2016 Foundation Team Member Guide
2016 Foundation Team Member Guide
2016 Foundation Team Member Guide
Management Tools
1 Introduction
Congratulations, you are now in charge of a multimillion dollar
company. You manufacture sensors, which you market to other
manufacturers. They put your products into the devices they sell.
Your company was created when the government split a monopoly
into identical competitors. As a monopoly, operating inefficiencies
and poor product offerings were not addressed because:
While last years financial results were decent, your products are
getting old, your marketing efforts are falling short, your
production lines need revamping and your financial management is
almost nonexistent.
Competition in the post-monopoly era means you can no longer
ignore these issues. If you do, competitors with better products and/
or lower prices will take your market share.
Sensors Are Everywhere...
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Company Departments
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1.3.4 Finance
Your Finance Department makes sure your company has the financial
resources it needs to run through the year. The department can raise
money via one-year bank notes, 10-year bonds or stock issues.
The department can also issue stock dividends, buy back stock or
retire bonds before their due dates.
1.3.5 Plug-ins
Plug-ins are different than modules. Plug-ins and their decisions have
a greater overall impact on your organization.
For example, the simulation might include the Ethics plug-in, which
presents you with an unexpected dilemma. Group discussion and
consensus is imperative because your decisions will affect your
financial results.
Your simulation Dashboard will notify you if a plug-in has
been scheduled.
Buying Criteria
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2 Industry Conditions
The information in your Industry Conditions Report will help you
understand your customers.
Your customers fall into different groups, which are represented by
market segments. Customers within a market segment have similar
needs. The segments are named for the customers primary
requirements such as:
rLow Tech
rHigh Tech
The Industry Conditions Report lists market segment sales
percentages and projected growth rates unique to your simulation.
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2.1.1 Price
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2.1.2 Age
Each segment has different age expectations, that is, the length of
time since the product was invented or revised. High Tech wants new
technology while Low Tech prefers proven technology that has been
in the market for a few years.
2.1.3 MTBF (Mean Time Before Failure)
or Reliability
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Market segments will not move faster to catch up with products that
are better than customer expectations. Customers will refuse to buy a
product positioned outside the circles. Customers are only interested
in products that satisfy their needs. This includes being within the
circles on the Perceptual Map!
Perceptual Maps Can Be Used for
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Buying Criteria for the previous year are reported in the Foundation
FastTracks Segment Analysis pages. As you take over the company to
make decisions for Round 1, your reports reflect customer
expectations as of December 31, Round 0 (yesterday). The Industry
Conditions Report displays the Round 0 buying criteria for each
market segment. Here are two example segments.
Example 1: Customers seek proven products at a modest price.
3 The Customer
Survey Score
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The dashed outer circle defines the outer limit of the segment.
Customers are saying, I will NOT purchase a product outside this
boundary. We call the dashed circle the rough cut boundary because
any product outside of it fails the rough cut and is dropped from
consideration. Rough cut circles have a radius of 4.0 units.
Fine Cut Circle
The solid inner circle defines the heart of the segment. Customers
prefer products within this circle. We call the inner circle the fine cut
because products within it make the fine cut. Fine cut circles have a
radius of 2.5 units.
Ideal Spot
The ideal spot is that point in the heart of the segment where, all other
things being equal, demand is highest.
Segment Movement
Each segment moves across the Perceptual Map a little each month.
In a perfect world your product would be positioned in front of the
ideal spot in January, on top of the ideal spot in June and trail the
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Products placed in the rough cut area (orange rings, Figure 3.1) are
between 2.5 and 4.0 units from the center of the circle. Products here
are poorly positioned and they will have reduced customer survey
scores. The farther they are from the fine cut circle, the more the
scores are reduced. Just beyond the fine cut, scores drop 1%. Halfway
across the rough cut, scores drop 50%. Scores drop 99% for products
that are almost to the edge of the rough cut.
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Sensors priced $10.00 above or below the segment guidelines will not
be considered for purchase. Those products fail the price rough cut.
Sensors priced $1.00 above or below the segment guidelines lose
about 10% of their customer survey score (orange lines, Figure 3.2).
Sensors continue to lose approximately 10% of their customer survey
score for each dollar above or below the guideline, on up to $9.99,
where the score is reduced by approximately 99%. At $10.00 outside
the range, demand for the product is zero.
Price Fine Cut
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Products inside the fine cut (green areas, Figure 3.1) are within 2.5
units of the center of the circle. Ideal spots for each segment are
illustrated by the black dots. The example on the left illustrates a
segment that prefers proven, inexpensive technology. The ideal spot is
to the upper left of the segment center, where material costs are
lower. The example on the right illustrates a segment that prefers
cutting-edge technology. The ideal spot is to the lower right of the
segment center, where material costs are higher (see Figure 4.1 for
an illustration of material positioning costs).
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Each segment sets a 6,000 hour range for MTBF (Mean Time Before
Failure), the number of hours a product is expected to operate
before it malfunctions. Customers prefer products towards the top
of the range.
MTBF Rough Cut
Demand scores fall rapidly for products with MTBFs beneath the
segments guidelines. Products with an MTBF 1,000 hours below the
segment guideline lose 20% of their customer survey score. Products
continue to lose approximately 20% of their customer survey score
for every 1,000 hours below the guideline, on down to 4,999 hours,
where the customer survey score is reduced by approximately 99%.
At 5,000 hours below the range, demand for the product falls to zero.
MTBF Fine Cut
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The age criteria do not have a rough cut; a product will never be too
young or too old to be considered for purchase.
High Tech customers demand cutting-edge technology. They prefer
newer products. Low Tech customers prefer older products with
proven technology.
Each month, customers assess a products age and award a score
based upon their preferences. Examples of age preferences are
illustrated in Figure 3.4.
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builds accessibility, the ease with which customers can work with
you after they begin sourcing. To the 4 Ps we can add two additional
elements credit terms and availability. Credit terms are expressed
by your accounts receivable (A/R) policy. Availability addresses
inventory shortages.
3.2.1 Base Scores
To estimate the customer survey score, begin with the buying criteria
available in the FastTracks Segment Analysis reports. For example,
suppose the buying criteria are:
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After your product leaves the factory and enters the marketplace, the
calculations for its score become less exact. The score will be
affected by the level of the products awareness (the percentage of
people who know about your product) and its segments
accessibility (the number of customers who can easily interact with
your company).
Awareness is built over time by the products promotion budget.
Promotion budgets fund advertising and public relations campaigns.
How can you be sure of a sellers market? You cant, unless you are
certain that industry capacity, including a second shift, cannot meet
demand for the segment. In that case, even very poor products will
stock out as customers search for anything that will meet their needs.
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Usually, a product with a low customer survey score has low sales.
However, if a segments demand exceeds the supply of products
available for sale, a sellers market emerges. In a sellers market,
customers will accept low-scoring products as long as they fall within
the segments rough cut limits. For example, desperate customers
with no better alternatives will buy:
Inventing Sensors
New products are assigned a name (click in the first cell that reads NA
in the name column), performance, size and MTBF. Of course, these
specifications should conform to the criteria of the intended market
segment. The name of all new products must have the same first letter
of the company name.
The Production Department must order production capacity to build
the new product one year in advance. Invention projects take at least
one year to complete.
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Positioning Costs
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Marketing
The Low Tech segment circles move on the Perceptual Map at a speed
of 0.7 units per year. The High Tech segment circles move at 1.0 units
per year. You must plan to move your products (or retire them) as the
simulation progresses. Generally, the longer the move on the
Perceptual Map, the longer it takes the R&D Department to complete
the project.
Project lengths can be as short as three months or as long as three
years. Project lengths will increase when the company puts two or
more products into R&D at the same time. When this happens each
R&D project takes longer. Assembly line automation levels also affect
project lengths. R&D project costs are driven by the amount of time
they take to complete. A six-month project costs $500,000; a one-year
project costs $1,000,000.
Sensors will continue to produce and sell at the old performance, size
and MTBF specifications up until the day the project completes,
shown on the spreadsheet as the revision date. Unsold units built
prior to the revision date are reworked free of charge to match the
new specifications.
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product drops the age from 3 to 1.5 years, and customers will become
interested again.
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4.2 Marketing
Marketing functions vary widely depending on
the industry and company. In general, the
department drums up interest in the companys
products or services through a mix
of activities. These can include
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advertising, public relations and
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good old-fashioned salesmanship.
Your Marketing Department is
concerned with the remaining Ps (beyond R&Ds product): price,
place and promotion. Your Marketing Department is also in charge of
sales forecasting.
4.2.1 Pricing Sensors
11
Marketing
If a product ended last year with an awareness of 50%, this year it will
start with an awareness of approximately 33%. This years promotion
budget would build from a starting awareness of approximately 33%.
Starting Awareness + Additional Awareness from
Figure 4.2 = New Awareness
If you have two or more products that meet a segments fine cut
criteria, the sales budget for each product contributes to that
segments accessibility. The more products you have in the segments
fine cut, the stronger your distribution channels, support systems,
etc. This is because each products sales budget contributes to the
segments accessibility.
If you have one product in a segment, there is no additional benefit to
spending more than $3,000,000. If you have two or more products in
a segment, there is no additional benefit to spending more than a
$4,500,000 split between the products, for example, two products
with sales budgets of $2,250,000 each (see Figure 4.3).
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4.3 Production
For manufacturers, production literally puts
everything together. The department
coordinates and plans manufacturing runs,
making sure that products get out
the door.
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4.3.3 Automation
Changing Automation
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14
Finance
4.4 Finance
Corporate finance functions differ
from company to company. Duties can
include managing financial risk,
determining borrowing
levels or even simple
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check writing. In general,
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the department monitors
the companys flow of
money, the lifeblood of any business.
Your Finance Department is primarily concerned with five issues:
1. Acquiring the capital needed to expand assets, particularly plant
and equipment. Capital can be acquired through:
rCurrent Debt
rStock Issues
rBond Issues (Long Term Debt)
rProfits
2. Establishing a dividend policy that maximizes the return
to shareholders.
3. Setting accounts payable policy (which can also be entered in
the Production and Marketing areas) and accounts receivable
policy (which can also be entered in the Marketing area).
4. Driving the financial structure of the firm and its relationship
between debt and equity.
5. Selecting and monitoring performance measures that support
your strategy.
Finance decisions should be made after all other departments enter
their decisions. After the management team decides what resources
the company needs, the Finance Department addresses funding
issues and financial structure.
One of the Finance Departments fiduciary duties is to verify that sales
forecasts and prices are realistic. Unrealistic prices and forecasts
will predict unrealistic cash flows in the proformas. Finance can
determine a range of possible outcomes for the year by changing (but
not saving) Marketings forecasts then rechecking the proformas.
Lowering forecasts decreases revenue and increases inventory
worst case; raising forecasts increases revenue and decreases
inventory best case (see 10.4 Worst Case/Best Case).
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Your bank issues current debt in one-year notes. The Finance area in
the Foundation Spreadsheet displays the amount of current debt due
from the previous year. Last years current debt is always paid off on
January 1. The company can roll that debt by simply borrowing the
same amount again. There are no brokerage fees for current debt.
Interest rates are a function of your debt level. The more debt you
have relative to your assets, the more risk you present to debt holders
and the higher the current debt rates.
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15
Finance
Each year your company is given a credit rating that ranges from AAA
(best) to D (worst). In Foundation, ratings are evaluated by
comparing current debt interest rates with the prime rate. If your
company has no debt at all, your company is awarded an AAA bond
rating. As your debt-to-assets ratio increases, your current debt
interest rates increase. Your bond rating slips one category for each
additional 0.5% in current debt interest. For example, if the prime
rate is 10% and your current debt interest rate is 10.5%, then you
would be given an AA bond rating instead of an AAA rating.
4.4.3 Stock
Stock issue transactions take place at the current market price. Your
company pays a 5% brokerage fee for issuing stock. New stock issues
are limited to 20% of your companys outstanding shares in that year.
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Stock price is driven by book value, the last two years earnings per
share (EPS) and the last two years annual dividend.
16
Production Analysis
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5 The Foundation
FastTrack
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The FastTrack displays Last Years Results. The FastTrack available
at the start of Round 1 displays last years results for Round 0, when
all companies have equal standing. The FastTrack available at the
start of Round 2 will display the results for Round 1.
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Use the first page of the FastTrack to see a snapshot of last years
results. Be sure to compare your companys sales, profits and
cumulative profits with your competitors.
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17
18
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rMarket Share
rUnits Sold to Segment
rRevision Date
rStock Out (This tells you whether the product ran
out of inventory.)
Balance Sheet
rAwareness
rAccessibility
rDecember Customer Survey Score
5.5.2 Awareness and the December
Customer Survey Score
6 Proformas and
Annual Reports
Proformas and annual reports include:
rBalance Sheet
rCash Flow Statement
rIncome Statement
Proformas are projections of results for the upcoming year. Annual
reports are the results from the previous year. The proformas allow
you to assess the projected financial outcomes of your company
decisions entered in the Foundation Spreadsheet.
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Assets are divided into two categories, current and fixed. Current
assets are those that can be quickly converted, generally in less than
a year. These include inventory, accounts receivable and cash. Fixed
assets are those that cannot be easily converted. In the simulation,
fixed assets are limited to the value of the plant and equipment (see
4.3.1 Capacity and 4.3.3 Automation).
The balance sheet lists the dollar value of what the company owns
(assets), what it owes to creditors (liabilities) and the amount
contributed by investors (equity). Assets always equal liabilities
and equity.
Assets = Liabilities + Equity
Liabilities include accounts payable, current debt and long term debt.
In the simulation, current debt is comprised of one-year bank notes;
long term debt is comprised of 10-year bond issues. Equity is divided
into common stock and retained earnings.
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19
7 Additional Modules
Some simulations use additional modules. If a module is scheduled,
the simulation Dashboard will tell you the round it is set to begin and
provide a link to the documentation.
The HR (Human Resources) and TQM (Total Quality Management)/
Sustainability modules described below are frequently enabled. HR
and TQM decisions are used by the Balanced Scorecard, which is one
of the simulation assessment methods (see Chapter 11).
20
7.1 TQM/Sustainability
TQM (Total Quality Management)/Sustainability initiatives can
reduce material, labor and administrative costs, shorten the length of
time required for R&D projects to complete and increase demand for
the product line. The impacts of the investments produce returns in
the year they are made and in each of the following years.
The sustainability-oriented initiatives, UNEP Green Programs and
GEMI TQEM Sustainability Initiatives, can lower labor and material
costs. UNEP Green Programs also improve customer perceptions
about your company, which leads to increased sales. The remaining
initiatives can also increase efficiency and lower costs.
Your company should determine which initiatives best serve its
purposes. If you plan to keep automation levels low so R&D
projects complete more quickly, you might want to invest in areas
that lower labor costs (for example, Quality Initiative Training).
If your company is competing in the High Tech segment, which
has high material costs, you might consider initiatives that
reduce material costs.
To maximize the effect, companies should find complementary
initiatives and invest in each of them. For example, to reduce material
costs, companies could consider investing in both CPI Systems and
GEMI TQEM Sustainability Initiatives.
Making Decisions
8 Plug-ins
Some simulations use plug-in modules. Plug-ins have a more general
impact on your company.
For example, your response to a dilemma posed by the Ethics Plug-in
could have a negative impact on your corporate profits. Or your
answer to an Accounting Plug-in might help your company avoid a
major financial headache.
rPerceptual Map
rDemand Analysis
rCapacity Analysis
rMargin Analysis
rConsumer Report
The first part of the Perceptual Map activity illustrates Segment
Drift, which occurs each year as customers demand smaller, faster
products. The second part illustrates the ideal spot position
within each segment. This position changes every year. The
Perceptual Map activity will help you decide where to place your
new or revised products.
The Demand Analysis will help you anticipate the yearly upswing in
demand. At the beginning of the simulation, the growth rate for each
segment is different. While the growth rates can change as the
simulation progresses, the beginning rates will help you anticipate
how many products will be demanded in future years.
The Demand Analysis is an external measure that looks at how many
units the market will want.
The Capacity Analysis is an internal measure that determines how
many units you and your competitors can produce. Comparing this
number to the results of the Demand Analysis will give you an idea of
how much production capacity you will need. The Capacity Analysis
also allows you to anticipate the cost of adding capacity and the cost
of increasing automation.
The Margin Analysis will show you how to calculate the contribution
margin, which measures how much money is left over from your sales
income once all direct costs like labor and material have been
deducted. The Margin Analysis also helps you investigate your margin
potential: If you could cut your costs to the minimum and raise prices
to the maximum, how much could you improve your margins?
The Consumer Report asks you to think as if you were a customer. It
will give you an idea of how they perceive your product line.
The Situation Analysis can be done as a group or you can assign parts
to individuals and have them report back to the rest of the company.
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9 Situation
Analysis
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21
10
Forecasting
22
What monthly customer survey scores will your product have during
the year? The score will change from month to month because the
segments drift, your product ages and it might be revised. Each
monthly score is driven by how well your product satisfies the
segment buying criteria, plus its awareness and accessibility levels. If
the TQM/Sustainability module is on, some initiatives could increase
the score. (See How Is the Customer Survey Score Calculated? in
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When a forecast is less than the total number of units available for
sale, the proforma income statement will display an inventory
carrying cost. When a forecast is equal to or greater than the number
of units available, which predicts every unit will be sold, the carrying
cost will be zero.
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11
Balanced Scorecard
23
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Mission Statement
12
These six basic strategies can be the starting point for your own
custom strategy.
Low-priced products for the industry: Our brands offer solid value.
Our primary stakeholders are bondholders, customers, stockholders
and management.
Broad Differentiator
A Broad Differentiator strategy maintains a presence in both
segments. The company will gain a competitive advantage by
distinguishing products with an excellent design, high awareness
and easy accessibility. The company will develop an R&D
competency that keeps designs fresh and exciting. Products keep
pace with the market, offering improved size and performance.
Prices will be above average. Capacity will be expanded as higher
demand is generated.
Mission Statement
Premium products for the industry: Our brands withstand the test of
time. Our primary stakeholders are customers, stockholders,
management and employees.
24
Index
A
Accessibility 8, 12, 18,
19, 22
Accounts Payable (A/P) 15,
17
Accounts Receivable (A/R)
8, 15, 17
Actual Sales 22
Age 3, 4, 5, 8, 10, 11,
18, 22
Annual Reports 2, 19
Automation 10, 13, 14, 15
Awareness 8, 12, 18, 19,
22
B
Balanced Scorecard 23
Balance Sheet 15, 19
Bonds 15
Book Value 16
Business Ethics 21
Buying Criteria 3, 6, 8, 10,
18, 19, 22
C
Capacity 3, 13, 15
Cash Flow Statement 20
Computer Prediction 13,
23
Create a Sensor 9, 10, 12
Current Debt 15, 16
Customer Survey Score 5,
6, 8, 18, 19, 22
D
December Customer Survey
Score 6, 18, 19, 22
Discontinue a Sensor 3, 13
Dividend 15, 16
Drift 4
Perceptual Map 4, 5, 6, 9,
10, 14, 18
Performance 4, 5, 6, 8, 9,
10, 11, 12, 18, 22
Plug-ins 2, 19, 21
Positioning 3, 4, 5, 6, 7,
8, 9, 11, 12, 18, 22
Potential Sales 18, 22
Practice Rounds 3
Price 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 9, 18,
22
Production 2, 3, 13, 17
Productivity Index 21
Proformas 2, 19, 23
Promotion Budget 11, 12,
18
F
Finance 2, 3, 15, 17, 23
Fine Cut
MTBF 7
Positioning 7
Price 7
Forecasting 13, 22
Foundation FastTrack 1,
2, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11,
12, 16, 17, 18, 19,
21, 22
Foundation Spreadsheet 2
H
Human Resources 19, 20
I
Ideal Spot 6, 18
Income Statement 13, 15,
20
Industry Conditions Report
1, 3, 5, 6, 8
Invent a Sensor 9, 10, 12
R
Rehearsal Tutorial 1
Reliability 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 9,
10, 11, 12, 18, 22
Research & Development
(R&D) 2, 3, 5, 9, 14
Rough Cut
MTBF 7
Positioning 7
Price 7
M
Marketing 2, 3, 5, 11
Market Segment Drift 4
Market Segments 3, 4, 5,
11
Market Share 18, 19, 22
Material Cost 10, 20
Modules 2, 19, 20
MTBF (Mean Time Before
Failure) 3, 4, 5, 7,
8, 9, 10, 11, 12,
18, 22
N
New Sensor 9, 10, 12
T
Terminate a Sensor 3, 13
The Industry Conditions
Report 5
TQM/Sustainability 9, 20
978-1-933681-35-1