“As many restaurant companies prepare to report their second-quarter results, investors are expecting to hear that diners are visiting their locations less frequently and that sales have turned sluggish, with few exceptions such as Chipotle. In the hopes of lifting their results for next quarter, chains such as McDonald’s, Taco Bell, Burger King and Wendy’s have unveiled or revived meal deals with a $5 price tag.”
“Fast food typically fares better than the broader industry during economic downturns. But the last several years of price hikes have led many consumers to conclude that fast food just is not a good deal anymore. More than 60% of respondents to a recent LendingTree survey said they have cut back their fast-food spending because it is too expensive.”
“Runaway menu prices have scared off many fast-food customers, including those in the low-income bracket who make up a sizable chunk of the sector’s customer base. Sensing diners’ fast-food backlash, players such as Brinker International’s Chili’s have used their marketing to highlight their own value relative to the cost of a fast-food meal. Casual-dining chains have taken some market share from the fast-food sector, Darden Restaurants CEO Rick Cardenas said in June.”
“Generally, fast-food chains tend to focus their discounts and value meals on the first quarter, when consumers are trying to save their dollars after the holiday season and stick to New Year’s resolutions. As temperatures rise, so do restaurant sales, and operators usually do not need to rely on deals to bring in customers.”
“But this summer is different. Fast-food chains need discounts to fuel traffic — and sales growth.”
“Without convincing customers to add a milkshake or another entrée to their order, the discounts ding profits and become unsustainable in the long run. That is a big worry for investors who are already skeptical that chains will not see the traffic bump they are hoping for.”
“Investors are not the only ones skeptical about the promotions — so are franchisees, who often push back against discounts because they hurt their profits.”
“Coke CEO James Quincey said on Tuesday’s earnings call that the beverage giant has seen weaker away-from-home sales in the U.S. as quick-service restaurants struggle. To boost demand, Coke is partnering with food-service customers to market food and drink combo meals, according to Quincey.”
“The promotion is bringing customers back to its restaurants, according to both executives and foot traffic data. June 25, the launch day of McDonald’s $5 meal, drew 8% more visits than the average Tuesday in 2024 so far, according to a report from Placer.ai. The pattern repeated in the following days as the chain exceeded year-to-date daily visit averages. Placer.ai also found that discounts helped drive traffic to Buffalo Wild Wings, Starbucks and Chili’s.” - Amelia Lucas
Well said!