Risk Measurement and Its Applications

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BY: ISHMEET KAUR

MBA – 3rd SEM


01611403909
 The chance that an investment's actual
return will be different from the expected
return
 Chance of variation in return
return

0
risk
return

Risk Equity shares


premium Preference shares
Unsecured loans
Bonds & debentures

Govt. securities
Risk-free
rate of
return

0 risk
RISK UNCERTAINTY

Possibility or Possibility or
probability of probability cannot be
happening or non- measured as facts and
happening of an event figures are not
can be quantified and available
measured
1. Systematic Risk
 It refers to fluctuation in return due to
changes in the market factors such as
money supply, inflation, economic
recessions, tax reforms etc.

 These factors all the firms or industries.

 No investor can avoid or eliminate this risk.


2. Unsystematic risk
It refers to the fluctuations in the returns
due to factors which are specific to a
particular firm.

It is diversifiable.

Example: a fluctuation in the price of


crude oil will affect the fortune of
petroleum companies but not the textile
manufacturing companies.
 Though future returns from an investment
are unpredictable, but an investors always
tends to measure the degree of risk
associated with the expected return from an
investment.
 Statistical
measures can be used to make
more precise measurement of risk about the
estimated returns.

 The purpose is to gauge the extent to which


the expected return and actual return are
likely to differ.
 These measures are:

1. RANGE
2. STANDARD DEVIATION
3. COEFFECIANT OF VARIATION
4. BETA
 Therange is the difference between the highest
and the lowest expected return.

20%
(highest return)

17%
RANGE=10%
EXPECTED 15%
(20%-10%)
RETURN FROM
AN INVESTMENT 12%

10%
(lowest return)

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