Tale of Woe for Pharma CROs. Since January, hardship has hit the preclinical contract research labs - Evotec, Wuxi Apptec, and Gingko Bioworks. All down 60% to 80% in this short time span. Charles River still holding stable. Surprising that Wuxi Apptec, even with the highly publicized headwinds, still outperformed Evotec and Gingko, which have their own set of problems. In what appears to be a disaster year for the contract research lab industry, this massive drop in share price appears to be correlated with the general retraction of big pharma headcount and layoffs. Fewer orders placed, less revenue, less research done. Hopefully this will not turn into a vicious cycle.
As you know Vincent Ling, Ginkgo Bioworks, Inc. and Evotec are not pure play CROs, which also explains why the performance is strikingly different to companies like Charles River Laboratories However, conclusion still holds. The acquisition of Catalent Pharma Solutions at rock bottom prices by Novo Holdings and Novo Nordisk was an early sign of current pharma services companies difficulties
I see that you don't mention Medpace here. It seems like they have somehow escaped these negative trends and yet I believe they are very much a CRO. Any insights on this observation?
A suitable comparison would be Lonza, Samsung, and Fujifilm Bios, all of which have achieved double-digit gains over the same period!
Wow but 60-85% has to be because of something else, right? That can't just be because of market conditions, this is more like the bitcoin implosion of a few years ago...
We, although a small company CrystalsFirst, grew last year by three digit % after high growth in 2022 too. So it’s maybe unique technology, science focus or just the ability to deliver what was promised and being more productive than big companies. Curious about your thoughts…
Thanks Vincent …. Don’t you think this is a lagging indicator?. We saw massive bubble (ginkgo was part of this) that burst 24 months ago … as we have been getting back to “normal” things should settle out. This is minimally my impression. Focus on what our industry does best- make products that create value for patients and things will be fine
CRL had some of the most insane pricing activity during the pandemic, but their resilience now is due to their earnings stability. WuXi being down 92% from its all-time high is a bit shocking to me.
Insightful as ever. Having LabCorp also would have added to the story. Their share price went down, but recovering now to where it was at the beginning of the year. But your overall take away is true for them too.
We provide biophysical tools, also for pharma CROs. So we experience that the business is getting much tougher - what we see: the top companies keep on investing in innovative technologies. This speaks, that the CROs are expecting a better future. Very nice overview dear Vincent!
Helping Molecules become Medicines.
4mohttps://www.investing.com/news/company-news/ginkgo-bioworks-approves-reverse-stock-split-93CH-3574460