Thryve Group LLC’s Post

Last week, we took a look at sales assumptions and why they are so important to your forecasting. Technically, you should have a basic assumption for every financial statement item in order to project your cash flow. If the particular expense is a steady amount, the assumption can be as simple as "same as last year" Today, we’re going to take a deeper look at 2 important expenses: • Cost of Goods: These expenses are the cost to manufacture your product or deliver your services. The total cost will often fluctuate together with sales volume. Other than the correlation with your sales assumption, consider these other questions: are raw materials or wages for production personnel increasing at a certain rate over the forecast period? is our efficiency going to improve or decline as a result of changes in the sales volume? • Payroll cost: Payroll costs includes both wages and payroll taxes. The payroll taxes would often increase in line with wages. Here are some questions to consider: Do you plan to hire any new employees over the next year? Pay raises or Bonuses? Will you choose to invest in more people or technology to meet changes in sales volume? Take the time to document your assumptions. You will then be able to understand your rationale when you compare your actual numbers vs. projection or prepare the projection in the following year. Business owners often concentrate on the operating profit impact to cash flow forecasts, but forget about the capital asset and financing changes. Next week we are going to dive into the importance of considering those assumptions in your calculations. #BusinessForecasting #FinancialPlanning #SmallBusinessGrowth #EconomicIndicators #BusinessStrategy #ThryveGroup

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