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Harris Had Stronger Debate, Polls Find, but the Race Remains Deadlocked

Kamala Harris holds an edge over Donald Trump in the battleground state of Pennsylvania. But new surveys found that the race remains a tossup nationally.

8 min read

Ruth Igielnik
Ruth Igielnik
The debate helped Harris in one major way: More seem to see her as smart and presidential, the poll found. The share of voters who view Harris as intelligent has gone up since August, and she’s more likely than Trump to be viewed as temperamentally fit to be president.
Jonathan Swan
Jonathan Swan
Whenever a poll of Pennsylvania is released, the political world devours it. Both campaigns see Pennsylvania as the potential decider state. Trump’s team views his clearest path to the presidency as a combination of Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina.
Shane Goldmacher
Shane Goldmacher
One of the interesting findings in the poll isn’t just whether Trump or Harris better represent change to voters. The answer there is clearly Trump. But the poll also asked who will “bring about the right kind of change” — and on that measure they were nearly tied.
Maggie Haberman
Maggie Haberman
One standout detail from the Pennsylvania poll: Harris’s favorability there has risen from 42 percent in early July, shortly after Trump’s debate against President Biden, to 51 percent. Considering how negatively most voters view national figures, that’s a large jump.
Ruth Igielnik
Ruth Igielnik
The poll showed that many more voters saw Trump as the more “extreme” candidate, 74 percent versus 46 percent. But that may not be a weakness — Trump wins by 50 points among voters who say extreme describes him “somewhat well.”
Jess Bidgood
Jess Bidgood
This result in Pennsylvania is welcome news for the Harris campaign, which has also seen a recent edge in most recent high-quality polls of Wisconsin and Michigan. If Harris wins all three of those states, plus one more electoral vote, she would win the presidency.
Christine Zhang
Christine Zhang
The poll also tested the favorability of Taylor Swift, the pop superstar who endorsed Ms. Harris immediately after the debate and who Mr. Trump declared that he hated over the weekend. Seventy percent of Democrats view her favorably; only 23 percent of Republicans do.
Jonathan Swan
Jonathan Swan
The new NYT/Siena poll tracks with the Trump campaign’s private polling in one important respect. Both public and private polling since the debate show that an overwhelming majority of voters thought Harris beat Trump in the debate.

The TiltNewsletter

A clear lead in Pennsylvania for Kamala Harris, but a tie nationwide: We explain the unexpected results.

5 min read

The Times polled voters about Taylor Swift after she endorsed Kamala Harris. Here’s what they thought.

2 min read

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Sean Combs, wearing a high-collared button up shirt, holding a microphone.

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Laura Boushnak for The New York Times
Laura Boushnak for The New York Times
Laura Boushnak for The New York Times
Laura Boushnak for The New York Times

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In Case You Missed It

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Culture and Lifestyle

The Art of Dressing Gracefully

This season at London Fashion Week, outfits on and off the runway felt a bit more mature.

1 min read

A person walking in a street past other people and a green-and-black car. The person is wearing a bedazzled white top and a tulle skirt, long white gloves, white stockings and white heels.A person standing on a sidewalk. The person has natural hair styled in a sort of Afro and is wearing a vibrant striped sweater with pale wide-leg pants.A person with long blond hair standing in a street. The person is holding a yellow fuzzy bag and is wearing a blue sweater with the Superman logo and a pair of jeans splattered with pale paint. A model, seen from behind, walking on a runway in a pale dress with a wide, short skirt.
Simbarashe Cha/The New York Times