It may be noted from the above workings that leasing option is financially superior as against
buying alternative because present value of cash outflow under leasing option is lower.
(b) (i) Viability from the lessers point of view. at 14% cost of capital
Determination of CFAT
Lease rent received
2,00,000
Less: Depreciation
1,50,000
50,000
25,000
25,000
Add: Depreciation
1,50,000
CFAT
1,75,000
CFAT (`)
PV Factor at 14%
Total PV (`)
1-4
1,75,000
2.914
5,09,950
4,00,000
0.592
2,36,800
7,46,750
10,00,000
(2,53,250)
`
Cost of computers
10,00,000
2,36,800
7,63,200
2,61,908
Less: Depreciation
1,50,000
1,11,908
1,11,908
2,23,816
Add: Depreciation
1,50,000
3,73,816
` 10,00,000
t 1 (1 0.16 )
Rs. 4,00,000
(1 0.16 )
Where X = CFAT
` 10,00,000
Rs. 4,00,000
(1.16 )
t 1 (1 0.16 )
Substituting (i) PV factor of annuity of Re. 1 at 16% for 4 years is 2.798 and
(ii) PV factor of Re. 1 at 16% in 4 years is 0.552.
` 10,00,000 ` 4,00,000 x .552 = 2.798X
` 10,00,000 ` 2,20,800 = 2.798X
`
779200
X
2.798
X = ` 2,78,485
`
CFAT desired
2,78,485
Less: Depreciation
1,50,000
1,28,485
1,28,485
2,56,970
Add: Depreciation
1,50,000
4,06,970
Question No. 46
ABC Ltd. is considering to acquire an additional sophisticated computer to supplement its time-share computer
services to its clients. It has two options:
(i) To purchase the computer for ` 44,00,000.
(ii) To lease the computer for 3 years from a leasing company for ` 10,00,000 as annual lease rent plus
10% of gross time share service revenue. The agreement also requires an additional payment of `
12,00,000 at the end of the third year. Lease rents are payable at the year end, and the computer
reverts back to the lessor after the contract period.
The company estimates that the computer under review now will be worth ` 20 lakhs at the end of the third year.
Year
45,00,000
50,00,000
55,00,000
Annual operating costs (excluding depreciation/lease rent of computer) are estimated at ` 18,00,000 with an
490 PP-FT&FM
additional cost of ` 2,00,000 for start-up and training at the beginning of the first year. These costs are to be
borne by the lessee. ABC Ltd. will borrow 16% interest to finance the acquisition of the computer and the
repayments are to be made according to the following schedule:
Year-end
Principal (`)
Interest (`)
Total (`)
10,00,000
7,04,000
17,04,000
17,00,000
5,44,000
22,44,000
17,00,000
2,72,000
19,72,000
The company uses the straight line method to depreciate its assets and pays 50% tax on its income.
The management of ABC Ltd. approaches you, as a Company Secretary-cum-Finance Manager, for advice.
Which alternative would you recommend and why?
Note: Present value factor at 8% and 16% rate of discount:
Year
8%
16%
0.926
0.862
0.857
0.743
0.794
0.641
Total PV
(` )
(` )
(` )
(` )
(` )
(` )
10,00,000
4,50,000
14,50,000
7,25,000
7,25,000
0.926
6,71,350
10,00,000
5,00,000
15,00,000
7,50,000
7,50,000
0.857
6,42,750
10,00,000
5,50,000
12,00,000
27,50,000
13,75,000
13,75,000 0.794
10,91,750
(` )
PV
24,05,850
Instalment Payment
Tax advantage on
Principal Interest
@16%
Total
Interest payment
(` )
(` )
(` )
(` )
(` )
Net cash
outflows
Depreciation
PV
factor
at 8%
(` )
Total PV
(` )
10,00,000 7,04,000
17,04,000 3,52,000
4,00,000 9,52,000
0.926
8,81,552
17,00,000 5,44,000
22,44,000 2,72,000
4,00,000 15,72,000
0.857
13,47,204
17,00,000 2,72,000
19,72,000 1,36,000
4,00,000 14,36,000
0.794
11,40,184
PV
17,80,940
Salvage Value
(20,00,000)
0.794
(15,88,000)
= (` 44,00,000 ` 20,00,000)
= ` 24,00,000 / 3 = ` 8,00,000.
(b) Bonds
(c) Preference
shares
(` )
(` )
(` )
5,50,000
5,50,000
5,50,000
4,000
18,000
4,000
Taxable income
5,46,000
5,32,000
5,46,000
2,73,000
2,66,000
2,73,00
2,73,000
2,66,000
2,73,000
EBIT
Less: interest
492 PP-FT&FM
Less: Dividend on preference shares
Earnings available for equityholders
Number of equity shares
EPS
10,000
10,000
24,875
2,63,000
2,56,000
2,48,125
45,000
40,000
40,000
` 5.84
` 6.40
` 6.20
N1
N2
where
or
(X Rs. 4,000)0.5 Rs. 10,000 (X Rs. 4,000 Rs. 14,000)0.5 Rs. 10,000
45,000
40,000
or
45,000
45,000
or
45,000
40,000
9(0.5X ` 19,000)
4X ` 96,000
4.5X ` 1,71,000
75,000
0.5X
` 1,50,000
X (EBIT)
Verification table
Equity plan
(` )
Debt plan
(` )
1,50,000
1,50,000
4,000
18,000
Taxable earnings
1,46,000
1,32,000
73,000
66,000
73,000
66,000
10,000
10,000
63,000
56,000
45,000
40,000
` 1.40
` 1.40
EBIT
Less: Interest
EPS
(X I1)(1 t) P1 P2 (X I1)(I t) P1
N1
N2
or
40,000
45,000
or
0.5X Rs. 2,000 Rs. 24,875 0.5X Rs. 2,000 Rs. 10,000
40,000
45,000
8(0.5X ` 12,000)
4.5X ` 2,41,875
4X ` 96,000
0.5X
` 1,45,875
` 2,91,750
Question No. 48
The balance sheet of XYZ Company is given as under:
Liabilities
Equity Capital
(` 10 per share)
10% long term debt
Assets
Net fixed assets
90,000
Current Assets
`
2,25,000
75,000
1,20,000
Retained earning
30,000
Current liabilities
60,000
3,00,000
_______
3,00,000
The Companys total assets turnover ratio is 3.00, its fixed operating cost is `1,50,000 and its variable operating
cost ratio is 50%. The income tax rate is 50%.
You are required to
(a) Calculate different type of leverages for the company.
(b) Determine the likely level of EBIT if EPS is (i) Re. 1 (ii) ` 2 (iii) Re. 0
Answer to Question No. 48
Income Statement of XYZ Company
Sales Turnover ratio
Sales
Total Assets
or
Let sales of the Company be X, then 3
3,00,000
Less: Variable Cost (50% of sales)
` 4,50,000
` 1,50,000
` 9,00,000
` 6,00,000
` 3,00,000
` 12,000
494 PP-FT&FM
Earning before Taxes (EBT)
` 2,88,000
` 1,44,000
` 1,44,000
Leverages
(a)(i) operating leverages
Contribution
EBIT
` 4,50,000
150
.
` 3,00,000
EBIT
EBT
` 3,00,000
104
.
`2,88,000
Contribution EBIT
EBIT
EBT
= 1.56
EPS
where
(EBIT I)(1 t)
N
` 9,000
` 9,000
= .5 EBIT ` 6,000
.5EBIT
= ` 9,000 + ` 6,000
.5EBIT
= ` 15,000
EBIT
= ` 15,000 x 2 = ` 30,000
(b)(ii) If EPS = ` 2
`2
` 18,000
= .5 EBIT ` 6,000
= ` 18,000 + ` 6,000
.5EBIT
= ` 24,000
EBIT
= ` 48,000
.5EBIT 6,000
=0
.5EBIT
= ` 6,000
EBIT
= ` 12,000
Question No. 49
X & Co. needs ` 10,00,000 for construction of a new plant for which it has three financing plans. The company
wants to maximise EPS. Currently, the equity share is selling for ` 30 per share. The EBIT resulting from the
plant operations are expected to run about ` 1,80,000 per year. The companys marginal tax rate is 50%. Money
can be borrowed at the rates indicated as under:
Upto ` 1,00,000 at 10%
Over ` 1,00,000 and upto ` 5,00,000 at 14%
Over ` 5,00,000 at 18%
If fund is excess of ` 5,00,000 are borrowed, the company anticipates a drop in the price of equity to ` 25 per
share. The three financing plans are as follows:
Plan-A Use ` 1,00,000 debt
Plan-B Use ` 3,00,000 debt
Plan-C Use ` 6,00,000 debt
You are required to determine the EPS for these three plans and indicate the financial plan which will result in
the highest EPS.
Answer to Question No. 49
Calculation of EPS under different plans
Plan - A
Plan - B
Plan - C
1,80,000
1,80,000
1,80,000
10,000
38,000
84,000
1,70,000
1,42,000
96,000
Taxes (50%)
85,000
71,000
48,000
EAT
85,000
71,000
48,000
No. of shares
30,000
23,333
16,000
2.83
3.04
3.00
EBIT (`)
Interest (`)
EBT (`)
EPS (`)
From the above it is clear that plan B gives highest earning per share i.e. ` 3.04 for the Company.
496 PP-FT&FM
Question No. 50
Sales and earnings before interest and taxes for the XYZ Ltd., during current year were ` 35,00,000 and `
9,00,000, respectively. During the year interest expense was ` 8,000, and preference dividends were ` 10,000.
These fixed charges are expected to continue for the next year.
An expansion is planned, which will require ` 3,50,000 and is expected to increase EBIT by ` 2,00,000 to `
11,00,000.
The firm is considering the following financing alternatives:
(a) Issue 10,000 shares of common stock to net the firm ` 35 per share. The firm currently has 80,000
shares of common stock outstanding.
(b) Issue ` 3,50,000 of fifteen-year bonds at 15%. Sinking fund payments on these bonds will commence
after 15 years.
(c) Issue ` 3,50,000 of 14% preference share.
Assume a 50% income tax rate:
(i) Calculate the EPS at the expected earnings before interest and taxes level of ` 11,00,000 for each
financing alternative.
(ii) Calculate the equivalency level of earnings before interest and taxes between the debt and common
stock alternatives.
(iii) Calculate the equivalency level of earnings before interest and taxes between the preference share and
common stock alternatives.
Answer to Question No. 50
(i) Determination of EPS at EBIT Level of ` 11,00,000
Financing Plan
(a)
Equity
Shares
(b)
Bond
Shares
(c)
Preference
11,00,000
11,00,000
11,00,000
8,000
60,500
8,000
10,92,000
10,39,500
10,92,000
5,46,000
5,19,750
5,46,000
5,46,000
5,19,750
5,46,000
10,000
10,000
59,000
5,36,000
5,09,750
4,87,000
90,000
80,000
80,000
5.96
6.37
6.09
EBIT
Less: Interest
Taxable Income
( X I1 ) (1 t ) P1 ( X I1 I 2 ) (1 t ) P1
N1
N2
OR
( X Rs. 8,000 ) 0.5 Rs.10,000 ( X Rs. 8,000 Rs. 52,500 ) 0.5 Rs.10,000
90,000
80,000
0.5 X Rs. 4,000 Rs.10,000 0.5 X Rs. 30,250 Rs.10,000
90,000
80,000
The above equation can be simplified as under:
0.5X = 2,50,250
X = ` 5,00,500
Verification Table
Equity Plan
(` )
Debt Plan
(` )
5,00,500
5,00,500
8,000
60,500
4,92,500
4,40,000
2,46,250
2,20,000
EAT
2,46,250
2,20,000
10,000
10,000
2,36,250
2,10,000
90,000
80,000
2.625
2.625
EBIT
Less: Interest
(iii) Equivalency level between the Preferred stock and common stock alternatives
( X I1 ) (1 t ) P1 P2 ( X I1 ) (1 t ) P1
N1
N2
OR
( X Rs. 8,000 ) 0.5 Rs.10,000 Rs. 49,000 ( X Rs. 8,000 ) 0.5 Rs.10,000
80,000
90,000
=
80,000
90,000
498 PP-FT&FM
OR
80,000
90,000
Rs`. 4,55,000
X=
= ` 9,10,000
.5
Question No. 51
Two companies P Ltd. and Q Ltd. belong to the equivalent risk group. The two companies are identical in every
respect except that Q Ltd. is levered, while P Ltd. is unlevered. The outstanding amount of debt of the levered
company is `6,00,000 in 10% debentures. The other information for the two companies are as follows:
Net operating income (EBIT) (`)
P Ltd.
Q Ltd.
1,50,000
1,50,000
60,000
1,50,000
90,000
0.15
0.20
10,00,000
4,50,000
6,00,000
10,00,000
10,50,000
15.0%
14.3%
1.33
Interest (`)
Earnings to equity-holders (`)
Equity capitalization rate, ke
Market value of equity (`)
Market value of debt (`)
Total value of firm (`)
Overall capitalization rate, ko = EBIT/V
Debt-equity ratio
An investor owns 5% equity shares of Q Ltd. Show the process and the amount by which he could reduce his
outlay through use of the arbitrage process. Is there any limit to the process?
Answer to Question No. 51
Investors current position (in Company Q)
Dividend income (5% of ` 90,000)
` 4,500
` 22,500
He sells his holdings in company Q for ` 22,500 and creates a personal leverage by borrowing ` 30,000 (5% of `
6,00,000). The total amount with him is ` 52,500. He purchases 5% equity holdings of the Company P for `50,000
as the total value of the firm is ` 10,00,000. Further, his position with respect to income would be as follows:
Company P
Company Q
` 7,500
` 4,500
3,000
Net Income
4,500
4,500
`
(in lakhs)
12% debentures
25
Assets
Total assets
`
(in lakhs)
200
Ordinary shares
10 lakhs shares of
` 10 each
100
General reserve
75
200
200
Profit & loss account for the year ending 31st December, 2012
`
(in lakhs)
Sales
750
675
EBIT
75
EBT
72
Less: Taxes
36
EAT
36
3.60
5 times
18.00
If the corporation finances the expansion with debt, the incremental financing charges will be at 14% and P/E
ratio is expected to be at 4 times. If the expansion is through equity, the P/E ratio will remain at 5 times. The
company expects that its new issues will be subscribed to at a premium of 25%.
With the above information determine the following:
(i) If the EBIT is 10% of sales, calculate EPS at sales levels of ` 4 crores, `8 crores and ` 10 crores.
(ii) After expansion determine at what level of EBIT, EPS would remain the same, whether new funds are
raised by equity or debt.
500 PP-FT&FM
(iii) Using P/E ratios calculate the market value per share at each sales level for both debt and equity
financing.
Answer to Question No. 52
(i)
` 100 lakhs:
Sales Level
Sales
` 4 crores
` 8 crores
` 10 crores
` in lakh
Equity
Debt 14%
Equity
Debt 14%
Equity
Debt 14%
40
40
80
80
100
100
17 (3+14)
17 (3+14)
17 (3+14)
37
23
77
63
97
83
18.5
11.5
38.5
31.5
48.5
41.5
EAT
18.5
11.5
38.5
31.5
48.5
41.5
18
10
18
10
18
10
1.03
1.15
2.14
3.15
2.00
4.15
EBIT at 10%
Less: Interest
EBT
10,00,000
Rs.10,00,000 10
12.5
New issue =
(ii) Let A be the EBIT level at which EPS would be the same:
( A I1 ) .5 ( A I1 I 2 ) .5
EBIT
18
10
Where I1, is interest when additional funds are raised through equity and I2 is incremental interest charges if
financing is through debt.
i.e.
( A 3) .5 ( A 3 14) .5
18
10
5 A 1 .5 .5 A 8 .5
18
10
18 (.5A 8.5)
5A 15
9A 153
4A
138
4A
138
138/4
34.5
`
Equity Capital (50,000 shares @ ` 10 each)
5,00,000
2,00,000
Debt (10%)
Total
3,00,000
10,00,000
`
Sales
64,00,000
59,00,000
EBIT
5,00,000
Less: Interest
30,000
EBT
4,70,000
2,35,000
EAT
2,35,000
` 16,00,000 with a return of 15% on sale, before interest and taxes. If the expansion is financed through debt,
the rate of new debt will be 12% and the price earning ratio will be 4 times. If the expansion programme is
financed through equity shares i.e. the new shares can be sold at a price of ` 40 and the price to earning ratio
will be 5 times. Which form of financing should the company choose if the objective of financial management in
the company is maximisation of shareholders wealth.
Answer to Question No. 53
Statement Showing the Comparative Analysis of Alternative Financial Plan
Financial Plans
I
II
Debt Issue
Equity Issue
(` )
(` )
7,40,000
7,40,000
Less: Interest
1,50,000
30,000
5,90,000
7,10,000
2,95,000
3,55,000
2,95,000
3,55,000
502 PP-FT&FM
No. of shares
EPS (EAT/No. of shares)
Price-Earning Ratio
Market value of share
(EPS P/E ratio)
50,000
75,000
5.90
4.73
4 times
5 times
5.90 x 4
4.73 x 5
= ` 23.60
= ` 23.65
Decision: Though there is a marginal difference in the market value of shares under alternative financial plans but in
view of higher EPS (` 5.90) and debt equity ratio with in acceptable norm, i.e., 2.1; Financial Plan I may be accepted.
DIVIDEND DECISIONS
Question No. 54
From the given details regarding three companies, you are required to (i) calculate the value of an equity share
of each of these companies when dividend pay-out ratio is (a) 20% (b) 50% (c) 0% and (d) 100% (ii) Comment
on the results drawn.
A Ltd.
B Ltd.
C Ltd.
R = 15%
R = 10%
R = 8%
Ke = 10%
Ke = 10%
Ke = 10%
E = ` 10
E = ` 10
E = ` 10
D
P
r
(E D)
Ke
Ke
Where P
Ke
Using the above mentioned formula, the price or value of an equity share can be calculated as under:
A Ltd.
B Ltd.
C Ltd.
15%(10 2)
10%
10%
(.15)(8)
.10
.10
= ` 140
10%(10 2)
10%
10%
2 8
.10
= ` 100
8%(10 2)
10%
10%
.08 8
.10
.10
= ` 84
.15(10 5)
.10
.10
= ` 125
.10(10 5)
.10
.10
= ` 100
.08(10 5)
.10
.10
= ` 90
.15(10 0)
.10
.10
= ` 150
.10(10 0)
.10
.10
= ` 100
.08(10 0)
.10
.10
= ` 80
10
.15(10 10)
.10
.10
= ` 100
10
.10(10 10)
.10
.10
= ` 100
10
.08(10 10)
.10
.10
= ` 100
Comments
1. Firm A is a growth firm because its internal rate of return (r = 15%) is greater than the cost of capital (Ke
= 8%). This firm may re-invest its retained earnings at a rate which is higher than the rate expected by
share holders. Firm A will maximise its share value when dividend pay out ratio is 0%. At this ratio, the
value of share is ` 150. The market price of share increases as dividend pay out ratio declines and
reverse otherwise. So optimum pay out ratio for growth firm A is zero.
2. Firm B is the normal firm because for this firm r = Ke (i.e. 10%). The dividend pay out ratio for the firm is
irrelevant as it does not affect the market price of its share. It is same i.e. ` 100 at different level of
dividend pay out ratios.
3. Firm C is declining firm because the rate of return (i.e. 8%) on the investment for this firms is lower
than the cost of capital (i.e. 10%). Investors of this firm would like earnings to be distributed to them
so that they may either spend it or invest it elsewhere to get a rate higher than earned by this firm. The
optimum pay out ratio for this firm is 100% because at this ratio market price of its share is maximum
i.e. ` 100.
Question No. 55
Bajaj Auto Ltd. has outstanding 1,20,000 shares selling at ` 20 per share. The company hopes to make a net
income of ` 3,50,000 during the year ending on March 2013. The company is thinking of paying a dividend of `
2 per share at the end of current year. The capitalisation rate for risk class of this firm has been estimated to be
15%. Assuming no taxes, answer questions listed below on the basis of the Modigliani Miller dividend Valuation
Model:
(a) What will be the price of share at the end of March 31, 2013.
(i) If the dividend is paid and
(ii) If the dividend is not paid.
504 PP-FT&FM
(b) How many new shares must the company issue if the dividend is paid and company needs ` 7,40,000
for an approved investment expenditure during the year.
Answer to Question No. 55
(i) Price of the share if the dividend is paid
Po
Where Po
D1 P1
(1 K e )
D1
Ke
P1
` 20
` 2 P1
(1 0.15)
` 20 (1 + 0.15) =
(` 2 + P1)
` 20 (1.15)
` 2 + P1
P1 = ` 23 ` 2 =
` 21.
0 P1
(1 .15)
` 20
0 P1
(115)
.
P1 = ` 20 (1.15)
P1 = ` 23
(iii) Number of new equity to be issued
I (E ND1)
P1
Rs. 6,30,000
Rs. 21
= 30,000 shares.
` 4,00,000
Dividend paid
` 3,20,000
12.5
(ii) Will the Company change its dividend policy if P/E ratio is 8 instead of 12.5?
Answer to Question No. 56
According to J. Walter, the price of share may be find out by using the following formula:
D (E D)
r
Ke
Ke
Ke
(ED)
10%
(10 8)
8%
8%
.10
(2)
.08
.08
20
8
P
8 / 100
8
64 20
8
P
8 / 100
P
84 100 8400
8
8
64
2100
16
P = 131.25
506 PP-FT&FM
Working Notes
Ke is the reciprocal of 1/12.5% = 8%
EPS
D
r
Rs. 10.00
` 40,000
Number of shares
Rs. 8
Number of Shares
` 40,000
Total Earnings of the firm
`4,00,000
100 10%
Total Equity Capital of the firm ` 40,00,000
At present, the firm pay out ratio which is 80% is not optimal. The zero dividend pay out ratio is considered
maximum because at this point the price of share would be maximum.
It is evident from the following calculations.
10%
(10 0)
8%
8%
.10
(10)
.08
.08
0 125
. 10
.08
12.5
100
8
= ` 156.25
(ii) The firm will change its dividend policy if P/E ratio is 8. It is because at this level of P/E ratio, the value of Cost
of Capital (Ke = 12.5%) is greater than that of internal rate of return of investment (r = 10%). The optimum
dividend policy for company in this case is to go for 100% dividend pay out ratio. Since Ke > r, 100% dividend
pay out ratio would maximise the value of share.
Question No. 57
Consider a common stock whose dividends are expected to grow at a 25 percent rate for 2 years, after which
the growth rate is expected to fall to 5 percent. The dividend paid last period was ` 2. The investor desires a 12
per cent return. You are required to find the value of this stock.
Answer to Question No. 57
Compute the dividends during the supernormal growth period and find their present value. Assuming D0. is ` 2,
g is 15 per cent, and r is 12 percent :
D1 = D0 (1 + g) = ` 2 (1 + 0.25) = ` 2.50
D2 = D0 (1 + g)2 = ` 2 (1.563)
= ` 3.125 or
D1
1
(1 r)
D2
(1 r)
(1 0.12)1 (1 0.12)2
P2
D3
Rs. 3.28
Rs. 46.86
r g 0.12 0.05
P0
D1 P1
(1 K e )
Where
P0 = Price of share at time period 0.
D1 = Dividend to be received at the end of time period 1.
P1 = Price of share at the end of time period 1.
Ke = Cost of capital.
Substituting the values in the above formula, we may get
` 30 =
Rs`. 3 P1
1.15
P1 = ` 30 x 1.15 ` 3 = ` 31.50
Price of a share when dividend is not declared
` 30 =
P1
P
1 or P = ` 34.50
1
1 .15 1.15
508 PP-FT&FM
Amount of New-Financing
(i) When dividend is declared
I (E nD1)
Where I = New Investment, E = Earnings of the Firm during the period
n = The Number of shares outstanding at the beginning of the year
D1 = Dividend paid to the shareholder at the end of time period 1.
Substituting the value in above equation, we may get
= ` 18,00,000 (` 10,00,000 ` 6,00,000)
= ` 14,00,000
Rs.14,00,000
n
Rs. 31.50
(Here D n = The change in the number of shares outstanding during the year)
(ii) When dividend is not declared
=IE
= ` 18,00,000 ` 10,00,000
= ` 8,00,000
New shares to be issued are
Rs. 8,00,000
n
Rs. 34.50
(b) (i) Value of Firm (V) when dividend is declared:
1
[nD1 (n n) P1 I E nD1 ]
(1 K e )
14,00,000
31.50
1.15
63,00,000 14,00,000
Rs
` .14,00,000
Rs
` . 6,00,000
` .31.50 Rs
31.50
1.15
Rs
` . 6,00,000 Rs
` . 77,00,000 Rs
` .14,00,000 Rs
` . 69,00,000
1.15
1.15
= ` 60,00,000
(ii) Value of Firm (V) when dividend is not declared:
1
[(n n) P1 I E]
(1 K e )
8,00,000
` . 34.50 Rs
` .18,00,000 Rs
` .10,00,000
2,00,000 34.5 Rs
1.15
1.15
Rs
` . 77,00,000 Rs
` . 8,00,000 Rs
` . 69,00,000
1.15
1.15
= ` 60,00,000
Thus, it is clear from above that under MM Hypothesis dividend payment does not affect the value of the firm.
Question No. 59
The shares of XYZ is presently at ` 50 and the company is currently paying dividend of ` 4 per share with a
growth rate expected at 8 per cent per annum. It plans to raise fresh equity share capital. The merchant banker
has suggested that an underprice of Rupee 1 is necessary, in pricing the new issue besides involving a cost of
50 paise per share on miscellaneous expenses. You are required to find out the cost of existing equity shares as
well as the new equity given that the dividend rate and growth rate are not expected to change.
Answer to Question No. 59
Current Price Share
Po = ` 50
Do = 4
g = 8%
F = ` 0.50 + ` 1 = ` 1.50
K new
D1
4 (1.080 )
g
0.08 16.91%
(Po F)
(50 1.50)
Question No. 60
The earning per share of a company is ` 10. Its has an internal rate of return of 15 percent and the capitalization
rate of risk class is 12.5 percent. If Walters model is used:
(i) What should be the optimum pay out ratio of the firm?
(ii) What should be the price of share at this pay out?
(iii) How shall the price of share be affected if different pay out were employed?
Answer to Question No. 60
According to Walter Model
Market Price per share =
Where, DPS = Dividend per share, EPS = Earning per share, r = return on Investment and Ke = Capitalization
rate.
(i) If r/Ke > 1, the value of the share of a firm will increase as EPS increases under this type of firm situation
the has ample opportunities for investment and growth. The price of the share would be maximum when
the firm retains all its earnings. Thus, the optimum payout ratio in this case is zero.
(ii) When the optimum payout is zero, the price of the share of the firm is as under:
510 PP-FT&FM
Rs. 96
0.125
0.125
(iii) If the firm, under the condition r/Ke > 1, chooses a payout other than zero, the price of the share will fall.
Suppose the firm has a payout of 20 per cent, the price of the share will be:
Rs. 92.80
0.125
0.125
0.125
0.125
Question No. 61
A closely-held toys manufacturing company has been following a dividend policy, which can maximise the
market value of the company as per Walters Model. Accordingly, each year at dividend time, the capital budget
is reviewed in conjunction with the earnings for the period and alternative investment opportunities for the
shareholders. In the current year, the company reports net profits of ` 10,00,000. It is estimated that the company
can earn ` 2,50,000 if such profits are retained. The investors have alternative investment opportunities that will
yield them 12%. The company has 1,00,000 shares outstanding. What would be the dividend payout ratio of the
company, if it wishes to maximise the wealth of the shareholders?
Answer to Question No. 61
Divident Payout (DP) ratio of the company should be zero for miximising the wealth of shareholders. At this ratio,
market price of the share would be the maximum as shown by the following calculation:
P = [D + (r/Ke) (E D)]/Ke
R = (` 2,50,000/` 10,00,000) x 100 = 25%
E = ` 10,00,000/1,00,000 = ` 10
P = [0 + 0.25/0.12 (` 10 0)]/0.12
= (2.083 x 10)/0.12
= 20.83/0.12
= ` 173.58
FOREX MANAGEMENT
Question No. 62
Blue Ltd. is engaged in the production of synthetic yarn and planning to expand its operations. In this context,
the company is planning to import a multi-purpose machine from Japan at a cost of 2,460 lakh. The company
is in a position to borrow funds to finance import at 12% interest per annum with quarterly rests. India based
Tokyo branch has also offered to extend credit of 90 days at 2% per annum against opening of an irrevocable
letter of credit. Other informations are as under.
Present exchange rate
` 100 = 246.
` 100 = 250.
` (in lakhs)
1,000.00
30.00
Total Outflow in `
1,030.00
` (in lakhs)
Cost of Letter of credit (Commission) at 1% (for quarter) on 2460 lakhs yen @ ` 100 = 246 yen
+ Interest for Quarter (3% of 10 lakhs)
10.00
.30
10.30 (a)
Conversion cost of 2,472.13 lakh Yen at ` 100 = 250 yen: 2,472.13 lakhs
100
= ` 988.85 lakhs (b)
250
Total Cost = (a) + (b) = 10.30 lakhs + 988.85 lakhs = ` 999.15 lakhs.
The above calculation shows that Option II i.e. offer from Foreign Branch is cheaper and hence better. Therefore,
it should be accepted.
Question No. 63
Horizon Ltd. has to make a US $ 5 million payment in three months time. The required amount in dollars is
available with Syntex Ltd. The management of the company decides to invest them for three months and following
information is available in this context:
The US $ deposit rate is 9% per annum.
The sterling pound deposit rate is 11% per annum.
The spot exchange rate is $ 1.82/pound.
The three month forward rate is $ 1.80/pound.
Answer the following questions
(i) Where should the company invest for better returns?
(ii) Assuming that the interest rates and the spot exchange rate remain as above, what forward rate would
yield an equilibrium situation?
(iii) Assuming that the US interest rate an the spot and forward rates remain as above, where should the
company invest if the sterling pound deposit rate were 15% per annum?
(iv) With the originally stated spot and forward rates and the same dollar deposit rate, what is the equilibrium
sterling pound deposit rate?
512 PP-FT&FM
Answer to Question No. 63
(i) US$ Deposit Rate
9% per annum
$ 1.82 / pound
$ 1.80 / pound
Option I:
Invest in $ deposit @ 9% per annum for 3 months
Income = 50,00,000
9
3
$ 1,12,500
100 12
Option II:
Available dollars may be converted to pounds at spot rate. Cover forward position and invest @ 11% p.a. for
three months.
Spot exchange rate = $ 1.82 /
So, $ 5 million
5,000,000
= 2747252.747
1.82
11 3 months
75549.450
100
12
103021.978
= 2747252.747
100 12
Total
= 2747252.747 + 1,03,021.978 = 28,50,274.725
Total $ = 2850274.725 x 1.80
= $ 5130494.505
Earlier Gain
= $ 1,12,500
$ 5,112,500
2840277.777
1.80
2747252 .747
X
3
` 30
Call option
`3
Put option
`2
An investor devises a strategy of buying a call and selling the share and a put option. Draw his profit/loss profile
if it is given that the rate of interest is 10% per annum. What would be the position if the strategy adopted is
selling a call and buying the put and the share?
Answer to Question No. 64
Strategy I: (Buying a Call and Selling a Put and a Share)
Initial Cash Inflow (` 31 ` 3 + ` 2)
` 30
Interest Rate
10%
` 30.76*
If the share price is greater than ` 30, he would exercise the call option and buy one share for ` 30 and his net
profit is ` 0.76 (i.e., ` 30.76 30).
However, if the share price is less than ` 30, the counter-party would exercise the put option and the investor
would buy one share at ` 30. The net profit to the investor is again ` 0.76.
Strategy II: (Selling a Call and Buying a Put and a Share)
In this case, the investor has to arrange a loan @ 10% of ` 30 (i.e., ` 31 + 2 3).
This amount would be repaid after 3 months. Amount payable is:
30 x e1 x .25
` 30.76
After 3 months, if the market price is more than ` 30, the counter-party would exercise the call option and the
investor would be required to sell the share at ` 30. The loss to the investor would be ` 0.76 (i.e., ` 30.76 30).
514 PP-FT&FM
However, if the rate is less than ` 30, the investor would exercise the put option and would get ` 30 from the rate
of share. The loss to the buyer would again be ` 0.76.
*Interest can also be calculated on a simple interest basis instead of continuous compound interest.
Question No. 65
A company operating in a country having the $ as its unit of currency has today invoiced sales to an Indian
company, the payment being due 3 months from the date of invoice. The invoice amount is $13,750. At todays
spot rate, it is equivalent is ` 5,00,000. It is anticipated that the exchange rate will decline by 5% over the 3
months period and in order to protect the $ payments, the importer proposes to take appropriate action in the
foreign exchange market. The 3 months forward rate is presently quoted at $ 0.0273. You are required to
calculate the expected loss and to show how it can be hedged by a forward contract.
Answer to Question No. 65
Calculation of Expected Exchange Loss
Spot rate
$13,750
Rs. 5,00,000
= $ 0.0275/Re 1
3 months forward rate = $ 0.0273/` 1
Expected spot rate after 3 months = ($ 0.0275 5%)
= ($ 0.0275 0.001375) = 0.026125
Present Cost of $ 13,750 = ` 5,00,000
(A)
(B)
(C)
$13,750
Net amount payable $0.0273 / Re 1 = ` 5,03663
So, Exchange Loss will be
= ` 5,00,000 ` 503,663
= ` 3,663
(D)
Thus, by comparing C and D, by forward contract, the firm can cover ` 22,653 (i.e.) ` 26,316 ` 3,663)
Therefore, firm can take a forward contract.
$13,750
* $0.026126 / Re 1 Rs. 5,26,316
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
10
11
12
13
14
15
5%
0.9524
0.9070
0.8638
0.8227
0.7835
0.7462
0.7107
0.6768
0.6446
0.6139
0.5847
0.5568
0.5303
0.5051
0.4810
6%
0.9534
0.8900
0.8396
0.7921
0.7473
0.7050
0.6651
0.6274
0.5919
0.5584
0.5268
0.4970
0.4688
0.4423
0.4173
7%
0.9346
0.8734
0.8163
0.7629
0.7130
0.6663
0.6227
0.5820
0.5439
0.5083
0.4751
0.4440
0.4150
0.3878
0.3624
8%
0.9259
0.8573
0.7938
0.7350
0.6806
0.6302
0.5835
0.5403
0.5002
0.4632
0.4289
0.3971
0.3677
0.3405
0.3152
9%
0.9174
0.8417
0.7722
0.7084
0.6499
0.5963
0.5470
0.5019
0.4604
0.4224
0.3875
0.3555
0.3262
0.2992
0.2745
10%
0.9091
0.8264
0.7513
0.6830
0.6209
0.5645
0.5132
0.4665
0.4241
0.3855
0.3505
0.3186
0.2897
0.2633
0.2394
11%
0.9009
0.8116
0.7312
0.6587
0.5935
0.5346
0.4817
0.4339
0.3909
0.3522
0.3173
0.2858
0.2575
0.2320
0.2090
12%
0.8929
0.7972
0.7118
0.6355
0.5674
0.5066
0.4523
0.4039
0.3606
0.3220
0.2875
0.2567
0.2292
0.2046
0.1827
13%
0.8850
0.7831
0.6931
0.6133
0.5428
0.4803
0.4251
0.3762
0.3329
0.2946
0.2607
0.2307
0.2042
0.1807
0.1599
14%
0.8772
0.7695
0.6750
0.5921
0.5194
0.4556
0.3996
0.3506
0.3075
0.2697
0.2366
0.2076
0.1821
0.1597
0.1401
15%
0.8696
0.7561
0.6575
0.5718
0.4972
0.4323
0.3759
0.3269
0.2843
0.2472
0.2149
0.1869
0.1625
0.1413
0.1229
16%
0.8621
0.7432
0.6407
0.5523
0.4761
0.4104
0.3538
0.3050
0.2630
0.2267
0.1954
0.1685
0.1452
0.1252
0.1079
17%
0.8547
0.7305
0.6244
0.5337
0.4561
0.3898
0.3332
0.2848
0.2434
0.2080
0.1778
0.1520
0.1299
0.1110
0.0949
18%
0.8475
0.7182
0.6086
0.5158
0.4371
0.3704
0.3139
0.2660
0.2255
0.1911
0.1619
0.1372
0.1163
0.0985
0.0835
19%
0.8403
0.7062
0.5934
0.4987
0.4190
0.3521
0.2959
0.2487
0.2090
0.1756
0.1476
0.1240
0.1042
0.0876
0.0736
20%
0.8333
0.6944
0.5787
0.4823
0.4019
0.3349
0.2791
0.2326
0.1938
0.1615
0.1346
0.1122
0.0935
0.0779
0.0649
21%
0.8264
0.6830
0.5645
0.4665
0.3855
0.3186
0.2633
0.2176
0.1799
0.1486
0.1228
0.1015
0.0839
0.0693
0.0573
22%
0.8197
0.6719
0.5507
0.4514
0.3700
0.3033
0.2486
0.2038
0.1670
0.1369
0.1122
0.0920
0.0754
0.0618
0.0507
23%
0.8130
0.6610
0.5374
0.4369
0.3552
0.2888
0.2348
0.1909
0.1552
0.1262
0.1026
0.0834
0.0678
0.0551
0.0448
24%
0.8065
0.6504
0.5245
0.4230
0.3411
0.2751
0.2218
0.1789
0.1443
0.1164
0.0938
0.0757
0.0610
0.0492
0.0397
25%
0.8000
0.6400
0.5120
0.4096
0.3277
0.2621
0.2097
0.1678
0.1342
0.1074
0.0859
0.0687
0.0550
0.0440
0.0352
516 PP-FT&FM
TABLE 2 : PRESENT VALUE OF AN ANNUITY OF RUPEE ONE
RATE
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
YEAR
10
11
12
13
14
15
5%
0.9524
1.8594
2.7232
3.5460
4.3295
5.0757
5.7864
6.4632
7.1078
7.7217
8.3064
8.8633
9.3936
9.8986
10.3797
6%
0.9434
1.8334
2.6730
3.4651
4.2124
4.9173
5.5824
6.2098
6.8017
7.3601
7.8869
8.3838
8.8527
9.2950
9.7122
7%
0.9346
1.8080
2.6243
3.3872
4.1002
4.7665
5.3893
5.9713
6.5152
7.0236
7.4987
7.9427
8.3577
8.7455
9.1079
8%
0.9259
1.7833
2.5771
3.3121
3.9927
4.6229
5.2064
5.7466
6.2469
6.7101
7.1390
7.5361
7.9038
8.2442
8.5595
9%
0.9174
1.7591
2.5313
3.2397
3.8897
4.4859
5.0330
5.5348
5.9952
6.4177
6.8052
7.1607
7.4869
7.7862
8.0607
10%
0.9091
1.7355
2.4869
3.1699
3.7908
4.3553
4.8684
5.3349
5.7590
6.1446
6.4951
6.8137
7.1034
7.3667
7.6061
11%
0.9009
1.7125
2.4437
3.1024
3.6959
4.2305
4.7122
5.1461
5.5370
5.8892
6.2065
6.4924
6.7499
6.9819
7.1909
12%
0.8929
1.6901
2.4018
3.0373
3.6048
4.1114
4.5638
4.9676
5.3282
5.6502
5.9377
6.1944
6.4235
6.6282
6.8109
13%
0.8850
1.6681
2.3612
2.9745
3.5172
3.9975
4.4226
4.7988
5.1317
5.4262
5.6869
5.9176
6.1218
6.3025
6.4624
14%
0.8772
1.6467
2.3216
2.9137
3.4331
3.8887
4.2883
4.6389
4.9464
5.2161
5.4527
5.6603
5.8424
6.0021
6.1422
15%
0.8696
1.6257
2.2832
2.8550
3.3522
3.7845
4.1604
4.4873
4.7716
5.0188
5.2337
5.4206
5.5831
5.7245
5.8474
16%
0.8621
1.6052
2.2459
2.7982
3.2743
3.6847
4.0386
4.3436
4.6065
4.8332
5.0286
5.1971
5.3423
5.4675
5.5755
17%
0.8547
1.5852
2.2096
2.7432
3.1993
3.5892
3.9224
4.2072
4.4506
4.6586
4.8364
4.9884
5.1183
5.2293
5.3242
18%
0.8475
1.5656
2.1743
2.6901
3.1272
3.4976
3.8115
4.0776
4.3030
4.4941
4.6560
4.7932
4.9095
5.0081
5.0916
19%
0.8403
1.5465
2.1399
2.6386
3.0576
3.4098
3.7057
3.9544
4.1633
4.3389
4.4865
4.6105
4.7147
4.8023
4.8759
20%
0.8333
1.5278
2.1065
2.5887
2.9906
3.3255
3.6046
3.8372
4.0310
4.1925
4.3271
4.4392
4.5327
4.6106
4.6755
21%
0.8264
1.5095
2.0739
2.5404
2.9260
3.2446
3.5079
3.7256
3.9054
4.0541
4.1769
4.2784
4.3624
4.4317
4.4890
22%
0.8197
1.4915
2.0422
2.4936
2.8636
3.1669
3.4155
3.6193
3.7863
3.9232
4.0354
4.1274
4.2028
4.2646
4.3152
23%
0.8130
1.4740
2.0114
2.4483
2.8035
3.0923
3.3270
3.5179
3.6731
3.7993
3.9018
3.9852
4.0530
4.1082
4.1530
24%
0.8065
1.4568
1.9813
2.4043
2.7454
3.0205
3.2423
3.4212
3.5655
3.6819
3.7757
3.8514
3.9124
3.9616
4.0013
25%
0.8000
1.4400
1.9520
2.3616
2.6893
2.9514
3.1611
3.3289
3.4631
3.5705
3.6564
3.7251
3.7801
3.8241
3.8593
PROFESSIONAL PROGRAMME
PP-FT&FM
TEST PAPERS
A Guide to CS Students
To enable the students in achieving their goal to become successful professionals, Institute has prepared a
booklet A Guide to CS Students providing the subject specific guidance on different papers and subjects
contained in the ICSI curriculum. The booklet is available on ICSI website and students may down load from
http://www.icsi.edu/Portals/0/AGUIDETOCSSTUDENTS.pdf
WARNING
It is brought to the notice of all students that use of any malpractice in Examination is misconduct as provided
in the explanation to Regulation 27 and accordingly the registration of such students is liable to be cancelled
or terminated. The text of regulation 27 is reproduced below for information:
27. Suspension and cancellation of examination results or registration
In the event of any misconduct by a registered student or a candidate enrolled for any examination conducted
by the Institute, the Council or the Committee concerned may suo motu or on receipt of a complaint, if it is
satisfied that, the misconduct is proved after such investigation as it may deem necessary and after giving
such student or candidate an opportunity to state his case, suspend or debar the person from appearing in
any one or more examinations, cancel his examination result, or studentship registration, or debar him from
future registration as a student, as the case may be.
Explanation - Misconduct for the purpose of this regulation shall mean and include behaviour in a disorderly
manner in relation to the Institute or in or near an Examination premises/centre, breach of any regulation,
condition, guideline or direction laid down by the Institute, malpractices with regard to postal or oral tuition or
resorting to or attempting to resort to unfair means in connection with the writing of any examination conducted
by the Institute.
518 PP-FTFM
PROFESSIONAL PROGRAMME
1. Balwinder has been retained as a management consultant by Square Pants, Inc., a local specialty retailer, to
analyze two proposed capital investment projects, projects X and Y. Project X is a sophisticated working capital
and inventory control system based upon a powerful personal computer, called a system server and PC software
specifically designed for inventory processing and control in the retailing business. Project Y is a similarly
sophisticated working capital and inventory control system based upon a powerful personal computer and
general- purpose PC software. Each project has a cost of ` 10,000, and the cost of capital for both projects is
12%. The projects expected net cash flows are as follows :
Years
Project Y
(` 10,000)
(` 10,000)
6,500
3,500
3,000
3,500
3,000
3,500
1,000
3,500
(a) Calculate each projects nominal payback period, net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR),
and profitability index (PI).
(12 marks)
(b) Should both projects be accepted if they are interdependent?
(4 marks)
(4 marks)
2. (a) Distinguish between the following with reference to foreign exchange market:
(i) Fixed exchange rate and Flexible exchange rate.
(ii) Forward exchange contract and future contract.
(4 marks each)
(b) In considering the most desirable capital structure for a company, the following estimates of the cost of
debt and equity capital (after tax) have been made at various levels of debt-equity mix :
Debt as percentage of
total capital employed
(1)
(2)
(3)
7.0
15.0
10
7.0
15.0
20
7.0
15.5
30
7.5
16.0
40
8.0
17.0
8.5
19.0
60
9.5
20.0
You are required to determine the optimal debt-equity mix for the company by calculating composite
cost of capital.
(8 marks)
OR
2A. (a) Discuss the relationship between Treasury Management and Financial Management.
(6 marks)
(b) Given are the details of three companies A Ltd, B Ltd and C Ltd.
A Ltd.
B Ltd.
C Ltd.
R= 15%
R= 10%
R = 8%
Ke= 10%
Ke= 10%
Ke= 10%
E = Rs. 10
E = Rs. 10
E = Rs. 10
(2 marks)
3. (a) The following table summarizes risk premiums for stocks relative to treasury bills and bonds, for different
time periods:
Stocks - T. Bills
Stocks - T. Bonds
Arithmetic Mean
Geometric Mean
1926-2010
8.41%
6.41%
7.24%
5.50%
1962-2010
4.10%
2.95%
3.92%
3.25%
1981-2010
6.05%
5.38%
0.13%
0.19%
(5 marks each)
OR
(6 marks)
1.8
22.00%
1.6
20.40%
520 PP-FTFM
Rate of return of market portfolio is 15.3%.
If risk-free rate of return is 7%, are these securities correctly priced? What would be the risk-free rate of
return, if they are correctly priced?
(10 marks)
4. Lockers Pvt. Ltd. is considering the use of a lockbox system to handle its daily collections. The companys
credit sales are ` 160 crore per year, and it currently processes 1,300 cheques per day. The cost of the lockbox
system is ` 95,000 per year. The system allows for up to 1,000 cheques per day. Any additional cheques are
processed at an additional charge of ` 1.50 per cheque. The company estimates that the system will reduce its
float by 3 days. The firms discount rate for equally risky projects is 15 per cent, its tax rate is 40 per cent, and its
cost of short-term capital is 12 per cent. (Assume a 360-day year).
(a) How much cash will be released for other uses if the lockbox system is used?
(b) What net benefit will Lockers Ltd. gain from using lockbox system?
(c) Should Lockers Ltd. adopt the proposed lockbox system?
(d) Assume now that the institution that offers the lockbox system requires a ` 7,00,000 compensating
balance to be held for the complete year in a non-interest-bearing account. Should Lockers Ltd. adopt
the system?
(4 marks each)
5. (a) Given the details of M Limited
Installed capacity is 5000 units. Annual Production and sales at 60% of installed capacity. Selling price
per unit is ` 25 Variable cost per unit is ` 15
Fixed cost:
Situation 1 : ` 10,000
Situation 2 : ` 12,000
Capital structure:
Financial Plan
X (`)
Y (`)
Equity
25,000
50,000
Debt (10%)
50,000
25,000
75,000
75,000
Calculate the operating, financial and combined leverage under situations 1 and 2 and the financial
plans for X and Y respectively from the following information relating to the operating and capital structure
of a company, and also find out which financial plan gives the highest and the least value ? (8 marks)
(b) A futures contract is available on a company that pays an annual dividend of ` 5 and whose stock is
currently priced at ` 200. Each futures contract calls for delivery of 1,000 shares of stock in one year,
daily marking to market, an initial margin of 10% and a maintenance margin of 5%. The corporate
treasury bill rate is 8%.
(i) Given the above information, what should be the price of one futures contract?
(2 marks)
(ii) If the company stock price decreases by 7%, what will be the change, (if any), in futures price?
(2 marks)
(iii) As a result of the company stock price decrease, will an investor that has a long position in one
(4 marks each)
522 PP-FTFM
TEST PAPER 2
(This Test Paper is for recapitulate and practice for the students. Students need not to submit
responses/answers to this test paper to the Institute.)
Time Allowed : 3 Hours
(5 marks)
(b) Explain the Capital Assets Pricing Model (CAPM). How does it help in the estimation of expected return
on security?
(10 marks)
2. (a) A factory uses 40,000 tonnes of raw material, priced at ` 50/- per tonne. The holding cost is Rs 10 per
tonne of inventory. The order cost is ` 200 per order.
(i) Find the EOQ.
(2 marks)
(ii) Will this EOQ be maintained if the supplier introduces 5% discount on the order lot of 2000 tonnes
or more?
(6 marks)
(b) Blue Ltd. is engaged in the production of synthetic yarn and planning to expand its operations. In this
context, the company is planning to import a multi-purpose machine from Japan at a cost of 2,460
lakh. The company is in a position to borrow funds to finance import at 12% interest per annum with
quarterly rests. India based Tokyo branch has also offered to extend credit of 90 days at 2% per annum
against opening of an irrevocable letter of credit. Other information is as under.
Present exchange rate : ` 100 = 246
90 Days forward rate : ` 100 = 250.
Commission charges for letter of credit at 4% per 12 months.
Advise whether the offer from the foreign branch should be accepted.
(8 marks)
OR
2 A.(a) Harish Engineering company has cost of equity capital of 15%. The current market value of the firm is
` 60,00,000 @ ` 30 per share. Assume values for I (New Investment) ` 18,00,000, E (Earnings) Rs.
10,00,000 and total dividends (D) ` 6,00,000. Given the facts show that under the MM assumptions the
payment of dividend does not affect the value of the firm.
(8 marks)
(b) A bank in Canada displays the following spot quotation. C$/$ : 1.3690/1.4200
At the same time, a bank in New York quotes $/C$ : 0.7100/0.7234
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
(2 marks)
If the Canadian bank lowers its ask rate to 1.3742, Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
(2 marks)
If you buy one million U.S. $ from Canada and sell them in U.S.A after the Canadian lowers its ask rate.
What is the riskless profit you will make?
(4 marks)
3. (a) Bajaj Auto Ltd. has 1,20,000 shares outstanding which are selling at ` 20 per share. The company
hopes to make a net income of ` 3,50,000 during the year ending on March 2003. The company is
thinking of paying a dividend of ` 2 per share at the end of current year. The capitalisation rate for risk
class of this firm has been estimated to be 15%. Assuming no taxes, answer questions listed below on
the basis of the Modigliani Miller dividend Valuation Model:
(2 marks)
(2 marks)
(ii) How many new shares must the company issue if the dividend is paid and company needs ` 7,40,000
for an approved investment expenditure during the year.
(4 marks)
(b) Two companies Rita Ltd. and Gita Ltd. are considering entering into a swap agreement with each other.
Their corresponding borrowing rates are as follows:
Name of Company
Floating Rate
Fixed Rate
Rita Ltd.
LIBOR
11%
Gita Ltd.
LIBOR + 0.3%
12.5%
Rita Ltd. requires a floating rate loan of 8.million while Gita Ltd. requires a fixed rate loan of 8 million.
(i) Show which company had advantage in floating rate loans and which company has a comparative
advantage in fixed loans.
(4 marks)
(ii) If Rita Ltd. and Gita Ltd. engage in a swap agreement and the benefits of the swap are equally split,
at what rate will Rita Ltd. be able to obtain floating finance and Gita Ltd. be able to obtain fixed rate
finance? Ignore bank charges.
(4 marks each)
OR
3A. Andhra Pradesh Udyog is considering a new automatic blender. The new blender would last for 10 years
and would be depreciated to zero over the 10 year period. The old blender would also last for 10 more years and
would be depreciated to zero over the same 10 year period. The old blender has a book value of ` 20,000 but
could be sold for ` 30,000 (the original cost was ` 40,000). The new blender would cost ` 1,00,000. It would
reduce labour expense by ` 12,000 a year. The company is subject to a 50% tax rate on regular income and a
30% tax rate on capital gains. Their cost of capital is 8%. There is no investment tax credit in effect. You ate
required to
(a) Identify all the relevant cash flows for this replacement decision.
(6 marks)
(b) Compute the present value, net present value and profitability index.
(6 marks)
(4 marks)
(4 marks)
(b) What are the steps taken by financial institutions while appraising the project? How do the financial
institutions monitor the projects financed by them?
(6 marks)
(c) Dhanpat, an investor, is seeking the price to pay for a security, whose standard deviation is 5%. The
correlation coefficient for the security with the market is 0.75 and the market standard deviation is 4%.
The return from risk-free securities is 6% and from the market portfolio is 11%. Dhanpat knows that only
by calculating the required rate of return, he can determine the price to pay for the security. Find out the
required rate of return on the security?
(6 marks)
5. (a) A firm is considering a new project which would be similar in terms of risk to its existing rojects. The firm
needs a discount rate for evaluation purposes. The firm has enough cash on hand to provide the necessary
equity financing for the project. Also, the firm has 10,00,000 common shares outstanding current price
` 11.25 per share. Next years dividend expected to be Re. l per share. Firm estimated that the dividends
will grow @ 5% per year. It has 1,50,000 preferred shares outstanding. The current price of preference
share is Rs.9.50 per share and dividend is ` 0.95 per share. If new preference shares are issued, they
524 PP-FTFM
must be sold at 5% less than the current market price (to ensure they sell) and involve direct flotation
costs of ` 0.25 per share. It has a total of ` 100, 00,000 (par value) in debt outstanding. The debt is in the
form of bonds with 10 years left to maturity. They pay annual coupons at a coupon rate of 11.3%.
Currently, the bonds sell at 106% of par value. Flotation costs for new bonds would equal 6% of par
value. The firms tax rate is 40%. What is the appropriate discount rate for the new project?
(10 marks)
(b) Depository system functions just like the banking system. Comment on the statement.
(6 marks)
(4 marks each)