Tim Murphy’s Post

Global Strategic Trends: Out to 2055! I. Global Drivers of Change 1. Global power competition Competition will continue and the balance of power will almost certainly change 2. Demographic pressures The global population will continue to grow and age, although the rate of increase will be spread unevenly across the globe 3. Climate change and pressure on the environment The effects of climate change will become increasingly evident and more extreme 4. Technological advances and connectivity The exponential growth in sensors, data, storage, processing power, connectivity, advanced data analytics, automation and artificial intelligence will have an impact on virtually every area of human endeavour and lifestyle 5. Economic transformation and energy transition Technological advances will have a huge impact on future economic activity and energy systems. 6. Inequality and pressure on governance This will be driven by technological transformation and the increasing concentration of wealth, as well as slowdowns in economic growth II. Parallel and Contradictory Trends 1. Increasing interconnectivity and fragmentation The world is witnessing increasing interconnectivity, resulting in part from new levels of digital connection and an increase in digital trade, but also fragmentation as a result of disruptions and shifts in global value chains and an increase in economic protectionism 2. Cooperation and confrontation Cooperation and confrontation sit side by side, with the NATO enlargement and a new United Nations initiative on the protection of the high seas alongside increasing competition between states, new conflict outbreaks and a deepening divide between the developed world and the Global South 3. Innovation and stagnation Innovation continues to revolutionise societies and economies, while the world is experiencing stagnation in the areas of poverty reduction and its ability to tackle irregular migration and refugee flows 4. Growing authoritarianism and demand for transparency Recent years have seen democratic declines and growing authoritarianism in some states, just as rising human empowerment is boosting the potential for public mobilisation and demand for transparency 5. Weakening abilities and strengthening roles of states While new technologies may lead to an increase in government capacity and strengthening roles of states, ageing populations, stretched state finances and the growing prevalence of serious and organised crime may result in an increase in state fragility and instability in some parts of the world Check out the report by GOV.UK here: https://lnkd.in/grMjmbFF #innovation #trends #tech #climate #sustainability #energy #transition #policy #strategy

Global Strategic Trends: Out to 2055! I. Global Drivers of Change 1. Global power competition Competition will continue and the balance of power will almost certainly change 2. Demographic pressures The global population will continue to grow and age, although the rate of increase will be spread unevenly across the globe 3. Climate change and pressure on the environment The effects of climate change will become increasingly evident and more extreme 4. Technological advances and connectivity The exponential growth in sensors, data, storage, processing power, connectivity, advanced data analytics, automation and artificial intelligence will have an impact on virtually every area of human endeavour and lifestyle 5. Economic transformation and energy transition Technological advances will have a huge impact on future economic activity and energy systems. 6. Inequality and pressure on governance This will be driven by technological transformation and the increasing concentration of wealth, as well as slowdowns in economic growth II. Parallel and Contradictory Trends 1. Increasing interconnectivity and fragmentation The world is witnessing increasing interconnectivity, resulting in part from new levels of digital connection and an increase in digital trade, but also fragmentation as a result of disruptions and shifts in global value chains and an increase in economic protectionism 2. Cooperation and confrontation Cooperation and confrontation sit side by side, with the NATO enlargement and a new United Nations initiative on the protection of the high seas alongside increasing competition between states, new conflict outbreaks and a deepening divide between the developed world and the Global South 3. Innovation and stagnation Innovation continues to revolutionise societies and economies, while the world is experiencing stagnation in the areas of poverty reduction and its ability to tackle irregular migration and refugee flows 4. Growing authoritarianism and demand for transparency Recent years have seen democratic declines and growing authoritarianism in some states, just as rising human empowerment is boosting the potential for public mobilisation and demand for transparency 5. Weakening abilities and strengthening roles of states While new technologies may lead to an increase in government capacity and strengthening roles of states, ageing populations, stretched state finances and the growing prevalence of serious and organised crime may result in an increase in state fragility and instability in some parts of the world Check out the report by GOV.UK here: https://lnkd.in/grMjmbFF #innovation #trends #tech #climate #sustainability #energy #transition #policy #strategy

Global Strategic Trends: Out to 2055! I. Global Drivers of Change 1. Global power competition Competition will continue and the balance of power will almost certainly change 2. Demographic pressures The global population will continue to grow and age, although the rate of increase will be spread unevenly across the globe 3. Climate change and pressure on the environment The effects of climate change will become increasingly evident and more extreme 4. Technological advances and connectivity The exponential growth in sensors, data, storage, processing power, connectivity, advanced data analytics, automation and artificial intelligence will have an impact on virtually every area of human endeavour and lifestyle 5. Economic transformation and energy transition Technological advances will have a huge impact on future economic activity and energy systems. 6. Inequality and pressure on governance This will be driven by technological transformation and the increasing concentration of wealth, as well as slowdowns in economic growth II. Parallel and Contradictory Trends 1. Increasing interconnectivity and fragmentation The world is witnessing increasing interconnectivity, resulting in part from new levels of digital connection and an increase in digital trade, but also fragmentation as a result of disruptions and shifts in global value chains and an increase in economic protectionism 2. Cooperation and confrontation Cooperation and confrontation sit side by side, with the NATO enlargement and a new United Nations initiative on the protection of the high seas alongside increasing competition between states, new conflict outbreaks and a deepening divide between the developed world and the Global South 3. Innovation and stagnation Innovation continues to revolutionise societies and economies, while the world is experiencing stagnation in the areas of poverty reduction and its ability to tackle irregular migration and refugee flows 4. Growing authoritarianism and demand for transparency Recent years have seen democratic declines and growing authoritarianism in some states, just as rising human empowerment is boosting the potential for public mobilisation and demand for transparency 5. Weakening abilities and strengthening roles of states While new technologies may lead to an increase in government capacity and strengthening roles of states, ageing populations, stretched state finances and the growing prevalence of serious and organised crime may result in an increase in state fragility and instability in some parts of the world Check out the report by GOV.UK here: https://lnkd.in/grMjmbFF #innovation #trends #tech #climate #sustainability #energy #transition #policy #strategy

Global Strategic Trends: Out to 2055! I. Global Drivers of Change 1. Global power competition Competition will continue and the balance of power will almost certainly change 2. Demographic pressures The global population will continue to grow and age, although the rate of increase will be spread unevenly across the globe 3. Climate change and pressure on the environment The effects of climate change will become increasingly evident and more extreme 4. Technological advances and connectivity The exponential growth in sensors, data, storage, processing power, connectivity, advanced data analytics, automation and artificial intelligence will have an impact on virtually every area of human endeavour and lifestyle 5. Economic transformation and energy transition Technological advances will have a huge impact on future economic activity and energy systems. 6. Inequality and pressure on governance This will be driven by technological transformation and the increasing concentration of wealth, as well as slowdowns in economic growth II. Parallel and Contradictory Trends 1. Increasing interconnectivity and fragmentation The world is witnessing increasing interconnectivity, resulting in part from new levels of digital connection and an increase in digital trade, but also fragmentation as a result of disruptions and shifts in global value chains and an increase in economic protectionism 2. Cooperation and confrontation Cooperation and confrontation sit side by side, with the NATO enlargement and a new United Nations initiative on the protection of the high seas alongside increasing competition between states, new conflict outbreaks and a deepening divide between the developed world and the Global South 3. Innovation and stagnation Innovation continues to revolutionise societies and economies, while the world is experiencing stagnation in the areas of poverty reduction and its ability to tackle irregular migration and refugee flows 4. Growing authoritarianism and demand for transparency Recent years have seen democratic declines and growing authoritarianism in some states, just as rising human empowerment is boosting the potential for public mobilisation and demand for transparency 5. Weakening abilities and strengthening roles of states While new technologies may lead to an increase in government capacity and strengthening roles of states, ageing populations, stretched state finances and the growing prevalence of serious and organised crime may result in an increase in state fragility and instability in some parts of the world Check out the report by GOV.UK here: https://lnkd.in/grMjmbFF #innovation #trends #tech #climate #sustainability #energy #transition #policy #strategy

Global Strategic Trends: Out to 2055! I. Global Drivers of Change 1. Global power competition Competition will continue and the balance of power will almost certainly change 2. Demographic pressures The global population will continue to grow and age, although the rate of increase will be spread unevenly across the globe 3. Climate change and pressure on the environment The effects of climate change will become increasingly evident and more extreme 4. Technological advances and connectivity The exponential growth in sensors, data, storage, processing power, connectivity, advanced data analytics, automation and artificial intelligence will have an impact on virtually every area of human endeavour and lifestyle 5. Economic transformation and energy transition Technological advances will have a huge impact on future economic activity and energy systems. 6. Inequality and pressure on governance This will be driven by technological transformation and the increasing concentration of wealth, as well as slowdowns in economic growth II. Parallel and Contradictory Trends 1. Increasing interconnectivity and fragmentation The world is witnessing increasing interconnectivity, resulting in part from new levels of digital connection and an increase in digital trade, but also fragmentation as a result of disruptions and shifts in global value chains and an increase in economic protectionism 2. Cooperation and confrontation Cooperation and confrontation sit side by side, with the NATO enlargement and a new United Nations initiative on the protection of the high seas alongside increasing competition between states, new conflict outbreaks and a deepening divide between the developed world and the Global South 3. Innovation and stagnation Innovation continues to revolutionise societies and economies, while the world is experiencing stagnation in the areas of poverty reduction and its ability to tackle irregular migration and refugee flows 4. Growing authoritarianism and demand for transparency Recent years have seen democratic declines and growing authoritarianism in some states, just as rising human empowerment is boosting the potential for public mobilisation and demand for transparency 5. Weakening abilities and strengthening roles of states While new technologies may lead to an increase in government capacity and strengthening roles of states, ageing populations, stretched state finances and the growing prevalence of serious and organised crime may result in an increase in state fragility and instability in some parts of the world Check out the report by GOV.UK here: https://lnkd.in/grMjmbFF #innovation #trends #tech #climate #sustainability #energy #transition #policy #strategy