Putin’s Next Target May Be the ‘NATO Lake’ - Coming exercises in the Baltic Sea will give the alliance a chance to work Finland and Sweden into its complex web of defenses. - With the addition this year of Sweden and last spring of Finland to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, the Baltic Sea has been dubbed a “NATO lake” by some analysts. A glance at a map show that is largely (but not completely) true — the coastline has a couple of slivers of Russian territory. The rest of the coastal littoral is in NATO hands: Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Germany and Denmark. - https://lnkd.in/eHsUSusm
Timothy Lawn, M.A.’s Post
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2024 (April 4th) marks 75 years since the conception of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), which was signed on 4 April, 1949. Sweden is the latest country to join NATO, after Russia's invasion of Ukraine prompted it to leave 200 years of neutrality behind. This milestone comes at a time when NATO is facing new challenges, most notably the ongoing war in Ukraine. While certain voices shamefully and dishonorably shift the blame to NATO for the Russian invasion, an attempt to distort reality and hide the true culprits, the alliance stands firm in its commitment to its founding principles, ensuring the safety of its members. More than ever, NATO's role as a guardian of stability in Europe is undeniable, safeguarding the security of its members in a complex world.
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Since #Ukraine has dominated these #NATO summits ever since #Russia invaded it in 2022 (and in some ways since 2014) without even being a member, it is striking how much of the agonized discourse at them is about whether it should be made a member. So it seems worth examining whether joining the 75-year-old alliance of 32 nations is such a big deal. https://lnkd.in/drgy4ARF
Much ado about not doing much
danperry.substack.com
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The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and its four partner countries in the Indo-Pacific—Australia, Japan, the Republic of Korea and New Zealand—have entered a period of increased engagement. This engagement is taking shape in the context of the war waged by Russia against Ukraine, NATO’s growing awareness of the security challenges posed by China, and important structural changes in the international system. We convened an Expert Study Group on NATO and Indo-Pacific Partners to increase understanding of Indo-Pacific partner perspectives on NATO as well as the dynamics of NATO and Indo-Pacific partner relations. Read their new report here: https://lnkd.in/eEeXBE75
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Here's my take on Russian-North Korean relations. I find that they will be long-lasting. The Soviet Union saw North Korea as a key part of its asymmetric warfare, notably during the Vietnam War. This notion, that North Korea can tie down the West, continues today. In addition, I argue there has been a "trading places": a North Koreanization of Russia and a Putinization of North Korea. https://lnkd.in/gzeK8XqD I compared Russia to North Korea as a "family-state", Here--https://lnkd.in/g2rWxfMv And here--https://lnkd.in/gbYEz-FZ Here is a recent example of the kinds of threats we hear on the Russian news https://lnkd.in/gHWHGQ9S
Why North Korea’s burgeoning military alliance with Russia is built to last | NK PRO
nknews.org
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14 Jun 15:20: With thanks to Chris 🇺🇸🇰🇷 … and J Scott 🇺🇸🇺🇦: ‘Here's my (Chris Monday’s) take on Russian-North Korean relations. I find that they will be long-lasting. The Soviet Union saw North Korea as a key part of its asymmetric warfare, notably during the Vietnam War. This notion, that North Korea can tie down the West, continues today. In addition, I argue there has been a "trading places": a North Koreanization of Russia and a Putinization of North Korea. https://lnkd.in/gzeK8XqD I compared Russia to North Korea as a "family-state", Here--https://lnkd.in/g2rWxfMv And here--https://lnkd.in/gbYEz-FZ Here is a recent example of the kinds of threats we hear on the Russian news https://lnkd.in/gHWHGQ9S!’
Here's my take on Russian-North Korean relations. I find that they will be long-lasting. The Soviet Union saw North Korea as a key part of its asymmetric warfare, notably during the Vietnam War. This notion, that North Korea can tie down the West, continues today. In addition, I argue there has been a "trading places": a North Koreanization of Russia and a Putinization of North Korea. https://lnkd.in/gzeK8XqD I compared Russia to North Korea as a "family-state", Here--https://lnkd.in/g2rWxfMv And here--https://lnkd.in/gbYEz-FZ Here is a recent example of the kinds of threats we hear on the Russian news https://lnkd.in/gHWHGQ9S
Why North Korea’s burgeoning military alliance with Russia is built to last | NK PRO
nknews.org
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Insightful comparative reading of diplomatic potential of the comparable military structures of the EU & NATO #regionalisedcollectivesecurity
Should NATO engage more deeply with the Indo-Pacific? In a new commentary for Institute for Indo-Pacific Affairs, I argue the EU - not NATO - ought to be the locus of cooperation between the two regions. https://lnkd.in/e2Tq2nRR
Europe Yes, NATO No: Leveraging the EU’s Strengths in the Indo-Pacific
indopac.nz
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Finland handed control of 15 military bases to the US For nearly half a century, Scandinavia’s neutrality (with the obvious exception of Norway) was an important segment of keeping various buffer zones between the Soviet Union and NATO. And interestingly, despite the fact that the USSR was much more powerful than Russia nowadays, while also being virtually unopposed in the Baltic Sea, for some reason, neither Sweden nor Finland felt the need to become part of NATO. What’s more, if there ever was a danger of a mythical Soviet invasion of either country, it was gone in 1991. Up to that point, Moscow’s access to the Baltic Sea stretched from Finland to Denmark (nearly, that is). Nowadays, Saint Petersburg and Kaliningrad are Russia’s only access points. Thus, if the Kremlin hadn’t invaded Sweden and Finland during the (First) Cold War, it surely wouldn’t be doing it now. However, as rabid Russophobia is an extremely damaging degenerative disease, it clouds people’s https://lnkd.in/gp3ixJS7
Finland handed control of 15 military bases to the US
https://ozarab.media
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The Ukraine war threatens Russia’s regional influence Putin's Mediterranean dreams are hindered by his navy's Black Sea setbacks GALIP DALAY Jun 16, 2024 Russian President Vladimir Putin’s vision of restoring Russia to its "rightful" place as a global power has long rested on dominating the Black Sea and projecting power in the Mediterranean and the Middle East. In the years before Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Putin largely succeeded in that goal. With the occupation of Abkhazia following a brief war in 2008, Russia gained control of roughly two-thirds of Georgia’s Black Sea coastline. In 2014, Russia illegally annexed the strategically important Crimean Peninsula, shifting the power balance in the Black Sea and increasing the Kremlin’s influence in the Western Balkans and the South Caucasus. If the war in Ukraine persists and Russia’s position in the Black Sea continues to weaken its influence in the Mediterranean will also wane. As NATO and the European Union devise a containment strategy against Russia, they must remember that an effective Black Sea policy requires an effective Mediterranean policy and vice versa. In the confrontation between Russia and the West, the two regions are an integrated strategic domain.
The Ukraine war threatens Russia’s regional influence
japantimes.co.jp
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On the whole, NATO has provided collective security for Europe and North America for a long time. Congratulations are in order, but it is also a time to make changes. The organization will benefit by having more European countries taking a greater role in NATO. For far too long, the United States carried the leadership burden and funding responsibility. Russia’s war against Ukraine has changed the defense calculus. Large organizations like NATO are challenged by the collective action dilemma. When folks come together to achieve a common goal, there are always disparities in effort and contribution. It is not unusual to see free riders (or low riders) and those who wind up picking up the slack. Now Europe has its eyes open to the reality of the Russian threat, and its cooperation with China, Iran, and North Korea to undermine the international order that has ensured security and trade for many decades. #nato #europe #northamerica #unitedstates #collective #security #anniversary #change #defense #war #russia #ukraine #china #iran #northkorea #action #dilemma #free #riders #international #order #trade #common #goal https://lnkd.in/eXktiQp2
NATO marks 75 years anniversary with show of unity as Ukraine war grinds on
reuters.com
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